Noninvasive estimation of fibrosis progression overtime using the FIB-4 index in chronic hepatitis C

Effect of treatment periods on efficacy of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir in chronic hepatitis C: A nationwide, prospective, multicenter study

Background and aim

In patients with chronic hepatitis C, 8 weeks of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) treatment for chronic hepatitis (non-cirrhosis) and 12 weeks for cirrhosis have been approved in Japan. However, whether 8 weeks of treatment for cirrhosis may reduce treatment efficacy has not been adequately investigated.

Methods

This prospective, nationwide, multicenter cohort study enrolled 1275 patients with chronic hepatitis C who received GLE/PIB therapy. The effect of liver fibrosis and treatment periods on the efficiency of GLE/PIB therapy was investigated. The primary endpoint was the sustained virological response (SVR) rate in patients with chronic hepatitis (non-cirrhosis) and cirrhosis. The association between treatment periods and liver fibrosis on the SVR after 12 weeks of treatment rate was investigated.

Results

The SVR rates in patients with chronic hepatitis with 8 weeks of treatment, chronic hepatitis with 12 weeks of treatment, cirrhosis with 8 weeks of treatment, and cirrhosis with 12 weeks of treatment were 98.9% (800/809), 100% (87/87), 100% (166/166), and 99.1% (211/213), respectively, and were was not different among these groups (P = 0.4).

Conclusion

GLE/PIB therapy for chronic hepatitis C had high efficacy regardless of liver fibrosis status and treatment periods. Periods of GLE/PIB therapy could be chosen with available modalities, and high SVR rates could be achieved regardless of the decision.

Evaluating short-term and long-term liver fibrosis improvement in hepatitis C patients post-DAA treatment

Despite achieving a high cure rate with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in hepatitis C treatment, further research is needed to identify additional benefits of the DAA therapy. The current study evaluated liver fibrosis improvement in 848 hepatitis C patients treated with DAAs, who also achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). Using the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, patients were categorized based on their baseline fibrosis level, and improvements in fibrosis were analyzed in both the short-term (9-26 weeks) and long-term (≥ 36 weeks) follow-up. The results showed a significant decrease in the FIB-4 index, indicating an improvement in liver fibrosis, in 63.00% of the patients during the short-term follow-up and 67.56% during the long-term follow-up. Short-term improvement was associated with factors including ribavirin (RBV) usage, blood cholinesterase levels, alanine transaminase levels, albumin levels, and the baseline FIB-4 index. Additionally, long-term improvement was associated with factors such as aspartate transaminase levels, total protein level, and the baseline FIB-4 index. The current study emphasizes the importance of continuous assessment and post-treatment monitoring of liver fibrosis, providing crucial insights for enhancing patient care in hepatitis C management.

Evolution of liver fibrosis after interferon-based anti-hepatitis C virus therapy failure in 3,049 chronic hepatitis C patients without cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Liver fibrosis is the underlying causeof hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related disease progression to endpoints such as cirrhosis, liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma. The aim of our study was to assess changes in hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV who had a fibrosis evaluation at two time points at least six months apart.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study that included patients who had failed interferon therapy and received HCV retreatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) at least six months later. Patients were evaluated previously for fibrosis according to liver biopsy and fibrosis biomarkers were evaluated before pegylated interferon and ribavirin (PEG/RBV) therapy. Fibrosis was re-evaluated with fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores before starting DAAs.

RESULTS

A total of 3,049 patients were included [age 43.47 ± 9.07 years, 55.20 % males] and baseline histopathology showed F1, F2, and F3 in 16.86 %, 46.21 %, and 36.93 %, respectively. The mean time interval between the last dose of previously failed IFN-therapy to the first dose of DAAs was 2.38 (±1.07) years. Overall, there was a significant increase in FIB-4 scores at retreatment times (from 11.71 ± 1.13 to 22.26 ± 1.68, p < 0.001). Patients with baseline FIB-4 < 1.45 (n = 1,569) and between 1.45 and 3.25 (n = 1,237) had significant increases in their FIB-4 at the retreatment time point [median difference; 0.41 (0.91) and 0.24 (1.5), p < 0.001, respectively], whereas patients with FIB-4 > 3.25 had significant reduction of their FIB-4 score at a retreatment timepoint [-0.98 (2.93), p ≤ 0.001].

CONCLUSION

Fibrosis progressed in most patients, even within six months for some patients, and this indicates retreatment of non-system vascular resistance patients even if they do not have significant fibrosis.

The role of serum Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein in the assessment of fibrosis in children with chronic hepatitis C

At present, noninvasive fibrosis markers are not available for the assessment of liver fibrosis in children with chronic hepatitis C. Sixty-three children with chronic hepatitis C were included. Changes in Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (M2BPGi) levels were evaluated in l3 of 27 treatment-naive patients during the natural course of disease (median 4, range 3–6 years). Changes during treatment were evaluated in 27 of 36 patients for 4 (2–9) years of posttreatment follow-up. There were significant differences in the levels of M2BPGi between control group and HCV F0 group (P = 0.002) and between control group and HCV F1 group (P < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that to discriminate stage F1 fibrosis from F0, the cut-off value was 0.95 for M2BPGi with a sensitivity of 52%, specificity of 90%, and area under the curve of 0.687. A substantial decrease in M2BPGi levels by treatment was shown from 0.98 ± 0.57 at pretreatment to 0.42 ± 0.15 at posttreatment (P < 0.001) in the 27 treated patients. Our study shows new findings that M2BPGi may be useful to predict the presence of a mild degree of fibrosis in children with chronic hepatitis C, and such mild fibrosis may be quickly resolved by treatment.

Noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis and its clinical significance in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Liver fibrosis is the most important prognostic factor in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Several noninvasive markers for fibrosis, including blood-based markers and imaging based-markers have been developed. Indirect fibrosis markers (e.g., fibrosis-4 index and NAFLD fibrosis score) consist of standard laboratory data and clinical parameters. Given its availability and high negative predictive value for advanced fibrosis, these markers are suitable for screening at primary care. Blood-based fibrogenesis markers (enhanced liver fibrosis and N-terminal propeptide of type 3 collagen), ultrasound-based modalities (vibration-controlled transient elastography, point shear wave elastography [SWE], and two-dimensional SWE), and magnetic resonance elastography have high diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis and are suitable for diagnosing liver fibrosis at secondary care centers. Sequential use of these markers can increase diagnostic accuracy and reduce health care costs. Furthermore, combining noninvasive makers may assist in identifying candidates for pharmacological trials and reducing screening failure. Emerging data suggest that these noninvasive markers are associated with liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma and decompensation) and mortality. Furthermore, delta change in noninvasive markers over time is also associated with time-course change in fibrosis, liver-related event risk, and mortality risk. However, the association between liver fibrosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is still controversial. CVD risk may decrease in patients with decompensated liver disease and noninvasive markers may be useful for assessing CVD risk in these patients. Therefore, noninvasive markers may be utilized as measures of fibrosis as well as real-time prognostic tools, in place of liver biopsy.

