Accuracy of the Emergency Severity Index triage instrument for identifying elder emergency department patients receiving an immediate life-saving intervention

The reliability and validity of triage tools in geriatric emergency departments: A scoping review

BACKGROUND

The nurse's ability to accurately identify urgent conditions and triage this vulnerable population tends to be complex and challenging. Little is known about the reliability and validity of common triage tools in geriatric patients.

AIM

To determine the reliability and validity of triage tools in geriatric emergency care and summarize the specific content of current triage tools for geriatric patients.

METHODS

The eligible literature was searched from the MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, and Cochrane Database using targeted search strategies. We defined the objectives and questions, set standards for article inclusion criteria, and conducted literature searching and screening. The mixed methods assessment tool (MMAT) appraised the article's quality. Finally, we extracted and analyzed the data from the included articles, summarizing the results. Endnote X9 was used for data extraction and collation.

RESULTS

Nine articles were eligible. These included six triage tools: CTAS, JTAS, KTAS, MTS, SETS, and ESI. The reliability of the CTAS was good when applied to triage geriatric patients. The SETS performed well in prehospital simulated triage. The ESI has moderate to excellent reliability. The CTAS has good to excellent validity, while the JTAS, KTAS, MTS, and ESI have fair to good results.

CONCLUSION

Several triage tools are useful in geriatrics, but the reliability and validity of these tools have mixed results. Applying triage tools to triage geriatric patients still has limitations.

Assessing triage efficiency in Italy: a comparative study using simulated cases among nurses

BACKGROUND

Emergency Departments (EDs) across Italy use different triage systems, which vary from region to region. This study aimed to assess whether nurses working in different EDs assign triage codes in a similar and standardized manner.

METHODS

A multicenter observational simulation study involved the EDs of Bolzano Hospital, Merano Hospital, Pisa University Hospital, and Rovereto Hospital. All participating nurses were given 30 simulated clinical cases (vignettes) and asked to assign triage codes according to the triage systems used in their EDs. Subsequently, we assessed inter-rater agreement and evaluated if code assignment had different performance among hospitals in relation to different clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Eighty-seven nurses participated in this study. There was marked variation in assigned triage codes both across hospitals and among individual operators. The kappa values for inter-rater agreement were 0.632 for Bolzano Hospital, 0.589 for Merano Hospital, 0.464 for Pisa University Hospital, and 0.574 for Rovereto Hospital. Sensitivity and specificity levels varied considerably for the same outcomes when comparing different hospitals.

CONCLUSION

There is a high degree of subjectivity in triage code assignment by ED nurses. In the interest of equitable care for patients, this variability within the same country is hardly acceptable.

Enhancing triage accuracy: The influence of nursing education on risk prediction

AIM

This study aimed to compare the performance in risk prediction of various outcomes between specially trained triage nurses and the Manchester Triage System (MTS).

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

METHODS

The study was conducted from June 1st to December 31st, 2023, at the Emergency Department of Merano Hospital. Triage nurses underwent continuous training through dedicated courses and daily audits. We compared the risk stratification performed by expert nurses with that of MTS on various outcomes such as mortality, hospitalisation, and urgency defined by the physicians. Comparisons were made using the Areas Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC).

RESULTS

The agreement in code classification between the MTS and the expert nurse was very low. The AUROC curve analysis showed that the expert nurse outperformed the MTS in all outcomes. The triage nurse's experience led to statistically significant better stratification in admission rates, ICU admissions, and all outcomes based on the physician's assessment.

CONCLUSIONS

The continuous training of nurses enables them to achieve better risk prediction compared to standardized triage systems like MTS, emphasizing the utility and necessity of implementing continuous training pathways for these highly specialised personnel.

The Relationship Between Accurate Triage and Core Measures Compliance for Acute Myocardial Infarction and Heart Failure in Older Adults Presenting to the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND

Accurate emergency department (ED) triage in the geriatric population is an important nurse-sensitive quality indicator; however, few quality indicators are verified for impact.

PURPOSE

To examine the relationship between triage accuracy in adults older than 65 years and Core Measures for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and heart failure (HF).

METHODS

A correlational approach was used to determine strength and direction of the relationship between variables.

RESULTS

Strong positive correlations were found between triage accuracy and mortality for AMI and HF, as well as with 30-day hospital readmissions for AMI. A weak negative correlation was found between triage accuracy and 30-day hospital readmissions for HF.

CONCLUSIONS

Accurate triage can lead to a more effective care trajectory for patients, better adherence to Core Measures, and better outcomes. Accuracy in triage for AMI and HF is a valid indicator of ED quality care.

Validation of the Emergency Department-Paediatric Early Warning Score (ED-PEWS) for use in low- and middle-income countries: A multicentre observational study

Early recognition of children at risk of serious illness is essential in preventing morbidity and mortality, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aimed to validate the Emergency Department-Paediatric Early Warning Score (ED-PEWS) for use in acute care settings in LMICs. This observational study is based on previously collected clinical data from consecutive children attending four diverse settings in LMICs. Inclusion criteria and study periods (2010-2021) varied. We simulated the ED-PEWS, consisting of patient age, consciousness, work of breathing, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, heart rate, and capillary refill time, based on the first available parameters. Discrimination was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity (previously defined cut-offs < 6 and ≥ 15). The outcome measure was for each setting a composite marker of high urgency. 41,917 visits from Gambia rural, 501 visits from Gambia urban, 2,608 visits from Suriname, and 1,682 visits from Tanzania were included. The proportion of high urgency was variable (range 4.6% to 24.9%). Performance ranged from AUC 0.80 (95%CI 0.70-0.89) in Gambia urban to 0.62 (95%CI 0.55-0.67) in Tanzania. The low-urgency cut-off showed a high sensitivity in all settings ranging from 0.83 (95%CI 0.81-0.84) to 1.00 (95%CI 0.97-1.00). The high-urgency cut-off showed a specificity ranging from 0.71 (95%CI 0.66-0.75) to 0.97 (95%CI 0.97-0.97). The ED-PEWS has a moderate to good performance for the recognition of high urgency children in these LMIC settings. The performance appears to have potential in improving the identification of high urgency children in LMICs.

Older Adult Patients in the Emergency Department: Which Patients should be Selected for a Different Approach?

BACKGROUND

While multidimensional and interdisciplinary assessment of older adult patients improves their short-term outcomes after evaluation in the emergency department (ED), this assessment is time-consuming and ill-suited for the busy environment. Thus, identifying patients who will benefit from this strategy is challenging. Therefore, this study aimed to identify older adult patients suitable for a different ED approach as well as independent variables associated with poor short-term clinical outcomes.

METHODS

We included all patients ≥65 years attending 52 EDs in Spain over 7 days. Sociodemographic, comorbidity, and baseline functional status data were collected. The outcomes were 30-day mortality, re-presentation, hospital readmission, and the composite of all outcomes.

RESULTS

During the study among 96,014 patients evaluated in the ED, we included 23,338 patients ≥65 years-mean age, 78.4±8.1 years; 12,626 (54.1%) women. During follow-up, 5,776 patients (24.75%) had poor outcomes after evaluation in the ED: 1,140 (4.88%) died, 4,640 (20.51) returned to the ED, and 1,739 (7.69%) were readmitted 30 days after discharge following the index visit. A model including male sex, age ≥75 years, arrival by ambulance, Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥3, and functional impairment had a C-index of 0.81 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.82) for 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

Male sex, age ≥75 years, arrival by ambulance, functional impairment, or severe comorbidity are features of patients who could benefit from approaches in the ED different from the common triage to improve the poor short-term outcomes of this population.

Optimizing the Care of Persons Living with Dementia in the Emergency Department

Emergency department (ED) care for persons living with dementia (PLWD) involves the identification of dementia or cognitive impairment, ED care which is sensitive to the specific needs of PLWD, effective communication with PLWD, their care partners, and outpatient clinicians who the patient and care-partner know and trust, and care-transitions from the emergency department to other health care settings. The recommendations in this article made based on wide-ranging heterogeneous studies of various interventions which have been studied primarily in single-site studies. Future research should work to incorporate promising findings from interventions such as hospital at home, or ED to home Care Transitions Intervention.

