Risk Factors for Long-Term Coronary Artery Calcium Progression in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Progression of arterial calcifications: what, where, and in whom?

OBJECTIVES

There is a lack of information on the development of arteriosclerosis over time. This study aims to assess long-term sex-specific changes in arterial calcifications in five arteries, and the influence of cardiovascular risk factors hereon.

METHODS

From a population-based cohort, 807 participants (mean baseline age, 65.8; SD, 4.2) underwent a non-contrast computed tomography (CT) examination between 2003 and 2006, and after a median follow-up of 14 years. We assessed incidences and changes in volumes of coronary artery calcification (CAC), aortic arch calcification (AAC), extracranial (ECAC) and intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC), and vertebrobasilar artery calcification (VBAC). We investigated the simultaneous presence of severe progression (upper quartile of percentual change volumes). Associations of cardiovascular risk factors with changes in calcification volumes were assessed using multivariate linear regression models.

RESULTS

The difference in AAC was most substantial; the median volume (mm3) increased from of 129 to 916 in men and from 93 to 839 in women. For VBAC, no change in volumes was observed though more than a quarter of participants without baseline VBAC developed VBAC during follow-up. Severe progression was most often observed in only one artery at the same time. Hypertension was most consistently associated with increase in calcifications. Associations of diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and smoking with changes in calcifications varied across arteries and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a considerable incidence and increase in volumes of calcifications in different arteries, over a 14-year time interval. Cardiovascular risk factors were associated with increase of calcifications with sex-specific differential effects across arteries.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

There is a considerable incidence and increase in volumes of calcifications in different arteries, over a 14-year time interval. Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with increase of calcifications with sex-specific differential effects across arteries; thus, assessing changes in only one artery may thus not provide a good reflection of the systemic development of arteriosclerosis.

KEY POINTS

• Assessing change in arterial calcification in only one artery does not reflect the systemic development of arterial calcification. • Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with progression of arterial calcifications. • Progression of arterial calcification is sex and artery-specific.

Inflammation as a pathway for heavy metal-induced liver damage-Insights from a repeated-measures study in residents exposed to metals and bioinformatics analysis

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies on heavy metal exposure and liver injury are predominantly cross-sectional, lacking longitudinal data and exploration of potential mechanisms.

METHOD

We conducted a repeated-measures study in Northeast China from 2016 to 2019, involving 322 participants. Linear mixed models (LMM) and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) were employed to explore the associations between individual and mixed blood metal concentrations [chromium (Cr), cadmium (Cd), vanadium (V), manganese (Mn), lead (Pb)] and liver function biomarkers [alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), albumin (ALB), globulin (GLB), total protein (TP)]. Mediation and enrichment analyses were used to determine whether the inflammatory response is a critical pathway for heavy metal-induced liver damage.

RESULT

We obtained a total of 958 observations. The results from LMM and BKMR indicated significant associations between individual and mixed heavy metals and liver function biomarkers. Longitudinal analysis revealed associations between Cd and the annual increase rate of ALT (β = 2.61; 95% CI: 0.97, 4.26), the annual decrease rate of ALB (β = -0.21; 95% CI: -0.39, -0.03), Mn and the annual increase rate of GLB (β = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.05, 0.72), and V and the annual decrease rate of ALB/GLB (β = -1.15; 95% CI: -2.00, -0.31). Mediation analysis showed that high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) mediated the associations between Cd and AST, TP, with mediation effects of 27.7% and 13.4%, respectively. Additionally, results from Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes enrichment analyses supported the role of inflammatory response pathways.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that heavy metal exposure leads to liver damage, with the inflammatory response potentially serving as a crucial pathway in this process. This study offers a novel perspective on understanding heavy metal-induced liver injury and provides insights for preventive measures against the health damage caused by heavy metals.

Matrix Gla protein and the long-term incidence and progression of coronary artery and aortic calcification in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Matrix Gla protein (MGP) is an inhibitor of calcification that requires carboxylation by vitamin K for activity. The inactive form of MGP, dephosphorylated-uncarboxylated matrix Gla protein (dp-ucMGP), has been associated with increased calcification. However, it is not known whether there is a longitudinal relationship between dephosphorylated-uncarboxylated matrix Gla protein levels and coronary and aortic calcification in large population cohorts.

METHODS

The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) followed participants with serial cardiac computed tomography (CT) measures of vascular calcification. Dp-ucMGP was measured at baseline in a subset of participants who completed baseline and follow-up CTs approximately 10 years later and had available plasma specimens (n = 2663). Linear mixed effects models (LMMs) were used to determine the association of dp-ucMGP with the simultaneous incidence and progression of coronary artery, ascending thoracic aortic, or descending thoracic aortic calcification (CAC, ATAC, DTAC)].

RESULTS

For every one standard deviation (SD, 178 pmol/L) increment in dp-ucMGP, CAC increased by 3.44 ([95% CI = 1.68, 5.21], p < 0.001) Agatston units/year (AU/year), ATAC increased by 0.63 ([95% CI = 0.27, 0.98], p = 0.001) AU/year, and DTAC increased by 8.61 ([95% CI = 4.55, 12.67], p < 0.001) AU/year. The association was stronger for DTAC in those ≥65 years and with diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a positive association of the inactive form of matrix Gla protein, dp-ucMGP, and long-term incidence/progression of CAC, ATAC, and DTAC. Future studies should investigate dp-ucMGP as a calcification regulator and MGP as a possible therapeutic target to slow progression of calcification in the vasculature.

Steatotic liver disease and its newly proposed sub-classifications correlate with progression of the coronary artery calcium score

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A new nomenclature, Steatotic Liver Disease (SLD), has been proposed by consensus with sub-classifications and requires evidence-based validation. We assessed whether the presence and severity of SLD, as well as its sub-classifications, are associated with the progression of coronary atherosclerosis.

METHODS

This longitudinal cohort study included 13,811 adults who participated in repeated regular health screening examinations between January 1, 2004 and December 31, 2021 that included assessments of their coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores. SLD was defined using abdominal ultrasonography and classified as metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), MASLD with increased alcohol intake (MetALD), and cryptogenic SLD. SLD severity was assessed using fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores. The progression of CAC scores was measured using multidetector CT scans.

RESULTS

The average duration of follow-up was 5.8 years. During follow-up, the annual rate of CAC progression in participants with and without SLD was 18% (95% CI 17%-19%) and 14% (95% CI 13%-14%) (p < 0.01), respectively. The multivariable ratios of progression rates when we compared participants with cryptogenic SLD, MASLD, or MetALD with those without SLD were 0.98 (95% CI 0.95-1.01), 1.03 (95% CI 1.03-1.04), and 1.07 (95% CI 1.04-1.09), respectively. The multivariable ratios of progression rates when we compared participants with SLD with FIB-4 score <1.3 and SLD with FIB-4 score ≥1.3 with those without SLD were 1.03 (95% CI 1.02-1.04), and 1.05 (95% CI 1.04-1.06), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

SLD was associated with a higher risk of coronary atherosclerosis, and the risk differed by sub-classifications and severity. These findings suggest that the newly proposed definition has clinical relevance in terms of stratifying cardiovascular disease risk.

Impact of preserved ratio impaired spirometry on coronary artery calcium score progression: a longitudinal cohort study

Background

Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and mortality. However, a causal relationship between PRISm and CVD remains unclear. We investigated the progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores based on the presence of PRISm and reduced forced vital capacity (FVC).

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 11 420 participants aged ≥40 years with forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/FVC ≥0.7 who underwent at least two health screening examinations with coronary computed tomography scan between 2003 and 2020, and were without a history of CVD or interstitial lung disease. Participants with PRISm, defined as FEV1/FVC ≥0.7 and FEV1 <80% predicted, were further divided by low FVC (FVC <80% predicted). We estimated the 5-year progression rates of CAC by comparing participants with and without PRISm at baseline using mixed linear models.

Results

Of the 11 420 participants, 8536 (75%), 811 (7%) and 2073 (18%) had normal spirometry, PRISm with normal FVC and PRISm with low FVC, respectively. During the mean (range) follow-up of 6.0 (0.5-17.2) years, the multivariable adjusted ratio of 5-year CAC progression rates comparing participants with PRISm to those with normal spirometry was 1.08 (95% CI 1.04-1.13). This rate was higher in participants with PRISm with low FVC (1.21 (95% CI 1.12-1.30)) than in those with normal FVC.

Conclusion

In this longitudinal cohort study of subjects without a history of CVD, PRISm was significantly associated with CAC progression, which was more evident in the group with PRISm and low FVC.

Predictors of long-term absence of coronary artery calcium in individuals with high blood pressure: results from the MESA study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Individuals with high blood pressure (BP) have varying risks of cardiovascular events due to other coexisting factors. We aimed to identify the predictors of long-term absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in individuals with high BP, which is an indicator of healthy arterial aging and can guide preventive strategies.

METHODS

We analyzed data from participants with high BP (≥120/80 mm Hg) in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who had baseline CAC = 0 and underwent a second CAC scanning after 10 years. We used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate the association between various risk factors for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and long-term CAC = 0. We also calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to predict the phenotype of healthy arterial aging in this population.

