Episodes of HIV viremia and the risk of non-AIDS diseases in patients on suppressive antiretroviral therapy

Viremia Does Not Independently Predict Cardiovascular Disease in People With HIV: A RESPOND Cohort Study

Background

HIV viremia has been considered a cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor, but many studies have had insufficient data on potential confounders. We explored the association between viremia and CVD after adjusting for established risk factors and analyzed whether consideration of viremia would improve CVD prediction.

Methods

Adults from RESPOND were followed from the first date with available data until the first of rigorously defined CVD, loss to follow-up, death, or administrative censoring. We first analyzed the associations between 6 measures of viremia (time-updated, before antiretroviral therapy [ART], viremia category, and measures of cumulative viremia) and CVD after adjusting for the variables in the D:A:D CVD score (age, sex/gender, smoking, family history, diabetes, recent abacavir, CD4 count, blood pressure, cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, cumulative use of stavudine, didanosine, indinavir, lopinavir, and darunavir). We subsequently compared predictive performance with and without viremia in 5-fold internal cross-validation.

Results

A total of 547 events were observed in 17 497 persons (median follow-up, 6.8 years). Although some viremia variables were associated with CVD in univariable analyses, there were no statistically significant associations after adjusting for potential confounders, neither for measures of current viral load, pre-ART viral load, highest viremia category during ART, nor cumulative viremia (modeled both as total cumulative viremia, cumulative viremia during ART, and recent cumulative viremia). Consistently, none of the viremia variables improved prediction capacity.

Conclusions

In this large international cohort, HIV viremia was not associated with CVD when adjusting for established risk factors. Our results did not show viremia to be predictive of CVD among people with HIV.

Non-suppressible viraemia during HIV-1 therapy: a challenge for clinicians

In individuals receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART), persistent low-level viraemia not attributed to suboptimal ART adherence, detrimental pharmacological interactions, or drug resistance is referred to as non-suppressible viraemia (NSV). This Review presents recent findings in the virological characterisation of NSV, revealing that it consists of one or a few identical populations of plasma viruses without signs of evolution. This finding suggests that NSV originates from virus production by expanded HIV-infected cell clones, reflecting the persistence of the HIV reservoir despite ART. We discuss knowledge gaps regarding the management and the clinical consequences of NSV. The prevalence of NSV remains to be precisely determined and there is very little understanding of its effects on virological failure, HIV transmission, secondary inflammation, morbidity, and mortality. This issue, along with the absence of specific recommendations for the management of NSV in HIV clinical guidelines, underscores the complexities involved in treating individuals with NSV.

Cardiovascular Profile of South African Adults with Low-Level Viremia during Antiretroviral Therapy

Chronic inflammation is an HIV infection feature, contributing to elevated risk of cardiovascular disease among people with HIV, which can be induced by viral replication. A proportion of antiretroviral therapy (ART) recipients fail to achieve viral suppression, despite not meeting criteria for treatment failure, so-called low-level viremia (LLV). We investigated the relationship between LLV and an array of cardiovascular measures and biomarkers. South Africans with LLV (viral load = 50−999 copies/mL) and virological suppression (viral load <50 copies/mL) were selected from the EndoAfrica study (all receiving efavirenz-based ART) for cross-sectional comparison of vascular structure and function measures, as well as 21 plasma biomarkers related to cardiovascular risk and inflammation. Associations were investigated with univariate, multivariate, and binomial logistic regression analyses (having outcome measures above (cases) or below (controls) the 75th percentile). Among 208 participants, 95 (46%) had LLV, and 113 (54%) had viral suppression. The median age was 44 years, 73% were women, and the median ART duration was 4.5 years. Cardiovascular measures and biomarker levels were similar between these two categories. Cardiovascular function and structure measures were not associated with viremia status and having LLV did not increase the odds of having outcome measures above the 75th percentile. In this study among South African ART recipients, LLV did not associate with cardiovascular risk.

Outcomes of persistent low-level viremia among HIV patients on antiretroviral therapy: A prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to investigate the relationship between low-level viremia (LLV) and virological failure (VF), death, and non-AIDS events (NAEs).

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of people living with HIV (PLHIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) was conducted from 2011-2018 at an HIV clinic in Shenyang, China. The incidence of VF and the mortality and NAEs due to LLV were assessed. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to investigate risk factors for VF, mortality, and NAEs.

RESULTS

In total, 1288 patients, contributing 3915 person-years of follow-up (median follow-up, 2.5 years [interquartile range: 2-4 years]), were enrolled. Thirty-one patients (2.4%) experienced VF, 5 (0.4%) died, and 38 (3.0%) experienced NAEs. The risk of VF was significantly increased among patients with a viral load (VL) of 200-499 copies/mL (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 14.92, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.92-37.60) or 500-999 copies/mL (aHR: 13.68, 95% CI: 3.61-51.87), but not among patients with a VL of 50-199 copies/mL (aHR: 3.10, 95% CI: 0.86-11.09). The risk of NAEs was significantly increased among patients with LLV (aHR: 7.33, 95% CI: 3.73-14.42). Compared to no LLV, a VL of 50-199 copies/mL (aHR: 4.11, 95% CI: 1.73-9.74), 200-499 copies/mL (aHR: 18.31, 95% CI: 6.66-50.33), and 500-999 copies/mL (aHR: 21.34, 95% CI: 5.69-80.01) showed higher risk of NAEs.

