Estimating global trends in total and childhood antibiotic consumption, 2011-2015

Past, current, and future trends in the prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis and inflammatory bowel disease across England (2015-2027): a nationwide, population-based study

Background

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is one of the leading indications for liver transplantation in Europe, and a major risk factor for cancer in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). However, it is not known how the epidemiology of PSC will change as that of IBD evolves. The aim of this study is to provide nationwide statistics on the past and current prevalence of PSC and IBD across England, and forecast how this is likely to change over time.

Methods

We accessed and analysed a nationwide population-based administrative healthcare registry, which houses prospectively accrued data since April 1st 2001. In so doing, the past and current prevalence of PSC-IBD and IBD alone was determined among 18-60-year-olds in England, alongside average annual percentage change rates (AAPC), between the 1st of January 2015 and 2020. Past and current prevalence data, alongside trends in incidence and event-free survival rates, were then used to forecast future prevalence between 2021 and 2027.

Findings

In 2015, the prevalence of PSC with prior IBD diagnosis was 5.0 per 100,000 population, rising to 5.7 when including those with IBD diagnosed after PSC. In 2020, prevalence increased to 7.6 (8.6 accounting for IBD developing after PSC), yielding an AAPC of 8.8. In 2027, PSC-IBD prevalence is forecast to be 11.7 (95% prediction interval [PI]: 10.8-12.7), and 13.3 when accounting for IBD developing after PSC (AAPC: 6.4; 95% PI: 5.3-7.5). Comparatively, the prevalence of IBD alone rose among 18-60-year-olds from 384.3 in 2015 to 538.7 in 2020 (AAPC 7.0), and forecast to increase to 742.5 by 2027 (95% PI: 736.4-748.0; AAPC: 4.7, 95% PI: 4.6-4.8).

Interpretation

The rate of growth in PSC-IBD is predicted to exceed IBD-alone. Further research is needed to understand changes in disease epidemiology, including aetiological drivers of developing (invariably progressive) liver disease in IBD, and the implications of rising case burden on health care resources.

Funding

This study was supported by an unrestricted grant provided by Gilead Sciences.

Prevalence and predictors of residual antibiotics in children's blood in community settings in Tanzania

OBJECTIVES

Children account for a significant proportion of antibiotic consumption in low- and middle-income countries, with overuse occurring in formal and informal health sectors. This study assessed the prevalence and predictors of residual antibiotics in the blood of children in the Mbeya and Morogoro regions of Tanzania.

METHODS

The cross-sectional community-based survey used two-stage cluster sampling to include children aged under 15 years. For each child, information on recent illness, healthcare-seeking behaviour, and use of antibiotics, as well as a dried blood spot sample, were collected. The samples underwent tandem mass spectrometry analysis to quantify the concentrations of 15 common antibiotics. Associations between survey variables and the presence of residual antibiotics were assessed using mixed-effects logistic regression.

RESULTS

In total, 1742 children were surveyed, and 1699 analysed. The overall prevalence of residual antibiotics in the blood samples was 17.4% (296/1699), the highest among children under the age of 5 years. The most frequently detected antibiotics were trimethoprim (144/1699; 8.5%), sulfamethoxazole (102/1699; 6.0%), metronidazole (61/1699; 3.6%), and amoxicillin (43/1699; 2.5%). The strongest predictors of residual antibiotics in the blood were observed presence of antibiotics at home (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.9; 95% CI, 2.0-4.1) and reported consumption of antibiotics in the last 2 weeks (aOR = 2.5; 95% CI, 1.6-3.9). However, half (145/296) of the children who had residual antibiotics in their blood, some with multiple antibiotics, had no reported history of illness or antibiotic consumption in the last 2 weeks, and antibiotics were not found at home.

DISCUSSION

This study demonstrated a high prevalence of antibiotic exposure among children in Tanzanian communities, albeit likely underestimated, especially for compounds with short half-lives. A significant proportion of antibiotic exposure was unexplained and may have been due to unreported self-medication or environmental pathways. Incorporating biomonitoring into surveillance strategies can help better understand exposure patterns and design antibiotic stewardship interventions.

Probiotics and Antibiotic-Induced Microbial Aberrations in Children: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Probiotics are often considered in children to prevent antibiotic-associated diarrhea. However, the underlying mechanistic effects and impact of probiotics on antibiotic-induced microbiota changes are not well understood.

Objective

To investigate the effects of a multispecies probiotic on the gut microbiota composition in children receiving antibiotics.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This is a secondary analysis of a randomized, quadruple-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial from February 1, 2018, to May 31, 2021, including 350 children receiving broad-spectrum antibiotics in the inpatient and outpatient settings. Patients were followed up until 1 month after the intervention period. Fecal samples and data were analyzed between September 1, 2022, and February 28, 2023. Eligibility criteria included 3 months to 18 years of age and recruitment within 24 hours following initiation of broad-spectrum systemic antibiotics. In total, 646 eligible patients were approached and 350 participated in the trial.

Intervention

Participants were randomly assigned to receive daily placebo or a multispecies probiotic formulation consisting of 8 strains from 5 different genera during antibiotic treatment and for 7 days afterward.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Fecal stool samples were collected at 4 predefined times: (1) inclusion, (2) last day of antibiotic use, (3) last day of the study intervention, and (4) 1 month after intervention. Microbiota analysis was performed by 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing.

Results

A total of 350 children were randomized and collected stool samples from 88 were eligible for the microbiota analysis (54 boys and 34 girls; mean [SD] age, 47.09 [55.64] months). Alpha diversity did not significantly differ between groups at the first 3 times. Shannon diversity (mean [SD], 3.56 [0.75] vs 3.09 [1.00]; P = .02) and inverse Simpson diversity (mean [SD], 3.75 [95% CI, 1.66-5.82] vs -1.31 [95% CI, -3.17 to 0.53]; P = 1 × 10-4) indices were higher in the placebo group compared with the probiotic group 1 month after intervention. Beta diversity was not significantly different at any of the times. Three of 5 supplemented genera had higher relative abundance during probiotic supplementation, but this difference had disappeared after 1 month.

Conclusions and Relevance

The studied probiotic mixture had minor and transient effects on the microbiota composition during and after antibiotic treatment. Further research is needed to understand their working mechanisms in manipulating the microbiome and preventing antibiotic-associated dysbiosis and adverse effects such as antibiotic-associated diarrhea.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03334604.

Decreases and Pronounced Geographic Variability in Antibiotic Prescribing in Medicaid

Antibiotic resistance is a persistent and growing concern. Our objective was to analyze antibiotic prescribing in the United States (US) in the Medical Expenditure Panel System (MEPS) and to Medicaid patients. We obtained MEPS prescriptions for eight antibiotics from 2013 to 2020. We extracted prescribing rates per 1000 Medicaid enrollees for two years, 2018 and 2019, for four broad-spectrum (azithromycin, ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, and moxifloxacin) and four narrow-spectrum (amoxicillin, cephalexin, doxycycline, and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole) antibiotics. Antibiotic prescriptions in MEPS decreased from 2013 to 2020 by 38.7%, with a larger decline for the broad (-53.7%) than narrow (-23.5%) spectrum antibiotics. Antibiotic prescriptions in Medicaid decreased by 6.7%. Amoxicillin was the predominant antibiotic, followed by azithromycin, cephalexin, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, doxycycline, ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, and moxifloxacin. Substantial geographic variation in prescribing existed, with a 2.8-fold difference between the highest (Kentucky = 855/1000) and lowest (Oregon = 299) states. The South prescribed 52.2% more antibiotics (580/1000) than the West (381/1000). There were significant correlations across states (r = 0.81 for azithromycin and amoxicillin). This study identified sizable disparities by geography in the prescribing rates of eight antibiotics with over three-fold state-level differences. Areas with high prescribing rates, particularly for outpatients, may benefit from stewardship programs to reduce potentially unnecessary prescribing.