RESULTS

We included 830 participants (37.6% male, mean ± SD age of 59.4 ± 8.7 years). During follow-up, 46.5% of participants (n = 386) had CAC = 0, and they were younger and had fewer metabolic syndrome components. Adding ASCVD risk factors to the demographic model (age, sex, and ethnicity) moderately increased the predictive value for long-term CAC = 0 (AUC: demographic model + ASCVD risk factors vs. demographic model alone, 0.653 vs. 0.597, p < .001; category net reclassification improvement = 0.104, p = .044; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.040, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

In individuals with high BP and initial CAC = 0, over 40% maintained CAC = 0 during a 10-year follow-up, which was associated with fewer ASCVD risk factors. These findings may have implications for preventive strategies in individuals with high BP.Clinical Trial registration number: The MESA was registered at clinical trials. gov as NCT00005487.KEY MESSAGESNearly half (46.5%) of individuals with high blood pressure (BP) maintained a long-term absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) during a 10-year follow-up, and this was associated with a 66.6% lower risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events compared to those who developed incident CAC.Individuals with high BP, who are usually assumed to have an increased risk of ASCVD, exhibit significant heterogeneity in their ASCVD risk; those who maintain CAC = 0 have a lower ASCVD risk.Adding overall ASCVD risk factors to demographic information resulted in a moderate improvement in predicting long-term CAC = 0.

Arsenic exposure incurs hyperglycemia mediated by oxidative damage in urban adult population: A prospective cohort study with three repeated measures

The associations and potential mechanisms of low to moderate arsenic exposure with fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are still unclear. To assess the effects of short-term and long-term arsenic exposure on hyperglycemia and the mediating effect of oxidative damage on such association, three repeated-measures studies with 9938 observations were conducted in the Wuhan-Zhuhai cohort. The levels of urinary total arsenic, FPG, urinary 8-iso-prostaglandin F2alpha (8-iso-PGF2α), urinary 8-hydroxy-2'-deoxyguanosine (8-OHdG), and plasma protein carbonyls (PCO) were measured. Generalized linear mixed models were used to evaluate the exposure-response relationships of urinary total arsenic with FPG and the prevalent risks of impaired fasting glucose (IFG), T2DM, and abnormal glucose regulation (AGR). Cox regression models were applied to assess the associations of arsenic exposure with incident risks of IFG, T2DM, and AGR. Mediation analyses were performed to assess the mediating effects of 8-iso-PGF2α, 8-OHdG, and PCO. In cross-sectional analyses, each one-unit increase in natural log-transformed urinary total arsenic was associated with a 0.082 (95% CI: 0.047 to 0.118) mmol/L increase in FPG, as well as a 10.3% (95% CI: 1.4%-20.0%), 4.4% (95% CI: 5.3%-15.2%), and 8.7% (95% CI: 1.2%-16.6%) increase in prevalent risks of IFG, T2DM, and AGR, respectively. In longitudinal analyses, arsenic exposure was further associated with the annual increased rate of FPG with a β (95% CI) of 0.021 (95% CI: 0.010 to 0.033). The incident risks of IFG, T2DM, and AGR were increased without statistical significance when arsenic levels increased. Mediation analyses showed that 8-iso-PGF2α and PCO mediated 30.04% and 10.02% of the urinary total arsenic-associated FPG elevation, respectively. Our study indicated that arsenic exposure was associated with elevated level and progression rate of FPG among general Chinese adults, where lipid peroxidation and oxidative protein damage might be the potential mechanisms.

Diagnostic Cardiac CT for the Improvement of Cardiovascular Event Prediction

BACKGROUND

The aim of the long-term Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study (observation period 20 years) was to establish the extent to which computed tomography (CT) improves the predictability of cardiovascular events relative to determination of risk factors alone.

METHODS

In the period 2000-2003, study staff examined 4355 probands (53% of them female) aged 45-75 years with no signs of cardiovascular disease. The Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) score was calculated on the basis of demographic data and cardiovascular risk factors. Cardiac CT was carried out over the same period and coronary artery calcification (CAC) was graded according to the Agatston score.

RESULTS

The median duration of follow-up was 18.2 years for men and 17.8 years for women. Myocardial infarction or stroke occurred in 458 (11%) of the 4154 participants with complete data. Overall, estimation of risk using a combination of ASCVD score and CAC grade was superior to the ASCVD score alone-even after 10 and 20 years. Classification into established risk categories improved by 12.2% (95% confidence interval: [5.3%; 18.1%]). In the highest ASCVD risk category, we observed occurrence of a cardiovascular event over 20 years for 14% [5.0%; 23.1%] of probands with a CAC score = 0 but for 34.2% [27.5%; 41.4%] of those with a CAC score ≥ 400. In the lowest ASCVD risk category, an event occurred in 2.4% [1.4%; 3.7%] of probands with a CAC score = 0 and in 23.5% [2.3%; 35.8%] of those with a CAC score ≥ 400.

CONCLUSION

Even after 20 years, individual risk prediction is improved by addition of CT-based determination of coronary artery calcification to the ASCVD score. Therefore, assessment of ASCVD risk factors should be complemented more widely by cardiac CT in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Persistence or regression of prediabetes and coronary artery calcification among adults without diabetes

OBJECTIVE

The effect of changes in glycemic status on subclinical atherosclerosis is uncertain. We assessed the association of persistence, regression, or progression of prediabetes with coronary artery calcium score (CACS) as a measure of subclinical atherosclerosis.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional study, comprising 126 765 adults, and longitudinal sub-study, comprising 40 622 adults (with baseline and at least 1 follow-up computed tomography scan to assess changes in CACS), were undertaken.

METHODS

Changes in glycemic status over 1.5 years (interquartile range, 1.0-2.0) before the first CACS assessment were categorized according to 6 groups: persistent normoglycemia (reference), normoglycemia to prediabetes, normoglycemia to diabetes, prediabetes to normoglycemia, persistent prediabetes, and prediabetes to diabetes. Logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs for prevalent coronary artery calcification (CAC). Mixed models with random intercepts and random slopes were used to estimate 5-year CAC progression rates.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) age was 41.3 (7.0) years (74.7% male) (n = 126 765). Multivariable-adjusted OR for prevalent CAC was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.08-1.18) for persistent prediabetes, 1.05 (0.98-1.12) for regression to normoglycemia, and 1.46 (95% CI, 1.27-1.67) for progression from prediabetes to diabetes, compared with persistent normoglycemia. Coronary artery calcification progression increased significantly in all prediabetes groups. Multivariable-adjusted ratio of 5-year CAC progression rates was 1.19 (95% CI, 1.16-1.22) (persistent prediabetes), 1.11 (1.07-1.14) (regression to normoglycemia), and 1.63 (95% CI, 1.26-2.10) (progression from prediabetes to diabetes).

CONCLUSIONS

Unfavorable changes in glycemic status, including persistence of prediabetes or progression to diabetes from prediabetes, were associated with increased risk of CAC.

Association Between Retinopathy of Prematurity in Very-Low-Birth-Weight Infants and Neurodevelopmental Impairment

PURPOSE

To evaluate the impact of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) severity and the treatment of very-low-birth-weight infants (VLBWIs) on neurodevelopmental impairment in early childhood.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

METHOD

This was a prospective cohort study. The data were obtained from the Korean Neonatal Network (KNN), a nationwide registry for VLBWIs. Infants who were born from 2013 to 2015 and underwent ROP evaluation at birth and neurodevelopmental examinations at corrected ages of 18 to 24 months were included in the study. Infants with a history of meningitis or severe congenital anomalies were excluded. The VLBWI patients were grouped into no ROP, no treatment-requiring ROP (non-TR-ROP), and treatment-requiring ROP (TR-ROP) groups. Neurodevelopmental impairment was defined as participants who had at least 1 developmental problem according to the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-2nd Edition (Bayley-II; <70), Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-3rd Edition (Bayley-III; <70), and Korean Developmental Screening Test (K-DST) tests (below -1 SD), and the Korean Ages and Stages Questionnaire (K-ASQ) (below the threshold) and Gross Motor Function Classification System (GMFCS; at level 2 or above). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between ROP and neurodevelopmental impairment.

RESULT

Among 3132 infants, 1093 (34.9%) had ROP. Among the ROP infants, 644 were not treated for ROP (non-TR-ROP group) and 449 received ROP treatments (TR-ROP group). The patients in the TR-ROP group had an increased risk of developing neurodevelopmental problems compared to those in the no ROP group (odds ratio [OR] = 1.72, 95% CI = 1.33-2.21). The TR-ROP group had a higher risk of all 3 types of neurodevelopmental problems: mental (OR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.25-2.09), social (OR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.12-2.09), and motor (OR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.31-2.18). The risk of neurodevelopmental problems in patients treated with laser therapy did not differ from that in patients treated with anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) therapy (OR = 1.17, 95% CI = 0.73-1.88).

