Premature discontinuation of clinical trial for reasons not related to efficacy, safety, or feasibility

Discontinuation and nonpublication of clinical trials in orthopaedic oncology

BACKGROUND

Despite the pivotal role of clinical trials in advancing orthopaedic oncology knowledge and treatment strategies, the persistent issues of trial discontinuation and nonpublication are significant problems. This study conducted an analysis examining clinical trial discontinuation rates, associations between intervention types and discontinuation/nonpublication, and the role of funding, enrollment size, and their implications for trial success and completion.

METHODS

This study, conducted on May 1, 2023, utilized a cross-sectional design to comprehensively analyze phase 3 and 4 randomized controlled trials within the realm of orthopaedic oncology. We specifically incorporated Phase 3 and 4 trials as they are designed to evaluate prolonged outcomes in human subjects and are more likely to reach publication. Study characteristics of interest included the intervention utilized in the clinical trial, presence of funding, whether the trial was published, completed, and trial enrollment size. The investigation involved an examination of ClinicalTrials.gov, a prominent online repository of clinical trial data managed by the National Library of Medicine of the USA. Descriptive statistics and multivariate logistic regressions were used to determine statistical significance.

RESULTS

Among the cohort of 130 trials, 19.2% were prematurely discontinued. Completion rates varied based on intervention type; 111 pharmaceutical trials demonstrated a completion rate of 83.8%, whereas 19 non-pharmaceutical trials exhibited a completion rate of 8.0% (P < .001). Surgical trials, totaling 10, showed a completion rate of 90%. The overall trial publication rate was 86.15%, with pharmaceutical interventions achieving a publication rate of 91.96%. Larger-scale trials (≥ 261 participants) emerged as a protective factor against both discontinuation (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR]: 0.85, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.42-0.95) and nonpublication (AOR: 0.19, 95% CI 0.13-.47), compared to smaller-scale trials.

CONCLUSION

This study accentuates the heightened vulnerability of non-pharmaceutical interventions and trials exhibiting lower rates of enrollment to the issues of discontinuation and nonpublication. Moving forward, the advancement of clinical trials necessitates a concerted effort to enhance trial methodologies, especially concerning nonpharmaceutical interventions, along with a meticulous refinement of participant enrollment criteria.

Discontinuation and nonpublication of nasopharyngeal carcinoma clinical trials

OBJECTIVES

To determine the extent of research waste in the field of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we explored the rates, causes and predictors of discontinuation and nonpublication of NPC clinical trials. The sample was derived using the ClinicalTrials.gov advanced search function. Adjusted logistic regression was used to ascertain the effect of trial characteristics on completion and publication status. If a trial discontinuation explanation or publication status could not be determined through the systematic search, the corresponding author was emailed.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 311 NPC clinical trials were included (255 [82.0 %] completed and 56 [18.0 %] discontinued trials). The most common reason for trial discontinuation was poor accrual (50 %, 23/46). Industry funding (adjusted OR, 3.12; P = 0.003) and recurrent/metastatic setting (adjusted OR, 11.95; P = 0.003) were significantly associated with increased likelihood of trial discontinuation. Of the 207 completed trials included in the publication query, 141 (68.1 %) were published in peer-reviewed journals, 10 (4.8 %) had results only available on ClinicalTrials.gov, and 56 (27.1 %) remained unpublished 3 or more years after trial completion. Radiation with or without pharmacologic interventions significantly increased the potential of publication (adjusted OR, 3.20; P = 0.048). Among published trials, the median time to publication was 28.47 months (interquartile range, 15.27-44.98 months).

CONCLUSION

We identified the difficulties inherent in NPC clinical trials from completion to publication. This represents considerable research waste in NPC, thus raising ethical concerns about the concealment of clinical data and futile patient participation and attendant risks.

Delayed discovery: the COVID-19 pandemic's influence on osteoarthritis clinical trials

CONTEXT

The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted clinical research in many medical and surgical fields, resulting in research waste and loss of treatment for patients. Although other areas have been explored, the extent of the pandemic's influence on osteoarthritis (OA) trials is currently unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to explore the reasons for termination of clinical trials investigating OA during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We searched ClinicalTrials.gov for OA trials and characterized their reason for discontinuation, noting where trialists directly cited the COVID-19 pandemic as the reason for trial discontinuation. We also coded other common reasons for trial discontinuation. Descriptive and inferential statistics were performed to determine the difference in enrollment, funding source, trial phase, allocation, and intervention type between the trials terminated early due to pandemic and nonpandemic reasons.

RESULTS

Out of 135 clinical trials, 119 were included and 27 (22.7 %) of them reported the COVID-19 pandemic as a primary reason for discontinuation, which was the overall most common reason for OA trial discontinuation during the study period. We found statistically significant differences for trials discontinued due to pandemic vs. non-pandemic-related reasons, with trials having sites outside the United States, randomized allocation, and drug or device intervention type being most affected. However, there was no statistically significant difference between groups regarding trial phase, funding source, or enrollment.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the clinical trials related to OA. We found that many trials reported discontinuation directly due to the pandemic, which may lead to the loss or delay of novel treatments for OA. To avoid such discontinuation in the future, alternative methods for conducting OA-related clinical trials should be explored and implemented.

The Influence of Industry Affiliation on Randomized Controlled Trials of Platelet-Rich Plasma for Knee Osteoarthritis

BACKGROUND

Industry funding and corporate sponsorship have played a significant role in the advancement of orthopaedic research and technology. However, this relationship raises concerns for how industry association may bias research findings and influence clinical practice.

PURPOSE

To determine whether industry affiliation plays a role in the outcomes of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating platelet-rich plasma (PRP).

STUDY DESIGN

Meta-analysis; Level of evidence, 2.

METHODS

A search of the PubMed, Cochrane, and MEDLINE databases for RCTs published between 2011 and the present comparing PRP versus hyaluronic acid, corticosteroid, or placebo for the treatment of knee osteoarthritis was performed. To determine industry affiliation, the conflict of interest, funding, and disclosure sections of publications were assessed, and all authors were assessed through the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons disclosure database and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services open payments database. Studies were classified as industry affiliated (IA) or non-industry affiliated (NIA). The outcomes of each study were rated as favorable, analogous, or unfavorable according to predefined criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 37 studies (6 IA and 31 NIA) were available for analysis. Overall, 19 studies (51.4%) reported PRP as favorable compared with other treatment options, while 18 studies (48.6%) showed no significant differences between PRP and other treatment methods. There was no significant difference in qualitative conclusions between the IA and NIA groups, with the IA group having 3 favorable studies and 3 analogous studies and the NIA group having 16 favorable studies and 15 analogous studies (P = .8881). When comparing IA versus NIA studies using 6- and 12-month Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index and International Knee Documentation Committee scores, there were no significant differences in outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study demonstrated that qualitative conclusions and outcome scores were found to not be associated with industry affiliation. Although the results of this study suggest that there is no influence of industry involvement on RCTs examining PRP, it is still necessary to carefully evaluate pertinent commercial affiliations when reviewing recommendations from studies before adopting new treatment approaches, such as the use of PRP for knee osteoarthritis.

What Factors Are Associated with Clinical Trial Discontinuation in Orthopaedic Surgery: An Analysis of Clinical Trials Between 2007 and 2022

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials play a crucial role in advancing medical knowledge and have the potential to change standards of care. The present study evaluated the prevalence of discontinued clinical trials in orthopaedic surgery. Additionally, we sought to identify the study characteristics associated with and the rationale behind trial discontinuation.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey of orthopaedic clinical trials using the ClinicalTrials.gov registry and results database was performed for trials between October 1, 2007, and October 7, 2022. Interventional trials listed as "completed," "terminated," "withdrawn," or "suspended" were included. Study characteristics were collected and clinical trial abstracts were reviewed in order to assign the appropriate subspecialty category. A univariate linear regression analysis was performed to determine whether the percentage of discontinued trials changed between 2008 and 2021. Univariate and multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated to identify factors associated with trial discontinuation.

