Ethnic disparities in risk of cardiovascular disease, end-stage renal disease and all-cause mortality: a prospective study among Asian people with Type 2 diabetes

"They [Doctors] Don't Really Know What We're Actually Experiencing": Undoing Racializing Frames of Heart Health in Singapore by Centering Listening as Method

The mainstream media and local health campaigns in Singapore racialize heart health disparities. Journalists and campaigners report differences in heart health outcomes from a model of race governance known as the Chinese, Malay, Indian, and Others (CMIO) model. This model is then used to frame heart health inequities as an outcome of poor cultural practices and behaviors tied to race. To (un)do the racializing frames of heart health as outcomes of cultural behaviors and practices, I instead center stories of heart health management by Malay participants from lower-income households, identifying the role information asymmetries play in incomplete heart health information retrieval during interactions with providers (social service providers, healthcare workers, doctors, nurses). Cultural and community resources were discussed as critical resources for alleviating urgent heart health episodes or assisting as guides for preventative heart health information. Health campaigners must delve deeper into these findings for more structurally responsive heart health interventions and move away from racializing health disparities based on the CMIO model.

Urine Tricarboxylic Acid Cycle Metabolites and Risk of End-stage Kidney Disease in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Metabolites in the tricarboxylic acid (TCA) pathway have pleiotropic functions.

OBJECTIVE

To study the association between urine TCA cycle metabolites and the risk for chronic kidney disease progression in individuals with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A prospective study in a discovery (n = 1826) and a validation (n = 1235) cohort of people with type 2 diabetes in a regional hospital and a primary care facility.

EXPOSURE AND OUTCOME

Urine lactate, pyruvate, citrate, alpha-ketoglutarate, succinate, fumarate, and malate were measured by mass spectrometry. Chronic kidney disease progression was defined as a composite of sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate below 15 mL/min/1.73 m2, dialysis, renal death, or doubling of serum creatinine.

RESULTS

During a median of 9.2 (interquartile range 8.1-9.7) and 4.0 (3.2-5.1) years of follow-up, 213 and 107 renal events were identified. Cox regression suggested that urine lactate, fumarate, and malate were associated with an increased risk (adjusted hazard ratio, [95% CI] 1.63 [1.16-2.28], 1.82 [1.17-2.82], and 1.49 [1.05-2.11], per SD), whereas citrate was associated with a low risk (aHR 0.83 [0.72-0.96] per SD) for the renal outcome after adjustment for cardiorenal risk factors. These findings were reproducible in the validation cohort. Noteworthy, fumarate and citrate were independently associated with the renal outcome after additional adjustment for other metabolites.

CONCLUSION

Urine fumarate and citrate predict the risk for progression to end-stage kidney disease independent of clinical risk factors and other urine metabolites. These 2 metabolites in TCA cycle pathway may play important roles in the pathophysiological network, underpinning progressive loss of kidney function in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Plasma Proteomics of Diabetic Kidney Disease Among Asians With Younger-Onset Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Patients with younger onset of type 2 diabetes (YT2D) have increased risk for kidney failure compared to those with late onset. However, the mechanism of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) progression in this high-risk group is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to identify novel biomarkers and potential causal proteins associated with DKD progression in patients with YT2D.

METHODS

Among YT2D (T2D onset age <40 years), 144 DKD progressors (cases) were matched for T2D onset age, sex, and ethnicity with 292 nonprogressors (controls) and divided into discovery and validation sets. DKD progression was defined as decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 3 mL/min/1.73 m2 or greater or 40% decline in eGFR from baseline. A total of 1472 plasma proteins were measured through a multiplex immunoassay that uses a proximity extension assay technology. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify proteins associated with DKD progression. Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to evaluate causal relationship between plasma proteins and DKD progression.

RESULTS

Forty-two plasma proteins were associated with DKD progression, independent of traditional cardiorenal risk factors, baseline eGFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio. The proteins identified were related to inflammatory and remodeling biological processes. Our findings suggest angiogenin as one of the top signals (odds ratio = 5.29; 95% CI, 2.39-11.73; P = 4.03 × 10-5). Furthermore, genetically determined plasma angiogenin level was associated with increased odds of DKD progression.

CONCLUSION

Large-scale proteomic analysis identified novel proteomic biomarkers for DKD progression in YT2D. Genetic evidence suggest a causal role of plasma angiogenin in DKD progression.

Association of major candidate protein biomarkers and long-term diabetic kidney disease progression among Asians with young-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus

AIMS

We aim to determine the association of seven major candidate protein biomarkers and diabetic kidney disease (DKD) progression among Asians with young-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

824 T2DM patients (onset ≤ 40 years old) were classified as DKD progressors based on yearly estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline of >3 ml/min/1.73 m2 or >40 % from baseline. Plasma leucine-rich α-2-glycoprotein 1 (pLRG1), tumor necrosis factor-receptor 1 (pTNF-R1), pigment epithelium-derived factor (pPEDF), urinary α-1-microglobulin (uA1M), kidney injury molecular 1 (uKIM-1), haptoglobin (uHP) and uromodulin (uUMOD) were measured using enzyme-linked immunoassays.

RESULTS

Over 5.7 years of follow-up, 25.2 % of patients were DKD progressors. Elevated levels of pLRG1, pTNF-R1, pPEDF, uA1M, uKIM-1 and uHP were associated with DKD progression. The association between pTNF-R1 levels and DKD progression persisted after adjusting for clinical covariates (OR 1.84, 95 %CI 1.44-2.34, p < 0.001). The effects of pTNF-R1 were partially mediated through hyperglycemia (8 %) and albuminuria (10 %). Inclusion of pTNF-R1 in a clinical variable-based model improved the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for predicting DKD progression by 0.02, from 0.72 (95 %CI 0.68-0.76) to 0.74 (95 %CI 0.70-0.78), p = 0.099.

CONCLUSIONS

Among seven major candidate proteins, pTNF-R1, partially mediated through hyperglycemia and albuminuria, robustly predicted DKD progression among Asians with young-onset T2DM.

Incidence and Predictive Risk Factors for Post-Cataract Surgery Endophthalmitis in Ministry of Health Hospitals from 2012 to 2020

PURPOSE

Postoperative endophthalmitis is a devastating complication, leading to poor visual prognosis. The purpose of this study is to determine the incidence, risk factors, and visual outcome of post-cataract surgery endophthalmitis in Malaysia over a 9-year period (2012-2020).

METHODS

Data from National Eye Database (NED), involving all patients who have undergone cataract surgery from January 2012 until December 2020 were analyzed.