CONCLUSION

Low-level viremia was associated with VF and NAEs. Patients with LLV, especially those with a VL ≥200 copies/mL, may need more frequent VL testing and NAE screening.

Low-level viremia in treated HIV-1 infected patients: advances and challenges

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) can effectively suppress HIV-1 replication, improving quality of life and restoring the lifespan of persons living with HIV (PLWH) to near normal levels. However, after standardized ART, a low level of HIV-1 RNA, i.e., low-level viremia (LLV), may still be identified in 3% to 10% of the patients. LLV is capable of impacting the immunological and clinical outcome of patients and serves as a risk factor for transmission. The underlying mechanism of LLV is not yet certain, and the effects of LLV on patient outcomes remain under evaluation. Understanding LLV will allow effective prevention and control strategies to be designed for the benefit of PLWH.

Persistent low-Level viremia in persons living with HIV undertreatment: An unresolved status

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) allows suppressed viremia to reach less than 50 copies/mL in most treated persons living with HIV (PLWH). However, the existence of PLWH that show events of persistent low-level viremia (pLLV) between 50 and 1000 copies/mL and with different virological consequences have been observed. PLLV has been associated with higher virological failure (VF), viral genotype resistance, adherence difficulties and AIDS events. Moreover, some reports show that pLLV status can lead to residual immune activation and inflammation, with an increased risk of immunovirological failure and a pro-inflammatory cytokine level which can lead to a higher occurrence of non-AIDS defining events (NADEs) and other adverse clinical outcomes. Until now, however, published data have shown controversial results that hinder understanding of the true cause(s) and origin(s) of this phenomenon. Molecular mechanisms related to viral reservoir size and clonal expansion have been suggested as the possible origin of pLLV. This review aims to assess recent findings to provide a global view of the role of pLLV in PLWH and the impact this status may cause on the clinical progression of these patients.

High rate of long-term clinical events after antiretroviral therapy resumption in HIV-positive patients exposed to antiretroviral therapy interruption

OBJECTIVE

We analyzed the incidence rate of long-term events in patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART) previously exposed to therapy interruption.

DESIGN

A single-center cohort study involving participants in ART interruptions (ARTI) clinical trials (n = 10) was conducted.

METHODS

Non-AIDS events after ART resumption were analyzed. A control group not exposed to ARTI was randomly selected from the same cohort and a propensity score of belonging to ARTI group was estimated based on age, sex, CD4+ nadir value, time from HIV diagnosis to ARTI, time from HIV diagnosis to starting ART and time of suppressed viral load, and used to adjust effect estimates.

RESULTS

One hundred and eighty-one patients were included, 136 in ARTI and 45 in the control arm. Median time of known HIV-1 infection was 21 years and median time from ART resumption to first non-AIDS event was 5.2 years. A significantly higher proportion of patients with ARTI had an event as compared with control group [raw percentages: 43% (n = 53) vs. 23% (n = 10), P = 0.015]. These differences were confirmed when only the non-AIDS events occurring after ART resumption were analyzed [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 2.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-5.12]. The logistic model adjusted for the propensity score indicated that patients with an ARTI had a four-fold higher risk of having at least one non-AIDS event (P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

We found a higher risk of having at least one non-AIDS event years after ART resumption in HIV-infected patients exposed to ARTI as compared with controls. These data should be taken into consideration for future functional cure clinical trials.

Persistent low-level viraemia in antiretroviral treatment-experienced patients is not linked to viral resistance or inadequate drug concentrations

OBJECTIVES

To assess genotypic sensitivity scores (GSSs), plasma antiretroviral concentrations (PACs) and immunovirological outcomes at Week 96 (W96) in patients with persistent low-level viraemia (LLV).

METHODS

On 1 January 2017, we analysed data from patients on three-drug regimens with persistent LLV defined as at least two consecutive plasma viral loads (pVLs) between 21 and 200 copies/mL (including one pVL of ≥50 copies/mL), at the Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital. Outcomes were: GSS, PACs and HIV-DNA load at study entry; and virological status and proportion of patients with resistance-associated mutations (RAMs) at W96.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven patients were included, with median age of 52.6 years (IQR 45.2-57.9), last CD4 count of 658 cells/mm3 (IQR 462-909) and total ART duration of 10.2 years (IQR 5.7-15.2). LLV duration was 14.0 months (IQR 5.5-22.3). GSS was 3 in 46/57 (81%) patients and PACs were adequate in 53/57 (93%) patients. Median total HIV-DNA was 2.65 log10 copies/106 cells (IQR 2.44-2.86). During follow-up, 26/57 (46%) had experienced ART modifications. At W96, 38/57 (67%) patients remained with LLV, 15/60 (26%) had achieved confirmed pVL of <20 copies/mL and 4/57 (7%) had virological failure. The four virological failures were due to three ART interruptions and one incomplete adherence (selection of Y181C RAM). No factors (patient characteristics at study entry, GSS, PACs, total HIV-DNA load and ART modification) were associated with W96 viral outcome, except for time from HIV diagnosis and the LLV duration at study entry.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial number of patients harbouring LLV had no resistance to ART and adequate PACs. Two-thirds of these patients remained with this LLV status.

