Mortality in elderly ICU patients: a cohort study

Intensive care unit cardiac arrest among very elderly critically ill patients - is cardiopulmonary resuscitation justified?

INTRODUCTION

The proportion of very elderly patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) is expected to rise. Furthermore, patients are likely more prone to suffer a cardiac arrest (CA) event within the ICU. The occurrence of intensive care unit cardiac arrest (ICU-CA) is associated with high mortality. To date, the incidence of ICU-CA and its clinical impact on outcome in the very old (≥ 90 years) patients treated is unknown.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of all consecutive critically ill patients ≥ 90 years admitted to the ICU of a tertiary care university hospital in Hamburg (Germany). All patients suffering ICU-CA were included and CA characteristics and functional outcome was assessed. Clinical course and outcome were assessed and compared between the subgroups of patients with and without ICU-CA.

RESULTS

1,108 critically ill patients aged ≥ 90 years were admitted during the study period. The median age was 92.3 (91.0-94.2) years and 67% (n = 747) were female. 2% (n = 25) of this cohort suffered ICU-CA after a median duration 0.5 (0.2-3.2) days of ICU admission. The presumed cause of ICU-CA was cardiac in 64% (n = 16). The median resuscitation time was 10 (2-15) minutes and the initial rhythm was shockable in 20% (n = 5). Return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) could be achieved in 68% (n = 17). The cause of ICU admission was primarily medical in the total cohort (ICU-CA: 48% vs. No ICU-CA: 34%, p = 0.13), surgical - planned (ICU-CA: 32% vs. No ICU-CA: 37%, p = 0.61) and surgical - unplanned/emergency (ICU-CA: 43% vs. No ICU-CA: 28%, p = 0.34). The median Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was 2 (1-3) points for patients with ICU-CA and 1 (0-2) for patients without ICU-CA (p = 0.54). Patients with ICU-CA had a higher disease severity according to SAPS II (ICU-CA: 54 vs. No ICU-CA: 36 points, p < 0.001). Patients with ICU-CA had a higher rate of mechanically ventilation (ICU-CA: 64% vs. No ICU-CA: 34%, p < 0.01) and required vasopressor therapy more often (ICU-CA: 88% vs. No ICU-CA: 41%, p < 0.001). The ICU and in-hospital mortality was 88% (n = 22) and 100% (n = 25) in patients with ICU-CA compared to 17% (n = 179) and 28% (n = 306) in patients without ICU-CA. The mortality rate for patients with ICU-CA was observed to be 88% (n = 22) in the ICU and 100% (n = 25) in-hospital. In contrast, patients without ICU-CA had an in-ICU mortality rate of 17% (n = 179) and an in-hospital mortality rate of 28% (n = 306) (both p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The occurrence of ICU-CA in very elderly patients is rare but associated with high mortality. Providing CPR in this cohort did not lead to long-term survival at our centre. Very elderly patients admitted to the ICU likely benefit from supportive care only and should probably not be resuscitated due to poor chance of survival and ethical considerations. Providing personalized assurances that care will remain appropriate and in accordance with the patient's and family's wishes can optimise compassionate care while avoiding futile life-sustaining interventions.

Acute kidney injury predicts mortality in very elderly critically-ill patients

BACKGROUND

The increasing admissions of very elderly patients to intensive care units (ICUs) over recent decades highlight a growing need for understanding acute kidney injury (AKI) in this population. Although these individuals are potentially at high risk for AKI and adverse outcomes, data on AKI in this population is scarce. This study investigates the AKI incidence and outcomes of critically-ill patients aging at least 90 years.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study conducted at the Department of Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany (2008-2020), investigates AKI incidence and outcomes between 2008 and 2020 in critically-ill patients aged ≥ 90 years. AKI was defined according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria using creatinine dynamics and/or urine output. Primary endpoint was overall mortality after 1 year. Secondary endpoints were in-hospital mortality, length of ICU and hospital stay.

RESULTS

During the study period 92,958 critically-ill patients were treated and 1108 were ≥ 90 years. Of these, 1054 patients had available creatinine values and were included in the present study. AKI occurred in 24.4%, mostly classified as mild (17.5%). AKI was independently associated with a significant increase in overall mortality (HR 1.21, 95 %-CI: 1.01-1.46), in-hospital mortality (OR 2, 1.41-2.85), length of ICU (+2.8 days, 2.3-3.3) and hospital stay (+2.3 days, 0.9-3.7). Severity escalated these effects, but even mild AKI showed significance. Introducing urine-based criteria increased incidence but compromised mortality prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

AKI is a frequent complication in very elderly critically-ill patients. Occurrence of AKI at any stage was associated with increased mortality. Predictive ability applied to AKI defined by creatinine but not urine output. Careful attention of creatinine dynamics is essential in very elderly ICU-patients.

Evolution of Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Critically Ill Patients 90 Years Old or Older Over a 12-Year Period: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

The global population is aging, and the proportion of very elderly patients 90 years old or older in the ICU is expected to increase. The changes in the comorbidities and outcomes of very elderly patients hospitalized in the ICU that have occurred over time are unknown.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational cohort study.

SETTING

ICUs at a single academic hospital in Germany.

PATIENTS

Ninety years old or older and admitted to the ICU between January 1, 2008, and April 30, 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Of the 92,958 critically ill patients, 1,108 were 90 years old or older. The study period was divided into two halves: January 1, 2008-August 30, 2013, and September 1, 2013-April 30, 2019. The number of patients 90 years old or older increased from the first period ( n = 391; 0.90% of total admissions) to the second period ( n = 717; 1.44%). The patients' demographic characteristics were similar between the both time periods. The median Charlson Comorbidity Index was higher during the first period (1 [interquartile range, 1-3]) than compared with the second time period (1 [0-2]; p = 0.052). The Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II was higher during the first time period (38 [29-49]) than during the second period (35 [27-45]; p = 0.005). Vasopressor therapy was necessary in 40% ( n = 158) and 43% ( n = 310) of patients in each time period, respectively ( p = 0.363). Invasive mechanical ventilation was administered in 37% ( n = 146) and 34% ( n = 243) of patients in each time period, respectively ( p = 0.250). The median length of the ICU stay was significantly lower in the first time period than in the second time period (1.4 vs. 1.7 d; p = 0.002). The ICU (18% vs. 18%; p = 0.861) and hospital (31% vs. 29%; p = 0.395) mortality rates were comparable between the two groups. The 1-year mortality was significantly lower during the second time period than during the first time period (61% vs. 56%; p = 0.029). Cox regression analysis revealed that the SAPS II, medical cause of admission, mechanical ventilation requirement, and vasopressor use were associated with 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of patients 90 years old or older who were treated in the ICU has increased in recent years. While the patients' clinical characteristics and short-term outcomes have not changed significantly, the long-term mortality of these patients has improved in recent years.

Epidemiologic features and outcomes associated with caustic ingestion among adults admitted in intensive care unit from 2013 to 2019: a French national observational study

PURPOSE

Caustic ingestion is a potential life-threatening condition associated with high morbidity and mortality. Data on patients admitted to Intensive Care Unit (ICU) for severe caustic ingestion are lacking. We aimed to describing epidemiological features and outcomes of patients admitted to ICU for caustic ingestion in France.

METHODS

In a retrospective, observational, and multicenter study, data from the national French Programme de Médicalisation des Systèmes d'Informations (PMSI) database were analysed from 2013 to 2019. In-hospital mortality rate (primary outcome) and in-ICU complications (secondary outcomes) were reported and analysed.

RESULTS

569 patients (289 males (50.8%), with median age of 49 years [interquartile (26-62)] were admitted in 65 French ICU for severe caustic ingestion. Five hundred and thirteen patients (90%) were admitted for intentional caustic ingestion. The median length of stay in ICU was 14.0 [4.0-31.0] days. In-hospital mortality occurred in 56 patients (9.8%). In multivariate analysis, age and simplified acute physiology score II were associated with in-hospital mortality age of 40-59 years [OR = 15.3 (2.0-115.3)], age of 60-79 years [OR = 23.6 (3.1-182.5)], and age > 80 years [OR = 37.0 (4.2-328.6)] and SAPS 2 score [OR = 1.0018 (1.003-1.033), p < 0.001]. During ICU stay, 423 complications (74%) were reported in 505 patients (89%). Infectious (244 (42.9%)), respiratory (207 (36.4%)), surgical 62 (10.9%), haemorrhagic (64 (11.2%)) and thrombo-embolic and (35 (6.2%)) complications were the most frequently reported during ICU stay.

CONCLUSION

ICU admission for severe caustic ingestion is associated with 9.8% mortality and 74% complications. Age > 40 years and SAPS 2 score were independently associated with mortality.

