Predictors of Early Mortality After Surgical Resection of Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma in the Era of Neoadjuvant Treatment

Neoadjuvant therapy in resectable pancreatic cancer: A promising curative method to improve prognosis

Currently, 15 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have been designed to investigate whether neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) benefits patients with resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma (R-PA) compared to surgery alone. Five of them have acquired results so far; however, corresponding conclusions have not been obtained. We speculated that the reason for this phenomenon could be that some prognostic factors had proven to be adverse through upfront surgery curative patterns, but some of them were not regarded as independent baseline characteristics, which is important to obtaining comparability between the NAT and upfront surgery groups. This fact could cause bias and lead to the difference in the outcomes of RCTs. In this review, we collate data about risk factors (such as tumor size, resection margin, and lymph node status) influencing the prognoses of patients with R-PA from five RCTs and discuss the possible reasons for the varying outcomes.

Cost-effectiveness of neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in borderline resectable/locally advanced pancreatic cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The 2020 National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines recommend neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX or neoadjuvant gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (G-nP) for borderline resectable/locally advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (BR/LA PDAC).

AIM

The purpose of our study was to compare treatment outcomes, toxicity profiles, costs, and quality-of-life measures between these two treatments to further inform clinical decision-making.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We developed a decision-analytic mathematical model to compare the total cost and health outcomes of neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX against G-nP over 12 years. The model inputs were estimated using clinical trial data and published literature. The primary endpoint was incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000 per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY). Secondary endpoints included overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), total cost of care, QALYs, PDAC resection rate, and monthly treatment-related adverse events (TRAE) costs (USD). FOLFIRINOX was the cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of $60856.47 per QALY when compared to G-nP. G-nP had an ICER of $44639.71 per QALY when compared to natural history. For clinical outcomes, more patients underwent an "R0" resection with FOLFIRINOX compared to G-nP (84.9 vs. 81.0%), but FOLFIRINOX had higher TRAE costs than G-nP ($10905.19 vs. $4894.11). A one-way sensitivity analysis found that the ICER of FOLFIRINOX exceeded the threshold when TRAE costs were higher or PDAC recurrence rates were lower.

CONCLUSION

Our modeling analysis suggests that FOLFIRNOX is the cost-effective treatment compared to G-nP for BR/LA PDAC despite having a higher cost of total care due to TRAE costs. Trial data with sufficient follow-up are needed to confirm our findings.

[Epidemiology and surgical treatment of pancreatic cancer in the State of Brandenburg : Analysis of 5418 cases]

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is the second most frequent cause of death among all forms of cancer in Germany with more than 19,000 deaths per year. The evaluation of the nationwide clinical cancer register aims to depict the reality of treatment and to improve the quality of treatment in the future by targeted analyses.

METHOD

The data from the clinical cancer register of Brandenburg-Berlin for the diagnosis years 2001-2017 were analyzed with respect to the treatment of pancreatic cancer. Data from patients resident in the State of Brandenburg were evaluated with respect to epidemiological and therapeutic parameters.

RESULTS

A total of 5418 patients with pancreatic cancer were documented in the register from 2001 to 2017 and 49.6% of the patients were diagnosed as having the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) stage IV. A pancreas resection was carried out in 26.4% of the cases. In cases of cancer of the head of the pancreas the most frequent procedure was a pylorus-preserving resection with 51.8% and a pancreatectomy was carried out in 9.4%. The R0 resection rate of all pancreatic cancers in the period from 2014 to 2017 was 61.9%. After R0 resection the 5‑year survival was 19%. Relevant multivariate survival factors were age, UICC stage and the residual (R) tumor classification. The case numbers per hospital had no influence on the absolute survival of patients operated on in the State of Brandenburg.

CONCLUSION

The treatment reality in the State of Brandenburg for patients with pancreatic cancer corresponds to the results of international publications with respect to the key performance indicators investigated. A qualitative internationally comparable treatment of these patients is also possible in nonmetropolitan regions.

Neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer

Multimodal treatment including surgery and chemotherapy is considered the gold standard treatment of pancreatic cancer by most guidelines. Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) has been seen as a possible treatment option for resectable, borderline resectable and locally advanced PaC. The aim of this paper is to offer a state-of-the-art review on neoadjuvant treatments in the setting of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed, Cochrane, Web of Science and Embase databases, in order to identify relevant studies published up to and including July 2021 that reported and analyzed the role of neoadjuvant therapy in the setting of pancreatic carcinoma. Most authors are concordant on the strong role of neoadjuvant therapy in the setting of borderline resectable pancreatic cancers. Recent randomized trials demonstrated improvement of R0 rate and survival after NAT in this setting. Patients with locally advanced cancers may become resectable after NAT, with better results than those obtained with palliative therapies. Even in the setting of resectable cancers, NAT is being evaluated by ongoing randomized trials. Chemotherapy regimens in the setting of NAT and response to NAT are discussed. NAT has an important role in the multimodal treatment of patients with borderline resectable pancreatic cancer. It has a role in patients with locally advanced tumors as it can allow surgical resection in a relevant proportion of patients. For resectable pancreatic cancers, the role of NAT is under evaluation by several randomized trials.