Validation of a seven-question tool (PRISMA-7) in predicting prognosis of older adults in the emergency department: A prospective study

OBJECTIVES

Older patients arrive at the emergency department (ED) with complex medical challenges, and the current ED triage models frequently undertriage the severity of illness in older adults. There is increasing awareness regarding the importance of identifying frailty in older patients in the context of urgent care. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the predictive accuracy of the seven-question tool of the Program on Research for Integrating Services of the Maintenance of Autonomy (PRISMA-7) in the ED for 28-day mortality among older adults.

DESIGN

A prospective polycentric observational study.

SETTING

West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Shangjinnanfu of West China Hospital, and People's Hospital of Henan Province.

PARTICIPANTS

ED patients aged ≥65 years from the three tertiary care centers over an 8-week period.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

The primary outcome, 28-day all-cause mortality, was investigated using a Cox proportional hazards regression model to assess the predictive validity. The secondary endpoints, intensive care unit (ICU) transfer was investigated using multivariable logistic regression, compared with trained study assistants.

RESULTS

The final study population comprised 1043 consecutive patients aged ≥65 years. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for 28-day mortality was 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76-0.84), 0.73 (95% CI: 0.68-0.77), and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.73-0.83) for PRISMA-7, Emergency Severity Index (ESI), and quick Sepsis Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), respectively.There was no difference in the AUC between PRISMA-7 and qSOFA(p = 0.374).The AUC for ICU admission was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.75-0.80), 0.62 (95% CI: 0.59-0.66), and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.64-0.72) for PRISMA-7, ESI, and qSOFA, respectively.The AUC for ICU admission between PRISMA-7 and ESI(p<0.001), PRISMA-7 and qSOFA(p<0.001), qSOFA and ESI(p = 0.005) was statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Our findings reveal that PRISMA-7 improves the prediction of ICU admission, but there is no significant difference when it comes to all-cause mortality. PRISMA-7 appears to be a reliable and valid instrument for identifying frailty in the ED.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ChiCTR2100046545.

Facilitators and barriers of appropriate and timely initiation of intravenous fluids in patients with sepsis in emergency departments: a consensus development Delphi study

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is a life-threatening medical emergency in which appropriate and timely administration of intravenous fluids to patients with features of hypotension is critical to prevent multi-organ failure and subsequent death. However, compliance with recommended fluid administration is reported to be poor. There is a lack of consensus among emergency clinicians on some of the determinant factors influencing fluid administration in sepsis. Thus, the aim of this study was to identify the level of consensus among key stakeholders in emergency departments regarding the facilitators, barriers, and strategies to improve fluid administration.

METHODS

The modified Delphi questionnaire with 23 statements exploring barriers, facilitators, and strategies to improve fluid administration was developed from the integration of findings from previous phases of the study involving emergency department clinicians. A two-round modified Delphi survey was conducted among key stakeholders with managerial, educational, supervision and leadership responsibilities using a "Reactive Delphi technique" from March 2023 to June 2023. The statements were rated for importance on a 9-point Likert scale. The RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method (RAM) was used to identify the level of consensus (agreement/disagreement).

RESULTS

Of the 21 panellists who completed Round 1 survey, 18 (86%) also completed Round 2. The panellists rated 9 out of 10 (90%) barriers, 3 out of 4 (75%) facilitators and all 9 (100%) improvement strategies as important. Out of the total 23 statements, 18 (78%) had agreement among the panellists. Incomplete vital signs at triage (Median = 9, IQR 7.25 to 9.00) as a barrier, awareness of importance of fluid administration in sepsis (Median = 9, IQR 8.00 to 9.00) as facilitator and provision of nurse-initiated intravenous fluids (Median = 9, IQR 8.00 to 9.00) as an improvement strategy were the highest rated statements.

CONCLUSION

This is the first Delphi study identifying consensus on facilitators, barriers, and strategies to specifically improve intravenous fluid administration in sepsis in Australia. We identified 18 consensus-based factors associated with appropriate and timely administration of intravenous fluids in sepsis. This study offers empirical evidence to support the implementation of the identified strategies to improve patient outcomes.

Screening Tool Risk Score Assessment in the Emergency Department for Geriatric (S-TRIAGE) in 28-day mortality

BACKGROUND

The number of older adults with a high risk of frailty and severe illness continues to increase. Moreover, physiological change and multiple comorbidities are challenging to triage in geriatrics. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate variables to predict 28-day mortality and develop a screening tool to predict mortality and lifesaving intervention among geriatric patients in the emergency department (ED).

METHODS

This study was a retrospective, single-center, observational study at the ED of Ramathibodi Hospital, Bangkok. Patients aged ≥ 65 years who visited the ED between January 2018 and December 2019 were enrolled. In the development cohort, univariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of 28-day mortality in older patients. A predictive model for mortality and the need for lifesaving intervention was developed by multivariable logistic regression. In addition, the score was validated with internal validation and compared between development and validation set by chi-square.

RESULTS

We enrolled 1393 patients. In the development cohort, among these 1002 patients, 103 (10.3%) of whom died within 28 days. Malignancy, shock index (SI), systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 100 mmHg, and altered mentation were independent risk factors of 28-day mortality. We developed new screening tools named the S-TRIAGE score, which has the respiratory rate (< 11, > 22 breaths/min), the ratio of pulse oximetric saturation to the fraction of inspired oxygen (< 420, 420-450), SI (> 1, 0.6-0.99), SBP < 100 mmHg, body temperature (< 36, > 37.5 °C), and mental change. The area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the S-TRIAGE score in the validation cohort was 0.826 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) 0.773-0.879] in predicting mortality and lifesaving intervention, and the clinical score classified patients into five groups.

CONCLUSION

This study showed malignancy, hypotension, increased SI, and mental status change were predictive factors for 28-day mortality in older adults in the ED. The screening tool risk score for geriatrics used in this study is potentially a good predictor of mortality and lifesaving intervention in high-risk older patients in the ED.

Emergency Severity Index (ESI) algorithm in trauma patients: The impact of age during the pandemic

OBJECTIVE

The ESI algorithm is widely used to triage patients in the emergency room. However, few studies have assessed the reliability of ESI to accurately triage trauma patients. The aim of this study was to compare vital signs, resource utilization, and patient outcomes among trauma patients during the pandemic in 2020 vs. the previous year prior to the pandemic.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted over a 24-month period at an urban adult level one trauma center. Demographic and clinical characteristics, resource utilization, and patient outcomes were extracted from the electronic medical records and trauma registry. Trauma patients assigned ESI level 2 were stratified by age (<65 years and ≥ 65 years) and year (2019 vs. 2020) for data analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 3,788 trauma patients were included in the study. Males represented 68.4% (2,591) of patients and the median age was 50 years (IQR: 31, 69). The majority of patients were assigned ESI level 2 (2,162, 57.1%) and had a blunt mechanism of injury (3,122, 82.4%). In 2020, patients <65 years of age utilized less resources compared to 2019 (p < 0.001). Likewise, patients >65 years of age required less lab tests [OR: 0.1, 95% CI: (0.05 - 0.4)], IV fluids [OR: 0.2, 95% CI: (0.2 -0.3)], IV medications [OR: 0.6, 95% CI: (0.4 - 0.7)], and specialty consultations [OR: 0.4, 95% CI: (0.3 -0.5)] compared to 2019 (p < 0.0001). Within 2020, vital signs and resources utilized between younger and elderly patients varied significantly (p < 0.01). Correspondingly, the clinical outcomes between younger and elderly patients within 2020, differed significantly (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic affected the triage of trauma patients. During 2020, patients utilized less resources compared to the previous year. Additionally, younger and elderly patients had different vital signs, resource utilization, and clinical outcomes although both being assigned ESI level 2. Younger trauma patients may have been over-triaged in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Validation of a modified South African triage scale in a high-resource setting: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Triage systems are widely used in emergency departments, but are not always validated. The South African Triage Scale (SATS) has mainly been studied in resource-limited settings. The aim of this study was to determine the validity of a modified version of the SATS for the general population of patients admitted to an ED at a tertiary hospital in a high-income country. The secondary objective was to study the triage performance according to age and patient categories.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients presenting to the Emergency Department of Haukeland University Hospital in Norway during a four-year period. We used short-term mortality, ICU admission, and the need for immediate surgery and other interventions as the primary endpoints.