The trajectory of very old critically ill patients

The demographic shift, together with financial constraint, justify a re-evaluation of the trajectory of care of very old critically ill patients (VIP), defined as older than 80 years. We must avoid over- as well as under-utilisation of critical care interventions in this patient group and ensure the inclusion of health care professionals, the patient and their caregivers in the decision process. This new integrative approach mobilises expertise at each step of the process beginning prior to intensive care unit (ICU) admission and extending to long-term follow-up. In this review, several international experts have contributed to provide recommendations that can be universally applied. Our aim is to define a minimum core dataset of information to be shared and discussed prior to ICU admission and to facilitate the shared-decision-making process with the patient and their caregivers, throughout the patient journey. Documentation of uncertainty may contribute to a tailored level of care and ultimately to discussions around possible limitations of life sustaining treatments. The goal of ICU care is not only to avoid death, but more importantly to maintain an acceptable quality of life and functional autonomy after hospital discharge. Societal consideration is important to highlight, together with alternatives to ICU admission. We discuss challenges for the future and potential areas of research. In summary, this review provides a state-of-the-art current overview and aims to outline future directions to address the challenges in the treatment of VIP.

Early Ambulation Shortened the Length of Hospital Stay in ICU Patients after Abdominal Surgery

The optimal time to ambulation remains unclear for intensive care unit (ICU) patients following abdominal surgery. While previous studies have explored various mobilization techniques, a direct comparison between ambulation and other early mobilization methods is lacking. Additionally, the impact of time to ambulation on complications and disuse syndrome prevention requires further investigation. This study aimed to identify the optimal time to ambulation for ICU patients after abdominal surgery and considered its potential influence on complications and disuse syndrome. We examined the relationship between time to ambulation and hospital length of stay (LOS). Patients were categorized into the nondelayed (discharge within the protocol time) and delayed (discharge later than expected) groups. Data regarding preoperative functioning, postoperative complications, and time to discharge were retrospectively collected and analyzed. Of the 274 postsurgical patients managed in the ICU at our hospital between 2018 and 2020, 188 were included. Time to ambulation was a significant prognostic factor for both groups, even after adjusting for operative time and complications. The area under the curve was 0.72, and the cutoff value for time to ambulation was 22 h (sensitivity, 68%; specificity, 77%). A correlation between time to ambulation and complications was observed, with both impacting the hospital LOS (model 1: p < 0.01, r = 0.22; model 2: p < 0.01, r = 0.29). Specific cutoff values for time to ambulation will contribute to better surgical protocols.

Relationship of Age And Mobility Levels During Physical Rehabilitation With Clinical Outcomes in Critical Illness

Objective

To determine whether age, mobility level, and change in mobility level across the first 3 physical rehabilitation sessions associate with clinical outcomes of patients who are critically ill.

Design

Retrospective, observational cohort study.

Setting

Medical Intensive Care Unit (MICU).

Participants

Hospitalized adults (n = 132) who received 3 or more, consecutive rehabilitation sessions in the MICU.

Interventions

Not applicable.

Measurements and Main Results

Sample included 132 patients with 60 (45%) classified as younger (18-59 years) and 72 (55%) as older (60+ years). The most common diagnosis was sepsis/septicemia (32.6%). Older relative to younger patients had a significantly slower rate of improvement in ICU Mobility Scale (IMS) scores across rehabilitation sessions (mean slope coefficient 0.3 vs 0.6 points, P<.001), were less likely to be discharged to home (30.6% vs 55.0%, P=.005), and were more likely to die within 12 months (41.7% vs 25.0%, P=.046). Covariate-adjusted models indicated greater early improvement in IMS scores were associated with discharge home (P=.005). Longer time to first rehabilitation session, lower initial IMS scores, and slower improvement in IMS scores were associated with increased ICU days (all P<.03).

Conclusion

Older age and not achieving the mobility milestone of sitting at edge of bed or limited progression of mobility across sessions is associated with poor patient outcomes. Our findings suggest that age and mobility level contribute to outcome prognostication, and can aide in clinical phenotyping and rehabilitative service allocation.

Study EDEN-12: Analysis of access to intensive care units of patients older than 65 years requiring emergency hospitalization

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between the age of an urgently hospitalized patient and his or her probability of admission to an intensive care unit (ICU).

DESIGN

Observational, retrospective, multicenter study.

SETTING

42 Emergency Departments from Spain.

TIME-PERIOD

April 1-7, 2019.

PATIENTS

Patients aged ≥65 years hospitalized from Spanish emergency departments.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN VARIABLES OF INTEREST

ICU admission, age sex, comorbidity, functional dependence and cognitive impairment.

RESULTS

6120 patients were analyzed (median age: 76 years; males: 52%. 309 (5%) were admitted to ICU (186 from ED, 123 from hospitalization). Patients admitted to the ICU were younger, male, and with less comorbidity, dependence and cognitive impairment, but there were no differences between those admitted from the ED and from hospitalization. The OR for ICU-admission adjusted by sex, comorbidity, dependence and dementia reached statistical significance >83 years (OR: 0.67; 95%CI: 0.45-0.49). In patients admitted to the ICU from ED, the OR did not begin to decrease until 79 years, and was significant >85 years (OR: 0.56, 95%CI: 0.34-0.92); while in those admitted to ICU from hospitalization, the decrease began 65 years of age, and were significant from 85 years (OR: 0.55, 95%CI: 0.30-0.99). Sex, comorbidity, dependency and cognitive deterioration of the patient did not modify the association between age and ICU-admission (overall, from the ED or hospitalization).

CONCLUSIONS

After taking into account other factors that influence admission to the ICU (comorbidity, dependence, dementia), the chances of admission to the ICU of older patients hospitalized on an emergency basis begin to decrease significantly after 83 years of age. There may be differences in the probability of admission to the ICU from the ED or from hospitalization according to age.

Association between Red Cell Distribution Width and Outcomes of Nonagenarians Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit-A Retrospective Cohort Study

The red cell distribution width (RDW) measures the heterogeneity of the erythrocyte volume. Different clinical conditions are associated with increased RDW, and high levels (>14.5%) have been described as a predictive marker for unfavorable outcomes and mortality in critically ill patients. However, there is a lack of data on very elderly critically ill patients. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association of RDW with outcomes in critically ill patients ≥ 90 years. A retrospective analysis was conducted for all consecutive critically ill patients ≥ 90 years who were admitted to the Department of Intensive Care Medicine of the Medical University Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf (Hamburg, Germany) with available RDW on admission. Clinical course and laboratory were analyzed for all patients with eligible RDW. High RDW was defined as (>14.5%). We clinically assessed factors associated with mortality. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the prognostic impact of RDW on 28-day mortality. During a 12-year period, we identified 863 critically ill patients ≥ 90 years old with valid RDW values and complete clinical data. In total, 32% (n = 275) died within 28 days, and 68% (n = 579) survived for 28 days. Median RDW levels on ICU admission were significantly higher in non-survivors compared with survivors (15.6% vs. 14.8%, p < 0.001). Overall, 38% (n = 327) had low, and 62% (n = 536) had high RDW. The proportion of high RDW (>14.5%) was significantly higher in non-survivors (73% vs. 57%, p < 0.001). Patients with low RDW presented with a lower Charlson Comorbidity Index (p = 0.014), and their severity of illness on admission was lower (SAPS II: 35 vs. 38 points, p < 0.001). In total, 32% (n = 104) in the low and 35% (n = 190) in the high RDW group were mechanically ventilated (p = 0.273). The use of vasopressors (35% vs. 49%, p < 0.001) and renal replacement therapy (1% vs. 5%, p = 0.007) was significantly higher in the high RDW group. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that high RDW was significantly associated with 28-day mortality [crude HR 1.768, 95% CI (1.355-2.305); p < 0.001]. This association remained significant after adjusting for multiple confounders [adjusted HR 1.372, 95% CI (1.045-1.802); p = 0.023]. High RDW was significantly associated with mortality in critically ill patients ≥ 90 years. RDW is a useful simple parameter for risk stratification and may aid guidance for the therapy in very elderly critically ill patients.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Very Elderly Patients Admitted to Intensive Care: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Analysis

OBJECTIVES

To characterize and compare trends in ICU admission, hospital outcomes, and resource utilization for critically ill very elderly patients (≥ 80 yr old) compared with the younger cohort (16-79 yr old).

DESIGN

A retrospective multicenter cohort study.

SETTING

One-hundred ninety-four ICUs contributing data to the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation Adult Patient Database between January 2006 and December 2018.

