Are there sex differences in completeness of death registration and quality of cause of death statistics? Results from a global analysis

Territorial gaps on quality of causes of death statistics over the last forty years in Spain

BACKGROUND

The quality of the statistics on causes of death (CoD) does not present consolidated indicators in literature further than the coding group of ill-defined conditions of the International Classification of Diseases. Our objective was to assess the territorial quality of CoD by reliability of the official mortality statistics in Spain over the years 1980-2019.

METHODS

A descriptive epidemiological design of four decades (1980-, 1990-, 2000-, and 2010-2019) by region (18) and sex was implemented. The CoD cases, age-adjusted rates and ratios (to all-cause) were assigned by reliability to unspecific and ill-defined quality categories. The regional mortality rates were contrasted to the Spanish median by decade and sex by the Comparative Mortality Ratio (CMR) in a Bayesian perspective. Statistical significance was considered when the CMR did not contain the value 1 in the 95% credible intervals.

RESULTS

Unspecific, ill-defined, and all-cause rates by region and sex decreased over 1980-2019, although they scored higher in men than in women. The ratio of ill-defined CoD decreased in both sexes over these decades, but was still prominent in 4 regions. CMR of ill-defined CoD in both sexes exceeded the Spanish median in 3 regions in all decades. In the last decade, women's CMR significantly exceeded in 5 regions for ill-defined and in 6 regions for unspecific CoD, while men's CMR exceeded in 4 and 2 of the 18 regions, respectively on quality categories.

CONCLUSIONS

The quality of mortality statistics of causes of death has increased over the 40 years in Spain in both sexes. Quality gaps still remain mostly in Southern regions. Authorities involved might consider to take action and upgrading regional and national death statistics, and developing a systematic medical post-grade training on death certification.

Flaws and uncertainties in pandemic global excess death calculations

Several teams have been publishing global estimates of excess deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we examine potential flaws and underappreciated sources of uncertainty in global excess death calculations. Adjusting for changing population age structure is essential. Otherwise, excess deaths are markedly overestimated in countries with increasingly aging populations. Adjusting for changes in other high-risk indicators, such as residence in long-term facilities, may also make a difference. Death registration is highly incomplete in most countries; completeness corrections should allow for substantial uncertainty and consider that completeness may have changed during pandemic years. Excess death estimates have high sensitivity to modelling choice. Therefore different options should be considered and the full range of results should be shown for different choices of pre-pandemic reference periods and imposed models. Any post-modelling corrections in specific countries should be guided by pre-specified rules. Modelling of all-cause mortality (ACM) in countries that have ACM data and extrapolating these models to other countries is precarious; models may lack transportability. Existing global excess death estimates underestimate the overall uncertainty that is multiplicative across diverse sources of uncertainty. Informative excess death estimates require risk stratification, including age groups and ethnic/racial strata. Data to-date suggest a death deficit among children during the pandemic and marked socioeconomic differences in deaths, widening inequalities. Finally, causal explanations require great caution in disentangling SARS-CoV-2 deaths, indirect pandemic effects and effects from measures taken. We conclude that excess deaths have many uncertainties, but globally deaths from SARS-CoV-2 may be the minority of calculated excess deaths.

Quality of death certification based on the documented underlying cause of death: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The underlying cause of death (UCOD) documented in the death certificate is a cornerstone in the mortality data that has significant impact on national policies, health system, and socioeconomics. However, a wide range of inaccuracies have been reported worldwide and were linked to multiple factors, including sociodemographic development and lack of physician training. Hence, this study aimed to assess the quality of death certification by reviewing the reported UCOD in the death certificate and study the potential factors that might be associated with inaccuracies.

METHODS

All in-patient deaths that occurred in the Sultan Qaboos University Hospital from January 2020 to 31 December 2020 were included in this retrospective study. The study investigators reviewed all death certifications that were recorded during the study period for the accuracy of the documented UCOD using a systemic framework recommended by the World Health Organization.

RESULTS

The study included 384 mortality cases. The mean age at the time of death was 55.7 ± 27.1 years, and 209 (54.3%) cases were men. Approximately 80% (95% confidence interval: 84-76%) of the deceased patients had inaccurate data on the UCOD. Old age (58.1 ± 25.8 vs 46.5 ± 30.1, p < 0.001), death certification by doctor in training (70.8% vs 51.9%, p = 0.001), and admission under the Department of Medicine (68.5% vs 54.4%, p = 0.019) were more common in mortality cases with inaccurate data on the UCOD. Regression analysis confirmed that old age, male sex, and certification by doctor in training were independent predictors of inaccurate data on the UCOD.

CONCLUSION

Inaccurate data on the UCOD is a prevalent issue in many healthcare settings, especially in the developing countries. Introduction of death certification training in the medical curriculum for medical doctors, implementation of periodic auditing, and provision of feedback are among the evidence-based approaches that are likely to improve the overall accuracy of mortality data.

Death registration coverage 2019-2021, India

Objective

To investigate coverage and factors associated with death registration in India.

Methods

We used data from the Indian National Family Health Survey 2019-2021. Based on responses of eligible household members, we estimated death registration in 84 390 deaths in all age groups across the country. We used multilevel logistic regression analysis to determine sociodemographic variables associated with death registration at state, district and individual levels.

