The crosstalk between Stroke and Cancer: Incidence of cancer after a first-ever cerebrovascular event in a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

To determine the cancer incidence after the first-ever cerebrovascular event (CVE) and compare it to the cancer incidence in the population from the same region.

METHODS

We evaluated 1069 patients with a first-ever CVE (Ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke and Transient Ischaemic Attack) from a prospective population registry of stroke and transient focal neurological attacks, diagnosed between 2009 and 2011. We conducted a structured search to identify cancer-related variables and case-fatality for a period of 8 years following CVE. Cancer incidence in CVE patients was compared to the North Region Cancer Registry (RORENO).

RESULTS

We found that 90/1069 (8.4%) CVE patients developed cancer after a first-ever CVE. Overall cancer annual incidence rate was higher after a CVE (820/100,000, 95%CI: 619-1020) than in general population (513/100,000, 95%CI: 508-518). In the 45-54 age group cancer incidence post-CVE was 3.2-fold (RR, 95%CI: 1.6-6.4) higher compared to the general population, decreasing gradually in older age-groups. Median time between CVE and cancer was 3.2 years (IQR = 1.4-5.2). Lower respiratory tract and colorectal were the most frequent cancer types. In univariable models, male sex (sHR = 1.78, 95%CI: 1.17-2.72, p = 0.007), tobacco use (sHR = 2.04, 95%CI: 1.31-3.18, p = 0.002) and peripheral artery disease (sHR = 2.37, 95%CI: 1.10-5.13, p = 0.028) were associated to higher cancer risk after CVE. After adjustment, tobacco use (sHR = 1.84, 95%CI: 1.08-3.14, p = 0.026) remained associated to a higher risk of cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

At the population level, patients presenting a first-ever CVE have higher cancer incidence, that is particularly prominent in younger age-groups. Higher cancer incidence, delayed cancer diagnosis and increased mortality post-CVE warrants further research on long-term cancer surveillance in first-ever CVE survivors.

Nationwide projections of ischemic stroke with large vessel occlusion of the anterior circulation by 2050: Dijon Stroke Registry

Introduction

Data on the epidemiology of ischemic stroke (IS) with large vessel occlusion (LVO) are scarce although there is a need to better assess future demands for dedicated facilities in an aging population. This study aimed to estimate the number of expected cases of IS with LVO of the anterior circulation in the French population by 2050.

Methods

IS were retrieved from the population-based registry of Dijon, France (2013-2017). Patients with LVO were identified and age-and sex-standardized incidence rates were calculated to estimate the number of expected cases in the whole French population by 2050 according three scenarios: stable incidence; a decrease in incidence rates of 0.5%/year in people >65 years old; a decrease in incidence rates of 0.5%/year in overall population.

Results

1,067 cases of IS with LVO were recorded in Dijon over the study period, corresponding to crude incidence rate of 22/100,000/year (95% CI: 18-25). By 2050, the number of cases is expected to increase by 51 to 81% according to the various scenarios, to reach between 22,457 cases (95% CI: 10,839 - 43,639) and 26,763 cases (95% CI: 12,918 - 52,008) annually. This increase will be mainly driven by patients >80  years old, with a rise of cases between +103% and +42% in this age group. The proportion of patients >80 years old among overall IS with LVO will increase from 43 to 57% approximately.

Conclusion

The expected massive increase in IS with LVO highlights the need for a rapid action to cover stroke care requirements.

Stroke in Young Adults in Spain: Epidemiology and Risk Factors by Age

INTRODUCTION

Recent research has highlighted an increased incidence of ischemic stroke (IS) in young adults, along with a higher percentage of vascular risk factors at younger ages. This study aimed to estimate the in-hospital incidence of IS and associated comorbidities by sex and age group in Spain.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the Spain Nationwide Inpatient Sample database from 2016 to 2019 was conducted, which included adult patients with IS. In-hospital incidence and mortality rates were estimated, and a descriptive analysis of the main comorbidities was performed, stratified by sex and age groups.

RESULTS

A total of 186,487 patients were included, with a median age of 77 (IQR 66-85) years and 53.3% were male. Of these, 9162 (5%) were aged between 18 and 50 years. The estimated incidence of IS in adults younger than 50 years ranged from 11.9 to 13.5 per 100,000 inhabitants during the study period, with a higher incidence in men. The overall in-hospital mortality was 12.6%. Young adults with IS had a higher prevalence of most vascular risk factors compared to the general Spanish population, with a specific distribution according to sex and age.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides estimates of the incidence of IS and the prevalence of vascular risk factors and comorbidities associated with IS in Spain, stratified by sex and age, using a national registry of hospital admissions. These findings should be considered in terms of both primary and secondary prevention strategies.

