Assessment of risk for the development of pre-eclampsia by maternal characteristics and uterine artery Doppler

Development of non-invasive biomarkers for pre-eclampsia through data-driven cardiovascular network models

Computational models can be at the basis of new powerful technologies for studying and classifying disorders like pre-eclampsia, where it is difficult to distinguish pre-eclamptic patients from non-pre-eclamptic based on pressure when patients have a track record of hypertension. Computational models now enable a detailed analysis of how pregnancy affects the cardiovascular system. Therefore, new non-invasive biomarkers were developed that can aid the classification of pre-eclampsia through the integration of six different measured non-invasive cardiovascular signals. Datasets of 21 pregnant women (no early onset pre-eclampsia, n = 12; early onset pre-eclampsia, n = 9) were used to create personalised cardiovascular models through computational modelling resulting in predictions of blood pressure and flow waveforms in all major and minor vessels of the utero-ovarian system. The analysis performed revealed that the new predictors PPI (pressure pulsatility index) and RI (resistance index) calculated in arcuate and radial/spiral arteries are able to differentiate between the 2 groups of women (t-test scores of p < .001) better than PI (pulsatility index) and RI (Doppler calculated in the uterine artery) for both supervised and unsupervised classification. In conclusion, two novel high-performing biomarkers for the classification of pre-eclampsia have been identified based on blood velocity and pressure predictions in the smaller placental vasculatures where non-invasive measurements are not feasible.

Machine Learning Algorithms Versus Classical Regression Models in Pre-Eclampsia Prediction: A Systematic Review

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Machine learning (ML) approaches are an emerging alternative for healthcare risk prediction. We aimed to synthesise the literature on ML and classical regression studies exploring potential prognostic factors and to compare prediction performance for pre-eclampsia.

RECENT FINDINGS

From 9382 studies retrieved, 82 were included. Sixty-six publications exclusively reported eighty-four classical regression models to predict variable timing of onset of pre-eclampsia. Another six publications reported purely ML algorithms, whilst another 10 publications reported ML algorithms and classical regression models in the same sample with 8 of 10 findings that ML algorithms outperformed classical regression models. The most frequent prognostic factors were age, pre-pregnancy body mass index, chronic medical conditions, parity, prior history of pre-eclampsia, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index, placental growth factor, and pregnancy-associated plasma protein A. Top performing ML algorithms were random forest (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.94, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.91-0.96) and extreme gradient boosting (AUC = 0.92, 95% CI 0.90-0.94). The competing risk model had similar performance (AUC = 0.92, 95% CI 0.91-0.92) compared with a neural network. Calibration performance was not reported in the majority of publications. ML algorithms had better performance compared to classical regression models in pre-eclampsia prediction. Random forest and boosting-type algorithms had the best prediction performance. Further research should focus on comparing ML algorithms to classical regression models using the same samples and evaluation metrics to gain insight into their performance. External validation of ML algorithms is warranted to gain insights into their generalisability.

Uterine arteries pulsatility index by Doppler ultrasound in the prediction of preeclampsia: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Preeclampsia is a common pregnancy complication with serious potential risks for maternal and neonatal health. Early prediction of preeclampsia is crucial for timely prevention, surveillance, and treatment to improve maternal and neonatal outcomes. This systematic review aimed to summarize the available evidence on the prediction of preeclampsia based on Doppler ultrasound of uterine arteries at different gestational ages.

METHODS

A systematic literature search and meta-analysis were conducted to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of the pulsatility index of Doppler ultrasound of uterine arteries for predicting preeclampsia. The timing of ultrasound scans within and beyond 20 weeks of gestational age was compared to assess its effect on the sensitivity and specificity of the pulsatility index.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included 27 studies and 81,673 subjects (3309 preeclampsia patients and 78,364 controls). The pulsatility index had moderate sensitivity (0.586) and high specificity for predicting preeclampsia (0.879) (summary point: sensitivity 0.59; 1-specificity 0.12). Subgroup analysis revealed that ultrasound scans performed within 20 weeks of gestational age did not significantly affect the sensitivity and specificity for predicting preeclampsia. The summary receiver operator characteristic curve showed the pulsatility index's optimal range of sensitivity and specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

The uterine arteries pulsatility index measured by Doppler ultrasound is useful and effective for predicting preeclampsia and should be implemented in the clinical practice. The timing of ultrasound scans at different gestational age ranges does not significantly affect the sensitivity and specificity.

Sensitivity of uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index in screening for adverse pregnancy outcome in first and second trimesters

PURPOSE

In a poor resource country where screening for adverse pregnancy outcomes using maternal biomarkers seems unattainable, there is a need to search for credible alternatives. This study is, therefore, aimed at determining the sensitivity of uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index (UtAD-PI) in predicting pregnancy outcomes in the first and second trimesters and to establish any statistical difference in mean UtAD-PI in first and second trimesters screening of women with normal and abnormal pregnancy outcomes respectively.

METHODS

This clinical-based, longitudinal, and unpaired cohort study involved 500 pregnant women, who were screened for adverse outcomes using UtAD-PI and delivered in the hospital. These were divided into two groups, each having a training set and a test set. The training set was used to generate the receiver operator characteristic curve and cut-off point while the test set was used to test for sensitivity and specificity of the Ut-ADI in each trimester.

RESULTS

The sensitivity and specificity of UtAD-PI in first-trimester screening are 97% and 76.5% while second-trimester gave sensitivity and specificity of 57.5% and 63.3% respectively. The uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index shows statistically significant differences between normal pregnancy and pregnancy with adverse outcomes (p-value = 0.000).

CONCLUSION

The uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index is a good screening tool for adverse pregnancy outcomes. First-trimester screening of patients for adverse outcomes is more sensitive than the second-trimester screening using UtAD-PI. There is also a statistically significant difference between mean UtAD-PI between normal pregnancy and pregnancy with adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Levels of serum podocalyxin in preeclampsia and relationship with maternal echocardiographic and Doppler ultrasound parameters

INTRODUCTION

Podocalyxin (PCX) is an indicator of glomerular injury. Aside from the kidney, it is expressed in the endothelial cells of various organs. Echographic examinations are useful in assessing the alterations in cardiovascular structure and function during pregnancy.

Placental Growth Factor in First Trimester of Pregnancy for Prediction of Maternal and Perinatal Adverse Outcomes

Purpose of the study

Placental growth factor (PLGF) is an angiogenic factor in pregnancy. To find out correlation of plasma levels of placental growth factor in first trimester of pregnancy in Indian women who develop maternal and perinatal adverse outcomes was the aim of the study.