All-Cause Mortality and Serious Non-AIDS Events in Adults With Low-level Human Immunodeficiency Virus Viremia During Combination Antiretroviral Therapy: Results From a Swedish Nationwide Observational Study

Background

The impact of low levels of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) RNA (low-level viremia [LLV]) during combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) on clinical outcomes is unclear. We explored the associations between LLV and all-cause mortality, AIDS, and serious non-AIDS events (SNAEs).

Methods

We grouped individuals starting cART 1996–2017 (identified from the Swedish InfCare HIV register) as virologic suppression (VS; <50 copies/mL), LLV (repeated viral load, 50–999 copies/mL), and nonsuppressed viremia (NSV; ≥1000 copies/mL). Separately, LLV was subdivided into 50–199 and 200–999 copies/mL (reflecting different definitions of virologic failure). Proportional-hazard models (including sex, age, pre-ART CD4 count and viral load, country of birth, injection drug use, treatment experience and interruptions, and an interaction term between viremia and time) were fitted for the study outcomes.

Results

A total of 6956 participants were followed for a median of 5.7 years. At the end of follow-up, 60% were categorized as VS, 9% as LLV, and 31% as NSV. Compared with VS, LLV was associated with increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3–3.6). This association was also observed for LLV 50–199 copies/mL (aHR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.3–3.8), but was not statistically significant for LLV 200–999 copies/mL (aHR, 2.1; 95% CI, .96–4.7). LLV 50–999 copies/mL was not linked to increased risk of AIDS or SNAEs, but in subanalysis, LLV 200–999 copies/mL was associated with SNAEs (aHR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2–3.6).

Conclusions

In this population-based cohort, LLV during cART was associated with adverse clinical outcomes.

Low-Level Viremia Is Associated With Clinical Progression in HIV-Infected Patients Receiving Antiretroviral Treatment

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to investigate the long-term impact of low-level viremia (LLV) on all-cause mortality, AIDS and non-AIDS events (NAEs), and virological failure in patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART).

METHODS

We analyzed ART-naive adults from the cohort of the Spanish AIDS Research Network (CoRIS) who initiated ART from 2004 to 2015 and achieved plasma viral load (VL) below 50 copies per milliliter. LLV50-199 was defined as 2 consecutive VL between 50 and 199 copies per milliliter, and LLV200-499 as 2 consecutive VL between 50 and 499 copies per milliliter with at least one between 200 and 499 copies per milliliter. Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate the association of LLV with AIDS events/death, non-AIDS events, and virological failure.

RESULTS

Of 5986 patients included, 237 (4.0%) experienced LLV50-199 and 168 (2.8%) developed LLV200-499. One hundred seventy-one patients died or developed an AIDS event, 245 had any serious NAE and 280 had virological failure. LLV200-499 was strongly associated with a higher risk of both AIDS events/death [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 2.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.41 to 5.92] and virological failure (aHR, 3.25; 95% CI: 1.77 to 5.99), whereas no differences were observed between LLV50-199 and no LLV neither for AIDS events/death (aHR, 1.84; 95% CI: 0.89 to 3.82) nor virological failure (aHR, 1.42; 95% CI: 0.78 to 2.58). LLV was not associated with the occurrence of any serious NAE.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort, LLV200-499 was strongly associated with AIDS events/death and virological failure, but not with any serious NAE. Therefore, vigorous treatment should be implemented in patients with more than 200 copies per milliliter.

Is low-level HIV-1 viraemia associated with elevated levels of markers of immune activation, coagulation and cardiovascular disease?

OBJECTIVES

The clinical significance of low-level viraemia (LLV) during antiretroviral therapy (ART) is debated. We retrospectively investigated longitudinal levels of plasma markers associated with inflammation, altered coagulation and cardiovascular disease in Swedish HIV-positive adults in relation to LLV or permanent virological suppression during long-term ART.

METHODS

Plasma levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 (VCAM-1), suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2), growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), soluble CD14 (sCD14), soluble CD163 (sCD163), interferon-γ-induced protein 10 (IP-10) and β-2-microglobulin were measured in 34 individuals with LLV (viral load 50-999 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) and in matched controls with persistent virological suppression. Biomarker levels were analysed in samples obtained during episodes of LLV and follow-up samples obtained 1 year later (with similar timing for controls). All biomarkers were analysed using an independent sample t-test and analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) after logarithmic transformation. Log-rank analysis was applied for markers with concentration values out of range.

RESULTS

Compared with controls, patients with LLV had significantly higher levels of GDF-15 [geometric mean 3416 (95% confidence interval (CI) 804-14 516) pg/mL versus 2002 (95% CI 355-11 295) pg/mL in controls; P = 0.026] and D-dimer [mean 1114 (95% CI 125-9917) ng/mL versus 756 (95% CI 157-3626) ng/mL; P = 0.038] after adjustment for age, CD4 count nadir and type of ART. In the unadjusted t-test, only GDF-15 was significantly higher and in the log-rank test, both GDF-15 and D-dimer were significantly elevated. No significant differences were observed for the other biomarkers analysed.

