Biomarkers associated with 30-day readmission and mortality after pediatric congenital heart surgery

Does the ST2 Level in Pediatric Heart Failure Patients Correlate with Cardiovascular Events and Mortality?

INTRODUCTION

The suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) is a receptor member belonging to the interleukin-1 (IL-1) family. The ligand and soluble versions are its two isoforms. The IL-33-ST2L ligand complex's development provides protection against heart fibrosis and hypertrophy. Investigations on heart failure in adults have demonstrated that it does not change by age, body mass index (BMI), creatinine, hemoglobin, and albumin levels, in contrast to NT pro BNP. In adult heart failure patients, it has been demonstrated to be an independent predictor of mortality and cardiovascular events. The most recent guideline recommends using it as class 2b in the diagnosis of adult heart failure. Studies on ST2 in children are rare. The purpose of this study is to assess the prognostic value of ST2 for cardiovascular events in young individuals suffering from heart failure.

METHOD

This study included pediatric patients (0-18 years old) with congenital heart disease or cardiomyopathy who needed medical care, as well as surgical or interventional treatment. Height, weight, gender, saturation, heart failure classification (Ross or NYHA), medications, the electrocardiogram, echocardiography, pro BNP, and sST2 values of the patients, as well as any hospitalization, lower respiratory tract infection, organ dysfunction, or need for angiography or surgery during follow-up data on arrhythmia and death were gathered during a 1-year follow-up. The SPSS software version 25 application was used to carry out the statistical analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 59 patients, of whom 27 (46.6%) were male. The average age of the patients was 55.5 months (1-228 months) and the average body weight was 16 kg (2.6-90 kg). Major cardiovascular events occurred in 45 of 59 patients (76.3%). Twenty-four patients experienced one MACE, while twenty-one patients experienced multiple MACEs. Pro BNP and sST2 levels were similar in the groups that developed MACE compared to those that did not. Pro BNP was discovered to be significantly higher in patients with hospitalization, growth retardation, lower respiratory tract infection, and organ failure, however, when assessing each situation (p = 0.001, p = 0.011, p = 0.001, p = 0.007, respectively). Soluble ST2 was found to be higher in patients with growth retardation than in those without (p = 0.037). Although the soluble ST2 level failed to demonstrate a correlation with pro BNP, it did show a positive correlation (r = 0.437) with the Ross score. When compared to other groups, it was discovered to be higher in patients with valvular insufficiency type heart disease.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, higher sST2 levels were discovered, particularly in the group with valve insufficiency and children with growth retardation. It was associated with the Ross score, but not with the pro BNP level. Although it increases in correlation with clinical heart failure, its predictive value for MACE is low. Similarly, pro BNP is not proven to be predictive; nonetheless, its high levels in patients with hospitalization, growth retardation, lower respiratory tract infection, and organ failure demonstrate that pro BNP may increase for a variety of causes. Long-term studies with more patients are needed for ST2 to be suitable for clinical use in pediatric patients.

Analytical performances of a new rapid assay of soluble ST2 for cardiac and inflammatory diseases and establishment of the reference intervals for children and adolescence in China

Background

sST2 has emerged as a potential disease biomarker of cardiac and inflammatory diseases in pediatrics. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the new Pylon sST2 assay and establish the reference intervals of sST2 in children and adolescence in China.

Methods

The experiments on precision, linearity, effects of interferents and sample stability were carried out to evaluate the analytical performances. A total of 240 healthy participants, aged from 2 to 17 years were enrolled. The nonparametric method was used to calculate the age- and sex-specified reference intervals. sST2 levels were measured in children with different diseases to evaluate the assay's diagnostic performance.

