Stage-specific incidence trends of melanoma in an English region, 1996-2015: longitudinal analyses of population-based data

Adjuvant Immunotherapy in Stage II Melanoma-Further Risk Stratification is Needed

This Viewpoint reviews the evidence for immune checkpoint inhibitor use in the adjuvant setting, discusses the individual and societal risks, benefits, and costs associated with immune checkpoint inhibitors, and highlights the need for more targeted patient selection approaches.

Validation of epidermal AMBRA1 and loricrin (AMBLor) as a prognostic biomarker for nonulcerated American Joint Committee on Cancer stage I/II cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

Combined expression of the autophagy-regulatory protein AMBRA1 (activating molecule in Beclin1-regulated autophagy) and the terminal differentiation marker loricrin in the peritumoral epidermis of stage I melanomas can identify tumour subsets at low risk of -metastasis.

OBJECTIVES

To validate the combined expression of peritumoral AMBRA1 and loricrin (AMBLor) as a prognostic biomarker able to identify both stage I and II melanomas at low risk of tumour recurrence.

METHODS

Automated immunohistochemistry was used to analyse peritumoral AMBRA1 and loricrin expression in geographically distinct discovery (n = 540) and validation (n = 300) cohorts of nonulcerated American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage I and II melanomas. AMBLor status was correlated with clinical outcomes in the discovery and validation cohorts separately and combined.

RESULTS

Analysis of AMBLor in the discovery cohort revealed a recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of 95.5% in the AMBLor low-risk group vs. 81.7% in the AMBLor at-risk group (multivariate log-rank, P < 0.001) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 96.0%. In the validation cohort, AMBLor analysis revealed a RFS rate of 97.6% in the AMBLor low-risk group vs. 78.3% in the at-risk group (multivariate log-rank, P < 0.001) and a NPV of 97.6%. In a multivariate model considering AMBLor, Breslow thickness, age and sex, analysis of the combined discovery and validation cohorts showed that the estimated effect of AMBLor was statistically significant, with a hazard ratio of 3.469 (95% confidence interval 1.403-8.580, P = 0.007) and an overall NPV of 96.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

These data provide further evidence validating AMBLor as a prognostic biomarker to identify nonulcerated AJCC stage I and II melanoma tumours at low risk of disease recurrence.

Overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma: a scoping review

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to systematically identify and scrutinise published empirical evidence about overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma and examine how frequent overdiagnosis of melanoma is and whether this is related to different types of interventions or diagnostic technologies.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Empirical studies that discussed overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma were eligible, including qualitative and quantitative studies in any type of population, age group and geographical location. We excluded studies that did not include empirical data, studies that only mentioned 'overdiagnosis' without addressing it further and studies that used the term overdiagnosis for cases of misdiagnosis or false positives.We developed the search strategy in cooperation with an information specialist. We searched five databases on 21 April 2022: MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO and Cochrane Library.This scoping review adheres to The JBI methodology and Prefered Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses extension for Scoping reviews (PRISMA-ScR). Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts and full texts for inclusion and extracted data from the included studies. The data extracted include study characteristics, population details, research question, the context and the study's main results.

RESULTS

Our search resulted in 1134 potentially relevant studies. 35 studies were included: 29 register studies, 3 cohort studies, 1 case-control study, 1 survey study and 1 randomised controlled trial. Most register studies examined trends in melanoma incidence and/or mortality and found a significant increase in incidence between 0.39% and 6.6% annually and a little or no increase in mortality. Three cohort studies and one case-control study showed that skin screening was associated with increased detection of melanoma; especially in situ or thin invasive melanoma. Three studies estimated the degree of overdiagnosis which ranged from 29% to 60%.

CONCLUSIONS

Epidemiological data suggest a high degree of overdiagnosis in malignant melanoma. Studies that examined the association between skin screening and malignant melanoma all found increased detection of melanomas, mostly thin and in situ melanomas, which raises concern about overdiagnosis.

