Are environmental risk factors for current wheeze in the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) phase three due to reverse causation?

Potential asthma risk factors do not account for global asthma symptom prevalence patterns and time trends in children and adolescents

Background

The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) and the Global Asthma Network (GAN) conducted a series of global asthma prevalence surveys, between 1990 and 2020, in adolescents aged 13-14 and children aged 6-7 years. We used them to assess whether potential asthma risk factors explain global asthma symptom prevalence trends over this period.

Method

We fitted mixed-effects linear regression models to estimate associations between centre-level risk factor prevalence and both the mid-point asthma symptom prevalence and the change per decade. We also estimated the 2019 asthma symptom prevalence across all included centres.

Results

For adolescents, across 50 centres in 26 countries there was weak evidence that decreasing asthma prevalence over time was associated with regular fast-food consumption and frequent television viewing. However, frequent television viewing, along with heavy truck traffic, were associated with higher prevalence of asthma symptoms at the study mid-point. For children, across 41 centres in 21 countries, no risk factors were associated with time trends in asthma symptom prevalence, but truck traffic and paracetamol in the first year of life were associated with higher mid-point prevalence.We estimated the 2019 asthma symptom prevalence, across a total of 124 centres, to be 12.8% (11.4%, 14.2%) with little evidence of a difference by age. Low-income countries had lower prevalence (children 5.2% [2.5%, 7.8%], adolescents 5.3% [2.8%, 7.8%]), than lower-middle-, upper-middle- and high-income countries (all approximately 14-15%). Including risk factors in the models did not change the estimates.

Conclusion

Potential asthma risk factors do not seem to explain the global prevalence patterns or time trends. Country income accounts for some of the differences, but the unexplained variation is very high.

Investigation of the presence of atopy in children visiting the paediatric cardiology department due to chest pain

BACKGROUND

The cases of chest pain in children are usually not of cardiac origin.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate asthma and other atopic diseases in children with chest pain not of cardiac origin.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Children aged 6-18 years who were seen for chest pain were included in the study. Haematologic parameters, pulmonary function tests, and skin prick tests were performed. Atopic diseases and environmental factors were investigated.

RESULTS

The non-cardiac chest pain group (Group 1) included 88 children (female: 53.4%) with a mean age of 11.9 ± 3.4 years; the control group (Group 2) included 29 children (female: 53.8%) with a mean age of 11.4±2 years (p > 0.05). A family history of atopy (22.7%) and skin prick test positivity (28.4%) was more common in Group 1 than Group 2 (p = 0.006 and p = 0.017, respectively). The rate of presence of all environmental factors except stove use and mould was significantly higher in Group 1 (54.5%) than Group 2 (3.4%) (p < 0.001). Asthma was diagnosed in 44.3% and allergic rhinitis in 9.1% of patients in Group 1. Idiopathic chest pain, musculoskeletal system disorders, gastroesophageal reflux, and pneumonia were identified in 23.9%, 11.4%, 8%, and 3.4% of patients in Group 1, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the most common cause of non-cardiac chest pain was asthma. The local prevalence of asthma is higher than normal, and this may have affected the results of this study. A detailed history and physical examination will accurately establish the cause of chest pain in most children.

Global, regional, and national burden of asthma and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

The burden of asthma in terms of premature death or reduced quality of life remains a huge issue. It is of great importance to evaluate asthma burden geographically and time trends from 1990 to 2019 and to assess the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects at global level.