RESULTS

A total of 8,603 clinical trials were included in the final analysis, of which 1,369 (16%) were discontinued, with the highest rates of discontinuation found in oncology (25%) and trauma (23%). The most common rationales for discontinuation were insufficient patient accrual (29%), technical or logistical issues (9%), business decision (9%), and lack of funding or resources (9%). Industry-funded studies were more likely than government-funded studies to be discontinued (HR: 1.81; p < 0.001). There was no change in the percentage of discontinued trials for each orthopaedic subspecialty between 2008 and 2021 (p = 0.21). As shown on multivariable regression analysis, trials for devices (HR: 1.63 [95% confidence interval, 1.20 to 2.21]; p = 0.002) and drugs (HR: 1.48 [1.10 to 2.02]; p = 0.013) as well as Phase-2 trials (HR: 1.35 [1.09 to 1.69]; p = 0.010), Phase-3 trials (HR: 1.39 [1.09 to 1.78]; p = 0.010), and Phase-4 trials (HR: 1.44 [1.14 to 1.81]; p = 0.010) had a higher likelihood of early discontinuation. However, pediatric trials were less likely to be discontinued (HR: 0.58 [0.40 to 0.86]; p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of the present study suggest the need for continued efforts to ensure the completion of orthopaedic clinical trials in order to limit publication bias and to employ resources and patient contributions more efficiently for research.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Discontinued trials contribute to publication bias, which limits the comprehensiveness of the literature available to support evidence-based patient care interventions. Therefore, identifying the factors associated with and the prevalence of orthopaedic trial discontinuation encourages orthopaedic surgeons to design future trials to be more resistant to early discontinuation.

Examination of reporting status of pediatric oncology trials within the national library of medicine's trial database

Finding safer and more effective treatment options are critical in progressing the field of pediatric oncology. These treatment options are discovered through completion and publication of clinical trials. The primary objective of this study was to assess the overall study characteristics of pediatric oncology clinical trials initiated between 2008 and 2021. The secondary objective of our study was to assess rates of discontinuation and reporting of results as required by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). After acquiring pediatric oncology clinical trials from ClinicalTrials.gov, a cross-sectional study was performed. Included trials have an intervention exclusive to pediatrics and were conducted between 2008 and 2021. The results measured were characteristics of the clinical trials and their rate of discontinuation. Of the 7,930 trials originally returned from the search, 349 trials met inclusion criteria. The majority of the trials were phase 1 and 2 pharmaceutical interventions studying brain and blood cancer. Our study found that 14.9% (52) of the pediatric oncology trials were discontinued. Given the breadth of study within pediatric oncology, our overarching assessment shows that drug trials geared toward treating cancers of the brain and blood were dominant in the field. It is crucial for the advancement of science that results of trials are known. This avoids duplication of studies and waste of funds. Of the trials that were completed, 40.3% (58) did not report results to ClinicalTrials.gov. The nonreporting of this data limits the information available delaying the advancement of treatment options.

Characterizing Clinical Trials in Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery: A Systematic Review of ClinicalTrials.gov From 2007 to 2020

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials form the backbone of evidence-based medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov is the world's largest clinical trial registry, and the state of clinical trials in plastic and reconstructive surgery (PRS) within that database has not been comprehensively studied. To that end, we explored the distribution of therapeutic areas that are under investigation, impact of funding on study design and data reporting, and trends in research patterns of all PRS interventional clinical trials registered with ClinicalTrials.gov.

METHODS

Using the ClinicalTrials.gov database, we identified and extracted all clinical trials relevant to PRS that were submitted between 2007 and 2020. Studies were classified based on anatomic locations, therapeutic categories, and specialty topics. Cox proportional hazard was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for early discontinuation and results reporting.

RESULTS

A total of 3224 trials that included 372,095 participants were identified. The PRS trials grew at an annual rate of 7.9%. The therapeutic classes most represented were wound healing (41.3%) and cosmetics (18.1%). Funding for PRS clinical trials is largely provided through academic institutions (72.7%), while industry and US government constituted a minority. Industry-funded studies were more likely to be discontinued early than those funded by academics (HR, 1.89) or government (HR, 1.92) and to be nonblinded and nonrandomized. Academic-funded studies were the least likely to report results data within 3 years of trial completion (odds ratio, 0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

A gulf exists in the representation of different PRS specialties among clinical trials. We highlight the role of funding source in trial design and data reporting to identify a potential source of financial waste and to stress the need for continued appropriate oversight.

Discontinuation and nonpublication analysis of chronic pain randomized controlled trials

Introduction

The primary objective of this cross-sectional analysis is to evaluate rates of discontinuation and nonpublication of Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of therapeutic interventions to treat chronic pain.

Methods

Using ClinicalTrials.gov, a sample was obtained which included clinical trials pertaining to chronic pain. Trials were analyzed for publication status and completion status of each trial. If information was unavailable on the trial registry database, or could not be allocated through a systematic search, the corresponding trialist was contacted and data points were gathered.

Results

In our final analysis of the 408 RCTs, we found that 281 (68.9%) were published in a peer-reviewed journal and 127 (31.1%) were unpublished trials. Of 112 discontinued trials, 59 (52.7%) reached publication. In addition, 221 of 296 completed trials (74.7%) were published, and 75 (25.3%) remained unpublished after trial completion. The most common listed reason for trial discontinuation was administrative recommendations (41 of 71 trials [57.7%]), while not receiving an email reply to our standardized email from the corresponding trialist was the most common result for trial nonpublication (49 of 88 trials [55.7%]). Clinical trials funded by nonindustry sponsors were more likely to reach publication than industry-funded clinical trials (unadjusted odds ratio 1.86 [95% CI, 1.18-2.95]; adjusted odds ratio 3.01 [95% CI, 1.76-5.14]).

Conclusion

The rate of discontinuation of RCTs involving patients with chronic pain is concerning. Chronic pain affects many patients; thus, the importance of having quality data from clinical trials cannot be overstated. Our study indicates that chronic pain RCTs are frequently discontinued and their findings often go unpublished - all of which could provide crucial information to providers and patients regarding the treatment of chronic pain. We offer suggestions to enhance chronic pain RCT completion, thereby reducing the waste of resources in chronic pain research.

Public reporting of black participation in anti-hypertensive drug clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Non-Hispanic Black people in the United States have the highest prevalence of essential hypertension. Unfortunately, clinical trials often underrepresent Black patients. We aim to understand whether trial sponsorship type is associated with representation of Black participants in anti-hypertensive drug clinical trials. Then, we contextualize our findings amongst current efforts to improve diversity in clinical research populations.

METHODS

We searched ClinicalTrials.gov in May 2022 for antihypertensive drug trials. Of n = 408 trials in our initial search, n = 97 (23.77%) met inclusion criteria and were stratified by sponsorship type (industry vs non-industry). Standardized tests of difference were employed to compare characteristics of these trials, and linear regression was used to model change over time.

RESULTS

Of 97 trials reporting results from 2010 to 2020, there were minimal differences in the percent of Black patients enrolled in anti-hypertensive clinical trials by sponsorship type. Both industry and non-industry sponsored studies had high rates of non-reporting, with slightly more non-reporting for industry (73.2%) vs non-industry (66.67%) studies. Industry funded studies reported results to ClinicalTrials.gov within 23.3 ± 15.0 months from completing studies, while non-industry funded trials reported within 18.9 ± 10.8 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite Black Americans carrying the highest burden of disease for essential hypertension, they are underrepresented in anti-hypertension clinical trials and their overall participation has decreased between 2010 and 2020. In addition, there is major underreporting of trial participant race. We implore researchers and funders to establish clear, meaningful targets for anti-hypertensive drug trial diversity, and improve transparency in reporting of study characteristics.

Rates of discontinuation and non-publication of upper and lower extremity fracture clinical trials

PURPOSE

To our knowledge, no study has quantified the rate of discontinuation and nonpublication of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) regarding upper and lower extremity fractures.

METHODS

We searched ClinicalTrials.gov on September 9th, 2020, for phase 3 and 4 RCTs pertaining to upper and lower extremity fractures. Trial completion status was determined using records available on ClinicalTrials.gov. Publication status was determined using records on ClinicalTrials.gov and by searching PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, and Google Scholar. We queried corresponding authors on trial status if a peer-reviewed publication was not identified.

