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Alnagar AM, Hakeem AR, Daradka K, Kyrana E, Methga M, Palaniswamy K, Rajwal S, Mulla J, O'meara M, Upasani V, Vijayanand D, Prasad R, Attia MS. Long-term outcomes of pediatric liver transplantation in acute liver failure vs end-stage chronic liver disease: A retrospective observational study. World J Transplant 2023; 13:96-106. [PMID: 36968135 PMCID: PMC10037232 DOI: 10.5500/wjt.v13.i3.96] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2022] [Revised: 12/22/2022] [Accepted: 03/06/2023] [Indexed: 03/16/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Children with acute liver failure (ALF) who meet the criteria are eligible for super-urgent transplantation, whereas children with end-stage chronic liver disease (ESCLD) are usually transplanted electively. Pediatric liver transplantation (PLT) in ALF and ESCLD settings has been well described in the literature, but there are no studies comparing the outcomes in these two groups.
AIM To determine if there is a difference in post-operative complications and survival outcomes between ALF and ESCLD in PLT.
METHODS This was a retrospective observational study of all primary PLTs performed at a single center between 2000 and 2019. ALF and ESCLD groups were compared for pretransplant recipient, donor and operative parameters, and post-operative outcomes including graft and patient survival.
RESULTS Over a 20-year study period, 232 primary PLTs were performed at our center; 195 were transplanted for ESCLD and 37 were transplanted for ALF. The ALF recipients were significantly older (median 8 years vs 5.4 years; P = 0.031) and heavier (31 kg vs 21 kg; P = 0.011). Living donor grafts were used more in the ESCLD group (34 vs 0; P = 0.006). There was no difference between the two groups concerning vascular complications and rejection, but there were more bile leaks in the ESCLD group. Post-transplant patient survival was significantly higher in the ESCLD group: 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates were 97.9%, 93.9%, and 89.4%, respectively, compared to 78.3%, 78.3%, and 78.3% in the ALF group (P = 0.007). However, there was no difference in 1-, 5-, and 10-year graft survival between the ESCLD and ALF groups (90.7%, 82.9%, 77.3% vs 75.6%, 72.4%, and 66.9%; P = 0.119).
CONCLUSION Patient survival is inferior in ALF compared to ESCLD recipients; the main reason is death in the 1st year post-PLT in ALF group. Once the ALF children overcome the 1st year after transplant, their survival stabilizes, and they have good long-term outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amr M Alnagar
- Department of General Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Alexandria 21615, Egypt
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Abdul R Hakeem
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Khaled Daradka
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Eirini Kyrana
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Marumbo Methga
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Karthikeyan Palaniswamy
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Sanjay Rajwal
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Jamila Mulla
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Moira O'meara
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Vivek Upasani
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Dhakshinamoorthy Vijayanand
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Raj Prasad
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
| | - Magdy S Attia
- Liver and Transplant Surgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds LS9 7TF, United Kingdom
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Pop TL, Sîrbe C, Benţa G, Mititelu A, Grama A. The Role of Vitamin D and Vitamin D Binding Protein in Chronic Liver Diseases. Int J Mol Sci 2022; 23:ijms231810705. [PMID: 36142636 PMCID: PMC9503777 DOI: 10.3390/ijms231810705] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2022] [Revised: 09/09/2022] [Accepted: 09/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Vitamin D (calciferol) is a fat-soluble vitamin that has a significant role in phospho-calcium metabolism, maintaining normal calcium levels and bone health development. The most important compounds of vitamin D are cholecalciferol (vitamin D3, or VD3) and ergocalciferol (vitamin D2, or VD2). Besides its major role in maintaining an adequate level of calcium and phosphate concentrations, vitamin D is involved in cell growth and differentiation and immune function. Recently, the association between vitamin D deficiency and the progression of fibrosis in chronic liver disease (CLD) was confirmed, given the hepatic activation process and high prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in these diseases. There are reports of vitamin D deficiency in CLD regardless of the etiology (chronic viral hepatitis, alcoholic cirrhosis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, primary biliary cirrhosis, or autoimmune hepatitis). Vitamin D binding protein (VDBP) is synthesized by the liver and has the role of binding and transporting vitamin D and its metabolites to the target organs. VDBP also plays an important role in inflammatory response secondary to tissue damage, being involved in the degradation of actin. As intense research during the last decades revealed the possible role of vitamin D in liver diseases, a deeper understanding of the vitamin D, vitamin D receptors (VDRs), and VDBP involvement in liver inflammation and fibrogenesis could represent the basis for the development of new strategies for diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment of liver diseases. This narrative review presents an overview of the evidence of the role of vitamin D and VDBP in CLD, both at the experimental and clinical levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tudor Lucian Pop