PATIENTS

Adult (≥ 16 yr) patients admitted to Australian and New Zealand ICUs.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Very elderly patients with a mean ± sd age of 84.8 ± 3.7 years accounted for 14.8% (232,582/1,568,959) of all adult ICU admissions. They had higher comorbid disease burden and illness severity scores compared with the younger cohort. Hospital (15.4% vs 7.8%, p < 0.001) and ICU mortality (8.5% vs 5.2%, p < 0.001) were higher in the very elderly. They stayed fewer days in ICU, but longer in hospital and had more ICU readmissions. Among survivors, a lower proportion of very elderly was discharged home (65.2% vs 82.4%, p < 0.001), and a higher proportion was discharged to chronic care/nursing home facilities (20.1% vs 7.8%, p < 0.001). Although there was no change in the proportion of very elderly ICU admissions over the study period, they showed a greater decline in risk-adjusted mortality (6.3% [95% CI, 5.9%-6.7%] vs 4.0% [95% CI, 3.7%-4.2%] relative reduction per year, p < 0.001) compared with the younger cohort. The mortality of very elderly unplanned ICU admissions improved faster than the younger cohort ( p < 0.001), whereas improvements in mortality among elective surgical ICU admissions were similar in both groups ( p = 0.45).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of ICU admissions greater than or equal to 80 years old did not change over the 13-year study period. Although their mortality was higher, they showed improved survivorship over time, especially in the unplanned ICU admission subgroup. A higher proportion of survivors were discharged to chronic care facilities.

The Independent Impact of Peripheral Arterial Disease on Mortality in Nonagenarians and Centenarians Who Were Treated in an Intensive Care Unit: A Consecutive Cohort of 1 108 Patients

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical characteristics, risk factors, and outcomes of inpatients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) including lower extremity PAD, abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), and carotid artery disease in a large cohort of critically ill patients aged ≥ 90 years.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted of all adult patients aged ≥ 90 years consecutively admitted to the intensive care unit at a tertiary care centre in Hamburg, Germany, between 1 January 2008 and 30 April 2019. Multivariable regression and Kaplan-Meier methods were used to determine the independent impact of PAD on short and long term mortality endpoints. The analyses were adjusted for confounding by several sociodemographic and clinical parameters including Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and established clinical risk scores.

RESULTS

A total of 1 108 eligible patients were identified (92.3 years, 33% men). Of these, 24% had PAD (9% lower extremity PAD, 2% AAA, 15% coronary artery disease) and 76% did not have any history of PAD and were used as a comparison group. When compared with the comparison group, patients with PAD had a higher CCI (2 vs. 1, p < .001), more often had chronic kidney disease (28% vs. 21%, p = .019), and renal replacement therapy (5% vs. 2%, p = .016). Furthermore, they needed vasopressors (48% vs. 40%, p = .027) and parenteral nutrition (10% vs. 6%, p = .041) more often. After adjusting for confounding, PAD was independently associated with increased in hospital (hazard ratio [HR] 1.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39 - 2.81, p < .001) and long term mortality rates (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.05 - 1.66, p = .019).

CONCLUSION

One of four critically ill nonagenarians and centenarians in an ICU in Germany had PAD. PAD was associated with both higher short and long term mortality rates while its impact outweighed higher age. Future studies should address this increasingly important population beyond 89 years of age.

Importance of Asprosin for Changes of M. Rectus Femoris Area during the Acute Phase of Medical Critical Illness: A Prospective Observational Study

Asprosin, a new adipokine, is secreted by subcutaneous white adipose tissue and causes rapid glucose release. The skeletal muscle mass gradually diminishes with aging. The combination of decreased skeletal muscle mass and critical illness may cause poor clinical outcomes in critically ill older adults. To determine the relationship between the serum asprosin level, fat-free mass, and nutritional status of critically ill older adult patients, critically ill patients over the age of 65 receiving enteral nutrition via feeding tube were included in the study. The patients' cross-sectional area of the rectus femoris (RF) of the lower extremity quadriceps muscle was evaluated by serial measurements. The mean age of the patients was 72 ± 6 years. The median (IQR) serum asprosin level was 31.8 (27.4-38.1) ng/mL on the first study day and 26.1 (23.4-32.3) ng/mL on the fourth study day. Serum asprosin level was high in 96% of the patients on the first day, and it was high in 74% on the fourth day after initiation of enteral feeding. The patients achieved 65.9 ± 34.1% of the daily energy requirement for four study days. A significant moderate correlation between delta serum asprosin level and delta RF was found (Rho = -0.369, p = 0.013). In critically ill older adult patients, a significant negative correlation was determined between serum asprosin level with energy adequacy and lean muscle mass.

The Combined Use of Interleukin-6 with Serum Albumin for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Elderly Patients: The Interleukin-6-to-albumin Ratio

Background

The association between interleukin-6 (IL-6) and serum albumin (ALB) with mortality in critically ill elderly patients, either as stand-alone biomarkers or in combination, has been scarcely reported. We, therefore, aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the IL-6-to-albumin ratio in this special population.

Patients and methods

This was a cross-sectional study conducted in the mixed intensive care unit (ICU) of two university-affiliated hospitals in Malaysia. Consecutive elderly patients (aged above or equal to 60 years) admitted to the ICU, who underwent simultaneous measurement of plasma IL-6 and serum ALB, were recruited. The prognostic value of the IL-6-to-albumin ratio was assessed by analysis of the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

Results

A total of 112 critically ill elderly patients were recruited. The outcome of all-cause ICU mortality was 22.3%. The calculated IL-6-to-albumin ratio was significantly higher in the non-survivors compared to the survivors {14.1 [interquartile range (IQR), 6.5-26.7] vs 2.5 [(IQR, 0.6-9.2) pg/mL, p <0.001]}. The area under the curve (AUC) of IL-6-to-albumin ratio for discrimination of ICU mortality was 0.766 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.667-0.865, p <0.001] which was slightly higher than that of IL-6 and albumin alone. The ideal cut-off value of the IL-6-to-albumin ratio was above 5.7 with a sensitivity of 80.0% and specificity of 64.4%. After adjusting for severity of illness, the IL-6-to-albumin ratio remained as an independent predictor of ICU mortality with an adjusted odd ratio of 0.975 (95% CI, 0.952-0.999, p = 0.039).

Conclusion

The IL-6-to-albumin ratio offers a slight improvement in mortality prediction than either of its constituent individual biomarkers and as such, it may be a potential tool to aid in the prognostication of critically ill elderly patients although this requires further validation in a larger prospective study.

How to cite this article

Lim KY, Shukeri WFWM, Hassan WMNW, Mat-Nor MB, Hanafi MH. The Combined Use of Interleukin-6 with Serum Albumin for Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Elderly Patients: The Interleukin-6-to-albumin Ratio. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(10):1126-1130.

Construction and validation of an early warning model for predicting the acute kidney injury in elderly patients with sepsis

BACKGROUND

Sepsis-induced acute kidney injury (S-AKI) is a significant complication and is associated with an increased risk of mortality, especially in elderly patients with sepsis. However, there are no reliable and robust predictive models to identify high-risk patients likely to develop S-AKI. We aimed to develop a nomogram to predict S-AKI in elderly sepsis patients and help physicians make personalized management within 24 h of admission.

METHODS

A total of 849 elderly sepsis patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University were identified and randomly divided into a training set (75%, n = 637) and a validation set (25%, n = 212). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the independent predictors of S-AKI. The corresponding nomogram was constructed based on those predictors. The calibration curve, receiver operating characteristics (ROC)curve, and decision curve analysis were performed to evaluate the nomogram. The secondary outcome was 30-day mortality and major adverse kidney events within 30 days (MAKE30). MAKE30 were a composite of death, new renal replacement therapy (RRT), or persistent renal dysfunction (PRD).

RESULTS

The independent predictors for nomogram construction were mean arterial pressure (MAP), serum procalcitonin (PCT), and platelet (PLT), prothrombin time activity (PTA), albumin globulin ratio (AGR), and creatinine (Cr). The predictive model had satisfactory discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.852-0.858 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The nomogram showed good calibration and clinical application according to the calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Furthermore, the prediction model had perfect predictive power for predicting 30-day mortality (AUC = 0.813) and MAKE30 (AUC = 0.823) in elderly sepsis patients.

CONCLUSION

The proposed nomogram can quickly and effectively predict S-AKI risk in elderly sepsis patients within 24 h after admission, providing information for clinicians to make personalized interventions.

Impact on 6-month outcomes of hospital trajectory in critically ill older patients: analysis of the ICE-CUB2 clinical trial

Background

Little is known about the impact of hospital trajectory on survival and functional decline of older critically ill patients. We evaluate 6-month outcomes after admission to: intensive care units (ICU), intermediate care units (IMCU) or acute medical wards (AMW).

Methods

Data from the randomised prospective multicentre clinical trial ICE-CUB2 was secondarily analysed. Inclusion criteria were: presenting at emergency departments in critical condition; age ≥ 75 years; activity of daily living (ADL) ≥ 4; preserved nutritional status; and no active cancer. A Cox model was fitted to compare survival according to admission destination adjusting for patient characteristics. Sensitivity analysis using multiple imputation for missing data and propensity score matching were performed.

