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Berkley JA, Walson JL, Bahl R, Rollins N. Differentiating mortality risk of individual infants and children to improve survival: opportunity for impact. Lancet 2024; 404:492-494. [PMID: 39068953 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00750-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2024] [Revised: 04/01/2024] [Accepted: 04/09/2024] [Indexed: 07/30/2024]
Abstract
Children are not born equal in their likelihood of survival. The risk of mortality is highest during and shortly after birth. In the immediate postnatal period and beyond, perinatal events, nutrition, infections, family and environmental exposures, and health services largely determine the risk of death. We argue that current public health programmes do not fully acknowledge this spectrum of risk or respond accordingly. As a result, opportunities to improve the care, survival, and development of children in resource-poor settings are overlooked. Children at high risk of mortality are underidentified and commonly treated using guidelines that do not differentiate care according to the magnitude or drivers of those risks. Children at low risk of mortality are often provided with more intensive care than needed, disproportionately using limited health-care resources with minimal or no benefits. Declines in newborn, infant, and child mortality rates globally are slowing, and further reductions are likely to be incrementally more difficult to achieve once simple, high impact interventions have been universally implemented. Currently, 63 countries have rates of neonatal mortality that are off track to meet the Sustainable Development Goal 2030 target of 12 deaths per 1000 livebirths or less, and 54 countries have rates of mortality in children younger than 5 years that are off track to meet the target of 25 deaths per 1000 livebirths or less. If these targets are to be met, a change of approach is needed to address infant and child mortality and for health-care systems to more efficiently address residual mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- James A Berkley
- Kenya Medical Research Institute, Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Judd L Walson
- Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Rajiv Bahl
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland; India Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
| | - Nigel Rollins
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
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North K, Frade Garcia A, Crouch M, Kimsen S, Hoey A, Wade C, Kim Y, Chou R, Edmond KM, Lee ACC, Rees CA. Efficacy of Antibiotic Regimens for Pneumonia in Young Infants Aged 0-59 Days: A Systematic Review. Pediatrics 2024; 154:e2024066588G. [PMID: 39087803 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2024-066588g] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/15/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024] Open
Abstract
CONTEXT Pneumonia is a leading cause of death in young infants. OBJECTIVES To evaluate the efficacy of different antibiotic regimens to treat young infant pneumonia on critical clinical outcomes. DATA SOURCES MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, World Health Organization (WHO) Global Index Medicus, Cochrane Central Registry of Trials. STUDY SELECTION We included randomized controlled trials of young infants aged 0 to 59 days with pneumonia (population) comparing the efficacy of antibiotic regimens (intervention) with alternate regimens or management (control) on clinical outcomes. DATA EXTRACTION We extracted data and assessed risk of bias in duplicate. We used Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation to assess certainty of evidence. LIMITATIONS Trials were heterogeneous, which precluded data pooling. RESULTS Of 2601 publications screened, 10 randomized controlled trials were included. Seven trials were hospital-based (n = 869) and 3 were nonhospital-based (n = 4329). No hospital-based trials evaluated WHO-recommended first-choice regimens. One trial found the WHO-recommended second-choice antibiotic, cefotaxime, to have similar rates of treatment success as non-WHO-recommended regimens of either amoxicillin-clavulanate (RR 0.99, 95% confidence interval 0.82-1.10) or amoxicillin-clavulanate/cefotaxime (RR 1.02, 95% confidence interval 0.86-1.12). Among 3 nonhospital-based trials comparing oral amoxicillin to alternate regimens to treat isolated tachypnea among infants aged 7-59 days, there were no differences in treatment failure between amoxicillin and alternate regimens. Certainty of evidence was low or very low for all primary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS We found limited evidence to support the superiority of any single antibiotic regimen over alternate regimens to treat young infant pneumonia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Krysten North
- Department of Pediatrics, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | | | - Mark Crouch
- Nazarene General Hospital, Kudjip and University of Papua New Guinea, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
| | - Spencer Kimsen
- Nazarene General Hospital, Kudjip and University of Papua New Guinea, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
| | - Amber Hoey
- Bryn Mawr College, Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania
| | - Carrie Wade
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Yumin Kim
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Roger Chou
