Evaluating Molecular Biomarkers for the Early Detection of Lung Cancer: When Is a Biomarker Ready for Clinical Use? An Official American Thoracic Society Policy Statement

Pulmonary nodules and the psychological harm they can cause: A scoping review

More than 1.6 million pulmonary nodules are diagnosed in the United States each year. Although the majority of nodules are found to be benign, nodule detection and the process of ruling out malignancy can cause patients psychological harm to varying degrees. The present study undertakes a scoping review of the literature investigating pulmonary nodule-related psychological harm as a primary or secondary outcome. Online databases were systematically searched to identify papers published through June 30, 2023, from which 19 publications were reviewed. We examined prevalence by type, measurement, associated factors, and behavioral or clinical consequences. Of the 19 studies reviewed, 11 studies investigated distress, anxiety (n = 6), and anxiety and depression (n = 4). Prevalence of distress was 24.0 %-56.7 %; anxiety 9.9 %-42.1 %, and 14.6 %-27.0 % for depression. A wide range of demographic and social characteristics and clinical factors were associated with nodule-related psychological harm. Outcomes of nodule-related harms included experiencing conflict when deciding about treatment or surveillance, decreased adherence to surveillance, adoption of more aggressive treatment, and lower health-related quality of life. Our scoping review demonstrates that nodule-related psychological harm is common. Findings provide evidence that nodule-related psychological harm can influence clinical decisions and adherence to treatment recommendations. Future research should focus on discerning between nodule-related distress and anxiety; identifying patients at risk; ascertaining the extent of psychological harm on patient behavior and clinical decisions; and developing interventions to assist patients in managing psychological harm for better health-related quality of life and treatment outcomes.

A Nasal Swab Classifier to Evaluate the Probability of Lung Cancer in Patients With Pulmonary Nodules

BACKGROUND

Accurate assessment of the probability of lung cancer (pCA) is critical in patients with pulmonary nodules (PNs) to help guide decision-making. We sought to validate a clinical-genomic classifier developed using whole-transcriptome sequencing of nasal epithelial cells from patients with a PN ≤ 30 mm who smoke or have previously smoked.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can the pCA in individuals with a PN and a history of smoking be predicted by a classifier that uses clinical factors and genomic data from nasal epithelial cells obtained by cytologic brushing?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Machine learning was used to train a classifier using genomic and clinical features on 1,120 patients with PNs labeled as benign or malignant established by a final diagnosis or a minimum of 12 months of radiographic surveillance. The classifier was designed to yield low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories. The classifier was validated in an independent set of 312 patients, including 63 patients with a prior history of cancer (other than lung cancer), comparing the classifier prediction with the known clinical outcome.

RESULTS

In the primary validation set, sensitivity and specificity for low-risk classification were 96% and 42%, whereas sensitivity and specificity for high-risk classification was 58% and 90%, respectively. Sensitivity was similar across stages of non-small cell lung cancer, independent of subtype. Performance compared favorably with clinical-only risk models. Analysis of 63 patients with prior cancer showed similar performance as did subanalyses of patients with light vs heavy smoking burden and those eligible for lung cancer screening vs those who were not.

INTERPRETATION

The nasal classifier provides an accurate assessment of pCA in individuals with a PN ≤ 30 mm who smoke or have previously smoked. Classifier-guided decision-making could lead to fewer diagnostic procedures in patients without cancer and more timely treatment in patients with lung cancer.

Identification of biomarkers for the early detection of non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Lung cancer (LC) causes few symptoms in the earliest stages, leading to one of the highest mortality rates among cancers. Low-dose computerised tomography (LDCT) is used to screen high-risk individuals, reducing the mortality rate by 20%. However, LDCT results in a high number of false positives and is associated with unnecessary follow-up and cost. Biomarkers with high sensitivities and specificities could assist in the early detection of LC, especially in patients with high-risk features. Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cytokeratin 19 fragments and cancer antigen 125 have been found to be highly expressed during the later stages of LC but have low sensitivity in the earliest stages. We determined the best biomarkers for the early diagnosis of LC, using a systematic review of eight databases. We identified 98 articles that focussed on the identification and assessment of diagnostic biomarkers and achieved a pooled area under curve of 0.85 (95% CI 0.82-0.088), indicating that the diagnostic performance of these biomarkers when combined was excellent. Of the studies, 30 focussed on single/antigen panels, 22 on autoantibodies, 31 on miRNA and RNA panels, and 15 suggested the use of circulating DNA combined with CEA or neuron-specific enolase (NSE) for early LC detection. Verification of blood biomarkers with high sensitivities (Ciz1, exoGCC2, ITGA2B), high specificities (CYFR21-1, antiHE4, OPNV) or both (HSP90α, CEA) along with miR-15b and miR-27b/miR-21 from sputum may improve early LC detection. Further assessment is needed using appropriate sample sizes, control groups that include patients with non-malignant conditions, and standardised cut-off levels for each biomarker.

Systems Biology in Cancer Diagnosis Integrating Omics Technologies and Artificial Intelligence to Support Physician Decision Making

Cancer is the second major cause of disease-related death worldwide, and its accurate early diagnosis and therapeutic intervention are fundamental for saving the patient's life. Cancer, as a complex and heterogeneous disorder, results from the disruption and alteration of a wide variety of biological entities, including genes, proteins, mRNAs, miRNAs, and metabolites, that eventually emerge as clinical symptoms. Traditionally, diagnosis is based on clinical examination, blood tests for biomarkers, the histopathology of a biopsy, and imaging (MRI, CT, PET, and US). Additionally, omics biotechnologies help to further characterize the genome, metabolome, microbiome traits of the patient that could have an impact on the prognosis and patient's response to the therapy. The integration of all these data relies on gathering of several experts and may require considerable time, and, unfortunately, it is not without the risk of error in the interpretation and therefore in the decision. Systems biology algorithms exploit Artificial Intelligence (AI) combined with omics technologies to perform a rapid and accurate analysis and integration of patient's big data, and support the physician in making diagnosis and tailoring the most appropriate therapeutic intervention. However, AI is not free from possible diagnostic and prognostic errors in the interpretation of images or biochemical-clinical data. Here, we first describe the methods used by systems biology for combining AI with omics and then discuss the potential, challenges, limitations, and critical issues in using AI in cancer research.

Prevalence of oncogenic driver mutations in Hispanics/Latin patients with lung cancer. A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The frequency of actionable mutations varies between races, and Hispanic/Latino (H/L) people are a population with different proportions of ancestry. Our purpose was to establish prevalence of actionable mutations in the H/L population with NSCLC.

METHODS

EMBASE, LILACS, MEDLINE, and Virtual Health Library were searched for studies published up to April 2023 that evaluated the prevalence of ALK, BRAF, EGFR, HER-2, KRAS, MET, NTRK, RET, ROS1 in H/L patients. Meta-analyses were done to determine prevalence using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Fifty-five articles were included. EGFR and KRAS were the most prevalent genes with high heterogeneity across the countries. The overall mutation frequency for EGFR was 22%. The most frequent mutations in the EGFR gene were del19 (10%) and L858R (7%). The mean of KRAS mutation was a 14% prevalence. KRASG12C was the most frequent mutation with a 7% prevalence in an entire population. The overall frequency of ALK rearrangement was 5%. The mean frequency of ROS-1 rearrangement was 2%, and the frequencies of HER-2, MET, BRAF, RET, NTRK molecular alterations were 4%, 3%, 2%, 2%, and 1% respectively. Almost half of the cases were male, and 65.8% had a history of tobacco exposure. The most common clinical stage was IV.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of driver mutations such as EGFR and KRAS in LA populations differs from what is reported in Asians and Europeans. In the present article, countries with a high proportion of Amerindian ancestry show a greater prevalence of EGFR in contrast to countries with a high proportion of Caucasians. Lack of information on some countries or studies with a small sample size affects the real prevalence data for the region.

