Herpes zoster in SLE: prevalence, incidence and risk factors

Safety and efficacy of anifrolumab therapy in systemic lupus erythematosus in real-world clinical practice: LOOPS registry

OBJECTIVE

To determine the safety and efficacy of anifrolumab in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) classified based on the Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) in real-world clinical practice.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study involved SLE patients who started anifrolumab therapy. The primary end point was the retention rate over 26 weeks after initiating anifrolumab therapy; 45 patients followed up for 12 weeks or longer were analysed in the following groups to determine the safety and efficacy up to week 12 after treatment initiation: (i) non-LLDAS achievement group and (ii) minor flare group. Safety and efficacy were compared between the minor flare group and the standard of care (SoC) group (treated by adding glucocorticoids [GCs] or immunosuppressants) after adjustment with inverse probability of treatment weighting using propensity score (PS-IPTW).

RESULTS

The retention rate of anifrolumab was 89.7% at week 26.The LLDAS achievement rates at week 12 were 42.9% and 66.7% in the non-LLDAS achievement and minor flare groups, respectively. In both groups, GC doses and SELENA-SLEDAI score significantly decreased. When the anifrolumab group with minor flare was compared with the SoC group or the GC dose increase group, the GC dose and SLEDAI score were significantly lower in the anifrolumab group than in either of the other groups; there was no significant difference in LLDAS achievement.

CONCLUSION

At week 26 after initiating anifrolumab therapy, ∼90% of patients remained on therapy. Anifrolumab might lower disease activity without initiating GCs and reduce GC doses, especially in patients who experience minor flares after LLDAS achievement.

Hospitalization and Mortality Due to Infection Among Children and Adolescents With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in the United States

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine the frequency and types of infections in hospitalized children with childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE), and to identify risk factors for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of youth aged 2 to 21 years using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for SLE assigned during admission to a hospital participating in the Pediatric Health Information System, a database of United States children's hospitals, from 2009 to 2021. Generalized linear mixed effects models were used to identify risk factors for ICU admission and mortality among children hospitalized with infection.

RESULTS

We identified 8588 children with cSLE and ≥ 1 hospitalization. Among this cohort, there were 26,269 hospitalizations, of which 13% had codes for infections, a proportion that increased over time (P = 0.04). Bacterial pneumonia was the most common hospitalized infection. In-hospital mortality occurred in 0.4% (n = 103) of cSLE hospitalizations for any indication and 2% of hospitalizations for infection (n = 60). The highest mortality rates occurred with Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (21%) and other fungal infections (21%). Lupus nephritis (LN) and endstage renal disease (ESRD) were associated with increased odds of ICU admission (odds ratio [OR] 1.47 [95% CI 1.2-1.8] and OR 2.40 [95% CI 1.7-3.4]) among children admitted for serious infection. ESRD was associated with higher mortality (OR 2.34 [95% CI 1.1-4.9]).

CONCLUSION

Hospitalizations with ICD codes for infection comprised a small proportion of cSLE admissions but accounted for the majority of mortality. The proportion of hospitalizations for infection increased over time. LN and ESRD were risk factors for poor outcomes.

Immunogenicity, reactogenicity, and safety of two-dose adjuvanted herpes zoster subunit vaccine in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus in South Korea: a single-centre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

BACKGROUND

The adjuvanted herpes zoster subunit vaccine has shown good efficacy and safety in the general population. However, its effectiveness has not been comprehensively assessed in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). This study aimed to evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of the adjuvanted herpes zoster subunit vaccine in patients with SLE.

METHODS

This single-centre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, trial was done at the rheumatology outpatient clinic at Seoul National University Hospital, South Korea. Patients (aged ≥19 years) with clinically stable SLE and previous exposure (≥4 weeks) to immunosuppressive drugs were randomly assigned (4:1) via a central interactive web response system to receive herpes zoster subunit vaccine or placebo (0·5 mL intramuscular injection) at weeks 0 and 8. Investigators and participants were masked to intervention and group assignment. Anti-glycoprotein E antibody titres and glycoprotein E-specific cell-mediated vaccine responses were evaluated at baseline and at week 8 after the first dose, and at week 4, week 26, and week 52 after the second dose using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and flow cytometry, respectively. Reactogenicity, SLE disease activity, including Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000 and British Isles Lupus Assessment Group-flare rate, were examined. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with a positive humoral vaccine response 4 weeks after the second dose. The primary and safety analyses were done in a modified intention-to-treat population. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT06001606.

