Role of procalcitonin and granulocyte colony stimulating factor in the early prediction of infected necrosis in severe acute pancreatitis

Procalcitonin in inflammatory bowel disease: A diagnostic or prognostic marker

Serological biomarkers have been rapidly progressing as non-invasive tests for the early detection of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Procalcitonin (PCT) is a novel acute-phase reactant protein that is elevated in the inflammatory process, especially in bacterial infections. This study aimed to review the diagnostic value of PCT in IBD activity. However, there were controversies about the role of PCT in the detecting of IBD disease activity. Studies showed varied diagnostic cut-points (ranging from 0.13 to 1.0 ng/dl) and sensitivity up to 93 %. Although the clear role of PCT as a valuable diagnostic marker was not identified in determining disease activity, PCT measurement in addition to other inflammatory markers can improve the diagnostic value of these markers. Moreover, further studies are required to confirm PCT's value in distinguishing IBD disease activity.

Analysis of Risk Factors for Severe Acute Pancreatitis in the Early Period (<24 h) After Admission

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has high mortality. Early identification of high-risk factors that may progress to SAP and active intervention measures may improve the prognosis of SAP patients.

OBJECTIVE

Clinical data within 24 h after admission were retrospectively analyzed to provide an evidence for early screening of high-risk factors in patients with SAP.

METHODS

A review of clinical data of acute pancreatitis patients from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2022, was conducted. We compared the clinical data of SAP and non-SAP patients, and a multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify the independent predictors of SAP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of SAP was drawn for continuous numerical variables to calculate the optimal clinical cutoff value of each variable, and the predictive value of each variable was compared by the area under the ROC curve.

RESULTS

Based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis of Age (odds ratio (OR), 1.032;95% confident interval (CI),1.018-1.046, p < 0.001), body mass index (BMI) (OR, 1.181; 95% CI,1.083-1.288, p < 0.001), Non-HTGAP (nonhypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis) (OR, 2.098; 95% CI,1.276-3.45, p = 0.003), white blood cell count (WBC) (OR,1.072; 95% CI,1.034-1.111, p < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR, 1.060; 95% CI, 1.027-1.095, p < 0.001), serum calcium (Ca) (OR,0.121; 95% CI, 0.050-0.292, p < 0.001), computed tomography severity index (CTSI) ≥4 (OR,12.942;95% CI,7.267-23.049, p < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for SAP. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) and optimal CUT-OFF values of continuous numerical variables for predicting SAP were Age (0.6079,51.5), BMI (0.6,23.25), WBC (0.6701,14.565), PCT (0.7086, 0.5175), Ca (0.7787,1.965), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Age, BMI, non-HTGAP, WBC, PCT, serum Ca and CTSI≥4 have good predictive value for SAP.

The Ongoing Debate on the Use of Prophylactic Antibiotics in Acute Pancreatitis-Is There a Conclusion? A Comprehensive Narrative Review

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common but often self-limiting disease in the majority of patients. However, in the minority, who may progress to moderately severe or severe AP, high mortality risk has been reported. Infected pancreatitis necrosis (IPN) in necrotising pancreatitis has been shown to result in more than twice the mortality rate compared with in sterile pancreatic necrosis. This raises the question on whether prophylactic antibiotics (PABs) should be given in subgroups of AP to prevent superimposed infection to improve survival outcomes. Despite numerous randomised controlled trials (RCTs), meta-analyses, and guidelines on the management of AP, there is a lack of strong evidence to suggest the use of PABs in AP. Additionally, use of PABs is associated with antimicrobial resistance. Considerable heterogeneity exists and limits the interpretation of results-subgroup of AP benefitting from PAB use, choice/class of PAB, and timing of administration from symptom onset and duration of PAB use. Only a minority of existing meta-analyses suggest mortality benefits and reduction in IPN. The majority of existing guidelines do not recommend the use of PABs in AP. More research is required to make more definitive conclusions. Currently, PAB should only be administered after multidisciplinary discussions led by pancreatology experts.

A comparison of scoring systems and biomarkers to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis in patients referring to the emergency clinic

To investigate scoring systems and biomarkers for determining the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). Between January and July 2023, 100 patients with AP diagnosed and treated in the emergency department were included. AP was divided into 2 groups according to severity: mild AP and moderately severe AP (MSAP-SAP), according to the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012. Demographic characteristics, severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, white blood cell count (WBC), hematocrit, red cell distribution width from whole blood taken at admission and 48 hours later, C-reactive protein (CRP) and biochemistry values, Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS), and harmless AP score scores were recorded retrospectively. Our variables, which were found to be significant in multiple logistic regression results, were found to increase MSAP-SAP expectation by 4.36-, 7.85-, 6.63 and 5.80 times in the presence of CRP > 47.10, WBC > 13.10, PASS > 0, and necrotizing computed tomography findings, respectively. It was detected that the risk factor which was found significant as a single variable affecting the ICU admission increased the risk of ICU requirement by 28.88 when PASS > 0, by 3.96 when BISAP > 1, and it increased the Atlanta score by 9.93-fold. We found that WBC and CRP values at the time of hospital admission and WBC, CRP, and red cell distribution width values after 48 had the highest accuracy in determining AP disease severity. BISAP, which was found to be significant in determining MSAP-SAP expectations, lost its significance in multiple logistic regression results, and PASS was found to be effective. The PASS is an important score in the clinical evaluation of patients with AP and in determining the need for ICU hospitalization.

Persistently High Procalcitonin and C-Reactive Protein Are Good Predictors of Infection in Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Infected necrotizing pancreatitis (INP) is associated with an increased risk of organ failure and mortality. Its early recognition and timely initiation of antibiotic therapy can save patients' lives. We systematically searched three databases on 27 October 2022. In the eligible studies, the presence of infection in necrotizing pancreatitis was confirmed via a reference test, which involved either the identification of gas within the necrotic collection through computed tomography imaging or the examination of collected samples, which yielded positive results in Gram staining or culture. Laboratory biomarkers compared between sterile necrotizing pancreatitis and INP were used as the index test, and our outcome measures included sensitivity, specificity, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC curve (AUC). Within the first 72 hours (h) after admission, the AUC of C-reactive protein (CRP) was 0.69 (confidence interval (CI): 0.62-0.76), for procalcitonin (PCT), it was 0.69 (CI: 0.60-0.78), and for white blood cell count, it was 0.61 (CI: 0.47-0.75). After the first 72 h, the pooled AUC of CRP showed an elevated level of 0.88 (CI: 0.75-1.00), and for PCT, it was 0.86 (CI: 0.60-1.11). The predictive value of CRP and PCT for infection is poor within 72 h after hospital admission but seems good after the first 72 h. Based on these results, infection is likely in case of persistently high CRP and PCT, and antibiotic initiation may be recommended.

Moderate level platelet count might be a good prognostic indicator for intra-abdominal infection in acute pancreatitis: A retrospective cohort study of 1,363 patients

Background

Early recognition of the risk factors is important for acute pancreatitis management. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between platelet count and clinical outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Methods

The data are collected from a university-affiliated hospital between January 2013 and December 2020. A generalized additive model and a two-piecewise linear regression model are used to estimate the association between platelet count and the risks of intra-abdominal infection, surgical intervention, in-hospital mortality, and length of hospital stay.

Results

Among the 1,363 patients, 99 (7.3%) patients suffered intra-abdominal infection, 190 (13.9%) patients underwent surgical intervention, and 38 (2.8%) patients died in the hospital. The median length of hospital stay is 21 days. Generalized additive model and two-piecewise linear regression analysis show that the risk of intra-abdominal infection decreases as the platelet count increases to 160 × 10⁹/L (OR: 0.991, 95% CI: 0.984-0.998, p = 0.015) and then increases as the platelet count levels up (OR: 1.007, 95% CI: 1.004-1.010, p < 0.001). The trend is similar to the risk of surgical intervention and length of hospital stay. Even though there seems a declining trend in mortality, no significant association is found after adjustment for potential confounders. Further analysis shows that changes in platelet count within the first 3 days after admission have no obvious association with clinical outcomes.