CONCLUSIONS

Although levels of inflammation markers were similar in ART recipients with and without LLV, persons with LLV had significantly higher levels of GDF-15 and D-dimer. These findings suggest a potential link between LLV and cardiovascular outcomes.

Chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and osteoporotic fractures in patients with and without HIV in the US Veteran's Affairs Administration System

Objective: To evaluate the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and osteoporotic fractures in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients utilizing data within the Veteran's Affairs (VA) Administration system.Methods: A retrospective cohort study utilizing VA system claims (January 2000-December 2016) were extracted from the VA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure (VINCI). Cases included Veterans with an ICD-9/10 for HIV who had at least one prescription for a complete antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen. Two non-HIV controls were exactly matched on race, sex, month, and year of birth. All patients were followed until the earliest of the following: first incidence of the outcome (identified based on diagnosis codes or laboratory data), last date of VA activity, death, or December 31, 2016. Relative risks (RR) and odds ratios (ORs) were estimated from multivariable Poisson regression models (CVD and osteoporotic fractures) and multivariable logistic regression models (CKD), respectively. Models were adjusted for demographic factors/comorbidities.Results: A total of 79,578 patients (26,526 HIV and 53,052 non-HIV) met all study criteria. The average age was 49.3 years, 38% were black, 32% were white, and 97% were male for both the HIV and control cohorts. The adjusted models demonstrated that HIV was associated with a 78% increased rate of CKD (OR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.68-1.89), a 32% increased risk of CVD (RR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.28-1.37), and a 38% increased risk of fractures (RR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.23-1.56) compared to non-HIV controls.Conclusions: The risk/rate of the three outcomes were significantly higher in HIV patients compared to controls.

HIV and ageing: improving quantity and quality of life

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Evidence-based strategies are needed to address the growing complexity of care of those ageing with HIV so that as life expectancy is extended, quality of life is also enhanced.

RECENT FINDINGS

Modifiable contributing factors to the quantity and quality of life in adults ageing with HIV include: burden of harmful health behaviours, injury from HIV infection, HIV treatment toxicity and general burden of age-associated comorbidities. In turn, these factors contribute to geriatric syndromes including multimorbidity and polypharmacy, physiologic frailty, falls and fragility fractures and cognitive dysfunction, which further compromise the quality of life long before they lead to mortality.

SUMMARY

Viral suppression of HIV with combination antiviral therapy has led to increasing longevity but has not enabled a complete return to health among ageing HIV-infected individuals (HIV+). As adults age with HIV, the role of HIV itself and associated inflammation, effects of exposure to antiretroviral agents, the high prevalence of modifiable risk factors for age-associated conditions (e.g. smoking), and the effects of other viral coinfections are all influencing the health trajectory of persons ageing with HIV. We must move from the simplistic notion of HIV becoming a 'chronic controllable illness' to understanding the continually evolving 'treated' history of HIV infection with the burden of age-associated conditions and geriatric syndromes in the context of an altered and ageing immune system.

Suboptimal Adherence to Combination Antiretroviral Therapy Is Associated With Higher Levels of Inflammation Despite HIV Suppression

BACKGROUND

 Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals exhibit residual inflammation regardless of virologic suppression. We evaluated whether suboptimal adherence to combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) is associated with greater residual inflammation than optimal adherence, despite virologic suppression.

METHODS

 Longitudinal self-reported cART adherence data and serum concentrations of 24 biomarkers of inflammation and immune activation were measured at the same study visit in HIV RNA-suppressed (<50 copies/mL) HIV-infected men in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study from 1998 to 2009. Associations between dichotomized 6-month (<100% vs 100%) and categorized 4-day (<85%, 85%-99%, and 100%) cART adherence with biomarker concentrations were evaluated.

RESULTS

 A total of 912 men provided 2816 person-visits with documented plasma HIV RNA suppression. In adjusted models, person-visits at which <100% cART 6-month adherence was reported had higher concentrations of interleukin 2, 6, and 10, interferon γ, tumor necrosis factor α, and C-reactive protein than person-visits at which 100% cART adherence (P < .05) was reported. These same differences were observed in person-visits reporting <85% versus 100% 4-day cART adherence, but not in visits reporting 85%-99% versus 100% cART adherence. After adjustment for multiple comparisons, tumor necrosis factor α remained significantly higher (11% increase; P < .001) in person-visits at which <100% adherence was reported.

CONCLUSIONS

 Higher concentrations of inflammatory biomarkers were observed among HIV RNA-suppressed men who reported <100% cART adherence than among more adherent men. Residual HIV replication (ie, below the limit of detection), more likely among men with suboptimal adherence, is a plausible mechanism. Whether improving cART adherence could affect residual inflammation and associated morbidity and mortality rates should be investigated.

Low-level viraemia, measured as viraemia copy-years, as a prognostic factor for medium-long-term all-cause mortality: a MASTER cohort study

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the association between persistent low-level viraemia, measured as viraemia copy-years (VCY), and all-cause mortality.