- 2nd Pediatric Discipline, Department of Mother and Child, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
- 2nd Pediatric Clinic, Emergency Clinical Hospital for Children, 400177 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Claudia Sîrbe
- 2nd Pediatric Discipline, Department of Mother and Child, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
- Correspondence:
| | - Gabriel Benţa
- 2nd Pediatric Discipline, Department of Mother and Child, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Alexandra Mititelu
- 2nd Pediatric Discipline, Department of Mother and Child, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Alina Grama
- 2nd Pediatric Discipline, Department of Mother and Child, “Iuliu Hatieganu” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
- 2nd Pediatric Clinic, Emergency Clinical Hospital for Children, 400177 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
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De Clercq P, Geerts A, Van Vlierberghe H, Verhelst X. The utility of biomarkers in prognosis assessment of patients with acute liver failure. Hepatol Res 2021; 51:750-757. [PMID: 34076937 DOI: 10.1111/hepr.13668] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2021] [Revised: 04/16/2021] [Accepted: 05/07/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute liver failure (ALF) is a rare but potential lethal condition characterized by the sudden development of jaundice, coagulopathy and hepatic encephalopathy in patients without underlying liver disease. In selected patients, emergency liver transplantation is required. Selection of these patients is based on clinical criteria such as the Kings College Criteria (KCC) or the Clichy criteria. AIMS The aim of this work is to provide an overview of potential biomarkers that could improve the prognostic value of KCC. RESULTS Several promising biomarkers involved in related pathophysiological processes have been identified. Some could be as stand-alone biomarkers; however, the best prognostic values have been observed in the combination of biomarkers with current models. Among these, the ALFSG Index that combines clinical parameters and circulating blood levels of CK18 claims a higher prognostic value than KCC. CONCLUSIONS In this review, all potential biomarkers for ALF have been summarized to give an overview of the work performed over the last years, and a glimpse of what to expect in this field in the coming years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pauline De Clercq
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ghent University Hospital, Gent, Belgium
| | - Anja Geerts
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ghent University Hospital, Gent, Belgium.,Ghent Liver Research Center, Ghent University, Gent, Belgium
| | - Hans Van Vlierberghe
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ghent University Hospital, Gent, Belgium.,Ghent Liver Research Center, Ghent University, Gent, Belgium
| | - Xavier Verhelst
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ghent University Hospital, Gent, Belgium.,Ghent Liver Research Center, Ghent University, Gent, Belgium
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Singh S, Hynan LS, Rule JA, Lee WM. Changes in alpha-foetoprotein and Gc-globulin in relation to outcomes in non-acetaminophen acute liver failure. Liver Int 2019; 39:2368-2373. [PMID: 31421008 DOI: 10.1111/liv.14216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2019] [Revised: 08/07/2019] [Accepted: 08/08/2019] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Changes in Gc-globulin (Gc) and in alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) have been shown to be related to outcome in patients with acute liver failure (ALF). Gc is a serum protein that complexes with intravascular actin released during cellular necrosis. AFP, also made by hepatocytes, is associated with hepatocellular growth and regeneration. Previously, low absolute levels or decreases over time in either AFP or Gc portended to be a poor outcome. METHODS In a retrospective analysis of the double-blind trial of intravenous N-acetylcysteine (NAC) for ALF not because of acetaminophen, sera on days 1 and 3 or days 2 and 4 following admission were available to measure AFP in 70 patients and Gc in 66 patients. Mann-Whitney U tests were performed on the admission values, the absolute change and the fractional change of AFP and Gc to compare TFS (transplant-free survival) and non-TFS (death or transplantation). Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed to evaluate the markers in comparison and in addition to King's College Criteria (KCC). RESULTS Transplant-free survival patients were characterized by increases in AFP, whereas non-TFS had significantly different (negative) absolute and fractional changes (P < .01). The addition of declining AFP levels to KCC improved the area under the curve in predicting non-TFS (AUC >70%). Gc globulin values did not differ between TFS and non-TFS in the 2-day intervals studied (P> .2). CONCLUSION In this comparison of two prognostic markers in patients with non-acetaminophen-induced ALF, rising AFP but not rising Gc levels was associated with TFS. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00004467.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Linda S Hynan
