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Akay O, Guler M, Sevik H, Yildiz I, Sevinc MM, Ari A, Idiz UO, Tatar C. MELD-Na score is associated with postoperative complications in non-cirrhotic gastric cancer patients undergoing gastrectomy. Eur Surg 2024; 56:184-190. [DOI: 10.1007/s10353-023-00823-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 01/03/2025]
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Kling SM, Taylor GA, Peterson NR, Patel T, Fagenson AM, Poggio JL, Ross HM, Pitt HA, Lau KN, Philp MM. Colectomy in patients with liver disease: albumin-bilirubin score accurately predicts outcomes. J Gastrointest Surg 2024; 28:843-851. [PMID: 38522642 DOI: 10.1016/j.gassur.2024.03.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2023] [Revised: 02/17/2024] [Accepted: 03/09/2024] [Indexed: 03/26/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with liver disease undergoing colectomy have higher rates of complications and mortality. The Albumin-Bilirubin score is a recently developed system, established to predict outcomes after hepatectomy, that accounts for liver dysfunction. METHODS All patients undergoing colectomy were identified in the 2015-2018 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program colectomy-targeted database. Demographics and outcomes were compared between patients with Albumin-Bilirubin Grade 1 vs. 2/3. Multivariable regression was performed for outcomes including colorectal-specific complications. Areas under the receiver operative characteristic curves were calculated to determine accuracy of the Albumin-Bilirubin score. RESULTS Of 86,273 patients identified, 48% (N = 41,624) were Albumin-Bilirubin Grade 1, 45% (N = 38,370) Grade 2 and 7% (N = 6,279) Grade 3. Patents with Grade 2/3 compared to Grade 1 had significantly increased mortality (7.2% vs. 0.9%, p < 0.001) and serious morbidity (31% vs. 12%, p < 0.001). Colorectal-specific complications including anastomotic leak (3.7% vs. 2.8%, p < 0.001) and prolonged ileus (26% vs. 14%, p < 0.001) were higher in patients with Grade 2/3. Grade 2/3 had increased risk of mortality (odds ratio 3.07, p < 0.001) and serious morbidity (1.78, p < 0.001). Albumin-Bilirubin had excellent accuracy in predicting mortality (area under the curve 0.81, p < 0.001) and serious morbidity (0.70, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION Albumin-Bilirubin is easily calculated using only serum albumin and total bilirubin values. Grade 2/3 is associated with increased rates of mortality and morbidity following colectomy. Albumin-Bilirubin can be applied to risk-stratify patients prior to colectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah M Kling
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - George A Taylor
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - Nicholas R Peterson
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - Takshaka Patel
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - Alexander M Fagenson
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - Juan Lucas Poggio
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States; Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - Howard M Ross
- Department of Surgery, Hackensack University Medical Center, Hackensack, New Jersey, United States
| | - Henry A Pitt
- Rutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, New Jersey, United States
| | - Kwan N Lau
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States; Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
| | - Matthew M Philp
- Department of Surgery, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States; Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States.
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Ng ZQ, Tan P, Theophilus M. Colorectal Surgery in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review. World J Surg 2023; 47:2519-2531. [PMID: 37212905 DOI: 10.1007/s00268-023-07069-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/05/2023] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colorectal surgery in patients with liver cirrhosis poses a significant challenge due to the associated peri-operative morbidity and mortality risks. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the outcomes in this cohort of patients following colorectal surgery. METHODS The PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases and references were searched up to October 2022 using the PRISMA guidelines. The data collated included: patient demographics, pathology or type of colorectal operation performed, severity of liver cirrhosis, post-operative complication rates, mortality rates and prognostic factors. A quality assessment of included studies was performed with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. RESULTS Sixteen studies reporting the outcomes of colorectal surgery in patients with liver cirrhosis were identified, including the results of 8646 patients. The indications, pathologies and/or type of operations varied. The overall complication rate ranged from 29 to 75%, minor complication ranged 14.5-37% and major complication ranged 6.7-59.3%. The mortality rates ranged from 0 to 37%. CONCLUSION Colorectal surgery in patients with liver cirrhosis still carries considerable morbidity and mortality rates. This group of patients needs to be managed in a multidisciplinary setting to achieve excellent outcomes. Future research should focus on uniform definitions to enable interpretable outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zi Qin Ng
- Department of General Surgery, Royal Perth Hospital, Wellington Street, Perth, WA, 6000, Australia.
