Serum bilirubin levels on ICU admission are associated with ARDS development and mortality in sepsis

Hepatic function markers as prognostic factors in patients with acute kidney injury undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy

Acute kidney injury (AKI) requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), secondary to cardiovascular disease and sepsis, is associated with high in-hospital mortality. Although studies have examined cardiovascular disease and sepsis in AKI, the association between AKI and hepatic functional impairment remains unclear. We hypothesized that hepatic function markers would predict mortality in patients undergoing CRRT. We included 1,899 CRRT patients from a multi-centre database. In Phase 1, participants were classified according to the total bilirubin (T-Bil) levels on the day of, and 3 days after, CRRT initiation: T-Bil < 1.2, 1.2 ≤ T-Bil < 2, and T-Bil ≥ 2 mg/dL. In Phase 2, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to examine the effect of a T-Bil cutoff of 1.2 mg/dL (supported by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score); creating two groups based on a T-Bil cutoff of 1.2 mg/dL 3 days after CRRT initiation. The primary endpoint was total mortality 90 days after CRRT initiation, which was 34.7% (n = 571). In Phase 1, the T-Bil, aspartate transaminase (AST), alanine transaminase (ALT), and AST/ALT (De Ritis ratio) levels at CRRT initiation were not associated with the prognosis, while T-Bil, AST, and the De Ritis ratio 3 days after CRRT initiation were independent factors. In Phase 2, T-Bil ≥1.2 mg/dL on day 3 was a significant independent prognostic factor, even after PSM [hazard ratio: 2.41 (95% CI; 1.84-3.17), p < 0.001]. T-Bil ≥1.2 mg/dL 3 days after CRRT initiation predicted 90-day mortality. Changes in hepatic function markers in acute renal failure may enable stratification of high-risk patients.

Bilirubin influences the predictive effect of body mass index on hospital mortality in critically ill patients

Introduction

Body mass index (BMI) can predict mortality in critically ill patients. Moreover, mortality is related to increased bilirubin levels. Thus, herein, we aimed to investigate the effect of bilirubin levels on the usefulness of BMI in predicting mortality in critically ill patients.

Methods

Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC IV) database. Patients were divided into two groups according to their total bilirubin levels within 24 h. Cox proportional hazard regression models were applied to obtain adjusted hazard ratios and 95 % confidence intervals for the correlation between BMI categories and hospital mortality. The dose-response relationship was flexibly modeled using a restricted cubic spline (RCS) with three knots.

Results

Of the 14376 patients included, 3.4 % were underweight, 29.3 % were of normal body weight, 32.2 % were overweight, and 35.1 % were obese. For patients with total bilirubin levels <2 mg/dL, hospital mortality was significantly lower in patients with obesity than in normal body weight patients (p < 0.05). However, the opposite results were observed for patients with total bilirubin levels ≥2 mg/dL. The Cox proportional hazard regression models suggested that the risk of death was lower in patients with overweightness and obesity than in normal body weight patients when the total bilirubin levels were <2 mg/dL, but not in the other case (total bilirubin levels ≥2 mg/dL). RCS analyses showed that, for patients with total bilirubin levels <2 mg/dL, the risk of death gradually decreased with increasing BMI. Conversely, for patients with total bilirubin levels ≥2 mg/dL, this risk did not decrease with increasing BMI until reaching obesity, after which it increased rapidly.

Conclusion

BMI predicted the risk of death differently in critically ill patients with different bilirubin levels.

Inflammatory liver diseases and susceptibility to sepsis

Patients with inflammatory liver diseases, particularly alcohol-associated liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), have higher incidence of infections and mortality rate due to sepsis. The current focus in the development of drugs for MAFLD is the resolution of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and prevention of progression to cirrhosis. In patients with cirrhosis or alcoholic hepatitis, sepsis is a major cause of death. As the metabolic center and a key immune tissue, liver is the guardian, modifier, and target of sepsis. Septic patients with liver dysfunction have the highest mortality rate compared with other organ dysfunctions. In addition to maintaining metabolic homeostasis, the liver produces and secretes hepatokines and acute phase proteins (APPs) essential in tissue protection, immunomodulation, and coagulation. Inflammatory liver diseases cause profound metabolic disorder and impairment of energy metabolism, liver regeneration, and production/secretion of APPs and hepatokines. Herein, the author reviews the roles of (1) disorders in the metabolism of glucose, fatty acids, ketone bodies, and amino acids as well as the clearance of ammonia and lactate in the pathogenesis of inflammatory liver diseases and sepsis; (2) cytokines/chemokines in inflammatory liver diseases and sepsis; (3) APPs and hepatokines in the protection against tissue injury and infections; and (4) major nuclear receptors/signaling pathways underlying the metabolic disorders and tissue injuries as well as the major drug targets for inflammatory liver diseases and sepsis. Approaches that focus on the liver dysfunction and regeneration will not only treat inflammatory liver diseases but also prevent the development of severe infections and sepsis.

DERIVATION OF A MORTALITY PREDICTION MODEL IN CRITICAL CARE PATIENTS WITH CIRRHOSIS AND SEPSIS

ABSTRACT

Objective : The aim of the study is to develop a predictive model for in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and sepsis, using clinical and laboratory data. Design : This is a retrospective cohort study. Setting: Medical and mixed intensive care units (ICUs) of a tertiary medical center. Patients : Cirrhotic adults were admitted with sepsis to the ICUs from January of 2007 to May of 2017. Interventions : None. Measurements and Main Results : Of 2,595 ICU admissions of patients with cirrhosis, 277 with first ICU admission for sepsis were included in the analysis, and 37% died in the hospital. Patients who stayed in the ICU for at least 6 h (n = 275) were considered for the multivariate model. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to estimate best parameter values and model performance, and the final model was chosen as the model maximizing area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve. Variables in order of impact were Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III score, initial serum lactate, conjugated bilirubin, serum creatinine, model for end-stage liver disease score, age, body mass index, and serum hemoglobin. The final best model from cross-validation presented an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.75, using a cut-point of 50% estimated probability, sensitivity and specificity were 0.46 and 0.90, respectively, with positive predictive value of 0.72 and negative predictive value of 0.74. These results were similar to the APACHE III only model (AUC = 0.74, sensitivity = 0.43, specificity = 0.89, positive predictive value = 0.69, negative predictive value = 0.73). Conclusion : The combination of initial serum lactate level, conjugated bilirubin, initial serum creatinine, model for end-stage liver disease score, age, body mass index, and serum hemoglobin did not yield meaningful improvement in the AUC and did not provide advantage over the APACHE III score for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and sepsis.

Developing and evaluating a predictive model for neonatal hyperbilirubinemia based on UGT1A1 gene polymorphism and clinical risk factors

Background

Neonatal hyperbilirubinemia (NHB) is one of the most common diseases in the neonatal period. Without timely diagnosis and treatment, it can lead to long-term complications. In severe cases, it may even result in fatality. The UGT1A1 gene and clinical risk factors play important roles in the development and progression of NHB.

Methods

In this study, we conducted a cohort study and analyzed 3258 newborns from the Jilin Women And Children Health Hospital in northern China, including 372 children with hyperbilirubinemia. We established a predictive model using a logistic regression model based on clinical risk factors and the polymorphism of the G211A locus in the UGT1A1 gene of newborns. Furthermore, the performance of the prediction model was evaluated using the ROC curve.

Results

The logistic regression model indicates that the following factors are associated with an increased risk of NHB: the time when stool turns yellow [P ≤ 0.001, OR 1.266 (95% CI: 1.125-1.425)]; neonatal cephalohematoma [P ≤ 0.001, OR 33.642 (95% CI: 21.823-51.861)]; hemolytic disease of newborn [P ≤ 0.001, OR 33.849 (95% CI: 18.589-61.636)]; neonatal weight loss [P ≤ 0.001, OR 11.275 (95% CI: 7.842-16.209)]; neonatal premature rupture of membranes (PROM) history [P = 0.021, OR 1.422 (95% CI: 1.056-1.917)]; genetic polymorphism at the UGT1A1 gene G211A locus. Gestational age is a protective factor [P ≤ 0.001, OR 0.766 (95% CI: 0.686-0.855)]. Compared to natural labor, cesarean section is a protective factor [P = 0.011, OR 0.711 (95% CI: 0.546-0.926)], while assisted delivery is a risk factor [P = 0.022, OR 2.207 (95% CI: 1.121-4.346)]. The area under the curve (AUC) of this prediction model is 0.804 (95% CI: 0.777-0.831), indicating good discrimination ability and value for predicting the risk of NHB after birth.