Influence of age, socioeconomic status, and location on the infant gut resistome across populations

Antibiotic resistance is a growing global concern, with many ecological niches showing a high abundance of antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs), including the human gut. With increasing indications of ARGs in infants, this study aims to investigate the gut resistome profile during early life at a wider geographic level. To achieve this objective, we utilized stool samples data from 26 studies involving subjects aged up to 3 years from different geographical locations. The 32,277 Metagenome Assembled Genomes (MAGs) previously generated from shotgun sequencing reads from these studies were used for resistome analysis using RGI with the CARD database. This analysis showed that the distribution of ARGs across the countries in our study differed in alpha diversity and compositionally. In particular, the abundance of ARGs was found to vary by socioeconomic status and healthcare access and quality (HAQ) index. Surprisingly, countries having lower socioeconomic status and HAQ indices showed lower ARG abundance, which was contradictory to previous reports. Gram-negative genera, including Escherichia, Enterobacter, Citrobacter, and Klebsiella harbored a particularly rich set of ARGs, which included antibiotics that belong to the Reserve, Access or Watch category, such as glycopeptides, fluoroquinolones, sulfonamides, macrolides, and tetracyclines. We showed that ARG abundance exponentially decreased with time during the first 3 years of life. Many highly ARG-abundant species including Escherichia, Klebsiella, Citrobacter species that we observed are well-known pathobionts found in the infant gut in early life. High abundance of these species and a diverse range of ARGs in their genomes point toward the infant gut, acting as an ARG reservoir. This is a concern and further studies are needed to examine the causal effect and its consequences on long-term health.

Challenges of Antibiotic Formulations and Administration in the Treatment of Bloodstream Infections in Children Under Five Admitted to Kisantu Hospital, Democratic Republic of Congo

Severe bacterial infections in children need prompt, appropriate antibiotic treatment. We report challenges observed within a prospective, cohort study on antibiotic efficacy in non-typhi Salmonella bloodstream infection (NCT04850677) in Kisantu district hospital (Democratic Republic of Congo). Children (aged > 28 days to < 5 years) admitted with suspected bloodstream infection (August 1, 2021 through July 31, 2022) were enrolled and followed until day 3 or discharge for non-typhi Salmonella patients. Antibiotics were administered to 98.4% (1,838/1,867) of children, accounting for 2,296 antibiotic regimens (95.7% intravenous, 4.3% oral). Only 78.3% and 61.8% of children were, respectively, prescribed and administered antibiotics on the admission day. At least one dose was not administered in 3.6% of children, mostly because of mismatch of the four times daily cefotaxime schedule with the twice-daily administration rounds. Inappropriate intravenous administration practices included multidose use, air-venting, and direct injection instead of perfusion. There was inaccurate aliquoting in 18.0% (32/178) of intravenous ciprofloxacin regimens, and thus administered doses were > 16% below the intended dose. Dosing accuracy of oral suspensions was impaired by lack of instructions for reconstitution, volume indicators, and/or dosing devices. Adult-dose tablets were split without/beyond scoring lines in 84.4% (27/32) of tablets. Poor availability and affordability of age-appropriate oral formulations contributed to low proportions of intravenous-to-oral switch (33.3% (79/237) of non-typhi Salmonella patients). Other quality issues included poor packaging, nonhomogeneous suspensions, and unsafe water for reconstitution. In conclusion, poor antibiotic products (no age-appropriate formulations, poor quality and access), processes (delayed prescription/administration, missed doses), and practices (inaccurate doses, [bio]safety risks) must be urgently addressed to improve pediatric antibiotic treatment.

Impact of multiplex polymerase chain reaction syndromic panel on antibiotic use among hospitalized children with respiratory tract illness during COVID-19 pandemic

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Precise detection of respiratory pathogens by molecular method potentially may shorten the time to diagnose and reduce unnecessary antibiotic use.

METHODS

Medical records of hospitalized children from January 2020 to June 2021 with acute respiratory illness who received a FilmArray RP for respiratory pathogens were reviewed and compared with data from diagnosis-matched patients without receiving the test.

RESULTS

In total, 283 patients and 150 diagnosis-matched controls were included. Single pathogen was detected in 84.3% (193/229) of the patients. The most common pathogen was human rhinovirus/enterovirus (31.6%, 84/266), followed by respiratory syncytial virus (18.8%, 50/266) and adenovirus (15%, 40/266). Although antimicrobial days of therapy (DOT) was significantly longer in FilmArray group than the control [7.1 ± 4.9 days vs 5.7 ± 2.7 days, P = 0.002], the former showed a higher intensive care unit (ICU) admission rate (3.9% vs 0%; P = 0.010). All ICU admissions were in FilmArray RP-positive group. There was no difference in antimicrobial DOT between FilmArray RP-positive and the negative groups, in all admissions, even after excluding ICU admissions. Antimicrobial DOT was shorter in the positive than negative group in patients with lower respiratory tract infections without admission to ICU [median (IQR): 6 (4-9) days vs 9 (4-12) days, P = 0.047].

CONCLUSIONS

Shorter antimicrobial DOTs were identified in children with lower respiratory tract infection admitted to general pediatric ward and with an identifiable respiratory pathogen, indicating a role of the multiplex PCR in reducing antimicrobial use for children with respiratory tract infection.

Regional Perspective of Antimicrobial Stewardship Programs in Latin American Pediatric Emergency Departments

Antibiotic stewardship (AS) programs have become a priority for health authorities to reduce the number of infections by super-resistant microorganisms. The need for these initiatives to minimize the inadequate use of antimicrobials is essential, and the election of the antibiotic in the emergency department usually impacts the choice of treatment if the patients need hospital admission, becoming an opportunity for antibiotic stewardship. In the pediatric population, broad-spectrum antibiotics are more likely to be overprescribed without any evidence-based management, and most of the publications have focused on the prescription of antibiotics in ambulatory settings. Antibiotic stewardship efforts in pediatric emergency departments in Latin American settings are limited. The lack of literature on AS programs in the pediatric emergency departments in Latin America (LA) limits the information available. The aim of this review was to give a regional perspective on how pediatric emergency departments in LA are working towards antimicrobial stewardship.

Impact of Introducing Infliximab Biosimilars on Total Infliximab Consumption and Originator Infliximab Prices in Eight Regions: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess whether the introduction of the first infliximab biosimilar was associated with changes in overall infliximab consumption (originator and biosimilars) and price changes to the originator infliximab.

METHODS

An interrupted time series analysis using infliximab sales data from 2010 to 2020 from the IQVIA Multinational Integrated Data Analysis System for eight selected regions: Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Korea, India, Japan, the UK, and the USA. Quarterly measures of infliximab consumption and list prices were respectively defined as the number of standard units (SU)/1000 inhabitants and as 2020 USA dollars (USD)/SU.

RESULTS

Following the introduction of infliximab biosimilars, overall infliximab consumption increased in Australia [immediate change: 0.145 SU/1000 inhabitants (P = 0.014); long-term change: 0.022 SU/1000 inhabitants per quarter (P < 0.001)], Canada [immediate change 0.415 (P = 0.008)], the UK [long-term change 0.024 (P < 0.001)], and Hong Kong [immediate change: 0.042 (P < 0.001)]. The list price of originator infliximab also decreased following biosimilar introduction in Australia [immediate change: - 187.84 USD/SU (P < 0.001); long-term change - 6.46 USD/SU per quarter (P = 0.043)], Canada [immediate change: - 145.58 (P < 0.001)], the UK [immediate change: - 34.95 (P = 0.010); long-term change: - 4.77 (P < 0.001)], and Hong Kong [long-term change: - 4.065 (P = 0.046)]. Consumption and price changes were inconsistent in India, Japan, Korea, and the USA.

CONCLUSIONS

Introduction of the first infliximab biosimilar was not consistently associated with increased consumption across regions. Additional policy and healthcare system interventions to support biosimilar infliximab adoption are needed.

Association Between Antimicrobial Stewardship Programs and Antibiotic Use Globally: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

IMPORTANCE

Antimicrobial resistance continues to spread rapidly at a global scale. Little evidence exists on the association of antimicrobial stewardship programs (ASPs) with the consumption of antibiotics across health care and income settings.

OBJECTIVE

To synthesize current evidence regarding the association between antimicrobial stewardship programs and the consumption of antibiotics globally.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases were searched from August 1, 2010, to Aug 1, 2020. Additional studies from the bibliography sections of previous systematic reviews were included.

STUDY SELECTION

Original studies of the association of ASPs with antimicrobial consumption across health care and income settings. Animal and environmental studies were excluded.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Following the Preferred Reporting Items in Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guideline, the pooled association of targeted ASPs with antimicrobial consumption was measured using multilevel random-effects models. The Effective Public Health Practice Project quality assessment tool was used to assess study quality.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome measures were proportion of patients receiving an antibiotic prescription and defined daily doses per 100 patient-days.