- University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | - Jody A Rule
- University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | - William M Lee
- University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
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Sun Z, Liu X, Wu D, Gao H, Jiang J, Yang Y, Wu J, Gao Q, Wang J, Jiang Z, Xu Y, Xu X, Li L. Circulating proteomic panels for diagnosis and risk stratification of acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with viral hepatitis B. Am J Cancer Res 2019; 9:1200-1214. [PMID: 30867825 PMCID: PMC6401414 DOI: 10.7150/thno.31991] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2018] [Accepted: 01/17/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Chronic HBV infection (CHB) can lead to acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) characterized by high mortality. This study aimed to reveal ACLF-related proteomic alterations, from which protein based diagnostic and prognostic scores for HBV-ACLF were developed. Methods: Ten healthy controls, 16 CHB, and 19 HBV-ACLF according to COSSH (Chinese group on the study of severe hepatitis B) criteria were enrolled to obtain the comprehensive proteomic portrait related to HBV-ACLF initiation and progression. Potential markers of HBV-ACLF were further selected based on organ specificity and functionality. An additional cohort included 77 healthy controls, 92 CHB and 71 HBV-ACLF was used to validate the proteomic signatures via targeted proteomic assays. Results: Significant losses of plasma proteins related to multiple functional clusters, including fatty acid metabolism/transport, immuno-response, complement and coagulation systems, were observed in ACLF patients. In the validation study, 28 proteins were confirmed able to separate ACLF, CHB patients. A diagnostic classifier P4 (APOC3, HRG, TF, KLKB1) was built to differentiate ACLF from CHB with high accuracy (auROC = 0.956). A prognostic model P8 (GC, HRG, HPR, SERPINA6, age, NEU, INR and total protein) was built to distinguish survivors from non-survivors in 28 and 90-days follow-up (auROC = 0.882, 0.871), and to stratify ACLF patients into risk subgroups showing significant difference in 28 and 90-days mortality (HR=7.77, 7.45, both P<0.0001). In addition, P8 score correlated with ACLF grades and numbers of extra-hepatic organ failures in ACLF patients, and was able to predict ACLF-associated coagulation and brain failure within 90 days (auROC = 0.815, 0.842). Conclusions: Proteomic signatures developed in this study reflected the deficiency of key hematological functions in HBV-ACLF patients, and show potential for HBV-ACLF diagnosis and risk prediction in complementary to current clinical based parameters.
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Squires JE, Rudnick DA, Hardison RM, Horslen S, Ng VL, Alonso EM, Belle SH, Squires RH. Liver Transplant Listing in Pediatric Acute Liver Failure: Practices and Participant Characteristics. Hepatology 2018; 68:2338-2347. [PMID: 30070372 PMCID: PMC6275095 DOI: 10.1002/hep.30116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2017] [Accepted: 05/24/2018] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
Liver transplant (LT) decisions in pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) are complex. Three phases of the PALF registry, containing data on 1,144 participants over 15 years, were interrogated to characterize clinical features associated with listing status. A decrease in the cumulative incidence of listing (P < 0.005) and receiving (P < 0.05) LT occurred without an increase in the cumulative incidence of death (P = 0.67). Time to listing was constant and early (1 day; quartiles 1-3 = 0-2; P = 0.88). The most frequent reasons for not listing were "not sick enough" and "medically unsuitable." Participants listed for LT were more likely male, with coma grade scores >0; had higher international normalized ratio, bilirubin, lactate, and venous ammonia; and had lower peripheral lymphocytes and transaminase levels compared to those deemed "not sick enough." Participants listed versus those deemed "medically unsuitable" were older; had higher serum aminotransferase levels, bilirubin, platelets, and albumin; and had lower lactate, venous ammonia, and lymphocyte count. An indeterminate diagnosis was more prevalent in listed participants. Ventilator (23.8%) and vasopressor (9.2%) support occurred in a significant portion of listed participants but less frequently than in those who were not "medically suitable." Removal from the LT list was a rare event. Conclusion: The cumulative incidence of listing for and receiving LT decreased throughout the PALF study without an increase in the cumulative incidence of death. While all participants fulfilled entry criteria for PALF, significant differences were noted between participants listed for LT and those deemed "not sick enough" as well as those who were "medically unsuitable." Having an indeterminate diagnosis and a requirement for cardiopulmonary support appeared to influence decisions toward listing; optimizing listing decisions in PALF may reduce the frequency of LT without increasing the frequency of death.