Conclusion

We have developed and evaluated a predictive model that combines UGT1A1 gene polymorphism and clinical risk factors for the first time. By using this nomogram and taking into account the results of serum total bilirubin measurement or transcutaneous bilirubin measurement, early prediction of the risk of neonatal hyperbilirubinemia can be achieved.

A simple mortality prediction model for sepsis patients in intensive care

Background

Sepsis is common in the intensive care unit (ICU). Two of the ICU's most widely used mortality prediction models are the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS-3) and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. We aimed to assess the mortality prediction performance of SAPS-3 and SOFA upon ICU admission for sepsis and find a simpler mortality prediction model for these patients to be used in clinical practice and when conducting studies.

Methods

A retrospective study of adult patients fulfilling the Sepsis-3 criteria admitted to four general ICUs was performed. A simple prognostic model was created using backward stepwise multivariate logistic regression. The area under the curve (AUC) of SAPS-3, SOFA and the simple model was assessed.

Results

One thousand nine hundred eighty four admissions were included. A simple six-parameter model consisting of age, immunosuppression, Glasgow Coma Scale, body temperature, C-reactive protein and bilirubin had an AUC of 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.75) for 30-day mortality, which was non-inferior to SAPS-3 (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.72-0.77) (p = 0.071). SOFA had an AUC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.64-0.70) and was inferior to SAPS-3 (p < 0.001) and our simple model (p = 0.0019).

Conclusion

SAPS-3 has a lower prognostic value in sepsis than in the general ICU population. SOFA performs less well than SAPS-3. Our simple six-parameter model predicts mortality just as well as SAPS-3 upon ICU admission for sepsis, allowing the design of simple studies and performance monitoring.

Association of Different Total Bilirubin Levels with Prognosis of Peritoneal Dialysis-Associated Peritonitis

Background and Objectives: Peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (PDAP) poses significant challenges in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patient management and outcomes. Total bilirubin has gained attention due to its antioxidant and immunomodulatory properties. However, its relationship with PDAP prognosis remains underexplored. Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective single-center study involving 243 PDAP patients stratified into tertile-based groups according to total bilirubin levels. The association between total bilirubin levels and treatment failure risk was investigated through statistical analyses and restricted cubic spline curve analysis. Results: Our analysis revealed a non-linear correlation between total bilirubin levels and PDAP treatment failure risk. At total bilirubin levels below 8.24 µmol/L, a protective effect was observed, while levels exceeding this threshold heightened the risk of treatment failure. Conclusions: This study unveils a dual role of total bilirubin in PDAP prognosis. Below a certain threshold, it confers protection, while higher levels exacerbate the risk of treatment failure. These findings emphasize the need for further investigation in larger, multicenter prospective studies to validate and elucidate the mechanisms behind bilirubin's impact on PDAP, potentially guiding the development of targeted therapeutic strategies.

Genetic Polymorphisms of UDP-Glucuronosyltransferases and Susceptibility to Antituberculosis Drug-Induced Liver Injury: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Methods

The PRISMA statement was strictly followed, and the protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022339317). The PICOS framework was used: patients received antituberculosis treatment, UGTs polymorphisms (mutants), UGTs polymorphisms (wild), AT-DILI, and case-control studies. Eligible studies were searched through nine databases up to April 27, 2022. The study's qualities were assessed by the revised Little's recommendations. Meta-analysis was conducted with a random-effects model using odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) as the effect size.

Results

Twelve case-control studies with 2128 cases and 4338 controls were included, and 32 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the seven UGT genes have been reported in Chinese and Korean. All studies were judged as high quality. The pooled results indicated that UGT1A1 rs3755319 (AC vs. AA, OR = 1.454, 95% CI: 1.100-1.921, P = 0.009), UGT2B7 rs7662029 (G vs. A, OR = 1.547, 95% CI: 1.249-1.917, P < 0.0001; GG + AG vs. AA, OR = 2.371, 95% CI: 1.779-3.160, P < 0.0001; AG vs. AA, OR = 2.686, 95% CI: 1.988-3.627, P < 0.0001), and UGT2B7 rs7439366 (C vs. T, OR = 0.585, 95% CI: 0.477-0.717, P < 0.0001; CC + TC vs. TT, OR = 0.347, 95% CI: 0.238-0.506, P < 0.0001; CC vs. TC + TT, OR = 0.675, 95% CI: 0.507-0.898, P = 0.007) might be associated with the risk of AT-DILI.

Conclusions

The polymorphisms of UGT1A1 rs3755319, UGT2B7 rs7662029, and UGT2B7 rs7439366 were significantly associated with AT-DILI susceptibility. However, this conclusion should be interpreted with caution due to the low number of studies and the relatively small sample size.

Hyperbilirubinemia as a Risk Factor for Mortality and Morbidity in Trauma Patients

Hyperbilirubinemia is frequently reported in trauma patients. However, few studies have investigated the effects of hyperbilirubinemia on patients' clinical trajectories. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between hyperbilirubinemia and patient outcomes following trauma. Our study included 387 patients who were admitted to the trauma bay with severe trauma between January 2017 and December 2021. We categorized patients into two groups based on their peak bilirubin levels: the low-bilirubin (LB) group, with levels below 3 mg/dL, and the high-bilirubin (HB) group, with levels above 3 mg/dL. We then compared the rates of complications and mortality between these two groups. The incidence of pneumonia (10.8% vs. 32.3%, p < 0.001), acute kidney injury (AKI) (2.8% vs. 19.2%, p < 0.001), sepsis (2.8% vs. 10.1%, p = 0.003), and wound infections (8.3% vs. 30.3%, p < 0.001) was significantly higher in the HB group. Additionally, the mortality rate was significantly higher (4.2% vs. 10.1%, p = 0.028) in the HB group. Multivariate analysis revealed that the higher the bilirubin level, the greater the risk of complications (pneumonia: odds ratio [OR] = 3.238; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.68-6.22; p < 0.001, AKI: OR = 4.718; 95% CI = 1.65-13.44; p = 0.004, sepsis: OR = 3.087; 95% CI = 1.00-9.52; p = 0.04, wound infection: OR = 3.995; 95% CI = 2.073-7.700; p < 0.001). In conclusion, hyperbilirubinemia was associated with poorer outcomes in trauma patients.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in patients with sepsis and septic shock

OBJECTIVE

The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Limited data regarding the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in patients suffering from sepsis or septic shock is available.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from day of disease onset (day 1), day 2, 3, 5 and 7. First, the diagnostic value of the AST/ALT ratio was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis. Second, the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio was tested for 30-d all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, as well as multivariable mixed analysis of variance (ANOVA), Cox proportional regression analyses and propensity score matching.

RESULTS

A total of 289 patients were included, of which 55% had sepsis and 45% septic shock. The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 d was 53%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.651 on day 1 and 0.794 on day 7, the AST/ALT ratio revealed moderate but better diagnostic discrimination of septic shock compared to bilirubin. Furthermore, the AST/ALT ratio was able to discriminate 30-d all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.624; 95% CI 0.559 - 0.689; p = 0.001). Patients with an AST/ALT ratio above the median (>1.8) had higher rates of 30-d all-cause mortality compared to lower values (mortality rate 63 vs. 43%; log-rank p = 0.001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.703; 95% CI 1.182 - 2.453; p = 0.004) and propensity score matching.

CONCLUSIONS

The AST/ALT was a reliable diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of septic shock as well as a reliable tool to predict 30-d all-cause mortality in patients suffering from sepsis and septic shock.