- Department of General Surgery, St John of God Midland Hospital, Midland, WA, Australia.
| | - Patrick Tan
- Department of General Surgery, Royal Perth Hospital, Wellington Street, Perth, WA, 6000, Australia
| | - Mary Theophilus
- Department of General Surgery, Royal Perth Hospital, Wellington Street, Perth, WA, 6000, Australia
- Department of General Surgery, St John of God Midland Hospital, Midland, WA, Australia
- Curtin Medical School, Curtin University, Bentley, WA, Australia
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Spitzer H, Yang R, Bohan PK, Chang SC, Grunkemeier G, Vreeland T, Nelson DW. Preoperative Risk Prediction for Pancreatectomy: A Comparative Analysis of Three Scoring Systems. J Surg Res 2022; 279:374-382. [PMID: 35820319 DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2022.06.033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2022] [Revised: 04/29/2022] [Accepted: 06/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Pancreatectomy is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Therefore, patient selection and risk prediction is paramount. In this study, three validated perioperative risk scoring systems were compared among patients undergoing pancreatectomy to identify the most clinically useful model. MATERIALS AND METHODS The 2014-2017 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for pancreatectomy patients. Three models were evaluated: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Universal Risk Calculator (URC), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), and Modified Frailty Index-5 Factor (mFI-5). Outcomes were 30-d mortality and complications. Predictive performance of the models was compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Brier scores. RESULTS Twenty two thousand one hundred twenty three pancreatectomy patients were identified. The 30-d mortality rate was 1.4% (n = 319). Complications occurred in 6020 cases (27.2%). AUC (95% CI) for 30-d mortality were 0.70 (0.67-0.73), 0.63 (0.60-0.67), and 0.60 (0.57-0.63) for URC, MELD, and mFI-5, respectively, with Brier score of 0.014 for all three models. AUC (95% confidence interval) for any complication was 0.59 (0.58-0.59) for URC, 0.53 (0.52-0.54) for MELD, and 0.53 (0.52-0.54) for mFI-5, with Brier scores 0.193 (URC), 0.200 (MELD), and 0.197 (mFI-5). For individual complications, URC was more predictive than MELD or mFI-5. CONCLUSIONS Of the validated preoperative risk scoring systems, URC was most predictive of both complications and 30-d mortality. None of the models performed better than fair to good. The lack of predictive accuracy of currently existing models highlights the need for development of improved perioperative risk models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Holly Spitzer
- General Surgery Department, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Fort Bliss, Texas
| | - Ryan Yang
- General Surgery Department, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Fort Bliss, Texas
| | - Phillip Kemp Bohan
- General Surgery Department, Brooke Army Medical Center, Fort Sam Houston, Texas
| | - Shu-Ching Chang
- Center for Cardiovascular Analytics, Research and Data Science (CARDS), Providence St. Joseph Health, Portland, Oregon
| | - Gary Grunkemeier
- Center for Cardiovascular Analytics, Research and Data Science (CARDS), Providence St. Joseph Health, Portland, Oregon
| | - Timothy Vreeland
- General Surgery Department, Brooke Army Medical Center, Fort Sam Houston, Texas
| | - Daniel W Nelson
- General Surgery Department, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Fort Bliss, Texas.
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Renninger CH, Jaeblon T, Slobogean GP, O'Toole RV, O'Hara NN. Patients With Cirrhosis Who Have a Model for End-stage Liver Disease Sodium Score of 8 or Greater Are at Increased Risk of Poor Outcomes in Operatively Treated Tibia Fractures. Orthopedics 2022; 45:79-85. [PMID: 35021031 DOI: 10.3928/01477447-20220105-01] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to compare 30-day readmission rates for cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients after tibia fracture fixation by retrospectively identifying all surgically managed tibial plateau, tibial shaft, and pilon fractures from 2010 through 2018 in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (N=14,028). The primary outcome measure was 30-day readmission rates. Secondary outcome measures included 30-day rates of reoperation, length of stay, pulmonary embolism, deep venous thrombosis, and wound complications, including deep or superficial infection. Cirrhotic patients (n=665) and non-cirrhotic patients (n=13,363) were identified using the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index test. Cirrhotic patients were more likely to have preoperative ascites, renal failure, bleeding disorders, and preoperative transfusions. No differences were reported between the two groups in readmission rate or any of the secondary outcome measures, except that cirrhotic patients' length of stay was longer by 0.5 day. Stratification of the cirrhotic cohort demonstrated that a Model for End-stage Liver Disease sodium (MELD-Na) score of 8 or greater was associated with a 4.1-fold increase in the rate of readmission (5.9% vs 1.5%; P<.01). No other differences were identified based on MELD-Na score stratification. Patients with advanced cirrhosis (MELD-Na score ≥8) have an increased risk of 30-day readmission after tibia fracture surgery. Cirrhosis associated with a lower MELD-Na score might not significantly increase the risk of 30-day complications in patients with tibia fractures. [Orthopedics. 2022;45(2):79-85.].