The 31-Gene Expression Profile Test Outperforms AJCC in Stratifying Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Stage I Cutaneous Melanoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with stage I cutaneous melanoma (CM) are considered at low risk for metastasis or melanoma specific death; however, because the majority of patients are diagnosed with stage I disease, they represent the largest number of melanoma deaths annually. The 31-gene expression profile (31-GEP) test has been prospectively validated to provide prognostic information independent of staging, classifying patients as low (Class 1A), intermediate (Class 1B/2A), or high (Class 2B) risk of poor outcomes.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in previous studies of the 31-GEP were combined and evaluated for recurrence-free (RFS) and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) (n = 1261, "combined"). A second large, unselected real-world cohort (n = 5651) comprising clinically tested patients diagnosed 2013-2018 who were linked to outcomes data from the NCI Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program registries was evaluated for MSS.

RESULTS

Combined cohort Class 1A patients had significantly higher RFS than Class 1B/2A or Class 2B patients (97.3%, 88.6%, 77.3%, p < 0.001)-better risk stratification than AJCC8 stage IA (97.5%) versus IB (89.3%). The SEER cohort showed better MSS stratification by the 31-GEP (Class 1A = 98.0%, Class 1B/2A = 97.5%, Class 2B = 92.3%; p < 0.001) than by AJCC8 staging (stage IA = 97.6%, stage IB = 97.9%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The 31-GEP test significantly improved patient risk stratification, independent of AJCC8 staging in patients with stage I CM. The 31-GEP provided greater separation between high- (Class 2B) and low-risk (Class 1A) groups than seen between AJCC stage IA and IB. These data support integrating the 31-GEP into clinical decision making for more risk-aligned management plans.

Predictors of sentinel lymph node metastasis in very thin invasive melanomas

BACKGROUND

Melanomas < 0.8 mm in Breslow depth have less than a 5% risk for nodal positivity. Nonetheless, nodal positivity is prognostic for this group. Early identification of nodal positivity may improve the outcomes for these patients.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the degree to which ulceration and other high-risk features predict sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity for very thin melanomas.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was reviewed from 2012 to 2018 for patients with melanoma with Breslow thickness < 0.8 mm. Data were analysed from 7 July 2022 through to 25 February 2023. Patients were excluded if data regarding their ulceration status or SLN biopsy (SLNB) performance were unknown. We analysed patient, tumour and health system factors for their effect on SLN positivity. Data were analysed using χ2 tests and logistic regressions. Overall survival (OS) was compared by Kaplan-Meier analyses.

RESULTS

Positive nodal metastases were seen in 876 (5.0%) patients who underwent SLNB (17 692). Factors significantly associated with nodal positivity on multivariable analysis include lymphovascular invasion [odds ratio (OR) 4.5, P < 0.001], ulceration (OR 2.6, P < 0.001), mitoses (OR 2.1, P < 0.001) and nodular subtype (OR 2.1, P < 0.001). Five-year OS was 75% and 92% for patients with positive and negative SLN, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Nodal positivity has prognostic significance for very thin melanomas. In our cohort, the rate of nodal positivity was 5% overall in these patients who underwent SLNB. Specific tumour factors (e.g. lymphovascular invasion, ulceration, mitoses, nodular subtype) were associated with higher rates of SLN metastases and should be used to guide clinicians in choosing which patients will benefit from SLNB.

Missing melanomas in England during the COVID-19 pandemic: 2485 fewer melanoma diagnoses in 2020 than in 2019

Malignant melanoma (MM) can have a high mortality if diagnosed late. Three waves of COVID-19 in 2020–21 led to periods of reduced healthcare provision in England. Although most cancer services were maintained, factors such as patient anxiety, staff and facility redeployment, and staff sickness delayed cancer diagnoses. We aimed to investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on MM diagnoses and stage at presentation in England

Epidemiology of porocarcinoma in England 2013-2018: a population-based registry study

BACKGROUND

Porocarcinoma (PC) is a cutaneous malignancy that differentiates towards (possibly arises from) the sweat ducts and glands. Lack of histological diagnostic markers makes clinical and pathological diagnosis complex. The limited data available suggest the incidence is increasing; however, this remains to be established in national epidemiological studies.