IDENTIFICATION OF SUBPHENOTYPES OF SEPSIS-ASSOCIATED LIVER DYSFUNCTION USING CLUSTER ANALYSIS

ABSTRACT

Objectives: We attempted to identify and validate the subphenotypes of sepsis-associated liver dysfunction (SALD) using routine clinical information. Design: This article is a retrospective observational cohort study. Setting: We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database and the eICU Collaborative Research Database. Patients: We included adult patients (age ≥18 years) who developed SALD within the first 48 hours of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. We excluded patients who died or were discharged from the ICU within the first 48 hours of admission. Patients with abnormal liver function before ICU admission were also excluded. Measurements and Main Results: Patients in the MIMIC-IV 1.0 database served as a derivation cohort. Patients in the eICU database were used as validation cohort. We identified four subphenotypes of SALD (subphenotype α, β, γ, δ) using K-means cluster analysis in 5234 patients in derivation cohort. The baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared between the phenotypes using one-way analysis of variance/Kruskal-Wallis test and the χ 2 test. Moreover, we used line charts to illustrate the trend of liver function parameters over 14 days after ICU admission. Subphenotype α (n = 1,055) was the most severe cluster, characterized by shock with multiple organ dysfunction (MODS) group. Subphenotype β (n = 1,179) had the highest median bilirubin level and the highest proportion of patients with underlying liver disease and coexisting coagulopathy (increased bilirubin group). Subphenotype γ (n = 1,661) was the cluster with the highest mean age and had the highest proportion of patients with chronic kidney disease (aged group). Subphenotype δ (n = 1,683) had the lowest 28-day and in-hospital mortality (mild group). The characteristics of clusters in the validation cohort were similar to those in the derivation cohort. In addition, we were surprised to find that GGT levels in subphenotype δ were significantly higher than in other subphenotypes, showing a different pattern from bilirubin. Conclusions: We identified four subphenotypes of SALD that presented with different clinical features and outcomes. These results can provide a valuable reference for understanding the clinical characteristics and associated outcomes to improve the management of patients with SALD in the ICU.

Association of serum total bilirubin and potential predictors with mortality in acute respiratory failure: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Total serum bilirubin (TBIL) levels are a risk factor in critically ill patients. However, the relationship between the dynamics of TBIL and the prognosis of acute respiratory failure (ARF) patients is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate the impact of different levels of TBIL during hospitalization on mortality in ARF patients.

METHODS

This study used a retrospective cohort study. We extracted information on ARF patients from the Medical Information Bank for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III (version 1.4). We used propensity score matching (PSM) to adjust for the level of potential baseline-level differences between groups. Cox regression was used to analyze mortality risk factors in patients with ARF. Subgroup analysis was used to explore special populations.

RESULTS

2673 patients were included in the study, and 19.7% developed hyperbilirubinemia (TBIL ≥ 2 mg/dL) during their hospitalization. After PSM, multivariate Cox regression showed a 50% and 135% increased risk of death for a maximum value of TBIL ≥ 5 mg/dL and minimum value of TBIL ≥ 2 mg/dL during hospitalization, respectively, compared to the control population. In addition, age ≥ 65 years, previous comorbid malignancies, respiratory rate ≥ 22 beats/min, SpO2 ≥ 95, BUN ≥ 20 mg/dL, lactate ≥ 5 mmol/L, platelet < 100 * 10 ^ 9/L were independent risk factors for 1-year mortality in ARF patients. Subgroup analysis showed that high bilirubin had a greater effect on patients aged less than 65 years (P for interaction < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Hyper TBIL (TBIL max ≥ 5 mg/dL or TBIL min ≥ 2 mg/dL) was an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality in patients with ARF. This study suggests that clinicians should be aware of TBIL levels and intervene early in these patients.

Total bilirubin is associated with all-cause mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome: a retrospective study

Background

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a life-threatening disease for which biomarkers to predict mortality are needed. Total bilirubin (TBIL), an end-product of hemoglobin catabolism in mammals reflecting liver dysfunction, has been demonstrated as an independent risk indicator for critically ill patients. This study aimed to examine whether TBIL on intensive care unit (ICU) admission is associated with ARDS mortality.

Methods

We analyzed the data of patients diagnosed with ARDS according to the Berlin definition from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The primary endpoint was 30-day ICU mortality after admission to the ICU, and the second endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic analysis adjusted for potential confounders was used to determine the association between TBIL and short-term mortality.

Results

Of 1,539 ARDS patients enrolled, 261 patients died within 30 days of admission to the ICU. In the multivariable logistic analysis, each 1 g/dL increase in TBIL levels led to a 4% increase in the odds of 30-day ICU mortality [adjusted odds ratio (OR) =0.04; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.01 to 0.08] and a 4% increase in the odds of in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR =0.04; 95% CI: 0.01 to 0.07). Furthermore, TBIL levels ≥2 mg/dL were significantly associated with 30-day ICU mortality (adjusted OR =1.51, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.07) and in-hospital mortality (OR =1.41; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.87). Similarly, associations between serum TBIL levels and 30-day ICU mortality were found in all subgroups stratified by comorbidities, the severity of ARDS, and other variables.

Conclusions

A higher serum TBIL on ICU admission was independently associated with mortality in ARDS patients. Intensive care and observation should be provided to ARDS patients with increased TBIL.

Utility of the Modified Nutritional Risk in the Critically ill Score as an Outcome Predictor in All-Cause Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Acute Febrile Illness-Induced Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

Introduction

Nutritional risk in the Critically Ill (NUTRIC) score is a predictor of adverse outcomes in the critically ill, and its utility in a specific population of critically ill has been recommended. We aimed to study the utility of modified NUTRIC (mNUTRIC) score as a mortality predictor in acute febrile illness (AFI)-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and all-cause ARDS patients.

Methods

We recorded data from two prospective observational ARDS studies conducted at a single-center tertiary care hospital to evaluate the utility of the mNUTRIC score as an independent mortality predictor in all-cause ARDS and AFI-ARDS. A total of 216 all-cause ARDS patients were included, of which 73 were AFI-ARDS and 143 were non-AFI ARDS.

Results

Mortality of AFI-ARDS was 16/73 (21.9%) compared to 62/143 (43.35%) in non-AFI ARDS (P = 0.002). There were no significant differences in severity of ARDS in AFI-ARDS and non-AFI ARDS groups (P = 0.504). The mNUTRIC score was found to be an independent predictor of mortality in all-cause ARDS patients (n = 216) and AFI-ARDS patients (n = 73) after Cox regression multivariable analysis. In all-cause ARDS, the mNUTRIC score had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.778, cutoff ≥4, 82.1% sensitivity, and 65.9% specificity as a predictor of mortality. In AFI-ARDS, the mNUTRIC score had an AUC of 0.769, cutoff ≥4, 81.3% sensitivity, 66.67% specificity, and P = 0.001 as a predictor of mortality.

Conclusion

The mNUTRIC score is an independent mortality predictor for all-cause ARDS and AFI-ARDS patients. AFI-ARDS has significantly lesser mortality than non-AFI ARDS.

Immunomodulation by Hemoadsorption—Changes in Hepatic Biotransformation Capacity in Sepsis and Septic Shock: A Prospective Study

Background: Sepsis is often associated with liver dysfunction, which is an indicator of poor outcomes. Specific diagnostic tools that detect hepatic dysfunction in its early stages are scarce. So far, the immune modulatory effects of hemoadsorption with CytoSorb^® on liver function are unclear. Method: We assessed the hepatic function by using the dynamic LiMAx^® test and biochemical parameters in 21 patients with sepsis or septic shock receiving CytoSorb^® in a prospective, observational study. Points of measurement: T₁: diagnosis of sepsis or septic shock; T₂ and T₃: 24 h and 48 h after the start of CytoSorb^®; T₄: 24 h after termination of CytoSorb^®. Results: The hepatic biotransformation capacity measured by LiMAx^® was severely impaired in up to 95 % of patients. Despite a rapid shock reversal under CytoSorb^®, a significant improvement in LiMAx^® values appeared from T₃ to T₄. This decline and recovery of liver function were not reflected by common parameters of hepatic metabolism that remained mostly within the normal range. Conclusions: Hepatic dysfunction can effectively and safely be diagnosed with LiMAx^® in ventilated ICU patients under CytoSorb^®. Various static liver parameters are of limited use since they do not adequately reflect hepatic dysfunction and impaired hepatic metabolism.

Incidence and Outcome of Patients with Cardiogenic Shock and Detection of Herpes Simplex Virus in the Lower Respiratory Tract

(1) Herpes simplex virus (HSV) reactivation in critically ill patients can cause infection in the lower respiratory tract, prolonging mechanical ventilation. However, the association of HSV reactivation with cardiogenic shock (CS) is unclear. As CS is often accompanied by pulmonary congestion and reduced immune system activity, the aim of our study was to determine the incidence and outcome of HSV reactivation in these patients. (2) In this retrospective, single-center study, bronchial lavage (BL) was performed on 181 out of 837 CS patients with mechanical ventilation. (3) In 44 of those patients, HSV was detected with a median time interval of 11 days since intubation. The occurrence of HSV was associated with an increase in C-reactive protein and the fraction of inspired oxygen at the time of HSV detection. Arterial hypertension, bilirubin on ICU admission, the duration of mechanical ventilation and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest were associated with HSV reactivation. (4) HSV reactivation could be detected in 24.3% of patients with CS on whom BL was performed, and its occurrence should be considered in patients with prolonged mechanical ventilation. Due to the limited current evidence, the initiation of treatment for these patients remains an individual choice. Dedicated randomized studies are necessary to investigate the efficacy of antiviral therapy.