FINDINGS

Between June 14, and July 19, 2023, 65 patients with SLE were enrolled, of whom 52 were randomly assigned to the herpes zoster subunit vaccine and 13 to placebo. 49 patients in the vaccine group and 11 patients in the placebo group were included in the modified intention-to-treat population. 56 (93%) of 60 patients were women and four (7%) were men. Mean age was 48·7 years (SD 11·4). The proportion of participants with a humoral vaccine response at 4 weeks after the second dose was significantly higher in the vaccine group (48 [98%] of 49 participants) than the placebo group (none [0%] of 11 patients; p<0·0001). More patients in the vaccine group than placebo group reported injection site reactions (42 patients vs two patients), fever (ten vs none), and fatigue (26 vs two). There were no differences in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000 and British Isles Lupus Assessment Group-flare rates between the groups. There were no treatment-related deaths.

INTERPRETATION

The herpes zoster subunit vaccine induces humoral and cellular immunity against herpes zoster with a good safety profile in patients with SLE. A larger study is warranted to assess the efficacy of vaccines to prevent herpes zoster in patients with SLE.

FUNDING

Ministry of Science and ICT, The Government of the Republic of Korea.

Management of systemic lupus erythematosus: a systematic literature review informing the 2023 update of the EULAR recommendations

OBJECTIVES

To analyse the new evidence (2018-2022) for the management of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) to inform the 2023 update of the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) recommendations.

METHODS

Systematic literature reviews were performed in the Medline and the Cochrane Library databases capturing publications from 1 January 2018 through 31 December 2022, according to the EULAR standardised operating procedures. The research questions focused on five different domains, namely the benefit/harm of SLE treatments, the benefits from the attainment of remission/low disease activity, the risk/benefit from treatment tapering/withdrawal, the management of SLE with antiphospholipid syndrome and the safety of immunisations against varicella zoster virus and SARS-CoV2 infection. A Population, Intervention, Comparison and Outcome framework was used to develop search strings for each research topic.

RESULTS

We identified 439 relevant articles, the majority being observational studies of low or moderate quality. High-quality randomised controlled trials (RCTs) documented the efficacy of the type 1 interferon receptor inhibitor, anifrolumab, in non-renal SLE, and belimumab and voclosporin, a novel calcineurin inhibitor, in lupus nephritis (LN), when compared with standard of care. For the treatment of specific organ manifestations outside LN, a lack of high-quality data was documented. Multiple observational studies confirmed the beneficial effects of attaining clinical remission or low disease activity, reducing the risk for multiple adverse outcomes. Two randomised trials with some concerns regarding risk of bias found higher rates of relapse in patients who discontinued glucocorticoids (GC) or immunosuppressants in SLE and LN, respectively, yet observational cohort studies suggest that treatment withdrawal might be feasible in a subset of patients.

CONCLUSION

Anifrolumab and belimumab achieve better disease control than standard of care in extrarenal SLE, while combination therapies with belimumab and voclosporin attained higher response rates in high-quality RCTs in LN. Remission and low disease activity are associated with favourable long-term outcomes. In patients achieving these targets, GC and immunosuppressive therapy may gradually be tapered. Cite Now.

Real-World Coverage With Influenza, Pneumococcal, and Herpes Zoster Vaccines Among Patients With Rheumatic Diseases in a Nationwide Healthcare Plan

OBJECTIVE

Vaccination against preventable infections is important for the management of rheumatic diseases (RDs). This study assessed the vaccination coverage and predictors among patients with RDs using real-world data from Israel.

METHODS

This retrospective cross-sectional study, based on a Maccabi Healthcare Services database, included adult patients diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), as of April 30, 2019. Age-specific vaccination coverage for influenza (past year), pneumococcal (23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine [PPSV23] and/or 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine [PCV13]), and live-attenuated herpes zoster (HZ) vaccines (past 5 years) was reported. Logistic regression was used to investigate predictors of vaccination.