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Ayoub CH, Dakroub A, El-Asmar JM, Ali AH, Beaini H, Abdulfattah S, El Hajj A. Preoperative MELD score predicts mortality and adverse outcomes following radical cystectomy: analysis of American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Ther Adv Urol 2022; 14:17562872221135944. [PMID: 36407007 PMCID: PMC9669693 DOI: 10.1177/17562872221135944] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2022] [Accepted: 10/12/2022] [Indexed: 08/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) has been widely used to predict the mortality and morbidity of various surgical procedures. Objectives We aimed to correlate a high preoperative MELD score with adverse 30-day postoperative complications following radical cystectomy. Design and Methods Patients who underwent elective, non-emergency radical cystectomy were identified from the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database from 2005 to 2017. Patients were categorized according to a calculated MELD score. The primary outcomes of this study were 30-day postoperative mortality, morbidity, and length of hospital stay following radical cystectomy. For further sensitivity analysis, propensity score matching was used to yield a total of 1387 matched pairs and primary outcomes were also assessed in the matched cohort. Results Compared with patients with a MELD < 10, those with MELD ⩾ 10 had significantly higher rates of mortality [odds ratio (OR) = 1.71, p = 0.004], major complications (OR = 1.42, p < 0.001), and prolonged hospital stay (OR = 1.29, p < 0.001) on multivariate analysis. Following risk-adjustment for race, propensity-matched groups revealed that patients with MELD score ⩾ 10 were significantly associated with higher mortality (OR = 1.85, p = 0.008), major complications (OR = 1.34, p < 0.001), yet similar length of hospital stay (OR = 1.17, p = 0.072). Conclusion MELD score ⩾ 10 is associated with higher mortality and morbidity in patients undergoing radical cystectomy compared with lower MELD scores. Risk-stratification using MELD score may assist clinicians in identifying high-risk patients to provide adequate preoperative counseling, optimize perioperative conditions, and even consider nonsurgical alternatives.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christian Habib Ayoub
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery,
American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Ali Dakroub
- American University of Beirut Medical School,
American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Jose M. El-Asmar
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery,
American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Adel Hajj Ali
- Cleveland Clinic, Heart, Vascular &
Thoracic Institute, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Hadi Beaini
- American University of Beirut Medical School,
American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Suhaib Abdulfattah
- American University of Beirut Medical School,
American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Albert El Hajj
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgery,
American University of Beirut Medical Center, PO BOX: 11-0236, Riad El Solh,
Beirut 1107 2020, Lebanon
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Khachfe HH, Araji TZ, Nassereldine H, El-Asmar R, Baydoun HA, Hallal AH, Jamali FR. Preoperative MELD score predicts adverse outcomes following gastrectomy: An ACS NSQIP analysis. Am J Surg 2022; 224:501-505. [DOI: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2022.01.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2021] [Revised: 01/19/2022] [Accepted: 01/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/01/2022]
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Does Preoperative MELD Score Predict Adverse Outcomes Following Pancreatic Resection: an ACS NSQIP Analysis. J Gastrointest Surg 2020; 24:2259-2268. [PMID: 31468333 DOI: 10.1007/s11605-019-04380-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2019] [Accepted: 08/18/2019] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Higher MELD scores correlate with adverse operative outcomes regardless of the presence of liver disease, but their impact on pancreatectomy outcomes remains undefined. We aimed to compare 30-day adverse postoperative outcomes of patients undergoing elective pancreatectomy stratified by MELD score. METHODS Elective pancreatoduodenectomies (PDs) and distal pancreatectomies (DPs) were identified from the 2014-2016 ACS NSQIP Procedure Targeted Pancreatectomy Participant Use Data Files. Outcomes examined included mortality, cardiopulmonary complications, prolonged postoperative length-of-stay, discharge not-to-home, transfusion, POPF, CR-POPF, any complication, and serious complication. Outcomes were compared between MELD score strata (< 11 vs. ≥ 11) as established by the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS). Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to examine the risk-adjusted impact of MELD score on outcomes. RESULTS A total of 7580 PDs and 3295 DPs had evaluable MELD scores. Of these, 1701 PDs and 223 DPs had a MELD score ≥ 11. PDs with MELD ≥ 11 exhibited higher risk for mortality (OR = 2.07, p < 0.001), discharge not-to-home (OR = 1.26, p = 0.005), and transfusion (OR = 1.7, p < 0.001). DP patients with MELD ≥ 11 demonstrated prolonged LOS (OR = 1.75, p < 0.001), discharge not-to-home (OR = 1.83, p = 0.01), and transfusion (OR = 2.78, p < 0.001). In PD, MELD ≥ 11 was independently predictive of 30-day mortality (OR = 1.69, p = 0.007) and transfusion (OR = 1.55, p < 0.001). In DP, MELD ≥ 11 was independently predictive of prolonged LOS (OR = 1.42, p = 0.026) and transfusion (OR = 2.3, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION A MELD score ≥ 11 is associated with a near twofold increase in the odds of mortality following pancreatoduodenectomy. The MELD score is an objective assessment that aids in risk-stratifying patients undergoing pancreatectomy.
