Disease burden of hospitalized community-acquired pneumonia in South Korea: Analysis based on age and underlying medical conditions

Cost-effectiveness analysis of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for the pediatric population in South Korea

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) compared to 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) for the pediatric population in Korea, where the four-dose vaccine coverage rate is over 97%.

METHODS

We constructed a Markov model to calculate the cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) over 10 years. The health states were susceptible states; disease states, which included invasive pneumococcal diseases such as meningitis, bacteremia, pneumonia, and acute otitis media; and death attributable to pneumococcal disease. The annual incidence and mortality due to pneumococcal diseases were estimated based on the serotypes covered by PCV13 and PCV20, vaccine coverage rate, vaccine effectiveness, and population size. Vaccine, administration, and disease costs were included in the model.

RESULTS

In the total population (n = 51,431,305), PCV20 prevented more pneumococcal diseases and deaths, resulting in a gain of 74,855 QALY over PCV13. Meanwhile, the PCV20 group spent $275,136,631 less than the PCV13 group. As PCV20 gained more QALYs but spent less on total medical costs than PCV13, PCV20 was dominant over PCV13.

CONCLUSIONS

In the Korean population, PCV20 is a cost-effective and dominant option over PCV13. Our findings provide evidence for decision-making regarding the introduction of PCV20 in countries with high vaccine coverage.

A phase 3 randomized trial of the safety and immunogenicity of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in adults ≥ 60 years of age in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal infections are associated with high disease burden in older individuals in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. The 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) was developed to extend protection beyond earlier pneumococcal vaccines.

METHODS

This phase 3 randomized, double-blind study investigated the safety and immunogenicity of PCV20 in participants ≥ 60 years of age from Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. Participants were randomized to receive PCV20 or 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13). One month after vaccination, PCV20 recipients received a saline injection and PCV13 recipients received 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23). Primary immunogenicity objectives were to demonstrate noninferiority of PCV20 to PCV13 (13 matched serotypes) or PPSV23 (7 additional serotypes) for serotype-specific opsonophagocytic activity (OPA) geometric mean titers (GMTs) 1 month after vaccination with PCV20, PCV13, or PPSV23. Noninferiority for each serotype was declared if the lower bound of the 2-sided 95% CI for OPA geometric mean ratio (GMR) was > 0.5. Safety endpoints included local reactions, systemic events, adverse events (AEs), and serious AEs.

RESULTS

Overall, 1421‬ participants were vaccinated (median age [range]: 65 [60-85] years). PCV20 was noninferior to PCV13 for all 13 matched serotypes and to PPSV23 for 6 of 7 additional serotypes. Although statistical noninferiority was missed for serotype 8 (lower bound of the 2-sided 95% CI for OPA GMR = 0.5, thus not meeting the statistical noninferiority criterion of > 0.5), secondary immunogenicity endpoints for serotype 8 were supportive of a robust immune response. The incidence of AEs and the frequency and severity of local reactions and systemic events were generally similar after PCV20 and PCV13. No safety concerns were identified.

CONCLUSION

PCV20 generated robust immune responses to all vaccine serotypes in older adults in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. The safety and tolerability profile was similar to PCV13. PCV20 is expected to help protect against all 20 vaccine serotypes. NCT04875533.

Cost-effectiveness of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine versus the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine for older adults in South Korea

BACKGROUND

Despite the demonstrated immunogenicity and safety of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) in older adults, the cost-effectiveness of the PCV20 was not examined compared to the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) in South Korea. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 compared with PPSV23 in adults aged 65 years and older in South Korea.

METHODS

We constructed a Markov model that included susceptible states, invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP), and death. The population was categorized by disease risk status (low risk, moderate risk, and high risk) and age group (65-74/75-84/85-99 years) at model entry. The annual incidence and mortality of IPD and NBP associated with PCV20 and PPSV23 were estimated based on serotype coverage, vaccine coverage, and vaccine effectiveness. The disease costs and utilities were obtained from previous studies. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used to evaluate cost-effectiveness within the threshold of 16,824 USD per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY).

RESULTS

Among the total population (n = 8,843,072), PCV20 prevented 1941 and 50,575 cases of IPDs and NBPs, respectively, and 898 and 8593 deaths due to IPDs and NBPs compared to PPSV23. The total medical cost per person was 12.11 USD higher in PCV20, with a gain of 0.0053 LYs and 0.0045 QALYs per person. The ICER for PCV20 and PPSV23 was 2270 USD/LY and 2677 USD/QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

In South Korea, PCV20 is a cost-effective option compared with PPSV23 for adults aged 65 years and older. These cost-effectiveness results provide evidence for decision-making regarding the approval and National Immunization Program implementation of PCV20.

