Systolic Blood Pressure and Mortality After Stroke

Intensive Blood Pressure Treatment and Subclinical Brain Infarcts: A Secondary Analysis of SPRINT (Systolic Pressure Intervention Trial)

OBJECTIVE

Subclinical brain infarcts (SBI) increase the risk for stroke and dementia, but whether they should be considered equivalent to symptomatic stroke when determining blood pressure targets remains unclear. We tested whether intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) treatment reduced the risk of new SBI or stroke and determined the association between SBI and cognitive impairment.

METHODS

In this secondary analysis of SPRINT (Systolic Pressure Intervention Trial), participants ≥50 years old, with SBP 130-180mmHg and elevated cardiovascular risk but without known clinical stroke, dementia, or diabetes, were randomized to intensive (<120mmHg) or standard (<140mmHg) SBP treatment. Brain magnetic resonance images collected at baseline and follow-up were read for SBI. The occurrence of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or probable dementia (PD) was evaluated.

RESULTS

For 667 participants at baseline, SBI were identified in 75 (11%). At median 3.9 years follow-up, 12 of 457 had new SBI on magnetic resonance imaging (5 intensive, 7 standard), whereas 8 had clinical stroke (4 per group). Baseline SBI (subhazard ratio [sHR] = 3.90; 95% CI 1.49 to 10.24; p = 0.006), but not treatment group, was associated with new SBI or stroke. For participants with baseline SBI, intensive treatment reduced their risk for recurrent SBI or stroke (sHR = 0.050; 95% CI 0.0031 to 0.79; p = 0.033). Baseline SBI also increased risk for MCI or PD during follow-up (sHR = 2.38; 95% CI 1.23 to 4.61; p = 0.010).

INTERPRETATION

New cerebral ischemic events were infrequent, but intensive treatment mitigated the increased risk for participants with baseline SBI, indicating primary prevention SBP goals are still appropriate when SBI are present. ANN NEUROL 2024;95:866-875.

European stroke organisation (ESO) guideline on cerebral small vessel disease, part 2, lacunar ischaemic stroke

A quarter of ischaemic strokes are lacunar subtype, typically neurologically mild, usually resulting from intrinsic cerebral small vessel pathology, with risk factor profiles and outcome rates differing from other stroke subtypes. This European Stroke Organisation (ESO) guideline provides evidence-based recommendations to assist with clinical decisions about management of lacunar ischaemic stroke to prevent adverse clinical outcomes. The guideline was developed according to ESO standard operating procedures and Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. We addressed acute treatment (including progressive lacunar stroke) and secondary prevention in lacunar ischaemic stroke, and prioritised the interventions of thrombolysis, antiplatelet drugs, blood pressure lowering, lipid lowering, lifestyle, and other interventions and their potential effects on the clinical outcomes recurrent stroke, dependency, major adverse cardiovascular events, death, cognitive decline, mobility, gait, or mood disorders. We systematically reviewed the literature, assessed the evidence and where feasible formulated evidence-based recommendations, and expert concensus statements. We found little direct evidence, mostly of low quality. We recommend that patients with suspected acute lacunar ischaemic stroke receive intravenous alteplase, antiplatelet drugs and avoid blood pressure lowering according to current acute ischaemic stroke guidelines. For secondary prevention, we recommend single antiplatelet treatment long-term, blood pressure control, and lipid lowering according to current guidelines. We recommend smoking cessation, regular exercise, other healthy lifestyle modifications, and avoid obesity for general health benefits. We cannot make any recommendation concerning progressive stroke or other drugs. Large randomised controlled trials with clinically important endpoints, including cognitive endpoints, are a priority for lacunar ischaemic stroke.

Development and internal validation of machine learning-based models and external validation of existing risk scores for outcome prediction in patients with ischaemic stroke

Aims

We developed new machine learning (ML) models and externally validated existing statistical models [ischaemic stroke predictive risk score (iScore) and totalled health risks in vascular events (THRIVE) scores] for predicting the composite of recurrent stroke or all-cause mortality at 90 days and at 3 years after hospitalization for first acute ischaemic stroke (AIS).

Methods and results

In adults hospitalized with AIS from January 2005 to November 2016, with follow-up until November 2019, we developed three ML models [random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOST)] and externally validated the iScore and THRIVE scores for predicting the composite outcomes after AIS hospitalization, using data from 721 patients and 90 potential predictor variables. At 90 days and 3 years, 11 and 34% of patients, respectively, reached the composite outcome. For the 90-day prediction, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.779 for RF, 0.771 for SVM, 0.772 for XGBOOST, 0.720 for iScore, and 0.664 for THRIVE. For 3-year prediction, the AUC was 0.743 for RF, 0.777 for SVM, 0.773 for XGBOOST, 0.710 for iScore, and 0.675 for THRIVE.

