Substantial Progress Yet Significant Opportunity for Improvement in Stroke Care in China

Mechanism of inflammatory response and therapeutic effects of stem cells in ischemic stroke: current evidence and future perspectives

Ischemic stroke is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide, with an increasing trend and tendency for onset at a younger age. China, in particular, bears a high burden of stroke cases. In recent years, the inflammatory response after stroke has become a research hotspot: understanding the role of inflammatory response in tissue damage and repair following ischemic stroke is an important direction for its treatment. This review summarizes several major cells involved in the inflammatory response following ischemic stroke, including microglia, neutrophils, monocytes, lymphocytes, and astrocytes. Additionally, we have also highlighted the recent progress in various treatments for ischemic stroke, particularly in the field of stem cell therapy. Overall, understanding the complex interactions between inflammation and ischemic stroke can provide valuable insights for developing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes. Stem cell therapy may potentially become an important component of ischemic stroke treatment.

Assessment of rehabilitation following acute ischaemic stroke in China: a registry-based retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to describe the frequency, determinants and outcomes for assessment of patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) for rehabilitation during hospitalisation in China.

DESIGN

A registry-based retrospective observational study.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTINGS

Data regarding assessment or rehabilitation were extracted from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance database from 1 August 2015 to 31 July 2019. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify patient and hospital characteristics associated with rehabilitation assessment during acute hospitalisation as well as discharge outcomes.

STUDY COHORT

We included 837 897 patients who had a stroke in this study with patient characteristics, admission location, medical history, hospital characteristics and hospital designation.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Rehabilitation assessment and discharge outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 837 897 patients who had a stroke admitted to 1473 hospitals, 615 991 (73.5%) underwent rehabilitation assessment. There were significant variations in the rates of rehabilitation assessment across hospitals (IQR 61.3% vs 92.9%). According to multivariate analysis, guideline recommended care delivery was associated with a higher rehabilitation assessment rate, whereas high/low body mass index, ambulation (OR 0.88; 95% CI 0.87 to 0.90), history of stroke (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.93 to 0.95), coronary heart disease (OR 0.84; 95% CI 0.82 to 0.85) and atrial fibrillation (OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.89 to 0.94) were associated with a lower rate. Additionally, rehabilitation assessment during hospitalisation was significantly associated with lower in-hospital mortality (OR 0.38; 95% CI 0.35 to 0.41) and a higher probability of discharge to a rehabilitation centre (OR 2.66; 95% CI 2.5 to 2.82).

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly one-quarter of patients who had an AIS do not undergo documented rehabilitation assessment and compliance across hospitals varies. Thus, it is necessary to improve adherence to rehabilitation assessment to improve the quality of medical care for patients who had an AIS.

Geographic differences in pharmacotherapy patterns and outcomes of acute ischemic stroke in China

BACKGROUND

Vast economic and healthcare status discrepancies exist among regions in China, contributing to different treatment patterns. This study was aimed to investigate the current status of pharmacotherapy for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and outcomes in China and explore the geographic variation in stroke care.

METHODS

This study was a multicenter prospective registry study, which collected the data of patients with AIS from 80 hospitals in 46 cities in 2015-2017 across China. Poor functional outcome defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6 was assessed at 3 and 12 months. Multivariate logistic regression was used.

RESULTS

Among 9973 eligible patients, the number of receiving intravenous thrombolysis (IVT), antiplatelet agents, anticoagulants, statin and human urinary kallidinogenase was 429 (4.3%), 9363 (93.9%), 1063 (10.7%), 6828 (74.7%) and 5112 (51.2%), respectively. Multivariable analysis showed IVT use in northeastern was significantly more frequent than in eastern region (OR = 3.17, 95% CI, 2.53-3.99), while the antiplatelets agents use were less frequent (OR = 0.46, 95%CI: 0.38-0.57). The proportions of poor outcomes at 3 and 12 months were 20.7% and 15.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed AIS patients from northeastern and central region had significantly lower risk of poor outcome at month 3 and 12 than those from eastern region (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a low IVT use and a high antiplatelet agent and statin use for AIS in China. The pharmacotherapy and prognosis of AIS had variation by geographic region.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02470624).

Trends of Sex Differences and Associated Factors in Stroke Outcomes Among Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke: 2007 to 2018

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Female patients have been shown to experience worse clinical outcomes after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) compared with male patients. We aimed to estimate the temporal trends in the sex differences in stroke outcomes and identify risk factors contributing to the sex differences spanning 10 years in China.

METHODS

This cohort study was conducted based on data from the China National Stroke Registries (CNSRs, comprising 3 phases, I-III, from 2007 to 2018). Patients with ischemic stroke within 7 days of symptom onset were included. The primary outcome was a 12-month poor functional outcome. Other outcomes included mortality and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) lost. The sex differences in outcomes and associated factors were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. The sex differences between CNSRs were tested by the interaction of sex and time.

RESULTS

Among 42,564 patients included, 35.4% were female. The age-adjusted event rate of 12-month poor functional outcome and mortality decreased both in male and female patients after stroke onset (CNSRs I, II, and III, all p varies over time <0.001). There was a decrease in DALY lost for both sexes over the decade (male patients: from 10.1 to 9.3 DALYs; female patients: from 10.9 to 9.6 DALYs). Female patients showed worse 12-month poor functional outcome in CNSRs I and II (odds ratio [OR] with 95% CI: 1.24 [1.10-1.39] and 1.12 [1.01-1.25], respectively) compared with male patients, but the sex difference attenuated in CNSR III (OR with 95% CI: 1.02 [0.89-1.16]), with the temporal trend (p varies over time = 0.004). The sex difference and the temporal trend of the sex difference in mortality from 2007 to 2018 were not found (p varies over time = 0.45). The most important factors attenuating the sex difference in poor functional outcome in CNSRs I and III were education level, socioeconomic deprivation, baseline stroke severity, and current smoking.

DISCUSSION

This study demonstrated that the sex disparity in poor functional outcome at 12 months was substantially narrowed covering 10 years and completely attenuated in 2015-2018. The findings suggested that female patients have experienced larger improvements in stroke outcomes than male patients over the past decade.

10-year Temporal Trends of Intravenous Thrombolysis in Acute Ischemic Stroke: Analysis of the China National Stroke Registry I-Ⅲ

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the 10-year trend in healthcare quality of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in China.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed 42,188 AIS within 7 days of onset from the China National Stroke Registry (CNSR) Ⅰ-Ⅲ. Primary outcomes were temporal changes in the proportion of patients arriving at the hospital within 3.5 hours (and 2 hours) of onset and receiving IVT within 4.5 hours (and 3 hours), stratified by region and hospital tier. Secondary outcomes included temporal changes in door-to-needle time (DNT), DNT ≤60 min and favorable outcome defined as a 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 0-1.

RESULTS

Among patients arriving at the hospital within 3.5 hours of onset, 13.5%, 7.1% and 33.4% patients received IVT within 4.5 hours in CNSR Ⅰ, Ⅱ and Ⅲ, respectively, including a higher proportion from eastern China (37.0%) and tertiary hospitals (36.5%). The median DNT was shorter in CNSR Ⅲ (60.0 min) than those in Ⅱ (95.0 min) and I (94.0 min). The proportion of patients with DNT ≤60 min was greater in Ⅲ (53.4%) than those in Ⅱ (26.7%) and Ⅰ (13.4%). The proportion of favorable outcomes was higher in CNSR Ⅲ (72.8%) than those in Ⅱ (49.6%) and Ⅰ (49.4%). Similar trends were observed for patients arriving at the hospital within 2 hours and receiving IVT within 3 hours of onset.

CONCLUSIONS

The healthcare quality of IVT has improved remarkably in the past decade, notably in eastern China and tertiary hospitals.

Predictive value of the systemic immune inflammation (SII) index for stroke-associated pneumonia

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the predictive value of the systemic immune inflammation (SII) index on the occurrence of stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in patients with acute stroke.

METHODS

Data of patients with or without a previous history of pulmonary who visited the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University within 24 h of the onset of stroke were collected between January 2017 and December 2019. Patient's demographic data, stroke type, past medical history, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, Glasgow Coma score, and laboratory tests were collected. Logistic regression models and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to investigate the predictive value of SII for the development of SAP in patients with stroke.

RESULTS

We included 395 patients with acute stroke, with a mean age of 63.89 ± 13.42 years, of whom 340 (86.1%) had ischemic stroke, and 55 (13.9%) had hemorrhagic stroke. Out of 395, 113 (28.6%) had SAP and 282 (71.4%) did not, and the SII level in the SAP group was higher than that of the non-SAP group (p < .05). Logistic regression analysis of patients with stroke showed that higher SII was a risk factor for SAP in patients with stroke (per 100 units, HR = 1.081, 95% CI: 1.035-1.130, p < .001), and tertile grouping of SII showed that the risk of SAP was 5.059 times higher in the SIIQ3 group than in the SIIQ1 group (95% CI: 2.061-12.418, p < .001). ROC curve analysis indicated that the SII index had predictive value for the occurrence of SAP in patients with stroke, with an area under the curve of 0.752 (95% CI: 0.698-0.806). When the cutoff value was 861.01, the SII predicted SAP in patients with stroke with a sensitivity of 61.9% and a specificity of 76.2%.

CONCLUSION

Higher SII is an independent risk factor for the development of SAP in patients with stroke and has some predictive value for the development of SAP.

Twenty years of monitoring acute stroke care in Australia through the national stroke audit programme (1999-2019): A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

National organisational surveys and clinical audits to monitor and guide improvements to the delivery of evidence-based acute stroke care have been undertaken in Australia since 1999. This study aimed to determine the association between repeated national audit cycles on stroke service provision and care delivery from 1999 to 2019.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study using data from organisational surveys (1999, 2004, 2007-2019) and clinical data from the biennial National Stroke Acute Audit (2007-2019). Age-, sex-, and stroke severity-adjusted proportions were reported for adherence to guideline-recommended care processes. Multivariable, logistic regression models were performed to determine the association between repeated audit cycles and service provision (organisational) and care delivery (clinical).

RESULTS

Overall, 197 hospitals provided organisational survey data (1999-2019), with 24,996 clinical cases from 136 hospitals (around 40 cases per audit) (2007-2019). We found significant improvements in service organisation between 1999 and 2019 for access to stroke units (1999: 42%, 2019: 81%), thrombolysis services (1999: 6%, 2019: 85%), and rapid assessment/management for patients with transient ischaemic attack (1999: 11%, 2019: 61%). Analyses of patient-level audits for 2007 to 2019 found the odds of receiving care processes per audit cycle to have significantly increased for thrombolysis (2007: 3%, 2019: 11%; OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.13, 1.17), stroke unit access (2007: 52%, 2019: 69%; OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.14, 1.17), risk factor advice (2007: 40%, 2019: 63%; OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.09, 1.12), and carer training (2007: 24%, 2019: 51%; OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.10, 1.15).