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Maassel NL, Fleming MM, Luo J, Zhang Y, Pei KY. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium as a Predictor of Surgical Risk in Cirrhotic Patients With Ascites. J Surg Res 2020; 250:45-52. [PMID: 32018142 DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2019.12.037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2019] [Revised: 12/11/2019] [Accepted: 12/30/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELD-Na) incorporates hyponatremia into the MELD score and has been shown to correlate with surgical outcomes. The pathophysiology of hyponatremia parallels that of ascites, which purports greater surgical risk. This study investigates whether MELD-Na accurately predicts morbidity and mortality in patients with ascites undergoing general surgery procedures. MATERIALS AND METHODS We used the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (2005-2014) to examine the adjusted risk of morbidity and mortality of cirrhotic patients with and without ascites undergoing inguinal or ventral hernia repair, cholecystectomy, and lysis of adhesions for bowel obstruction. Patients were stratified by the MELD-Na score and ascites. Outcomes were compared between patients with and without ascites for each stratum using low MELD-Na and no ascites group as a reference. RESULTS A total of 30,391 patients were analyzed. Within each MELD-Na stratum, patients with ascites had an increased risk of complications compared with the reference group (low MELD-Na and no ascites): low MELD-Na with ascites odds ratio (OR) 4.33 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.96-9.59), moderate MELD-Na no ascites OR 1.70 (95% CI 1.52-1.9), moderate MELD-Na with ascites OR 3.69 (95% CI 2.49-5.46), high MELD-Na no ascites OR 3.51 (95% CI 3.07-4.01), and high MELD-Na ascites OR 7.18 (95% CI 5.33-9.67). Similarly, mortality risk was increased in patients with ascites compared with the reference: moderate MELD-Na no ascites OR 3.55 (95% CI 2.22-5.67), moderate MELD-Na ascites OR 13.80 (95% CI 5.65-33.71), high MELD-Na no ascites OR 8.34 (95% CI 5.15-13.51), and high MELD-Na ascites OR 43.97 (95% CI 23.76-81.39). CONCLUSIONS MELD-Na underestimates morbidity and mortality risk for general surgery patients with ascites.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan L Maassel
- Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
| | - Matthew M Fleming
- Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Jiajun Luo
- Section of Surgical Outcomes and Epidemiology, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Yawei Zhang
- Section of Surgical Outcomes and Epidemiology, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Kevin Y Pei
- Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut; Department of Surgery, Weill Cornell Medical College, Houston Methodist Hospital, Houston, Texas
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Lu C, White SJ, Ye IB, Mikhail CM, Cheung ZB, Cho SK. The Effects of Liver Disease on Surgical Outcomes Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery. World Neurosurg 2019; 130:e498-e504. [PMID: 31254688 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2019.06.137] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2019] [Revised: 06/16/2019] [Accepted: 06/17/2019] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND As the prevalence of chronic liver disease continues to rise in the United States, understanding the effects of liver dysfunction on surgical outcomes has become increasingly important. The objective of this study was to assess the effects of chronic liver disease on 30-day complications following adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery. METHODS We performed a retrospective cohort study of 2337 patients in the 2008-2015 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database who underwent corrective ASD surgery. Patients with liver disease were identified based on a Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Na score ≥10. A univariate analysis was performed to compare 30-day postoperative complications between patients with and without liver disease. A multivariate regression analysis adjusting for differences in baseline patient characteristics was performed to identify complications that were associated with liver disease. RESULTS Patients with liver disease had a significantly greater incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications (6.3% vs. 2.9%; P < 0.001), blood