Long-term prognosis in Crohn's disease: An epidemiological study of patients diagnosed more than 20 years ago in Cardiff

The association between inflammatory bowel disease and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the UK Biobank

PURPOSE

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has a rising global prevalence. However, the understanding of its impact on mortality remains inconsistent so we explored the association between IBD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

METHODS

This study included 502,369 participants from the UK Biobank, a large, population-based, prospective cohort study with mortality data through 2022. IBD was defined by baseline self-report or from primary care or hospital admission data. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality in multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 5799 (1.2%) participants had a history of IBD at baseline. After a median follow-up of 13.7 years, 44,499 deaths occurred. Having IBD was associated with an increased risk of death from all causes (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.07-1.24) and cancer (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.05-1.30), particularly colorectal cancer (CRC) (HR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.17-2.09). We observed elevated breast cancer mortality rates for individuals with Crohn's disease, and increased CRC mortality rates for individuals with ulcerative colitis. In stratified analyses of IBD and all-cause mortality, mortality risk differed by individuals' duration of IBD, age at IBD diagnosis, body mass index (BMI) (PHeterogeneity = 0.03) and smoking status (PHeterogeneity = 0.01). Positive associations between IBD and all-cause mortality were detected in individuals diagnosed with IBD for 10 years or longer, those diagnosed before the age of 50, all BMI subgroups except obese individuals, and in never or current, but not former smokers.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that having IBD was associated with increased risks of mortality from all causes, all cancers, and CRC. This underscores the importance of enhanced patient management strategies and targeted prevention efforts in individuals with IBD.

Application of the capture–recapture method to ascertain the completeness of the Saxon pediatric IBD registry in Germany

Aim

The incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is increasing worldwide. The Saxon Pediatric IBD Registry was founded in 2000 to describe the epidemiology of pediatric IBD in Germany. The aim of this study was to determinate the completeness of this registry for children and adolescents younger than 15 years and to make this approach transparent. Results of this completeness update have broad implications for further scientific publications from the registry dataset.

Method

The capture–recapture method with two data sources was used to ascertain completeness. A second data source was collected in 2019 for the observation period 2008–2014 from all pediatricians, gastroenterologists, and internists working in practices in a predefined region in Saxony, Germany.

Results

A total of 23 patients with IBD were reported who fulfilled the inclusion criteria. One of them was not recorded in the registry. Therefore, the completeness of the registry was estimated at 95.7% (95% CI 90.2–100). Initial analysis of the Saxon Pediatric IBD Registry over the 15-year period 2000–2014 includes 532 patients, 312 (58.6%) male and 220 (41.4%) female. The distribution of single IBD diseases in the registry was as follows: Crohn’s disease 338 patients (63.5%), ulcerative colitis 176 patients (33.1%), and unclassified IBD 18 patients (3.4%). Evaluations by sex and by disease in age groups and by age at onset were tabulated.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates that the completeness level of the Saxon Pediatric IBD Registry is high (95.7%), and thus the epidemiological data of the registry are reliable.

Midkine level may be used as a noninvasive biomarker in Crohn’s disease

Background/aim

Crohn’s disease (CD) is a kind of inflammatory bowel disease. Midkine (MDK) is an endogenous inflammatory marker. We aimed to investigate the relationship between MDK levels and inflammation and hence determine whether MDK can be used as a noninvasive biomarker in active CD.

Materials and methods

Sixty-five consecutive patients over the age of 18 with CD and 36 healthy controls were included in this study. CD patients’ venous blood samples were taken before treatment. Serum MDK levels were determined in human plasma samples by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method.

Results

The mean age of the study patients was 44.8 ± 12.5 years, 35 patients were female, and 30 were male. Of these 65 patients, 37 had active CD and 28 were in the remission phase. MDK levels were significantly higher in active and remission CD than in healthy controls (P = 0.01, P = 0.038, respectively).