RESULTS

The study included 14,528 patients (RA: n = 6932; PsA: n = 4395; SLE: n = 1951; > 1 condition: n = 1250). Influenza vaccine coverage among patients with RA, PsA, and SLE was 45.1%, 36.2%, and 33.7%, respectively. For PPSV23, corresponding rates were 19.6%, 16.2%, and 12.6%, respectively. In the elderly population (≥ 65 years), 63.2% had influenza vaccine in the past year and 83.4% had a PPSV23 vaccine in the past 5 years or at age ≥ 65. For PCV13 and HZ, coverage in the overall study population was low at 4.8% and 3.6%, respectively. Central residence and treatment with corticosteroids and biologic or targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs within the past 5 years were significant predictors of vaccination coverage across all vaccines (P < 0.05). Other predictors varied by vaccine, including female sex (influenza, PPSV23, PCV13), age (influenza, PPSV23), chronic comorbidities (influenza, PPSV23, PCV13), shorter disease duration (PCV13), and high socioeconomic status (PCV13, HZ).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated suboptimal coverage of influenza, pneumococcal, and HZ vaccination in patients with RA, PsA, and SLE, in particular among younger adults in Israel.

EULAR recommendations for the management of systemic lupus erythematosus: 2023 update

OBJECTIVES

To update the EULAR recommendations for the management of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) based on emerging new evidence.

METHODS

An international Task Force formed the questions for the systematic literature reviews (January 2018-December 2022), followed by formulation and finalisation of the statements after a series of meetings. A predefined voting process was applied to each overarching principle and recommendation. Levels of evidence and strengths of recommendation were assigned, and participants finally provided their level of agreement with each item.

RESULTS

The Task Force agreed on 5 overarching principles and 13 recommendations, concerning the use of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ), glucocorticoids (GC), immunosuppressive drugs (ISDs) (including methotrexate, mycophenolate, azathioprine, cyclophosphamide (CYC)), calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs, cyclosporine, tacrolimus, voclosporin) and biologics (belimumab, anifrolumab, rituximab). Advice is also provided on treatment strategies and targets of therapy, assessment of response, combination and sequential therapies, and tapering of therapy. HCQ is recommended for all patients with lupus at a target dose 5 mg/kg real body weight/day, considering the individual's risk for flares and retinal toxicity. GC are used as 'bridging therapy' during periods of disease activity; for maintenance treatment, they should be minimised to equal or less than 5 mg/day (prednisone equivalent) and, when possible, withdrawn. Prompt initiation of ISDs (methotrexate, azathioprine, mycophenolate) and/or biological agents (anifrolumab, belimumab) should be considered to control the disease and facilitate GC tapering/discontinuation. CYC and rituximab should be considered in organ-threatening and refractory disease, respectively. For active lupus nephritis, GC, mycophenolate or low-dose intravenous CYC are recommended as anchor drugs, and add-on therapy with belimumab or CNIs (voclosporin or tacrolimus) should be considered. Updated specific recommendations are also provided for cutaneous, neuropsychiatric and haematological disease, SLE-associated antiphospholipid syndrome, kidney protection, as well as preventative measures for infections, osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSION

The updated recommendations provide consensus guidance on the management of SLE, combining evidence and expert opinion.

Herpes zoster in lupus nephritis: experience on 292 patients followed up for 15 years

Objectives

To evaluate the prevalence, incidence, and predictors of herpes zoster (HZ) development in lupus nephritis (LN).

Methods

This retrospective study included 292 LN patients to determine HZ incidence during the last decades and its correlation with LN activity. LN patients with HZ were matched with LN patients without HZ in a 1:2 ratio based on sex, age, year of LN diagnosis, and LN histological class at kidney biopsy to assess HZ risk factors. Statistical tests included t-test, U-test, and Fisher's test. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify potential risk factors.