OBJECTIVES

To report the incidence, treatment and survival of patients with PC in England from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2018 using national cancer registry data.

METHODS

PC diagnoses in England during 2013-2018 were identified from the National Disease Registration Service using morphology and behaviour codes. These were registered from routinely collected pathology reports and cancer outcomes and services datasets. The 2013 European age standardized incidence rates (EASRs), Kaplan-Meier all-cause survival and log-rank test were calculated.

RESULTS

In total, 738 tumours (396 in males and 342 in females) were diagnosed. The median age at diagnosis was 82 years old (interquartile range 74-88). The most frequently affected site were lower limbs (35.4%), followed by the face (16%). The majority of the cohort received surgical excision (73.0%). The Kaplan-Meier all-cause survival was 45.4% at 5 years, which was lower than in previous studies. The EASR for the whole population was 0.25 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.23-0.27] per 100 000 person-years (PY)]. PC incidence rates in the East of England (EASR of 0.54, 95% CI 0.47-0.63 per 100 000 PY) were three times higher than the South West (EASR of 0.14, 95% CI 0.10-0.19 per 100 000 PY) where the regional rates were the lowest.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that there is large variation in the EASRs of PC across England. This may reflect differences in how PC is diagnosed and registered in different regions in England. These data support national assessment of the management of PC, which will inform future studies and guideline development.

Advances in Early Detection of Melanoma and the Future of At-Home Testing

The past decade has seen numerous advancements in approaches to melanoma detection, each with the common goal to stem the growing incidence of melanoma and its mortality rate. These advancements, while well documented to increase early melanoma detection, have also garnered considerable criticism of their efficacy for improving survival rates. In this review, we discuss the current state of such early detection approaches that do not require direct dermatologist intervention. Our findings suggest that a number of at-home and non-specialist methods exist with high accuracy for detecting melanoma, albeit with a few notable concerns worth further investigation. Additionally, research continues to find new approaches using artificial intelligence which have promise for the future.

Top advances of the year: Melanoma

This commentary highlights the key, recent advances made in the field of melanoma. Although significant gains have been made, particularly for resectable disease, ongoing challenges remain in the PD1‐refractory setting.

Predicting melanoma survival and metastasis with interpretable histopathological features and machine learning models

Introduction

Melanoma is the fifth most common cancer in US, and the incidence is increasing 1.4% annually. The overall survival rate for early-stage disease is 99.4%. However, melanoma can recur years later (in the same region of the body or as distant metastasis), and results in a dramatically lower survival rate. Currently there is no reliable method to predict tumor recurrence and metastasis on early primary tumor histological images.

Methods

To identify rapid, accurate, and cost-effective predictors of metastasis and survival, in this work, we applied various interpretable machine learning approaches to analyze melanoma histopathological H&E images. The result is a set of image features that can help clinicians identify high-risk-of-metastasis patients for increased clinical follow-up and precision treatment. We use simple models (i.e., logarithmic classification and KNN) and "human-interpretable" measures of cell morphology and tissue architecture (e.g., cell size, staining intensity, and cell density) to predict the melanoma survival on public and local Stage I-III cohorts as well as the metastasis risk on a local cohort.

Results

We use penalized survival regression to limit features available to downstream classifiers and investigate the utility of convolutional neural networks in isolating tumor regions to focus morphology extraction on only the tumor region. This approach allows us to predict survival and metastasis with a maximum F1 score of 0.72 and 0.73, respectively, and to visualize several high-risk cell morphologies.

Discussion

This lays the foundation for future work, which will focus on using our interpretable pipeline to predict metastasis in Stage I & II melanoma.