Diverging Temporal Trends in Stroke Incidence in Younger vs Older People: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Overall stroke incidence is falling in high-income countries, but data on time trends in incidence of young stroke (ie, stroke in individuals younger than 55 years) are conflicting. An age-specific divergence in incidence, with less favorable trends at younger vs older ages, might be a more consistent underlying finding across studies.

Objective

To compare temporal trends in incidence of stroke at younger vs older ages in high-income countries.

Data Sources

PubMed and EMBASE were searched from inception to February 2022. One additional population-based study (Oxford Vascular Study) was also included.

Study Selection

Studies reporting age-specific stroke incidence in high-income countries at more than 1 time point.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

For all retrieved studies, 2 authors independently reviewed the full text against the inclusion criteria to establish their eligibility. Meta-analysis was performed with the inverse variance-weighted random-effects model. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline was followed.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was age-specific divergence (<55 vs ≥55 years) in temporal trends in stroke incidence (relative temporal rate ratio [RTTR]) in studies extending to at least 2000. RTTRs were calculated for each study and pooled by random-effects meta-analysis, with stratification by administrative vs prospective population-based methodology, sex, stroke subtype (ischemic vs intracerebral hemorrhage vs subarachnoid hemorrhage) and geographical region.

Results

Among 50 studies in 20 countries, 26 (13 prospective population-based and 13 administrative studies) reported data allowing calculation of the RTTR for stroke incidence at younger vs older ages across 2 or more periods, the latest extending beyond 2000. Reported trends in absolute incidence of young individuals with stroke were heterogeneous, but all studies showed a less favorable trend in incidence at younger vs older ages (pooled RTTR = 1.57 [95% CI, 1.42-1.74]). The overall RTTR was consistent by stroke subtype (ischemic, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.44-1.83]; intracerebral hemorrhage, 1.32 [95% CI, 0.91-1.92]; subarachnoid hemorrhage, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.00-2.35]); and by sex (men, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.34-1.60]; women, 1.41 [95% CI, 1.28-1.55]) but was greater in studies reporting trends solely after 2000 (1.51 [95% CI, 1.30-1.70]) vs solely before (1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.24]) and was highest in population-based studies in which the most recent reported period of ascertainment started after 2010 (1.87 [95% CI, 1.55-2.27]).

Conclusions and Relevance

Temporal trends in stroke incidence are diverging by age in high-income countries, with less favorable trends at younger vs older ages, highlighting the urgent need to better understand etiology and prevention of stroke at younger ages.

Association of Younger vs Older Ages With Changes in Incidence of Stroke and Other Vascular Events, 2002-2018

Importance

Some studies have reported increasing stroke incidence at younger ages (<55 years) but have often relied only on administrative data, and more population-based studies of adjudicated stroke are required. An understanding of the drivers of any increase in incidence of young stroke also requires comparisons with stroke trends at older ages and with trends in incidence of other vascular events at younger ages.

Objective

To determine temporal changes in incidence of stroke and other major vascular events at younger vs older ages.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Prospective population-based incidence study conducted from April 2002 to March 2018 with a mean catchment population of 94 567 in Oxfordshire, England.

Exposures

Calendar time, premorbid vascular risk factors, and occupation.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Changes in incidence of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and other major vascular events (myocardial infarction, sudden cardiac death, and peripheral vascular events) stratified by age, sex, diagnostic workup, etiology, and severity.