Methods

A prospective longitudinal noninterventional study was done in the department of Obstetrics and Gynecology after obtaining ethics approval. After enrolling patients in the first trimester (11 weeks to 13 weeks 6 days), a questionnaire was filled for demographic characteristics. Uterine artery doppler was done for every patient and blood sample (5 ml) was taken by venu puncture of median cubital vein. Serum levels of PLGF were measured by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay using Thermo Scientific Pierce Human PLGF kit (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc., Waltham, MA, USA). Patients were followed for their whole antenatal period and delivery outcomes.

Results

Incidence of preeclampsia in our study was 9.3% (15/161) and fetal growth restriction (FGR) was 19.8% (32/161). Neither BMI nor nulliparity was found to have statistically significant correlation with development of preeclampsia. However, history of preeclampsia was found to be significant risk factor for prediction of preeclampsia (p value < 0.04). Plasma levels of PLGF were significantly lower in preeclampsia and FGR group and this difference was statistically significant (p value < 0.04). 7.5% still born occurred in complicated group and 10% needed NNU/NICU admission in this group.

Conclusion

Measuring PLGF levels in first trimester of pregnancy can help in prediction of preeclampsia and FGR.

Personalising cardiovascular network models in pregnancy: A two-tiered parameter estimation approach

Uterine artery Doppler waveforms are often studied to determine whether a patient is at risk of developing pathologies such as pre-eclampsia. Many uterine waveform indices have been developed, which attempt to relate characteristics of the waveform with the physiological adaptation of the maternal cardiovascular system, and are often suggested to be an indicator of increased placenta resistance and arterial stiffness. Doppler waveforms of four patients, two of whom developed pre-eclampsia, are compared with a comprehensive closed-loop model of pregnancy. The closed-loop model has been previously validated but has been extended to include an improved parameter estimation technique that utilises systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cardiac output, heart rate, and pulse wave velocity measurements to adapt model resistances, compliances, blood volume, and the mean vessel areas in the main systemic arteries. The shape of the model-predicted uterine artery velocity waveforms showed good agreement with the characteristics observed in the patient Doppler waveforms. The personalised models obtained now allow a prediction of the uterine pressure waveforms in addition to the uterine velocity. This allows for a more detailed mechanistic analysis of the waveforms, eg, wave intensity analysis, to study existing clinical indices. The findings indicate that to accurately estimate arterial stiffness, both pulse pressure and pulse wave velocities are required. In addition, the results predict that patients who developed pre-eclampsia later in pregnancy have larger vessel areas in the main systemic arteries compared with the two patients who had normal pregnancy outcomes.

Performance of the FMF First-Trimester Preeclampsia-Screening Algorithm in a High-Risk Population in The Netherlands

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to evaluate the performance of the first-trimester Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) screening algorithm, including maternal characteristics and medical history, blood pressure, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and placenta growth factor, crown rump length, and uterine artery pulsatility index, for the prediction of preeclampsia in a high-risk population in the Netherlands.

METHODS

This is a prospective cohort including nulliparous women and women with preeclampsia or intrauterine growth restriction in previous pregnancy. We screened patients at 11-14 weeks of gestation to calculate the risk for preeclampsia. The primary outcome was preeclampsia and gestational age at delivery. Performance of the model was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) and calibration graphs; based on the ROC curves, optimal predicted risk cutoff values for our study population were defined.

RESULTS

We analyzed 362 women, of whom 22 (6%) developed preeclampsia. The algorithm showed fair discriminative performance for preeclampsia <34 weeks (AUC 0.81; 95% CI 0.65-0.96) and moderate discriminative performance for both preeclampsia <37 weeks (AUC 0.71; 95% CI 0.51-0.90) and <42 weeks (AUC 0.71; 95% CI 0.61-0.81). Optimal cutoffs based on our study population for preeclampsia <34, <37, and <42 weeks were 1:250, 1:64, and 1:22, respectively. Calibration was poor.

CONCLUSIONS

Performance of the FMF preeclampsia algorithm was satisfactory to predict early and preterm preeclampsia and less satisfactory for term preeclampsia in a high-risk population. However, by addressing some of the limitations of the present study, the performance can potentially improve. This is essential before implementation is considered.

Prediction models for preeclampsia: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Preeclampsia is a disease specific to pregnancy that can cause severe maternal and foetal morbidity and mortality. Early identification of women at higher risk for preeclampsia could potentially aid early prevention and treatment. Although a plethora of preeclampsia prediction models have been developed in recent years, individualised prediction of preeclampsia is rarely used in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this systematic review was to provide an overview of studies on preeclampsia prediction.

STUDY DESIGN

Relevant research papers were identified through a MEDLINE search up to 1 January 2017. Prognostic studies on the prediction of preeclampsia or preeclampsia-related disorders were included. Quality screening was performed with the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool.

RESULTS

Sixty-eight prediction models from 70 studies with 425,125 participants were selected for further review. The number of participants varied and the gestational age at prediction varied widely across studies. The most frequently used predictors were medical history, body mass index, blood pressure, parity, uterine artery pulsatility index, and maternal age. The type of predictor (maternal characteristics, ultrasound markers and/or biomarkers) was not clearly associated with model discrimination. Few prediction studies were internally (4%) or externally (6%) validated.

CONCLUSIONS

To date, multiple and widely varying models for preeclampsia prediction have been developed, some yielding promising results. The high degree of between-study heterogeneity impedes selection of the best model, or an aggregated analysis of prognostic models. Before multivariable preeclampsia prediction can be clinically implemented universally, further validation and calibration of well-performing prediction models is needed.