Conclusion

A platelet count of approximately 160 × 10⁹/L on admission is associated with the lowest risk of intra-abdominal infection, surgical intervention, and shortest hospital stay in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Dynamics of Serum Procalcitonin Can Predict Outcome in Patients of Infected Pancreatic Necrosis: A Prospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Timely intervention can alter outcome in patients of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) but lacks adequate biomarker. Role of serum procalcitonin (PCT) in the management of IPN is understudied, and hence, this study was planned.

METHODOLOGY

All patients of acute pancreatitis with IPN without prior intervention were included. Baseline demographic, radiological and laboratory parameters were documented. PCT was measured at baseline, prior to intervention, and thereafter every 72 h. Patients were grouped into those having baseline PCT < 1.0 ng/mL and those with PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL and various outcome measures were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 242 patients screened, 103 cases (66 males; 64.1%) with IPN were grouped into 2: PCT < 1.0 ng/mL (n = 29) and PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL (n = 74). Patients with baseline PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL had significantly more severe disease scores. 16 out of 19 patients with rise in PCT on day-7 post-intervention expired. PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL group had higher need for ICU (p = 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.044). PCT > 2.25 ng/mL (aOR 22.56; p = 0.013) at baseline and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of baseline at day-7 post-intervention (aOR 53.76; p = 0.001) were significant mortality predictors.

CONCLUSION

Baseline PCT > 1.0 ng/mL is associated with poor outcome. PCT > 2.25 ng/mL and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of its baseline at day-7 post-intervention can identify high-mortality risk patients.

Endoplasmic reticulum stress promoted acinar cell necroptosis in acute pancreatitis through cathepsinB-mediated AP-1 activation

Acinar cell death and inflammatory response are two important events which determine the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). Endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress and necroptosis are involved in this process, but the relationships between them remain unknown. Here, we analyzed the interaction between ER stress and necroptosis and the underlying mechanisms during AP. Experimental pancreatitis was induced in Balb/C mice by caerulein (Cae) and lipopolysaccharide (LPS) or L-arginine (L-Arg) in vivo, and pancreatic acinar cells were also used to follow cellular mechanisms during cholecystokinin (CCK) stimulation in vitro. AP severity was assessed by serum amylase, lipase levels and histological examination. Changes in ER stress, trypsinogen activation and necroptosis levels were analyzed by western blotting, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), adenosine triphosphate (ATP) analysis or lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) assay. The protein kinase C (PKC)α -mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) -cJun pathway and cathepsin B (CTSB) activation were evaluated by western blotting. Activating protein 1 (AP-1) binding activity was detected by electrophoretic mobility shift assay (EMSA). We found that ER stress is initiated before necroptosis in CCK-stimulated acinar cells in vitro. Inhibition of ER stress by 4-phenylbutyrate (4-PBA) can significantly alleviate AP severity both in two AP models in vivo. 4-PBA markedly inhibited ER stress and necroptosis of pancreatic acinar cells both in vitro and in vivo. Mechanistically, we found that 4-PBA significantly reduced CTSB maturation and PKCα-JNK-cJun pathway -mediated AP-1 activation during AP. Besides, CTSB inhibitor CA074Me markedly blocked PKCα-JNK-cJun pathway -mediated AP-1 activation and necroptosis in AP. However, pharmacologic inhibition of trypsin activity with benzamidine hydrochloride had no effect on PKCα-JNK-cJun pathway and necroptosis in CCK-stimulated pancreatic acinar cells. Furthermore, SR11302, the inhibitor of AP-1, significantly lowered tumor necrosis factor (TNF) α levels, and its subsequent receptor interacting protein kinases (RIP)3 and phosphorylated mixed lineagekinase domain-like (pMLKL) levels, ATP depletion and LDH release rate in CCK-stimulated pancreatic acinar cells. To sum up, all the results indicated that during AP, ER stress promoted pancreatic acinar cell necroptosis through CTSB maturation, thus induced AP-1 activation and TNFα secretion via PKCα-JNK-cJun pathway, not related with trypsin activity. These findings provided potential therapeutic target and treatment strategies for AP or other cell death-related diseases.

Oxid Comparative Analysis of the Significance of Bisap and Mews Score for an Early Assessment of Illness Severity and Treatment Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis

The aim of this study was to determine the significance of the use of the BISAP score, which is specific for patients with AP, in relation to the application of the MEWS score that is important for assessing the condition of critically ill patients in intensive care units, but is not specific for patients with AP. The research was conducted as a cohort prospective study and included patients of both sexes, older than 18 and diagnosed with AP. BISAP and MEWS score were monitored at least at four time points: on admission to the hospital (zero), 48 hours, 72 hours and 7 days after admission to the hospital.

High levels of discrimination between patients with fatal outcome and cured patients are determined in both cases, with discrimination at MEWS being somewhat higher than BISAP score. The BISAP0 had the best discrimination for BISAP score, AUROC (0.807) and also MEWS0 for MEWS score, AUROC (0.899). In our research, the highest sensitivity was shown by BISAP7d (92.1%) and MEWS48 (88.1%), and a high specificity of 87.5% had BISAP score, 48h, 72h and MEWS score at all four points of measurement.

BISAP score has a better prognostic value in relation to the form of pancreatitis, the development of complications and the outcome. However, the calculation of the MEWS score is based on monitoring the basic vital parameters so that its application is much simpler and does not require additional costs.

Pancreatic necrosis volume - A new imaging biomarker of acute pancreatitis severity

OBJECTIVE

Determine if the pancreatic necrosis volume (PNV) in computed tomography scan (CT) is a useful marker to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) comparing its predictive value with current clinical scoring systems.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted in a tertiary hospital, including patients hospitalized with AP during the period of 24 months. Demographic, clinical data, length of hospital stay and analytical parameters were collected from the hospital clinical information digital systems. Other information on the severity of the disease was also reviewed, including BISAP score, organ failure (OF) or admission to the ICU, as well as, complications during hospitalization as infected necrotic collections, surgical procedure or death. The quantification of the necrosis volume, CT severity index and Balthazar score were assessed in the CT studies. ROC curves were carried to compare the correlation between different scoring systems and the acute complications.

RESULTS

This study included 163 patients with AP. The calculated average value of PNV in the CT studies was 242 cc (0-1575 cc). PNV showed lineal correlation with hospital stay (Pearson 0.696) and statistically significant association with acute complications as OF, multiple organ failure, infection, need of treatment or hospitalization at ICU (P < 0.05). The optimal cut-off value for predicting complications of necrosis as infections or need of surgery treatments was 75 cc. Sensibility and specificity were 100 % and 78 %, respectively. ROC curves showed that PNV was the best radiological finding correlated with AP complications.

CONCLUSION

Necrosis volume is a radiological biomarker highly correlated with AP complications.

Predictive Value of the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio for the Diagnosis of Pneumonia in Normothermic Dyspneic Patients with Chronic Heart Failure in the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND

Differentiating pneumonia from chronic heart failure (HF) in normothermic subjects in the emergency department (ED) is significantly difficult.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in establishing the diagnosis of pneumonia in normothermic subjects with chronic HF in the ED.

METHODS

This study included 523 adult dyspneic patients with chronic HF presenting in the ED. We categorized the selected patients into the nonpneumonia group (NPG) and the pneumonia group (PG), and the patients' serum white blood cell (WBC), neutrophil, and lymphocyte counts, NLR, and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were measured upon arrival in the ED. Subsequently, we compared their predictive powers after performing a propensity score-matching (PSM) analysis.

RESULTS

The PG included 120 (22.9%) patients. After performing PSM, the mean NLR was significantly higher in the PG than in the NPG group (p < 0.001). According to the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) analysis of inflammatory markers, the AUC of the NLR was significantly higher than that of WBCs, neutrophils, lymphocytes, and CRP.

CONCLUSION

The predictive value of the NLR was significantly higher than that of WBCs, neutrophils, lymphocytes, and CRP. Therefore, NLR may be a useful adjunctive marker to establish the early diagnosis of pneumonia in normothermic patients with chronic HF in the ED.