Results

HZ occurred after LN diagnosis in 66 patients (prevalence 22.6%) with an average of 8.7 years (range 0.2-28.4 years). Although with the potential limitations of the retrospective nature and the extensive duration of the study, the incidence of HZ was 15.6/1,000 person-years, increasing from 6.9 before 1980 to 16.0 in the 1990s and 43.9 after 2010. HZ onset was unrelated to LN activity. LN was active in 43% of cases and quiescent in the other 57% of cases at HZ diagnosis. The percentage of patients who developed lupus flares during the year after HZ (18.9%) was not different from that which occurred during the year before HZ (17.2%, p = 0.804). After excluding confounding factors through matching, the univariate analysis suggested that cyclosporin during induction therapy (p = 0.011) and higher cumulative doses of glucocorticoids (GCs; >50 g, p = 0.004), cyclophosphamide (CYC; >5 g, p = 0.001), and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF > 1,000 g, p = 0.007) predisposed patients to HZ. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed a protective role of azathioprine (p = 0.008) and methylprednisolone pulses (p = 0.010) during induction therapy.

Conclusions

HZ occurs unpredictably throughout the course of LN, underscoring the importance of continuous monitoring for these patients. In addition, the incidence of HZ seems to have increased in recent decades. Induction therapy with azathioprine and methylprednisolone pulses appears to provide protection, while higher cumulative doses of GCs, CYC, and MMF increase susceptibility.

Preventing infections in immunocompromised patients with kidney diseases: vaccines and antimicrobial prophylaxis

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic revealed that our understanding of infectious complications and strategies to mitigate severe infections in patients with glomerular diseases is limited. Beyond COVID-19, there are several infections that specifically impact care of patients receiving immunosuppressive measures. This review will provide an overview of six different infectious complications frequently encountered in patients with glomerular diseases, and will focus on recent achievements in terms of vaccine developments and understanding of the use of specific antimicrobial prophylaxis. These include influenza virus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, reactivation of a chronic or past infection with hepatitis B virus in cases receiving B-cell depletion, reactivation of cytomegalovirus, and cases of Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia in patients with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis. Varicella zoster virus infections are particularly frequent in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and an inactivated vaccine is available to use as an alternative to the attenuated vaccine in patients receiving immunosuppressants. As with COVID-19 vaccines, vaccine responses are generally impaired in older patients, and after recent administration of B-cell depleting agents, and high doses of mycophenolate mofetil and other immunosuppressants. Strategies to curb infectious complications are manifold and will be outlined in this review.

Exploring machine learning methods for predicting systemic lupus erythematosus with herpes

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether machine learning, which is widely used in disease prediction and diagnosis based on demographic data and serological markers, can predict herpes occurrence in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

A total of 286 SLE patients were included in this study, including 200 SLE patients without herpes and 86 SLE patients with herpes. SLE patients were randomly divided into a training group and a test group, and 18 demographic characteristics and serological indicators were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

We selected basophil, monocyte, white blood cell, age, immunoglobulin E, SLE Disease Activity Index, complement 4, neutrophil, and immunoglobulin G as the basic features of modeling. A random forest model had the best performance, but logistic and decision tree analyses had better clinical decision-making benefits. Random forest had a good consistency between feature importance judgment and feature selection. The 10-fold cross-validation showed the optimization of five model parameters.

CONCLUSION

The random forest model may be an excellently performing model, which may help clinicians to identify SLE patients whose disease is complicated by herpes early.

Disease duration and herpes zoster infection related to neutropenia in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease involving several organs. Neutropenia in patients with SLE may be a factor associated with infection leading to higher morbidity and mortality. There are several inconsistent predictors of neutropenia in patients with SLE. The present study is a retrospective, analytical study, which aimed to identify other predictors of neutropenia in patients with SLE. Patients with SLE who had been regularly followed up for ≥1 year were included in this study. Clinical factors, including history of disease, comorbidities, previous infection, laboratory results and treatment, were collected. The primary analyzed indicator was the occurrence of neutropenia. Factors associated with neutropenia were calculated by multivariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 84 patients met the study criteria. Of those 84 patients, 36 (42.86%) developed neutropenia. There were seven factors placed in the predictive model for neutropenia. Two factors were independently associated with the presence of neutropenia: Disease duration and herpes zoster infection. The first factor was negatively related with neutropenia with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.70 (95% confidence interval, 0.54, 0.92), whereas herpes zoster infection was an independent risk factor for neutropenia with an adjusted odds ratio of 8.46 (95% confidence interval, 1.30, 54.80). In conclusion, the present study revealed that short duration of disease and herpes zoster infection are predictors of neutropenia in patients with SLE.