Novel Function for Bilirubin as a Metabolic Signaling Molecule: Implications for Kidney Diseases

Bilirubin is the end product of the catabolism of heme via the heme oxygenase pathway. Heme oxygenase generates carbon monoxide (CO) and biliverdin from the breakdown of heme, and biliverdin is rapidly reduced to bilirubin by the enzyme biliverdin reductase (BVR). Bilirubin has long been thought of as a toxic product that is only relevant to health when blood levels are severely elevated, such as in clinical jaundice. The physiologic functions of bilirubin correlate with the growing body of evidence demonstrating the protective effects of serum bilirubin against cardiovascular and metabolic diseases. Although the correlative evidence suggests a protective effect of serum bilirubin against many diseases, the mechanism by which bilirubin offers protection against cardiovascular and metabolic diseases remains unanswered. We recently discovered a novel function for bilirubin as a signaling molecule capable of activating the peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor α (PPARα) transcription factor. This review summarizes the new finding of bilirubin as a signaling molecule and proposes several mechanisms by which this novel action of bilirubin may protect against cardiovascular and kidney diseases.

Biomarkers Predicting Tissue Pharmacokinetics of Antimicrobials in Sepsis: A Review

The pathophysiology of sepsis alters drug pharmacokinetics, resulting in inadequate drug exposure and target-site concentration. Suboptimal exposure leads to treatment failure and the development of antimicrobial resistance. Therefore, we seek to optimize antimicrobial therapy in sepsis by selecting the right drug and the correct dosage. A prerequisite for achieving this goal is characterization and understanding of the mechanisms of pharmacokinetic alterations. However, most infections take place not in blood but in different body compartments. Since tissue pharmacokinetic assessment is not feasible in daily practice, we need to tailor antibiotic treatment according to the specific patient’s pathophysiological processes. The complex pathophysiology of sepsis and the ineffectiveness of current targeted therapies suggest that treatments guided by biomarkers predicting target-site concentration could provide a new therapeutic strategy. Inflammation, endothelial and coagulation activation markers, and blood flow parameters might be indicators of impaired tissue distribution. Moreover, hepatic and renal dysfunction biomarkers can predict not only drug metabolism and clearance but also drug distribution. Identification of the right biomarkers can direct drug dosing and provide timely feedback on its effectiveness. Therefore, this might decrease antibiotic resistance and the mortality of critically ill patients. This article fills the literature gap by characterizing patient biomarkers that might be used to predict unbound plasma-to-tissue drug distribution in critically ill patients. Although all biomarkers must be clinically evaluated with the ultimate goal of combining them in a clinically feasible scoring system, we support the concept that the appropriate biomarkers could be used to direct targeted antibiotic dosing.

Identification of RAGE and OSM as New Prognosis Biomarkers of Severe Pneumonia

Objective

To investigate efficiency of RAGE and OSM as new prognosis biomarkers of severe pneumonia.

Methods

Eligible patients were classified into hypoxemia and nonhypoxemia groups. Meanwhile, the same cohort was divided into survival and nonsurvival groups after a post-hospital stay of 30 days. We analyzed risk factors for the hypoxia and death among these patients.

Results

Compared with nonsurvival group, significant increase was noticed in PH, lymphocyte, albumin and platelet level in survival group, while significant decline was noticed in neutrophils, RBC, hemoglobin, hematocrit, creatinine, total bilirubin, CRP, PCT, OSM, RAGE and neutrophils/lymphocyte level. Oxygenation index level was related to APACHE II, LIS, SOFA, NUTRIC score, WBC, neutrophils, lymphocyte, RAGE, and albumin level (p < 0.05). LIS, SOFA, NUTRIC score, lac, lymphocyte, platelet, BUN, total bilirubin, PCT, and OSM levels were associated with mortality rate (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

RAGE and OSM may serve as a new biomarker for poor prognosis in pneumonia patients.

Non-linear and Interaction Analyses of Biomarkers for Organ Dysfunctions as Predictive Markers for Sepsis: A Nationwide Retrospective Study

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is predominantly used to assess the severity of organ dysfunction in sepsis. However, differences in prognostic value between SOFA subscores have not been sufficiently evaluated. This retrospective observational study used a large-scale database containing about 30 million patients. Among them, we included 38,869 adult patients with sepsis from 2006 to 2019. The cardiovascular and neurological subscores were calculated by a modified method. Associations between the biomarkers of the SOFA components and mortality were examined using restricted cubic spline analyses, which showed that an increase in the total modified SOFA score was linearly associated with increased mortality. However, the prognostic association of subscores varied widely: platelet count showed a J-shaped association, creatinine showed an inverted J-shaped association, and bilirubin showed only a weak association. We also evaluated interaction effects on mortality between an increase of one subscore and another. The joint odds ratios on mortality of two modified SOFA subscores were synergistically increased compared to the sum of the single odds ratios, especially in cardiovascular-neurological, coagulation-hepatic, and renal-hepatic combinations. In conclusion, total modified SOFA score was associated with increased mortality despite the varied prognostic associations of the subscores, possibly because interactions between subscores synergistically enhanced prognostic accuracy.

Impact of Ursodeoxycholic Acid in Critically Ill Patients With Sepsis: A Retrospective Study

Background: Using ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in critically ill patients as adjunctive therapy for sepsis/septic shock in neonates and children is controversial, while it has not been extensively investigated in adults. This study aims to assess the effect of UDCA use on the early resolution of sepsis/septic shock in critically ill adult patients. Method: A retrospective study of critically ill adult patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) admitted with sepsis/septic shock at King Abdulaziz Medical City. Based on their usage of UDCA, patients were categorized into two groups. A total of 88 patients were included for analysis after matching, based on severity of illness scores within 24-hours of ICU admission. The primary outcome was to assess the effect of UDCA on the severity and resolution of shock at day three of ICU admission. The secondary outcomes were 30-day in-hospital mortality, mechanical ventilation (MV) duration, and ICU length of stay (LOS). Results: Out of the 88 patients matched, 44 patients (50%) received UDCA during the study period. Using UDCA was neither associated with improvement in Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ( p-value: 0.32), inotropes/vasopressors requirement ( p-value: 0.79), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ( p-value: 0.59) nor total bilirubin levels ( p-value: 0.79) at day three compared with the control. There was a significant association between using UDCA and improvement in PaO2/FiO2 ratio ( p-value: 0.01) and early extubation at day three ( p-value: 0.04). Conclusion: Using UDCA in critically ill patients with sepsis/septic shock was not associated with improvement in shock severity and resolution. However, patients who received UDCA were more likely to be extubated and not require MV on day three of ICU admission.

Establishment and validation of the predictive model for the in-hospital death in patients with sepsis

BACKGROUND

Identifying sepsis patients with risk of in-hospital death early can improve the prognosis of patients. This study aimed to develop a model to predict in-hospital death of sepsis patients based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅲ (MIMIC-Ⅲ) database, and use clinical data to externally validate the model.

METHODS

A total of 1,839 sepsis patients were used for model development, and 125 clinical cases were used for external validation. The discriminatory ability of the model was determined by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

The AUC of the random forest model and logistic regression model was 0.754 (95%CI, 0.732-0.776) and 0.703 (95%CI, 0.680-0.727), respectively, and the random forest model had higher AUC (Z = 3.070, P = .002). External validation showed that the AUC of the random forest model was 0.539 (95%CI, 0.440-0.628). Further validation was carried out according to gender and SOFA score. The AUC of the model in males and females was 0.648 and 0.412, respectively. In addition, the AUC of the model in the population with SOFA scores of 3-8, 9-12, and 13-15 were 0.705, 0.495, and 0.769, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The random forest model had a better predictive ability and a good applicability to external populations with SOFA score of 13-15.

Understanding the complexity of sepsis mortality prediction via rule discovery and analysis: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Sepsis, defined as life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection, has become one of the major causes of death in Intensive Care Units (ICUs). The heterogeneity and complexity of this syndrome lead to the absence of golden standards for its diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis. The early prediction of in-hospital mortality for sepsis patients is not only meaningful to medical decision making, but more importantly, relates to the well-being of patients.