Results

The repeatability and within-laboratory imprecision CVs of the assay were 6.0% and 7.6% at 19.5 ng/ml, and 3.1% and 5.9% at 289.8 ng/ml, respectively. The method showed linearity between 2.5 and 918.5 ng/ml. It was also noteworthy that the sST2 level was not affected in the presence of hemoglobin (2 mg/ml), triglyceride (30 mg/ml), bilirubin (0.3 mg/ml) and cholesterol (5 mg/ml). sST2 was found stable for 5 days at 4 °C in serum sample. The reference interval was determined as 2.1-21.0 ng/ml in general. No significant variation was observed by sex. However, sST2 increased constantly with age, especially in male. Increased sST2 was found in patients of systemic lupus erythematosus, sepsis, Crohn's diseases, respiratory failure and post cardiac surgery.

Conclusions

The Pylon sST2 assay showed good analytical performances. The reference intervals were established in children and adolescence and sST2 showed potential clinical values in several diseases in pediatrics.

Cardiac Function and Serum Biomarkers throughout Staged Fontan Palliation: A Prospective Observational Study

Fontan patients undergo multiple cardiothoracic surgeries in childhood. Following these procedures, ventricular function is temporarily decreased, and recovers over months. This is presumably related to cardiopulmonary bypass, but this is incompletely understood. Throughout the Fontan palliation, cardiac function is also affected by volume unloading. We aimed to gain insight into the biological processes related to impaired ventricular function and recovery following Fontan palliations using a panel of biomarkers. Furthermore, we described changes in ventricular function across the Fontan palliation due to volume unloading. We performed a prospective multicenter observational study in patients undergoing partial (PCPC) or total cavo-pulmonary connection (TCPC). Patients underwent assessment-including echocardiography and blood sampling-before surgery (T1), at first follow-up (T2), and 1 year after their procedures (T3). Blood samples were analyzed using a biomarker panel (OLINK CVD-III). Ninety-two biomarkers were expressed as principal components (PC) to limit multiple statistical testing. We included 32 PCPC patients aged 7.2 [5.3-10.3] months, and 28 TCPC patients aged 2.7 [2.2-3.8] years. The single ventricular longitudinal strain (SV GLS) temporarily decreased for PCPC patients at T2 (-15.1 ± 5.6 (T1) to -13.5 ± 5.2 (T2) to -17.3 ± 4.5 (T3), p < 0.047 for all differences), but not following TCPC. The serum biomarkers were expressed as 4 PCs. PC1, including biomarkers of cell-cell adhesion, was not related to any patient characteristic. PC2, including biomarkers of superoxide anion regulation, increased at T2. PC3, including biomarkers of cardiovascular development, related to the stage of Fontan palliation. PC4 was of uncertain biological or clinical significance. No PC was found that related to ventricular performance. The SV GLS was temporarily diminished following PCPC, but not following TCPC. Several biomarkers were related to post-operative stress and adaptation to the PCPC or TCPC circulation, but none were related to the outcome.

The Role of Galectin-3 in Predicting Congenital Heart Disease Outcome: A Review of the Literature

Galectin-3 (Gal-3) is a novel pro-fibrotic biomarker that can predict both right and left cardiac dysfunction caused by various cardiovascular conditions. Its expression seems to be progressively altered with evolving cardiac remodeling processes, even before the onset of heart failure. Hence, Gal-3 has been found to be an individual predictor of acute and chronic heart failure or to serve as part of an integrated biomarker panel that can foresee adverse cardiac outcomes. In congenital heart disease (CHD), Gal-3 correlates with cardiac mortality and complications in both children and adults and is proposed as a therapeutic target in order to reverse the activation of pro-fibrosis pathways that lead to heart failure. Positive associations between serum Gal-3 levels, post-operatory hospitalization rates, complications and ventricular dysfunction have also been reported within studies conducted on patients with CHD who underwent corrective surgery. Thus, this review tried to address the potential utility of Gal-3 in patients with CHD and particularly in those who undergo corrective surgery. The heterogeneity of the literature data and the lack of validation of the results obtained by the current studies on larger cohorts cannot be neglected, though. Further longitudinal research is required to establish how Gal-3 can relate to long-term outcomes in pediatric CHD.