RESULTS

A total of 162,034 emergency department visits were included in the analysis. The negative predictive value of a low triage level to exclude severe illness was 99.1% (95% confidence interval: 99.0-99.2%). The level of overtriage, defined as the proportion of patients assigned to a high triage level who were not admitted to the hospital, was 4.1% (3.9-4.2%). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed an area under the ROC for the detection of severe illness of 0.874 (95% confidence interval: 0.870-0.879) for all patients and 0.856 (0.837-0.875), 0.884 (0.878-0.890) and 0.869 (0.862-0.876) for children, adults and elderly individuals respectively.

CONCLUSION

We found that the modified SATS had a good sensitivity to identify short-term mortality, ICU admission, and the need for rapid surgery and other interventions. The sensitivity was higher in adults than in children and higher in medical patients than in surgical patients. The over- and undertriage rates were acceptable.

Machine Learning Methods for Predicting Patient-Level Emergency Department Workload

BACKGROUND

Work Relative Value Units (wRVUs) are a component of many compensation models, and a proxy for the effort required to care for a patient. Accurate prediction of wRVUs generated per patient at triage could facilitate real-time load balancing between physicians and provide many practical operational and clinical benefits.

OBJECTIVE

We examined whether deep-learning approaches could predict the wRVUs generated by a patient's visit using data commonly available at triage.

METHODS

Adult patients presenting to an urban, academic emergency department from July 1, 2016-March 1, 2020 were included. Deidentified triage information included structured data (age, sex, vital signs, Emergency Severity Index score, language, race, standardized chief complaint) and unstructured data (free-text chief complaint) with wRVUs as outcome. Five models were examined: average wRVUs per chief complaint, linear regression, neural network and gradient-boosted tree on structured data, and neural network on unstructured textual data. Models were evaluated using mean absolute error.

RESULTS

We analyzed 204,064 visits between July 1, 2016 and March 1, 2020. The median wRVUs were 3.80 (interquartile range 2.56-4.21), with significant effects of age, gender, and race. Models demonstrated lower error as complexity increased. Predictions using averages from chief complaints alone demonstrated a mean error of 2.17 predicted wRVUs per visit (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.07-2.27), the linear regression model: 1.00 wRVUs (95% CI 0.97-1.04), gradient-boosted tree: 0.85 wRVUs (95% CI 0.84-0.86), neural network with structured data: 0.86 wRVUs (95% CI 0.85-0.87), and neural network with unstructured data: 0.78 wRVUs (95% CI 0.76-0.80).

CONCLUSIONS

Chief complaints are a poor predictor of the effort needed to evaluate a patient; however, deep-learning techniques show promise. These algorithms have the potential to provide many practical applications, including balancing workloads and compensation between emergency physicians, quantify crowding and mobilizing resources, and reducing bias in the triage process.

Clinical Frailty Scale as a predictor of short-term mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies on diagnostic test accuracy

BACKGROUND

The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) is a representative frailty assessment tool in medicine. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to examine whether frailty defined based on the CFS could adequately predict short-term mortality in emergency department (ED) patients.

METHODS

The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane libraries were searched for eligible studies until December 23, 2021. We included studies in which frailty was measured by the CFS and short-term mortality was reported for ED patients. All studies were screened by two independent researchers. Sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) values were calculated based on the data extracted from each study. Additionally, the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) was calculated for effect size analysis, and the area under the curve (AUC) of summary receiver operating characteristics was calculated. Outcomes were in-hospital and 1-month mortality rate for patients with the CFS scores of ≥5, ≥6, and ≥7.

RESULTS

Overall, 17 studies (n = 45,022) were included. Although there was no evidence of publication bias, a high degree of heterogeneity was observed. For the CFS score of ≥5, the PLR, NLR, and DOR values for in-hospital mortality were 1.446 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.325-1.578), 0.563 (95% CI 0.355-0.893), and 2.728 (95% CI 1.872-3.976), respectively. In addition, the pooled statistics for 1-month mortality were 1.566 (95% CI 1.241-1.976), 0.582 (95% CI 0.430-0.789), and 2.696 (95% CI 1.673-4.345), respectively. Subgroup analysis of trauma patients revealed that the CFS score of ≥5 could adequately predict in-hospital mortality (PLR 1.641, 95% CI 1.242-2.170; NLR 0.580, 95% CI 0.461-0.729; DOR 2.883, 95% CI 1.994-4.168). The AUC values represented sufficient to good diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence that is published to date suggests that the CFS is an accurate and reliable tool for predicting short-term mortality in emergency patients.

Prevalence and clinical significance of point of care elevated lactate at emergency admission in older patients: a prospective study

OBJECTIVE

Patients who are over 65 years old represent up to 24% of emergency department (ED) admissions. They are at increased risk of under-triage due to impaired physiological responses. The primary objective of this study was to assess the prevalence of elevated lactate by point of care testing (POCT) in this population. The secondary objective was to assess the additional value of lactate level in predicting an early poor outcome, as compared to and combined with common clinical scores and triage scales.

METHODS

This monocentric prospective study recruited ED patients who were over 65 years old between July 19th 2019 and June 17th 2020. Patients consulting for seizures or needing immediate assessment were excluded. POCT lactates were considered elevated if ≥ 2.5 mmol/L. A poor outcome was defined based on certain complications or therapeutic decisions.

RESULTS

In total, 602 patients were included; 163 (27.1%) had elevated lactate and 44 (7.3%) had a poor outcome. There was no association between poor outcome and lactate level. Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) was significantly associated with poor outcome, alongside National Early Warning Score (NEWS). Logistic regression also associated lactate level combined with MEWS and poor outcome.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of elevated lactate was 27.1%. Lactate level alone or combined with different triage scales or clinical scores such as MEWS, NEWS and qSOFA was not associated with prediction of a poor outcome. MEWS alone performed best in predicting poor outcome. The usefulness of POCT lactate measurement at triage is questionable in the population of 65 and above.

Accuracy of Emergency Severity Index in older adults

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE

Emergency Severity Index is a five-level triage tool in the emergency department that predicts the need for emergency department resources and the degree of emergency. However, it is unknown whether this is valid in patients aged greater than or equal to 65 years.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to compare the accuracy of the Emergency Severity Index triage system between emergency department patients aged 18-64 and greater than or equal to 65 years.

DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS

This was a retrospective observational cohort study of adults who presented to a Finnish emergency department between 1 February 2018 and 28 February 2018. All data were collected from electronic health records.

OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSIS

The primary outcome was 3-day mortality. The secondary outcomes were 30-day mortality, hospital admission, high dependency unit or ICU admission, and emergency department length of stay. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and cutoff performances were used to investigate significant associations between triage categories and outcomes. The results of the two age groups were compared.

MAIN RESULTS

There were 3141 emergency department patients aged 18-64 years and 2370 patients aged greater than or equal to 65 years. The 3-day mortality area under the curve in patients aged greater than or equal to 65 years was greater than that in patients aged 18-64 years. The Emergency Severity Index was associated with high dependency unit/ICU admissions in both groups, with moderate sensitivity [18-64 years: 61.8% (50.9-71.9%); greater than or equal to 65 years: 73.3% (63.5-81.6%)] and high specificity [18-64 years: 93.0% (92.0-93.8%); greater than or equal to 65 years: 90.9% (90.0-92.1%)]. The sensitivity was high and specificity was low for 30-day mortality and hospital admission in both age groups. The emergency department length of stay was the longest in Emergency Severity Index category 3 for both age groups. There was no significant difference in accuracy between age groups for any outcome.

CONCLUSION

Emergency Severity Index performed well in predicting high dependency unit/ICU admission rates for both 18-64 years and greater than or equal to 65-year-old patients. It predicted the 3-day mortality for patients aged greater than or equal to 65 years with high accuracy. It was inaccurate in predicting 30-day mortality and hospital admission for both age groups.

Patient disposition using the Emergency Severity Index: a retrospective observational study at an interdisciplinary emergency department

OBJECTIVES

Early patient disposition is crucial to prevent crowding in emergency departments (EDs). Our study aimed to characterise the need of in-house resources for patients treated in the ED according to the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) and the presenting complaint at the timepoint of triage.

DESIGN

A retrospective single-centre study was conducted.

SETTING

Data of all patients who presented to the interdisciplinary ED of a tertiary care hospital in Munich, Germany, from 2014 to 2017 were analysed.

PARTICIPANTS

n=113 694 patients were included.

MEASURES

ESI Score, medical speciality according to the chief complaint, mode of arrival, admission rates and discharge destination from the ED were evaluated.