Attenuation coefficient (ATT) measurement for liver fat quantification in chronic liver disease

Liver fat is one of the main clinical features in chronic liver disease, and the number of fatty liver patients is increasing as the prevalence of obesity and metabolic syndrome increases globally. Noninvasive and quantitative assessment of liver fat content was made possible by recent technological advances. Attenuation coefficient (ATT) measurement is a noninvasive and quantitative liver fat measurement method used in clinical practice. The ATT value is significantly associated with histological steatosis grade. The diagnostic accuracy of ATT for histological steatosis grade is equivalent to controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), and ATT has a lower measurement failure rate than CAP because ATT can be measured on a B-mode image with the exact location of the region of interest. Furthermore, ATT measurement has high interobserver reproducibility. Since ATT measurement and other ultrasound-based modalities for liver fat quantification are easy to perform and inexpensive, these modalities are suitable for point-of-care and screening. Although emerging data suggest that quantitative liver fat content and its changes over time may be associated with disease progression in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, the association between ATT and disease progression has not been evaluated yet. Therefore, further investigation and validation studies are necessary to strengthen the clinical significance of ATT measurement in chronic liver disease.

Changes of liver stiffness measured by magnetic resonance elastography during direct-acting antivirals treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Almost all patients achieved sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAA) therapy, but it is not clear as to what extent DAA therapy affects changes in liver fibrosis after achieving SVR. In this study, we investigated the changes of liver stiffness by magnetic resonance elastogaraphy (MRE) during DAA therapy. A total of 308 patients were enrolled in the study. Liver stiffness was measured twice before and after DAA treatment using MRE and time-course change of liver stiffness was investigated. The median (interquartile range) values for liver stiffness were 4.2 (3.2-6.1) kPa at baseline and 3.3 (2.6-4.8) kPa at SVR, demonstrating a significant improvement (p < .01). A total of 44% of patients had no improvement in liver stiffness despite achieving SVR. In patients with advanced fibrosis (lower level of albumin [Alb] or histological fibrosis stage F4), it was difficult to improve liver stiffness. Except for Alb, there were no blood tests associated with nonimprovement in liver stiffness, making these cases difficult to predict. In conclusion, despite obtaining SVR, improvement in liver stiffness could not be obtained in some cases, especially in patients with advanced fibrosis. In these patients, liver stiffness must be followed even if SVR is obtained.

Change in Fibrosis 4 Index as Predictor of High Risk of Incident Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Eradication of Hepatitis C Virus

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether the fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4), a marker of liver fibrosis, at baseline and change in FIB-4 after sustained virological response (SVR) is associated with incident hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. In this study, we examined the association of incident HCC risk with baseline FIB-4 and sustained high FIB-4 (>3.25) at any time point after SVR.

METHODS

A total of 3823 patients who received direct-acting antiviral treatment and achieved SVR were enrolled. The FIB-4 was measured 24 weeks after the end of direct-acting antiviral treatment and achievement of SVR (SVR24), and 1, 2, and 3 years after SVR24, after which subsequent HCC development was investigated.

RESULTS

In patients with an FIB-4 >3.25 at SVR24 and 1, 2, and 3 years after SVR24, subsequent HCC development was significantly higher than in those with an FIB-4 ≤3.25 at each point. The rates of HCC development 1, 2, 3, and 4 years after SVR24 were significantly higher in patients with sustained FIB-4 >3.25 than in those whose FIB-4 decreased to ≤3.25 (5.4%, 9.2%, 11.7%, and 16.0%, respectively, vs 2.2%, 3.1%, 3.7%, and 4.4%; P < .001). The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for an FIB-4 >3.25 at SVR24 and 1, 2, and 3 years later were 3.38 (2.4-4.8), 2.95 (1.9-4.7), 2.62 (1.3-5.1), and 3.37 (1.4-9.8), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The FIB-4 could be used to assess HCC development risk at any time after SVR, and changes in FIB-4 were associated with changes in the HCC development risk. Repeated assessments of FIB-4 could serve as a prognostic indicator of a high-risk HCC cohort that may require more intensive HCC surveillance strategy.

Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein as a Screening Tool for Significant Liver Fibrosis in Health Checkup

Chronic liver disease is generally widespread, and a test for screening fibrotic subjects in a large population is needed. The ability of Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein (WFA⁺-M2BP) to detect significant fibrosis was investigated in health checkup subjects in this research. Of 2021 health checkup subjects enrolled in this prospective cross-sectional study, those with WFA⁺-M2BP ≥ 1.0 were defined as high risk. Liver fibrosis was evaluated using magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) in subjects with high risk. The primary outcome was the positive predictive value (PPV) of WFA⁺-M2BP for significant fibrosis (liver stiffness ≥ 2.97 kPa by MRE). This trial was registered with the UMIN clinical trial registry, UMIN000036175. WFA⁺-M2BP ≥ 1.0 was observed in 5.3% of the 2021 subjects. The PPV for significant fibrosis with the threshold of WFA⁺-M2BP at ≥1.0, ≥1.1, ≥1.2, ≥1.3, ≥1.4, and ≥1.5 was 29.2%, 36.4%, 43.5%, 42.9%, 62.5%, and 71.4%, respectively. A WFA⁺-M2BP of 1.2 was selected as the optimal threshold for significant fibrosis among high-risk subjects, and the PPV, negative predictive value, sensitivity, and specificity for significant fibrosis were 43.5%, 84.0%, 71.4%, and 61.8%, respectively. WFA⁺-M2BP ≥ 1.2 was significantly associated with significant fibrosis, with an odds ratio (OR) of 4.04 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1–16, p = 0.04), but not FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 (OR: 2.40, 95%CI: 0.7–8.6, p-value = 0.2). In conclusion, WFA⁺-M2BP is associated with significant fibrosis and could narrow down potential subjects with liver fibrosis. The strategy of narrowing down fibrosis subjects using WFA⁺-M2BP may be used to screen for fibrotic subjects in a large population.

