1
|
Ndegwa L, Ngere P, Makayotto L, Patel NN, Nzisa L, Otieno N, Osoro E, Oreri E, Kiptoo E, Maigua S, Crawley A, Clara AW, Arunmozhi Balajee S, Munyua P, Herman-Roloff A. Kenya's experience implementing event-based surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMJ Glob Health 2023; 8:e013736. [PMID: 38114236 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-013736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2023] [Accepted: 11/12/2023] [Indexed: 12/21/2023] Open
Abstract
Event-based surveillance (EBS) can be implemented in most settings for the detection of potential health threats by recognition and immediate reporting of predefined signals. Such a system complements existing case-based and sentinel surveillance systems. With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020, the Kenya Ministry of Health (MOH) modified and expanded an EBS system in both community and health facility settings for the reporting of COVID-19-related signals. Using an electronic reporting tool, m-Dharura, MOH recorded 8790 signals reported, with 3002 (34.2%) verified as events, across both community and health facility sites from March 2020 to June 2021. A subsequent evaluation found that the EBS system was flexible enough to incorporate the addition of COVID-19-related signals during a pandemic and maintain high rates of reporting from participants. Inadequate resources for follow-up investigations to reported events, lack of supportive supervision for some community health volunteers and lack of data system interoperability were identified as challenges to be addressed as the EBS system in Kenya continues to expand to additional jurisdictions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Linus Ndegwa
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Philip Ngere
- Global Health Program, Washington State University, Nairobi, Kenya
- Division of Disease Surveillance and Response, Kenya Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Lyndah Makayotto
- Division of Disease Surveillance and Response, Kenya Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Neha N Patel
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Liku Nzisa
- Global Health Program, Washington State University, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Nancy Otieno
- Center for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Eric Osoro
- Global Health Program, Washington State University, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Eunice Oreri
- Department of Health, County Government of Siaya, Siaya, Kenya
| | - Elizabeth Kiptoo
- Department of Health, County Government of Nakuru, Nakuru, Kenya
| | - Susan Maigua
- Medic Mobile Inc, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Adam Crawley
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Alexey W Clara
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - S Arunmozhi Balajee
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Peninah Munyua
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Amy Herman-Roloff
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Hooli S, King C, McCollum ED, Colbourn T, Lufesi N, Mwansambo C, Gregory CJ, Thamthitiwat S, Cutland C, Madhi SA, Nunes MC, Gessner BD, Hazir T, Mathew JL, Addo-Yobo E, Chisaka N, Hassan M, Hibberd PL, Jeena P, Lozano JM, MacLeod WB, Patel A, Thea DM, Nguyen NTV, Zaman SM, Ruvinsky RO, Lucero M, Kartasasmita CB, Turner C, Asghar R, Banajeh S, Iqbal I, Maulen-Radovan I, Mino-Leon G, Saha SK, Santosham M, Singhi S, Awasthi S, Bavdekar A, Chou M, Nymadawa P, Pape JW, Paranhos-Baccala G, Picot VS, Rakoto-Andrianarivelo M, Rouzier V, Russomando G, Sylla M, Vanhems P, Wang J, Basnet S, Strand TA, Neuman MI, Arroyo LM, Echavarria M, Bhatnagar S, Wadhwa N, Lodha R, Aneja S, Gentile A, Chadha M, Hirve S, O'Grady KAF, Clara AW, Rees CA, Campbell H, Nair H, Falconer J, Williams LJ, Horne M, Qazi SA, Nisar YB. In-hospital mortality risk stratification in children aged under 5 years with pneumonia with or without pulse oximetry: A secondary analysis of the Pneumonia REsearch Partnership to Assess WHO REcommendations (PREPARE) dataset. Int J Infect Dis 2023; 129:240-250. [PMID: 36805325 PMCID: PMC10017350 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2023.02.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2022] [Revised: 02/01/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2023] [Indexed: 02/17/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We determined the pulse oximetry benefit in pediatric pneumonia mortality risk stratification and chest-indrawing pneumonia in-hospital mortality risk factors. METHODS We report the characteristics and in-hospital pneumonia-related mortality of children aged 2-59 months who were included in the Pneumonia Research Partnership to Assess WHO Recommendations dataset. We developed multivariable logistic regression models of chest-indrawing pneumonia to identify mortality risk factors. RESULTS Among 285,839 children, 164,244 (57.5%) from hospital-based studies were included. Pneumonia case fatality risk (CFR) without pulse oximetry measurement was higher than with measurement (5.8%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.6-5.9% vs 2.1%, 95% CI 1.9-2.4%). One in five children with chest-indrawing pneumonia was hypoxemic (19.7%, 95% CI 19.0-20.4%), and the hypoxemic CFR was 10.3% (95% CI 9.1-11.5%). Other mortality risk factors were younger age (either 2-5 months [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 9.94, 95% CI 6.67-14.84] or 6-11 months [aOR 2.67, 95% CI 1.71-4.16]), moderate malnutrition (aOR 2.41, 95% CI 1.87-3.09), and female sex (aOR 1.82, 95% CI 1.43-2.32). CONCLUSION Children with a pulse oximetry measurement had a lower CFR. Many children hospitalized with chest-indrawing pneumonia were hypoxemic and one in 10 died. Young age and moderate malnutrition were risk factors for in-hospital chest-indrawing pneumonia-related mortality. Pulse oximetry should be integrated in pneumonia hospital care for children under 5 years.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Shubhada Hooli
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital/Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, United States of America
| | - Carina King
- Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden and Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Eric D McCollum
- Global Program in Respiratory Sciences, Eudowood Division of Pediatric Respiratory Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, United States of America and Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, United States of America
| | - Tim Colbourn
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Christopher J Gregory