RESULTS

Overall, 52 studies (with 1 794 889 participants) measured the association between ASPs and antimicrobial consumption and were included, with 40 studies conducted in high-income countries and 12 in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). ASPs were associated with a 10% (95% CI, 4%-15%) reduction in antibiotic prescriptions and a 28% reduction in antibiotic consumption (rate ratio, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.56-0.92). ASPs were also associated with a 21% (95% CI, 5%-36%) reduction in antibiotic consumption in pediatric hospitals and a 28% reduction in World Health Organization watch groups antibiotics (rate ratio, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.56-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, ASPs appeared to be effective in reducing antibiotic consumption in both hospital and nonhospital settings. Impact assessment of ASPs in resource-limited settings remains scarce; further research is needed on how to best achieve reductions in antibiotic use in LMICs.

The consequence of financial incentives for not prescribing antibiotics: a Japan's nationwide quasi-experiment

BACKGROUND

For addressing antibiotic overuse, Japan designed a health care policy in which eligible medical facilities could claim a financial reward when antibiotics were not prescribed for early-stage respiratory and gastrointestinal infections. The policy was introduced in a pilot manner in paediatric clinics in April 2018.

METHODS

We conducted a quasi-experimental, propensity score-matched, difference-in-differences (DID) design to determine whether the nationwide financial incentives for appropriate non-prescribing of antibiotics as antimicrobial stewardship [800 JPY (≈7.3 US D) per case] were associated with changes in prescription patterns, including antibiotics, and health care use in routine paediatric health care settings at a national level. Data consisted of 9 253 261 cases of infectious diseases in 553 138 patients treated at 10 180 eligible or ineligible facilities.

RESULTS

A total of 2959 eligible facilities claimed 316 770 cases for financial incentives and earned 253 million JPY (≈2.29 million USD). Compared with ineligible facilities, the introduction of financial incentives in the eligible facilities was associated with an excess reduction in antibiotic prescriptions [DID estimate, -228.6 days of therapy (DOTs) per 1000 cases (95% CI, -272.4 to -184.9), which corresponded to a relative reduction of 17.8% (95% CI, 14.8 to 20.7)]. The introduction was also associated with excess reductions in drugs for respiratory symptoms [DID estimates, -256.9 DOTs per 1000 cases (95% CI, -379.3 to -134.5)] and antihistamines [DID estimate, -198.5 DOTs per 1000 cases (95% CI, -282.1 to -114.9)]. There was no excess in out-of-hour visits [DID estimate, -4.43 events per 1000 cases (95% CI, -12.8 to 3.97)] or hospitalizations [DID estimate, -0.08 events per 1000 cases (95% CI, -0.48 to 0.31)].

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that financial incentives to medical facilities for not prescribing antibiotics were associated with reductions in prescriptions for antibiotics without adverse health care consequences. Japan's new health policy provided us with policy options for immediately reducing inappropriate antibiotic prescriptions by relatively small financial incentives.

Patterns and contextual determinants of antibiotic prescribing for febrile under-five outpatients at primary and secondary healthcare facilities in Bugisu, Eastern Uganda

Objectives

To describe patterns and contextual determinants of antibiotic prescribing for febrile under-five outpatients at primary and secondary healthcare facilities across Bugisu, Eastern Uganda.

Methods

We surveyed 37 public and private-not-for-profit healthcare facilities and conducted a retrospective review of antimicrobial prescribing patterns among febrile under-five outpatients (with a focus on antibiotics) in 2019–20, based on outpatient registers. Multilevel logistic regression analysis was used to identify determinants of antibiotic prescribing at patient- and healthcare facility-levels.

Results

Antibiotics were prescribed for 62.2% of 3471 febrile under-five outpatients. There were a total of 2478 antibiotic prescriptions of 22 antibiotic types: amoxicillin (52.2%), co-trimoxazole (14.7%), metronidazole (6.9%), gentamicin (5.7%), ceftriaxone (5.3%), ampicillin/cloxacillin (3.6%), penicillin (3.1%), and others (8.6%). Acute upper respiratory tract infection (AURTI) was the commonest single indication for antibiotic prescribing, with 76.3% of children having AURTI as their only documented diagnosis receiving antibiotic prescriptions. Only 9.2% of children aged 2–59 months with non-severe pneumonia received antibiotic prescriptions in line with national guidelines. Higher health centre levels, and private-not-for-profit ownership (adjusted OR, 4.30; 95% CI, 1.91–9.72) were significant contextual determinants of antibiotic prescribing.

Conclusions

We demonstrated a high antibiotic prescribing prevalence among febrile under-five outpatients in Bugisu, Eastern Uganda, including prescriptions for co-trimoxazole and ampicillin/cloxacillin (which are not indicated in the management of the common causes of under-five febrile illness in Uganda). Study findings may be linked to limited diagnostic capacity and inadequate antibiotic availability, which require prioritization in interventions aimed at improving rational antibiotic prescribing among febrile under-five outpatients.

Global Consumption Trend of Antifungal Agents in Humans From 2008 to 2018: Data From 65 Middle- and High-Income Countries

Background

Understanding the trend of global antifungal agent consumption could assist with identification of global healthcare policy inadequacies and promote accessibility and availability of antifungal agents.

Methods

Using pharmaceutical sales data from the IQVIA-multinational integrated data analysis system database, we assessed use of systemic antifungal agents in humans in 27 middle- and 38 high-income countries from 2008 through 2018.

Results

Consumption of systemic antifungal agents increased from 0.50 (in 2008) to 0.92 defined daily dose (DDD)/1000 inhabitants/day (in 2018), with a compound annual growth rate of 6.2%. High-income countries remain major consumers of antifungal agents with large variance in quantities consumed, with a gradual decline in consumption in recent years. Consumption in middle-income countries increased. Itraconazole (0.32 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day), terbinafine (0.30 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day), and fluconazole (0.23 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day) were the most commonly used antifungal agents in middle- and high-income countries in 2018. Following incorporation into the World Health Organization Essential Medicines List, itraconazole consumption in middle-income countries surged. Consumption of ketoconazole slowly declined, with 5.04% annual decrease, probably due to labelling changes in 2013 to reflect hepatotoxicity concerns. The use of polyenes (0.004 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day) and echinocandins (0.003 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day) were lowest among all the antifungal drug classes.

Conclusion

Global consumption of triazoles and terbinafine has gradually increased in middle- and high-income countries. Life-saving antifungal agents, including echinocandins and polyenes, are available only parenterally and may be underutilized, mainly in middle-income countries. Future research on country-specific epidemiology is warranted to guide health policy coordination to ensure equitable access to appropriate use of antifungal agents.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40265-022-01751-x.

Parents' awareness of antimicrobial resistance: a qualitative study utilising the Health Belief Model in Perth, Western Australia

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine local factors that promote or prevent parents' responsible use of antibiotics for their children in Perth, Western Australia.

METHODS

The Health Belief Model was used to guide this study. Four focus group discussions were conducted, with 26 participants. Participants were recruited purposively through a parent group organisation. The Framework Method was utilised to analyse the data.

RESULTS

Participants agreed that antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a serious health problem. However, participants admitted that they lacked awareness of AMR, inhibiting their ability to assess the risks of developing AMR infections among their children. Participants knew the indications and risks of antibiotic use but still viewed antibiotics as a time-saving solution that minimised disruption to their routine. Participants' previous experiences in managing their children's illness increased their confidence and linked their positive and negative experiences with their general practitioners in their judicious use of antibiotics.

CONCLUSIONS

While parents demonstrated awareness of the indications of antibiotics, they continue to lack AMR awareness and overvalue antibiotics.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH

The findings highlight that incorporating parent empowerment and participation in decision-making regarding antibiotics use, and maintaining a positive relationship with healthcare providers, were important strategies to encourage the appropriate use of antibiotics.

India's ban on antimicrobial fixed-dose combinations: winning the battle, losing the war?

Background and objectives

India, the country with the largest market availability of antimicrobial fixed-dose combinations (FDCs), banned certain antimicrobial FDCs in September 2018. Our objective was to examine the impact of Government ban on the sales of antimicrobial FDCs.

Methods

The sales patterns of 14 of the 26 banned antimicrobial FDCs were analyzed using monthly private sector drug sales data from IQVIA (a comprehensive and nationally representative drug sales database) between January 2018 and December 2019. We carried out descriptive analyses to evaluate the trend in sales over time for banned and non-banned antimicrobial FDCs using cumulative sales volumes.

Results

Overall, the cumulative sales volume of banned antimicrobial FDCs declined by 75% between January and September 2018 and the same months of 2019, although some banned FDCs continued to be available in significant volumes. The effectiveness of the ban was offset by several pathways. First, the sales of combinations containing moieties belonging to the same drug-classes as the antimicrobials in the banned FDCs increased after the ban. Second, while certain formulations of particular combinations were banned, the sales of other non-banned formulation of these combinations increased. Third, in some cases, products containing new non-antimicrobial components added to the banned combinations remained available.