Results

A total of 2429 incident strokes were ascertained (mean age, 73.6 [SD, 14.4] years; 51.3% female). From 2002-2010 to 2010-2018, stroke incidence increased significantly among participants younger than 55 years (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.67; 95% CI, 1.31-2.14) but fell significantly among participants aged 55 years or older (IRR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.78-0.92; P < .001 for difference). The significant increase in incidence at younger than 55 years was independent of sex, stroke severity, pathological subtype, and changes in investigation and was also seen for TIA (IRR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.36-2.57) but not for myocardial infarction and other major vascular events (IRR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58-0.93). Although TIA and stroke at younger than 55 years were significantly associated with diabetes (risk ratio [RR], 3.47; 95% CI, 2.54-4.74), hypertension (RR, 2.52; 95% CI, 2.04-3.12), current smoking (RR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.92-2.94), and obesity (RR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.07-1.72), the significant increase in incidence from 2002-2010 to 2010-2018 was still seen in individuals without these risk factors. The increase was greatest in professional/managerial occupations (IRR, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.75-3.62) and least in partially skilled/unskilled occupations (IRR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.79-1.74). The proportion of TIAs and strokes among those younger than 55 years without known vascular risk factors increased significantly over time (45 [30.4%] vs 115 [42.4%]; absolute difference, 12.0%; 95% CI, 2.6-21.5), especially in patients with cryptogenic events (10 [18.5%] vs 63 [49.2%]; absolute difference, 30.7%; 95% CI, 17.2-44.2; P < .001; P = .002 for heterogeneity).

Conclusions and Relevance

Comparing persons living in Oxfordshire, England, in 2002-2010 vs 2010-2018, there was a significant increase in stroke incidence in those younger than 55 years, but a decrease in those aged 55 years or older. Given the absence of this divergence for other vascular events, further research is needed to understand the causes of this difference.

Incidence and Long-Term Survival of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over Time: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose

Recent epidemiological data indicate that the absolute number of hemorrhagic stroke cases increased by 47% between 1990 and 2010 and continued to cause high rates of death and disability. The last systematic review and meta-analysis of incidence and long-term survival of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) were published 11 and 7 years ago, respectively, and lacked comparison between different income groups, therefore, a more up to date analysis is needed. We aim to investigate the ICH incidence and long-term survival data in countries of different income groups.

Materials Methods

We systematically searched Ovid Medline for population-based longitudinal studies of first-ever spontaneous ICH published from January 2000 to December 2020. We performed meta-analyses on the incidence and survival rate in countries of 4 different income groups with random-effects models (severe inconsistency). The I² was used to measure the heterogeneity. Heterogeneity was further investigated by conducting the meta-regression on the study mid-year. Time trends of the survival rate were assessed by weighted linear regression.

Results

We identified 84 eligible papers, including 68 publications reporting incidence and 24 publications on the survival rate. The pooled incidence of ICH per 100,000 per person-years was 26.47 (95% CI: 21.84–32.07) worldwide, 25.9 (95% CI: 22.63–29.63) in high-income countries (HIC), 28.45 (95% CI: 15.90–50.88) in upper-middle-income countries, and 31.73 (95% CI: 18.41–54.7) in lower-middle-income countries. The 1-year pooled survival rate was from 50% (95% CI: 47–54%; n = 4,380) worldwide to 50% (95% CI: 47–54%) in HIC, and 46% (95% CI: 38–55%) in upper-middle income countries. The 5-year pooled survival rate was 41% (95% CI: 35–48%; n = 864) worldwide, 41% (95% CI: 32–50%) in high-income and upper-middle countries. No publications were found reporting the long-term survival in lower-middle-income and low-income countries. No time trends in incidence or survival were found by meta-regression.

Conclusion

The pooled ICH incidence was highest in lower-middle-income countries. About half of ICH patients survived 1 year, and about two-fifths survived 5 years. Reliable population-based studies estimating the ICH incidence and long-term survival in low-income and low-middle-income countries are needed to help prevention of ICH.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=170140, PROSPERO CRD42020170140.

Systematic Review of Sex Differences in Ischemic Strokes Among Young Adults: Are Young Women Disproportionately at Risk?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Recent evidence suggests that young women (18-45 years) may be at higher risk of ischemic strokes than men of the same age. The goal of this systematic review is to reconcile and synthesize existing evidence of sex differences among young adults with ischemic strokes.

METHODS

We searched PubMed from January 2008 to July 2021 for relevant articles and reviews and consulted their references. We included original studies that (1) were population based and (2) reported stroke incidence by sex or sex-specific incidence rate ratios of young adults ≤45 years. We excluded studies that (1) omitted measurements of error for incidence rates or incidence rate ratios, (2) omitted age adjustment, and (3) were not in English. Statistical synthesis was performed to estimate sex difference by age group (≤35, 35-45, and ≤45) and stroke type.