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, United States of America
| | - Somsak Thamthitiwat
- Division of Global Health Protection, Thailand Ministry of Public Health-US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Collaboration, Nonthaburi, Thailand
| | - Clare Cutland
- African Leadership in Vaccinology Expertise (Alive), Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Shabir Ahmed Madhi
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Marta C Nunes
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Tabish Hazir
- The Children's Hospital, (Retired), Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PIMS), Islamabad, Pakistan (deceased)
| | - Joseph L Mathew
- Advanced Pediatrics Centre, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | - Emmanuel Addo-Yobo
- Kwame Nkrumah University of Science & Technology/Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Noel Chisaka
- World Bank, Washington DC, United States of America
| | - Mumtaz Hassan
- The Children's Hospital, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PIMS), Islamabad, Pakistan (deceased)
| | - Patricia L Hibberd
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, United States of America
| | | | - Juan M Lozano
- Florida International University, Miami, United States of America
| | - William B MacLeod
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, United States of America
| | - Archana Patel
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur and Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Sawangi, India
| | - Donald M Thea
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, United States of America
| | | | - Syed Ma Zaman
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Raul O Ruvinsky
- Dirección de Control de Enfermedades Inmunoprevenibles, Ministerio de Salud de la Nación, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Marilla Lucero
- Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila, Philippines
| | - Cissy B Kartasasmita
- Department of Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, Indonesia
| | | | - Rai Asghar
- Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | | | - Imran Iqbal
- Combined Military Hospital Institute of Medical Sciences, Multan, Pakistan
| | - Irene Maulen-Radovan
- Instituto Nacional de Pediatria Division de Investigacion Insurgentes, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Greta Mino-Leon
- Children's Hospital Dr Francisco de Ycaza Bustamante, Head of Department, Infectious diseases, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | - Samir K Saha
- Child Health Research Foundation and Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mathuram Santosham
- International Vaccine Access Center (IVAC), Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, United States of America
| | | | - Shally Awasthi
- King George's Medical University, Department of Pediatrics, Lucknow, India
| | | | - Monidarin Chou
- University of Health Sciences, Rodolph Mérieux Laboratory & Ministry of Environment, Phom Phen, Cambodia
| | - Pagbajabyn Nymadawa
- Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Academy of Medical Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Graciela Russomando
- Universidad Nacional de Asuncion, Departamento de Biología Molecular y Genética, Instituto de Investigaciones en Ciencias de la Salud, Asuncion, Paraguay
| | - Mariam Sylla
- Gabriel Touré Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Bamako, Mali
| | - Philippe Vanhems
- Unité d'Hygiène, Epidémiologie, Infectiovigilance et Prévention, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France and Centre International de Recherche en Infectiologie, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale U1111, CNRS Unité Mixte de Recherche 5308, École Nationale Supérieure de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France
| | - Jianwei Wang
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union, Medical College Institute of Pathogen Biology, MOH Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens and Dr Christophe Mérieux Laboratory, Beijing, China
| | - Sudha Basnet
- Center for Intervention Science in Maternal and Child Health, University of Bergen, Norway and Department of Pediatrics, Tribhuvan University Institute of Medicine, Nepal
| | - Tor A Strand
- Research Department, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - Mark I Neuman
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, United States of America
| | | | - Marcela Echavarria
- Clinical Virology Unit, Centro de Educación Médica e Investigaciones Clínicas, Mar del Plata, Argentina
| | | | - Nitya Wadhwa
- Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India
| | - Rakesh Lodha
- All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Satinder Aneja
- School of Medical Sciences & Research, Sharda University, Greater Noida, India
| | - Angela Gentile
- Department of Epidemiology, "R. Gutiérrez" Children's Hospital, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Mandeep Chadha
- Former Scientist G, ICMR National Institute of Virology, Pune, India
| | | | - Kerry-Ann F O'Grady
- Australian Centre for Health Services Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Kelvin Grove, Australia
| | - Alexey W Clara
- Centers for Disease Control, Central American Region, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Chris A Rees
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, United States of America
| | - Harry Campbell
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Jennifer Falconer
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Linda J Williams
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Margaret Horne
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Shamim A Qazi
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child, and Adolescent Health (Retired), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Yasir Bin Nisar
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child, and Adolescent Health and Ageing, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
| | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Martin H, Falconer J, Addo-Yobo E, Aneja S, Arroyo LM, Asghar R, Awasthi S, Banajeh S, Bari A, Basnet S, Bavdekar A, Bhandari N, Bhatnagar S, Bhutta ZA, Brooks A, Chadha M, Chisaka N, Chou M, Clara AW, Colbourn T, Cutland C, D'Acremont V, Echavarria M, Gentile A, Gessner B, Gregory CJ, Hazir T, Hibberd PL, Hirve S, Hooli S, Iqbal I, Jeena P, Kartasasmita CB, King C, Libster R, Lodha R, Lozano JM, Lucero M, Lufesi N, MacLeod WB, Madhi SA, Mathew JL, Maulen-Radovan I, McCollum ED, Mino G, Mwansambo C, Neuman MI, Nguyen NTV, Nunes MC, Nymadawa P, O'Grady KAF, Pape JW, Paranhos-Baccala G, Patel A, Picot VS, Rakoto-Andrianarivelo M, Rasmussen Z, Rouzier V, Russomando G, Ruvinsky RO, Sadruddin S, Saha SK, Santosham M, Singhi S, Soofi S, Strand TA, Sylla M, Thamthitiwat S, Thea DM, Turner C, Vanhems P, Wadhwa N, Wang J, Zaman SMA, Campbell H, Nair H, Qazi SA, Nisar YB. Assembling a global database of child pneumonia studies to inform WHO pneumonia management algorithm: Methodology and applications. J Glob Health 2022; 12:04075. [PMID: 36579417 PMCID: PMC9798037 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.12.04075] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The existing World Health Organization (WHO) pneumonia case management guidelines rely on clinical symptoms and signs for identifying, classifying, and treating pneumonia in children up to 5 years old. We aimed to collate an individual patient-level data set from large, high-quality pre-existing studies on pneumonia in children to identify a set of signs and symptoms with greater validity in the diagnosis, prognosis, and possible treatment of childhood pneumonia for the improvement of current pneumonia case management guidelines. Methods Using data from a published systematic review and expert knowledge, we identified studies meeting our eligibility criteria and invited investigators to share individual-level patient data. We collected data on demographic information, general medical history, and current illness episode, including history, clinical presentation, chest radiograph findings when available, treatment, and outcome. Data were gathered separately from hospital-based and community-based cases. We performed a narrative synthesis to describe the final data set. Results Forty-one separate data sets were included in the Pneumonia Research Partnership to Assess WHO Recommendations (PREPARE) database, 26 of which were hospital-based and 15 were community-based. The PREPARE database includes 285 839 children with pneumonia (244 323 in the hospital and 41 516 in the community), with detailed descriptions of clinical presentation, clinical progression, and outcome. Of 9185 pneumonia-related deaths, 6836 (74%) occurred in children <1 year of age and 1317 (14%) in children aged 1-2 years. Of the 285 839 episodes, 280 998 occurred in children 0-59 months old, of which 129 584 (46%) were 2-11 months of age and 152 730 (54%) were males. Conclusions This data set could identify an improved specific, sensitive set of criteria for diagnosing clinical pneumonia and help identify sick children in need of referral to a higher level of care or a change of therapy. Field studies could be designed based on insights from PREPARE analyses to validate a potential revised pneumonia algorithm. The PREPARE methodology can also act as a model for disease database assembly.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Helena Martin
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Jennifer Falconer
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Emmanuel Addo-Yobo
- Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology/Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Satinder Aneja
- School of Medical Sciences and Research, Sharda University, Greater Noida, India
| | | | - Rai Asghar
- Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Shally Awasthi
- King George’s Medical University, Department of Pediatrics, Lucknow, India
| | - Salem Banajeh
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Sana’a, Sana’a, Yemen
| | - Abdul Bari
- Independent newborn and child health consultant, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Sudha Basnet
- Center for Intervention Science in Maternal and Child Health, University of Bergen, Norway,Department of Pediatrics, Tribhuvan University Institute of Medicine, Nepal
| | - Ashish Bavdekar
- King Edward Memorial (KEM) Hospital Pune, Department of Pediatrics, Pune, India
| | - Nita Bhandari
- Center for Health Research and Development, Society for Applied Studies, India
| | | | - Zulfiqar A Bhutta
- Institute for Global Health and Development, Aga Khan University, Pakistan
| | - Abdullah Brooks
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Mandeep Chadha
- Former Scientist, Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), National Institute of Virology, Pune, India
| | | | - Monidarin Chou
- University of Health Sciences, Rodolphe Mérieux Laboratory, Phom Phen, Cambodia,Ministry of Environment, Phom Phen, Cambodia
| | - Alexey W Clara
- Centers for Disease Control, Central American Region, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Tim Colbourn
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Clare Cutland
- South African Medical Research Council, Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa,Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation, South African Research Chair Initiative in Vaccine Preventable Diseases, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Marcela Echavarria
- Clinical Virology Unit, Centro de Educación Médica e Investigaciones Clínicas, Argentina
| | - Angela Gentile
- Department of Epidemiology, “R. Gutiérrez” Children's Hospital, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Brad Gessner
- Pfizer Vaccines, Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Christopher J. Gregory
- Division of Vector-borne Diseases, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA
| | - Tabish Hazir
- Retired from Children Hospital, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Patricia L. Hibberd
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Shubhada Hooli
- Section of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Texas Children’s Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Imran Iqbal
- Department of Paediatrics, Combined Military Hospital Institute of Medical Sciences, Multan, Pakistan
| | | | - Cissy B Kartasasmita
- Department of Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, Indonesia
| | - Carina King
- Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden,Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Rakesh Lodha
- All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Marilla Lucero
- Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila, Philippines
| | | | - William B MacLeod
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Shabir Ahmed Madhi
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
| | - Joseph L Mathew
- Advanced Pediatrics Centre, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | - Irene Maulen-Radovan
- Instituto Nactional de Pediatria Division de Investigacion Insurgentes, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Eric D McCollum
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA,Global Program in Respiratory Sciences, Eudowood Division of Pediatric Respiratory Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA
| | - Greta Mino
- Department of Infectious diseases, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | | | - Mark I Neuman
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Marta C Nunes
- South African Medical Research Council, Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa,Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation, South African Research Chair Initiative in Vaccine Preventable Diseases, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Pagbajabyn Nymadawa
- Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Academy of Medical Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Kerry-Ann F O'Grady
- Australian Centre for Health Services Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Kelvin Grove, Australia
| | | | | | - Archana Patel
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur and Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Sawangi, India
| | | | | | - Zeba Rasmussen
- Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies (DIEPS), Fogarty International Center (FIC), National Institute of Health (NIH), USA
| | | | - Graciela Russomando
- Universidad Nacional de Asuncion, Departamento de Biología Molecular y Genética, Instituto de Investigaciones en Ciencias de la Salud, Asuncion, Paraguay
| | - Raul O Ruvinsky
- Dirección de Control de Enfermedades Inmunoprevenibles, Ministerio de Salud de la Nación, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Salim Sadruddin
- Consultant/Retired World Health Organization (WHO) Staff, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Samir K. Saha
- Child Health Research Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh,Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mathuram Santosham
- International Vaccine Access Center (IVAC), Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Sajid Soofi
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Pakistan
| | - Tor A Strand
- Research Department, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - Mariam Sylla
- Gabriel Touré Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Bamako, Mali
| | - Somsak Thamthitiwat
- Division of Global Health Protection, Thailand Ministry of Public Health – US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Collaboration, Nonthaburi, Thailand
| | - Donald M Thea
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Philippe Vanhems
- Unité d'Hygiène, Epidémiologie, Infectiovigilance et Prévention, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France,Centre International de Recherche en Infectiologie, École Nationale Supérieure de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France
| | - Nitya Wadhwa
- Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India
| | - Jianwei Wang
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union, Medical College Institute of Pathogen Biology, MOH Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens and Dr Christophe Mérieux Laboratory, Beijing, China
| | - Syed MA Zaman
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Harry Campbell
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Shamim Ahmad Qazi
- Consultant/Retired World Health Organization (WHO) Staff, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Yasir Bin Nisar
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, World Health Organization (WHO), Geneva, Switzerland
| | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Rees CA, Colbourn T, Hooli S, King C, Lufesi N, McCollum ED, Mwansambo C, Cutland C, Madhi SA, Nunes M, Matthew JL, Addo-Yobo E, Chisaka N, Hassan M, Hibberd PL, Jeena PM, Lozano JM, MacLeod WB, Patel A, Thea DM, Nguyen NTV, Kartasasmita CB, Lucero M, Awasthi S, Bavdekar A, Chou M, Nymadawa P, Pape JW, Paranhos-Baccala G, Picot VS, Rakoto-Andrianarivelo M, Rouzier V, Russomando G, Sylla M, Vanhems P, Wang J, Asghar R, Banajeh S, Iqbal I, Maulen-Radovan I, Mino-Leon G, Saha SK, Santosham M, Singhi S, Basnet S, Strand TA, Bhatnagar S, Wadhwa N, Lodha R, Aneja S, Clara AW, Campbell H, Nair H, Falconer J, Qazi SA, Nisar YB, Neuman MI. Derivation and validation of a novel risk assessment tool to identify children aged 2–59 months at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality in 20 countries. BMJ Glob Health 2022; 7:bmjgh-2021-008143. [PMID: 35428680 PMCID: PMC9014031 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-008143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2021] [Accepted: 03/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Existing risk assessment tools to identify children at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality have shown suboptimal discriminatory value during external validation. Our objective was to derive and validate a novel risk assessment tool to identify children aged 2–59 months at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality across various settings. Methods We used primary, baseline, patient-level data from 11 studies, including children evaluated for pneumonia in 20 low-income and middle-income countries. Patients with complete data were included in a logistic regression model to assess the association of candidate variables with the outcome hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality. Adjusted log coefficients were calculated for each candidate variable and assigned weighted points to derive the Pneumonia Research Partnership to Assess WHO Recommendations (PREPARE) risk assessment tool. We used bootstrapped selection with 200 repetitions to internally validate the PREPARE risk assessment tool. Results A total of 27 388 children were included in the analysis (mean age 14.0 months, pneumonia-related case fatality ratio 3.1%). The PREPARE risk assessment tool included patient age, sex, weight-for-age z-score, body temperature, respiratory rate, unconsciousness or decreased level of consciousness, convulsions, cyanosis and hypoxaemia at baseline. The PREPARE risk assessment tool had good discriminatory value when internally validated (area under the curve 0.83, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.84). Conclusions The PREPARE risk assessment tool had good discriminatory ability for identifying children at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality in a large, geographically diverse dataset. After external validation, this tool may be implemented in various settings to identify children at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chris A Rees
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Tim Colbourn
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Shubhada Hooli
- Section of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Carina King
- Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Norman Lufesi