Conclusion

We report that there is an association between MDK levels and CD activation, and therefore with enhanced inflammation. MDK levels were significantly correlated with inflammatory indices. In line with our findings, we suggest the theory that MDK inhibitors may be useful in treating Crohn’s disease.

Age-Related Survival Differences in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease-Associated Colorectal Cancer: A Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Reported outcomes for colorectal cancer associated with inflammatory bowel disease are inconsistent. We compared survival outcomes in colorectal cancer patients with and without inflammatory bowel disease using a population-based cohort and elicited prognostic factors associated with survival.

METHODS

Adult patients with a diagnosis of colorectal cancer in 2007-2015 were identified from the Ontario Cancer Registry. Those with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) were detected via the validated Ontario Crohn's and Colitis Cohort. The primary outcome measure was overall survival from time of colorectal cancer diagnosis until the date of death. Secondary outcome measures included treatments received and publicly provided health care costs.

RESULTS

Colorectal cancer was diagnosed in 67,137, with inflammatory bowel disease present in 783 (1.2%). The IBD-associated colorectal cancer patients were younger at diagnosis (median range, 55-59 vs 70-74 years; P < 0.001). Five-year survival in IBD-associated patients was 56.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.6%-59.9%) and 57.0% (95% CI, 56.6%-57.4%) in sporadic colorectal cancer (P = 0.8). Inflammatory bowel disease was a significant predictor of death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.29-1.63; P < 0.001) after adjusting for other variables. In patients under 50, 5-year survival was significantly (P < 0.001) reduced in the IBD population (56.8%; 95% CI, 49.4%-63.5%) compared with the sporadic colorectal cancer population (71.4%; 95% CI, 70.0%-72.7%). Similar results were observed in those 50-64 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with IBD-associated CRC appear to have worse survival than those with sporadic CRC. In subgroups based on age, this difference appears to be driven by young (<65 years old) patients with IBD. These findings may direct future research on treatment for this high-risk population.

Mortality Risk of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Case-Control Study of New York State Death Records

BACKGROUND

Studies examining the mortality risk of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have yielded conflicting results, and most do not account for recent advancements made in the treatment of Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). We aim to assess the overall, premature, and cause-specific mortality in IBD patients over a 17-year time period and to evaluate any differences since the introduction of biologic therapy.

METHODS

A death record case-control study was performed to explore the odds of premature death (before age 65) and all-cause mortality among those with IBD. Cases consisted of IBD patients (1,129 with CD and 841 with UC) who died in New York State (NYS) from 1993 to 2010. Controls (n = 7880) were matched 4:1 on the basis of sex and zip code from those who died in NYS in the same time frame, without an IBD diagnosis.

RESULTS

Compared with matched controls, those with CD (OR 1.56, CI 95% 1.34-1.82), but not UC (OR 0.72, CI 95% 0.59-0.89), were more likely to die prematurely. Both those with UC and CD were more likely to die from a gastrointestinal cause (CD OR 15.28, 95% CI 12.11-19.27; UC OR 14.02, 95% CI 10.76-18.26). There was no difference in the cause or age of death before and after the introduction of anti-TNF agents in those with IBD.

CONCLUSIONS

Both CD and UC cases were more likely to die of a gastrointestinal etiology, and CD patients were more likely to die prematurely. There was no significant difference in the premature death, average age of death, and cause of death in this IBD population after the availability of anti-TNF therapy.

Long-term outcomes of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease

The incidence and prevalence of childhood-onset inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), including subtypes Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, have risen dramatically in recent years, and have emerged globally as important pediatric chronic diseases. Therefore, health care providers are more frequently encountering very young children with IBD, a chronic and incurable condition requiring life-long therapy. These children are living long lives with IBD and therefore knowledge of long-term outcomes is increasingly important to better counsel families and determine the best course of treatment. This review summarizes the current knowledge and literature surrounding long-term outcomes of pediatric IBD, with emphasis on the following areas: need for surgery due to complicated disease behavior, risk of disease remission and recurrence, mental health and psychosocial well-being, educational outcomes, linear growth impairment, cancer risk, and mortality. In addition, we review recent research about predicting negative long-term outcomes in children with IBD.