METHODS

In this paper, a rule discovery and analysis (rule-based) method is used to predict the in-hospital death events of 2021 ICU patients diagnosed with sepsis using the MIMIC-III database. The method mainly includes two phases: rule discovery phase and rule analysis phase. In the rule discovery phase, the RuleFit method is employed to mine multiple hidden rules which are capable to predict individual in-hospital death events. In the rule analysis phase, survival analysis and decomposition analysis are carried out to test and justify the risk prediction ability of these rules. Then by leveraging a subset of these rules, we establish a prediction model that is both more accurate at the in-hospital death prediction task and more interpretable than most comparable methods.

RESULTS

In our experiment, RuleFit generates 77 risk prediction rules, and the average area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction model based on 62 of these rules reaches 0.781 ([Formula: see text]) which is comparable to or even better than the AUC of existing methods (i.e., commonly used medical scoring system and benchmark machine learning models). External validation of the prediction power of these 62 rules on another 1468 sepsis patients not included in MIMIC-III in ICU provides further supporting evidence for the superiority of the rule-based method. In addition, we discuss and explain in detail the rules with better risk prediction ability. Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), serum potassium, and serum bilirubin are found to be the most important risk factors for predicting patient death.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates that, with the rule-based method, we could not only make accurate prediction on in-hospital death events of sepsis patients, but also reveal the complex relationship between sepsis-related risk factors through the rules themselves, so as to improve our understanding of the complexity of sepsis as well as its population.

Serum Total Bilirubin Level Is Associated With Hospital Mortality Rate in Adult Critically Ill Patients: A Retrospective Study

Background: Serum bilirubin level has been suggested to be associated with mortality for patients with severe sepsis. This study aimed to investigate the association of serum total bilirubin level with hospital mortality rate in adult critically ill patients.

Method: Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database. Patients with measured serum total bilirubin levels that recorded within 24 h after admission were involved in this study. Association of serum total bilirubin level and hospital mortality rate was assessed using logistic regression analysis. Propensity score-matching (PSM) was used to minimize differences between different groups.

Results: A total of 12,035 critically ill patients were herein involved. In patients with serum total bilirubin level ≥ 2 mg/dL, the hospital mortality rate was 31.9% compared with 17.0% for patients with serum total bilirubin level < 2 mg/dL (546/1714 vs. 1750/10321, P < 0.001). The results of multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that the odds ratio of mortality in patients with serum total bilirubin level ≥ 2 mg/dL was 1.654 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.307, 2.093, P < 0.001]. After propensity score matching, in patients with serum total bilirubin level ≥ 2 mg/dL, the weighted hospital mortality rate was 32.2% compared with 24.8% for patients with serum total bilirubin level < 2 mg/dL, P = 0.001).

Conclusions: Serum total bilirubin concentration was found to be independently associated with hospital mortality rate in adult critically ill patients.

The Hyperbilirubinemia and Potential Predictors Influence on Long-Term Outcomes in Sepsis: A Population-Based Propensity Score-Matched Study

Objective: Although hyperbilirubinemia has been associated with mortality in patients who are critically ill, yet no clinical studies dissect the effect of dynamic change of hyperbilirubinemia on long-term septic prognosis. The study aims to investigate the specific stages of hyperbilirubinemia and potential risk factors on long-term outcomes in patients with sepsis. Methods: In this retrospective observational cohort study, patients with sepsis, without previous chronic liver diseases, were identified from the Medical Information Mart for the Intensive Care III MIMIC-III database. We used propensity scores (PS) to adjust the baseline differences in septic patients with hyperbilirubinemia or not. The multivariate Cox was employed to investigate the predictors that influence a clinical outcome in sepsis. Results: Of 2,784 patients with sepsis, hyperbilirubinemia occurred in 544 patients (19.5%). After PS matching, a survival curve demonstrated that patients with sepsis with the new onset of total bilirubin (TBIL) levels more than or equal to 5 mg/dl survived at significantly lower rates than those with TBIL levels <5 mg/dl. Multivariate Cox hazard analysis showed that patients with TBIL at more than or equal to 5 mg/dl during sepsis exhibit 1.608 times (95% CI: 1.228-2.106) higher risk of 1-year mortality than those with TBIL levels <5 mg/dl. Also, age above 65 years old, preexisting malignancy, a respiratory rate above 30 beats/min at admission, serum parameters levels within 24-h admission, containing international normalized ratio (INR) above 1.5, platelet <50^*10^∧9/L, lactate above 4 mmol/L, and bicarbonate <22 or above 29 mmol/L are the independent risk factors for long-term mortality of patients with sepsis. Conclusions: After PS matching, serum TBIL levels at more than or equal to 5 mg/dl during hospitality are associated with increased long-term mortality for patients with sepsis. This study may provide clinicians with some cutoff values for early intervention, which may improve the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

A new parameter for predict the clinical outcome of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia: The direct/total bilirubin ratio

AIM

An urgent need to define clinical and laboratory parameters to predict progression to the severe and lethal forms of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). To investigate the direct/total bilirubin ratio (D/TBil), as a novel parameter, to predict the poor survival of COVID-19 Pneumonia.

METHODS

The clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters of hospitalised COVID-19 pneumonia patients were analysed from 20 March to August 1, 2020, in a tertiary hospital, retrospectively. All remarkable variables were selected for a forward stepwise binary logistic regression analysis to define the independent risk factors for mortality.

RESULTS

537 (248 women and 289 men) patients were separated into two groups for analysis: survivors vs deceased. The mean age of the deceased group was statistically significantly higher than the survivor group 72 (30-92) years vs 50 (18-97) years (P < .001). D/TBil, age, gender, hypertension and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) variables contributed significantly to the binary logistic regression model. The mortality risk increased 14.6 times in patients with D/TBil > 0.5, and 2.4 times in patients with NLR > 4.

CONCLUSION

D/TBil > 0.5 was associated with a novel parameter to poor survival of COVID-19 on admission. Also, the combination of age, gender, the presence of hypertension, D/TBil and NLR contributed significantly to predicting the poor survival of COVID-19.

MELD Score Predicts Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Venovenous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) is increasingly being used in the management of severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The Respiratory ECMO Survival Prediction (RESP) score is most commonly used to predict survival of patients undergoing ECMO. However, the RESP score does not incorporate renal and hepatic dysfunction which are frequently a part of the constellation of multiorgan dysfunction associated with ARDS. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) incorporates both liver and kidney dysfunction and is used in the risk stratification of liver transplant recipients as well as those undergoing cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of the MELD score in patients undergoing VV ECMO. Patients undergoing VV ECMO from 2016 to 2019 were extracted from our prospectively maintained institutional ECMO database and stratified based on MELD score. Baseline clinical, laboratory, and follow-up data, as well as post-ECMO outcomes, were compared. Of 71 patients, 50 patients (70.4%) had a MELD score <12 and 21 (29.6%) had a MELD score ≥12. The higher MELD score was associated with increased post-ECMO mortality but reduced risk of dialysis and tracheostomy. In multivariate analysis, higher MELD score (HR 1.35, 95% CI = 1.07-2.75), lower body surface area (HR 0.16, 0.04-0.65), RESP score (HR 0.75, 95% CI = 0.64-0.87), and platelet count (HR 0.99, 95% CI = 0.98-0.99), were significant predictors of postoperative mortality. We conclude that MELD score can be used complementarily to the RESP score to predict outcomes in patients with ARDS undergoing VV ECMO.

Artificial liver support systems

Artificial liver systems are used to bridge between transplantation or to allow a patient's liver to recover. They are used in patients with acute liver failure (ALF) and acute-on-chronic liver failure. There are five artificial systems currently in use: molecular adsorbent recirculating system (MARS), single-pass albumin dialysis (SPAD), Prometheus, selective plasma filtration therapy, and hemodiafiltration. The aim is to compare existing data on the efficiency of these devices. A literature search was conducted using online libraries. Inclusion criteria included randomized control trials or comparative human studies published after the year 2000. A systematic review was conducted for the five individual devices with a more detailed comparison of the biochemistry for the SPAD and MARS systems. Eighty-nine patients were involved in the review comparing SPAD and MARS. Results showed that there was an average reduction in bilirubin (-53 μmol/L in MARS and -50 μmol/L in SPAD), creatinine (-19.5 μmol/L in MARS and -7.5 μmol/L in SPAD), urea (-0.9 mmol/L in MARS and -0.75 mmol/L in SPAD), and gamma-glutamyl transferase (-0.215 μmol/L·s in MARS and -0.295 μmol/L·s in SPAD) in both SPAD and MARS. However, there was no significant difference between the changes in the two systems. This review demonstrated that both MARS and SPAD aid recovery of ALF. There is no difference between the efficiency of MARS and SPAD. Because of the limited data, there is a need for more randomized control trials. Evaluating cost and patient preference would aid in differentiating the systems.