RESULTS

Our final analysis included 142 RCTs, of which 57 (40.1%) were discontinued and 71 (50%) were unpublished. Thirty-six (of 57, 63.2%) discontinued trials failed to provide a reason for discontinuation, the most commonly identified reason for discontinuation was due to inadequate recruitment (13/21, 61.9%). Completed trials were more likely to reach publication (59/85; 69.4%; X² = 32.92; P ≤ 0.001) than discontinued trials. Trials with more than 80 participants were less likely not to reach publication (AOR: 0.12; 95% CI 0.15-0.66).

CONCLUSION

Our analysis of 142 upper and lower extremity fracture RCTs demonstrated one-half failed to reach publication and two-fifths were discontinued prior to trial completion. These findings indicate the need for increased guidance in developing, completing, and publishing RCTs in upper and lower extremity fractures. Discontinuation and nonpublication of orthopaedic RCTs hinder the public's access to collected data and negate the valued contribution from study participants. Discontinuation and non-publication of clinical trials may subject participants to potentially harmful interventions, limit the advancement of clinical research, and contribute to research waste.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Premature termination of clinical trials in Spain: reasons, characteristics, and opportunities to improve

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to determine the rate of prematurely terminated clinical trials (CTs) and describe primary reasons and characteristics, and suggest strategies to improve.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, observational, cross-sectional study including all CTs registered in the Spanish Registry of Clinical Studies (REec) from January 1, 2013 to November 31, 2021. A descriptive analysis of reasons for premature termination was made. To assess characteristics associated with a premature termination, the relative risks (RR) with a 95% confidence interval were calculated.

RESULTS

In total, 21% (718) of CT were prematurely terminated. Reasons for premature termination included patient recruitment issues in 25% (179) of cases, efficacy or futility problems in 18% (132), and commercial or strategic decisions from the sponsor in 12% (87). Characteristics significantly associated with an increased risk of premature termination included the following: presence of placebo (RR 2.08); multiple study sites (RR 1.32); pediatric and geriatric populations (RR 1.29 children; RR 1.47 preschoolers; RR 1.92 newborns; RR 1.27 > 64 years of age). In addition, circumstances such as investigations in phase II (RR 1.21), of cancer (RR 1.37), and of digestive pathology (RR 1.65) were also associated with increased risk of premature termination.

CONCLUSION

Recruitment of the study subjects in a CT must be meticulous and account for age of participants. In addition, CT study sites should be evaluated to ensure they have appropriate resources and the desired patient population. Based on intermediate analyses, CT protocols should describe the criteria to terminate a study due to futility. These approaches are essential to avoid harm to participants, ensure internal validity of studies, and improve the use of resources in CT development.

Robust Randomized Controlled Data Is Lacking in Total Joint Arthroplasty

INTRODUCTION

 Randomized controlled trials (RCTs)are regarded as highest level of scientific evidence. There is belief that while prospective randomized control trials (PRCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating efficacy of interventions, there are very few conducted on lower extremity joint arthroplasty. However, there was a more than adequate amount (n=197) of published RCTs in knee arthroplasty during the 2021 calendar year. Therefore, we studied RCTs on knee arthroplasties for 2021 and assessed them for overall study topic reasons (i.e., devices as well as prostheses, rehabilitation, pain control, blood loss [tranexamic acid], and other), which were then subcategorized by: (1) country of origin; (2) sample size; and (3)whether or not they were follow-up studies. After this, we specifically focused on the studies (n=26) concerning devices or prostheses.

METHODS

 A search of PubMed on "knee arthroplasty" specifying "RCT" using their search function and dates between January 1, 2021 to December 24, 2021 resulted in the analyzed reports. A total of 17.3% reports analyzed rehabilitation methods while 28.4% studied pain control. A total of 20.3% examined blood loss topics and 20.8% investigated other topics.

RESULTS

 We found that 26 studies (13.2%) involved prosthetic design and implantation. Overall, only 15% knee arthroplasty RCTs were conducted in the United States, the mean total final sample size was 133±146 patients, and 7% were follow-up studies. None of the prostheses studies were performed in the United States, and the mean total final sample size of all of these studies was 86±54 patients, and 23% were follow-up studies. Total knee arthroplasty prospective RCTs were not performed in the United States.

CONCLUSION

 The authors believe that other study designs, such as database or registry analyses, are also appropriate in this rapidly advancing field of joint arthroplasty for the continuing evaluation and approval of new prostheses and techniques, while we await more PRCTs in our field.

Industry Sponsor Influence in Clinical Trial Reporting in Canada: A Qualitative Interview Study

PURPOSE

Approximately 40% of randomized controlled trials are not published, leading to publication bias and less informed clinical decision-making. Qualitative interviews were conducted to understand whether and how industry sponsors of clinical trials of drugs and biologics in Canada influence decisions to report trial results.

METHODS

Participants eligible for an interview included clinical trial investigators and research coordinators with experience in drug research, research ethics board members with at least 1 year of experience in ethical review of trials, research administrators with knowledge of dissemination of clinical trial findings or relations with trial sponsors, and trial participants who had taken part in a drug trial as an adult in the 5 years before their interview. Semi-structured interviews were held in person or by telephone between March 2019 and April 2021 with participants in Alberta, British Columbia, and Ontario, Canada. Qualitative analysis included coding of interview transcripts and identification of key themes.

FINDINGS

Interviews were conducted with 34 participants, including 17 clinical trial investigators, 1 clinical research coordinator, 3 research administrators, 3 research ethics board members, and 10 clinical trial participants. Participants involved in the conduct, administration, or ethical review of trials represented a range of medical disciplines. Interview participant accounts indicated that in some cases, industry sponsors influence whether results are reported. A core theme was that companies have a weaker incentive to publish trials with unfavorable findings and trials for products that they have decided not to develop further. Companies may influence reporting in various ways, including stopping trials early and not reporting results of stopped trials, owning and controlling access to data, and negotiating clinical trial agreements in multicenter trials that do not fully protect the ability of investigators to publish. Internal company trials represent an additional source of unpublished trials. More broadly, the research system creates a dependency on funding from industry sponsors that may weaken the ability of researchers and research institutions to negotiate terms with industry sponsors that would fully protect publication rights.

IMPLICATIONS

Interviews with trial investigators and others connected to trial research indicate that in some cases, industry sponsors of clinical trial research in Canada influence whether results are reported. Policies aiming to bring about full reporting of trials could benefit from considering the commercial incentives of companies and the ways in which industry sponsors may influence clinical trial reporting. Future research could examine the generalizability of these findings to other jurisdictions.

Discontinuation and nonpublication of pediatric otolaryngology clinical trials

OBJECTIVES

Randomized controlled trial (RCT) discontinuation and nonpublication are potential mechanisms of waste in resources and lead to decreased advancement of medical science and compromised ethical issues in all specialties. However, the prevalence of discontinued or unpublished RCTs regarding common pediatric otolaryngology disorders and interventions remains unclear.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional analysis.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of common pediatric otolaryngology RCTs registered in ClinicalTrials.gov up until November 2, 2018. Data were collected from the registry, and publication status was identified. If a reason for trial discontinuation or nonpublication was not identified through a systematic search, corresponding trialists were contacted through email.

RESULTS

After exclusion, 260 RCTs were included for analysis. Analysis found 198 (76%) RCTs were completed, and 62 (24%) trials were discontinued. The most commonly reported reasons for RCT discontinuation were program termination by sponsor or management (7/24; 29.2%), lack of participant enrollment, difficulty recruiting, or slow accrual (7/24; 29.2%). A total of 192 (192/260; 73.8%) published RCTs and 68 (68/260; 26.2%) unpublished RCTs were identified. Twenty-six (26/62; 42%) of the discontinued RCTs reached publication, while 36 (58%) remained unpublished. Regarding the completed RCTs, 166 of 198 (83.8%) completed trials reached publication, while 32 (32/198; 16.2%) remained unpublished after trial completion.

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately 1 in 4 of included RCTs were discontinued or did not reach publication. Findings suggest further guidance is needed for RCTs regarding common pediatric otolaryngology disorders and interventions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

NA.