METHODS

Asthma prevalence, deaths, and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) as well as risk-attributable burden were collected from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 database and were compared by age and sex. The Smoothing Splines models were used to estimate the relationship between asthma DALYs and the sociodemographic index (SDI). The Age-Period-Cohort model was used to determine effects of ages, periods, and birth cohorts on disease rates.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2019, the declines were 24.05% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] - 27.24 to - 20.82) in age-standardized asthma prevalence, 51.3% (- 59.08 to - 43.71) in mortality, and 42.55% (- 48.48 to - 36.61) in DALYs rate. However, the burden of asthma continued to rise, with an estimated 262.41 million prevalent cases globally (95% UI 224.05 to 309.45). Asthma caused greater DALYs in females than in males among people aged 20 years and older. The lowest age-standardized DALYs rate was observed at a SDI of approximately 0.70. The Longitudinal age curves showed an approximate W-shaped pattern for asthma prevalence and a likely J-shaped pattern for asthma mortality. The period effect on prevalence and mortality of asthma decreased from 1990 to 2019. Compared with the 1955-1959 birth cohort, the prevalence relative risk (RR) of asthma was highest in the 1905-1909 birth cohort, whereas the mortality RR continued to decline. At the global level, the percentages of high body-mass index, occupational asthmagens, and smoking contributing to DALYs due to asthma were 16.94%, 8.82%, and 9.87%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the age-standardized rates of asthma burden declined in the past 30 years, the overall burden of asthma remains severe. High body mass index becomes the most important risk factor for DALYs due to asthma at the global level.

Asthma occurrence in children and early life systemic antibiotic use: an incidence density study

BACKGROUND

Results of studies evaluating the relationship between asthma occurrence and early life antibiotic use have been conflicting. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between occurrence of asthma in children and systemic antibiotic use in the first year of life based on an incidence density study with careful consideration of the temporal aspects of the determinant-outcome relationship.

METHODS

We conducted an incidence density study nested in a data collection project with information on 1128 mother-child pairs. Systemic antibiotic use in the first year of life was defined as excessive (≥ 4 courses) vs. non-excessive (< 4 courses) use based on information from weekly diaries. Events (cases) were defined as the first parent-reported occurrence of asthma in a child between 1 and 10 years of age. Population time 'at risk' was probed by sampling population moments (controls). Missing data were imputed. Multiple logistic regression was used to assess the association between current first asthma occurrence (incidence density) and systemic antibiotic use in the first year of life, to evaluate effect modification and adjust for confounding.

RESULTS

Forty-seven first asthma events and 147 population moments were included. Excessive systemic antibiotic use in the first year of life showed more than twice the incidence density of asthma compared to non-excessive use (adjusted IDR [95% CI]: 2.18 [0.98, 4.87], p = 0.06). The association was more pronounced in children who have had lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) in the first year of life compared to children who had no LRTIs in the first year of life (adjusted IDR [95% CI]: 5.17 [1.19, 22.52] versus 1.49 [0.54, 4.14]).

CONCLUSIONS

Excessive use of systemic antibiotics in the first year of life may play a role in the genesis of asthma in children. This effect is modified by the occurrence of LRTIs in the first year of life, with a stronger association observed in children experiencing LRTIs in the first year of life.

The burden of asthma among children and adolescents in Saudi Arabia: A national cross-sectional survey

Background

Asthma disease is one of the most common chronic diseases of childhood. Studies assessing asthma prevalence in Saudi Arabia have been variable and not recently updated.

Objectives

We sought to assess asthma prevalence, severity, and related risk factors among children and adolescents in Saudi Arabia.

Methods

A national, cross-sectional design was used following the Global Asthma Network phase I design. A total of 3817 children aged 6 to 7 years and 4138 adolescents aged 13 to 14 years were recruited from 137 primary and 140 intermediate schools across 20 regions by using a multistage stratified cluster sampling technique. Standardized written questionnaires were answered by the adolescents and by the parents or guardians of the children. The adolescents also answered a video-based questionnaire.

Results

Overall, the prevalences of current wheeze were 10.4% and 13.3% and the prevalences of asthma ever were 13.8% and 15.7%, % in children and adolescents, respectively. Of all the children and adolescents, 5.2% and 5.6% had symptoms of severe asthma, respectively. Among those who reported asthma, 86.0% of the children and 74.8% of the adolescents had their asthma confirmed by a doctor, and 53.0% and 32.4%, respectively, were provided with a written plan to control their asthma. The main risk factors associated with current wheeze included antibiotic use in the first year of life, a history of being diagnosed with pneumonia in children, paracetamol use, and having a cat at home during the past 12 months in adolescents.