RESULTS

Patient disposition varied according to ESI scores in combination with the chief complaint. Patients with low ESI scores were more likely to be admitted after treatment in the ED than patients with high ESI scores. Highly prioritised patients (ESI 1) mainly required admission to an intensive care unit (ICU, 27%), intermediate care unit (IMC, 37%) or immediate intervention (11%). In this critical patient group, 30% of patients with neurological or medical symptoms required immediate intensive care, whereas only 17% of patients with surgical problems were admitted to an ICU. A significant number of patients (particularly with neurological or medical problems) required hospital (and in some cases even ICU or IMC) admission despite high ESI scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, ESI seems to be a useful tool to anticipate the need for specialised in-hospital resources on arrival. Patients with symptoms pointing at neurological or medical problems need particular attention as ESI may fail to sufficiently predict the care facility level for this patient group.

Intensive care of geriatric patients-a thin line between under- and overtreatment

Demographic developments are leading to an ever-increasing proportion of elderly and aged patients in hospitals at all levels of care, and even more patients from these age groups are to be expected in the future. Based on the projected population development, e.g., in Norway, an increase in intensive care beds of between 26 and 37% is expected by 2025. This poses special challenges for the treatment and management of geriatric intensive care patients. The acute illness is not the only decisive factor, but rather the existing multimorbidity and functional limitations of this vulnerable patient group must likewise be taken into account. Age per se is not the sole determinant of prognosis in critical patients, even though mortality increases with age.

Effect of age adjustment on two triage methods

Background

Most emergency departments rely on acuity assessment, triage, to recognize critically ill patients that need urgent treatment, and to allocate resources according to need. The accuracy of commonly used triage instruments such as the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) is lower for older adults compared to young patients. We aim to examine, whether adjusting the triage category by age leads to improvement in sensitivity without excessive increase in patient numbers in the higher triage categories. The primary outcome measure was 3-day mortality and secondary outcomes were 30-day mortality, hospital admission, and HDU/ICU admissions.

Methods

We gathered data of all adult patients who had an unscheduled visit to any of our three emergency departments within one month. The data was analysed for 3-day mortality, 30-day mortality, hospital admission, and high dependency unit or intensive care unit (HDU/ICU) admission. The analysis was run for both the standard ESI triage method and a local 3-level Helsinki University Hospital (HUH) method. A further analysis was run for both triage methods with age adjustment. Net reclassification improvement values were calculated to demonstrate the effect of age adjustment.

Results

Thirteen thousand seven hundred fifty-nine patients met the study criteria, median age was 57. 3-day mortality AUCs for unadjusted HUH and ESI triage were 0.77 (0.65–0.88) and 0.72 (0.57–0.87); 30-day mortality AUCs were 0.64 (0.59–0.69) and 0.69 (0.64–0.73); hospital admission AUCs were 0.60 (0.68–0.71) and 0.66 (0.65–0.68) and HDU/ICU admission AUCs were 0.67 (0.64–0.70) and 0.82 (0.79–0.86), respectively. Age adjustment improved accuracy for 30-day mortality and hospital admission. With the threshold age of 80, AUCs for 30-day mortality were 0.73 (0.68–0.77) and 0.77 (0.73–0.81) and for hospital admission, 0.66 (0.65–0.67) and 0.72 (0.71–0.73) for the HUH and ESI triage. The effect was similar with all cut off ages.

Conclusion

Moving older adults into a more urgent triage category based on age, improved the triage instruments’ performance slightly in predicting 30-day mortality and hospital admission without excessive increase in patient numbers in the higher triage categories. Age adjustment did not improve HDU/ICU admission or 3-day mortality prediction.

Evaluation and disposition of older adults presenting to the emergency department with abdominal pain

BACKGROUND

Abdominal pain is the most common chief complaint in US emergency departments (EDs) among patients over 65, who are at high risk of mortality or incident disability after the ED encounter. We sought to characterize the evaluation, management, and disposition of older adults who present to the ED with abdominal pain.

METHODS

We performed a survey-weighted analysis of the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS), comparing older adults with a chief complaint of abdominal pain to those without. Visits from 2013 to 2017 to nationally representative EDs were included. We analyzed 81,509 visits to 1211 US EDs, which projects to 531,780,629 ED visits after survey weighting. We report the diagnostic testing, evaluation, management, additional reasons for visit, and disposition of ED visits.

RESULTS

Among older adults (≥65 years), 7% of ED visits were for abdominal pain. Older patients with abdominal pain had a lower probability of being triaged to the "Emergent" (ESI2) acuity on arrival (7.1% vs. 14.8%) yet were more likely to be admitted directly to the operating room than older adults without abdominal pain (3.6% vs. 0.8%), with no statistically significant differences in discharge home, death, or admission to critical care. Ultrasound or CT imaging was performed in 60% of older adults with abdominal pain. A minority (39%) of older patients with abdominal pain received an electrocardiogram (EKG).

CONCLUSIONS

Abdominal pain in older adults presenting to EDs is a serious condition yet is triaged to "emergent" acuity at half the rate of other conditions. Opportunities for improving diagnosis and management may exist. Further research is needed to examine whether improved recognition of abdominal pain as a syndromic presentation would improve patient outcomes.

Frailty-aware care: giving value to frailty assessment across different healthcare settings

Healthcare systems need to adapt to better serve an aging population with complex presentations. Frailty assessments are a potential means to address this heterogeneity in aging to identify individuals at increased risk for adverse health outcomes. Furthermore, frailty assessments offer an opportunity to optimize patient care in various healthcare settings. While the vast number of frailty assessment tools available can be a source of confusion for clinicians, each tool has features adaptable to the constraints and goals of different healthcare settings. This review discusses and compares barriers, facilitators, and the application of frailty assessments in primary care, the emergency department/intensive care unit and surgical care to cover a breadth of settings with different frailty assessment considerations. The implementation of frailty-aware care across healthcare settings potentiates better healthcare outcomes for older adults.

Validation of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS)-2 for adults in the emergency department in a tertiary-level clinic in Colombia: Cohort study

The National Early Warning Score (NEWS)-2 is an early warning scale that is used in emergency departments to identify patients at risk of clinical deterioration and to help establish rapid and timely management. The objective of this study was to determine the validity and prediction of mortality using the NEWS2 scale for adults in the emergency department of a tertiary clinic in Colombia.A prospective observational study was conducted between August 2018 and June 2019 at the Universidad de La Sabana Clinic.The nursing staff in the triage classified the patients admitted to the emergency room according to Emergency Severity Index and NEWS2. Demographic data, physiological variables, admission diagnosis, mortality outcome, and comorbidities were extracted.Three thousand nine hundred eighty-six patients were included in the study. Ninety-two (2%) patients required intensive care unit management, with a mean NEWS2 score of 7. A total of 158 patients died in hospital, of which 63 were women (40%). Of these 65 patients required intensive care unit management. The receiver operating characteristic curve for NEWS2 had an area of 0.90 (CI 95%: 0.87-0.92). A classification and score equivalency analysis was performed between triage and the NEWS2 scale in terms of mortality. Of the patients classified as triage I, 32.3% died, and those who obtained a NEWS2 score greater than or equal to 10 had a mortality of 38.6%.Among our population, NEWS2 was not inferior in its area under the receiver operating characteristic curve when predicting mortality than triage, and the cutoff point for NEWS2 to predict in-hospital mortality was higher.

The Undertriage of Older Adults in the Emergency Department: A Review of Interventions

The Research to Practice column is intended to improve the research critique skills of the advanced practice registered nurse and the emergency nurse and to assist with the translation of research into practice. A topic and a research study are selected for each column. A patient scenario is presented as a vehicle, in which to review and critique, the findings of the selected research study. In this column, we review the conclusions of A. Malinovska, L. Pitasch, N. Geigy, C. H. Nickel, and R. Bingisser (2019) from their article, titled "Modification of the Emergency Severity Index Improves Mortality Prediction in Older Patients."

Predicting Unscheduled Emergency Department Return Visits Among Older Adults: Population-Based Retrospective Study

Background

Unscheduled emergency department return visits (EDRVs) are key indicators for monitoring the quality of emergency medical care. A high return rate implies that the medical services provided by the emergency department (ED) failed to achieve the expected results of accurate diagnosis and effective treatment. Older adults are more susceptible to diseases and comorbidities than younger adults, and they exhibit unique and complex clinical characteristics that increase the difficulty of clinical diagnosis and treatment. Older adults also use more emergency medical resources than people in other age groups. Many studies have reviewed the causes of EDRVs among general ED patients; however, few have focused on older adults, although this is the age group with the highest rate of EDRVs.