Reimagining Pharmaceutical Market Exclusivities: Should the Duration of Guaranteed Monopoly Periods Be Value Based?

OBJECTIVES

To describe the main features of a pharmaceutical market in which the duration of guaranteed monopoly periods would correspond to a new pharmaceutical product's value.

METHODS

After reviewing patent and regulatory exclusivity-based mechanisms for protecting prescription drug markets from competition to incentivize drug innovation in developed countries, we model market protection mechanisms within the current framework to give the longest-lasting market protections to drug developers that bring the most affordable products to market with highest public health and clinical value.

RESULTS

An approach tying pharmaceutical market exclusivity to value would have 3 main features. First, it would be based on regulatory exclusivity (ie, the drug regulator refrains from authorizing generic entry for a certain amount of time), rather than patents. Second, the duration of exclusivity period would be pegged to the magnitude of a product's anticipated health impact and its proposed price by using modified methods from the field of health technology assessment. Third, the duration of the value-based exclusivity period would be reassessed routinely 3 years after the product's launch to account for its real-world effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

Linking a drug's proposed price to the duration of its regulatory-based exclusivities would both incentivize the development of high impact, low-cost products and motivate drug developers to introduce these products at lower prices.

Neurology trial registrations on ClinicalTrials.gov between 2007 and 2018: A cross-sectional analysis of characteristics, early discontinuation, and results reporting

BACKGROUND

Increasing neurological disease burden and advancing treatment options require clinical trials to expand the evidence base of clinical care. We aimed to characterize neurology clinical trials registered between October 2007 and April 2018 and identify features associated with early discontinuation and results reporting.

METHODS

We compared 16,994 neurology (9.4%) and 163,714 non-neurology comparison trials registered to ClinicalTrials.gov. Trials therapeutic focus within neurology was assigned via combination programmatic and manual review. We performed descriptive analyses of trial characteristics, cox regression of early discontinuation, and multivariable logistic regression for results reporting within 3 years of completion.

RESULTS

Most neurology trials were academic-funded (58.5%) followed by industry (31.9%) and US-government (9.6%). Neurology trials focused more on treatment than prevention compared to non-neurology studies. Of neurology trials, 11.3% discontinued early, and 32.2% of completed trials reported results by April 30, 2018. In multivariable analysis accounting for time-to-event, neurology trials were at lower risk of discontinuation than non-neurology trials (adjusted hazard 0.83, p < 0.0001). Both academic and government-funded trials had greater risk of discontinuation than industry (adjusted hazard 0.57 and 0.46, respectively). Among completed trials, government-funded studies (adjusted odds ratio 2.12, p < 0.0001) had highest odds of results reporting while academic trials reported less (adjusted odds ratio 0.51, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Funding source is associated with trial characteristics and outcomes in neurology. Improvements in trial completion and timely dissemination of results remain urgent goals for the field.

Rates of Discontinuation and Nonpublication of Head and Neck Cancer Randomized Clinical Trials

Importance

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) play an important role in clinical decision-making, and discontinuation or nonpublication of these trials are causes of great concern. The extent of discontinued or unpublished RCTs about head and neck cancer remains unclear.

Objective

To assess the rate of discontinuation or nonpublication of RCTs involving patients with head and neck cancer. This objective was measured by observing 3 domains: discontinuation of trial, nonpublication of trial data, and feasibility of contacting trial investigators of aforementioned trials.

Evidence Review

For this study, the sample was derived using the ClinicalTrials.gov advanced search feature on March 18, 2019, to locate completed and discontinued RCTs pertaining to head and neck cancer registered before this date. Trials were analyzed to identify reasons for trial discontinuation and publication status of each trial. If publication status or reason for trial discontinuation was not allocated through the systematic search of ClinicalTrials.gov, the corresponding author was emailed to determine publication status.

Findings

After exclusions, 130 RCTs were included. Of these trials, 92 (70.8%) were completed and 38 (29.2%) were discontinued for various reasons. The most common reason for discontinuation of trials was committee recommendations. Of the 130 analyzed trials, 67 (51.5%) were published in a peer-reviewed journal and 63 (48.5%) were unpublished trials. Of the 92 completed trials, 55 (59.8%) were published and 37 (40.2%) remained unpublished 3 or more years after trial completion. Trials funded by other sources (private, nonprofit, or the National Institutes of Health) were more likely to reach publication than industry-funded RCTs (unadjusted odds ratio, 4.3 [95% CI, 1.3-14.0]; adjusted odds ratio, 4.1 [95% CI, 1.2-14.3]).

Conclusions and Relevance

Of RCTs in head and neck cancer, 29.2% were discontinued and 40.2% completed trials never reached publication. The findings suggest that needs exist for RCT guidance of head and neck cancer. The reporting of reasons for trial discontinuation appears to be lacking, and trial publication rates were low. This study is relevant to many physicians and researchers because it identifies potential sources of decreased research productivity and ethics.

Trends in mental health clinical research: Characterizing the ClinicalTrials.gov registry from 2007-2018

While the epidemiologic burden of mental health disorders in the United States has been well described over the past decade, we know relatively little about trends in how these disorders are being studied through clinical research. We examined all US interventional mental health trials submitted to ClinicalTrials.gov between October 1, 2007 and April 30, 2018 to identify trends in trial characteristics, comparisons with non-mental health trials, and trial attributes associated with discontinuation and results reporting. International data were excluded to minimize potential confounding. Over this period, mental health and non-mental health trials grew at similar rates, though Industry and US government-funded trials declined and academic medical center/hospital/other (AMC/Hosp/Oth) funded trials grew faster in mental health research. The proportion of trials with safeguards against bias, including blinding and oversight by data monitoring committees (DMCs), decreased. This occurred during growth in the proportion of trials studying behavioral and non-pharmacological interventions, which often cannot be blinded and do not require DMC oversight. There was concurrent decline in pharmaceutical trials. There was significant growth in trials studying Non-DSM (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual-5) conditions (e.g. suicidality and wellness), as well as substance use, anxiety, and neurocognitive disorders. One in 12 trials was discontinued. Trial discontinuation was associated with industry and AMC/Hosp/Oth funders, pharmaceutical interventions, and lack of DMC oversight. Only 29.9% of completed trials reported results to the registry. Decreased results reporting was associated with behavioral interventions, phase 1 trials, and industry and AMC/Hosp/Oth funders. The main implications of these data are that funding is shifting away from traditional government and industry sources, there is increasing interest in non-pharmacological treatments and Non-DSM conditions, and there are changing norms in trial design characteristics regarding safeguards against bias. These trends can guide researchers and funding bodies when considering the trajectory of future mental health research.

Characteristics of Ophthalmology Trials Registered in ClinicalTrials.gov, 2007-2018

PURPOSE

To perform a comprehensive analysis of characteristics of ophthalmology trials registered in ClinicalTrials.gov.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

METHODS

All 4,203 ophthalmologic clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov between October 1, 2007, and April 30, 2018, were identified by using medical subject headings (MeSH). Disease condition terms were verified by manual review. Trial characteristics were assessed through frequency calculations. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were determined for characteristics associated with early discontinuation.

RESULTS

The majority of trials were multiarmed (73.6%), single-site (69.4%), randomized (64.8%), and had <100 enrollees (66.3%). A total of 33% used a data-monitoring committee (DMC), and 50.6% incorporated blinding. Other groups (51.6%) were funded by industry, whereas 2.6% were funded by the US National Institutes of Health (NIH). NIH trials were significantly more likely to address oncologic (NIH = 15.5%, Other = 3%, Industry = 1.5%; P < 0.001) or pediatric disease (NIH = 20.9%, Other = 5.9%, Industry = 1.4%; P < 0.001). Industry-sponsored trials (69.6% of phase 3 trials) were significantly more likely to be randomized (Industry = 68.7%, NIH = 58.9%, Other = 60.8%; P < 0.001) and blinded (Industry = 57.2%, NIH = 42.7%, Other = 43.5%; P < 0.001). A total of 359 trials (8.5%) were discontinued early, and 530 trials (12.6%) had unknown status. Trials were less likely to be discontinued if funded by sources other than industry (hazard ratio [HR], 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55-0.95; P = 0.021) and/or had a DMC (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.55-0.92; P = 0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

Ophthalmology trials in the past decade reveal heterogeneity across study funding sources. NIH trials were more likely to support historically underfunded subspecialties, whereas Industry trials were more likely to face early discontinuation. These trends emphasize the importance of carefully monitored and methodologically sound trials with deliberate funding allocation.