Conclusions

The prevalence of asthma in children and adolescents in Saudi Arabia is within the average international range and is at a plateau phase.

Asthma, bronchitis respiratory symptoms, allergies and home environment: how are they related?

Introduction

Home environmental conditions can affect the prevalence of childhood asthma and allergies.

Aim

To assess the relationship between the prevalence of childhood asthma, bronchitis, and allergies and the condition of the home environment.

Material and methods

In 2018 and 2019, a cross-sectional study on 2932 children from elementary schools in the Silesian Voivodship (Southern Poland) was conducted. The questionnaire was based on the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC). In order to determine the association between the home environment (presence of moulds, furry pets) and respiratory symptoms and diseases, a logistic regression analysis was performed by calculating the odds ratio (OR), determining p < 0.05 as the level of significance.

Results

Asthma risk factors were male sex, heating with solid fuel and presence of moulds. The prevalence of respiratory symptoms, bronchitis, and allergic diseases is statistically more common with the presence of moulds in dwellings. A protective effect of the presence of pets on the prevalence of asthma (OR = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.59–0.99), allergy to pet allergens (OR = 0.59; 95% CI: 0.45–0.76), allergy to house dust mite (OR = 0.70; 95% CI: 0.56–0.87) and wheeze in the last 12 months (OR = 0.70; 95% CI: 0.54–0.91) and ever (OR = 0.85; 95% CI: 0.70–1.02) was observed.

Conclusions

The study confirmed the known adverse influence of the presence of moulds and heating with solid fuel on the prevalence of asthma, bronchitis, respiratory symptoms and allergic diseases. The protective influence of pets on the occurrence of the health disorders under study was demonstrated.

Association of infant antibiotic exposure and risk of childhood asthma: A meta-analysis

Background

Infant antibiotic exposure may be associated with childhood asthma development.

Objective

To examine and detail this association considering potential confounders.

Study design

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched for publications from January 2011 to March 2021. Eligible studies were independently reviewed to extract data and assess quality. Random effect model was used to pool odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

A total of 52 studies were included. The association of infant antibiotic exposure and childhood asthma was statistically significant for overall analysis (OR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.29-1.45) and for studies that addressed reverse causation (RC) and confounding by indication (CbI) (1.19; 95% CI, 1.11-1.28). Significance remained after stratification by adjustment for maternal antibiotic exposure, medical consultation, sex, smoke exposure, parental allergy, birth weight, and delivery mode. In detailed analyses, macrolides (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.31-1.86), antibiotic course≥5 (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.36-2.36), exposure within 1 week of birth (OR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.34-2.47), asthma developed among 1-3 years (OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.63-2.08), short time lag between exposure and asthma onset (OR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.91-2.20), persistent asthma (OR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.49-4.59), and atopic asthma (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.58-2.90) showed higher pooled estimates.

Conclusion

Infant antibiotic exposure is associated with increased risk of childhood asthma considering confounding, and the association varied with different settings of exposure and outcomes. This highlights the need for prevention of asthma after early antibiotic exposure. Heterogeneity among studies called for caution when interpretation.

Worldwide trends in the burden of asthma symptoms in school-aged children: Global Asthma Network Phase I cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Asthma is the most common chronic disease in children globally. The Global Asthma Network (GAN) Phase I study aimed to determine if the worldwide burden of asthma symptoms is changing.

METHODS

This updated cross-sectional study used the same methods as the International study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase III. Asthma symptoms were assessed from centres that completed GAN Phase I and ISAAC Phase I (1993-95), ISAAC Phase III (2001-03), or both. We included individuals from two age groups (children aged 6-7 years and adolescents aged 13-14 years) who self-completed written questionnaires at school. We estimated the 10-year rate of change in prevalence of current wheeze, severe asthma symptoms, ever having asthma, exercise wheeze, and night cough (defined by core questions in the questionnaire) for each centre, and we estimated trends across world regions and income levels using mixed-effects linear regression models with region and country income level as confounders.