- Acute Respiratory Illness Unit, Government of Malawi Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi
| | - Eric D McCollum
- Global Program in Respiratory Sciences, Eudowood Division of Pediatric Respiratory Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Charles Mwansambo
- Acute Respiratory Illness Unit, Government of Malawi Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi
| | - Clare Cutland
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg-Braamfontein, South Africa
| | - Shabir Ahmed Madhi
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg-Braamfontein, South Africa
| | - Marta Nunes
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg-Braamfontein, South Africa
| | - Joseph L Matthew
- Advanced Pediatrics Centre, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | | | - Noel Chisaka
- World Bank, World Bank, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
| | - Mumtaz Hassan
- Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Patricia L Hibberd
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Prakash M Jeena
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal Nelson R Mandela School of Medicine, Durban, South Africa
| | - Juan M Lozano
- Division of Medical and Population Health Science Education and Research, Florida International University, Miami, Florida, USA
| | - William B MacLeod
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Archana Patel
- Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur and Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Sawangi, India
| | - Donald M Thea
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Cissy B Kartasasmita
- Department of Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, Indonesia
| | - Marilla Lucero
- Department of Pediatrics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Muntinlupa City, Philippines
| | - Shally Awasthi
- Department of Pediatrics, King George's Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
| | | | - Monidarin Chou
- Rodolph Mérieux Laboratory, Faculty of Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
| | - Pagbajabyn Nymadawa
- Department of Pediatrics, Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Graciela Russomando
- Departamento de Biología Molecular y Genética, Instituto de Investigaciones en Ciencias de la Salud, Asuncion, Paraguay
| | - Mariam Sylla
- Department of Pediatrics, Gabriel Touré University Hospital Center, Bamako, Mali
| | - Philippe Vanhems
- Unité d'Hygiène, Epidémiologie, Infectiovigilance et Prévention, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France
| | - Jianwei Wang
- MOH Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens and Dr Christophe Mérieux Laboratory, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union, Beijing, China
| | - Rai Asghar
- Department of Paediatrics, Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Salem Banajeh
- Department of Pediatrics, Sana'a University, Sana'a, Yemen
| | - Imran Iqbal
- Department of Pediatrics, Nishtar Medical College, Multan, Pakistan
| | - Irene Maulen-Radovan
- Division de Investigacion Insurgentes, Instituto Nactional de Pediatria, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Greta Mino-Leon
- Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital Dr Francisco de Ycaza Bustamante, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | - Samir K Saha
- Child Health Research Foundation, Dhaka Shishu Hosp, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mathuram Santosham
- International Vaccine Access Center (IVAC), Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Sunit Singhi
- Department of Pediatrics, Medanta, The Medicity, Gurgaon, India
| | - Sudha Basnet
- Department of Pediatrics, Tribhuvan University Institute of Medicine, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Tor A Strand
- Department of Research, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - Shinjini Bhatnagar
- Department of Maternal and Child Health, Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India
| | - Nitya Wadhwa
- Department of Maternal and Child Health, Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India
| | - Rakesh Lodha
- Department of Pediatrics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Satinder Aneja
- Department of Pediatrics, Sharda University School of Medical Sciences and Research, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Alexey W Clara
- Central American Region, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Harry Campbell
- Population Health Sciences and Informati, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Jennifer Falconer
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Shamim A Qazi
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child, and Adolescent Health (Retired), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Yasir B Nisar
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Mark I Neuman
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Rees CA, Hooli S, King C, McCollum ED, Colbourn T, Lufesi N, Mwansambo C, Lazzerini M, Madhi SA, Cutland C, Nunes M, Gessner BD, Basnet S, Kartasasmita CB, Mathew JL, Zaman SMAU, Paranhos-Baccala G, Bhatnagar S, Wadhwa N, Lodha R, Aneja S, Santosham M, Picot VS, Sylla M, Awasthi S, Bavdekar A, Pape JW, Rouzier V, Chou M, Rakoto-Andrianarivelo M, Wang J, Nymadawa P, Vanhems P, Russomando G, Asghar R, Banajeh S, Iqbal I, MacLeod W, Maulen-Radovan I, Mino G, Saha S, Singhi S, Thea DM, Clara AW, Campbell H, Nair H, Falconer J, Williams LJ, Horne M, Strand T, Qazi SA, Nisar YB, Neuman MI. External validation of the RISC, RISC-Malawi, and PERCH clinical prediction rules to identify risk of death in children hospitalized with pneumonia. J Glob Health 2021; 11:04062. [PMID: 34737862 PMCID: PMC8542381 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.04062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Existing scores to identify children at risk of hospitalized pneumonia-related mortality lack broad external validation. Our objective was to externally validate three such risk scores. METHODS We applied the Respiratory Index of Severity in Children (RISC) for HIV-negative children, the RISC-Malawi, and the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health (PERCH) scores to hospitalized children in the Pneumonia REsearch Partnerships to Assess WHO REcommendations (PREPARE) data set. The PREPARE data set includes pooled data from 41 studies on pediatric pneumonia from across the world. We calculated test characteristics and the area under the curve (AUC) for each of these clinical prediction rules. RESULTS The RISC score for HIV-negative children was applied to 3574 children 0-24 months and demonstrated poor discriminatory ability (AUC = 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.58-0.73) in