1
|
Luyet PP, McCall WV, Bassetti CLA, Braunstein G, Laurent J, Olivieri A, Hedner J. Dose-response of daridorexant in insomnia disorder: An analysis of Phase 2 and 3 studies. Sleep Med 2024; 121:315-325. [PMID: 39047305 DOI: 10.1016/j.sleep.2024.07.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2024] [Revised: 04/12/2024] [Accepted: 07/14/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Daridorexant is approved for the treatment of insomnia at two dose levels (25 and 50 mg). Dose-efficacy and -safety response relationships were evaluated using Phase 2 and 3 data. METHODS Data (N = 2153) from one Phase 2 (daridorexant 5, 10, 25, 50 mg, placebo once daily for 1 month) and two Phase 3 studies (daridorexant 10 and 25 or 25 and 50 mg, placebo once daily for 3 months) were pooled. Dose-response analyses at 1 month of double-blind treatment were performed using a linear regression and a two-stage meta-analysis approach. Efficacy endpoints were polysomnography-derived wake after sleep onset, latency to persistent sleep (LPS), self-reported total sleep time and the Insomnia Daytime Symptoms and Impacts Questionnaire total score (only Phase 3 data for the latter). Safety endpoints were the incidence of total adverse events (AEs) and AEs corresponding to somnolence/fatigue. RESULTS Dose-responses for all efficacy endpoints were significant in the observed dose range (both statistical approaches, p < 0.01). All dose-response relationships were linear except for LPS (two-stage meta-analysis) which showed a change in slope above 10 mg without reaching a plateau. No significant dose-response was observed for any AE (both approaches, p > 0.05). The incidence of AEs corresponding to somnolence/fatigue was low at all doses and, without linear assumption (two-stage meta-analysis) there was no dose-dependency (p = 0.369). CONCLUSIONS The data support the use of 50 mg as the preferred daridorexant dose in patients with insomnia disorder to provide the greatest opportunity for efficacy with no increased risk for AEs, including somnolence/fatigue, compared to lower doses.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - William V McCall
- Department of Psychiatry and Health Behavior, Medical College of Georgia, Augusta University, 997 St Sebastian Way, Augusta, GA, 30912, USA.
| | - Claudio L A Bassetti
- Claudio Bassetti: Department of Neurology, Inselspital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
| | - Guy Braunstein
- Idorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Hegenheimermattweg 91, 4123, Allschwil, Switzerland.
| | - Johann Laurent
- Idorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Hegenheimermattweg 91, 4123, Allschwil, Switzerland.
| | - Antonio Olivieri
- Idorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Hegenheimermattweg 91, 4123, Allschwil, Switzerland.
| | - Jan Hedner
- Center for Sleep and Vigilance Disorders, Institute of Medicine University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Dejardin D, Kraxner A, Schindler E, Städler N, Wolbers M. An overview of statistical methods for biomarkers relevant to early clinical development of cancer immunotherapies. Front Immunol 2024; 15:1351584. [PMID: 39234243 PMCID: PMC11371698 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2024.1351584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2023] [Accepted: 07/29/2024] [Indexed: 09/06/2024] Open
Abstract
Over the last decade, a new paradigm for cancer therapies has emerged which leverages the immune system to act against the tumor. The novel mechanism of action of these immunotherapies has also introduced new challenges to drug development. Biomarkers play a key role in several areas of early clinical development of immunotherapies including the demonstration of mechanism of action, dose finding and dose optimization, mitigation and prevention of adverse reactions, and patient enrichment and indication prioritization. We discuss statistical principles and methods for establishing the prognostic, predictive aspect of a (set of) biomarker and for linking the change in biomarkers to clinical efficacy in the context of early development studies. The methods discussed are meant to avoid bias and produce robust and reproducible conclusions. This review is targeted to drug developers and data scientists interested in the strategic usage and analysis of biomarkers in the context of immunotherapies.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- David Dejardin
- Data Sciences, Product Development, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Anton Kraxner
- Roche Pharma Research and Early Development Oncology, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Emilie Schindler
- Roche Pharma Research and Early Development Oncology, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Nicolas Städler
- Roche Pharma Research and Early Development Oncology, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Marcel Wolbers
- Data Sciences, Product Development, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Uchiyama M, Mishima K, Yagi T, Yoshihara T, Eto T, Muehlan C, Togo O, Inoue Y. Pharmacokinetics, safety, and efficacy of daridorexant in Japanese subjects: Results from phase 1 and 2 studies. J Sleep Res 2024:e14302. [PMID: 39118245 DOI: 10.1111/jsr.14302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2024] [Revised: 06/25/2024] [Accepted: 07/22/2024] [Indexed: 08/10/2024]
Abstract
Daridorexant is a dual orexin receptor antagonist for the treatment of insomnia. We report results from the first two randomised, double-blind clinical studies of daridorexant in Japanese subjects. In the Phase 1 study, daridorexant (10, 25, 50 mg) or placebo were administered in the morning for 4 days in 24 young (mean age 26.9 years) and 24 older (mean age 69.7 years) healthy Japanese adults. Daridorexant reached a peak plasma concentration within 1.0 h across every dose and age group. For all doses, the mean plasma concentration of daridorexant showed a similar change between the age groups. Exposure parameters increased dose-dependently with minimal/no accumulation upon repeated dosing. The terminal half-life was ~8 h. In the Phase 2, four-period, four-way crossover study, 47 Japanese subjects (mean age 50.4 years) with insomnia disorder were randomised to receive four treatments (daridorexant 10, 25, 50 mg, placebo) during four treatment periods, each consisting of two treatment nights (5-12 day washout between treatment periods). Subjects continued their fourth treatment for 12 further days. A statistically significant dose-response relationship (multiple-comparison procedure-modelling, p < 0.0001) was found in the reduction of polysomnography-measured wake after sleep onset (WASO; primary endpoint) and latency to persistent sleep (secondary endpoint) from baseline to days 1/2. Statistically significant dose-response relationships were also observed for secondary subjective endpoints from baseline to days 1/2 (sWASO, latency to sleep onset). All daridorexant doses were well tolerated, with no treatment discontinuations and no next-morning residual effects. These results supported further investigation of daridorexant in Japanese patients with insomnia disorder.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Makoto Uchiyama
- Department of Psychiatry, Nihon University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Tokyo Adachi Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kazuo Mishima
- Department of Neuropsychiatry, Akita University Graduate School of Medicine, Akita, Japan
| | - Tomoko Yagi
- Kurume University School of Medicine, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Tatsuya Yoshihara
- SOUSEIKAI Fukuoka Mirai Hospital Clinical Research Center, Fukuoka, Japan
| | | | - Clemens Muehlan
- Clinical Pharmacology, Idorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Allschwil, Switzerland
| | - Osamu Togo
- Data Management & Biometry, Nxera Pharma Japan Co., Ltd, Tokyo, Japan
| | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Han L, Deng Q, He Z, Fleischer F, Yu F. Bayesian hierarchical model for dose-finding trial incorporating historical data. J Biopharm Stat 2024; 34:646-660. [PMID: 37676029 DOI: 10.1080/10543406.2023.2251578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2022] [Accepted: 08/17/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023]
Abstract
The Multiple Comparison Procedure and Modelling (MCPMod) approach has been shown to be a powerful statistical technique that can significantly improve the design and analysis of dose-finding studies under model uncertainty. Due to its frequentist nature, however, it is difficult to incorporate information into MCPMod from historical trials on the same drug. BMCPMod, a recently introduced Bayesian version of MCPMod, is designed to take into account historical information on the placebo dose group. We introduce a Bayesian hierarchical framework capable of incorporating historical information on an arbitrary number of dose groups, including both placebo and active ones, taking into account the relationship between responses of these dose groups. Our approach can also model both prognostic and predictive between-trial heterogeneity and is particularly useful in situations where the effect sizes of two trials are different. Our goal is to reduce the necessary sample size in the dose-finding trial while maintaining its target power.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Linxi Han
- School of Mathematics, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Qiqi Deng
- Biostatistics and Data Sciences, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc, Ridgefield, Connecticut, USA
| | - Zhangyi He
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Frank Fleischer
- Biostatistics+Data Sciences Corp, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharma GmbH & Co. KG, Biberach, Germany
| | - Feng Yu
- School of Mathematics, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Talebi S, Zeraattalab‐Motlagh S, Barkhordar M, Vaezi M, Ghoreishy SM, Ghavami A, Hosseini Y, Travica N, Mohammadi H. Dose-dependent effect of megestrol acetate supplementation in cancer patients with anorexia-cachexia syndrome: A meta-analysis. J Cachexia Sarcopenia Muscle 2024; 15:1254-1263. [PMID: 39031821 PMCID: PMC11294013 DOI: 10.1002/jcsm.13500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2023] [Revised: 03/10/2024] [Accepted: 04/23/2024] [Indexed: 07/22/2024] Open
Abstract
There is inconsistent evidence relating to the effects of megestrol acetate (MA) supplementation on cancer patients suffering from anorexia-cachexia syndrome. This review aimed to examine the dose-response effect of MA supplementation in patients with cancer-associated anorexia/cachexia. Relevant keywords were searched in PubMed, Scopus and ISI Web of Science from inception to June 2023 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) examining the effect of MA on pathologies in patients with cancer-associated cachexia. Our primary outcomes were changes in body weight and appetite. However, fatigue and quality of life were secondary outcomes. The mean difference (MD) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were estimated using the random-effects method. Thirteen trials comprising 1229 participants (mean age 60 years) were identified. The results of our highest versus lowest analysis revealed that MA supplementation was not associated with any increase in body weight (MD: 0.64 kg, 95% CI [-0.11, 1.38], P = 0.093, I2 = 69.1%; GRADE = very low certainty). Twelve trials, including 14 effect sizes derived from 1369 patients (intervention = 689, control = 680), provided data on the effect of MA on body weight. Subgroup analyses showed a significant increase in body weight following short-term intervention (≤8 weeks) and a combination of radiation/chemotherapy as concurrent treatment. A linear dose-response meta-analysis indicated that each 200 mg/day increment in MA consumption had a significant increase in weight gain (MD: 0.44; 95% CI [0.13, 0.74], P = 0.005; I2 = 97.1%); however, the magnitude of the effect was small. MA administration significantly affected the quality of life based on pooled effect sizes (MD: 1.15, 95% CI [0.76, 1.54], P < 0.001, I2 = 0%; n = 2 RCTs including 176 patients; GRADE = very low certainty). However, no significant effect of MA supplementation was observed on appetite (MD: 0.29, 95% CI [-0.05, 0.64], P = 0.096, I2 = 18.3%; n = 3 RCTs including 163 patients; GRADE = very low certainty) and fatigue (MD: 0.14, 95% CI [-0.09, 0.36], P = 0.236, I2 = 0%; n = 2 RCTs including 300 patients; GRADE = very low certainty). With very low certainty of the evidence, MA supplementation may not lead to a significantly increased weight gain and other outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sepide Talebi
- Students' Scientific Research Center (SSRC)Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and DieteticsTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| | | | - Maryam Barkhordar
- Cell Therapy and Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Research CenterTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
- Research Institute for Oncology, Hematology and Cell TherapyTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| | - Mohammad Vaezi
- Hematology, Oncology and Stem Cell Transplantation Research CenterTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
- Research Institute for Oncology, Hematology and Cell TherapyTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| | - Seyed Mojtaba Ghoreishy
- Department of Nutrition, School of Public HealthIran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
- Student Research Committee, School of Public HealthIran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| | - Abed Ghavami
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food ScienceIsfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahanIran
| | - Yasaman Hosseini
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and DieteticsTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| | - Nikolaj Travica
- IMPACT—Institute for Mental and Physical Health and Clinical Translation, Food and Mood Centre, School of Medicine, Barwon HealthDeakin UniversityGeelongAustralia
| | - Hamed Mohammadi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and DieteticsTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
- Research Institute for Oncology, Hematology and Cell TherapyTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Hartley BF, Lunn D, Mander AP. Efficient Study Design and Analysis of Longitudinal Dose-Response Data Using Fractional Polynomials. Pharm Stat 2024. [PMID: 39073285 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Revised: 06/12/2024] [Accepted: 06/24/2024] [Indexed: 07/30/2024]
Abstract
Correctly characterising the dose-response relationship and taking the correct dose forward for further study is a critical part of the drug development process. We use optimal design theory to compare different designs and show that using longitudinal data from all available timepoints in a continuous-time dose-response model can substantially increase the efficiency of estimation of the dose-response compared to a single timepoint model. We give theoretical results to calculate the efficiency gains for a large class of these models. For example, a linearly growing Emax dose-response in a population with a between/within-patient variance ratio ranging from 0.1 to 1 measured at six visits can be estimated with between 1.43 and 2.22 times relative efficiency gain, or equivalently, with 30% to a 55% reduced sample size, compared to a single model of the final timepoint. Fractional polynomials are a flexible way to incorporate data from repeated measurements, increasing precision without imposing strong constraints. Longitudinal dose-response models using two fractional polynomial terms are robust to mis-specification of the true longitudinal process while maintaining, often large, efficiency gains. These models have applications for characterising the dose-response at interim or final analyses.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Dave Lunn
- Department of Biostatistics, GSK Research and Development, Brentford, UK
| | - Adrian P Mander
- Department of Biostatistics, GSK Research and Development, Brentford, UK
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Parke S, Gude K, Roth K, Messina F. Efficacy and safety of eliapixant in endometriosis-associated pelvic pain: the randomized, placebo-controlled phase 2b SCHUMANN study. BMC Womens Health 2024; 24:353. [PMID: 38890641 PMCID: PMC11186168 DOI: 10.1186/s12905-024-03188-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2023] [Accepted: 06/06/2024] [Indexed: 06/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The SCHUMANN study evaluated the efficacy and safety of the selective P2 × 3 antagonist eliapixant in patients with endometriosis-associated pelvic pain (EAPP). METHODS SCHUMANN was a randomized, placebo- and active comparator-controlled, double-blind to placebo and open-label to comparator, parallel-group, multicenter, dose-finding phase 2b study. The participants were women with surgically diagnosed endometriosis who fulfilled defined EAPP criteria. Participants were randomized 1:1:1:1 to twice daily (BID) 25 mg, 75 mg, or 150 mg oral eliapixant or a placebo for 12 weeks. An exploratory once-daily elagolix 150 mg treatment group was also included. The primary endpoint was the absolute change in mean worst EAPP from baseline to the end of intervention (EOI). RESULTS Overall, 215 participants were randomized for treatment (44 to eliapixant 25 mg, 44 to eliapixant 75 mg, 43 to eliapixant 150 mg, 43 to a placebo, and 41 to elagolix 150 mg). For safety reasons, the study was terminated early; both treatment and enrollment stopped immediately, producing less than 50% of the planned number of completers. The study found no significant differences in EAPP reduction from baseline between groups and no significant dose-response model. The elagolix 150 mg group showed better pain reduction than any of the other groups. No new safety signals were observed, relative to the previously known safety profile of eliapixant, which was generally well tolerated. However, one case of moderate and probably drug-induced liver injury in a participant receiving eliapixant 150 mg BID supported the association between eliapixant and a potential increase in liver function values, defined before the start of the phase 2 program. CONCLUSIONS This study did not meet its primary objective as no statistically significant or clinically relevant differences in changes of mean worst EAPP from baseline were observed between treatment groups. The single observed case of moderate, probably drug-induced liver injury was the second case in the eliapixant phase 2 program conducted in the following indications: refractory or unexplained chronic cough, diabetic neuropathic pain, overactive bladder, and EAPP. Due to this, the benefit-risk ratio for the study was no longer considered to be positive. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT04614246; registered November 3, 2020.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Susanne Parke
- Research and Development, Bayer AG, Berlin, Germany.