Conclusion

The study provided three ML-based predictive models that achieved good discrimination and clinical usefulness in outcome prediction after AIS and broadened the application of the iScore and THRIVE scoring system for long-term outcome prediction. Our findings warrant comparative analyses of ML and existing statistical method-based risk prediction tools for outcome prediction after AIS in new data sets.

Real-world analysis of two ischaemic stroke and TIA systolic blood pressure goals on 12-month mortality and recurrent vascular events

INTRODUCTION

Whether obtaining the more intensive goal systolic blood pressure (SBP) of <130 mm Hg, rather than a less intensive SBP goal of <140 mm Hg poststroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA) is associated with incremental mortality and recurrent vascular event benefit is largely unexplored using real-world data. Lowering SBP excessively may result in poorer outcomes.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of 26 368 Veterans presenting to a Veterans Administration Medical Center (VAMC) with a stroke/TIA between October 2015 and July 2018. Patients were excluded from the study if they had missing or extreme BP values, receiving dialysis or palliative care, left against medical advice had a cancer diagnosis, were cared for in a VAMC enrolled in a stroke/TIA quality improvement initiative, died or had a cerebrovascular or cardiovascular event within 90 days after their index stroke/TIA. The analytical sample included 12 337 patients. Average SBP during 90 days after discharge was assessed in categories (≤105 mm Hg, 106-115 mm Hg, 116-130 mm Hg, 131-140 mm Hg and >140 mm Hg). Separate multivariable Cox proportional hazard regressions were used to examine the relationship between average SBP groups and time to: (1) mortality and (2) any recurrent vascular event, from 90 days to up to 365 days after discharge from the index emergency department visit or inpatient admission.

RESULTS

Compared with those with SBP>140 mm Hg, patients with SBP between 116 and 130 mm Hg had a significantly lower risk of recurrent stroke/TIA (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.99) but not cardiovascular events. Patients with SBP lower than 105 mm Hg, compared with those with >140 mm Hg demonstrated a statistically significant higher risk of death (HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.43 to 3.00), but no statistical differences were found in other SBP groups.

DISCUSSION

Data support a more intensive SBP goal to prevent recurrent cerebrovascular events among stroke/TIA patients by 90 days poststroke/TIA compared with less intensive goal. Very low SBPs were associated with increased mortality risk.

Evaluation of Blood Biomarkers and Parameters for the Prediction of Stroke Survivors' Functional Outcome upon Discharge Utilizing Explainable Machine Learning

Despite therapeutic advancements, stroke remains a leading cause of death and long-term disability. The quality of current stroke prognostic models varies considerably, whereas prediction models of post-stroke disability and mortality are restricted by the sample size, the range of clinical and risk factors and the clinical applicability in general. Accurate prognostication can ease post-stroke discharge planning and help healthcare practitioners individualize aggressive treatment or palliative care, based on projected life expectancy and clinical course. In this study, we aimed to develop an explainable machine learning methodology to predict functional outcomes of stroke patients at discharge, using the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) as a binary classification problem. We identified 35 parameters from the admission, the first 72 h, as well as the medical history of stroke patients, and used them to train the model. We divided the patients into two classes in two approaches: "Independent" vs. "Non-Independent" and "Non-Disability" vs. "Disability". Using various classifiers, we found that the best models in both approaches had an upward trend, with respect to the selected biomarkers, and achieved a maximum accuracy of 88.57% and 89.29%, respectively. The common features in both approaches included: age, hemispheric stroke localization, stroke localization based on blood supply, development of respiratory infection, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) upon admission and systolic blood pressure levels upon admission. Intubation and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels upon admission are additional features for the first approach and Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (ESR) levels upon admission for the second. Our results suggest that the said factors may be important predictors of functional outcomes in stroke patients.

Hypertension in the older person: is age just a number?

Older patients with hypertension are at a higher risk of cardiovascular events compared to younger adults but are also more vulnerable to the adverse effects of blood pressure (BP) lowering. Frailty is an important predictor of vulnerability to such adverse events, and age alone may not best reflect underlying risk. Therefore, an individualised approach to management of hypertension in the older person is required. Such an approach requires knowledge of frailty, the physiology of hypertension and ageing and a contextual understanding of best evidence. Management needs to be holistic and take account of the older person's care needs, wishes and priorities. This review describes physiological considerations and current guidelines and best practices regarding BP lowering in older people and highlights areas with paucity of evidence. A proposed and testable approach to managing hypertension in the older person (≥70 years) is discussed.