the identification of children at risk of hospitalized pneumonia-related mortality. The RISC-Malawi score had fair discriminatory value (AUC = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.74-0.77) among 17 864 children 2-59 months. The PERCH score was applied to 732 children 1-59 months and also demonstrated poor discriminatory value (AUC = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.37-0.73). CONCLUSIONS In a large external application of the RISC, RISC-Malawi, and PERCH scores, a substantial number of children were misclassified for their risk of hospitalized pneumonia-related mortality. Although pneumonia risk scores have performed well among the cohorts in which they were derived, their performance diminished when externally applied. A generalizable risk assessment tool with higher sensitivity and specificity to identify children at risk of hospitalized pneumonia-related mortality may be needed. Such a generalizable risk assessment tool would need context-specific validation prior to implementation in that setting.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chris A Rees
- Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Shubhada Hooli
- Section of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Carina King
- Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden and Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Eric D McCollum
- Global Program in Respiratory Sciences, Eudowood Division of Pediatric Respiratory Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA and Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, USA
| | - Tim Colbourn
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | | | - Marzia Lazzerini
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Maternal and Child Health, Institute for Maternal and Child Health IRCCS Burlo Garofolo, Trieste, Italy
| | - Shabir Ahmed Madhi
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Clare Cutland
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Marta Nunes
- South African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Sudha Basnet
- Center for Intervention Science in Maternal and Child Health, University of Bergen, Norway
| | - Cissy B Kartasasmita
- Department of Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, Indonesia
| | - Joseph L Mathew
- Pediatric Pulmonology, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | | | | | | | - Nitya Wadhwa
- Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India
| | - Rakesh Lodha
- All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Satinder Aneja
- School of Medical Sciences & Research, Sharda University, Greater Noida, India
| | - Mathuram Santosham
- Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Mariam Sylla
- Gabriel Touré Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Bamako, Mali
| | - Shally Awasthi
- King George's Medical University, UP, Department of Pediatrics, Lucknow, India
| | | | | | | | - Monidarin Chou
- University of Health Sciences Faculty of Medicine, Rodolph Mérieux Laboratory, Phom Phen, Cambodia
| | | | - Jianwei Wang
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union, Medical College Institute of Pathogen Biology, MOH Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens and Dr Christophe Mérieux Laboratory, Beijing, China
| | - Pagbajabyn Nymadawa
- Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Academy of Medical Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Philippe Vanhems
- Hospices Civils de Lyon, Infection Control Unit; CIRI, Centre International de Recherche en Infectiologie, (Team PHE3ID), Université Claude Bernard Lyon, Lyon, France
| | - Graciela Russomando
- Universidad Nacional de Asuncion, Instituto de Investigaciones en Ciencias de la Salud, San Lorenzo, Paraguay
| | - Rai Asghar
- Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | | | | | - William MacLeod
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Irene Maulen-Radovan
- Instituto Nactional de Pediatria Division de Investigacion Insurgentes, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Greta Mino
- Children's Hospital Dr Francisco de Ycaza Bustamante, Head of Department, Infectious diseases, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | - Samir Saha
- Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | | | - Donald M Thea
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Alexey W Clara
- US Centers for Disease Control, Central American Region, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Harry Campbell
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Jennifer Falconer
- Institute for Global Health and Development, Queen Margaret University, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Linda J Williams
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Margaret Horne
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Tor Strand
- Research Department, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - Shamim A Qazi
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health (Retired), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Yasir B Nisar
- Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Mark I Neuman
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Caini S, Spreeuwenberg P, Kusznierz GF, Rudi JM, Owen R, Pennington K, Wangchuk S, Gyeltshen S, Ferreira de Almeida WA, Pessanha Henriques CM, Njouom R, Vernet MA, Fasce RA, Andrade W, Yu H, Feng L, Yang J, Peng Z, Lara J, Bruno A, de Mora D, de Lozano C, Zambon M, Pebody R, Castillo L, Clara AW, Matute ML, Kosasih H, Nurhayati, Puzelli S, Rizzo C, Kadjo HA, Daouda C, Kiyanbekova L, Ospanova A, Mott JA, Emukule GO, Heraud JM, Razanajatovo NH, Barakat A, El Falaki F, Huang SQ, Lopez L, Balmaseda A, Moreno B, Rodrigues AP, Guiomar R, Ang LW, Lee VJM, Venter M, Cohen C, Badur S, Ciblak MA, Mironenko A, Holubka O, Bresee J, Brammer L, Hoang PVM, Le MTQ, Fleming D, Séblain CEG, Schellevis F, Paget J. Distribution of influenza virus types by age using case-based global surveillance data from twenty-nine countries, 1999-2014. BMC Infect Dis 2018; 18:269. [PMID: 29884140 PMCID: PMC5994061 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-018-3181-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 54] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2017] [Accepted: 05/30/2018] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Influenza disease burden varies by age and this has important public health implications. We compared the proportional distribution of different influenza virus types within age strata using surveillance data from twenty-nine countries during 1999-2014 (N=358,796 influenza cases). Methods For each virus, we calculated a Relative Illness Ratio (defined as the ratio of the percentage of cases in an age group