| | | | - Katrin Roth
- Research and Development, Bayer AG, Berlin, Germany
| | | |
Collapse
|
8
|
Hermange G, Vainchenker W, Plo I, Cournède PH. Mathematical modelling, selection and hierarchical inference to determine the minimal dose in IFNα therapy against myeloproliferative neoplasms. MATHEMATICAL MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY : A JOURNAL OF THE IMA 2024; 41:110-134. [PMID: 38875109 DOI: 10.1093/imammb/dqae006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2022] [Revised: 01/30/2024] [Accepted: 05/02/2024] [Indexed: 06/16/2024]
Abstract
Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) are blood cancers that appear after acquiring a driver mutation in a hematopoietic stem cell. These hematological malignancies result in the overproduction of mature blood cells and, if not treated, induce a risk of cardiovascular events and thrombosis. Pegylated IFN$\alpha $ is commonly used to treat MPN, but no clear guidelines exist concerning the dose prescribed to patients. We applied a model selection procedure and ran a hierarchical Bayesian inference method to decipher how dose variations impact the response to the therapy. We inferred that IFN$\alpha $ acts on mutated stem cells by inducing their differentiation into progenitor cells; the higher the dose, the higher the effect. We found that the treatment can induce long-term remission when a sufficient (patient-dependent) dose is reached. We determined this minimal dose for individuals in a cohort of patients and estimated the most suitable starting dose to give to a new patient to increase the chances of being cured.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Gurvan Hermange
- Université Paris-Saclay, CentraleSupélec, Laboratory of Mathematics and Informatics (MICS), Gif-sur-Yvette, France
| | - William Vainchenker
- INSERM U1287 (INSERM, Gustave Roussy, Université Paris-Saclay), Villejuif, France
- Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France
- Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
| | - Isabelle Plo
- INSERM U1287 (INSERM, Gustave Roussy, Université Paris-Saclay), Villejuif, France
- Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France
- Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
| | - Paul-Henry Cournède
- Université Paris-Saclay, CentraleSupélec, Laboratory of Mathematics and Informatics (MICS), Gif-sur-Yvette, France
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Yuan Y, Zhou H, Liu S. Statistical and practical considerations in planning and conduct of dose-optimization trials. Clin Trials 2024; 21:273-286. [PMID: 38243399 PMCID: PMC11134987 DOI: 10.1177/17407745231207085] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/21/2024]
Abstract
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection toward identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather than the maximum tolerated dose. However, achieving dose optimization is a challenging task that involves a variety of factors and is considerably more complicated than identifying the maximum tolerated dose, both in terms of design and implementation. This article provides a comprehensive review of various design strategies for dose-optimization trials, including phase 1/2 and 2/3 designs, and highlights their respective advantages and disadvantages. In addition, practical considerations for selecting an appropriate design and planning and executing the trial are discussed. The article also presents freely available software tools that can be utilized for designing and implementing dose-optimization trials. The approaches and their implementation are illustrated through real-world examples.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ying Yuan
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Heng Zhou
- Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck and Co., Inc, Rahway, NJ, USA
| | - Suyu Liu
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Ghavami A, Talebi S, Barghchi H, Nattagh-Eshtivani E, Mohammadi H, Ziaei R. No benefit of soluble fiber on liver function. INT J VITAM NUTR RES 2024; 94:394-404. [PMID: 38044659 DOI: 10.1024/0300-9831/a000800] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/05/2023]
Abstract
Background: To conduct a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of current findings from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on the effect of soluble fiber supplementation on liver function in both healthy individuals and people with specific health conditions, PubMed, Scopus, and ISI Web of Science were systematically searched for relevant RCTs published prior to April 2022. Methods: We estimated the change in liver function parameters for each 5 g/d increment in soluble fiber in each trial and then calculated the mean difference (MD) and 95%CI. A total of 25 RCTs with 27 treatment arms (1744 subjects; 884 cases, 860 controls) were included. Results: A total of 25 RCTs with 27 treatment arms were included. The intervention duration of the included studies ranged from 3 to 52 weeks and the dose of soluble fiber supplementation varied from 0.0025 to 40 g/d. Soluble fiber supplementation could not significantly affect serum alanine transaminase (MD: -0.02 U/L, 95% CI: -1.06 to 1.01), aspartate transaminase (MD: -0.34 U/L, 95% CI: -0.84 to 0.15), alkaline phosphatase (MD: 0.29 U/L, -0.14 to 0.71), gamma-glutamyl transferase (MD: 0.12 U/L; 95% CI: -0.81 to 1.05), serum bilirubin (MD: 0.42μmol/L, 95% CI: -0.08 to 0.93) and albumin (MD: 0.64 g/dl, 95% CI: -0.42 to 1.70) levels. Conclusions: Findings from this study did not support the beneficial effects of soluble fiber supplementation on liver function biomarkers. There is a need for long-term high-quality interventions to examine the effects of different types and doses of soluble fibers on liver function as primary outcome.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Abed Ghavami
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Iran
| | - Sepide Talebi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Iran
| | - Hanieh Barghchi
- Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Iran
| | - Elyas Nattagh-Eshtivani
- Nutrition, Food Sciences and Clinical Biochemistry Department, School of Medicine, Social Development and Health Promotion Research Center, Gonabad University of Medical Sciences, Iran
| | - Hamed Mohammadi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Iran
| | - Rahele Ziaei
- Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Tian F, Lin R, Wang L, Yuan Y. A Bayesian quasi-likelihood design for identifying the minimum effective dose and maximum utility dose in dose-ranging studies. Stat Methods Med Res 2024; 33:931-944. [PMID: 38573788 PMCID: PMC11162096 DOI: 10.1177/09622802241239268] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/06/2024]
Abstract
Most existing dose-ranging study designs focus on assessing the dose-efficacy relationship and identifying the minimum effective dose. There is an increasing interest in optimizing the dose based on the benefit-risk tradeoff. We propose a Bayesian quasi-likelihood dose-ranging design that jointly considers safety and efficacy to simultaneously identify the minimum effective dose and the maximum utility dose to optimize the benefit-risk tradeoff. The binary toxicity endpoint is modeled using a beta-binomial model. The efficacy endpoint is modeled using the quasi-likelihood approach to accommodate various types of data (e.g. binary, ordinal or continuous) without imposing any parametric assumptions on the dose-response curve. Our design utilizes a utility function as a measure of benefit-risk tradeoff and adaptively assign patients to doses based on the doses' likelihood of being the minimum effective dose and maximum utility dose. The design takes a group-sequential approach. At each interim, the doses that are deemed overly toxic or futile are dropped. At the end of the trial, we use posterior probability criteria to assess the strength of the dose-response relationship for establishing the proof-of-concept. If the proof-of-concept is established, we identify the minimum effective dose and maximum utility dose. Our simulation study shows that compared with some existing designs, the Bayesian quasi-likelihood dose-ranging design is robust and yields competitive performance in establishing proof-of-concept and selecting the minimum effective dose. Moreover, it includes an additional feature for further maximum utility dose selection.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Feng Tian
- Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Ruitao Lin
- Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Li Wang
- Department of Statistics, AbbVie Inc., North Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Ying Yuan
- Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Yan Z, Yang M. Statistical considerations in model-based dose finding for binary responses under model uncertainty. Stat Med 2024; 43:2472-2485. [PMID: 38605556 DOI: 10.1002/sim.10082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2023] [Revised: 02/21/2024] [Accepted: 04/01/2024] [Indexed: 04/13/2024]
Abstract
The statistical methodology for model-based dose finding under model uncertainty has attracted increasing attention in recent years. While the underlying principles are simple and easy to understand, developing and implementing an efficient approach for binary responses can be a formidable task in practice. Motivated by the statistical challenges encountered in a phase II dose finding study, we explore several key design and analysis issues related to the hybrid testing-modeling approaches for binary responses. The issues include candidate model selection and specifications, optimal design and efficient sample size allocations, and, notably, the methods for dose-response testing and estimation. Specifically, we consider a class of generalized linear models suited for the candidate set and establish D-optimal designs for these models. Additionally, we propose using permutation-based tests for dose-response testing to avoid asymptotic normality assumptions typically required for contrast-based tests. We perform trial simulations to enhance our understanding of these issues.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zhiwu Yan
- Biostatistics Department, 89bio, Inc., San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Min Yang
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Zhan T. A class of computational methods to reduce selection bias when designing Phase 3 clinical trials. Stat Med 2024; 43:1993-2006. [PMID: 38442874 DOI: 10.1002/sim.10041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2023] [Revised: 12/06/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 03/07/2024]
Abstract
When designing confirmatory Phase 3 studies, one usually evaluates one or more efficacious and safe treatment option(s) based on data from previous studies. However, several retrospective research articles reported the phenomenon of "diminished treatment effect in Phase 3" based on many case studies. Even under basic assumptions, it was shown that the commonly used estimator could substantially overestimate the efficacy of selected group(s). As alternatives, we propose a class of computational methods to reduce estimation bias and mean squared error with a broader scope of multiple treatment groups and flexibility to accommodate summary results by group as input. Based on simulation studies and a real data example, we provide practical implementation guidance for this class of methods under different scenarios. For more complicated problems, our framework can serve as a starting point with additional layers built in. Proposed methods can also be widely applied to other selection problems.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tianyu Zhan
- Data and Statistical Sciences, AbbVie Inc., North Chicago, Illinois
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Payne RD, Ray P, Thomann MA. Bayesian model averaging of longitudinal dose-response models. J Biopharm Stat 2024; 34:349-365. [PMID: 38105583 DOI: 10.1080/10543406.2023.2292214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2021] [Accepted: 12/02/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023]
Abstract
Selecting a safe and clinically beneficial dose can be difficult in drug development. Dose justification often relies on dose-response modeling where parametric assumptions are made in advance which may not adequately fit the data. This is especially problematic in longitudinal dose-response models, where additional parametric assumptions must be made. This paper proposes a class of longitudinal dose-response models to be used in the Bayesian model averaging paradigm which improve trial operating characteristics while maintaining flexibility a priori. A new longitudinal model for non-monotonic longitudinal profiles is proposed. The benefits and trade-offs of the proposed approach are demonstrated through a case study and simulation.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Richard D Payne
- Global Statistical Sciences, Eli Lilly & Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA
| | - Pallavi Ray
- Global Statistical Sciences, Eli Lilly & Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA
| | - Mitchell A Thomann
- Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc, Ridgefield, CT, USA
| |
Collapse
|
15
|
Talebi S, Pourgharib Shahi MH, Zeraattalab-Motlagh S, Asoudeh F, Ranjbar M, Hemmati A, Talebi A, Wong A, Mohammadi H. The effects of coenzyme Q10 supplementation on biomarkers of exercise-induced muscle damage, physical performance, and oxidative stress: A GRADE-assessed systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Clin Nutr ESPEN 2024; 60:122-134. [PMID: 38479900 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnesp.2024.01.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2023] [Revised: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2024] [Indexed: 04/13/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study aims to elucidate the dose-dependent effect of coenzyme Q10 supplementation (CoQ10) on exercise-induced muscle damage (EIMD), physical performance, and oxidative stress in adults. METHODS A systematic search was conducted through PubMed, Scopus, and ISI Web of Science databases up to August 2023, focusing on randomized control trials (RCTs) that investigated the effects of CoQ10 supplementation on EIMD recovery, physical performance and oxidative stress mitigation in adults. The weighted mean difference (WMD) and 95 % confidence interval (95 %CI) were estimated using the random-effects model. RESULTS The meta-analysis incorporated 28 RCTs, encompassing 830 subjects. CoQ10 supplementation significantly decreased creatine kinase (CK) (WMD: -50.64 IU/L; 95 %CI: -74.75, -26.53, P < 0.001), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (WMD: -52.10 IU/L; 95 %CI: -74.01, -30.19, P < 0.001), myoglobin (Mb) (WMD: -21.77 ng/ml; 95 %CI: -32.59, -10.94, P < 0.001), and Malondialdehyde (MDA) (WMD: -0.73 μmol/l; 95 %CI: -1.26, -0.20, P = 0.007) levels. No significant alteration in total antioxidant capacity was observed post-CoQ10 treatment. Each 100 mg/day increase in CoQ10 supplementation was correlated with a significant reduction in CK (MD: -23.07 IU/L, 95 %CI: -34.27, -11.86), LDH (WMD: -27.21 IU/L, 95 %CI: -28.23, -14.32), Mb (MD: -7.09 ng/ml; 95 %CI: -11.35, -2.83) and MDA (WMD: -0.17 μmol/l, 95 %CI: -0.29, -0.05) serum levels. Using SMD analysis, "very large" effects on LDH and "moderate" effects on CK and MDA were noted, albeit nonsignificant for other outcomes. CONCLUSION CoQ10 supplementation may be effective in reducing biomarkers of EIMD and oxidative stress in adults. Nevertheless, given the preponderance of studies conducted in Asia, the generalizability of these findings warrants caution. Further RCTs, particularly in non-Asian populations with large sample sizes and extended supplementation durations, are essential to substantiate these observations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sepide Talebi
- Students' Scientific Research Center (SSRC), Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Sheida Zeraattalab-Motlagh
- Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Farzaneh Asoudeh
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Research Center for Biochemistry and Nutrition in Metabolic Diseases, Kashan University of Medical Sciences, Kashan, I.R. Iran
| | - Mahsa Ranjbar
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Amirhossein Hemmati
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Talebi
- Clinical Pharmacy Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Alexei Wong
- Department of Health and Human Performance, Marymount University, Arlington, VA, USA
| | - Hamed Mohammadi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Sports Medicine Research Center, Neuroscience Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Hanzel J, Ma C, Jairath V. Upadacitinib for the treatment of moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease. Immunotherapy 2024; 16:345-357. [PMID: 38362641 DOI: 10.2217/imt-2023-0293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Despite an increasing number of therapies for Crohn's disease (CD), half of patients do not respond to initial treatment or lose response over time, highlighting the need for novel therapies. Inhibition of Janus kinases (JAKs) has emerged as an important therapeutic target for CD. Upadacitinib is an orally administered selective JAK1 inhibitor, which is effective for the induction and maintenance of remission in moderately-to-severely active CD, including in patients with prior failure of biological therapy. Nonselective JAK inhibition has been associated with thromboembolic disease, cardiovascular events and malignancy in patients older than 50 years with rheumatoid arthritis and pre-existing cardiovascular risk factors, which should be considered upon prescription. Upadacitinib is the first and currently only oral advanced therapy for CD.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jurij Hanzel
- Department of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, 1000, Slovenia
- Alimentiv Inc, London, Ontario, N6A 5B6, Canada
| | - Christopher Ma
- Alimentiv Inc, London, Ontario, N6A 5B6, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Departments of Medicine & Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, T2N 4Z6, Canada
| | - Vipul Jairath
- Alimentiv Inc, London, Ontario, N6A 5B6, Canada
- Schulich School of Medicine & Dentistry, Western University, London, Ontario, N6A 5C1, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Western University, London, Ontario, N6G 2M1, Canada
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Zhou Y, Sloan A, Menon S, Wang L. Combination MCP-Mod for two-drug combination dose-ranging studies. J Biopharm Stat 2024:1-14. [PMID: 38335371 DOI: 10.1080/10543406.2024.2311254] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2022] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
Combination therapies with multiple mechanisms of action can offer improved efficacy and/or safety profiles when compared to a single therapy with one mechanism of action. Consequently, the number of combination therapy studies have increased multi-fold, both in oncology and non-oncology indications. However, identifying the optimal doses of each drug in a combination therapy can require a large sample size and prolong study timelines, especially when full factorial designs are used. In this paper, we extend the MCP-Mod design of Bretz, Pinheiro, and Branson to a three-dimensional space to model the dose-response surface of a two-drug combination under the framework of Combination (Comb) MCP-Mod. The resulting model yields a set of dosages for each drug in the combination that elicits the target response so that an optimal dose for the combination can be selected for pivotal studies. We construct three-dimensional dose-response models for the combination and formulate the contrast test statistic to select the best model, which can then be used to select the optimal dose. Guidance to calculate power and sample size calculations are provided to assist study design. Simulation studies show that Comb MCP-Mod performs as well as the conventional multiple comparisons approach in controlling the family-wise error rate at the desired alpha level. However, Comb MCP-Mod is more powerful than the classical multiple comparisons approach in detecting dose-response relationships when treatment is non-null. The probability of correctly identifying the underlying dose-response relationship is generally higher when using Comb MCP-Mod than when using the multiple comparisons approach.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yifan Zhou
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer Inc, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Abigail Sloan
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer Inc, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Sandeep Menon
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer Inc, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Ling Wang
- Department of Biostatistics, Alkermes, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA
| |
Collapse
|
18
|
Zhang H, Rizk DV, Perkovic V, Maes B, Kashihara N, Rovin B, Trimarchi H, Sprangers B, Meier M, Kollins D, Papachristofi O, Milojevic J, Junge G, Nidamarthy PK, Charney A, Barratt J. Results of a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled Phase 2 study propose iptacopan as an alternative complement pathway inhibitor for IgA nephropathy. Kidney Int 2024; 105:189-199. [PMID: 37914086 DOI: 10.1016/j.kint.2023.09.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2022] [Revised: 08/30/2023] [Accepted: 09/27/2023] [Indexed: 11/03/2023]
Abstract
Targeting the alternative complement pathway is an attractive therapeutic strategy given its role in the pathogenesis of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). Iptacopan (LNP023) is an oral, proximal alternative complement inhibitor that specifically binds to Factor B. Our randomized, double-blind, parallel-group adaptive Phase 2 study (NCT03373461) enrolled patients with biopsy-confirmed IgAN (within previous three years) with estimated glomerular filtration rates of 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and over and urine protein 0.75 g/24 hours and over on stable doses of renin angiotensin system inhibitors. Patients were randomized to four iptacopan doses (10, 50, 100, or 200 mg bid) or placebo for either a three-month (Part 1; 46 patients) or a six-month (Part 2; 66 patients) treatment period. The primary analysis evaluated the dose-response relationship of iptacopan versus placebo on 24-hour urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) at three months. Other efficacy, safety and biomarker parameters were assessed. Baseline characteristics were generally well-balanced across treatment arms. There was a statistically significant dose-response effect, with 23% reduction in UPCR achieved with iptacopan 200 mg bid (80% confidence interval 8-34%) at three months. UPCR decreased further through six months in iptacopan 100 and 200 mg arms (from a mean of 1.3 g/g at baseline to 0.8 g/g at six months in the 200 mg arm). A sustained reduction in complement biomarker levels including plasma Bb, serum Wieslab, and urinary C5b-9 was observed. Iptacopan was well-tolerated, with no reports of deaths, treatment-related serious adverse events or bacterial infections, and led to strong inhibition of alternative complement pathway activity and persistent proteinuria reduction in patients with IgAN. Thus, our findings support further evaluation of iptacopan in the ongoing Phase 3 trial (APPLAUSE-IgAN; NCT04578834).