Systolic blood pressure and recurrent stroke in patients with different lesion patterns on diffusion weighted imaging

Little is known about the relationship between baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) and subsequent clinical events in patients with different lesion patterns on diffusion weighted imaging (DWI). We analyzed the Acute Non‐disabling Cerebrovascular Events (CHANCE) trial dataset. Patients were categorized into negative DW imaging (no detectable lesions), lacunar infarction (single lesion ≤15 mm) and non‐lacunar infarction (single lesion >15 mm or multiple lesions) based on lesion patterns on DWI. The primary outcome was recurrent stroke within 90 days. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between SBP levels and stroke outcomes in patients with different lesion patterns. A total of 1089 patients were analyzed. We found 258 cases (23.7%) with negative DW imaging, 392 (36.0%) with lacunar infarction and 439 (40.3%) with non‐lacunar infarction. Patients with non‐lacunar infarction had the highest incidence of stroke at 90‐day (P < .001). In non‐lacunar infarction group, compared with SBP < 160 mmHg, patients with SBP ≥ 160 mmHg had significantly higher risk of 90‐day recurrent stroke (20.3% vs. 10.7%; adjusted hazard ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.09–3.00). No significant association was found between SBP and clinical outcomes in patients with negative DWI and lacunar stroke groups. The result at 1 year was similar as at 90‐day. Therefore, non‐lacunar infarction, the most common lesion pattern in CHANCE study, had the highest risk of recurrent stroke and combined vascular events both in 90 days and 1 year. High baseline SBP was significantly associated with increased risk of short‐ and long‐term recurrent strokes in patients with non‐lacunar infarction.

The Relationship Between Admission Blood Pressure and Clinical Outcomes for Acute Basilar Artery Occlusion

Background and Purpose

Optimal blood pressure management of patients with basilar artery occlusion (BAO) remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between admission blood pressure and clinical outcomes following acute BAO.

Materials and Methods

We analyzed data from a prospective, nationwide cohort study of 829 patients with acute BAO and posterior circulation stroke. Baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were recorded on admission. The primary outcome was neurological functional disability based on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days. Secondary outcomes included successful reperfusion, mortality within 90 days, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score change. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the associations of SBP and DBP with outcomes.

Results

We include 829 patients with posterior circulation stroke and BAO between January 2014 and May 2019. Multivariate logistic regression showed high SBP and DBP correlated with unfavorable outcomes. The favorable prognosis (mRS ≤ 3) rates of the low-to-normal and the hypertension groups were 34.8 and 23.9%, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that an SBP > 140 mm Hg was associated with a poor functional outcome [adjusted OR (aOR), 1.509; 95% CI, 1.130–2.015] and mortality at 90 days (aOR, 1.447; 95% CI, 1.055–1.985), and predicted a lower probability of successful reperfusion (aOR, 0.550; 95% CI, 0.389–0.778). The risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and the NIHSS score at 24 h were not significantly different between the high SBP group and the low-to-normal blood pressure group. And the results for DBP were similar.

Conclusion

Among patients with acute BAO, higher systolic or DBP at admission was associated with poor stroke outcomes and had a lower probability of successful reperfusion, with an increased risk of mortality. Trail Registration: [http://www.chictr.org.cn], [ChiCTR1800014759].

Is Blood Pressure Lowering in the Very Elderly With Previous Stroke Associated With a Higher Risk of Adverse Events?

Background We investigated whether blood pressure lowering for secondary prevention is associated with a reduction in recurrent stroke risk and/or a higher risk of adverse events in very elderly compared with younger trial participants. Methods and Results This is a random effects meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials of blood pressure lowering for secondary stroke prevention to evaluate age-stratified (<80, ≥80 years) risk of adverse events. Ovid-MEDLINE was searched for trials between 1970 and 2020. Summary-level data were acquired including outcomes of stroke, cardiovascular events, mortality, and adverse events. Seven trials were included comprising 38 596 participants, of whom 2336 (6.1%) were aged ≥80 years. There was an overall reduction in stroke risk in the intervention group compared with controls (risk ratio [RR], 0.90 [95% CI, 0.80, 0.98], I²=49%), and the magnitude of risk reduction did not differ by age subgroup (<80, ≥80 years). There was no increase in the risk of hypotensive symptoms in the intervention group for patients aged <80 years (RR, 1.19 [95% CI, 0.99], 1.44, I²=0%), but there was an increased risk in those ≥80 years (RR, 2.17 [95% CI, 1.22], 3.86, I²=0%). No increase was observed in the risk of falls, syncope, study withdrawal, or falls in either age subgroup. Conclusions Very elderly people in secondary prevention trials of blood pressure lowering have an increased risk of hypotensive symptoms, but with no statistical increase in the risk of falls, syncope, or mortality. However, evidence is lacking for frail elderly with multiple comorbidities who may be more vulnerable to adverse effects of blood pressure lowering.

