Mortality risk prediction in lupus patients complicated with invasive infection in the emergency department: LUPHAS score

Characteristics of patients with initial diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus in emergency department and their outcomes: a retrospective single-center study

STUDY OBJECTIVE

This study aims to investigate the characteristics of patients with an initial diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in an emergency department (ED) and their outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 147 SLE patients (119 females and 28 males, mean age 26 ± 19 years) who visited the ED of the Peking University People's Hospital between January 2017 and June 2022 were enrolled in the study. Data on demographic information, clinical characteristics, comorbidities, therapy, and outcomes were collected.

RESULTS

Most patients visit ED because of symptoms related to SLE (74.8%, 110/147). The remaining 37 patients (25.2%) visited ED due to infection (43.2%, 16/37), gastrointestinal bleeding (10.8%, 4/37), coronary heart or cerebrovascular disease (18.9%, 7/37), macrophage activation syndrome or thrombotic microangiopathy (18.9%, 7/37), leukemia (5.4%, 2/37), and hepatic encephalopathy (2.7%, 1/37). Of the patients, 54.4% (80/147) were first diagnosed with SLE at the time of their ED visit. Thrombocytopenia events occurred significantly more frequently in this group of patients (OR 3.664, 95% CI 1.586-8.464, p = 0.002). Pulse steroid therapy was administered to 32.5% (26/80) of the patients with an initial diagnosis of SLE, and 26.3% (21/80) of these patients also received IVIG therapy during their ED visit. SLEDAI scores were significantly decreased after 6 months of therapy. The rate of mortality was 6.8% (10/147) in the 6-month follow-up period, and all the ten deaths happened in patients with disease-established SLE. The main causes of death were infections (two patients) and SLE flare (four patients).

CONCLUSION

Understanding disease patterns can contribute to physicians providing accurate diagnosis and efficient care for SLE patients in ED. Key Points • Systemic lupus erythematosus, a complex autoimmune disorder, can have either a chronic or a relapsing and remitting disease course. The disease can involve acute events or severe comorbidities, and frequent visits to the emergency department (ED) are inevitable. • It is essential to better understand which comorbidities can lead to emergency department visits. Accurate clinical diagnosis and appropriate interventions from ED physicians can have a strong impact on the prognosis of the disease. • Hematologic compromise attributed to SLE flare is the most common reason for ED visits. Owing to aggressive treatments, the clinical outcomes in patients with initial diagnosis of SLE have improved notably. • Our study highlights that early recognition and appropriate management of SLE-related conditions and other comorbidity in ED are crucial.

Major Infections of Newly Diagnosed Childhood-Onset Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Objective

To evaluate the risk of major infections in children with newly diagnosed childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE).

Methods

Predictors of major infections were identified by the multivariable logistic regression. Major infection free was defined as no major infection events within 6 months after the diagnosis of cSLE. The Kaplan-Meier survival plot was performed. A prediction model for major infection events was established and examined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

A total of 98 eligible patients were recorded in the medical charts. Sixty-three documented events of major infections were found in 60 (61.2%) cSLE patients. Furthermore, 90.5% (57/63) of infection events occurred within the first 6 months after the diagnosis of cSLE. The high SLEDAI (SLEDAI >10), lupus nephritis and lymphocyte count <0.8×109/L were predictors for major infections. The CALL score (Children with high disease activity [SLEDAI >10], lymphopenia, and LN) was defined by the number of predictors. Patients were then categorized into two groups: low-risk (score 0-1) and high-risk (score 2-3). Patients in the high-risk group had higher rates of the major infection occurrence than those in the low-risk group during the 6 months after the diagnosis of the cSLE (P<0.001) (HR:14.10, 95% CI 8.43 to 23.59). The ROC curve analysis indicated that the CALL score was effective both in the whole cSLE cohort [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.81-0.97] and in the subgroup of lung infections (n = 35) (AUC = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.57-0.99).

Conclusion

High disease activity, LN and lymphopenia were predictors for major infections in newly diagnosed cSLE patients. Specific predictors help identify the cSLE patients with the high risk of major infections. The CALL score could be a useful tool to stratify cSLE patients in practice.

All-cause and cause-specific mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus: a population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate all-cause and cause-specific mortality in SLE patients between two time periods, 1997-2005 and 2006-14.