Therapeutic effects of medicinal plants and their constituents on lung cancer, in vitro, in vivo and clinical evidence

The most common type of cancer in the world is lung cancer. Traditional treatments have an important role in cancer therapy. In the present review, the most recent findings on the effects of medicinal plants and their constituents or natural products (NP) in treating lung cancer are discussed. Empirical studies until the end of March 2022 were searched using the appropriate keywords through the databases PubMed, Science Direct and Scopus. The extracts and essential oils tested were all shown to effect lung cancer by several mechanisms including decreased tumour weight and volume, cell viability and modulation of cytokine. Some plant constituents increased expression of apoptotic proteins, the proportion of cells in the G2/M phase and subG0/G1 phase, and Cyt c levels. Also, natural products (NP) activate apoptotic pathways in lung cancer cell including p-JNK, Akt/mTOR, PI3/ AKT\ and Bax, Bcl2, but suppressed AXL phosphorylation. Plant-derived substances altered the cell morphology, reduced cell migration and metastasis, oxidative marker production, p-eIF2α and GRP78, IgG, IgM levels and reduced leukocyte counts, LDH, GGT, 5'NT and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Therefore, medicinal plant extracts and their constituents could have promising therapeutic value for lung cancer, especially if used in combination with ordinary anti-cancer drugs.

Update on Biomarkers for the Stratification of Indeterminate Pulmonary Nodules

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths. Early detection and diagnosis are critical, as survival decreases with advanced stages. Approximately 1.6 million nodules are incidentally detected every year on chest CT scan images in the United States. This number of nodules identified is likely much larger after accounting for screening-detected nodules. Most of these nodules, whether incidentally or screening detected, are benign. Despite this, many patients undergo unnecessary invasive procedures to rule out cancer because our current stratification approaches are suboptimal, particularly for intermediate probability nodules. Thus, noninvasive strategies are urgently needed. Biomarkers have been developed to assist through the continuum of lung cancer care and include blood protein-based biomarkers, liquid biopsies, quantitative imaging analysis (radiomics), exhaled volatile organic compounds, and bronchial or nasal epithelium genomic classifiers, among others. Although many biomarkers have been developed, few have been integrated into clinical practice as they lack clinical utility studies showing improved patient-centered outcomes. Rapid technologic advances and large network collaborative efforts will continue to drive the discovery and validation of many novel biomarkers. Ultimately, however, randomized clinical utility studies showing improved patient outcomes will be required to bring biomarkers into clinical practice.

Improving lung cancer diagnosis with cancer, fungal, and imaging biomarkers

OBJECTIVE

Indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) represent a significant diagnostic burden in health care. We aimed to compare a combination clinical prediction model (Mayo Clinic model), fungal (histoplasmosis serology), imaging (computed tomography [CT] radiomics), and cancer (high-sensitivity cytokeratin fraction 21; hsCYFRA 21-1) biomarker approach to a validated prediction model in diagnosing lung cancer.

METHODS

A prospective specimen collection, retrospective blinded evaluation study was performed in 3 independent cohorts with 6- to 30-mm IPNs (n = 281). Serum histoplasmosis immunoglobulin G and immunoglobulin M antibodies and hsCYFRA 21-1 levels were measured and a validated CT radiomic score was calculated. Multivariable logistic regression models were estimated with Mayo Clinic model variables, histoplasmosis antibody levels, CT radiomic score, and hsCYFRA 21-1. Diagnostic performance of the combination model was compared with that of the Mayo Clinic model. Bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index (cNRI) was used to estimate the clinical utility of a combination biomarker approach.

RESULTS

A total of 281 patients were included (111 from a histoplasmosis-endemic region). The combination biomarker model including the Mayo Clinic model score, histoplasmosis antibody levels, radiomics, and hsCYFRA 21-1 level showed improved diagnostic accuracy for IPNs compared with the Mayo Clinic model alone with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76-0.84) versus 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.78). Use of this combination model correctly reclassified intermediate risk IPNs into low- or high-risk category (cNRI benign = 0.11 and cNRI malignant = 0.16).

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of cancer, fungal, and imaging biomarkers improves the diagnostic accuracy for IPNs. Integrating a combination biomarker approach into the diagnostic algorithm of IPNs might decrease unnecessary invasive testing of benign nodules and reduce time to diagnosis for cancer.

Impact of an integrated classifier using biomarkers, clinical and imaging factors on clinical decisions making for lung nodules

BACKGROUND

An integrated classifier that utilizes plasma proteomic biomarker along with five clinical and imaging factors was previously shown to be potentially useful in lung nodule evaluation. This study evaluated the impact of the integrated proteomic classifier on management decisions in patients with a pretest probability of cancer (pCA) ≤50% in "real-world" clinical setting.

METHODS

Retrospective study examining patients with lung nodules who were evaluated using the integrated classifier as compared to standard clinical care during the same period, with at least 1-year follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 995 patients were evaluated for lung nodules over 1 year following the implementation of the integrated classifier with 17.3% prevalence of lung cancer. 231 patients met the study eligibility criteria; 102 (44.2%) were tested with the integrated classifier, while 129 (55.8%) did not. The median number of chest imaging studies was 2 [interquartile range (IQR), 1-2] in the integrated classifier arm and 2 [IQR, 1-3] in the non-integrated classifier arm (P=0.09). The median outpatient clinic visit was 2.00 (IQR, 1.00-3.00) in the integrated classifier arm and 2.00 (IQR, 2.00-3.00) in the non-integrated classifier (P=0.004). Fewer invasive procedures were pursued in the integrated classifier arm as compared to non-integrated classifier respectively (26.5% vs. 79.1%, P<0.001). All patients in the integrated classifier arm with post-pCA (likely benign n=39) had designated benign diagnosis at 1-year follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with lung nodules with a pCA ≤50%, use of the integrated classifier was associated with fewer invasive procedures and clinic visits without misclassifying patients with likely benign lung nodules results at 1-year follow-up.

Assessing a biomarker's ability to reduce invasive procedures in patients with benign lung nodules: Results from the ORACLE study

A blood-based integrated classifier (IC) has been clinically validated to improve accuracy in assessing probability of cancer risk (pCA) for pulmonary nodules (PN). This study evaluated the clinical utility of this biomarker for its ability to reduce invasive procedures in patients with pre-test pCA ≤ 50%. This was a propensity score matching (PSM) cohort study comparing patients in the ORACLE prospective, multicenter, observational registry to control patients treated with usual care. This study enrolled patients meeting the intended use criteria for IC testing: pCA ≤ 50%, age ≥40 years, nodule diameter 8-30 mm, and no history of lung cancer and/or active cancer (except for non-melanomatous skin cancer) within 5 years. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate invasive procedure use on benign PNs of registry patients as compared to control patients. A total of 280 IC tested, and 278 control patients met eligibility and analysis criteria and 197 were in each group after PSM (IC and control groups). Patients in the IC group were 74% less likely to undergo an invasive procedure as compared to the control group (absolute difference 14%, p <0.001) indicating that for every 7 patients tested, one unnecessary invasive procedure was avoided. Invasive procedure reduction corresponded to a reduction in risk classification, with 71 patients (36%) in the IC group classified as low risk (pCA < 5%). The proportion of IC group patients with malignant PNs sent to surveillance were not statistically different than the control group, 7.5% vs 3.5% for the IC vs. control groups, respectively (absolute difference 3.91%, p 0.075). The IC for patients with a newly discovered PN has demonstrated valuable clinical utility in a real-world setting. Use of this biomarker can change physicians' practice and reduce invasive procedures in patients with benign pulmonary nodules. Trial registration: Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03766958.

The MAGE A1-A10 Expression associated with Histopathological Findings of Malignant or Non-Malignant Cells in Peripheral Lung Tumors

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to evaluate the expression of melanoma antigen (MAGE) A from A1 to 10 (A1-10) and the individual MAGE A family in the peripheral lung tumors and to analyze its association with histopathological findings.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted on 67 samples of peripheral lung tumor obtained by core biopsies from patients with clinical diagnoses such as lung and mediastinal tumors. The specimens were divided into two, one to perform histopathological diagnosis and the last for mRNA MAGE A examination. A Nested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was performed using universal primer, MF10/MR10 and MF10/MR12. The collected data were analyzed by appropriate statistical techniques.