Elevated arterial lactate level as an independent risk factor for pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis

PURPOSE

The present study aimed to research the relationships between arterial lactate levels and pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed data from 503 patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis from January 1, 2013, to March 31, 2018. The baseline characteristics on admission were compared between patients with and without elevated arterial lactate levels. The parameters and laboratory data were compared between patients with and without pancreatic infections at admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the value of elevated arterial lactate levels for identifying high-risk patients. P ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 49 (9.2%) patients were diagnosed with pancreatic infections. Compared with patients without pancreatic infections, pancreatic infection patients had significantly increased arterial lactate levels at admission (1.5 ± 0.7 vs. 2.5 ± 0.9; P < 0.01). Multivariate logic analysis still showed that higher arterial lactate levels in moderately severe acute pancreatitis was an independent risk factor for developing pancreatic infections (hazard ratio: 6.31, 95% CI 3.01-13.24; P < 0.01). Arterial lactate level ≥2.1 mmol/L and procalcitonin level ≥0.5 ng/mL at admission had area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.83 and 0.72, with sensitivity of 67.2% and 87%, and specificity of 82.0% and 60%, respectively, for the prediction of pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that a higher arterial lactate level is independently associated with pancreatic infection in patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis and may be used as a tool to identify high-risk patients.

Delta neutrophil index as an early predictive marker of severe acute pancreatitis in the emergency department

Background

Predicting severe acute pancreatitis (AP) in the early clinical stage is important for low morbidity and mortality. Delta neutrophil index (DNI) is used to detect infection and inflammation, but no previous studies have evaluated the usefulness of DNI as an early predictor of progression to severe AP (SAP).

Methods

The medical records of patients who were diagnosed with AP at the emergency department (ED) of Wonju Severance Christian Hospital from January 2012 to August 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. The initial DNI obtained in the ED was compared with other inflammatory markers to predict SAP. Multivariate logistic regression was used for statistical analysis.

Results

Of the 209 cases included in the analysis, 13 were classified as SAP. Compared to the DNI of the mild to moderately SAP group, that in the SAP group was considerably higher. The DNI showed a positive correlation with the Atlanta classification and bedside index of severity in AP. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, DNI was an independent predictor of early SAP detection (odds ratio 1.122, 95% CI 1.045-1.205, p = 0.001). Among the biomarkers, DNI had the highest predictive value for SAP.

Conclusions

The DNI measured in the ED at presentation is a potentially useful adjunctive marker to predict SAP.

Intravenous omega-3 fatty acids are associated with better clinical outcome and less inflammation in patients with predicted severe acute pancreatitis: A randomised double blind controlled trial

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Omega-3 fatty acids (FA) can ameliorate the hyper-inflammatory response that occurs in conditions such as severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and this may improve clinical outcome. We tested the hypothesis that parenteral omega-3 FA from a lipid emulsion that includes fish oil could be beneficial in patients with predicted SAP by reducing C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration (primary outcome), and modulating the inflammatory response and improving clinical outcome (secondary outcomes).

METHODS

In a phase II randomized double-blind single-centre controlled trial, patients with predicted SAP were randomised to receive a daily infusion of fish oil containing lipid emulsion (Lipidem® 20%, BBraun) for 7 days (n = 23) or a daily infusion of a lipid emulsion without fish oil (Lipofundin® MCT 20%, BBraun) (n = 22).

RESULTS

On admission, both groups had comparable pancreatitis predicted severity and APACHE II scores. Administration of fish oil resulted in lower total blood leukocyte number (P = 0.04), CRP (P = 0.013), interleukin-8 (P = 0.05) and intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (P = 0.01) concentrations, multiple organ dysfunction score, sequential organ failure assessment score (P = 0.004), early warning score (P = 0.01), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (P = 0.03) compared to the control group. The fish oil group had fewer new organ failures (P = 0.07), lower critical care admission rate (P = 0.06), shorter critical care stay (P = 0.03) and shorter total hospital stay (P = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

It is concluded that intravenous administration of a fish oil containing lipid emulsion, a source of omega-3 FA, improves clinical outcomes in patients with predicted SAP, benefits that may be linked to reduced inflammation. CLINICALTRIALS.

GOV NUMBER

NCT01745861.

EU CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTER

EudraCT (2010-018660-16).

Inflammatory mediators in the diagnosis and treatment of acute pancreatitis: pentraxin-3, procalcitonin and myeloperoxidase

INTRODUCTION

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the third most common gastrointestinal disease at hospital admission. The etiology and pathogenesis of this disease are not completely clear. Our study was intended to determine the systemic levels of pentraxin-3 (PTX-3), myeloperoxidase (MPO), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) as prognostic parameters in early stages of AP. We also determined the effects of treatment on PTX-3, MPO, PCT and CRP levels in AP.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study group comprised 44 AP patients (22 male, 22 female; age: 49.3 ±16.9 years) referred to our outpatient clinic. Additionally, our investigation included a control group of 30 healthy volunteers (18 male, 12 female; age: 50.8 ±12.6 years).

RESULTS

Leukocytes, glucose, aspartate aminotransferase (AST (SGOT)), alanine aminotransferase (ALT (SGPT)), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), total and direct bilirubin levels were significantly higher in the AP group (p < 0.05, all). CRP, PTX-3, MPO and PCT were considerably higher in the AP group (p < 0.001, all), and after treatment, CRP, PTX-3, MPO and PCT levels were significantly lower (p < 0.001, all).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicated that the CRP, PTX-3, MPO and PCT levels increase in patients with AP and hence these indicators can be used as diagnostic factors to predict inflammation severity in AP. It was revealed that after treatment, there were significant reductions in biomarker levels. However, further research is needed in order to understand how these biomarkers can help to monitor inflammatory responses in AP.

Prediction of acute pancreatitis severity via the combined analysis of inflammatory biomarkers and coagulation parameters

Introduction. Timely assessment of severity of acute pancreatitis is needed to avoid severe systemic complications by making optimal therapeutic approach and correct prognosis of the disease. The aim of the study was to establish the role of several inflammatory biomarkers and coagulation parameters in prediction of AP severity, and also to propose a mathematical formula which allows their combined use for the same purpose. Material and Methods. The prospective study included 70 patients with AP. The patients were divided into groups: mild (group I), moderate (group II) and severe AP (group III). All patients were further classified into two groups: group A (mild AP) and group B (moderate and severe AP). Biochemical markers, inflammatory biomarkers and coagulation factors were tested in all patients. Results. Based on the results of Mann-Whitney,s test, it can be concluded that groups A and B are significant different from each other for CRP (p<0.05). Using the Wald’s stepwise forward method, a prediction model with CRP, PCT, D-dimer1, D-dimer3, fibrinogen1 and fibrinogen3 parameters as predictors of the severity of AP was obtained. The percentage of successful prediction of moderate or severe AP based on this model was 76.9%. The use of ROC analysis with the introduced linear combination from the logistic regression yielded equally good or even better results in the assessment of the severity of AP with the combined use of analyzed parameters. Conclusion. The combined analyses of biohumoral markers and coagulation parameters presented in the form a mathematical formula enabled a more accurate, rapid, rational and clinically available prediction of the severity of AP.

Usefulness of Measuring Serum Procalcitonin Levels in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The relationships between serum procalcitonin, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and intestinal Behçet's disease (BD) have not been completely determined. We aimed to evaluate the usefulness of measuring serum procalcitonin levels to assess disease activity and infection stage in patients with IBD and intestinal BD.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 129 patients with IBD and intestinal BD for whom serum procalcitonin and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were measured between January 2006 and February 2013.

RESULTS

The median serum procalcitonin levels in the IBD and intestinal BD with septic shock or sepsis (n=8), with localized infection (n=76), and without infection (n=45) were 3.46 ng/mL (range, 0.17 to 63.66 ng/mL), 0.22 ng/mL (range, 0.05 to 140.18 ng/mL), and 0.07 ng/mL (range, 0.00 to 31.50 ng/mL), respectively (p=0.001). The serum CRP levels in the IBD and intestinal BD patients did not differ according to the infection stage. Variations in serum procalcitonin levels were not observed in the IBD and intestinal BD patients with different disease activities.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum procalcitonin levels may not be affected by IBD and intestinal BD activity itself, although they may be affected by concomitant infection. Serum procalcitonin measurements could be more useful than CRP in determining the infection stage that reflects the severity of infection in IBD and intestinal BD patients.