Failure of Decidualization and Maternal Immune Tolerance Underlies Uterovascular Resistance in Intra Uterine Growth Restriction

Failure of uterine vascular transformation is associated with pregnancy complications including Intra Uterine Growth Restriction (IUGR). The decidua and its immune cell populations play a key role in the earliest stages of this process. Here we investigate the hypothesis that abnormal decidualization and failure of maternal immune tolerance in the second trimester may underlie the uteroplacental pathology of IUGR. Placental bed biopsies were obtained from women undergoing elective caesarian delivery of a healthy term pregnancy, an IUGR pregnancy or a pregnancy complicated by both IUGR and preeclampsia. Decidual tissues were also collected from second trimester terminations from women with either normal or high uterine artery Doppler pulsatile index (PI). Immunohistochemical image analysis and flow cytometry were used to quantify vascular remodeling, decidual leukocytes and decidual status in cases vs. controls. Biopsies from pregnancies complicated by severe IUGR with a high uterine artery pulsatile index (PI) displayed a lack of: myometrial vascular transformation, interstitial, and endovascular extravillous trophoblast (EVT) invasion, and a lower number of maternal leukocytes. Apoptotic mural EVT were observed in association with mature dendritic cells and T cells in the IUGR samples. Second trimester pregnancies with high uterine artery PI displayed a higher incidence of small for gestational age fetuses; a skewed decidual immunology with higher numbers of; CD8 T cells, mature CD83 dendritic cells and lymphatic vessels that were packed with decidual leukocytes. The decidual stromal cells (DSCs) failed to differentiate into the large secretory DSC in these cases, remaining small and cuboidal and expressing lower levels of the nuclear progesterone receptor isoform B, and DSC markers Insulin Growth Factor Binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1) and CD10 as compared to controls. This study shows that defective progesterone mediated decidualization and a hostile maternal immune response against the invading endovascular EVT contribute to the failure of uterovascular remodeling in IUGR pregnancies.

A data-driven model to study utero-ovarian blood flow physiology during pregnancy

In this paper, we describe a mathematical model of the cardiovascular system in human pregnancy. An automated, closed-loop 1D-0D modelling framework was developed, and we demonstrate its efficacy in (1) reproducing measured multi-variate cardiovascular variables (pulse pressure, total peripheral resistance and cardiac output) and (2) providing automated estimates of variables that have not been measured (uterine arterial and venous blood flow, pulse wave velocity, pulsatility index). This is the first model capable of estimating volumetric blood flow to the uterus via the utero-ovarian communicating arteries. It is also the first model capable of capturing wave propagation phenomena in the utero-ovarian circulation, which are important for the accurate estimation of arterial stiffness in contemporary obstetric practice. The model will provide a basis for future studies aiming to elucidate the physiological mechanisms underlying the dynamic properties (changing shapes) of vascular flow waveforms that are observed with advancing gestation. This in turn will facilitate the development of methods for the earlier detection of pathologies that have an influence on vascular structure and behaviour.

Ultrasound prediction of abnormal infant development in hypertensive pregnant women in the second and third trimester

The objective was to assess the sensitivities and accuracies of Doppler ultrasound parameters in the second and third trimester of hypertensive pregnancies in determining perinatal outcomes. 1,054 pregnancies were retrospectively categorized into three groups (healthy pregnancies (HP, n = 988), pregnancies of hypertensive women (HypP, n = 30) and high-risk hypertension pregnancies (HRHypP, n = 36), depending on gestational hypertension as well as fetal birth weights and pregnancy outcomes. Systolic/diastolic ratio (S/D), resistance index (RI), pulsatility index (PI) of the bilateral uterine artery, umbilical artery and vein as well as venous flow velocity data were monitored by Doppler ultrasound. At 20–27 and 28–32 gestational weeks, uterine artery PIs and RIs were significantly higher in the HRHypP group than in the HP and HypP patients. At gestational weeks 20–27 and 28–32 left plus right PI data with cut-off values of 2.35 and 1.73 indicated a risk of stillbirth, premature pregnancy termination and a birth weight of less than 2,500 g with sensitivities of 94.4% and 93.1% as well as specificities of 95.2% and 90.1%, respectively.

MoM cutoffs for variables, an important tool for multivariate analysis and accurate interpretation of preeclampsia risk in high-risk pregnancy at 11-13+6 weeks gestation

OBJECTIVE

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of preeclampsia (PE) screening test offered in early pregnancy for the prediction of the risks for early-onset (requiring delivery <32 weeks gestation) and late-onset (requiring delivery ≥32 weeks gestation) disease.

METHODS

In a retrospective study of 615 women with singleton pregnancy, the risk for PE was calculated by the combined effect of multiple variables: serum placental growth factor (PLGF) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), maternal age, parity, ethnicity, mean arterial pressure (MAP), body mass index (BMI), uterine artery-pulsatility index, and previous history of PE or hypertension (HT). The results of the screening test in three different groups of women were validated by pregnancy outcome: (i) control group - without any history of PE/HT; (ii) history of PE without HT; and (iii) history of HT without PE. The performance of the screening test was evaluated for early- and late-onset PE.

RESULTS

The multivariate screening effectively identified cases of PE with >97% specificity. The detection rate (DR) was 93.8% for late-onset PE at a false positive rate (FPR) of 2.3% and 44.4% for early-onset PE at an FPR of 0.0%. The incidence of PE was 7% overall, with 1.52% and 5.43% for early- and late-onset PE, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrated 96.6% diagnostic accuracy of the multi-variable screening test to predict the risk of PE in the first trimester. The negative predictive value (>98%) reinforces the utility of cost-effective noninvasive screening test for the early detection of PE.

ABBREVIATIONS

PLGF: Placental growth factor; PAPP-A: Pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A; free β-HCG: Free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin; BMI: Body mass index; MAP: Mean arterial blood pressure; Ut-PI: Mean uterine artery pressure (left and right uterine artery)-pulsatility index; MoM: Multiple of median; NICE: National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence.

Static and Functional Hemodynamic Profiles of Women with Abnormal Uterine Artery Doppler at 22-24 Weeks of Gestation

Objective

To compare cardiac function, systemic hemodynamics and preload reserve of women with increased (cases) and normal (controls) uterine artery (UtA) pulsatility index (PI) at 22–24 weeks of gestation.

Materials and Methods

A prospective cross-sectional study of 620 pregnant women. UtA blood flow velocities were measured using Doppler ultrasonography, and PI was calculated. Mean UtA PI ≥ 1.16 (90th percentile) was considered abnormal. Maternal hemodynamics was investigated at baseline and during passive leg raising (PLR) using impedance cardiography (ICG). Preload reserve was defined as percent increase in stroke volume (SV) 90 seconds after passive leg raising compared to baseline.

Results

Mean UtA PI was 1.49 among cases (n = 63) and 0.76 among controls (n = 557) (p < 0.0001). Eighteen (28.6%) cases and 53 (9.5%) controls developed pregnancy complications (p <0.0001). The mean arterial pressure and systemic vascular resistance were 83 mmHg and 1098.89±293.87 dyne s/cm⁵ among cases and 79 mmHg and 1023.95±213.83 dyne s/cm⁵ among controls (p = 0.007 and p = 0.012, respectively). Heart rate, SV and cardiac output were not different between the groups. Both cases and controls responded with a small (4–5%) increase in SV in response to PLR, but the cardiac output remained unchanged. The preload reserve was not significantly different between two groups.