RESULT

The histopathological finding showed 41 (61.2 %) of specimens as malignant cells and 26 (38.8 %) of specimens as non-malignant cells. MAGE A1-10 was expressed at 47 (70.1 %) and MAGE A1-6 was expressed at 25 (37.3 %) of specimens. In a malignant cell, MAGE A1-10 and MAGE A1-6 were expressed at 33 (80.5 %) and 19 (46.3 %), respectively. In non-malignant cells, MAGE A1-10 and MAGE A1-6 were expressed at 14 (53.9 %) and 6 (23.1 %,) respectively. The MAGE A1-10 and MAGE A8 expressions were significantly associated with histopathological findings of malignant or non-malignant cells. The sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy of MAGE A1-10 were 80.5 %, 46.2 %, and 67.2 %, respectively; while for MAGE A8 were 41.5 %, 88.5 %, and 59.7 %, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The MAGE A1-10 expression was the most commonly detected and associated with the histopathological finding. Moreover, it was more sensitive and specific and had higher diagnostic accuracy than others. Therefore, the MAGE A1-10 assay may improve the accuracy of the diagnosis of malignancy in peripheral lung tumors.

Early detection and stratification of lung cancer aided by a cost-effective assay targeting circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) methylation

BACKGROUND

Detection of lung cancer at earlier stage can greatly improve patient survival. We aim to develop, validate, and implement a cost-effective ctDNA-methylation-based plasma test to aid lung cancer early detection.

METHODS

Case-control studies were designed to select the most relevant markers to lung cancer. Patients with lung cancer or benign lung disease and healthy individuals were recruited from different clinical centers. A multi-locus qPCR assay, LunaCAM, was developed for lung cancer alertness by ctDNA methylation. Two LunaCAM models were built for screening (-S) or diagnostic aid (-D) to favor sensitivity or specificity, respectively. The performance of the models was validated for different intended uses in clinics.

RESULTS

Profiling DNA methylation on 429 plasma samples including 209 lung cancer, 123 benign diseases and 97 healthy participants identified the top markers that detected lung cancer from benign diseases and healthy with an AUC of 0.85 and 0.95, respectively. The most effective methylation markers were verified individually in 40 tissues and 169 plasma samples to develop LunaCAM assay. Two models corresponding to different intended uses were trained with 513 plasma samples, and validated with an independent collection of 172 plasma samples. In validation, LunaCAM-S model achieved an AUC of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.88-0.94) between lung cancer and healthy individuals, whereas LunaCAM-D model stratified lung cancer from benign pulmonary diseases with an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78-0.86). When implemented sequentially in the validation set, LunaCAM-S enables to identify 58 patients of lung cancer (90.6% sensitivity), followed by LunaCAM-D to remove 20 patients with no evidence of cancer (83.3% specificity). LunaCAM-D significantly outperformed the blood test of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and the combined model can further improve the predictive power for lung cancer to an overall AUC of 0.86.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed two different models by ctDNA methylation assay to sensitively detect early-stage lung cancer or specifically classify lung benign diseases. Implemented at different clinical settings, LunaCAM models has a potential to provide a facile and inexpensive avenue for early screening and diagnostic aids for lung cancer.

Multi-omics integrated circulating cell-free DNA genomic signatures enhanced the diagnostic performance of early-stage lung cancer and postoperative minimal residual disease

BACKGROUND

Liquid biopsy is a promising non-invasive alternative for cancer screening and minimal residual disease (MRD) detection, although there are some concerns regarding its clinical applications. We aimed to develop an accurate detection platform based on liquid biopsy for both cancer screening and MRD detection in patients with lung cancer (LC), which is also applicable to clinical use.

METHODS

We applied a modified whole-genome sequencing (WGS) -based High-performance Infrastructure For MultIomics (HIFI) method for LC screening and postoperative MRD detection by combining the hyper-co-methylated read approach and the circulating single-molecule amplification and resequencing technology (cSMART2.0).

FINDINGS

For early screening of LC, the LC score model was constructed using the support vector machine, which showed sensitivity (51.8%) at high specificity (96.3%) and achieved an AUC of 0.912 in the validation set prospectively enrolled from multiple centers. The screening model achieved detection efficiency with an AUC of 0.906 in patients with lung adenocarcinoma and outperformed other clinical models in solid nodule cohort. When applied the HIFI model to real social population, a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.92% was achieved in Chinese population. Additionally, the MRD detection rate improved significantly by combining results from WGS and cSMART2.0, with sensitivity of 73.7% at specificity of 97.3%.

INTERPRETATION

In conclusion, the HIFI method is promising for diagnosis and postoperative monitoring of LC.

FUNDING

This study was supported by CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Beijing Natural Science Foundation and Peking University People's Hospital.

Initial development and testing of an exhaled microRNA detection strategy for lung cancer case-control discrimination

For detecting field carcinogenesis non-invasively, early technical development and case-control testing of exhaled breath condensate microRNAs was performed. In design, human lung tissue microRNA-seq discovery was reconciled with TCGA and published tumor-discriminant microRNAs, yielding a panel of 24 upregulated microRNAs. The airway origin of exhaled microRNAs was topographically "fingerprinted", using paired EBC, upper and lower airway donor sample sets. A clinic-based case-control study (166 NSCLC cases, 185 controls) was interrogated with the microRNA panel by qualitative RT-PCR. Data were analyzed by logistic regression (LR), and by random-forest (RF) models. Feasibility testing of exhaled microRNA detection, including optimized whole EBC extraction, and RT and qualitative PCR method evaluation, was performed. For sensitivity in this low template setting, intercalating dye-based URT-PCR was superior to fluorescent probe-based PCR (TaqMan). In application, adjusted logistic regression models identified exhaled miR-21, 33b, 212 as overall case-control discriminant. RF analysis of combined clinical + microRNA models showed modest added discrimination capacity (1.1-2.5%) beyond clinical models alone: all subjects 1.1% (p = 8.7e-04)); former smokers 2.5% (p = 3.6e-05); early stage 1.2% (p = 9.0e-03), yielding combined ROC AUC ranging from 0.74 to 0.83. We conclude that exhaled microRNAs are qualitatively measureable, reflect in part lower airway signatures; and when further refined/quantitated, can potentially help to improve lung cancer risk assessment.

Development and Validation of a Risk Assessment Model for Pulmonary Nodules Using Plasma Proteins and Clinical Factors

BACKGROUND

Deficiencies in risk assessment for patients with pulmonary nodules (PNs) contribute to unnecessary invasive testing and delays in diagnosis.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the accuracy of a novel PN risk model that includes plasma proteins and clinical factors? How does the accuracy compare with that of an established risk model?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Based on technology using magnetic nanosensors, assays were developed with seven plasma proteins. In a training cohort (n = 429), machine learning approaches were used to identify an optimal algorithm that subsequently was evaluated in a validation cohort (n = 489), and its performance was compared with the Mayo Clinic model.

RESULTS

In the training set, we identified a support vector machine algorithm that included the seven plasma proteins and six clinical factors that demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 and met other selection criteria. The resulting risk reclassification model (RRM) was used to recategorize patients with a pretest risk of between 10% and 84%, and its performance was assessed across five risk strata (low, ≤ 10%; moderate, 10%-34%; intermediate, 35%-70%; high, 71%-84%; very high, > 85%). Stratification by the RRM decreased the proportion of intermediate-risk patients from 26.7% to 10.8% (P < .001) and increased the low-risk and high-risk strata from 16.8% to 21.9% (P < .001) and from 3.7% to 12.1% (P < .001), respectively. Among patients classified as low risk by the RRM and Mayo Clinic model, the corresponding true-negative to false-negative ratios were 16.8 and 19.5, respectively. Among patients classified as very high risk by the RRM and Mayo Clinic model, the corresponding true-positive to false-positive ratios were 28.5 and 17.0, respectively. Compared with the Mayo Clinic model, the RRM provided higher specificity at the low-risk threshold and higher sensitivity at the very high-risk threshold.

INTERPRETATION

The RRM accurately reclassified some patients into low-risk and very high-risk categories, suggesting the potential to improve PN risk assessment.