Serum C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and lactate dehydrogenase for the diagnosis of pancreatic necrosis

BACKGROUND

The treatment of people with pancreatic necrosis differs from that of people with oedematous pancreatitis. It is important to know the diagnostic accuracy of serum C-reactive protein (CRP), serum procalcitonin, and serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) as a triage test for the detection of pancreatic necrosis in people with acute pancreatitis, so that an informed decision can be made as to whether the person with pancreatic necrosis needs further investigations such as computed tomography (CT) scan or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan and treatment for pancreatic necrosis started. There is currently no standard clinical practice, although CRP, particularly an increasing trend of CRP, is often used as a triage test to determine whether the person requires further imaging. There is also currently no systematic review of the diagnostic test accuracy of CRP, procalcitonin, and LDH for the diagnosis of pancreatic necrosis in people with acute pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the diagnostic accuracy of CRP, procalcitonin, or LDH (index test), either alone or in combination, in the diagnosis of necrotising pancreatitis in people with acute pancreatitis and without organ failure.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Science Citation Index Expanded, National Institute for Health Research (NIHR HTA and DARE), and other databases until March 2017. We searched the references of the included studies to identify additional studies. We did not restrict studies based on language or publication status, or whether data were collected prospectively or retrospectively. We also performed a 'related search' and 'citing reference' search in MEDLINE and Embase.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all studies that evaluated the diagnostic test accuracy of CRP, procalcitonin, and LDH for the diagnosis of pancreatic necrosis in people with acute pancreatitis using the following reference standards, either alone or in combination: radiological features of pancreatic necrosis (contrast-enhanced CT or MRI), surgeon's judgement of pancreatic necrosis during surgery, or histological confirmation of pancreatic necrosis. Had we found case-control studies, we planned to exclude them because they are prone to bias; however, we did not locate any. Two review authors independently identified the relevant studies from the retrieved references.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently extracted data, including methodological quality assessment, from the included studies. As the included studies reported CRP, procalcitonin, and LDH on different days of admission and measured at different cut-off levels, it was not possible to perform a meta-analysis using the bivariate model as planned. We have reported the sensitivity, specificity, post-test probability of a positive and negative index test along with 95% confidence interval (CI) on each of the different days of admission and measured at different cut-off levels.

MAIN RESULTS

A total of three studies including 242 participants met the inclusion criteria for this review. One study reported the diagnostic performance of CRP for two threshold levels (> 200 mg/L and > 279 mg/L) without stating the day on which the CRP was measured. One study reported the diagnostic performance of procalcitonin on day 1 (1 day after admission) using a threshold level of 0.5 ng/mL. One study reported the diagnostic performance of CRP on day 3 (3 days after admission) using a threshold level of 140 mg/L and LDH on day 5 (5 days after admission) using a threshold level of 290 U/L. The sensitivities and specificities varied: the point estimate of the sensitivities ranged from 0.72 to 0.88, while the point estimate of the specificities ranged from 0.75 to 1.00 for the different index tests on different days of hospital admission. However, the confidence intervals were wide: confidence intervals of sensitivities ranged from 0.51 to 0.97, while those of specificities ranged from 0.18 to 1.00 for the different tests on different days of hospital admission. Overall, none of the tests assessed in this review were sufficiently accurate to suggest that they could be useful in clinical practice.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The paucity of data and methodological deficiencies in the studies meant that it was not possible to arrive at any conclusions regarding the diagnostic test accuracy of the index test because of the uncertainty of the results. Further well-designed diagnostic test accuracy studies with prespecified index test thresholds of CRP, procalcitonin, LDH; appropriate follow-up (for at least two weeks to ensure that the person does not have pancreatic necrosis, as early scans may not indicate pancreatic necrosis); and clearly defined reference standards (of surgical or radiological confirmation of pancreatic necrosis) are important to reliably determine the diagnostic accuracy of CRP, procalcitonin, and LDH.

Clinical Value of Severity Markers in Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is a common digestive disease of which the severity may vary from mild, edematous to severe, necrotizing disease. An improved outcome in the severe form of the disease is based on early identification of disease severity and subsequent focused management of these high-risk patients. However, the ability of clinicians to predict, upon presentation, which patient will have mild or severe acute pancreatitis is not accurate. Prospective systems using clinical criteria have been used to determine severity in patients with acute pancreatitis, such as the Ranson's prognostic signs, Glasgow score, and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score (APACHE II). Their application in clinical practise has been limited by the time delay of at least 48 h to judge all parameters in the former two and by being cumbersome and time-consuming in the latter. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography is presently the most accurate non-invasive single method to evaluate the severity of acute pancreatitis. It cannot, however, be performed to all patients with acute pancreatitis. Therefore, considerable interest has grown in the development of reliable biochemical markers that reflect the severity of acute pancreatitis. In this article we critically appraise current and new severity markers of acute pancreatitis in their ability to distinguish between mild and severe disease and their clinical utility.

Role of Biomarkers in Diagnosis and Prognostic Evaluation of Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is a potentially life threatening disease. The spectrum of severity of the illness ranges from mild self-limiting disease to a highly fatal severe necrotizing pancreatitis. Despite intensive research and improved patient care, overall mortality still remains high, reaching up to 30–40% in cases with infected pancreatic necrosis. Although little is known about the exact pathogenesis, it has been widely accepted that premature activation of digestive enzymes within the pancreatic acinar cell is the trigger that leads to autodigestion of pancreatic tissue which is followed by infiltration and activation of leukocytes. Extensive research has been done over the past few decades regarding their role in diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of severe acute pancreatitis. Although many standalone biochemical markers have been studied for early assessment of severity, C-reactive protein still remains the most frequently used along with Interleukin-6. In this review we have discussed briefly the pathogenesis and the role of different biochemical markers in the diagnosis and severity evaluation in acute pancreatitis.

Comparison of scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis

AIM: To investigate the prognostic usefulness of several existing scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the prospectively collected clinical database from consecutive patients with AP in our institution between January 2011 and December 2012. Ranson, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II, and bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) scores, and computed tomography severity index (CTSI) of all patients were calculated. Serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were measured at admission (CRPi) and after 24 h (CRP₂₄). Severe AP was defined as persistent organ failure for more than 48 h. The predictive accuracy of each scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC).

RESULTS: Of 161 patients, 21 (13%) were classified as severe AP, and 3 (1.9%) died. Statistically significant cutoff values for prediction of severe AP were Ranson ≥ 3, BISAP ≥ 2, APACHE-II ≥ 8, CTSI ≥ 3, and CRP₂₄≥ 21.4. AUCs for Ranson, BISAP, APACHE-II, CTSI, and CRP₂₄ in predicting severe AP were 0.69 (95%CI: 0.62-0.76), 0.74 (95%CI: 0.66-0.80), 0.78 (95%CI: 0.70-0.84), 0.69 (95%CI: 0.61-0.76), and 0.68 (95%CI: 0.57-0.78), respectively. APACHE-II demonstrated the highest accuracy for prediction of severe AP, however, no statistically significant pairwise differences were observed between APACHE-II and the other scoring systems, including CRP₂₄.

CONCLUSION: Various scoring systems showed similar predictive accuracy for severity of AP. Unique models are needed in order to achieve further improvement of prognostic accuracy.

Procalcitonin Strip Test as an Independent Predictor in Acute Pancreatitis

Plasma procalcitonin (PCT) is a highly specific marker for the diagnosis of bacterial infection and sepsis. Studies have demonstrated its role in the setting of sepsis and acute pancreatitis. This study aims to analyze and compare the prognostic efficacy of plasma procalcitonin strip test in acute pancreatitis. A prospective study was conducted in the department of general surgery from June 2012 to June 2013. Plasma procalcitonin was estimated by the semiquantitative strip test. The study included a total of 50 patients diagnosed to have acute pancreatitis. Data was collected and statistically analyzed using SPSS version 17. Thirty-nine out of the 50 patients (78 %) were males with a mean age of 46.8 years (range, 25-78 years) and 25 patients (50 %) had ethanol-induced pancreatitis, while 13 patients (26 %) had gall stone pancreatitis. Plasma PCT values were found to correlate better than CRP levels and total leukocyte count with the total duration of hospitalization, ITU, and ICU stay, as well as with the progression to severe acute pancreatitis. A cut off for plasma PCT of >2 ng/mL was found to be 100 % sensitive and 100 % specific and a cut off for CRP of >19 mg/dL was 70 % sensitive and 65 % specific for predicting the progression to severe acute pancreatitis. Plasma PCT also correlated well with antibiotic requirement. A cut off value of >0.5 ng/mL for plasma PCT was 100 % sensitive and 80 % specific and a cut off value of >18 mg/dL for CRP was 86 % sensitive and 63 % specific for predicting antibiotic requirement. Plasma procalcitonin is an early and reliable prognostic indicator in acute pancreatitis. The procalcitonin strip test is a rapid test which is useful in analyzing prognosis in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Predictors of severe and critical acute pancreatitis: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Persistent organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis are major determinants of mortality in acute pancreatitis, but there is a gap in the literature assessing the best available predictors of these two determinants. The purpose of this review was to investigate the utility of predictors of persistent organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis in patients with acute pancreatitis, both alone and in combination.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of the literature in 3 databases for prospective studies evaluating predictors of persistent organ failure, infected pancreatic necrosis, or both, with strict eligibility criteria.