Results

Among 3036 patients, 1675 (55%) were women; median age was 85 [81–99] years; simplified acute physiology score (SAPS-3) 62 [55–69]; 1448 (47%) were hospitalised in an ICU, 504 in IMCU (17%), and 1084 (36%) in AMW. Six-month mortality was 629 (44%), 155 (31%) and 489 (45%) after admission in an ICU, IMCU and AMW (p < 0.001), respectively. In multivariate analysis, AMW admission was associated with worse 6-month survival (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.04–1.63) in comparison with IMCU admission, after adjusting for age, gender, comorbidities, ADL, SAPS-3 and diagnosis. Survival was not significantly different between patients admitted in an ICU and an IMCU (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.95–1.46). Sensitivity analysis using multiple imputation for missing data and propensity score matching found similar results. Hospital destination was not significantly associated with the composite criterion loss of 1-point ADL or mortality. Physical and mental components of the 12-Item Short-Form Health Survey were significantly lower in the acute medical ward group (34.3 [27.5–41.7], p = 0.037 and 44.3 [38.6–48.6], p = 0.028, respectively) than in the ICU group (34.7 [28.4–45.3] and 45.5 [40.0–50.0], respectively) and IMCU group (35.7 [29.7–43.8] and 44.5 [39.7–48.4], respectively).

Conclusions

Admission in an AMW was associated with worse 6-month survival in older critically ill patients in comparison with IMCU admission, with no difference of survival between ICU and IMCU admission. There were no clinically relevant differences in quality of life in each group. These results should be confirmed in specific studies and raise the question of dedicated geriatric IMCUs.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13613-022-01042-4.

Association between chronic kidney disease and mortality in patients with a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis

Objective

To determine the association between chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality in persons with a confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) diagnosis.

Methods

Cross-sectional secondary baseline study. The study population consisted of 243,065 patients confirmed to have COVID-19 during May-December 2020. Stata 16.0 was used for statistical analysis, Chi-square test was used for bivariate analysis, and Poisson regression with robust variances was used for multiple analysis.

Results

The prevalence of patients with a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis who had CKD and died was 1.42 times the prevalence of mortality in those without CKD. The comorbidities combined with CKD that presented the highest probability of mortality were diabetes mellitus and hypertension.

Conclusions

CKD is associated with a high mortality rate in patients with a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis. Patients with CKD, diabetes mellitus, and arterial hypertension have a higher prevalence of mortality than those without comorbidities.

Intensive care of geriatric patients-a thin line between under- and overtreatment

Demographic developments are leading to an ever-increasing proportion of elderly and aged patients in hospitals at all levels of care, and even more patients from these age groups are to be expected in the future. Based on the projected population development, e.g., in Norway, an increase in intensive care beds of between 26 and 37% is expected by 2025. This poses special challenges for the treatment and management of geriatric intensive care patients. The acute illness is not the only decisive factor, but rather the existing multimorbidity and functional limitations of this vulnerable patient group must likewise be taken into account. Age per se is not the sole determinant of prognosis in critical patients, even though mortality increases with age.

The impact of frailty on mortality in older patients admitted to an Intensive Care Unit

OBJECTIVE

Frailty is a relatively new concept for intensivists, and is defined as a status of increased vulnerability to stressors associated with reduced reserve and function of different physiological systems. Supporting the hypothesis that frailty may be an important predictor of poor prognosis among older patients admitted to Intensive Care Unit (ICU), this study seeks to evaluate the association between frailty at ICU admission and short and long-term mortality.

DESIGN

An unmatched case-control study was carried out.

SETTING

Intensive Care Unit.

PATIENTS OR PARTICIPANTS

Patients≥80 years of age admitted to the ICU for medical reasons.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN VARIABLES OF INTEREST

The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, while secondary outcomes were ICU mortality and mortality at one year.

RESULTS

Most of the patients were classified as frail at ICU admission (55.3%). The prevalence of frailty was higher among those who died than in those who were alive within 30 days from ICU admission (62.3% vs 48.3%, p=0.01). One-year mortality was higher in frail (84.4%) than in non-frail patients (65.2%, p<0.001). In the logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for potential confounders such as chronic diseases, clinical complexity, cause of ICU admission and use of advanced procedures, frailty was seen to be significantly associated to one-year mortality, but not with ICU mortality or 30-day mortality.

DISCUSSION

The admission of geriatric patients to the ICU is increasing. Frailty assessment may play an important role in the clinical evaluation of such individuals for triage, but should not be considered a priori as an exclusion criterion for admission.

Self-perceived recovery and quality of life in elderly patients surviving ICU-admission for abdominal sepsis

Introduction

Concern for loss of physical performance and Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL) may raise doubts regarding the meaningfulness of an Intensive Care (ICU) admission in elderly patients. We evaluated self-perceived long-term recovery and satisfaction in elderly surviving an abdominal sepsis related ICU-admission and related this to objective measures of HRQoL.

Methods

A cross-sectional survey study was performed in all ICU-survivors with age ≥70 admitted with abdominal sepsis. HRQoL, frailty and self-perceived long-term recovery were measured using the EQ-5D-3L, Groningen Frailty Indicator, and a self-developed questionnaire, respectively.

Results

Of 144 patients admitted, 48 were alive at follow up (2.42 [0.92; 3.83] years), and 29 (60%) returned the survey. Eleven patients out of 29 (38%) recovered to baseline functioning, and reported higher HRQoL compared to unrecovered patients (0.861 [0.807; 1.000] and 0.753 [0.499; 0.779] respectively, p=0.005). Of the unrecovered patients, 53% were satisfied with their functioning, and 94% were willing to return to ICU.

Conclusions

Mortality in elderly patients with abdominal sepsis is high and ICU-admission should be weighed carefully. However, despite substantial functional decline in survivors, it does not necessarily cause self-perceived unsatisfactory functioning, poor HRQoL and unwillingness to receive life-sustaining therapy again. Caution is advised to use an anticipated loss of functioning as an argument to deny an ICU-admission.

Therapeutic Drug Monitoring of Antibiotics in the Elderly: A Narrative Review

PURPOSE

Antibiotic dosing adaptation in elderly patients is frequently complicated by age-related changes affecting the processes of drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and/or elimination. These events eventually result in treatment failure and/or development of drug-related toxicity. Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) can prevent suboptimal antibiotic exposure in adult patients regardless of age. However, little data are available concerning the specific role of TDM in the elderly.

METHODS

This review is based on a PubMed search of the literature published in the English language. The search involved TDM studies of antibiotics in the elderly performed between 1990 and 2021. Additional studies were identified from the reference lists of the retrieved articles. Studies dealing with population pharmacokinetic modeling were not considered.

RESULTS

Only a few studies, mainly retrospective and with observational design, have specifically dealt with appropriate antibiotic dosing in the elderly based on TDM. Nevertheless, some clinical situations in which the selection of optimal antibiotic dosing in the elderly was successfully guided by TDM were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly patients are at an increased risk of bacterial infections and inadequate drug dosing compared to younger patients. Therefore, the availability of TDM services can improve the appropriateness of antibiotic prescriptions in this population.

Activities of daily living associated with postoperative intensive care unit survival in elderly patients following elective major abdominal surgery: An observational cohort study

Elderly patients who undergo major abdominal surgery are being in increasing numbers. Intensive care unit (ICU) survival is critical for surgical decision-making process. Activities of daily living (ADL) are associated with clinical outcomes in the elderly. We aimed to investigate the relationship between ADL and postoperative ICU survival in elderly patients following elective major abdominal surgery.We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving patients aged ≥65 years admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) following elective major abdominal surgery. Data from all patients were extracted from the electronic medical records. The Barthel Index (BI) was used to assess the level of dependency in ADL at the time of hospital admission.ICU survivors group had higher Barthel Index (BI) scores than non-survivors group (P < .001). With the increase of BI score, postoperative ICU survival rate gradually increased. The ICU survivals in patients with BI 0-20, BI 21-40, BI 41-60, BI 61-80 and BI 81-100 were 55.7%, 67.6%, 72.4%, 83.3% and 84.2%, respectively. In logistic regression, The Barthel Index (BI) was significantly correlated with the postoperative ICU survival in elderly patients following elective major abdominal surgery (OR = 1.33, 95% CI: 1.20-1.47, P = .02). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of Barthel Index in predicting postoperative ICU survival was 0.704 (95% CI, 0.638-0.771). Kaplan-Meier survival curve in BI≥30 patients and BI < 30 patients showed significantly different.Activity of daily living upon admission was associated with postoperative intensive care unit survival in elderly patients following elective major abdominal surgery. The Barthel Index(BI) ≥30 was associated with increased postoperative ICU survival. For the elderly with better functional status, they could be given more surgery opportunities. For those elderly patients BI < 30, these results provide useful information for clinicians, patients and their families to make palliative care decisions.