CONCLUSIONS

Between 1999 and 2019, the quality of acute stroke care in Australia has improved in line with best practice evidence. Standardised monitoring of stroke care can inform targeted efforts to reduce identified gaps in best practice, and illustrate the evolution of the health system for stroke.

Plasma Amino Acid Neurotransmitters and Ischemic Stroke Prognosis: A Multicenter Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Plasma amino acid neurotransmitter dysregulation is suggested to be implicated in the development of ischemic stroke, but its prognostic value for ischemic stroke remains controversial.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to prospectively investigate the associations between plasma amino acid neurotransmitters levels and adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke in a large-scale multicenter cohort study.

METHODS

We measured 4 plasma amino acid neurotransmitters (glutamic acid, aspartic acid, gamma-aminobutyric acid, and glycine) among 3486 patients with ischemic stroke from 26 hospitals across China. The primary outcome is the composite outcome of death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 mo after ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

After multivariate adjustment, the odds ratios of death or major disability for the highest versus the lowest quartile were 2.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.60,2.59; P-trend < 0.001) for glutamic acid, 2.03 (95% CI: 1.59, 2.59; P-trend < 0.001) for aspartic acid, 1.35 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.71; P-trend = 0.016) for gamma-aminobutyric acid, and 0.54 (95% CI: 0.42, 0.69; P-trend < 0.001) for glycine. Each standard deviation increment of log-transformed glutamic acid, aspartic acid, gamma-aminobutyric acid, and glycine was associated with a 34%, 34%, and 9% increased risk, and a 23% decreased risk of death or major disability, respectively (all P < 0.05), in a linear fashion as indicated by spline regression analyses (all P for linearity < 0.05). Addition of the 4 plasma amino acid neurotransmitters to conventional risk factors significantly improved the risk reclassification, as evidenced by integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased glutamic acid, aspartic acid, and gamma-aminobutyric acid and decreased glycine in plasma are associated with adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke, suggesting that plasma amino acid neurotransmitters may be potential intervention targets for improving prognosis of ischemic stroke. The CATIS trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (registration number: NCT01840072; URL: ===https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01840072?cond=NCT01840072&draw=2&rank=1).

Effects of emergency medical services on timely treatment and outcome in stroke patients with intravenous thrombolysis among the severity of neurologic deficits: A retrospective observational study

Whether emergency medical service (EMS) improves the outcome of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients after intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) is still unknown among the severity of neurologic deficits. This study is to investigate the impact of EMS use on timely treatment and outcomes of AIS with IVT. This is a retrospective observational study. Clinical data after IVT from January 2017 to May 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, including onset-to-needle time (ONT), onset-to-door time (ODT). The patients were divided into EMS and non-EMS groups according to the method of admission. A good outcome was defined as a modified Rankin scale score of ≤2 at 3 months. The severity of neurological deficits was assessed using the national institutes of health stroke scale. A total of 2303 patients were analyzed (906 [(39.3%] female; mean age, 68 ± 13 year), and 1028 (44.6%) patients were transported by EMS and 1418 (67.9%) patients achieved good outcome. Among all patients, compared with non-EMS patients, EMS patients had shorter ONT (148 minutes vs 155 minutes, P = .002) and ODT (95 minutes vs 104 minutes, P < .001), but lower rate of good outcome (61.7% vs 73.0%, P < .001). The multivariate analysis showed that the use of EMS was negatively associated with ONT (ρ = -0.041, P = .048) and ODT (ρ = -0.051, P = .014). Among moderate to severe stroke patients, EMS was related with good outcome independently (OR: 3.101, 95%CI: 1.367-7.038, P = .007). In ischemic stroke, EMS can shorten the pre-hospital delay. Among moderate to severe stroke patients, EMS can further improve the outcome. But the study needs further validation.

Differences in primary and secondary stroke prevention strategies for Chinese men and women

This study aimed to explore whether stroke prevention strategies differ for men and women. Data used were from China Kadoorie Biobank. According to the China-PAR Project model, a predicted 10-year stroke risk of ≥7% is defined as a high stroke risk. The effects of risk factor control and medication use as primary and secondary stroke prevention strategies were assessed, respectively. Logistic regression models were used to assess the sex-specific differences in the primary and secondary stroke prevention practices. Of the 512,715 participants (59.0% women), 218,972 (57.4% women) had a high risk of stroke and 8884 (44.7% women) had an established stroke. Of high-risk participants, women were considerably less likely than men to receive antiplatelets (odds ratio [OR], 0.80; [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.72-0.89]), antihypertensives (0.46[0.44-0.48]), and antidiabetics (0.65[0.60-0.70]). Meanwhile, stroke women were significantly less likely to receive antiplatelets (0.75[0.65-0.85]) but more likely to receive antidiabetics (1.56 [1.34-1.82]) than their male counterparts. Besides, differences were found in risk factor control between women and men. Sex-specific differences in stroke prevention strategies are prevalent in China. Effective prevention requires the implementation of better overall nationwide strategies and special emphasis on women.

Stroke burden and attributable risk factors in China, 1990-2019

Background and purpose

Understanding the temporal trends of stroke burden and its attributable risk factors are essential for targeted prevention strategies. We aimed to describe the temporal trends and attributable risk factors of stroke in China.

Methods

Data on the stroke burden [incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)] and the population-attributable fraction for stroke risk factors from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). We analyzed trends in the burden of stroke and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2019, and the characteristics of stroke-attributable risk factors by sex, age group, and stroke subtype.

Results

From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY rates for total stroke decreased by 9.3% (3.3, 15.5), 39.8% (28.6, 50.7), and 41.6% (30.7, 50.9) respectively. The corresponding indicators all decreased for intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage. The age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke increased by 39.5% (33.5 to 46.2) for male patients and by 31.4% (24.7 to 37.7) for female patients, and the age-standardized mortality and DALY rates remained almost unchanged. The three leading stroke risk factors were high systolic blood pressure, ambient particulate matter pollution, and smoking. High systolic blood pressure has remained the leading risk factor since 1990. The attributable risk of ambient particulate matter pollution shows a clear upward trend. Smoking and alcohol consumption were important risk factors for men.

Conclusion

This study reinforced the findings of an increased stroke burden in China. Precise stroke prevention strategies are needed to reduce the disease burden of stroke.

Thirteen-year trends in risk scores predictive values for subsequent stroke in patients with acute ischemic event

INTRODUCTION

A high residual risk of subsequent stroke suggested that the predictive ability of Stroke Prognosis Instrument-II (SPI-II) and Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) may have changed over the years.

AIM

To explore the predictive values of the SPI-II and ESRS for 1-year subsequent stroke risk in a pooled analysis of three consecutive national cohorts in China over 13 years.

RESULTS

In the China National Stroke Registries (CNSRs), 10.7% (5297/50,374) of the patients had a subsequent stroke within 1 year; area under the curve (AUC) of SPI-II and ESRS was .60 (95% confidence interval [CI]: .59-.61) and .58 (95% CI: .57-.59), respectively. For SPI-II, the AUC was .60 (95% CI: .59-.62) in CNSR-I, .60 (95% CI: .59-.62) in CNSR-II, and .58 (95% CI: .56-.59) in CNSR-III over the past 13 years. The declining trend was also found in ESRS scale (CNSR-I: .60 [95% CI: .59-.61]; CNSR-II: .60 [95% CI: .59-.62]; and CNSR-III: .56 [95% CI: .55-.58]).

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive power of the traditional risk scores SPI-II and ESRS was limited and gradually decreased over the past 13 years, thus the scales may not be useful for current clinical practice. Further derivation of risk scales with additional imaging features and biomarkers may be warranted.

Inpatient rehabilitation therapy in stroke patients with reperfusion therapy: a national prospective registry study

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the rate of real-world inpatient rehabilitation therapy (IRT) after stroke. We aimed to determine the rate of inpatient rehabilitation therapy and its associated factors in patients who undergo reperfusion therapy in China.

METHODS

This national prospective registry study included hospitalized ischemic stroke patients aged 14-99 years with reperfusion therapy between January 1, 2019, and June 30, 2020, collecting hospital-level and patient-level demographic and clinical data. IRT included acupuncture or massage, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, and others. The primary outcome was the rate of patients receiving IRT.

RESULTS

We included 209,189 eligible patients from 2191 hospitals. The median age was 66 years, and 64.2% were men. Four in five patients received only thrombolysis, and the rest 19.2% underwent endovascular therapy. The overall rate of IRT was 58.2% (95% CI, 58.0-58.5%). Differences in demographic and clinical variables existed between patients with and without IRT. The rates of acupuncture or massage, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, and other rehabilitation interventions were 38.0%, 28.8%, 11.8%, 14.4%, and 22.9%, respectively. The rates of single and multimodal interventions were 28.3% and 30.0%, respectively. A lower likelihood of receiving IRT was associated with being 14-50 or 76-99 years old, female, from Northeast China, from Class-C hospitals, receiving only thrombolysis, having severe stroke or severe deterioration, a short length of stay, Covid-19 pandemic and having intracranial or gastrointestinal hemorrhage.

CONCLUSION

Among our patient population, the IRT rate was low with limited use of physical therapy, multimodal interventions, and rehabilitation centers and varied by demographic and clinical features. The implementation of IRT remains a challenge for stroke care, warranting urgent and effective national programs to enhance post-stroke rehabilitation and the adherence to guidelines.

Increasing burden of stroke in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prevalence, incidence, mortality, and case fatality

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology of stroke is evolving in China as the population undergoes demographic, lifestyle, and economic transitions. An updated review is pertinent to providing feedback on current, and in planning future, prevention and management strategies.

AIMS

To identify high-quality epidemiological studies for quantifying the prevalence, incidence, mortality, and case fatality for stroke in China.

METHODS

A search was undertaken across a range of bibliographic databases on 30 November 2021 without time limitation. Assessments were made of the risk of bias of the included studies. The outcomes were synthesized using a random-effects model. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression models were used to define the source of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Of 9407 identified records, 26 population-based studies were included. Due to significant heterogeneity across the studies, the original range for crude rates of indices was wide. The pooled annual prevalence was 1329.5/100,000 (95% confidence interval (CI) 713.6-2131.9, p < 0.001), incidence 442.1/100,000 (327.6-573.8, p < 0.001), mortality 154.1/100,000 (52.6-308.8, I² = 100%, p < 0.001), and case fatality 35.8% (26.1% to 46.1%, I² = 97%, p < 0.001). The prevalence and incidence of stroke have increased, but stroke-related case fatality has declined in China over recent decades. There are significant regional and rural-urban differences in incidence rates.