Keep Your Friends Close, but Your Enemies Closer: Role of Acid Sphingomyelinase During Infection and Host Response

Breakdown of the inert and constitutive membrane building block sphingomyelin to the highly active lipid mediator ceramide by extracellularly active acid sphingomyelinase is tightly regulated during stress response and opens the gate for invading pathogens, triggering the immune response, development of remote organ failure, and tissue repair following severe infection. How do one enzyme and one mediator manage all of these affairs? Under physiological conditions, the enzyme is located in the lysosomes and takes part in the noiseless metabolism of sphingolipids, but following stress the protein is secreted into circulation. When secreted, acid sphingomyelinase (ASM) is able to hydrolyze sphingomyelin present at the outer leaflet of membranes to ceramide. Its generation troubles the biophysical context of cellular membranes resulting in functional assembly and reorganization of proteins and receptors, also embedded in highly conserved response mechanisms. As a consequence of cellular signaling, not only induction of cell death but also proliferation, differentiation, and fibrogenesis are affected. Here, we discuss the current state of the art on both the impact and function of the enzyme during host response and damage control. Also, the potential role of lysosomotropic agents as functional inhibitors of this upstream alarming cascade is highlighted.

Liver-lung interactions in acute respiratory distress syndrome

Patients with liver diseases are at high risk for the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The liver is an important organ that regulates a complex network of mediators and modulates organ interactions during inflammatory disorders. Liver function is increasingly recognized as a critical determinant of the pathogenesis and resolution of ARDS, significantly influencing the prognosis of these patients. The liver plays a central role in the synthesis of proteins, metabolism of toxins and drugs, and in the modulation of immunity and host defense. However, the tools for assessing liver function are limited in the clinical setting, and patients with liver diseases are frequently excluded from clinical studies of ARDS. Therefore, the mechanisms by which the liver participates in the pathogenesis of acute lung injury are not totally understood. Several functions of the liver, including endotoxin and bacterial clearance, release and clearance of pro-inflammatory cytokines and eicosanoids, and synthesis of acute-phase proteins can modulate lung injury in the setting of sepsis and other severe inflammatory diseases. In this review, we summarized clinical and experimental support for the notion that the liver critically regulates systemic and pulmonary responses following inflammatory insults. Although promoting inflammation can be detrimental in the context of acute lung injury, the liver response to an inflammatory insult is also pro-defense and pro-survival. A better understanding of the liver–lung axis will provide valuable insights into new diagnostic targets and therapeutic strategies for clinical intervention in patients with or at risk for ARDS.

Prevalence of acute liver dysfunction and impact on outcome in critically ill patients with hematological malignancies: a single-center retrospective cohort study

Patients with hematological malignancies (HM) often require ICU admission, and acute respiratory or renal failure are then independent risk factors for mortality. Data are scarce on acute liver dysfunction (ALD), despite HM patients cumulating risk factors. The objective of this retrospective cohort study was to assess the prevalence of ALD in critically ill HM patients and its impact on outcome. Data of all patients with HM admitted to the medical ICU between 2008 and 2018 were extracted from electronic medical records. ALD was defined by ALT > 165 U/L, AST > 230 U/L, or total bilirubin > 4 mg/dL. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to analyze hospital mortality. Charts of survivors with ALD were reviewed to assess impact of ALD on subsequent anti-cancer treatment. We included 971 patients (60% male), age 64 (54-72) years, of whom 196 (20%) developed ALD. ALD patients were younger, more frequently had liver cirrhosis or acute leukemia, and had increased severity of illness and vital organ support needs. ALD was associated with hospital mortality in univariate (OR 4.14, 95% CI 2.95-5.80, p < 0.001) and multivariate analysis (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.07-3.24, p = 0.03). Hospital mortality was 46% in ALD patients; among 106 survivors, a third of patients requiring therapy received it as previously planned, and half of the patients were alive at 1 year. In summary, in a large population of critically ill patients with hematological malignancies, 20% developed ALD, which was an independent risk factor for hospital mortality and occasionally altered further anti-cancer treatment.

Gender-related differences in the performance of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) to predict septic shock after percutaneous nephrolithotomy

The study aims to identify whether gender differences exist in the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score to the extent of affecting its predictive accuracy for septic shock after percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL). A retrospective study of 612 patients undergoing PCNL was performed. The SOFA scores of male and female groups were compared to identify any gender differences. The ROC curve was used to find differences between the original and adjusted SOFA scores. Postoperative septic shock developed in 21 (3.43%) cases. A marginally significant discrepancy in median SOFA scores between genders was discovered in a subgroup of patients < 40 years old (p = 0.048). A gender difference existed in the SOFA score after PCNL, with greater proportion of high scores in female patients (p = 0.011). Male patients had a higher proportion of ≥ 2 sub-score in hepatic and renal systems than female patients, caused by their higher preoperative bilirubin and creatinine (p < 0.05). An adjusted SOFA score was created to replace the original postoperative SOFA score with the perioperative changed values of bilirubin and creatinine. Performance of the adjusted SOFA score for predicting septic shock was comparable with the original SOFA score (AUC 0.987 vs. 0.985, p = 0.932). Under the premise of ensuring 100% sensitivity, the adjusted SOFA score reduced the 43.7% (31/71) false-positive rate for predicting septic shock compared with the original SOFA score. In conclusion, the gender should not be neglected when applying SOFA score for patients after PCNL. The adjusted SOFA score eliminates negative effects caused by gender differences in predicting septic shock.

Implementation of Complementary Model using Optimal Combination of Hematological Parameters for Sepsis Screening in Patients with Fever

The early detection and timely treatment are the most important factors for improving the outcome of patients with sepsis. Sepsis-related clinical score, such as SIRS, SOFA and LODS, were defined to identify patients with suspected infection and to predict severity and mortality. A few hematological parameters associated with organ dysfunction and infection were included in the score although various clinical pathology parameters (hematology, serum chemistry and plasma coagulation) in blood sample have been found to be associated with outcome in patients with sepsis. The investigation of the parameters facilitates the implementation of a complementary model for screening sepsis to existing sepsis clinical criteria and other laboratory signs. In this study, statistical analysis on the multiple clinical pathology parameters obtained from two groups, patients with sepsis and patients with fever, was performed and the complementary model was elaborated by stepwise parameter selection and machine learning. The complementary model showed statistically better performance (AUC 0.86 vs. 0.74–0.51) than models built up with specific hematology parameters involved in each existing sepsis-related clinical score. Our study presents the complementary model based on the optimal combination of hematological parameters for sepsis screening in patients with fever.

Liver Injury and Failure in Critical Illness

The frequency of acquired liver injury and failure in critical illness has been significantly increasing over recent decades. Currently, liver injury and failure are observed in up to 20% of patients in intensive care units and are associated with significantly increased morbidity and mortality. Secondary forms of liver injury in critical illness are divided primarily into cholestatic, hypoxic, or mixed forms. Therefore, sufficient knowledge of underlying alterations (e.g., hemodynamic, inflammatory, or drug induced) is key to a better understanding of clinical manifestations, prognostic implications, as well as diagnostic and therapeutic options of acquired liver injury and failure. This review provides a structured approach for the evaluation and treatment of acquired liver injury and failure in critically ill patients.

Effect of conjugated bilirubin on clinical outcomes in infective endocarditis

Liver dysfunction is associated with adverse events in infective endocarditis (IE). However, few studies have explored the predictive value of conjugated bilirubin (CB) in IE. We aimed to investigate the nature of the link between CB and adverse prognosis in patients with IE. Consecutive patients with IE between January 2009 and July 2015 were enrolled. Multivariate analysis was performed to confirm whether CB was an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes. In all, 1010 patients were included and divided into two groups according to admission CB level (μmol/L): normal (≤ 7.0, n = 820) and elevated (> 7.0, n = 190) CB groups. In-hospital mortality (5.0% vs. 22.1%, p < 0.001) and major adverse cardiac events (16.8% vs. 36.3%, p < 0.001) were significantly higher in patients with increased CB. A possible J-shaped relationship was found between CB and in-hospital events. Further, CB had more predictive power than total bilirubin in predicting in-hospital death (AUC 0.715 vs. 0.674, p = 0.010). Elevated CB was an independent predictor of in-hospital death (adjusted OR = 2.62, 95%CI 1.40-4.91, p = 0.003). Moreover, CB (increment 1 μmol/L) was independently associated with higher long-term mortality. Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that patients with elevated CB were associated with higher cumulative rate of long-term death (log-rank = 21.47, p < 0.001). CB, a biomarker of liver function, was a relatively powerful predictor of in-hospital and long-term adverse prognosis of IE and could likely comprise a novel risk evaluation strategy.