CONCLUSION

ROP was independently associated with neurodevelopmental impairment in early childhood. The type of ROP treatment (anti-VEGF or laser treatment) did not affect neurodevelopmental impairment in patients in the TR-ROP group.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and accelerated loss of skeletal muscle mass: A longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Whether subjects with NAFLD are at increased risk of sarcopenia is not well established.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This is a cohort study of 52,815 men and women of 20 years of age or older who underwent at least two health check-up exams with bioelectrical impedance analysis and abdominal ultrasound imaging. Bioelectrical impedance analysis was used to calculate appendicular skeletal muscle mass (ASM). NAFLD was assessed by ultrasonography, and its severity was assessed by the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). We estimated the 5-year change in ASM comparing participants with and without NAFLD at baseline using mixed linear models. The 5-year change in ASM in participants without and with NAFLD was -225.2 g (95% CI -232.3, -218.0) and -281.3 g (95% CI -292.0, -270.6), respectively (p < 0.001). In multivariable adjusted analysis, the difference in 5-year change in ASM comparing participants with and without NAFLD was -39.9 g (95% CI -53.1, -26.8). When participants with NAFLD were further divided by NAFLD severity, ASM loss was much faster in participants with NAFLD with intermediate to high NFS than in those with low NFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Participants with NAFLD were at increased risk of sarcopenia, indicated by faster loss of skeletal muscle mass. Patients with NAFLD may need screening and early intervention to mitigate skeletal muscle mass loss.

High-Density Lipoprotein and Long-Term Incidence and Progression of Aortic Valve Calcification: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Aortic valve calcification (AVC) shares pathological features with atherosclerosis. Lipoprotein components have been detected in aortic valve tissue, including HDL (high-density lipoprotein). HDL measures have inverse associations with cardiovascular disease, but relationships with long-term AVC progression are unclear. We investigated associations of HDL cholesterol, HDL-particle number and size, apoC3-defined HDL subtypes, and, secondarily, CETP (cholesteryl ester transfer protein) mass and activity, with long-term incidence and progression of AVC.

METHODS

We used linear mixed-effects models to evaluate the associations of baseline HDL indices with AVC. AVC was quantified by Agatston scoring of up to 3 serial computed tomography scans over a median of 8.9 (maximum 11.2) years of follow-up in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (n=6784).

RESULTS

After adjustment, higher concentrations of HDL-C (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol), HDL-P (HDL particles), large HDL-P, and apoC3-lacking HDL-C were significantly associated with lower incidence/progression of AVC. Neither small or medium HDL-P nor apoC3-containing HDL-C was significantly associated with AVC incidence/progression. When included together, a significant association was observed only for HDL-C, but not for HDL-P. Secondary analyses showed an inverse relationship between CETP mass, but not activity, and AVC incidence/progression. In exploratory assessments, inverse associations for HDL-C, HDL-P, large HDL-P, and apoC3-lacking HDL with AVC incidence/progression were more pronounced for older, male, and White participants. ApoC3-containing HDL-C only showed a positive association with AVC in these subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

In a multiethnic population, HDL-C, HDL-P, large HDL-P, and apoC3-lacking HDL-C were inversely associated with long-term incidence and progression of AVC. Further investigation of HDL composition and mechanisms could be useful in understanding pathways that slow AVC.

Higher Leptin Levels Are Associated with Coronary Artery Calcium Progression: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

BACKGROUND

Adipokines play a role in cardiometabolic pathways. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression prognosticates cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. However, the association of adipokines with CAC progression is not well established. We examined the association of adipokines with CAC progression in a multi-ethnic cohort free of CVD at baseline.

METHODS

We included 1,904 randomly-selected adults enrolled in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who had both adipokine levels [leptin, resistin, adiponectin] and CAC by CT measured at either exam 2 (2002-2004) or exam 3 (2004-2005). CAC was previously measured at exam 1 (2000-2002) and a subset (n=566) had CAC measured at exam 5 (2010-2012). We used logistic regression to examine odds of CAC progression between exam 1 and 2/3 (defined as >0 Agatston units of change/year). We used linear mixed effect models to examine CAC progression from exam 2/3 to 5.

RESULTS

At exam 2/3, the mean age was 65(10) yrs; 50% women. In models adjusted for sociodemographic factors and BMI, the highest tertile of leptin, compared to lowest, was associated with an increased odds of CAC progression over the preceding 2.6yrs [OR 1.60 (95% CI: 1.10-2.33)]. In models further adjusted for visceral fat and CVD risk factors, the highest tertile of leptin was statistically significantly associated with a 4% (1-7%) greater CAC progression over an average of 7yrs. No associations were seen for resistin and adiponectin.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher leptin levels were independently, but modestly, associated with CAC progression. Atherosclerosis progression may be one mechanism through which leptin confers increased CVD risk.

Associations between endogenous sex hormone levels and adipokine levels in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background

Differences in sex hormone levels contribute to differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Adipokines play a role in cardiometabolic pathways and have differing associations with CVD. Adipokine levels differ by sex; however, the association between sex hormone profiles and adipokines is not well established. We hypothesized that a more androgenic sex hormone profile would be associated with higher leptin and resistin and lower adiponectin levels among postmenopausal women, with the opposite associations in men.

Methods

We performed an analysis of 1,811 adults in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who had both sex hormones and adipokines measured an average of 2.6 years apart. Sex hormones [Testosterone (T), estradiol (E2), sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG), and dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA)] were measured at exam 1; free T was estimated. Serum adipokines (leptin, resistin, adiponectin) were measured at exams 2 or 3. We used multivariable linear regression to examine the cross-sectional associations between sex hormones and adipokines.

Results

The mean (SD) age was 63 (10) years, 48% were women; 59% non-White participants. For leptin, after adjusting for demographics only, higher free T and lower SHBG, were associated with higher leptin in women; this association was attenuated after further covariate adjustment. However in men, higher free T and lower SHBG were associated with greater leptin levels in fully adjusted models. For adiponectin, lower free T and higher SHBG were associated with greater adiponectin in both women and men after adjustment for CVD risk factors. For resistin, no significant association was found women, but an inverse association with total T and bioT was seen in men.

Conclusion

Overall, these results further suggest a more androgenic sex profile (higher free T and lower SHBG) is associated with a less favorable adipokine pattern. These findings may provide mechanistic insight into the interplay between sex hormones, adipokines, and CVD risk.

Relationship between Kidney Function and Subclinical Atherosclerosis Progression Evaluated by Coronary Artery Calcification

Aims: The roles of urinary albumin, eGFRcystatin (eGFRcys), and eGFRcreatinine (eGFRcre) in the progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) remain unclear. Therefore, the present study investigated the relationship between kidney function and CAC progression.

Methods: A total of 760 Japanese men aged 40-79 years were enrolled in this population-based study. Kidney function was measured using eGFRcre, eGFRcys, and the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio. CAC scores were calculated using the Agatston method. CAC progression was defined as an annual increase of ＞10 Agatston units (AU) among men with 0＜CAC＜100 AU at baseline, that of ＞10% among those with CAC ≥ 100 AU, and any progression for those with CAC=0 at baseline. The relative risk (RR) of CAC progression based on kidney function was assessed using a robust Poisson regression model.

Results: The mean follow-up period was 4.9 years. CAC progression was detected in 45.8% of participants. Positive associations between CAC progression and albuminuria (＞30mg/g) (RR: 1.29; 1.09 to 1.53;p=0.004) and low eGFRcys (＜60ml/min/1.73m²) (RR: 1.27; 1.05 to 1.53;p=0.012) remained significant after adjustments for age, the follow-up time, and computerized tomography type. Following further adjustments for hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, C-reactive protein, and lifestyle factors, CAC progression was associated with albuminuria (RR: 1.20; 1.01 to 1.43;p=0.04) and low eGFRcys (RR: 1.19; 0.99 to 1.43;p=0.066), but not with eGFRcre.

Conclusion: CAC progression was associated with albuminuria; however, its relationship with eGFRcys was weakened by adjustments for risk factors.

Bone mineral density and long-term progression of aortic valve and mitral annular calcification: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Bone and mineral metabolism has been implicated in the pathophysiology of cardiac valve calcification. Whether bone demineralization, a common aging-related disorder, promotes calcific valve disease remains uncertain. We tested the hypothesis that low bone mineral density (BMD) is associated with greater incidence/progression of cardiac valve calcification in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

METHODS

Using linear mixed-effects models, we related baseline measurement of BMD of the thoracic vertebrae by computed tomography (CT) in 6768 participants to serial CT assessments of aortic valve calcification (AVC) and mitral annular calcification (MAC) obtained over a >10-year period.

RESULTS

After multivariable adjustment, lower BMD (per SD decrement) was associated with accelerated increase in AVC over time in women (0.76 [95% CI 0.42,1.09] Agatston -units [AU]/year) and men (1.41 [95% CI 0.48,2.33] AU/year), as well as for MAC in women (3.22 [95% CI 1.16,5.28] AU/year) and men (3.59 [95% CI 2.09,5.09] AU/year). Significant effect modification was observed, with more pronounced BMD-related acceleration of AVC and MAC progression in older or white participants of one or both sexes, as well as by estimated glomerular filtration rate, though the latter differed by sex for AVC and MAC.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multi-ethnic cohort, low thoracic BMD was significantly, but modestly, associated with increased AVC and MAC progression. This suggests that altered bone mineral metabolism does not have a major impact on calcific valve disease in the general population, but the possibility of a more meaningful influence in higher-risk individuals with osteoporosis will require further investigation.