Long-term trends in critical care admissions in Wales

As national populations age, demands on critical care services are expected to increase. In many healthcare settings, longitudinal trends indicate rising numbers and proportions of patients admitted to ICU who are older; elsewhere, including some parts of the UK, a decrease has raised concerns with regard to rationing according to age. Our aim was to investigate admission trends in Wales, where critical care capacity has not risen in the last decade. We used the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank to identify and characterise critical care admissions in patients aged ≥ 18 years from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017. We categorised 85,629 ICU admissions as youngest (18-64 years), older (65-79 years) and oldest (≥ 80 years). The oldest group accounted for 15% of admissions, the older age group 39% and the youngest group 46%. Relative to the national population, the incidence of admission rates per 10,000 population in the oldest group decreased significantly over the study period from 91.5/10,000 in 2008 to 77.5/10,000 (a relative decrease of 15%), and among the older group from 89.2/10,000 in 2008 to 75.3/10,000 in 2017 (a relative decrease of 16%). We observed significant decreases in admissions with high comorbidity (modified Charlson comorbidity index); increases in the proportion of older patients admitted who were considered 'fit' rather than frail (electronic frailty index); and decreases in admissions with a medical diagnosis. In contrast to other healthcare settings, capacity constraints and surgical imperatives appear to have contributed to a relative exclusion of older patients presenting with acute medical illness.

Characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to adult intensive care units in Hong Kong: a population retrospective cohort study from 2008 to 2018

Background

Globally, mortality rates of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) have decreased over the last two decades. However, evaluations of the temporal trends in the characteristics and outcomes of ICU patients in Asia are limited. The objective of this study was to describe the characteristics and risk adjusted outcomes of all patients admitted to publicly funded ICUs in Hong Kong over a 11-year period. The secondary objective was to validate the predictive performance of Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV for ICU patients in Hong Kong.

Methods

This was an 11-year population-based retrospective study of all patients admitted to adult general (mixed medical-surgical) intensive care units in Hong Kong public hospitals. ICU patients were identified from a population electronic health record database. Prospectively collected APACHE IV data and clinical outcomes were analysed.

Results

From 1 April 2008 to 31 March 2019, there were a total of 133,858 adult ICU admissions in Hong Kong public hospitals. During this time, annual ICU admissions increased from 11,267 to 14,068, whilst hospital mortality decreased from 19.7 to 14.3%. The APACHE IV standard mortality ratio (SMR) decreased from 0.81 to 0.65 during the same period. Linear regression demonstrated that APACHE IV SMR changed by − 0.15 (95% CI − 0.18 to − 0.11) per year (Pearson’s R = − 0.951, p < 0.001). Observed median ICU length of stay was shorter than that predicted by APACHE IV (1.98 vs. 4.77, p < 0.001). C-statistic for APACHE IV to predict hospital mortality was 0.889 (95% CI 0.887 to 0.891) whilst calibration was limited (Hosmer–Lemeshow test p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Despite relatively modest per capita health expenditure, and a small number of ICU beds per population, Hong Kong consistently provides a high-quality and efficient ICU service. Number of adult ICU admissions has increased, whilst adjusted mortality has decreased over the last decade. Although APACHE IV had good discrimination for hospital mortality, it overestimated hospital mortality of critically ill patients in Hong Kong.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40560-020-00513-9.

Long term outcomes for elderly patients after emergency intensive care admission: A cohort study

Background

Elderly patients (≥ 80 years of age) surviving an episode of critical illness suffer long-term morbidity and risk of mortality. Identifying high risk groups could assist in informing discussions with patients and families.

Aim

To determine factors associated with long-term survival following ICU admission.

Design

A cohort study of patients aged ≥ 80 years of age admitted to the ICU as an emergency.

Methods

Patients admitted from January 2010 to December 2018 were included in the study. Primary outcome was five year survival. Mortality was assessed using a multivariable flexible parametric survival analysis adjusted for demographics, and clinically relevant covariates.

Results

There were 828 patients. Mean age was 84 years (SD 3.2) and 419 (51%) were male. Patients were categorised into medical (423 (51%)) and surgical (405 (49%)) admissions. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for mortality were highest for serum lactate (>8 mmol/l aHR 2.56 (C.I. 1.79–3.67)), lowest systolic blood pressure (< 70 mmHg aHR 2.04 (C.I. 1.36–3.05)) and pH (< 7.05 aHR 4.70 (C.I 2.67–8.21)). There were no survivors beyond one year with severe abnormalities of pH and lactate (< 7.05 and > 8 mmol/l respectively). Relative survival for medical patients was below that expected for the general population for the duration of the study.

Conclusion

Overall five-year survival was 27%. For medical and surgical patients it was 19% and 35% respectively. Survival at 30 days and one year was 61% and 46%. The presence of features of circulatory shock predicted poor short and long term survival.

Predictors of Mortality in Elderly and Very Elderly Emergency Patients with Sepsis: A Retrospective Study

Introduction

Elderly patients are at increased risk of developing sepsis and its adverse outcomes. Diagnosing and prognosing sepsis is particularly challenging in older patients, especially early at emergency department (ED) arrival. We aimed to study and compare the characteristics of elderly and very elderly ED patients with sepsis and determine baseline factors associated with in-hospital mortality. We also compared prognostic accuracy of the criteria for systemic inflammatory response syndrome, quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA), and the National Early Warning Score in predicting mortality.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study at the ED of Siriraj Hospital Mahidol University in Bangkok, Thailand. Patients over 18 years old who were diagnosed and treated for sepsis in the ED between August 2018–July 2019 were included. We categorized patients into non-elderly (aged <65 years), elderly (aged 65–79 years), and the very elderly (aged >80 years) groups. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Baseline demographics, comorbidities, source and etiology of sepsis, including physiologic variables, were compared and analyzed to identify predictors of mortality. We calculated and compared the area under the receiver operator characteristics curves (AUROC) of early warning scores.

Results

Of 1616 ED patients with sepsis, 668 (41.3%) were very elderly, 512 (31.7%) were elderly, and 436 (27.0%) were non-elderly. The mortality rate was highest in the very elderly, followed by the elderly and the non-elderly groups (32.3%, 25.8%, and 24.8%, respectively). Factors associated with mortality in the very elderly included the following: age; do-not-resuscitate (DNR) status; history of recent admission <3 months; respiratory tract infection; systolic blood pressure <100 millimeters mercury (SBP<100); oxygen saturation; and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score. Factors associated with mortality in the elderly were DNR status, body temperature, and GCS score. qSOFA had the highest AUROC in predicting in-hospital mortality in both very elderly and elderly patients (AUROC 0.60 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.55–0.65] and 0.55 [95% CI, 0.49–0.61, respectively]).

Conclusion

The mortality rate in the very elderly was higher than in the younger populations. Age, DNR status, recent admission, respiratory tract infection, SBP<100, oxygen saturation. and GCS score independently predicted hospital mortality in very elderly patients. The qSOFA score had better but only moderate accuracy in predicting mortality in elderly and very elderly sepsis patients.

Frailty as a Prognostic Indicator in Intensive Care

BACKGROUND

The percentage of patients in intensive care who are 80 years old or older is continually increasing. Such patients already made up more than 20% of all patients in intensive care in Germany in the years 2007-2011. Meanwhile, effective treatments that support the organs of the body and keep severely ill patients alive are also being continually developed and refined. Frailty is a key prognostic parameter. The scientifically based assessment of frailty can be highly useful in intensive care medicine with regard to consented decision-making, individualized prognostication, treatment planning, and aftercare.

METHODS

Pertinent publications were retrieved by a selective search in the PubMed database. On the basis of the literature assessment, a variety of screening instruments were used to assess frailty and its significance for very old, critically ill patients in German intensive care units.

RESULTS

Only a small number of screening instruments are suitable for routine use in German intensive care units. The scores vary in diagnostic precision. The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) enables highly accurate prognostication; it considers the patient in relation to his or her social environment, and to the reference population. Categorization is achieved by means of pictograms that are supplemented with brief written descriptions. The CFS can be used prospectively and is easy to learn. Its interrater reliability is high (weighted Cohen's κ: 0.85 [0.84; 0.87]), and it has been validated for routine use in intensive care units in Germany.

CONCLUSION

None of the available scores enable perfect prognostication. In Germany, frailty in intensive-care patients is currently best assessed on a simple visual scale (CFS).

[Geriatric intensive care : Consensus paper of DGIIN, DIVI, DGAI, DGGG, ÖGGG, ÖGIAIN, DGP, DGEM, DGD, DGNI, DGIM, DGKliPha and DGG]

The proportion of elderly, frail, and multimorbid people has increased dramatically in recent decades resulting from demographic changes and will further increase, which will impact acute medical care. Prospective, randomized studies on geriatric intensive care are still lacking. There are also no international or national recommendations regarding the management of critically ill elderly patients. Based on an expert opinion, this consensus paper provides 16 statements that should be considered when dealing with geriatric critical care patients.

Intensive care patient survival after limiting life-sustaining treatment-The FINNEOL* national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Few studies have examined survival in intensive care unit (ICU) patients after the restriction of life-sustaining treatment (LST). We aimed to analyse independent factors associated with hospital and 12-month survival rates in ICU patients after treatment restrictions.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study examined all patients treated in adult ICUs from 1 January 2016 until 31 December 2016 included in the Finnish ICU Registry. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to explain the effect on survival.