CONCLUSION

Despite improved public health policies and healthcare delivery, the burden of stroke remains high in China. Further coordinated efforts are required in prevention and community care to offset the likelihood of further expansion in the absolute number of stroke cases in this large population.

Estimated Burden of Stroke in China in 2020

IMPORTANCE

Stroke is the leading cause of death in China. However, recent data about the up-to-date stroke burden in China are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the urban-rural disparity of stroke burden in the Chinese adult population, including prevalence, incidence, and mortality rate, and disparities between urban and rural populations.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cross-sectional study was based on a nationally representative survey that included 676 394 participants aged 40 years and older. It was conducted from July 2020 to December 2020 in 31 provinces in mainland China.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Primary outcome was self-reported stroke verified by trained neurologists during a face-to-face interviews using a standardized protocol. Stroke incidence were assessed by defining first-ever strokes that occurred during 1 year preceding the survey. Strokes causing death that occurred during the 1 year preceding the survey were considered as death cases.

RESULTS

The study included 676 394 Chinese adults (395 122 [58.4%] females; mean [SD] age, 59.7 [11.0] years). In 2020, the weighted prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates of stroke in China were 2.6% (95% CI, 2.6%-2.6%), 505.2 (95% CI, 488.5-522.0) per 100 000 person-years, and 343.4 (95% CI, 329.6-357.2) per 100 000 person-years, respectively. It was estimated that among the Chinese population aged 40 years and older in 2020, there were 3.4 (95% CI, 3.3-3.6) million incident cases of stroke, 17.8 (95% CI, 17.5-18.0) million prevalent cases of stroke, and 2.3 (95% CI, 2.2-2.4) million deaths from stroke. Ischemic stroke constituted 15.5 (95% CI, 15.2-15.6) million (86.8%) of all incident strokes in 2020, while intracerebral hemorrhage constituted 2.1 (95% CI, 2.1-2.1) million (11.9%) and subarachnoid hemorrhage constituted 0.2 (95% CI, 0.2-0.2) million (1.3%). The prevalence of stroke was higher in urban than in rural areas (2.7% [95% CI, 2.6%-2.7%] vs 2.5% [95% CI, 2.5%-2.6%]; P = .02), but the incidence rate (485.5 [95% CI, 462.8-508.3] vs 520.8 [95% CI, 496.3-545.2] per 100 000 person-years; P < .001) and mortality rate (309.9 [95% CI, 291.7-328.1] vs 369.7 [95% CI, 349.1-390.3] per 100 000 person-years; P < .001) were lower in urban areas than in rural areas. In 2020, the leading risk factor for stroke was hypertension (OR, 3.20 [95% CI, 3.09-3.32]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In a large, nationally representative sample of adults aged 40 years or older, the estimated prevalence, incidence, and mortality rate of stroke in China in 2020 were 2.6%, 505.2 per 100 000 person-years, and 343.4 per 100 000 person-years, respectively, indicating the need for an improved stroke prevention strategy in the general Chinese population.

Effect of implementing care protocols on acute ischemic stroke outcomes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Implementing stroke care protocols has intended to provide better care quality, favor early functional recovery, and achieving long-term results for the rehabilitation of the patient.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the effect of implementing care protocols on the outcomes of acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Primary studies published from 2011 to 2020 and which met the following criteria were included: population should be people with acute ischemic stroke; studies should present results on the outcomes of using protocols in the therapeutic approach to acute ischemic stroke. The bibliographic search was carried out in June 2020 in 7 databases. The article selection was conducted by two independent reviewers and the results were narratively synthesized.

RESULTS

A total of 11,226 publications were retrieved in the databases, of which 30 were included in the study. After implementing the protocol, 70.8% of the publications found an increase in the rate of performing reperfusion therapy, such as thrombolysis and thrombectomy; 45.5% identified an improvement in the clinical prognosis of the patient; and 25.0% of the studies identified a decrease in the length of hospital stay. Out of 19 studies that addressed the rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, 2 (10.5%) identified a decrease. A decrease in mortality was mentioned in 3 (25.0%) articles out of 12 that evaluated this outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

We have identified the importance of implementing protocols in increasing the performance of reperfusion therapies, and a good functional outcome with improved prognosis after discharge. However, there is still a need to invest in reducing post-thrombolysis complications and mortality.

Temporal trends and rural-urban disparities in cerebrovascular risk factors, in-hospital management and outcomes in ischaemic strokes in China from 2005 to 2015: a nationwide serial cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

Stroke is the leading cause of mortality in China, with limited evidence of in-hospital burden obtained from nationwide surveys. We aimed to monitor and track the temporal trends and rural-urban disparities in cerebrovascular risk factors, management and outcomes from 2005 to 2015.

METHODS

We used a two-stage random sampling survey to create a nationally representative sample of patients admitted for ischaemic stroke in 2005, 2010 and 2015. We sampled participating hospitals with an economic-geographical region-stratified random-sampling approach first and then obtained patients with a systematic sampling approach. We weighed our survey data to estimate the national-level results and assess changes from 2005 to 2015.

RESULTS

We analysed 28 277 ischaemic stroke admissions from 189 participating hospitals. From 2005 to 2015, the estimated national hospital admission rate for ischaemic stroke per 100 000 people increased (from 75.9 to 402.7, P_trend<0.001), and the prevalence of risk factors, including hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidaemia and current smoking, increased. The composite score of diagnostic tests for stroke aetiology assessment (from 0.22 to 0.36, P_trend<0.001) and secondary prevention treatments (from 0.46 to 0.70, P_trend<0.001) were improved. A temporal decrease was found in discharge against medical advice (DAMA) (from 15.2% (95% CI 13.7% to 16.7%) to 8.6% (8.1% to 9.0%); adjusted P_trend=0.046), and decreases in in-hospital mortality (0.7% in 2015 vs 1.8% in 2005; adjusted OR (aOR) 0.52; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.85) and the composite outcome of in-hospital mortality or DAMA (8.4% in 2015 vs 13.9% in 2005; aOR 0.65; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.89) were observed. Disparities between rural and urban hospitals narrowed; however, disparities persisted in in-hospital management (brain MRI: rural-urban difference from -14.4% to -11.2%; cerebrovascular assessment: from -20.3% to -16.7%; clopidogrel: from -2.1% to -10.3%; anticoagulant for atrial fibrillation: from -10.9% to -8.2%) and in-hospital outcomes (DAMA: from 2.7% to 5.0%; composite outcome of in-hospital mortality or DAMA: from 2.4% to 4.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

From 2005 to 2015, improvements in hospital admission and in-hospital management for ischaemic stroke in China were found. A temporal improvement in DAMA and improvements in in-hospital mortality and the composite outcome of in-hospital mortality or DAMA were observed. Disparities between rural and urban hospitals generally narrowed but persisted.

Effect of admission serum glucose on the clinical prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving alteplase intravenous thrombolysis

Objective: To investigate the effect of admission serum glucose on the clinical prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving intravenous alteplase thrombolysis. Methods: Patients with acute ischemic stroke who received intravenous alteplase thrombolysis between January 2016 and December 2017 were enrolled. The clinical prognosis was assessed using the modified Rankin Scale (mRs) at 90 days after onset. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to investigate whether admission serum glucose was an independent factor in the 90-day prognosis. The predictive value of admission serum glucose for a 90-day poor prognosis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. All patients were divided into two groups based on admission serum glucose levels: high admission serum glucose (above the cut-off value) and low admission serum glucose (below the cut-off value). The 90-day prognosis of patients with different admission serum glucose was analyzed. Results: A total of 138 patients were enrolled, including 79 males (57.24%), with a mean age of (68 ± 12) years and a median baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score of 9 (6 to 13.75). There were 74 cases (53.62%) in the good prognosis group and 64 cases (46.37%) in the poor prognosis group. The results of the univariate analysis indicated that admission serum glucose in the good prognosis group was significantly lower than that in the poor prognosis group [(7.45 ± 2.31) versus (8.80 ± 3.65), p < .05]. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the admission serum glucose level was an independent risk factor for clinical prognosis at 90 days after onset (OR = 1.24, 95% CI:1.01-1.52). ROC curve analysis showed that the cutoff value of admission serum glucose for predicting poor prognosis 90 days after intravenous thrombolytic therapy with alteplase was 6.77 mmol/l AUC (area under curve) 0.623, 95%CI: 0.53-0.72, sensitivity 68.80%, specificity 52.70%. When compared with the admission serum glucose ≥6.77 mmol/l group (83 cases), the 90-day mRS scores in the admission serum glucose <6.77 mmol/l group (55 cases) were lower [3 (1 to 5) scores versus 1 (0 to 3) scores, Z = 2.89, p < .05]. Conclusions: In patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving intravenous alteplase thrombolytic therapy, a higher admission serum glucose level is an independent predictor of adverse neurological outcomes at 90 days postoperatively.

Projected burden of stroke in China through 2050

BACKGROUND

Stroke is the leading cause of death in China, and predicting the stroke burden could provide essential information guiding the setting of medium- and long-term health policies and priorities. The study aimed to project trends associated with stroke burden in China through 2050, not only in terms of incidence and mortality but also for prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).

METHODS

Data on stroke rates in incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs in China between 1990 and 2019 were obtained from a recent Global Burden of Disease study. Demographic-specific trends in rates over time were estimated using three models: the loglinear model, the Lee-Carter model, and a functional time series model. The mean absolute percentage error and the root mean squared error were used for model selection. Projections up to 2050 were estimated using the best fitting model. United Nations population data were used to project the absolute numbers through 2050.

RESULTS

From 2019 to 2050, the crude rates for all measures of the stroke burden are projected to increase continuously among both men and women. We project that compared with those in 2019, the incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs because of stroke in China in 2050 will increase by 55.58%, 119.16%, 72.15%, and 20.04%, respectively; the corresponding increases in number were 2.19, 34.27, 1.58, and 9.21 million. The age-standardized rate is projected to substantially decline for incidence (8.94%), death (40.37%), and DALYs (43.47%), but the age-standardized prevalence rate is predicted to increase by 10.82%. By 2050, the burden of stroke among the population aged ≥65 years will increase significantly: by 104.70% for incidence, by 218.48% for prevalence, by 100.00% for death, and by 58.93% for DALYs.

CONCLUSIONS

With the aging population in China increasing over the next three decades, the burden of stroke will be markedly increased. Continuous efforts are needed to improve stroke health care and secondary prevention, especially for older adults.