Risk factors and prognostic index model for pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is a highly malignant tumor with poor prognosis. Chronic inflammation contributes to the progression of pancreatic cancer. However, few studies have examined the prognostic role of inflammatory markers in this cancer. Our study sought to analyze the prognostic risk factors of and construct a prognostic index (PI) model using inflammatory markers for pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Forty-eight patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer at our hospital were selected for this retrospective analysis. Data on the general clinical characteristics, tumor-related features, blood index factors, and treatment methods were collected. The Cox proportional-hazards model was used to analyze the factors affecting the prognosis, and the Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to draw the survival curve.

RESULTS

The median overall survival time was 14.5 months, and the 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates were 20.83% (10/48), 6.25% (3/48), and 4.17% (2/48), respectively. The univariate analysis showed that tumor grade, vascular invasion, adjacent tissue invasion, lymph node metastasis, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and the lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) were significantly correlated with the median survival of pancreatic cancer patients (P<0.05). The Cox regression equation showed that tumor grade III-IV (X1), vascular invasion (X2), TNM stage III-IV (X3), a NLR >3.8 (X4), and a PLR >182.1 (X5) were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer (all P<0.05). The prognostic model for pancreatic cancer can be expressed as: PI =3.521X1+4.157X2+1.282X3+2.441X4+6.015X5. Patients with tumor grade I-II, non-vascular invasion, TNM stage I-II, a NLR ≤3.8, and a PLR ≤182.1 exhibited a higher 1-year survival rate. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the NLR >3.8 and the PLR >182.1 were 0.778 and 0.713, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor grade, vascular invasion, TNM staging, the NLR, and the PLR are independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of pancreatic cancer patients. The NLR and PLR have good clinical value in predicting the survival outcomes of pancreatic cancer patients.

Neoadjuvant Therapy is Essential for Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

BACKGROUND

Awareness of the benefits of neoadjuvant therapy is increasing, but its use as an initial therapeutic option for patients with resectable pancreatic cancer remains controversial, especially for those patients without high-risk prognostic features. Even for patients with high-risk features who are candidates to receive neoadjuvant therapy, no standard regimen exists.

METHODS

In this review, we examined available data on the neoadjuvant therapy in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer, including prospective studies, retrospective studies, and ongoing clinical trials, by searching PubMed/MEDLINE, ClinicalTrials.gov, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. The characteristics and results of screened studies were described.

RESULTS

Retrospective and prospective studies with reported results and ongoing randomized studies were included. For patients with resectable pancreatic cancer, neoadjuvant therapy provides benefits such as increased survival, decreased risk of comorbidities and mortality, and improved cost-effectiveness due to an increased completion rate of multimodal treatment. Highly active regimens such as FOLFIRINOX (folinic acid, fluorouracil, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin) or gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel are considered acceptable therapeutic regimens. Additionally, platinum-containing regimens other than FOLFIRINOX are acceptable for selected patients. Other therapies, such as chemoradiation treatment, immuno-oncology agents, and targeted therapies are being explored and the results are highly anticipated.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the benefits of neoadjuvant therapy for resectable pancreatic cancer. Some regimens are currently acceptable, but need more evidence from well-designed clinical trials or should be used after being carefully examined by a multidisciplinary team.

A nomogram to preoperatively predict 1-year disease-specific survival in resected pancreatic cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy

Objective

This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the 1-year survival of patients with pancreatic cancer who underwent pancreatectomy following neoadjuvant treatment with preoperatively detectable clinical parameters. Extended pancreatectomy is necessary to achieve complete tumor removal in borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer. However, it increases postoperative morbidity and mortality rates, and should be balanced with potential benefit of long-term survival.

Methods

The medical records of patients who underwent pancreatectomy following neoadjuvant treatment from January 2005 to December 2016 at Severance Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Medical records were collected from five international institutions from Japan and Singapore for external validation.