Dynamics of APRI and FIB-4 in HCV cirrhotic patients who achieved SVR after DAA therapy

There are limited data available on the regression of fibrosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients who have achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) after interferon-free treatments. Moreover, a perfect method for assessing liver fibrosis and its dynamics has not been established yet. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the dynamics of aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores in patients with HCV who registered SVR. We performed ROC curve analysis to evaluate the diagnostic performance of APRI and FIB-4 scores in determining the presence of cirrhosis in comparison to FibroTest. In total 251 patients were enrolled: 164 cirrhotic and 83 non-cirrhotic patients, and they were evaluated at baseline, at 6 and at 12 months post-end of treatment (EOT). In the cirrhotic group, at baseline, there was a weak but statistically significant correlation between APRI and FibroTest (τ=0.173, P=0.001), as well as between FIB-4 and FibroTest (τ=0.265, P<0.001). At the 6-month follow-up, APRI no longer correlated with FibroTest (τ=0.144, P=0.057), while FIB-4 was correlated (τ=0.256, P=0.001). The same pattern was shown at 12 months post-EOT. Between baseline and the 6-month evaluation, there was a significant decrease in APRI (P<0.001) and FIB-4 (P<0.001) scores, but for the next follow-up period, there was no reduction. In the non-cirrhotic group, APRI and FIB-4 did not correlate with the FibroTest value at any of the evaluation times. There was a significant difference between baseline and the 6-month visit for APRI (P=0.01) and for FIB-4 (P=0.014). The areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROCs) for the presence of cirrhosis compared with FibroTest for APRI and FIB-4 were 0.682 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.613-0.752] and 0.693 (95% CI 0.625-0.76). Both APRI and FIB-4 prove to be easy, quick and inexpensive tools for screening HCV cirrhosis, with moderate diagnostic accuracy and FIB-4 can be useful for monitoring patients post-EOT.

Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Patient with Chronic Hepatitis C 21 Years after Achieving a Sustained Virological Response to Interferon Therapy

A 77-year-old man with chronic hepatitis C (CH-C) infection, who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) to interferon (IFN) therapy, was followed up regularly. Before IFN therapy, he did not have metabolic diseases, and the histological diagnosis of his chronic hepatitis was stage-3 fibrosis. After achieving SVR, the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index level dropped once but gradually increased. 21 years after SVR, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was diagnosed by dynamic computed tomography. The HCC was 12 mm in diameter. The HCC was treated with radiofrequency ablation. CH-C patients with advanced fibrosis require long-term follow-up, even after achieving SVR.

Clinical Utility of Mac-2 Binding Protein Glycosylation Isomer in Chronic Liver Diseases

An accurate evaluation of liver fibrosis is clinically important in chronic liver diseases. Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a novel serum marker for liver fibrosis. In this review, we discuss the role of M2BPGi in diagnosing liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B and C, chronic hepatitis C after sustained virologic response (SVR), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). M2BPGi predicts not only liver fibrosis but also the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development and prognosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B and C, chronic hepatitis C after SVR, NAFLD, and other chronic liver diseases. M2BPGi can also be used to evaluate liver function and prognosis in patients with cirrhosis. M2BPGi levels vary depending on the etiology and the presence or absence of treatment. Therefore, the threshold of M2BPGi for diagnosing liver fibrosis and predicting HCC development has to be adjusted according to the background and treatment status.

Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein but not α-fetoprotein as a Long-Term Hepatocellular Carcinoma Predictor

Identification of high-risk patients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virological responses (SVR) is necessary to define candidates for long-term surveillance. In this study, we examined whether serum markers after 1 year of SVR could predict subsequent HCC development. Total 734 chronic hepatitis C patients without a history of HCC who achieved SVR with direct-acting antivirals were included. The regular surveillance for HCC started from 24 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR24). Factors at SVR24 and 1 year after SVR24 were analyzed for predicting HCC development. During the mean observation period of 19.7 ± 10 months, 24 patients developed HCC. At SVR24, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein (WFA±M2BP) ≥ 1.85 and α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 6.0 ng/mL were independent factors of HCC development. However, at 1 year after SVR24, WFA±M2BP ≥ 1.85 was associated with subsequent HCC development (hazard ratio: 23.5, 95% confidence interval: 2.68-205) but not AFP. Among patients with WFA±M2BP ≥ 1.85 at SVR24, 42% had WFA±M2BP < 1.85 at 1 year after SVR24 (WFA±M2BP declined group). Subsequent HCC development was significantly lower in the declined group than in the non-declined group (1 year HCC rate: 0% vs. 9.4%, p = 0.04). In conclusion, WFA±M2BP but not AFP could identify high and no-risk cases of HCC at 1 year after SVR. Therefore, it was useful as a real-time monitoring tool to identify the candidates for continuous surveillance for HCC.

Clinically Significant Fibrosis Is Associated With Longitudinal Increases in Fibrosis-4 and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Scores

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is limited knowledge regarding the longitudinal utility of biomarkers of fibrosis, such as the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) or the fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) score. We examined longitudinal changes in the NFS and the FIB-4 score in patients with NAFLD, with and without clinically significant fibrosis (CSF).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of 230 patients with NAFLD, collecting clinical and laboratory records to calculate NFS and FIB-4 scores at 6 monthly intervals for 5 years before hepatology assessment of fibrosis. Linear mixed models with random intercept and slope and adjusted for age at baseline were used to assess the progression of NFS and log-transformed FIB-4 scores over time in subjects with and without CSF, determined by liver stiffness measurements of 8.2 kPa or greater.

RESULTS

Patients had a median of 11 (minimum, 10; maximum, 11) retrospective observations over a median time period of 5 years (minimum, 4.5 y; maximum, 5 y). Of patients with low baseline NFS and FIB-4 scores, 31.11% and 37.76%, respectively, had CSF at the time of hepatology assessment. There was a correlation between NFS and log₁₀ FIB-4 over time (repeated measure r = 0.55; 95% CI, 0.52-0.59). The rate of increase in NFS and log₁₀ FIB-4 was significantly higher in patients with than without CSF (both P < .001). Predicted NFS increased by 0.17 and 0.06 units per year in subjects with and without CSF, respectively. Predicted log₁₀ FIB-4 score increased by 0.032 and 0.0003 units per year in subjects with and without CSF, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Noninvasively measured fibrosis scores increase progressively in patients with NAFLD and CSF. Further studies are needed to determine whether repeated measurements can identify patients at risk for CSF.