RESULTS

Total number of patients who had undergone cataract surgery between the year 2012 till 2020 were 231,281 patients (267,781 eyes). Incidence of POE in this population was 0.08%. Patient aged 70 and above (p-value 0.047), Malay ethnicity (p-value: 0.009), presence of ischemic heart disease, renal failure, diabetic retinopathy, and poorer preoperative vision were shown to have a higher risk of POE. Cataract surgeries done in KK-KKM, duration more than 45 minutes, use of general anaesthesia, and no IOL or ACIOL implantation were significantly more in POE patients. Multivariate analysis revealed Malay ethnicity, presence of ocular comorbidity, poor preoperative vision, ACIOL, and presence of intra-operative complication were predictive factors for POE.

CONCLUSIONS

Incidence of POE is low in the Malaysian population. Surgeons have to be aware that Malay ethnicity, presence of ocular comorbidity, poor preoperative visual acuity, placement of IOL and complicated cataract operation have higher risk of POE.

Social and Structural Determinants of Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in people who have diabetes. Racial and ethnic minorities with diabetes have suboptimal management of cardiovascular risk factors, leading to higher mortality. Social and structural determinants of health are external factors that influence an individual's ability to choose positive health behaviors. In this review, we will discuss cardiovascular complications in people who have diabetes and their relationship to social determinants of health (SDOH).

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent innovations in diabetes treatment, including new devices and medications, have improved care and survival. However, disparities in the availability of these treatments to racial and ethnic minorities may contribute to continued inequities in CVD outcomes. Racial/ethnic disparities in CVD relate to inequities in economic opportunity, education and health literacy, neighborhoods and social cohesion, and health care access and quality driven by structural racism.

Racial Disparities in Cardiovascular Health Among the Acute Coronary Syndrome Population

The relative distribution of proportions of cardiovascular health (CVH) categories within racial groups has been examined. However, little scientific evidence exists on the gap trend in racial/ethnic disparities in mean CVH score among non-Hispanic (NH) Whites and Blacks. This study examined the trend(s) in the gap(s) in predicted CVH scores between NH Whites and Blacks over 10 years. In a cross-sectional analytical study, 10 years of Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data from 2008 to 2018 were pooled, utilizing multivariate Poisson's regression of CVH metrics on race, while controlling for relevant covariates. The interactions of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with CVH metrics, and other key variables such as trends and grouped Charlson Comorbidity Index allowed for variations in the effect of these variables on the subgroups. The mean gap in CVH scores was on average 0.15 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.137 to 0.170], with Blacks consistently having reduced odds of having ideal CVH until 2014. The overall impact of having an ACS decreased acquired CVH scores by 24.1% [95% CI -0.275 to 0.207], and was equal for both racial subgroups (P < 0.05). The Affordable Care Act (ACA)-trend was positive, increasing the likelihood of improved CVH in the sample (P < 0.05), deflecting a downward trend in acquired CVH scores for both races, as the gap narrowed into more recent years. The CVH gap was stabilized by the ACA, but never really converged, suggesting that efforts to reduce existing disparities between Blacks and NH Whites in the United States would require government policies to look beyond mere "access" and/or "affordability" to health care.

Genetic Risk Score for Plasma Uric Acid Levels Is Associated With Early Rapid Kidney Function Decline in Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Observational studies have shown that elevated uric acid (UA) is associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, whether the relationship is causal remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association of plasma UA and incident CKD and the causal relationship between plasma UA and rapid decline in kidney function (RDKF) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

Multivariable Cox regression was conducted to evaluate the hazard ratio (HR) between plasma UA and incident CKD among 1300 normoalbuminuric patients in 2 T2D study cohorts (DN, n = 402; SMART2D, n = 898). A weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) was calculated based on 10 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) identified in genome-wide association studies of UA in East Asians. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed among 1146 Chinese T2D patients without CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] > 60 mL/min/1.73m2) at baseline (DN, 478; SMART2D, 668). The wGRS and individual SNPs were used as genetic instruments and RDKF was defined as eGFR decline of 5 mL/min/1.73m2/year or greater.

RESULTS

During mean follow-up of 5.2 and 5.4 years, 81 (9%) and 46 (11%) participants in SMART2D and DN developed CKD, respectively. A 1-SD increment in plasma UA conferred higher risk of incident CKD (DN, adjusted-HR = 1.40 [95% CI, 1.02-1.91], P = 0.036; SMART2D, adjusted-HR = 1.31 [95% CI, 1.04-1.64], P = 0.018). Higher wGRS was associated with increased odds for RDKF (meta-adjusted odds ratio = 1.12 [95% CI, 1.01-1.24], P = 0.030, Phet = 0.606).

CONCLUSION

Elevated plasma UA is an independent risk factor for incident CKD. Furthermore, plasma UA potentially has a causal role in early eGFR loss in T2D patients.

Association of leukocyte telomere length with chronic kidney disease in East Asians with type 2 diabetes: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common among people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and increases the risk of kidney failure and cardiovascular diseases. Shorter leukocyte telomere length (LTL) is associated with CKD in patients with T2D. We previously reported single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with LTL in an Asian population. In this study, we elucidated the association of these SNPs with CKD in patients with T2D using the Mendelian randomization (MR) approach.

Methods

The cross-sectional association of 16 LTL SNPs with CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate of <60 mL/min/1.73 m², was assessed among 4768 (1628 cases and 3140 controls) participants in the Singapore Study of Macro-angiopathy and Micro-vascular Reactivity in T2D and Diabetic Nephropathy cohorts. MR analysis was performed using the random-effect inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, the weighted median, MR-Egger and Radial MR adjusted for age and sex-stratified by cohorts and ethnicity (Chinese and Malays), then meta-analyzed.

Results

Genetically determined shorter LTL was associated with increased risk of CKD in patients with T2D (meta-IVW adjusted odds ratio = 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.12–2.12, P = 0.007, P_het = 0.547). Similar results were obtained following sensitivity analysis. MR-Egger analysis (intercept) suggested no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy (β = 0.010, P = 0.751).

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that genetically determined LTL is associated with CKD in patients with T2D. Further studies are warranted to elucidate the causal role of telomere length in CKD progression.

