Annual decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate is a risk factor for cardiovascular events independent of proteinuria

Vitamin D Therapy in Adults With CKD: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Vitamin D is widely used to manage chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD). We evaluated the effects of vitamin D therapy on mortality, cardiovascular, bone, and kidney outcomes in adults with CKD.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCT) with highly sensitive searching of MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL, through February 25, 2023.

SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS

Adults with stage 3, 4, or 5 CKD, including kidney failure treated with dialysis. Recipients of a kidney transplant were excluded.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

RCTs with≥3 months of follow-up evaluating a vitamin D compound.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were extracted independently by three investigators.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Treatment estimates were summarized using random effects meta-analysis. Primary review endpoints were all-cause death, cardiovascular death, and fracture. Secondary outcomes were major adverse cardiovascular events, hospitalization, bone mineral density, parathyroidectomy, progression to kidney failure, proteinuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypercalcemia, hyperphosphatemia, biochemical markers of CKD-MBD, and various intermediate outcome measures of cardiovascular disease. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias (RoB) 2 tool. Evidence certainty was adjudicated using GRADE.

RESULTS

Overall, 128 studies involving 11,270 participants were included. Compared with placebo, vitamin D therapy probably had no effect on all-cause death (relative risk [RR], 1.04; 95% CI, 0.84-1.24); and uncertain effects on fracture (RR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.37-1.23) and cardiovascular death (RR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.31-1.71). Compared with placebo, vitamin D therapy lowered serum parathyroid hormone and alkaline phosphatase, but increased serum calcium.

LIMITATIONS

Data were limited by trials with short-term follow-up periods, small sample size, and the suboptimal quality.

CONCLUSIONS

Vitamin D therapy did not reduce the risk of all-cause death in people with CKD. Effects on fracture and cardiovascular and kidney outcomes were uncertain.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registered at PROSPERO with study number CRD42017057691.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with increased risk of death, cardiovascular disease, and fractures. This excess risk is thought to be related to changes in bone and mineral metabolism, leading to the development of CKD-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) which is characterized by vascular calcification and reduced bone quality. Vitamin D is commonly used in the treatment of this condition. We reviewed randomized controlled trials examining the effect of vitamin D therapy in CKD. We found that vitamin D therapy affects serum biomarkers, including an increase in serum calcium. However, it probably has no effect on risk of all-cause death in CKD, and the effects on other clinical bone, cardiovascular, and kidney outcomes are uncertain.

Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate slope and cardiovascular disease among individuals with and without diabetes: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported an association between a significant decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time and an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to investigate the association between the eGFR slope and CVD among individuals with and without diabetes.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was conducted within the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) framework. We studied 6919 adults aged 20-70 years, including 985 with diabetes and 5934 without diabetes. The eGFR slope was determined based on repeated measurements of eGFR through linear mixed-effects models. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was employed to evaluate the association between eGFR slope, both in continuous and categorical form, and the risk of CVD.

RESULTS

The slopes of eGFR exhibited a bell-shaped distribution, with a mean (standard deviation (SD)) of -0.63 (0.13) and - 0.70 (0.14) ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year in individuals with and without diabetes, respectively. During a median follow-up of 8.22 years, following the 9-year eGFR slope ascertainment period, a total of 551 CVD events (195 in patients with diabetes) were observed. Among individuals with diabetes, a steeper decline in eGFR slope was significantly associated with a higher risk of CVD events, even after adjusting for baseline eGFR, demographic factors, and traditional risk factors for CVD; slopes of (-1.05 to -0.74) and (-0.60 to -0.52) were associated with 2.12 and %64 higher risks for CVD, respectively, compared with a slope of (-0.51 to 0.16). Among individuals without diabetes, the annual eGFR slope did not show a significant association with the risk of CVD.

CONCLUSION

Monitoring the eGFR slope may serve as a potential predictor of CVD risk in individuals with diabetes.

Change in the Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Over Time and Risk of First Stroke in Hypertensive Patients

BACKGROUND

The association between changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time and the risk of stroke remains inconclusive. We aimed to evaluate the relation of eGFR change during the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial (CSPPT) with the risk of first stroke during the subsequent post-trial follow-up.

METHODS

A total of 11,742 hypertensive participants with two eGFR measurements (median measure interval, 4.4; interquartile range, 4.2-4.6 years) and without a history of stroke from the CSPPT were included in this analysis.