Biomarkers in Lung Cancer Screening: a Narrative Review

Although when used as a lung cancer screening tool low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) has demonstrated a significant reduction in lung cancer related mortality, it is not without pitfalls. The associated high false positive rate, inability to distinguish between benign and malignant nodules, cumulative radiation exposure, and resulting patient anxiety have all demonstrated the need for adjunctive testing in lung cancer screening. Current research focuses on developing liquid biomarkers to complement imaging as non-invasive lung cancer diagnostics. Biomarkers can be useful for both the early detection and diagnosis of disease, thereby decreasing the number of unnecessary radiologic tests performed. Biomarkers can stratify cancer risk to further enrich the screening population and augment existing risk prediction. Finally, biomarkers can be used to distinguish benign from malignant nodules in lung cancer screening. While many biomarkers require further validation studies, several, including autoantibodies and blood protein profiling, are available for clinical use. This paper describes the need for biomarkers as a lung cancer screening tool, both in terms of diagnosis and risk assessment. Additionally, this paper will discuss the goals of biomarker use, describe properties of a good biomarker, and review several of the most promising biomarkers currently being studied including autoantibodies, complement fragments, microRNA, blood proteins, circulating tumor DNA, and DNA methylation. Finally, we will describe future directions in the field of biomarker development.

Immunogenomic Biomarkers and Validation in Lynch Syndrome

Lynch syndrome (LS) is an inherited disorder in which affected individuals have a significantly higher-than-average risk of developing colorectal and non-colorectal cancers, often before the age of 50 years. In LS, mutations in DNA repair genes lead to a dysfunctional post-replication repair system. As a result, the unrepaired errors in coding regions of the genome produce novel proteins, called neoantigens. Neoantigens are recognised by the immune system as foreign and trigger an immune response. Due to the invasive nature of cancer screening tests, universal cancer screening guidelines unique for LS (primarily colonoscopy) are poorly adhered to by LS variant heterozygotes (LSVH). Currently, it is unclear whether immunogenomic components produced as a result of neoantigen formation can be used as novel biomarkers in LS. We hypothesise that: (i) LSVH produce measurable and dynamic immunogenomic components in blood, and (ii) these quantifiable immunogenomic components correlate with cancer onset and stage. Here, we discuss the feasibility to: (a) identify personalised novel immunogenomic biomarkers and (b) validate these biomarkers in various clinical scenarios in LSVH.

SCLC: Epidemiology, Risk Factors, Genetic Susceptibility, Molecular Pathology, Screening, and Early Detection

We review research regarding the epidemiology, risk factors, genetic susceptibility, molecular pathology, and early detection of SCLC, a deadly tumor that accounts for 14% of lung cancers. We first summarize the changing incidences of SCLC globally and in the United States among males and females. We then review the established risk factor (i.e., tobacco smoking) and suspected nonsmoking-related risk factors for SCLC, and emphasize the importance of continued effort in tobacco control worldwide. Review of genetic susceptibility and molecular pathology suggests different molecular pathways in SCLC development compared with other types of lung cancer. Last, we comment on the limited utility of low-dose computed tomography screening in SCLC and on several promising blood-based molecular biomarkers as potential tools in SCLC early detection.

Detection of early-stage lung cancer in sputum using automated flow cytometry and machine learning

BACKGROUND

Low-dose spiral computed tomography (LDCT) may not lead to a clear treatment path when small to intermediate-sized lung nodules are identified. We have combined flow cytometry and machine learning to develop a sputum-based test (CyPath Lung) that can assist physicians in decision-making in such cases.

METHODS

Single cell suspensions prepared from induced sputum samples collected over three consecutive days were labeled with a viability dye to exclude dead cells, antibodies to distinguish cell types, and a porphyrin to label cancer-associated cells. The labeled cell suspension was run on a flow cytometer and the data collected. An analysis pipeline combining automated flow cytometry data processing with machine learning was developed to distinguish cancer from non-cancer samples from 150 patients at high risk of whom 28 had lung cancer. Flow data and patient features were evaluated to identify predictors of lung cancer. Random training and test sets were chosen to evaluate predictive variables iteratively until a robust model was identified. The final model was tested on a second, independent group of 32 samples, including six samples from patients diagnosed with lung cancer.

RESULTS

Automated analysis combined with machine learning resulted in a predictive model that achieved an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.89 (95% CI 0.83-0.89). The sensitivity and specificity were 82% and 88%, respectively, and the negative and positive predictive values 96% and 61%, respectively. Importantly, the test was 92% sensitive and 87% specific in cases when nodules were < 20 mm (AUC of 0.94; 95% CI 0.89-0.99). Testing of the model on an independent second set of samples showed an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI 0.71-0.98) with an 83% sensitivity, 77% specificity, 95% negative predictive value and 45% positive predictive value. The model is robust to differences in sample processing and disease state.

CONCLUSION

CyPath Lung correctly classifies samples as cancer or non-cancer with high accuracy, including from participants at different disease stages and with nodules < 20 mm in diameter. This test is intended for use after lung cancer screening to improve early-stage lung cancer diagnosis. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT03457415; March 7, 2018.

Comparing modalities for risk assessment in patients with pulmonary lesions and nondiagnostic bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Bronchoscopy is commonly utilized for non-surgical sampling of indeterminant pulmonary lesions, but nondiagnostic procedures are common. Accurate assessment of the risk of malignancy is essential for decision making in these patients, yet we lack tools that perform well across this heterogeneous group of patients. We sought to evaluate the accuracy of three previously validated risk models and physician-assessed risk (PAR) in patients with a newly identified lung lesion undergoing bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer where the result is nondiagnostic.

METHODS

We performed an analysis of prospective data collected for the Percepta Bronchial Genomic Classifier Multicenter Registry. PAR and three previously validated risk models (Mayo Clinic, Veteran's Affairs, and Brock) were used to determine the probability of lung cancer (low, intermediate, or high) in 375 patients with pulmonary lesions who underwent bronchoscopy for possible lung cancer with nondiagnostic pathology. Results were compared to the actual adjudicated prevalence of malignancy in each pre-test risk group, determined with a minimum of 12 months follow up after bronchoscopy.

RESULTS

PAR and the risk models performed poorly overall in the assessment of risk in this patient population. PAR most closely matched the observed prevalence of malignancy in patients at 12 months after bronchoscopy, but all modalities had a low area under the curve, and in all clinical models more than half of all the lesions labeled as high risk were truly or likely benign. The studied risk model calculators overestimate the risk of malignancy compared to PAR, particularly in the subset in older patients, irregularly bordered nodules, and masses > 3 cm. Overall, the risk models perform only slightly better when confined to lung nodules < 3 cm in this population.

CONCLUSION

The currently available tools for the assessment of risk of malignancy perform suboptimally in patients with nondiagnostic findings following a bronchoscopic evaluation for lung cancer. More accurate and objective tools for risk assessment are needed.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

not applicable.

Assay Performance of a Label-Free, Solution-Phase CYFRA 21-1 Determination

CYFRA 21.1, a cytokeratin fragment of epithelial origin, has long been a valuable blood-based biomarker. As with most biomarkers, the clinical diagnostic value of CYFRA 21.1 is dependent on the quantitative performance of the assay. Looking toward translation, it is shown here that a free-solution assay (FSA) coupled with a compensated interferometric reader (CIR) can be used to provide excellent analytical performance in quantifying CYFRA 21.1 in patient serum samples. This report focuses on the analytical performance of the high-sensitivity (hs)-CYFRA 21.1 assay in the context of quantifying the biomarker in two indeterminate pulmonary nodule (IPN) patient cohorts totaling 179 patients. Each of the ten assay calibrations consisted of 6 concentrations, each run as 7 replicates (e.g., 10 × 6 × 7 data points) and were performed on two different instruments by two different operators. Coefficients of variation (CVs) for the hs-CYFRA 21.1 analytical figures of merit, limit of quantification (LOQ) of ca. 60 pg/mL, B _max, initial slope, probe-target binding affinity, and reproducibility of quantifying an unknown were found to range from 2.5 to 8.3%. Our results demonstrate the excellent performance of our FSA-CIR hs-CYFRA 21-1 assay and a proof of concept for potentially redefining the performance characteristics of this existing important candidate biomarker.