The J-Curve Association Between Blood Pressure and Mortality in Stroke Survivors

Purpose

The optimal blood pressure (BP) targets in terms of mortality risk after stroke remain unclear. This study aimed to assess the relationship between BP and mortality in stroke survivors.

Patients and Methods

We included 1696 participants with self-reported history of stroke aged 18 years and older from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999–2014 and NHANES III with public-use linked mortality files from 2015. Baseline systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) levels were obtained by taking the average of 3 measures. Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic splines were conducted to explore the relationship between BP and all-cause mortality.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 5.6 years, 888 deaths occurred. After fully adjusting for confounding factors, SBP displayed a J-curve relationship (nadir 135 mm Hg), while DBP exhibited a reverse J-curve relationship (nadir 73 mm Hg) with the risk of all-cause mortality. However, the J-curve or reverse J-curve pattern between blood pressure and mortality appeared to be limited to individuals with an age >65 years, identifying a nadir of SBP/DBP of 142/73 mm Hg. The risk of mortality followed a linear relationship for SBP and DBP in stroke survivors aged ≤65 years, with risks increasing with higher SBP and lower DBP.

Conclusion

In this cross-sectional study that used national survey data, these data suggest a strong J-curve or reverse J-curve relationship between blood pressure and risk of all-cause mortality, whereas the pattern appears to be limited to individuals with an age >65 years, with a nadir at 142/73 mmHg. However, missing data on stroke type and stroke treatment limits the generalizability. Future prospective studies are needed to determine preferential blood pressure target in patients after stroke.

Trends in Antihypertensive Medication Use Among Individuals With a History of Stroke and Hypertension, 2005 to 2016

Importance

Hypertension is a well-established, modifiable risk factor for stroke. National hypertension management trends among stroke survivors may provide important insight into secondary preventive treatment gaps.

Objective

To investigate the adequacy of blood pressure control among stroke survivors and antihypertensive treatment trends using National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Cross-sectional surveys conducted between 2005 and 2016 of nationally representative samples of the civilian US population were analyzed from March 2019 to January 2020. The NHANES is a large, nationally representative cross-sectional survey conducted in 2-year cycles in the United States. Evaluations include interviews, medication lists, physical examinations, and laboratory tests on blood samples. Among 221 982 140 adults 20 years or older in the NHANES from 2005 through 2016, a total of 4 971 136 had stroke and hypertension and were included in this analysis, with 217 011 004 excluded from the primary analysis.

Exposures

Hypertension was defined by self-report, antihypertensive medication use, or uncontrolled blood pressure (>140/90 mm Hg) on physical examination. Antihypertensive medication was classified as angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, diuretics, β-blockers, calcium channel blockers, or other.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Weighted frequencies and means were reported using NHANES methods, estimating the proportion of individuals with stroke and hypertension. For all other analyses, 4 971 136 individuals with stroke and hypertension were examined, summarizing number and classes of antihypertensive medications, frequency of uncontrolled hypertension, and associations between antihypertensive classes and blood pressure control. Trends in antihypertensive medication use over time were examined.

Results

Among 4 971 136 individuals with a history of stroke and hypertension, the mean age was 67.1 (95% CI, 66.1-68.1) years, and 2 790 518 (56.1%) were women. In total, 37.1% (33.5%-40.8%) had uncontrolled blood pressure on examination, with 80.4% (82.0%-87.5%) taking antihypertensive medication. The most commonly used antihypertensive medications were angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (59.2%; 95% CI, 54.9%-63.4%) and β-blockers (43.8%; 95% CI, 40.3%-47.3%). Examining trends over time, diuretics have become statistically significantly less commonly used (49.4% in 2005-2006 vs 35.7% in 2015-2016, P = .005), with frequencies of other antihypertensive classes remaining constant.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study that used national survey data, substantial undertreatment of hypertension was found in individuals with a history of stroke, and more than one-third had uncontrolled hypertension. Because hypertension is a major risk factor for stroke, these data demonstrate a missed opportunity nationally for secondary stroke prevention.