Interpretation and conclusions

While sales of the banned antimicrobial FDCs decreased in 2019, we identified several mechanisms that counterbalanced the ban, including implementation failure, rising sales of congeners, and products with additional non-antimicrobial components.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40545-022-00428-w.

Pharmacokinetics of Clavulanic Acid in the Pediatric Population: A Systematic Literature Review

Background and Objective

Clavulanic acid is a commonly used β-lactam inhibitor in pediatrics for a variety of infections. Clear insight into its mode of action is lacking, however, and a target has not been identified. The dosing of clavulanic acid is currently based on that of the partner drug (amoxicillin or ticarcillin). Still, proper dosing of the compound is needed because clavulanic acid has been associated with adverse effects. In this systematic review, we aim to describe the current literature on the pharmacokinetics of clavulanic acid in the pediatric population

Methods

We performed a systematic search in MEDLINE, Embase.com, Cochrane Central, Google Scholar, and Web of Science. We included all published studies reporting pharmacokinetic data on clavulanic acid in neonates and children 0–18 years of age.

Results

The search resulted in 18 original studies that met the inclusion criteria. In general, the variation in drug exposure was large, which can be partly explained by differences in disease state, route of administration, or age. Unfortunately, the studies’ limited background information hampered in-depth assessment of the observed variability.

Conclusion

The pharmacokinetics of clavulanic acid in pediatric patients is highly variable, similar to reports in adults, but more pronounced. Significant knowledge gaps remain with regard to the population-specific explanation for this variability. Model-based pharmacokinetic studies that address both maturational and disease-specific changes in the pediatric population are therefore needed. Furthermore, additional pharmacodynamic studies are needed to define a clear target. The combined outcomes will eventually lead to pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modeling of clavulanic acid and targeted exposure.

Clinical Trial Registration

PROSPERO CRD42020137253.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40262-022-01116-3.

Cumulative Antibiotic Exposure in the First Five Years of Life: Estimates for 45 Low- and Middle-income Countries from Demographic and Health Survey Data

BACKGROUND

Estimates of the total cumulative exposure to antibiotics of children in low-resource settings, and the source of these treatments, are limited.

METHODS

We estimated the average number of antibiotic treatments children received in the first five years of life in 45 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) using Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data. The two-week point prevalence of fever, diarrhea or cough and antibiotic treatment for these illnesses were estimated for ages 0-59 months and aggregated to estimate cumulative illness and antibiotic treatment for each country. We estimated treatment rates and contribution to total antibiotic use attributable to medical care, informal care, and self-medication.

RESULTS

Forty-five countries contributed 438,140 child-observations. The proportion of illness episodes treated with antibiotics ranged from 10% (95% CI: 9-12) (Niger) to 72% (95% CI: 69-75) (Jordan). A mean of 42·7% (95% CI: 42.1-43.3) of febrile and 32.9% of non-febrile illness (95% CI: 32.4-33.5) episodes received antibiotics. In their first five years, we estimate children received 18.5 antibiotics treatments on average (IQR: 11.6-24.6) in LMICs. Cumulative antibiotic exposure ranged from 3.7 treatments in Niger (95% CI: 2.8-4.6) to 38·6 treatments in DR Congo (95% CI: 34.7-42.4). A median of 9.0% of antibiotic treatment was attributable to informal care (IQR: 5.9-21.2), and 16.9% to self-medication (IQR: 9.5-26.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Childhood antibiotic exposure is high in some LMICs, with considerable variability. While access to antibiotics for children is still not universal, important opportunities for reducing excess use also exist, particularly with respect to the informal care sector and self-medication.

Trends and Pattern of Antibiotic Use in Children in Northern Spain, Interpreting Data about Antibiotic Consumption in Pediatric Outpatients

Monitoring of antibiotic prescription and consumption behavior is crucial. The Access, Watch, and Reserve (AWaRe) classification of antibiotics has been recently introduced in order to measure and improve patterns of antibiotic use. In this study, retrospective data about systemic antibiotic consumption (expressed in defined daily dose per 1000 inhabitants per day (DID)) in pediatric outpatients in a region in northern Spain (around 100,000 children up to 14 years old) from 2005 to 2018 were analyzed and compared with antibiotic consumption in general population in Spain. The pattern of use was analyzed by the percentage of the current AWaRe categories, the Access-to-Watch index, and the amoxicillin index. Data were calculated annually and compared into two periods. Mean antibiotic consumption in pediatric outpatients was 14.0 DID (CI 95% 13.38–14.62). It remained stable throughout the study and was lower than consumption in general population in Spain, particularly from 2016. Changes in the consumption of the main active principles have led to an improvement in the three metrics of the pattern of use. It is important to have a thorough knowledge of the methodology applied in studies about antibiotic consumption. There is a lack of an optimal standardized metric for the pediatric population.

Antimicrobial Use Fell Substantially in Japan in 2020—The COVID-19 Pandemic May Have Played a Role

This study investigated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on antimicrobial use (AU) trends in Japan in 2020 and explored its potential effects on appropriate AU. Using nationwide antimicrobial sales data, we examined the annual and monthly trends in AU from 2016–2020 according to the AWaRe classification (Access and Watch categories) and administration route (oral and injectable). To analyze the possible impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on AU, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models were used to predict AU in 2020 (based on the trends from 2016–2019) under the assumption that the pandemic did not occur. We observed a substantial reduction in AU in 2020 compared with preceding years. In addition, the reductions in AU for total antimicrobials and Watch category antimicrobials were greater than predicted regardless of administration route. These results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the observed reductions in AU, but it is also possible that the changes reflect recent efforts to improve AU. Continued AU surveillance and research are needed to optimize prescribing practices through appropriate antimicrobial stewardship.

Prescribing Patterns and Variations of Antibiotic Use for Children in Ambulatory Care: A Nationwide Study

The aim of this study was to analyse characteristics of paediatric antibiotic use in ambulatory care in Hungary. Data on antibiotics for systemic use dispensed to children (0–19 years) were retrieved from the National Health Insurance Fund. Prescribers were categorised by age and specialty. Antibiotic use was expressed as the number of prescriptions/100 children/year or month. For quality assessment, the broad per narrow (B/N) ratio was calculated as defined by the European Surveillance of Antimicrobial Consumption (ESAC) network. Paediatric antibiotic exposure was 108.28 antibiotic prescriptions/100 children/year and was the highest in the age group 0–4 years. Sex differences had heterogenous patterns across age groups. The majority of prescriptions were issued by primary care paediatricians (PCP). The use of broad-spectrum agents dominated, co-amoxiclav alone being responsible for almost one-third of paediatric antibiotic use. Elderly physicians tended to prescribe less broad-spectrum agents. Seasonal variation was found to be substantial: antibiotic prescribing peaked in January with 16.6 prescriptions/100 children/month, while it was the lowest in July with 4 prescriptions/100 children/month. Regional variation was prominent with an increasing west to east gradient (max: 175.6, min: 63.8 prescriptions/100 children/year). The identified characteristics of paediatric antibiotic use suggest that prescribing practice should be improved.

Interprovincial variation in antibiotic use in Canada, 2019: a retrospective cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Geographic trends in antibiotic prescribing show regional variation in antibiotic overuse and antimicrobial resistance, posing a threat to global health care systems. This study's objective was to examine interprovincial variation in outpatient antibiotic dispensing in Canada in 2019.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study of antibiotic prescriptions dispensed in Canadian provinces in 2019, leveraging the IQVIA Geographic Prescription Monitor database. We report annual rates of overall antibiotic dispensing, broad-spectrum antibiotic dispensing and age-specific antibiotic dispensing as prescriptions per 1000 population in each province and nationally.

RESULTS

A total of 23 406 640 antibiotic prescriptions were dispensed nationally in 2019, at a rate of 627.3 prescriptions per 1000 population. Overall antibiotic dispensing rates in Newfoundland and Labrador (920.5 prescriptions per 1000 population) and Saskatchewan (713.7 prescriptions per 1000 population) significantly exceeded the national rate, whereas the rate in British Columbia (543.3 prescriptions per 1000 population) was significantly below the national rate. We observed additional variation when provincial rates of antibiotic dispensing were stratified by drug class and age group.

INTERPRETATION

We identified interprovincial variation in antibiotic use in Canadian provinces in 2019. These findings highlight the need for provincial targets for antibiotic use to reduce overuse and antimicrobial resistance.