FINDINGS

Overall, 119 795 participants from 27 centres in 14 countries were included: 74 361 adolescents (response rate 90%) and 45 434 children (response rate 79%). About one in ten individuals of both age groups had wheeze in the preceding year, of whom almost half had severe symptoms. Most centres showed a change in prevalence of 2 SE or more between ISAAC Phase III to GAN Phase I. Over the 27-year period (1993-2020), adolescents showed a significant decrease in percentage point prevalence per decade in severe asthma symptoms (-0·37, 95% CI -0·69 to -0·04) and an increase in ever having asthma (1·25, 0·67 to 1·83) and night cough (4·25, 3·06 to 5·44), which was also found in children (3·21, 1·80 to 4·62). The prevalence of current wheeze decreased in low-income countries (-1·37, -2·47 to -0·27], in children and -1·67, -2·70 to -0·64, in adolescents) and increased in lower-middle-income countries (1·99, 0·33 to 3·66, in children and 1·69, 0·13 to 3·25, in adolescents), but it was stable in upper-middle-income and high-income countries.

INTERPRETATION

Trends in prevalence and severity of asthma symptoms over the past three decades varied by age group, country income, region, and centre. The high worldwide burden of severe asthma symptoms would be mitigated by enabling access to effective therapies for asthma.

FUNDING

International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Boehringer Ingelheim New Zealand, AstraZeneca Educational Grant, National Institute for Health Research, UK Medical Research Council, European Research Council, and Instituto de Salud Carlos III.

Reporting of "Theoretical Design" in Explanatory Research: A Critical Appraisal of Research on Early Life Exposure to Antibiotics and the Occurrence of Asthma

“Theoretical design” comprises the development of an occurrence relation and the specification of the study domain. In explanatory research, the occurrence relation causally relates one determinant to the occurrence (of an event or a state) taking into account other relevant characteristics (confounders and modifiers). Conflicting results in explanatory research might be (partially) explained by differences in the “theoretical design” or by a mismatch between the “theoretical design” and the “design of data collection”. In this critical review, the reporting of “theoretical design” is assessed in articles on the association between early life antibiotic use and the occurrence of asthma. Articles investigating a relationship between early life antibiotic use and the occurrence of asthma were searched in PubMed and systematically selected for critical review. The full text was read and important elements of study design were extracted (the research question/hypothesis, seven key elements of “theoretical design” (measure of occurrence, case (event or state) definition, conceptualization (and operationalization) of the exposure, temporal relation between outcome and exposure, confounders and effect modifiers taken into account and the domain of the study), the method of data collection and the method of data processing). A comparison was made between articles published before and after the publication of the “Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology” (STROBE) statement (2007). Sixty-three articles were included for review. Thirteen articles reported the seven key elements of “theoretical design” that were questioned. No marked differences in reporting were observed pre- and post-STROBE. All articles reported some key elements of “theoretical design”; however, the reporting is not structured and not linked to the concept of “theoretical design”. Conceptualizing, delineating and explicit reporting of “theoretical design” is quintessential for the quality and transparency of explanatory research.

Identification and seasonality of rhinovirus and respiratory syncytial virus in asthmatic children in tropical climate

INTRODUCTION

Asthma is a disease that has been associated with the presence of different genetic and socio-environmental factors.

OBJECTIVE

To identify and evaluate the seasonality of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and human rhinovirus (RV) in asthmatic children and adolescents in tropical climate, as well as to assess the socioeconomic and environmental factors involved.

METHODS

The study was conducted in a referral hospital, where a total of 151 children were recruited with a respiratory infection. The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) protocol and a questionnaire were applied, and a skin prick test was performed. The nasal swab was collected to detect RV and RSV through molecular assay. National Meteorological Institute (INMET) database was the source of climatic information.