Association of Genetic Variants for Plasma LRG1 With Rapid Decline in Kidney Function in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Elevated levels of plasma leucine-rich α-2-glycoprotein 1 (LRG1), a component of transforming growth factor beta signaling, are associated with development and progression of chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, whether this relationship is causal is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To identify genetic variants associated with plasma LRG1 levels and determine whether genetically predicted plasma LRG1 contributes to a rapid decline in kidney function (RDKF) in patients with T2D.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS

We performed a genome-wide association study of plasma LRG1 among 3694 T2D individuals [1881 (983 Chinese, 420 Malay, and 478 Indian) discovery from Singapore Study of Macro-angiopathy and Micro-vascular Reactivity in Type 2 Diabetes cohort and 1813 (Chinese) validation from Diabetic Nephropathy cohort]. One- sample Mendelian randomization analysis was performed among 1337 T2D Chinese participants with preserved glomerular filtration function [baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2)]. RDKF was defined as an eGFR decline of 3 mL/min/1.73 m2/year or greater.

RESULTS

We identified rs4806985 variant near LRG1 locus robustly associated with plasma LRG1 levels (meta P = 6.66 × 10-16). Among 1337 participants, 344 (26%) developed RDKF, and the rs4806985 variant was associated with higher odds of RDKF (meta odds ratio = 1.23, P = 0.030 adjusted for age and sex). Mendelian randomization analysis provided evidence for a potential causal effect of plasma LRG1 on kidney function decline in T2D (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate that genetically influenced plasma LRG1 increases the risk of RDKF in T2D patients, suggesting plasma LRG1 as a potential treatment target. However, further studies are warranted to elucidate underlying pathways to provide insight into diabetic kidney disease prevention.

Impact of type 2 diabetes and microvascular complications on mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in a multiethnic Asian population

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes mellitus is a growing public health epidemic in Asia. We examined the impact of type 2 diabetes, glycemic control and microvascular complications on mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in a multiethnic population-based cohort of Asians without prior cardiovascular disease.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This was a prospective population-based cohort study in Singapore comprising participants from the three major Asian ethnic groups: Chinese, Malays and Indians, with baseline examination in 2004-2011. Participants with type 1 diabetes and those with cardiovascular disease at baseline were excluded. Type 2 diabetes, Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels and presence of microvascular complications (diabetic retinopathy and nephropathy) were defined at baseline. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), defined as a composite of cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke and revascularization, collected using a national registry.

RESULTS

A total of 8541 subjects were included, of which 1890 had type 2 diabetes at baseline. Subjects were followed for a median of 6.4 (IQR 4.8-8.8) years. Diabetes was a significant predictor of mortality (adjusted HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.45 to 2.08, p<0.001) and MACE (adjusted HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.93, p<0.001). In those with diabetes, higher HbA1c levels were associated with increased MACE rates (adjusted HR (per 1% increase) 1.18, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.26, p<0.001) but not mortality (p=0.115). Subjects with two microvascular complications had significantly higher mortality and MACE compared with those with only either microvascular complication (adjusted p<0.05) and no microvascular complication (adjusted p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Diabetes is a significant predictor of mortality and cardiovascular morbidity in Asian patients without prior cardiovascular disease. Among patients with type 2 diabetes, poorer glycemic control was associated with increased MACE but not mortality rates. Greater burden of microvascular complications identified a subset of patients with poorer outcomes.

Diabetes-related lower extremity complications in a multi-ethnic Asian population: a 10 year observational study in Singapore

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Diabetes progression and complication risk are different in Asian people compared with those of European ancestry. In this study, we sought to understand the epidemiology of diabetes-related lower extremity complications (DRLECs: symptomatic peripheral arterial disease, ulceration, infection, gangrene) and amputations in a multi-ethnic Asian population.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study using data obtained from one of three integrated public healthcare clusters in Singapore. The population consisted of individuals with incident type 2 diabetes who were of Chinese, Malay, Indian or Other ethnicity. We examined incidence, time to event and risk factors of DRLECs and amputation.

RESULTS

Between 2007 and 2017, of the 156,593 individuals with incident type 2 diabetes, 20,744 developed a DRLEC, of whom 1208 underwent amputation. Age- and sex-standardised incidence of first DRLEC and first amputation was 28.29/1000 person-years of diabetes and 8.18/1000 person-years of DRLEC, respectively. Incidence of both was highest in individuals of Malay ethnicity (DRLEC, 36.09/1000 person-years of diabetes; amputation, 12.96/1000 person-years of DRLEC). Median time from diabetes diagnosis in the public healthcare system to first DRLEC was 30.5 months for those without subsequent amputation and 10.9 months for those with subsequent amputation. Median time from DRLEC to first amputation was 2.3 months. Older age (p < 0.001), male sex (p < 0.001), Malay ethnicity (p < 0.001), Indian ethnicity (p = 0.014), chronic comorbidities (nephropathy [p < 0.001], heart disease [p < 0.001], stroke [p < 0.001], retinopathy [p < 0.001], neuropathy [p < 0.001]), poorer or missing HbA_1c (p < 0.001), lower (p < 0.001) or missing (p = 0.002) eGFR, greater or missing BMI (p < 0.001), missing LDL-cholesterol (p < 0.001) at diagnosis, and ever-smoking (p < 0.001) were associated with higher hazard of DRLEC. Retinopathy (p < 0.001), peripheral vascular disease (p < 0.001), poorer HbA_1c (p < 0.001), higher (p = 0.009) or missing (p < 0.001) LDL-cholesterol and missing BMI (p = 0.008) were associated with higher hazard of amputation in those with DRLEC. Indian ethnicity (p = 0.007) was associated with significantly lower hazard of amputation.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

This study has revealed important ethnic differences in risk of diabetes-related lower limb complications, with Malays most likely to progress to DRLEC. Greater research efforts are needed to understand the aetiopathological and sociocultural processes that contribute to the higher risk of lower extremity complications among these ethnic groups.

Fasting glucose level and all-cause or cause-specific mortality in Korean adults: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Although people with diabetes have been shown to have higher mortality than people without diabetes, there is a lack of data on the association between fasting glucose (FG) levels and cause-specific mortality rates in the general population.

METHODS

A total of 326,547 Korean adults over 20 years of age, who had received a health checkup between 2006 and 2008 were selected from the Korean National Health Insurance Service sample cohort dataset and followed until 2015. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality relative to various range of FG levels. All causes of death were classified according to International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes.

RESULTS

During follow-up (mean, 8.5 years), a total of 13,536 deaths (mortality rate 4.89/1,000 person-year) occurred; 4,916 deaths from cancer, 2,133 from cardiovascular disease, 762 from infectious disease, 199 from renal disease, and 5,526 from other causes. The overall mortality rate increased with an increase in FG category (HR, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.65 to 1.92; in the ≥ 160 mg/dL). In addition, a J-shaped associations was found between FG levels and all-cause mortality after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, drinking, physical activity, body mass index, diabetes mellitus medication, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. In particular, the risk of cancer-mortality with high FG levels was increased for men but not women.