The association between early life antibiotic exposure and the gut resistome of young children: a systematic review

Antimicrobial resistance is a growing public health burden, but little is known about the effects of antibiotic exposure on the gut resistome. As childhood (0-5 years) represents a sensitive window of microbiome development and a time of relatively high antibiotic use, the aims of this systematic review were to evaluate the effects of antibiotic exposure on the gut resistome of young children and identify knowledge gaps. We searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. A PICO framework was developed to determine eligibility criteria. Our main outcomes were the mean or median difference in overall resistance gene load and resistome alpha diversity by antibiotic exposure groups. Bias assessment was completed using RoB 2 and ROBINS-I with quality of evidence assessed via the GRADE criteria. From 4885 records identified, 14 studies (3 randomized controlled trials and 11 observational studies) were included in the qualitative review. Eight studies that included information on antibiotic exposure and overall resistance gene load reported no or positive associations. Inconsistent associations were identified for the nine studies that assessed resistome alpha diversity. We identified three main groups of studies based on study design, location, participants, antibiotic exposures, and indication for antibiotics. Overall, the quality of evidence for our main outcomes was rated low or very low, mainly due to potential bias from the selective of reporting results and confounding. We found evidence that antibiotic exposure is associated with changes to the overall gut resistance gene load of children and may influence the diversity of antimicrobial resistance genes. Given the overall quality of the studies, more research is needed to assess how antibiotics impact the resistome of other populations. Nonetheless, this evidence indicates that the gut resistome is worthwhile to consider for antibiotic prescribing practices.

Development of a MIP-Based QCM Sensor for Selective Detection of Penicillins in Aqueous Media

Pharmaceuticals wastes have been recognized as emerging pollutants to the environment. Among those, antibiotics in the aquatic environment are one of the major sources of concern, as chronic, low-dose exposure can lead to antibiotic resistance. Herein, we report on molecularly imprinted polymers (MIP) to recognize penicillin V potassium salt (PenV-K), penicillin G potassium salt (PenG-K), and amoxicillin sodium salt (Amo-Na), which belong to the most widespread group of antibiotics worldwide. Characterization and optimization led to two MIPs comprising methacrylic acid as the monomer and roughly 55% ethylene glycol dimethacrylate as the crosslinker. The obtained layers led to sensitive, selective, repeatable, and reusable sensor responses on quartz crystal microbalances (QCM). The LoD for PenV-K, PenG-K, and Amo-Na sensors are 0.25 mM, 0.30 mM, and 0.28 mM, respectively; imprinting factors reach at least around three. Furthermore, the sensors displayed relative selectivity factors of up to 50% among the three penicillins, which is appreciable given their structural similarity.

Analysis of Antibiotic Consumption by AWaRe Classification in Shandong Province, China, 2012-2019: A Panel Data Analysis

Introduction: This study aims to examine the changes in trends and patterns of clinical consumption of antibiotics in Shandong, China based on Access, Watch, and Reserve (AWaRe) Classification after 10-years national antibiotic stewardship. Methods: Antibiotic consumption data of all health care institutions for the period of 2012-2019 were obtained from the Drug Centralized Bidding Procurement System of Shandong. Shandong is a province that has the second-largest population in China. Five of the 16 cities in Shandong were high-income areas (HIAs) and the other 11 cities were grouped into upper-middle-income areas (UMIAs). The main outcome measures were the antibiotic consumption rates (DDD per 1,000 inhabitants per day, DID) and the proportions of different groups of antibiotics. Results: The overall antibiotic consumption rate increased from 12.859-15.802 DID between 2012 and 2014, then continuously decreased to 9.771 DID in 2019. The consumption rate of access, watch, and reserve antibiotics have reduced since 2014 with a compound annual growth rate of -10.1, -9.0, and -8.1%, respectively. During 2012-2019, the access group proportion reduced from 50.0 to 44.9%, while the proportion of the watch group increased from 42 to 45.2%. The antibiotic consumption rate increased from 2012 to 2019 (from 7.38 to 9.12 DID) in the HIAs but sharply decreased in the UMIAs from 2014 to 2019 (from 17.94 to 10.05 DID). The watch antibiotics had the highest proportion of consumption in the HIAs (55.3% in 2019), while the access group had the highest proportion of consumption in the UMIA (49.5% in 2019). Conclusion: The antibiotic stewardship policies launched in the last 10 years have contributed to reducing the clinical antibiotic consumption in Shandong. These policies have different effects on areas with different economic levels. The pattern of antibiotic consumption is still inappropriate in China as the watch group of antibiotics was consumed the most.

Effect of Amoxicillin Dose and Treatment Duration on the Need for Antibiotic Re-treatment in Children With Community-Acquired Pneumonia: The CAP-IT Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

The optimal dose and duration of oral amoxicillin for children with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether lower-dose amoxicillin is noninferior to higher dose and whether 3-day treatment is noninferior to 7 days.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Multicenter, randomized, 2 × 2 factorial noninferiority trial enrolling 824 children, aged 6 months and older, with clinically diagnosed CAP, treated with amoxicillin on discharge from emergency departments and inpatient wards of 28 hospitals in the UK and 1 in Ireland between February 2017 and April 2019, with last trial visit on May 21, 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

Children were randomized 1:1 to receive oral amoxicillin at a lower dose (35-50 mg/kg/d; n = 410) or higher dose (70-90 mg/kg/d; n = 404), for a shorter duration (3 days; n = 413) or a longer duration (7 days; n = 401).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was clinically indicated antibiotic re-treatment for respiratory infection within 28 days after randomization. The noninferiority margin was 8%. Secondary outcomes included severity/duration of 9 parent-reported CAP symptoms, 3 antibiotic-related adverse events, and phenotypic resistance in colonizing Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates.

RESULTS

Of 824 participants randomized into 1 of the 4 groups, 814 received at least 1 dose of trial medication (median [IQR] age, 2.5 years [1.6-2.7]; 421 [52%] males and 393 [48%] females), and the primary outcome was available for 789 (97%). For lower vs higher dose, the primary outcome occurred in 12.6% with lower dose vs 12.4% with higher dose (difference, 0.2% [1-sided 95% CI -∞ to 4.0%]), and in 12.5% with 3-day treatment vs 12.5% with 7-day treatment (difference, 0.1% [1-sided 95% CI -∞ to 3.9]). Both groups demonstrated noninferiority with no significant interaction between dose and duration (P = .63). Of the 14 prespecified secondary end points, the only significant differences were 3-day vs 7-day treatment for cough duration (median 12 days vs 10 days; hazard ratio [HR], 1.2 [95% CI, 1.0 to 1.4]; P = .04) and sleep disturbed by cough (median, 4 days vs 4 days; HR, 1.2 [95% CI, 1.0 to 1.4]; P = .03). Among the subgroup of children with severe CAP, the primary end point occurred in 17.3% of lower-dose recipients vs 13.5% of higher-dose recipients (difference, 3.8% [1-sided 95% CI, -∞ to10%]; P value for interaction = .18) and in 16.0% with 3-day treatment vs 14.8% with 7-day treatment (difference, 1.2% [1-sided 95% CI, -∞ to 7.4%]; P value for interaction = .73).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among children with CAP discharged from an emergency department or hospital ward (within 48 hours), lower-dose outpatient oral amoxicillin was noninferior to higher dose, and 3-day duration was noninferior to 7 days, with regard to need for antibiotic re-treatment. However, disease severity, treatment setting, prior antibiotics received, and acceptability of the noninferiority margin require consideration when interpreting the findings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN Identifier: ISRCTN76888927.

Dose-response association of early-life antibiotic exposure and subsequent overweight or obesity in children: A meta-analysis of prospective studies

The objective of this study is to investigate the dose-response relationship between antibiotic exposure in early life and the risk of subsequent overweight or obesity. Electronic databases were searched from inception to December 2020. Prospective studies that reported the odds ratios (ORs) of childhood overweight or obesity for three or more quantitative categories of antibiotic exposure were identified. A random-effect model was used to pool the ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Generalized least squares and restricted cubic splines were used to explore the dose-response association. A total of 12 sets of results from 10 articles involving 427,453 participants were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled OR for increased risk of overweight or obesity was 1.30 in high-level antibiotic exposure (95% CI: 1.20 to 1.41) and 1.06 in low-level antibiotic exposure (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.10), as compared with children who never exposed to antibiotics. There was a logarithmic-curve relationship between early-life antibiotic exposure and the risk of subsequent overweight or obesity. The OR was 1.08 (95% CI: 1.06 to 1.11) for one prescription, 1.16 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.21) for two prescriptions, 1.24 (95% CI: 1.16 to 1.32) for three prescriptions, 1.30 (95% CI: 1.20 to 1.41) for four prescriptions, and less than a 5% increase for more prescriptions. Early-life antibiotic exposure is associated with the risk of childhood overweight or obesity in a dose-response manner. Further studies are needed to confirm our results.