RESULTS

The socio-environmental characterization of asthmatic children showed the family history of allergy, disturbed sleep at night, dry cough, allergic rhinitis, individuals sensitized to at least one mite. We identified RV in 75% of children with asthma and 66.7% of RSV in children with asthma. There was an association between the presence of RV and the dry season whereas the presence of the RSV was associated with the rainy season. Contributing to these results, a negative correlation was observed between the RSV and the wind speed and the maximum temperature (T. Max) and a positive correlation with precipitation.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest a high prevalence of RV and RSV in asthmatic children and the seasonality of these viruses were present in different climatic periods. This has significant implications for understanding short- and long-term clinical complications in asthmatic patients.

Trends in worldwide asthma prevalence

This review of trends in worldwide asthma prevalence starts with defining how asthma prevalence is measured in populations and how it is analysed. Four population studies of asthma across at least two regions are described: European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS), the International Study of Wheezing in Infants (EISL), the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) and the World Health Survey (WHS). Two of these (ISAAC and WHS) covered all the regions of the world; each using its own standardised questionnaire-based methodology with cross-sectional study design, suitable for large populations. EISL (2005 and 2012) and ISAAC (1996-1997 and 2002-2003) have undertaken a second cross-sectional population survey from which trends are available: EISL in three centres in two countries; ISAAC 106 centres in 56 countries (13-14 year olds) and 66 centres in 37 countries (6-7 year olds). Key results from these studies are presented. Unfortunately, there is no new worldwide data outside of EISL since 2003. Global Burden of Disease estimates of asthma prevalence have varied greatly. Recent reliable worldwide data on asthma prevalence and trends is needed; the Global Asthma Network Phase I will provide this in 2021.

Global Asthma Network Phase I study in Mexico: prevalence of asthma symptoms, risk factors and altitude associations-a cross-sectional study

Background

Global Asthma Network (GAN) was established in 2012 as a development to the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood to improve asthma care globally.

Objective

To survey asthma, allergic rhinitis and atopic dermatitis in primary and secondary school children and to investigate and evaluate its prevalence, severity, management and risk factors in Mexico.

Methods

GAN Phase I is a cross-sectional, multicentre survey carried out in 15 centres corresponding to 14 Mexican cities throughout 2016–2019 using the validated Spanish language version of the GAN Phase I questionnaires. The questionnaires were completed by parents of 6–7-year-old primary school pupils (school children) and by 13–14-year-old adolescents.

Results

A total of 35 780 school children and 41 399 adolescents participated. Wheezing ever prevalence was 26.2% (95% CI 25.8% to 26.7%) in school children and 23.9% (95% CI 23.4% to 24.3%) in adolescents. The corresponding frequencies for current wheeze were 10.2% (95% CI 9.9% to 10.5%) and 11.6% (95% CI 11.2% to 11.9%). In school children, the risk factors for current wheeze were rhinitis (OR 4.484; 95% CI 3.915% to 5.134%) and rash symptoms (OR 1.735; 95% CI 1.461% to 2.059%). For adolescents, rhinitis symptoms (OR 3.492; 95% CI 3.188% to 3.825%) and allergic rhinitis diagnosis (OR 2.144; 95% CI 1.787% to 2.572%) were the most significant. For both groups, there was a negative relation with centres’ sea level altitude higher than 1500 m above mean sea level (p<0.005).

Conclusions

The most important risk factors for asthma symptoms in both age groups were the presence of rhinitis and rash symptoms or diagnosis. On the other hand, sea level altitude higher than 1500 metres was a protective factor.

Developments allergy in 2019 through the eyes of Clinical and Experimental Allergy, Part II clinical allergy

In the second of two linked articles, we describe the development in clinical as described by Clinical & Experimental Allergy and other journals in 2019. Epidemiology, clinical allergy, asthma and rhinitis are all covered. In this article, we described the development in the field of allergy as described by Clinical and Experimental Allergy in 2019. Epidemiology, clinical allergy, asthma and rhinitis are all covered.

Comparison of individual-level and population-level risk factors for rhinoconjunctivitis, asthma, and eczema in the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase Three

Background

Symptoms of asthma, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis, and atopic eczema in children cluster at both the individual and population levels.