Predictive effect of triglyceride-glucose index on clinical events in patients with acute ischemic stroke and type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was significantly related to clinical outcome in patients with cardiovascular disease (CAD) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD). We aim to investigate the association between TyG index and clinical prognosis of acute ischemic stroke (IS) patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

Among 19,604 patients with acute IS admitted to the China National Stroke Registry II (CNSRII), 3359 IS patients with T2DM were included in the cross-sectional analysis. The TyG index (calculated by ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]) was split into four quartiles. The outcomes included recurrent IS, all-cause death and poor outcome at 1 year were analyzed. The association between the TyG index and adverse cerebrovascular outcomes was assessed by proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

During 1 year follow-up, recurrent IS, all-cause death and poor outcome occurred in 305 (9.08%), 229 (6.82%) and 443 (47.9%) cases, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses showed that the risk of incident primary endpoints was associated with a higher TyG quartile. After adjustment for confounding factors, patients with a higher TyG index had an association with IS recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.97-2.03; P = 0.048) and all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.062-2.74; P = 0.028), compared with those in the first quartile at 1 year time follow-up. In addition, there were interactions between TyG index and age (≥ 65), female, hypertensive agents, anticoagulant agents, statins and antidiabetic agents in subgroup analyses, especially patients without taken anticoagulant drugs were significantly related to IS recurrence, all-cause death and poor outcome (P = 0.003, P = 0.006 and P = 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

TyG index is strongly related to the IS recurrence and all-cause death in acute IS patients with T2DM. This finding indicates that the TyG index might be a potential predictor of clinical outcome for acute IS patients with T2DM.

The prevalence and burden of four major chronic diseases in the Shanxi Province of Northern China

Background

Chronic non-communicable diseases constitute an important public health problem that is closely related to behavioral risk factors. The study examined the prevalence, burden, and behavioral risk factors relevant to four major chronic diseases in Shanxi Province, China. The results obtained could provide a basis for the formulation of chronic disease prevention and control strategies in north China.

Methods

A multi-stage random sampling method was used to select 14,137 residents aged ≥15 years who completed a questionnaire survey and physical examination. The disease burden was evaluated using the disability-adjusted life years (DALY) index. The extent of disease burden attributable to smoking and drinking behavior was analyzed using counterfactual analysis.

Results

The total DALYs due to the four major chronic diseases was 938,100. The years of life lost due to stroke accounted for 74.86%; the years of life lived with disabilities accounted for 54.0 and 68.1% of the total disease burden of coronary heart disease and diabetes. Coronary heart disease attributed to smoking (105,600) was the highest, followed by stroke (77,200), hypertension (6,000), and diabetes mellitus (5,900). Stroke attributed to drinking (30,700) was the highest followed by coronary heart disease (16,700) and diabetes (1,100). The disease burden caused by smoking and drinking was higher in men (164,000 and 40,700, respectively) than in women (30,700 and 7,300, respectively).

Conclusion

There is a high prevalence and significant burden associated with major chronic diseases in Shanxi Province. Therefore, the need for the application of various interventions to control smoking and drinking (the major predisposing factors) should be applied to reduce this burden.

Prevalence of stroke in China, 2013-2019: A population-based study

Background

The stroke burden in China has increased during the past 40 years. The present study aimed to determine the recent trends in the prevalence of stroke from 2013 to 2019 stratified by sociodemographic characteristics, including sex, age, residence, ethnicity, and province within a population-based screening project in China.

Methods

We made use of data generated from 2013 to 2019 in the China Stroke High-risk Population Screening Program. All living subjects with confirmed stroke at interview were considered to have prevalent stroke. All analyses of prevalence of stroke were weighted and results were presented as percentage and 95% confidence interval (CI).

Findings

A total of 4229,616 Chinese adults aged ≥40 years from 227 cities in the 31 provinces were finally included. The enrollment rate ranged from 58.8% (2017) to 67.8% (2013). The weighted prevalence of stroke increased annually from 2013 to 2019, being 2.28% (95% CI: 2.28-2.28%) in 2013, 2.34% (2.34-2.35%) in 2014, 2.43% (2.43-2.43%) in 2015, 2.48% (2.48-2.48%) in 2016, 2.52% (2.52-2.52%) in 2017, 2.55% (2.55-2.55%) in 2018, and 2.58% (2.58-2.58%) in 2019 (p for trend <0.001). The weighted prevalence of stroke was higher for male sex, older age, and residence in rural and northeast areas.

Interpretation

The prevalence of stroke in China and most provinces has continued to increase in the past 7 years (2013-2019). These findings, especially in provinces with high stroke prevalence, can help public health officials to increase province capacity for stroke and related risk factors prevention.

Fundings

This study was supported by grants from the National Major Public Health Service Projects.

Association between hospital volume, processes of care and outcomes after acute ischaemic stroke: a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

There is uncertainty with respect to the hospital volume and clinical outcomes for patients with stroke. This study aimed to assess the association between hospital volume, processes of care and outcomes after ischaemic stroke.

DESIGN

A multicentre prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Two hundred and seventeen secondary or tertiary public hospitals from China.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 17 550 patients within 7 days of acute ischaemic stroke were included.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcomes included all-cause mortality, poor outcome, recurrent stroke, and combined vascular events at 3 months and 1 year. The patients were divided into four groups based on quartiles of the hospital volume. We compared the difference in the process of care across the groups and estimated the effects of hospital volume on mortality, poor outcome, recurrent stroke, and combined vascular events at 3 months and 1 year. Restricted cubic splines were used to illustrate the association between hospital volume and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in the process of care across the four groups. When adjusted for confounders, the effect of hospital volume on mortality, recurrent stroke and combined vascular events was not significant. However, compared with the highest quartile, the patients in the lowest quartile of hospital volume tend to have poor outcome at 1 year (OR=1.29, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.64, p=0.0393). The restricted cubic spline analyses suggested a non-linear relationship between hospital volume and 1-year combined vascular events and poor outcome at 3 months and 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

We found no significant associations between hospital volume, processes of care at the hospital, and mortality, recurrent stroke, and combined vascular events in patients with ischaemic stroke. However, hospital volume may be associated with poor outcome at 1 year.

Trends and Risk Factors Associated With Stroke Recurrence in China, 2007-2018

IMPORTANCE

Recurrent stroke rates have decreased substantially in Western countries. However, data on changes in stroke recurrence and risk factor patterns in China are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically assess stroke recurrence trends by evaluating temporal improvement in guideline-recommended secondary prevention treatment performance and changes in risk factor patterns over 10 years in China.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This post hoc cohort study was conducted based on data from the China National Stroke Registries (CNSRs, comprising 3 phases, I-III, from 2007-2018). Participants were patients with ischemic stroke who were enrolled in CNSR I or III within 7 days of symptom onset. Data were analyzed from September through November 2021.

EXPOSURES

Vascular risk factors included current smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The cumulative incidence rates of stroke recurrence at 3, 6, and 12 months were calculated, and the performance of guideline-based secondary prevention treatments was investigated at each visit in CNSR I (2007-2008) and III (2015-2018). Logistic regression models were used to evaluate changes in risk factor patterns for stroke recurrence based on data from CNSR I and III.

RESULTS

A total of 10 952 patients with ischemic stroke from CNSR I (6740 [61.5%] men; median [IQR] age, 67 [57-75] years) and 10 348 patients with ischemic stroke from CNSR III (7128 [68.9%] men; median [IQR] age, 63 [54-70] years) were selected. Over 10 years, the adjusted cumulative incidence of recurrent stroke within 12 months decreased from 15.5% (95% CI, 14.8%-16.2%) to 12.5% (95% CI, 11.9%-13.1%) (P < .001). Factors associated with increased risk of stroke in CNSR I that were still associated after 10 years included age per 10 years (CNSR I: odds ratio [OR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.18-1.31; CNSR III: OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.15), prior stroke (CNSR I: OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.45-1.82; CNSR III: OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.44-1.92), coronary heart disease (CNSR I: OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04-1.40; CNSR III: OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02-1.49), and LDL-C level per 10 mg/dL (0.259 mmol/L) (CNSR I: OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04; CNSR III: OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00-1.03), whereas atrial fibrillation (CNSR I: OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.26-1.81; CNSR III: OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.74-1.23) was no longer an independent risk factor in 2015 to 2018.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study found that stroke recurrence rate in China decreased significantly, but approximately 12.5% of patients still experienced stroke recurrence within 12 months. These findings suggest that more intensive control of traditional risk factors, including LDL-C levels, may be needed to further reduce stroke recurrence.

Composite measures of quality of health care: Evidence mapping of methodology and reporting

Background

Quality indicators are used to quantify the quality of care. A large number of quality indicators makes assessment of overall quality difficult, time consuming and impractical. There is consequently an increasing interest for composite measures based on a combination of multiple indicators.

Objective

To examine the use of different approaches to construct composite measures of quality of care and to assess the use of methodological considerations and justifications.

Methods

We conducted a literature search on PubMed and EMBASE databases (latest update 1 December 2020). For each publication, we extracted information on the weighting and aggregation methodology that had been used to construct composite indicator(s).

Results

A total of 2711 publications were identified of which 145 were included after a screening process. Opportunity scoring with equal weights was the most used approach (86/145, 59%) followed by all-or-none scoring (48/145, 33%). Other approaches regarding aggregation or weighting of individual indicators were used in 32 publications (22%). The rationale for selecting a specific type of composite measure was reported in 36 publications (25%), whereas 22 papers (15%) addressed limitations regarding the composite measure.

Conclusion

Opportunity scoring and all-or-none scoring are the most frequently used approaches when constructing composite measures of quality of care. The attention towards the rationale and limitations of the composite measures appears low.

Discussion

Considering the widespread use and the potential implications for decision-making of composite measures, a high level of transparency regarding the construction process of the composite and the functionality of the measures is crucial.

Prevalence and In-hospital outcomes of diabetes among acute ischemic stroke patients in china: results from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance

Background

Patients with ischemic stroke and diabetes are classified as extreme risk for secondary prevention, with much attention and specific management. However, the up-to-date information regarding the burden of diabetes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients is lacking in China, and evidence for an association between diabetes and in-hospital outcomes after AIS remains controversial.

Methods

This quality improvement study was conducted at 1,476 participating hospitals in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance between 2015 and 2019. Prevalence of diabetes was evaluated in the overall study population and different subgroups. The association between diabetes and in-hospital outcomes in AIS patients was analyzed by using multivariable logistic regression analysis and propensity score-matched analysis.

Results

Of 838,229 patients with AIS, 286,252 (34.2%) had diabetes/possible diabetes. The prevalence of diabetes/possible diabetes was higher in women than in men (37.6% versus 32.1%). Patients with diabetes/possible diabetes had higher rates of adverse in-hospital outcomes than those without. Multivariable analysis revealed a significant association between diabetes/possible diabetes and adverse in-hospital outcomes (all-cause mortality: odds ratio [OR], 1.30 [95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23–1.38]; major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs): OR, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.06–1.10]) in AIS patients. The excess risk of in-hospital outcomes still remained in AIS patients with diabetes/possible diabetes after propensity score-matching analysis (all-cause mortality: OR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.17–1.35]; MACEs: OR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.05–1.10]).