RESULTS

We found 19 studies that reported on sex-specific stroke incidence among young adults, including 3 that reported on overlapping data. Nine studies did not find a statistically significant sex difference among young adults ≤45 years. Three studies found higher rates of ischemic stroke among men among young adults ≥30 to 35 years. Four studies found more women with ischemic strokes among young adults ≤35 years. Overall, in young adults ≤35 years, the estimated effect size favored more ischemic strokes in women (incidence rate ratio, 1.44 [1.18-1.76], I²=82%) and a nonsignificant sex difference in young adults 35 to 45 years (incidence rate ratio, 1.08 [0.85-1.38], I²=95%).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, there were 44% more women ≤35 years with ischemic strokes than men. This gap narrows in young adults, 35 to 45 years, and there is conflicting evidence whether more men or women have ischemic strokes in the 35 to 45 age group.

Related factors based on non-targeted metabolomics methods in minor ischaemic stroke

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify potential biomarkers associated with the occurrence of minor ischaemic stroke.

METHODS

Four hundred patients hospitalized with minor ischaemic stroke were enrolled in the department of neurological internal medicine in Taiyuan Central Hospital, and 210 healthy subjects examined at the Taiyuan Central Hospital Medical Center during the same period were selected. We collected information on the general demographic characteristics and fasting blood samples of the subjects. We then used untargeted metabolomic assay to measure blood glucose, blood lipids, homocysteine, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein.

RESULTS

There were statistically significant differences between the mild ischemic stroke group and the healthy control group in smoking, hypertension, and physical activity (P< 0.05). Compared with the healthy group, the minor ischaemic stroke group showed increased lactate, pyruvate, trimetlylamine oxide levels, and lactic acid, pyruvic acid, and trimethylamine N-oxidation (TMAO) levels were statistically significant (P< 0.001). In the minor ischaemic stroke risk model, hypertension, physical activity, smoking, and elevated TMAO levels influenced the occurrence of minor stroke.

CONCLUSION

Increased levels of lactic acid, pyruvate, and TMAO may be related to the pathophysiological changes in the minor ischaemic stroke population. High blood pressure, a lack of physical activity, smoking, and increased TMAO level were the influencing factors for the occurrence of minor ischaemic stroke. The serum metabolite TMAO may be associated with MS occurrence.

Admission and Readmission/Death Patterns in Hospitalized and Non-hospitalized First-Ever-in-a-Lifetime Stroke Patients During the First Year: A Population-Based Incidence Study

Background: Hospitalization and readmission rates after a first-ever-in-a-lifetime stroke (FELS) are considered measures of quality of care and, importantly, may give valuable information to better allocate health-related resources. We aimed to investigate the hospitalization pattern and the unplanned readmissions or death of hospitalized (HospS) and non-hospitalized stroke (NHospS) patients 1 year after a FELS, based on a community register.

Methods: Data about hospitalization and unplanned readmissions and case fatality 1 year after a FELS were retrieved from the population-based register undertaken in Northern Portugal (ACIN2), comprising all FELS in 2009–2011. We used the Kaplan–Meier method to estimate 1-year readmission/death-free survival and Cox proportional hazard models to identify independent factors for readmission/death.

Results: Of the 720 FELS, 35.7% were not hospitalized. Unplanned readmission/death within 1 year occurred in 33.0 and 24.9% of HospS and NHospS patients, respectively. The leading causes of readmission were infections, recurrent stroke, and cardiovascular events. Stroke-related readmissions were observed in more than half of the patients in both groups. Male sex, age, pre- and post-stroke functional status, and diabetes were independent factors of readmission/death within 1 year.

Conclusion: About one-third of stroke patients were not hospitalized, and the readmission/death rate was higher in HospS patients. Still, that readmission/death rate difference was likely due to other factors than hospitalization itself. Our research provides novel information that may help implement targeted health-related policies to reduce the burden of stroke and its complications.

Temporal trends in stroke incidence and case-fatality rates in Arcadia, Greece: A sequential, prospective, population-based study

BACKGROUND

Stroke incidence and case-fatality are reported to decline in high-income countries during the last decades. Epidemiological studies are important for health services to organize prevention and treatment strategies.

AIMS

The aim of this population-based study was to determine temporal trends of stroke incidence and case-fatality rates of first-ever stroke in Arcadia, a prefecture in southern Greece.

METHODS

All first-ever stroke cases in the Arcadia prefecture were ascertained using the same standard criteria and multiple overlapping sources in three study periods: from November 1993 to October 1995; 2004; and 2015-2016. Crude and age-adjusted to European population incidence rates were compared using Poisson regression. Twenty-eight days case fatality rates were estimated and compared using the same method.