RESULTS

The best predictors of persistent organ failure were the Japanese Severity Score and Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis when the evaluation was performed within 48h of admission, and blood urea nitrogen and Japanese Severity Score after 48h of admission. Systemic Inflammation Response Syndrome was a poor predictor of persistent organ failure. The best predictor of infected pancreatic necrosis was procalcitonin.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the best available data, it is justifiable to use blood urea nitrogen for prediction of persistent organ failure after 48h of admission and procalcitonin for prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis in patients with confirmed pancreatic necrosis. There is no predictor of persistent organ failure that can be justifiably used in clinical practice within 48h of admission.

Prognostic markers in acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis has a mortality rate of 5-10%. Early deaths are mainly due to multiorgan failure and late deaths are due to septic complications from pancreatic necrosis. The recently described 2012 Revised Atlanta Classification and the Determinant Classification both provide a more accurate description of edematous and necrotizing pancreatitis and local complications. The 2012 Revised Atlanta Classification uses the modified Marshall scoring system for assessing organ dysfunction. The Determinant Classification uses the sepsis-related organ failure assessment scoring system for organ dysfunction and, unlike the 2012 Revised Atlanta Classification, includes infected necrosis as a criterion of severity. These scoring systems are used to assess systemic complications requiring intensive therapy unit support and intra-abdominal complications requiring minimally invasive interventions. Numerous prognostic systems and markers have been evaluated but only the Glasgow system and serum CRP levels provide pragmatic prognostic accuracy early on. Novel concepts using genetic, transcriptomic and proteomic profiling and also functional imaging for the identification of specific disease patterns are now required.

Role of biomarkers in the management of antibiotic therapy: an expert panel review II: clinical use of biomarkers for initiation or discontinuation of antibiotic therapy

Biomarker-guided initiation of antibiotic therapy has been studied in four conditions: acute pancreatitis, lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), meningitis, and sepsis in the ICU. In pancreatitis with suspected infected necrosis, initiating antibiotics best relies on fine-needle aspiration and demonstration of infected material. We suggest that PCT be measured to help predict infection; however, available data are insufficient to decide on initiating antibiotics based on PCT levels. In adult patients suspected of community-acquired LRTI, we suggest withholding antibiotic therapy when the serum PCT level is low (<0.25 ng/mL); in patients having nosocomial LRTI, data are insufficient to recommend initiating therapy based on a single PCT level or even repeated measurements. For children with suspected bacterial meningitis, we recommend using a decision rule as an aid to therapeutic decisions, such as the Bacterial Meningitis Score or the Meningitest®; a single PCT level ≥0.5 ng/mL also may be used, but false-negatives may occur. In adults with suspected bacterial meningitis, we suggest integrating serum PCT measurements in a clinical decision rule to help distinguish between viral and bacterial meningitis, using a 0.5 ng/mL threshold. For ICU patients suspected of community-acquired infection, we do not recommend using a threshold serum PCT value to help the decision to initiate antibiotic therapy; data are insufficient to recommend using PCT serum kinetics for the decision to initiate antibiotic therapy in patients suspected of ICU-acquired infection. In children, CRP can probably be used to help discontinue therapy, although the evidence is limited. In adults, antibiotic discontinuation can be based on an algorithm using repeated PCT measurements. In non-immunocompromised out- or in- patients treated for RTI, antibiotics can be discontinued if the PCT level at day 3 is < 0.25 ng/mL or has decreased by >80-90%, whether or not microbiological documentation has been obtained. For ICU patients who have nonbacteremic sepsis from a known site of infection, antibiotics can be stopped if the PCT level at day 3 is < 0.5 ng/mL or has decreased by >80% relative to the highest level recorded, irrespective of the severity of the infectious episode; in bacteremic patients, a minimal duration of therapy of 5 days is recommended.

Could rising BUN predict the future development of infected pancreatic necrosis?

BACKGROUND

Infected (peri)pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in acute pancreatitis (AP) is associated with organ failure (OF) and high mortality. There are no established early markers of primary IPN. This study aimed to assess the association of simple parameters with primary IPN in AP.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 281 patients with AP admitted to Mayo Clinic hospitals and identified those with microbiologically confirmed infections in (peri)pancreatic necrosis and collections. We defined primary IPN as infection of (peri)pancreatic necrotic tissue that developed before interventions. We recorded admission hematocrit, BMI, BUN, serum creatinine, SIRS score and development of persistent organ failure within 48 h of admission; and performed serial SIRS and BUN calculations for at least 48 h. We used univariate and multivariable analysis to assess associations and expressed results as odds ratio (OR)[95% CI].

RESULTS

27 (9.6%) patients developed IPN, of which 21 (77.7%) had primary IPN. 38.1% had Gram positive, 9.5% Gram negative and 52.3% mixed bacterial infections. Five (23.8%) of the patients with IPN had fungal infection. On univariate analysis, SIRS ≥ 2 at admission, rise in BUN by 5 mg/dL within 48 h of admission, persistence of SIRS for 48 h and development of persistent OF within 48 h of disease had significant association with development of primary IPN with OR (95% CI) of 4.12 (1.53-11.15), 10.25 (3.95-26.61), 1.19 (1.69-10.39) and 7.62 (2.58-21.25) [2-tailed p = 0.004, <0.0001, 0.002 and <0.0001] respectively. On multivariable analysis, only rise in BUN by 5 mg/dL within 48 h of admission was associated with primary IPN (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Rising BUN within 48 h of admission can be used to predict development of primary IPN in AP.

A comparison of the BISAP score and serum procalcitonin for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) is a new, convenient, prognostic multifactorial scoring system. As more data are needed before clinical application, we compared BISAP, the serum procalcitonin (PCT), and other multifactorial scoring systems simultaneously.

METHODS

Fifty consecutive acute pancreatitis patients were enrolled prospectively. Blood samples were obtained at admission and after 48 hours and imaging studies were performed within 48 hours of admission. The BISAP score was compared with the serum PCT, Ranson's score, and the acute physiology and chronic health examination (APACHE)-II, Glasgow, and Balthazar computed tomography severity index (BCTSI) scores. Acute pancreatitis was graded using the Atlanta criteria. The predictive accuracy of the scoring systems was measured using the area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The accuracy of BISAP (≥ 2) at predicting severe acute pancreatitis was 84% and was superior to the serum PCT (≥ 3.29 ng/mL, 76%) which was similar to the APACHE-II score. The best cutoff value of BISAP was 2 (AUC, 0.873; 95% confidence interval, 0.770 to 0.976; p < 0.001). In logistic regression analysis, BISAP had greater statistical significance than serum PCT.

CONCLUSIONS

BISAP is more accurate for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis than the serum PCT, APACHE-II, Glasgow, and BCTSI scores.

Predictors of adverse outcomes in acute pancreatitis: new horizons

Acute pancreatitis (AP) continues to be a clinical challenge. The mortality of patients with AP with adverse outcomes like organ failure and infected necrosis can be as high as 43 %. Highly accurate predictors of adverse outcomes are necessary to identify the high-risk patients so that they can be meticulously monitored and managed. However, there are no ideal predictors till date. Over the past several years, a number of single- and multi-parameter predictors have been identified and tested for prediction of adverse outcomes in AP. Out of the different tools tested, blood urea nitrogen and the harmless acute pancreatitis score appears to be useful and feasible in the management of AP under Indian conditions. Other single-parameter predictors like serum creatinine, hematocrit, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, and D-dimer need to be put to further tests in high-quality prospective studies with large sample size at the community level. Multi-parameter prediction tools like the bedside index of severity of acute pancreatitis may not be appealing in day-to-day clinical practice.