- Departments of Medicine and Medical Informatics & Clinical Epidemiology, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | | | - Anne C C Lee
- Department of Pediatrics, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Chris A Rees
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia
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Leulseged H, Bethencourt C, Igunza KA, Akelo V, Onyango D, Omore R, Ogbuanu IU, Ameh S, Moseray A, Kowuor D, Bassey IA, El Arifeen S, Gurley ES, Hossain MZ, Rahman A, Alam M, Assefa N, Madrid L, Alemu A, Abdullahi YY, Kotloff KL, Sow SO, Tapia MD, Kourouma N, Sissoko S, Bassat Q, Varo R, Mandomando I, Carrilho C, Rakislova N, Fernandes F, Madhi S, Dangor Z, Mahtab S, Hale M, Baillie V, du Toit J, Madewell ZJ, Blau DM, Martines RB, Mutevedzi PC, Breiman RF, Whitney CG, Rees CA. Clinicopathological discrepancies in the diagnoses of childhood causes of death in the CHAMPS network: An analysis of antemortem diagnostic inaccuracies. BMJ Paediatr Open 2024; 8:e002654. [PMID: 39032935 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002654] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2024] [Accepted: 06/04/2024] [Indexed: 07/23/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Determining aetiology of severe illness can be difficult, especially in settings with limited diagnostic resources, yet critical for providing life-saving care. Our objective was to describe the accuracy of antemortem clinical diagnoses in young children in high-mortality settings, compared with results of specific postmortem diagnoses obtained from Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS). METHODS We analysed data collected during 2016-2022 from seven sites in Africa and South Asia. We compared antemortem clinical diagnoses from clinical records to a reference standard of postmortem diagnoses determined by expert panels at each site who reviewed the results of histopathological and microbiological testing of tissue, blood, and cerebrospinal fluid. We calculated test characteristics and 95% CIs of antemortem clinical diagnostic accuracy for the 10 most common causes of death. We classified diagnostic discrepancies as major and minor, per Goldman criteria later modified by Battle. RESULTS CHAMPS enrolled 1454 deceased young children aged 1-59 months during the study period; 881 had available clinical records and were analysed. The median age at death was 11 months (IQR 4-21 months) and 47.3% (n=417) were female. We identified a clinicopathological discrepancy in 39.5% (n=348) of deaths; 82.3% of diagnostic errors were major. The sensitivity of clinician antemortem diagnosis ranged from 26% (95% CI 14.6% to 40.3%) for non-infectious respiratory diseases (eg, aspiration pneumonia, interstitial lung disease, etc) to 82.2% (95% CI 72.7% to 89.5%) for diarrhoeal diseases. Antemortem clinical diagnostic specificity ranged from 75.2% (95% CI 72.1% to 78.2%) for diarrhoeal diseases to 99.0% (95% CI 98.1% to 99.6%) for HIV. CONCLUSIONS Antemortem clinical diagnostic errors were common for young children who died in areas with high childhood mortality rates. To further reduce childhood mortality in resource-limited settings, there is an urgent need to improve antemortem diagnostic capability through advances in the availability of diagnostic testing and clinical skills.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haleluya Leulseged
- College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
- Hararghe Health Research, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Christine Bethencourt
- Children's Hospital of Philadelphia Pediatrics Residency Program, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | | | - Victor Akelo
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
- Global Health Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | | | - Richard Omore
- Center for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Kisumu, Kenya
| | - Ikechukwu U Ogbuanu
- Crown Agents, Freetown, Sierra Leone
- Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Soter Ameh
- Crown Agents, Freetown, Sierra Leone
- Department of Community Medicine, University of Calabar, Calabar, Cross River, Nigeria
- Bernard Lown Scholars Program in Cardiovascular Health, Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | | | | | - Shams El Arifeen
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Emily S Gurley
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Afruna Rahman
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Muntasir Alam
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Nega Assefa
- College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Lola Madrid
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Addisu Alemu
- College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Yasir Y Abdullahi
- College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Karen L Kotloff
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Samba O Sow
- Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins-Mali, Bamako, Mali
| | - Milagritos D Tapia
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Nana Kourouma
- Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins-Mali, Bamako, Mali
| | - Seydou Sissoko
- Centre pour le Développement des Vaccins-Mali, Bamako, Mali
| | - Quique Bassat
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça [CISM], Maputo, Mozambique
- ISGlobal - Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- ICREA, Pg. Lluís Companys 23, 08010, Barcelona, Spain
- Pediatrics Department, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Universitat de Barcelona, Esplugues, Barcelona, Spain
- CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Rosauro Varo
- ISGlobal - Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Inacio Mandomando
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça [CISM], Maputo, Mozambique
- ISGlobal - Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Carla Carrilho
- Department of Pathology, Maputo Central Hospital, Maputo, Mozambique
- Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Eduardo Mondlane University, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Natalia Rakislova
- ISGlobal - Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Fabiola Fernandes
- Department of Pathology, Maputo Central Hospital, Maputo, Mozambique
- Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Eduardo Mondlane University, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Shabir Madhi
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Ziyaad Dangor
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Sana Mahtab
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Martin Hale
- Department of Anatomical Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Vicky Baillie
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jeanie du Toit
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Zachary J Madewell
- Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Dianna M Blau
- Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Roosecelis B Martines
- Infectious Diseases Pathology Branch, NCEZID, DHCPP, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | | | - Robert F Breiman
- Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Infectious Diseases and Oncology Research Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Chris A Rees
- Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
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Zubair M. Clinical applications of artificial intelligence in identification and management of bacterial infection: Systematic review and meta-analysis. Saudi J Biol Sci 2024; 31:103934. [PMID: 38304541 PMCID: PMC10831261 DOI: 10.1016/j.sjbs.2024.103934] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2023] [Revised: 12/28/2023] [Accepted: 01/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/03/2024] Open
Abstract
Pneumonia is declared a global emergency public health crisis in children less than five age and the geriatric population. Recent advancements in deep learning models could be utilized effectively for the timely and early diagnosis of pneumonia in immune-compromised patients to avoid complications. This systematic review and meta-analysis utilized PRISMA guidelines for the selection of ten articles included in this study. The literature search was done through electronic databases including PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar from 1st January 2016 till 1 July 2023. Overall studies included a total of 126,610 images and 1706 patients in this meta-analysis. At a 95% confidence interval, for pooled sensitivity was 0.90 (0.85-0.94) and I2 statistics 90.20 (88.56 - 91.92). The pooled specificity for deep learning models' diagnostic accuracy was 0.89 (0.86---0.92) and I2 statistics 92.72 (91.50 - 94.83). I2 statistics showed low heterogeneity across studies highlighting consistent and reliable estimates, and instilling confidence in these findings for researchers and healthcare practitioners. The study highlighted the recent deep learning models single or in combination with high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity to ensure reliable use for bacterial pneumonia identification and differentiate from other viral, fungal pneumonia in children and adults through chest x-rays and radiographs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Zubair
- Department of Medical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tabuk, Tabuk 71491, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Rees CA, Ideh RC, Kisenge R, Kamara J, Coleman-Nekar YJG, Samma A, Godfrey E, Manji HK, Sudfeld CR, Westbrook AL, Niescierenko M, Morris CR, Whitney CG, Breiman RF, Duggan CP, Manji KP. Identifying neonates at risk for post-discharge mortality in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and Monrovia, Liberia: Derivation and internal validation of a novel risk assessment tool. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e079389. [PMID: 38365298 PMCID: PMC10875550 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-079389] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 02/18/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The immediate period after hospital discharge carries a large burden of childhood mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to derive and internally validate a risk assessment tool to identify neonates discharged from the neonatal ward at risk for 60-day post-discharge mortality. METHODS We conducted a prospective observational cohort study of neonates discharged from Muhimbili National Hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and John F Kennedy Medical Centre in Monrovia, Liberia. Research staff called caregivers to ascertain vital status up to 60 days after discharge. We conducted multivariable logistic regression analyses with best subset selection to identify socioeconomic, demographic, clinical, and anthropometric factors associated with post-discharge mortality. We used adjusted log coefficients to assign points to each variable and internally validated our tool with bootstrap validation with 500 repetitions. RESULTS There were 2344 neonates discharged and 2310 (98.5%) had post-discharge outcomes available. The median (IQR) age at discharge was 