Effect of a Coordinated Community and Chronic Care Model Team Intervention vs Usual Care on Systolic Blood Pressure in Patients With Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: The SUCCEED Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Few stroke survivors meet recommended cardiovascular goals, particularly among racial/ethnic minority populations, such as Black or Hispanic individuals, or socioeconomically disadvantaged populations.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if a chronic care model-based, community health worker (CHW), advanced practice clinician (APC; including nurse practitioners or physician assistants), and physician team intervention improves risk factor control after stroke in a safety-net setting (ie, health care setting where all individuals receive care, regardless of health insurance status or ability to pay).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This randomized clinical trial included participants recruited from 5 hospitals serving low-income populations in Los Angeles County, California, as part of the Secondary Stroke Prevention by Uniting Community and Chronic Care Model Teams Early to End Disparities (SUCCEED) clinical trial. Inclusion criteria were age 40 years or older; experience of ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) no more than 90 days prior; systolic blood pressure (BP) of 130 mm Hg or greater or 120 to 130 mm Hg with history of hypertension or using hypertensive medications; and English or Spanish language proficiency. The exclusion criterion was inability to consent. Among 887 individuals screened for eligibility, 542 individuals were eligible, and 487 individuals were enrolled and randomized, stratified by stroke type (ischemic or TIA vs hemorrhagic), language (English vs Spanish), and site to usual care vs intervention in a 1:1 fashion. The study was conducted from February 2014 to September 2018, and data were analyzed from October 2018 to November 2020.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants randomized to intervention were offered a multimodal coordinated care intervention, including hypothesized core components (ie, ≥3 APC clinic visits, ≥3 CHW home visits, and Chronic Disease Self-Management Program workshops), and additional telephone visits, protocol-driven risk factor management, culturally and linguistically tailored education materials, and self-management tools. Participants randomized to the control group received usual care, which varied by site but frequently included a free BP monitor, self-management tools, and linguistically tailored information materials.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was change in systolic BP at 12 months. Secondary outcomes were non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol, hemoglobin A1c, and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, body mass index, antithrombotic adherence, physical activity level, diet, and smoking status at 12 months. Potential mediators assessed included access to care, health and stroke literacy, self-efficacy, perceptions of care, and BP monitor use.

RESULTS

Among 487 participants included, the mean (SD) age was 57.1 (8.9) years; 317 (65.1%) were men, and 347 participants (71.3%) were Hispanic, 87 participants (18.3%) were Black, and 30 participants (6.3%) were Asian. A total of 246 participants were randomized to usual care, and 241 participants were randomized to the intervention. Mean (SD) systolic BP improved from 143 (17) mm Hg at baseline to 133 (20) mm Hg at 12 months in the intervention group and from 146 (19) mm Hg at baseline to 137 (22) mm Hg at 12 months in the usual care group, with no significant differences in the change between groups. Compared with the control group, participants in the intervention group had greater improvements in self-reported salt intake (difference, 15.4 [95% CI, 4.4 to 26.0]; P = .004) and serum CRP level (difference in log CRP, -0.4 [95% CI, -0.7 to -0.1] mg/dL; P = .003); there were no differences in other secondary outcomes. Although 216 participants (89.6%) in the intervention group received some of the 3 core components, only 35 participants (14.5%) received the intended full dose.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This randomized clinical trial of a complex multilevel, multimodal intervention did not find vascular risk factor improvements beyond that of usual care; however, further studies may consider testing the SUCCEED intervention with modifications to enhance implementation and participant engagement.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01763203.

Relationship between blood pressure and outcome changes over time in acute ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether the relationship between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and stroke outcome varies during the acute stage of ischemic stroke as a function of the elapsed time after stroke onset.

METHODS

Patients who were hospitalized due to ischemic stroke within 6 hours of onset were retrospectively analyzed. SBP data were collected at 8 time points (1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 24, 48, and 72 hours after onset). The primary functional outcome measure was a poor outcome, defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of >2 at 3 months after stroke. Linear and quadratic models were constructed at each time point to assess relationships between SBP and outcome.

RESULTS

Of the 2,546 patients, 728 (28.6%) had a poor outcome. SBP, as either a linear or quadratic term, had a significant effect on functional outcome, except at 4 hours after onset. For the initial 2 hours after onset, SBP had nonlinear U-shaped relationships with functional outcome, and patients with SBP of approximately 165 mm Hg were the least likely to have a poor outcome. Quadratic models exhibited a significantly better model fit. For 8-24 hours postonset, SBP exhibited linear relationships with functional outcome. For 48-72 hours postonset, SBP exhibited a J-shaped relationship with functional outcome, and the predicted probability of poor outcome was the lowest in patients with SBP of approximately 125 mm Hg. These relationships were relatively consistent across various sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed that the relationship between SBP and functional outcome may depend on elapsed time from stroke onset.