Assessment of Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring to Guide Statin Therapy Allocation According to Risk-Enhancing Factors: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Importance

The 2018 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology Guideline on the Management of Blood Cholesterol recommends the use of risk-enhancing factor assessment and the selective use of coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring to guide the allocation of statin therapy among individuals with an intermediate risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

Objective

To examine the association between risk-enhancing factors and incident ASCVD by CAC burden among those at intermediate risk of ASCVD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis is a multicenter population-based prospective cross-sectional study conducted in the US. Baseline data for the present study were collected between July 15, 2000, and July 14, 2002, and follow-up for incident ASCVD events was ascertained through August 20, 2015. Participants were aged 45 to 75 years with no clinical ASCVD or diabetes at baseline, were at intermediate risk of ASCVD (≥7.5% to <20.0%), and had a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level of 70 to 189 mg/dL.

Exposures

Family history of premature ASCVD, premature menopause, metabolic syndrome, chronic kidney disease, lipid and inflammatory biomarkers, and low ankle-brachial index.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incident ASCVD over a median follow-up of 12.0 years.

Results

A total of 1688 participants (mean [SD] age, 65 [6] years; 976 men [57.8%]). Of those, 648 individuals (38.4%) were White, 562 (33.3%) were Black, 305 (18.1%) were Hispanic, and 173 (10.2%) were Chinese American. A total of 722 participants (42.8%) had a CAC score of 0. Among those with 1 to 2 risk-enhancing factors vs those with 3 or more risk-enhancing factors, the prevalence of a CAC score of 0 was 45.7% vs 40.3%, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 12.0 years (interquartile range [IQR], 11.5-12.6 years), the unadjusted incidence rate of ASCVD among those with a CAC score of 0 was less than 7.5 events per 1000 person-years for all individual risk-enhancing factors (with the exception of ankle-brachial index, for which the incidence rate was 10.4 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 1.5-73.5]) and combinations of risk-enhancing factors, including participants with 3 or more risk-enhancing factors. Although the individual and composite addition of risk-enhancing factors to the traditional risk factors was associated with improvement in the area under the receiver operating curve, the use of CAC scoring was associated with the greatest improvement in the C statistic (0.633 vs 0.678) for ASCVD events. For incident ASCVD, the net reclassification improvement for CAC was 0.067.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study, among participants with CAC scores of 0, the presence of risk-enhancing factors was generally not associated with an overall ASCVD risk that was higher than the recommended treatment threshold for the initiation of statin therapy. The use of CAC scoring was associated with significant improvements in the reclassification and discrimination of incident ASCVD. The results of this study support the utility of CAC scoring as an adjunct to risk-enhancing factor assessment to more accurately classify individuals with an intermediate risk of ASCVD who might benefit from statin therapy.

Automated assessment of longitudinal biomarker changes at abdominal CT: correlation with subsequent cardiovascular events in an asymptomatic adult screening cohort

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular (CV) disease is a major public health concern, and automated methods can potentially capture relevant longitudinal changes on CT for opportunistic CV screening purposes.

METHODS

Fully-automated and validated algorithms that quantify abdominal fat, muscle, bone, liver, and aortic calcium were retrospectively applied to a longitudinal adult screening cohort undergoing serial non-contrast CT examination between 2005 and 2016. Downstream major adverse events (MI/CVA/CHF/death) were identified via algorithmic EHR search. Logistic regression, ROC curve, and Cox survival analyses assessed for associations between changes in CT variables and adverse events.

RESULTS

Final cohort included 1949 adults (942 M/1007F; mean age, 56.2 ± 6.2 years at initial CT). Mean interval between CT scans was 5.8 ± 2.0 years. Mean clinical follow-up interval from initial CT was 10.4 ± 2.7 years. Major CV events occurred after follow-up CT in 230 total subjects (11.8%). Mean change in aortic calcium Agatston score was significantly higher in CV(+) cohort (591.6 ± 1095.3 vs. 261.1 ± 764.3), as was annualized Agatston change (120.5 ± 263.6 vs. 46.7 ± 143.9) (p < 0.001 for both). 5-year area under the ROC curve (AUC) for Agatston change was 0.611. Hazard ratio for Agatston score change > 500 was 2.8 (95% CI 1.5-4.0) relative to < 500. Agatston score change was the only significant univariate CT biomarker in the survival analysis. Changes in fat and bone measures added no meaningful prediction.

CONCLUSION

Interval change in automated CT-based abdominal aortic calcium load represents a promising predictive longitudinal tool for assessing cardiovascular and mortality risks. Changes in other body composition measures were less predictive of adverse events.

Association of Diabetes Subgroups With Race/Ethnicity, Risk Factor Burden and Complications: The MASALA and MESA Studies

INTRODUCTION

There are known disparities in diabetes complications by race and ethnicity. Although diabetes subgroups may contribute to differential risk, little is known about how subgroups vary by race/ethnicity.

METHODS

Data were pooled from 1293 (46% female) participants of the Mediators of Atherosclerosis in South Asians Living in America (MASALA) and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) who had diabetes (determined by diabetes medication use, fasting glucose, and glycated hemoglobin [HbA1c]), including 217 South Asian, 240 non-Hispanic white, 125 Chinese, 387 African American, and 324 Hispanic patients. We applied k-means clustering using data for age at diabetes diagnosis, body mass index, HbA1c, and homeostatic model assessment measures of insulin resistance and beta cell function. We assessed whether diabetes subgroups were associated with race/ethnicity, concurrent cardiovascular disease risk factors, and incident diabetes complications.

RESULTS

Five diabetes subgroups were characterized by older age at diabetes onset (43%), severe hyperglycemia (26%), severe obesity (20%), younger age at onset (1%), and requiring insulin medication use (9%). The most common subgroup assignment was older onset for all race/ethnicities with the exception of South Asians where the severe hyperglycemia subgroup was most likely. Risk for renal complications and subclinical coronary disease differed by diabetes subgroup and, separately, race/ethnicity.

CONCLUSIONS

Racial/ethnic differences were present across diabetes subgroups, and diabetes subgroups differed in risk for complications. Strategies to eliminate racial/ethnic disparities in complications may need to consider approaches targeted to diabetes subgroup.

Physical Aggression and Coronary Artery Calcification: A North Texas Healthy Heart Study

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to determine the association between aspects of hostility and coronary artery calcification (CAC) scores. Specifically, analyses differentiated between subtypes of hostility and their relation to CAC.

METHODS

A sample of 571 patients aged 45 or older with no history of cardiovascular disease completed assessments of demographic, psychosocial, and medical history, along with a radiological CAC determination. Logistic regression was used to determine the association between hostility and CAC. Hostility was measured using the Aggression Questionnaire, which measured total aggression and how aggression is manifested on four scales: Physical, Verbal, Anger, and Hostility Aggression.

RESULTS

Regression analyses indicated that only the physical aggression parameter was related to CAC: a 5% increase in odds of CAC presence was indicated for every point increase in physical aggression. The association remained significant in adjusted analyses. Other factors associated with CAC in adjusted analyses included: age, gender, race/ethnicity, BMI, and dyslipidemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Psychosocial factors, such as physical aggression, are emerging factors that need to be considered in cardiovascular risk stratification.

New Model for Predicting the Presence of Coronary Artery Calcification

Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is a feature of coronary atherosclerosis and a well-known risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). As the absence of CAC is associated with a lower incidence rate of CVD, measurement of a CAC score is helpful for risk stratification when the risk decision is uncertain. This was a retrospective study with an aim to build a model to predict the presence of CAC (i.e., CAC score = 0 or not) and evaluate the discrimination and calibration power of the model. Our data set was divided into two set (80% for training set and 20% for test set). Ten-fold cross-validation was applied with ten times of interaction in each fold. We built prediction models using logistic regression (LRM), classification and regression tree (CART), conditional inference tree (CIT), and random forest (RF). A total of 3,302 patients from two cohorts (Soonchunhyang University Cheonan Hospital and Kangbuk Samsung Health Study) were enrolled. These patients' ages were between 40 and 75 years. All models showed acceptable accuracies (LRM, 70.71%; CART, 71.32%; CIT, 71.32%; and RF, 71.02%). The decision tree model using CART and CIT showed a reasonable accuracy without complexity. It could be implemented in real-world practice.

Predictors of coronary artery calcium incidence and progression: The Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are limited data on serial coronary artery calcium (CAC) assessments outside North American and European populations. We sought to investigate risk factors for CAC incidence and progression in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil).

METHODS

We included individuals with no prior cardiovascular disease and two CAC measurements in ELSA-Brasil. Incident CAC was defined as a baseline CAC of 0 followed by CAC >0 on the second study. CAC progression was defined according to multiple published criteria. We performed logistic and linear regression to identify risk factors for CAC incidence and progression. We also examined risk factor effect modification by baseline CAC (0 vs. >0).

RESULTS

A total of 2707 individuals were included (57% women, age 48.6 ± 7.7 years). Participants self-identified as white (55%), brown (24%), black (16%), Asian (4%) and Indigenous (1%). The mean period between CAC assessments was 5.1 ± 0.9 years. CAC incidence occurred in 282 (13.3%) of 2127 individuals with baseline CAC of 0. CAC progression occurred in 319 (55%) of 580 participants with baseline CAC >0. Risk factors for CAC incidence included older age, male sex, white race, hypertension, diabetes, higher BMI, smoking, lower HDL-C, higher LDL-C and triglycerides, and metabolic syndrome. Older age and elevated LDL-C were associated with CAC incidence, but not progression. Risk factors consistently associated with CAC progression were hypertension, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, and metabolic syndrome. On interaction testing, these four risk factors were more strongly associated with CAC progression as compared to CAC incidence.