Socioeconomic burden of pneumonia due to multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas aeruginosa in Korea

We aimed to estimate the socioeconomic burden of pneumonia due to multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (MRAB) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (MRPA). We prospectively searched for MRAB and MRPA pneumonia cases and matched them with susceptible-organism pneumonia and non-infected patients from 10 hospitals. The matching criteria were: same principal diagnosis, same surgery or intervention during hospitalisation, age, sex, and admission date within 60 days. We calculated the economic burden by using the difference in hospital costs, the difference in caregiver costs, and the sum of productivity loss from an unexpected death. We identified 108 MRAB pneumonia [MRAB-P] and 28 MRPA pneumonia [MRPA-P] cases. The estimated number of annual MRAB-P and MRPA-P cases in South Korea were 1309–2483 and 339–644, with 485–920 and 133–253 deaths, respectively. The annual socioeconomic burden of MRAB-P and MRPA-P in South Korea was $64,549,723–122,533,585 and $15,241,883–28,994,008, respectively. The results revealed that MRAB-P and MRPA-P occurred in 1648–3127 patients, resulted in 618–1173 deaths, and caused a nationwide socioeconomic burden of $79,791,606–151,527,593. Multidrug-resistant organisms (MDRO) impose a great clinical and economic burden at a national level. Therefore, controlling the spread of MDRO will be an effective measure to reduce this burden.

Continuing Quality Assessment Program Improves Clinical Outcomes of Hospitalized Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Study in Korea

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia, which is the third leading cause of death in South Korea, is continuously increasing with the aging society. The Health Insurance Review and Assessment of South Korea conducted a quality assessment (QA) for improving the outcome of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide cross-sectional study of hospitalized CAP in South Korea. First to third QA data were gathered into a single database. The national health insurance database was merged with the QA database for analyzing the medical claims data. Comorbidities, pneumonia severity, and pneumonia care appropriateness were calculated using Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), CURB-65, and core assessment of CAP scores (CAP scores), respectively.

RESULTS

Overall, 54,307 patients were enrolled. The CAP scores significantly improved on QA program implementation (P < 0.001). All the variables demonstrated an association with in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), and 30-day mortality in the univariate analyses. Following the adjustments, higher CCI and CURB-65 scores were associated with higher in-hospital mortality, longer hospital LOS, and higher 30-day mortality. Male sex was associated with higher in-hospital/30-day mortality and shorter hospital LOS. Higher CAP scores were associated with shorter hospital LOS (P < 0.001). Upon QA program implementation, in-hospital mortality (P < 0.001), hospital LOS (P < 0.001), and 30-day mortality (P < 0.001) improved.

CONCLUSION

Continuing QA program is effective in improving the clinical outcomes of hospitalized CAP.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Tafenoquine for Radical Cure of Plasmodium vivax Malaria in Korea

BACKGROUND

Plasmodium vivax malaria has a persistent liver stage that causes relapse, and introducing tafenoquine to suppress relapse could aid in disease eradication. Therefore, we assessed the impact of tafenoquine introduction on P. vivax malaria incidence and performed a cost-benefit analysis from the payer's perspective.

METHODS

We expanded the previously developed P. vivax malaria dynamic transmission model and calibrated it to weekly civilian malaria incidences in 2014-2018. Primaquine and tafenoquine scenarios were considered by assuming different relapse probabilities, and relapse and total P. vivax malaria cases were predicted over the next decade for each scenario. We then estimated the number of cases prevented by replacing primaquine with tafenoquine. The cost and benefit of introducing tafenoquine were obtained using medical expenditure from a nationwide database, and a cost-benefit analysis was conducted. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the economic feasibility robustness of tafenoquine introduction under uncertainties of model parameters, costs, and benefits.

RESULTS

Under 0.04 primaquine relapse probability, the introduction of tafenoquine with relapse probability of 0.01 prevented 129 (12.27%) and 35 (77.78%) total and relapse cases, respectively, over the next decade. However, under the same relapse probability as primaquine, introducing tafenoquine had no additional preventative effect. The 14-day primaquine treatment cost was $3.71. The tafenoquine and the glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase rapid diagnostic testing cost $57.37 and $7.76, totaling $65.13. The average medical expenditure per malaria patient was estimated at $1444.79. The cost-benefit analysis results provided an incremental benefit-cost ratio (IBCR) from 0 to 3.21 as the tafenoquine relapse probability decreased from 0.04 to 0.01. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed an IBCR > 1, indicating that tafenoquine is beneficial, with a probability of 69.1%.

CONCLUSION

Tafenoquine could reduce P. vivax malaria incidence and medical costs and bring greater benefits than primaquine.

The hospitalization burden of all-cause pneumonia in China: A population-based study, 2009-2017

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia represents a public health problem of substantial health and economic burden. However, the evidence on the burden of adult pneumonia is limited in China.

METHODS

The China Kadoorie Biobank recruited 512,725 participants aged 30-79 years from five urban and five rural areas during 2004-2008. The current analyses included 506,086 participants who were alive in 2009. Pneumonia hospitalizations were ascertained through the health insurance system until December 31, 2017. Generalized linear models were used to examine the secular trends and regional and population variations in pneumonia hospitalization rate, mean length of hospital stay (LOS), and 30-day case fatality rate (CFR).

FINDINGS

A total of 27,879 participants with 36,567 pneumonia hospitalizations were identified with a mean follow-up time of 8·9 years. The unadjusted hospitalization rate was 8·4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8·3, 8·6) per 1000 person-years, with an increase of 15·5% annually from 4·2 (3·9, 4·4) in 2009 to 10·9 (10·6, 11·3) in 2017, after adjusting for age, sex, study area. The mean LOS was 8·8 (95% CI: 8·7, 8·9) days, with a slight decrease of 1·0% annually from 2009 to 2017. The average 30-day CFR remained practically unchanged at 2·4 (95% CI: 2·2, 2·5) deaths per 100 admissions. A clear seasonal pattern of pneumonia hospitalization rate was observed, and the hospitalization rate and CFR differed across regions and subpopulations of different ages and underlying conditions.