Increased expression of Toll-like receptors 2, 3, 4 and 7 mRNA in the kidney and intestine of a septic mouse model

Toll-like receptors (TLRs) are the key regulators of innate and adaptive immunity and are highly expressed during sepsis. Thus, studying the expression of TLRs in an animal septic model might indicate their possible association with acute kidney injury in sepsis. Seventy-two male C57BL/6J mice were used for this study. Randomly, these animals were divided into 6 groups (N = 12/group): 3 control and 3 septic groups depending on the euthanasia time (24 h, 48 h, 72 h). Septic groups underwent cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) to induce peritonitis, while control groups had a sham operation. Hematological tests were performed in serum for immune biomarkers; immunohistochemistry, morphometry and qRT-PCR analysis were used on both kidney and intestine tissues to evaluate the expression of TLR 2, 3, 4 and 7 in a septic process. At the end of each experimental period, we found that TLRs 2, 3, 4 and 7 were expressed in both tissues but there were differences between those at various time points. Also, we found that mRNA levels were significantly higher in qRT-PCR evaluation in septic groups than control groups in both kidney and intestinal tissues (p < 0.05); showing a steady increase in the septic groups as the time to euthanasia was prolonged (p < 0.05). Overall, our study provides a suggestion that TLRs 2, 3, 4 and 7 are highly expressed in the kidneys of septic mice and especially that these TLRs are sensitive and specific markers for sepsis. Finally, our study supports the diagnostic importance of TLRs in AKI and provides an insight on the contribution of septic mice models in the study of multi organ dysfunction syndrome in general.

Delayed Antibiotic Therapy and Organ Dysfunction in Critically Ill Septic Patients in the Emergency Department

Background: We investigated the effect of antibiotic timing on outcomes based on changes in surrogate markers of organ failure, including platelet, serum bilirubin, serum creatinine levels, and the PaO₂/FiO₂ (P/F) ratio. Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective observational study of critically ill septic patients who presented to the emergency department (ED). The study period extended from August 2008 to September 2016. The primary outcomes included changes in platelet, serum bilirubin, serum creatinine levels, and the P/F ratio (δ-platelet, δ-serum bilirubin, δ-serum creatinine, and δ-P/F ratio were calculated as values measured on Day 3; values measured at ED enrollment). A multivariable linear regression model was developed to assess variables related to outcomes (δ-platelet, δ-serum bilirubin, δ-serum creatinine, and δ-P/F ratio). Results: We analyzed 1784 patients who met the inclusion criteria. The overall 28-day mortality was 14% (n = 256/1784). On multivariable linear regression analysis, the hourly delay in antibiotic therapy was significantly associated with a decrease in δ-platelet count (coefficient, −1.741; standard error, 0.740; p = 0.019), and an increase in δ-serum bilirubin (coefficient, 0.054; standard error, 0.021; p = 0.009). In contrast, it was not associated with δ-creatinine (coefficient, 0.008; standard error, 0.010; p = 0.434) or the δ-P/F ratio (coefficient, −0.797; standard error, 1.858; p = 0.668). Conclusion: The hourly delay of antibiotic therapy was associated with decreased platelet count and increased serum bilirubin concentration in critically ill septic patients during the first three days of ED admission.

Red blood cell distribution width is an independent risk factor in the prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome after severe burns

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) significantly increases the mortality and morbidity of major burns; there are few laboratory markers that predict the development of ARDS in severe burns. This study was to investigate the relationship between complete blood count (CBC) parameters and the incidence of ARDS in severe burn patients.

METHODS

An eight-year retrospective study was performed on 610 severe burn patients who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University and Rui Jin Hospital of Shanghai Jiao Tong University from January 2008 to December 2015. The patients were divided into two groups based on the development of ARDS. A blood sample was taken at admission and CBC parameters were examined. Univariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the risk factors for the development of ARDS.

RESULTS

Of these 610 patients, 143 developed ARDS giving a rate of 23.44%. The percentage of deep second degree and full thickness burn, inhalation injury and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) were independently associated with the development of ARDS in severe burn patients. Every 1% increase in RDW was associated with a 29% increase in the risk to develop ARDS.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study suggest that an elevated RDW is associated with an increased risk of ARDS and RDW is an independent risk factor in the prediction of ARDS after severe burns.

Elevated Serum Total Bilirubin Level Is Associated with Poor Outcomes in Pediatric Patients with Sepsis-Associated Liver Injury

Aims

The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of the serum total bilirubin (TBIL) level in pediatric patients with sepsis-associated liver injury (SALI).

Methods

We performed a retrospective study of patients with SALI admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) in Shanghai Children's Hospital between December 2012 and December 2015. Serum TBIL concentration was determined within 72 h after PICU admission.

Results

Seventy-two patients with SALI were included in this study. The overall mortality rate was 36.1% (26/72). The serum levels of TBIL of patients were significantly higher in the nonsurvivor group than the survivor group. Cox regression analysis indicated that the elevated serum TBIL level within 72 hours after admission was an independent risk factor of mortality in patients with SALI. Furthermore, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for TBIL was 0.736 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.614–0.858, P=0.001), in which the optimal cut-off value was 64.5 μmol/L. The combined index named “TBIL” and “TBA” showed an AUC of 0.745 (0.626–0.865) for predicting the prognosis in patients with SALI. In addition, the Kaplan–Meier curve indicated that the 28-day survival rate was significantly lower in patients with higher serum TBIL levels (≥64.5 μmol/L) or higher value of TBIL and TBA (≥−0.8902).

Conclusions

Elevated serum TBIL level is associated with poor outcomes in pediatric SALI.

Increased circulating microRNA-122 is associated with mortality and acute liver injury in the acute respiratory distress syndrome

Background

Acute liver injury in patients with ARDS decreases survival but early stages may be easily missed due to the lack of sufficient biomarkers signalling its onset. Accordingly, we tested in ARDS patients the hypotheses that microRNA-122, the foremost liver-related microRNA (miR), 1) is an sensitive and specific early predictor for potential liver injury and 2) analysed its impact on 30-day-survival.

Methods

We collected clinical data and analysed blood samples from 119 ARDS patients within the first 24 h of ICU admission and from 20 patients undergoing elective abdominal non-liver surgery serving as controls. Total circulating miR was isolated from serum and relative miR-122 expression was measured (using specific probes and spiked-in miR-54), as were liver function and 30-day survival. Acute liver injury was defined as a total bilirubin concentration ≥ 3.0 mg/dl, an ALT activity ≥350 U/l, and an INR ≥2.0.

Results

30-day survival of the entire ARDS-cohort was 69% but differed between patients with normal liver function (77%) and acute liver injury (19% p <  0.001). miR-122 expression was 20fold higher in non-survivors (95%-CI 0.0149–0.0768; p = 0.001) and almost 4fold greater in survivors (95%-CI: 0.0037–0.0122; p = 0.005) compared to controls (95%-CI 0.0008–0.0034) and correlated with markers of liver cell integrity/function [ALT (p <  0.001, r = 0.495), AST (p <  0.001, r = 0.537), total bilirubin (p = 0.025, r = 0.206), INR (p = 0.001, r = 0.308), and GLDH (p <  0.001, r = 0.489)]. miR-122 serum expression discriminated survivors and non-survivors (AUC: 0.78) better than total bilirubin concentration (AUC: 0.66). Multivariable Cox-regression analysis revealed both acute liver injury (HR 7.6, 95%-CI 2.9–19.8, p <  0.001) and miR-122 (HR 4.4, 95%-CI 1.2–16.1, p = 0.02) as independent prognostic factors for 30-day mortality.