CONCLUSIONS

CAC incidence was associated with multiple traditional risk factors, whereas the only risk factors associated with progression of CAC were hypertension, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, and metabolic syndrome.

Genetic risk scores for coronary artery disease and its traditional risk factors: Their role in the progression of coronary artery calcification-Results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study

Background

Atherosclerosis is the primary cause of coronary artery disease (CAD). Several observational studies have examined the association of traditional CAD risk factors with the progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC). In our study we investigated the effect of 11 different genetic risk scores associated with CAD and CAD risk factors on the progression of CAC.

Methods and results

We included 3097 participants from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study who had available CAC measurements at baseline (CAC_b) and at the 5-year follow-up (CAC_5y). A weighted genetic risk score for CAD and each of the CAD-associated risk factors was constructed. Multiple regression analyses were applied to i) the difference between the observed log(CAC_5y+1) (log(obs)) and expected log(CAC_5y+1) (log(exp)) at the 5-year follow-up following the individual’s log(CAC_b+1) percentile for the time between scans (log(obs)–log(exp)) and ii) the 5-year CAC progression, defined as 5*(log(CAC_5y+1)–log(CAC_b+1))/time between the scans, adjusted for age, sex, and log(CAC_b+1) as well as for risk factors. The median percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) and the 5-year progression of (CAC+1) in our study were 0 (first quartile: Q1; third quartile: Q3: -0.32; 0.48) and 45.4% (0%; 171.0%) respectively. In the age-, sex- and log(CAC_b+1)-adjusted model, the per-standard deviation (SD) increase in CAD genetic risk score was associated with the percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) (9.7% (95% confidence interval: 5.2%; 14.5%), p = 1.6x10^-5) and the 5-year progression of CAC (7.1% (3.0%; 11.4%), p = 0.0005). The CAD genetic risk score explains an additional 0.6% of the observed phenotypic variance for “log(obs)–log(exp)” and 0.4% for 5-year progression of CAC. Additionally, the per-SD increase in the CAC genetic risk score was associated with the percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) (6.2% (1.9%; 10.8%, p = 0.005)) explaining an additional 0.2% of the observed phenotypic variance. However, the per-SD increase in the CAC genetic risk score was not associated with the 5-year progression of CAC (4.4% (0.4%; 8.5%), p = 0.03) after multiple testing. Adjusting for risk factors did not change the results. None of the other genetic risk scores showed an association with the percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) or with the 5-year progression of CAC.

Conclusions

The association of the CAC genetic risk score and the CAD genetic risk score provides evidence that genetic determinants for CAC and CAD influence the progression of CAC.

Association of psychosocial traits with coronary artery calcium development and progression: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a well-established quantifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). We examined the association of anger, hostility, anxiety, and depression with the development and progression of CAC.

METHODS

We studied the association of these psychosocial traits with CAC among participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Anger was measured using the Spielberger Trait Anger questionnaire, hostility using a modified Cook-Medley Hostility questionnaire, anxiety using the Spielberger Trait Scale, and depression using the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). Among the subsample of participants with CAC = 0 at the beginning of the study period, Poisson regression models were used to determine the relative risk of developing CAC>0 over the study period. In the subsample that developed CAC>0, we used linear regression models to estimate the average increase in CAC associated with a unit increase in psychosocial trait.

RESULTS

Median time of follow-up was 9.4 years (range 8.0-11.4 years). Cross-sectional analyses at baseline revealed no association of any of the psychosocial traits with the presence or magnitude of CAC (anger: RR 0.98, p < 0.01; hostility: RR 1.01, p = 0.25; anxiety: RR 0.99, p < 0.01; depression: RR 0.99, p < 0.01 [not statistically significant after adjustment for covariates]). No association was detected between the traits and development of CAC (anger: RR 0.99, p = 0.23; hostility: RR 1.01, p = 0.68, anxiety: RR 1.00, p = 0.49; depression: RR 1.00, p = 0.51). We also found no association between any of the traits and progression of CAC (anger: beta -3.21, p = 0.08; hostility: beta 2.28, p = 0.43; anxiety: 3.45, p = 0.02 [not statistically significant after adjustment for covariates]; depression: beta -1.46, p = 0.11).

CONCLUSIONS

We found no association between anger, hostility, anxiety, or depression and CAC, suggesting these personality traits are not independent risk factors for CVD.

Association Between Homocysteine and Vascular Calcification Incidence, Prevalence, and Progression in the MESA Cohort

Background While elevated homocysteine has been associated with calcification in several studies, its importance as a cardiovascular risk factor remains unclear. This study examines the relationship between homocysteine and vascular and valve calcification in the MESA (Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) cohort. Methods and Results MESA participants with baseline homocysteine measurements and cardiac computed tomography scans were included (N=6789). Baseline and follow-up assessment of vascular (coronary artery [CAC], descending thoracic aorta [DTAC]) and valve (aortic valve [AVC], mitral annular [MAC]) calcification was performed. Prevalence ratio/relative risk regression was used to assess the relationship of homocysteine with prevalent and incident calcification, and multivariable logistic regression was used to assess associations between homocysteine and calcification progression. Elevated homocysteine was associated with greater relative risk of prevalent and incident CAC and incident DTAC. We also identified a strong association between elevated homocysteine and CAC and DTAC progression. Elevated homocysteine was found to confer a >2-fold increased risk of severe CAC progression (defined as ΔCAC ≥100/year) and an ≈1.5-fold increased risk for severe DTAC progression (defined as ΔDTAC ≥100/year). Conclusions To our knowledge, this is the first study demonstrating an association between elevated homocysteine and both incidence and progression of coronary and extra-coronary vascular calcification. Our findings suggest a potential role for elevated homocysteine as a risk factor for severe vascular calcification progression. Future studies are warranted to further assess the utility of homocysteine as a biomarker for vascular calcification incidence and progression. Clinical Trial Registration https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/. Unique identifier: NCT00005487.

Incidence and Progression of Coronary Artery Calcium in South Asians Compared With 4 Race/Ethnic Groups

Background

South Asians have a relatively high prevalence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) compared with other race/ethnic groups. We determined CAC incidence and progression among South Asians, and compared them with 4 race/ethnic groups.

Methods and Results

Data from the MASALA (Mediators of Atherosclerosis in South Asians Living in America) study were used to calculate CAC incidence and progression rates and any CAC change. Data from the MESA (Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were used to compare the CAC incidence and progression rates. A total of 698 South Asians had repeat CAC measurements after 4.8±0.8 years. Among those with no CAC at baseline, the age‐adjusted CAC incidence was 8.8% (95% CI, 6.8–10.8%) in men and 3.6% (2.5–4.8%) in women. The median annual CAC progression was 26 (interquartile range, 11–62) for men and 13 (interquartile range, 4–34) for women. Compared with MESA, age‐adjusted CAC incidence was similar in South Asian men compared with white, black, and Latino men, but significantly higher than Chinese men (11.1% versus 5.7%, P=0.008). After adjusting for age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and statin medication use, Chinese, black, and Latino men had significantly less CAC change compared with South Asian men, but there were no differences between South Asian and white men. There was no difference in CAC incidence or progression between South Asian women and women in MESA.

Conclusions

South Asian men had greater CAC change than Chinese, black, and Latino men but similar change to that of whites after adjusting for traditional risk factors.

Coronary Angiography Characteristics of Symptomatic Patients with Prior Coronary Artery Bypass Graft: A Descriptive Study

OBJECTIVES

The target of this study was to explore the coronary angiography characteristics for symptomatic patients with prior coronary artery bypass graft (CABG).

METHODS

Between 2009 and 2017, 993 patients who had undergone CABG but subsequently suffered recurrent symptoms in Beijing Anzhen Hospital were selected for this study and divided into either medical therapy (MT) group (n = 351) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) group (n = 642) based on the treatment. Clinical data were analyzed between two groups.

RESULTS

Patients in the MT group were older and more likely to have chronic lung disease (6.6% vs 3.4%, P=0.026) while patients in the PCI group were more likely to have prior MI (8.8% vs 17.0%, P < 0.001). In the MT group, 54.4% of patients had newly developed lesions both in the graft and native coronary artery while 58.1% in the PCI group (P=0.003), and in the MT group, 80.6% had type C coronary artery disease while 60.1% in the PCI group (P < 0.001). Patients in the MT group presented higher proportion of diffuse lesions (49.3% vs 15.0%, P < 0.001) in native coronary arteries.

CONCLUSION

Patients receiving MT (35.3%) likely had occluded grafts and type C coronary artery disease featuring as diffuse lesions.

Alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and associations with coronary artery calcification: evidence from the Kangbuk Samsung Health Study

OBJECTIVE

Recent evidence suggests that alcoholic fatty liver disease (AFLD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) may differentially affect risk of cardiovascular mortality. To investigate whether early liver disease due to AFLD or NAFLD have similar or dissimilar effects on risk of early coronary artery atherosclerosis, we have investigated the associations between AFLD and NAFLD and coronary artery calcium (CAC).