8 (4, 15) days; 1238 (53.6%) were male. In total, 71 (3.1%) died during follow-up (26.8% within 7 days of discharge). Leaving against medical advice (adjusted OR [aOR] 5.62, 95% CI 2.40 to 12.10) and diagnosis of meconium aspiration (aOR 6.98, 95% CI 1.69 to 21.70) conferred the greatest risk for post-discharge mortality. The risk assessment tool included nine variables (total possible score=63) and had an optimism corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.80). A score of ≥6 was most optimal (sensitivity 68.3% [95% CI 64.8% to 71.5%], specificity 72.1% [95% CI 71.5% to 72.7%]). CONCLUSIONS A small number of factors predicted all-cause, 60-day mortality after discharge from neonatal wards in Tanzania and Liberia. After external validation, this risk assessment tool may facilitate clinical decision making for eligibility for discharge and the direction of resources to follow-up high risk neonates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chris A Rees
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Readon C Ideh
- Department of Pediatrics, John F Kennedy Medical Center, Monrovia, Liberia
| | - Rodrick Kisenge
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Julia Kamara
- Department of Pediatrics, John F Kennedy Medical Center, Monrovia, Liberia
| | | | - Abraham Samma
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Evance Godfrey
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Hussein K Manji
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
- Accident and Emergency Department, The Aga Khan Health Services, Dar es Salaam, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Christopher R Sudfeld
- Departments of Nutrition and Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Boston, USA
| | - Adrianna L Westbrook
- Pediatric Biostatistics Core, Department of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Michelle Niescierenko
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Pediatrics and Emergency Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Claudia R Morris
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Cynthia G Whitney
- Emory Global Health Institute, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Robert F Breiman
- Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Infectious Diseases and Oncology Research Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Christopher P Duggan
- Departments of Nutrition and Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Boston, USA
- Center for Nutrition, Children's Hospital Boston, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Karim P Manji
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
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Rees CA, Kuppermann N, Florin TA. Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Children. Pediatr Emerg Care 2023; 39:968-976. [PMID: 38019716 DOI: 10.1097/pec.0000000000003070] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2023]
Abstract
ABSTRACT Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the most common cause of childhood mortality globally. In the United States, CAP is a leading cause of pediatric hospitalization and antibiotic use and is associated with substantial morbidity. There has been a dramatic shift in microbiological etiologies for CAP in children over time as pneumococcal pneumonia has become less common and viral etiologies have become predominant. There is no commonly agreed on approach to the diagnosis of CAP in children. When indicated, antimicrobial treatment should consist of narrow-spectrum antibiotics. In this article, we will describe the current understanding of the microbiological etiologies, clinical presentation, diagnostic approach, risk factors, treatment, and future directions in the diagnosis and management of pediatric CAP.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Nathan Kuppermann
- Professor, Departments of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, University of California Davis Health, University of California Davis, School of Medicine, Sacramento, CA
| | - Todd A Florin
- Associate Professor, Department of Pediatrics, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine and Division of Emergency Medicine, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Chicago, IL
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Mamun GMS, Sarmin M, Shahid ASMSB, Nuzhat S, Shahrin L, Afroze F, Saha H, Shaima SN, Sultana MS, Ahmed T, Chisti MJ. Burden, predictors, and outcome of unconsciousness among under-five children hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia: A retrospective study from a developing country. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0287054. [PMID: 37343025 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287054] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 05/28/2023] [Indexed: 06/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Despite the reduction of death from pneumonia over recent years, pneumonia has still been the leading infectious cause of death in under-five children for the last several decades. Unconsciousness is a critical condition in any child resulting from any illness. Once it occurs during a pneumonia episode, the outcome is perceived to be fatal. However, data on children under five with pneumonia having unconsciousness are scarce. We've retrospectively analyzed the data of under-five children admitted at the in-patient ward of Dhaka Hospital of icddr,b during 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2017 with World Health Organization classified pneumonia or severe pneumonia. Children presented