Conclusion

Diabetes was highly prevalent among AIS patients in China and associated with worse in-hospital outcomes. Greater efforts to increase targeted approach to secondary prevention treatments of diabetes in AIS patients are warranted.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00415-022-11112-z.

ICH-LR2S2: a new risk score for predicting stroke-associated pneumonia from spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

Purpose

We develop a new risk score to predict patients with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) who have an acute intracranial hemorrhage (ICH).

Method

We applied logistic regression to develop a new risk score called ICH-LR2S2. It was derived from examining a dataset of 70,540 ICH patients between 2015 and 2018 from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA). During the training of ICH-LR2S2, patients were randomly divided into two groups – 80% for the training set and 20% for model validation. A prospective test set was developed using 12,523 patients recruited in 2019. To further verify its effectiveness, we tested ICH-LR2S2 on an external dataset of 24,860 patients from the China National Stroke Registration Management System II (CNSR II). The performance of ICH-LR2S2 was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

Results

The incidence of SAP in the dataset was 25.52%. A 24-point ICH-LR2S2 was developed from independent predictors, including age, modified Rankin Scale, fasting blood glucose, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale admission score, Glasgow Coma Scale score, C-reactive protein, dysphagia, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, and current smoking. The results showed that ICH-LR2S2 achieved an AUC = 0.749 [95% CI 0.739–0.759], which outperforms the best baseline ICH-APS (AUC = 0.704) [95% CI 0.694–0.714]. Compared with the previous ICH risk scores, ICH-LR2S2 incorporates fasting blood glucose and C-reactive protein, improving its discriminative ability. Machine learning methods such as XGboost (AUC = 0.772) [95% CI 0.762–0.782] can further improve our prediction performance. It also performed well when further validated by the external independent cohort of patients (n = 24,860), ICH-LR2S2 AUC = 0.784 [95% CI 0.774–0.794].

Conclusion

ICH-LR2S2 accurately distinguishes SAP patients based on easily available clinical features. It can help identify high-risk patients in the early stages of diseases.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12967-022-03389-5.

China Stroke Statistics: an update on the 2019 report from the National Center for Healthcare Quality Management in Neurological Diseases, China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, the Chinese Stroke Association, National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and Institute for Global Neuroscience and Stroke Collaborations

China faces the greatest challenge from stroke in the world. According to results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, there were 3.94 million new stroke cases, 28.76 million prevalent cases and 2.19 million deaths due to stroke in China in 2019. Furthermore, stroke is also the leading cause of disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) in China, the number of DALYs reached 45.9 million in 2019. Several recent large-scale epidemiological surveys have updated the data on pre-existing conditions contributed to stroke. The age-adjusted prevalence of overweight among Chinese adults aged 18–69 years was 34.4%, and the prevalence of obesity was 16.8% in 2018. 50.9% of Chinese adults ≥18 years of age without history of hypertension had prehypertension in 2018. The weighted prevalence of hypertension in adults was 27.5% in 2018. The weighted prevalence of total diabetes and pre-diabetes diagnosed by the American Diabetes Association criteria were 12.8% and 35.2%, respectively, among Chinese adults ≥18 years of age in 2017. The weighted atrial fibrillation prevalence was 1.8% among Chinese adults ≥45 years of age and equates to being present in an estimated 7.9 million people in China. Data from 1672 tertiary public hospitals in the Hospital Quality Monitoring System (HQMS) showed that 3 411 168 stroke cases were admitted during 2019. Of those, 2 818 875 (82.6%) were ischaemic strokes (ISs), 485 474 (14.2%) were intracerebral haemorrhages (ICHs), 106 819 (3.1%) were subarachnoid haemorrhages (SAHs). The average age was 66 years old, and 59.6% were male. A total of 1379 (<0.1%), 2604 (0.5%), 1250 (1.2%) paediatric strokes (age <18 years) were identified among IS, ICH and SAH, respectively. Over one-third (1 231 519 (36.1%)) of the stroke cases were covered by urban resident basic medical insurance, followed by urban employee basic medical insurance (891 103 (26.1%)) and new rural cooperative medical schema (543 108 (15.9%)). The leading risk factor was hypertension (57.3% for IS, 69.9% for ICH and 44.1% for SAH), and the leading comorbidity was pneumonia or pulmonary infection (10.4% for IS, 34.6% for ICH and 29.7% for SAH). In-hospital death/discharge against medical advice rate was 8.5%, ranging from 6.0% for IS to 20.6% for SAH. The median and IQR of length of stay was 9.0 (6.0–13.0) days, ranging from 10.0 (7.0–13.0) in IS to 14.0 (8.0–22.0) in ICH. Similar data from 2847 secondary public hospitals or private hospitals in the HQMS were also reported. Data from HQMS showed that higher proportions of interprovincial admission to other provinces were seen in Inner Mongolia, Anhui, Tibet and Beijing. Higher proportions of interprovincial admission from other provinces were seen in Beijng, Tianjin, Shanghai and Ningxia. Data from 323 601 strokes from 1337 hospitals in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance during 2019 demonstrated that the composite scores of guideline-recommended key performance indicators for patients with IS, ICH and SAH were 0.78±0.20, 0.69±0.27 and 0.60±0.31, respectively.

Stroke Risk Factors of Stroke Patients in China: A Nationwide Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study

Background: Stroke is the leading cause of death in China, and its burdens are rapidly increasing. The prevalence and control of stroke risk factors among stroke patients in China are unknown. Objective: We investigated the stroke risk factors of stroke patients in China. Design: We examined stroke risk factors in 6580 stroke patients aged 18 years or older in the China National Chronic Diseases and Nutrition Surveillance of Adults (2015–2017). With regard to the basic characteristics of the study participants, categorical variables were described as frequency (percent). The chi-square test was used to analyze the difference between men and women. The multivariate logistic regression model was used in the multivariate analysis. Results: Among the 6580 stroke patients, hypertension was the most common stroke risk factor identified in most cases (78.51%), followed by overweight or obesity (61.58%), dyslipidemia (54.38%), smoking (24.04%), diabetes (21.75%), family history of stroke (17.43%), lack of exercise (16.35%), and atrial fibrillation (4.47%). Drinking stroke patients had a lower rate of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia. Patients with hyperuricemia had a higher rate of hypertension and dyslipidemia than no-hyperuricemia patients. The hypertension awareness, treatment, and control rates among hypertension stroke patients were 73.62%, 70.19%, and 17.79%, respectively. The diabetes awareness, treatment, and control rates among diabetes patients were 69.74%, 65.83%, and 34.59%, respectively. The dyslipidemia awareness, treatment, and control rates among dyslipidemia patients were 42.37%, 29.4%, and 20.07%, respectively. Among treated hypertension patients, the rates of taking medicine as medically advised, controlled diet, increased exercise, and blood pressure monitoring were 91.31%, 58.88%, 45.78%, and 73.99%, respectively. Among treated diabetes patients, the rates of oral antidiabetic medications, insulin injection, diet control, and blood glucose monitoring were 78.24%, 34.71%, 85.77%, and 78.24%, respectively. Among treated dyslipidemic patients, the rate of taking medicine as medical advice, controlled diet, increased exercise, and regular blood lipid monitoring was 80.61%, 77.57%, 56.46%, and 40.3%, respectively. Conclusions: The most common risk factors for community stroke patients in China are hypertension, dyslipidemia, and overweight or obesity. The stroke community patients’ suboptimal awareness and treatment of hypertension, and suboptimal awareness, treatment, and control of diabetes, and dyslipidemia are significant problems in China.

Rates of intravenous thrombolysis and endovascular therapy for acute ischaemic stroke in China between 2019 and 2020

BACKGROUND

In recent years, a series of initiatives have been launched to promote intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) and endovascular therapy (EVT) for acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) in China. We aimed to update the rates of IVT and EVT in China between 2019 and 2020 and to evaluate the current IVT and EVT according to hospital grades.

METHODS

Cross-sectional data on patients receiving IVT/EVT were derived from the Bigdata Observatory platform for Stroke of China (BOSC). The monthly number of discharged patients with a principal diagnosis of AIS was derived from the first pages of medical records of each hospital. The rates and information of IVT and EVT were analysed according to hospital grades.

FINDINGS

During this period, 938 tertiary hospitals and 786 secondary hospitals from 31 provinces continuously reported data to the BOSC. The overall IVT rate for AIS was 5·64%, and the EVT rate was 1·45%. The IVT rate in secondary hospitals was higher than that in tertiary hospitals (6·39% vs. 5·39%, P < 0·001), whereas the EVT rate in secondary hospitals was much lower than that in tertiary hospitals (0·29% vs. 1·84%, P < 0·001). Significant differences in demographic and clinical characteristics of patients receiving IVT/EVT were also shown between tertiary and secondary hospitals.

INTERPRETATION

The rates of IVT and EVT for AIS have greatly increased in China, but there is still a large gap compared with developed countries. Hospital inhomogeneity in IVT and EVT suggests the importance of developing a region-specific network for stroke treatment.

FUNDING

None.

Rationale and design of a stepped wedge cluster randomised trial to improve acute reperfusion treatment quality for stroke: IMPROVE stroke care in China

BACKGROUND

Reperfusion therapy is the most effective treatment for acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) but remains underutilised in China. There is an urgent need to develop tailored strategies to increase adherence to intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) and endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) within the guideline-recommended time window for eligible patients.

AIMS

This study aims to investigate the efficacy of a comprehensive quality improvement intervention on adherence to guideline-recommended reperfusion therapy for patients with AIS in China.

DESIGN

The Improve Acute Reperfusion Treatment Quality for Stroke in China (IMPROVE Stroke Care in China) trial is designed as a stepped wedge cluster randomised trial within 51 hospitals. We developed the comprehensive intervention 'STEP' (Strategies, Toolkit, Exploration, Paradigm) to promote the reconstruction of workflow in stroke centres and shorten in-hospital delay of reperfusion treatment for patients with AIS. The participating hospitals (clusters) were randomised to three groups (cohorts) for different predefined steps to intervention implementation. The primary outcome was the adherent rate of IVT or EVT for eligible patients within the time window. The sample size was estimated to be 7644, and was determined by the number of cases to be enrolled in five study periods to detect a relative increase of 30% (from 19% to 25%) with 90% power and intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.03. All efficacy analyses will be conducted based on the intention-to-treat principle. The primary outcome will be analysed using a mixed-effects logistic regression with a random effect for the cluster (hospital), and a fixed effect for the strategy and period.

CONCLUSIONS

If the efficacy is well established, this targeted comprehensive intervention STEP will inform national strategies to increase adherence to guideline-recommended performance on reperfusion therapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT003578107.

Predictors of dysphagia screening and pneumonia among patients with acute ischaemic stroke in China: findings from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA)

Background and purpose

Guidelines recommend dysphagia screening to identify those at high risk of pneumonia. However, little is known about the prevalence and predictors of dysphagia screening and pneumonia among patients with acute ischaemic stroke in China.