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein as an age-independent fibrosis marker in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

The assessment of liver fibrosis is essential because it correlates with mortality risk in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study aims to examine whether serum fibrosis markers could identify candidate patients likely to have advanced fibrosis. We enrolled 352 patients with NAFLD and performed liver biopsies in 97 patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of liver stiffness by magnetic resonance elastography for histological advanced fibrosis was 0.910, and the optimal cutoff value was 4.07 kPa. To predict severe liver stiffness (≥4.07 kPa), the AUROC for Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein (WFA+-M2BP) and FIB-4 were 0.897 (cutoff value, 1.08) and 0.880 (cutoff value, 2.53), respectively. After stratification of patients into four age groups as quartile, the optimal cutoff values of WFA+-M2BP for predicting severe liver stiffness were similar in each group (1.09, 1.08, 1.10, and 1.12). On the other hand, those of FIB-4 increased in parallel with age (1.47, 2.19, 2.99, and 3.88). In conclusion, WFA+-M2BP was precise for estimating severe liver stiffness in NAFLD with single cutoff value independent of age. Hence, identifying high-risk cases using WFA+-M2BP from a large number of NAFLD patients is clinically significant.

Significant Increase in Risk of Fibrosis or Cirrhosis at Time of HCV Diagnosis for Hispanics With Diabetes and Obesity Compared With Other Ethnic Groups

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Advanced liver disease, which includes fibrosis and cirrhosis, has been reported to be more prevalent in Hispanics patients at the time of diagnosis of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection than non-Hispanic black or non-Hispanic white patients. We performed a propensity score-matched analysis to determine whether metabolic risk factors contribute to this disparity.

METHODS

We collected data from persons with 748 HCV infection (22% Hispanic, 53% non-Hispanic black, and 26% non-Hispanic white; 23% with advanced liver disease), born from 1945 through 1965, diagnosed at 6 health care systems in Texas. Advanced liver disease was defined as a FIB-4 index score above 3.25. We examined the association between advanced liver disease and race or ethnicity, metabolic risk (based on diabetes mellitus and body mass index [BMI]) and heavy alcohol use in propensity score-matched analyses.

RESULTS

In propensity-score matched models, among those who were obese (BMI ≥30) with a diagnosis of diabetes, the adjusted odds ratio of advanced liver disease for Hispanics vs non-Hispanic black was 7.89 (95% CI, 3.66-17.01) and adjusted odds ratio = 12.49 (95% CI, 3.24-48.18) for Hispanic vs non-Hispanic white patients (both P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

HCV-infected Hispanics with obesity and diabetes have a far higher risk for advanced liver disease than other racial or ethnic groups. These findings highlight the need for HCV treatment and management of probable concurrent fatty liver disease. Even after we accounted for metabolic risk factors, Hispanics were still at higher risk for advanced liver disease, indicating the potential involvement of other factors such as genetic variants.

Influence of HLA-B18 on liver fibrosis progression in a cohort of HIV/HCV coinfected individuals

Liver fibrosis is accelerated in human immunodeficiency virus/hepatitis C virus (HIV/HCV) coinfected compared with HCV monoinfected patients, due to multiple cofactors. Recently, HLA-B18 haplotype has been associated with short-term liver disease progression in this population. Our aim was to assess the influence of HLA-B18 on the fibrosis process in HIV/HCV coinfected individuals, untreated for HCV, during a long-term follow-up. All consecutive HIV/HCV co-infectedcoinfected patients followed in our center, with positive HCV-RNA and available human leukocyte antigen (HLA) haplotypes (determined by sequence-specific oligonucleotide primed polymerase chain reaction and simple sequence repeats polymerase chain reaction using Luminex Technology) were included. Liver fibrosis progression was assessed by means of fibrosis-4 index for liver fibrosis (FIB-4) and AST to platelet ratio index. The association between FIB-4 score over time and laboratory and clinical parameters, including HLA, was evaluated by univariate and multivariate multilevel generalized linear models. A total of 29 out of 148 screened patients were excluded because of spontaneous HCV clearance (27% were HLA-B18+). Among the remaining 119 individuals (82% males; median age at first visit = 30 years [interquartile range, IQR, 26-35]; median follow-up = 21.5 years [IQR, 15-25]), 26% were HLA-B18+. No baseline differences were evidenced between HLA-B18+ and B18- patients. Fibrosis progression was significantly faster in HLA-B18+ than in HLA-B18- patients ( P < 0.001) (Figure 1). At univariate analysis, age ( P < 0.001), HLA-B18 haplotype ( P = 0.02) and HIV-RNA viral load overtime ( P < 0.001) were associated with liver disease progression. At multivariate analysis, only age ( P < 0.001) remained independently associated with liver fibrosis progression. Our data suggest a possible association between HLA-B18 and an accelerated liver fibrosis in HIV/HCV coinfected with a long-term follow-up.

IRGM Gene Variants Modify the Relationship Between Visceral Adipose Tissue and NAFLD in Patients With Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an increasingly recognized comorbidity in Crohn's disease (CD), but the mechanisms are poorly understood. Autophagy is a highly conserved process regulating innate immunity that contributes to CD susceptibility. Emerging data suggest that variants in the autophagy-governing IRGM gene may contribute to the accumulation of visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and hepatic fat. Our objective was to characterize the relationship between VAT, IRGM gene variants, and NAFLD risk in patients with CD.

METHODS

We included all CD patients in the Prospective Registry in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Study at Massachusetts General Hospital (PRISM) without history of alcohol abuse or liver disease. Hepatic fat was quantified by liver attenuation (LA) on computed tomography, with NAFLD defined by the validated liver:spleen (L:S) ratio. NAFLD severity was estimated by the FIB-4 Index and alanine aminotransferase (ALT). Using logistic regression modeling, we examined the relationship between VAT, autophagy gene variants, and NAFLD risk.

RESULTS

Among 462 patients, 52% had NAFLD. Increasing VAT quartile was associated with reduced LA (mean change, -7.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], -10.05 to -4.81; Ptrend < 0.0001). In the fully adjusted model, patients in the highest VAT quartile had a 2.2-fold increased NAFLD risk (95% CI, 1.21 to 4.14; Ptrend = 0.032) and a 4.2-fold increased risk of ALT>upper limit of normal (ULN) (95% CI, 1.19 to 14.76; Ptrend = 0.017). The relationship between VAT and NAFLD was modified by IRGM variants rs4958847 and rs13361189 (Pinteraction = 0.005 and Pinteraction < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large CD cohort, VAT was directly associated with prevalent NAFLD, and this relationship was augmented by functionally annotated IRGM variants associated with impaired autophagy.

Moderate Alcohol Use Is Not Associated With Fibrosis Progression in Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Hepatitis C Virus-Coinfected Women: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background

Heavy alcohol use can lead to progressive liver damage, especially in individuals with chronic hepatitis C (HCV); however, the impact of nonheavy use is not clear. We studied long-term effects of modest alcohol use on fibrosis progression in a large cohort of women coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/HCV.

Methods

Alcohol intake was ascertained every 6 months and use categorized as abstinent, light (1-3 drinks/week), moderate (4-7 drinks/week), heavy (>7 drinks/week), and very heavy (>14 drinks/week). Fibrosis progression was defined as the change in Fibrosis-4 Index for Liver Fibrosis (FIB-4) units per year using random-intercept, random-slope mixed modeling.