METHODS

We used an administrative health database from the province of British Columbia, Canada to match all incident SLE patients to 10 non-SLE individuals on sex, age and index date. Cohorts were divided into two subgroups, according to diagnosis year: early cohort 1997-2005 and late cohort 2006-14. The outcome was death [all-cause, renal disease, cancer, infection, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and other]. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs were estimated using univariate and multivariable Cox models.

RESULTS

Among 6092 SLE patients and 60 920 non-SLE individuals, there were 451 and 1910 deaths, respectively. The fully adjusted all-cause mortality HR (95% CI) in the overall SLE cohort was 1.85 (1.66, 2.06), with no statistically significant improvement between early and late cohorts [1.95 (1.69, 2.26) vs 1.74 (1.49, 2.04)]. There was excess mortality from renal disease [3.04 (2.29, 4.05)], infections [2.74 (2.19, 3.43)] and CVD [2.05 (1.77, 2.38)], but not cancer [1.18 (0.96, 1.46)], in the overall SLE cohort. There was no statistically significant improvement in cause-specific mortality between early and late cohorts for renal disease [3.57 (2.37, 5.36) vs 2.65 (1.78, 3.93)], infection [2.94 (2.17, 3.98) vs 2.54 (1.84, 3.51)] and CVD [1.95 (1.60, 2.38) vs 2.18 (1.76, 2.71)]. There was no increase in cancer-related mortality in either cohort [1.27 (0.96, 1.69) vs 1.10 (0.82, 1.48)].

CONCLUSION

This population-based study demonstrates a persisting mortality gap in all-cause and cause-specific deaths in SLE patients, compared with the general population.

Sepsis Mortality Is high in Patients With Connective Tissue Diseases Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU)

Objectives:

Patients with connective tissue diseases (CTD) such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have an increased risk for infections. This study investigated the outcome and characteristics of CTD patients under intensive care unit (ICU) treatment for sepsis.

Methods:

A single-center retrospective analysis was conducted and reviewed all patients with a CTD diagnosis admitted to the ICU of a university hospital for sepsis between 2006 and 2019. Mortality was computed and multivariate logistic regression was used to detect independent risk factors for sepsis mortality. Furthermore, the positive predictive value of ICU scores such as Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was evaluated.

Results:

This study included 44 patients with CTD (mean age 59.8 ± 16.1 years, 68.2% females), most of them with a diagnosed SLE (61.4%) followed by systemic sclerosis (15.9%). 56.8% (n = 25) were treated with immunosuppressives and 81.8% (n = 36) received glucocorticoids. Rituximab was used in 3 patients (6.8%). The hospital mortality of septic CTD patients was high with 40.9%. It was highest among systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients (85.7%). SOFA score and diagnosis of SSc were independently associated with mortality in multivariate logistic regression (P = 0.004 and 0.03, respectively). The Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), SOFA and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores were good predictors of sepsis mortality in the investigated cohort (SAPS II AUC 0.772, P = 0.002; SOFA AUC 0.756, P = 0.004; APACHE II AUC 0.741, P = 0.007).

Conclusions:

In-hospital sepsis mortality is high in CTD patients. SSc diagnoses and SOFA were independently associated with mortality. Additionally, common ICU scores were good predictors for mortality.

Systemic lupus erythematosus and risk of infection

INTRODUCTION

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disorder that affects almost every organ system and it is treated with immunomodulation and immunosuppression. SLE patients have an intrinsically dysfunctional immune system which is exacerbated by disease activity and leaves them vulnerable to infection. Treatment with immunosuppression increases susceptibility to infection, while hydroxychloroquine use decreases this risk. Infectious diseases are a leading cause of hospitalization and death.

AREAS COVERED

This narrative review provides an overview of recent epidemiology and predictors of infections in SLE, delineates the risk of infection by therapeutic agent, and provides suggestions for risk mitigation. Articles were selected from Pubmed searches conducted between September 2019 and January 2020.

EXPERT OPINION

Despite the large burden of infection, effective and safe preventative care such as universal hydroxychloroquine use and vaccination are underutilized. Future efforts should be directed to quality improvement, glucocorticoid reduction, and validation of risk indices that identify patients at the highest risk of infection.