INTERPRETATION

There was an increasing hospitalization burden of pneumonia in Chinese adults, especially for adults aged ≥60 years or those with underlying conditions.

FUNDING

The National Natural Science Foundation of China, the Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, the National Key R&D Program of China, the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology.

TRANSLATED ABSTRACT IN CHINESE

This translation in Chinese was submitted by the authors and we reproduce it as supplied. It has not been peer reviewed. Our editorial processes have only been applied to the original abstract in English, which should serve as reference for this manuscript. :, ., .:(China Kadoorie Biobank)2004-2008555030-79.506,086200911.20091120171231.,30,.:8.9, 27,879, 36,567.8.4 (95% CI:8.3, 8.6)/1000, ,, 20094.2 (3.9, 4.4)201710.9 (10.6, 11.3), 15.5%.8.8(95% CI:8.7, 8.9), 1.0%.30, 2.4(95% CI:2.2, 2.5)/100.;,, 30.:, ≥60.

Peak Voluntary Cough Flow and Oropharyngeal Dysphagia as Risk Factors for Pneumonia

Objective

To investigate the relationship between voluntary peak cough flow (PCF), oropharyngeal dysphagia, and pneumonia in patients who were evaluated with videofluoroscopic swallowing study (VFSS).

Methods

Patients who underwent both VFSS and PCF measurement on the same day were enrolled retrospectively (n=821). Pneumonia (n=138) and control (n=683) groups were assigned based on presence of pneumonia within 1 month from the date of VFSS assessment. In addition, sex, age (<65 and ≥65 years), preceding conditions, modified Barthel Index (MBI), Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), PCF value (<160, ≥160 and <270, and ≥270 L/min), and presence of aspiration/penetration on VFSS were reviewed.

Results

Pneumonia group was more likely to be male (n=108; 78.3%), ≥65 years (n=121; 87.7%), with neurodegenerative (n=25; 18.1%) or other miscellaneous diseases (n=50; 36.2%), and in poor functional level with lower value of MBI (39.1±26.59). However, MMSE was not significantly different in comparison to that of the control group. The pneumonia group was also more likely to have dysphagia (82.6%) and lower value of PCF (<160 L/min, 70.3%). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, male sex (odd ratio [OR]=6.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.70–16.26), other miscellaneous diseases as preceding conditions (OR=2.52; 95% CI, 1.14–5.58), dysphagia (OR=3.82; 95% CI, 1.42–10.23), and PCF <160 L/min (OR=14.34; 95% CI, 1.84–111.60) were factors significantly related with pneumonia.

Conclusion

Impaired swallowing and coughing function showed an independent association with the development of pneumonia. Patients with PCF <160 L/min require more attention with lung care and should be encouraged with voluntary coughing strategy to prevent possible pulmonary complications.

All-cause community acquired pneumonia cost by age and risk in real-world conditions of care in Spain

BACKGROUND

: Economic burden of Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is recognized. Few studies have documented such burden in adults stratified by age, risk status, and by care setting. Spanish data available is scarce.

METHOD

: A retrospective, multicenter study in seven regions of Spain (2017-2019) was conducted. Patients ≥18 years with a primary all-cause CAP episode diagnosis were identified. Episode-level variables included risk-stratum based on presence of an immunocompromising/chronic condition, age, number and length of hospitalized and outpatient episodes, and CAP-related healthcare costs/sick leaves were included.

RESULTS

: 7,108 episodes [mean age (SD): 59.2 (19.6), 50.42% male, 31.0% hospitalized] were analyzed. Low-risk group accounted for 47.7% of all CAP episodes, 31.5% moderate-risk and 20.8% high-risk. Pneumococcus was identified in 42.2% of cases. Mean CAP episode length was 22.9 days for hospitalized and 13.7 days for outpatient episode. Total healthcare cost for episode was higher in inpatient vs. outpatient: €3,955 vs. €511, p<0.001, with higher sick leave cost (€3,281 vs. €2,632, p<0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

: CAP required hospitalization cost is high regardless of age or comorbidities for the Spanish NHS. Given that almost half of the patients in this study did not have traditional risk factors for CAP, better preventative strategies should seriously be considered.

Real-world evaluation of costs of illness for pneumonia in adult patients in Dubai-A claims database study

Background

Pneumonia is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality among adults globally. This retrospective cohort analysis assessed the pneumonia burden and related healthcare resource utilization and costs in the at-risk (low, medium, and high-risk) adult patients in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Methods

The claims data from January 1, 2014 to June 30, 2019 were extracted from the Dubai Real-World Claims Database for patients, aged ≥18 year, having at least 1 pneumonia claim. Data for the inpatient, outpatient and emergency visits were assessed for 12-months, before (pre-index) and after (follow-up) a pneumonia episode. Healthcare costs were calculated based on dollar value of 2020.