RESULTS

Decisions to limit LST were made for 2444 patients (13.7%; 95% CI 13.2-14.2). ICU, hospital, and 12-month survival rates were 71% (95% CI 69-73), 49% (95% CI 47-51), and 24% (95% CI 22-26), respectively. In patients for whom life support was withheld, increased 12-month survival rates were associated with admission from the operating theatre (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1-3.4), good pre-hospital physical fitness (OR 4.7, 95% Cl 1.2-16.8) and being housed at home (OR 2.0, 95% Cl 1.4-2.8). Decreased survival rates were associated with admission from a hospital ward (OR 0.67, 95% Cl 0.5-0.9), higher comorbidity (OR 0.6, 95% Cl 0.4-0.9), cancer (OR 0.4, 95%CI 0.2-0.9), greater illness severity (SAPS II; OR 0.98, 95% Cl 0.98-0.99), and higher care intensity (TISS-76; OR 0.93, 95% Cl 0.92-0.95).

CONCLUSION

Survival among ICU patients with limited treatment was higher than expected. Advanced age was not associated with higher mortality, potentially because treatment restrictions may be set more easily for older patients.

Preoperative Risk Assessment: A Poor Predictor of Outcome in Critically ill Elderly with Sepsis After Abdominal Surgery

Background

Postoperative outcome prediction in elderly is based on preoperative physical status but its predictive value is uncertain. The goal was to evaluate the value of risk assessment performed perioperatively in predicting outcome in case of admission to an intensive care unit (ICU).

Methods

A total of 108 postsurgical patients were retrospectively selected from a prospectively recorded database of 144 elderly septic patients (>70 years) admitted to the ICU department after elective or emergency abdominal surgery between 2012 and 2017. Perioperative risk assessment scores including Portsmouth Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality (P-POSSUM) and American Society of Anaesthesiologists Physical Status classification (ASA) were determined. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE IV) was obtained at ICU admission.

Results

In-hospital mortality was 48.9% in elderly requiring ICU admission after elective surgery (n = 45), compared to 49.2% after emergency surgery (n = 63). APACHE IV significantly predicted in-hospital mortality after complicated elective surgery [area under the curve 0.935 (p < 0.001)] where outpatient ASA physical status and P-POSSUM did not. In contrast, P-POSSUM and APACHE IV significantly predicted in-hospital mortality when based on current physical state in elderly requiring emergency surgery (AUC 0.769 (p = 0.002) and 0.736 (p = 0.006), respectively).

Conclusions

Perioperative risk assessment reflecting premorbid physical status of elderly loses its value when complications occur requiring unplanned ICU admission. Risks in elderly should be re-assessed based on current clinical condition prior to ICU admission, because outcome prediction is more reliable then.

The impact of frailty on mortality in older patients admitted to an Intensive Care Unit

OBJECTIVE

Frailty is a relatively new concept for intensivists, and is defined as a status of increased vulnerability to stressors associated with reduced reserve and function of different physiological systems. Supporting the hypothesis that frailty may be an important predictor of poor prognosis among older patients admitted to Intensive Care Unit (ICU), this study seeks to evaluate the association between frailty at ICU admission and short and long-term mortality.

DESIGN

An unmatched case-control study was carried out.

SETTING

Intensive Care Unit.

PATIENTS OR PARTICIPANTS

Patients≥80 years of age admitted to the ICU for medical reasons.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN VARIABLES OF INTEREST

The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, while secondary outcomes were ICU mortality and mortality at one year.

RESULTS

Most of the patients were classified as frail at ICU admission (55.3%). The prevalence of frailty was higher among those who died than in those who were alive within 30 days from ICU admission (62.3% vs 48.3%, p=0.01). One-year mortality was higher in frail (84.4%) than in non-frail patients (65.2%, p<0.001). In the logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for potential confounders such as chronic diseases, clinical complexity, cause of ICU admission and use of advanced procedures, frailty was seen to be significantly associated to one-year mortality, but not with ICU mortality or 30-day mortality.

DISCUSSION

The admission of geriatric patients to the ICU is increasing. Frailty assessment may play an important role in the clinical evaluation of such individuals for triage, but should not be considered a priori as an exclusion criterion for admission.

Clinical impact of frailty among patients with severe vital sign derangement: An observational study

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with increased morbidity and mortality and frail patients may have reduced ability to tolerate severe vital sign derangement such as estimated by a high National Early Warning Score (NEWS). The clinical impact of frailty among patients that develop high NEWS during hospital admissions is sparsely studied. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between clinical frailty and admission to intensive care unit (ICU) among these patients.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective observational study from November 2017 to January 2018. We included adult patients admitted to general wards that during hospitalization developed severe vital sign derangement defined as NEWS ≥7. Patients were without treatment restrictions at inclusion. Primary exposure was frailty as assessed by the Clinical Frailty Scale. Primary outcome was ICU admission within 90 days, which was analyzed using multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

We included 109 patients with NEWS ≥7, of which 61 patients (56%) were frail. Ten of the 61 frail patients (16%) were admitted to ICU compared to 9 of the 48 non-frail patients (19%), adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.92 (95% CI 0.32-2.62). Frail patients were more likely to have new treatment restrictions (aOR 2.91; 95% CI 1.26-6.71). Their aOR for mortality was 1.95 (95% CI 0.84-4.55).

CONCLUSION

Frail patients with severe vital sign derangement during acute hospital admissions were not more likely to be admitted to ICU nor was mortality higher. Treatment restrictions were more frequent among frail patients after vital sign derangements developed.

Long-term survival of elderly patients after intensive care unit admission for acute respiratory infection: a population-based, propensity score-matched cohort study

Background

Intensive care unit (ICU) hospitalisations of elderly patients with acute respiratory infection have increased, yet the long-term effects of ICU admission among elderly individuals remain unknown. We examined differences over the 2 years after discharge in mortality, healthcare utilisation and frailty score between elderly survivors of ARI in the ICU and an elderly control population.

Methods

We used 2009–2017 data from 39 hospital discharge databases. Patients ≥ 80 years old discharged alive from ICU hospitalisation for acute respiratory infection were propensity score-matched with controls (cataract surgery) discharged from the hospital at the same time and adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities present before hospitalisation. We reported 2-year mortality and compared healthcare utilisation and frailty scores in the 2-year periods before and after ICU hospitalisation.

Results

One thousand two hundred and twenty elderly survivors of acute respiratory infection in the ICU were discharged, and 988 were successfully matched with controls. After discharge, patients had a 10.1-fold [95% CI, 6.1–17.3] higher risk of death at 6 months and 3.6-fold [95% CI, 2.9–4.6] higher risk of death at 2 years compared with controls. They also had a 2-fold increase in both healthcare utilisation and frailty score in the 2 years after hospital discharge, whereas healthcare utilisation and frailty scores among controls were stable before and after hospitalisation.

Conclusions

We observed a substantially increased rate of death in the years following ICU hospitalisation for elderly patients along with elevated healthcare resource use and accelerated age-associated decline as assessed by frailty score. These findings provide data for better informed goals-of-care discussions and may help target post-ICU discharge services.

Outcomes of Intensive Care Patients Older Than 90 Years: An 11-Year National Observational Study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Many intensive care unit (ICU) physicians are reluctant to admit patients aged 90 years and older, although evidence to support these decisions is scarce. Although the body of evidence on outcomes of patients aged 80 years and older is growing, it does not include patients aged 90 years and older. The aim of this study was to compare the short- and long-term mortality of ICU patients aged 90 years and older in the Netherlands with ICU patients aged 80 to 90 years, that is, octogenarians.

DESIGN

Multicenter national cohort study over an 11-year period (2008-2018), using data of the National Intensive Care Evaluation (NICE) registry and the Dutch insurance claims registry.

SETTING

All 82 ICUs in the Netherlands.

PARTICIPANTS

All patients aged 80 years and older at the time of ICU admission.

MEASUREMENTS

A total of 104,754 patients aged 80 years and older, of whom 9,495 (9%) were 90 years and older, were admitted to Dutch ICUs during the study period.

RESULTS

ICU mortality of the patients aged 90 years and older was lower (13.8% vs 16.1%; P < .001) and hospital mortality was similar (26.1% vs 25.7%; P = .41) compared with octogenarians. After 3 months, mortality was higher for the patients aged 90 years and older (43.1% vs 33.7%; P < .001) and after 1-year mortality was 55.0% vs 42.7%; P < .001.

CONCLUSION

In the Netherlands, mortality rates of patients aged 90 years and older admitted to the ICU are not as disappointing as often assumed. They have a lower ICU mortality and a similar hospital mortality compared with octogenarians. Nevertheless, their longer term mortality is higher compared with octogenarians. However, almost 3 of 4 patients leave the hospital alive, and almost half of the patients aged 90 years and older are still alive 1 year after their ICU admission. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:1842-1846, 2020.