Objective

This aim of this study is to establish a model for predicting unscheduled EDRVs within a 72-hour period among patients aged 65 years and older. In addition, we aim to investigate the effects of the influencing factors on their unscheduled EDRVs.

Methods

We used stratified and randomized data from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database and applied data mining techniques to construct a prediction model consisting of patient, disease, hospital, and physician characteristics. Records of ED visits by patients aged 65 years and older from 1996 to 2010 in the National Health Insurance Research Database were selected, and the final sample size was 49,252 records.

Results

The decision tree of the prediction model achieved an acceptable overall accuracy of 76.80%. Economic status, chronic illness, and length of stay in the ED were the top three variables influencing unscheduled EDRVs. Those who stayed in the ED overnight or longer on their first visit were less likely to return. This study confirms the results of prior studies, which found that economically underprivileged older adults with chronic illness and comorbidities were more likely to return to the ED.

Conclusions

Medical institutions can use our prediction model as a reference to improve medical management and clinical services by understanding the reasons for 72-hour unscheduled EDRVs in older adult patients. A possible solution is to create mechanisms that incorporate our prediction model and develop a support system with customized medical education for older patients and their family members before discharge. Meanwhile, a reasonably longer length of stay in the ED may help evaluate treatments and guide prognosis for older adult patients, and it may further reduce the rate of their unscheduled EDRVs.

Performance of the interRAI ED Screener for Risk-Screening in Older Adults Accessing Paramedic Services

Background

Paramedics respond to a significant number of non-emergency calls generated by older adults each year. Paramedics routinely assess and screen older adults to determine risk level and need for additional follow-up. This project implemented the interRAI ED Screener into routine care to determine whether the screener and resulting Assessment Urgency Algorithm (AUA) score is useful in predicting adverse outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a population-based retrospective study using administrative health data for patients aged 65+ assessed by paramedics from July 2016 to February 2017. Patients were assigned an AUA score and classified into three risk categories. Outcome data including hospitalizations, Emergency Department (ED) visits, home care status, and survival were collected and compared across AUA risk categories using descriptive and analytical statistics.

Results

Of the 2,801 patients screened, 31.9% were classified as high risk, 23.6% as moderate risk, and 44.6% as low risk. Patients who scored in the highest risk category were found to have longer hospital stays, and were more likely to require home care (p<.0001). The AUA risk category also predicted survival (p<.001).

Conclusions

The AUA predicted multiple adverse outcomes in this population. Use of the AUA by paramedics may aid in earlier identification of those in need of additional intervention and services.

Triage Accuracy and Its Association with Patient Factors Using Emergency Severity Index: Findings from United Arab Emirates

Introduction

The Ministry of Health and Prevention of the UAE acquired an electronic medical record system (Wareed) through which they incorporated the Emergency Severity Index as the standard triaging tool. This raised the need to review population dynamics and the accuracy of triage performed by the health-care providers utilizing the tool.

Objective

This research aimed to study demographics and dynamics of the population presenting to emergency departments (EDs) during 2018, evaluate the accuracy of triage assessment using comparative analysis techniques, and determine relationships between patient factors (severity of illness, age-group) and the accuracy of triage.

Methods

This was an observational study that aimed to ascertain findings from ED data over 1 year (January 2018-December 2018) and explore factors associated with reduced accuracy in acuity assignment. We employed comparative analysis to measure the level of agreement between standard guidelines and local findings.

Results

A total of 576,154 patients visited EDs in 2018, of which 54.4% were male. A statistically significant increase in length of stay with increasing severity of illness was observed (Kruskal-Wallis test). Overall triage accuracy was 41.6%, with a positive association with increasing severity of illness. We found a positive association between severity of illness and accuracy of triage (OR 0.14, p=0). We also found on logistic regression that the age-group 11-20 years had the highest probability of accurate triage acuity (R ²=0.41, p=0).

Conclusion

Conducted on a very large data set from the UAE, our study reflects upon population dynamics and triage accuracy distribution among different variables. This study paves the way for further in-depth analysis of factors that may impact triage accuracy within EDs, and utilizing a similar approach it can be replicated in other settings as well.

Validity and reliability of the triage scale in older people in a regional emergency department in Hong Kong

Background:

Older people (⩾65 years) present a unique challenge in emergency department triage. Hong Kong’s Hospital Authority adopts a five-level emergency department triage system, with no special considerations for older people. We evaluated the validity and reliability of this triage scale in older people in a regional Hong Kong emergency department.

Methods:

In total, 295 cases stratified by triage category were randomly selected for review from November 2016 to January 2017. Validity was established by comparing the real emergency department patients’ triage category against (1) that of an expert panel and (2) the need for life-saving intervention. Triage notes were extracted to make case scenarios to evaluate inter- and intra-rater reliabilities. Emergency department nurses (n = 8) were randomly selected and grouped into <5 and ⩾5 years emergency department experience. All nurses independently rated all 295 scenarios, blinded to clinical outcomes.

Results:

The percentage agreement between the real emergency department patients’ triage category and the expert panel’s assignment was 68.5%, with 16.3% and 15.3% over-triage and under-triage, respectively. Quadratic weighting kappa for agreement with the expert panel was 0.72 (95% confidence interval: 0.53–0.91). The sensitivity, specificity and positive likelihood ratio for the need for life-saving interventions were 75.0% (95% confidence interval: 47.6%–92.7%), 97.1% (95% confidence interval: 94.4%–98.8%) and 26.2 (95% confidence interval: 12.5%–54.8%), respectively. The Fleiss kappa value for inter-rater reliability was 0.50 (95% confidence interval: 0.47–0.54) for junior and senior nurse groups, respectively.

Conclusion:

The current triage scale demonstrates reasonable validity and reliability for use in our older people. Considerations highlighting the unique characteristics of older people emergency department presentations are recommended.

Should age be incorporated into the adult triage algorithm in the emergency department?

OBJECTIVE

To compare resource utilization and mortality between older and younger adult patients with similar ED chief complaints and ESI triage levels.

METHODS

This was an observational study of consecutive adult patients (age ≥ 40) who presented to an academic ED over a 1-year period with chest pain, abdominal pain, altered mental status, generalized weakness, or headache. Patients were categorized into 40-64, 65-79, and ≥ 80-year old groups. Mortality and utilization outcomes were compared between age groups through logistic regression models or Cox proportional hazards adjusting for ESI level and chief complaint. Odds ratios (OR) and hazard ratios (HR) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

A total of 9798 ED visits were included. As compared to younger adults (age 40-64), older adults, independently of ESI level and chief complaint, had higher ED laboratory use (OR 1.46 [CI 1.29, 1.66] for age 65-80; OR 1.33 [CI 1.15, 1.55] for age ≥ 80), ED radiology use (OR 1.40 [CI 1.26, 1.56]; OR 1.48 [CI 1.30, 1.69]), hospital admission (OR 1.56 [CI 1.42, 1.72]; OR 1.97 [CI 1.75, 2.21]), and ICU admission (OR 1.38 [CI 1.15, 1.65]; OR 1.23 [CI 0.99, 1.52]). Despite similar ESI and chief complaint, patients age 65-79 and ≥ 80 had higher 30-day mortality rates (HR 1.87 [CI 1.39 to 2.51] and 2.47 [CI 1.81 to 3.37], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Older adults with similar chief complaints and ESI levels than younger adults, have significantly higher ED resource use, hospitalization rates, and mortality.

National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and 3-level triage scale as risk predictors in frail older adults in the emergency department

BACKGROUND

The aim of the emergency department (ED) triage is to recognize critically ill patients and to allocate resources. No strong evidence for accuracy of the current triage instruments, especially for the older adults, exists. We evaluated the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and a 3-level triage assessment as risk predictors for frail older adults visiting the ED.

METHODS

This prospective, observational study was performed in a Finnish ED. The data were collected in a six-month period and included were ≥ 75-year-old residents with Clinical Frailty Scale score of at least four. We analyzed the predictive values of NEWS2 and the three-level triage scale for 30-day mortality, hospital admission, high dependency unit (HDU) and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, a count of 72-h and 30-day revisits, and ED length-of-stay (LOS).