A Framework to Overcome Challenges in the Management of Infections in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Infections remain one of the leading causes of death in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), despite awareness of factors contributing to increased susceptibility to infectious diseases in SLE. Clinicians report challenges and barriers when encountering infection in SLE as certain infections may mimic a lupus flare. There are no evidence-based practice guidelines in the management of fever in SLE, with suboptimal implementations of evidence-based benefits related to infectious disease control and/or prevention strategies in SLE. Vigilance in identifying an opportunistic infection must be stressed when confronted by a diagnostic challenge during a presentation with a febrile illness in SLE. A balanced approach must focus on management of infections in SLE, and reduction in the glucocorticoids dose, given the need to control lupus disease activity to avoid lupus related organ damage and mortality. Clinical judgement and application of biomarkers of lupus flares could reduce false positives and overdiagnosis and improve differentiation of infections from lupus flares. Further precision-based risk and screening measures must identify individuals who would benefit most from low dose immunosuppressive therapy, targeted immune therapy, and vaccination programs.

Systematic Literature Review of Herpes Zoster Disease Burden in Southeast Asia

INTRODUCTION

Herpes zoster (HZ; i.e., shingles) is caused by the reactivation of varicella zoster virus leading to a painful dermatomal rash. An increasing trend in cases of HZ is evident worldwide; however, there is a lack of comprehensive reviews for Southeast Asian countries.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature review of articles published until May 2022 that reported HZ epidemiology, clinical management, and health economic data in six Southeast Asian countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. Literature searches were conducted in Medline, Scopus, Embase, and gray literature. Articles written in English or local languages were considered for inclusion.

RESULTS

In total, 72 publications were included in the study; 22 were case studies and over 60% originated in Singapore and Thailand. Only two studies (data from Thailand) reported incidence of HZ. The proportion of patients reported with HZ was 0.68-0.7% among dermatology clinics, 0.14% at one emergency department (5.3% of dermatology cases) in Singapore, and 3% of admissions at another hospital in Singapore. Pain was the most common symptom associated with HZ, reported in 74.21-100% of patients. HZ complications were reported in 10.2-21.2% of patients, and the proportions with postherpetic neuralgia and HZ ophthalmicus were 6.3-50% and 4.98-28.57%, respectively. Additionally, there is a lack of comprehensive, up-to-date HZ economic data, with only six studies identified for the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, there are limited data reporting incidence and prevalence of HZ in Southeast Asia at a national level. High rates of complications, symptoms, and abundance of case reports suggest substantial healthcare resource utilization for patients with HZ and highlight the need for further research in Southeast Asia assessing the societal impact.

A survival case of visceral disseminated varicella zoster virus infection in a patient with systemic lupus erythematosus

BACKGROUND

Visceral disseminated varicella zoster virus (VZV) infection is a rare but life-threatening complication in immunosuppressed patients. Herein, we report a survival case of visceral disseminated VZV infection in a patient with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

CASE PRESENTATION

A 37-year-old woman was diagnosed as SLE and initial induction therapy was started. Two months after starting the immunosuppressive therapy consisting of 40 mg of prednisolone (PSL) and 1500 mg of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) daily, she suddenly developed strong abdominal pain, which was required opioid analgesics, followed by systemic skin blisters, which were diagnosed as varicella. Laboratory findings showed rapid exacerbation of severe liver failure, coagulation abnormalities and increased numbers of blood VZV deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA). Therefore, she was diagnosed as visceral disseminated VZV infection. Multidisciplinary treatment with acyclovir, immunoglobulin and antibiotics was started, the dose of PSL was reduced, and MMF was withdrawn. By their treatment, her symptoms were resolved and she finally discharged.

CONCLUSIONS

Our case highlights the importance of a clinical suspicion of visceral disseminated VZV infections, and the necessity of immediate administration of acyclovir and reduced doses of immunosuppressant to save patients with SLE.

Early infection risk in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus treated with rituximab or belimumab from the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group Biologics Register (BILAG-BR): a prospective longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are at an increased risk of infection relative to the general population. We aimed to describe the frequency and risk factors for serious infections in patients with moderate-to-severe SLE treated with rituximab, belimumab, and standard of care therapies in a large national observational cohort.