Cancer overdiagnosis: a challenge in the era of screening

"Screening" is a search for preclinical, asymptomatic disease, including cancer. Widespread cancer screening has led to large increases in early-stage cancers and pre-cancers. Ubiquitous public messages emphasize the potential benefits to screening for these lesions based on the underlying assumption that treating cancer at early stages before spread to other organs should make it easier to treat and cure, using more tolerable interventions. The intuition is so strong that public campaigns are sometimes launched without conducting definitive trials directly comparing screening to usual care. An effective cancer screening test should not only increase the incidence of early-stage preclinical disease but should also decrease the incidence of advanced and metastatic cancer, as well as a subsequent decrease in cancer-related mortality. Otherwise, screening efforts may be uncovering a reservoir of non-progressive and very slowly progressive lesions that were not destined to cause symptoms or suffering during the person's remaining natural lifespan: a phenomenon known as "overdiagnosis." We provide here a qualitative review of cancer overdiagnosis and discuss specific examples due to extensive population-based screening, including neuroblastoma, prostate cancer, thyroid cancer, lung cancer, melanoma, and breast cancer. The harms of unnecessary diagnosis and cancer therapy call for a balanced presentation to people considering undergoing screening, even with a test of accepted benefit, with a goal of informed decision-making. We also discuss proposed strategies to mitigate the adverse sequelae of overdiagnosis.

Alcohol as a Non-UV Social-Environmental Risk Factor for Melanoma

Although cancer mortality has declined among the general population, the incidence of melanoma continues to rise. While identifying high-risk cohorts with genetic risk factors improves public health initiatives and clinical care management, recognizing modifiable risk factors such as social-environmental risk factors would also affect the methods of patient outreach and education. One major modifiable social-environmental risk factor associated with melanoma is ultraviolet (UV) radiation. However, not all forms of melanoma are correlated with sun exposure or occur in sun-exposed areas. Additionally, UV exposure is rarely associated with tumor progression. Another social-environmental factor, pregnancy, does not explain the sharply increased incidence of melanoma. Recent studies have demonstrated that alcohol consumption is positively linked with an increased risk of cancers, including melanoma. This perspective review paper summarizes epidemiological data correlating melanoma incidence with alcohol consumption, describes the biochemical mechanisms of ethanol metabolism, and discusses how ethanol and ethanol metabolites contribute to human cancer, including melanoma.

Clinical performance indicators for monitoring the management of cutaneous melanoma: a population-based perspective

The prognosis of cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) is based on disease progression. The highly heterogeneous clinical-pathological characteristics of CMM necessitate standardized diagnostic and therapeutic interventions tailored to cancer's stage. This study utilizes clinical performance indicators to assess the quality of CMM care in Veneto (Northeast Italy). This population-based study focuses on all incidences of CMMs registered by the Veneto Cancer Registry in 2015 (1279 patients) and 2017 (1368 patients). An interdisciplinary panel of experts formulated a set of quality-monitoring indicators for diagnostic, therapeutic, and end-of-life clinical interventions for CMM. The quality of clinical care for patients was assessed by comparing the reference thresholds established by experts to the actual values obtained in clinical practice. The prevalence of stage I-CMM decreased significantly from 2015 to 2017 (from 71.8 to 62.4%; P < 0.001), and almost all the pathology reports mentioned the number of nodes dissected during a lymphadenectomy. More than 90% of advanced CMMs were promptly tested for molecular BRAF status, but the proportion of patients given targeted therapies fell short of the desired threshold (61.1%). The proportion of stage I-IIA CMM patients who inappropriately underwent computerized tomography/MRI/PET dropped from 17.4 to 3.3% ( P < 0.001). Less than 2% of patients received medical or surgical anticancer therapies in the month preceding their death. In the investigated regional context, CMM care exhibited both strengths and weaknesses. The evaluated clinical indicators shed essential insight on the clinical procedures requiring corrective action. It is crucial to monitor clinical care indicators to improve care for cancer patients and promote the sustainability of the healthcare system.

Global Burden of Cutaneous Melanoma in 2020 and Projections to 2040

Importance

Despite many cases being preventable, cutaneous melanoma remains the most serious skin cancer worldwide. Understanding the scale and profile of the disease is vital to concentrate and reinforce global prevention efforts.

Objective

To examine global patterns of cutaneous melanoma in 2020 and to provide projected estimates of cases and deaths by 2040.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based study used the GLOBOCAN 2020 database for global epidemiological assessment of new cases and deaths due to invasive melanoma.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated per 100 000 person-years by country, world region, and 4-tier level of human development. Estimated numbers of cases and deaths were calculated for the year 2040.