CONCLUSION

The risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality showed the tendency to increase when the FG level was outside of the normal range, indicating a J-shaped relationship, in both men and women.

Long-term outcomes of ischaemic stroke patients with diabetes in a multi-ethnic cohort in Singapore

ABSTRACT Introduction: Diabetes increases the risk of ischaemic stroke especially among Asians. This study aims to investigate contemporaneous long-term cardiovascular outcomes of ischaemic stroke patients with diabetes in a multi-ethnic Asian cohort. Methods: Consecutive patients with ischaemic stroke were recruited from the National University Hospital, Singapore. Data on age, gender, ethnicity, risk factors (including diabetes status and body mass index [BMI]), stroke severity and mechanisms were collected. These patients were followed up until the day of the first cardiovascular event or July 2016, whichever was earlier. The primary endpoint was the time from enrolment to the first occurrence of a composite of cerebrovascular and coronary artery events. Results: Between July 2011 and December 2013, 720 patients (mean age 60.6 years, 71% men, 43% with diabetes, median National Institute Health Stroke Severity scale 2) were enrolled and followed up. A total of 175 cardiovascular events occurred during a median follow-up of 3.25 years (6.90 events per 1,000 person-month), comprising 163 cerebrovascular and 42 coronary artery events. The adjusted hazard ratio of diabetes was 1.50 (95% CI 1.08–2.10). In a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, Malay and Indian ethnicities, BMI <23kg/m2 and a prior diagnosis of diabetes were identified as independent predictors of recurrent cardiovascular events. Conclusion: Our study provides quantitative data on the event rates of ischaemic stroke patients with diabetes. These findings provide insights on stroke predictors in a multi-ethnic Asian population, which may have implications in the design of future interventional studies. Keywords: Asian, body mass index, cardiovascular, stroke phenotype

Association of Urine Haptoglobin With Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes: A Transethnic Collaborative Work

OBJECTIVE

Haptoglobin is an acute-phase reactant with pleiotropic functions. We aimed to study whether urine haptoglobin may predict risk of mortality in people with type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We employed a transethnic approach with a cohort of Asian origin (Singapore) (N = 2,061) and a cohort of European origin (France) (N = 1,438) included in the study. We used survival analyses to study the association of urine haptoglobin with risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 365 and 525 deaths were registered in the Singapore cohort (median follow-up 7.5 years [interquartile range 3.5-12.8]) and French SURDIAGENE cohort (median follow-up 6.8 years [interquartile range 4.3-10.5], respectively. Singapore participants with urine haptoglobin in quartiles 2 to 4 had higher risk for all-cause mortality compared with quartile 1 (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.47 [95% CI 1.02-2.11], 2.28 [1.62-3.21], and 4.64 [3.39-6.35], respectively). The association remained significant in quartile 4 after multiple adjustments (1.68 [1.15-2.45]). Similarly, participants in the French cohort with haptoglobin in quartile 4 had significantly higher hazards for all-cause mortality compared with quartile 1 (unadjusted HR 2.67 [2.09-3.42] and adjusted HR 1.49 [1.14-1.96]). In both cohorts, participants in quartile 4 had a higher risk of mortality attributable to cardiovascular disease and infection but not malignant tumor.

CONCLUSIONS

Urine haptoglobin predicts risk of mortality independent of traditional risk factors, suggesting that it may potentially be a novel biomarker for risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Brain signalling systems: A target for treating type I diabetes mellitus

From early to later stages of Type I Diabetes Mellitus (TIDM), signalling molecules including brain indolamines and protein kinases are altered significantly, and that has been implicated in the Metabolic Disorders (MD) as well as impairment of retinal, renal, neuronal and cardiovascular systems. Considerable attention has been focused to the effects of diabetes on these signalling systems. However, the exact pathophysiological mechanisms of these signals are not completely understood in TIDM, but it is likely that hyperglycemia, acidosis, and insulin resistance play significant roles. Insulin maintains normal glycemic levels and it acts by binding to its receptor, so that it activates the receptor's tyrosine kinase activity, resulting in phosphorylation of several substrates. Those substrates provide binding/interaction sites for signalling molecules, including serine/threonine kinases and indolamines. For more than two decades, our research has been focused on the mechanisms of protein kinases, CaM Kinase and Serotonin transporter mediated alterations of indolamines in TIDM. In this review, we have also discussed how discrete areas of brain respond to insulin or some of the pharmacological agents that triggers or restores these signalling molecules, and it may be useful for the treatment of specific region wise changes/disorders of diabetic brain.

Association of haptoglobin phenotype with incident acute myocardial infarction in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes

Background

Haptoglobin (Hp) is an abundant plasma protein with anti-oxidant properties. Hp polymorphism is associated with cardio-metabolic dysfunction but the allele conferring risk of developing acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association of Hp phenotype (Hp 1-1, 2-1 and 2-2) with incident AMI in Chinese T2D patients.

Methods

This prospective study included Chinese T2D participants from the Singapore Study of Macro-angiopathy and Micro-vascular Reactivity in Type 2 Diabetes (SMART2D) and Diabetic Nephropathy (DN) cohorts. Information on incidence of non-fatal AMI was collected by data linkage with the Singapore Myocardial Infarction Registry. Hp phenotype was determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate the association of Hp phenotype with incident AMI, adjusted for traditional risk factors separately in two cohorts, then meta-analysed.

Results

In total, 2324 Chinese participants (SMART2D; N = 1034, mean age [SD] of 59 [11]) and (DN: N = 1290, mean age [SD] of 58 [12]) were included in this study. There were total of 30 (56 events per 10,000 patient-years) and 99 (128 events per 10,000 patient-years) AMI events in SMART2D and DN cohorts respectively. In meta-analysis, presence of Hp 1 allele conferred 43% (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.43 [95% CI 1.10–1.87], P = 0.008, P_het = 0.413) increased risk of incident AMI, independent of age, sex, smoking, body mass index, HbA1c, diabetes duration, lipids, hypertension, renal function and usage of insulin and RAS antagonist. In adjusted model, compared to Hp 2-2 groups, individuals with Hp 1-1 (HR = 2.18 [95% CI 1.19–3.76], P = 0.010, P_het = 0.193) and Hp 2-1 (HR = 1.45 [95% CI 0.98–2.14], P = 0.065, P_het = 0.576) were at a higher risk of incident AMI. Moreover, compared to Hp 2-2 groups, non-Hp 2-2 groups (Hp 1-1 and Hp 2-1) were at 55% increased risk of incident AMI (HR = 1.55 [95% CI 1.07–2.24], P = 0.021, P_het = 0.940).