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hong Zhang
- Renal Division, Peking University First Hospital, Peking University Institute of Nephrology, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
| | - Dana V Rizk
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
| | - Vlado Perkovic
- University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Bart Maes
- Department of Nephrology, AZ Delta, Roeselare, Belgium
| | - Naoki Kashihara
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Kawasaki Medical School, Kurashiki, Japan
| | - Brad Rovin
- Division of Nephrology, the Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Hernán Trimarchi
- Nephrology Service and Kidney Transplantation Unit, Hospital Británico de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Ben Sprangers
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute for Medical Research, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; Department of Nephrology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | | | | | | | - Julie Milojevic
- Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Guido Junge
- Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research, Basel, Switzerland
| | | | - Alan Charney
- Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, New Jersey, USA
| | - Jonathan Barratt
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; The John Walls Renal Unit, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| |
Collapse
|
19
|
Papachristofi O, Bornkamp B, Wright M, Friede T. Interim decision making in seamless trial designs: An application in an adaptive dose-finding study in a rare kidney disease. Pharm Stat 2024; 23:20-30. [PMID: 37691560 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2335] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2023] [Revised: 06/30/2023] [Accepted: 08/03/2023] [Indexed: 09/12/2023]
Abstract
Adaptive seamless trial designs, combining the learning and confirming cycles of drug development in a single trial, have gained popularity in recent years. Adaptations may include dose selection, sample size re-estimation and enrichment of the study population. Despite methodological advances and recognition of the potential efficiency gains such designs offer, their implementation, including how to enable efficient decision making on the adaptations in interim analyzes, remains a key challenge in their adoption. This manuscript uses a case study of an adaptive seamless proof-of-concept (Phase 2a)/dose-finding (Phase 2b) to showcase potential adaptive features that can be implemented in trial designs at earlier development stages and the role of simulations in assessing the design operating characteristics and specifying the decision rules for the adaptations. It further outlines the elements needed to support successful interim analysis decision making on the adaptations while safeguarding study integrity, including the role of different stakeholders, interactive simulation-based tools to facilitate decision making and operational aspects requiring preplanning. The benefits of the adaptive Phase 2a/2b design chosen compared to following the traditional two separate studies (2a and 2b) paradigm are discussed. With careful planning and appreciation of their complexity and components needed for their implementation, seamless adaptive designs have the potential to yield significant savings both in terms of time and resources.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Björn Bornkamp
- Clinical Development and Analytics, Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Melanie Wright
- Clinical Development and Analytics, Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Tim Friede
- Department of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| |
Collapse
|
20
|
Chen Y, Lam KF, Xu J. Sample size calculation for multi-arm parallel design with restricted mean survival time. Stat Methods Med Res 2024; 33:130-147. [PMID: 38093411 DOI: 10.1177/09622802231219852] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/13/2024]
Abstract
With the recent advances in oncology treatment, restricted mean survival time (RMST) is increasingly being used to replace the routine approach based on hazard ratios in randomized controlled trials for time-to-event outcomes. While RMST has been widely applied in single-arm and two-arm designs, challenges still exist in comparing RMST in multi-arm trials with three or more groups. In particular, it is unclear in the literature how to compare more than one intervention simultaneously or perform multiple testing based on RMST, and sample size determination is a major obstacle to its penetration to practice. In this paper, we propose a novel method of designing multi-arm clinical trials with right-censored survival endpoint based on RMST that can be applied in both phase II/III settings using a global χ 2 test as well as a modeling-based multiple comparison procedure. The framework provides a closed-form sample size formula built upon a multi-arm global test and a sample size determination procedure based on multiple-comparison in the phase II dose-finding study. The proposed method enjoys strong robustness and flexibility as it requires less a priori set-up than conventional work, and obtains a smaller sample size while achieving the target power. In the assessment of sample size, we also incorporate practical considerations, including the presence of non-proportional hazards and staggered patient entry. We evaluate the validity of our method through simulation studies under various scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate the accuracy and stability of our method by implementing it in the design of two real clinical trial examples.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yaxian Chen
- Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Kwok Fai Lam
- Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
- Centre for Quantitative Medicine, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore
| | - Jiajun Xu
- Janssen Research & Development, China
| |
Collapse
|
21
|
Sharma M, Molina CA, Toyoda K, Bereczki D, Bangdiwala SI, Kasner SE, Lutsep HL, Tsivgoulis G, Ntaios G, Czlonkowska A, Shuaib A, Amarenco P, Endres M, Yoon BW, Tanne D, Toni D, Yperzeele L, von Weitzel-Mudersbach P, Sampaio Silva G, Avezum A, Dawson J, Strbian D, Tatlisumak T, Eckstein J, Ameriso SF, Weber JR, Sandset EC, Goar Pogosova N, Lavados PM, Arauz A, Gailani D, Diener HC, Bernstein RA, Cordonnier C, Kahl A, Abelian G, Donovan M, Pachai C, Li D, Hankey GJ. Safety and efficacy of factor XIa inhibition with milvexian for secondary stroke prevention (AXIOMATIC-SSP): a phase 2, international, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-finding trial. Lancet Neurol 2024; 23:46-59. [PMID: 38101902 PMCID: PMC10822143 DOI: 10.1016/s1474-4422(23)00403-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2023] [Revised: 10/02/2023] [Accepted: 10/06/2023] [Indexed: 12/17/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND People with factor XI deficiency have lower rates of ischaemic stroke than the general population and infrequent spontaneous bleeding, suggesting that factor XI has a more important role in thrombosis than in haemostasis. Milvexian, an oral small-molecule inhibitor of activated factor XI, added to standard antiplatelet therapy, might reduce the risk of non-cardioembolic ischaemic stroke without increasing the risk of bleeding. We aimed to estimate the dose-response of milvexian for recurrent ischaemic cerebral events and major bleeding in patients with recent ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA). METHODS AXIOMATIC-SSP was a phase 2, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-finding trial done at 367 hospitals in 27 countries. Eligible participants aged 40 years or older, with acute (<48 h) ischaemic stroke or high-risk TIA, were randomly assigned by a web-based interactive response system in a 1:1:1:1:1:2 ratio to receive one of five doses of milvexian (25 mg once daily, 25 mg twice daily, 50 mg twice daily, 100 mg twice daily, or 200 mg twice daily) or matching placebo twice daily for 90 days. All participants received clopidogrel 75 mg daily for the first 21 days and aspirin 100 mg daily for the first 90 days. Investigators, site staff, and participants were masked to treatment assignment. The primary efficacy endpoint was the composite of ischaemic stroke or incident covert brain infarct on MRI at 90 days, assessed in all participants allocated to treatment who completed a follow-up MRI brain scan, and the primary analysis assessed the dose-response relationship with Multiple Comparison Procedure-Modelling (MCP-MOD). The main safety outcome was major bleeding at 90 days, assessed in all participants who received at least one dose of the study drug. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03766581) and the EU Clinical Trials Register (2017-005029-19). FINDINGS Between Jan 27, 2019, and Dec 24, 2021, 2366 participants were randomly allocated to placebo (n=691); milvexian 25 mg once daily (n=328); or twice-daily doses of milvexian 25 mg (n=318), 50 mg (n=328), 100 mg (n=310), or 200 mg (n=351). The median age of participants was 71 (IQR 62-77) years and 859 (36%) were female. At 90 days, the estimates of the percentage of participants with either symptomatic ischaemic stroke or covert brain infarcts were 16·8 (90·2% CI 14·5-19·1) for placebo, 16·7 (14·8-18·6) for 25 mg milvexian once daily, 16·6 (14·8-18·3) for 25 mg twice daily, 15·6 (13·9-17·5) for 50 mg twice daily, 15·4 (13·4-17·6) for 100 mg twice daily, and 15·3 (12·8-19·7) for 200 mg twice daily. No significant dose-response was observed among the five milvexian doses for the primary composite efficacy outcome. Model-based estimates of the relative risk with milvexian compared with placebo were 0·99 (90·2% CI 0·91-1·05) for 25 mg once daily, 0·99 (0·87-1·11) for 25 mg twice daily, 0·93 (0·78-1·11) for 50 mg twice daily, 0·92 (0·75-1·13) for 100 mg twice daily, and 0·91 (0·72-1·26) for 200 mg twice daily. No apparent dose-response was observed for major bleeding (four [1%] of 682 participants with placebo, two [1%] of 325 with milvexian 25 mg once daily, two [1%] of 313 with 25 mg twice daily, five [2%] of 325 with 50 mg twice daily, five [2%] of 306 with 100 mg twice daily, and five [1%] of 344 with 200 mg twice daily). Five treatment-emergent deaths occurred, four of which were considered unrelated to the study drug by the investigator. INTERPRETATION Factor XIa inhibition with milvexian, added to dual antiplatelet therapy, did not substantially reduce the composite outcome of symptomatic ischaemic stroke or covert brain infarction and did not meaningfully increase the risk of major bleeding. Findings from our study have informed the design of a phase 3 trial of milvexian for the prevention of ischaemic stroke in patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA. FUNDING Bristol Myers Squibb and Janssen Research & Development.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mukul Sharma
- Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
| | | | - Kazunori Toyoda
- National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Osaka, Japan
| | | | - Shrikant I Bangdiwala
- Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
| | - Scott E Kasner
- Department of Neurology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Helmi L Lutsep
- Department of Neurology, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR, USA
| | - Georgios Tsivgoulis
- Second Department of Neurology, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Attikon University Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - George Ntaios
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece
| | - Anna Czlonkowska
- 2nd Department of Neurology, Institute of Psychiatry and Neurology, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Ashfaq Shuaib
- Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine, University of Alberta Hospital, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | - Pierre Amarenco
- Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; Department of Neurology and Stroke Center, University of Paris, Bichat Hospital, Paris, France
| | - Matthias Endres
- Department of Neurology and Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Byung-Woo Yoon
- Uijeongbu Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University, Gyeonggi-do, South Korea