Results

Total 48,562 records of eligible patients were analyzed (mean age = 39.9 years; low [62.1%], medium [36.2%] and high [1.7%] risk cohorts). Mean all-cause healthcare costs were approximately >45% higher in the follow-up period (1,947 USD/patient) versus pre-index period (1,327 USD/patient). During follow-up period, the mean annual pneumonia incidence rate was 1.3 episodes, with a similar pattern across all cohorts. Overall, mean claims and costs (USD) per patient (all-cause) were highest in the high-risk cohort in the follow-up period (claims: overall, 11.6; high-risk, 22.0; medium-risk, 13.9; low-risk, 9.9; costs: high-risk, 14,184; medium-risk, 2,240; low-risk, 1,388). Similarly, the mean pneumonia-related costs (USD) per patient were highest for the high-risk cohort (overall: 1,305; high-risk, 10,207; medium-risk, 1,283; low-risk, 882), however, the claims were similar across cohorts (claims/patient: overall: 2.0; high-risk, 1.9; medium-risk, 2.2; low-risk, 1.9). Most all-cause and pneumonia-related costs were due to inpatient visits (4,901 and 4,818 USD respectively), while outpatient (1,232 and 166 USD respectively) and emergency visits (347 and 206 USD respectively) contributed significantly lesser.

Conclusions

Pneumonia imposes a significant healthcare burden in the UAE, especially in the high-risk patients with severe comorbidities. These findings would guide clinicians and policy makers to make informed decisions.

Developing a Framework for Pandemic COVID-19 Vaccine Allocation: a Modified Delphi Consensus Study in Korea

BACKGROUND

This study presents a framework for determining the allocation and distribution of the limited amount of vaccines against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).

METHODS

After analyzing the pandemic strategies of the major organizations and countries and with a literature review conducted by a core panel, a modified Delphi survey was administered to 13 experts in the fields of vaccination, infectious disease, and public health in the Republic of Korea. The following topics were discussed: 1) identifying the objectives of the vaccination strategy, 2) identifying allocation criteria, and 3) establishing a step-by-step vaccination framework and prioritization strategy based on the allocation criteria. Two rounds of surveys were conducted for each topic, with a structured questionnaire provided via e-mail in the first round. After analyzing the responses, a meeting with the experts was held to obtain consensus on how to prioritize the population groups.

RESULTS

The first objective of the vaccination strategy was maintenance of the integrity of the healthcare system and critical infrastructure, followed by reduction of morbidity and mortality and reduction of community transmission. In the initial phase, older adult residents in care homes, high-risk health and social care workers, and personal support workers who work in direct contact with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients would be prioritized. Expansion of vaccine supply would allow immunization of older adults not included in phase 1, followed by healthcare workers not previously included and individuals with comorbidities. Further widespread vaccine supply would ensure availability to the extended adult age groups (50-64 years old), critical workers outside the health sector, residents who cannot socially distance, and, eventually, the remaining populations.

CONCLUSION

This survey provides the much needed insight into the decision-making process for vaccine allocation at the national level. However, flexibility in adapting to strategies will be essential, as new information is constantly emerging.

Trend of Antibiotic Usage for Hospitalized Community-acquired Pneumonia Cases in Korea Based on the 2010-2015 National Health Insurance Data

BACKGROUND

This study is to describe the changes in prescribing practices of antibiotics to treat community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Korea during 2010-2015.

METHODS

The claim database of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service in Korea was used to select adult patients (≥ 18 years of age) admitted between 2010 and 2015, with the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes relevant to all-cause pneumonia for the first or second priority discharge diagnosis. The episodes with hospital-acquired or healthcare-associated pneumonia were excluded. Consumption of each antibiotic was converted to defined daily dose (DDD) per episode. The amount of antibiotic consumption was compared between patients with CAP aged < 65 years and those aged ≥ 65 years.

RESULTS

The average amount of antibiotic consumption per episode was 15.5 DDD, which remained stable throughout the study period (P = 0.635). Patients aged ≥ 65 years received more antibiotics than those aged < 65 years (15.7 vs. 15.3 DDD). Third-generation cephalosporin (4.9 DDD/episode, 31.4%) was the most commonly prescribed, followed by macrolide (2.7 DDD/episode, 17.1%) and beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitor (BL/BLI) (2.1 DDD/episode, 13.6%). The consumption amount of fourth-generation cephalosporin (4th CEP) (P = 0.001), BL/BLI (P = 0.003) and carbapenem (P = 0.002) increased each year during the study period. The consumption of 4th CEP and carbapenem was doubled during 2010-2015.

CONCLUSION

The prescription of broad-spectrum antibiotics such as 4th CEP and carbapenem to treat CAP increased in Korea during 2010-2015.

Epidemiology of community-acquired pneumonia in the era of extended serotype-covering multivalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

BACKGROUND

South Korea has been providing 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine/(PCV10)/13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) to children and 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) to older adults as part of a national immunization program.