transfusion (34.6% vs. 24.0%; P < 0.001), sepsis (2.2% vs. 0.9%; P = 0.011), prolonged hospitalization (19.0% vs. 8.0%; P < 0.001), as well as any 30-day complication (45.4% vs. 29.4%; P < 0.001). The multivariate regression analysis identified liver disease as a risk factor for prolonged hospitalization (odds ratio [OR] 2.16; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.64-2.84; P < 0.001), pulmonary complications (OR 1.78; 95% CI 1.16-2.74; P = 0.009), blood transfusion (OR 1.67; 95% CI 1.36-2.05; P < 0.001), and any 30-day complication (OR 1.43; 95% CI 1.15-1.77; P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS The multisystem pathophysiology of liver dysfunction predisposes patients to postoperative complications following ASD surgery. A multidisciplinary approach in surgical planning and preoperative optimization is needed to minimize liver disease-related complications and improve patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Charles Lu
- The New York Institute of Technology College of Osteopathic Medicine, Glen Head, New York, USA
| | - Samuel J White
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Ivan B Ye
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Christopher M Mikhail
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Zoe B Cheung
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Samuel K Cho
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
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Hawkins RB, Young BAC, Mehaffey JH, Speir AM, Quader MA, Rich JB, Ailawadi G. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score Independently Predicts Mortality in Cardiac Surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2019; 107:1713-1719. [PMID: 30639362 PMCID: PMC6541453 DOI: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2018.12.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/27/2018] [Revised: 10/29/2018] [Accepted: 12/10/2018] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although liver disease increases surgical risk, it is not considered in The Society for Thoracic Surgeons (STS) risk calculator. This study assessed the impact of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) on outcomes after cardiac surgical procedures and the additional predictive value of MELD in the STS risk model. METHODS Deidentified records of 21,272 patients were extracted from a regional STS database. Inclusion criteria were any cardiac operation with a risk score available (2011-2016). Exclusion criteria included missing MELD (n = 2,895) or preoperative anticoagulation (n = 144). Patients were stratified into three categories, MELD < 9 (low), MELD 9 to 15 (moderate), and MELD > 15 (high). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression assessed risk-adjusted associations between MELD and operative outcomes. RESULTS Increasing MELD scores were associated with greater comorbid disease, mitral operation, prior cardiac operation, and higher STS-predicted risk of mortality (1.1%, 2.3%, and 6.0% by MELD category; p < 0.0001). The operative mortality rate increased with increasing MELD score (1.6%, 3.9%, and 8.4%; p < 0.0001). By logistic regression MELD score was an independent predictor of operative mortality (odds ratio, 1.03 per MELD score point; p < 0.0001) as were the components total bilirubin (odds ratio, 1.22 per mg/dL; p = 0.002) and international normalized ratio (odds ratio, 1.40 per unit; p < 0.0001). Finally, MELD score was independently associated with STS major morbidity and the component complications renal failure and stroke. CONCLUSIONS Increasing MELD score, international normalized ratio, and bilirubin all independently increase risk of operative mortality. Because high rates of missing data currently limit utilization of MELD, efforts to simplify and improve data collection would help improve future risk models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert B Hawkins
- Division of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia
| | - Bree Ann C Young
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan
| | - J Hunter Mehaffey
- Division of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia
| | - Alan M Speir
- INOVA Heart and Vascular Institute, Falls Church, Virginia
| | - Mohammed A Quader
- Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia
| | - Jeffrey B Rich
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Gorav Ailawadi
- Division of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia.