| | - David Tanne
- Stroke and Cognition Institute, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Technion, Israel
| | - Danilo Toni
- Emergency Department Stroke Unit, Department of Human Neurosciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
| | - Laetitia Yperzeele
- Stroke Unit and Neurovascular Center Antwerp, Department of Neurology, Antwerp University Hospital, Antwerp (Edegem), Belgium
| | | | - Gisele Sampaio Silva
- Universidade Federal de São Paulo/UNIFESP and Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Alvaro Avezum
- Centro Internacional de Pesquisa, Hospital Alemão Oswaldo Cruz, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Jesse Dawson
- School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, College of Medical, Veterinary & Life Sciences, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK
| | - Daniel Strbian
- Department of Neurology, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Turgut Tatlisumak
- Department of Clinical Neuroscience/Neurology, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg and Department of Neurology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Jens Eckstein
- Department of Internal Medicine and Department of Digitalization & ICT, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Sebastián F Ameriso
- Servicio de Neurología Vascular, Departamento de Neurología, FLENI, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Joerg R Weber
- Department of Neurology, Klinikum Klagenfurt, Austria
| | - Else Charlotte Sandset
- Department of Neurology, Oslo University Hospital and The Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation, Oslo, Norway
| | - Nana Goar Pogosova
- National Medical Research Center of Cardiology after E Chazov, Moscow, Russia
| | - Pablo M Lavados
- Departamento de Neurología y Psiquiatría, Unidad de Investigación y Ensayos Clínicos, Clínica Alemana, Universidad del Desarrollo, Santiago, Chile
| | - Antonio Arauz
- Instituto Nacional de Neurología y Neurocirugía Manuel Velasco Suárez, México City, México
| | - David Gailani
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Hans-Christoph Diener
- Department of Neuroepidemiology, Institute for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology (IMIBE), University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Richard A Bernstein
- Davee Department of Neurology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Charlotte Cordonnier
- University of Lille, Lille, Inserm, CHU Lille, U1172 - LiINCog - Lille Neuroscience & Cognition, F-59000, Lille, France
| | - Anja Kahl
- Bristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA
| | | | | | | | - Danshi Li
- Bristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA
| | - Graeme J Hankey
- Medical School, Centre for Neuromuscular and Neurological Disorders, The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia; Perron Institute for Neurological and Translational Science, Perth, Australia
| |
Collapse
|
22
|
Verbeeck J, Geroldinger M, Thiel K, Hooker AC, Ueckert S, Karlsson M, Bathke AC, Bauer JW, Molenberghs G, Zimmermann G. How to analyze continuous and discrete repeated measures in small-sample cross-over trials? Biometrics 2023; 79:3998-4011. [PMID: 37587671 DOI: 10.1111/biom.13920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 08/18/2023]
Abstract
To optimize the use of data from a small number of subjects in rare disease trials, an at first sight advantageous design is the repeated measures cross-over design. However, it is unclear how these within-treatment period and within-subject clustered data are best analyzed in small-sample trials. In a real-data simulation study based upon a recent epidermolysis bullosa simplex trial using this design, we compare non-parametric marginal models, generalized pairwise comparison models, GEE-type models and parametric model averaging for both repeated binary and count data. The recommendation of which methodology to use in rare disease trials with a repeated measures cross-over design depends on the type of outcome and the number of time points the treatment has an effect on. The non-parametric marginal model testing the treatment-time-interaction effect is suitable for detecting between group differences in the shapes of the longitudinal profiles. For binary outcomes with the treatment effect on a single time point, the parametric model averaging method is recommended, while in the other cases the unmatched generalized pairwise comparison methodology is recommended. Both provide an easily interpretable effect size measure, and do not require exclusion of periods or subjects due to incompleteness.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Johan Verbeeck
- Data Science Institute (DSI), Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium
| | - Martin Geroldinger
- Team Biostatistics and Big Medical Data, Intelligent Data Analytics (IDA) Lab Salzburg, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
- Research and Innovation Management, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria
| | - Konstantin Thiel
- Team Biostatistics and Big Medical Data, Intelligent Data Analytics (IDA) Lab Salzburg, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
- Research and Innovation Management, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria
| | | | | | - Mats Karlsson
- Department of Pharmacy, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Arne Cornelius Bathke
- Intelligent Data Analytics (IDA) Lab Salzburg, Department of Artificial Intelligence and Human Interfaces, University of Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria
| | - Johann Wolfgang Bauer
- Department of Dermatology and Allergology, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
| | - Geert Molenberghs
- Data Science Institute (DSI), Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium
- Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), KULeuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Georg Zimmermann
- Team Biostatistics and Big Medical Data, Intelligent Data Analytics (IDA) Lab Salzburg, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
- Research and Innovation Management, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria
| |
Collapse
|
23
|
Guo B, Yuan Y. DROID: dose-ranging approach to optimizing dose in oncology drug development. Biometrics 2023; 79:2907-2919. [PMID: 36807110 DOI: 10.1111/biom.13840] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2022] [Accepted: 01/26/2023] [Indexed: 02/22/2023]
Abstract
In the era of targeted therapy, there has been increasing concern about the development of oncology drugs based on the "more is better" paradigm, developed decades ago for chemotherapy. Recently, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) initiated Project Optimus to reform the dose optimization and dose selection paradigm in oncology drug development. To accommodate this paradigm shifting, we propose a dose-ranging approach to optimizing dose (DROID) for oncology trials with targeted drugs. DROID leverages the well-established dose-ranging study framework, which has been routinely used to develop non-oncology drugs for decades, and bridges it with established oncology dose-finding designs to optimize the dose of oncology drugs. DROID consists of two seamlessly connected stages. In the first stage, patients are sequentially enrolled and adaptively assigned to investigational doses to establish the therapeutic dose range (TDR), defined as the range of doses with acceptable toxicity and efficacy profiles, and the recommended phase 2 dose set (RP2S). In the second stage, patients are randomized to the doses in RP2S to assess the dose-response relationship and identify the optimal dose. The simulation study shows that DROID substantially outperforms the conventional approach, providing a new paradigm to efficiently optimize the dose of targeted oncology drugs. DROID aligns with the approach of a randomized, parallel dose-response trial design recommended by the FDA in the Guidance on Optimizing the Dosage of Human Prescription Drugs and Biological Products for the Treatment of Oncologic Diseases.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Beibei Guo
- Department of Experimental Statistics, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA
| | - Ying Yuan
- Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA
| |
Collapse
|
24
|
Liu F, Zhao Q, Rodgers AJ, Mehrotra DV. Calculation of Phase 2 dose-finding study sample size for reliable Phase 3 dose selection. Pharm Stat 2023; 22:1076-1088. [PMID: 37550963 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2330] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2022] [Revised: 07/09/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 08/09/2023]
Abstract
Sample sizes of Phase 2 dose-finding studies, usually determined based on a power requirement to detect a significant dose-response relationship, will generally not provide adequate precision for Phase 3 target dose selection. We propose to calculate the sample size of a dose-finding study based on the probability of successfully identifying the target dose within an acceptable range (e.g., 80%-120% of the target) using the multiple comparison and modeling procedure (MCP-Mod). With the proposed approach, different design options for the Phase 2 dose-finding study can also be compared. Due to inherent uncertainty around an assumed true dose-response relationship, sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of the sample size calculations to deviations from modeling assumptions are recommended. Planning for a hypothetical Phase 2 dose-finding study is used to illustrate the main points. Codes for the proposed approach is available at https://github.com/happysundae/posMCPMod.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Fang Liu
- Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Qing Zhao
- Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Anthony J Rodgers
- Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Devan V Mehrotra
- Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, New Jersey, USA
| |
Collapse
|
25
|
Schürmeyer L, Schorning K, Rahnenführer J. Designs for the simultaneous inference of concentration-response curves. BMC Bioinformatics 2023; 24:393. [PMID: 37858091 PMCID: PMC10588042 DOI: 10.1186/s12859-023-05526-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Accepted: 10/09/2023] [Indexed: 10/21/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND An important problem in toxicology in the context of gene expression data is the simultaneous inference of a large number of concentration-response relationships. The quality of the inference substantially depends on the choice of design of the experiments, in particular, on the set of different concentrations, at which observations are taken for the different genes under consideration. As this set has to be the same for all genes, the efficient planning of such experiments is very challenging. We address this problem by determining efficient designs for the simultaneous inference of a large number of concentration-response models. For that purpose, we both construct a D-optimality criterion for simultaneous inference and a K-means procedure which clusters the support points of the locally D-optimal designs of the individual models. RESULTS We show that a planning of experiments that addresses the simultaneous inference of a large number of concentration-response relationships yields a substantially more accurate statistical analysis. In particular, we compare the performance of the constructed designs to the ones of other commonly used designs in terms of D-efficiencies and in terms of the quality of the resulting model fits using a real data example dealing with valproic acid. For the quality comparison we perform an extensive simulation study. CONCLUSIONS The design maximizing the D-optimality criterion for simultaneous inference improves the inference of the different concentration-response relationships substantially. The design based on the K-means procedure also performs well, whereas a log-equidistant design, which was also included in the analysis, performs poorly in terms of the quality of the simultaneous inference. Based on our findings, the D-optimal design for simultaneous inference should be used for upcoming analyses dealing with high-dimensional gene expression data.