Blood pressure fluctuation pattern and stroke outcomes in acute ischemic stroke

Blood pressure (BP) fluctuates widely during the acute phase of stroke. Compared to single BP assessment, patterns of BP over time may have greater power in predicting stroke outcome. This study aims to investigate the effect of BP fluctuation patterns on stroke outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (IS) patients. IS patients within 24 h of onset registered in the BOSS registry between 2012 and 2014 were analyzed. Fluctuation of BP was predefined as the change trend in systolic BP (SBP) from Day 1 to Day 7 after onset and was used to divide patients into groups with sustained high SBP (≥160 mmHg) during the first 7 days (C1); rapid (C2: within the first 2 days) or delayed (C3: after 2 days) decline from high (≥160 mmHg) to low (<160 mmHg); consistently low SBP (C4); and elevation from low to high (C5). The primary stroke outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score ≥3 at 3 months after onset. Of 1,095 IS patients, C1 (n = 90) had the highest risk of poor outcome (23.3%), while C2 (n = 198, risk = 11.6%) and C4 (n = 650, risk = 12.2%) had the lowest risk. C2 and C4 had a significant reduction in poor outcome risk when compared to C1, even after adjustment for average BP and BP variability (BPV) during the first 7 days (adjusted odds ratio[OR]_C2 = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.12-0.80; OR_C4 = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.14-0.97). The BP fluctuation pattern in the acute phase of IS might be a useful predictive parameter for functional outcome independent of average BP and BPV.

Efficacy of a Chronic Care-Based Intervention on Secondary Stroke Prevention Among Vulnerable Stroke Survivors: A Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Disparities of care among stroke survivors are well documented. Effective interventions to improve recurrent stroke preventative care in vulnerable populations are lacking.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a randomized controlled trial, we tested the efficacy of components of a chronic care model-based intervention versus usual care among 404 subjects having an ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack within 90 days of enrollment and receiving care within the Los Angeles public healthcare system. Subjects had baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥120 mm Hg. The intervention included a nurse practitioner/physician assistant care manager, group clinics, self-management support, report cards, decision support, and ongoing care coordination. Outcomes were collected at 3, 8, and 12 months, analyzed as intention-to-treat, and used repeated-measures mixed-effects models. Change in SBP was the primary outcome. Low-density lipoprotein reduction, antithrombotic medication use, smoking cessation, and physical activity were secondary outcomes. Average age was 57 years; 18% were of black race; 69% were of Hispanic ethnicity. Mean baseline SBP was 150 mm Hg in both arms. SBP decreased to 17 mm Hg in the intervention arm and 14 mm Hg in the usual care arm; the between-arm difference was not significant (-3.6 mm Hg; 95% confidence interval, -9.2 to 2.2). Among secondary outcomes, the only significant difference was that persons in the intervention arm were more likely to lower their low-density lipoprotein <100 md/dL (2.0 odds ratio; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-3.5).

CONCLUSIONS

This intervention did not improve SBP control beyond that attained in usual care among vulnerable stroke survivors. A community-centered component could strengthen the intervention impact.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00861081.

Relation Between Blood Pressure and Clinical Outcome in Hypertensive Subjects With Previous Stroke

Background

This study investigated whether a mean blood pressure (BP) of <130/80 mm Hg is associated with further reduction in cardiovascular outcomes in treated hypertensive subjects with previous stroke.

Methods and Results

Subjects from the Korea National Health Insurance Service health examinee cohort diagnosed as having stroke and hypertension from January 1st, 2003 and December 31st, 2006 (N=2320) were grouped according to mean systolic (<130, 130–<140, and ≥140 mm Hg) and diastolic (<80, 80–<90, and ≥90 mm Hg) BP recorded during follow‐up health examinations. All‐cause and cardiovascular mortality over 11 years were compared. Compared with subjects with a systolic BP of ≥140 mm Hg (N=736), subjects with a systolic BP of 130 to <140 mm Hg (N=793) had a significantly lower risk of all‐cause death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47–0.79; P<0.001), cardiovascular mortality (HR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.25–0.61; P<0.001), and fatal ischemic stroke (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.10–0.63; P=0.003). Systolic BP of <130 mm Hg (N=791) was associated with lower risk of nonfatal hemorrhagic stroke. Subjects with a diastolic BP of 80 to <90 mm Hg (N=1100) had significantly lower risk of all‐cause death (HR, 0.60, 95% CI, 0.45–0.80; P<0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.30–0.70; P<0.001) than those with a diastolic BP of ≥90 mm Hg (N=342). Diastolic BP of <80 mm Hg (N=878) was associated with reduced risk of nonfatal hemorrhagic stroke and further lowering of all‐cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusions

BP of <130/80 mm Hg was associated with improved outcomes in hypertensive subjects with previous stroke.