METHODS

We included 3271 HIV-infected patients who initiated their first combined ART (cART) during 1998-2012 enrolled in the multicentre Italian MASTER cohort. VCY was defined as the area under the curve of plasma viral load (pVL) and expressed in log₁₀ copies · years/mL. VCY was evaluated from cART initiation until the end of follow-up [VCY-overall (VCY-o)], and stratified into before [VCY-early (VCY-e)] and after [VCY-late (VCY-l)] the eighth month from starting cART, and as the ratio of VCY-l to follow-up duration (VCY-l/FUD).

RESULTS

The risk of death increased of about 40% for higher than the median levels of VCY-o and VCY-e. Compared with subjects with permanently suppressed pVL after the eighth month from starting cART, mortality increased by 70% for those with VCY-l ≥3 log₁₀ copies·years/mL, and by about 20-fold for those with VCY-l/FUD ≥2.3 log₁₀ copies/mL. Patients who maintained low levels of VCY-l (<3 log₁₀ copies · years/mL) or VCY-l/FUD (<2.3 log₁₀ copies/mL) had a risk of death similar to patients with permanently suppressed pVL. CD4 cell count at baseline was predictive of high risk of death only in subjects with VCY-l ≥3 log₁₀ copies · years/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of death did not increase in HIV-infected patients with low levels of VCY-l compared with patients with permanent virological suppression.

Impact of HIV-1 tropism on the emergence of non-AIDS events in HIV-infected patients receiving fully suppressive antiretroviral therapy

Objective:

The impact of HIV-1 tropism on the emergence of non-AIDS events was evaluated in a cohort of 116 antiretroviral therapy (ART) responder patients.

Methods:

The patients were followed for the emergence of hypertension, renal impairment, metabolic and bone disorders (defined as non-AIDS events) each 8 weeks at standard visits. A V3 plasma sequence genotype analysis was performed at the time of ART initiation and the geno2pheno algorithm with the results that defines the false-positive rate (FPR) was used to infer HIV tropism. The associations between the non-AIDS events and the FPR at baseline were evaluated using the χ² test for trend. A Cox-regression analysis using the counting process formulation of Andersen and Gill was performed to define whether the emergence of non-AIDS events was correlated to FPR.

Results:

The prevalence of at least one non-AIDS event resulted higher in patients with a FPR below 10% than in patients with a R5 virus (P = 0.033). Patients with a FPR below 5.0% most frequently developed non-AIDS events during ART (P = 0.01). A higher prevalence of patients with at least two AIDS events was found in the group of patients with a FPR below 5.0% with respect to the others (P < 0.001). At multivariate Cox-regression analysis, having an X4 virus and age were independently associated with a higher probability of non-AIDS event development.

Conclusion:

This study shows that an X4 virus, particularly a FPR less than 5%, is related to non-AIDS events development. Further studies are warranted to understand the mechanisms underlying this phenomenon.

Patterns of Cardiovascular Mortality for HIV-Infected Adults in the United States: 1999 to 2013

With widespread availability and the use of antiretroviral therapy, patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in the United States are living long enough to experience non-AIDS-defining illnesses. HIV is associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) because of traditional CVD risk factors, residual virally mediated inflammation despite HIV treatment, and side effects of antiretroviral therapy. No United States population-wide studies have evaluated patterns of CVD mortality for HIV-infected subjects. Our central hypothesis was that the proportionate mortality from CVD (CVD mortality/total mortality) in the HIV-infected population increased from 1999 to 2013. We used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research online database of the United States public health data to assess proportionate CVD mortality from 1999 to 2013 in the HIV-infected, general, and inflammatory polyarthropathy populations; the inflammatory polyarthropathy population was included as a positive control group. Total mortality in the HIV-infected population decreased from 15,739 in 1999 to 8,660 in 2013; however, CVD mortality increased from 307 to 400 during the same period. Thus, proportionate CVD mortality for the HIV-infected population increased significantly from 1999 to 2013 (p <0.0001); this pattern was consistent across races, particularly for men. In contrast, proportionate CVD mortality decreased for the general and inflammatory polyarthropathy populations from 1999 to 2013. In conclusion, CVD has become an increasingly common cause of death in HIV-infected subjects since 1999; understanding evolving mortality risks in the HIV-infected population is essential to inform routine clinical care of HIV-infected subjects as well as CVD prevention and treatment.

Viremia copy-years as a predictive marker of all-cause mortality in HIV-1-infected patients initiating a protease inhibitor-containing antiretroviral treatment

BACKGROUND

Viremia copy-years (VCY) has been reported as a short-term predictor of mortality. We evaluated the association of this parameter with 10-year outcome within the APROCO-COPILOTE cohort.

METHODS

Prospective data from 1281 HIV-1-infected patients who started a first protease inhibitor-containing regimen in 1997-1999 were analyzed. Patients with baseline plasma viral load (pVL) > 500 copies per milliliter and at least 2 pVL measures from the eighth month of follow-up were selected. VCY was calculated individually over the follow-up as the area under the pVL curve. Multivariate Cox models analyzed the relation between all-cause mortality and the following variables: age, sex, geographical origin, transmission group, HIV infection duration, ART-naive, pVL at baseline, time-dependent CD4 count, and VCY.