The additional value of lung cancer screening program in identifying unrecognized diseases

Background

A systematic examination of low-dose CT (LDCT) scan, beside lung nodules, may disclose the presence of undiagnosed diseases, improving the efficacy and the cost/efficacy of these programs. The study was aimed at evaluating the association between LDCT scan findings and non-oncologic and oncologic diseases.

Methods

The LDCT scan of participants to the “Un Respiro per la vita”^® lung cancer screening program were checked and abnormal findings, beside lung nodules, recorded. First admission to the acute care because of cardiovascular (CD), respiratory (RD) and oncological diseases (OD) in the following three years were retrieved. The association of LDCT scan abnormal findings with CD, RD and OD was assessed through univariable and multivariable logistic regression models.

Results

Mean age of 746 participants was 62 years (SD:5), 62% were male. 11 (1.5%) received a diagnosis of lung cancer. 16.1% participants were admitted to the acute care in the following three years: 8.6% for CD, 4.3% for RD and 5.2% for OD. Valve calcification (OR 2.02, p:0.02) and mucus plugs (OR 3.37, p:0.04) were positively associated with CD, while sub-pleural fibrosis had a protective role (OR 0.47, p:0.01). Lung nodules > 8 mm (OR 5.54, p: < 0.01), tracheal deviation (OR 6.04, p:0.01) and mucus plugs (OR 4.00, p:0.04) were positively associated with OD admissions. Centrilobular emphysema OR for RD admissions was 1.97 (p:0.06).

Conclusions

The observed association between selected LDCT findings and ensuing CD, RD and OD suggests that the information potential of LCDT goes beyond the screening of lung cancer.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-022-01826-1.

A Cost-Effective and Non-Invasive pfeRNA-Based Test Differentiates Benign and Suspicious Pulmonary Nodules from Malignant Ones

The ability to differentiate between benign, suspicious, and malignant pulmonary nodules is imperative for definitive intervention in patients with early stage lung cancers. Here, we report that plasma protein functional effector sncRNAs (pfeRNAs) serve as non-invasive biomarkers for determining both the existence and the nature of pulmonary nodules in a three-stage study that included the healthy group, patients with benign pulmonary nodules, patients with suspicious nodules, and patients with malignant nodules. Following the standards required for a clinical laboratory improvement amendments (CLIA)-compliant laboratory-developed test (LDT), we identified a pfeRNA classifier containing 8 pfeRNAs in 108 biospecimens from 60 patients by sncRNA deep sequencing, deduced prediction rules using a separate training cohort of 198 plasma specimens, and then applied the prediction rules to another 230 plasma specimens in an independent validation cohort. The pfeRNA classifier could (1) differentiate patients with or without pulmonary nodules with an average sensitivity and specificity of 96.2% and 97.35% and (2) differentiate malignant versus benign pulmonary nodules with an average sensitivity and specificity of 77.1% and 74.25%. Our biomarkers are cost-effective, non-invasive, sensitive, and specific, and the qPCR-based method provides the possibility for automatic testing of robotic applications.

Tumor-associated autoantibodies in ESCC screening: Detecting prevalent early-stage malignancy or predicting future cancer risk?

BACKGROUND

To assess potential roles for tumor-associated autoantibodies (TAAs) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) screening: detecting early-stage malignancy, and predicting future cancer risk.

METHOD

Thirteen candidate autoantibodies identified in previous literatures were measured using multiplex serological assays in sera from cases and matched controls nested in two population-level screening cohorts in China. To evaluate the role of TAAs in detecting prevalent esophageal malignant lesions, an identification set (150 cases vs. 560 controls) and an external validation set (34 cases vs. 121 controls) were established with pre-screening sera collected ≤ 12 months prior to screening-related diagnosis. To explore the role of TAAs in predicting future ESCC risk, an exploration set (105 cases vs. 416 controls) with pre-diagnostic sera collected > 12 months before clinical diagnosis was established. Two models, the questionnaire-based model and full model additionally incorporating TAA markers, were constructed. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were calculated to compare the performance of the two models.

FINDINGS

In the identification set, NY-ESO-1 (OR=2·12, 95% CI=1·02-4·40) and STIP1 (OR=1·83, 95% CI=1·10-3·05) were positively associated with higher risk of esophageal malignancy. Elevated MMP-7 was associated with higher risk of malignancy in females (ORfemale=5·07, 95% CI=1·30-19·71). The estimates in validation set were consistent with these results, but were close to null in exploration set. Integration of selected TAAs improved the performance of questionnaire-based models in detecting prevalent esophageal malignancy (female: AUCfull model=0·745, 95% CI=0·675-0·814, AUCquestionnaire-based model=0·658, 95% CI=0·585-0·732, NRI=0·604, P<0·0001; male: AUCfull model=0·662, 95% CI=0·596-0·728, AUCquestionnaire-based model=0·619, 95% CI=0·548-0·690, NRI=0·357, P=0·0028). This improvement was also seen in validation set, but was not similarly effective in distinguishing long-term incident cases from healthy controls.

INTERPRETATION

Serological autoantibodies against NY-ESO-1, STIP1, and MMP-7 perform well in detecting early-stage esophageal malignancy, but are less effective in predicting future ESCC risks.

FUNDING

This work was supported by the National Science & Technology Fundamental Resources Investigation Program of China (2019FY101102), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82073626), the National Key R&D Program of China (2016YFC0901404), the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Basic Research Cooperation Project (J200016), the Digestive Medical Coordinated Development Center of Beijing Hospitals Authority (XXZ0204), and the Natural Science Foundation of Beijing Municipality (7182033).

ATS Core Curriculum 2021. Adult Pulmonary Medicine: Thoracic Oncology

The American Thoracic Society Core Curriculum updates clinicians annually in adult and pediatric pulmonary disease, medical critical care, and sleep medicine at the annual international conference. The 2021 Pulmonary Core Curriculum focuses on lung cancer and include risks and prevention, screening, nodules, therapeutics and associated pulmonary toxicities, and malignant pleural effusions. Although tobacco smoking remains the primary risk factor for developing lung cancer, exposure to other environmental and occupational substances, including asbestos, radon, and burned biomass, contribute to the global burden of disease. Randomized studies have demonstrated that routine screening of high-risk smokers with low-dose chest computed tomography results in detection at an earlier stage and reduction in lung cancer mortality. On the basis of these trials and other lung cancer risk tools, screening recommendations have been developed. When evaluating lung nodules, clinical and radiographic features are used to estimate the probability of cancer. Management guidelines take into account the nodule size and cancer risk estimates to provide recommendations at evaluation. Newer lung cancer therapies, including immune checkpoint inhibitors and molecular therapies, cause pulmonary toxicity more frequently than conventional chemotherapy. Treatment-related toxicity should be suspected in patients receiving these medications who present with respiratory symptoms. Evaluation is aimed at excluding other etiologies, and treatment is based on the severity of symptoms. Malignant pleural effusions can be debilitating. The diagnosis is made by using simple pleural drainage and/or pleural biopsies. Management depends on the clinical scenario and the patient's preferences and includes the use of serial thoracentesis, a tunneled pleural catheter, or pleurodesis.

A simple assessment of lung nodule location for reduction in unnecessary invasive procedures

Background

CT screening for lung cancer results in a significant mortality reduction but is complicated by invasive procedures performed for evaluation of the many detected benign nodules. The purpose of this study was to evaluate measures of nodule location within the lung as predictors of malignancy.

Methods

We analyzed images and data from 3,483 participants in the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST). All nodules (4–20 mm) were characterized by 3D geospatial location using a Cartesian coordinate system and evaluated in logistic regression analysis. Model development and probability cutpoint selection was performed in the NLST testing set. The Geospatial test was then validated in the NLST testing set, and subsequently replicated in a new cohort of 147 participants from The Detection of Early Lung Cancer Among Military Personnel (DECAMP) Consortium.