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Affiliation(s)
- James E Squires
- Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine and Children’s Hospital of Pittsburgh of University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - David A Rudnick
- Pediatric Hepatology Departments of Pediatrics and Developmental Biology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, United States
| | - Regina M Hardison
- Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Simon Horslen
- Pediatric Hepatology, Seattle Children’s Hospital, Seattle, WA, United States
| | - Vicky L Ng
- Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, The Hospital for Sick Children, University of Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Estella M Alonso
- Pediatric Hepatology, Ann and Robert H Lurie Children’s Hospital, Chicago, IL, United States
| | - Steven H Belle
- Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States,Department of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
| | - Robert H Squires
- Division of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine and Children’s Hospital of Pittsburgh of University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
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Robinson-Cohen C, Zelnick LR, Hoofnagle AN, Lutsey PL, Burke G, Michos ED, Shea SJC, Tracy R, Siscovick DS, Psaty B, Kestenbaum B, de Boer IH. Associations of Vitamin D-Binding Globulin and Bioavailable Vitamin D Concentrations With Coronary Heart Disease Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2017; 102:3075-3084. [PMID: 28472285 PMCID: PMC5546864 DOI: 10.1210/jc.2017-00296] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2017] [Accepted: 04/27/2017] [Indexed: 01/14/2023]
Abstract
CONTEXT Low 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] is associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) in people who are white and Chinese but not black or Hispanic. Vitamin D binding globulin (VDBG) avidly binds 25(OH)D, reducing its bioavailability, and differs in isoform and concentration by race. OBJECTIVE Evaluate associations of VDBG with CHD and whether accounting for VDBG or estimating bioavailable 25(OH)D explains the heterogeneity of the association of 25(OH)D with CHD. DESIGN AND SETTING We conducted a case-cohort study within the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Participants with an incident CHD event over 12 years of follow-up (n = 538) and a randomly assigned subcohort (n = 999) were included. We measured baseline 25(OH)D, VDBG, and isoforms using mass spectrometry and estimated bioavailable 25(OH)D from published equations. RESULTS VDBG was associated with an increased risk of CHD [hazard ratio, 1.77 (95% confidence interval, 1.46 to 2.14) per standard deviation increment, P < 0.0001], without evidence of heterogeneity by race or isoform (each P for interaction > 0.1). Low total 25(OH)D was differentially associated with CHD events, by race, with or without adjustment for VDBG (P for interaction = 0.04 or 0.05, respectively). Associations of 25(OH)D with CHD were strengthened with adjustment for VDBG among participants who were white or Chinese, and bioavailable 25(OH)D was associated with CHD events only among white participants. CONCLUSIONS High VDBG concentration was associated with CHD events in all racial and ethnic groups. Incorporation of VDBG strengthened existing associations of 25(OH)D with CHD but did not explain racial heterogeneity in associations of 25(OH)D with CHD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cassianne Robinson-Cohen
- Kidney Research Institute, Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195
| | - Leila R. Zelnick
- Kidney Research Institute, Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195
| | - Andrew N. Hoofnagle
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195
| | - Pamela L. Lutsey
- Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota 55455
| | - Gregory Burke
- School of Medicine, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina 27109
| | - Erin D. Michos
- Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21218
- Department of Epidemiology and the Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland 21205
| | - Steven J. C. Shea
- Department of Medicine, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York 10032
- Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027
| | - Russell Tracy
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Vermont College of Medicine, Burlington, Vermont 05405
- Department of Biochemistry, University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont 05405
| | | | - Bruce Psaty
- Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Departments of Epidemiology and Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98101
- Department of Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195
- Group Health Research Institute, Seattle, Washington 98101
| | - Bryan Kestenbaum
- Kidney Research Institute, Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195