Biomarkers, Socioeconomic Factors, and Right Ventricular Function After Surgical Repair for Tetralogy of Fallot

Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction early after tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) increases post-operative morbidity. We investigated associations of circulating biomarkers and socioeconomic factors with early post-operative RV systolic function. Single-center prospective cohort study of infants undergoing TOF repair. Six serologic biomarkers of myocardial fibrosis and wall stress collected at the time of surgery were measured with immunoassay. Geocoding was performed for socioeconomic factors. Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) models identified factors associated with RV function parameters: fractional area change (FAC), global longitudinal strain and strain rate, and free wall strain and strain rate. Seventy-one patients aged 3.5 months (IQR 2.4, 5.2) were included. Galectin-3 was the highest ranked predictor for FAC, global longitudinal strain, and free wall strain, and procollagen type-I carboxy-terminal propeptide (PICP) was the highest ranked predictor for global longitudinal strain rate and free wall strain rate. Several neighborhood characteristics were also highly ranked. Models adjusted R² ranged from 0.71 to 0.85 (FAC, global longitudinal strain/strain rate), and 0.55-0.57 (RV free wall strain/strain rate). A combination of serologic biomarkers, socioeconomic, and clinical variables explain a significant proportion of the variability in RV function after TOF repair. These factors may inform pre-operative risk-stratification for these patients.

Applicability of predictive models for 30-day unplanned hospital readmission risk in paediatrics: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

To summarise multivariable predictive models for 30-day unplanned hospital readmissions (UHRs) in paediatrics, describe their performance and completeness in reporting, and determine their potential for application in practice.

DESIGN

Systematic review.

DATA SOURCE

CINAHL, Embase and PubMed up to 7 October 2021.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

English or German language studies aiming to develop or validate a multivariable predictive model for 30-day paediatric UHRs related to all-cause, surgical conditions or general medical conditions were included.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Study characteristics, risk factors significant for predicting readmissions and information about performance measures (eg, c-statistic) were extracted. Reporting quality was addressed by the 'Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis' (TRIPOD) adherence form. The study quality was assessed by applying six domains of potential biases. Due to expected heterogeneity among the studies, the data were qualitatively synthesised.

RESULTS

Based on 28 studies, 37 predictive models were identified, which could potentially be used for determining individual 30-day UHR risk in paediatrics. The number of study participants ranged from 190 children to 1.4 million encounters. The two most common significant risk factors were comorbidity and (postoperative) length of stay. 23 models showed a c-statistic above 0.7 and are primarily applicable at discharge. The median TRIPOD adherence of the models was 59% (P₂₅-P₇₅, 55%-69%), ranging from a minimum of 33% to a maximum of 81%. Overall, the quality of many studies was moderate to low in all six domains.

CONCLUSION

Predictive models may be useful in identifying paediatric patients at increased risk of readmission. To support the application of predictive models, more attention should be placed on completeness in reporting, particularly for those items that may be relevant for implementation in practice.

Associations Between Blood Biomarkers, Cardiac Function, and Adverse Outcome in a Young Fontan Cohort