Conclusions

Hp 1-1 phenotype was associated with increased risk of incident AMI, independent of traditional risk factors, in Chinese patients with T2D. Hp phenotyping may allow for identification of T2D individuals at higher risk for onset of AMI. However, further studies are needed to understand the underlying mechanism between Hp alleles and risk for AMI.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12933-019-0867-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Empagliflozin and kidney outcomes in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease: Results from the EMPA-REG OUTCOME® trial

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

In the EMPA-REG OUTCOME® trial, empagliflozin added to standard of care improved clinically relevant kidney outcomes by 39%, slowed progression of chronic kidney disease, and reduced albuminuria in patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease. This exploratory analysis investigated the effects of empagliflozin on the kidneys in Asian patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Participants in the EMPA-REG OUTCOME® trial were randomized (1:1:1) to empagliflozin 10 mg, 25 mg or a placebo. In patients of Asian race, we analyzed incident or worsening nephropathy (progression to macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine, initiation of renal-replacement therapy or renal death) and its components, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio changes, and renal safety.

RESULTS

Of 7,020 treated patients, 1,517 (26.1%) were Asian. In this subgroup, consistent with the overall trial population, empagliflozin reduced the risk of incident or worsening nephropathy (hazard ratio 0.64, 95% confidence interval 0.49-0.83), progression to macroalbuminuria (hazard ratio 0.64, 95% confidence interval 0.49-0.85) and the composite of doubling of serum creatinine, initiation of renal-replacement therapy or renal death (hazard ratio 0.48, 95% confidence interval 0.25-0.92). Furthermore, empagliflozin-treated participants showed slower eGFR decline versus placebo, and showed rapid urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio reduction at week 12, maintained through week 164, with effects most pronounced in those with baseline microalbuminuria or macroalbuminuria. The kidney safety profile of empagliflozin in the Asian subgroup was similar to the overall trial population.

CONCLUSIONS

In Asian patients from the EMPA-REG OUTCOME® trial, empagliflozin improved kidney outcomes, slowed eGFR decline and lowered albuminuria versus placebo, consistent with the overall trial population findings.

The risk of mortality among people with type 2 diabetes in Latin America: A systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based cohort studies

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with a high mortality risk, although the magnitude of this association remains unknown in Latin America (LA). We aimed to assess the strength of the association between T2DM and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in population-based cohort studies in LA. Systematic review and meta-analysis: inclusion criteria were (1) men and women 18 years old and above with T2DM; (2) study outcomes all-cause and/or cause-specific mortality; and (3) using people without T2DM as comparison group. Five databases (Scopus, Medline, Embase, Global Health, and LILACS) were searched. Risk of bias was evaluated with the ROBINS-I criteria. Initially, there were 979 identified studies, of which 17 were selected for qualitative synthesis; 14 were included in the meta-analysis (N = 416 821). Self-reported T2DM showed a pooled relative risk (RR) of 2.49 for all-causes mortality (I-squared [I² ] = 85.7%, p < 0.001; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.96-3.15). T2DM based on a composite definition was associated with a 2.26-fold higher all-cause mortality (I²  = 93.9%, p < 0.001; 95% CI, 1.36-3.74). The pooled risk estimates were similar between men and women, although higher at younger ages. The pooled RR for cardiovascular mortality was 2.76 (I²  = 59.2%; p < 0.061; 95% CI, 1.99-3.82) and for renal mortality 15.85 (I²  = 0.00%; p < 0.645; 95% CI, 9.82-25.57). Using available population-based cohort studies, this work has identified and estimated the strength of the association between T2DM and mortality in LA. The higher mortality risk compared with high-income countries deserves close attention from health policies makers and clinicians to improve diabetes care and control hence preventing complications and delaying death.

Urine Tricarboxylic Acid Cycle Metabolites Predict Progressive Chronic Kidney Disease in Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Metabolites in the tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle are not only involved in energy metabolism but also play important roles in non-energy production activities.

OBJECTIVE

To study whether baseline urine key TCA cycle metabolites (lactate, pyruvate, citrate, α-ketoglutaric acid, succinate, fumarate, and malate) independently predict risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression [fast estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline] in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

DESIGN

One discovery and one validation nested case-control studies in two independent T2DM cohorts.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Subjects with T2DM were recruited and followed in a regional hospital and at a primary care facility.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

eGFR trajectory (slope) was estimated by linear regression. Progressive CKD was defined as eGFR decline of ≥5 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year.

RESULTS

As compared with those with stable renal function (n = 271), participants who experienced progressive CKD (n = 116) had a lower level of urine citrate but significantly higher levels of lactate, fumarate, and malate levels at baseline. Both fumarate and malate predicted progressive CKD independent of traditional cardio-renal risk factors, including eGFR and albuminuria. Fumarate interacted with sex (P for interaction = 0.03) and independently predicted progressive CKD in male but not female participants. All these findings were reproducible in a validation study (case n = 96, control n = 402). Exploratory analysis suggested that fumarate might partially mediate the effect of oxidative stress on CKD progression.

CONCLUSIONS

Key TCA cycle metabolites, especially fumarate, may be involved in the pathophysiologic pathway independent of traditional cardio-renal risk factors, leading to CKD progression in patients with T2DM.

Ten-year risk prediction models of complications and mortality of Chinese patients with diabetes mellitus in primary care in Hong Kong: a study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major disease burden worldwide because it is associated with disabling and lethal complications. DM complication risk assessment and stratification is key to cost-effective management and tertiary prevention for patients with diabetes in primary care. Existing risk prediction functions were found to be inaccurate in Chinese patients with diabetes in primary care. This study aims to develop 10-year risk prediction models for total cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and all-cause mortality among Chinese patients with DM in primary care.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A 10-year cohort study on a population-based primary care cohort of Chinese patients with diabetes, who were receiving care in the Hospital Authority General Outpatient Clinic on or before 1 January 2008, were identified from the clinical management system database of the Hospital Authority. All patients with complete baseline risk factors will be included and followed from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017 for the development and validation of prediction models. The analyses will be carried out separately for men and women. Two-thirds of subjects will be randomly selected as the training sample for model development. Cox regressions will be used to develop 10-year risk prediction models of total CVD and all-cause mortality. The validity of models will be tested on the remaining one-third of subjects by Harrell's C-statistics and calibration plot. Risk prediction models for diabetic complications specific to Chinese patients in primary care will enable accurate risk stratification, prioritisation of resources and more cost-effective interventions for patients with DM in primary care.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong-the Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster (reference number: UW 15-258).