Findings

Nationally, 70.8% (59 748/84 390) of deaths were registered. Of 707 districts in our study period, 122 and 53 districts had death registration levels less than 40% in females and males, respectively. The likelihood of death registration was significantly lower for females than males (adjusted odds ratios, aOR: 0.61; 95% confidence interval, CI: 0.59-0.64). Death registration increased significantly with age of the deceased person, with the highest odds in 35-49-year-olds (aOR: 5.05; 95% CI: 4.58-5.57) compared with 0-4-year-olds. Death registration was less likely among rural households, disadvantaged castes, the poorest wealth quintile, Muslims and households without a below poverty level card. Higher education was associated with higher death registration with the greatest likelihood of registration in households with a member with post-secondary school education (aOR: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.42-1.66). District-level factors were not significantly associated with death registration.

Conclusion

Sociodemographic characteristics of the deceased person were significantly associated with death registration. Strategies to raise awareness of death registration procedures among disadvantaged population groups and the introduction of a mobile telephone application for death registration are recommended to improve death registration in India.

Garbage codes in the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry 1996-2019

Background

Reliable statistics on the underlying cause of death are essential for monitoring the health in a population. When there is insufficient information to identify the true underlying cause of death, the death will be classified using less informative codes, garbage codes. If many deaths are assigned a garbage code, the information value of the cause-of-death statistics is reduced. The aim of this study was to analyse the use of garbage codes in the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry (NCoDR).

Methods

Data from NCoDR on all deaths among Norwegian residents in the years 1996–2019 were used to describe the occurrence of garbage codes. We used logistic regression analyses to identify determinants for the use of garbage codes. Possible explanatory factors were year of death, sex, age of death, place of death and whether an autopsy was performed.

Results

A total of 29.0% (290,469/1,000,128) of the deaths were coded with a garbage code; 14.1% (140,804/1,000,128) with a major and 15.0% (149,665/1,000,128) with a minor garbage code. The five most common major garbage codes overall were ICD-10 codes I50 (heart failure), R96 (sudden death), R54 (senility), X59 (exposure to unspecified factor), and A41 (other sepsis). The most prevalent minor garbage codes were I64 (unspecified stroke), J18 (unspecified pneumonia), C80 (malignant neoplasm with unknown primary site), E14 (unspecified diabetes mellitus), and I69 (sequelae of cerebrovascular disease).

The most important determinants for the use of garbage codes were the age of the deceased (OR 17.4 for age ≥ 90 vs age < 1) and death outside hospital (OR 2.08 for unknown place of death vs hospital).

Conclusion

Over a 24-year period, garbage codes were used in 29.0% of all deaths. The most important determinants of a death to be assigned a garbage code were advanced age and place of death outside hospital. Knowledge of the national epidemiological situation, as well as the rules and guidelines for mortality coding, is essential for understanding the prevalence and distribution of garbage codes, in order to rely on vital statistics.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13693-w.

Performance barriers of Civil Registration System in Bihar: An exploratory study

Objectives

Vital statistics generated by the Civil Registration System (CRS) are essential for developing healthcare interventions at all administrative levels. Bihar had one of the lowest levels of mortality registration among India’s states. This study investigates CRS’s performance barriers from the perspective of CRS staff and community members in Bihar.

Methods

We conducted a primary qualitative survey in the two districts of Bihar during February-March 2020 with CRS staff (n = 15) and community members (n = 90). We purposively selected the Patna and Vaishali districts of Bihar for the survey. Thematic analysis was done to identify the pattern across the data using the Atlas-ti software.

Results

Most participants showed a good understanding of registration procedures and birth and death registration benefits. The perceived need for death registration is lower than birth registration. Birth registration was higher among female children than male children. We found that most participants did not report children or adult female death due to lack of financial or property-related benefits. Most participants faced challenges in reporting birth and death due to poor delivery of services at the registration centres, higher indirect opportunity cost, and demand of bribes by the CRS staff for providing certificates. We found a lack of adequate investment, shortage of dedicated staff, and limited computer and internet services at the registration centres.

Conclusions

Poor data on birth and death registration could lead decision-makers to target health services inappropriately. Strengthening health institutions’ linkage with the registration centres, mobile registration in far-flung areas and regular CRS staff training could increase death registration levels. An adequate awareness campaign on the benefits of birth and death registration is required to increase the reporting of vital events.

Population perspectives and demographic methods to strengthen CRVS systems: introduction

Civil registration and vital statistics (CRVS) systems and legal identity systems have become increasingly recognized as catalytic both for inclusive development and for monitoring population dynamics spanning the entire life course. Population scientists have a long history of contributing to the strengthening of CRVS and legal identity systems and of using vital registration data to understand population and development dynamics. This paper provides an overview of the Genus thematic series on CRVS systems. The series spans 11 research articles that document new insights on the registration of births, marriages, separations/divorces, deaths and legal residency. This introductory article to the series reviews the importance of population perspectives and demographic methods in strengthening CRVS systems and improving our understanding of population dynamics across the lifecourse. The paper highlights the major contributions from this thematic series and discusses emerging challenges and future research directions on CRVS systems for the population science community.