RESULTS

Nine hundred seventy-nine patients were followed up for a median of 10 years (interquartile range: 5-11.5). At baseline, median (interquartile range) values for duration of HIV infection, pVL, and CD4 cell count were 43 (4-95) months, 4.6 (3.9-5.2) log10 copies per milliliter, and 278 (125-416) cells per cubic millimeter, respectively. At censoring date, 77 patients (8%) had died. VCY >1.4 log10 copies × yrs/mL was an independent predictor of death (hazard ratio: 2.0; 95% confidence interval: 1.2 to 3.5), which was no longer the case after adjustment for the latest pVL value [risk ratio (RR): 1.2 for 1 additional log10 copies per milliliter; 95% confidence interval: 1.1 to 1.4].

CONCLUSIONS

VCY was associated with mortality in HIV-infected patients under combined antiretroviral therapy but did not overweigh the predictive value of the latest pVL. VCY might be more useful as a marker of persistent viral replication than for routine clinical care.

Impact of low-level viremia on clinical and virological outcomes in treated HIV-1-infected patients

BACKGROUND

The goal of antiretroviral therapy (ART) is to reduce HIV-related morbidity and mortality by suppressing HIV replication. The prognostic value of persistent low-level viremia (LLV), particularly for clinical outcomes, is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

Assess the association of different levels of LLV with virological failure, AIDS event, and death among HIV-infected patients receiving combination ART.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 18 cohorts in Europe and North America, contributing to the ART Cohort Collaboration. Eligible patients achieved viral load below 50  copies/ml within 3-9 months after ART initiation. LLV50-199 was defined as two consecutive viral loads between 50 and 199  copies/ml and LLV200-499 as two consecutive viral loads between 50 and 499  copies/ml, with at least one between 200 and 499  copies/ml. We used Cox models to estimate the association of LLV with virological failure (two consecutive viral loads at least 500  copies/ml or one viral load at least 500 copies/ml, followed by a modification of ART) and AIDS event/death.

RESULTS

Among 17 902 patients, 624 (3.5%) experienced LLV50-199 and 482 (2.7%) LLV200-499. Median follow-up was 2.3 and 3.1 years for virological and clinical outcomes, respectively. There were 1903 virological failure, 532 AIDS events and 480 deaths. LLV200-499 was strongly associated with virological failure [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 3.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.05-5.17]. LLV50-199 was weakly associated with virological failure (aHR 1.38, 95% CI 0.96-2.00). LLV50-199 and LLV200-499 were not associated with AIDS event/death (aHR 1.13, 95% CI 0.81-1.68; and aHR 0.95, 95% CI 0.62-1.48, [corrected] respectively).

CONCLUSION

LLV200-499 was strongly associated with virological failure, but not with AIDS event/death. Our results support the US guidelines, which define virological failure as a confirmed viral load above 200  copies/ml.

Significance and clinical management of persistent low-level viremia and very-low-level viremia in HIV-1-infected patients

A goal of HIV therapy is to sustain suppression of the plasma viral load below the detection limits of clinical assays. However, widely followed treatment guidelines diverge in their interpretation and recommended management of persistent viremia of low magnitude, reflecting the limited evidence base for this common clinical finding. Here, we review the incidence, risk factors, and potential consequences of low-level HIV viremia (LLV; defined in this review as a viremia level of 50 to 500 copies/ml) and very-low-level viremia (VLLV; defined as a viremia level of <50 copies/ml detected by clinical assays that have quantification cutoffs of <50 copies/ml). Using this framework, we discuss practical issues related to the diagnosis and management of patients experiencing persistent LLV and VLLV. Compared to viral suppression at <50 or 40 copies/ml, persistent LLV is associated with increased risk of antiretroviral drug resistance and overt virologic failure. Higher immune activation and HIV transmission may be additional undesirable consequences in this population. It is uncertain whether LLV of <200 copies/ml confers independent risks, as this level of viremia may reflect assay-dependent artifacts or biologically meaningful events during suppression. Resistance genotyping should be considered in patients with persistent LLV when feasible, and treatment should be modified if resistance is detected. There is a dearth of clinical evidence to guide management when genotyping is not feasible. Increased availability of genotypic assays for samples with viral loads of <400 copies/ml is needed.

HIV viremia and incidence of non-Hodgkin lymphoma in patients successfully treated with antiretroviral therapy

BACKGROUND

The incidence of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients remains high despite treatment with antiretroviral therapy (ART).

METHODS

We evaluated NHL incidence in HIV-infected patients followed in the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems who started combination ART and achieved suppression of HIV. We estimated the hazard ratio for NHL by time-varying HIV viremia categories, accounting for time-varying CD4 cell count using marginal structural models.