Collapse
|
26
|
Ghavami A, Banpouri S, Ziaei R, Talebi S, Vajdi M, Nattagh-Eshtivani E, Barghchi H, Mohammadi H, Askari G. Effect of soluble fiber on blood pressure in adults: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Nutr J 2023; 22:51. [PMID: 37833676 PMCID: PMC10571351 DOI: 10.1186/s12937-023-00879-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2023] [Accepted: 09/30/2023] [Indexed: 10/15/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Pervious epidemiologic evidence indicates that soluble fiber is protective against hypertention: however, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have presented varying results. In the present study, we aimed to conduct a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis to summarize published RCTs which assess the effect of soluble fiber supplementation on systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP). METHODS Scopus, PubMed, and ISI Web of Sciences were searched to identify relevant studies up to Aug 2022. We estimated the change in blood pressure for each 5 g/d increment in soluble fiber supplementation in each trial and then calculated the weighted mean difference (WMD) and 95%CI using a random-effects model. We estimated dose-dependent effects using a dose-response meta-analysis of differences in means. The risk of bias for study was assessed using the Cochrane tool. Publication bias was evaluated via funnel plot and Begg's test and Egger's test. RESULTS Eighty-three eligible studies with total sample size of 5,985 participants were included in the meta-analysis. Soluble fiber supplementation significantly decreased SBP (WMD: -1.36 mmHg, 95% CI: -2.13 to -0.60, P < 0.001; I2 = 47.1%, P < 0.001) and DBP (WMD: -0.72 mmHg, 95% CI: -1.26 to -0.18, P = 0.009; I2 = 45.4%, P < 0.001). Each 5 g/d increment in soluble fiber supplementation had a significant reduction in SBP (WMD: -0.54 mmHg; 95%CI: -0.86, -0.22, P = 0.001; I2 = 52.2, Phet < 0.001) and DBP (WMD: -0.28 mmHg; 95%CI: -0.49, -0.80, P = 0.007; I2 = 43.1%, Phet < 0.001). The levels of SBP decreased proportionally with the increase in soluble fiber supplementation up to 20 g/d (MD20g/d: -1.79 mmHg, 95%CI: -2.86, -0.71). CONCLUSION Current evidence indicated the beneficial effect of soluble fiber supplementation on blood pressure. Our findings suggest that soluble fiber supplementation could contribute to the management of hypertension and the reduction of cardiovascular disease risk.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Abed Ghavami
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Sara Banpouri
- Nutrition and Metabolic Diseases Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Rahele Ziaei
- Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Sepide Talebi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mahdi Vajdi
- Student Research Committee, Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Elyas Nattagh-Eshtivani
- Department of Nutrition, Food Sciences and Clinical Biochemistry, School of Medicine, Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Gonabad University of Medical Science, Gonabad, Iran
| | - Hanieh Barghchi
- Student Research Committee, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Hamed Mohammadi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Gholamreza Askari
- Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
| |
Collapse
|
27
|
Kappenberg F, Duda JC, Schürmeyer L, Gül O, Brecklinghaus T, Hengstler JG, Schorning K, Rahnenführer J. Guidance for statistical design and analysis of toxicological dose-response experiments, based on a comprehensive literature review. Arch Toxicol 2023; 97:2741-2761. [PMID: 37572131 PMCID: PMC10474994 DOI: 10.1007/s00204-023-03561-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 08/14/2023]
Abstract
The analysis of dose-response, concentration-response, and time-response relationships is a central component of toxicological research. A major decision with respect to the statistical analysis is whether to consider only the actually measured concentrations or to assume an underlying (parametric) model that allows extrapolation. Recent research suggests the application of modelling approaches for various types of toxicological assays. However, there is a discrepancy between the state of the art in statistical methodological research and published analyses in the toxicological literature. The extent of this gap is quantified in this work using an extensive literature review that considered all dose-response analyses published in three major toxicological journals in 2021. The aspects of the review include biological considerations (type of assay and of exposure), statistical design considerations (number of measured conditions, design, and sample sizes), and statistical analysis considerations (display, analysis goal, statistical testing or modelling method, and alert concentration). Based on the results of this review and the critical assessment of three selected issues in the context of statistical research, concrete guidance for planning, execution, and analysis of dose-response studies from a statistical viewpoint is proposed.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Franziska Kappenberg
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany.
| | - Julia C Duda
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Leonie Schürmeyer
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Onur Gül
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Tim Brecklinghaus
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Jan G Hengstler
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Kirsten Schorning
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Jörg Rahnenführer
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| |
Collapse
|
28
|
Burden AD, Bissonnette R, Navarini AA, Murakami M, Morita A, Haeufel T, Ye B, Baehner F, Terui T. Spesolimab Efficacy and Safety in Patients with Moderate-to-Severe Palmoplantar Pustulosis: A Multicentre, Double-Blind, Randomised, Placebo-Controlled, Phase IIb, Dose-Finding Study. Dermatol Ther (Heidelb) 2023; 13:2279-2297. [PMID: 37731086 PMCID: PMC10539230 DOI: 10.1007/s13555-023-01002-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2023] [Accepted: 08/02/2023] [Indexed: 09/22/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION We evaluated the anti-interleukin-36 receptor antibody spesolimab in patients with moderate-to-severe palmoplantar pustulosis (PPP). METHODS This phase IIb trial comprised a loading dose period to week (W) 4, then maintenance dosing to W52. Patients were randomised 2:1:1:1:2 to subcutaneous spesolimab 3000 mg to W4 then 600 mg every 4 weeks (q4w), spesolimab 3000 mg to W4 then 300 mg q4w, spesolimab 1500 mg to W4 then 600 mg q4w, spesolimab 1500 mg to W4, 300 mg q4w to W16 then 300 mg every 8 weeks (q8w), or placebo switching to spesolimab 600 mg q4w at W16. The primary efficacy endpoint was percentage change from baseline in Palmoplantar Pustular Area and Severity Index (PPP ASI) at W16. Secondary endpoints included a Palmoplantar Pustular Physician's Global Assessment (PPP PGA) score of 0/1. Safety (including adverse events [AEs], local tolerability) was assessed. RESULTS 152 patients were treated. The primary endpoint was not met; mean differences for spesolimab versus placebo ranged from - 14.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: - 31.5%, 2.2%) to - 5.3% (95% CI: - 19.1%, 8.6%); none reached significance. At W16, 23 (21.1%) and two (4.7%) patients in the combined spesolimab and placebo groups, respectively, achieved PPP PGA 0/1 (mean difference 16.4%; 95% CI: 3.8%, 25.7%), increasing to 59 (54.1%; combined spesolimab) and 12 (27.9%; placebo switch to spesolimab) patients at W52. Non-Asian patients had significant improvements in the primary endpoint (mean difference - 17.7%; nominal P = 0.0394) and PPP PGA 0/1 at W16 with spesolimab versus placebo. Rates of AEs and AE-related discontinuations were similar for spesolimab and placebo. Local tolerability events and injection-site reactions were more frequent with spesolimab than placebo. CONCLUSION The primary objective to demonstrate a non-flat dose-response relationship and proof-of-concept was not achieved; improvements with spesolimab occurred in secondary endpoints and in non-Asian patients, indicating potential modest benefits. Spesolimab was generally well tolerated (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04015518).
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- A David Burden
- School of Infection and Immunity, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
| | | | | | - Masamoto Murakami
- Department of Dermatology, Ehime University Graduate School of Medicine, Ehime, Japan
| | - Akimichi Morita
- Department of Geriatric and Environmental Dermatology, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Thomas Haeufel
- Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Ingelheim, Germany
| | - Binqi Ye
- Boehringer Ingelheim (China) Investment Corporation Limited, Shanghai, People's Republic of China
| | - Frank Baehner
- Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Ingelheim, Germany
| | - Tadashi Terui
- Division of Cutaneous Science, Department of Dermatology, Nihon University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
29
|
Jiang L, Yuan Y. Seamless phase II/III design: a useful strategy to reduce the sample size for dose optimization. J Natl Cancer Inst 2023; 115:1092-1098. [PMID: 37243720 PMCID: PMC10483325 DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djad103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2022] [Revised: 05/02/2023] [Accepted: 05/24/2023] [Indexed: 05/29/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The traditional more-is-better dose selection paradigm, originally developed for cytotoxic chemotherapeutics, can be problematic when applied to the development of novel molecularly targeted agents. Recognizing this issue, the US Food and Drug Administration initiated Project Optimus to reform the dose optimization and selection paradigm in oncology drug development, emphasizing the need for greater attention to benefit-risk considerations. METHODS We identify different types of phase II/III dose-optimization designs, classified according to trial objectives and endpoint types. Through computer simulations, we examine their operating characteristics and discuss the relevant statistical and design considerations for effective dose optimization. RESULTS Phase II/III dose-optimization designs are capable of controlling family-wise type I error rates and achieving appropriate statistical power with substantially smaller sample sizes than the conventional approach while also reducing the number of patients who experience toxicity. Depending on the design and scenario, the sample size savings range from 16.6% to 27.3%, with a mean savings of 22.1%. CONCLUSIONS Phase II/III dose-optimization designs offer an efficient way to reduce sample sizes for dose optimization and accelerate the development of targeted agents. However, because of interim dose selection, the phase II/III dose-optimization design presents logistical and operational challenges and requires careful planning and implementation to ensure trial integrity.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Liyun Jiang
- Research Center of Biostatistics and Computational Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Ying Yuan
- Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| |
Collapse
|
30
|
Möllenhoff K, Schorning K, Kappenberg F. Identifying alert concentrations using a model-based bootstrap approach. Biometrics 2023; 79:2076-2088. [PMID: 36385693 DOI: 10.1111/biom.13799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2022] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
The determination of alert concentrations, where a pre-specified threshold of the response variable is exceeded, is an important goal of concentration-response studies. The traditional approach is based on investigating the measured concentrations and attaining statistical significance of the alert concentration by using a multiple t-test procedure. In this paper, we propose a new model-based method to identify alert concentrations, based on fitting a concentration-response curve and constructing a simultaneous confidence band for the difference of the response of a concentration compared to the control. In order to obtain these confidence bands, we use a bootstrap approach which can be applied to any functional form of the concentration-response curve. This particularly offers the possibility to investigate also those situations where the concentration-response relationship is not monotone and, moreover, to detect alerts at concentrations which were not measured during the study, providing a highly flexible framework for the problem at hand.