RESULTS

A total of 1711 ED visits were included. Median for age, CFS, LOS and NEWS2 were 85 years, 6 points, 6.2 h and 1 point, respectively. 30-day mortality was 96/1711. At triage, 69, 356 and 1278 of patients were assessed as red, yellow and green, respectively. There were 1103 admissions, of them 31 to an HDU facility, none to ICU. With NEWS2 and triage score, AUCs for 30-day mortality prediction were 0.70 (0.64-0.76) and 0.62 (0.56-0.68); for hospital admission prediction 0.62 (0.60-0.65) and 0.55 (0.52-0.56), and for HDU admission 0.72 (0.61-0.83) and 0.80 (0.70-0.90), respectively. The NEWS2 divided into risk groups of low, medium and high did not predict the ED LOS (p = 0.095). There was a difference in ED LOS between the red/yellow and as red/green patient groups (p < 0.001) but not between the yellow/green groups (p = 0.59). There were 48 and 351 revisits within 72 h and 30 days, respectively. With NEWS2 AUCs for 72-h and 30-day revisit prediction were 0.48 (95% CI 0.40-0.56) and 0.47 (0.44-0.51), respectively; with triage score 0.48 (0.40-0.56) and 0.49 (0.46-0.52), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The NEWS2 and a local 3-level triage scale are statistically significant, but poor in accuracy, in predicting 30-day mortality, and HDU admission but not ED LOS or revisit rates for frail older adults. NEWS2 also seems to predict hospital admission.

Deep-learning approaches to identify critically Ill patients at emergency department triage using limited information

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Triage quickly identifies critically ill patients, facilitating timely interventions. Many emergency departments (EDs) use emergency severity index (ESI) or abnormal vital sign triggers to guide triage. However, both use fixed thresholds, and false activations are costly. Prior approaches using machinelearning have relied on information that is often unavailable during the triage process. We examined whether deep-learning approaches could identify critically ill patients only using data immediately available at triage.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional study at an urban tertiary care center, from January 1, 2012-January 1, 2020. De-identified triage information included structured (age, sex, initial vital signs) and textual (chief complaint) data, with critical illness (mortality or ICU admission within 24 hours) as the outcome. Four progressively complex deep-learning models were trained and applied to triage information from all patients. We compared the accuracy of the models against ESI as the standard diagnostic test, using area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 445,925 patients were included, with 60,901 (13.7%) critically ill. Vital sign thresholds identified critically ill patients with AUC 0.521 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.519-0.522), and ESI <3 demonstrated AUC 0.672 (95% CI = 0.671-0.674), logistic regression classified patients with AUC 0.803 (95% CI = 0.802-0.804), 2-layer neural network with structured data with AUC 0.811 (95% CI = 0.807-0.815), gradient tree boosting with AUC 0.820 (95% CI = 0.818-0.821), and the neural network model with textual data with AUC 0.851 (95% CI = 0.849-0.852). All successive increases in AUC were statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Deep-learning techniques represent a promising method of augmenting triage, even with limited information. Further research is needed to determine if improved predictions yield clinical and operational benefits.

Addressing overcrowding in an emergency department: an approach for identifying and treating influential factors and a real-life application

Background

Overcrowding in hospital emergency departments that arises from long length-of-stay is an unfortunate common occurrence. While some factors affecting length-of-stay are well known, there may be additional factors that have not yet been properly addressed. This research offers a method for emergency department managers to use available data from their departments to identify new factors that significantly influence emergency departments crowding and patient length-of-stay.

Methods

We propose an algorithm that can assist emergency department managers in determining which of these factors to address, given budgetary constraints. We implemented it in a case study which takes into account factors that are known to be influential, e.g., reason for arrival, occupancy in the emergency department, and arrival time, as well as factors that are explored for the first time in this paper, such as patient heart rate, the number of accompanying escorts, and the number of tests assigned to patients (e.g., blood tests and urinalysis).

Results

All the implemented and new factors are shown to have a significant influence on the length-of-stay and crowding. We also obtained additional support for our results by interviewing emergency departments physicians and nurses from various hospitals.

Conclusions

It is expected that, by taking all the above factors into consideration, emergency departments efficiency can be improved. The algorithm constructed here allows the choice of the most cost-effective factors to be improved, subject to a given budget. We have been able to derive practical recommendations that emergency departments managers might use to limit crowding and patient length-of-stay.

Accuracy of the Emergency Department Triage System using the Emergency Severity Index for Predicting Patient Outcome; A Single Center Experience

Objective

To evaluate the accuracy of the five-level triage system using the emergency severity index (ESI) and to determine the compliance of the triage level with patient outcomes.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional study which was performed in the emergency department of Imam Reza Hospital of Mashhad during 2017. We included all the adult patients (≥15 years of age) referring to the emergency department. The data were recorded in a questionnaire containing three sections including demographic information, results of triage by ESI and final outcome of the patient. Patients referred to the triage unit were simultaneously triaged by triage nurse and some emergency medicine physicians. The triage was performed by a nurse with an emergency medicine physician (EMP) was considered as a gold standard and the outcome was compared in 24 hours later.

Results

Overall, we included 400 patients with a mean age of 46.40 ± 18.52 years among whom there were 211 (52.8%) men and 189 (47.3%) women. Finally, 123 patients were hospitalized, 12 died, 256 were discharged by a physician, and 9 people left the hospital with their own consent. The calculated weight kappa was used to determine the agreement between the observers (nurse triage and physician) at 0.701 so that the agreement between the triage performed by a nurse and an EMP was in an excellent level (p<0.001). There was a significant relationship between the triage levels (determined by physicians) and the outcome of the patient (p<0.001), and the five-level system had a high overlap and significant relation with patient's outcome.

Conclusion

The results of the current study revealed that the five-level triage system using the ESI has a high accuracy in triage and estimates the patient outcomes effectively and thus, could be used as an effective system in hospital triage.

Geriatric Screening, Triage Urgency, and 30-Day Mortality in Older Emergency Department Patients

BACKGROUND

Urgency triage in the emergency department (ED) is important for early identification of potentially lethal conditions and extensive resource utilization. However, in older patients, urgency triage systems could be improved by taking geriatric vulnerability into account. We investigated the association of geriatric vulnerability screening in addition to triage urgency levels with 30‐day mortality in older ED patients.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of the observational multicenter Acutely Presenting Older Patient (APOP) study.

SETTING

EDs within four Dutch hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Consecutive patients, aged 70 years or older, who were prospectively included.

MEASUREMENTS

Patients were triaged using the Manchester Triage System (MTS). In addition, the APOP screener was used as a geriatric screening tool. The primary outcome was 30‐day mortality. Comparison was made between mortality within the geriatric high‐ and low‐risk screened patients in every urgency triage category. We calculated the difference in explained variance of mortality by adding the geriatric screener (APOP) to triage urgency (MTS) by calculating Nagelkerke R².

RESULTS

We included 2,608 patients with a median age of 79 (interquartile range = 74‐84) years, of whom 521 (20.0%) patients were categorized as high risk according to geriatric screening. Patients were triaged on urgency as standard (27.2%), urgent (58.5%), and very urgent (14.3%). In total, 132 (5.1%) patients were deceased within a period of 30 days. Within every urgency triage category, 30‐day mortality was threefold higher in geriatric high‐risk compared to low‐risk patients (overall = 11.7% vs 3.4%; P < .001). The explained variance of 30‐day mortality with triage urgency was 1.0% and increased to 6.3% by adding the geriatric screener.

CONCLUSION

Combining triage urgency with geriatric screening has the potential to improve triage, which may help clinicians to deliver early appropriate care to older ED patients. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:1755‐1762, 2020.

Nonspecific complaints in the emergency department - a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Nonspecific complaint (NSC) is a common presenting complaint in the emergency setting, especially in the elderly population. Individual studies have shown that it is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. This prognostic systematic review draws a synthesis of reported outcomes for patients presenting with NSC and compares them with outcomes for patients presenting with a specific complaint.

METHODS

We conducted a literature search for publications, abstracts and conference presentations from Ovid, Scopus and Web of Science for the past 20 years. Studies were included which treated adult patients presenting to the Emergency Medical Services or Emergency Department with NSC. 2599 studies were screened for eligibility and quality was assessed using the SIGN assessment for bias tool. We excluded any low-quality studies, resulting in nine studies for quantitative analysis. We analysed the included studies for in-hospital mortality, triage category, emergency department length of stay, admission rate, hospital length of stay, intensive care admissions and re-visitation rate and compared outcomes to patients presenting with specific complaints (SC), where data were available. We grouped discharge diagnoses by ICD-10 category.