Conclusion

Pregnant women with abnormal UtA PI had higher blood pressure and systemic vascular resistance, but similar functional hemodynamic profile at 22–24 weeks compared to controls. Further studies are needed to clarify whether functional hemodynamic assessment using ICG can be useful in predicting pregnancy complications.

Do low-risk nulliparous women with abnormal uterine artery Doppler in the third trimester have poorer perinatal outcomes? A longitudinal prospective study on uterine artery Doppler in low-risk nulliparous women and correlation with pregnancy outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate uterine artery (UtA) Doppler over the course of pregnancy in low-risk nulliparous women and to analyze whether an abnormal uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) at a 32-34 week' scan implies poorer perinatal outcomes.

METHODS

An observational prospective study was carried out including 616 low-risk nulliparous women. Women with any of the following were excluded: fetal abnormalities, multiple pregnancy, and heparin, metformin or hypotensive treatment. Maternal characteristics, mean arterial pressure measurements and UtA Doppler findings were recorded longitudinally.

RESULTS

Complete pregnancy data were available for 489/616 women (79.3%). Of these, 385 women had a normal UtA-PI throughout pregnancy (Group 0), while 50 (10.1%) had an UtA-PI > 95th percentile in the first or the second trimester that normalized in the third trimester (Group 1), and 56 (11.4%) had an abnormal UtA-PI in the third trimester (Group 2). We found that the rate of pre-eclampsia (PE) was higher in Group 2 (7/56 versus 4/435, p = 0.003) as was the rate of intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) (6/56 versus 14/435, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Low-risk nulliparous women with abnormal UtA Doppler findings in the third trimester are at a higher risk of developing PE and having a baby with IUGR.

Uterine Arcuate Artery Calcification on Transvaginal Sonography May Correlate With Known Risk Factors for Atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVES

Uterine arcuate artery calcification is an incidental finding on transvaginal sonography. We conducted this study to evaluate the clinical importance of arcuate artery calcification and its association with the serum lipid profile and carotid artery atherosclerosis.

METHODS

Serum lipid profiles, carotid artery intima thicknesses, and Doppler parameters of uterine arteries were examined in 25 patients with uterine arcuate artery calcification and 25 control participants. The parameters were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

The mean pulsatility indices, mean resistive indices, and systolic-to-diastolic ratios of the right and the left uterine arteries were significantly higher in the calcification group (P< .01). Serum total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were significantly higher, whereas the serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level was significantly lower in patients with uterine arcuate artery calcification than controls (P < .01). Right and left common carotid artery intima thicknesses were also significantly higher in the calcification group (P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Uterine arcuate artery calcification is an incidental finding on transvaginal and transabdominal pelvic sonography, and it is correlated with an abnormal lipid profile and increased thicknesses of the intimal layers of the carotid arteries. We suggest that an incidental finding of arcuate artery calcification during vaginal sonography is a reason to screen for generalized atherosclerosis and related disorders.

Clinical risk factors for pre-eclampsia determined in early pregnancy: systematic review and meta-analysis of large cohort studies

OBJECTIVE

To develop a practical evidence based list of clinical risk factors that can be assessed by a clinician at ≤ 16 weeks' gestation to estimate a woman's risk of pre-eclampsia.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed and Embase databases, 2000-15.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES

Cohort studies with ≥ 1000 participants that evaluated the risk of pre-eclampsia in relation to a common and generally accepted clinical risk factor assessed at ≤ 16 weeks' gestation.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two independent reviewers extracted data from included studies. A pooled event rate and pooled relative risk for pre-eclampsia were calculated for each of 14 risk factors.

RESULTS

There were 25,356,688 pregnancies among 92 studies. The pooled relative risk for each risk factor significantly exceeded 1.0, except for prior intrauterine growth restriction. Women with antiphospholipid antibody syndrome had the highest pooled rate of pre-eclampsia (17.3%, 95% confidence interval 6.8% to 31.4%). Those with prior pre-eclampsia had the greatest pooled relative risk (8.4, 7.1 to 9.9). Chronic hypertension ranked second, both in terms of its pooled rate (16.0%, 12.6% to 19.7%) and pooled relative risk (5.1, 4.0 to 6.5) of pre-eclampsia. Pregestational diabetes (pooled rate 11.0%, 8.4% to 13.8%; pooled relative risk 3.7, 3.1 to 4.3), prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) >30 (7.1%, 6.1% to 8.2%; 2.8, 2.6 to 3.1), and use of assisted reproductive technology (6.2%, 4.7% to 7.9%; 1.8, 1.6 to 2.1) were other prominent risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

There are several practical clinical risk factors that, either alone or in combination, might identify women in early pregnancy who are at "high risk" of pre-eclampsia. These data can inform the generation of a clinical prediction model for pre-eclampsia and the use of aspirin prophylaxis in pregnancy.

Prognostic models in obstetrics: available, but far from applicable

Health care provision is increasingly focused on the prediction of patients' individual risk for developing a particular health outcome in planning further tests and treatments. There has been a steady increase in the development and publication of prognostic models for various maternal and fetal outcomes in obstetrics. We undertook a systematic review to give an overview of the current status of available prognostic models in obstetrics in the context of their potential advantages and the process of developing and validating models. Important aspects to consider when assessing a prognostic model are discussed and recommendations on how to proceed on this within the obstetric domain are given. We searched MEDLINE (up to July 2012) for articles developing prognostic models in obstetrics. We identified 177 papers that reported the development of 263 prognostic models for 40 different outcomes. The most frequently predicted outcomes were preeclampsia (n = 69), preterm delivery (n = 63), mode of delivery (n = 22), gestational hypertension (n = 11), and small-for-gestational-age infants (n = 10). The performance of newer models was generally not better than that of older models predicting the same outcome. The most important measures of predictive accuracy (ie, a model's discrimination and calibration) were often (82.9%, 218/263) not both assessed. Very few developed models were validated in data other than the development data (8.7%, 23/263). Only two-thirds of the papers (62.4%, 164/263) presented the model such that validation in other populations was possible, and the clinical applicability was discussed in only 11.0% (29/263). The impact of developed models on clinical practice was unknown. We identified a large number of prognostic models in obstetrics, but there is relatively little evidence about their performance, impact, and usefulness in clinical practice so that at this point, clinical implementation cannot be recommended. New efforts should be directed toward evaluating the performance and impact of the existing models.

Preeclampsia - What is to blame? The placenta, maternal cardiovascular system or both?