Collapse
|
31
|
Diniz MA, Gallardo DI, Magalhães TM. Improved inference for MCP-Mod approach using time-to-event endpoints with small sample sizes. Pharm Stat 2023; 22:760-772. [PMID: 37119000 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2303] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2022] [Revised: 03/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/30/2023] [Indexed: 04/30/2023]
Abstract
The Multiple Comparison Procedures with Modeling Techniques (MCP-Mod) framework has been recently approved by the U.S. Food, Administration, and European Medicines Agency as fit-for-purpose for phase II studies. Nonetheless, this approach relies on the asymptotic properties of Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimators, which might not be reasonable for small sample sizes. In this paper, we derived improved ML estimators and correction for their covariance matrices in the censored Weibull regression model based on the corrective and preventive approaches. We performed two simulation studies to evaluate ML and improved ML estimators with their covariance matrices in (i) a regression framework (ii) the Multiple Comparison Procedures with Modeling Techniques framework. We have shown that improved ML estimators are less biased than ML estimators yielding Wald-type statistics that controls type I error without loss of power in both frameworks. Therefore, we recommend the use of improved ML estimators in the MCP-Mod approach to control type I error at nominal value for sample sizes ranging from 5 to 25 subjects per dose.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Márcio A Diniz
- Biostatistics Research Center, Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Center, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, California, Los Angeles, USA
| | - Diego I Gallardo
- Department of Mathematics, Engineering School, University of Atacama, Copiapó, Chile
| | - Tiago M Magalhães
- Department of Statistics, Institute of Exact Sciences, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Brazil
| |
Collapse
|
32
|
Renzetti S, Gennings C, Calza S. A weighted quantile sum regression with penalized weights and two indices. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1151821. [PMID: 37533534 PMCID: PMC10392701 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1151821] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2023] [Accepted: 06/02/2023] [Indexed: 08/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background New statistical methodologies were developed in the last decade to face the challenges of estimating the effects of exposure to multiple chemicals. Weighted Quantile Sum (WQS) regression is a recent statistical method that allows estimating a mixture effect associated with a specific health effect and identifying the components that characterize the mixture effect. Objectives In this study, we propose an extension of WQS regression that estimates two mixture effects of chemicals on a health outcome in the same model through the inclusion of two indices, one in the positive direction and one in the negative direction, with the introduction of a penalization term. Methods To evaluate the performance of this new model we performed both a simulation study and a real case study where we assessed the effects of nutrients on obesity among adults using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data. Results The method showed good performance in estimating both the regression parameter and the weights associated with the single elements when the penalized term was set equal to the magnitude of the Akaike information criterion of the unpenalized WQS regression. The two indices further helped to give a better estimate of the parameters [Positive direction Median Error (PME): 0.022; Negative direction Median Error (NME): -0.044] compared to the standard WQS without the penalization term (PME: -0.227; NME: 0.215). In the case study, WQS with two indices was able to find a significant effect of nutrients on obesity in both directions identifying sodium and magnesium as the main actors in the positive and negative association, respectively. Discussion Through this work, we introduced an extension of WQS regression that improved the accuracy of the parameter estimates when considering a mixture of elements that can have both a protective and a harmful effect on the outcome; and the advantage of adding a penalization term when estimating the weights.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Stefano Renzetti
- Department of Medical and Surgical Specialties, Radiological Sciences and Public Health, Università degli Studi di Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Chris Gennings
- Department of Environmental Medicine and Public Health, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Stefano Calza
- Department of Molecular and Translational Medicine, Università degli Studi di Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
33
|
Fayette L, Leroux R, Mentré F, Seurat J. Robust and Adaptive Two-stage Designs in Nonlinear Mixed Effect Models. AAPS J 2023; 25:71. [PMID: 37466809 DOI: 10.1208/s12248-023-00810-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2023] [Accepted: 04/06/2023] [Indexed: 07/20/2023] Open
Abstract
To get informative studies for nonlinear mixed effect models (NLMEM), design optimization can be performed based on Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) using the D-criterion. Its computation requires knowledge about models and parameters, which are often prior guesses. Thus, adaptive designs composed of several stages may be used. Robust approach can also be used to account for various candidate models. In the estimation step of a given stage, model selection (MS) or model averaging (MA) can be performed. In this work we propose a new two-stage adaptive design strategy, based on the robust expected FIM and MA over several candidate models. The methodology is applied to a clinical trial simulation in ophthalmology to optimize doses and time measurements. A set of dose-response candidate models is defined, and one-stage designs are compared to two-stage 50/50 designs (i.e., each stage performed with half of the available subjects), using either local optimal design or robust design, and performing analysis with one model, MS or MA. Performing a two-stage design with MS at the interim analysis can correct the choice of a wrong model for designing the first stage. Overall, starting from a robust design (1- or 2-stage) is valuable and leads to reasonable bias and precision. The proposed robust adaptive design strategy is a new tool to design longitudinal studies that could be used in different therapeutic areas.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lucie Fayette
- Inserm, IAME, Université Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, F-75018, Paris, France
- École des Ponts, UGE, Champs-sur-Marne, France
| | - Romain Leroux
- Inserm, IAME, Université Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, F-75018, Paris, France
| | - France Mentré
- Inserm, IAME, Université Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, F-75018, Paris, France
| | - Jérémy Seurat
- Inserm, IAME, Université Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, F-75018, Paris, France.
| |
Collapse
|
34
|
Dicpinigaitis PV, Morice AH, Smith JA, Sher MR, Vaezi M, Guilleminault L, Niimi A, Gude K, Krahn U, Saarinen R, Pires PV, Wosnitza M, McGarvey L. Efficacy and Safety of Eliapixant in Refractory Chronic Cough: The Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Phase 2b PAGANINI Study. Lung 2023:10.1007/s00408-023-00621-x. [PMID: 37261531 DOI: 10.1007/s00408-023-00621-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2023] [Accepted: 04/19/2023] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The PAGANINI study evaluated the efficacy and safety of the selective P2X3 antagonist eliapixant in patients with refractory chronic cough (RCC). METHODS PAGANINI was a randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, placebo-controlled, multicenter, dose-finding, phase 2b study. Adults with RCC lasting ≥ 12 months and cough severity ≥ 40 mm on a visual analog scale at screening were enrolled. Participants were randomized 1:1:1:1 to twice-daily 25 mg, 75 mg, or 150 mg oral eliapixant or placebo for 12 weeks. The primary endpoint was change from baseline in 24-h cough count after 12 weeks of intervention. RESULTS Overall, 310 participants were randomized to twice-daily eliapixant 25 mg (n = 75), 75 mg (n = 78), 150 mg (n = 80), or placebo (n = 77). A statistically significant dose-response signal with eliapixant was detected for the primary endpoint (all dose-response models, adjusted p < 0.1; one-sided). Adverse events (AEs) were reported in 39 (51%) participants with placebo and 43-51 (57-65%) participants receiving eliapixant. The most common AE was dysgeusia, occurring in 1% (n = 1) of the placebo group and 1-16% (n = 1-13) of the eliapixant groups in a dose-related manner. One case of a moderate drug-induced liver injury occurred in a participant receiving 150 mg twice-daily eliapixant. CONCLUSION Eliapixant demonstrated efficacy and a favorable taste tolerability profile in RCC. However, a drug-induced liver injury contributed to intensified liver monitoring in clinical trials with eliapixant and discontinuation of the entire development program in all indications by Bayer AG. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT04562155; registered September 18, 2020.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter V Dicpinigaitis
- Department of Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine and Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Alyn H Morice
- Centre for Clinical Sciences, Hull York Medical School, University of Hull, Hull, UK
| | - Jaclyn A Smith
- Division of Immunology, Immunity to Infection and Respiratory Medicine, The University of Manchester, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Michael Vaezi
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Laurent Guilleminault
- Pôle des Voies Respiratoires, CHU de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
- Toulouse Institute for Infectious and Inflammatory Diseases (Infinity), University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France
| | - Akio Niimi
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Allergy and Clinical Immunology, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, Japan
| | | | - Ulrike Krahn
- Research and Development, Bayer AG, Wuppertal, Germany
| | | | | | | | - Lorcan McGarvey
- Wellcome Wolfson Institute of Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.
| |
Collapse
|
35
|
Liu Q, Hu G, Ye B, Wang S, Wu Y. Sample size re-estimation in Phase 2 dose-finding: Conditional power versus Bayesian predictive power. Pharm Stat 2023; 22:349-364. [PMID: 36418025 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2275] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2019] [Revised: 08/31/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Unblinded sample size re-estimation (SSR) is often planned in a clinical trial when there is large uncertainty about the true treatment effect. For Proof-of Concept (PoC) in a Phase II dose finding study, contrast test can be adopted to leverage information from all treatment groups. In this article, we propose two-stage SSR designs using frequentist conditional power (CP) and Bayesian predictive power (PP) for both single and multiple contrast tests. The Bayesian SSR can be implemented under a wide range of prior settings to incorporate different prior knowledge. Taking the adaptivity into account, all type I errors of final analysis in this paper are rigorously protected. Simulation studies are carried out to demonstrate the advantages of unblinded SSR in multi-arm trials.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Qingyang Liu
- Department of Statistics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, USA
| | - Guanyu Hu
- Department of Statistics, University of Missouri - Columbia, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - Binqi Ye
- Boehringer Ingelheim (China), Shanghai, China
| | - Susan Wang
- Boehringer-Ingelheim Pharmaceutical Inc., Ridgefield, Connecticut, USA
| | - Yaoshi Wu
- Department of Statistics, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, USA
| |
Collapse
|
36
|
A Bayesian design for finding optimal biological dose with mixed types of responses of toxicity and efficacy. Contemp Clin Trials 2023; 127:107113. [PMID: 36758934 DOI: 10.1016/j.cct.2023.107113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2022] [Revised: 01/30/2023] [Accepted: 02/01/2023] [Indexed: 02/10/2023]
Abstract
For molecularly targeted therapy and immunotherapy, the targeted dose in the early phase clinical trial has been shifted from the maximum tolerated dose for the cytotoxic drug to the optimal biological dose where both toxicity and efficacy are considered. In this paper, we consider the situation that the responses of toxicity and efficacy are mixed in binary and continuous types, respectively, where the continuous endpoint bears more magnitude information than the binary endpoint after dichotomization. We propose combining two model-based designs to sequentially identify the most efficacious and tolerably safe dose. The employed designs both take the dose level information into account to achieve high estimation efficiency. We demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method to some existing methods by simulation.