METHODS

From September 2015 to August 2017, a prospective cohort study was conducted for adults aged ≥19 years with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) at four university hospitals. All-cause and pneumococcal CAP incidence and mortality rates were evaluated on the basis of hospital catchment population. Serotype distribution of pneumococcal CAP was also evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 2669 patients with CAP, 252 cases (9.4%) were pneumococcal CAP cases. The annual incidences of all-cause and pneumococcal CAP were 194.3 cases and 18.3 cases respectively, per 100,000 persons. Serotyped Streptococcus pneumoniae was identified in 107 cases (42.5%) through culture or a serotype-specific urinary antigen detection assay. Pneumococcal CAP caused by the PCV13 and PPSV23 serotypes were 50 cases (46.7% of serotyped pneumococcal CAP and 19.8% of pneumococcal CAP), and 83 cases (77.6% of serotyped pneumococcal CAP and 32.9% of pneumococcal CAP), respectively. The most prevalent serotype was 3 (n = 21, 19.6% of serotyped pneumococcal CAP), followed by 19A (n = 10, 9.3% of serotyped pneumococcal CAP) and 11A (n = 10, 9.3% of serotyped pneumococcal CAP). Compared with non-pneumococcal CAP patients, pneumococcal CAP patients were more likely to have a higher CURB-65 scores (P = 0.002). The overall 30-day mortality rate of pneumococcal CAP was higher than that of non-pneumococcal CAP (6.3% versus 5.6%; odds ratio [OR], 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.67-1.96), but this trend was reversed in patients aged 65-74 years (4.2% versus 8.6%; OR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.14-1.54).

CONCLUSIONS

The disease burden of PCV13-serotype pneumococcal CAP remains significantly high in Korean adults, particularly among elderly people, even after a high uptake of pediatric PCVs.

Burden of Community-Acquired Pneumonia and Unmet Clinical Needs

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading cause of death among infectious diseases and an important health problem, having considerable implications for healthcare systems worldwide. Despite important advances in prevention through vaccines, new rapid diagnostic tests and antibiotics, CAP management still has significant drawbacks. Mortality remains very high in severely ill patients presenting with respiratory failure or shock but is also high in the elderly. Even after a CAP episode, higher risk of death remains during a long period, a risk mainly driven by inflammation and patient-related co-morbidities. CAP microbiology has been altered by new molecular diagnostic tests that have turned viruses into the most identified pathogens, notwithstanding uncertainties about the specific role of each virus in CAP pathogenesis. Pneumococcal vaccines also impacted CAP etiology and thus had changed Streptococcus pneumoniae circulating serotypes. Pathogens from specific regions should also be kept in mind when treating CAP. New antibiotics for CAP treatment were not tested in severely ill patients and focused on multidrug-resistant pathogens that are unrelated to CAP, limiting their general use and indications for intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Similarly, CAP management could be personalized through the use of adjunctive therapies that showed outcome improvements in particular patient groups. Although pneumococcal vaccination was only convincingly shown to reduce invasive pneumococcal disease, with a less significant effect in pneumococcal CAP, it remains the best therapeutic intervention to prevent bacterial CAP. Further research in CAP is needed to reduce its population impact and improve individual outcomes.

Reasons and Risk Factors for Readmission Following Hospitalization for Community-acquired Pneumonia in South Korea

Background

Limited studies have been performed to assess readmission following hospitalization for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in an Asian population. We evaluated the rates, reasons, and risk factors for 30-day readmission following hospitalization for CAP in the general adult population of Korea.

Methods

We performed a retrospective observational study of 1,021 patients with CAP hospitalized at Yeungnam University from March 2012 to February 2014. The primary end point was all-cause hospital readmission within 30 days following discharge after the initial hospitalization. Hospital readmission was classified as pneumonia-related or pneumonia-unrelated readmission.

Results

During the study period, 862 patients who survived to hospital discharge were eligible for inclusion and among them 72 (8.4%) were rehospitalized within 30 days. In the multivariable analysis, pneumonia-related readmission was associated with para/hemiplegia, malignancy, pneumonia severity index class ≥4 and clinical instability ≥1 at hospital discharge. Comorbidities such as chronic lung disease and chronic kidney disease, treatment failure, and decompensation of comorbidities were associated with the pneumonia-unrelated 30-day readmission rate.

Conclusion

Rehospitalizations within 30 days following discharge were frequent among patients with CAP. The risk factors for pneumonia-related and -unrelated readmission were different. Aspiration prevention, discharge at the optimal time, and close monitoring of comorbidities may reduce the frequency of readmission among patients with CAP.

Causes of death among cancer patients in the era of cancer survivorship in Korea: Attention to the suicide and cardiovascular mortality

Background

Improved cancer survival is expected to increase noncancer deaths; however, detailed causes of death have rarely been discussed. Changing landscapes in mortality patterns and noncancer mortality risks in patients with cancer require evaluation.

Methods

We identified cancer and noncancer‐related causes of death using data from the 2000‐2016 national cancer registry in Korea (n = 2 707 520), and we characterized the leading causes of death and proportionate mortalities over time. Risks of noncancer deaths relative to the general population were estimated using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

Results

Of 1 105 607 identified deaths, 87% were due to the primary cancer. Proportionate mortalities of primary cancer among overall deaths remained high in patients with liver (86%) and lung (70%) cancers and in female patients with breast cancer (77%), even 5 to 10 years following diagnosis, whereas proportionate mortalities reduced to ≤50% in patients with stomach (men, 39%; women, 48%), prostate (47%), and female thyroid (27%) cancers. Despite the predominance of index cancer deaths, the proportion of noncancer deaths among all deaths increased over time. There was a 20‐fold increase in cardiovascular disease deaths among patients with cancer from 2000 to 2016, and the risk of suicide among patients with cancer was higher than that among the general population (SMR: 1.68 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.63‐1.74] in men, SMR: 1.42 [95% CI: 1.33‐1.55] in women).