METHODS

The British Isles Lupus Assessment Group Biologics Register (BILAG-BR) is a UK-based prospective register of patients with SLE. Patients were recruited by their treating physician as part of their scheduled care from 64 centres across the UK by use of a standardised case report form. Inclusion criteria for the BILAG-BR included age older than 5 years, ability to provide informed consent, a diagnosis of SLE, and starting a new biological therapy within the last 12 months or a new standard of care drug within the last month. The primary outcome for this study was the rate of serious infections within the first 12 months of therapy. Serious infections were defined as those requiring intravenous antibiotic treatment, hospital admission, or resulting in morbidity or death. Infection and mortality data were collected from study centres and further mortality data were collected from the UK Office for National Statistics. The relationship between serious infection and drug type was analysed using a multiple-failure Cox proportional hazards model.

FINDINGS

Between July 1, 2010, and Feb 23, 2021, 1383 individuals were recruited to the BILAG-BR. 335 patients were excluded from this analysis. The remaining 1048 participants contributed 1002·7 person-years of follow-up and included 746 (71%) participants on rituximab, 119 (11%) participants on belimumab, and 183 (17%) participants on standard of care. The median age of the cohort was 39 years (IQR 30-50), 942 (90%) of 1048 patients were women and 106 (10%) were men. Of the patients with available ethnicity data, 514 (56%) of 911 were White, 169 (19%) were Asian, 161 (18%) were Black, and 67 (7%) were of multiple-mixed or other ethnic backgrounds. 118 serious infections occurred in 76 individuals during the 12-month study period, which included 92 serious infections in 58 individuals on rituximab, eight serious infections in five individuals receiving belimumab, and 18 serious infections in 13 individuals on standard of care. The overall crude incidence rate of serious infection was 117·7 (95% CI 98·3-141·0) per 1000 person-years. Compared with standard of care, the serious infection risk was similar in the rituximab (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1·68 [0·60-4·68]) and belimumab groups (1·01 [0·21-4·80]). Across the whole cohort in multivariate analysis, serious infection risk was associated with prednisolone dose (>10 mg; 2·38 [95%CI 1·47-3·84]), hypogammaglobulinaemia (<6 g/L; 2·16 [1·38-3·37]), and multimorbidity (1·45 [1·17-1·80]). Additional concomitant immunosuppressive use appeared to be associated with a reduced risk (0·60 [0·41-0·90]). We found no significant safety signals regarding atypical infections. Six infection-related deaths occurred at a median of 121 days (IQR 60-151) days from cohort entry.

INTERPRETATION

In patients with moderate-to-severe SLE, rituximab, belimumab, and standard immunosuppressive therapy have similar serious infection risks. Key risk factors for serious infections included multimorbidity, hypogammaglobulinaemia, and increased glucocorticoid doses. When considering the risk of serious infection, we propose that immunosupppressives, rituximab, and belimumab should be prioritised as mainstay therapies to optimise SLE management and support proactive minimisation of glucocorticoid use.

FUNDING

None.

Patterns of Outpatient Phecodes Predating the Diagnosis of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in Taiwanese Women

Shortening the time to diagnosis and initiating early treatment are imperative to improve outcomes in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The aim of this case-control study, based on the data from the Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), was to investigate the patterns of diagnoses of disease phenotypes in female patients with SLE up to eight years prior to its definitive diagnosis. The 547 cases were selected from the 2000–2012 NHIRD catastrophic illness datafile and frequency-matched with 2188 controls. The primary diagnosis based on the first ICD-9-CM code for each outpatient visit was converted to Phecodes. Separate regression models, based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) regularization, with seven different lag periods from 1–2 to 7–8 years, were conducted. Results showed that SLE was associated with 46 disease phenotypes in a lag period of 2–3 years, but fewer in other lag periods. A number of SLE-associated disease phenotypes, such as primary thrombocytopenia, thyroid diseases, Raynaud’s syndrome, renal disease, and several infectious diseases, occurred mainly in the first few years prior to SLE diagnosis. In conclusion, SLE should be suspected when the disease phenotypes identified in the present study occurred concomitantly.