Methods

Using data from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance, which is a multicentre, prospective, consecutive patient enrolment programme, univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify patient and hospital characteristics associated with dysphagia screening and pneumonia during acute hospitalisation.

Results

Of 790 811 patients admitted to 1476 hospitals, 622 718 (78.7%) underwent dysphagia screening, and 64 398 (8.1%) developed pneumonia. Patients in stroke units were more likely to be screened for dysphagia than those not in stroke units (OR 1.50; 95% CI 1.48 to 1.52), while patients with a past history of stroke were less likely to be screened (OR 0.87; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.88). Dysphagia screening (OR 1.46; 95% CI 1.30 to 1.65), dysphagia (OR 7.31; 95% CI 7.15 to 7.46), and admission to stroke units (OR 1.17; 95% CI 1.14 to 1.19) were significantly associated with a greater risk of pneumonia.

Conclusions

Dysphagia was a critical factor in the development of pneumonia. Nearly one in five patients with acute ischaemic stroke in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance were not screened for dysphagia. Pneumonia prevention during acute hospitalisation is dependent not only on dysphagia screening but also on the effectiveness of subsequent dysphagia management interventions. Further studies are needed to elucidate the relationship between dysphagia screening, stroke unit care and pneumonia in patients with acute ischaemic stroke.

Dysphagia Management and Outcomes in Elderly Stroke Patients with Malnutrition Risk: Results from Chinese Stroke Center Alliance

Purpose

To investigate the effectiveness of dysphagia screening and subsequent swallowing rehabilitation in elderly stroke patients with malnutrition risk.

Patients and Methods

Based on the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA) from August 1, 2015 to July 21, 2019, we compared the in-hospital adverse outcomes among stroke patients (including ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and subarachnoid hemorrhage) over 70 years old with and without dysphagia screening. The primary outcome was in-hospital all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were the composite endpoint of discharge against medical advice (DAMA) or in-hospital death.

Results

Among 365,530 stroke patients ≥ 70 years old with malnutrition risk in the CSCA, documented dysphagia screening was performed for 288,764 (79.0%) participants. Of these, 41,482 (14.37%) patients had dysphagia, and 33,548 (80.87%) patients received swallowing rehabilitation. A total of 1,694 (0.46%) patients experienced in-hospital death. After adjustment for traditional risk factors, dysphagia screening was associated with a low risk of all-cause mortality in stroke patients [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.65–0.87]. Compared to patients with dysphagia who did not receive swallowing rehabilitation, patients reveiving swallowing rehabilitation had a reduced risk of in-hospital death (aOR:0.39, 95% CI: 0.33–0.46). Additionally, dysphagia screening had a lower risk for the composite endpoint of DAMA or in-hospital death (aOR:0.83,95% CI: 0.80–0.87), as did subsequent swallowing rehabilitation (aOR:0.43,95% CI: 0.40–0.47). Similar results were observed in the sensitivity analysis through inverse probability of treatment weighting, propensity score matching, and excluding patients without National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores. A similar association was observed between dysphagia management and adverse clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke and intracranial hemorrhage patients.

Conclusion

Dysphagia screening and swallowing rehabilitation were associated with a reduced risk of in-hospital death and composite outcome of DAMA or in-hospital death for stroke patients with malnutrition risk. Future research should concentrate on improving the quality of medical care for dysphagia management to improve patients’ outcomes.

Improving Thrombolysis for Acute Ischemic Stroke: The Implementation and Evaluation of a Theory-Based Resource Integration Project in China

Introduction:

Intravenous thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke remains underused in the developing countries. In 2016, a theory-based resource integration project was initiated at a major stroke center in China. This report describes the implementation process and results of the quality improvement project.

Description:

Eighteen environment-tailored interventions were implemented, including stroke code activation, electronic wristband bundling, structured information sharing, etc. The project was implemented from July 2016 to June 2017. A total of 519 acute ischemic stroke patients were included. After the intervention, median DNT decreased from 62 min to 37 min (P < 0.001). The percentage of cases treated within 30, 45 or 60 minutes increased from 2.5%, 17.4% and 44.6% to 27.4%, 69.4% and 84.7% respectively (P < 0.001). The median length of inpatient stay decreased from 10 days to 8 days (P < 0.001). The proportion of patients with severe disability decreased from 25.5% to 15.8% post-intervention.

Discussion:

Adequate pre-intervention activities are important conditions for the smooth implementation of the complex service integration initiative. The new treatment pathway has undergone a process of destruction, remodeling and solidification before stable and effective operation. In order to realize the full effect of service integration, whole society efforts are also required.

Conclusions:

Introduction of the theory-based resource integration project was associated with increased thrombolysis administrations, shorter DNT, and no statistically significant change in adverse outcomes. The basic principles of this project might be applicable to various resource settings.

Sex Differences in Short-term and Long-term Outcomes among Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients in China

Background: Sex differences in stroke outcomes are crucial to secondary prevention but previous reports showed inconsistent results. We aimed to explore the sex differences in stroke outcomes in the Third China National Stroke Registry, a prospective multi-center registry study. Methods: Among the 15166 patients enrolled between 2015 and 2018, 9038 patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) were included. The primary outcomes were stroke recurrence, mortality, and unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] > 2) at 3, 6, and 12 months. Cox regression model was used for stroke recurrence and mortality and logistic regression was used for the unfavorable functional outcome, and adjusted as follows: (1) Model 1: without adjustment; (2) Model 2: adjusted for potential risk factors, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at admission, pre-stroke mRS, tissue plasminogen activator (TPA) treatment, TOAST classification, and onset-to-door time; (3) Model 3: adjusted for covariates from model 2 in addition to blood pressure and blood serum covariates. Multiple imputation was used for missing values, and sensitivity analyses were conducted to describe sex differences by age groups. Results: One-third (2802/9038) of the patients were women. Women were significantly older than men (64.78±10.84 vs. 61.26±11.42, p<0.001). In the fully adjusted model, female patients were more likely to have unfavorable functional outcomes at 3 months (odds ratio [OR], 1.28 [1.09, 1.50]), especially among patients aged 65 years or older (OR, 1.39 [1.14, 1.70]), but no difference was discovered in patients aged < 65 years. There were no sex differences in stroke recurrence and mortality at 3, 6, or 12 months or unfavorable functional outcomes at 6 or 12 months after adjustment. Conclusions: Compared to men, women with AIS were less likely to have favorable outcomes at three months in China, especially among those over 65 years of age. Experts should aim to tailor secondary prevention strategies for high-risk patients.

Developing and validating a Chinese multimorbidity-weighted index for middle-aged and older community-dwelling individuals

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate an index to quantify the multimorbidity burden in Chinese middle-aged and older community-dwelling individuals.

METHODS

We included 20,035 individuals aged 45 and older from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and 19,297 individuals aged 65 and older from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS). Health outcomes of physical functioning (PF), basic and instrumental activities of daily living (ADL and IADL) and mortality were obtained. Based on self-reported disease status, we calculated five commonly used western multimorbidity indexes for CHARLS baseline participants. The one that predicted the health outcomes the best was selected and then modified through a linear mixed model using the repeated individual data in CHARLS. The performance of the modified index was internally and externally evaluated with CHARLS and CLHLS data.

RESULTS

The multimorbidity-weighted index (MWI) performed the best among the five indexes. In the modified Chinese multimorbidity-weighted index (CMWI), the weights of the diseases varied greatly (range 0.2-5.1). The top three diseases with the highest impact were stroke, memory-related diseases and cancer, corresponding to weights of 5.1, 4.3 and 3.4, respectively. Compared with the MWI, the CMWI showed better model fits for PF and IADL with larger R2 and smaller Akaike information criterion, and comparable prediction performances for ADL, IADL and mortality (e.g. the same predictive accuracy of 0.80 for ADL disability).

CONCLUSION

The CMWI is an adequate index to quantify the multimorbidity burden for Chinese middle-aged and older community-dwelling individuals. It can be directly computed via disease status examined in regular community health check-ups to facilitate health management.

Hospital management of major stroke types in Chinese adults: a population-based study of 20 000 hospitalised stroke cases

OBJECTIVES

To compare hospital treatments for major stroke types in Chinese adults by stroke pathological types, sex, age, calendar year, hospital tier, region and other factors.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional analysis of medical records retrieved from 20 229 stroke cases in the China Kadoorie Biobank.

SETTING

Ten diverse areas (five urban, five rural) in China.

PARTICIPANTS

First-incident stroke cases who were recruited during an 11-year follow-up of 0.5M participants in the China Kadoorie Biobank.

METHODS

Electronic copies of medical records of stroke cases were retrieved for clinical adjudication by local neurologists. Stroke cases were classified as ischaemic stroke (IS) (including lacunar infarction (LACI) and non-LACI (non-LACI)), intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) and unspecified stroke types.

RESULTS

Among 20 299 first-ever stroke cases, 17 306 (85%) had IS, 7123 had non-LACI, 6690 had LACI, 3493 had silent LACI, 2623 (13%) had ICH and 370 (2%) had SAH. Among IS cases, antiplatelet treatment was used by 64% (65% non-LACI, 66% LACI, 56% silent LACI), lipid-lowering by 50% (52% non-LACI, 53% LACI, 43% silent LACI) and blood pressure-lowering by ~42% of all IS types, with positive trends in the use of these treatments by calendar year and hospital tier. Among ICH cases, 53% used blood pressure-lowering and 10% used lipid-lowering treatments, respectively. In contrast, traditional Chinese medicines (TCMs) were used by 59% of IS (50% non-LACI, 62% LACI, 74% silent LACI), 38% of ICH and 30% of SAH cases, with positive trends by calendar year and by hospital tier.

CONCLUSIONS

Among IS cases, use of antiplatelet and lipid-lowering medications increased in recent years, but use of TCM still exceeded use of blood pressure-lowering treatment. In contrast, blood pressure-lowering treatment was widely used for ICH, but only half of all ICH cases used blood pressure-lowering treatment.

Long-Term Trends in the Stroke Prognosis Among Rural Residents in China: A Population-Based Surveillance Study

Objective

Although stroke mortality has remained stable over the past decade, the long-term trends of stroke burden are scarce in China, especially in low-income populations. Thus, we aimed to explore the secular trends in the prognosis of stroke in a low-income population in China.

Methods

This was a population-based stroke surveillance study that included all of the participants in the Tianjin Brain Study. Stroke management and outcomes were evaluated for all stroke patients. Trends in the burden of stroke were assessed as annual percentage changes.