DESIGN

A cross-sectional study was performed in 105 328 Korean adults who attended a health check-up programme. CAC score was assessed using CT, daily alcohol intake was recorded as grams/day and liver fat by ultrasound. Logistic regression model was used to calculate ORs with 95% CIs for prevalent CAC.

RESULTS

Both NAFLD and AFLD were positively associated with CAC score. After adjusting for potential confounders, multivariable-adjusted OR (95% CIs) for CAC >0 comparing NAFLD and AFLD to the reference (absence of both excessive alcohol use and fatty liver disease) were 1.10 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.16) and 1.20 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.30), respectively. In post hoc analysis, OR (95% CI) for detectable CAC comparing AFLD to NAFLD was 1.09 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.17). Associations of NAFLD and AFLD with CAC scores were similar in both non-obese and obese individuals without significant interaction by obesity (p for interaction=0.088). After adjusting for homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance and high-sensitivity C reactive protein, the associations between fatty liver disease and CAC scores remained statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

In this large sample of young and middle-aged individuals, early liver disease due to NAFLD and AFLD were both significantly associated with the presence of coronary artery calcification.

Relation Between Cigarette Smoking and Heart Failure (from the Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis)

We studied the association between cigarette smoking and incident heart failure (HF) in a racially diverse US cohort. We included 6,792 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis with information on cigarette smoking at baseline, characterized by status, intensity, burden, and time since quitting. Adjudicated outcomes included total incident HF cases and HF stratified by ejection fraction (EF) into HF with reduced EF (HFrEF; EF ≤ 40%) and preserved EF (HFpEF; EF ≥ 50%). We used Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors and accounted for competing risk of each HF type. Mean age was 62 ± 10 years; 53% were women, 61% were nonwhite, and 13% were current smokers. A total of 279 incident HF cases occurred over a median follow-up of 12.2 years. The incidence rates of HFrEF and HFpEF were 2.2 and 1.9 cases per 1000 person-years, respectively. Current smoking was associated with higher risk of HF compared with never smoking (hazard ratio [HR], 2.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36 to 3.09); this was similar for HFrEF (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.27 to 5.25) and HFpEF (HR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.15 to 5.49). Former smoking was not significantly associated with HF (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.56). Smoking intensity, burden, and time since quitting did not provide additional information for HF risk after accounting for smoking status.

Long-Term Exposure to Ambient Ozone and Progression of Subclinical Arterial Disease: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and Air Pollution

BACKGROUND

Long-term ozone ([Formula: see text]) exposure is associated with cardiovascular mortality, but little is known about the associations between [Formula: see text] and subclinical arterial disease.

OBJECTIVES

We studied the longitudinal association of exposure to [Formula: see text] and progression of key subclinical arterial markers in adults: intima-media thickness of common carotid artery ([Formula: see text]), carotid plaque (CP) burden, and coronary artery calcification (CAC).

METHODS

CAC was measured one to four times at baseline and at follow-up exams (1999–2012) by computed tomography (CT) in 6,619 healthy adults, recruited at age 45-84 y without cardiovascular disease (CVD), over a mean of 6.5 y (standard deviation: 3.5 y). [Formula: see text] and CP burden were quantified in 3,392 participants using carotid artery ultrasound imaging acquired over a mean of 9 y (1.7 y). Over 91% and 89% participants had at least one follow-up [Formula: see text] and CAC measurement, respectively. Residence-specific [Formula: see text] concentrations were estimated by a validated spatiotemporal model spanning from 1999 to 2012. This model relied on comprehensive monitoring data and geographical variables to predict individualized long-term average concentrations since baseline. Linear mixed models and logistic regression model were used to evaluate relationships of long-term average exposure to [Formula: see text] with longitudinal change in [Formula: see text], CAC, and CP formation, respectively.

RESULTS

Mean progression rates of [Formula: see text] and CAC were [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. CP formation was identified in 55% of the subjects. A [Formula: see text] increase in long-term average [Formula: see text] exposure was associated with a [Formula: see text] [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4, 9.7] greater increase in [Formula: see text] over 10 y. A [Formula: see text] increase in [Formula: see text] was also associated with new CP formation [odds ratio (OR): 1.2 (95% CI: 1.1, 1.4)] but not CAC progression [[Formula: see text] (95% CI: [Formula: see text], 2)]. Associations were robust in the analysis with extended covariate adjustment, including copollutants, i.e., nitrogen oxides ([Formula: see text]) and particulate matter with diameter [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]).

CONCLUSION

Over almost a decade of follow-up, outdoor [Formula: see text] concentrations were associated with increased rate of carotid wall thickness progression and risk of new plaque formation, suggesting arterial injury in this cohort. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP3325.

Biomarkers of mineral metabolism and progression of aortic valve and mitral annular calcification: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Previous research has implicated dysregulation of phosphate metabolism and calcium-phosphate solubilization in cardiovascular calcification, but epidemiologic studies evaluating longitudinal associations with valvular or annular calcification by computed tomography (CT), a highly sensitive imaging modality, are lacking. Our primary aim was to investigate the associations of mineral biomarkers with incidence and progression of aortic valve calcification (AVC) and mitral annular calcification (MAC).

METHODS

We evaluated the associations of serum FGF-23 (n = 6547 participants), phosphate (n = 6547), and fetuin-A (n = 2550) measured at baseline in the community-based Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis with AVC and MAC on CT performed at baseline and at a median of 2.4 (1.6, 3.1) years later. We used linear mixed-effects models to account simultaneously for prevalence, incidence and progression of AVC and MAC.

RESULTS

After adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics, a significant association was documented for FGF-23 with accelerated annual progression of MAC (2.83 Agatston units (AU), 95% CI = 0.49, 5.17 AU, per standard deviation (18.46 pg/mL) of FGF-23), but this was not seen for phosphate or fetuin-A. None of these biomarkers was associated with accelerated annual progression of AVC.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence relating serum FGF-23 to accelerated annual MAC progression. Whether this mineral regulator is a risk marker or is involved in pathogenesis merits further investigation.

Life’s Simple 7 Cardiovascular Health Metrics and Progression of Coronary Artery Calcium in a Low-Risk Population

Objective—

We examined the association of cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics with the development and progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC) among apparently healthy adults.

Approach and Results—

This cohort study included 65 494 men and women 30 years of age and older free of cardiovascular disease at baseline who underwent a comprehensive exam including CAC scoring. CVH metrics were defined according to the American Heart Association Life’s Simple 7 metrics based on smoking, diet, physical activity, body mass index, blood pressure, total cholesterol, and fasting glucose. CVH scores range from 0 (all metrics considered unhealthy) to 7 (all metrics considered healthy). Participants were followed-up for a maximum of 6.6 years. Compared with participants with ideal CVH scores 0–1, the multivariable-adjusted difference in the change in geometric means of CAC scores over 5 years of follow-up were −0.40 (−0.62 to −0.19), −0.83 (−1.03 to −0.63), −1.06 (−1.25 to −0.86), −1.22 (−1.42 to −1.03), and −1.05 (−1.42 to −0.69) in participants with ideal CVH scores 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6–7, respectively. The inverse association between CVH scores and progression of CAC was observed both in participants with no CAC and in those with CAC detectable at baseline.

Conclusions—

A higher ideal CVH metrics score was strongly associated with a lower prevalence of CAC and with lower progression of CAC in males and females in a large cohort of healthy adults. Our findings suggest that maintaining a healthy life habits could help reduce the development and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis and ultimately prevent clinically cardiovascular event.

Association of statin therapy with clinical outcomes in patients with vasospastic angina: Data from Korean health insurance review and assessment service

There is conflicting evidence for the clinical benefit of statin therapy in patients with vasospastic angina (VSA). We investigated the association of statin therapy with clinical outcomes in relatively large populations with clinically suspected VSA from a nationwide population-based database. Data were collected from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment database records of 4,099 patients that were in an intensive care unit with VSA between January 1, 2008 and May 31, 2015. We divided the patients into a statin group (n = 1,795) and a non-statin group (n = 2,304). The primary outcome was a composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The median follow-up duration was 3.8 years (interquartile range: 2.2 to 5.8 years). Cardiac arrest or AMI occurred in 120 patients (5.2%) in the statin group, and 97 patients (5.4%) in the non-statin group (P = 0.976). With inverse probability of treatment weighting, there was no significant difference in the rate of cardiac arrest or AMI between the two groups (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76–1.30; P = 0.937), or even between the non-statin group and high-intensity statin group (adjusted HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.69–1.70; P = 0.75). The beneficial association of statin use with the primary outcome was consistently lacking across the various comorbidity types. Statin therapy was not associated with reduced cardiac arrest or AMI in patients with VSA, regardless of statin intensity. Prospective, randomized trials will be needed to confirm our findings.