Poor outcome of octogenarians admitted to ICU due to periprosthetic joint infections: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Even though surgical techniques and implants have evolved, periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) remains a serious complication leading to poor postoperative outcome and a high mortality. The literature is lacking in studies reporting the mortality of very elderly patients with periprosthetic joint infections, especially in cases when an intensive care unit (ICU) treatment was necessary. We therefore present the first study analyzing patients with an age 80 and higher suffering from a periprosthetic joint infection who had to be admitted to the ICU.

Methods

All patients aged 80 and higher who suffered from a PJI (acute and chronic) after THR or TKR and who have been admitted to the ICU have been included in this retrospective, observational, single-center study.

Results

A total of 57 patients met the inclusion criteria. The cohort consisted of 24 males and 33 females with a mean age of 84.49 (± 4.0) years. The mean SAPS II score was 27.05 (± 15.7), the mean CCI was 3.35 (± 2.28) and the most patient had an ASA score of 3 or higher. The PJI was located at the hip in 71.9% or at the knee in 24.6%. Two patients (3.5%) suffered from a PJI at both locations. Sixteen patients did not survive the ICU stay. Non-survivors showed significantly higher CCI (4.94 vs. 2.73; p = 0.02), higher SAPS II score (34.06 vs. 24.32; p = 0.03), significant more patients who underwent an invasive ventilation (132.7 vs. 28.1; p = 0.006) and significantly more patients who needed RRT (4.9% vs. 50%; p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, RRT (odds ratio (OR) 15.4, CI 1.69–140.85; p = 0.015), invasive ventilation (OR 9.6, CI 1.28–71.9; p = 0.028) and CCI (OR 1.5, CI 1.004–2.12; p = 0.048) were independent risk factors for mortality.

Conclusion

Very elderly patients with PJI who needs to be admitted to the ICU are at risk to suffer from a poor outcome. Several risk factors including a chronic infection, high SAPS II Score, high CCI, invasive ventilation and RRT might be associated with a poor outcome.

Sepsis at ICU admission does not decrease 30-day survival in very old patients: a post-hoc analysis of the VIP1 multinational cohort study

Background

The number of intensive care patients aged ≥ 80 years (Very old Intensive Care Patients; VIPs) is growing. VIPs have high mortality and morbidity and the benefits of ICU admission are frequently questioned. Sepsis incidence has risen in recent years and identification of outcomes is of considerable public importance. We aimed to determine whether VIPs admitted for sepsis had different outcomes than those admitted for other acute reasons and identify potential prognostic factors for 30-day survival.

Results

This prospective study included VIPs with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores ≥ 2 acutely admitted to 307 ICUs in 21 European countries. Of 3869 acutely admitted VIPs, 493 (12.7%) [53.8% male, median age 83 (81–86) years] were admitted for sepsis. Sepsis was defined according to clinical criteria; suspected or demonstrated focus of infection and SOFA score ≥ 2 points. Compared to VIPs admitted for other acute reasons, VIPs admitted for sepsis were younger, had a higher SOFA score (9 vs. 7, p < 0.0001), required more vasoactive drugs [82.2% vs. 55.1%, p < 0.0001] and renal replacement therapies [17.4% vs. 9.9%; p < 0.0001], and had more life-sustaining treatment limitations [37.3% vs. 32.1%; p = 0.02]. Frailty was similar in both groups. Unadjusted 30-day survival was not significantly different between the two groups. After adjustment for age, gender, frailty, and SOFA score, sepsis had no impact on 30-day survival [HR 0.99 (95% CI 0.86–1.15), p = 0.917]. Inverse-probability weight (IPW)-adjusted survival curves for the first 30 days after ICU admission were similar for acute septic and non-septic patients [HR: 1.00 (95% CI 0.87–1.17), p = 0.95]. A matched-pair analysis in which patients with sepsis were matched with two control patients of the same gender with the same age, SOFA score, and level of frailty was also performed. A Cox proportional hazard regression model stratified on the matched pairs showed that 30-day survival was similar in both groups [57.2% (95% CI 52.7–60.7) vs. 57.1% (95% CI 53.7–60.1), p = 0.85].

Conclusions

After adjusting for organ dysfunction, sepsis at admission was not independently associated with decreased 30-day survival in this multinational study of 3869 VIPs. Age, frailty, and SOFA score were independently associated with survival.

Demographic Shifts, Case Mix, Activity, and Outcome for Elderly Patients Admitted to Adult General ICUs in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland

OBJECTIVES

Major increases in the proportion of elderly people in the population are predicted worldwide. These population increases, along with improving therapeutic options and more aggressive treatment of elderly patients, will have major impact on the future need for healthcare resources, including critical care. Our objectives were to explore the trends in admissions, resource use, and risk-adjusted hospital mortality for older patients, admitted over a 20-year period between 1997 and 2016 to adult general ICUs in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland.

DESIGN

RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL CLINICAL AUDIT DATABASE.

SETTING

The Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre Case Mix Programme Database, the national clinical audit for adult general ICUs in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland.

PATIENTS

All adult patients 16 years old or older admitted to adult general ICUs contributing data to the Case Mix Programme Database between January 1, 1997, and December 31, 2016.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The annual number, trends, and outcomes for patients across four age bands (16-64, 65-74, 75-84, and 85+ yr) admitted to ICUs contributing to the Case Mix Programme Database from 1997 to 2016 were examined. Case mix, activity, and outcome were described in detail for the most recent cohort of patients admitted in 2015-2016. Between 1997 to 2016, the annual number of admissions to ICU of patients in the older age bands increased disproportionately, with increases that could not be explained solely by general U.K. demographic shifts. The risk-adjusted acute hospital mortality decreased significantly within each age band over the 20-year period of the study. Although acute severity at ICU admission was comparable with that of the younger age group, apart from cardiovascular and renal dysfunction, older patients received less organ support. Older patients stayed longer in hospital post-ICU discharge, and hospital mortality increased with age, but the majority of patients surviving to hospital discharge returned home.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past two decades, elderly patients have been more commonly admitted to ICU than can be explained solely by the demographic shift. Importantly, as with the wider population, outcomes in elderly patients admitted to ICU are improving over time, with most patients returning home.

Community-acquired pneumonia in critically ill very old patients: a growing problem

Very old (aged ≥80 years) adults constitute an increasing proportion of the global population. Currently, this subgroup of patients represents an important percentage of patients admitted to the intensive care unit. Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) frequently affects very old adults. However, there are no specific recommendations for the management of critically ill very old CAP patients. Multiple morbidities, polypharmacy, immunosenescence and frailty contribute to an increased risk of pneumonia in this population. CAP in critically ill very old patients is associated with higher short- and long-term mortality; however, because of its uncommon presentation, diagnosis can be very difficult. Management of critically ill very old CAP patients should be guided by their baseline characteristics, clinical presentation and risk factors for multidrug-resistant pathogens. Hospitalisation in intermediate care may be a good option for critical ill very old CAP patients who do not require invasive procedures and for whom intensive care is questionable in terms of benefit.

There is currently no international recommendation for the management of critically ill older patients over 80 years of age with CAP. We report and discuss recent literature in order to help physicians in the decision-making process of these patients.http://bit.ly/2ql0mIz

[Geriatric intensive care : Consensus paper of DGIIN, DIVI, DGAI, DGGG, ÖGGG, ÖGIAIN, DGP, DGEM, DGD, DGNI, DGIM, DGKliPha and DGG]

The proportion of elderly, frail, and multimorbid people has increased dramatically in recent decades resulting from demographic changes and will further increase, which will impact acute medical care. Prospective, randomized studies on geriatric intensive care are still lacking. There are also no international or national recommendations regarding the management of critically ill elderly patients. Based on an expert opinion, this consensus paper provides 16 statements that should be considered when dealing with geriatric critical care patients.

Temporal change in characteristics and outcomes of acute kidney injury on renal replacement therapy in intensive care units: analysis of a nationwide administrative database in Japan, 2007-2016

Background

We aimed to examine recent trends in patient characteristics and mortality in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) receiving renal replacement therapy (RRT), including continuous RRT (CRRT) and intermittent RRT (IRRT), in intensive care units (ICUs).

Methods

From the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database in Japan during 6 months (July–December) from 2007 to 2016, we identified patients with AKI who received RRT in ICUs. We restricted the study participants to those admitted to hospitals (in which both CRRT and IRRT were available) that participated in the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database for all 10 years. We examined the trends in patient characteristics and mortality overall, by RRT modality, and by main diagnosis category subgroup. Logistic regression was used to adjust for patient characteristics.