Autologous stem-cell transplantation in treatment-refractory Crohn's disease: an analysis of pooled data from the ASTIC trial

BACKGROUND

The randomised controlled ASTIC trial showed no benefit of mobilisation and autologous haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT) compared with mobilisation followed by conventional therapy using a stringent primary endpoint (steroid-free clinical remission for 3 months with no endoscopic or radiological evidence of intestinal inflammation) in patients with treatment-refractory Crohn's disease. We now assess HSCT in patients enrolled in the ASTIC trial using endpoints that are traditional for clinical trials in Crohn's disease, and identify factors that predict benefit or harm.

METHODS

Patients who underwent mobilisation and were randomly assigned to conventional therapy in the ASTIC trial were offered HSCT at 1 year and underwent complete assessment for a further year. We report analyses of the combined cohort of patients who underwent HSCT at any time during the ASTIC trial programme. The primary outcome for this analysis was 3-month steroid-free clinical remission at 1 year after HSCT (Crohn's Disease Activity Index [CDAI] <150). We also examined the degree of endoscopic healing at 1 year. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with achieving the primary endpoint by using logistic regression, and factors associated with experiencing a serious adverse event using Poisson regression. Participants were not masked to treatment, but the adjudication panel that reviewed radiology and endoscopy was masked to allocation and visits. All patients who underwent HSCT and had data available at baseline and 1-year follow-up were included in the primary and safety analysis. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00297193.

FINDINGS

Between June 28, 2007, and Sept 1, 2011, 45 patients were enrolled in the ASTIC trial from 11 European transplant units. 23 patients were randomly assigned to immediate HSCT, and 22 patients were assigned to mobilisation followed by conventional care. After completion of the ASTIC trial, 17 patients from the conventional care group received HSCT. In the combined cohort, data were available for 40 patients at baseline and 38 patients at 1 year after HSCT (one patient died, one withdrew). At 1 year after HSCT, 3-month steroid-free clinical remission was seen in 13 (38%, 95% CI 22-55) of 34 patients with available data for the whole year. Complete endoscopic healting was noted in 19 (50%, 34-66) of 38 patients. On multivariate analyses, factors associated with the primary outcome were short disease duration (odds ratio [OR] 0·64, 95% CI 0·41-0·997 per year; p=0·048) and low baseline CDAI (0·82, 0·74-0·98 per 10 units; p=0·031). 76 serious adverse events occurred in 23 of 40 patients with available data. The most common serious adverse event was infection, most of which were treatment related. Smoking and perianal disease at baseline were independent factors associated with the number of serious adverse events (OR 3·07 [95% CI 1·75-5·38; p=0·0001] for smoking and 3·97 [2·17-7·25; p<0·0001] for perianal disease) on multivariate analysis.

INTERPRETATION

When assessed using endpoints traditional for clinical trials of conventional therapy in Crohn's disease, HSCT resulted in clinical and endoscopic benefit, although it was associated with a high burden of adverse events. The prognostic factors identified could allow the therapy to be targeted to patients most likely to benefit and not experience serious adverse events.

FUNDING

Broad Medical Research Program, National Institute for Health Research Senior Investigator Award, The University of Nottingham Medical School Dean's Fund, and The Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust Research and Development Fund.

The natural history of Crohn's disease in children: a review of population-based studies