Preeclampsia (PE) is a pregnancy-specific syndrome, complicating 2%-8% of pregnancies. PE is a major cause of maternal mortality throughout the world with 60000 maternal deaths attributed to hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. PE also results in fetal morbidity due to prematurity and fetal growth restriction. The precise aetiology of PE remains an enigma with multiple theories including a combination of environmental, immunological and genetic factors. The conventional and leading hypotheses for the initial insult in PE is inadequate trophoblast invasion which is thought to result in incomplete remodelling of uterine spiral arteries leading to placental ischaemia, hypoxia and thus oxidative stress. The significant heterogeneity observed in pre-eclampsia cannot be solely explained by the placental model alone. Herein we critically evaluate the clinical (risk factors, placental blood flow and biomarkers) and pathological (genetic, molecular, histological) correlates for PE. Furthermore, we discuss the role played by the (dysfunctional) maternal cardiovascular system in the aetiology of PE. We review the evidence that demonstrates a role for both the placenta and the cardiovascular system in early- and late-onset PE and highlight some of the key differences between these two distinct disease entities.

Effects of altitude changes on Doppler flow parameters for uterine, umbilical, and mid-cerebral arteries in term pregnancy: A pilot study

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that maternal and fetal circulations may be affected by moderately high altitudes. Therefore, we compared the differences in maternal and fetal Doppler flow parameters in women with term pregnancy living at a moderately high altitude (1890 m in Erzurum) with those of women living at the sea level (31 m in İstanbul).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Eighty women (n=40, for each group) with full-term and singleton pregnancies underwent Doppler waveform analysis, and the pulsatility and resistance index values for the uterine, umbilical, and mid-cerebral arteries were recorded. Also, sex, birth, and placental weights during delivery were obtained from the medical records.

RESULTS

Similar mean placental weight values were found at the sea level compared with the moderately high altitude (p>0.05). The mean birth weight values were found to be lower at the moderately high altitude than those at the sea level (p<0.05). The pulsatility and resistance index values for the umbilical and mid-cerebral arteries were found to be similar between the groups (p>0.05). However, the pulsatility and resistance index values for both the right and left uterine arteries were higher at the sea level than those at moderately high altitude (p<0.05, for all).

CONCLUSION

Moderately high altitude does not affect fetal vascular Doppler parameters. However, it appears to increase the uterine artery blood flow bilaterally, and these alterations in the bilateral uterine artery blood flow may be associated with a physiological adaptation to high altitude.

Preeclampsia Is Associated with Increased Central Aortic Pressure, Elastic Arteries Stiffness and Wave Reflections, and Resting and Recruitable Endothelial Dysfunction

Introduction. An altered endothelial function (EF) could be associated with preeclampsia (PE). However, more specific and complementary analyses are required to confirm this topic. Flow-mediated dilation (FMD), low-flow-mediated constriction (L-FMC), and hyperemic-related changes in carotid-radial pulse wave velocity (PWVcr) offer complementary information about “recruitability” of EF. Objectives. To evaluate, in healthy and hypertensive pregnant women (with and without PE), central arterial parameters in conjunction with “basal and recruitable” EF. Methods. Nonhypertensive (HP) and hypertensive pregnant women (gestational hypertension, GH; preeclampsia, PE) were included. Aortic blood pressure (BP), wave reflection parameters (AIx@75), aortic pulse wave velocity (PWVcf) and PWVcr, and brachial and common carotid stiffness and intima-media thickness were measured. Brachial FMD and L-FMC and hyperemic-related change in PWVcr were measured. Results. Aortic BP and AIx@75 were elevated in PE. PE showed stiffer elastic but not muscular arteries. After cuff deflation, PWVcr decreased in HP, while GH showed a blunted PWVcr response and PE showed a tendency to increase. Maximal FMD and L-FMC were observed in HP followed by GH; PE did not reach significant arterial constriction. Conclusion. Aortic BP and wave reflections as well as elastic arteries stiffness are increased in PE. PE showed both “resting and recruitable” endothelial dysfunctions.

Fetal-maternal interface impedance parallels local NADPH oxidase related superoxide production

Blood flow assessment employing Doppler techniques is a useful procedure in pregnancy evaluation, as it may predict pregnancy disorders coursing with increased uterine vascular impedance, as pre-eclampsia. While the local causes are unknown, emphasis has been put on reactive oxygen species (ROS) excessive production. As NADPH oxidase (NOX) is a ROS generator, it is hypothesized that combining Doppler assessment with NOX activity might provide useful knowledge on placental bed disorders underlying mechanisms. A prospective longitudinal study was performed in 19 normal course, singleton pregnancies. Fetal aortic isthmus (AoI) and maternal uterine arteries (UtA) pulsatility index (PI) were recorded at two time points: 20-22 and 40-41 weeks, just before elective Cesarean section. In addition, placenta and placental bed biopsies were performed immediately after fetal extraction. NOX activity was evaluated using a dihydroethidium-based fluorescence method and associations to PI values were studied with Spearman correlations. A clustering of pregnancies coursing with higher and lower PI values was shown, which correlated strongly with placental bed NOX activity, but less consistently with placental tissue. The study provides evidence favoring that placental bed NOX activity parallels UtA PI enhancement and suggests that an excess in oxidation underlies the development of pregnancy disorders coursing with enhanced UtA impedance.

Endometrial vascularity is lower in pregnancies with pregnancy-induced hypertension or small-for-gestational-age fetus in live birth after in-vitro fertilization

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relationship between endometrial/subendometrial vascularity and the risk of pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) or small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses in women who had a live birth following in-vitro fertilization (IVF).

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of women who had a live birth after IVF from November 2002 to December 2004. Only women with a singleton pregnancy (n = 104) were included for analysis. Three-dimensional ultrasound measurement with power Doppler of the endometrial and subendometrial regions was performed on the day of oocyte retrieval in stimulated IVF cycles or on luteinizing hormone surge + 1 day in frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles to measure the endometrial volume and the vascularization index (VI), flow index (FI) and vascularization flow index (VFI) of the endometrial and subendometrial regions. Pregnancy outcomes were also reviewed.

RESULTS

Eight women (7.7%) had PIH or an SGA fetus. Women in the PIH/SGA group had significantly lower endometrial VI (0.504 vs 1.051; P = 0.023) and VFI (0.121 vs 0.253; P = 0.023) than those in the non-PIH/SGA group. However endometrial FI was significantly higher in the PIH/SGA group (23.04 vs 22.71; P = 0.028). There were no significant differences in subendometrial indices between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

Women who had a live birth following IVF and whose pregnancy was complicated by PIH or an SGA fetus had significantly lower endometrial vascularity in terms of VI and VFI than did women without PIH or SGA.

