Hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence does not differ between interferon-based and interferon-free treatment with liver histological assessment

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence after antiviral therapy for patients with chronic hepatitis C Infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence following antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) remains unclear. The current study aims to compare: (1) the HCC occurrence rate following sustained virological response (SVR) versus non-response (NR); (2) the HCC occurrence rate following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy versus interferon (IFN)-based therapy, and (3) the HCC occurrence rate in SVR patients with or without cirrhosis.

METHODS

A search was performed for articles published between January 2017 and July 2022. Studies were included if they assessed HCC occurrence rate in CHC patients following anti-HCV therapy. Random effects meta-analysis was used to synthesize the results from individual studies.

RESULTS

A total of 23 studies including 29,395 patients (IFN-based = 6, DAA = 17; prospective = 10, retrospective = 13) were included in the review. HCC occurrence was significantly lower in CHC with SVR (1.54 per 100 person-years (py, 95% CI 1.52, 1.57) than those in non-responders (7.80 py, 95% CI 7.61, 7.99). Stratified by HCV treatment regimens, HCC occurrence following SVR was 1.17 per 100 py (95% CI 1.11, 1.22) and 1.60 per 100 py (95% CI 1.58, 1.63) in IFN- and DAA treatment-based studies. HCC occurrence was 0.85 per 100 py (95% CI 0.85, 0.86) in the non-cirrhosis population and rose to 2.47 per 100 py (95% CI 2.42, 2.52) in the cirrhosis population. Further meta-regression analysis showed that treatment types were not associated with a higher HCC occurrence rate, while cirrhosis status was an important factor of HCC occurrence rate.

CONCLUSION

HCC occurrence was significantly lower in the SVR population than in the NR population. HCC risk following SVR occurred three times more frequently in patients with cirrhosis than patients without cirrhosis. However, we found no significant difference in HCC occurrence risk following SVR between DAA and IFN therapies.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

CRD42023473033.

Improved Liver Function After Sustained Virologic Response Enhanced Prognosis in Hepatitis C with Compensated Advanced Liver Fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver function can be improved in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. However, to our knowledge, the impact of liver function improvement after SVR on prognosis has not been investigated.

METHODS

A total of 716 patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver fibrosis who began receiving DAA treatment between September 2014 and August 2018 in 25 Japanese hospitals and achieved SVR were enrolled.

RESULTS

The median age was 73 years, and 336 (47%) and 380 (53%) patients had albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and grade 2, respectively. Improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after the end of treatment (EOT) was observed in 76% of the patients with baseline ALBI grade 2. Among 380 patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels ≥ 40 U/L (p < 0.001) and modified ALBI (mALBI) grade 2a (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT in multivariate analysis. During the median observation period of 51.8 months, 4 and 10 patients with baseline ALBI grade 1 and 2, respectively, died. In patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, only the absence of improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline ALT levels and mALBI grade were significantly associated with improvement in liver function after SVR. Patients whose liver function improved after SVR could have better prognosis.

Response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in Japan: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

In Japan, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality and hepatitis C virus infection is a major cause of HCC. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published studies evaluating patient response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C on the risk of HCC occurrence in Japan. Articles were searched using terms determined a priori through PubMed, screened by title and abstract, and selected by full-text assessment according to criteria determined a priori, including HCC occurrence in response to interferon (IFN)-based or IFN-free therapy, Japanese study, and 2 or more years of follow-up. We excluded studies on HCC recurrence. We calculated the pooled estimate of the crude incidence rate ratio with data from the selected studies using the person-years method with Poisson regression model and pooled estimate of the hazard ratio adjusted for potential confounders reported by the studies using a random effects model. A total of 26 studies were identified, all of which examined only IFN-based therapy as a result of the selection process. The pooled estimate (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 25 studies was 0.37 (0.33-0.43) for sustained virologic response (SVR) and 1.70 (1.61-1.80) for non-SVR for the HCC incidence rate per 100 person-years, and 0.22 (0.19-0.26) for the incidence rate ratio (SVR vs. non-SVR). The pooled estimate of the hazard ratio (95% CI) of HCC incidence adjusted for potential confounders of 8 studies was 0.25 (0.19-0.34). SVR to interferon therapy for chronic hepatitis C reduces the risk of HCC occurrence.

Effect of sofosbuvir and velpatasvir therapy on clinical outcome in hepatitis C virus patients with decompensated cirrhosis

AIM

To determine the impact of direct-acting antiviral therapy on the long-term prognosis of decompensated cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

A total of 37 patients with hepatitis C virus-induced decompensated cirrhosis treated with sofosbuvir and velpatasvir (SOF/VEL group) were prospectively enrolled. For historical control, 65 hepatitis C virus-positive decompensated cirrhotic patients who did not receive direct-acting antiviral therapy were included (control group). The incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensated events with hospitalization, and overall survival were compared between both groups.