The incidence of Crohn's disease (CD) has been reported to increase. The aim of this review is to perform a comprehensive literature search of population-based studies focused on the natural history of paediatric-onset CD. A literature search of English and non-English language publications listed in the electronic database of MEDLINE (source PUBMED) and EMBASE from 1935 to 2016 was performed. Population-based studies or national cohorts reporting data on the short-term or long-term disease course of paediatric CD were included. Forty-nine paediatric and 15 nonpaediatric studies on CD have been identified. Up to one-third of children with inflammatory behaviour developed bowel complications more than 5 years after diagnosis. From 48 to 88% of children have experienced at least one corticosteroid course irrespective of the period of diagnosis and up to one-third became steroid dependent. Immunosuppressive preparations were used earlier and more frequently in newer than older cohorts (68 vs. 32% at 5 years) and more than one-third of children have received biological treatment early in the disease course. A decline in the surgery rate might be observed in more recent compared with older unselected populations. The relative risk of cancer in childhood-onset CD as well as the risk of death seem to have increased. Childhood-onset CD seems to be an aggressive phenotype of the disease. Compared with older cohorts, a trend towards decreasing surgical rate can be observed in newer cohorts paralleled by an increase in immunomodulator use and biologicals. Nevertheless, the causative role has yet to be investigated.

Total and cancer mortality in a cohort of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease patients: The Florence inflammatory bowel disease study, 1978-2010

BACKGROUND

There is no consensus on the leading causes of death among inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) patients.

AIM

We present the results of an extended follow-up of the population-based Florence IBD cohort, including 689 ulcerative colitis and 231 Crohn's disease patients.

METHODS

The causes of death of cohort members were determined through linkage with the local mortality registry. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) by applying gender-, age- and calendar time-death rates to person-years at risk.

RESULTS

Ulcerative colitis patients had overall mortality comparable to the general population (SMR 0.99, 95%CI 0.85-1.14), though being at increased risk of dying from Hodgkin's disease (SMR 11.74, 95%CI 2.94-46.94), rectal cancer (SMR 3.69, 95%CI 1.66-8.22) and Alzheimer's disease (2.40, 95%CI 1.00-5.76). Crohn's disease patients had an increased overall mortality (SMR 1.79, 95%CI 1.39-2.27) and were at higher risk of dying from cancer (SMR 2.57, 95%CI 1.28-5.13) and non-cancer diseases of the respiratory system (SMR 2.51, 95%CI 1.05-6.04), brain cancer (SMR 6.26, 95%CI 1.57-25.02) and non-cancer diseases of the genitourinary system (SMR 4.38, 95%CI 1.10-17.52).

CONCLUSIONS

IBD patients should be offered counselling on risk reduction strategies, as much of their mortality excess is potentially avoidable.

The emerging global epidemic of paediatric inflammatory bowel disease--causes and consequences

Two decades ago, paediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) drew only modest interest from the international paediatric community. Since then, dramatically globally increasing incidence rates have made childhood-onset IBD a priority for most paediatric gastroenterologists. The emerging pandemia of paediatric IBD has fuelled a quest to identify the recent changes in early life exposures that could explain the increasing risk for IBD amongst today's children. Treatment of children with IBD should aim for symptom control but should also target restoration of growth and prevention of pubertal delay. The paediatric IBD phenotype seems to be characterized by more extensive disease location, and some comparative studies have suggested that childhood-onset IBD also represents a more severe phenotype than the adult-onset IBD form. In this review, we analyse recent global incidence trends of paediatric IBD. We present an update on the known and suggested risk factors that could explain the emerging global epidemia of paediatric IBD. We also draw attention to differences in treatment between children and adults with IBD. Finally, we highlight latest follow-up studies that question the proposed dynamic and aggressive nature of childhood-onset IBD.

Mortality Trends in Crohn's Disease and Ulcerative Colitis: A Population-based Study in Québec, Canada

BACKGROUND

Mortality rates greater than in the general population have been reported in the population with Crohn's disease (CD), but reports for ulcerative colitis (UC) are conflicting. Trends with time were rarely described. We aimed to assess whether CD and UC mortality in Québec differs from that in the general population and to describe the trends over a 10-year observation period.

METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study using the Québec administrative health databases and death certificates registry. All-cause and cause-specific standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were computed for 1999 to 2008. A time trend analysis was used to assess changes in the SMR with the calendar year.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality was significantly increased in CD and UC compared to the general population: SMR: CD 1.45 (95% confidence interval: 1.34-1.58), UC 1.21 (95% confidence interval: 1.12-1.32). In CD, mortality from digestive conditions, all neoplasms, digestive neoplasms, and colorectal, lymphatic, and lung cancer was significantly higher than in the general population. In UC, mortality from digestive, respiratory, and infectious conditions was also significantly increased. In both CD and UC, there was a decrease with time in all-cause SMRs and in digestive conditions, digestive neoplasms, colorectal cancer, and infectious diseases. SMRs for lung cancer and respiratory conditions increased over time in CD.

CONCLUSIONS

All-cause mortality was significantly higher in CD and UC populations than in the general population. However, a decreasing trend with time was observed in all-cause and some cause-specific SMRs. In CD, SMRs for lung cancer and respiratory conditions increased during the observation period.

Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of elemental nutrition for the maintenance of remission in Crohn's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Although enteral nutrition has been shown to be a viable treatment option for the management of active Crohn's disease (CD), the evidence regarding its clinical benefits compared with standard treatments (e.g. steroids) for maintaining remission in patients with CD has been inconsistent. If enteral nutrition was to be effective, the use of drugs such as steroids and immunosuppressive drugs could be reduced, thereby reducing the likelihood of adverse events associated with these medications.

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review aimed to assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of elemental nutrition (a type of enteral nutrition) for maintenance of remission in patients with CD.

DATA SOURCES

Major bibliographic databases (e.g. MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews) were searched from inception to August/September 2013. Searches were not limited by study design, language or publication date. Websites for relevant organisations and references of included studies were checked.

METHODS

Experimental randomised and non-randomised controlled trials (RCTs and nRCTs) reporting clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of elemental nutrition in the maintenance of remission in patients with CD were eligible. Study selection, data extraction and risk of bias (RoB) assessment were performed independently. Risk ratios (RRs) and mean differences (MDs) were pooled using a random-effects model. Heterogeneity was assessed via forest plots, Cochran's Q and the I2 statistics. Overall, quality of evidence for each outcome was rated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach.

RESULTS

Eight studies (three RCTs and five nRCTs) were included in the review. RCTs indicated a significant benefit of elemental nutrition vs. no intervention (an unrestricted diet) in maintaining remission at 24 months [one RCT; RR 2.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 to 4.43; very low-grade evidence] and preventing relapse at 12-24 months post baseline (two RCTs; pooled RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.84; I2 = 0%; high-grade evidence). Similarly, three nRCTs showed significant benefits of elemental nutrition over no intervention in maintaining remission at 12-48 months and preventing relapse at 12 months post baseline (MD 1.20 months, 95% CI 0.35 to 2.04 months). The incidence of mucosal healing was not significantly different in the intervention and control groups (RR 2.70, 95% CI 0.62 to 11.72). Adherence to an elemental nutrition regime was significantly worse than adherence to polymeric nutrition (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.92) and, when compared with other active treatments (medications, polymeric nutrition or a combination), elemental nutrition yielded non-significant results with wide 95% CIs, rendering these results inconclusive. Complications and adverse events were too sparse to allow meaningful comparisons. None of the studies reported cost-effectiveness of elemental nutrition. Owing to scarcity of data, subgroup and sensitivity analyses could not be performed to explore methodological and clinical sources of heterogeneity.

LIMITATIONS

The findings warrant cautious interpretation given the limitations of the evidence in methodological quality (small samples, short follow-up) and the RoB in individual studies (lack of blinding, confounding).

CONCLUSIONS

Limited evidence indicates potential benefits of elemental nutrition against no intervention in the maintenance of remission and prevention of relapse in adult patients with CD. There was a lack or insufficient evidence on adverse events and complications. Future large and long-term randomised trials are warranted to draw more definitive conclusions regarding the effects of elemental nutrition in maintaining remission in CD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42013005134.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Autologous stem cell transplantation in severe treatment-resistant Crohn's disease: long-term follow-up of UK patients treated on compassionate basis

BACKGROUND

Although autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) may achieve disease control in severe treatment-resistant Crohn's disease (CD), relapse is frequent, and there is little information regarding long-term outcomes in terms of response to subsequent treatments and complications of ASCT.