to the percentage of the country population in the same age group) for young children (0-4 years), older children (5-17 years), young adults (18-39 years), older adults (40-64 years), and the elderly (65+ years). We used random-effects meta-analysis models to obtain summary relative illness ratios (sRIRs), and conducted meta-regression and sub-group analyses to explore causes of between-estimates heterogeneity. Results The influenza virus with highest sRIR was A(H1N1) for young children, B for older children, A(H1N1)pdm2009 for adults, and (A(H3N2) for the elderly. As expected, considering the diverse nature of the national surveillance datasets included in our analysis, between-estimates heterogeneity was high (I2>90%) for most sRIRs. The variations of countries’ geographic, demographic and economic characteristics and the proportion of outpatients among reported influenza cases explained only part of the heterogeneity, suggesting that multiple factors were at play. Conclusions These results highlight the importance of presenting burden of disease estimates by age group and virus (sub)type. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3181-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Saverio Caini
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Otterstraat 118-124, 3513, CR, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
| | - Peter Spreeuwenberg
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Otterstraat 118-124, 3513, CR, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Gabriela F Kusznierz
- Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Respiratorias "Dr. Emilio Coni", Santa Fe, Argentina
| | - Juan Manuel Rudi
- Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Respiratorias "Dr. Emilio Coni", Santa Fe, Argentina
| | - Rhonda Owen
- Vaccine Preventable Diseases Surveillance Section, Health Policy Protection branch, Office for Health Protection, Department of Health, Woden, Canberra, Australia
| | - Kate Pennington
- Vaccine Preventable Diseases Surveillance Section, Health Policy Protection branch, Office for Health Protection, Department of Health, Woden, Canberra, Australia
| | - Sonam Wangchuk
- Public Health Laboratory, Department of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Thimphu, Bhutan
| | - Sonam Gyeltshen
- Public Health Laboratory, Department of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Thimphu, Bhutan
| | | | | | - Richard Njouom
- Virology Department, Centre Pasteur of Cameroon, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | | | - Rodrigo A Fasce
- Sección Virus Respiratorios, Instituto de Salud Pública de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Winston Andrade
- Sección Virus Respiratorios, Instituto de Salud Pública de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Hongjie Yu
- Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Luzhao Feng
- Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Juan Yang
- Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Zhibin Peng
- Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jenny Lara
- National Influenza Center, Ministry of Health, San José, Costa Rica
| | - Alfredo Bruno
- Instituto Nacional de Investigacion en Salud Publica (INSPI), Centro de Referencia Nacional de Influenza y otros Virus Respiratorios, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | - Doménica de Mora
- Instituto Nacional de Investigacion en Salud Publica (INSPI), Centro de Referencia Nacional de Influenza y otros Virus Respiratorios, Guayaquil, Ecuador
| | - Celina de Lozano
- National Influenza Center, Ministry of Health, San Salvador, El Salvador
| | - Maria Zambon
- Respiratory Virus Unit, Public Health England, London, Colindale, UK
| | - Richard Pebody
- Respiratory Diseases Department, Public Health England, London, Colindale, UK
| | - Leticia Castillo
- National Influenza Center, Ministry of Health, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Alexey W Clara
- US Centers for Disease Control, Central American Region, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | | | | | - Nurhayati
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No.2, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - Simona Puzelli
- National Influenza Center, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Caterina Rizzo
- National Center for Epidemiology, Surveillance and Health Promotion, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Herve A Kadjo
- Department of Epidemic Virus, Institut Pasteur, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Coulibaly Daouda
- Service of Epidemiological Diseases Surveillance, National Institute of Public Hygiene, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Lyazzat Kiyanbekova
- National Center of Expertise, Committee of Consumer Right Protection, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Akerke Ospanova
- Zonal Virology Laboratory, National Center of Expertise, Committee of Consumer Right Protection, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Joshua A Mott
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - Kenya Country Office, Nairobi, Kenya.,US Public Health Service, Rockville, Maryland, USA
| | - Gideon O Emukule
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - Kenya Country Office, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Jean-Michel Heraud
- National Influenza Center, Virology Unit, Institut Pasteur of Madagascar, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | | | - Amal Barakat
- National Influenza Center, Institut National d'Hygiène, Ministry of Health, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Fatima El Falaki
- National Influenza Center, Institut National d'Hygiène, Ministry of Health, Rabat, Morocco
| | - Sue Q Huang
- Institute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Liza Lopez
- Institute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Angel Balmaseda
- National Influenza Center, Ministry of Health, Managua, Nicaragua
| | - Brechla Moreno
- National Influenza Center, IC Gorgas, Panama City, Panama
| | - Ana Paula Rodrigues
- Department of epidemiology, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Raquel Guiomar
- National Influenza Reference Laboratory, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Li Wei Ang
- Epidemiology and Disease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Singapore, Singapore
| | | | - Marietjie Venter
- Global Disease Detection, US-CDC, Pretoria, South Africa.,Zoonoses Research Center, Department of Medical Virology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis (CRDM), National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa.,School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Science, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | | | - Alla Mironenko