RESULTS

We observed 37 incident NHL diagnoses during 21 607 person-years of follow-up in 6036 patients (incidence rate, 171 per 100 000 person-years; 95% confidence interval [CI], 124-236). NHL incidence was high even among patients with nadir CD4 cell count >200 cells/µL (140 per 100 000 person-years [95% CI, 80-247]). Compared with ≤50 copies/mL, hazard ratios (HRs) for NHL were higher among those with HIV viremia of 51-500 copies/mL (HR current = 1.66 [95% CI, .70-3.94]; HR 3-month lagged = 2.10 [95% CI, .84-5.22]; and HR 6-month lagged = 1.46 [95% CI, .60-3.60]) and >500 copies/mL (HR current = 2.39 [95% CI, .92-6.21]; HR 3-month lagged = 3.56 [95% CI, 1.21-10.49]; and HR 6-month lagged = 2.50 [95% CI, .91-6.84]). Current HIV RNA as a continuous variable was also associated with NHL (HR = 1.42 per log10 copies/mL [95% CI, 1.05-1.92]).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate a high incidence of NHL among HIV-infected patients on ART and suggest a role of HIV viremia in the pathogenesis of NHL. Earlier initiation of potent ART and maximal continuous suppression of HIV viremia may further reduce NHL risk.

The significance of low-level viraemia in diverse settings: analysis of the Treat Asia HIV Observational Database (TAHOD) and the Australian HIV Observational Database (AHOD)

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to assess the significance of low-level viraemia (LLV) and the timing of treatment change in low/middle-income country (L/MIC) compared with high-income country (HIC) settings.

METHODS

Patients with virological control following commencement of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) were included in the study. LLV was defined as undetectable viral load (<50 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) followed by confirmed detectable viral load < 1000 copies/mL. Virological failure was defined as viral load > 1000 copies/mL. Kaplan-Meier plots of time to virological failure by prior LLV and income category were generated. Regimen changes in the setting of LLV were compared between sites. Sensitivity analysis of rates of LLV and virological failure by person-years and number of tests was conducted for differing definitions of LLV and virological failure.

RESULTS

A total of 1748 patients from HICs and 823 patients from L/MICs were included in the study. One hundred and ninety-six (11.2%) HIC participants and 36 (4.4%) L/MIC participants experienced at least one episode of LLV. Of the patients who underwent regimen switch in HIC settings, the majority changed from a nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI)/protease inhibitor (PI) regimen to an NRTI/nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) regimen (26.8%). Very few switches were made in L/MIC settings. Rates of LLV were significantly higher for HICs compared with L/MICs per 1000 person-years (28.6 and 9.9 per 1000 person-years, respectively), but not in terms of the number of tests (9.4 and 7.2 per 1000 tests, respectively). Rates of virological failure per test were significantly higher for L/MICs compared with HICs (30.7 vs. 19.6 per 1000 tests, respectively; P < 0.001). LLV was a significant predictor of virological failure at 2 years in L/MICs [0.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.11-0.50; P = 0.043] but not in HICs (0.13; 95% CI 0.08-0.22; P = 0.523).

CONCLUSIONS

LLV is weakly predictive of virological failure at 2 years in L/MICs but not in HICs. This suggests that interventions targeted at subjects with LLV in L/MICs would help to improve treatment outcomes.

Initiation of antiretroviral therapy at high CD4 cell counts: does it reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Inflammation and immune activation associated with untreated HIV infection may increase the risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and are not entirely reversed by antiretroviral therapy (ART). Although older ART regimens were associated with drug-specific risks for CVD, this may not be true for modern ART. Thus, with regard to CVD risk, the net benefit of initiating ART at higher CD4 T-cell counts remains unclear.

RECENT FINDINGS

In addition to the well established risk of coronary heart disease, emerging evidence now suggests that chronic HIV infection is associated with higher risk of ischemic stroke, heart failure, and arrhythmias. These epidemiologic studies have associated immunodeficiency and active viral replication with higher CVD risk. Novel methods of imaging subclinical vascular disease continue to implicate inflammation and immune activation as likely mediators of CVD among patients with HIV. Newer generation protease inhibitors, chemokine receptor 5 antagonists, and integrase inhibitors do not appear to be associated with the adverse cardiometabolic risks of older drugs.

SUMMARY

Recent evidence suggests that treating HIV infection with ART may reduce the risk of CVD, even at higher CD4 T-cell counts; however, the definitive answer to this question will come from clinical trials and long-term observational studies.

Serious Non-AIDS events: Immunopathogenesis and interventional strategies

Despite the major advances in the management of HIV infection, HIV-infected patients still have greater morbidity and mortality than the general population. Serious non-AIDS events (SNAEs), including non-AIDS malignancies, cardiovascular events, renal and hepatic disease, bone disorders and neurocognitive impairment, have become the major causes of morbidity and mortality in the antiretroviral therapy (ART) era. SNAEs occur at the rate of 1 to 2 per 100 person-years of follow-up. The pathogenesis of SNAEs is multifactorial and includes the direct effect of HIV and associated immunodeficiency, underlying co-infections and co-morbidities, immune activation with associated inflammation and coagulopathy as well as ART toxicities. A number of novel strategies such as ART intensification, treatment of co-infection, the use of anti-inflammatory drugs and agents that reduce microbial translocation are currently being examined for their potential effects in reducing immune activation and SNAEs. However, currently, initiation of ART before advanced immunodeficiency, smoking cessation, optimisation of cardiovascular risk factors and treatment of HCV infection are most strongly linked with reduced risk of SNAEs or mortality. Clinicians should therefore focus their attention on addressing these issues prior to the availability of further data.