An Industry Perspective on Risks and Mitigation Strategies Associated with Post Conduct Phase of Clinical Trial

OBJECTIVE

To discuss the potential risks and their mitigation strategies in the post-conduct phase of the trial.

BACKGROUND

Risk management is very important for the clinical trial (CT) to ensure that the trial delivers its desired outcome(s) in terms of achieving protocol objective and regulatory compliance.

METHODOLOGY

Experienced members of the clinical operation team of a pharmaceutical major underwent a series of sessions to identify risks associated with the post-conduct phase of CT and developed mitigation strategies based on own experiences and guidance documents. The risks were categorized into major, minor and critical risks.

RESULTS

In the post-conduct phase of a clinical trial, critical risk identified were; failure to communicate to the stakeholder about premature termination of the trial, mismatch of statistical analysis results and protocol objective/ regulatory requirement, clinical study report (CSR) noncompliant with regulatory requirements or delay in CSR preparation. Safety checks suggested to mitigate these risks including the development of related checklist or shell of relevant documents and its review by clinical development, quality assurance (QA) and regulatory affairs (RA) team prior to finalization. Additionally, six major and five minor risk areas were identified and safety checks were suggested.

CONCLUSION

Sponsors must act proactively to ensure a systematic approach to conduct various post conduct trial activities and the plans to mitigate the risks that could affect the quality and outcome of the clinical trial. Future Perspective: A close coordination with all stakeholders for timely anticipation of risks and execution of mitigation strategies are required for successful CT outcomes.

Implications of product withdrawal on a post-approval pragmatic trial: The VOLUME study experience

INTRODUCTION

Many clinical trials terminate early due to safety and efficacy concerns, and less often due to unexpected "positive" findings. However, early termination of post-approval (Phase IV) pragmatic randomized trials for commercial reasons is less frequent, may be more complex, and may require added flexibility in closure methods, including short term follow-up. VOLUME was a randomized, open-label, post-approval pragmatic clinical trial (PCT) or large simple trial that terminated early due to product withdrawal. The aim of this paper is to describe circumstances unique to post-approval PCTs that may require a closure amendment rather than immediate study termination, and our recommendations for operational study closure in these circumstances. We use the VOLUME case study throughout to provide a practical example.

METHODS

Study closeout considerations at the study level include: notifying external governance bodies, e.g., data monitoring committees (DMC), and scientific steering committees (SSC); executing a study closure amendment; notifying and training of study physicians; and institutional review board (IRB)/ethics committee (EC) approvals. Study closure considerations at the patient level focus on patient safety and include: patient notification, efficient transition to alternative treatments, the need for re-consenting; and drug supply shortages.

CONCLUSIONS

Early study closeout logistics require careful analysis, detailed planning, and close coordination, and are ideally considered at the study planning phase. Lessons learned from the VOLUME closeout should help other researchers devise contingencies when terminating post approval pragmatic trials that utilize a marketed product.ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00359801.

Discontinued Drugs for the Treatment of Cardiovascular Disease from 2016 to 2018

Cardiovascular drug research and development (R&D) has been in active state and continuously attracts attention from the pharmaceutical industry. However, only one individual drug can eventually reach the market from about the 10,000 compounds tested. It would be useful to learn from these failures when developing better strategies for the future. Discontinued drugs were identified from a search performed by Thomson Reuters Integrity. Additional information was sought through PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov, and pharmaceutical companies search. Twelve compounds discontinued for cardiovascular disease treatment after reaching Phase I-III clinical trials from 2016 to 2018 are detailed in this manuscript, and the reasons for these failures are reported. Of these, six candidates (MDCO-216, TRV027, ubenimex, sodium nitrite, losmapimod, and bococizumab) were dropped for lack of clinical efficacy, the other six for strategic or unspecified reasons. In total, three candidates were discontinued in Phase I trials, six in Phase II, and three in Phase III. It was reported that the success rate of drug R&D utilizing selection biomarkers is higher. Four candidate developments (OPC-108459, ONO-4232, GSK-2798745, and TAK-536TCH) were run without biomarkers, which could be used as surrogate endpoints in the 12 cardiovascular drugs discontinued from 2016 to 2018. This review will be useful for those involved in the field of drug discovery and development, and for those interested in the treatment of cardiovascular disease.

Anti-interleukin-1 treatment in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and type 2 diabetes (TRACK): A multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

The inflammatory contribution to type 2 diabetes (T2D) has suggested new therapeutic targets using biologic drugs designed for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). On this basis, we aimed at investigating whether interleukin-1 (IL-1) inhibition with anakinra, a recombinant human IL-1 receptor antagonist, could improve both glycaemic and inflammatory parameters in participants with RA and T2D compared with tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors (TNFis).

METHODS AND FINDINGS

This study, designed as a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial, enrolled participants, followed up for 6 months, with RA and T2D in 12 Italian rheumatologic units between 2013 and 2016. Participants were randomised to anakinra or to a TNFi (i.e., adalimumab, certolizumab pegol, etanercept, infliximab, or golimumab), and the primary end point was the change in percentage of glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c%) (EudraCT: 2012-005370-62 ClinicalTrial.gov: NCT02236481). In total, 41 participants with RA and T2D were randomised, and 39 eligible participants were treated (age 62.72 ± 9.97 years, 74.4% female sex). The majority of participants had seropositive RA disease (rheumatoid factor and/or anticyclic citrullinated peptide antibody [ACPA] 70.2%) with active disease (Disease Activity Score-28 [DAS28]: 5.54 ± 1.03; C-reactive protein 11.84 ± 9.67 mg/L, respectively). All participants had T2D (HbA1c%: 7.77 ± 0.70, fasting plasma glucose: 139.13 ± 42.17 mg). When all the enrolled participants reached 6 months of follow-up, the important crude difference in the main end point, confirmed by an unplanned ad interim analysis showing the significant effects of anakinra, which were not observed in the other group, led to the study being stopped for early benefit. Participants in the anakinra group had a significant reduction of HbA1c%, in an unadjusted linear mixed model, after 3 months (β: -0.85, p < 0.001, 95% CI -1.28 to -0.42) and 6 months (β: -1.05, p < 0.001, 95% CI -1.50 to -0.59). Similar results were observed adjusting the model for relevant RA and T2D clinical confounders (male sex, age, ACPA positivity, use of corticosteroids, RA duration, T2D duration, use of oral antidiabetic drug, body mass index [BMI]) after 3 months (β: -1.04, p < 0.001, 95% CI -1.52 to -0.55) and 6 months (β: -1.24, p < 0.001, 95% CI -1.75 to -0.72). Participants in the TNFi group had a nonsignificant slight decrease of HbA1c%. Assuming the success threshold to be HbA1c% ≤ 7, we considered an absolute risk reduction (ARR) = 0.42 (experimental event rate = 0.54, control event rate = 0.12); thus, we estimated, rounding up, a number needed to treat (NNT) = 3. Concerning RA, a progressive reduction of disease activity was observed in both groups. No severe adverse events, hypoglycaemic episodes, or deaths were observed. Urticarial lesions at the injection site led to discontinuation in 4 (18%) anakinra-treated participants. Additionally, we observed nonsevere infections, including influenza, nasopharyngitis, upper respiratory tract infection, urinary tract infection, and diarrhoea in both groups. Our study has some limitations, including open-label design and previously unplanned ad interim analysis, small size, lack of some laboratory evaluations, and ongoing use of other drugs.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we observed an apparent benefit of IL-1 inhibition in participants with RA and T2D, reaching the therapeutic targets of both diseases. Our results suggest the concept that IL-1 inhibition may be considered a targeted treatment for RA and T2D.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The trial is registered with EU Clinical Trials Register, EudraCT Number: 2012-005370-62 and with ClinicalTrial.gov, number NCT02236481.