Role of the glucose tolerance test as a predictor of preeclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) play a role as predictors of preeclampsia (PET) in pregnant women.

METHODS

A retrospective case-control study was conducted in 2,002 singleton pregnancies that had a uterine artery (UtA) Doppler at 22-25 weeks and an OGTT. The UtA Doppler and OGTT were adjusted based on maternal characteristics, and the results were expressed as multiples of the expected normal median and compared between groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether maternal characteristics, OGTT, and UtA Doppler significantly contribute to the prediction of early- (<34 weeks), intermediate- (34-37 weeks), or late-onset (>37 weeks) PET. The performance of the screening was determined by ROC curves.

RESULTS

Women who developed PET were characterized by an older maternal age, an increased body mass index, and an altered UtA Doppler. The group with intermediate-onset PET was the only one associated with higher 2-hour OGTT levels compared to controls. Combined models were developed via logistic regression analysis using maternal characteristics, UtA Doppler, and OGTT to predict PET. These combined models were able to detect around 74, 42, and 21% of women who later developed early-, intermediate-, or late-onset PET, respectively, with only a 5% false-positive rate.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that the combination of maternal characteristics, second-trimester UtA Doppler, and OGTT is a predictor of the development of PET in healthy pregnant women.

Longitudinal changes in uterine artery Doppler and blood pressure and risk of pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To investigate longitudinal changes in the uterine artery mean pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) in women who develop pre-eclampsia (PE) and gestational hypertension (GH).

METHODS

This was a prospective longitudinal study of singleton pregnancies identified by screening at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation as being at high risk for PE. Measurements of UtA-PI and MAP were taken every 4 weeks until delivery and were compared in women who developed preterm PE, requiring delivery before 37 weeks, term PE and GH with those in women who remained normotensive.

RESULTS

In the normal outcome group, UtA-PI decreased with gestational age and MAP decreased between 12 and 24 weeks and then increased. In the preterm PE group, as compared to the normal group, UtA-PI and MAP were higher from early pregnancy onward and the difference for both increased with gestational age. In the term PE group, UtA-PI was significantly increased only from 33 weeks onward and MAP was increased from 12 weeks onward but the difference from normal did not increase with gestation. In GH, UtA-PI did not differ significantly from normal but MAP was higher from 12 weeks onward.

CONCLUSION

The study describes temporal changes in UtA-PI and MAP in normal pregnancies and in women who develop PE and GH.

Uterine artery impedance at very early clinical pregnancy

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to construct gestational age-based reference ranges for the uterine artery (UtA) mean pulsatility (PI) and resistance (RI) indices from 6 to 10 weeks of pregnancy.

METHOD

A prospective, cross-sectional, observational study was carried out in 312 singleton pregnancies with gestational age ranging from 6 to 10 weeks. UtAs were examined transvaginally by color and pulsed Doppler imaging, and the mean of the right and left values of PI and RI, as well as the presence or absence of a bilateral protodiastolic notch, was recorded. UtA-PI and UtA-RI reference percentiles were derived through time-conditional quantile regression.

RESULTS

The authors derived the 10th, 50th, and 90th reference percentile curves and correspondent 95% confidence intervals, for the evolution of the UtA mean PI and RI from week 6 to week 10 of gestation. The prevalence of bilateral notching absence was 8.1% (6/74) at 6 weeks and 28.8% (15/52) at 10 weeks.

CONCLUSION

The authors present evidence of progressive reduction of uterine vascular impedance in a very early stage of pregnancy and provide new, averaged UtA-PI and UtA-RI charts between 6 and 10 weeks of gestation.

Foetal aortic flow velocity waveforms in healthy and hypertensive pregnant women

Background

The foetal aortic Doppler frequency spectrum is influenced by cardiac output and contractility of the foetal heart as well as vascular compliance, blood viscosity and impedance of the arterial vascular system. The present study aimed at comparing Doppler flow pulsatility (PI) and resistance (RI) indexes of foetal proximal descending aorta (AoF) in the first, second and third trimesters of pregnancy, in low risk women and in those with chronic arterial hypertension, who had normal pregnancy outcomes.

Methods

A longitudinal and prospective study was carried out in 101 singleton pregnancies (71 low-risk pregnancies and 30 with essential hypertension). Multivariate regression had to be considered due to the experiment’s nature: two different indexes were read on the same set of individuals, once at each trimester of the pregnancy [1^st (11–14 weeks), 2^nd (19–22 weeks) and 3^rd (28–32 weeks) trimesters]. The response variable was denoted as index d, in a subject with hypertensive status h (hypertensive or normotensive), at continuous time t.

Results

In both groups, AoF-PI and AoF-RI showed a small, but significant increase from the first to the second (1.850 ± 0.339 vs 2.110 ± 0.242 for PI, and 0.829 ± 0.068 vs 0.857 ± 0.038 for RI; p < 0.001) and the first to the third (1.850 ± 0.339 vs 2.163 ± 0.282 for PI, and 0.829 ± 0.068 vs 0.864 ± 0.037 for RI; p < 0.001) trimesters of pregnancy. The global model showed that while AoF-RI trends were converging as time progressed, the AoF-PI values exhibited a divergent trend (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

Chronic stable hypertension in pregnancies with normal outcome, evidences an upward regular trend of foetal descending aorta pulsatility index that is similar to the normotensive condition.

Internal iliac and uterine arteries Doppler ultrasound in the assessment of normotensive and chronic hypertensive pregnant women

The objective of this work was to compare Doppler flows pulsatility index (PI) and resistance indexes (RI) of uterine and internal iliac arteries during pregnancy in low risk women and in those with stage-1 essential hypertension. From January 2010 and December 2012, a longitudinal and prospective study was carried out in 103 singleton uneventful pregnancies (72 low-risk pregnancies and 31 with stage 1 essential hypertension)at the 1^st, 2^nd and 3^rd trimesters. Multiple linear regression models, fitted using generalized least squares and whose errors were allowed to be correlated and/or have unequal variances, were employed; a model for the relative differences of both arteries impedance was utilized. In both groups, uterine artery PI and RI exhibited a gestational age related decreasing trend whereas internal iliac artery PI and RI increased. The model testing the hemodynamic adaptation in women with and without hypertension showed similar trend. Irrespective of blood pressure conditions, the internal iliac artery resistance pattern contrasts with the capacitance pattern of its immediate pelvic division, suggesting a pregnancy-related regulatory mechanism in the pelvic circulation.