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Predication of post-operative outcome of colectomy in ulcerative colitis patients using Model of End-Stage Liver Disease Score. Int J Colorectal Dis 2018; 33:1763-1772. [PMID: 30220056 DOI: 10.1007/s00384-018-3147-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/14/2018] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was developed to predict mortality in patients with liver disease. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between preoperative MELD score and 30-day surgical outcomes using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. METHODS Patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) (ICD: 556.X) who underwent colectomy were identified from NSQIP 2005 to 2013. The primary outcomes were bleeding complications, and overall morbidity and mortality. RESULTS A total of 7534 UC patients undergoing colectomy were identified. Patients with a higher MELD score had a longer hospital stay; more bleeding; and cardiac, respiratory, renal, thromboembolic, and septic complications as well as mortality. Patients were stratified into 4 groups by MELD score: < 7, 7-11, 12-15, and > 15 and a stratified multivariate analysis was done. Patients with a MELD score 12-15 (odds ratio [OR] 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-1.3) and MELD > 15 (OR 2.6, 95%CI 1.5-4.7) were at significant risk for bleeding complication. Apart from the MELD score, the presence of ascites (OR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2-5.1) or varices (OR 1.0, 95%CI 1.01-1.03) was also significantly associated with post-operative bleeding complication. MELD 12-15 and MELD > 15 were also found to be risk factors for overall morbidity (OR 5.3, 95%CI 1.8-15.7; OR 10.3, 95%CI 3.6-29.7, respectively) and mortality (OR 3.3, 95%CI 1.3-8.4; OR 5.9, 95%CI 2.4-14.6, respectively). CONCLUSION UC patients with a higher MELD score were associated with a higher post-colectomy morbidity and mortality. MELD score > 11 was an independent indicator for post-operative bleeding, and overall complications and mortality.
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Fleming MM, Liu F, Zhang Y, Pei KY. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Underestimates Morbidity and Mortality in Patients with Ascites Undergoing Colectomy. World J Surg 2018. [PMID: 29541825 DOI: 10.1007/s00268-018-4591-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and ascites correlate with surgical morbidity and mortality. However, the MELD score does not account for ascites. We sought to evaluate whether the MELD score accurately risk stratifies patients with ascites. METHODS We analyzed the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2005-2014) to examine the risk-adjusted morbidity and mortality of cirrhotic patients with and without ascites undergoing colectomy for diverticulitis. Patients were stratified by MELD score, and the presence of ascites and outcomes were compared between patients with and without ascites to the reference group of low MELD and no ascites. Multivariable logistic regression was used to control for demographic factors and comorbidities. RESULTS A total of 16,877 colectomies were analyzed. For each MELD stratum, patients with ascites have increased risk of complications compared to those without ascites (P < 0.05 unless indicated): low MELD ascites OR 1.13, P = 0.69, moderate MELD no ascites OR 1.37, moderate MELD ascites OR 2.06, high MELD no ascites OR 1.93, and high MELD ascites OR 3.54. These trends hold true for mortality: low MELD ascites OR 2.91, P = 0.063, moderate MELD no ascites OR 1.47, moderate MELD ascites OR 5.62, high MELD no ascites OR 3.04, and high MELD ascites OR 9.91. CONCLUSION Ascites predicts an increased risk for postoperative morbidity and mortality for cirrhotic patients undergoing colectomy for all MELD classifications. These findings suggest that the MELD score significantly underestimates postoperative risk as it does not account for ascites.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthew M Fleming
- Section of General Surgery, Trauma, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, 330 Cedar Street, BB310, New Haven, CT, 06519, USA
| | - Fangfang Liu
- Section of Surgical Outcomes and Epidemiology, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.,, Beijing 302 Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Yawei Zhang
- Section of Surgical Outcomes and Epidemiology, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.,Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Kevin Y Pei
- Section of General Surgery, Trauma, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, 330 Cedar Street, BB310, New Haven, CT, 06519, USA.