Conclusions

Deaths from primary cancer remain a major concern; however, follow‐up is required for both cancer and noncancer‐related health issues in cancer survivors, especially concerning suicide and cardiovascular deaths.

Usefulness of mean platelet volume to platelet count ratio for predicting the risk of mortality in community-acquired pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

The association between mean platelet volume (MPV) to platelet count (PC) ratio and prognosis has been demonstrated in some diseases but not in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). In this study, we evaluated the ability of MPV to PC ratio (MPR) to predict short-term mortality in CAP patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively analysed data archived over 10 years and stratified MPR values into quartiles. Relations between MPR (femtoliters/number of thousand platelets per microlitre) quartiles and 60-day mortality were examined. Logistic regression was performed to adjust for confounders, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

After adjusting for confounding factors, the odds ratios of 60-day mortality for CAP were 2.66 (95% CI: 2.04-3.46) for the fourth MPR quartile (range ≥ 5.19; p < 0.001) versus the first MPR quartile (range ≤ 2.45). Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that a higher MPR was associated with a higher risk of mortality among CAP patients, and this was confirmed by the log-rank test (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Mean platelet volume to PC ratio was found to be positively correlated with short-term mortality. Our data indicate that MPR might be a significant predictive marker of the mortality in CAP. Further prospective studies are required to establish the exact role of MPR in CAP and other diseases.

Cost-Effectiveness Of Culture-Based Versus Empirical Antibiotic Treatment For Hospitalized Adults With Community-Acquired Pneumonia In Indonesia: A Real-World Patient-Database Study

OBJECTIVE

This study analyzes the cost-effectiveness of culture-based treatment (CBT) versus empirical treatment (ET) as a guide to antibiotic selection and use in hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A model was developed from the individual patient data of adults with CAP hospitalized at an academic hospital in Indonesia between 2014 and 2017 (ICD-10 J.18x). The directed antibiotic was assessed based on microbiological culture results in terms of the impact on hospital costs and life expectancy (LE). We conducted subgroup analyses for implementing CBT and ET in adults under 60 years, elderly patients (≥ 60 years), moderate-severe CAP (PSI class III-V) cases, and ICU patients. The model was designed with a lifetime horizon and adjusted patients' ages to the average LE of the Indonesian population with a 3% discount each for cost and LE. We applied a sensitivity analyses on 1,000 simulation cohorts to examine the economic acceptability of CBT in practice. Willingness to pay (WTP) was defined as 1 or 3 times the Indonesian GDP per capita (US$ 3,570).

RESULTS

CBT would effectively increase the patients' LE and be cost-saving (dominant) as well. The ET group's hospitalization cost had the greatest influence on economic outcomes. Subgroup analyses showed that CBT's dominance remained for Indonesian patients aged under 60 years or older, patients with moderate-severe CAP, and patients in the ICU. Acceptability rates of CBT over ET were 74.9% for 1xWTP and 82.8% for 3xWTP in the base case.

CONCLUSION

Both sputum and blood cultures provide advantages for cost-saving and LE gains for hospitalized patients with CAP. CBT is cost-effective in patients all ages, PSI class III or above patients, and ICU patients.

Hospital and economic burden of influenza-like illness and lower respiratory tract infection in adults ≥50 years-old

BACKGROUND

Influenza-like illnesses (ILIs) and lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) cause substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. The study assessed the health and economic burden of ILI and LRTI according to age and comorbidities, since available evidence is limited and heterogeneous.

METHOD

The prevalence of comorbidities, the seasonal incidence rates and the mean and per capita direct costs of ED accesses for ILI/LRTI, whether followed by hospitalization or not, recorded in adults aged ≥50 years over the last 6 years, in the referral hospitals located in the Genoese metropolitan area (Liguria, Italy) where the syndromic surveillance system is active, were evaluated through a retrospective observational study. Comorbidities were estimated through the Chronic Condition Data Warehouse that integrates multiple Medicare data sources. A comparison with the administrative healthcare International Classification of Diseases-9th revision-Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM)-based data was also conducted.

RESULTS

The prevalence of subjects with ≥1 comorbidity ranged from 23.49 to 59.92%. The most prevalent all-age comorbidities were cardiovascular diseases and cancer. The overall ILI/LRTI incidence rate was 6.73/1000 person-years, almost double the value derived from routine data, and increased with age. The highest rates were observed in patients with renal failure and bronchopneumopathies. The mean cost of ED accesses/hospitalization for ILI/LRTI was €3353 and was almost twice as high in the ≥85 years as in the youngest age-group. The highest mean costs were observed in patients with renal failure and cancer. The per capita costs increased from €4 to €71 with age, and were highest in patients with renal failure and bronchopneumopathy.

CONCLUSION

The burden of ILIs/LRTIs in terms of ED accesses and hospitalizations in adults aged ≥50 years is heavy, and is related to increasing age and, especially, to specific comorbidities. These results could contribute to revising age- and risk-based anti-influenza and -pneumococcus immunization strategies.