B cell activating factor of the tumor necrosis factor family (BAFF) behaves as an acute phase reactant in acute pancreatitis

Objective

To determine if B cell activating factor of the tumor necrosis factor family (BAFF) acts as an acute phase reactant and predicts severity of acute pancreatitis.

Methods

40 patients with acute pancreatitis were included in this single center cohort pilot study. Whole blood and serum was analyzed on day of admission and nine consecutive days for BAFF, c-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and leucocyte numbers. Different severity Scores (Ranson, APACHE II, SAPS II, SAPS III) and the clinical course of the patient (treatment, duration of stay, duration ICU) were recorded.

Results

Serum BAFF correlates with CRP, an established marker of severity in acute pancreatitis at day of admission with a timecourse profil similar to IL-6 over the first nine days. Serum BAFF increases with Ranson score (Kruskal-Wallis: Chi2 = 10.8; p = 0.03) similar to CRP (Kruskal-Wallis: Chi2 = 9.4; p = 0.05 ). Serum BAFF, IL-6, and CRP levels are elevated in patients that need intensive care for more than seven days and in patients with complicated necrotizing pancreatitis. Discriminant analysis and receiver operator characteristics show that CRP (wilks-lambda = 0.549; ROC: AUC 0.948) and BAFF (wilks-lambda = 0.907; ROC: AUC 0.843) serum levels at day of admission best predict severe necrotizing pancreatitis or death, outperforming IL-6, PCT, and number of leucocytes.

Conclusion

This study establishes for the first time BAFF as an acute phase reactant with predictive value for the course of acute pancreatitis. BAFF outperforms established markers in acute pancreatitis, like IL-6 and PCT underscoring the important role of BAFF in the acute inflammatory response.

Correlation between procalcitonin and intra-abdominal pressure and their role in prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Early assessment of disease severity and vigilant patient monitoring are key factors for adequate treatment of acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim of this study was to determine the correlation of procalcitonin (PCT) serum concentrations and intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) as prognostic markers in early stages of AP.

METHODS

This prospective observational study included 51 patients, of which 29 had severe AP (SAP). Patients were evaluated with the Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score, C-reactive protein (CRP) and PCT serum concentrations and IAP at 24 h from admission. PCT was measured three times in the 1st week of disease and three times afterward, while IAP was measured daily. PCT and IAP values correlated with each other, and also compared with APACHE II score and CRP values.

RESULTS

PCT, IAP, CRP values and APACHE II score at 24 h after hospital admission were significantly elevated in patients with SAP. There was significant correlation between PCT and IAP values measured at 24 h of admission, and between maximal PCT and IAP values. Sensitivity/specificity for predicting AP severity at 24 h after admission was 89%/69% for APACHE II score, 75%/86% for CRP, 86%/63% for PCT and 75%/77% for IAP.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased IAP was accompanied by increased PCT serum concentration in patients with AP. PCT and IAP can both be used as early markers of AP severity.

Comparison of serum procalcitonin with Ranson, APACHE-II, Glasgow and Balthazar CT severity index scores in predicting severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The aim of this study is to assess serum procalcitonin (PCT) for early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis compared with multiple scoring systems and biomarkers.

METHODS

Forty-four patients with acute pancreatitis confirmed by radiological evidences, laboratory assessments, and clinical manifestation were prospectively enrolled. All blood samples and image studies were obtained within 24 hours of admission.

RESULTS

Acute pancreatitis was graded as severe in 19 patients and mild in 25 patients according to the Atlanta criteria. Levels of serum PCT were significantly higher in severe acute pancreatitis (p=0.001). The accuracy of serum PCT as a predicting marker was 77.3%, which was similar to the acute physiology and chronic health examination (APACHE)-II score, worse than the Ranson score (93.2%) and better than the Balthazar CT index (65.9%). The most effective cut-off level of serum PCT was estimated at 1.77 ng/mL (AUC=0.797, 95% CI=0.658-0.935). In comparision to other simple biomarkers, serum PCT had more accurate value (77.3%) than C-reactive protein (68.2%), urea (75.0%) and lactic dehydrogenase (72.7%). Logistic regression analysis revealed that serum PCT has statistical significance in acute severe pancreatitis. Assessment of serum PCT levels and length of hospital stay by simple linear regression analysis revealed effective p-value with low R square level, which could make only possibilty for affection of serum PCT to admission duration (r2=0.127, p=0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum PCT was a promising simple biomarker and had similar accuracy of APACHE-II scores as predicting severity of acute pancreatitis.

Infected pancreatic necrosis: Not necessarily a late event in acute pancreatitis

It is widely believed that infection of pancreatic necrosis is a late event in the natural course of acute pancreatitis. This paper discusses the available data on the timing of pancreatic infection. It appears that infected pancreatic necrosis occurs early in almost a quarter of patients. This has practical implications for the type, timing and duration of preventive strategies used in these patients. There are also implications for the classification of severity in patients with acute pancreatitis. Given that the main determinants of severity are both local and systemic complications and that they can occur both early and late in the course of acute pancreatitis, the classification of severity should be based on their presence or absence rather than on when they occur. To do otherwise, and in particular overlook early infected pancreatic necrosis, may lead to a misclassification error and fallacies of clinical studies in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide and the annual incidence appears to be increasing. It presents as a mild self-limiting illness in 80% of patients. However, one-fifth of these develop a severe complicated life-threatening disease requiring intensive and prolonged therapeutic intervention. Alcohol and gallstone disease remain the commonest causes of AP but metabolic abnormalities, obesity and genetic susceptibility are thought be increasingly important aetiological factors. The prompt diagnosis of AP and stratification of disease severity is essential in directing rapid delivery of appropriate therapeutic measures. In this review, the range of diagnostic and prognostic assays, severity scoring systems and radiological investigations used in current clinical practice are described, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses. Increased understanding of the complex pathophysiology of AP has generated an array of new potential diagnostic assays and these are discussed. The multidisciplinary approach to management of severe pancreatitis is outlined, including areas of controversy and novel treatments.

Value of the different prognostic systems and biological markers for predicting severity and progression of acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

Several tools have been developed for severity stratification in acute pancreatitis (AP). They include single biochemical markers and complex scoring systems, all of which aim at an early detection of severe AP to optimize monitoring and treatment of these patients. The aim of this study was to reassess and compare the value of some known and newly-introduced prognostic markers in the clinical context.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We have conducted a prospective observational study. One hundred and eight patients with a diagnosis of AP and onset of the disease within last 72 h were included in this study. Clinical data and expression results of some serum biochemical markers were used for statistical analysis. The diagnostic performance of scores predicting severity and progression of AP, cut-off values, specificity, and sensitivity were established using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among single biochemical markers, C-reactive protein remains the most useful. Despite its delayed increase, it is accurate, cheap, and widely available. Interleukin-6 and macrophage migration inhibitory factor seem to be new promising parameters for use in clinical routine. Pancreas specific scores (Imrie-Glasgow, pancreatitis outcome prediction) and scores assessing organ dysfunction (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, multiple organ dysfunction score, and Marshall score) remain of value in determining the severity, complications, and possible outcome of AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Indication, timing, and consequences of the methods applied need to be carefully considered and incorporated into clinical assessments. Currently, there is no single prognostic marker that would cover the whole range of problems associated with the treatment of AP. The prediction of severity and progression of AP can be achieved using a series of accurate methods. The decision to undertake interventional or surgical treatment is the most complex task requiring both clinical judgment and meticulous monitoring of the patient.

The value of procalcitonin at predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis and development of infected pancreatic necrosis: systematic review

BACKGROUND

Many studies have evaluated serum levels of procalcitonin (PCT) as a predictor in the development of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). This study assesses the value of PCT as a marker of development of SAP and IPN.