Pattern and appropriateness of antibiotic prescriptions for upper respiratory tract infections in primary care paediatric patients

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this cross-sectional study was to investigate the pattern of antibiotic prescriptions for upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) in children seen by primary care paediatricians (PCPs).

METHODS

Data were collected from face-to-face interviews administered to a sample of parents of outpatient children aged 0-14 years in two regions in Southern Italy. To be eligible, children had to be diagnosed with sinusitis, pharyngotonsillitis, otitis media, bronchitis, influenza or a common cold. The presence of an indication of antibiotic therapy was evaluated according to national and international guidelines.

RESULTS

An antibiotic prescription was indicated in 57 (10.1%) of the sampled patients, of whom 33.3% did not receive an antibiotic prescription; among the 508 patients for whom an antibiotic prescription was not indicated, 27.4% received a prescription. Of all PCP consultations, 72% were appropriate (an antibiotic was prescribed when indicated and not prescribed when not indicated), whilst an antibiotic prescription not indicated by guidelines was given to 24.6% of the participants, and 3.4% of the sample did not receive an antibiotic prescription when indicated. The most frequently prescribed antibiotic was amoxicillin with clavulanic acid. A rapid microbiological examination was performed in two patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The study findings highlight a high rate of sub-optimal antibiotic therapeutic profile. Over-prescription of antibiotic therapy and the use of broad-spectrum molecules are widespread in children with URTIs. Antibiotic under-prescription, which may deprive paediatric patients of an effective treatment when indicated, also occurs.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on use of anti-dementia medications in 34 European and North American countries

INTRODUCTION

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global use of anti-dementia medication is unknown. We aimed to determine the changes of anti-dementia medication use in Europe (EU) and North America (NA) during the pandemic.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study using sales data of anti-dementia medications in 2019 and 2020 from 34 EU and NA countries. The monthly uses of anti-dementia medications from January through June in 2020 were compared to the corresponding months in 2019 for each country.

RESULTS

In the pre-pandemic period of January to March 2020, 70 out of 102 (3 months x 34 countries) measurements (68.6%) of monthly sales volume showed an increase. In contrast, 76.5% and 85.3% countries showed reduced sales in April and May 2020, respectively.

DISCUSSION

These findings indicate changes in use of anti-dementia medications during the pandemic. The delivery of pharmaceutical care for dementia patients may be heavily disrupted in certain countries.

Consumption of antibiotics in the community, European Union/European Economic Area, 1997-2017

Objectives

Data on antibiotic consumption in the community were collected from 30 EU/EEA countries over two decades. This article reviews temporal trends, seasonal variation, presence of change-points and changes in the composition of the main antibiotic groups.

Methods

For the period 1997–2017, data on consumption of antibiotics, i.e. antibacterials for systemic use (ATC group J01), in the community, aggregated at the level of the active substance, were collected using the WHO ATC/DDD methodology (ATC/DDD index 2019). Consumption was expressed in DDD per 1000 inhabitants per day and in packages per 1000 inhabitants per day. Antibiotic consumption was analysed based on ATC-3 groups, and presented as trends, seasonal variation, presence of change-points and compositional changes.

Results

In 2017, antibiotic consumption in the community expressed in DDD per 1000 inhabitants per day varied by a factor 3.6 between countries with the highest (Greece) and the lowest (the Netherlands) consumption. Antibiotic consumption in the EU/EEA did not change significantly over time. Antibiotic consumption showed a significant seasonal variation, which decreased over time. The number of DDD per package significantly increased over time. The proportional consumption of sulphonamides and trimethoprim (J01E) relative to other groups significantly decreased over time, while the proportional consumption of other antibacterials (J01X) relative to other groups significantly increased over time.

Conclusions

Overall, antibiotic consumption in the community in the EU/EEA did not change during 1997–2017, while seasonal variation consistently decreased over time. The number of DDD per package increased during 1997–2017.

Aetiology of acute respiratory infection in preschool children requiring hospitalisation in Europe-results from the PED-MERMAIDS multicentre case-control study

Background

Both pathogenic bacteria and viruses are frequently detected in the nasopharynx (NP) of children in the absence of acute respiratory infection (ARI) symptoms. The aim of this study was to estimate the aetiological fractions for ARI hospitalisation in children for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza virus and to determine whether detection of specific respiratory pathogens on NP samples was associated with ARI hospitalisation.

Methods

349 children up to 5 years of age hospitalised for ARI (following a symptom-based case definition) and 306 hospital controls were prospectively enrolled in 16 centres across seven European Union countries between 2016 and 2019. Admission day NP swabs were analysed by multiplex PCR for 25 targets.

Results

RSV was the leading single cause of ARI hospitalisations, with an overall population attributable fraction (PAF) of 33.4% and high seasonality as well as preponderance in younger children. Detection of RSV on NP swabs was strongly associated with ARI hospitalisation (OR adjusted for age and season: 20.6, 95% CI: 9.4 to 45.3). Detection of three other viral pathogens showed strong associations with ARI hospitalisation: influenza viruses had an adjusted OR of 6.1 (95% CI: 2.5 to 14.9), parainfluenza viruses (PIVs) an adjusted OR of 4.6 (95% CI: 1.8 to 11.3) and metapneumoviruses an adjusted OR of 4.5 (95% CI: 1.3 to 16.1). Influenza viruses had a PAF of 7.9%, PIVs of 6.5% and metapneumoviruses of 3.0%. In contrast, most other pathogens were found in similar proportions in cases and controls, including Streptococcus pneumoniae, which was weakly associated with case status, and endemic coronaviruses.

Conclusion

RSV is the predominant cause of ARI hospitalisations in young children in Europe and its detection, as well as detection of influenza virus, PIV or metapneumovirus, on NP swabs can establish aetiology with high probability. PAFs for RSV and influenza virus are highly seasonal and age dependent.

Global Utilization Trends of Direct Acting Antivirals (DAAs) during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Time Series Analysis

The 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has placed a significant strain on hepatitis programs and interventions (screening, diagnosis, and treatment) at a critical moment in the context of hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination. We sought to quantify changes in Direct Acting Antiviral (DAA) utilization among different countries during the pandemic. We conducted a cross-sectional time series analysis between 1 September 2018 and 31 August 2020, using the IQVIA MIDAS database, which contains DAA purchase data for 54 countries. We examined the percent change in DAA units dispensed (e.g., pills and capsules) from March to August 2019 to the same period of time in 2020 across the 54 countries. Interrupted time-series analysis was used to examine the impact of COVID-19 on monthly rates of DAA utilization across each of the major developed economies (G7 nations). Overall, 46 of 54 (85%) jurisdictions experienced a decline in DAA utilization during the pandemic, with an average of -43% (range: -1% in Finland to -93% in Brazil). All high HCV prevalence (HCV prevalence > 2%) countries in the database experienced a decline in utilization, average -49% (range: -17% in Kazakhstan to -90% in Egypt). Across the G7 nations, we also observed a decreased trend in DAA utilization during the early months of the pandemic, with significant declines (p < 0.01) for Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America. The global response to COVID-19 led to a large decrease in DAA utilization globally. Deliberate efforts to counteract the impact of COVID-19 on treatment delivery are needed to support the goal of HCV elimination.

The use of continuous electronic prescribing data to infer trends in antimicrobial consumption and estimate the impact of stewardship interventions in hospitalized children

Background

Understanding antimicrobial consumption is essential to mitigate the development of antimicrobial resistance, yet robust data in children are sparse and methodologically limited. Electronic prescribing systems provide an important opportunity to analyse and report antimicrobial consumption in detail.

Objectives

We investigated the value of electronic prescribing data from a tertiary children’s hospital to report temporal trends in antimicrobial consumption in hospitalized children and compare commonly used metrics of antimicrobial consumption.

Methods

Daily measures of antimicrobial consumption [days of therapy (DOT) and DDDs] were derived from the electronic prescribing system between 2010 and 2018. Autoregressive moving-average models were used to infer trends and the estimates were compared with simulated point prevalence surveys (PPSs).

Results

More than 1.3 million antimicrobial administrations were analysed. There was significant daily and seasonal variation in overall consumption, which reduced annually by 1.77% (95% CI 0.50% to 3.02%). Relative consumption of meropenem decreased by 6.6% annually (95% CI −3.5% to 15.8%) following the expansion of the hospital antimicrobial stewardship programme. DOT and DDDs exhibited similar trends for most antimicrobials, though inconsistencies were observed where changes to dosage guidelines altered consumption calculation by DDDs, but not DOT. PPS simulations resulted in estimates of change over time, which converged on the model estimates, but with much less precision.