Cardiovascular disease and HIV infection

The emergence of chronic disease complications in controlled HIV disease has changed the landscape of HIV clinical care. HIV infection confers an increased cardiovascular disease risk, which is thought to be due to a complex interplay of mechanistic factors. While traditional cardiovascular risk factors likely play a role, recent evidence suggests that HIV-associated inflammation and immune activation are important mediators of cardiovascular risk. It is unclear whether established preventative interventions for the general population are applicable to HIV-infected patients, and the need to translate mechanistic knowledge into HIV-specific clinical interventions represents an important priority. Developing strategies to prevent cardiovascular disease in HIV-infected individuals calls for a multidisciplinary approach and represents an opportunity to exert a major public health impact in an at-risk population.

Switching HIV treatment in adults based on CD4 count versus viral load monitoring: a randomized, non-inferiority trial in Thailand

BACKGROUND

Viral load (VL) is recommended for monitoring the response to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) but is not routinely available in most low- and middle-income countries. The purpose of the study was to determine whether a CD4-based monitoring and switching strategy would provide a similar clinical outcome compared to the standard VL-based strategy in Thailand.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

The Programs for HIV Prevention and Treatment (PHPT-3) non-inferiority randomized clinical trial compared a treatment switching strategy based on CD4-only (CD4) monitoring versus viral-load (VL). Consenting participants were antiretroviral-naïve HIV-infected adults (CD4 count 50-250/mm(3)) initiating non-nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based therapy. Randomization, stratified by site (21 public hospitals), was performed centrally after enrollment. Clinicians were unaware of the VL values of patients randomized to the CD4 arm. Participants switched to second-line combination with confirmed CD4 decline >30% from peak (within 200 cells from baseline) in the CD4 arm, or confirmed VL >400 copies/ml in the VL arm. Primary endpoint was clinical failure at 3 years, defined as death, new AIDS-defining event, or CD4 <50 cells/mm(3). The 3-year Kaplan-Meier cumulative risks of clinical failure were compared for non-inferiority with a margin of 7.4%. In the intent to treat analysis, data were censored at the date of death or at last visit. The secondary endpoints were difference in future-drug-option (FDO) score, a measure of resistance profiles, virologic and immunologic responses, and the safety and tolerance of HAART. 716 participants were randomized, 356 to VL monitoring and 360 to CD4 monitoring. At 3 years, 319 participants (90%) in VL and 326 (91%) in CD4 were alive and on follow-up. The cumulative risk of clinical failure was 8.0% (95% CI 5.6-11.4) in VL versus 7.4% (5.1-10.7) in CD4, and the upper-limit of the one-sided 95% CI of the difference was 3.4%, meeting the pre-determined non-inferiority criterion. Probability of switch for study criteria was 5.2% (3.2-8.4) in VL versus 7.5% (5.0-11.1) in CD4 (p=0.097). Median time from treatment initiation to switch was 11.7 months (7.7-19.4) in VL and 24.7 months (15.9-35.0) in CD4 (p=0.001). The median duration of viremia >400 copies/ml at switch was 7.2 months (5.8-8.0) in VL versus 15.8 months (8.5-20.4) in CD4 (p=0.002). FDO scores were not significantly different at time of switch. No adverse events related to the monitoring strategy were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

The 3-year rates of clinical failure and loss of treatment options did not differ between strategies although the longer-term consequences of CD4 monitoring would need to be investigated. These results provide reassurance to treatment programs currently based on CD4 monitoring as VL measurement becomes more affordable and feasible in resource-limited settings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.govNCT00162682 Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

Incidence and clinical features of cerebrovascular disease among HIV-infected adults in the Southeastern United States

With aging of the HIV-infected population, non-AIDS conditions such as cardiovascular disease (CVD) now account for substantial mortality and morbidity. While myocardial infarction is the major outcome of interest in the field of HIV and CVD, cerebrovascular disease remains understudied, especially in the Southeastern United States. We determined the incidence and clinical features of cerebrovascular events (CVE) in a large HIV clinical cohort in North Carolina (NC). A total of 2,515 HIV-infected adults contributed a median of 4.5 years (IQR: 2.0, 7.8) of follow-up. Fifty-three CVEs were adjudicated for an incidence rate of 3.87 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI: 2.90, 5.06). The ischemic stroke incidence was 2.26 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI: 1.53, 3.21), approximately 1.5 times the rate of a population-based cohort in NC. At the time of CVE, the median age was 48 years (IQR: 42, 55). Of ischemic strokes 76% resulted from large artery atherosclerosis or small vessel (lacunar) disease. In multivariable analyses, age, hypertension, dyslipidemia, recent CD4(+) cell count ≤200 cells/mm(3), and recent HIV RNA >400 copies/ml were associated with an increased risk of CVE. Antiretroviral therapy (ART) was not associated with the risk of CVE. We concluded that in the post-ART era, HIV-infected individuals appear to be at moderately increased risk of stroke. Prevention of CVEs in this population will require modification of traditional CVD risk factors and early, effective treatment of HIV infection.