METHODS

Medline, Web of Science, the Cochrane clinical trials register, and international conference proceedings were searched systematically for prospective studies, which evaluated the usefulness of PCT as a marker of SAP and IPN. The sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratios (DORs) were calculated for each study, and the study quality and heterogeneity among the studies were evaluated.

RESULTS

Twenty-four of 59 studies identified were included in data extraction. The sensitivity and specificity of PCT for development of SAP were 0.72 and 0.86, respectively (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.87; DOR = 14.9; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.6-39.8), albeit with a significant degree of heterogeneity (Q = 28.56, P < .01). The sensitivity and specificity of PCT for prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis were 0.80 and 0.91 (AUC = 0.91; DOR = 28.3; 95% CI = 13.8-58.3) with no significant heterogeneity (Q = 7.83, P = .18). No significant heterogeneity was observed among the studies when only higher quality studies (AUC = 0.91; DOR = 30.7; 95% CI = 10.7-87.8) or studies that used a cutoff PCT level >0.5 ng/mL (AUC = 0.88, 32.8; 95% CI = 10.1-106.6) were included.

CONCLUSION

Serum measurements of PCT may be valuable in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis and the risk of developing infected pancreatic necrosis.

Risk assessment in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis has a variable natural history and in a proportion of patients is associated with severe complications and a significant risk of death. The various tools available for risk assessment in acute pancreatitis are reviewed.

METHODS

Relevant medical literature from PubMed, Ovid, Embase, Web of Science and The Cochrane Library websites to May 2008 was reviewed.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Over the past 30 years several scoring systems have been developed to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis in the first 48-72 h. Biochemical and immunological markers, imaging modalities and novel predictive models may help identify patients at high risk of complications or death. Recently, there has been a recognition of the importance of the systemic inflammatory response syndrome and organ dysfunction.

Assessment of the prognostic value of certain acute-phase proteins and procalcitonin in the prognosis of acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), 20% develop severe attacks that need early and intensive therapy. Yet, to administer such treatment, it is important to classify early on the patients with mild and severe pancreatitis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of serum amyloid A, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and routinely measured parameters in the early prediction of the course of AP.

METHODS

A total of 40 consecutive patients with AP confirmed by computed tomography were prospectively enrolled in the study-29 were graded as mild and 11 were graded as severe. Blood samples were obtained on admission and 24 hours thereafter.

RESULTS

Procalcitonin concentration in both measurements was significantly higher in patients with severe pancreatitis, and the cutoff level was estimated at 0.5 ng/mL. Although serum amyloid A and C-reactive protein levels rose significantly during the period of observation, these were not differentiated between both groups. Among the routinely measured parameters, a prognostic value was found for total calcium concentration, lactic dehydrogenase activity, and glucose concentration.

CONCLUSIONS

The best efficiency in the early prediction of severe AP would be achieved with the measurement of procalcitonin, total calcium level, and lactic acid dehydrogenase activity immediately after admission to the ward.

Markers for predicting severity and progression of acute pancreatitis

Several tools have been developed for severity stratification in acute pancreatitis. They include single biochemical markers, imaging methods, and complex scoring systems, all of which aim at an early detection of severe acute pancreatitis to optimise monitoring and treatment of patients as early as possible. Among single biochemical markers, C-reactive protein (CRP) remains the most useful. Despite its delayed increase, peaking not earlier than 72 h after the onset of symptoms, it is accurate and widely available. Many other markers have been evaluated for their usefulness, and for some of them very promising data could be shown. Among them interleukin 6 seems to be the most promising parameter for use in clinical routine. For the detection of pancreatic infection, procalcitonin is the most sensitive, and can be used as an indicator for the need for fine-needle aspiration of pancreatic necrosis. Regarding imaging, contrast-enhanced computed tomography is still the reference method for the detection of necrotising acute pancreatitis. Pancreatitis-specific scoring systems have been shown to be of value for the prediction of severity and progression of acute pancreatitis, but cannot be applied any earlier than 48 h after admission to hospital. The APACHE-II score has not been developed specifically for acute pancreatitis and is rather complex to assess, but has been proven to be an early and reliable tool. Indication, timing and consequences of the methods applied need to be carefully considered and incorporated into clinical assessments to avoid costs and harm to the patient.

Corticosteroid-binding globulin: a possible early predictor of infection in acute necrotizing pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

Infected pancreatic necrosis is the main cause of death in patients with acute pancreatitis, and therefore its early prediction is of utmost importance. Endogenous cortisol metabolism plays a basic role both in the course of acute pancreatitis and in the process of infection. The purpose of this study was to analyze corticosteroid-binding globulin (CBG), total cortisol, calculated free cortisol and adrenocorticotropic hormone as potential early predictors in order to differentiate between infected pancreatic necrosis and sterile pancreatic necrosis in patients with acute pancreatitis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Serum levels of CBG, total cortisol, calculated free cortisol, and plasma levels of adrenocorticotropic hormone were determined in 109 consecutive patients with acute pancreatitis. C-reactive protein was measured as the control parameter. Thirty-five patients developed necrotizing pancreatitis and 10 developed infection of the necrosis. Blood was monitored for 6 days after the onset of pain; 30 healthy individuals served as controls.

RESULTS

Of all parameters only CBG showed a significant difference (p = 0.0318) in its peak levels measured in the first 48 h in patients with sterile (26.5 microg/ml, range 21.3-34.7) and infected (16.0 microg/ml, range 15.2-25.0) necrosis at a cut-off level of 16.8 microg/ml. That difference was further preserved for the first 6 days after onset of pain.

CONCLUSIONS

In our group of patients, a decreased CBG level below 16.8 g/ml within the initial 48 h of acute pancreatitis was an early predictor of later infected pancreatic necrosis, with a positive predictive value of 100% and a negative predictive value of 87.5%.

Procalcitonin for the clinical laboratory: a review

Procalcitonin measurement has been claimed as a helpful marker in bacterial infection and sepsis. It has obtained FDA approval and is now widely marketed in the United States and Europe. This review summarises the current assays available, the evidence for its use and possible future applications of the assay.

Early assessment of pancreatic infections and overall prognosis in severe acute pancreatitis by procalcitonin (PCT): a prospective international multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic infections and sepsis are major complications in severe acute pancreatitis (AP) with significant impact on management and outcome. We investigated the value of Procalcitonin (PCT) for identifying patients at risk to develop pancreatic infections in severe AP.

METHODS

A total of 104 patients with predicted severe AP were enrolled in five European academic surgical centers within 96 hours of symptom onset. PCT was measured prospectively by a semi-automated immunoassay in each center, C-reactive protein (CRP) was routinely assessed. Both parameters were monitored over a maximum of 21 consecutive days and in weekly intervals thereafter.

RESULTS

In contrast to CRP, PCT concentrations were significantly elevated in patients with pancreatic infections and associated multiorgan dysfunction syndrome (MODS) who all required surgery (n = 10) and in nonsurvivors (n = 8) early after onset of symptoms. PCT levels revealed only a moderate increase in patients with pancreatic infections in the absence of MODS (n = 7), all of whom were managed nonoperatively without mortality. A PCT value of > or =3.5 ng/mL on 2 consecutive days was superior to CRP > or =430 mg/L for the assessment of infected necrosis with MODS or nonsurvival as determined by ROC analysis with a sensitivity and specificity of 93% and 88% for PCT and 40% and 100% for CRP, respectively (P < 0.01). The single or combined prediction of the two major complications was already possible on the third and fourth day after onset of symptoms with a sensitivity and specificity of 79% and 93% for PCT > or =3.8 ng/mL compared with 36% and 97% for CRP > or =430 mg/L, respectively (P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Monitoring of PCT allows early and reliable assessment of clinically relevant pancreatic infections and overall prognosis in AP. This single test parameter significantly contributes to an improved stratification of patients at risk to develop major complications.

Carboxypeptidase-B activation peptide, a marker of pancreatic acinar injury, but not L-selectin, a marker of neutrophil activation, predicts severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Severity prediction is difficult early in the course of acute pancreatitis. Markers of pancreatic injury, or inflammatory activation are candidate markers of severity. The aim of the present study was to assess predictive abilities of carboxypeptidase-B activation peptide (CAPAP-B) and soluble L-selectin (sL-selectin) using samples collected on admission to hospital.