Results

Overall, 1462 stroke cases occurred from 1992 to 2018, and 58.7% of patients were male. The rates of diagnosis by neuroimaging and of hospitalization increased noticeably across sexes and ages for all stroke types, and the greatest increases were observed among elderly women; diagnosis by neuroimaging increased by 4.7% and the rate of hospitalization increased by 12.4% (all P<0.001). Stroke fatality decreased by 3.7% annually among those aged <65 years and by 3.1% among patients aged ≥65 years; the corresponding rates were 7.4% and 3.5%, respectively, for women. The recurrence rate of ischemic stroke significantly decreased among all men, by 9.6% for those aged <65 years and by 3.1% for those aged ≥65 years; however, for women, this rate only significantly decreased for those aged ≥65 years.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that the allocation of medical resources has improved over the past decades. However, it is crucial to enhance secondary stroke prevention for women aged <65 years by controlling risk factors in low-income populations.

Clinical Characteristics, Management, and In-Hospital Outcomes in Patients With Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack in China

IMPORTANCE

Stroke represents a significant burden on the health care system of China. The Chinese Stroke Center Alliance was launched in 2015 to monitor and improve care quality and outcomes for patients with acute stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA).

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the clinical characteristics, management, and in-hospital clinical outcomes and complications among patients with stroke or TIA in China.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This quality improvement study assessed stroke or TIA admissions to 1476 participating hospitals in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance between August 1, 2015, and July 31, 2019.

EXPOSURES

Stroke types and calendar year.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Eleven guideline-based admission or discharge management measures and 2 summary measures: an all-or-none binary outcome and a composite score (range, 0 [nonadherence] to 1 [perfect adherence]) for adherence to evidence-based stroke and TIA care and in-hospital clinical outcomes, including death or discharge against medical advice (DAMA), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, TIA, or myocardial infarction; and in-hospital complications.

RESULTS

Of 1 006 798 patients with stroke or TIA (mean [SD] age, 65.7 [12.2] years; 383 500 [38.1%] female), 838 229 (83.3%) had an ischemic stroke, 64 929 (6.4%) had TIA, 85 705 (8.5%) had intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and 11 241 (1.1%) had subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Management measures varied by cerebrovascular event type, with the mean (SD) composite score ranging from 0.57 (0.31) in SAH to 0.83 (0.24) in TIA. Poor outcomes and complications were highest among patients with SAH (21.9%; 95% CI, 21.0%-22.8% in-hospital death or DAMA; 9.6%; 95% CI, 9.1%-10.2% MACEs; and 31.4%; 95% CI, 30.6%-32.3% in-hospital complications) and patients with ICH (17.2%; 95% CI, 16.9%-17.5% in-hospital death or DAMA; 9.3%; 95% CI, 9.1%-9.5% MACEs; and 31.3%; 95% CI, 31.0%-31.6% in-hospital complications), followed by patients with ischemic stroke (6.1%; 95% CI, 6.0%-6.1% in-hospital death or DAMA; 6.3%; 95% CI, 6.3%-6.4% MACEs; and 12.8%; 95% CI, 12.7%-12.9% in-hospital complications), and lowest in patients with TIA (5.0%; 95% CI, 4.8%-5.2% in-hospital death or DAMA; 2.4%; 95% CI, 2.3%-2.5% MACEs; and 0.8%; 95% CI, 0.7%-0.8% in-hospital complications). Temporal improvements in management measures were observed from 2015 to 2019, especially in administration of intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (+60.3% relatively; 95% CI, 52.9%-70.5%), dysphagia screening (+14.7% relatively; 95% CI, 14.0%-15.6%), and use of anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation (+31.4% relatively; 95% CI, 25.7%-37.3%). Temporal improvements in in-hospital death or DAMA (-9.7% relatively; 95% CI, -9.6% to -8.5%) and complications (-27.1% relatively; 95% CI, -28.6% to -25.3) were also observed.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this quality improvement study, performance measure adherence and poor outcomes and complications varied by cerebrovascular event type; although there were substantial improvements over time, these results suggest that support for the use of evidence-based practices is needed.

Case-fatality, disability and recurrence rates after first-ever stroke: A study from bigdata observatory platform for stroke of China

BACKGROUND

There is currently a lack of data on stroke hospitalizations and long-term outcomes in China. Therefore, we investigated 12-month stroke fatality, disability, and recurrence rates after the first-ever stroke.

METHODS

This was a prospective nationwide hospital-based cohort study. From August to September 2019, all patients with first-ever stroke (ischemic stroke [IS], intracerebral hemorrhage [ICH], and subarachnoid hemorrhage [SAH]) and with symptom onset within 14 days from 232 hospitals were included. Case fatality, disability, and recurrence rates for one year were estimated.

RESULTS

In total, 36250 first-ever stroke patients from 194 hospitals were recruited (median age was 65(IQR, 56-73) years and 61.4 % were male). The rate of intravenous thrombolysis and endovascular treatment for IS were 9.5 % and 4.4 %, respectively. In-hospital death rate was 1.9 % (95 %CI: 1.7 %-2.0 %) for stroke inpatients, ranging from 0.9 % (0.8 %-1.1 %) for IS to 5.1 % (4.6 %-5.6 %) for ICH. The 12-month fatality rate was 8.6 % (95 %CI: 8.3 %-8.9 %) for discharged stroke patients, ranging from 6.0 % (5.7 %-6.3 %) for IS to 17.7 % (16.7 %-18.7 %) for ICH. The 12-month disability rate was 16.6 % (95 %CI: 16.2 %-17.0 %) for stroke survivors, ranging from 11.1 % (9.3 %-12.8 %) for SAH to 29.2 % (27.9 %-30.4 %) for ICH. The stroke recurrence rate was 5.7 % (5.5 %-6.0 %) for stroke survivors, ranging from 2.5 % (1.7 %-3.3 %) for SAH to 6.4 % (6.0 %-6.7 %) for IS.

CONCLUSION

Our results support the hypothesis that the prognosis of Chinese stroke patients appears to have improved and is not very bad.

Characteristics and prognosis of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source in China

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We aimed to explore the frequencies, risk factors, and natural history of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) through a national prospective registry in China.

METHODS

Between August 2015 and March 2018, the Third China National Stroke Registry recruited consecutive patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack in China. The baseline characteristics, risks of stroke, and prognosis in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source were described and compared with that in patients with other causative subtypes.

RESULTS

A total of 15,166 transient ischemic attack and ischemic stroke patients were enrolled in the Third China National Stroke Registry. Among 8528 ischemic stroke with standard diagnostic work-up, 2415 (28.3%) patients were diagnosed with embolic stroke of undetermined source. The mean age was 61 years and 70% of them were male. Compared to patients with cardioembolic strokes and small vessel disease, patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source had higher prevalence of nonstenosing large artery atherosclerosis (37.93% vs. 31.26%, P = 0.008 and 37.93% vs. 34.40%, P = 0.044 respectively). The cumulative probability of stroke recurrence in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source at three months and one year was 5.59% and 8.74%. Compared with embolic stroke of undetermined source patients (0.70% and 1.99%), patients with the large artery atherosclerosis and cardioembolic strokes had higher cumulative probability of death at three months (1.94% and 3.22%) and one year (4.17% and 7.39%).

CONCLUSIONS

Embolic stroke of undetermined source is a common cause of ischemic stroke in Chinese population with a higher stroke recurrence than previously reported. It was more likely to have nonstenosing large artery atherosclerosis in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source than with cardioembolic strokes and small vessel disease.

Assessment of Trends in Guideline-Based Oral Anticoagulant Prescription for Patients With Ischemic Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation in China

IMPORTANCE

Adherence to oral anticoagulants (OACs) per guideline recommendations is crucial in reducing ischemic stroke and systemic thromboembolism in high-risk patients with ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation. However, data on OAC use are underreported in China.

OBJECTIVE

To assess adherence to the Chinese Stroke Association or the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association's clinical management guideline-recommended prescription of OACs, the temporal improvement in adherence, and the risk factors associated with OAC prescriptions.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This quality improvement study was conducted at 1430 participating hospitals in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA) among patients with ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation enrolled in the CSCA between August 1, 2015, and July 31, 2019.

EXPOSURE

Calendar year.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Adherence to the Chinese Stroke Association or the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association's clinical management guideline-recommended prescribing of OACs (warfarin and non-vitamin K OACs, including dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban) at discharge.

RESULTS

Among 35 767 patients (18 785 women [52.5%]; mean [SD] age, 75.5 [9.2] years) with previous atrial fibrillation at admission, the median CHA2DS2-VASc (cardiac failure or dysfunction, hypertension, age 65-74 [1 point] or ≥75 years [2 points], diabetes, and stroke, transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism [2 points]-vascular disease, and sex category [female]) score was 4.0 (interquartile range, 3.0-5.0); 6303 (17.6%) were taking OACs prior to hospitalization for stroke, a rate that increased from 14.3% (20 of 140) in the third quarter of 2015 to 21.1% (118 of 560) in the third quarter of 2019 (P < .001 for trend). Of 49 531 eligible patients (26 028 men [52.5%]; mean [SD] age, 73.4 [10.4] years), 20 390 (41.2%) had an OAC prescription at discharge, an increase from 23.2% (36 of 155) in the third quarter of 2015 to 47.1% (403 of 856) in the third quarter of 2019 (P < .001 for trend). Warfarin was the most commonly prescribed OAC (11 956 [24.2%]) and had the largest temporal increase (from 5.8% [9 of 155] to 20.7% [177 of 856]). Older age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] per 5 year increase, 0.89;95% CI, 0.89-0.90), lower levels of education (aOR for below elementary school, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.95 ), lower income (aOR for ≤¥1000 [$154], 0.66; 95% CI, 0.59-0.73), having new rural cooperative medical scheme insurance (aOR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87-0.96), prior antiplatelet use (aOR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.66-0.74), having several cardiovascular comorbid conditions (including stroke or transient ischemic attack [aOR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75-0.82], hypertension [aOR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.80-0.89], diabetes [aOR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.83-0.99], dyslipidemia [aOR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.80-0.94], carotid stenosis [aOR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-0.98], and peripheral vascular disease [aOR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.71-0.90]), and admission to secondary hospitals (aOR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.68-0.74) or hospitals located in the central region of China (aOR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.75-0.84) were associated with not being prescribed an OAC at discharge.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This quality improvement study suggests that, despite significant improvement over time, OAC prescriptions remained low. Efforts to increase OAC prescriptions, especially non-vitamin K OACs, are needed for vulnerable subgroups by age, socioeconomic status, and presence of comorbid conditions.

Non-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Acute Ischemic Stroke

[Figure: see text].