Objectives

To assess individual-level and school-level risk factors for symptoms of rhinoconjunctivitis and compare them to corresponding associations with symptoms of asthma and eczema in Phase Three of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood.

Methods

We studied 116,863 children aged 6–7 years from 2163 schools in 59 centres and 22 countries and 224,436 adolescents aged 13–14 years from 2037 schools in 97 centres in 41 countries. Multilevel logistic regression models were fitted with random intercepts for school, centre, and country, adjusting for sex and maternal education at the child level. Associations between symptoms and a range of lifestyle and environmental risk factors were assessed for both the child's exposure and mean exposure at the school. Models were fitted for rhinoconjunctivitis, asthma, and eczema singly (unimorbidity) and for combinations of these conditions (multimorbidity).

Results

Generally, associations between symptoms and exposures at the school level were similar in direction and magnitude to those at the child level. Associations with multimorbidity were stronger than for unimorbidity, particularly in individuals with symptoms of all three diseases, but risk factor associations found in conventional single disease analyses persisted among children with only one condition, after excluding multimorbid groups.

Comparisons of individuals with only one disease showed that many risk factor associations were consistent across the three conditions. More strongly associated with asthma were low birthweight, cat exposure in infancy, and current maternal smoking. Current paracetamol use was more strongly associated with asthma and rhinoconjunctivitis than eczema. Breastfeeding was more strongly associated with eczema than asthma or rhinoconjunctivitis.

The direction and magnitude of most risk factor associations were similar in affluent and non-affluent countries, although notable exceptions include farm animal contact in infancy and larger sibships, which were associated with increased risk of rhinoconjunctivitis in non-affluent countries but reduced risk in affluent countries. In both age groups, current paracetamol use increased risk of each disease to a greater extent in affluent countries than in non-affluent countries. Effects of paracetamol and antibiotics in infancy were more consistent between richer and poorer settings.

Conclusions

Most of the environmental and lifestyle correlates of rhinoconjunctivitis, asthma and eczema in childhood display similarity across the three conditions, even in less affluent settings where allergic sensitisation is less likely to explain the concordant epidemiological patterns.

Trial registration

Not applicable.

Risk of respiratory hospital admission associated with modelled concentrations of Aspergillus fumigatus from composting facilities in England

Bioaerosols have been associated with adverse respiratory-related health effects and are emitted in elevated concentrations from composting facilities. We used modelled Aspergillus fumigatus concentrations, a good indicator for bioaerosol emissions, to assess associations with respiratory-related hospital admissions. Mean daily Aspergillus fumigatus concentrations were estimated for each composting site for first full year of permit issue from 2005 onwards to 2014 for Census Output Areas (COAs) within 4 km of 76 composting facilities in England, as previously described (Williams et al., 2019). We fitted a hierarchical generalized mixed model to examine the risk of hospital admission with a primary diagnosis of (i) any respiratory condition, (ii) respiratory infections, (iii) asthma, (iv) COPD, (v) diseases due to organic dust, and (vi) Cystic Fibrosis, in relation to quartiles of Aspergillus fumigatus concentrations. Models included a random intercept for each COA to account for over-dispersion, nested within composting facility, on which a random intercept was fitted to account for clustering of the data, with adjustments for age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation, tobacco sales (smoking proxy) and traffic load (as a proxy for traffic-related air pollution). We included 249,748 respiratory-related and 3163 Cystic Fibrosis hospital admissions in 9606 COAs with a population-weighted centroid within 4 km of the 76 included composting facilities. After adjustment for confounders, no statistically significant effect was observed for any respiratory-related (Relative Risk (RR) = 0.99; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.96-1.01) or for Cystic Fibrosis (RR = 1.01; 95% CI 0.56-1.83) hospital admissions for COAs in the highest quartile of exposure. Similar results were observed across all respiratory disease sub-groups. This study does not provide evidence for increased risks of respiratory-related hospitalisations for those living near composting facilities. However, given the limitations in the dispersion modelling, risks cannot be completely ruled out. Hospital admissions represent severe respiratory episodes, so further study would be needed to investigate whether bioaerosols emitted from composting facilities have impacts on less severe episodes or respiratory symptoms.