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03299010; Pre-results.

Association of circulating proinflammatory marker, leucine-rich-α2-glycoprotein (LRG1), following metabolic/bariatric surgery

BACKGROUND

Obesity confers substantial excess risk for morbidity and mortality, especially for type 2 diabetes (T2D). Leucine-rich-α2-glycoprotein 1 (LRG1), a novel proinflammatory factor, was recently reported to be higher in patients with T2D with complications of peripheral arterial disease. Association of LRG1, obesity, and weight loss is unknown. We examined whether plasma LRG1 is associated with obesity in health screening participants and if it predicts future weight loss in morbidly obese patients after metabolic/bariatric surgery.

METHODS

Cohort 1 was a cross-sectional study from a Health Screening program (n = 616) in a tertiary hospital. Cohort 2 was a prospective study of morbidly obese patients (n = 231) who underwent metabolic/bariatric surgery with follow-up weight measurements. Anthropometric data, baseline fasting glucose, plasma adiponectin, high sensitivity C-reactive protein (HsCRP), and LRG1 were measured. Postsurgery blood, after metabolic/bariatric surgery, were available for LRG1and HsCRP measurements in 57 patients.

RESULTS

In the group with highest tertile of LRG1, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, and HsCRP were significantly higher, while total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein, and adiponectin were lower than tertiles 1 and 2. Generalized linear model analysis showed that female gender (P < .0001), non-Chinese ethnicity (P < .019), and higher HsCRP (P < .0001) levels were independent and significant determinants of higher plasma LRG1 levels. After adjustment for age, gender, ethnicity, and baseline BMI, female gender (P = .020), higher presurgery BMI (P = .001), and lower presurgery LRG1 (P = .002) remained statistically significant predictors for greater weight loss. Plasma LRG1 increased significantly [from 28.2 (21.9-36.8) to 34.9 (22.6-49.5)] μg/mL (P = .003) within 1.5 months, after metabolic/bariatric surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates that LRG1 level is positively associated with obesity and a lower level of plasma LRG1 predicts weight loss in metabolic/bariatric surgery. Our novel findings suggest LRG1, itself or in combination with other known factors, is a potential biomarker of inflammation and obesity.

Development and validation of a Health Policy Model of Type 2 diabetes in Chinese setting

Aim: Due to the difference in epidemiology and outcomes between eastern and western populations with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), an important challenge is determining how useful the outcomes from diabetes models based on western populations are for eastern patients. Consequently, the principal aim of this study was to develop and validate a Health Policy Model (Chinese Outcomes Model for T2DM [COMT]) for supporting Chinese medical and health economic studies. Methods: The model is created to simulate a series of important complications of T2DM diabetes based on the latest Risk Equations for Complications of Type 2 Diabetes, which was adjusted by adding the adjustment regulator to the linear predictor within the risk equation. The validity of the model was conducted by using a total of 171 validation outcomes from seven studies in eastern populations and ten studies in western populations. The simulation cohorts in the COMT model were generated by copying each validation study's baseline characteristics. Concordance was tested by assessing the difference between the identity (45°) line and the best-fitting regression of the scatterplots for the predicted versus observed outcomes. Results: The slope coefficients of the best-fitting regression line between the predicted and corresponding observed actual outcomes was 0.9631 and the R² was 0.8701. There were major differences between western and eastern populations. The slope and R² of predictions were 0.9473 and 0.9272 in the eastern population and 1.0566 and 0.8863 in the western population, which showed more perfect agreement with the observed values in the eastern population than the western populations. The subset of macro-vascular and micro-vascular outcomes in the eastern population showed an identical tendency (the slope coefficient was close to 1), and mortality outcomes showed a slight tendency toward overestimation (the slope coefficient was close to 0.9208). Some degree of underprediction of macro-vascular and micro-vascular end points and overprediction of mortality end point was found in the western population. Conclusion: The COMT diabetes model simulated the long-term patient outcomes observed in eastern Asian T2DM patients with prediction accuracy. This study supports the COMT as a credible tool for Chinese healthcare decision makers. Further work is necessary to incorporate new local data to improve model validity and credibility.

Albuminuria Increases All-Cause Mortality in Japanese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Previous studies have reported that diabetic kidney disease is associated with cardiovascular events and death. Little is known about the independent association of albuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), with mortality in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) without renal failure. We conducted a historical cohort study to clarify this issue in Japanese patients with T2DM. In this study, we recruited 385 patients with T2DM, who never had chronic renal failure (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m² at baseline) and malignant diseases. With the end point of all-cause mortality, Cox regression analysis was performed. During the observational period of 7 years, 54 patients died. Cox regression analysis adjusted for confounding factors such as age, duration of diabetes, body mass index, and HbA1c, and showed that urinary albumin level was significantly associated with the mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03–1.70 per standard deviation (SD) increase, p = 0.031]. After additional adjustment for eGFR, the association remained significant (HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.02–1.70 per SD increase, p = 0.033). On the other hand, eGFR was not associated with the mortality. The present study showed that higher urinary albumin was associated with increased all-cause mortality in T2DM, independently of eGFR. These findings suggest that, regardless of eGFR, albuminuria is important for the increased risk of mortality in Japanese T2DM patients without chronic renal failure (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m²). However, because of several limitations, further large-scale longitudinal studies are necessary to confirm the present study.

Sex modulates the association of fibroblast growth factor 21 with end-stage renal disease in Asian people with Type 2 diabetes: a 6.3-year prospective cohort study

AIM

To study whether plasma fibroblast growth factor 21 independently predicts the risk of end-stage renal disease in Asian people with Type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 1700 Asian people with Type 2 diabetes were followed for a mean of 6.3 years in a regional hospital in Singapore. Incident end-stage renal disease was identified by linkage with a national renal registry. The association of baseline fibroblast growth factor 21 levels with risk of progression to end-stage renal disease was studied using survival analyses.