Results

Among 686 HIV/HCV-coinfected women, 46.0% reported no alcohol use; 26.8% reported light use, 7.1% moderate use, and 19.7% heavy use (6.7% had 8-14 drinks/week and 13.0% had >14 drinks/week) at cohort entry. Median FIB-4 at entry was similar between groups. On multivariable analysis, compared to abstainers, light and moderate alcohol use was not associated with fibrosis progression (0.004 [95% confidence interval {CI}, -.11 to .12] and 0.006 [95% CI, -.18 to .19] FIB-4 units/year, respectively). Very heavy drinking (>14 drinks/week) showed significant fibrosis acceleration (0.25 [95% CI, .01-.49] FIB-4 units/year) compared to abstaining, whereas drinking 8-14 drinks per week showed minimal acceleration of fibrosis progression (0.04 [95% CI, -.19 to .28] FIB-4 units/year).

Conclusions

Light/moderate alcohol use was not substantially associated with accelerated fibrosis progression, whereas drinking >14 drinks per week showed increased rates of fibrosis progression. Women with HIV/HCV infection should be counseled against heavy alcohol consumption, but complete abstinence may not be required to prevent accelerated liver fibrosis progression.

Long-term changes in liver elasticity in hepatitis C virus-infected patients with sustained virologic response after treatment with direct-acting antivirals

Background

The use of interferon-free direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) is associated with a rapid short-term decrease in liver stiffness in chronic hepatitis C-infected patients with sustained virologic response (SVR).

Objective

The objective of this article is to evaluate long-term changes in liver elasticity in hepatitis C patients with SVR using transient elastography (TE), FIB-4 and APRI.

Methods

A total of 143 patients were treated with DAAs and reached SVR. Patients received TE measurement (median (range)) at treatment start (baseline), follow-up week 24 (FU24) and follow-up week 96 (FU96). Laboratory data were examined at each date and FIB-4 and APRI were calculated.

Results

Liver elasticity showed a significant decrease from baseline to FU24 (13.1 (3.1-75) kPa to 9.3 (2.9-69.1) kPa; p < 0.0001) and declined further until FU96 (7.9 (2.4-59.3) kPa; p < 0.0001). Liver inflammation and liver function parameters normalised during long-term follow-up. Progression of liver stiffness between FU24 to FU96 despite viral clearance was observed in 24 patients (17%). Long-term liver stiffness progression was associated with aspartate aminotransferase levels and TE change from baseline to FU24.

Conclusion

During long-term follow-up, the majority of patients with SVR had further improved liver stiffness values. Still, a significant proportion of patients may show long-term liver stiffness progression and thus continued TE follow-up is recommended.

Dynamic noninvasive markers predict hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C patients without sustained virological response after interferon-based therapy: Prioritize who needs urgent direct-acting antiviral agents

Some patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections who fail to achieve sustained virological responses (SVRs) after interferon (IFN) therapy do not develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Risk stratification of these patients may help identify those who would benefit most from treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs).A total of 552 HCV-infected patients with non-SVR status were enrolled. Laboratory data before and after IFN treatment were analyzed to determine the relationship of changes in serum markers with development of HCC during the 7-year study period.HCC developed in 93 patients. The risk factors for HCC were pre-existing liver cirrhosis, low hemoglobin level at baseline, low pretreatment platelet count, high post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (≥15 ng/mL), and high post-treatment Fibrosis 4 (FIB4) index (>3.25). For patients without pre-existing cirrhosis, those with high post-treatment AFP level and FIB4 index had the highest risk of HCC (1 year: 6.7%; 3 years: 10.9%; 5 years: 29.7%), followed by those with high post-treatment AFP level and low post-treatment FIB4 index (5 years: 25%), and those with low post-treatment AFP level and high post-treatment FIB4 index (1 year: 3.7%; 3 years: 5.2%; 5 years: 10.6%). The risk was even lower for patients with low post-treatment AFP level and FIB4 index (1 year: 0%; 3 years: 0.4%; 5 years: 2.5%). None of the patients with FIB4 indexes consistently below 1.45 developed HCC.The combined use of post-treatment AFP level and FIB4 index was useful for risk stratification of HCV-infected patients with non-SVR status after IFN therapy. These data may help clinicians to identify patients who most urgently need DAA treatment.

Are targeted treatment recommendations in chronic hepatitis C tailored to diagnostic methods of fibrosis?

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The progression of chronic HCV infection varies significantly depending on patient characteristics. The goal of the present study was to evaluate the consequences of targeted and universal therapy for HCV-related morbidity-mortality based on the use of non-invasive diagnostic tests in France, Italy and the UK.

METHODS

A country-specific Markov model was used to predict clinical outcomes in patients with chronic HCV mono-infection over 5years. Therapeutic strategies used in the three countries analysed: no treatment, targeted therapy based on stage of fibrosis (F2- or F3-scenario), treatment regardless of stage of fibrosis (universal analysis), base-case analysis and yearly assessments.

RESULTS

Universal therapy is the most effective strategy and reduced the 5-year incidence of cirrhosis by 12.0-17.7, liver complications by 4.2-5.3 and liver deaths by 3.7-4.7, vs. no treatment. In base-case analysis, the F2-scenario using FibroScan or patented blood biomarkers reduces the 5-year incidence of cirrhosis by 2.7-4.0, liver complications by 3.5-3.7 and liver deaths by 3.3-3.7, vs. no treatment. The results of the F3-scenario are poor for the incidence of cirrhosis, and moderately effective for the liver complications. The alternative analysis with a yearly assessment of fibrosis improves the impact of targeted therapy.

CONCLUSION

By quantifying the impact of different strategies of targeted therapy and universal therapy, this study could help health agencies and experts to draft therapeutic guidelines for HCV-related fibrosis.

LAY SUMMARY

The impact of different treatment strategies was evaluated in three countries, France, Italy and UK, using a mathematical model. This analysis showed that: i) A prioritization strategy of HCV treatment for patients with advanced disease would decrease the overall impact of treatment on morbidity and mortality; and ii) A strategy initiating HCV treatment to all would already show a benefit in reducing 5-year morbidity and mortality.

FIB-4 and imaging for measuring fibrosis in hepatitis C virus

OBJECTIVES

Noninvasive measures are widely used to assess fibrosis and may be used to prioritize hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment. We examined risks for likely fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV infection using fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and imaging.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A HCV screening program diagnosed chronic HCV in patients born from 1945 to 1965 admitted in a safety net hospital. Likely fibrosis was based on FIB-4 (≥1.45) alone or combined with imaging interpreted as fibrosis or cirrhosis. Logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for demographic, clinical, and insurance factors associated with each outcome. Using multiple linear regression among patients with likely fibrosis, we examined associations with higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores.