RESULTS

We found that patients presenting with NSC were mostly older adults. Mortality for patients with NSC was significantly increased compared to patients presenting with SC [OR 2.50 (95% CI 1.40-4.47)]. They were triaged as urgent less often than SC patients [OR 2.12 (95% CI 1.08-4.16)]. Emergency department length of stay was increased in two out of three studies. Hospital length of stay was increased by 1-3 days. Admission rates were high in most studies, 55 to 84%, and increased in comparison to patients with SC [OR 3.86 (95% CI 1.76-8.47)]. These patients seemed to require more resources than patients with SC. The number for intensive care admissions did not seem to be increased. Data were insufficient to make conclusions regarding re-visitation rates. Discharge diagnoses were spread throughout the ICD-10 main chapters, infections being the most prevalent.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with NSC have a high risk of mortality and their care in the Emergency Department requires more time and resources than for patients with SC. We suggest that NSC should be considered a major emergency presentation.

Validity of Triage Performed by Nurses Educated by Train-of-Trainer Workshop Participants; a Cross-sectional Study for Assessment of Cascade Training System

Introduction:

In 2010, a national triage train-of-trainer (TOT) workshop was held in Tehran, Iran.

Objective:

The present study aimed to assess the validity of the triage performed by the nurses educated by those who participated in TOT workshop.

Method:

This cross-sectional study was carried out in 6 teaching hospitals from 4 universities in Iran. Inter-rater and intra-rater reliability of performed triage by participations was measured. Thirteen nurses were randomly selected. Thereafter, at the end of each working shift, patient data recorded in the daily data registry forms were collected. Then, duration of hospital stay, number of cases admitted to general wards or intensive care units, number of cases discharged from the ED within 12 hours and mortality rate were compared with the triage level determined by the nurse.

Results:

In total, 30 nurses with a mean age of 28.4 ± 3.7 years were enrolled. In this study, 1491 triage cases (61.6% male) were evaluated, of which 4.2% were triaged as level 1, 18.3% as level 2, 37.1% as level 3, 20.4% as level 4 and 20.0% as level 5. The following outcome was observed: 3.64% were discharged, 6.29% were hospitalized, 3% died and 2.3% were discharged against medical advice without completing treatment. The correlation of determined triage level and patients’ duration of hospitalization was significant based on one-way ANOVA test (p = 0.000). The outcome of the patients significantly correlated with the level of triage determined by the study nurses (p = 0.000).

Conclusion:

Based on the findings, it appears that triage performed by the study nurses educated by those who participated in TOT workshop through cascade training system had perfect validity.

Examining the relationship between triage acuity and frailty to inform the care of older emergency department patients: Findings from a large Canadian multisite cohort study

Background

The 2016 Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS) updates introduced frailty screening within triage to more accurately code frail patients who may deteriorate waiting for care. The relationship between triage acuity and frailty is not well understood, but may help inform which supplemental geriatric assessments are beneficial to support care in the emergency department (ED). Our objectives were to investigate the relationship between triage acuity and frailty, and to compare their associations with a series of patient outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a secondary analysis of the Canadian cohort from a multinational prospective study. Data were collected on ED patients 75 years of age and older from eight ED sites across Canada between November 2009 and April 2012. Triage acuity was assigned using the CTAS, whereas frailty was measured using an ED frailty index. Spearman rank and binary logistic regression were used to examine associations.

Results

A total of 2,153 ED patients were analyzed. No association was found between the CTAS and ED frailty index scores assigned to patients (r = .001; p = 0.99). The ED frailty index was associated with hospital admission (odds ratio [OR] = 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.4–1.6), hospital length of stay (OR = 1.4; 95% CI = 1.2–1.6), future hospitalization (OR = 1.1; 95% CI = 1.05–1.2), and ED recidivism (OR = 1.1; 95% CI = 1.04–1.2). The CTAS was associated with hospital admission (e.g., CTAS 2 v. 5; OR = 6; 95% CI = 3.3–11.4).

Conclusion

Our findings demonstrate that frailty and triage acuity are independent but complementary measures. EDs may benefit from comprehensive frailty screening post-triage, as frailty and its associated geriatric syndromes drive outcomes separate from traditional measures of acuity.

Effectiveness of Implementing Emergency Severity Index Triage System in a Selected Primary Health Care Center in Oman: A Quasi-Experimental Study

BACKGROUND

Because most primary health care centers in Oman do not use a formal triage system, there are no available data on the effectiveness of implementing this system.

PURPOSE

To assess the effectiveness of implementing an Emergency Severity Index triage system in primary health care centers in Oman.

METHODS

A pretest/posttest quasi-experimental design was used. The sample comprised 187 patients before Emergency Severity Index implementation and 102 patients after implementation. Waiting time, length of stay, patient satisfaction, and accuracy of classification were compared across the 2 groups.

RESULTS

The mean time (hour:minute) from registration to triage was reduced in the post-Emergency Severity Index group (mean = 0:18, SD = 0:14) compared with the pre-Emergency Severity Index group (mean = 0:23, SD = 0:19) (t = 2.59, P = 0.01). Furthermore, the mean length of stay was reduced in the post-Emergency Severity Index group (mean = 1:09, SD = 0:37) compared with that of the preimplementation group (mean = 1:24, SD = 0:41) (t = 3.10, P = 0.002). Patient satisfaction in the postimplementation group was improved (mean = 66.95, SD = 8.33) compared with that of the Emergency Severity Index group (mean = 65.01, SD = 8.73), but it did not reach statistical significance (t = -1.83, P = 0.07). The inter-rater agreement of triage level in post-Emergency Severity Index implementation markedly improved in the postimplementation group (Cohen's kappa = 0.910, P < 0.001) compared with that of the preimplementation group (Cohen's kappa = 0.082, P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Although this is a single-setting study, the results have shown that the Emergency Severity Index system can contribute to a decrease in the negative crowding outcomes in primary health care centers in Oman.

Modification of the Emergency Severity Index Improves Mortality Prediction in Older Patients

Introduction

Older patients frequently present to the emergency department (ED) with nonspecific complaints (NSC), such as generalized weakness. They are at risk of adverse outcomes, and early risk stratification is crucial. Triage using Emergency Severity Index (ESI) is reliable and valid, but older patients are prone to undertriage, most often at decision point D. The aim of this study was to assess the predictive power of additional clinical parameters in NSC patients.

Methods

Baseline demographics, vital signs, and deterioration of activity of daily living (ADL) in patients with NSC were prospectively assessed at four EDs. Physicians scored the coherence of history and their first impression. For prediction of 30-day mortality, we combined vital signs at decision point D (heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation) as “ESI vital,” and added “ADL deterioration,” “incoherence of history,” or “first impression,” using logistic regression models.

Results

We included 948 patients with a median age of 81 years, 62% of whom were female. The baseline parameters at decision point D (ESI vital) showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.64 for predicting 30-day mortality in NSC patients. AUCs increased to 0.67 by adding ADL deterioration to 0.66 by adding incoherence of history, and to 0.71 by adding first impression. Maximal AUC was 0.73, combining all parameters.

Conclusion

Adding the physicians’ first impressions to vital signs at decision point D increases predictive power of 30-day mortality significantly. Therefore, a modified ESI could improve predictive power of triage in older patients presenting with NSCs.

Development and validation of the Heidelberg Neurological Triage System (HEINTS)

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Neurological syndromes are underrepresented in existing triage systems which are not validated for neurological patients; therefore, we developed and validated the new Heidelberg Neurological Triage System (HEINTS) in a prospective, single-center observational study.

METHODS

Patients were triaged according to the new triage system by nurses and physicians (stage 1) as well as trained nurses (stage 2). In stage 1, all patients presenting to the neurological emergency room (ER) were triaged by nurses and physicians. In stage 2, three specially trained nurses triaged patients according to HEINTS. The main outcomes comprised interrater agreement between nurses' and physicians' triage (stage 1), sensitivity and specificity to detect emergencies (stages 1 and 2), and improvement in triage quality as a result of training (stage 2), as well as correlation of HEINTS with hospital admissions and resource utilization.