Background Patients who have undergone the Fontan procedure are at high risk of circulatory failure. In an exploratory analysis we aimed to determine the prognostic value of blood biomarkers in a young cohort who have undergone the Fontan procedure. Methods and Results In multicenter prospective studies patients who have undergone the Fontan procedure underwent blood sampling, cardiopulmonary exercise testing, and stress cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. Several biomarkers including NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), GDF-15 (growth differentiation factor 15), Gal-3 (galectin-3), ST2 (suppression of tumorigenicity 2), DLK-1 (protein delta homolog 1), FABP-4 (fatty acid-binding protein 4), IGFBP-1 (insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 1), IGFBP-7, MMP-2 (matrix metalloproteinase 2), and vWF (von Willebrand factor) were assessed in blood at 9.6 (7.1-12.1) years after Fontan completion. After this baseline study measurement, follow-up information was collected on the incidence of adverse cardiac events, including cardiac death, out of hospital cardiac arrest, heart transplantation (listing), cardiac reintervention (severe events), hospitalization, and cardioversion/ablation for arrhythmias was collected and the relation with blood biomarkers was assessed by Cox proportional hazard analyses. The correlation between biomarkers and other clinical parameters was evaluated. We included 133 patients who have undergone the Fontan procedure, median age 13.2 (25th, 75th percentile 10.4-15.9) years, median age at Fontan 3.2 (2.5-3.9) years. After a median follow-up of 6.2 (4.9-6.9) years, 36 (27.1%) patients experienced an event of whom 13 (9.8%) had a severe event. NT-proBNP was associated with (all) events during follow-up and remained predictive after correction for age, sex, and dominant ventricle (hazard ratio, 1.89; CI, 1.32-2.68). The severe event-free survival was better in patients with low levels of GDF-15 (P=0.005) and vWF (P=0.008) and high levels of DLK-1 (P=0.041). There was a positive correlation (β=0.33, P=0.003) between DLK-1 and stress cardiac magnetic resonance imaging functional reserve. Conclusions NT-proBNP, GDF-15, vWF, DLK-1, ST-2 FABP-4, and IGFBP-7 levels relate to long-term outcome in young patients who have undergone the Fontan procedure.

Galectin-3: A Potential Prognostic and Diagnostic Marker for Heart Disease and Detection of Early Stage Pathology

The use of molecular biomarkers for the early detection of heart disease, before their onset of symptoms, is an attractive novel approach. Ideal molecular biomarkers, those that are both sensitive and specific to heart disease, are likely to provide a much earlier diagnosis, thereby providing better treatment outcomes. Galectin-3 is expressed by various immune cells, including mast cells, histiocytes and macrophages, and plays an important role in diverse physiological functions. Since galectin-3 is readily expressed on the cell surface, and is readily secreted by injured and inflammatory cells, it has been suggested that cardiac galectin-3 could be a marker for cardiac disorders such as cardiac inflammation and fibrosis, depending on the specific pathogenesis. Thus, galectin-3 may be a novel candidate biomarker for the diagnosis, analysis and prognosis of various cardiac diseases, including heart failure. The goals of heart disease treatment are to prevent acute onset and to predict their occurrence by using the ideal molecular biomarkers. In this review, we discuss and summarize recent developments of galectin-3 as a next-generation molecular biomarker of heart disease. Furthermore, we describe how galectin-3 may be useful as a diagnostic marker for detecting the early stages of various heart diseases, which may contribute to improved early therapeutic interventions.

Predicting 30-day readmission after congenital heart surgery across the lifespan

INTRODUCTION

Hospital readmission is an important driver of costs among patients with CHD. We assessed predictors of 30-day rehospitalisation following cardiac surgery in CHD patients across the lifespan.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of 981 patients with CHD who had cardiac surgery between January 2011 and December 2012. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify demographic, clinical, and surgical predictors of 30-day readmission. Receiver operating curves derived from multivariate logistic modelling were utilised to discriminate between patients who were readmitted and not-readmitted at 30 days. Model goodness of fit was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test statistic.

RESULTS

Readmission in the 30 days following congenital heart surgery is common (14.0%). Among 981 patients risk factors associated with increased odds of 30-day readmission after congenital heart surgery through multivariate analysis included a history of previous cardiac surgery (p < 0.001), longer post-operative length of stay (p < 0.001), as well as nutritional (p < 0.001), haematologic (p < 0.02), and endocrine (p = 0.04) co-morbidities. Patients who underwent septal defect repair had reduced odds of readmission (p < 0.001), as did children (p = 0.04) and adult (p = 0.005) patients relative to neonates.