RESULTS

Using FIB-4 alone, 57% (83/146) of patients had likely fibrosis versus 43% (63/148) using FIB-4 plus imaging. Obesity/overweight and Hispanic ethnicity had over three-fold to four-fold higher AORs for fibrosis, respectively, based on FIB-4 plus imaging, but both AORs were only two-fold greater with FIB-4 alone. Being uninsured was significantly associated with fibrosis based on FIB-4 alone [AOR=2.40 (95% confidence interval 1.01-5.70)] but not with imaging. Heavy alcohol use and older age were associated with higher AORs of fibrosis with both measures (all P<0.004). MELD scores were ∼3 points higher for uninsured patients, regardless of measure (both P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Using FIB-4 plus imaging to identify fibrosis in chronic HCV, higher risks are seen for Hispanics and overweight/obese individuals than using FIB-4 alone. Higher MELD scores at diagnosis for the uninsured indicate delayed access to care.

Re-determining the cut-off points of FIB-4 for patients monoinfected with chronic hepatitis B virus infection

Objective:

This study aimed to determine significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis with different FIB-4 cut-off points, and the need for liver biopsy (LB) by optimizing the initially established cut-off points of 1.45 and 3.25.

Materials and methods:

The study included 201 patients monoinfected with chronic HBV. METAVIR classification was used to determine the stage of fibrosis. ROC analysis and the Youden index were performed to define the optimum cut-off points.

Results:

A FIB-4 cut-off point of 1.45 and 1.62 generated Youden indexes of 0.51 and 0.55, the accuracy of 78.6% and 81.1% for significant liver fibrosis, respectively. The FIB-4 cut-off was set at 2.40 and 3.25 Youden indexes were 0.46 and 0.16, accuracies were 79.6% and 69.7% for significant liver fibrosis, respectively. A cut-off point of 1.45 and 1.62 for FIB-4 generated Youden indexes of 0.62 and 0.66, the accuracies of 81.6% and 84.1% for cirrhosis, while the FIB-4 cut-off point of 2.40 and 3.25 generated Youden indexes of 0.59 and 0.22, with the accuracies of 90% and 84.1% for cirrhosis, respectively.

Conclusions:

The FIB-4 cut-off points of 1.62 and 2.40 have higher accuracy and may decrease the need for LB 12% more than the initially established ones in HBV monoinfected patients.

Serum Biomarkers Indicate Long-term Reduction in Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Sustained Virological Response to Treatment for HCV Infection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Sustained virological response (SVR) to antiviral therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) correlates with changes in biochemical measures of liver function. However, little is known about the long-term effects of SVR on liver fibrosis. We investigated the effects of HCV therapy on fibrosis, based on the Fibrosis-4 (FIB4) score, over a 10-year period.

METHODS

We collected data from participants in the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study-a large observational multicenter study of patients with hepatitis at 4 US health systems-from January 1, 2006, through December 31, 2013. We calculated patients' FIB4 score and the aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score over a 10-year period. Of 4731 patients with HCV infection, 1657 (35%) were treated and 755 (46%) of these patients achieved SVR.

RESULTS

In propensity score-adjusted analyses, we observed significant longitudinal changes in FIB4 score that varied with treatment and response to treatment. In patients achieving SVR, FIB4 scores decreased sharply, remaining significantly lower over the 10-year period than in untreated patients or patients with treatment failure (P < .001). In independent analyses, men and patients with HCV genotype 1 or 3 infections had higher FIB4 scores than women or patients with HCV genotype 2 infections (P < .01 for both). Findings were similar in a sensitivity analysis that substituted the APRI as the marker of fibrosis instead of the FIB4 score.

CONCLUSIONS

SVR to HCV treatment appears to induce long-term regression of fibrosis based on FIB4 scores collected over 10 years from a large observational study of US hepatitis patients. Patients receiving no treatment or with treatment failure had progressive increases in FIB4 scores.

Atorvastatin and fluvastatin are associated with dose-dependent reductions in cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, among patients with hepatitis C virus: Results from ERCHIVES

Statins are associated with delayed fibrosis progression and a reduced risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). Limited data exist regarding the most effective type and dose of statin in this population. We sought to determine the impact of statin type and dose upon fibrosis progression and HCC in patients with HCV. Using the Electronically Retrieved Cohort of HCV Infected Veterans (ERCHIVES) database, we identified all subjects initiated on HCV antibody (anti-HCV) therapy from 2001 to 2014, and all incident cases of cirrhosis and HCC. Statin use was measured using cumulative defined daily dose (cDDD). Multivariable Cox's proportional hazard regression models were used to examine the relationship between statin use and development of cirrhosis and HCC. Among 9,135 eligible subjects, 1,649 developed cirrhosis and 239 developed incident HCC. Statin use was associated with a 44% reduction in development of cirrhosis (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.6; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53, 0.68). The adjusted HRs (95% CI) of fibrosis progression with statin cDDD 28-89, 89-180, and >180 were 0.74 (0.59, 0.93), 0.71 (0.59, 0.88), and 0.6 (0.53, 0.68), respectively. Mean change in FIB-4 score with atorvastatin (n = 944) and fluvastatin (n = 34) was -0.17 and -0.13, respectively (P = 0.04), after adjustment for baseline FIB-4 score and established predictors of cirrhosis. Statin use was also associated with a 49% reduction in incident HCC (adjusted HR: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.36, 0.72). A similar dose-response relationship was observed.

CONCLUSION

In patients with chronic HCV, statin use was associated with a dose-dependent reduction in incident cirrhosis and HCC. Atorvastatin and fluvastatin were associated with the most significant antifibrotic effects, compared with other statins. (Hepatology 2016;64:47-57).

The relationship between liver histology and noninvasive markers in primary biliary cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) is a disease that affects liver with various severity and progression rates. It is important to diagnose advanced stage of the disease to lower liver-related morbidity and mortality. Since liver biopsy is an invasive method, liver biopsy tends to be replaced by noninvasive methods. In this study, we aim to show the role of aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index on the basis of the four factors (FIB-4) scores, laboratory values, and their effectiveness in predicting advanced disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PBC patients diagnosed pathologically at Numune Education and Research Hospital were included in the study between the years 1995 and 2013. Patients were grouped according to their fibrosis level: group 1 (early stage) included 18 patients with F1 and F2 fibrosis and group 2 (advanced stage) included 22 patients with F3 and F4 fibrosis. APRI and FIB-4 scores, routine laboratory values, and their proportions were compared. The effectiveness of parameters showing advanced stage was further compared.