Conclusions

Increased miR-122 serum expression is an early and independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in ARDS patients and potentially reveal an acute liver injury earlier than the conventional markers of liver cell integrity.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12871-018-0541-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Evaluation of oxidative stress and antioxidant status: Correlation with the severity of sepsis

Sepsis is a condition caused by infection followed by unregulated inflammatory response which may lead to the organ dysfunction. During such condition, over-production of oxidants is one of the factors which contribute cellular toxicity and ultimately organ failure and mortality. Antioxidants having free radicals scavenging activity exert protective role in various diseases. This study has been designed to evaluate the levels of oxidative and antioxidative activity in sepsis patients and their correlation with the severity of the sepsis. A total of 100 sepsis patients and 50 healthy controls subjects were enrolled in this study from the period October 2016 to June 2017. The investigation included measurements of oxidative enzyme, myeloperoxidase (MPO), antioxidant enzymes including superoxide dismutase activity (SOD) and catalase activity (CAT) and cytokines (TNF-α, IL-8 and IFN-γ). Furthermore, the level of these activities was correlated with severity of sepsis. Augmented levels of oxidants were found in sepsis as demonstrated by DMPO nitrone adduct formation and plasma MPO level activity (1.37 ± 0.51 in sepsis vs 0.405 ± 0.16 in control subjects). Cytokines were also found to be increased in sepsis patients. However, plasma SOD and CAT activities were significantly attenuated (P < .001) in the sepsis patients compared with controls subjects. Moreover, inverse relation between antioxidant enzymes (SOD and CAT) and organ failure assessment (SOFA), physiological score (APACHE II), organ toxicity specific markers have been observed as demonstrated by Pearson's correlation coefficient. This study suggests that imbalance between oxidant and antioxidant plays key role in the severity of sepsis.

Acid Sphingomyelinase Inhibition Prevents Development of Sepsis Sequelae in the Murine Liver

The molecular mechanisms of maladaptive response in liver tissue with respect to the acute and post-acute phase of sepsis are not yet fully understood. Long-term sepsis survivors might develop hepatocellular/hepatobiliary injury and fibrosis. Here, we demonstrate that acid sphingomyelinase, an important regulator of hepatocyte apoptosis and hepatic stellate cell (HSC) activation, is linked to the promotion of liver dysfunction in the acute phase of sepsis as well as to fibrogenesis in the long-term. In both phases, we observed a beneficial effect of partial genetic sphingomyelinase deficiency in heterozygous animals (smpd1^+/−) on oxidative stress levels, hepatobiliary function, macrophage infiltration and on HSC activation. Strikingly, similar to heterozygote expression of SMPD1, either preventative (p-smpd1^+/+) or therapeutic (t-smpd1^+/+) pharmacological treatment strategies with desipramine – a functional inhibitor of acid sphingomyelinase (FIASMA) – significantly improved liver function and survival. The inhibition of sphingomyelinase exhibited a protective effect on liver function in the acute-phase, and the reduction of HSC activation diminished development of sepsis-associated liver fibrosis in the post-acute phase of sepsis. In summary, targeting sphingomyelinase with FDA-approved drugs is a novel promising strategy to overcome sepsis-induced liver dysfunction.

Incidence, Risk Factors, and Outcomes of Hyperbilirubinemia in Adult Cardiac Patients Supported by Veno-Arterial ECMO

The aims of this study were to evaluate the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of hyperbilirubinemia in cardiac patients with veno-arterial (VA) ECMO. Data on 89 adult patients with cardiac diseases who received VA ECMO implantation in our hospital were retrospectively reviewed. All patients were divided into the following three groups: 24 in normal group (N, total bilirubin [TBIL] ≤3 mg/dL), 30 in high bilirubin group (HB, 6 mg/dL ≥ TBIL > 3 mg/dL), and 35 in severe high bilirubin group (SHB, TBIL > 6 mg/dL). lg(variables + 1) was performed for nonnormally distributed variables. The incidence of hyperbilirubinemia (>3 mg/dL) was 73%. In a multiple linear regression analysis, lg(peak TBIL + 1) was significantly associated with lg(peak AST + 1) (b-coefficient 0.188, P = 0.001), lg(peak pFHb + 1) (b-coefficient 0.201, P = 0.003), and basic TBIL (b-coefficient 0.006, P = 0.009). Repeated measurement analysis of variance revealed that the main effect for three groups in pFHb and lg(AST + 1) was significant at first 3 days during ECMO. The patients in SHB had low platelets during ECMO and low in-hospital survival rate. Hyperbilirubinemia remains common in patients with VA ECMO and is associated with low platelets and high in-hospital mortality. Hemolysis and liver dysfunction during ECMO and basic high bilirubin levels are risk factors of hyperbilirubinemia.

Scoring model to predict outcome in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure: comparison with MELD scoring models and CLIF-SOFA score

BACKGROUND

Critically ill cirrhotic patients have a high mortality, particularly with concomitant respiratory failure on admission. There are no specific models in use for mortality risk assessment in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure (CICRF). The aim is to develop a risk prediction model specific to CICRF in order to quantify the severity of illness.

METHODS

We analyzed 949 CICRF patients extracted from the MIMIC-III database. The novel model (ARF-CLIF-SOFA) was developed from the CLIF-SOFA score. Cox regression analysis and AUROC were implemented to test the predictive accuracy, compared with existing scores including the CLIF-SOFA score and MELD-related scores.

RESULTS

ARF-CLIF-SOFA contains PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio, lactate, MAP, vasopressor therapy, bilirubin and creatinine (1 point each; score range: 0-6). Based on our patient cohort, the ARF-CLIF-SOFA score had good predictive accuracy for predicting the 30-, 90-day and 1-year mortality (AUROC = 0.767 at 30-day, 0.768 at 90-day, 0.765 at 1-year, respectively). Additionally, the performance of the ARF-CLIF-SOFA is superior to existing scores (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The ARF-CLIF-SOFA score can be considered a CICRF specific score with a better predictive accuracy compared to the existing scores.

Cholestatic Alterations in the Critically Ill: Some New Light on an Old Problem

Liver dysfunction and jaundice are traditionally viewed as late features of sepsis and other critical illnesses and are associated with a complicated ICU stay. However, study results suggest that cholestatic alterations occur early in the course of critical illnesses, perceived only as minor abnormalities in routinely used biochemical liver tests. Inflammation-induced alterations in the transport of bile acids (BAs) appear to drive BAs and bilirubin toward the systemic circulation. Ongoing BA synthesis with an, at least partial, loss of feedback inhibition further contributes to elevated circulating BAs and bilirubin. To what extent these changes reflect a biochemical epiphenomenon, true illness-induced liver dysfunction, or a beneficial and adaptive response to illness should be investigated further. Because of the lack of specificity of standard laboratory tests, especially in the context of a complex systemic condition such as critical illness, identifying true cholestatic liver dysfunction remains a great challenge. However, high levels of cholestatic markers that are sustained in patients with prolonged critical illness almost always indicate a complicated illness course and should be monitored closely. Preventing cholestatic liver dysfunction comprises minimizing inflammation and hypoxia in the liver and preventing hyperglycemia, avoiding early use of parenteral nutrition, and reducing the administration of avoidable drugs. Future research on the effects of BAs and on modulating underlying drivers of cholestasis induced by critical illness is warranted as this could open perspectives for a targeted diagnostic approach and ultimately for novel therapies to improve outcome.

Increased mortality in critically ill patients with mild or moderate hyperbilirubinemia

PURPOSE

Increased bilirubin concentrations may be related to outcome, but this has not been well studied. We evaluated the relationship between total serum bilirubin levels and outcome in critically ill patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were analyzed from adult critically ill patients included in a 1-day international prevalence study after excluding those with an obvious underlying cause of hyperbilirubinemia.

RESULTS

Serum bilirubin concentrations were >1 mg/dL in 2803 (31%) of 8973 patients, and these patients had higher mortality rates than patients with lower bilirubin concentrations (30% vs 21%, P<.01). For serum bilirubin values of 1.1-6 mg/dL, there was a linear increase in crude mortality (R²=0.96), with the highest hospital mortality (42%) in patients with bilirubin concentrations between 3.7 and 6.0 mg/dL. There was no further increase in the mortality rates for patients with bilirubin concentrations >6 mg/dL. A serum bilirubin concentration >1 mg/dL was an independent risk factor for mortality in multilevel analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperbilirubinemia without a recognized cause was common and independently associated with increased mortality. There was a linear correlation of mortality with bilirubin concentration for values between 1 and 6 mg/dL but not for higher values.