[Economic evaluation of pneumococcal vaccination in adults aged over 65 years in Castilla y León (SPAIN)]

INTRODUCTION

The burden of disease due to pneumonia in older adults has a major impact on health systems. The aim of this study is to carry out an economic evaluation of the vaccination strategy against Streptococcus pneumoniae using the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A simulated economic model has been developed in the form of a decision tree to evaluate the cost of the vaccination strategy in the population over 65 years of the Valladolid-East Health Area, versus non-vaccination, using a Monte Carlo probabilistic analysis.

RESULTS

Streptococcus pneumoniae annually generates 557.24 cases of pneumococcal disease in the Valladolid-East Health Area, and 506.60 episodes have pneumonia symptoms. Vaccination of the cohort over 65 years of age is an efficient measure from the third year, with a cost per quality-adjusted life years (QALY) of 20,496.20 €. The number of QALYs gained in a decade is 86.07 and an amount of 216.252.89 € with this vaccination strategy would be saved.

CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation of the different incremental costs (QALY,euros) in the years of follow-up, the pneumococcus vaccination program in people over 65 in Castilla y León is cost-effective.

Community-acquired pneumonia in the emergency department: an algorithm to facilitate diagnosis and guide chest CT scan indication

OBJECTIVE

The aim was to create and validate a community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) diagnostic algorithm to facilitate diagnosis and guide chest computed tomography (CT) scan indication in patients with CAP suspicion in Emergency Departments (ED).

METHODS

We performed an analysis of CAP suspected patients enrolled in the ESCAPED study who had undergone chest CT scan and detection of respiratory pathogens through nasopharyngeal PCRs. An adjudication committee assigned the final CAP probability (reference standard). Variables associated with confirmed CAP were used to create weighted CAP diagnostic scores. We estimated the score values for which CT scans helped correctly identify CAP, therefore creating a CAP diagnosis algorithm. Algorithms were externally validated in an independent cohort of 200 patients consecutively admitted in a Swiss hospital for CAP suspicion.

RESULTS

Among the 319 patients included, 51% (163/319) were classified as confirmed CAP and 49% (156/319) as excluded CAP. Cough (weight = 1), chest pain (1), fever (1), positive PCR (except for rhinovirus) (1), C-reactive protein ≥50 mg/L (2) and chest X-ray parenchymal infiltrate (2) were associated with CAP. Patients with a score below 3 had a low probability of CAP (17%, 14/84), whereas those above 5 had a high probability (88%, 51/58). The algorithm (score calculation + CT scan in patients with score between 3 and 5) showed sensitivity 73% (95% CI 66-80), specificity 89% (95% CI 83-94), positive predictive value (PPV) 88% (95% CI 81-93), negative predictive value (NPV) 76% (95% CI 69-82) and area under the curve (AUC) 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.85). The algorithm displayed similar performance in the validation cohort (sensitivity 88% (95% CI 81-92), specificity 72% (95% CI 60-81), PPV 86% (95% CI 79-91), NPV 75% (95% CI 63-84) and AUC 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.87).

CONCLUSION

Our CAP diagnostic algorithm may help reduce CAP misdiagnosis and optimize the use of chest CT scan.

Deformities of the Globus Pallidus are Associated with Severity of Suicidal Ideation and Impulsivity in Patients with Major Depressive Disorder

Neuroimaging research increasingly suggests there are biological features related to suicidal risk, including brain morphometric features, leading to an elaborate suicide risk assessment. However, few studies have focused on the severity of suicidal ideation and its association with subcortical anatomy in patients with major depressive disorder (MDD). Here, we mainly investigated whether specific structural differences were present in MDD patients with and without suicidal ideation; and supplemented comparison with and without suicidal attempt. We hypothesized that structures associated with suicidal ideation would be derived from a combination of depression and impulsivity. Local atrophy of subcortical structures in 48 patients with MDD (24 with suicidal ideation and 24 without) and 25 age- and sex-matched healthy controls were compared using a surface-based shape analysis method. There was no difference in brain volume between MDD patients with or without suicidal ideations; or MDD patients with or without suicidal attempt. However, the atrophy level in the left pallidum showed a positive correlation with severity of suicidal risk in MDD patients with suicidal ideation. Local atrophy of the left hippocampus, right caudate, and right pallidum had a positive correlation with total impulsivity. These findings possibly suggest that vulnerability to suicidal attempt can be derived from suicidal ideation combined with depression and impulsivity, related to reduced motivational control.

Direct effectiveness of pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine against invasive pneumococcal disease and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia in elderly population in the era of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: A case-control study

BACKGROUND

While herd effects and serotype replacement by childhood pneumococcal protein conjugated vaccines (PCVs) continues to accumulate worldwide, direct effectiveness of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) against pneumococcal diseases in the elderly has been challenged. We estimated the direct effectiveness of PPV23 in the elderly population.

METHODS

For a hospital-based case-control study, cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP) (adults ≥ 65 years) were identified in 14 hospitals participated in the pneumococcal surveillance program from March 2013 to October 2015, following implementation of PPV23 national immunization program (NIP) for the elderly in the Republic of Korea. Controls matched by age, sex, and hospital were selected at ratios of 1:2 (IPD) or 1:1 (NBPP). Clinical data and vaccination records were collected. Vaccine effectiveness was calculated as (1-adjusted odds ratio) × 100.