RESULTS

There were statistically significant differences in APRI, FIB-4 scores, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels between the groups with early and advanced stages of disease. Receiver operating curve analysis was used to determine APRI, FIB-4 and AST levels. The most effective parameters for diagnosing an advanced stage were APRI, AST levels, and FIB-4 scores, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, APRI and FIB-4 scores can be calculated simply and easily by routine laboratory tests at low cost and also these scores may be a predictor of advanced stage of the disease in PBC. These tests may be reproducible and may be used to monitor disease progression.

Liver Damage in Patients with HCV/HIV Coinfection Is Linked to HIV-Related Oxidative Stress

HIV infection aggravates the progression of liver damage in HCV-coinfected patients, with the underlying pathogenesis being multifactorial. Although high level of oxidative stress has been observed frequently in patients infected with HIV or HCV, the status of oxidative stress in HIV/HCV coinfection and its contribution to HCV liver damage have not been determined. This study involved 363 HBsAg-negative, anti-HCV-positive former blood donors recruited from a village in central China in July 2005; of these, 140 were positive for HIV. Of these 363 subjects, 282 were successfully followed up through July 2009. HIV/HCV-coinfected subjects had higher rates of end-stage liver disease-related death than those monoinfected with HCV. Liver ultrasound manifestations were poor in HIV-positive than in HIV-negative individuals, in both chronic HCV carriers and those with resolved HCV. Serum concentrations of total glutathione (tGSH), malondialdehyde (MDA), glutathione peroxidase (GSH-Px), GSSG, and reduced GSH were higher in HIV-positive than HIV-negative subjects. GSSG concentrations were higher in HIV-infected subjects with abnormal ALT/AST levels than in those with normal ALT/AST levels and were associated with poorer liver ultrasound manifestations. These finding indicated that HIV infection accelerated HCV-associated liver damage in HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals. Increased oxidative stress, induced primarily by HIV coinfection, may contribute to aggravated liver damage.

Diagnostic Performance of Real-Time Elastography in the Assessment of Advanced Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C

Background and aims

Since liver fibrosis index (LFI) was developed by Fujimoto et al., real-time elastography (RTE) has become a promising non-invasive technique to assess fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C (CHC). The aims of this study were to compare the diagnostic performance of RTE versus laboratory tests to predict advanced fibrosis (METAVIR scoring system: F ≥ 3) in patients with CHC, using liver biopsy (LB) as the reference standard; and to evaluated the impact of patient anthropometric features on RTE histogram acquisition.

Methods

This prospective study included 37 patients with CHC scheduled for LB. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (AST) ratio, AST/platelet ratio index (APRI), and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) were calculated from recent (≤6 months) laboratory data. RTE was performed by two independent operators blind to each other’ findings and to LB results, using Hitachi HI-VISION Avius ultrasound system. According to Hitachi RTE software, liver elasticity was evaluated through the LFI. Percutaneous ultrasound-assisted LB was performed in the same day of RTE. All LB specimens were analyzed by an expert pathologist blind to RTE results. Hepatic fibrosis was staged according to METAVIR scoring system. The diagnostic performance of the LFI, AST/ALT ratio, APRI and FIB-4 for predicting advanced fibrosis was assessed using area under receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive-predictive and negative-predictive (NPV) values.

Results

Thirty-seven LB were performed without complications. The distribution according to METAVIR scoring system was F0–1 in 13 patients (35%), F2 in 13 (35%), F3 in 9 (25%) and F4 in 2 (5%). Thirty-seven RTE procedures were performed. Histogram acquisition was successfully achieved in 32 patients (86%). Abdominal wall thickness ≥23 mm was associated with no histogram acquisition (p = 0.018). Using the optimal cut-off value of 2.38, the AUROC for the LFI was 0.73. The AUROC for the AST/ALT ratio, APRI and FIB-4 were 0.62, 0.79, and 0.82, respectively.

Conclusions

The LFI calculated by RTE showed a very good diagnostic performance to predict advanced fibrosis in CHC, with remarkable sensitivity and NPV (both 100%).

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin positive human Mac-2-binding protein as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma development in chronic hepatitis C patients

AIMS

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin (WFA)-positive human Mac-2-binding protein (WFA(+) -M2BP) is a new glycol marker related to liver fibrosis. The aim of the present study was to evaluate WFA(+) -M2BP as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

This case-control study included 14 patients with chronic hepatitis C who developed HCC and 52controls, matched for age, gender, and fibrosis stage. WFA(+) -M2BP was measured at biopsy and follow-up. Time zero was set at the date of liver biopsy.

RESULTS

WFA(+) -M2BP increased stepwise with progression of liver fibrosis (p < 0.001). Cumulative incidence of HCC development was significantly higher in patients with WFA(+) -M2BP ≥4.2 (p < 0.001) or in those with time-course changes in WFA(+) -M2BP (ΔWFA(+) -M2BP/year) ≥0.3 (p = 0.03). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that WFA(+) -M2BP ≥4.2 [hazard ratio (HR): 4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-15, p = 0.04], ΔWFA(+) -M2BP/year ≥0.3 (HR: 5.5, 95% CI: 1.5-19, p = 0.008), and AFP ≥10 ng/ml (HR: 4.7, 95% CI: 1.1-19, p = 0.03) were independent predictive factors of HCC development. Based on these data, we developed a simple scoring system to predict HCC development using these three factors. Using these scores, patients were classified into four groups; cumulative incidence of HCC development significantly increased with increasing scores (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

WFA(+) -M2BP measurements and time-course changes in WFA(+) -M2BP can be used to identify patients at high risk of HCC development. Real-time monitoring of WFA(+) -M2BP can be a novel predictor of HCC development.

Utility of the FIB-4 Index for hepatocarcinogenesis in hepatitis C virus carriers with normal alanine aminotransferase levels

The FIB-4 index is a simple formula using age, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and platelet count to evaluate liver fibrosis. We investigated the ability of the FIB-4 index for hepatocarcinogenesis in hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers with normal ALT levels. A total of 516 patients with ALT levels persistently at or below 40 IU/L during an observation period of over 3 years were included. Factors associated with the development of HCC were determined. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in 60 of 516 patients (11.6%). The incidence rate of HCC at 5 and 10 years was 2.6% and 17.6%, respectively. When patients were categorized according to the FIB-4 index as ≤ 2.0 (n = 226), >2.0 and ≤ 4.0 (n = 169), and > 4.0 (n = 121), the cumulative incidence of HCC at 5 years was 0.5%, 1.3% and 8.0%, respectively, and 2.8%, 25.6% and 37.1% at 10 years, respectively. Patients with FIB-4 index >4.0 were at the highest risk (P < 0.001). Factors that were significantly associated with HCC in the multivariate analysis were FIB-4 index >2.0 (hazard ratio (HR), 7.690), FIB-4 index >4.0 (HR, 8.991), α-fetoprotein (AFP) >5 ng/mL (HR, 2.742), AFP >10 ng/mL (HR, 4.915) and total bilirubin >1.2 mg/dL (HR, 2.142). A scoring system for hepatocarcinogenesis that combines the FIB-4 index and AFP predicted patient outcomes with excellent discriminative ability. The FIB-4 index is strongly associated with the risk of HCC in HCV carriers with normal ALT levels.