DESIGN

Retrospective evaluation of UK patients treated on a compassionate basis from three UK tertiary centres.

METHODS

We summarize long-term outcomes of six previously unreported patients with severe treatment-resistant CD treated with ASCT according to international guidelines between 2003 and 2009. Median duration of CD before ASCT was 14 (7-22) years. Following stem cell mobilization, patients were treated with high-dose cyclophosphamide (200 mg/kg) and rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (7.5 mg/kg) followed by ASCT.

RESULTS

All patients tolerated ASCT with routine toxicities and no treatment-related mortality and are alive at 50-123 months post-ASCT. Clinical and endoscopic remissions of CD were confirmed at 3 months post-ASCT in five patients, although median time to next treatment for inflammatory disease was 10 months (range: 3-16 months). Subsequently, disease control was achieved with previously ineffective and newer treatments, with surgery performed predominantly for pre-existing fibrotic strictures. Two patients became independent of home total parenteral nutrition (TPN). Reported late complications of ASCT included hypothyroidism and ovarian failure.

CONCLUSION

Long-term follow-up supports the safety and feasibility of ASCT as a means of achieving short-term control of severe CD whilst potentially re-sensitizing the disease to medical therapy and reducing requirements for surgery and TPN. Given the inevitability of relapse, pre-emptive salvage and/or maintenance treatments post-ASCT should be the focus of future trials.

Mortality and cancer in pediatric-onset inflammatory bowel disease: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

Although the incidence of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) continues to rise in Northern France, the risks of death and cancer in this population have not been characterized.

METHODS

All patients <17 years, recorded in EPIMAD registry, and diagnosed between 1988 and 2004 with Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) were included. The observed incidences of death and cancer were compared with those expected in the regional general population obtained by French Statistical Institute (INSEE) and the cancer Registry from Lille. Comparisons were performed using Fisher's exact test and were expressed using the standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and standardized incidence ratios.

RESULTS

A total of 698 patients (538 with CD and 160 with UC) were identified; 360 (52%) were men, the median age at IBD diagnosis was 14 years (12-16) and the median follow-up time was 11.5 years (7-15). During follow-up, the mortality rate was 0.84% (6/698) and did not differ from that in the reference population (SMR=1.4 (0.5-3.0); P=0.27). After a median follow-up of 15 years (10-17), 1.3% of patients (9/698) had a cancer: colon (n=2), biliary tract (cholangiocarcinoma; n=1), uterine cervix (n=1), prepuce (n=1), skin (basal cell carcinoma (n=2), hematological (acute leukemia; n=1), and small bowel carcinoid (n=1). There was a significantly increased risk of cancer regardless of gender and age (standardized incidence ratio=3.0 (1.3-5.9); P<0.02). Four out of nine patients who developed a cancer had received immunosuppressants or anti-tumor necrosis factor-α therapy (including combination therapy in three patients).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large pediatric population-based IBD cohort, mortality did not differ from that of the general population but there was a significant threefold increased risk of neoplasia.

Methodology for high-quality studies on course and prognosis of inflammatory bowel disease

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) are characterized by a chronic course with an alternation of relapses and remissions. Questions about prognosis are important for the patient who wants to know how the disease will affect his/her life and also for clinicians to make management decisions. Correct selection of the patients is the basis for good methodological studies on the course of IBD. A great proportion of data on the course of IBD is derived from a limited number of cohort studies. Studies help to define the endpoints for clinical trials and to identify subsets of patients in whom the prognosis of the disease can be stratified according to clinical features. Specific scientific requirements for high-quality studies on prognosis are the following: use of inception cohort, description of referral patterns, completeness of follow-up, objective outcome criteria, blind outcome assessment, adjustment for extraneous prognostic factors and statistical issues. We analyzed each of these requirements in studies on IBDs. To date, prospective and population-based cohort studies are the standard for an unbiased assessment of prognosis. A better knowledge of the course of disease of chronic disorders ideally requires: (1) data from population-based studies, to avoid selection bias from referral centers in which patients with a more severe disease are usually treated; (2) inclusion of patients seen at the onset of the disease excluding misdiagnosed cases; and (3) follow-up from the onset of the disease to the end without dropouts.