RESULTS

Over a median post-trial follow-up of 4.4 years, 729 first strokes were identified, of which 635 were ischemic, 88 were hemorrhagic, and 6 were uncertain types of strokes. Compared with those with 1 to <2% per year increase in eGFR (with the lowest stroke risk), those with an increase in eGFR of ≥4% per year had significantly increased risks of first stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-3.50) and first ischemic stroke (adjusted HR 2.14; 95% CI, 1.17-3.90). Similarly, those with a decline in eGFR of ≥5% per year also had significantly increased first stroke (adjusted HR 2.13; 95% CI, 1.37-3.31) and first ischemic stroke (adjusted HR 1.89; 95% CI, 1.19-3.02) risk. However, there was no significant association between eGFR change and first hemorrhagic stroke. A similar result was found when the change in eGFR was quantified as an absolute annual change.

CONCLUSION

In Chinese hypertensive patients, both the decline and increase of eGFR levels were independently associated with the risks of first stroke or first ischemic stroke.

One-year estimated glomerular filtration rate decline as a risk factor of cardiovascular and renal end-points in high-risk Japanese patients

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

As estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) progression might correlate with cardiovascular prognosis, the correlation between 1-year decline in eGFR and cardiovascular incidences and renal outcome was investigated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The 1-year percentage decline in eGFR at the first observation year was calculated in a cohort of the standard versus intEnsive statin therapy for hypercholesteroleMic Patients with diAbetic retinopaTHY (EMPATHY) trial participants. The primary end-point was the composite cardiovascular end-point including the renal end-point. The associations between the incidence of each end-point and clinical markers were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 4,461 patients were analyzed. The mean observation period was 765.3 ± 363.1 days. The best cut-off value of 1-year eGFR decline was 0.099 in the first year for renal end-point prediction by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The area under the curve of the model including the 1-year eGFR decline of the first year was significantly larger than the model without it (0.943, 95% confidence interval 0.915-0.971 to 0.967, 95% confidence interval 0.950-0.983, P = 0.019). Primary end-point incidences and the renal end-point were much higher in rapid eGFR decliners compared with non-decliners (P < 0.0001). The cardiovascular end-point incidence, except for the renal end-point, was not different between the groups. According to Cox regression analysis, 1-year eGFR decline during the first year was a significant risk factor for the end-points, including the renal end-point, independent of albuminuria and eGFR at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

The 1-year eGFR decline rate provided useful information for cardiovascular end-point predictions, including the renal end-point, in addition to the conventional risk factors.

Creatinine increase following initiation of antihypertensives is associated with cardiovascular risk: a nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Abrupt decline in renal function following initiation of renin-angiotensin system inhibitor is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease, but studies of other antihypertensive drugs are sparse. We investigated the risk of cardiovascular event associated with increased plasma creatinine after initiating first-line antihypertensive treatment.

METHODS

In a nationwide cohort study, we identified adult Danish primary care patients initiating either renin-angiotensin system inhibitor, calcium channel blocker or thiazide, between 2008 and mid-2018. Patients with prior end-stage renal disease, renal transplantation, or cardiovascular disease were excluded. Percentual plasma creatinine increase was calculated between the nearest creatinine measurement up to 1 year before redeeming the prescription (baseline), and the nearest measurement 90 days or less after (index). Multiple logistic regression and restricted cubic splines were applied to estimate the 6-month absolute risk of cardiovascular event (ischemic heart disease, heart failure or stroke) associated with this creatinine increase.

RESULTS

We included 20 789 patients. Within the first 6 months of follow-up, 283 (1.4%) cardiovascular events and 93 (0.4%) all-cause deaths were registered. With a creatinine increase of 0 and 30%, 6-month absolute risk [CI] of cardiovascular event was 1.4% [1.1-1.9] and 3.5% [2.4-5.2], respectively (in men aged 50-79 years with estimated glomerular filtration rate at least 60 ml/min per 1.73 m and no diabetes). Higher age and reduced renal function, but not the type of antihypertensive treatment, were associated with higher cardiovascular risk.

CONCLUSION

In primary care, patients initiating first-line antihypertensive treatment, an increase in plasma creatinine above 30% was associated with increased absolute 6-month risk of cardiovascular event.