Ryanodine Receptor 1-Related Myopathies: Diagnostic and Therapeutic Approaches

Ryanodine receptor type 1-related myopathies (RYR1-RM) are the most common class of congenital myopathies. Historically, RYR1-RM classification and diagnosis have been guided by histopathologic findings on muscle biopsy. Main histological subtypes of RYR1-RM include central core disease, multiminicore disease, core-rod myopathy, centronuclear myopathy, and congenital fiber-type disproportion. A range of RYR1-RM clinical phenotypes has also emerged more recently and includes King Denborough syndrome, RYR1 rhabdomyolysis-myalgia syndrome, atypical periodic paralysis, congenital neuromuscular disease with uniform type 1 fibers, and late-onset axial myopathy. This expansion of the RYR1-RM disease spectrum is due, in part, to implementation of next-generation sequencing methods, which include the entire RYR1 coding sequence rather than being restricted to hotspot regions. These methods enhance diagnostic capabilities, especially given historic limitations of histopathologic and clinical overlap across RYR1-RM. Both dominant and recessive modes of inheritance have been documented, with the latter typically associated with a more severe clinical phenotype. As with all congenital myopathies, no FDA-approved treatments exist to date. Here, we review histopathologic, clinical, imaging, and genetic diagnostic features of the main RYR1-RM subtypes. We also discuss the current state of treatments and focus on disease-modulating (nongenetic) therapeutic strategies under development for RYR1-RM. Finally, perspectives for future approaches to treatment development are broached.

Factors associated with clinical trials that fail and opportunities for improving the likelihood of success: A review

Clinical trials are time consuming, expensive, and often burdensome on patients. Clinical trials can fail for many reasons. This survey reviews many of these reasons and offers insights on opportunities for improving the likelihood of creating and executing successful clinical trials. Literature from the past 30 years was reviewed for relevant data. Common patterns in reported successful trials are identified, including factors regarding the study site, study coordinator/investigator, and the effects on participating patients. Specific instances where artificial intelligence can help improve clinical trials are identified.

Randomized controlled trials in pediatric patients had higher completion rates than adult trials: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

Conduct of clinical trials is perceived to be more challenging in children than in adults. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the age of participants on completion rates of randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

A cross-sectional study on RCTs registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database. All RCTs registered up to December 31, 2016, were extracted and were classified according to their recruitment status: active, completed, or discontinued and according to the age of participants: children (<17 years), adults (≥18 years), and mixed-age population. A logistic regression model was applied to assess the impact of participant's age category on trial completion while controlling for other relevant trial features.

RESULTS

A total of 65,095 registered RCTs were identified. Among pediatric trials, 49.9% were completed and 8.5% were discontinued. Among adult and mixed age RCTs, respectively, 49.7% and 47.9% were completed whereas, 10.2% and 9.4% were discontinued. Overall, pediatric and mixed age RCTs were more likely to be registered as completed than adult RCTs (odds ratio: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.02-1.30; odds ratio: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.04-1.27, respectively). Also, funding source, type of intervention under evaluation, primary trial purpose, use of a blinding procedure, use of a placebo, and participants' assignment model were identified as independent predictors of RCT completion.

CONCLUSION

Contrary to current perceptions and despite several specific challenges, recruitment of children and adolescents is not a limiting factor to completing a RCT. Other study features such as funding source, impact completeness and should be carefully considered before initiating research.

Odon device for instrumental vaginal deliveries: results of a medical device pilot clinical study

Background

A prolonged and complicated second stage of labour is associated with serious perinatal complications. The Odon device is an innovation intended to perform instrumental vaginal delivery presently under development. We present an evaluation of the feasibility and safety of delivery with early prototypes of this device from an early terminated clinical study.

Methods

Hospital-based, multi-phased, open-label, pilot clinical study with no control group in tertiary hospitals in Argentina and South Africa. Multiparous and nulliparous women, with uncomplicated singleton pregnancies, were enrolled during the third trimester of pregnancy. Delivery with Odon device was attempted under non-emergency conditions during the second stage of labour. The feasibility outcome was delivery with the Odon device defined as successful expulsion of the fetal head after one-time application of the device.

Results

Of the 49 women enrolled, the Odon device was inserted successfully in 46 (93%), and successful Odon device delivery as defined above was achieved in 35 (71%) women. Vaginal, first and second degree perineal tears occurred in 29 (59%) women. Four women had cervical tears. No third or fourth degree perineal tears were observed. All neonates were born alive and vigorous. No adverse maternal or infant outcomes were observed at 6-weeks follow-up for all dyads, and at 1 year for the first 30 dyads.

Conclusions

Delivery using the Odon device is feasible. Observed genital tears could be due to the device or the process of delivery and assessment bias. Evaluating the effectiveness and safety of the further developed prototype of the BD Odon Device™ will require a randomized-controlled trial.

Trial registration

ANZCTR ACTRN12613000141741 Registered 06 February 2013. Retrospectively registered.

Discontinued drug therapies to treat diabetes in 2015

INTRODUCTION

This manuscript describes 21 drug targets in the area of diabetes and related conditions that were discontinued in 2015. Areas covered: The material for this paper was obtained by contacting biopharmaceutical companies, reviewing their pipelines, press releases and annual reports. Additionally, the authors searched clinicaltrials.gov, PubMed and general Internet search engines. Majority of the compounds were in early stages of the development. Expert opinion: Business reasons for termination of the drug projects emerge more and more frequently over the years. Safety signals usually appear early in the development and are often associated with novel drugs. 2015 medicines with inadequate efficacy were unable to compete with existing approved members of the class they represented.

Risk of discontinuation of Advanced Therapy Medicinal Products clinical trials

OBJECTIVE

Advanced therapy medicinal products (ATMPs) constitute a class of innovative products that encompasses gene therapy, somatic cell therapy, and tissue-engineered products (TEP). There is an increased investment of commercial and non-commercial sponsors in this field and a growing number of ATMPs randomized clinical trials (RCT) and patients enrolled in such trials. RCT generate data to prove the efficacy of a new therapy, but the discontinuation of RCTs wastes scarce resources. Our objective is to identify the number and characteristics of discontinued ATMPs trials in order to evaluate the rate of discontinuation.

METHODS

We searched for ATMPs trials conducted between 1999 to June 2015 using three databases, which are Clinicaltrials.gov, the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP), and the EU Drug Regulating Authorities Clinical Trials (EudraCT). We selected the ATMPs trials after elimination of the duplicates. We identified the disease areas and the sponsors as commercial or non-commercial organizations. We classified ATMPs by type and trial status, that is, ongoing, completed, terminated, discontinued, and prematurely ended. Then, we calculated the rate of discontinuation.

RESULTS

Between 1999 and June 2015, 143 withdrawn, terminated, or prematurely ended ATMPs clinical trials were identified. Between 1999 and June 2013, 474 ongoing and completed clinical trials were identified. Therefore, the rate of discontinuation of ATMPs trials is 23.18%, similar to that for non-ATMPs drugs in development. The probability of discontinuation is, respectively, 27.35, 16.28, and 16.34% for cell therapies, gene therapies, and TEP. The highest discontinuation rate is for oncology (43%), followed by cardiology (19.2%). It is almost the same for commercial and non-commercial sponsors; therefore, the discontinuation reason may not be financially driven.

CONCLUSION

No failure risk rate per development phase is available for ATMPs. The discontinuation rate may prove helpful when assessing the expected net present value to support portfolio arbitration and may be considered by patients and potential investigators in their decisions to participate in ATMP trials. These results carry limitation because the rationale for discontinuation is unknown. Further research about the reasons of discontinuation and the risk of negative results is needed to inform stakeholders.

Completion and Publication Rates of Randomized Controlled Trials in Surgery: An Empirical Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prevalence of discontinuation and nonpublication of surgical versus medical randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and to explore risk factors for discontinuation and nonpublication of surgical RCTs.

BACKGROUND

Trial discontinuation has significant scientific, ethical, and economic implications. To date, the prevalence of discontinuation of surgical RCTs is unknown.