Results

The Geospatial Test, consisting of the superior-inferior distance (Z distance), nodule diameter, and radial distance (carina to nodule) performed well in both the NLST validation set (AUC 0.85) and the DECAMP replication cohort (AUC 0.75). A negative Geospatial Test resulted in a less than 2% risk of cancer across all nodule diameters. The Geospatial Test correctly reclassified 19.7% of indeterminate nodules with a diameter over 6mm as benign, while only incorrectly classifying 1% of cancerous nodules as benign. In contrast, the parsimonious Brock Model applied to the same group of nodules correctly reclassified 64.5% of indeterminate nodules as benign but resulted in misclassification of a cancer as benign in 18.2% of the cases. Applying the Geospatial test would result in reducing invasive procedures performed for benign lesions by 11.3% with a low rate of misclassification (1.3%). In contrast, the Brock model applied to the same group of patients results in decreasing invasive procedures for benign lesion by 39.0% but misclassifying 21.1% of cancers as benign.

Conclusions

Utilizing information about geospatial location within the lung improves risk assessment for indeterminate lung nodules and may reduce unnecessary procedures.

Trial Registration

NCT00047385, NCT01785342.

Detection and characterization of lung cancer using cell-free DNA fragmentomes

Non-invasive approaches for cell-free DNA (cfDNA) assessment provide an opportunity for cancer detection and intervention. Here, we use a machine learning model for detecting tumor-derived cfDNA through genome-wide analyses of cfDNA fragmentation in a prospective study of 365 individuals at risk for lung cancer. We validate the cancer detection model using an independent cohort of 385 non-cancer individuals and 46 lung cancer patients. Combining fragmentation features, clinical risk factors, and CEA levels, followed by CT imaging, detected 94% of patients with cancer across stages and subtypes, including 91% of stage I/II and 96% of stage III/IV, at 80% specificity. Genome-wide fragmentation profiles across ~13,000 ASCL1 transcription factor binding sites distinguished individuals with small cell lung cancer from those with non-small cell lung cancer with high accuracy (AUC = 0.98). A higher fragmentation score represented an independent prognostic indicator of survival. This approach provides a facile avenue for non-invasive detection of lung cancer.

Ultrasensitive detection of circulating tumour DNA via deep methylation sequencing aided by machine learning

The low abundance of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in plasma samples makes the analysis of ctDNA biomarkers for the detection or monitoring of early-stage cancers challenging. Here we show that deep methylation sequencing aided by a machine-learning classifier of methylation patterns enables the detection of tumour-derived signals at dilution factors as low as 1 in 10,000. For a total of 308 patients with surgery-resectable lung cancer and 261 age- and sex-matched non-cancer control individuals recruited from two hospitals, the assay detected 52-81% of the patients at disease stages IA to III with a specificity of 96% (95% confidence interval (CI) 93-98%). In a subgroup of 115 individuals, the assay identified, at 100% specificity (95% CI 91-100%), nearly twice as many patients with cancer as those identified by ultradeep mutation sequencing analysis. The low amounts of ctDNA permitted by machine-learning-aided deep methylation sequencing could provide advantages in cancer screening and the assessment of treatment efficacy.

[Cancer Screening Program in Urban Kunming of Yunnan: Evaluation of Lung Cancer Risk Assessment and Screening]

BACKGROUND

Lung cancer is the most common neoplasmas with a poor prognosis and a low 5-year survival rate. Early screening is an important measure for the prevention and treatment of lung cancer. At present, different countries have issued corresponding lung cancer screening guidelines, but China still lacks guidelines based on Chinese population research. Therefore, the National Cancer Center launched a Multi-center Cancer Screening Program in Urban China. This study analyzed the evaluation of lung cancer risk assessment model and screening effect in urban China of Yunnan, so as to explore the evaluation model of high-risk lung cancer population suitable for China's national conditions and develop lung cancer screening guidelines for Chinese.

METHODS

A questionnaire survey and lung cancer risk assessment were conducted on 165,337 people in 36 street offices in 4 main urban areas of Kunming, Yunnan Province, using cluster sampling method from January 2015 to December 2019. People with high-risk of lung cancer conducted low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening of chest. What's more, all participants were followed up by active or passive follow-up.

RESULTS

There were 264 patients were diagnosed lung cancer by pathology, and the overall incidence of lung cancer was 0.16% (264/165,337). The high-risk group (0.31%, 116/37,914) was higher than the non-high-risk group (0.12%, 148/127,423), and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.001). The incidence of lung cancer in the high-risk group was higher than the non-high-risk group among the male, female, and lower 50-year-old or more than 50-year-old subgroups, with statistical differences (P<0.001), but there was no statistical difference in the group without LDCT screening (P=0.73). The sensitivity of the lung cancer high-risk population assessment model was 43.94% (116/264) and the specificity was 77.10% (127,275/165,073). The early diagnosis rate of the screening group was 72.97% (54/74), which was significantly higher than that of the non-screening group [28.48% (43/151)].

CONCLUSIONS

The lung cancer high-risk population assessment model of National Key Public Health Program: Cancer Screening Program in Urban China can detect high-risk populations and improve the early diagnosis rate of lung cancer effectively.

Accurate diagnosis of pulmonary nodules using a noninvasive DNA methylation test

BACKGROUNDCurrent clinical management of patients with pulmonary nodules involves either repeated low-dose CT (LDCT)/CT scans or invasive procedures, yet causes significant patient misclassification. An accurate noninvasive test is needed to identify malignant nodules and reduce unnecessary invasive tests.METHODWe developed a diagnostic model based on targeted DNA methylation sequencing of 389 pulmonary nodule patients' plasma samples and then validation in 140 plasma samples independently. We tested the model in different stages and subtypes of pulmonary nodules.RESULTSA 100-feature model was developed and validated for pulmonary nodule diagnosis; the model achieved a receiver operating characteristic curve-AUC (ROC-AUC) of 0.843 on 140 independent validation samples, with an accuracy of 0.800. The performance was well maintained in (a) a 6 to 20 mm size subgroup (n = 100), with a sensitivity of 1.000 and adjusted negative predictive value (NPV) of 1.000 at 10% prevalence; (b) stage I malignancy (n = 90), with a sensitivity of 0.971; (c) different nodule types: solid nodules (n = 78) with a sensitivity of 1.000 and adjusted NPV of 1.000, part-solid nodules (n = 75) with a sensitivity of 0.947 and adjusted NPV of 0.983, and ground-glass nodules (n = 67) with a sensitivity of 0.964 and adjusted NPV of 0.989 at 10% prevalence. This methylation test, called PulmoSeek, outperformed PET-CT and 2 clinical prediction models (Mayo Clinic and Veterans Affairs) in discriminating malignant pulmonary nodules from benign ones.CONCLUSIONThis study suggests that the blood-based DNA methylation model may provide a better test for classifying pulmonary nodules, which could help facilitate the accurate diagnosis of early stage lung cancer from pulmonary nodule patients and guide clinical decisions.FUNDINGThe National Key Research and Development Program of China; Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province; The National Natural Science Foundation of China National.

Exhaled volatile organic compounds analysis in clinical pediatrics: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Measured exhaled volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in breath also referred to as exhaled volatilome have been long claimed as a potential source of non-invasive and clinically applicable biomarkers. However, the feasibility of using exhaled volatilome in clinical practice remains to be demonstrated, particularly in pediatrics where the need for improved non-invasive diagnostic and monitoring methods is most urgent. This work presents the first formal evidence-based judgment of the clinical potential of breath volatilome in the pediatric population.

METHODS

A rigorous systematic review across Web of Science, SCOPUS, and PubMed databases following the PRISMA statement guidelines. A narrative synthesis of the evidence was conducted and QUADAS-2 was used to assess the quality of selected studies.

RESULTS

Two independent reviewers deemed 22 out of the 229 records initially found to satisfy inclusion criteria. A summary of breath VOCs found to be relevant for several respiratory, infectious, and metabolic pathologies was conducted. In addition, we assessed their associated metabolism coverage through a functional characterization analysis.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that current research remains stagnant in a preclinical exploratory setting. Designing exploratory experiments in compliance with metabolomics practice should drive forward the clinical translation of VOCs breath analysis.