RESULTS

A total of 41 patients experienced decompensated events during 15.0 months in the control group, and six patients during 21.6 months in the SOF/VEL group. The cumulative incidence rates of decompensated events after 2 years were significantly higher in the control group (53.1%) than in the SOF/VEL group (14.5%; p < 0.001). A total of 27 patients died within 22.0 months in the control group, and three patients died within 25.6 months in the SOF/VEL group. The overall survival rates after 2 years were significantly lower in the control group (67.6%) than in the SOF/VEL group (91.3%; p = 0.010). A total of 13 patients in the control group developed HCC during 15.8 months, and 10 patients during 17.3 months in the SOF/VEL group. The HCC incidence rates after 2 years were 20.3% and 29.6% in the control and SOF/VEL groups, respectively, with no significant difference (p = 0.327).

CONCLUSIONS

SOF/VEL therapy may suppress the development of decompensated events and improve the prognosis in decompensated cirrhotic patients; however, the incidence of HCC remains prevalent in these patients irrespective of SOF/VEL therapy.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after sustained virologic response in hepatitis C virus patients without advanced liver fibrosis

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virologic response (SVR) has been observed even in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients without advanced liver fibrosis. Identifying predictors for HCC incidence in patients without advanced liver fibrosis will enable efficient post-SVR HCC surveillance. This study aimed to develop a scoring system to predict the incidence of HCC after SVR in HCV patients without advanced liver fibrosis.

METHODS

A total of 1682 HCV patients without advanced liver fibrosis (defined as Fibrosis-4 index <3.25) with no history of HCC who initiated direct-acting antiviral treatment between September 2014 and October 2020 at 26 institutions, and achieved SVR24, were included. We divided 1682 patients into training (1122) and validation (560) cohorts.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, baseline age ≥ 65 years (p = 0.030), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels at SVR24 ≥ 30 U/l (p = 0.001), and α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels at SVR24 ≥ 5.0 ng/ml (p = 0.001) were independent predictors for HCC incidence in the training cohort. We developed a scoring system to predict HCC incidence after SVR24 using these three factors (1 point was added for each factor). The cumulative HCC incidence rates at 5 years were 7.1% in patients who scored 2 or 3, and no patients developed HCC in those who scored 0 in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Our scoring system using the three factors of baseline age, ALT levels at SVR, and AFP levels at SVR is useful for post-SVR HCC surveillance of patients without advanced liver fibrosis.

Liver-related events after direct-acting antiviral therapy in patients with hepatitis C virus-associated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy enables a high rate of sustained virologic response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus associated cirrhosis. However, the impact of DAA therapy on liver-related events in patients with cirrhosis is unclear.

METHODS

A total of 350 patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis administered DAA therapy at 29 Japanese hospitals were enrolled (Child-Pugh class A [CP-A]: 195 patients, CP-B: 131 patients and CP-C: 24 patients).

RESULTS

The SVR rates of patients with CP-A, CP-B and CP-C were 96.9%, 93.1% and 83.3%, respectively (p = 0.006). Seventy patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and male sex, previous HCC treatment, platelet counts < 10.0 × 10⁴/µl, alpha-fetoprotein levels ≥ 5.0 ng/ml and CP-C were identified as significant factors in the multivariate analysis. The cumulative HCC occurrence/recurrence rates at 1 year were 6.6%/45.2%. The cumulative rate of decompensated cirrhotic events requiring hospital admission at 1 year was 9.1%. In the multivariate analysis, CP-B and CP-C were identified as significant factors. During the median observation period of 14.9 months, 13 patients died and one patient received liver transplant. The overall survival rates at 1 year were 98.4% in patients with CP-A, 96.4% in those with CP-B and 85.6% in those with CP-C (CP-A vs. CP-B: p = 0.759, CP-A vs. CP-C: p = 0.001 and CP-B vs. CP-C: p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

HCC development and mortality in patients with CP-B were not different from those with CP-A. On the other hand, in patients with CP-C, the development of HCC and decompensated cirrhotic events requiring hospital admission, and death were frequent.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000036150).

Prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in patients with hepatitis C in the era of direct-acting anti-virals

BACKGROUND

Several factors associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence after sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C have been reported. However, few validation studies have been performed in the era of direct-acting anti-virals (DAAs).

AIMS

To develop a prediction model for HCC occurrence after DAA-mediated SVR and validate its usefulness.

METHODS

We analysed 2209 patients with SVR and without a history of HCC who initiated DAA treatment at 24 Japanese hospitals. These patients were divided into a training set (1473 patients) and a validation set (736 patients).

RESULTS

In the training set, multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the baseline BMI (≥25.0 kg/m² , P = 0.024), baseline fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index (≥3.25, P = 0.001), albumin level at SVR (<4.0 g/dL, P = 0.010) and alpha-foetoprotein level at SVR (≥5.0 ng/mL, P = 0.006) were significantly associated with HCC occurrence. We constructed a prediction model for HCC occurrence with these four factors (2 points were added for the FIB-4 index, and 1 point was added for each of the other three factors). Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis identified a score of 2 as the optimal cut-off value for the prediction model (divided into 0-1 and 2-5). In the validation set, the sensitivity and negative predictive value for HCC occurrence were 87.5% and 99.7%, respectively, at 2 years and 71.4% and 98.0%, respectively, at 3 years.