METHODS

All RCT protocols approved between 2000 and 2003 by 6 ethics committees in Canada, Germany, and Switzerland were screened. Baseline characteristics were collected and, if published, full reports retrieved. Risk factors for early discontinuation for slow recruitment and nonpublication were explored using multivariable logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

In total, 863 RCT protocols involving adult patients were identified, 127 in surgery (15%) and 736 in medicine (85%). Surgical trials were discontinued for any reason more often than medical trials [43% vs 27%, risk difference 16% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5%-26%); P = 0.001] and more often discontinued for slow recruitment [18% vs 11%, risk difference 8% (95% CI: 0.1%-16%); P = 0.020]. The percentage of trials not published as full journal article was similar in surgical and medical trials (44% vs 40%, risk difference 4% (95% CI: -5% to 14%); P = 0.373). Discontinuation of surgical trials was a strong risk factor for nonpublication (odds ratio = 4.18, 95% CI: 1.45-12.06; P = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Discontinuation and nonpublication rates were substantial in surgical RCTs and trial discontinuation was strongly associated with nonpublication. These findings need to be taken into account when interpreting surgical literature. Surgical trialists should consider feasibility studies before embarking on full-scale trials.

Trends in characteristics of cardiovascular clinical trials 2001-2012

BACKGROUND

Efficient conduct of clinical trials is essential for the timely generation of critical medical knowledge.

METHODS

We systematically assessed size, duration, enrollment rates, and geographic distribution of randomized cardiovascular trials published between 2001 and 2012 in the 8 highest-impact journals in general medicine and cardiology.

RESULTS

Of the 1,224 trials, 27.0% were conducted in North America, 36.5% in Western Europe, and 7.7% in other countries, and 28.8% were multiregional. Trials enrolled a median of 452 patients (interquartile range 167-1,530) in 20 sites (2-76). Median duration was 2.1 (1.3-3.3) years, with an estimated enrollment rate of 1.1 (0.5-3.5) patients/site per month. Between 2001-2003 and 2009-2012, the proportion of North American trials decreased from 34.5% to 25.7% (P = .006), whereas that of multiregional trials (from 26.0% to 30.3%; P = .046) and trials conducted in other countries (from 4.6% to 10.3%; P = .012) increased. Over time, trials involved more patients (from 400 to 500 [median]; P = .032) and sites (from 20 to 22; P = .049), multiregional trials involved more countries (from 12 to 18; P = .031), and enrollment rate declined from 1.2 to 0.9 patients/site per month (P = .017). The proportion of trials meeting their primary end point ("positive") decreased from 69% to 57% (P < .001). Trials with higher enrollment rates were more likely to be positive (odds ratio 1.20 per doubling, 95% CI 1.12-1.29), as were industry-sponsored compared with government-sponsored trials (odds ratio 2.62, 95% CI 1.67-4.12).

CONCLUSIONS

From 2001 to 2012, cardiovascular clinical trials have become larger, more global, and less likely to meet their primary end point. Enrollment rates have declined, requiring more sites and regions.

Characteristics of pivotal trials and FDA review of innovative devices

When patients lack sufficient treatment options for serious medical conditions, they rely on the prompt approval and development of new therapeutic alternatives, such as medical devices. Understanding the development of innovative medical devices, including the characteristics of premarket clinical trials and length of Food and Drug Administration (FDA) review, can help identify ways to expedite patient access to novel technologies and inform recent efforts by FDA to more quickly get these products to patients and physicians. We analyzed publicly available information on clinical trials and premarket FDA review for innovative medical devices that fill an unmet medical need. In this first-of-its-kind study focusing on these products, we extracted data on the length of the pivotal trials, primary study endpoint and FDA review; number of patients enrolled in trials; and in what country the device was available first. We identified 27 approved priority review devices from January 2006 through August 2013. The median duration of pivotal clinical trials was 3 years, ranging from 3 months to approximately 7 years. Trials had a median primary outcome measure evaluation time of one year and a median enrollment of 297 patients. The median FDA review time was 1 year and 3 months. Most priority review devices were available abroad before they were approved in the United States. Our study indicates that addressing the length of clinical studies--and contributing factors, such as primary outcome measures and enrollment--could expedite patient access to innovative medical devices. FDA, manufacturers, Congress and other stakeholders should identify the contributing factors to the length of clinical development, and implement appropriate reforms to address those issues.

Elderly patients with myocardial infarction selected for conservative or invasive treatment strategy

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on patients aged >75 years with myocardial infarction (MI), especially those who are treated conservatively.

HYPOTHESIS

There are important differences in the clinical characteristics and outcome between elderly MI patients selected for invasive or conservative treatment strategy.

METHODS

A total of 1,413 elderly patients (>75 years old) admitted to Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden with a final diagnosis of acute MI in 2001 or 2007, were divided into two groups, those who underwent a conservative treatment strategy (conservative group [CG], n=1,169) and those who underwent coronary angiography and were revascularized if indicated (invasive group [IG], n=244).

RESULTS

Other than higher age in the CG, there were no significant differences in traditional risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes, and smoking in the two groups. A higher proportion of patients in the CG had a history of heart failure and cerebrovascular disease. The hazard ratio (with 95% confidence interval), adjusted for potential confounders, for 5 year mortality in the IG in relation to the CG was 0.49 (0.39, 0.62), P<0.0001. Overall, in the elderly with MI, the proportion who underwent an invasive treatment strategy doubled from 12% in 2001 to 24% in 2007, despite a slightly higher mean age.

CONCLUSION

Elderly patients with MI in the CG (no coronary angiography), were generally older and a higher proportion had chronic diseases such as congestive heart failure and cerebrovascular disease than those in the IG. Our data suggest that the invasive treatment strategy is associated with better outcome. However, randomized trials will be needed to determine whether revascularization procedures are beneficial in elderly patients with MI, in terms of less symptoms, better outcome, and improved quality of life.

Money and morals: ending clinical trials for financial reasons

Too often, biopharmaceutical companies stop their clinical trials solely for financial reasons. In this chapter, we discuss this phenomenon against the backdrop of a 2011 decision by Geron Corporation to abandon its stem cell clinical trial for spinal cord injury (SCI), the preliminary results of which were released in May 2014. We argue that the resultant harms are widespread and are different in nature from the consequences of stopping trials for scientific or medical reasons. We examine the ethical and social effects that arise from such decisions and discuss them in light of ethical frameworks, including duties of individual stakeholders and corporate sponsors. We offer ways that sponsors and clinical sites can ensure that trials are responsibly started, and once started adequately protect the interests of participants. We conclude with recommendations that industry sponsors of clinical trials should adopt in order to advance a collective and patient-centered research ethic.

Would tirofiban have been shown non-inferior to abciximab had the TENACITY trial not been terminated for financial reasons?

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether tirofiban would have been non-inferior to abciximab had the trial completed enrollment and place the termination of this trial in a broader research ethics context.

BACKGROUND

TENACITY was terminated by the sponsor for financial reasons. At the time, event rates for the 2 treatment arms were unknown.

METHODS

TENACITY was designed to compare tirofiban with abciximab in approximately 8,000 patients; however, enrollment was terminated after 383 (4.8%) patients. The primary end-point was a composite of 30-day death, myocardial infarction, and urgent target vessel revascularization. Non-inferiority was defined as the likelihood that tirofiban would preserve at least 50% of the ability of abciximab to reduce the primary end-point at 30 days, based on abciximab's demonstrated ability to reduce such events by 43% (relative risk, 0.573; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.507-0.648; P < 0.001). To determine the probability of non-inferiority given the patients already enrolled, a Bayesian approach was used.

RESULTS

The primary composite end-point occurred in 8.8% of patients randomized to abciximab versus 6.9% receiving high-bolus-dose tirofiban (odds ratio, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.37-1.64). The estimated conditional power for the test that tirofiban would be non-inferior to abciximab if all patients been enrolled is 93.7%. Using the estimated predictive power method, the likelihood was 84.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

TENACITY was well powered to identify non-inferiority with tirofiban versus abciximab, and the patients enrolled strengthened the probability that this would have been the outcome had the trial been completed. When a clinical trial is terminated solely for financial reasons, it is incumbent upon the sponsor to provide proper patient follow-up and publication of the findings.