IMPACT

What is the key message of your article? Metabolomics practice could help to achieve the clinical utility of exhaled volatilome analysis. What does it add to the existing literature? This work is the first systematic review focused on disease status discrimination using analysis of exhaled breath in the pediatric population. A summary of the reported exhaled volatile organic compounds is conducted together with a functional characterization analysis. What is the impact? Having noted challenges preventing the clinical translation, we summary metabolomics practices and the experimental designs that are closer to clinical practice to create a framework to guide future trials.

Serum Exosomes and Their miRNA Load-A Potential Biomarker of Lung Cancer

Early detection of lung cancer in screening programs is a rational way to reduce mortality associated with this malignancy. Low-dose computed tomography, a diagnostic tool used in lung cancer screening, generates a relatively large number of false-positive results, and its complementation with molecular biomarkers would greatly improve the effectiveness of such programs. Several biomarkers of lung cancer based on different components of blood, including miRNA signatures, were proposed. However, only a few of them have been positively validated in the context of early cancer detection yet, which imposes a constant need for new biomarker candidates. An emerging source of cancer biomarkers are exosomes and other types of extracellular vesicles circulating in body fluids. Hence, different molecular components of serum/plasma-derived exosomes were tested and showed different levels in lung cancer patients and healthy individuals. Several studies focused on the miRNA component of these vesicles. Proposed signatures of exosome miRNA had promising diagnostic value, though none of them have yet been clinically validated. These signatures involved a few dozen miRNA species overall, including a few species that recurred in different signatures. It is worth noting that all these miRNA species have cancer-related functions and have been associated with lung cancer progression. Moreover, a few of them, including known oncomirs miR-17, miR-19, miR-21, and miR-221, appeared in multiple miRNA signatures of lung cancer based on both the whole serum/plasma and serum/plasma-derived exosomes.

Outcomes of clinical utility in amyloid-PET studies: state of art and future perspectives

PURPOSE

To review how outcomes of clinical utility are operationalized in current amyloid-PET validation studies, to prepare for formal assessment of clinical utility of amyloid-PET-based diagnosis.

METHODS

Systematic review of amyloid-PET research studies published up to April 2020 that included outcomes of clinical utility. We extracted and analyzed (a) outcome categories, (b) their definition, and (c) their methods of assessment.

RESULTS

Thirty-two studies were eligible. (a) Outcome categories were clinician-centered (found in 25/32 studies, 78%), patient-/caregiver-centered (in 9/32 studies, 28%), and health economics-centered (5/32, 16%). (b) Definition: Outcomes were mainly defined by clinical researchers; only the ABIDE study expressly included stakeholders in group discussions. Clinician-centered outcomes mainly consisted of incremental diagnostic value (25/32, 78%) and change in patient management (17/32, 53%); patient-/caregiver-centered outcomes considered distress after amyloid-pet-based diagnosis disclosure (8/32, 25%), including quantified burden of procedure for patients' outcomes (n = 8) (1/8, 12.5%), impact of disclosure of results (6/8, 75%), and psychological implications of biomarker-based diagnosis (75%); and health economics outcomes focused on costs to achieve a high-confidence etiological diagnosis (5/32, 16%) and impact on quality of life (1/32, 3%). (c) Assessment: all outcome categories were operationalized inconsistently across studies, employing 26 different tools without formal rationale for selection.

CONCLUSION

Current studies validating amyloid-PET already assessed outcomes for clinical utility, although non-clinician-based outcomes were inconsistent. A wider participation of stakeholders may help produce a more thorough and systematic definition and assessment of outcomes of clinical utility and help collect evidence informing decisions on reimbursement of amyloid-PET.

Contribution of a Blood-Based Protein Biomarker Panel to the Classification of Indeterminate Pulmonary Nodules

RATIONALE

The workup and longitudinal monitoring for subjects presenting with pulmonary nodules is a pressing clinical problem. A blood-based biomarker panel potentially has utility for identifying subjects at higher risk for harboring a malignant nodule for whom additional workup would be indicated or subjects at reduced risk for whom imaging-based follow-up would be indicated.

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether a previously described four-protein biomarker panel, reported to improve assessment of lung cancer risk compared with a smoking-based lung cancer risk model, can provide discrimination between benign and malignant indeterminate pulmonary nodules.

METHODS

A previously validated multiplex enzyme-linked immunoassay was performed on matched case and control samples from each cohort.

MEASUREMENTS

The biomarker panel was tested in two case-control cohorts of patients presenting with indeterminate pulmonary nodules at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center and the University of Texas Southwestern.

MAIN RESULTS

In both cohorts, the biomarker panel resulted in improved prediction of lung cancer risk over a model on the basis of nodule size alone. Of particular note, the addition of the marker panel to nodule size greatly improved sensitivity at a high specificity in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

A four-marker biomarker panel, previously validated to improve lung cancer risk prediction, was found to also have utility in distinguishing benign from malignant indeterminate pulmonary nodules. Its performance in improving sensitivity at a high specificity indicates potential utility of the marker panel in assessing likelihood of malignancy in otherwise indeterminate nodules.

Molecular biomarkers in early stage lung cancer

Low dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening, together with the recent advances in targeted and immunotherapies, have shown to improve non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) survival. Furthermore, screening has increased the number of early stage-detected tumors, allowing for surgical resection and multimodality treatments when needed. The need for improved sensitivity and specificity of NSCLC screening has led to increased interest in combining clinical and radiological data with molecular data. The development of biomarkers is poised to refine inclusion criteria for LDCT screening programs. Biomarkers may also be useful to better characterize the risk of indeterminate nodules found in the course of screening or to refine prognosis and help in the management of screening detected tumors. The clinical implications of these biomarkers are still being investigated and whether or not biomarkers will be included in further decision-making algorithms in the context of screening and early lung cancer management still needs to be determined. However, it seems clear that there is much room for improvement even in early stage lung cancer disease-free survival (DFS) rates; thus, biomarkers may be the key to refine risk-stratification and treatment of these patients. Clinicians’ capacity to register, integrate, and analyze all the available data in both high risk individuals and early stage NSCLC patients will lead to a better understanding of the disease’s mechanisms, and will have a direct impact in diagnosis, treatment, and follow up of these patients. In this review, we aim to summarize all the available data regarding the role of biomarkers in LDCT screening and early stage NSCLC from a multidisciplinary perspective. We have highlighted clinical implications, the need to combine risk stratification, clinical data, radiomics, molecular information and artificial intelligence in order to improve clinical decision-making, especially regarding early diagnostics and adjuvant therapy. We also discuss current and future perspectives for biomarker implementation in routine clinical practice.

Chr15q25 genetic variant (rs16969968) independently confers risk of lung cancer, COPD and smoking intensity in a prospective study of high-risk smokers

IMPORTANCE

While cholinergic receptor nicotinic alpha 5 (CHRNA5) variants have been linked to lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and smoking addiction in case-controls studies, their corelationship is not well understood and requires retesting in a cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

To re-examine the association between the CHRNA5 variant (rs16969968 AA genotype) and the development of lung cancer, relative to its association with COPD and smoking.

METHODS

In 9270 Non-Hispanic white subjects from the National Lung Screening Trial, a substudy of high-risk smokers were followed for an average of 6.4 years. We compared CHRNA5 genotype according to baseline smoking exposure, lung function and COPD status. We also compared the lung cancer incidence rate, and used multiple logistic regression and mediation analysis to examine the role of the AA genotype of the CHRNA5 variant in smoking exposure, COPD and lung cancer.

RESULTS

As previously reported, we found the AA high-risk genotype was associated with lower lung function (p=0.005), greater smoking intensity (p<0.001), the presence of COPD (OR 1.28 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.49) p=0.0015) and the development of lung cancer (HR 1.41, (95% CI 1.03 to 1.93) p=0.03). In a mediation analyses, the AA genotype was independently associated with smoking intensity (OR 1.42 (95% CI 1.25 to 1.60, p<0.0001), COPD (OR 1.25, (95% CI 1.66 to 2.53), p=0.0015) and developing lung cancer (OR 1.37, (95% CI 1.03 to 1.82) p=0.03).