Results

A total of 113 patients were enrolled. The nomogram for predicting 1-year disease-specific survival was created based on 5 clinically detectable preoperative parameters as follows: age (year), symptom (no/yes), tumor size at initial diagnostic stage (cm), preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 level after neoadjuvant treatment (<34/≥34 U/mL), and planned surgery [pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) (pylorus-preserving PD)/distal pancreatectomy (DP)/total pancreatectomy]. Model performance was assessed for discrimination and calibration. The calibration plot showed good agreement between actual and predicted survival probabilities; the the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino (GND) goodness-of-fit test showed that the model was well calibrated (χ²=8.24, P=0.5099). A total of 84 patients were used for external validation. When correlating actual disease-specific survival and calculated 1-year disease-specific survival, there were significance differences according to the calculated probability of 1-year survival among the three groups (P=0.044).

Conclusions

The developed nomogram had quite acceptable accuracy and clinical feasibility in the decision-making process for the management of pancreatic cancer.

Pathological analysis of the superior mesenteric artery boundary in preoperative computed tomography of resectable pancreatic head adenocarcinoma

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the biological and prognostic implications of the superior mesenteric artery (SMA) boundary on preoperative abdominal contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) for resectable adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic head. A total of 121 patients treated over a 6-year period at Peking University Third Hospital (Beijing, China) were included in the present study. The pattern of the SMA boundary was investigated on preoperative CE-CT and detailed pathological analysis of the extrapancreatic plexus [the pancreatic head plexus II (PLX-II) located on the right edge of the SMA] was performed. The results revealed that the radiological SMA boundary was associated with the grade of parasympathetic neurogenesis (P=0.014) in PLX-II, and was predictive of postoperative disease-free survival (P=0.014) and liver metastasis (P=0.013). Therefore, it was proposed that extrapancreatic parasympathetic neurogenesis may account for the different patterns of the SMA boundary on preoperative abdominal CE-CT, and affect the prognosis, particularly for liver metastasis in resectable pancreatic head adenocarcinoma.

Neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX for Patients with Borderline Resectable or Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer: Results of a Decision Analysis

Decision‐analytic modeling can provide a methodologic platform that integrates the best available data to quantitatively explore clinical decisions by simulating a hypothetical clinical trial between competing strategies. This article analyzes a mathematical decision‐analytic model to estimate the long‐term clinical outcomes and cost‐effectiveness of neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX compared with surgery followed by adjuvant gemcitabine monotherapy or gemcitabine/capecitabine for patients with potentially resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Background.

The effectiveness and cost‐effectiveness of using neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX (nFOLFIRINOX) for patients with borderline resectable or locally advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (BR/LA PDAC) are unknown. Our objective was to determine whether nFOLFIRINOX is more effective or cost‐effective for patients with BR/LA PDAC compared with upfront resection surgery and adjuvant gemcitabine plus capecitabine (GEM/CAPE) or gemcitabine monotherapy (GEM).

Materials and Methods.

We performed a decision‐analysis to assess the value of nFOLFIRINOX versus GEM/CAPE or GEM using a mathematical simulation model. Model transition probabilities were estimated using published and institutional clinical data. Model outcomes included overall and disease‐free survival, quality‐adjusted life‐years (QALYs), cost in U.S. dollars, and cost‐effectiveness expressed as an incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses explored the uncertainty of model assumptions.

Results.

Model results found median overall survival (34.5/28.0/22.0 months) and disease‐free survival (15.0/14.0/13.0 months) were better for nFOLFIRINOX compared with GEM/CAPE and GEM. nFOLFIRINOX was the optimal strategy on an efficiency frontier, resulting in an additional 0.35 life‐years, or 0.30 QALYs, at a cost of $46,200/QALY gained compared with GEM/CAPE. Sensitivity analysis found that cancer recurrence and complete resection rates most affected model results, but were otherwise robust. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses found that nFOLFIRINOX was cost‐effective 92.4% of the time at a willingness‐to‐pay threshold of $100,000/QALY.

Conclusion.

Our modeling analysis suggests that nFOLFIRINOX is preferable to upfront surgery for patients with BR/LA PDAC from both an effectiveness and cost‐effectiveness standpoint. Additional clinical data that further define the long‐term effectiveness of nFOLFIRINOX are needed to confirm our results.

Implications for Practice.

Increasingly, neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX has been used for borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer with the goal of rendering them resectable and decreasing risk of recurrence. Despite many efforts to show the benefits of neoadjuvant over adjuvant therapies, clinical evidence to guide this decision is largely lacking. Decision‐analytic modeling can provide a methodologic platform that integrates the best available data to quantitatively explore clinical decisions by simulating a hypothetical clinical trial. This modeling analysis suggests that neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX is preferable to upfront surgery and adjuvant therapies by various outcome metrics including quality‐adjusted life years, overall survival, and incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio.