RESULTS

Participants were aged 60 ± 10 years, with an average diabetes duration of 12 years. Their estimated GFR was 73 ± 28 ml/min/1.73 m² and 62% had albuminuria at baseline. A total of 179 incident end-stage renal disease cases were identified. Plasma fibroblast growth factor 21 interacted with sex in its association with end-stage renal disease (P_interaction = 0.003). A 1-sd increment in fibroblast growth factor 21 (natural log-transformed) was associated with a 1.32-fold (95% CI 1.05-1.66, P = 0.02) increased hazard for end-stage renal disease in women, after adjustment for traditional risk factors including estimated GFR and albuminuria. Taking death as a competing risk did not materially change the outcome [sub-distribution hazard ratio 1.35 (95% CI 1.11-1.66, P = 0.003)]. Fibroblast growth factor 21 did not predict end-stage renal disease risk in men after adjustment for baseline estimated GFR and albuminuria [hazard ratio 1.07 (95% CI 0.89-1.28, P = 0.49)].

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma fibroblast growth factor 21 level independently predicted risk of progression to end-stage renal disease in women with Type 2 diabetes. The pathophysiological relationships among FGF21, sex and renal progression warrant further study.

Sex differences in associations between multimorbidity and physical function domains among community-dwelling adults in Singapore

Objectives

The aims of the study were to identify the associations between multimorbidity and specific physical function domains among community-dwelling adults in Singapore, and to examine sex differences in the associations.

Methods

This study was conducted using baseline data of 1,940 participants in the Population Health Index Survey conducted in the Central Region of Singapore from November 2015 to November 2016. Physical function was assessed using the Function Component of the Late-life Function and Disability Instrument and compared between men and women. Multiple linear regressions were conducted to examine associations between multimorbidity and different physical function domains for all participants, and in men and women separately.

Results

The prevalence of multimorbidity in the study population was 35.0% for adults aged 21 years and above, with no differences between men and women. Multimorbidity was associated with reduced upper extremity function, basic and advanced lower extremity function, and overall function in men and women after adjusting for demographic factors. Multimorbidity had a stronger association with advanced lower extremity function and overall physical function in women than in men.

Conclusions

The findings of this study indicate that multimorbidity is associated with physical function domains in men and women, and in particular advanced lower extremity for women. Effective community-based interventions need to be implemented to preserve physical function in individuals with multimorbidity to keep them functionally independent and physically active in the community. Additional focus on advanced lower extremity function for women is needed.

Classification Rule for 5-year Cardiovascular Diseases Risk using decision tree in Primary Care Chinese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Cardiovascular disease(CVD) is the leading cause of mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM), and a risk classification model for CVD among primary care diabetic patients is pivotal for risk-based interventions and patient information. This study developed a simple tool for a 5-year CVD risk prediction for primary care Chinese patients with T2DM. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 137,935 primary care Chinese T2DM patients aged 18-79 years without history of CVD between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2010. New events of CVD of the cohort over a median follow up of 5 years were extracted from the medical records. A classification rule of 5-year CVD risk was obtained from the derivation cohort and validated in the validation cohort. Significant risk factors included in decision tree were age, gender, smoking status, diagnosis duration, obesity, unsatisfactory control on haemoglobin A1c and cholesterol, albuminuria and stage of chronic kidney disease, which categorized patients into five 5-year CVD risk groups(<5%; 5-9%; 10-14%; 15-19% and ≥20%). Taking the group with the lowest CVD risk, the hazard ratios varied from 1.92(1.77,2.08) to 8.46(7.75,9.24). The present prediction model performed comparable discrimination and better calibration from the plot compared to other current existing models.

Longitudinal trends in HbA1c and associations with comorbidity and all-cause mortality in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes: A cohort study

AIMS

This study examined longitudinal trends in HbA1c in a multi-ethnic Asian cohort of diabetes patients, and the associations of these trends with future risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke, end stage renal failure (ESRD) and all-cause mortality.

METHODS

6079 participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus in Singapore were included. HbA1c measurements for the five years previous to recruitment were used to identify patterns of HbA1c trends. Outcomes were recorded through linkage with the National Disease Registry. The median follow-up for longitudinal trends in HbA1c was 4.1years and for outcomes was between 7.0 and 8.3years. HbA1c patterns were identified using latent class growth modeling, and associations with outcomes were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Four distinct HbA1c patterns were observed; "low-stable" (72·2%), "moderate-stable" (22·0%), "moderate-increase" (2·9%), and "high-decrease" (2·8%). The risk of comorbidities and death was significantly higher in moderate-increase and high-decrease groups compared to the low-stable group; the hazard ratios for stroke, ESRD, and death for moderate increase group were 3.22 (95%CI 1.27-8.15), 4.76 (95%CI 1.92-11.83), and 1.88 (95%CI 1.15-3.07), respectively, and for high-decrease group were 2.16 (95%CI 1.02-4.57), 3.05 (95%CI 1.54-6.07), and 2.79 (95%CI 1.97-3.95), respectively. Individuals in the moderate-increase group were significantly younger, with longer diabetes duration, and greater proportions of Malays and Indians.

CONCLUSIONS

Deteriorating HbA1c pattern and extremely high initial HbA1c are associated with increased risk of long-term comorbidities and death. Therapeutic interventions to alter longitudinal HbA1c trends may be helpful in reducing this risk.

Serotonin and Its Receptor as a New Antioxidant Therapeutic Target for Diabetic Kidney Disease

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a widespread chronic microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus (DM), affects almost 30-50% of patients, and represents a leading cause of death of DM. Serotonin or 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) is a multifunctional bioamine that has crucial roles in many physiological pathways. Recently, emerging evidence from experimental and clinical studies has demonstrated that 5-HT is involved in the pathogenesis of diabetic vascular complications. The 5-HT receptor (5-HTR) antagonists exert renoprotective effects by suppressing oxidative stress, suggesting that 5-HTR can be used as a potential target for treating DKD. In this review, therefore, we summarize the published information available for the involvement of 5-HT and 5-HTR antagonists in the pathogenesis of various diabetic complications with a particular focus of DKD. We conclude that 5-HTR is a potential therapeutic target for treating DKD, as it has been successfully applied in animal models and has currently being investigated in randomized and controlled clinical trials.

Prediction of new onset of end stage renal disease in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus - a population-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Since diabetes mellitus (DM) is the leading cause of end stage renal disease (ESRD), this study aimed to develop a 5-year ESRD risk prediction model among Chinese patients with Type 2 DM (T2DM) in primary care.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 149,333 Chinese adult T2DM primary care patients without ESRD in 2010. Using the derivation cohort over a median of 5 years follow-up, the gender-specific models including the interaction effect between predictors and age were derived using Cox regression with a forward stepwise approach. Harrell's C-statistic and calibration plot were applied to the validation cohort to assess discrimination and calibration of the models.