Non-invasive prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development using serum fibrosis marker in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

The FIB-4 index is a simple formula to predict liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate the utility of the FIB-4 index and associated time-course changes as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development.

METHODS

A total of 171 chronic hepatitis C patients who underwent paired liver biopsies and 875 patients who underwent a single liver biopsy (validation group) were investigated during mean follow-up periods of 6.4 and 5.9 years, respectively. All patients had received interferon therapy and had not achieved a sustained virological response. Factors associated with HCC development were analyzed in these patients.

RESULTS

HCC developed in 30 patients in the paired biopsy group and 89 patients in the validation group. Univariate analysis demonstrated that the FIB-4 index >3.25 and change in the FIB-4 index per year (ΔFIB-4/year) ≥ 0.3 were predictive factors for HCC development in both groups. Multivariate analysis in the combined population revealed that these two factors were independent. The hazard ratio (HR) for the FIB-4 index >3.25 was 2.7 (p < 0.001) and ΔFIB-4/year ≥ 0.3 was 1.8 (p = 0.003). Patients with a FIB-4 index >3.25 and a ΔFIB-4/year ≥ 0.3 were defined as high risk, and those with a FIB-4 index ≤ 3.25 and a ΔFIB-4/year <0.3 were defined as low risk. The HR of HCC development in patients at high risk was 7.3 (95% confidence interval 4.3-12.5, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

It was possible to define a group at high risk of developing HCC by intermittently measuring the FIB-4 index and considering time-course changes in this index.

Systematic review: identifying patients with chronic hepatitis C in need of early treatment and intensive monitoring--predictors and predictive models of disease progression

BACKGROUND

Advances in hepatitis C therapies have led to increasing numbers of patients seeking treatment. As a result, logistical and financial concerns regarding how treatment can be provided to all patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) have emerged.

AIM

To evaluate predictors and predictive models of histological progression and clinical outcomes for patients with CHC.

METHODS

MEDLINE via PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Scopus were searched for studies published between January 2003 and June 2014. Two authors independently reviewed articles to select eligible studies and performed data abstraction.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine studies representing 5817 patients from 20 unique cohorts were included. The outcome incidence rates were widely variable: 16-61% during median follow-up of 2.5-10 years for fibrosis progression; 13-40% over 2.3-14.4 years for hepatic decompensation and 8-47% over 3.9-14.4 years for overall mortality. Multivariate analyses showed that baseline steatosis and baseline fibrosis score were the most consistent predictors of fibrosis progression (significant in 6/21 and 5/21, studies, respectively) while baseline platelet count (significant in 6/13 studies), aspartate and alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio, albumin, bilirubin and age (each significant in 4/13 studies) were the most consistent predictors of clinical outcomes. Five studies developed predictive models but none were externally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Our review identified the variables that most consistently predict outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis C allowing the application of risk based approaches to identify patients in need of early treatment and intensive monitoring. This approach maximises effective use of resources and costly new direct-acting anti-viral agents.

Limited reliability of five non-invasive biomarkers in predicting hepatic fibrosis in chronic HCV mono-infected patients opposed to METAVIR scoring

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is gold standard for fibrosis assessment in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection but its limitations led to the identification of non-invasive biomarkers. This study assesses the reliability of five biomarkers in estimating the stage of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis in chronic HCV patients versus METAVIR scoring.

METHODS

One hundred HCV monoinfected patients who underwent liver biopsy and blood sampling were included. Liver fibrosis was staged (F0-4) and required laboratory tests were performed. AAR, API, APRI, FIB-4 and Pohl score were calculated and their receiver operating curves (ROCs), sensitivities, specificities, predictive values and accuracies were evaluated.

RESULTS

There were 27, 44, and 29 patients at F0-F1, F2-F3, and F4 groups. Significant statistical differences were found regarding AST, vireamia, platelet count, prothrombin time and all biomarkers. From ROCs only Pohl score predicted significant fibrosis and cirrhosis but with low accuracy. AAR, API and APRI showed moderate performance at low cut-offs, but had limited predictive values or accuracies at higher cut-offs. FIB-4 was the least accurate test. The diagnostic reliability of these biomarkers was limited to patients with suspected insignificant fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

This study verified the limited reliability for AAR, API, APRI, FIB-4 and Pohl score in estimating the stage of hepatic fibrosis in HCV infected patients opposed to METAVIR scoring.

Prospective comparison of real-time tissue elastography and serum fibrosis markers for the estimation of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

AIM

Real-time tissue elastography (RTE) is a non-invasive method for the measurement of tissue elasticity using ultrasonography. Liver fibrosis (LF) index is a quantitative method for evaluation of liver fibrosis calculated by RTE image features. This study aimed to investigate the significance of LF index for predicting liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients.

METHODS

In this prospective study, 115 patients with chronic hepatitis C who underwent liver biopsy were included, and the diagnostic accuracy of LF index and serum fibrosis markers was evaluated.

RESULTS

RTE imaging was successfully performed on all patients. Median LF index in patients with F0-1, F2, F3 and F4 were 2.61, 3.07, 3.54 and 4.25, respectively, demonstrating a stepwise increase with liver fibrosis progression (P < 0.001). LF index (odds ratio [OR] = 5.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.2-13.0) and platelet count (OR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.68-0.89) were independently associated with the presence of advanced fibrosis (F3-4). Further, LF index was independently associated with the presence of minimal fibrosis (F0-1) (OR = 0.25, 95% CI = 0.11-0.55). The area under the receiver-operator curve (AUROC) of LF index for predicting advanced fibrosis (0.84) was superior to platelets (0.82), FIB-4 index (0.80) and aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI) (0.76). AUROC of LF index (0.81) was superior to platelets (0.73), FIB-4 index (0.79) and APRI (0.78) in predicting minimal fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

LF index calculated by RTE is useful for predicting liver fibrosis, and diagnostic accuracy of LF index is superior to serum fibrosis markers.