RESULTS

In total, 1315 patients with first-ever stroke were identified. The age-standardized incidence to the European population was 252 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 231-239) in 1993/1995, 252 (95% CI 223-286) in 2004, and 211 (192-232) in 2015/2016. The overall age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates fell by 16% (incidence rates ratio 0.84, 95% CI: 0.72-0.97). Similarly, 28-day case-fatality rate decreased by 28% (case fatality rate ratio = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.58-0.90).

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based study reports a significant decline in stroke incidence and mortality rates in southern Greece between 1993 and 2016.

Predictors of hemorrhagic stroke in older persons taking nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: Results from the Food and Drug Administration Adverse Event Reporting System

BACKGROUND

Hemorrhagic strokes have not declined in the United States despite a decline worldwide.

PURPOSE

To identify hemorrhagic stroke risk associated with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), other medications associated with increased risk for hemorrhagic stroke, and diabetes, cardiovascular disease, gender, and age.

METHODS

A post hoc design was used to examine predictors of hemorrhagic stroke for adults of age 65 years and older from the Food and Drug Administration Adverse Events Reporting System database. The initial sample consisted of all cases reported during the third quarter of 2016 and the second quarter of 2018 with an NSAID as the primary suspect for the adverse drug event (ADE). An additional 397 cases with warfarin as the primary suspect were included in the final sample (N = 3,784) to test for bias from including only NSAID as the primary ADE suspect cases. Extracted data included the primary ADE (hemorrhagic stroke or other ADE), age, gender, primary suspect drug (NSAID or warfarin), and presence of a second NSAID, rivaroxaban, warfarin, clopidogrel, antidepressants (selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, and tricyclic antidepressants), inhaled corticosteroids, diabetes, or cardiovascular medications. Logistic regression was used to predict hemorrhagic stroke.

RESULTS

Aspirin and warfarin increased the risk for hemorrhagic stroke by 3.458 and 3.059, respectively. Presence of an additional NSAIDs reduced the risk by 48%.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Hemorrhagic stroke risk specific to older adults may provide helpful estimates for practitioners as they weigh the risk benefit of prescribing aspirin as an antiplatelet therapy for older adults.

Readmissions and Mortality During the First Year After Stroke-Data From a Population-Based Incidence Study

Background: After a first-ever-in-a-lifetime stroke (FELS), hospital readmissions are common and associated with increased mortality and morbidity of stroke survivors, thus, raising the overall health burden of stroke. Population-based stroke studies on hospital readmissions are scarce despite it being an important healthcare service quality indicator. We evaluated unplanned readmissions or death during the first year after a FELS and their potential factors, based on a Portuguese community register.

Methods: Data were retrieved from a population-based prospective register undertaken in Northern Portugal (ACIN2) in 2009–2011. Retrospective information about unplanned hospital readmissions and case fatality within 1 year after FELS index hospitalization (FELS-IH) was evaluated. Readmission/death-free survival 1 year after discharge was estimated using the Kaplan–Meyer method. Independent risk factors for readmission/death were identified using Cox proportional hazard models.

Results: Unplanned readmission/death within 1 year occurred in 120 (31.6%) of the 389 hospitalized FELS survivors. In 31.2% and 33.5% of the cases, it occurred after ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage, respectively. Infections and cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases were the main causes of readmission. Of the readmissions, 65.3% and 52.5% were potentially avoidable or stroke related, respectively. The main cause of potentially avoidable readmissions was the continuation/recurrence of the event responsible for the initial admission or a closely related condition (71.2%). Male sex, age, previous and post-stroke functional status, and FELS-IH length of stay were independent factors of readmission/death within 1 year.

Conclusions: Almost one-third of FELS survivors were readmitted/dead 1 year after their FELS-IH. This outcome persisted after the first months after stroke hospitalization in all stroke subtypes. More than half of readmissions were considered potentially avoidable or stroke related.