Collapse
|
37
|
Ghavami A, Ziaei R, Talebi S, Barghchi H, Nattagh-Eshtivani E, Moradi S, Rahbarinejad P, Mohammadi H, Ghasemi-Tehrani H, Marx W, Askari G. Soluble Fiber Supplementation and Serum Lipid Profile: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials. Adv Nutr 2023; 14:465-474. [PMID: 36796439 DOI: 10.1016/j.advnut.2023.01.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2022] [Revised: 12/13/2022] [Accepted: 01/11/2023] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
To present a comprehensive synthesis of the effect of soluble fiber supplementation on blood lipid parameters in adults, a systematic search was undertaken in PubMed, Scopus, and ISI Web of Science of relevant articles published before November 2021. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the effects of soluble fibers on blood lipids in adults were included. We estimated the change in blood lipids for each 5 g/d increment in soluble fiber supplementation in each trial and then calculated the mean difference (MD) and 95% CI using a random-effects model. We estimated dose-dependent effects using a dose-response meta-analysis of differences in means. The risk of bias and certainty of the evidence was evaluated using the Cochrane risk of bias tool and the Grading Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation methodology, respectively. A total of 181 RCTs with 220 treatment arms (14,505 participants: 7348 cases and 7157 controls) were included. There was a significant reduction in LDL cholesterol (MD: -8.28 mg/dL, 95% CI: -11.38, -5.18), total cholesterol (TC) (MD: -10.82 mg/dL, 95% CI: -12.98, -8.67), TGs (MD: -5.55 mg/dL, 95% CI: -10.31, -0.79), and apolipoprotein B (Apo-B) (MD: -44.99 mg/L, 95% CI: -62.87, -27.12) after soluble fiber supplementation in the overall analysis. Each 5 g/d increase in soluble fiber supplementation had a significant reduction in TC (MD: -6.11 mg/dL, 95% CI: -7.61, -4.61) and LDL cholesterol (MD: -5.57 mg/dl, 95% CI: -7.44, -3.69). In a large meta-analysis of RCTs, results suggest that soluble fiber supplementation could contribute to the management of dyslipidemia and the reduction of cardiovascular disease risk.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Abed Ghavami
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Rahele Ziaei
- Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Sepide Talebi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hanieh Barghchi
- Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Elyas Nattagh-Eshtivani
- Nutrition, Food Sciences and Clinical Biochemistry Department, School of Medicine, Social Development and Health Promotion Research Center, Gonabad University of Medical Sciences, Gonabad, Iran
| | - Sajjad Moradi
- Nutritional Sciences Department, School of Nutritional Sciences and Food Technology, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran
| | - Pegah Rahbarinejad
- Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Hamed Mohammadi
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, School of Nutritional Sciences and Dietetics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Wolfgang Marx
- Deakin University, IMPACT - the Institute for Mental and Physical Health and Clinical Translation, Food & Mood Centre, School of Medicine, Barwon Health, Geelong, Australia
| | - Gholamreza Askari
- Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Science, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
| |
Collapse
|
38
|
Marchenko O, Sridhara R, Jiang Q, Barksdale E, Ando Y, Alwis DD, Brown K, Fernandes L, van Bussel MT, Choo Q, Coory M, Garrett-Mayer E, Gwise T, Hess L, Liu R, Mandrekar S, Ouellet D, Pinheiro J, Posch M, Rahman NA, Rantell KR, Raven A, Sarem S, Sen S, Shah M, Shen YL, Simon R, Theoret M, Yuan Y, Pazdur R. Designing Dose-Optimization Studies in Cancer Drug Development: Discussions with Regulators. Stat Biopharm Res 2023. [DOI: 10.1080/19466315.2023.2166099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Thomas Gwise
- Office of Biostatistics, CDER US FDA, Silver Spring, MD
| | | | - Rong Liu
- Bristol Myers Squibb, Berkeley Heights, NJ
| | | | | | | | - Martin Posch
- Institute for Medical Statistics at the Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Mirat Shah
- Office of Oncologic Diseases, CDER, US FDA, Silver Spring, MD
| | - Yuan Li Shen
- Office of Biostatistics, CDER US FDA, Silver Spring, MD
| | | | - Marc Theoret
- Oncology Center of Excellence, US FDA, Silver Spring, MD
| | - Ying Yuan
- MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX
| | - Richard Pazdur
- Oncology Center of Excellence, US FDA, Silver Spring, MD
| |
Collapse
|
39
|
Gansevoort RT, Hariri A, Minini P, Ahn C, Chapman AB, Horie S, Knebelmann B, Mrug M, Ong ACM, Pei YPC, Torres VE, Modur V, Antonshchuk I, Perrone RD. Venglustat, a Novel Glucosylceramide Synthase Inhibitor, in Patients at Risk of Rapidly Progressing ADPKD: Primary Results of a Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 2/3 Randomized Clinical Trial. Am J Kidney Dis 2022; 81:517-527.e1. [PMID: 36535535 DOI: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2022.10.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2022] [Accepted: 10/25/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by the formation of multiple kidney cysts that leads to growth in total kidney volume (TKV) and progression to kidney failure. Venglustat is a glucosylceramide synthase inhibitor that has been shown to inhibit cyst growth and reduce kidney failure in preclinical models of ADPKD. STUDY DESIGN STAGED-PKD was a 2-stage, multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled phase 2/3 study in adults with ADPKD at risk of rapidly progressive disease, who were selected based on Mayo Clinic imaging classification of ADPKD class 1C, 1D, or 1E and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30-89.9mL/min/1.73m2. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS Enrollment included 236 and 242 patients in stages 1 and 2, respectively. INTERVENTIONS In trial stage 1, the patients were randomized 1:1:1 to venglustat, 8mg; venglustat, 15mg; or placebo. In stage 2, the patients were randomized 1:1 to venglustat, 15mg (highest dose identified as safe and well tolerated in stage 1), or placebo. OUTCOMES Primary end points were rate of change in TKV over 18 months in stage 1 and eGFR slope over 24 months in stage 2. Secondary end points were eGFR slope over 18 months (stage 1), rate of change in TKV (stage 2), and safety/tolerability, pain, and fatigue (stages 1 and 2). RESULTS A prespecified interim futility analysis showed that venglustat treatment had no effect on the annualized rate of change in TKV over 18 months (stage 1) and had a faster rate of decline in eGFR slope over 24 months (stage 2). Due to this lack of efficacy, the study was terminated early. LIMITATIONS The short follow-up period after the end of treatment and limited generalizability of the findings. CONCLUSIONS In patients with rapidly progressing ADPKD, treatment with venglustat at either 8mg or 15mg showed no change in the rate of change in TKV and a faster rate of eGFR decline in STAGED-PKD despite a dose-dependent decrease in plasma glucosylceramide levels. FUNDING This study was funded by Sanofi. TRIAL REGISTRATION Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with study number NCT03523728.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ronald T Gansevoort
- Department of Nephrology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Ali Hariri
- Eloxx Pharmaceuticals, Watertown, Massachusetts
| | | | - Curie Ahn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Arlene B Chapman
- Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Shigeo Horie
- Department of Urology, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Bertrand Knebelmann
- Université Paris Cité, AP-HP, Service de Néphrologie, Hôpital Necker-Enfants Malades, Paris, France
| | - Michal Mrug
- Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama; Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Birmingham, Alabama
| | - Albert C M Ong
- Academic Nephrology Unit, Department of Infection Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | - York P C Pei
- Division of Nephrology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Vicente E Torres
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
| | - Vijay Modur
- Eloxx Pharmaceuticals, Watertown, Massachusetts
| | | | - Ronald D Perrone
- Division of Nephrology, Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts.
| |
Collapse
|
40
|
A parallel sampling framework for model averaging: Application to dose response studies. Contemp Clin Trials 2022; 123:106957. [PMID: 36228983 DOI: 10.1016/j.cct.2022.106957] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2022] [Revised: 09/23/2022] [Accepted: 10/01/2022] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
|
41
|
Remibrutinib, a novel BTK inhibitor, demonstrates promising efficacy and safety in chronic spontaneous urticaria. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2022; 150:1498-1506.e2. [PMID: 36096203 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaci.2022.08.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2022] [Revised: 08/22/2022] [Accepted: 08/25/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) is inadequately controlled in many patients and greatly affects quality of life. Remibrutinib, a highly selective, oral, novel covalent Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor, might be effective in CSU. OBJECTIVE This first-in-patient trial aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of remibrutinib in CSU treatment and characterize the dose-response. METHODS This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2b dose-finding trial evaluated remibrutinib (12 weeks) in patients inadequately controlled with second-generation H1-antihistamines, with at least moderately active CSU, with or without prior anti-IgE treatment (NCT03926611). Patients received remibrutinib 10 mg once daily, 35 mg once daily, 100 mg once daily, 10 mg twice daily, 25 mg twice daily, 100 mg twice daily, or placebo (1:1:1:1:1:1:1 ratio). The main end points were weekly Urticaria Activity Score change from baseline at week 4 and safety. RESULTS Overall, 311 patients were randomized. Reduced symptom score was observed for all remibrutinib doses from week 1 until week 12, with weekly Urticaria Activity Score change from baseline at week 4: -19.1 (10 mg once daily), -19.1 (35 mg once daily), -14.7 (100 mg once daily), -16.0 (10 mg twice daily), -20.0 (25 mg twice daily), -18.1 (100 mg twice daily), and -5.4 for placebo (nominal P < .0001 for all doses vs placebo). Most adverse events were mild or moderate, with no dose-dependent pattern. CONCLUSION Remibrutinib was highly effective in the treatment of CSU over the entire dose range, with a rapid onset of action and a favorable safety profile.
Collapse
|
42
|
Li QH, Deng Q, Ting N. Consistency Based Multiplicity Adjustment Approach – Multiple Doses in Phase III Studies. Stat Biopharm Res 2022. [DOI: 10.1080/19466315.2022.2127872] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/14/2022]
|
43
|
Brecklinghaus T, Albrecht W, Duda J, Kappenberg F, Gründler L, Edlund K, Marchan R, Ghallab A, Cadenas C, Rieck A, Vartak N, Tolosa L, Castell JV, Gardner I, Halilbasic E, Trauner M, Ullrich A, Zeigerer A, Demirci Turgunbayer Ö, Damm G, Seehofer D, Rahnenführer J, Hengstler JG. In vitro/in silico prediction of drug induced steatosis in relation to oral doses and blood concentrations by the Nile Red assay. Toxicol Lett 2022; 368:33-46. [PMID: 35963427 DOI: 10.1016/j.toxlet.2022.08.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2022] [Revised: 08/01/2022] [Accepted: 08/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
The accumulation of lipid droplets in hepatocytes is a key feature of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) and can be induced by a subset of hepatotoxic compounds. In the present study, we optimized and evaluated an in vitro technique based on the fluorescent dye Nile Red, further named Nile Red assay to quantify lipid droplets induced by the exposure to chemicals. The Nile Red assay and a cytotoxicity test (CTB assay) were then performed on cells exposed concentration-dependently to 60 different compounds. Of these, 31 were known to induce hepatotoxicity in humans, and 13 were reported to also cause steatosis. In order to compare in vivo relevant blood concentrations, pharmacokinetic models were established for all compounds to simulate the maximal blood concentrations (Cmax) at therapeutic doses. The results showed that several hepatotoxic compounds induced an increase in lipid droplets at sub-cytotoxic concentrations. To compare how well (1) the cytotoxicity test alone, (2) the Nile Red assay alone, and (3) the combination of the cytotoxicity test and the Nile Red assay (based on the lower EC10 of both assays) allow the differentiation between hepatotoxic and non-hepatotoxic compounds, a previously established performance metric, the Toxicity Separation Index (TSI) was calculated. In addition, the Toxicity Estimation Index (TEI) was calculated to determine how well blood concentrations that cause an increased DILI risk can be estimated for hepatotoxic compounds. Our findings indicate that the combination of both assays improved the TSI and TEI compared to each assay alone. In conclusion, the study demonstrates that inclusion of the Nile Red assay into in vitro test batteries may improve the prediction of DILI compounds.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tim Brecklinghaus
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany.
| | - Wiebke Albrecht
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Julia Duda
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Franziska Kappenberg
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Lisa Gründler
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Karolina Edlund
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Rosemarie Marchan
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Ahmed Ghallab
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany; Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, South Valley University, 83523 Qena, Egypt
| | - Cristina Cadenas
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Adrian Rieck
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Nachiket Vartak
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany
| | - Laia Tolosa
- Experimental Hepatology Unit, Health Research Institute La Fe, Valencia, Spain
| | - José V Castell
- Experimental Hepatology Unit, Health Research Institute La Fe, Valencia, Spain; Biochemistry Department, University of Valencia and CIBEREHD
| | | | - Emina Halilbasic
- Hans Popper Laboratory of Molecular Hepatology, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Michael Trauner
- Hans Popper Laboratory of Molecular Hepatology, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Anett Ullrich
- Primacyt Cell Culture Technology GmbH, Schwerin, Germany
| | - Anja Zeigerer
- Institute for Diabetes and Cancer, Helmholtz Center Munich, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany; German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), 85764 Neuherberg, Germany; Joint Heidelberg-IDC Translational Diabetes Program, Inner Medicine 1, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Özlem Demirci Turgunbayer
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany; Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Dicle University, 21280, Diyarbakır, Turkey
| | - Georg Damm
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Visceral Transplantation, University of Leipzig, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
| | - Daniel Seehofer
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Visceral Transplantation, University of Leipzig, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
| | - Jörg Rahnenführer
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Vogelpothsweg 87, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
| | - Jan G Hengstler
- Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors at the Technical University of Dortmund (IfADo), Ardeystrasse 67, 44139 Dortmund, Germany.