Mortality in inflammatory bowel disease in the Netherlands 1991-2002: results of a population-based study: the IBD South-Limburg cohort

BACKGROUND

The aim was to evaluate overall and disease-specific mortality in a population-based inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) cohort in the Netherlands, as well as risk factors for mortality.

METHODS

IBD patients diagnosed between 1 January 1991 and 1 January 2003 were included. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated overall and with regard to causes of death, gender, as well as age, phenotype, smoking status at diagnosis, and medication use.

RESULTS

At the censoring date, 72 out of 1187 patients had died (21 Crohn's disease [CD], 47 ulcerative colitis [UC], and 4 indeterminate colitis [IC] patients). The SMR (95% confidence interval [CI]) was 1.1 (0.7-1.6) for CD, 0.9 (0.7-1.2) for UC and 0.7 (0.2-1.7) for IC. Disease-specific mortality risk was significantly increased for gastrointestinal (GI) causes of death both in CD (SMR 7.5, 95% CI: 2.8-16.4) and UC (SMR 3.4, 95% CI: 1.4-7.0); in CD patients, especially in patients <40 years of age at diagnosis. For UC, an increased SMR was noted in female patients and in patients <19 years and >80 years at diagnosis. In contrast, UC patients had a decreased mortality risk from cancer (SMR 0.5, 95% CI; 0.2-0.9).

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based IBD study, mortality in CD, UC, and IC was comparable to the background population. The increased mortality risk for GI causes might reflect complicated disease course, with young and elderly patients at diagnosis needing intensive follow-up. Caution in interpreting the finding on mortality risk from cancer is needed as follow-up was probably to short to observe IBD-related cancers.

Overall and cause-specific mortality in Crohn's disease: a meta-analysis of population-based studies

BACKGROUND

An overview of mortality risk among unselected patients with Crohn's disease (CD) is lacking. We therefore performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies on overall and cause-specific mortality in CD.

METHODS

MEDLINE (January 1965 to February 2008), abstracts from international conferences and reference lists of selected articles were searched systematically. All articles fulfilling the predefined inclusion criteria were scrutinized for data on population size, time of follow-up, gender, age, and observed to expected deaths. STATA meta-analysis software was used to calculate overall and cause-specific pooled standardized mortality ratios (SMR, observed/expected).

RESULTS

Nine studies were included with overall SMRs ranging from 0.72-3.2, resulting in a significantly increased pooled SMR of 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30-1.49). Regarding cause-specific mortality, a significantly increased risk of death from cancer (SMR 1.50, 95% CI: 1.18-1.92), in particular of pulmonary cancer (SMR 2.72, 95% CI: 1.35-5.45), as well as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (SMR 2.55, 95% CI: 1.19-5.47), gastrointestinal diseases (SMR 6.76, 95% CI: 4.37-10.45), and genitourinary diseases (SMR 3.28, 95% CI: 1.69-6.35) was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Among unselected patients with CD, overall mortality was slightly but significantly higher than in the general population-primarily explained by deaths from gastrointestinal, respiratory, and genitourinary diseases. Notably, mortality from colorectal cancer was not increased.

Cost-effectiveness of adalimumab for the maintenance of remission in patients with Crohn's disease

OBJECTIVE

Adalimumab is a fully human, monoclonal antibody clinically effective for the treatment of active Crohn's disease. The cost-effectiveness of adalimumab versus conventional, nonbiologic pharmacotherapies is unknown. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of adalimumab versus conventional, nonbiologic pharmacotherapies in the maintenance of Crohn's disease.