Results

We identified 51,758 patients starting RRT in 287 hospitals, including 39,471 (76.3%) and 12,287 (23.7%) patients starting CRRT and IRRT. The crude in-hospital mortality declined from 44.9 to 36.1% (P for trend < 0.001). Compared with 2007, the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for in-hospital mortality was 0.66 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.60–0.72) in 2016, and the decreasing trend was observed in both patients starting CRRT (aOR 0.67, 95% CI 0.61–0.75) and IRRT (0.58, 0.45–0.74), and in all subgroups except for coronary artery disease: sepsis aOR 0.68 (95% CI 0.57–0.81); cardiovascular surgery 0.58 (0.45–0.76); coronary artery disease 0.84 (0.60–1.19); non-coronary heart disease 0.78 (0.64–0.94); central nervous system disorders 0.42 (0.28–0.62); trauma 0.39 (0.21–0.72); and other 0.64 (0.50–0.82).

Conclusions

This nationwide study confirmed a consistent decline in mortality among patients with AKI on RRT in ICUs. The adjusted mortality also declined during the study period; however, physiological variables were not measured in this study and it is possible that RRT may have been indicated for patients with less severe AKI in more recent years.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13054-019-2468-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cardiovascular Risks Associated with Gender and Aging

The aging and elderly population are particularly susceptible to cardiovascular disease. Age is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in adults, but these risks are compounded by additional factors, including frailty, obesity, and diabetes. These factors are known to complicate and enhance cardiac risk factors that are associated with the onset of advanced age. Sex is another potential risk factor in aging adults, given that older females are reported to be at a greater risk for CVD than age-matched men. However, in both men and women, the risks associated with CVD increase with age, and these correspond to an overall decline in sex hormones, primarily of estrogen and testosterone. Despite this, hormone replacement therapies are largely shown to not improve outcomes in older patients and may also increase the risks of cardiac events in older adults. This review discusses current findings regarding the impacts of age and gender on heart disease.

Post-intensive care unit respiratory failure in older patients liberated from intensive care unit and ventilator: The predictive value of the National Early Warning Score on intensive care unit discharge

AIM

The older adult population is continuously growing worldwide and there is increasing use of medical recourse in older patients, especially for those requiring intensive care unit (ICU) care and mechanical ventilation (MV). The present study aimed to investigate the burden and predictors of post-ICU respiratory failure in older ICU patients weaned from MV.

METHODS

In the present retrospective study, older ICU patients aged ≥60 years, who were successfully weaned from MV and discharged to the general ward from the ICU of Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, in 2011, were included. Biomarkers on ICU discharge, as well as the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) were recorded and calculated. The outcome measure was post-ICU respiratory failure before day 14 (PIRF-14) requiring reinstitution of MV. Logistical regression was used to assess the predictors for PIRF-14.

RESULTS

Of 272 patients included, 23 (8.5%) developed PIRF-14. The post-ICU in-hospital mortality rates were 47.8% and 6.8% in patients with and without PIRF-14 (adjusted OR 12.597, 95% CI 4.368-36.331). In a multivariate analysis, the levels of NEWS and hemoglobin on ICU discharge were independent predictors for PIRF-14 (adjusted OR 1.273, 95% CI 1.076-1.507 and 0.645, 95% CI 0.474-0.879). In particular, patients with a NEWS of ≥10 and subsequent PIRF-14 had a 15-fold increased risk of mortality as compared with those without both factors (adjusted OR 15.418, 95% CI 4.344-54.720).

CONCLUSIONS

PIRF-14 is associated with high mortality in older ICU patients, and NEWS is a significant predictor for PIRF-14, which could be used to early identify patients at risk of post-ICU respiratory failure in the specific population. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2019; 19: 317-322.

Risk factors for mortality in elderly and very elderly critically ill patients with sepsis: a prospective, observational, multicenter cohort study

Background

Age has been traditionally considered a risk factor for mortality in elderly patients admitted to intensive care units. The aim of this prospective, observational, multicenter cohort study is to determine the risk factors for mortality in elderly and very elderly critically ill patients with sepsis.

Results

A total of 1490 patients with ≥ 65 years of age were included in the study; most of them 1231 (82.6%) had a cardiovascular failure. The mean age (± SD) was 74.5 (± 5.6) years, and 876 (58.8%) were male. The patients were divided into two cohorts: (1) elderly: 65–79 years and (2) very elderly: ≥ 80 years. The overall hospital mortality was 48.8% (n = 727) and was significantly higher in very elderly compared to elderly patients (54.2% vs. 47.4%; p = 0.02). Factors independently associated with mortality were APACHE II score of the disease, patient location at sepsis diagnosis, development of acute kidney injury, and thrombocytopenia in the group of elderly patients. On the other hand, in the group of very elderly patients, predictors of hospital mortality were age, APACHE II score, and prompt adherence of the resuscitation bundle.

Conclusion

This prospective multicenter study found that patients aged 80 or over had higher hospital mortality compared to patients between 65 and 79 years. Age was found to be an independent risk factor only in the very elderly group, and prompt therapy provided within the first 6 h of resuscitation was associated with a reduction in hospital mortality in the very elderly patients.

Healthcare-related costs in very elderly intensive care patients

INTRODUCTION

The long-term outcome of "very old intensive care unit patients" (VOPs; ≥ 80 years) is often disappointing. Little is known about the healthcare costs of these VOPs in comparison to younger ICU patients and the very elderly in the general population not admitted to the ICU.

METHODS

Data from a national health insurance claims database and a national quality registry for ICUs were combined. Costs of VOPs admitted to the ICU in 2013 were compared with costs of younger ICU patients (two groups, respectively 18-65 and 65-80 years old) and a matched control group of very elderly subjects who were not admitted to the ICU. We compared median costs and median costs per day alive in the year before ICU admission (2012), the year of ICU admission (2013) and the year after ICU admission (2014).

RESULTS

A total of 9272 VOPs were included and compared to three equally sized study groups. Median costs for VOPs in 2012, 2013 and 2014 (€5944, €35,653 and €12,565) are higher compared to the ICU 18-65 population (€3022, €30,223 and €5052, all p < 0.001) and the very elderly control population (€3590, €4238 and €4723, all p < 0.001). Compared to the ICU 65-80 population, costs of VOPs are higher in the year before and after ICU admission (€4323 and €6750, both p < 0.001), but not in the year of ICU admission (€34,448, p = 0.950). The median healthcare costs per day alive in the year before, the year of and the year after ICU admission are all higher for VOPs than for the other groups (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

VOPs required more healthcare resources in the year before, the year of and the year after ICU admission compared to younger ICU patients and the very elderly control population, except compared to the ICU 65-80 population in the year of ICU admission. Healthcare costs per day alive, however, are substantially higher for VOPs than for all other study groups in all three studied years.

Ethical implications of population ageing in the intensive care unit

Population ageing has significant ethical implications in the management of elderly patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). In the aspects of beneficence and non-maleficence, conflicting evidence has long existed regarding an association of older age with poorer prognosis, but elderly patients who have poor prognosis in the ICU may have a worse outcome if not admitted. More randomised controlled studies are needed to study the benefits of ICU admission to different subgroups of critically ill elderly patients. The acute care for the elderly unit could be developed to provide more comprehensive care to the elderly. ICU resource rationing should follow clear guidelines with a pluralistic strategy of distributive justice, which incorporates the core proposition of "veil of ignorance" with the anti-ageist and equalist view so that age itself should not be a criterion but any associated risks with age confirmed by studies should be taken into account of assessing prognosis and outcome. There may be a need for improvement in protection for patients' right to autonomy in the ICU.

Prevalence and outcomes of accidental hypothermia among elderly patients in Japan: Data from the J-Point registry

AIM

We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and outcomes of accidental hypothermia (AH) among elderly patients in Japan.

METHODS

This was a multicenter chart review study of patients with AH (Japanese accidental hypothermia network registry; J-Point registry) that included patients with a body temperature ≤35 °C and those aged ≥18 years who visited the emergency department of 12 institutions in Japan from 1 April 2011 to 31 March 2016. The patients were classified into three groups: adult (aged 18-64 years), young-old (aged 65-79 years) and old-old (aged ≥80 years). The association between each age category and in-hospital mortality from AH was examined through a multivariable logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 572 patients were registered in the J-Point registry database, of which 537 were included. The proportion of individuals who developed AH in an indoor setting was higher in the old-old group than in the adult group (86.9% [226/260] vs 61.1% [87/113]). The in-hospital mortality rates of the adult, young-old and old-old groups were 15.0% (17/113), 21.3% (35/164) and 30.4% (79/260), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, the in-hospital mortality rate was higher in the young-old and old-old groups than in the adult group (young-old vs adult, adjusted odds ratio: 2.31 and 95% confidence interval 1.16-4.64; old-old vs adult, adjusted odds ratio: 2.91 and 95% confidence interval 1.41-6.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately 80% of patients with AH were aged ≥65 years. The in-hospital mortality rate of patients aged ≥65 years was significantly higher than that of those aged <65 years. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2018; 18: 1427-1432.