Conclusions

Electronic prescribing systems offer significant opportunities to better understand and report antimicrobial consumption in children. This approach to modelling administration data overcomes the limitations of using interval data and dispensary data. It provides substantially more detailed inferences on prescribing patterns and the potential impact of stewardship interventions.

Determinants of trends in reported antibiotic use among sick children under five years of age across low-income and middle-income countries in 2005-17: A systematic analysis of user characteristics based on 132 national surveys from 73 countries

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to analyze any reported antibiotic use for children aged <5 years with fever, diarrhea or cough with fast or difficult breathing (outcome) from low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) during 2005-2017 by user characteristics: rural/urban residence, maternal education, household wealth, and healthcare source visited.

METHODS

Based on 132 demographic and health surveys and multiple indicator cluster surveys from 73 LMICs, the outcome by user characteristics for all country-years was estimated using a hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model.

RESULTS

Across LMICs during 2005-2017, the greatest relative increases in the outcome occurred in rural areas, poorest quintiles and least educated populations, particularly in low-income countries and South-East Asia. In low-income countries, rural areas had a 72% relative increase from 17.8% (Uncertainty Interval (UI): 5.2%-44.9%) in 2005 to 30.6% (11.7%-62.1%) in 2017, compared to a 29% relative increase in urban areas from 27.1% (8.7%-58.2%) in 2005 to 34.9% (13.3%-67.3%) in 2017. Despite these increases, the outcome was consistently highest in urban areas, wealthiest quintiles, and populations with the highest maternal education.

CONCLUSION

These estimates suggest that the increasing reported antibiotic use for sick children aged <5 years in LMICs during 2005-2017 was driven by gains among groups often underserved by formal health services.

The integrated management of childhood illness (IMCI) and its potential to reduce the misuse of antibiotics

BACKGROUND

The Strategy of the Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) was introduced in Central Asia and Europe to address the absence of evidence-based guidelines, the misuse of antibiotics, polypharmacy and over-hospitalization of children. A study carried out in 16 countries analysed the status and strengths of as well as the barriers to IMCI implementation and investigated how different health systems affect the problems IMCI aims to address. Here we present findings in relation to IMCI's effects on the rational use of drugs, particularly the improved rational use of antibiotics in children, the mechanisms through which these were achieved as well as counteracting system factors.

METHODS

220 key informants were interviewed ranging from 5 to 37 per country (median 12). Data was analysed for arising themes and peer-reviewed.

RESULTS

The implementation of IMCI led to improved prescribing patterns immediately after training of health workers according to key informants. IMCI provides standard treatment guidelines and an algorithmic diagnostic- and treatment-decision-tool for consistent decision-making. Doctors reported feeling empowered by the training to counsel parents and address their expectations and desire for invasive treatments and the use of multiple drugs. Improved prescribing patterns were not sustained over time but counteracted by factors such as: doctors prescribing antibiotics to create additional revenues or other benefits; aggressive marketing by pharmaceutical companies; parents pressuring doctors to prescribe antibiotics; and access to drugs without prescriptions.

CONCLUSIONS

Future efforts to improve child health outcomes must include: (1) the continued support to improve health worker performance to enable them to adhere to evidence-based treatment guidelines, (2) patient and parent education, (3) improved reimbursement schemes and prescription regulations and their consistent enforcement and (4) the integration of point-of-care tests differentiating between viral and bacterial infection into standards of care. Pre-requisites will be sufficient remuneration of health workers, sound training, improved health literacy among parents, conducive laws and regulations and reimbursement systems with adequate checks and balances to ensure the best possible care.

Characteristics and limitations of national antimicrobial surveillance according to sales and claims data

Purpose

Antimicrobial use (AMU) is estimated at the national level by using sales data (S-AMU) or insurance claims data (C-AMU). However, these data might be biased by generic drugs that are not sold through wholesalers (direct sales) and therefore not recorded in sales databases, or by claims that are not submitted electronically and therefore not stored in claims databases. We evaluated these effects by comparing S-AMU and C-AMU to ascertain the characteristics and limitations of each kind of data. We also evaluated the interchangeability of these data by assessing their relationship.

Methods

We calculated monthly defined daily doses per 1,000 inhabitants per day (DID) using sales and claims data from 2013 to 2017. To assess the effects of non-electronic claim submissions on C-AMU, we evaluated trends in the S-AMU/C-AMU ratio (SCR). To assess the effects of direct sales of S-AMU, we divided AMU into generic and branded drugs and evaluated each SCR in terms of oral versus parenteral drugs. To assess the relationship between S-AMU and C-AMU, we created a linear regression and evaluated its coefficient.

Results

Median annual SCRs from 2013 to 2017 were 1.046, 0.993, 0.980, 0.987, and 0.967, respectively. SCRs dropped from 2013 to 2015, and then stabilized. Differences in SCRs between branded and generic drugs were significant for oral drugs (0.820 vs 1.079) but not parenteral drugs (1.200 vs 1.165), suggesting that direct sales of oral generic drugs were omitted in S-AMU. Coefficients of DID between S-AMU and C-AMU were high (generic, 0.90; branded, 0.84) in oral drugs but relatively low (generic, 0.32; branded, 0.52) in parenteral drugs.

Conclusions

The omission of direct sales information and non-electronically submitted claims have influenced S-AMU and C-AMU information, respectively. However, these data were well-correlated, and it is considered that both kinds of data are useful depending on the situation.

Progress towards antibiotic use targets in eight high-income countries

Objective

To compare antibiotic sales in eight high-income countries using the 2019 World Health Organization (WHO) Access, Watch and Reserve (AWaRe) classification and the target of 60% consumption of Access category antibiotics.

Methods

We analysed data from a commercial database of sales of systemic antibiotics in France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Switzerland, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and United States of America over the years 2013-2018. We classified antibiotics according to the 2019 AWaRe categories: Access, Watch, Reserve and Not Recommended. We measured antibiotic sales per capita in standard units (SU) per capita and calculated Access group sales as a percentage of total antibiotic sales.

Findings

In 2018, per capita antibiotic sales ranged from 7.4 SU (Switzerland) to 20.0 SU (France); median sales of Access group antibiotics were 10.9 SU per capita (range: 3.5-15.0). Per capita sales declined moderately over 2013-2018. The median percentage of Access group antibiotics was 68% (range: 22-77 %); the Access group proportion increased in most countries between 2013 and 2018. Five countries exceeded the 60% target; two countries narrowly missed it (> 55% in Germany and Italy). Sales of Access antibiotics in Japan were low (22%), driven by relatively high sales of oral cephalosporins and macrolides.

Conclusion

We have identified changes to prescribing that could allow countries to achieve the WHO target. The 60% Access group target provides a framework to inform national antibiotic policies and could be complemented by absolute measures and more ambitious values in specific settings.

Insufficient Stability of Clavulanic Acid in Widely Used Child-Appropriate Formulations

Amoxicillin-clavulanic acid (AMC) belongs to the WHO Essential Medicines List for children, but for optimal antimicrobial effectiveness, reconstituted dry powder suspensions need to be stored in a refrigerated environment. Many patients in low- and middle-income countries who are sold AMC suspensions would be expected not to keep to the specified storage conditions. We aimed to assess the stability of both ingredients in liquid formulations and dispersible tablets, combined with nationally representative data on access to appropriate storage. Degradation of amoxicillin (AMX) and clavulanic-acid (CLA) was measured in suspensions and dispersible tablets commercially available in Switzerland at different ambient temperatures (8 °C vs. 28 °C over 7 days, and 23 °C vs. 28 °C over 24 h, respectively). Data on access to refrigeration and electricity were assessed from the USAID-funded Demographic and Health Survey program. In suspensions, CLA degraded to a maximum of 12.9% (95% CI -55.7%, +29.9%) at 8°C and 72.3% (95% CI -82.8%, -61.8%) at a 28 °C ambient temperature during an observation period of 7 days. Dispersible tablets were observed during 24 h and CLA degraded to 15.4% (95% CI -51.9%, +21.2%) at 23 °C and 21.7% (-28.2%, -15.1%) at a 28 °C ambient temperature. There is relevant degradation of CLA in suspensions during a 7-day course. To overcome the stability challenges for all active components, durable child-appropriate formulations are needed. Until then, prescribers of AMC suspensions or pharmacists who sell the drug need to create awareness for the importance of proper storage conditions regarding effectiveness of both antibiotics and this recommendation should be reflected in the WHO Essential Medicines List for children.