RESULTS

In stage 1 (n = 2423 patients), sensitivity and specificity to detect neurological emergencies were 84.2% (SD 0.8%) and 85.4% (SD 0.8%) for nurses, as well as 92.4% (SD 0.6%) and 84.1% (SD 0.9%) for physicians, respectively. The interrater-reliability between nurses and physicians in stage 1 was moderate [Cohen's kappa 0.44, standard deviation (SD) 0.02]. In stage 2 (n = 506 patients), sensitivity of trained nurses increased to 94.3% (SD 1.0%), while specificity decreased to 74.8% (SD 1.9%). Correlation of HEINTS triage with hospital admission and resource utilization in both stages was highly significant.

CONCLUSIONS

HEINTS predicted hospital admissions and resource utilization. Agreement between nurses and physicians was moderate. HEINTS, applied by physicians and by nurses after training, reliably detected neurological emergencies.

Impact of age on the discriminative ability of an emergency triage system: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Emergency triage systems optimize resources in emergency departments (EDs) for those who need urgent care. Five-level triage systems, such as the Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS), have been used worldwide. We examined whether the discriminative ability of an emergency triage system varies according to age group using a patient cohort triaged with the Japan Triage and Acuity Scale (JTAS), a validated system based on the CTAS.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study of 27 120 self-presenting patients aged 16 years and older who were triaged with (JTAS) between June 2013 and May 2014 at a Japanese tertiary care hospital. Outcome measures were admission to intensive care units (ICUs) as the primary and in-hospital death as the secondary. We described the trends of the discriminative ability of JTAS using areas under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of JTAS for seven age categories.

RESULTS

The AUROC of JTAS for ICU admission decreased with age (maximum 0.85 to minimum 0.71), sensitivity non-significantly decreased (maximum 0.67 to minimum 0.32), and specificity declined with age (maximum 0.96 to minimum 0.88). The positive and negative predictive value increased (minimum 0.03 to maximum 0.09) and decreased (minimum 0.98 to maximum 0.99), respectively, with age. Overall misclassification increased across age groups (P < 0.001). This trend was mostly consistent with the analysis of in-hospital death.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that the discriminative ability of an emergency triage system decreases as patient age increases, corresponding to a decrease in specificity. Undertriage may not significantly increase, but misclassification significantly increases as patient age increases.

["Triage"-primary assessment of patients in the emergency department : An overview with a systematic review]

BACKGROUND

"Triage" means the primary assessment of a previously unknown patient with an acute health disorder, initially considered a medical emergency. The initial triage is part of the primary assessment, which also includes the registration of administrative data and patient's mode of arrival.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the work is to provide an overview of frequently used structured primary assessment tools and the underlying evidence for their use in the emergency room.

METHODS

Based on a systematic literature search in PubMed, 41 articles were selected according to predefined criteria.

RESULTS

The most frequently used primary assessment systems in Germany are the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) and the Manchester Triage System (MTS). Scientific evidence exists for the accuracy and reliability of the primary assessment with these instruments. However, there are no gold standards for measuring urgency, so that separate criteria must be defined. Sufficient data to determine a treatment sector or the necessary staffing levels are lacking.

CONCLUSIONS

Structured primary assessment using formalized systems alone is inadequate to categorize the urgency of emergency and acute patients. In fact, a combination of different measures in an interprofessional team is required. Primary assessment systems and processes generally do not allow patients to be referred to downstream structures without a thorough medical examination.

Validity of the Manchester Triage System in emergency patients receiving life-saving intervention or acute medical treatment-A prospective observational study in the emergency department

RATIONALE, AIMS, AND OBJECTIVES

The spectrum of cases seen by emergency departments ranges from minor illnesses or injuries to complex diseases with high mortality. Some patients require life-saving interventions (LSIs) or therapeutic treatment for an acute illness to prevent an expected imminent life-threatening condition immediately upon arrival. No published study has evaluated the validity of the Manchester Triage System (MTS) in the context of immediate LSI or acute emergency treatment (AET).

METHODS

The definition of LSI was based on a literature search. AET was defined by an expert panel based on current emergency guidelines and diagnostic guideline recommendations. In a 4-month observation period, an independent external observer documented all executed LSIs or AETs using a checklist. Sensitivity, negative predictive value, likelihood ratio negative (LR-), and accuracy of MTS triage level for the identification of patients receiving an LSI or AET were calculated.

RESULTS

In 1762 patients, 40 (2.3%) LSIs and 89 (5.1%) AETs were observed. In the LSI group, sensitivity of MTS was 75.0%, negative predictive value (NPV) was 99.2% (95% CI: 98.7%-99.6%), LR- was 0.303 (95% CI: 0.189-0.487) and accuracy (ACC) was 98.5% (95% CI: 97.8%-98.9%). In the AET group, sensitivity was 82.0%, NPV was 98.9% (95% CI: 98.1%-99.3%), LR- was 0.206 (95% CI: 0.132-0.322), and ACC was 86.5% (95% CI: 84.9%-88.1%).

CONCLUSION

The MTS is a valid instrument for a first assessment of emergency patients in critical condition upon arrival.

Risk assessment models for potential use in the emergency department have lower predictive ability in older patients compared to the middle-aged for short-term mortality - a retrospective cohort study

Background

Older patients is a complex group at increased risk of adverse outcomes compared to younger patients, which should be considered in the risk assessment performed in emergency departments. We evaluated whether the predictive ability of different risk assessment models for acutely admitted patients is affected by age.

Methods

Cohort study of middle-aged and older patients. We investigated the accuracy in discriminating between survivors and non-survivors within 7 days of different risk assessment models; a traditional triage algorithm, a triage algorithm with clinical assessment, vital signs, routine biomarkers, and the prognostic biomarker soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR).

Results

The cohort included 22,653 (53.2%) middle-aged patients (age 40–69 years), and 19,889 (46.8%) older patients (aged 70+ years). Death within 7 days occurred in 139 patients (0.6%) in middle-aged patients and 596 (3.0%) of the older patients. The models based on vital signs and routine biomarkers had the highest area under the curve (AUC), and both were significantly better at discriminating 7-day mortality in middle-aged patients compared to older patients; AUC (95% CI): 0.88 (0.84–0.91), 0.75 (0.72–0.78), P < 0.01, and 0.86 (0.82–0.90), 0.76 (0.73–0.78), P < 0.001. In a subgroup of the total cohort (6.400 patients, 15.0%), the suPAR level was available. suPAR had the highest AUC of all individual predictors with no significant difference between the age groups, but further research in this biomarker is required before it can be used.

Conclusion

The predictive value was lower in older patients compared to middle-aged patients for all investigated models. Vital signs or routine biomarkers constituted the best models for predicting 7-day mortality and were better than the traditional triage model. Hence, the current risk assessment for short-term mortality can be strengthened, but modifications for age should be considered when constructing new risk assessment models in the emergency department.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12877-019-1154-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Validity of the Japan Acuity and Triage Scale in elderly patients: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

In developed nations, the age of patients in emergency departments (ED) continues to increase. Many emergency triage systems, such as the Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS), triage patients as a homogenous group, regardless of age. However, older adults have multiple comorbidities and a higher risk of undertriage. The Japan Acuity and Triage Scale (JTAS) was developed based on the CTAS and has been validated for overall adults. We assessed the validity of the JTAS for use in elderly ED patients.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a cohort study that previously validated the JTAS in self-presenting adults of all ages in the ED of a Japanese tertiary-care hospital. We included non-transferred patients who were ≥65 years old and triaged between June 2013 and May 2014. Our primary outcome measures were overall admission and ED length of stay. Our secondary outcomes included admission to the intensive care units (ICUs) and in-hospital mortality. We examined the association between the triage level and patient outcomes with multivariable logistic regression analysis (overall and ICU admission and in-hospital mortality) and the Kruskal-Wallis rank-sum test (ED length of stay).

RESULTS

We included a total of 11,087 elderly patients in our study. Higher odds ratios for overall and ICU admission and in-hospital mortality corresponded to higher acuity levels. ED length of stay was significantly longer in patients with a higher JTAS level (p < 0.001). Twenty-nine percent of admissions who were triaged as lower acuity levels were related to non-acute diseases including malignancy-related events.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests an association between the JTAS triage level and clinical outcomes in self-presenting elderly patients, thereby demonstrating the validity of the JTAS in these patients. However, admission due to chronic diseases including malignancy was common in patients who were rated as low acuity level.