The J-curve Association between Systolic Blood Pressure and Clinical Outcomes in Ischemic Stroke or TIA: The BOSS Study

We aimed to assess the association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and clinical outcome in 2,397 ischemic stroke (IS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients from the Blood Pressure and Clinical Outcome in TIA or Ischemic Stroke (BOSS) study. BOSS study was a hospital-based, prospective cohort study. The SBP was defined as mean value of 90 days self-measured SBP after onset. Cox proportional hazards models were conducted to test the risk of combined vascular events (CVE) and stroke recurrence among different SBP categories. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore the shape of associations between SBP and clinical outcomes. A J-shaped association of SBP with CVE and stroke recurrence within 90 days was observed (P nonlinearity < 0.001 for both). After adjusting for age, gender, medical history, atrial fibrillation, admission NHISS score, and secondary prevention. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of SBP <115 and ⩾165 mmHg compared with 125–134 mmHg were 3.45 (1.11–10.66) and 7.20 (2.91–17.80) for CVE, 2.68 (0.75–9.53) and 9.69 (3.86–24.35) for stroke recurrence, respectively. Similar J-shaped relationships were found after 1 year of follow-up. In conclusion, both high and low SBP are associated with poor prognosis in this population.

Low Pulse Pressure After Acute Ischemic Stroke is Associated With Unfavorable Outcomes: The Taiwan Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND

Pulse pressure (PP) is related to cardiac function, arterial stiffness, fluid status, and vascular events. This study aimed to explore the prognostic role of PP upon admission in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) based on a nation-wide stroke registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We evaluated the association between PP upon admission and outcomes 3 months after a stroke in patients who had an AIS registered in the Taiwan Stroke Registry, including 56 academic and community hospitals between 2006 and 2013. Three months after the stroke, unfavorable outcomes were defined using a modified Rankin scale of 3 to 6. Of 33 530 patients (female, 40.6%; mean age, 68.8±13.3 years) who had an AIS, PP upon admission had a reverse J-curve association with an unfavorable outcome. After adjusting for clinical variables, including AIS subtypes, initial National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and systolic and diastolic blood pressure upon admission, a PP of <50 mm Hg was associated with unfavorable outcomes (P<0.0001). Compared with patients with a PP of 50 to 69 mm Hg, the odds ratios for unfavorable outcomes were 1.24 (95% CI, 1.14-1.36) with a PP of 30 to 49 mm Hg and 1.85 (95% CI, 1.50-2.28) with a PP of <30 mm Hg. Moreover, the prognostic impact of PP upon admission was similar across all AIS subtypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Low PP upon admission was associated with unfavorable patient outcomes in AIS.

Left Ventricular Geometry Determines Prognosis and Reverse J-Shaped Relation Between Blood Pressure and Mortality in Ischemic Stroke Patients

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to investigate the prognostic significance of left ventricular (LV) mass and geometry in ischemic stroke survivors, as well as the LV geometry-specific differences in the blood pressure-mortality relationship.

BACKGROUND

LV mass and geometry are well-known prognostic factors in various populations; however, there are no data on their role in ischemic stroke patients.

METHODS

We prospectively recruited 2,328 consecutive patients admitted with acute ischemic stroke to our institute between 2002 and 2010. Of these, 2,069 patients were analyzed in whom echocardiographic data were available to assess LV mass and geometry.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality was significantly greater in patients with concentric hypertrophy (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.417; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.045 to 1.920) and concentric remodeling (HR: 1.540; 95% CI: 1.115 to 2.127) but nonsignificantly in those with eccentric hypertrophy (HR: 1.388; 95% CI: 0.996 to 1.935) compared with normal geometry in multivariate analyses. Relative wall thickness was a significant predictor of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.149 per 0.1-U increase in relative wall thickness; 95% CI: 1.021 to 1.307), whereas LV mass index was not (HR: 1.003 per 1 g/m² increase in LV mass index; 95% CI: 0.999 to 1.007). Similar results were observed with cardiovascular mortality. In multivariable fractional polynomials, patients with altered LV geometry showed reverse J-curve relationships between acute-phase systolic blood pressure and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality, with the highest risks in the lower extremes, whereas those with normal geometry did not.

CONCLUSIONS

Echocardiographic assessment of LV geometry provided independent and additive prognostic information in ischemic stroke patients. A reverse J-shaped relation of mortality with blood pressure was found in patients with abnormal LV geometry.

Astrocyte-specific insulin-like growth factor-1 gene transfer in aging female rats improves stroke outcomes