Antihypertensive treatment and risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease diagnosed based on the presence of proteinuria and renal function: A large longitudinal study in Japan

Several recent clinical trials and meta-analyses have shown that lowering blood pressure reduces the risk of cardiovascular disease. However, current evidence that describes general demographics in blood pressure and mortality with chronic kidney disease is sparse in Japan. Using a population-based longitudinal cohort that received annual health checkups in Japan in 2008, hypertensive status, self-reported use of antihypertensive drugs, and prognosis were examined through 2012. Chronic kidney disease was defined as positive proteinuria or estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m². Subjects were 40 to 74 years old (n = 227,204) with median 3.6 years follow-up period, and patients with and without chronic kidney disease were analyzed separately (n = 183,586 and n = 43,618, respectively). Cardiovascular disease mortality, comprising coronary heart diseases and stroke as entered in the national death registry using ICD-10 coding, was examined. Among all subjects, 346 deaths (96 in chronic kidney disease and 250 in non-chronic kidney disease) due to cardiovascular disease occurred. Compared with cardiovascular disease mortality in chronic kidney disease patients with untreated normal blood pressure, the multivariable adjusted hazard ratio was 3.08 (95% confidence interval: 1.75–5.41) for those with untreated hypertension, 2.30 (1.31–4.03) for those who became normotensive after treatment, and 3.28 (1.91–5.64) for those who remained hypertensive despite treatment. In non-chronic kidney disease subjects, the ratios were 1.90 (1.33–5.41), 1.95 (1.35–2.80), and 1.77 (1.18–2.66), respectively. These results from a nationwide cohort could be one of representative demographics of controlling blood pressure and cardiovascular disease deaths when treating patients with chronic kidney disease in Japan in recent years. Even after development and spread of anti-hypertensive drugs, preventing development of hypertension is preferable, because any hypertension treatment status comparing untreated normal blood pressure was a risk of cardiovascular mortality at baseline year.

Cause-specific mortality in the general population with transient dipstick-proteinuria

Recently, changes in urinary albumin and in GFR have been recognized as risk factors for the development of end-stage kidney disease and mortality. Though most clinical epidemiology studies of chronic kidney disease (CKD) used renal function and proteinuria at baseline alone, definitive diagnosis of CKD with multiple measurements intensifies the differences in the risk for mortality between the CKD and non-CKD populations. We hypothesized that a transient diagnosis of proteinuria and reduced renal function each indicate a significantly higher mortality compared to definitive non-CKD as the negative control and lower mortality compared with definitive CKD as the positive control. The present longitudinal study evaluated a general-population cohort of 338,094 persons who received annual health checkups, with a median 4.3-year study period. There were 2,481 deaths, including 510 CVD deaths (20.6%) and 1,328 cancer deaths (53.5%), and mortality risk was evaluated for transient proteinuria and for transiently reduced renal function. The hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality and cancer mortality were not significant, but that for cardiovascular mortality was significantly higher for transient proteinuria (HR, 1.94 [95% confidence interval, 1.27–2.96] in men and 2.78 [1.50–5.16] in women). On the other hand, transiently reduced renal function was not significant for either cardiovascular mortality risk or cancer mortality risk. We surmise that this is the first study of the mortality risk of transient dipstick proteinuria in a large general-population cohort with cause-specific death registration. Transiently positive proteinuria appears to be a significant risk specifically for cardiovascular mortality compared with definitely negative for proteinuria.

Higher medical costs for CKD patients with a rapid decline in eGFR: A cohort study from the Japanese general population

To investigate how changes in eGFR can affect medical costs, a regional cohort of national health insurance beneficiaries in Japan was developed from a nationwide database system (Kokuho database, KDB), and non-individualized data were obtained. From 105,661 people, subjects on chronic dialysis and subjects without consecutive medical checkups were excluded. Finally, medical costs in the follow-up year categorized by annual changes in eGFR between baseline and the next year were longitudinally examined in 70,627 people ranging in age from 40 to 74 years. Global mean costs for subjects with a rapid decrease in eGFR (≤-30%/year) were the highest among all ΔeGFR categories. In men, the cost was 1.42 times that for a stable eGFR. A total of 6,268 (19.4%) men and 5,381 (14.0%) women with eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m² were identified in the baseline year. The mean cost was higher with a low eGFR than without a low eGFR, and there were also higher proportions newly initiating dialysis in 2014 (low eGFR with rapid decrease in eGFR vs. with stable eGFR: 9.61% vs. 0.02% in women, P<0.001). Moreover, the costs for low eGFR subjects with a rapid decrease in eGFR were more than twice those of non-low eGFR subjects with a rapid decrease in eGFR and also compared to low eGFR subjects with a stable eGFR. Moreover, initiating chronic dialysis was considered one of the major causes of high medical costs in women with rapid eGFR decline. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study of renal disease using a cohort developed from the KDB system recently established in Japan.

Needs survey on the priority given to periodical medical examination items among occupational physicians in Japan

Objectives:

To clarify the priority given to periodical medical examination items among occupational physicians in Japan.