Pet-Keeping in Relation to Asthma, Rhinitis, and Eczema Symptoms Among Adolescents in Kuwait: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background: Findings on the associations between household pet-keeping and allergic diseases, including asthma, rhinitis, and eczema, have been contradictory, with investigations reporting positive, negative, and null associations. This study sought to estimate the prevalence of pet-keeping among families in Kuwait and to assess the associations between pet-keeping and symptoms of allergic diseases among adolescents. Methods: Schoolchildren aged 11-14 years (n = 3,864) were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. The children's parents completed questionnaires regarding their child's environmental exposures, including pet-keeping in the past 12 months, and clinical history and symptoms of allergic diseases. Associations were assessed using Poisson regression with robust variance estimation, and adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated. Results: Pet-keeping in the past 12 months was reported by 42.8% of the participating families. Birds, cats, rabbits, fish, and dogs were kept by 28.3, 13.2, 7.8, 3.9, and 3.1% of all households, respectively. Current cat ownership was significantly associated with current wheezing (aPR 1.29, 95% CI 1.05-1.58), current rhinitis symptoms (aPR 1.18, 95% CI 1.02-1.36), and ever doctor-diagnosed eczema (aPR 1.25, 95% CI 1.03-1.50). Current rabbit-keeping was positively associated with multiple symptoms of asthma (e.g., study-defined current asthma: aPR 1.38, 95% CI 1.04-1.82) and eczema (e.g., severe eczema: aPR 1.94, 95% CI 1.02-3.71). Similarly, current bird-keeping was associated with study-defined current rhinitis (aPR 1.19, 95% CI 1.05-1.41) and current itchy rash (aPR 1.27, 95% CI 1.10-1.46). Conclusions: Household pet-keeping is very common and diverse in Kuwait and was found to be positively associated with symptoms of allergic diseases among adolescents. The findings of associations between rabbit-keeping and symptoms of asthma and eczema add to the existing literature and further highlight the importance of considering the pet type when assessing such associations.

Are environmental risk factors for current wheeze in the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) phase three due to reverse causation?

BACKGROUND

Phase Three of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) measured the global prevalence of symptoms of asthma in children. We undertook comprehensive analyses addressing risk factors for asthma symptoms in combination, at both the individual and the school level, to explore the potential role of reverse causation due to selective avoidance or confounding by indication.

OBJECTIVE

To explore the role of reverse causation in risk factors of asthma symptoms.

METHODS

We compared two sets of multilevel logistic regression analyses, using (a) individual level exposure data and (b) school level average exposure (ie prevalence), in two different age groups. In individual level analyses, reverse causation is a possible concern if individual level exposure statuses were changed as a result of asthma symptoms or diagnosis. School level analyses may suffer from ecologic confounding, but reverse causation is less of a concern because individual changes in exposure status as a result of asthma symptoms would only have a small effect on overall school exposure levels.

RESULTS

There were 131 924 children aged 6-7 years (2428 schools, 25 countries) with complete exposure, outcome and confounder data. The strongest associations in individual level analyses (fully adjusted) were for current paracetamol use (odds ratio = 2.06; 95% confidence interval 1.97-2.16), early life antibiotic use (1.65; 1.58-1.73) and open fire cooking (1.44; 1.26-1.65). In school level analyses, these risk factors again showed increased risks. There were 238 586 adolescents aged 13-14 years (2072 schools, 42 countries) with complete exposure, outcome and confounder data. The strongest associations in individual level analyses (fully adjusted) were for current paracetamol use (1.80; 1.75-1.86), cooking on an open fire (1.32; 1.22-1.43) and maternal tobacco use (1.23; 1.18-1.27). In school level analyses, these risk factors again showed increased risks.

CONCLUSIONS & CLINICAL RELEVANCE

These analyses strengthen the potentially causal interpretation of previously reported individual level findings, by providing evidence against reverse causation.