with or without unconsciousness were considered as cases and controls respectively. Among a total of 3,876 children fulfilling the inclusion criteria, 325 and 3,551 were the cases and the controls respectively. A multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed older children (8 months vs. 7.9 months) (adjusted odds ratio, aOR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.004-1.04, p = 0.015), hypoxemia (aOR 3.22, 95% CI: 2.39-4.34, p<0.001), severe sepsis (aOR 4.46, 95% CI: 3.28-6.06, p<0.001), convulsion (aOR 8.90, 95% CI: 6.72-11.79, p<0.001), and dehydration (aOR 2.08, 95% CI: 1.56-2.76, p<0.001) were found to be independently associated with the cases. The cases more often had a fatal outcome than the controls (23% vs. 3%, OR 9.56, 95% CI: 6.95-13.19, p<0.001). If the simple predicting factors of unconsciousness in children under five hospitalized for pneumonia with different severity can be initially identified and adequately treated with prompt response, pneumonia-related deaths can be reduced more effectively, especially in resource-limited settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gazi Md Salahuddin Mamun
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Monira Sarmin
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | | | - Sharika Nuzhat
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Lubaba Shahrin
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Farzana Afroze
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Haimanti Saha
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Shamsun Nahar Shaima
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mst Shahin Sultana
- National Institute of Population Research and Training (NIPORT), Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Tahmeed Ahmed
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mohammod Jobayer Chisti
- Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh
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Balanza N, Erice C, Ngai M, McDonald CR, Weckman AM, Wright J, Richard-Greenblatt M, Varo R, López-Varela E, Sitoe A, Vitorino P, Bramugy J, Lanaspa M, Acácio S, Madrid L, Baro B, Kain KC, Bassat Q. Prognostic accuracy of biomarkers of immune and endothelial activation in Mozambican children hospitalized with pneumonia. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 3:e0001553. [PMID: 36963048 PMCID: PMC10021812 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2022] [Accepted: 01/24/2023] [Indexed: 02/25/2023]
Abstract
Pneumonia is a leading cause of child mortality. However, currently we lack simple, objective, and accurate risk-stratification tools for pediatric pneumonia. Here we test the hypothesis that measuring biomarkers of immune and endothelial activation in children with pneumonia may facilitate the identification of those at risk of death. We recruited children <10 years old fulfilling WHO criteria for pneumonia and admitted to the Manhiça District Hospital (Mozambique) from 2010 to 2014. We measured plasma levels of IL-6, IL-8, Angpt-2, sTREM-1, sFlt-1, sTNFR1, PCT, and CRP at admission, and assessed their prognostic accuracy for in-hospital, 28-day, and 90-day mortality. Healthy community controls, within same age strata and location, were also assessed. All biomarkers were significantly elevated in 472 pneumonia cases versus 80 controls (p<0.001). IL-8, sFlt-1, and sTREM-1 were associated with in-hospital mortality (p<0.001) and showed the best discrimination with AUROCs of 0.877 (95% CI: 0.782 to 0.972), 0.832 (95% CI: 0.729 to 0.935) and 0.822 (95% CI: 0.735 to 0.908), respectively. Their performance was superior to CRP, PCT, oxygen saturation, and clinical severity scores. IL-8, sFlt-1, and sTREM-1 remained good predictors of 28-day and 90-day mortality. These findings suggest that measuring IL-8, sFlt-1, or sTREM-1 at hospital presentation can guide risk-stratification of children with pneumonia, which could enable prioritized care to improve survival and resource allocation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Núria Balanza
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Clara Erice
- Sandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Michelle Ngai
- Sandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Tropical Disease Unit, Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Chloe R. McDonald
- Sandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Andrea M. Weckman
- Sandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Tropical Disease Unit, Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Julie Wright
- Sandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Tropical Disease Unit, Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Melissa Richard-Greenblatt
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America
| | - Rosauro Varo
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Elisa López-Varela
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
- Desmond Tutu TB Centre, Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Antonio Sitoe
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Pio Vitorino
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Justina Bramugy
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Miguel Lanaspa
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Sozinho Acácio
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Lola Madrid
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Bàrbara Baro
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Kevin C. Kain
- Sandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Tropical Disease Unit, Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Quique Bassat