Primary anastomosis vs nonrestorative resection for perforated diverticulitis with peritonitis: a prematurely terminated randomized controlled trial

AIM

This randomized controlled trial (RCT) was performed to test the hypothesis that adverse event rates following primary anastomosis (PRA) are not inferior to those following nonrestorative colon resection for perforated diverticulitis with peritonitis.

METHOD

Patients admitted for perforated diverticulitis with peritonitis were randomly assigned to PRA (left colon resection with PRA and loop ileostomy) or nonrestorative colon resection (left colon resection with end colostomy). The endpoint was adverse events defined as mortality and morbidity following PRA or nonrestorative colon resection and stoma reversal. The estimated sample size was 300 patients in each study arm (alpha 0.10; 90% power).

RESULTS

During a 9-year period, 90 patients were randomly assigned to undergo PRA or nonrestorative colon resection in 14 centres in eight countries. Thirty-four PRA patients were comparable to 56 nonrestorative colon resection patients for age (P = 0.481), gender (P = 0.190), APACHE III (P = 0.281), Hinchey stage III vs IV (P = 0.394) and Mannheim Peritonitis Index (P = 0.145). There were no differences in operating time (P = 0.231), surgeries performed at night (P = 0.083), open vs laparoscopic approach (P = 0.419) and litres of peritoneal irrigation (P = 0.096). There was no significant difference in mortality (2.9 vs 10.7%; P = 0.247) and morbidity (35.3 vs 46.4%; P = 0.38) following PRA or nonrestorative colon resection. After a similar lag time (P = 0.43), 64.7% of PRA patients and 60% of nonrestorative colon resection patients underwent stoma reversal (P = 0.659). Adverse event rates following stoma reversal differed significantly after PRA and reversal of nonrestorative resection (4.5 vs 23.5%; P = 0.0589).

CONCLUSION

No conclusions may be drawn on preference of one treatment over another from this RCT because it was prematurely terminated following accrual of 15% of its sample size.

17-Hydroxyprogesterone caproate to prolong pregnancy after preterm rupture of the membranes: early termination of a double-blind, randomized clinical trial

Background

Progestational agents may reduce the risk of preterm birth in women with various risk factors. We sought to test the hypothesis that a weekly dose of 17-hydroxyprogesterone caproate (17P) given to women with preterm rupture of the membranes (PROM) will prolong pregnancy and thereby reduce neonatal morbidity.

Methods

Double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial. Women with PROM at 23.0 to 31.9 weeks of gestation were randomly assigned to receive a weekly intramuscular injection of 17P (250 mg in 1 mL castor oil) or placebo (1 mL castor oil). The primary outcome was the rate of continuing the pregnancy until 34.0 weeks of gestation or until documentation of fetal lung maturity at 32.0 to 33.9 weeks of gestation. Planned secondary outcomes were duration of latency period and rate of composite neonatal morbidity. Enrollment of 111 participants per group, 222 total, was planned to yield 80% power to detect an increase in the primary outcome from 30% with placebo to 50% with 17P.

Results

Twelve women were enrolled of whom 4 were randomly assigned to receive 17P and 8 to receive placebo. The trial was terminated prematurely because of two separate issues related to the supply of 17P. No adverse events attributable to 17P were identified.

Conclusion

Because of premature termination, the trial does not have adequate statistical power to evaluate efficacy or safety of 17P in women with PROM. Nonetheless, ethical principles dictate that we report the results, which may contribute to possible future metaanalyses and systematic reviews.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01119963

Supported by a research grant from the Center for Research, Education, and Quality, Pediatrix Medical Group, Sunrise, FL

Industry and evidence-based medicine: Believable or conflicted? A systematic review of the surgical literature

BACKGROUND

Over the last few decades medical research and development has come to depend more heavily on the financial support of industry. However, there is concern that financial relations between the medical community and medical industry could unduly influence medical research and therefore patient care. Our objective was to determine whether conflict of interest owing to authors'/investigators' financial affiliation with industry associated with their academic research has been identified in the surgical literature. In particular, we sought to answer the following questions: What is the extent of such conflict of interest? Does conflict of interest bias the results of academic surgical research in favour of industry? What are the potential causes of this proindustry bias?

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of the literature in May 2008 using the OVID SP search engine of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, DARE and Health Technology Assessment. Quantitative studies that included a methods section and reported on conflict of interest as a result of industry funding in surgery-related research specifically were included in our analysis.

RESULTS

The search identified 190 studies that met our criteria. Author/investigator conflict of interest owing to financial affiliation with industry associated with their academic research is well documented in the surgical literature. Six studies demonstrated that authors with such conflicts of interest were significantly more likely to report a positive outcome than authors without industry funding, which demonstrates a proindustry bias. Two studies found that the proindustry bias could not be explained by variations in study quality or sample size.

CONCLUSION

The conflict of interest that exists when surgical research is sponsored by industry is a genuine concern.

"One teabag is better than four": Participants response to the discontinuation of 2% PRO2000/5 microbicide gel in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

INTRODUCTION

The Microbicides Development Programme evaluated the safety and effectiveness of 0.5% and 2% PRO2000/5 microbicide gels in reducing the risk of vaginally acquired HIV. In February 2008 the Independent Data Monitoring Committee recommended that evaluation of 2% PRO2000/5 gel be discontinued due to futility. The Africa Centre site systematically collected participant responses to this discontinuation.

METHODS

Clinic and field staff completed field reports using ethnographic participant observation techniques. In-depth-interviews and focus group discussions were conducted with participants discontinued from 2% gel. A total of 72 field reports, 12 in-depth-interviews and 3 focus groups with 250 women were completed for this analysis. Retention of discontinued participants was also analysed. Qualitative data was analysed using NVivo 2 and quantitative data using STATA 10.0.

RESULTS

Participants responded initially with fear that discontinuation was due to harm, followed by acceptance after effective messaging, and finally with disappointment. Participants reported that their initial fear was exacerbated by being contacted and advised to visit the clinic for information about the closure. Operational changes were subsequently made to the contact procedures. By incorporating feedback from participants, messages were continuously revised to ensure that information was comprehensible and misconceptions were addressed quickly thereby enabling participants to accept the discontinuation. Participants were disappointed that 2% PRO2000/5 was being excluded as a HIV prevention option, but also that they would no longer have access to gel that improved their sexual relationships with their partners and assisted condom negotiations. In total 238 women were discontinued from gel and 185 (78%) went on to complete their scheduled follow-up period.

DISCUSSION

The use of qualitative social science techniques allowed the site team to amend operational procedures and messaging throughout the discontinuation period. This proved instrumental in ensuring that the discontinuation was successfully completed in a manner that was both understandable and acceptable to participants.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Current Controlled Trials. ISRCTN64716212.

Use of Virtual Patient Populations for Rescuing Discontinued Drug Candidates and for Reducing the Number of Patients in Clinical Trials

The decreasing cost-efficiency of drug development threatens to result in a severe shortage of innovative drugs, which may seriously compromise patient healthcare. This risk underlines the urgency to change the paradigm in clinical research. Here, we examine a novel concept of conducting virtual clinical trials for efficiently screening drug candidates, and for evaluating their prospects of being brought to the market successfully. The virtual clinical trials are carried out by using virtual patients (denoted Optimata Virtual Patients — OVPs). The OVP, a set of mathematical algorithms that describe the main pathological and physiological dynamic processes affected by the administered drug, has been shown to accurately predict docetaxel efficacy and safety in individual breast cancer patients. We report a test case in which virtual clinical trials have been conducted by using OVP populations for rescuing a discontinued oncology compound, ISIS-5132 (ISIS Pharmaceuticals Inc.). Our in silico study suggested that ISIS-5132 may be efficacious in combination with another drug, sunitinib malate (Sutent®, Pfizer Inc.), for the treatment of prostate cancer. The recommended combined treatment is predicted to result in a higher five-year Progression-Free Survival than monotherapy with either drug alone.