METHODS

Patients with acute pancreatitis and disease (acute abdomen) and normal controls were studied. Samples were collected at admission and daily for 5 days. There were significant differences between mild and severe pancreatitis in urinary and plasma CAPAP-B on admission, C-reactive protein on day 3 and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE)-II scores. Prediction of severity with CAPAP-B on admission was as good as with APACHE-II score after 48 h. Carboxypeptidase-B activation peptide was not raised in disease controls. By contrast, sL-selectin was lowered in all cases of acute pancreatitis, and in disease controls. There was no difference between mild and severe pancreatitis.

CONCLUSION

Urinary CAPAP-B, a marker of acinar injury, can be used to predict severity of acute pancreatitis at the time of admission to hospital, but sL-selectin has no value in this regard. The extent of acinar injury may be a more important early marker of severity than markers of inflammatory activation.

Prevention of infectious complications in severe acute pancreatitis with systemic antibiotics: where are we now?

Infectious complications are the leading cause of death in patients with severe acute pancreatitis. Currently, there is controversy concerning the therapeutic possibilities to reduce the incidence of bacterial infection in this disease. Numerous studies are available which apparently support the prophylactic use of antibiotics in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis. The results, however, are contradicting and interpretation is difficult as these studies have used various antibiotic drugs with different application schemes and heterogeneous study end points. This article gives a critical overview of the background of antibiotic treatment in severe acute pancreatitis, the published data on antibiotic treatment and an outlook on the topics that need to be addressed by future research.

Does serum procalcitonin have a role in evaluating the severity of acute pancreatitis? A question revisited

PURPOSE

This study was designed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of serum procalcitonin (PCT) for the diagnosis of severity in acute pancreatitis (AP), compared with routine clinical, biochemical, radiological, and combination severity scoring systems.

METHODS

Quantitative meta-analysis was performed on prospective studies, comparing serum PCT, against validated scoring systems for diagnosing severe AP. The sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio were calculated for each study. Summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curves and subgroup analysis were undertaken. Study quality and heterogeneity were evaluated. Meta-regression meta-analysis was used to evaluate the effect of using serum PCT in the diagnostic accuracy severity scoring in AP.

RESULTS

Summary receiver operating characteristic analysis of nine studies showed an overall sensitivity and specificity of 74% (range: 66%-81%) and 83% (range: 79%-87%), respectively. Overall unweighted area under the curve (AUC) was 0.91 (DOR = 16.26 95% CI: 5.68-46.60), demonstrating significant heterogeneity (Q-value = 25.32; P = 0.001). When high-quality studies alone were evaluated, there was an increase in the overall sensitivity (89%); however, specificity was similar (82%), with an overall unweighted AUC of 0.94 (DOR 41.46, 95% CI: 17.95-95.80), with no significant heterogeneity. Meta-regression analysis confirmed the significant effect of study quality on the diagnostic accuracy of severity scoring using serum PCT (P = 0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of PCT for severity scoring in AP has a moderate sensitivity but higher specificity. However, the overall accuracy for predicting severity in AP is high. The prognosis of severity, especially early on (<48 hours from onset of symptoms), and the evaluation of potential infectious complications of AP may be the most useful factors to assess in subsequent clinical trials to identify its exact application in clinical practice in the management of AP.

The management of suspected pancreatic sepsis

The management of infected pancreatic necrosis is centered on image-guided fine needle aspiration followed by antibiotic therapy that is based on microbiologic culture results. The authors favor targeted antibiotic therapy rather than routine prophylactic antibiotic coverage. Prompt surgical debridement is recommended for patients who have infected necrosis who are suitable operative candidates. Newer surgical, percutaneous, and endoscopic techniques, as well as prolonged antibiotic therapy without intervention, are being evaluated as alternatives to operative debridement. Well-designed prospective trials will help to determine optimal treatment for patients who have infected pancreatic necrosis.

Role of endogenous glucocorticoid metabolism in human acute pancreatitis*

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to observe how levels of total cortisol, calculated free cortisol, corticosteroid-binding globulin, and adrenocorticotropic hormone change during the early course of human acute pancreatitis and to describe how these changes affect the development of pancreatic necrosis.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

In a total of 109 consecutive patients with acute pancreatitis (74 with edematous pancreatitis, 35 with necrotizing pancreatitis), serial daily blood monitoring of total and free cortisol, adrenocorticotropic hormone, and corticosteroid-binding globulin was done after hospital admission, up to day 6 after the onset of pain; 30 healthy individuals served as controls.

MEASUREMENTS

Corticosteroid-binding globulin and total cortisol were measured by immunoassays, and free cortisol was calculated according to Coolens et al. The adrenocorticotropic hormone was measured with an enzyme-linked immunoassay.

RESULTS

Initially, highly elevated levels of calculated free cortisol (median, 86.2 ng/mL; quartile ranges, 50.6-106.7 ng/mL) and total cortisol (41.2 microg/dL, 30.4-51.1 microg/dL) and depressed levels of adrenocorticotropic hormone (0.2 pg/mL, 0.1-2.0 pg/mL) and corticosteroid-binding globulin (30.6 microg/mL, 24.1-35.5 microg/mL) were observed. Further, daily measurements revealed increasing adrenocorticotropic hormone levels, whereas cortisol levels decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

Although an increase in adrenocorticotropic hormone levels is suggested to increase corresponding cortisol levels, cortisol levels decreased during the development of necrotizing acute pancreatitis. This phenomenon, along with the continuously decreasing corticosteroid-binding globulin levels, brings up the hypothesis of a relative adrenal insufficiency, which favors acinar cell apoptosis and hence may trigger the development of necrosis in the initial vulnerable phase of acute pancreatitis.

Surgical management and complex treatment of infected pancreatic necrosis: 18-year experience at a single center

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN), the most severe form of acute pancreatitis, is responsible for most cases of pancreatitis-related morbidity and mortality. Since 1986, 220 patients with IPN have been treated. The surgical treatment was performed on average 18.5 days (range, 8-25 days) after the onset of acute pancreatitis and consisted of wide-ranging necrosectomy, combined with widespread drainage and continuous lavage. In 108 of the 220 cases, some other surgical intervention (distal pancreatic resection, splenectomy, total pancreatectomy, cholecystectomy, colon resection, etc.) was also performed. Following surgery, the supportive therapy consisted of immunonutrition (glutamine and arginine supplementation) and modification of cytokine production with pentoxifylline and dexamethasone. Continuous lavage was applied for an average of 44.5 days (range, 21-95 days), with an average of 9.5 L (range, 5-20 L) of saline per day. The bacteriologic findings revealed mainly enteral bacteria, but Candida infection was also frequently detected (21%). Forty-eight patients (22%) had to undergo reoperation. The overall hospital mortality was 7.7% (17 patients died). In our experience, IPN responds well to adequate surgical treatment, continuous, longstanding widespread drainage and lavage, together with supportive therapy consisting of immunonutrition and modification of cytokine production, combined with adequate antibiotic and antifungal medication.

Clinical laboratory assessment of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Several biochemical markers in blood and urine have been investigated to establish their clinical application in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). The relevant studies are reviewed and critically appraised.

METHODS

Medline and the World Wide Web were searched and the relevant literature was classified under the following categories: (1) diagnosis of AP and (2) prediction of: a) disease severity, b) pancreatic necrosis and its secondary infection, c) organ failure and death, and d) disease etiology.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Serum lipase is a more reliable diagnostic marker of AP than serum amylase. Urinary strip tests for trypsinogen activation peptide (TAP) and trypsinogen-2 provide a reliable early diagnosis of AP. Useful predictors of severity may include serum procalcitonin and urinary TAP and trypsinogen-2 on admission, serum interleukins-6 and -8 and polymorphonuclear elastase at 24 h, and serum C-reactive protein (CRP) at 48 h. Other markers such as amyloid A and carboxypeptidase B activation peptide (CAPAP) need further investigation. Biochemical prediction of pancreatic necrosis requires 72 h to reach reliability and is impractical. However, the daily monitoring of serum procalcitonin provides a non-invasive detection of infected necrosis; the promising role of phospholipase A(2) in this regard requires further investigation. Early transient hypertransaminasemia reliably predicts biliary etiology, while serum carbohydrate-deficient transferrin and trypsin may predict an alcoholic etiology.