CONCLUSION

Risk factors for readmission include a history of cardiac surgery, longer length of stay, and co-morbid conditions. This information may serve to guide efforts to prevent readmission and inform resource allocation in the transition of care to the outpatient setting. This study also demonstrated the feasibility of linking a national subspecialty registry to a clinical and administrative data repository to follow longitudinal outcomes of interest.

N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide as a biomarker for differentiating cardiac and pulmonary disease in term neonates with respiratory distress

Objective

Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) is synthesized in the cardiac ventricles and released in response to volume or pressure load. The aim of the study was to determine whether plasma level of N-terminal pro BNP (NT-pro BNP) can distinguish between cardiac and pulmonary disease (PD) among neonates with respiratory distress (RD).

Patients and methods

The study included 48 term neonates in the first month of life with signs of RD. They were recruited from Neonatal Intensive Care Unit of Al-Galaa Teaching Hospital. Twenty-six healthy neonates were included as a control group. The degree of RD was assessed using Silverman–Anderson score. Chest X-ray, echocardiography, and laboratory measurement of NT-pro BNP were performed.

Results

According to the underlying disease, neonates with RD were divided into 28 neonates with PD and 20 neonates with congenital heart disease (CHD). Regardless the etiology of RD, NT-pro BNP was significantly higher in the RD group than in the control (p = 0.001). There was a significant difference between and within the three groups regarding NT-pro BNP (p = 0.001). NT-pro BNP was significantly higher in the CHD group than in the PD group (p = 0.001). There was a significant difference between and within RD subgroups. The NT-pro BNP is a very useful test for identification of CHD in neonates with RD. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for CHD was 0.857 (p = 0.01), sensitivity 66%, specificity 85%, and cutoff point was 24.5 pg/mL. The area under the curve for PD was 0.646 (p = 0.1) with poor sensitivity and specificity, indicating that NT-pro BNP is a poor test for identification of PD in neonates with RD.

Conclusion

Term neonates with RD have increased plasma levels of NT-pro BNP. NT-pro BNP is a very good test for identification of CHD in neonates with RD, in comparison with PD. Therefore, plasma NT-pro BNP can be used to differentiate between cardiac and pulmonary cause of RD.

ST2 Predicts Risk of Unplanned Readmission Within 1 Year After Pediatric Congenital Heart Surgery

BACKGROUND

Approximately 10% to 20% of children are readmitted after congenital heart surgery. Very little is known about biomarkers as predictors of risk of unplanned readmission after pediatric congenital heart surgery. Novel cardiac biomarker ST2 may be associated with risk of unplanned readmission. ST2 concentrations are believed to reflect cardiovascular stress and fibrosis. Our objective was to explore the relationship between pre- and postoperative ST2 biomarker levels and risk of readmission within 1 year after congenital heart surgery.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled pediatric patients aged < 18 years who underwent at least 1 congenital heart operation at Johns Hopkins Hospital from 2010 to 2014. Plasma samples were collected immediately before surgery and at the end of bypass. We used Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression models to adjust for variables used in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database mortality risk model.

RESULTS

Of our cohort of 145 patients, we found 39 children with readmissions within 365 days. The median time to unplanned readmission was 54 days (interquartile range, 10-153). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a significant difference across terciles of pre- and postoperative ST2 biomarker levels. After adjustment, elevated serum levels of ST2 measured preoperatively and postoperatively were associated with increased risk of readmission (hazard ratio, 2.5-3.7; all P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated levels of ST2 are significantly associated with increased risk of unplanned readmission within 1 year after pediatric congenital heart surgery. Novel serum biomarker ST2 can be used for risk stratification or estimating postsurgical prognosis.