Accounting for variation in and overuse of antibiotics among humans

Worldwide, antibiotic use is increasing, but many infections against which antibiotics are applied are not even caused by bacteria. Over-the-counter and internet sales preclude physician oversight. Regional differences, between and within countries highlight many potential factors influencing antibiotic use. Taking a systems perspective that considers pharmaceutical commodity chains, we examine antibiotic overuse from the vantage point of both sides of the therapeutic relationship. We examine patterns and expectations of practitioners and patients, institutional policies and pressures, the business strategies of pharmaceutical companies and distributors, and cultural drivers of variation. Solutions to improve antibiotic stewardship include practitioners taking greater responsibility for their antibiotic prescribing, increasing the role of caregivers as diagnosticians rather than medicine providers, improving their communication to patients about antibiotic treatment consequences, lessening the economic influences on prescribing, and identifying antibiotic alternatives.

Can breastfeeding protect against antimicrobial resistance?

BACKGROUND

The proportion of infections among young children that are antimicrobial-resistant is increasing across the globe. Newborns may be colonized with enteric antimicrobial-resistant pathogens early in life, which is a risk factor for infection-related morbidity and mortality. Breastfeeding is actively promoted worldwide for its beneficial impacts on newborn health and gut health. However, the role of breastfeeding and human milk components in mitigating young children's carriage of antimicrobial-resistant pathogens and antibiotic resistance genes has not been comprehensively explored.

MAIN BODY

Here, we review how the act of breastfeeding, early breastfeeding, and/or human milk components, such as the milk microbiota, secretory IgA, human milk oligosaccharides, antimicrobial peptides, and microRNA -bearing extracellular vesicles, could play a role in preventing the establishment of antimicrobial-resistant pathogens in young children's developing gut microbiomes. We describe findings from recent human studies that support this concept.

CONCLUSION

Given the projected rise in global morbidity and mortality that will stem from antimicrobial-resistant infections, identifying behavioral or nutritional interventions that could decrease children's susceptibility to colonization with antimicrobial-resistant pathogens may be one strategy for protecting their health. We suggest that breastfeeding and human milk supplements deserve greater attention as potential preventive measures in the global effort to combat antimicrobial resistance, particularly in low- and middle-income settings.

Trends in reported antibiotic use among children under 5 years of age with fever, diarrhoea, or cough with fast or difficult breathing across low-income and middle-income countries in 2005-17: a systematic analysis of 132 national surveys from 73 countries

BACKGROUND

Global assessments of antibiotic consumption have relied on pharmaceutical sales data that do not measure individual-level use, and are often unreliable or unavailable for low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). To help fill this evidence gap, we compiled data from national surveys in LMICs in 2005-17 reporting antibiotic use for sick children under the age of 5 years.

METHODS

Based on 132 Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys from 73 LMICs, we analysed trends in reported antibiotic use among children under 5 years of age with fever, diarrhoea, or cough with fast or difficult breathing by WHO region, World Bank income classification, and symptom complaint. A logit transformation was used to estimate the outcome using a linear Bayesian regression model. The model included country-level socioeconomic, disease incidence, and health system covariates to generate estimates for country-years with missing values.

FINDINGS

Across LMICs, reported antibiotic use among sick children under 5 years of age increased from 36·8% (uncertainty interval [UI] 28·8-44·7) in 2005 to 43·1% (33·2-50·5) in 2017. Low-income countries had the greatest relative increase; in these countries, reported antibiotic use for sick children under 5 years of age rose 34% during the study period, from 29·6% (21·2-41·1) in 2005 to 39·5% (32·9-47·6) in 2017, although it remained the lowest of any income group throughout the study period.

INTERPRETATION

We found a limited but steady increase in reported antibiotic use for sick children under 5 years of age across LMICs in 2005-17, although overlapping UIs complicate interpretation. The increase was largely driven by gains in low-income countries. Our study expands the evidence base from LMICs, where strengthening antibiotic consumption and resistance surveillance is a global health priority.

FUNDING

Uppsala Antibiotic Centre, Uppsala University, Uppsala University Hospital, Makerere University, Gothenburg University.

Use and self-medication with antibiotics among adults in the Brazilian Amazon: a panel of two cross-sectional studies, 2015 and 2019

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of antibiotics use and self-medication among adults living in Manaus, Amazonas in 2015 and 2019.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Analysis of two cross-sectional studies conducted in Manaus in 2015 and 2019. Adults aged ≥18 years were interviewed at home following a three-phase probabilistic sampling (census tracts, household, and individual). Primary outcome was the use of antibiotics in the previous 15 days. Poisson regression with robust variance was employed to calculate the prevalence ratios (PR) of antibiotics use adjusted by independent variables.

RESULTS

The prevalence of antibiotics use in the previous fortnight was 3.7% (95%CI 3.1-4.4%; n=3,479) in 2015 and 8.0% (95%CI 6.7-9.3%; n=2,321) in 2019. Self-medication increased from 19.2% (95%CI 12.4-26.0%; n=130) in 2015 to 30.7% (95%CI 22.5-38.8%; n=187) in 2019. Beta-lactams were the most used (252/317) and self-medicated (60/317) antibiotics in both surveys. Use of antibiotics was higher in 2019 (PR=2.05; 95%CI 1.60-2.64) compared to 2015 and among women (PR=1.66; 95%CI 1.16-2.39) compared to men.

CONCLUSIONS

Antibiotics use and self-medication in Manaus increased from 2015 to 2019. Enforcement of health regulation is needed to improve compliance and minimize potential risks.

Global sales of oral antibiotics formulated for children

Objective

To investigate international consumption patterns of child-appropriate oral formulations of antibiotics by formulation type, with a focus on dispersible tablets, using data from a global sales database.

Method

Antibiotic sales data for 2015 covering 74 countries and regional country groups were obtained from the MIDAS^® pharmaceutical sales database, which includes samples of pharmacy wholesalers and retailers. The focus was on sales of child-appropriate oral formulations of Access antibiotics in the 2017 World Health Organization's WHO Model list of essential medicines for children. Sales volumes are expressed using a standard unit (i.e. one tablet, capsule, ampoule or vial or 5 mL of liquid). Sales were analysed by antibiotic, WHO region and antibiotic formulation.

Findings

Globally, 17.7 billion standard units of child-appropriate oral antibiotic formulations were sold in 2015, representing 24% of total antibiotic sales of 74.4 billion units (both oral and parenteral) in the database. The top five child-appropriate Access antibiotics by sales volume were amoxicillin, amoxicillin with clavulanic acid, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, cefalexin and ampicillin. The proportion of the top five sold for use as a syrup varied between 42% and 99%. Dispersible tablets represented only 22% of all child-appropriate oral formulation sales and made up only 15% of sales of 10 selected Access antibiotics on the model list for children.

Conclusion

Globally most child-appropriate oral antibiotics were not sold as dispersible tablets in 2015, as recommended by WHO. There is a clear need for novel solid forms of antibiotics suitable for use in children.

Measuring antibiotic availability and use in 20 low- and middle-income countries

Objective

To assess antibiotic availability and use in health facilities in low- and middle-income countries, using the service provision assessment and service availability and readiness assessment surveys.

Methods

We obtained data on antibiotic availability at 13 561 health facilities in 13 service provision assessment and 8 service availability and readiness assessment surveys. In 10 service provision assessment surveys, child consultations with health-care providers were observed, giving data on antibiotic use in 22 699 children. Antibiotics were classified as access, watch or reserve, according to the World Health Organization's AWaRe categories. The percentage of health-care facilities across countries with specific antibiotics available and the proportion of children receiving antibiotics for key clinical syndromes were estimated.

Findings

The surveys assessed the availability of 27 antibiotics (19 access, 7 watch, 1 unclassified). Co-trimoxazole and metronidazole were most widely available, being in stock at 89.5% (interquartile range, IQR: 11.6%) and 87.1% (IQR: 15.9%) of health facilities, respectively. In contrast, 17 other access and watch antibiotics were stocked, by fewer than a median of 50% of facilities. Of the 22 699 children observed, 60.1% (13 638) were prescribed antibiotics (mostly co-trimoxazole or amoxicillin). Children with respiratory conditions were most often prescribed antibiotics (76.1%; 8972/11 796) followed by undifferentiated fever (50.1%; 760/1518), diarrhoea (45.7%; 1293/2832) and malaria (30.3%; 352/1160).

Conclusion

Routine health facility surveys provided a valuable data source on the availability and use of antibiotics in low- and middle-income countries. Many access antibiotics were unavailable in a majority of most health-care facilities.