RESULTS

Prediction models showed better discrimination with Harrell's C-statistics of 0.866 (males) and 0.862 (females) and calibration power from the plots than other established models. The predictors included age, usages of anti-hypertensive drugs, anti-glucose drugs, and Hemogloblin A1c, blood pressure, urine albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Specific predictors for male were smoking and presence of sight threatening diabetic retinopathy while additional predictors for female included longer duration of diabetes and quadratic effect of body mass index. Interaction factors with age showed a greater weighting of insulin and urine ACR in younger males, and eGFR in younger females.

CONCLUSIONS

Our newly developed gender-specific models provide a more accurate 5-year ESRD risk predictions for Chinese diabetic primary care patients than other existing models. The models included several modifiable risk factors that clinicians can use to counsel patients, and to target at in the delivery of care to patients.

Incidence of chronic kidney disease among people with diabetes: a systematic review of observational studies

AIMS

The aim was to systematically review published articles that reported the incidence of chronic kidney disease among people with diabetes.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed using MEDLINE, Embase and CINAHL databases. The titles and abstracts of all publications identified by the search were reviewed and 10 047 studies were retrieved.

RESULTS

A total of 71 studies from 30 different countries with sample sizes ranging from 505 to 211 132 met the inclusion criteria. The annual incidence of microalbuminuria and albuminuria ranged from 1.3% to 3.8% for Type 1 diabetes. For Type 2 diabetes and studies combining both diabetes types, the range was from 3.8% to 12.7%, with four of six studies reporting annual rates between 7.4% and 8.6%. In studies reporting the incidence of eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² using the Modification of Diet on Renal Disease (MDRD) equation, apart from one study which reported an annual incidence of 8.9%, the annual incidence ranged from 1.9% to 4.3%. The annual incidence of end-stage renal disease ranged from 0.04% to 1.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

The annual incidence of microalbuminuria and albuminuria is ~ 2-3% in Type 1 diabetes, and ~ 8% in Type 2 diabetes or mixed diabetes type. The incidence of developing eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² is ~ 2-4% per year. Despite the wide variation in methods and study design, within a particular category of kidney disease, there was only modest variation in incidence rates. These findings may be useful in clinical settings to help understand the risk of developing kidney disease among those with diabetes.

Association of apolipoprotein-CIII (apoC-III), endothelium-dependent vasodilation and peripheral neuropathy in a multi-ethnic population with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is a common complication of Type 2 diabetes (T2D). Apart from hyperglycemia, its pathogenesis is poorly understood. Apolipoprotein-CIII (apoC-III) associated with triglyceride metabolism, is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Its role in DPN is not well-established. We studied the associations of apoC-III, endothelial function and DPN.

METHODS

In patients with T2D, anthropometric data, fasting blood, and urine were collected for biochemistry and urine albumin/creatinine measurements (uACR). Endothelial function assessments were performed by laser Doppler flowmetry/imaging. DPN was considered present if there was an abnormal finding in monofilament (≤8 of 10 points) or neurothesiometer testing≥25V on either foot. Plasma apoC-III was assessed by ELISA.

RESULTS

Monofilament and neurothesiometer readings were measured in 1981 patients, mean age 57.4±10.8 years old. DPN prevalence was 10.8% (n=214). Patients with DPN compared to those without, were significantly older (p<0.0001), with longer duration of T2D (p<0.0001), had higher BMI (p=0.006), higher glucose (p=0.015) and HbA1c (p<0.0001), Systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p<0.0001), lower eGFR (p<0.0001), higher urine ACR (p<0.0001), poorer endothelium-dependent and endothelium-independent vasodilation (both p<0.0001), higher VCAM-1 (p<0.0001) and higher apoC-III [285.3 (195.2-405.6) vs 242.9(165.0-344.0) μg/ml]. After adjustment, log transformed apoC-III, remained independently associated with the presence of DPN (B=0.965, SE=0.397, p=0.015).

CONCLUSION

Plasma apoC-III is higher in patients with DPN. Apart from its known association with lipids and macrovascular complications, this study suggests its association with DPN. Whether regulating apoC-III metabolism may be an important new therapeutic approach to managing dyslipidemia and microvascular complications in T2D remains to be proven in future mechanistic and clinical studies.

Tumor necrosis factor-alpha promoter polymorphism 308 G/A is not significantly associated with esophageal cancer risk: a meta-analysis

Many studies have investigated the association between Tumor necrosis factor-α-308 G>A (rs1800629) and the risk of esophageal cancer. However, their results are inconsistent. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis of available data to investigate any possible association between this polymorphism and esophageal cancer risk. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the CNKI database for articles published up to 2016. Crude and adjusted odds ratio with 95% confidence intervals were calculated using fixed or random effects models. We used a dominant model (GA+AA vs GG), a recessive model (AA vs GG+GA), an over-dominant model (GG+AA vs GA), and allele frequency (G vs A) to identify any association. Eleven studies with 5617 participants were included in the meta-analysis. Our results suggest that TNF-α-308 G>A (rs1800629) is not significantly associated with a risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and esophageal adenocarcinoma. For genetic association studies, negative results of meta-analysis have a high level of evidence, and these results are important in this era of high-throughput sequencing-based precision medicine.

Cardiovascular health among two ethnic groups living in the same region: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Poor cardiovascular health (CVH) among ethnic/racial minorities, studied primarily in the USA, may reflect lower access to healthcare. We examined factors associated with minority CVH in a setting of universal access to healthcare.

METHODS AND RESULTS

CVH behaviors and factors were evaluated in a random population sample (551 Arabs, 553 Jews) stratified by sex, ethnicity and age. More Jews (10%) than Arabs (3%) had 3 ideal health behaviors. Only one participant had all four. Although ideal diet was rare (≤1.5%) across groups, Arabs were more likely to meet intake recommendations for whole grains, but less likely to meet intake recommendations for fruits/vegetables and fish. Arabs had lower odds of attaining ideal levels for body mass index and physical activity. Smoking prevalence was 57% among Arab men and 6% among Arab women. Having four ideal health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose, smoking) was observed in 2% and 8% of Arab and Jewish men, respectively, and 13% of Arab and Jewish women. Higher prevalence of ideal total-cholesterol corresponded to lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol among Arabs. No participant met ideal levels for all 7 metrics and only 1.8% presented with 6. Accounting for age and lower socioeconomic status, Arabs were less likely to meet a greater number of metric goals (odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.62 (0.42-0.92) for men, and 0.73 (0.48-1.12) for women).

CONCLUSIONS

Ideal CVH, rare altogether, was less prevalent among the Arab minority albeit universal access to healthcare. Health behaviors were the main contributors to the CVH disparity.