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Pilarczyk K, Carstens H, Heckmann J, Canbay A, Koch A, Pizanis N, Jakob H, Kamler M. The aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase (DeRitis) ratio predicts mid-term mortality and renal and respiratory dysfunction after left ventricular assist device implantation. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2018; 52:781-788. [PMID: 29156019 DOI: 10.1093/ejcts/ezx247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2016] [Accepted: 04/30/2017] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Preoperative liver dysfunction is a well-known risk factor for adverse events after major surgery. However, there is only little data regarding the precise role of the Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and the De Ritis ratio (DRR, alanine transaminase/aspartate aminotransferase) as a predictor for outcome after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. METHODS A retrospective analysis of all patients undergoing LVAD implantation at our institution between January 2012 and August 2014 was performed. The primary outcome was survival at 180 days after surgery. RESULTS During the observation period, 63 patients underwent LVAD implantation (mean age 59.9 ± 8.3 years, 50% male). Mean preoperative ejection fraction was 16.3 ± 7.7, 13 patients required preoperative renal replacement therapy and 9 patients were on extracorporeal life support. Mean Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support level was 2.8 ± 1.3, mean preoperative MELD was 12.7 ± 7.2, mean preoperative DRR was 2.01 ± 4.4. Aspartate aminotransferase (102 ± 220.8 vs 57.8 ± 123.4 U/l, P = 0.041), MELD score (16.1 ± 8.8 vs 11.4 ± 6.1, P = 0.017) and DRR (4.2 ± 7.8 vs 1.1 ± 1.1, P = 0.001) were significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors after 180 days. Using logistic regression analyses, a DRR >1.37 was an independent predictor for 30-day mortality [odds ratio (OR) 4.5] and 180-day mortality (OR 4.1). In addition, the DRR was associated with postoperative acute kidney injury with need for renal replacement therapy (OR 4.2) and prolonged postoperative ventilation time >72 h (OR 3.8). Using receiver operator characteristics analyses, DRR showed a sensitivity of 0.80 and a specificity of 0.81 (area under the curve 0.834, cut-off 1.37) for 180-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS The DRR is predictive of early and mid-term mortality as well as relevant morbidities in patients undergoing LVAD implantation. Therefore, the DRR should be considered within the preoperative risk stratification and patient selection for LVAD implantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kevin Pilarczyk
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany.,Department of Critical Care Medicine, imland Klinik Rendsburg, Rendsburg, Germany
| | - Henning Carstens
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Jens Heckmann
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Ali Canbay
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Achim Koch
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Nikolaus Pizanis
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Heinz Jakob
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Markus Kamler
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, West German Heart and Vascular Center Essen, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany
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15
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Fleming MM, DeWane MP, Luo J, Zhang Y, Pei KY. Ascites: A marker for increased surgical risk unaccounted for by the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score for general surgical procedures. Surgery 2018; 164:233-237. [PMID: 29705097 DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2018.03.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2018] [Revised: 03/04/2018] [Accepted: 03/19/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ascites and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score have both been shown to independently correlate with surgical morbidity and mortality. We evaluated if incorporating the presence of ascites changed postoperative risk as assessed by the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score. METHODS Data originated from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database from 2005-2014. Patients undergoing hernia repair, adhesiolysis, and cholecystectomy were included. Univariate analysis and logistic regression stratified by Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score and presence of ascites was performed. RESULTS A total of 30,391 patients were analyzed. When compared to low Model for End-Stage Liver Disease stratum without ascites, the presence of ascites predicted increased risk for complications (low Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with ascites odds ratio 3.22, 95% confidence interval [2.00-5.18], moderate Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with ascites odds ratio 3.70, 95% confidence interval [2.64-5.19], high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with ascites odds ratio 6.38, 95% confidence interval [4.39-9.26]). These findings hold true for mortality as well (low Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with ascites odds ratio 9.40 95% confidence interval [3.53-25.01], moderate Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with ascites odds ratio 15.24 95% confidence interval [8.17-28.45], high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with ascites odds ratio 28.56 95% confidence interval [15.43-52.88]). CONCLUSIONS Ascites increased the risk of morbidity and mortality across multiple general surgery operations. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease may underestimate surgical risk in patients with ascites. Predictive models inclusive of ascites may more accurately predict the perioperative risk of these complex patients.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Jiajun Luo
- Section of Surgical Outcomes and Epidemiology, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT
| | - Yawei Zhang
- Section of Surgical Outcomes and Epidemiology, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT
| | - Kevin Y Pei
- Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
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16
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Pantel HJ, Stensland KD, Nelson J, Francone TD, Roberts PL, Marcello PW, Read T, Ricciardi R. Should We Use the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) to Predict Mortality After Colorectal Surgery? J Gastrointest Surg 2016; 20:1511-6. [PMID: 27216407 DOI: 10.1007/s11605-016-3167-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2016] [Accepted: 05/06/2016] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
We sought to determine the accuracy of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and the Mayo Clinic Postoperative Mortality Risk in Patients with Cirrhosis Calculator in patients with ascites who underwent colorectal surgery. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for patients with ascites who underwent a major colorectal operation. Predicted 90-day mortality rate based on the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and 30-day mortality based on the Mayo Clinic Postoperative Mortality Risk in Patients with Cirrhosis Calculator were compared with observed 30-day mortality. The cohort contained 3137 patients with ascites who underwent a colorectal operation. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease predicted that 252 (8 %) of patients with ascites undergoing colorectal operations would die within 90 days postoperatively, yet we observed 821 deaths (26 % mortality) within 30 days after surgery (p < 0.001). The Mayo Clinic Postoperative Mortality Risk in Patients with Cirrhosis Calculator predicted that 491 (16.6 % mortality) of patients with ascites undergoing colorectal operations would die within 30 days postoperatively, yet we observed 707 (23.9 % mortality) at 30 days (p < 0.01). We concluded that the current risk prediction models significantly under predict mortality in patients with ascites who underwent colorectal surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haddon Jacob Pantel
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA.