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
- ICREA, Barcelona, Spain
- Pediatrics Department, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu (University of Barcelona), Barcelona, Spain
- Consorcio de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
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9
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Martin H, Falconer J, Addo-Yobo E, Aneja S, Arroyo LM, Asghar R, Awasthi S, Banajeh S, Bari A, Basnet S, Bavdekar A, Bhandari N, Bhatnagar S, Bhutta ZA, Brooks A, Chadha M, Chisaka N, Chou M, Clara AW, Colbourn T, Cutland C, D'Acremont V, Echavarria M, Gentile A, Gessner B, Gregory CJ, Hazir T, Hibberd PL, Hirve S, Hooli S, Iqbal I, Jeena P, Kartasasmita CB, King C, Libster R, Lodha R, Lozano JM, Lucero M, Lufesi N, MacLeod WB, Madhi SA, Mathew JL, Maulen-Radovan I, McCollum ED, Mino G, Mwansambo C, Neuman MI, Nguyen NTV, Nunes MC, Nymadawa P, O'Grady KAF, Pape JW, Paranhos-Baccala G, Patel A, Picot VS, Rakoto-Andrianarivelo M, Rasmussen Z, Rouzier V, Russomando G, Ruvinsky RO, Sadruddin S, Saha SK, Santosham M, Singhi S, Soofi S, Strand TA, Sylla M, Thamthitiwat S, Thea DM, Turner C, Vanhems P, Wadhwa N, Wang J, Zaman SMA, Campbell H, Nair H, Qazi SA, Nisar YB. Assembling a global database of child pneumonia studies to inform WHO pneumonia management algorithm: Methodology and applications. J Glob Health 2022; 12:04075. [PMID: 36579417 PMCID: PMC9798037 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.12.04075] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The existing World Health Organization (WHO) pneumonia case management guidelines rely on clinical symptoms and signs for identifying, classifying, and treating pneumonia in children up to 5 years old. We aimed to collate an individual patient-level data set from large, high-quality pre-existing studies on pneumonia in children to identify a set of signs and symptoms with greater validity in the diagnosis, prognosis, and possible treatment of childhood pneumonia for the improvement of current pneumonia case management guidelines. Methods Using data from a published systematic review and expert knowledge, we identified studies meeting our eligibility criteria and invited investigators to share individual-level patient data. We collected data on demographic information, general medical history, and current illness episode, including history, clinical presentation, chest radiograph findings when available, treatment, and outcome. Data were gathered separately from hospital-based and community-based cases. We performed a narrative synthesis to describe the final data set. Results Forty-one separate data sets were included in the Pneumonia Research Partnership to Assess WHO Recommendations (PREPARE) database, 26 of which were hospital-based and 15 were community-based. The PREPARE database includes 285 839 children with pneumonia (244 323 in the hospital and 41 516 in the community), with detailed descriptions of clinical presentation, clinical progression, and outcome. Of 9185 pneumonia-related deaths, 6836 (74%) occurred in children <1 year of age and 1317 (14%) in children aged 1-2 years. Of the 285 839 episodes, 280 998 occurred in children 0-59 months old, of which 129 584 (46%) were 2-11 months of age and 152 730 (54%) were males. Conclusions This data set could identify an improved specific, sensitive set of criteria for diagnosing clinical pneumonia and help identify sick children in need of referral to a higher level of care or a change of therapy. Field studies could be designed based on insights from PREPARE analyses to validate a potential revised pneumonia algorithm. The PREPARE methodology can also act as a model for disease database assembly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helena Martin
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Jennifer Falconer
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Emmanuel Addo-Yobo
- Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology/Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Satinder Aneja
- School of Medical Sciences and Research, Sharda University, Greater Noida, India
| | | | - Rai Asghar
- Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Shally Awasthi
- King George’s Medical University, Department of Pediatrics, Lucknow, India
| | - Salem Banajeh
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Sana’a, Sana’a, Yemen
| | - Abdul Bari
- Independent newborn and child health consultant, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Sudha Basnet
- Center for Intervention Science in Maternal and Child Health, University of Bergen, Norway,Department of Pediatrics, Tribhuvan University Institute of Medicine, Nepal
| | - Ashish Bavdekar
- King Edward Memorial (KEM) Hospital Pune, Department of Pediatrics, Pune, India
| | - Nita Bhandari
- Center for Health Research and Development, Society for Applied Studies, India
| | | | - Zulfiqar A Bhutta
- Institute for Global Health and Development, Aga Khan University, Pakistan
| | - Abdullah Brooks
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Mandeep Chadha
- Former Scientist, Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), National Institute of Virology, Pune, India
| | | | - Monidarin Chou
- University of Health Sciences, Rodolphe Mérieux Laboratory, Phom Phen, Cambodia,Ministry of Environment, Phom Phen, Cambodia
| | - Alexey W Clara
- Centers for Disease Control, Central American Region, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Tim Colbourn