CONCLUSION

In this large-prospective study, we found the CHRNA5 rs 16 969 968 AA genotype to be independently associated with smoking exposure, COPD and lung cancer (triple whammy effect).

Data preprocessing workflow for exhaled breath analysis by GC/MS using open sources

The noninvasive diagnosis and monitoring of high prevalence diseases such as cardiovascular diseases, cancers and chronic respiratory diseases are currently priority objectives in the area of health. In this regard, the analysis of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) has been identified as a potential noninvasive tool for the diagnosis and surveillance of several diseases. Despite the advantages of this strategy, it is not yet a routine clinical tool. The lack of reproducible protocols for each step of the biomarker discovery phase is an obstacle of the current state. Specifically, this issue is present at the data preprocessing step. Thus, an open source workflow for preprocessing the data obtained by the analysis of exhaled breath samples using gas chromatography coupled with single quadrupole mass spectrometry (GC/MS) is presented in this paper. This workflow is based on the connection of two approaches to transform raw data into a useful matrix for statistical analysis. Moreover, this workflow includes matching compounds from breath samples with a spectral library. Three free packages (xcms, cliqueMS and eRah) written in the language R are used for this purpose. Furthermore, this paper presents a suitable protocol for exhaled breath sample collection from infants under 2 years of age for GC/MS.

Lung cancer screening by nodule volume in Lung-RADS v1.1: negative baseline CT yields potential for increased screening interval

Objectives

The 2019 Lung CT Screening Reporting & Data System version 1.1 (Lung-RADS v1.1) introduced volumetric categories for nodule management. The aims of this study were to report the distribution of Lung-RADS v1.1 volumetric categories and to analyse lung cancer (LC) outcomes within 3 years for exploring personalized algorithm for lung cancer screening (LCS).

Methods

Subjects from the Multicentric Italian Lung Detection (MILD) trial were retrospectively selected by National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) criteria. Baseline characteristics included selected pre-test metrics and nodule characterization according to the volume-based categories of Lung-RADS v1.1. Nodule volume was obtained by segmentation with dedicated semi-automatic software. Primary outcome was diagnosis of LC, tested by univariate and multivariable models. Secondary outcome was stage of LC. Increased interval algorithms were simulated for testing rate of delayed diagnosis (RDD) and reduction of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) burden.

Results

In 1248 NLST-eligible subjects, LC frequency was 1.2% at 1 year, 1.8% at 2 years and 2.6% at 3 years. Nodule volume in Lung-RADS v1.1 was a strong predictor of LC: positive LDCT showed an odds ratio (OR) of 75.60 at 1 year (p < 0.0001), and indeterminate LDCT showed an OR of 9.16 at 2 years (p = 0.0068) and an OR of 6.35 at 3 years (p = 0.0042). In the first 2 years after negative LDCT, 100% of resected LC was stage I. The simulations of low-frequency screening showed a RDD of 13.6–21.9% and a potential reduction of LDCT burden of 25.5–41%.

Conclusions

Nodule volume by semi-automatic software allowed stratification of LC risk across Lung-RADS v1.1 categories. Personalized screening algorithm by increased interval seems feasible in 80% of NLST eligible.

Key Points

• Using semi-automatic segmentation of nodule volume, Lung-RADS v1.1 selected 10.8% of subjects with positive CT and 96.87 relative risk of lung cancer at 1 year, compared to negative CT.

• Negative low-dose CT by Lung-RADS v1.1 was found in 80.6% of NLST eligible and yielded 40 times lower relative risk of lung cancer at 2 years, compared to positive low-dose CT; annual screening could be preference sensitive in this group.

• Semi-automatic segmentation of nodule volume and increased screening interval by volumetric Lung-RADS v1.1 could retrospectively suggest a 25.5–41% reduction of LDCT burden, at the cost of 13.6–21.9% rate of delayed diagnosis.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00330-020-07275-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Statistical inference for net benefit measures in biomarker validation studies

Referral strategies based on risk scores and medical tests are commonly proposed. Direct assessment of their clinical utility requires implementing the strategy and is not possible in the early phases of biomarker research. Prior to late-phase studies, net benefit measures can be used to assess the potential clinical impact of a proposed strategy. Validation studies, in which the biomarker defines a prespecified referral strategy, are a gold standard approach to evaluating biomarker potential. Uncertainty, quantified by a confidence interval, is important to consider when deciding whether a biomarker warrants an impact study, does not demonstrate clinical potential, or that more data are needed. We establish distribution theory for empirical estimators of net benefit and propose empirical estimators of variance. The primary results are for the most commonly employed estimators of net benefit: from cohort and unmatched case-control samples, and for point estimates and net benefit curves. Novel estimators of net benefit under stratified two-phase and categorically matched case-control sampling are proposed and distribution theory developed. Results for common variants of net benefit and for estimation from right-censored outcomes are also presented. We motivate and demonstrate the methodology with examples from lung cancer research and highlight its application to study design.

Biomarkers in Early Diagnosis and Early Stage Lung Cancer: The Clinician's Point of View

Starting from the work of Ulivi and colleagues, we aim to summarize the research area of biomarkers for early diagnosis and early stage lung cancer.

Approaches to lung nodule risk assessment: clinician intuition versus prediction models

Pulmonary nodules are increasingly identified on imaging exams performed for a number of clinical presentations and can pose a diagnostic problem for clinicians. Guideline-directed management algorithms are structured on nodule pre-test probability of malignancy. The risk of malignancy can be clinician-assigned or calculated utilizing validated risk prediction calculators. Once pre-test probability of cancer is estimated, nodule management options range from a conservative approach with serial imaging to more invasive measures including biopsy procedures or surgical resection. Here we review pulmonary nodule management with a focus on methods for assigning malignancy risk and highlight novel ways currently under active research to improve nodule risk assessment and management.

The diagnostic value of a seven-autoantibody panel and a nomogram with a scoring table for predicting the risk of non-small-cell lung cancer

The early detection of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains a common concern. The aim of our study was to validate the diagnostic value of a seven-autoantibody (7-AAB) panel compared with radiological diagnosis for NSCLC. We constructed a nomogram and a scoring table based on the 7-AAB panel's result to predict the risk of NSCLC. We prospectively enrolled 268 patients who presented with radiological lesions and underwent both the 7-AAB panel test and pathological diagnosis by surgical resection. A comparison between the 7-AAB panel and radiological diagnosis was performed. A nomogram and a scoring table based on the 7-AAB panel's result to predict the risk of NSCLC were constructed and internally validated. The 7-AAB panel test had a specificity of 90.2% and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 92.7%, which were significantly higher than those of the radiological diagnosis. The 7-AAB panel also showed a preferable sensitivity in patients with early-stage disease. Seven factors, including the 7-AAB panel results, were integrated into the nomogram. For more convenient application, we formulated a scoring table based on the nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.840 and 0.860 in the training group and validation group, respectively, which was higher than that using the 7-AAB panel or radiological diagnosis alone. This study reveals that our 7-AAB panel has clinical value in the diagnosis of NSCLC. The utility of our nomogram and the scoring table indicated that they have the potential to assist clinicians in avoiding unnecessary treatment or needless follow-up.

Circulating tumor DNA as an early cancer detection tool

Circulating tumor DNA holds substantial promise as an early detection biomarker, particularly for cancers that do not have currently accepted screening methodologies, such as ovarian, pancreatic, and gastric cancers. Many features intrinsic to ctDNA analysis may be leveraged to enhance its use as an early cancer detection biomarker: including ctDNA fragment lengths, DNA copy number variations, and associated patient phenotypic information. Furthermore, ctDNA testing may be synergistically used with other multi-omic biomarkers to enhance early detection. For instance, assays may incorporate early detection proteins (i.e., CA-125), epigenetic markers, circulating tumor RNA, nucleosomes, exosomes, and associated immune markers. Many companies are currently competing to develop a marketable early cancer detection test that leverages ctDNA. Although some hurdles (like early stage disease assay accuracy, high implementation costs, confounding from clonal hematopoiesis, and lack of clinical utility studies) need to be addressed before integration into healthcare, ctDNA assays hold substantial potential as an early cancer screening test.