Middle aged female rats sustain larger stroke infarction and disability than younger female rats. This older group also shows age-related reduction of insulin like growth factor (IGF)-1 in serum and in astrocytes, a cell type necessary for poststroke recovery. To determine the impact of astrocytic IGF-1 for ischemic stroke, these studies tested the hypothesis that gene transfer of IGF-1 to astrocytes will improve stroke outcomes in middle aged female rats. Middle aged (10-12 month old), acyclic female rats were injected with recombinant adeno-associated virus serotype 5 (AAV5) packaged with the coding sequence of the human (h)IGF-1 gene downstream of an astrocyte-specific promoter glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) (AAV5-GFP-hIGF-1) into the striatum and cortex. The AAV5-control consisted of an identical shuttle vector construct without the hIGF-1 gene (AAV5-GFAP-control). Six to eight weeks later, animals underwent transient (90 min) middle cerebral artery occlusion via intraluminal suture. While infarct volume was not altered, AAV5-GFAP-hIGF-1 treatment significantly improved blood pressure and neurological score in the early acute phase of stroke (2 days) and sensory-motor performance at both the early and late (5 days) acute phase of stroke. AAV5-GFAP-hIGF-1 treatment also reduced circulating serum levels of GFAP, a biomarker for blood brain barrier permeability. Flow cytometry analysis of immune cells in the brain at 24 hr poststroke showed that AAV5-GFAP-hIGF-1 altered the type of immune cells trafficked to the ischemic hemisphere, promoting an anti-inflammatory profile. Collectively, these studies show that targeted enhancement of IGF-1 in astrocytes of middle-aged females improves stroke-induced behavioral impairment and neuroinflammation.

Randomized controlled trial of a coordinated care intervention to improve risk factor control after stroke or transient ischemic attack in the safety net: Secondary stroke prevention by Uniting Community and Chronic care model teams Early to End Disparities (SUCCEED)

BACKGROUND

Recurrent strokes are preventable through awareness and control of risk factors such as hypertension, and through lifestyle changes such as healthier diets, greater physical activity, and smoking cessation. However, vascular risk factor control is frequently poor among stroke survivors, particularly among socio-economically disadvantaged blacks, Latinos and other people of color. The Chronic Care Model (CCM) is an effective framework for multi-component interventions aimed at improving care processes and outcomes for individuals with chronic disease. In addition, community health workers (CHWs) have played an integral role in reducing health disparities; however, their effectiveness in reducing vascular risk among stroke survivors remains unknown. Our objectives are to develop, test, and assess the economic value of a CCM-based intervention using an Advanced Practice Clinician (APC)-CHW team to improve risk factor control after stroke in an under-resourced, racially/ethnically diverse population.

METHODS/DESIGN

In this single-blind randomized controlled trial, 516 adults (≥40 years) with an ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack or intracerebral hemorrhage within the prior 90 days are being enrolled at five sites within the Los Angeles County safety-net setting and randomized 1:1 to intervention vs usual care. Participants are excluded if they do not speak English, Spanish, Cantonese, Mandarin, or Korean or if they are unable to consent. The intervention includes a minimum of three clinic visits in the healthcare setting, three home visits, and Chronic Disease Self-Management Program group workshops in community venues. The primary outcome is blood pressure (BP) control (systolic BP <130 mmHg) at 1 year. Secondary outcomes include: (1) mean change in systolic BP; (2) control of other vascular risk factors including lipids and hemoglobin A1c, (3) inflammation (C reactive protein [CRP]), (4) medication adherence, (5) lifestyle factors (smoking, diet, and physical activity), (6) estimated relative reduction in risk for recurrent stroke or myocardial infarction (MI), and (7) cost-effectiveness of the intervention versus usual care.

DISCUSSION

If this multi-component interdisciplinary intervention is shown to be effective in improving risk factor control after stroke, it may serve as a model that can be used internationally to reduce race/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in stroke in resource-constrained settings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT01763203 .

The design, rationale, and baseline characteristics of a nationwide cohort registry in China: blood pressure and clinical outcome in TIA or ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

The relationship between poststroke blood pressure (BP) and clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke (IS) is still controversial. However, there is no large BP database for IS or transient ischemic attack (TIA) in China. This study aims to describe the rationale, study design, and baseline characteristics of a nationwide BP database in IS or TIA patients in China.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The BOSS (blood pressure and clinical outcome in TIA or ischemic stroke) study was a hospital-based, prospective cohort study aiming to assess BP parameters and clinical outcome in IS/TIA patients. BP parameters were based on office BP, ambulatory BP, and home BP. Clinical outcomes included stroke recurrence, combined vascular events, and disability. Electronic case-report forms were used to record baseline and follow-up data. The patients were followed up for clinical outcomes at 3 months through face-to-face interview and at 12 months by telephone.

RESULTS

Between October 2012 and February 2014, the BOSS registry recruited 2,608 patients from 61 hospitals, with a mean age of 62.5 years, 32.4% of whom were female, 88.9% with an entry diagnosis of IS, and 86% diagnosed with hypertension. The rates of patients lost-to-follow-up were 3.1% at 3 months and 5.1% at 1 year; 93% of patients completed ambulatory BP monitoring during hospitalization and 94.7% finished a 3-month BP diary.

CONCLUSION

The BOSS registry will provide important evidence about BP management in the acute phase and secondary prevention for IS/TIA patients.