The Association between Cytokines and 365-Day Readmission or Mortality in Adult Cardiac Surgery

Cardiac surgery results in a multifactorial systemic inflammatory response with inflammatory cytokines, such as interleukin-10 and 6 (IL-10 and IL-6), shown to have potential in the prediction of adverse outcomes including readmission or mortality. This study sought to measure the association between IL-6 and IL-10 levels and 1-year hospital readmission or mortality following cardiac surgery. Plasma biomarkers IL-6 and IL-10 were measured in 1,047 patients discharged alive after isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery from eight medical centers participating in the Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group between 2004 and 2007. Readmission status and mortality were ascertained using Medicare, state all-payer claims, and the National Death Index. We evaluated the association between preoperative and postoperative cytokines and 1-year readmission or mortality using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox's proportional hazards modeling, adjusting for covariates used in the Society of Thoracic Surgeons 30-day readmission model. The median follow-up time was 1 year. After adjustment, patients in the highest tertile of postoperative IL-6 values had a significantly increased risk of readmission or death within 1 year (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.03-1.85), and an increased risk of death within 1 year of discharge (HR: 4.88; 95% CI: 1.26-18.85) compared with patients in the lowest tertile. However, postoperative IL-10 levels, although increasing through tertiles, were not found to be significantly associated independently with 1-year readmission or mortality (HR: 1.25; 95% CI: .93-1.69). Pro-inflammatory cytokine IL-6 and anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10 may be postoperative markers of cardiac injury, and IL-6, specifically, shows promise in predicting readmission and mortality following cardiac surgery.

Preoperative miRNA-208a as a Predictor of Postoperative Complications in Children with Congenital Heart Disease Undergoing Heart Surgery

Major perioperative cardiovascular events are important causes of morbidity in pediatric patients with congenital heart disease who undergo reparative surgery. Current preoperative clinical risk assessment strategies have poor accuracy for identifying patients who will sustain adverse events following heart surgery. There is an ongoing need to integrate clinical variables with novel technology and biomarkers to accurately predict outcome following pediatric heart surgery. We tested whether preoperative levels of miRNAs-208a can serve as such a biomarker. Serum samples were obtained from pediatric patients immediately before heart surgery. MiRNA-208a was quantified by RQ-PCR. Correlations between the patient's clinical variables and miRNA levels were tested. Lower levels of preoperative miRNA-208a correlated with and could predict the appearance of postoperative cardiac and inflammatory complications. MiRNA-208a may serve as a biomarker for the prediction of patients who are at risk to develop complications following surgery for the repair of congenital heart defects.

Biomarkers improve prediction of 30-day unplanned readmission or mortality after paediatric congenital heart surgery

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between novel pre- and post-operative biomarker levels and 30-day unplanned readmission or mortality after paediatric congenital heart surgery.

METHODS

Children aged 18 years or younger undergoing congenital heart surgery (n = 162) at Johns Hopkins Hospital from 2010 to 2014 were enrolled in the prospective cohort. Collected novel pre- and post-operative biomarkers include soluble suppression of tumorgenicity 2, galectin-3, N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide, and glial fibrillary acidic protein. A model based on clinical variables from the Society of Thoracic Surgery database was developed and evaluated against two augmented models.

RESULTS

Unplanned readmission or mortality within 30 days of cardiac surgery occurred among 21 (13%) children. The clinical model augmented with pre-operative biomarkers demonstrated a statistically significant improvement over the clinical model alone with a receiver-operating characteristics curve of 0.754 (95% confidence interval: 0.65-0.86) compared to 0.617 (95% confidence interval: 0.47-0.76; p-value: 0.012). The clinical model augmented with pre- and post-operative biomarkers demonstrated a significant improvement over the clinical model alone, with a receiver-operating characteristics curve of 0.802 (95% confidence interval: 0.72-0.89; p-value: 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Novel biomarkers add significant predictive value when assessing the likelihood of unplanned readmission or mortality after paediatric congenital heart surgery. Further exploration of the utility of these novel biomarkers during the pre- or post-operative period to identify early risk of mortality or readmission will aid in determining the clinical utility and application of these biomarkers into routine risk assessment.