| | - Ian H. de Boer
- Kidney Research Institute, Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195
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Herrine SK, Moayyedi P, Brown RS, Falck-Ytter YT. American Gastroenterological Association Institute Technical Review on Initial Testing and Management of Acute Liver Disease. Gastroenterology 2017; 152:648-664.e5. [PMID: 28061338 DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2016.12.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Steven K Herrine
- Sidney Kimmel Medical College at Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
| | | | - Robert S Brown
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York
| | - Yngve T Falck-Ytter
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Case and VA Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio
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McPhail MJW, Farne H, Senvar N, Wendon JA, Bernal W. Ability of King's College Criteria and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Scores to Predict Mortality of Patients With Acute Liver Failure: A Meta-analysis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 14:516-525.e5; quiz e43-e45. [PMID: 26499930 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2015.10.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 80] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2015] [Revised: 09/22/2015] [Accepted: 10/02/2015] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Several prognostic factors are used to identify patients with acute liver failure (ALF) who require emergency liver transplantation. We performed a meta-analysis to determine the accuracy of King's College criteria (KCC) versus the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores in predicting hospital mortality among patients with ALF. METHODS We performed a systematic search of the literature for articles published from 2001 through 2015 that compared the accuracy of the KCC with MELD scores in predicting hospital mortality in patients with ALF. We identified 23 studies (comprising 2153 patients) and assessed the quality of data, and then performed a meta-analysis of pooled sensitivity and specificity values, diagnostic odds ratios (DORs), and summary receiver operating characteristic curves. Subgroups analyzed included study quality, era, location (Europe vs non-Europe), and size; ALF etiology (acetaminophen-associated ALF [AALF] vs nonassociated [NAALF]); and whether or not the study included patients who underwent liver transplantation and if the study center was also a transplant center. RESULTS The DOR for the KCC was 5.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.7-7.6; 57% heterogeneity) and the DOR for MELD score was 7.0 (95% CI, 5.1-9.7; 48% heterogeneity), so the MELD score and KCC are comparable in overall accuracy. The summary area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values was 0.76 for the KCC and 0.78 for MELD scores. The KCC identified patients with AALF who died with 58% sensitivity (95% CI, 51%-65%) and 89% specificity (95% CI, 85%-93%), whereas MELD scores identified patients with AALF who died with 80% sensitivity (95% CI, 74%-86%) and 53% specificity (95% CI, 47%-59%). The KCC predicted hospital mortality in patients with NAALF with 58% sensitivity (95% CI, 54%-63%) and 74% specificity (95% CI, 69%-78%), whereas MELD scores predicted hospital mortality in patients with NAALF with 76% sensitivity (95% CI, 72%-80%) and 73% specificity (95% CI, 69%-78%). In patients with AALF, the KCC's DOR was 10.4 (95% CI, 4.9-22.1) and the MELD score's DOR was 6.6 (95% CI, 2.1-20.2). In patients with NAALF, the KCC's DOR was 4.16 (95% CI, 2.34-7.40) and the MELD score's DOR was 8.42 (95% CI, 5.98-11.88). CONCLUSIONS Based on a meta-analysis of studies, the KCC more accurately predicts hospital mortality among patients with AALF, whereas MELD scores more accurately predict mortality among patients with NAALF. However, there is significant heterogeneity among studies and neither system is optimal for all patients. Given the importance of specificity in decision making for listing for emergency liver transplantation, MELD scores should not replace the KCC in predicting hospital mortality of patients with AALF, but could have a role for NAALF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark J W McPhail
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom; Department of Hepatology, St Mary's Hospital, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
| | - Hugo Farne
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Naz Senvar
- Department of Hepatology, St Mary's Hospital, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Julia A Wendon
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - William Bernal
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, Institute of Liver Studies, King's College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
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