Prediction of early and late pre-eclampsia from maternal characteristics, uterine artery Doppler and markers of vasculogenesis during first trimester of pregnancy

OBJECTIVE

To develop a predictive model for pre-eclampsia using clinical, biochemical and ultrasound markers during the first trimester of pregnancy.

METHODS

This was a nested case-control study within a pre-eclampsia screening project that involved 5367 asymptomatic pregnant women undergoing routine transvaginal uterine artery (UtA) Doppler at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks. Following exclusions, there were 70 pregnant women who later developed pre-eclampsia and 289 control patients enrolled during the first trimester who had serum or plasma samples taken at enrolment available for the purposes of this study. Of these, 17 pregnancies were diagnosed with early-onset (delivery < 34 weeks) pre-eclampsia and 53 with late-onset (delivery ≥ 34 weeks) pre-eclampsia. The lowest, highest and mean of left and right UtA pulsatility indices (PI) were calculated. Blood samples were stored at -84 °C until biochemical analysis for markers of vasculogenesis was performed. The distributions of the lowest UtA-PI and the biochemical markers were adjusted for maternal characteristics, expressed as multiples of the median (MoM), and compared between groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate if any variable was significantly associated with pre-eclampsia.

RESULTS

Pregnancies that later developed pre-eclampsia were associated with higher maternal prepregnancy body mass index. An increased lowest UtA-PI was significantly associated with both early- and late-onset disease. Placental growth factor (PlGF) MoM was significantly reduced in women who later developed early- or late-onset pre-eclampsia compared with controls (median (interquartile range), 0.69 (0.33-1.46) and 1.10 (0.39-1.56), respectively, vs 1.19 (0.65-1.84), P < 0.05). Different combined models were generated by logistic regression analysis, and the detection rate with a fixed 10% false-positive rate was 47% and 29% for early- and late-onset pre-eclampsia, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Pregnancies that later developed early or late pre-eclampsia were characterized by impaired placentation and an anti-angiogenic state during the first trimester of pregnancy. Regression models which include maternal characteristics, UtA Doppler and PlGF can apparently predict approximately half of pregnancies that will be complicated by early-onset pre-eclampsia. We believe more research in several areas is needed to aid in the creation of a better and more population-specific screening test for pre-eclampsia during the first trimester of pregnancy.

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: preventative-, immediate- and long-term management

The hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are common and continue to be significant contributors to maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity, both globally and in the UK. This review aims to describe the recent developments in the understanding of the pathophysiology of the disease processes, potential strategies for identification of women at high risk, and current and future therapeutic strategies for the treatment and prevention of hypertension in pregnancy. Women who experience adverse pregnancy outcomes are also at increased risk of premature cardiovascular disease, and potential therapeutic strategies to minimize their risk profile are discussed.

Low maternal middle cerebral artery Doppler resistance indices can predict future development of pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To determine if decreased resistance (vasodilatation) in the maternal middle cerebral artery (MCA) in the second trimester can predict third-trimester development of pre-eclampsia.

METHODS

Four-hundred and five low-risk gravidas had MCA transcranial Doppler (TCD) once in the second trimester. Maternal/neonatal outcomes were evaluated after delivery. Mean blood pressure, MCA velocities, resistance index (RI), pulsatility index (PI) and cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) were compared between normotensive and pre-eclamptic cohorts.

RESULTS

Seven subjects (1.7%) developed pre-eclampsia. An RI of < 0.54 and a PI of < 0.81 were clinically useful in predicting subsequent pre-eclampsia. Areas under the receiver-operating characteristics curves for RI and PI were 0.93 and 0.93, respectively, with optimal sensitivity and specificity of 86% and 93% for both variables. Positive and negative likelihood ratios were 11.8/0.15 (RI) and 12.3/0.15 (PI).

CONCLUSION

TCD indices of low maternal MCA resistance in the second trimester are predictive of the subsequent development of pre-eclampsia in a low-risk, ethnically homogeneous population.

Screening for pre-eclampsia: a systematic review of tests combining uterine artery Doppler with other markers

AIMS

To perform a systematic review of screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) with the combination of uterine artery Doppler (UAD), maternal history, mean arterial pressure and/or maternal serum markers.

METHODS

We identified eligible studies through a search of Medline, and, for each included study, we assessed the risk of bias and extracted relevant data. We reported the performance of screening tests according to the target population (low- or high-risk), the trimester of screening (first and/or second) and the subset of PE screened for (early and late).

RESULTS

Several tests provided moderate or convincing prediction of early PE, but screening for late PE was poor. Although UAD is more accurate in the second trimester, we found encouraging results for first-trimester screening when it was combined with other markers. Performance of screening was consistently lower in populations with risk factors for PE in the maternal history.

CONCLUSIONS

We present encouraging results for the prediction of early PE, even in the first trimester of pregnancy. The different performance of tests in screening for early vs. late PE, and of low- vs. high-risk populations, supports the concept that PE is a heterogeneous disease.

Increased uterine artery pulsatility index at 34 weeks and outcome of pregnancy

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate pregnancy outcome in patients with increased uterine artery (UtA) pulsatility at 34 weeks' gestation as an isolated finding.

METHODS

Normotensive women attending at 34 weeks' gestation for fetal growth assessment were enrolled in the study if fetal growth was appropriate for age and mean UtA pulsatility index (PI) was persistently above the 95(th) centile for gestational age. Patients were excluded with any of the following conditions: multiple pregnancy, sonographic suspicion of fetal anomaly or fetal growth restriction, history of chronic maternal disease, hypertensive disorder or diabetes in the current pregnancy or one or more adverse events in their past obstetric history. The control group consisted of age- and body mass index-matched low-risk women attending at 34 weeks with normal uterine artery Doppler since the midtrimester.

RESULTS

Sixty-six normotensive patients with normal fetal growth and increased UtA-PI at 34 weeks were included in the study group. Women with abnormal Doppler findings compared with controls showed significantly lower gestational age at delivery (38.2 ± 1.6 vs. 38.9 ± 1.3 weeks, P = 0.006), birth weight (2942 ± 583 vs. 3404 ± 469 g, P < 0.001), birth-weight Z-score (-0.61 ± 1.07 vs. 0.19 ± 1.05, P < 0.001) and increased risk of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) newborn (13/66 vs. 1/66, P < 0.001). The occurrence of late pre-eclampsia (3/66 vs. 0/66, P = 0.24), admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (6/66 vs. 4/66, P = 0.74), rate of induction of labor (16/66 vs. 14/66, P = 0.83) and rate of Cesarean section due to fetal distress (6/66 vs. 3/66, P = 0.49) were comparable between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

Increased UtA-PI as an isolated finding at 34 weeks' gestation is associated with an increased risk of delivering an SGA neonate.