- L.V.Gromashevsky Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases National Academy of Medical Science of Ukraine, Reiv, Ukraine
| | - Olha Holubka
- L.V.Gromashevsky Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases National Academy of Medical Science of Ukraine, Reiv, Ukraine
| | - Joseph Bresee
- Epidemiology and Prevention Branch, Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Lynnette Brammer
- Epidemiology and Prevention Branch, Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | - François Schellevis
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Otterstraat 118-124, 3513, CR, Utrecht, The Netherlands.,Department of General Practice & Elderly Care Medicine, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - John Paget
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Otterstraat 118-124, 3513, CR, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | | |
Collapse
|
7
|
Caini S, Huang QS, Ciblak MA, Kusznierz G, Owen R, Wangchuk S, Henriques CMP, Njouom R, Fasce RA, Yu H, Feng L, Zambon M, Clara AW, Kosasih H, Puzelli S, Kadjo HA, Emukule G, Heraud JM, Ang LW, Venter M, Mironenko A, Brammer L, Mai LTQ, Schellevis F, Plotkin S, Paget J. Epidemiological and virological characteristics of influenza B: results of the Global Influenza B Study. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2016; 9 Suppl 1:3-12. [PMID: 26256290 PMCID: PMC4549097 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12319] [Citation(s) in RCA: 135] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Literature on influenza focuses on influenza A, despite influenza B having a large public health impact. The Global Influenza B Study aims to collect information on global epidemiology and burden of disease of influenza B since 2000. METHODS Twenty-six countries in the Southern (n = 5) and Northern (n = 7) hemispheres and intertropical belt (n = 14) provided virological and epidemiological data. We calculated the proportion of influenza cases due to type B and Victoria and Yamagata lineages in each country and season; tested the correlation between proportion of influenza B and maximum weekly influenza-like illness (ILI) rate during the same season; determined the frequency of vaccine mismatches; and described the age distribution of cases by virus type. RESULTS The database included 935 673 influenza cases (2000-2013). Overall median proportion of influenza B was 22·6%, with no statistically significant differences across seasons. During seasons where influenza B was dominant or co-circulated (>20% of total detections), Victoria and Yamagata lineages predominated during 64% and 36% of seasons, respectively, and a vaccine mismatch was observed in ≈25% of seasons. Proportion of influenza B was inversely correlated with maximum ILI rate in the same season in the Northern and (with borderline significance) Southern hemispheres. Patients infected with influenza B were usually younger (5-17 years) than patients infected with influenza A. CONCLUSION Influenza B is a common disease with some epidemiological differences from influenza A. This should be considered when optimizing control/prevention strategies in different regions and reducing the global burden of disease due to influenza.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Saverio Caini
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Q Sue Huang
- Institute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand
| | | | - Gabriela Kusznierz
- Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Respiratorias Dr. Emilio Coni, Santa Fe, Argentina
| | - Rhonda Owen
- Department of Health and Ageing, Influenza Surveillance Section, Surveillance Branch, Office of Health Protection, Woden, ACT, Australia
| | - Sonam Wangchuk
- Public Health Laboratory, Department of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Thimphu, Bhutan
| | | | - Richard Njouom
- Service de Virologie, Centre Pasteur du Cameroun, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Rodrigo A Fasce
- Sección de Virus Respiratorios y Exantemáticos, Instituto de Salud Pública de Chile, Santiago de Chile, Chile
| | - Hongjie Yu
- Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Luzhao Feng
- Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Maria Zambon
- Respiratory Virus Unit, Public Health England, Colindale, UK
| | - Alexey W Clara
- US Centers for Disease Control, Central American Region, Guatemala City, Guatemala
| | - Herman Kosasih
- US Naval Medical Research Unit No. 2, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | - Simona Puzelli
- National Influenza Center, Istituto Superiore Sanità, Rome, Italy
| | - Herve A Kadjo
- Respiratory Viruses Unit, Pasteur Institute of Côte d'Ivoire, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Gideon Emukule
- US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Jean-Michel Heraud
- National Influenza Center, Virology Unit, Institut Pasteur of Madagascar, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | - Li Wei Ang
- Epidemiology and Disease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Marietjie Venter
- Global Disease Detection, US-CDC, Pretoria, South Africa.,Zoonoses Research Unit, Department of Medical Virology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Alla Mironenko
- L.V.Gromashevsky Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases National Academy of Medical Science of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine
| | - Lynnette Brammer
- Epidemiology and Prevention Branch, Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | - François Schellevis
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | | | - John Paget
- Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | | |
Collapse
|
8
|
Caini S, Andrade W, Badur S, Balmaseda A, Barakat A, Bella A, Bimohuen A, Brammer L, Bresee J, Bruno A, Castillo L, Ciblak MA, Clara AW, Cohen C, Daouda C, de Lozano C, De Mora D, Dorji K, Emukule GO, Fasce RA, Feng L, Ferreira de Almeida WA, Guiomar R, Heraud JM, Holubka O, Huang QS, Kadjo HA, Kiyanbekova L, Kosasih H, Kusznierz G, Lee V, Lara J, Li M, Lopez L, Mai HP, Pessanha HC, Matute ML, Mironenko A, Moreno B, Mott JA, Njouom R, Ospanova A, Owen R, Pebody R, Pennington K, Puzelli S, Quynh Le MT, Razanajatovo NH, Rodrigues A, Rudi JM, Venter M, Vernet MA, Wei AL, Wangchuk S, Yang J, Yu H, Zambon M, Schellevis F, Paget J. Correction: Temporal Patterns of Influenza A and B in Tropical and Temperate Countries: What Are the Lessons for Influenza Vaccination? PLoS One 2016; 11:e0155089. [PMID: 27135748 PMCID: PMC4852893 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0155089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0152310.].
Collapse
|