Age- and gender-adjusted percentiles for number of calcified plaques in coronary artery calcium scanning

BACKGROUND

Age- and gender-adjusted percentiles of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score are commonly reported to compare a patient's coronary atherosclerosis burden to that of others of the same age and gender. The number of calcified plaques (numCP) detected on CAC scanning, a measure of plaque diffusivity, is associated with increased cardiovascular risk and, in the intermediate CAC range, adds to the CAC score in predicting mortality. This study aims to develop adjusted percentiles for numCP to provide a better context for understanding CAC scan findings.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using nonparametric modeling techniques, the distribution of numCP was analyzed in 70,320 consecutive, asymptomatic patients without prior clinically-diagnosed cardiovascular disease who were part of the Coronary Artery Calcium Consortium and supplemented by additional patients referred for clinical CAC scanning in a single center between 1998 and 2016. Nomograms for age-adjusted numCP percentiles for each gender were generated using quantile regression. The prevalence and average number of calcified coronary plaque were found to be higher in men than women. Distribution of numCP in women was found to closely mirror that of men approximately a decade younger. NumCP increased consistently across age groups in both men and women for each quantile category.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram for age and gender-adjusted percentiles for the numCP on CAC scans has been developed in a large population of asymptomatic patients studied across multiple centers. This numCP nomogram may provide an additional tool for refining physician recommendations regarding treatment and expressing to patients how their CAC findings relate to others of similar age and gender. The numCP percentiles may also provide a meaningful way to evaluate and report the rate of progression of CAC on serial studies.

Association of endogenous sex hormone levels with coronary artery calcium progression among post-menopausal women in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

BACKGROUND

Sex differences in the incidence and manifestation of cardiovascular disease (CVD) suggest the involvement of sex hormones in disease pathogenesis. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) and its progression, measured by non-contrast cardiac computed tomography, are markers of subclinical atherosclerosis and predict CVD, even among low-risk women. We hypothesized that sex hormone levels were associated with CAC progression among women in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

METHODS

We studied 2759 post-menopausal women (age 65 ± 9 years), free of baseline CVD, with baseline serum sex hormones and CAC measured at Exam 1 (2000-2002). Of this sample, 2427 had ≥1 follow-up CAC measurement through Exam 5 (2010-2012). Using mixed effects linear regression methods, we tested change in log[CAC+1] score by log[sex hormone] levels (continuous, comparing the 90th versus 10th percentiles). Models adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors, cardiovascular risk factors, hormone therapy, and years since menopause.

RESULTS

At baseline, we found no associations between sex hormones and prevalent CAC. Over a median of 4.7 years, in fully-adjusted models, women with higher free testosterone levels had relatively greater CAC progression [Ratio 1.26 (95% CI 1.01-1.56)], whereas higher sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) was associated with lower progression risk [0.80 (0.64-0.99). No associations were seen for total testosterone, estradiol, or dehydroepiandrosterone.

CONCLUSION

A more androgenic hormone profile of higher free testosterone and lower SHBG is associated with a greater CAC progression up to 10-years in post-menopausal women. Sex hormone levels may help identify women at increased risk for CVD who may benefit from additional risk-reducing strategies.

Differential prognosis of vasospastic angina according to presentation with sudden cardiac arrest or not: Analysis of the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service

BACKGROUND

The long-term prognosis of vasospastic angina (VSA) patients presenting with aborted sudden cardiac death (ASCD) is still unknown. We sought to compare the long-term clinical outcomes between VSA patients presenting with and without ASCD by retrospective analysis of a nationwide population-based database.

METHODS

A total of 6972 patients in the Health Insurance Review and Assessment database who were hospitalized in the intensive care unit with VSA between July 1, 2007 and May 31, 2015 were enrolled. Primary outcome was the composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction after discharge.

RESULTS

Five hundred ninety-eight (8.6%) VSA patients presented with ASCD. On inverse probability of treatment weighting, ASCD patients had a significantly increased risk of the composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.52; 95% confidence interval, 1.72-3.67; p < 0.001) during the median follow-up duration of 4 years. The association of ASCD presentation with a worse outcome in terms of primary outcome was consistent across various subgroups, including comorbidity type and use of vasodilators (all p-values for interaction: non-significant). ASCD patients treated with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) had a lower incidence of the composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction during follow-up than those without an ICD (p = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

VSA patients that present with ASCD are at increased risk of cardiac arrest or myocardial infarction during long-term follow-up despite adequate vasodilator therapy. An ICD is a potential therapeutic option for secondary prevention.

Pollutant composition modification of the effect of air pollution on progression of coronary artery calcium: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background:

Differences in traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) composition may cause heterogeneity in associations between air pollution exposure and cardiovascular health outcomes. Clustering multipollutant measurements allows investigation of effect modification by TRAP profiles.

Methods:

We measured TRAP components with fixed-site and on-road instruments for two 2-week periods in Baltimore, Maryland. We created representative TRAP profiles for cold and warm seasons using predictive k-means clustering. We predicted cluster membership for 1005 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and Air Pollution with follow-up between 2000 and 2012. We estimated cluster-specific relationships between coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression and long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) and oxides of nitrogen (NO_X).

Results:

We identified two clusters in the cold season, notable for higher ratios of gases and ultrafine particles, respectively. A 5-μg/m³ difference in PM_2.5 was associated with 17.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 7.2, 26.7) and 42.6 (95% CI = 25.7, 59.4) Agatston units/year CAC progression among participants in clusters 1 and 2, respectively (effect modification P = 0.006). A 40 ppb difference in NO_X was associated with 22.2 (95% CI = 7.7, 36.7) and 41.9 (95% CI = 23.7, 60.2) Agatston units/year CAC progression in clusters 1 and 2, respectively (P = 0.08). Similar trends occurred using clusters identified from warm season measurements. Clusters correlated highly with baseline pollution level.

Conclusions:

Clustering TRAP measurements identified spatial differences in composition. We found evidence of greater CAC progression rates per unit PM_2.5 exposures among people living in areas characterized by high ratios of ultrafine particle counts relative to NO_X concentrations.

Hepatocyte growth factor is associated with progression of atherosclerosis: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) has previously been associated with risk of stroke, coronary heart disease, and atherosclerosis. We hypothesized that higher circulating HGF is associated with greater progression of measures of atherosclerosis: coronary artery calcium (CAC) and carotid plaque.

METHODS

Participants aged 45-84 years from the prospective cohort study Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis had HGF measured at baseline (between 2000 and 2002) and were followed for progression of atherosclerosis for up to 12 years. CAC was measured at all five exams using the Agatston method. Mixed-effects models were used to examine the association of HGF and CAC progression among 6695 participants with available data. Relative risk regression was used to assess the association between HGF and new or additional carotid plaque between exams 1 and 5 in 3400 participants with available data. All point estimates were adjusted for potential confounding variables.

RESULTS

Each standard deviation higher HGF at baseline was associated with 2.9 Agatston units/year greater CAC progression (95% CI: 1.6-4.2, p < 0.0001), and the magnitude of this association differed by race/ethnicity (p value for interaction by race = 0.003). Each standard deviation higher HGF at baseline was associated with a 4% higher risk of new or additional carotid plaque (95% CI: 1.01-1.08, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher levels of HGF were significantly associated with greater progression of atherosclerosis in this large and diverse population. Circulating HGF continues to show promise as a potential clinical biomarker for cardiovascular disease.

Association between phthalate exposure and lower lung function in an urban elderly population: A repeated-measures longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Lung function is a major predictor of morbidity and mortality. Only a few studies have explored the association between phthalate exposure and lung function.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between phthalate exposure and lung function in the elderly.

METHODS

A total of 3 repeated-measures surveys were conducted in 559 elderly individuals aged ≥60 years in Seoul, Korea, at 1-year intervals (2012-2015). During each survey, urinary mono-(2-ethyl-5-hydrohexyl) phthalate (MEHHP) (geometric mean, 15.68 μg/L), mono-(2-ethyl-5-oxohexyl) phthalate (MEOHP) (11.97 μg/L), and mono-n-butyl phthalate (MnBP) (2.09 μg/L) levels were measured; moreover, lung function tests and a structured questionnaire interview were performed. We constructed linear mixed models to assess the association between urinary phthalate metabolite levels and lung function.

RESULTS

A doubling of creatinine-adjusted urinary phthalate metabolite levels was inversely associated with forced expiratory volume in 1 s (L) (β = -0.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.02, 0.004 for MEHHP; β = -0.02, 95% CI: -0.03, -0.01 for MEOHP; β = -0.01, 95% CI: -0.03, -0.003 for MnBP) and forced vital capacity (L) (β = -0.02, 95% CI: -0.03, -0.001 for MEHHP; β = -0.02, 95% CI: -0.03, -0.004 for MEOHP; β = -0.02, 95% CI: -0.03, -0.001 for MnBP). A doubling of creatinine-adjusted MnBP levels was associated with increased rates of annual decline in forced vital capacity (L/year) (β = -0.01, 95% CI: -0.02, -0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary phthalate metabolite levels were associated with lower lung function and an increased rate of decline in lung function in an elderly population.