METHODS

Trial data from two randomized controlled studies [Crohn's Trial of the Fully Human Antibody Adalimumab for Remission Maintenance (CHARM) and CLinical Assessment of Adalimumab Safety and Efficacy Studied as Induction Therapy in Crohn's Disease (CLASSIC I)] were analyzed within a cost-utility framework using a 1-year horizon from the perspective of the National Health Service (UK). The treatment efficacy and use for the adalimumab arm were based on observations from CHARM. A regression model used data from CLASSIC I to predict efficacy in patients who received nonbiologic pharmacotherapy. Unit costs of drugs, hospitalization, and other medical resources were derived from the literature. Primary standard gamble-calculated data were used to derive health-utility estimates.

RESULTS

Compared with conventional, nonbiologic pharmacotherapy, adalimumab seemed to be cost-effective for the treatment of patients with severe disease and moderate-to-severe disease. The 56-week incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was 16 064 UK pounds/quality-adjusted life-year and 33 731 UK pounds/quality-adjusted life-year for severe and moderate-to-severe groups, respectively. Sensitivity analyses showed that the findings were robust. In the treatment of patients over their lifetimes, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was 6550 UK pounds/quality-adjusted life-year and 17 873 UK pounds/quality-adjusted life-year for patients with severe Crohn's disease and those with moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Adalimumab maintenance therapy seems to be cost-effective versus conventional, nonbiologic therapies for the maintenance of remission in patients with active Crohn's disease.

Paediatric inflammatory bowel disease during a 44-year period in Copenhagen County: occurrence, course and prognosis--a population-based study from the Danish Crohn Colitis Database

AIM

To describe the development in incidence, disease localization, activity, surgery and prognosis in two Danish paediatric population-based inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) cohorts comparing the time periods 1962-1987 (period I) and 1998-2006 (period II).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Incident IBD patients below 15 years of age were included. Disease localization was classified according to the Montreal classification for ulcerative colitis (UC) patients and into small bowel, large bowel and small and large bowel combined for Crohn's disease (CD) patients. Disease activity and surgery in the first 2 years after diagnosis were assessed. Standardized cancer incidence rates and standardized mortality rates were calculated.

RESULTS

One hundred and nineteen IBD patients (77 UC and 42 CD) were included. Comparing periods II and I, the incidence rate ratios were 0.81 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.5-1.4] and 15.6 (95% CI: 7.5-32.7) in UC and CD, respectively. The number of UC patients with extensive disease (E3) increased from period I to II (46.7 vs. 94.1%, P<0.001). No colectomies were performed in UC patients in period II compared with nine in period I (P = 0.13) within the first 2 years after diagnosis. For patients diagnosed in period I, the standardized cancer incidence rate for UC was 37.9 (95% CI: 4.6-136.7) after a median follow-up period of 26 years.

CONCLUSION

We found a significant 15-fold increase in the incidence of CD and a significant increase in the number of UC patients with extensive disease in period II compared with period I. After a median follow-up time of 26 years, a possible increased risk of colorectal cancer in UC patients was detected.

Meta-analysis: mortality in Crohn's disease

AIM

To perform a meta-analysis is of published literature reporting standardized mortality ratios (SMR) for Crohn's patients from 1970 to date.

METHODS

Medline search identified relevant papers. Exploding references identified additional papers. When two papers reviewed mortality of one patient group at different times, the later publication was used.

RESULTS

Of 13 papers identified, three studies reported SMR below 1.0, two others had confidence intervals including 1.0. All other studies reported mortality higher than the general population. Meta-analysis using a random effects model shows the pooled estimate for SMR in Crohn's disease is 1.52 (95% CI: 1.32 to 1.74 [P < 0.0001]). Meta-regression shows the SMR for these patients has decreased slightly over the past 30 years, but this decrease is not statistically significant (P = 0.08).

CONCLUSION

Assessing evidence from original studies and conducting a meta-analysis shows age-adjusted mortality risk from Crohn's disease is over 50% greater than the general population. Whilst mortality has improved since the condition was first recognized, further evaluation of the patients studied in the cohorts included here is necessary to assess more recent changes in clinical practice.