Methods:

Sixty-two occupational physicians who participated in this study selected statutory and non-statutory items within two types of budget plans: one lower (8,500 yen) than the total fee of statutory medical examinations (9,250 and 11,290 yen), and the other higher (12,000 yen) than the total fee. Medical fee points were used to set the cost of each medical examination item. A three round Delphi method was used from May to July 2016 to clarify the consensus opinion of occupational physicians.

Results:

The statutory items (selection rate: between 66 and 100%), except for waist circumference (15%) and sputum examination (0%), and serum creatinine (58%, non-statutory item) were included in the smaller budget plan (8,500 yen). In the larger budget plan (12,000 yen), the statutory items (selection rate: between 92 and 100%), except for waist circumference (39%) and sputum examination (0%), and some non-statutory items, namely serum creatinine (95%), leukocytes (92%), uric acid (89%), and fecal occult blood reaction (81%), had a selection rate over 80%. In addition, statutory items with higher accuracy were preferred, which included the following: air conduction pure-tone audiometry (92%), imaging diagnosis of thoracic X-ray examinations by a specialist (97%), glycated hemoglobin levels (98%), and electrocardiogram assessment by a specialist (100%).

Conclusion:

The statutory items, except for waist circumference and sputum examination, and some of the non-statutory items (e.g., serum creatinine) were given higher priority among occupational physicians in Japan.

Sociodemographic determinants and health outcome variation in individuals with type 1 diabetes mellitus: A register-based study

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic status, origin or demographic attributes shall not determine the quality of healthcare delivery, according to e.g. United Nations and European Union rules. Health equity has been defined as the absence of systematic disparities and unwarranted differences between groups defined by differences in social advantages. A study was performed to investigate whether this was applicable to type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D) care in a setting with universal, tax-funded healthcare.

METHODS

This retrospective registry-study was based on patient-level data from individuals diagnosed with T1D during 2010-2011 (n = 16,367) in any of seven Swedish county councils (covering ~65% of the Swedish population). Health equity in T1D care was analysed through multivariate regression analyses on absolute HbA1c level at one-year follow-up, one-year change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and one-year change in cardiovascular risk score, using selected sociodemographic dimensions as case-mix factors.

RESULTS

Higher educational level was consistently associated with lower levels of HbA1c, and so was being married. Never married was associated with worse eGFR development, and lower educational level was associated with higher cardiovascular risk. Women had higher HbA1c levels than men, and glucose control was significantly worse in patients below the age of 25.

CONCLUSION

Patients' sociodemographic profile was strongly associated with absolute levels of risk factor control in T1D, but also with an increased annual deterioration in eGFR. Whether these systematic differences stem from patient-related problems or healthcare organisational shortcomings is a matter for further research. The results, though, highlight the need for intensified diabetes management education and secondary prevention directed towards T1D patients, taking sociodemographic characteristics into account.

Dynamic Changes in Renal Function Are Associated With Major Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

The pattern of renal function decline prior to cardiovascular (CV) events in type 2 diabetes is not well known. Our aim was to describe the association between renal function trajectories and the occurrence of a CV event.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We considered patients with type 2 diabetes from the SURDIAGENE (Survie, Diabete de type 2 et Genetique) study (discovery cohort) and the DIABHYCAR (Non-Insulin-Dependent Diabetes, Hypertension, Microalbuminuria or Proteinuria, Cardiovascular Events, and Ramipril) study (replication cohort). Global patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration [CKD-EPI]) and serum creatinine (SCr) prior to a major CV event (MACE) or last update were determined using a linear mixed-effects model and annual individual slopes computed by simple linear regression.

RESULTS

In the 1,040 participants of the discovery cohort, establishment of global patterns including 22,227 SCr over 6.3 years of follow-up showed an annual eGFR decline and an annual SCr increase that were significantly greater in patients with MACE compared with patients without (-3.0 and -1.7 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/year and +10.7 and +4.0 μmol/L/year, respectively; P < 0.0001 for both). Median annual individual slopes were also significantly steeper in patients with MACE, and adjusted risk of MACE was 4.11 times higher (3.09-5.45) in patients with rapid decline in eGFR (change less than -5 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/year). Consideration of renal function trajectories provided significant additive information helping to explain the occurrence of MACE for both SCr and eGFR (PIDI < 0.0001 and P = 0.0005, respectively). These results were confirmed in the replication cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Renal function decline was associated with a higher risk of MACE. The pattern of renal function decline, beyond baseline kidney function, is an independent factor of CV risk.