Trends in Stroke Incidence in High-Income Countries in the 21st Century: Population-Based Study and Systematic Review

Background and Purpose- Population-based studies provide the most reliable data on stroke incidence. A previous systematic review of population-based studies suggested that stroke incidence in high-income countries decreased by 42% between the 1970s and early 2000s. However, it is uncertain whether this trend of steady decline has been maintained in more recent periods. Methods- Data from OCSP (Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project; 1981-1986) and OXVASC (Oxford Vascular Study; 2002-2017) along with other published population-based stroke incidence studies that reported temporal trends of stroke incidence since 1990 in high-income countries were included. Age-standardized relative incidence rate ratios were calculated for each study and then pooled with inverse-variance weighted random-effects meta-analysis. Projection estimates were calculated for the number of incident stroke patients in the United Kingdom from year 2015 to 2045. Results- In Oxfordshire, stroke incidence fell by 32% from OCSP to OXVASC, with a similar trend before or after year 2000. With the projected aging population, if the age-specific stroke incidence continued to decrease at its current rate (6% every 5 years), there would still be a 13% increase of the number of first-ever strokes in the United Kingdom up to year 2045. Incorporating the Oxfordshire data with other 12 population-based studies, stroke incidence declined steadily between the 1990s and 2010s within each study, resulting in a 28% decline over an average period of 16.5 years (pooled incidence rate ratio, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.66-0.79]; P<0.0001). The trend was the same for men (0.69 [95% CI, 0.61-0.77]; P<0.0001) and women (0.66 [95% CI, 0.59-0.74]; P<0.0001) and remained consistent after year 2010 in OXVASC. Proportion of disabling or fatal stroke also decreased over time (early versus later period, 53.6% versus 46.1%; P=0.02). Conclusions- Stroke incidence is continuing to decline with steady rate in Oxfordshire and in other high-income settings. However, the absolute number of strokes occurring is not falling.

Transient ischemic attack: Incidence and early risk of stroke in northern Portugal from 1998–2000 to 2009–2011

Objective

A decline in TIA incidence would be expected mirroring stroke trends, but patient's awareness of symptoms/signs, improved diagnostic procedures and changes in severity of vascular disease may raise TIA incidence. We aimed to estimate changes in TIA incidence and 30-day stroke risk in Portugal.

Methods

Data from two prospective community-based registers of first-ever TIA in 104,700 (1998–2000) and 118,232 (2009–2011) persons were collected using comprehensive case ascertainment methods. Incidence and stroke risk from TIA onset were compared using different inception cohorts. ABCD2 was used to stratified stroke risk.

Results

Overall, 141 patients were included in 1998–2000 and 174 in 2009–2011. Crude annual incidence rate increased from 67 to 74/100,000 (IRR=1.12; 95% CI, 0.90–1.40), particularly in men under 65 years (IRR=1.79; 95% CI, 1.06–3.04). Male/female IRR increased from 1.20 (0.86–1.68) in 1998–2000 to 1.77 (1.31–2.39) in 2009–2011, after adjustment for age. Better control of vascular risk factors (VRFs) accounted for lower ABCD2 scores in 2009–2011. The 30-day stroke risk was similar in study periods (18.4% vs. 16.7%, p > 0.7), decreasing from 16.1% to 8.2% ( p < 0.042) excluding patients reporting TIA after stroke occurrence and from 12.2% to 4.0% ( p < 0.011) further excluding patients who had stroke in ambulance/hospital. ABCD2 discriminated stroke risk only in 1998–2000; stroke severity decreased while posterior circulation stroke was more common in 2009–2011.

Conclusion

Despite a stable TIA incidence across periods, the risk increased in men compared to women. Better control of VRF accounted for lower ABCD2 scores and secondary prevention reduced stroke risk. Men under 65 years emerge as a preferential target for primary and secondary prevention.

Time Trends in Atrial Fibrillation-Associated Stroke and Premorbid Anticoagulation: Population-Based Study and Systematic Review