CONCLUSION

A prediction model combining these four factors contributes to an efficient surveillance strategy for HCC occurrence after DAA-mediated SVR.

Treatment progress and expansion in Japan: From interferon to direct-acting antiviral

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) was first discovered in 1989, and patients infected with HCV were initially treated with interferon (IFN) monotherapy. In the 2000s, pegylated IFN combined with ribavirin was the mainstay of therapy for infected patients, but the sustained virologic response (SVR) rate was less than 50% for patients with HCV genotype 1. To further improve the therapeutic effect, direct-acting antiviral (DAA) was developed, and combination therapy with DAA and IFN has been available since 2011. In addition, IFN-free DAA therapy became available in 2014, and SVR was achieved in more than 95% of patients with chronic hepatitis and compensated cirrhosis. Thus, in just 30 years since the discovery of HCV, we aim to eliminate HCV in almost all patients. However, there are remaining issues to be addressed. Many of the patients who achieved SVR with DAA therapy had advanced liver fibrosis, and it is necessary to verify to what extent DAA therapy improves their prognosis in terms of liver function, hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence, and mortality. Resistance-associated substitutions can cause failure of DAA therapy, and the search for an effective therapy for high-level resistant viruses such as P32 deletion is particularly important. DAA therapy was approved for use in patients with decompensated cirrhosis in Japan in 2019, which is an unmet need so far. It is also important to verify the efficacy and safety in real-world settings. The World Health Organization aims to eliminate HCV by 2030, and Japan must tackle its remaining issues to achieve this goal.

Impact of direct-acting antiviral regimens on mortality and morbidity outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis c: Systematic review and meta-analysis

The long-term effects of direct-acting antiviral therapies (DAAs) for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) remain uncertain. The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to assess the impact of DAAs on CHC progression and mortality. We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE and PubMed databases (January 2011 to March 2020) for studies that compared the efficacy of DAAs to a non-DAA control in patients with CHC. Main outcomes were the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality, liver decompensation, HCC occurrence and recurrence. Pooled estimates of HRs were determined using random-effects meta-analyses with inverse variance weighting, with sensitivity analyses and meta-regression to explore the effects of clinical factors. We identified 39 articles for the primary analysis. Compared with unexposed individuals, patients treated with DAA had a reduced risk of death (HR; CI = 0.44; 0.38-0.52), decompensation (HR; CI = 0.54; 0.38- 0.76) and HCC occurrence (HR; CI = 0.72; 0.61- 0.86). The protective effect of DAA on HCC recurrence was less clear (HR; CI = 0.72; 0.44-1.16). Sustained virologic response (SVR) attainment was a significant predictor of reduced mortality (HR; CI = 0.33; 0.23-0.46), decompensation (HR; CI = 0.11; 0.05-0.24), HCC occurrence (HR; CI = 0.31; 0.27-0.37) and HCC recurrence (HR; CI = 0.32; 0.20-0.51). Meta-regression showed no evidence of effect modification by patient age, sex, presence of cirrhosis or length of follow-up. In conclusion, our findings show protective effects of DAA treatment and DAA-related SVR on CHC progression and mortality.

Clinical outcomes of direct-acting antiviral treatments for patients with hepatitis C after hepatocellular carcinoma are equivalent to interferon treatment

AIM

It remains unclear how direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments influence hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence and survival in comparison with interferon (IFN).

METHODS

In total, 338 patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and previous HCC treatments who initiated IFN (N = 88, IFN group) or DAA treatment (N = 250, DAA group) from January 2005 to November 2017 at 23 hospitals and achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) were analyzed. Cumulative HCC recurrence and survival rates were compared between the two groups using propensity score (PS) matching.

RESULTS

After PS matching, 63 patients were selected for each group. The cumulative HCC recurrence rates at 1 and 3 years were 20.6% and 34.6% in the IFN group and 19.2% and 43.0% in the DAA group, respectively; the difference in cumulative HCC recurrence rates between the two groups was not significant (P = 0.332). No significant differences in HCC recurrence patterns were observed between the two groups. Overall survival rates at 1 and 3 years were 100% and 96.6% in the IFN group and 100% and 96.4% in the DAA group, respectively; the difference in overall survival rates between the two groups was not significant (P = 0.132). No significant differences in HCC recurrence and overall survival rates were observed between the two groups in subgroup analyses of patients receiving curative treatment (liver resection or radiofrequency ablation) for the most recent HCC before HCV treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

The recurrence rates and patterns of HCC and overall survival rates do not differ between SVR patients receiving IFN and DAA treatments.