Results

A worldwide total of 325 000 new melanoma cases (174 000 males, 151 000 females) and 57 000 deaths (32 000 males, 25 000 females) was estimated for 2020. Large geographic variations existed across countries and world regions, with the highest incidence rates among males (42 per 100 000 person-years) and females (31 per 100 000 person-years) observed in Australia/New Zealand, followed by Western Europe (19 per 100 000 person-years for males and females), North America (18 per 100 000 person-years for males, 14 per 100 000 person-years for females), and Northern Europe (17 per 100 000 person-years for males, 18 per 100 000 person-years for females). Melanoma continued to be rare in most African and Asian countries, with incidence rates commonly less than 1 per 100 000 person-years. Mortality rates peaked at 5 per 100 000 person-years in New Zealand, and geographic variations were less pronounced than for incidence. Melanoma was more frequent among males than females in most world regions. If 2020 rates continue, the burden from melanoma is estimated to increase to 510 000 new cases (a roughly 50% increase) and to 96 000 deaths (a 68% increase) by 2040.

Conclusions and Relevance

This epidemiological assessment suggests that melanoma remains an important challenge to cancer control and public health globally, especially in fair-skinned populations of European descent.

Risk Stratification and Clinical Characteristics of Patients with Late Recurrence of Melanoma (>10 Years)

Background: Most patients with high-risk melanomas develop metastasis within the first few years after diagnosis. However, late recurrence of melanoma is seen in patients that metastasize more than 10 years after the primary diagnosis; a metastasis after 15 years is considered an ultra-late recurrence. It is critical to better understand the clinical and biological characteristics of this subset of melanoma patients in order to offer an individual treatment plan and prevent metastasis. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed melanoma patients with recurrence ≥10 years after a primary diagnosis documented between 1993 and 2012 at the skin cancer center of the University Medical Center Leipzig, Germany. We conducted a comprehensive review of the literature and compared the results with our data. Available archived primary melanoma tissue was investigated with a seven-marker immunohistochemical signature (immunoprint^®) previously validated to reliably identify high-risk patients within stages IB-III. Results: Out of 36 analyzed patients, a third metastasized ultra-late (≥15 years). The mean age at initial diagnosis was 51 years, with women being diagnosed comparatively younger than men. The largest proportion of patients with late recurrence had primary melanomas located on the trunk. The immunoprint^® signature of the available primary melanomas allowed the accurate prediction of a high risk. However, it is difficult to draw a definitive conclusion from the small number of cases that could be analyzed with immunoprint^® (n = 2) in this study. Apart from the primary tumor characteristics, the laboratory values at time of metastasis, comorbidities and outcome are also shown. Conclusion: Late and ultra-late recurrent melanomas seem not to differ from melanomas in general, apart from a distinctly higher proportion of lower leg localizations in ultra-late recurrent melanomas. The immunoprint^® signature may help to identify high-risk primary tumors at the time of initial diagnosis. However, apart from the risk profile of the primary tumor, it seems that individual immune surveillance can control residual tumor cells for more than a decade. Advanced age and increasing comorbidities may contribute to a disturbed immunological balance.

Using a 31-Gene Expression Profile Test to Stratify Patients with Stage I-II Cutaneous Melanoma According to Recurrence Risk: Update to a Prospective, Multicenter Study

Simple Summary

Many people with skin cancer will have their cancer come back. The 31-gene expression profile (31-GEP) test can help predict if a cancer has a low (Class 1) or high (Class 2) chance of returning. This study looked at 86 patients with early skin cancer to see how well the 31-GEP test predicted if their cancer would return. None of the patients with a Class 1 GEP result had their cancer return within 3 years, but one-fourth of patients with a Class 2 result did. This study showed that the 31-GEP test can help predict if a patient’s skin cancer will return. Accurate risk prediction can help doctors make better treatment plans for patients with skin cancer.