| | - Kristian D Stensland
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA
| | | | - Todd D Francone
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA
| | - Patricia L Roberts
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA
| | - Peter W Marcello
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA
| | - Thomas Read
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA
| | - Rocco Ricciardi
- Department of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, 41 Mall Road, Burlington, MA, 01803, USA.,Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
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17
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Sabbagh C, Cosse C, Chauffert B, Nguyen-Khac E, Joly JP, Yzet T, Regimbeau J. Management of colon cancer in patients with cirrhosis: A review. Surg Oncol 2015; 24:187-93. [DOI: 10.1016/j.suronc.2015.06.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2014] [Revised: 12/29/2014] [Accepted: 06/08/2015] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
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18
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Montomoli J, Erichsen R, Antonsen S, Nilsson T, Sørensen HT. Impact of preoperative serum albumin on 30-day mortality following surgery for colorectal cancer: a population-based cohort study. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2015; 2:e000047. [PMID: 26462287 PMCID: PMC4599163 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgast-2015-000047] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2015] [Revised: 07/13/2015] [Accepted: 07/14/2015] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Surgery is the only potentially curable treatment for colorectal cancer (CRC), but it is hampered by high mortality. Human serum albumin (HSA) below 35 g/L is associated with poor overall prognosis in patients with CRC, but evidence regarding the impact on postoperative mortality is sparse. Methods We performed a population-based cohort study including patients undergoing CRC surgery in North and Central Denmark (1997–2011). We categorised patients according to HSA concentration measured 1–30 days prior to surgery date. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to compute 30-day mortality and Cox regression model to compute HRs as measures of the relative risk of death, controlling for potential confounders. We further stratified patients by preoperative conditions, including cancer stage, comorbidity level, and C reactive protein concentration. Results Of the 9339 patients undergoing first-time CRC surgery with preoperative HSA measurement, 26.4% (n=2464) had HSA below 35 g/L. 30-day mortality increased from 4.9% among patients with HSA 36–40 g/L to 26.9% among patients with HSA equal to or below 25 g/L, compared with 2.0% among patients with HSA above 40 g/L. The corresponding adjusted HRs increased from 1.75 (95% CI 1.25 to 2.45) among patients with HSA 36–40 g/L to 7.59 (95% CI 4.95 to 11.64) among patients with HSA equal to or below 25 g/L, compared with patients with HSA above 40 g/L. The negative impact associated with a decrement of HSA was found in all subgroups. Conclusions A decrement in preoperative HSA concentration was associated with substantial concentration-dependent increased 30-day mortality following CRC surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan Montomoli
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology , Aarhus University Hospital , Aarhus , Denmark
| | - Rune Erichsen
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology , Aarhus University Hospital , Aarhus , Denmark
| | - Sussie Antonsen
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology , Aarhus University Hospital , Aarhus , Denmark
| | - Tove Nilsson
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology , Aarhus University Hospital , Aarhus , Denmark
| | - Henrik Toft Sørensen
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology , Aarhus University Hospital , Aarhus , Denmark
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19
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Colorectal surgery in cirrhotic patients. ScientificWorldJournal 2014; 2014:239293. [PMID: 24550693 PMCID: PMC3914319 DOI: 10.1155/2014/239293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2013] [Accepted: 11/07/2013] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Patients with cirrhosis have a greater risk of morbidity and mortality following colorectal surgery. Therefore, preoperative medical optimization and risk assessment using criteria such as the MELD score are vital in preventing complications. Some risk factors include age, urgency of surgery, and ASA score. Postoperative morbidity and mortality are related to portal hypertension, ascites, infection, and anastomotic and stomal complications. This review highlights the assessment of risk and perioperative management of cirrhotic patients undergoing colorectal surgery.
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