RESULTS

We enrolled 148 IPD and 557 NBPP cases, and 295 IPD and 557 NBPP controls for analyses. Overall effectiveness of PPV23 against IPD was 28.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) -5.8%-51.6%] and against NBPP was 10.2% (-15.1-30.6) in all patients ≥ 65 years. However, in subgroup analysis of patients aged 65-74 years, PPV23 was protective against IPD [effectiveness 57.4% (19.4-77.5)] and against NBPP [effectiveness 35.0% (2.3-56.7)]. Furthermore, serotype-specific effectiveness of PPV23 against IPD was 90.6% (27.6-98.8) for PPV23-unique serotypes and 81.3% (38.6-94.3) for PPV23 serotypes excluding serotype 3.

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicates that PPV23 with broad serotype coverage might be beneficial in preventing IPD and NBPP due to non-PCV13 serotypes in the young-elderly, with potentially increasing effectiveness in the setting of childhood PCV NIP.

A spatial analysis of geographic variation and factors associated with hospitalization for bacterial pneumonia in Korea

BACKGROUND

The incidence of pneumonia in Korea started to increase in the 1990's after a period of decrease and stabilization, and the mortality and hospitalization rates for pneumonia in Korea are alarmingly high. This study was performed to examine geographic variation and factors associated with hospitalization for bacterial pneumonia in Korea.

METHODS

Data were acquired from the inpatient claims of the 2015 period of the National Health Insurance Service. The age- and sex-standardized hospitalization rates for bacterial pneumonia were calculated for three age groups. Geographic variation was measured with the coefficient of variation, the ratio of the 90th to the 10th percentile of the distribution of rates, and the systematic component of variation. Considering the results of Moran's I statistic which suggested spatial autocorrelation, we estimated spatial regression models using spatial error models.

RESULTS

The hospitalization rate for bacterial pneumonia was 79.1 per 10,000 population, and the rate was the highest in the age group 0-14 at 325.3, and it was 161.5 among the elderly. The geographic variation statistics showed high variation with the coefficient variation at 0.6. The deprivation score showed positive associations, and the number of primary care physicians had a negative association with the hospitalization rates across all age groups but the age group 0-14. The number of beds in hospitals with less than 300 beds had a positive association with the hospitalization rates for bacterial pneumonia, and the impact was the strongest in the age group 0-14.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study shows that pneumonia can be a major public health issue even in a developed country. Socioeconomic conditions can still be a concern for pneumonia in developed countries, and the role of primary care physicians in preventing hospitalization for bacterial pneumonia needs to be recognized. Most of all, the strong impact of hospital beds on the hospitalization rates for pneumonia, especially for the children, should be addressed. High disease burden of pneumonia in Korea can partly be attributable to oversupply of hospital beds. These factors should be taken into consideration in establishing policy measures for the rise in pneumonia.

Disease Burden and Etiologic Distribution of Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Adults: Evolving Epidemiology in the Era of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines

Pneumonia is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality, particularly in old adults. The incidence and etiologic distribution of community-acquired pneumonia is variable both geographically and temporally, and epidemiology might evolve with the change of population characteristics and vaccine uptake rates. With the increasing prevalence of chronic medical conditions, a wide spectrum of healthcare-associated pneumonia could also affect the epidemiology of community-acquired pneumonia. Here, we provide an overview of the epidemiological changes associated with community-acquired pneumonia over the decades since pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction.

Incidence and case fatality rates of community-acquired pneumonia and pneumococcal diseases among Korean adults: Catchment population-based analysis

Background

Pneumonia is a leading infectious cause of morbidity and mortality among adults. Pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) is the most common vaccine-preventable bacterial etiology of pneumonia. In this study, we estimated the incidence of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and pneumococcal diseases among Korean adults.

Methods

Clinical and microbiological databases from three hospitals were retrospectively reviewed to determine the incidence and case fatality rates of CAP and pneumococcal diseases in Korean adults aged ≥19 years from 2011 to 2014. Incidence and case fatality rates of CAP, PP and invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPD) were evaluated based on the catchment population. Catchment population was calculated using national health insurance data, estimating the proportion of patients with pneumonia that were medically attended at each hospital.

Results

Among 5,783 patients with medically attended CAP, 833 (14.4%) had PP. For IPD, a total of 91 culture-confirmed cases were identified. The overall incidence of CAP was 307.7 cases per 100,000 persons per year with an in-hospital mortality rate of 6.2%. The estimated annual incidence of pneumococcal pneumonia was 42.2–49.4 cases per 100,000 persons per year, increasing with age to >280 per 100,000 persons per year in older patients over 70 years. The annual incidence of IPD had a range of 4.1–6.5 cases per 100,000 persons per year. The overall case fatality rate for invasive pneumococcal diseases was 30.8% with the highest rate of 66.7% in patients over 80 years.

Conclusion

Over the study period, incidences of CAP, PP and IPD were consistently high, particularly in older people. These results provide baseline data to establish healthcare strategies and estimate their impact among Korean adults.