| |
Collapse
|
44
|
Sharma M, Molina CA, Toyoda K, Bereczki D, Kasner SE, Lutsep HL, Tsivgoulis G, Ntaios G, Czlonkowska A, Shuaib A, Amarenco P, Endres M, Diener HC, Gailani D, Kahl A, Donovan M, Perera V, Li D, Hankey GJ. Rationale and design of the AXIOMATIC-SSP phase II trial: Antithrombotic treatment with factor XIa inhibition to Optimize Management of Acute Thromboembolic events for Secondary Stroke Prevention. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2022; 31:106742. [PMID: 36037679 PMCID: PMC9619293 DOI: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2022.106742] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2022] [Revised: 08/12/2022] [Accepted: 08/17/2022] [Indexed: 10/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Individuals with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) have a high early risk of ischemic stroke despite dual antiplatelet therapy. The risk of ischemic stroke, and associated disability, represents a significant unmet clinical need. Genetic variants resulting in reduced factor XI levels are associated with reduced risk for ischemic stroke but are not associated with increased intracranial bleeding. Milvexian is an oral small-molecule inhibitor of FXIa that binds activated factor XI with high affinity and selectivity and may reduce the risk of stroke when added to antiplatelet drugs without significant bleeding. We aimed to evaluate the dose-response relationship of milvexian in participants treated with dual antiplatelets. METHODS We began a phase II, double-blinded, randomized, placebo-controlled trial at 367 sites in 2019. Participants (N = 2366) with ischemic stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤7) or high-risk TIA (ABCD2 score ≥6) were randomized to 1 of 5 doses of milvexian or placebo for 90 days. Participants also received clopidogrel 75 mg daily for the first 21 days and aspirin 100 mg for 90 days. The efficacy endpoint was the composite of ischemic stroke or incident infarct on magnetic resonance imaging. Major bleeding, defined as type 3 or 5 bleeding according to the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium, was the safety endpoint. Participant follow-up will end in 2022. CONCLUSION The AXIOMATIC-SSP trial will evaluate the dose-response of milvexian for ischemic stroke occurrence in participants with ischemic stroke or TIA.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mukul Sharma
- Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
| | | | | | | | - Scott E Kasner
- Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | | | - Georgios Tsivgoulis
- National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Attikon University Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | | | | | - Ashfaq Shuaib
- University of Alberta Hospital, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | | | - Matthias Endres
- Department Neurology and Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | | | - David Gailani
- Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Anja Kahl
- Bristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA
| | | | | | - Danshi Li
- Bristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA
| | - Graeme J Hankey
- The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia; Perron Institute for Neurological and Translational Science, Perth, Australia
| |
Collapse
|
45
|
Werth VP, Furie RA, Romero-Diaz J, Navarra S, Kalunian K, van Vollenhoven RF, Nyberg F, Kaffenberger BH, Sheikh SZ, Radunovic G, Huang X, Clark G, Carroll H, Naik H, Gaudreault F, Meyers A, Barbey C, Musselli C, Franchimont N. Trial of Anti-BDCA2 Antibody Litifilimab for Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus. N Engl J Med 2022; 387:321-331. [PMID: 35939578 DOI: 10.1056/nejmoa2118024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Blood dendritic cell antigen 2 (BDCA2) is a receptor that is exclusively expressed on plasmacytoid dendritic cells, which are implicated in the pathogenesis of lupus erythematosus. Whether treatment with litifilimab, a humanized monoclonal antibody against BDCA2, would be efficacious in reducing disease activity in patients with cutaneous lupus erythematosus has not been extensively studied. METHODS In this phase 2 trial, we randomly assigned adults with histologically confirmed cutaneous lupus erythematosus with or without systemic manifestations in a 1:1:1:1 ratio to receive subcutaneous litifilimab (at a dose of 50, 150, or 450 mg) or placebo at weeks 0, 2, 4, 8, and 12. We used a dose-response model to assess whether there was a response across the four groups on the basis of the primary end point, which was the percent change from baseline to 16 weeks in the Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus Disease Area and Severity Index-Activity score (CLASI-A; scores range from 0 to 70, with higher scores indicating more widespread or severe skin involvement). Safety was also assessed. RESULTS A total of 132 participants were enrolled; 26 were assigned to the 50-mg litifilimab group, 25 to the 150-mg litifilimab group, 48 to the 450-mg litifilimab group, and 33 to the placebo group. Mean CLASI-A scores for the groups at baseline were 15.2, 18.4, 16.5, and 16.5, respectively. The difference from placebo in the change from baseline in CLASI-A score at week 16 was -24.3 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI] -43.7 to -4.9) in the 50-mg litifilimab group, -33.4 percentage points (95% CI, -52.7 to -14.1) in the 150-mg group, and -28.0 percentage points (95% CI, -44.6 to -11.4) in the 450-mg group. The least squares mean changes were used in the primary analysis of a best-fitting dose-response model across the three drug-dose levels and placebo, which showed a significant effect. Most of the secondary end points did not support the results of the primary analysis. Litifilimab was associated with three cases each of hypersensitivity and oral herpes infection and one case of herpes zoster infection. One case of herpes zoster meningitis occurred 4 months after the participant received the last dose of litifilimab. CONCLUSIONS In a phase 2 trial involving participants with cutaneous lupus erythematosus, treatment with litifilimab was superior to placebo with regard to a measure of skin disease activity over a period of 16 weeks. Larger and longer trials are needed to determine the effect and safety of litifilimab for the treatment of cutaneous lupus erythematosus. (Funded by Biogen; LILAC ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02847598.).
Collapse
MESH Headings
- Adult
- Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/adverse effects
- Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use
- Dendritic Cells/drug effects
- Dendritic Cells/immunology
- Dose-Response Relationship, Drug
- Double-Blind Method
- Herpes Zoster/etiology
- Humans
- Lectins, C-Type/antagonists & inhibitors
- Lectins, C-Type/immunology
- Lupus Erythematosus, Cutaneous/drug therapy
- Membrane Glycoproteins/antagonists & inhibitors
- Membrane Glycoproteins/immunology
- Receptors, Immunologic/antagonists & inhibitors
- Receptors, Immunologic/immunology
- Severity of Illness Index
- Treatment Outcome
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Victoria P Werth
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Richard A Furie
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Juanita Romero-Diaz
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Sandra Navarra
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Kenneth Kalunian
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Ronald F van Vollenhoven
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Filippa Nyberg
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Benjamin H Kaffenberger
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Saira Z Sheikh
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Goran Radunovic
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Xiaobi Huang
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - George Clark
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Hua Carroll
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Himanshu Naik
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Francois Gaudreault
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Adam Meyers
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Catherine Barbey
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Cristina Musselli
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| | - Nathalie Franchimont
- From the University of Pennsylvania and Corporal Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center - both in Philadelphia (V.P.W.); Northwell Health, Great Neck, NY (R.A.F.); Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubrián, Mexico City (J.R.-D.); the University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines (S.N.); the University of California, San Diego, La Jolla (K.K.); Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam (R.F.V.); Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm (F.N.); Ohio State University, Columbus (B.H.K.); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill (S.Z.S.); Institute of Rheumatology, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (G.R.); Biogen, Cambridge, MA (X.H., G.C., H.C., H.N., F.G., A.M., C.M., N.F.); and Biogen, Baar, Switzerland (C.B.)
| |
Collapse
|
46
|
Kirby S, Chuang-Stein C. The Acute Stroke Therapy by Inhibition of Neutrophils study - Key features and impact. Pharm Stat 2022; 21:720-728. [PMID: 35819119 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2021] [Revised: 01/25/2022] [Accepted: 01/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
The Acute Stroke Therapy by Inhibition of Neutrophils (ASTIN) study, initiated in November of the year 2000, is now widely recognized as having been a landmark study in the history of clinical trials. We look at why this is the case by considering its key features and impact. These key features are: the use of Bayesian design and analysis; the use of the normal dynamic linear model; the response adaptive nature of the study; the use of real-time dosing decisions; and the use of an integrated model to predict 90-day response on the Scandinavian Stroke Scale. Our overall conclusion is that the ASTIN study's main impact came from showing the clinical trial community the feasibility of the novel design and analysis used when most of these key features were rarely used in industry trials, let alone used together in one trial in a disease area with a tremendous unmet medical need.
Collapse
|
47
|
Müller P, Duan Y, Garcia Tec M. Simulation-based sequential design. Pharm Stat 2022; 21:729-739. [PMID: 35819116 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2021] [Revised: 03/09/2022] [Accepted: 03/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
We review some simulation-based methods to implement optimal decisions in sequential design problems as they naturally arise in clinical trial design. As a motivating example we use a stylized version of a dose-ranging design in the ASTIN trial. The approach can be characterized as constrained backward induction. The nature of the constraint is a restriction of the decisions to a set of actions that are functions of the current history only implicitly through a low-dimensional summary statistic. In addition, the action set is restricted to time-invariant policies. Time-dependence is only introduced indirectly through the change of the chosen summary statistic over time. This restriction allows computationally efficient solutions to the sequential decision problem. A further simplification is achieved by restricting optimal actions to be described by decision boundaries on the space of such summary statistics.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter Müller
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
| | - Yunshan Duan
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
| | - Mauricio Garcia Tec
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA
| |
Collapse
|
48
|
Yamaguchi Y, Sugitani T, Yoshida S, Maruo K. Confirmatory efficacy testing for individual dose-placebo comparisons using serial gatekeeping procedure in dose-finding trials with multiple comparison procedures-modeling. Pharm Stat 2022; 21:1309-1323. [PMID: 35708144 DOI: 10.1002/pst.2246] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2021] [Revised: 05/14/2022] [Accepted: 05/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Dose-finding trials play a key role in the entire drug development process to determine optimal doses for regulatory approval. We address confirmatory efficacy testing for individual dose-placebo comparisons in the context of a dose-finding trial designed with multiple comparison procedures-modeling (MCP-Mod). An extension of the MCP-Mod, called closed MCP-Mod, has been proposed to carry out the MCP-Mod in conjunction with pairwise dose-placebo comparisons; however, an issue associated with the misspecification of candidate dose-response models remains. We consider another way to combine the MCP-Mod and the individual dose-placebo comparisons using serial gatekeeping procedures with fixed sequence, Holm, Hochberg, and step-down Dunnett procedure. The method controls the family-wise error rate in the strong sense and is simple enough to be implemented by existing software. Simulation studies suggested that the serial gatekeeping procedure was comparable with the closed MCP-Mod in terms of statistical power to detect the efficacy of at least one dose, and both methods were capable of pursuing the efficacy claim rather than just establishing the dose-response signal with less than a 20% increase in sample size when assuming monotonic dose-response shapes. The serial gatekeeping procedure would have advantages in the simplicity of implementation and ease of interpretation. The dose-finding trials aiming to declare the dose-response signal, as well as the efficacy of individual doses, would be worth considering as an option to accelerate the drug development program in certain situations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yusuke Yamaguchi
- Biostatistics, Data Science, Astellas Pharma Global Development, Inc., Northbrook, Illinosis, USA
| | - Toshifumi Sugitani
- Real World Evidence, Oncology Medical, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Satoshi Yoshida
- Data Science, Development, Astellas Pharma Inc., Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kazushi Maruo
- Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
49
|
Röver C, Ursino M, Friede T, Zohar S. A straightforward meta-analysis approach for oncology phase I dose-finding studies. Stat Med 2022; 41:3915-3940. [PMID: 35661205 DOI: 10.1002/sim.9484] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2021] [Revised: 05/12/2022] [Accepted: 05/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Phase I early-phase clinical studies aim at investigating the safety and the underlying dose-toxicity relationship of a drug or combination. While little may still be known about the compound's properties, it is crucial to consider quantitative information available from any studies that may have been conducted previously on the same drug. A meta-analytic approach has the advantages of being able to properly account for between-study heterogeneity, and it may be readily extended to prediction or shrinkage applications. Here we propose a simple and robust two-stage approach for the estimation of maximum tolerated dose(s) utilizing penalized logistic regression and Bayesian random-effects meta-analysis methodology. Implementation is facilitated using standard R packages. The properties of the proposed methods are investigated in Monte Carlo simulations. The investigations are motivated and illustrated by two examples from oncology.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Christian Röver
- Department of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Moreno Ursino
- Unit of Clinical Epidemiology, AP-HP, CHU Robert Debré, Université Paris Cité, Inserm CIC-EC 1426, Paris, France.,Inserm, Centre de Recherche des Cordeliers, Université Paris Cité, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.,HeKA, Inria Paris, Paris, France
| | - Tim Friede
- Department of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Sarah Zohar
- Inserm, Centre de Recherche des Cordeliers, Université Paris Cité, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.,HeKA, Inria Paris, Paris, France
| |
Collapse
|
50
|
Duda JC, Kappenberg F, Rahnenführer J. Model selection characteristics when using MCP-Mod for dose-response gene expression data. Biom J 2022; 64:883-897. [PMID: 35187701 DOI: 10.1002/bimj.202000250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2020] [Revised: 11/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
We extend the scope of application for MCP-Mod (Multiple Comparison Procedure and Modeling) to in vitro gene expression data and assess its characteristics regarding model selection for concentration gene expression curves. Precisely, we apply MCP-Mod on single genes of a high-dimensional gene expression data set, where human embryonic stem cells were exposed to eight concentration levels of the compound valproic acid (VPA). As candidate models we consider the sigmoid E max $E_{\max }$ (four-parameter log-logistic), linear, quadratic, E max $E_{\max }$ , exponential, and beta model. Through simulations we investigate the impact of omitting one or more models from the candidate model set to uncover possibly superfluous models and to evaluate the precision and recall rates of selected models. Each model is selected according to Akaike information criterion (AIC) for a considerable number of genes. For less noisy cases the popular sigmoid E max $E_{\max }$ model is frequently selected. For more noisy data, often simpler models like the linear model are selected, but mostly without relevant performance advantage compared to the second best model. Also, the commonly used standard E max $E_{\max }$ model has an unexpected low performance.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Julia C Duda
- Department of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, Dortmund, Germany
| | | | | |
Collapse
|