Prognostic significance of the degree of lymphatic vessel invasion in locally advanced, surgically resectable pancreatic head cancer: A single center experience

Little is known concerning the prognostic significance of the degree of lymphatic vessel invasion in pancreatic head cancer. To address this gap in knowledge, we retrospectively examined 60 patients with locally advanced, surgically resectable pancreatic head cancer who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy and lymph node (LN) dissection.All cases were histopathologically diagnosed as ductal adenocarcinoma, stage II (25 pT3N0 cases, 35 pT3N1 cases). The following variables were investigated: age; sex; neoadjuvant therapy; adjuvant therapy; tumor size; tumor grade; invasion into the serosa, retropancreatic tissue, duodenum, bile duct, portal venous system and perineural area; cut margins; LN metastasis; and the number of invaded lymphatic vessels (LVI-score).Univariate analysis demonstrated that LN metastasis and an LVI-score ≥5 were significantly associated with poor disease-free survival. Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that LN metastasis and an LVI-score ≥7 were significantly associated with poor disease-free survival. Additionally, LVI-scores ≥9 and ≥10 were comparable to or surpassed the significance of LN metastasis based on the hazard ratio. Univariate analysis demonstrated that tumor size >30 mm, duodenal invasion, LN metastasis and an LVI-score ≥2 were significantly associated with poor overall survival. Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that LN metastasis and LVI-scores ≥9 and ≥10 were significantly associated with poor overall survival, and an LVI-score ≥10 was comparable to or surpassed the significance of LN metastasis based on the hazard ratio.Our study strongly suggests that a high degree of lymphatic vessel invasion is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with locally advanced, surgically resectable pancreatic head cancer.

Expression status of folate receptor alpha is a predictor of survival in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has one of the poorest prognosis among malignancies. Thus, the identification of markers useful in developing innovative diagnostic and therapeutic methods is an imperative need. Folate receptor alpha (FRα) has been associated with prognosis in several cancers and has served as a target of novel anti-tumor therapies. However, FRα expression in PDAC and its correlation with the clinical course of the disease has not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we analyzed FRα expression in 140 PDAC specimens and 7 PDAC cell lines in order to define the significance of FRα expression in PDAC and its potential role as a target for immunotherapy. Immunohistochemical analysis demonstrated that FRα expression intensity was low, intermediate and high in 22(16%), 73(52%) and 45(32%) PDACs, respectively. The staining was located in both membrane and cytoplasm in most cases (123, 88%). Lower FRα expression was associated with cigarette smoking (p<0.001), alcohol consumption (p<0.001), and lymphovascular invasion (p=0.002). Additionally, lower FRα expression was associated with poor overall survival (5-year overall survival: low 13%, intermediate 31%, high 33%; p=0.006). FRα expression (HR=0.61; p=0.03) and Charlson Comorbidity Index (HR=1.16; p=0.01) emerged as independent predictors of survival. The analysis by flow cytometry of 7 PDAC cell lines (AsPC-1, Capan-2, MIA PaCa-2, PANC-1, PDAC2, PDAC3, and PDAC5) demonstrated the highest expression of FRα on the PDAC3 cell line (45%). Therefore, a higher FRα expression is predictive of a favorable prognosis in PDAC and FRα may represent a promising target for novel treatments, including immunotherapy.

Disparities in cancer outcomes across age, sex, and race/ethnicity among patients with pancreatic cancer

Age, sex, and racial/ethnic disparities exist, but are understudied in pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare linked database to determine whether survival and treatment disparities persist after adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics. Our study included PDAC patients diagnosed between 1992 and 2011. We used Cox regression to compare survival across age, sex, and race/ethnicity within early-stage and late-stage cancer subgroups, adjusting for marital status, urban location, socioeconomics, SEER region, comorbidities, stage, lymph node status, tumor location, tumor grade, diagnosis year, and treatment received. We used logistic regression to compare differences in treatment received across age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Among 20,896 patients, 84% were White, 9% Black, 5% Asian, and 2% Hispanic. Median age was 75; 56% were female and 53% had late-stage cancer. Among early-stage patients in the adjusted Cox model, older patient subgroups had worse survival compared with ages 66-69 (HR > 1.1, P < 0.01 for groups >69); no survival differences existed between sexes. Black (HR = 1.1, P = 0.01) and Hispanic (HR = 1.2, P < 0.01) patients had worse survival compared with White. Among late-stage cancer patients, patients over age 84 had worse survival than those aged 66-69 (HR = 1.1, P < 0.01), and males (HR = 1.08, P < 0.01) had worse survival than females; there were no racial/ethnic differences. Older age and minority race/ethnicity were associated with lower likelihood of receiving chemotherapy, radiation, and/or surgery. Age and racial/ethnic disparities in survival outcomes and treatment received exist for PDAC patients; these disparities persist after adjusting for differences in demographic and clinical characteristics.