High urinary albumin/creatinine ratio at admission predicts poor functional outcome in patients with acute ischaemic stroke

AIM

Albuminuria and a low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are widely recognized indices of kidney dysfunction and have been linked to cardiovascular events, including stroke. We evaluated albuminuria, measured using the urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR), and the eGFR in the acute phase of ischaemic stroke, and investigated the clinical characteristics of ischaemic stroke patients with and those without kidney dysfunction.

METHODS

The study included 422 consecutive patients admitted between June 2010 and May 2012. General blood and urine examinations were performed at admission. Kidney dysfunction was defined as a low eGFR (<60 mL/min per 1.73 m² ), high albuminuria (≥30 mg/g creatinine), or both. Neurological severity was evaluated using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at admission and the modified Rankin scale (mRS) at discharge. A poor outcome was defined as a mRS score of 3-5 or death. The impacts of the eGFR and UACR on outcomes at discharge were evaluated using multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Kidney dysfunction was diagnosed in 278 of the 422 patients (65.9%). The eGFR was significantly lower and UACR was significantly higher in patients with a poor outcome than in those with a good outcome. In multivariate analyses performed after adjusting for confounding factors, UACR >31.2 mg/g creatinine (OR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.52-4.43; P = 0.0005) was independently associated with a poor outcome, while a low eGFR was not associated.

CONCLUSIONS

A high UACR at admission may predict a poor outcome at discharge in patients with acute ischaemic stroke.

Effect of pistachio consumption on plasma lipoprotein subclasses in pre-diabetic subjects

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Nuts have been demonstrated to improve several cardiovascular risk factors and the lipid profile in diabetic and pre-diabetic subjects. However, analysis of conventional serum lipid profiles does not completely explain the atherogenic risk associated with pre-diabetes. We therefore investigated whether chronic consumption of pistachio modifies the lipoprotein subclasses to a healthier profile in pre-diabetic subjects.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Randomized cross-over clinical trial in 54 subjects with pre-diabetes. Subjects consumed a pistachio-supplemented diet (PD, 50% carbohydrates, 33% fat, including 57 g/d of pistachios daily) and a control diet (CD, 55% carbohydrates, 30% fat) for 4 months each, separated by a 2-week wash-out. Diets were isocaloric and matched for protein, fiber and saturated fatty acids. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) was performed to determine changes in plasma lipoprotein subclasses. Small low-density lipoprotein particles (sLDL-P) significantly decreased after pistachio consumption compared to the nut-free diet (P = 0.023). The non-high-density lipoprotein particles (non-HDL-P i.e. VLDL-P plus LDL-P) significantly decreased under the PD compared to CD (P = 0.041). The percentage of sHDL-P increased by 2.23% after the PD compared with a reduction of 0.08% after the CD (P = 0.014). Consequently, the overall size of HDL-P significantly decreased in the PD (P = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

Chronic pistachio consumption could modify the lipoprotein particle size and subclass concentrations independently of changes in total plasma lipid profile, which may help to explain the decreased risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality associated with those individuals who frequently consumed nuts.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

This study is registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT01441921.

Significance of estimated glomerular filtration rate in predicting brain or heart attacks in obese and non-obese populations

BACKGROUND

The Japanese Specific Health Checkup mainly focuses on metabolic syndrome for preventing cardiovascular events. Subjects are stratified by measuring waist circumference, body mass index, blood pressure, triglycerides, and fasting plasma glucose. However, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is not considered essential.

METHODS

A longitudinal cohort study assessed the association of eGFR with new-onset brain or heart attacks in a large Japanese nationwide Specific Health Checkup database. A total of 109,349 Japanese subjects (mean age 63.2 years, 39.5 % men) were examined for the events 2 years later. The odds ratios were calculated for new events in the total and subgroup populations divided by BMI < or ≥25 kg/m(2), obese and non-obese, respectively.

RESULTS

Obese subjects were more often male and had proteinuria (dipstick test ≥1+), lower eGFR, and higher systolic and diastolic BP, fasting plasma glucose, hemoglobin A1c, and triglycerides (TG). Rates of new-onset brain or heart attacks were 3.1 and 4.0 % in the groups of non-obese and obese subjects, respectively. In the total population, eGFR as well as higher BMI (≥25 kg/m(2)), higher BP (high-normal hypertension or greater), higher TG (≥150 mg/dl), and proteinuria were significant risk factors for developing brain or heart attacks. The eGFR was significant in non-obese subjects, but not in the obese.

CONCLUSION

As the ultimate aim of 'Specific Health Checkup' is to prevent cardiovascular events, our study suggests that eGFR should be evaluated in non-obese subjects.