Abstract

Background: Fifteen to forty percent of patients with localized cutaneous melanoma (CM) (stages I–II) will experience disease relapse. The 31-gene expression profile (31-GEP) uses gene expression data from the primary tumor in conjunction with clinicopathologic features to refine patient prognosis. The study’s objective was to evaluate 31-GEP risk stratification for disease-free survival (DFS) in a previously published cohort with longer follow-up. Methods: Patients with stage IB–II CM (n = 86) were prospectively tested with the 31-GEP. Follow-up time increased from 2.2 to 3.9 years. Patient outcomes were compared using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. Results: A Class 2B result was a significant predictor of 3-year DFS (hazard ratio (HR) 8.4, p = 0.008) in univariate analysis. The 31-GEP significantly stratified patients by risk of relapse (p = 0.005). A Class 2B result was associated with a lower 3-year DFS (75.0%) than a Class 1A result (100%). The 31-GEP had a high sensitivity (77.8%) and negative predictive value (95.0%). Conclusions: The 31-GEP is a significant predictor of disease relapse in patients with stage IB–II melanoma and accurately stratified patients by risk of relapse.

Demographics, Pattern of Care, and Outcome Analysis of Malignant Melanomas - Experience From a Tertiary Cancer Centre in India

Background

Treatment of malignant melanoma has undergone a paradigm shift with the advent of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) and targeted therapies. However, access to ICI is limited in low-middle income countries (LMICs).

Patients and Methods

Histologically confirmed malignant melanoma cases registered from 2013 to 2019 were analysed for pattern of care, safety, and efficacy of systemic therapies (ST).

Results

There were 659 patients with a median age of 53 (range 44–63) years; 58.9% were males; 55.2% were mucosal melanomas. Most common primary sites were extremities (36.6%) and anorectum (31.4%). Nearly 10.8% of the metastatic cohort were BRAF mutated. Among 368 non-metastatic patients (172 prior treated, 185 de novo, and 11 unresectable), with a median follow-up of 26 months (0–83 months), median EFS and OS were 29.5 (95% CI: 22–40) and 33.3 (95% CI: 29.5–41.2) months, respectively. In the metastatic cohort, with a median follow up of 24 (0–85) months, the median EFS for BSC was 3.1 (95% CI 1.9–4.8) months versus 3.98 (95% CI 3.2–4.7) months with any ST (HR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.52–0.92; P = 0.011). The median OS was 3.9 (95% CI 3.3–6.4) months for BSC alone versus 12.0 (95% CI 10.5–15.1) months in any ST (HR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.28–0.50; P < 0.001). The disease control rate was 51.55%. Commonest grade 3–4 toxicity was anemia with chemotherapy (9.5%) and ICI (8.8%). In multivariate analysis, any ST received had a better prognostic impact in the metastatic cohort.

Conclusions

Large real-world data reflects the treatment patterns adopted in LMIC for melanomas and poor access to expensive, standard of care therapies. Other systemic therapies provide meaningful clinical benefit and are worth exploring especially when the standard therapies are challenging to administer.

Predictive Evaluation on Cytological Sample of Metastatic Melanoma: The Role of BRAF Immunocytochemistry in the Molecular Era

BACKGROUND

Cutaneous malignant melanoma is an aggressive neoplasm. In advanced cases, the therapeutic choice depends on the mutational status of BRAF. Fine needle aspiration cytology (FNA) is often applied to the management of patients affected by melanoma, mainly for the diagnosis of metastases. The evaluation of BRAF mutational status by sequencing technique on cytological samples may be inconvenient, as it is a time and biomaterial-consuming technique. Recently, BRAF immunocytochemistry (ICC) was applied for the evaluation of BRAF V600E mutational status. Although it may be useful mainly in cytological samples, data about BRAF ICC on cytological samples are missing.

METHODS

We performed BRAF ICC on a series of 50 FNA samples of metastatic melanoma. BRAF molecular analysis was performed on the same cytological samples or on the corresponding histological samples. Molecular analysis was considered the gold standard.