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Clare Cutland
- South African Medical Research Council, Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa,Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation, South African Research Chair Initiative in Vaccine Preventable Diseases, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Marcela Echavarria
- Clinical Virology Unit, Centro de Educación Médica e Investigaciones Clínicas, Argentina
| | - Angela Gentile
- Department of Epidemiology, “R. Gutiérrez” Children's Hospital, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Brad Gessner
- Pfizer Vaccines, Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Christopher J. Gregory
- Division of Vector-borne Diseases, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA
| | - Tabish Hazir
- Retired from Children Hospital, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Patricia L. Hibberd
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Shubhada Hooli
- Section of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Texas Children’s Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Imran Iqbal
- Department of Paediatrics, Combined Military Hospital Institute of Medical Sciences, Multan, Pakistan
| | | | - Cissy B Kartasasmita
- Department of Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, Indonesia
| | - Carina King
- Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden,Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Rakesh Lodha
- All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Marilla Lucero
- Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila, Philippines
| | | | - William B MacLeod
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Shabir Ahmed Madhi
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
| | - Joseph L Mathew
- Advanced Pediatrics Centre, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | - Irene Maulen-Radovan
- Instituto Nactional de Pediatria Division de Investigacion Insurgentes, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Eric D McCollum
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA,Global Program in Respiratory Sciences, Eudowood Division of Pediatric Respiratory Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA
| | - Greta Mino
- Department of Infectious diseases, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | | | - Mark I Neuman
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Marta C Nunes
- South African Medical Research Council, Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa,Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation, South African Research Chair Initiative in Vaccine Preventable Diseases, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Pagbajabyn Nymadawa
- Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Academy of Medical Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Kerry-Ann F O'Grady
- Australian Centre for Health Services Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Kelvin Grove, Australia
| | | | | | - Archana Patel
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur and Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Sawangi, India
| | | | | | - Zeba Rasmussen
- Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies (DIEPS), Fogarty International Center (FIC), National Institute of Health (NIH), USA
| | | | - Graciela Russomando
- Universidad Nacional de Asuncion, Departamento de Biología Molecular y Genética, Instituto de Investigaciones en Ciencias de la Salud, Asuncion, Paraguay
| | - Raul O Ruvinsky
- Dirección de Control de Enfermedades Inmunoprevenibles, Ministerio de Salud de la Nación, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Salim Sadruddin
- Consultant/Retired World Health Organization (WHO) Staff, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Samir K. Saha
- Child Health Research Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh,Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mathuram Santosham
- International Vaccine Access Center (IVAC), Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Sajid Soofi
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Pakistan
| | - Tor A Strand
- Research Department, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - Mariam Sylla
- Gabriel Touré Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Bamako, Mali
| | - Somsak Thamthitiwat
- Division of Global Health Protection, Thailand Ministry of Public Health – US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Collaboration, Nonthaburi, Thailand
| | - Donald M Thea
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Philippe Vanhems
- Unité d'Hygiène, Epidémiologie, Infectiovigilance et Prévention, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France,Centre International de Recherche en Infectiologie, École Nationale Supérieure de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France
| | - Nitya Wadhwa
- Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India
| | - Jianwei Wang
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union, Medical College Institute of Pathogen Biology, MOH Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens and Dr Christophe Mérieux Laboratory, Beijing, China
| | - Syed MA Zaman
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Harry Campbell
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Shamim Ahmad Qazi
- Consultant/Retired World Health Organization (WHO) Staff, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Yasir Bin Nisar
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, World Health Organization (WHO), Geneva, Switzerland
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