Background and Purpose- Prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasing, but the impact on overall burden of stroke is uncertain, as is the proportion that could be attributed to under anticoagulation. We did a population-based study of AF-associated stroke and a systematic review of time trends in other stroke incidence studies and of rates of premorbid anticoagulation. Methods- The proportion of incident strokes with associated AF was determined in the OXVASC (Oxford Vascular Study; 2002-2017) and in other prospective, population-based stroke incidence studies published before December 2017. Proportions were pooled by Mantel Haenszel methods, and the pooled percentage of cases with premorbid anticoagulation was determined. Analyses were stratified by the age of study population, mid-study year, country, and ethnicity. Results- Of 1928 patients with incident ischemic stroke in OXVASC, 629 (32.6%; 95% CI, 30.5-34.7) were AF associated, consistent with the pooled estimate from 4 smaller studies over the same study period (608/1948; 31.2%, 30.0-32.4; Phet=0.80). The pooled estimate from all studies reporting premorbid AF over 25 million person-years of observation (1960 onwards; 33 reports) was lower (18.6%, 16.8-20.3) and more heterogeneous (Phet<0.0001), but 62% of heterogeneity was explained by the age of study population, study period, country, and ethnicity. The proportion of incident strokes on premorbid anticoagulation increased over time, both for ischemic stroke in OXVASC (2002-2007: 15.1%, 2008-2012: 19.6%, and 2013-2017: 35.9%; Ptrend<0.0001), and across all studies (P=0.002), but the pooled estimates suggested substantial undertreatment even in the most recent periods (2001-2015: 25.7%, 21.1-30.3 and ≥2010: 31.6%, 18.2-44.9). Conclusions- About 1 in 3 incident ischemic strokes are still AF associated, due partly to low rates of anticoagulation for known prior AF, which therefore represents a major public health opportunity to reduce the burden of stroke.

Sex Differences in Stroke Incidence in a Portuguese Community-Based Study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Stroke is a major health problem. Several studies reported sex differences regarding stroke. We aim to study this issue in an incidence stroke study.

METHODS

Data were retrieved from a community-based prospective register of patients that had a first ever stroke in a life time between October 2009 and September 2011. We studied sex differences regarding demographic data, vascular risk factors, stroke type, stroke severity (NIHSS), disability at 28days (modified Rankin scale (mRS)), and case fatality at 30 and 90days.

RESULTS

From 720 stroke patients, 45.3% were men. Women were older (75.0 ± 13.6 versus 67.2 ± 14.9 years), had a worse premorbid mRS (39.3% versus 25.5%, P < .001), and a higher prevalence of hypertension (P = .004) and atrial fibrillation (P < .001). Previous myocardial infarction was more frequent in men (P = .001), as well as smoking habits (P < .001). Ischemic stroke was more common in women than men (87.6% versus 81.3%, P = .038). The 28 days' outcome was worse in women (mRS ≥ 2, 77.2% versus 70.6%, P = .044). No differences were found in initial stroke severity (median NIHSS = 4) and case fatality at 30 and 90days, after adjusting for age and premorbid mRS.

CONCLUSION

No differences were found in stroke initial severity and mortality at 30 and 90days between men and women, despite the sex differences pertaining to the stroke profile-age, vascular risk factors, stroke type, and outcome. Our results are somewhat discrepant from those described in the literature; more research is needed to understand if this may be due to changes in stroke standard of care.

Short-Term Outcome of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Algarve, Portugal: Retrospective Hospital-Based Study

BACKGROUND

The short-term outcome from spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) is influenced by local quality of care and population specificities. There are no studies about the SICH mortality in southern Portugal. The objective of this study was to describe the predictors of 30-day in-hospital SICH mortality in Algarve, the southernmost region of Portugal.

METHODS

Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of in-hospital death. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate survival over time based on SICH severity.

RESULTS

Of the 549 cases, 349 (63.6%) were men; the mean age was 71.4 years. Two hundred seventeen patients (39.5%) did not receive stroke unit (SU) care. The 30-day mortality was 34.4%. Independent predictors of death were older age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.096, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.031-2.062, P = .022) per additional year, vitamin K antagonists use (OR = 5.464, 95% CI = 2.088-25.714, P = .043), admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 8 or lower (OR = 20.511, 95% CI = 7.862-62.168, P < .0001) or GCS score of 9-12 (OR = 12.709, 95% CI = 3.078-44.113, P < .0001), hematoma volume (OR = 1.037, 95% CI = 1.004-1.071, P = .028) per additional milliliter, intraventricular dissection (OR = 1.916, 95% CI = 1.105-4.566, P = .046), and pneumonia (OR 12.918, 95% CI = 4.603-24.683, P < .0001). SU care was independently associated with reduction of death (OR .395, 95% CI = .126-.635, P = .004). Severity correlated with short time to death (P < .0001). Sixty-five of the patients (39.2%) died after the seventh day of SICH ("non-neurological deaths").

CONCLUSIONS

The in-hospital 30-day mortality is high in the region. Admitting more patients to the SU and implementation of preventive strategies of complications can reduce mortality.