RESULTS

BRAF ICC results were adequate in 49 out of 50 (98%) cases, positive in 15 out of 50 (30%) cases and negative in 34 out of 50 (68%) of cases. Overall, BRAF ICC sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value results were 88.2%, 100%, 100% and 94.1%, respectively. The diagnostic performance of BRAF ICC results was perfect when molecular evaluation was performed on the same cytological samples. Hyperpigmentation represents the main limitation of the technique.

CONCLUSIONS

BRAF ICC is a rapid, cost-effective method for detecting BRAF V600E mutation in melanoma metastases, applicable with high diagnostic performance to cytological samples. It could represent the first step to evaluate BRAF mutational status in cytological samples, mainly in poorly cellular cases.

Trends in Incidence and Mortality of Skin Melanoma in Lithuania 1991-2015

Background. We aimed to investigate age-specific and sex-specific incidence trends of melanoma in Lithuania from 1991 to 2015. Methods. Analysis was based on data from the population-based Lithuanian Cancer Registry database for 1991–2015, and 6024 cases of skin melanoma were identified. Age-adjusted rates (ASRs) by sex and age group were calculated. Adjustment for ASRs was done using the old European standard population, where a total of three age groups were considered: 0–39, 40–59 and 60+. Additionally, the annual percent change (APC) was calculated, and 95% confidence intervals for APC were calculated. Results. Between 1991 and 2015, the overall melanoma rates increased by an annual percent change (APC) of 3.9% in men (95% CI, 3.6–4.1%) and 2.3% in women (95% CI, 2.1–2.5%). The highest incidences of new cutaneous melanoma cases were observed between old adults (60+) of both sexes, while the lowest incidence rates were observed in the young adult group (up to 39 years old), with the lowest APC (1.6% in males and 0.4% in females). The overall number of melanoma deaths during 1991 and 2015 increased from 64 to 103 deaths per year, and the age-standardized rate (ASR) increased 1.3 times (from 1.8 to 2.4). Conclusions. The incidence and mortality of skin melanoma seem to be increased in all age groups. These trends indicate that skin protection behavior is not sufficient in our population and more efforts need to be taken in order to decrease incidence and mortality rates.

Stage-specific incidence trends of renal cancers in the East of England, 1999-2016

OBJECTIVES

To determine stage-specific time-trends in renal cancer incidence.

METHODS

We used population-based East Anglia data 1999-2016 (population ∼2 million) on 5,456 primary renal cancer diagnoses, estimating stage-specific annual incidence using Poisson regression, allowing for changing time-trends, and adjusting for sex, age, and socioeconomic deprivation.

RESULTS

Renal cancer incidence increased from 9.8-16.4 cases per 100,000 during 1999-2016. Incidence of Stage I, II, and III cases increased over time, most steeply for Stage I, with annual Incidence Rate Ratio [IRR] for Stage I of 1.09 (95 % CI 1.07-1.12) during 1999-2010; and 1.03 (1.00-1.05) during 2011-2016. In contrast, the annual incidence of Stage IV renal cancer decreased during most years, IRR of 0.99 (0.98-1.00) during 2003-2016.

CONCLUSION

The findings are consistent with both earlier detection of symptomatic renal cancer and increasing identification of asymptomatic lesions. However, the decreasing incidence of late-stage disease suggests genuine shifts towards earlier diagnosis.

Epidemiology and survival outcomes in stages II and III cutaneous melanoma: a systematic review

Aim

Management of cutaneous melanoma (CM) is continually evolving with adjuvant treatment of earlier stage disease. The aim of this review was to identify published epidemiological data for stages II-III CM.

Materials & methods

Systematic searches of Medline and Embase were conducted to identify literature reporting country/region-specific incidence, prevalence, survival or mortality outcomes in stage II and/or III CM. Screening was carried out by two independent reviewers.

Results & conclusion

Of 41 publications, 14 described incidence outcomes (incidence rates per stage were only reported for US and Swedish studies), 33 reported survival or mortality outcomes and none reported prevalence data. This review summarizes relevant data from published literature and highlights an overall paucity of epidemiological data in stages II and III CM.