An Analysis of the Potential Relationship of Triglyceride Glucose and Body Mass Index With Stroke Prognosis

Background: The inverse association between obesity and outcome in stroke patients (known as the obesity paradox) has been widely reported, yet mechanistic details explaining the paradox are limited. The triglyceride glucose (TYG) index has been proposed as a marker of insulin resistance. We sought to explore possible associations of the TYG index, body mass index (BMI), and stroke outcome. Methods: We identified 12,964 ischemic stroke patients without a history of diabetes mellitus from the China National Stroke Registry and classified patients as either low/normal weight, defined as a BMI <25 kg/m², or overweight/obese, defined as a BMI ≥ 25 kg/m². We calculated TYG index and based on which the patients were divided into four groups. A Cox or logistic regression model was used to evaluate the association between BMI and TYG index and its influence on stroke outcomes, including stroke recurrence all-cause mortality and poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6) at 12 months. Results: Among the patients, 63.3% were male, and 36.7% were female, and the mean age of the patient cohort was 64.8 years old. The median TYG index was 8.62 (interquartile range, 8.25-9.05). After adjusting for multiple potential covariates, the all-cause mortality of overweight/obese patients was significantly lower than that of the low/normal weight patients (6.17 vs. 9.32%; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.847; 95% CI 0.732-0.981). The difference in mortality in overweight/obese and low/normal weight patients with ischemic stroke was not associated with TYG index, and no association between BMI and TYG index was found. Conclusion: Overweight/obese patients with ischemic stroke have better survival than patients with low/normal weight. The association of BMI and stroke outcome is not changed by TYG index.

Management characteristics and prognosis after stroke in China: findings from a large nationwide stroke registry

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

There is limited nationwide evidence about the standard management characteristics of stroke types and prognosis in China. This study aimed to assess clinical characteristics, in-hospital and after-discharge management characteristics and prognosis for stroke types in China.

METHODS

A nationwide registry recruited 14 244 imaging-confirmed first-ever incident strokes from 132 hospitals across 31 provinces of China during 2007-2008, recording presenting characteristics, diagnostic procedures and in-hospital treatment. After hospital discharge, patients were followed up for 6 months. Conventional statistical methods were used to examine the patterns of management and prognosis.

RESULTS

Overall, 68.7%, 26.9% and 4.4% were ischaemic stroke (IS), intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH), respectively. Only 20% were managed in a dedicated stroke unit. Among IS, 1.3% received thrombolysis within 3 hours after symptom onset, whereas the proportions of receiving in-hospital antiplatelet therapy, neuroprotective agents and traditional Chinese medicines (TCM) were 88.4%, 69.7% and 70.6%, respectively. For ICH, 63.3% and 36.3% received neuroprotective agents and TCM in hospital, respectively. At discharge, 70.7% and 38.0% of the patients with IS were given antiplatelet and statin therapies, respectively, decreasing to 64.8% and 23.9%, respectively, at 6 months. In-hospital mortality was 3.2%, 9.3% and 10.1% for IS, ICH and SAH, respectively, with a further 8.6%, 18.2% and 22.0%, respectively, died by 6 month. Meanwhile, in-hospital recurrence rate was 2.6%, 1.9% and 7.2% for IS, ICH and SAH, respectively, with a further 8.0%, 5.1% and 7.5%, respectively, recurred by 6 month.

CONCLUSIONS

In China, the mortality rate of stroke is lower than that reported from west populations, though most strokes are not managed in specialised stroke unit. There is widespread use of some unproven therapies but limited proven treatments, especially after discharge, leading to unnecessary recurrent risks.

Secondary prevention medication persistence and prognosis of acute ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack

Introduction

The risk of disability and mortality is high among recurrent stroke, which highlights the importance of secondary prevention measures. We aim to evaluate medication persistence for secondary prevention and the prognosis of acute ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) in China.

Methods

Patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA from the China National Stroke Registry II were divided into 3 groups based on the percentage of persistence in secondary prevention medication classes from discharge to 3 months after onset (level I: persistence=0%, level II: 0%<persistence<100%, level III: persistence=100%). The primary outcome was recurrent stroke. The secondary outcomes included composite events (stroke, myocardial infarction or death from cardiovascular cause), all-cause death and disability (modified Rankin Scale score=3–5) from 3 months to 1 year after onset. Recurrent stroke, composite events and all-cause death were performed using Cox regression model, and disability was identified through logistic regression model using the generalised estimating equation method.

Results

18 344 patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA were included, 315 (1.7%) of whom experienced recurrent strokes. Compared with level I, the adjusted HR of recurrent stroke for level II was 0.41 (95% CI 0.31 to 0.54) and level III 0.37 (0.28 to 0.48); composite events for level II 0.41 (0.32 to 0.53) and level III 0.38 (0.30 to 0.49); all-cause death for level II 0.28 (0.23 to 0.35) and level III 0.20 (0.16–0.24). Compared with level I, the adjusted OR of disability for level II was 0.89 (0.77 to 1.03) and level III 0.82 (0.72 to 0.93).

Conclusions

Persistence in secondary prevention medications, especially in all classes of medications prescribed by the physician, was associated with lower hazard of recurrent stroke, composite events, all-cause death and lower odds of disability in patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA.

Body mass index and clinical outcomes in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage: results from the China Stroke Center Alliance

Background and aim

Obesity paradox has aroused increasing concern in recent years. However, impact of obesity on outcomes in intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate association of body mass index (BMI) with in-hospital mortality, complications and discharge disposition in ICH.

Methods

Data were from 85 705 ICH enrolled in the China Stroke Center Alliance study. Patients were divided into four groups: underweight, normal weight, overweight and obese according to Asian-Pacific criteria. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes included non-routine discharge disposition and in-hospital complications. Discharge to graded II or III hospital, community hospital or rehabilitation facilities was considered non-routine disposition. Multivariable logistic regression analysed association of BMI with outcomes.

Results

82 789 patients with ICH were included in the final analysis. Underweight (OR=2.057, 95% CI 1.193 to 3.550) patients had higher odds of in-hospital mortality than those with normal weight after adjusting for covariates, but no significant difference was observed for patients who were overweight or obese. No significant association was found between BMI and non-disposition. Underweight was associated with increased odds of several complications, including pneumonia (OR 1.343, 95% CI 1.138 to 1.584), poor swallow function (OR 1.351, 95% CI 1.122 to 1.628) and urinary tract infection (OR 1.532, 95% CI 1.064 to 2.204). Moreover, obese patients had higher odds of haematoma expansion (OR 1.326, 95% CI 1.168 to 1.504), deep vein thrombosis (OR 1.506, 95% CI 1.165 to 1.947) and gastrointestinal bleeding (OR 1.257, 95% CI 1.027 to 1.539).

Conclusions

In patients with ICH, being underweight was associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Being underweight and obese can both increased risk of in-hospital complications compared with having normal weight.

Residual Risk and Its Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke with Adherence to Guideline-Based Secondary Stroke Prevention

Background and Purpose

Despite administration of evidence-based therapies, residual risk of stroke recurrence persists. This study aimed to evaluate the residual risk of recurrent stroke in acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) with adherence to guideline-based secondary stroke prevention and identify the risk factors of the residual risk.

Methods

Patients with acute ischemic stroke or TIA within 7 hours were enrolled from 169 hospitals in Third China National Stroke Registry (CNSR-III) in China. Adherence to guideline-based secondary stroke prevention was defined as persistently receiving all of the five secondary prevention medications (antithrombotic, antidiabetic and antihypertensive agents, statin and anticoagulants) during hospitalization, at discharge, at 3, 6, and 12 months if eligible. The primary outcome was a new stroke at 12 months.

Results

Among 9,022 included patients (median age 63.0 years and 31.7% female), 3,146 (34.9%) were identified as adherence to guideline-based secondary prevention. Of all, 864 (9.6%) patients had recurrent stroke at 12 months, and the residual risk in patients with adherence to guidelinebased secondary prevention was 8.3%. Compared with those without adherence, patients with adherence to guideline-based secondary prevention had lower rate of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.74 to 0.99; P=0.04) at 12 months. Female, history of stroke, interleukin-6 ≥5.63 ng/L, and relevant intracranial artery stenosis were independent risk factors of the residual risk.

Conclusions

There was still a substantial residual risk of 12-month recurrent stroke even in patients with persistent adherence to guideline-based secondary stroke prevention. Future research should focus on efforts to reduce the residual risk.

Concurrency of Early-Age Exposure to Chinese Famine and Diabetes Increases Recurrence of Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose: Early age exposure to the Chinese Great Leap Forward famine (1959–1961) is associated with the incidence of risk factors for ischemic stroke. This study aims to examine the relationship between early age famine exposure and 12-month stroke recurrence. We sought to explore the interaction between famine exposure status and metabolic phenotypes on stroke recurrence and how the adherence of crucial evidence-based key performance indicators (KPI) would modify this interaction.

Methods: We analyzed data of patients who were born between 1953 and 1964 in the China National Stroke Registry II (CNSR-II). The study population was further divided into five subgroups for comparing 12-month stroke recurrence. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used in analyzing the impact of the concurrence of metabolic phenotypes—type 2 diabetes (T2D) or metabolic syndrome (MetS)—and early-age famine exposure on recurrent risk. The influence of the adherence to predefined KPI and concurrency of metabolic phenotype was also evaluated.

Results: Concurrent T2D and early age famine exposure was associated with an increased recurrence risk of ischemic stroke with 12 months [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.28–2.07]. Optimal adherence to KPI was not associated with significantly reduced risk of 12-month stroke recurrence (adjusted HR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.51–1.26).

Conclusions: Concurrency of early-age famine exposure and diabetes mellitus was associated with a higher risk of stroke recurrence within 12 months, and adherence to evidence-based KPI did not reduce the risk significantly.

GRP per capita and hospital characteristics associated with intravenous tissue plasminogen activator adherence rate: evidence from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance

Background

Timely delivery of intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IV-rt PA) is pivotal to eligible patients who had a stroke while achieving higher rates of IV-rt PA has been problematic. This paper focuses on investigating influential factors associated with the administration of IV-rt PA, primarily per capita gross regional product (GRP) and healthcare system factors.

Methods

The study included 980 hospitals in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance where 158 003 patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke received IV-rt PA between August 2015 and August 2019. The adherence rate to IV-rt PA within 4.5 hours time window in each hospital was the primary outcome. Influential factors were grouped into two categories: macroeconomic status and hospital characteristics. The outcome was analysed using multivariable linear regression.

Results

GRP per capita (β=2.37, p<0.001), hospital stroke centre certification (β=3.77, p<0.001), number of neurologists (β=0.12, p<0.001), existence of emergency services for neurological treatment (β=7.43, p=0.014), presence of emergency department (β=10.03, p=0.019) and cooperating with emergency centre (β=4.65, p=0.029) were significantly positively associated with the adherence rate to IV-rt PA.

Conclusions

Higher GRP per capita, affluent neurological personnel, well-equipped emergency services for neurological treatment and routine cooperation with the emergency centre were important for enhancing the adherence rate to IV-rt PA among patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke in China.