Nitric oxide and peroxynitrite platelet levels in gestational hypertension and preeclampsia

The aim of the study was to investigate platelet nitric oxide (NO) pathways in women with Gestational Hypertension (GH), Preeclampsia (PE) and Controls. Platelet NO(x) and peroxynitrite (ONOO(-)) levels, inducible (iNOS) and endothelial nitric oxide synthase (eNOS) and Nitrotyrosine expression (N-Tyr) in 30 women with GH, 30 with PE and 30 healthy pregnant controls, age, parity and gestational age-matched, were assessed. Platelet NO(x) and ONOO(-) levels were significantly higher in GH and PE vs. Controls, with higher levels in GH vs. PE. At the same way, iNOS and N-Tyr were significantly higher in GH and PE vs. Controls, with higher levels in GH vs. PE. Since GH expressed higher amount of NO metabolites and higher activation of iNOS compared to PE, we can hypothesize that the severity of hypertensive pathology is almost not related to only NO metabolism, this research confirmed that GH and PE are associated with marked changes in NO pathways; it is not easy to understand if they could be interpreted as causes or consequence of these pathologic states.

Mid-trimester uterine artery Doppler ultrasound as a predictor of adverse obstetric outcome in high-risk pregnancy

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess uterine artery Doppler ultrasonography efficiency in prediction of adverse pregnancy outcome in high-risk pregnancies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We selected 70 pregnant women who were high risk for development of preeclampsia, abruption, low birth weight (LBW), and preterm delivery during their pregnancy, and Doppler ultrasonography was performed for them in 18-24 gestational weeks for evaluation of uterine artery notching. Absence of diastolic flow in uterine artery waves was defined as notching. The women were divided into two groups: with notching (Group A) and without notching (Group B), then they were compared for complications such as preeclampsia, abruption, LBW, and preterm delivery.

RESULTS

In 70 high-risk pregnant women, 27 women (39.2%) were in Group A and the others were in Group B. The birth weight in Groups A and B was 2,897.5 ± 757.15 and 3,248.39 ± 374.27, respectively. In our study, 15 patients were delivered before 37 gestational weeks (preterm labor). Preeclampsia, abruption, and LBW were significantly higher in the group with positive notching, but preterm delivery did not show any statistical difference between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

According to the results, uterine artery Doppler ultrasonography had high negative predictive value for prediction of preeclampsia, abruption, and LBW. Therefore, absence of uterine artery notching in mid-trimester evaluation of high-risk pregnant women may predict better pregnancy outcome. We recommend Doppler ultrasonography for all high-risk pregnant women in second trimester for prediction of pregnancy outcome.

Clinical risk prediction for pre-eclampsia in nulliparous women: development of model in international prospective cohort

OBJECTIVES

To develop a predictive model for pre-eclampsia based on clinical risk factors for nulliparous women and to identify a subgroup at increased risk, in whom specialist referral might be indicated.

DESIGN

Prospective multicentre cohort.

SETTING

Five centres in Auckland, New Zealand; Adelaide, Australia; Manchester and London, United Kingdom; and Cork, Republic of Ireland.

PARTICIPANTS

3572 "healthy" nulliparous women with a singleton pregnancy from a large international study; data on pregnancy outcome were available for 3529 (99%).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Pre-eclampsia defined as ≥ 140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥ 90 mm Hg, or both, on at least two occasions four hours apart after 20 weeks' gestation but before the onset of labour, or postpartum, with either proteinuria or any multisystem complication. Preterm pre-eclampsia was defined as women with pre-eclampsia delivered before 37(+0) weeks' gestation. In the stepwise logistic regression the comparison group was women without pre-eclampsia.

RESULTS

Of the 3529 women, 186 (5.3%) developed pre-eclampsia, including 47 (1.3%) with preterm pre-eclampsia. Clinical risk factors at 14-16 weeks' gestation were age, mean arterial blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), family history of pre-eclampsia, family history of coronary heart disease, maternal birth weight, and vaginal bleeding for at least five days. Factors associated with reduced risk were a previous single miscarriage with the same partner, taking at least 12 months to conceive, high intake of fruit, cigarette smoking, and alcohol use in the first trimester. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), under internal validation, was 0.71. Addition of uterine artery Doppler indices did not improve performance (internal validation AUC 0.71). A framework for specialist referral was developed based on a probability of pre-eclampsia generated by the model of at least 15% or an abnormal uterine artery Doppler waveform in a subset of women with single risk factors. Nine per cent of nulliparous women would be referred for a specialist opinion, of whom 21% would develop pre-eclampsia. The relative risk for developing pre-eclampsia and preterm pre-eclampsia in women referred to a specialist compared with standard care was 5.5 and 12.2, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The ability to predict pre-eclampsia in healthy nulliparous women using clinical phenotype is modest and requires external validation in other populations. If validated, it could provide a personalised clinical risk profile for nulliparous women to which biomarkers could be added. Trial registration ACTRN12607000551493.

Public health perspectives of preeclampsia in developing countries: implication for health system strengthening

OBJECTIVES

Review of public health perspectives of preeclampsia in developing countries and implications for health system strengthening.

METHODS

Literature from Pubmed (MEDLINE), AJOL, Google Scholar, and Cochrane database were reviewed.

RESULTS

The prevalence of preeclampsia in developing countries ranges from 1.8% to 16.7%. Many challenges exist in the prediction, prevention, and management of preeclampsia. Promising prophylactic measures like low-dose aspirin and calcium supplementation need further evidence before recommendation for use in developing countries. Treatment remains prenatal care, timely diagnosis, proper management, and timely delivery. Prevailing household, community, and health system factors limiting effective control of preeclampsia in these countries were identified, and strategies to strengthen health systems were highlighted.

CONCLUSION

Overcoming the prevailing challenges in the control of preeclampsia in developing countries hinges on the ability of health care systems to identify and manage women at high risk.

High altitude during pregnancy

One of the greatest physiologic challenges during pregnancy is to maintain an adequate supply of oxygenated blood to the uteroplacental circulation for fetal development. This challenge is magnified under conditions of limited oxygen availability. High altitude impairs fetal growth, increases the incidence of preeclampsia, and, as a result, significantly increases the risk of perinatal and/or maternal morbidity and mortality. This review summarizes the clinical consequences and physiologic challenges that emerge when pregnancy and high altitude coincide and highlights the adaptations that serve to protect oxygenation and fetal growth under conditions of chronic hypoxia.