Providing Evidence for Subclinical CVD in Risk Assessment

When the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) began, the Framingham risk score was the preferred tool for 10-year global coronary heart disease risk assessment; however, the Framingham risk score had limitations including derivation in a homogenous population lacking racial and ethnic diversity and exclusive reliance on traditional risk factors without consideration of most subclinical disease measures. MESA was designed to study the prognostic value of subclinical atherosclerosis and other risk markers in a multiethnic population. In a series of landmark publications, MESA demonstrated that measures of subclinical cardiovascular disease add significant prognostic value to the traditional Framingham risk variables. In head-to-head studies comparing these markers, MESA established that the coronary artery calcium score may be the single best predictor of coronary heart disease risk. Results from MESA have directly influenced recent prevention guidelines including the recommendations on risk assessment and cholesterol-lowering therapy. The MESA study has published its own risk score, which allows for the calculation of 10-year risk of coronary heart disease before and after knowledge of a coronary artery calcium score.

Deletion of IκB-Kinase β in Smooth Muscle Cells Induces Vascular Calcification Through β-Catenin-Runt-Related Transcription Factor 2 Signaling

BACKGROUND

Vascular calcification was previously considered as an advanced phase of atherosclerosis; however, recent studies have indicated that such calcification can appear in different situations. Nevertheless, there has been a lack of mechanistic insight to explain the difference. For example, the roles of nuclear factor-κB, a major regulator of inflammation, in vascular calcification are poorly explored, although its roles in atherosclerosis were well documented. Herein, we investigated the roles of nuclear factor-κB signaling in vascular calcification.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We produced mice with deletion of IKKβ, an essential kinase for nuclear factor-κB activation, in vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs; KO mice) and subjected them to the CaCl₂-induced aorta injury model. Unexpectedly, KO mice showed more calcification of the aorta than their wild-type littermates, despite the former's suppressed nuclear factor-κB activity. Cultured VSMCs from the aorta of KO mice also showed significant calcification in vitro. In the molecular analysis, we found that Runt-related transcription factor 2, a transcriptional factor accelerating bone formation, was upregulated in cultured VSMCs from KO mice, and its regulator β-catenin was more activated with suppressed ubiquitination in KO VSMCs. Furthermore, we examined VSMCs from mice in which kinase-active or kinase-dead IKKβ was overexpressed in VSMCs. We found that kinase-independent function of IKKβ is involved in suppression of calcification via inactivation of β-catenin, which leads to suppression of Runt-related transcription factor 2 and osteoblast marker genes.

CONCLUSIONS

IKKβ negatively regulates VSMC calcification through β-catenin-Runt-related transcription factor 2 signaling, which revealed a novel function of IKKβ on vascular calcification.

Use of the Coronary Artery Calcium Score in Discussion of Initiation of Statin Therapy in Primary Prevention

Clinical guidelines for instituting pharmacotherapy for the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), specifically lipid management and aspirin, have long been based on absolute risk. However, lipid management in the current era remains challenging to both patients and clinicians in the setting of somewhat discordant recommendations from various organizations. All guidelines endorse the use of statins for primary prevention for those at sufficient absolute risk, and treatment recommendations are generally "risk-based" rather than exclusively targeting specific low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Nonetheless, guidelines differ in relation to the risk threshold for initiation and the intensity of statin treatment. The key concept of the clinician-patient risk discussion introduced in the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association cholesterol guidelines is a process that addresses the potential for ASCVD risk reduction with statin treatment, potential for adverse treatment effects, patient preferences, encouragement of heart-healthy lifestyle, and management of other risk factors. However, operationalizing the clinician-patient risk discussion requires effective communication of the most accurate and personalized risk information. In this article, we review our treatment approach for the appropriate use of coronary artery calcium testing in the intermediate-risk patient to guide shared decision making. The decision to initiate or intensify statin therapy may be uncertain across a broad range of estimated 10-year ASCVD risk of 5% to 20%, and coronary artery calcium testing can reclassify risk upward or downward in approximately 50% of this group to inform the risk discussion. We conclude with 2 case-based examples of uncertain risk and uncertain statin therapeutic benefit to illustrate execution of the clinician-patient risk discussion.

Value of Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification for Risk Prediction of Coronary and Cardiovascular Events: Result of the HNR Study (Heinz Nixdorf Recall)

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background:

Computed tomography (CT) allows estimation of coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression. We evaluated several progression algorithms in our unselected, population-based cohort for risk prediction of coronary and cardiovascular events.

Methods:

In 3281 participants (45–74 years of age), free from cardiovascular disease until the second visit, risk factors, and CTs at baseline (b) and after a mean of 5.1 years (5y) were measured. Hard coronary and cardiovascular events, and total cardiovascular events including revascularization, as well, were recorded during a follow-up time of 7.8±2.2 years after the second CT. The added predictive value of 10 CAC progression algorithms on top of risk factors including baseline CAC was evaluated by using survival analysis, C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination index. A subgroup analysis of risk in CAC categories was performed.

Results:

We observed 85 (2.6%) hard coronary, 161 (4.9%) hard cardiovascular, and 241 (7.3%) total cardiovascular events. Absolute CAC progression was higher with versus without subsequent coronary events (median, 115 [Q1–Q3, 23–360] versus 8 [0–83], P<0.0001; similar for hard/total cardiovascular events). Some progression algorithms added to the predictive value of baseline CT and risk assessment in terms of C-statistic or integrated discrimination index, especially for total cardiovascular events. However, CAC progression did not improve models including CAC_5y and 5-year risk factors. An excellent prognosis was found for 921 participants with double-zero CAC_b=CAC_5y=0 (10-year coronary and hard/total cardiovascular risk: 1.4%, 2.0%, and 2.8%), which was for participants with incident CAC 1.8%, 3.8%, and 6.6%, respectively. When CAC_b progressed from 1 to 399 to CAC_5y≥400, coronary and total cardiovascular risk were nearly 2-fold in comparison with subjects who remained below CAC_5y=400. Participants with CAC_b≥400 had high rates of hard coronary and hard/total cardiovascular events (10-year risk: 12.0%, 13.5%, and 30.9%, respectively).

Conclusions:

CAC progression is associated with coronary and cardiovascular event rates, but adds only weakly to risk prediction. What counts is the most recent CAC value and risk factor assessment. Therefore, a repeat scan >5 years after the first scan may be of additional value, except when a double-zero CT scan is present or when the subjects are already at high risk.

Accelerated progression of coronary artery calcification in hypertension but also prehypertension

OBJECTIVE

To determine the role of hypertension for coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression.

METHODS

The population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study recruited 4814 participants from a German urban population in 2000-2003. CAC was measured using electron-beam computed tomography at baseline and after 5 years. The present analyses refer to 3481 participants with repeat scan (coronary heart disease until 5 years excluded, age at baseline 45-74 years, and 53.1% women). Blood pressure (BP), Framingham risk factors, and antihypertensive medication were recorded at baseline. BP was staged according to Joint National Committee 7 guidelines. Participants under antihypertensive medication were classified as stage 2. CAC at 5 years was predicted from baseline using our dedicated, publicly available algorithm. CAC progression was accordingly classified as slow, expected, or rapid.

RESULTS

Normotension was found in 20.5%, prehypertension in 27.2%, stage 1 hypertension in 15.8%, and stage 2 (ST2) in 36.5%. The frequency of rapid progression increases with BP stage (normotension: 16.7% to ST2: 21.1%, P = 0.004). Risk factor adjusted relative risk [RR (95% confidence interval), reference: normotension] of rapid progression was for prehypertension: 1.22 (0.98;1.51), stage 1: 1.29 (1.01;1.65), and ST2: 1.45 (1.17;1.79). Risk factor adjusted measures of CAC progression per 10 mmHg SBP were already elevated in women with BP below 140/90 mmHg: CAC onset, RR = 1.22 (1.07;1.40), rapid progression, RR = 1.17 (1.05;1.31), 5-year CAC progression, 6.7% (0.5;13.4). In men below 140/90 mmHg, only RR of rapid progression was considerably increased [RR = 1.11 (0.96;1.29)].

CONCLUSION

CAC progression, a sign of ongoing target organ damage, is already accelerated in prehypertensive patients, a substantial proportion of our urban population.

Effect of Intensive and Standard Pitavastatin Treatment With or Without Eicosapentaenoic Acid on Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification Over 12 Months - Prospective Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

The effect of lipid-lowering agents on progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) remains unclear. We evaluated the effects of pitavastatin 2 mg/day (PIT2), pitavastatin 4 mg/day (PIT4), and PIT2 combined with eicosapentaenoic acid (PIT2+EPA) on CAC progression.Methods and Results:This prospective multicenter study in Japan included patients with an Agatston score of 1-999, hypercholesterolemia, and no evidence of cardiovascular disease. Patients were allocated into PIT2, PIT4, or PIT2+EPA groups. The primary outcome was the annual percent change in Agatston score in all patients. In total, 156 patients who had multi-detector row computed tomography without any artifacts were included in the primary analysis. Pitavastatin did not significantly reduce the annual progression rate of the Agatston score (40%; 95% CI: 19-61%). The annual progression rate of Agatston score in the PIT2 group was not significantly different from that in the PIT4 group (34% vs. 42%, respectively; P=0.88) or the PIT2+EPA group (34% vs. 44%, respectively; P=0.80). On post-hoc analysis the baseline ratio of low- to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was a significant predictor of non-progression of Agatston score by pitavastatin (OR, 2.17; 95% CI: 1.10-44.12; P=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Pitavastatin does not attenuate progression of CAC. Intensive pitavastatin treatment and standard treatment with EPA does not reduce progression of CAC compared with standard treatment.