Predicting In-Hospital Acute Heart Failure Worsening in the Oldest Old: Insights from Point-of-Care Ultrasound

The decompensation trajectory check is a basic step to assess the clinical course and to plan future therapy in hospitalized patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Due to the atypical presentation and clinical complexity, trajectory checks can be challenging in older patients with acute HF. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) has proved to be helpful in the clinical decision-making of patients with dyspnea; however, to date, no study has attempted to verify its role in predicting determinants of ADHF in-hospital worsening. In this single-center, cross-sectional study, we consecutively enrolled patients aged 75 or older hospitalized with ADHF in a tertiary care hospital. All of the patients underwent a complete clinical examination, blood tests, and POCUS, including Lung Ultrasound and Focused Cardiac Ultrasound. Out of 184 patients hospitalized with ADHF, 60 experienced ADHF in-hospital worsening. By multivariable logistic analysis, total Pleural Effusion Score (PEFs) [aO.R.: 1.15 (CI95% 1.02-1.33), p = 0.043] and IVC collapsibility [aO.R.: 0.90 (CI95% 0.83-0.95), p = 0.039] emerged as independent predictors of acute HF worsening after extensive adjustment for potential confounders. In conclusion, POCUS holds promise for enhancing risk assessment, tailoring diuretic treatment, and optimizing discharge timing for older patients with ADHF.

Risk factors for short-term mortality in elderly hip fracture patients with complicated heart failure in the ICU: A MIMIC-IV database analysis using nomogram

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is a prevalent and hazardous injury among the elderly population that often results in intensive care unit (ICU) admission due to various complications, despite advanced medical science. One common complication experienced in the ICU by elderly hip fracture patients is heart failure, which significantly impacts short-term survival rates. Currently, there is a deficit of adequate predictive models to forecast the short-term risk of death following heart failure for elderly hip fracture patients in the ICU. This study aims to identify independent risk factors for all-cause mortality within 30 days for elderly patients with hip fractures and heart failure while in the ICU in order to develop a predictive model.

METHOD

A total of 641 elderly patients with hip fractures combined with heart failure were recruited from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV dataset and randomized to the training and validation sets. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 30 days. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to reduce data dimensionality and select features. Multivariate logistic regression was used to build predictive models. Consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to measure the predictive performance of the nomogram.

RESULT

Our results showed that these variables including MCH, MCV, INR, monocyte percentage, neutrophils percentage, creatinine, and combined sepsis were independent factors for death within 30 days in elderly patients with hip fracture combined with heart failure in the ICU. The C-index was 0.869 (95% CI 0.823-0.916) and 0.824 (95% CI 0.749-0.900) for the training and validation sets, respectively. The results of the area under the curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed that the nomogram performed well in predicting elderly patients with hip fractures combined with heart failure in the ICU.

CONCLUSION

We developed a new nomogram model for predicting 30-day all-cause mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures combined with heart failure in the ICU, which could be a valid and useful clinical tool for clinicians for targeted treatment and prognosis prediction.

Predictors and prognostic implications of hospital-acquired pneumonia in patients admitted for acute heart failure

Introduction

Data on predictors and prognosis of hospital acquired pneumonia (HAP) in patients admitted for acute heart failure (AHF) to intensive care units (ICU) are scarce. Better knowledge of these factors may inform management strategies. This study aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of HAP and its impact on management and outcomes in patients hospitalised for AHF in the ICU.

Methods

this was a retrospective single-centre observational study. Patient-level and outcome data were collected from an anonymized registry-based dataset. Primary outcome was in-hospital all-cause mortality and secondary outcomes included length of stay (LOS), requirement for inotropic/ventilatory support, and prescription patterns of heart failure (HF) drug classes at discharge.

Results

Of 638 patients with AHF (mean age, 71.6 ± 12.7 years, 61.9% male), HAP occurred in 137 (21.5%). In multivariable analysis, HAP was predicted by de novo AHF, higher NT proB-type natriuretic peptide levels, pleural effusion on chest x-ray, mitral regurgitation, and a history of stroke, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease. Patients with HAP had a longer LOS, and a greater likelihood of requiring inotropes (adjusted odds ratio, OR, 2.31, 95% confidence interval, CI, 2.16-2.81; p < 0.001) or ventilatory support (adjusted OR 2.11, 95%CI, 1.76-2.79, p < 0.001). After adjusting for age, sex and clinical covariates, all-cause in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients with HAP (hazard ratio, 2.10; 95%CI, 1.71-2.84; p < 0.001). Patients recovering from HAP were less likely to receive HF medications at discharge.

Discussion

HAP is frequent in AHF patients in the ICU setting and more prevalent in individuals with de novo AHF, mitral regurgitation, higher burden of comorbidities, and more severe congestion. HAP confers a greater risk of complications and in-hospital mortality, and a lower likelihood of receiving evidence-based HF medications at discharge.

Clinical characteristics for distinguishing between acute cardiogenic pulmonary edema and community-acquired pneumonia in elderly patients: a prospective observational study

Heart failure and pneumonia are highly prevalent in elderly patients. We conducted a study to evaluate the differences in the patterns of symptoms, laboratory findings, and computed tomography (CT) results in elderly patients with acute cardiogenic pulmonary edema (ACPE) and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). From January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2017, we studied 140 patients aged >75 years who were diagnosed with ACPE and CAP. Symptoms, laboratory findings, mean ostial pulmonary vein (PV) diameter and patterns on CT images were assessed. The primary measures of diagnostic accuracy were assessed using the positive likelihood ratio (LR+). The cutoff value of ostial PVs for differentiating patients with ACPE from CAP was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Ninety-three patients with ACPE, 36 with CAP, and 11 with complicated ACPE/CAP were included. In patients with ACPE, edema (LR+ 5.4) was a moderate factor for rule-in, and a high brain natriuretic peptide level (LR+ 4.2) was weak. In patients with CAP, cough (LR+ 5.7) and leukocytosis (LR+ 5.2) were moderate factors for rule-in, while fever (LR+ 3.8) and a high C-reactive protein level (LR+ 4.8) were weak factors. The mean diameter of ostial PVs in patients with ACPE was significantly larger than that of patients with CAP (15.8± 1.8 mm vs 9.6±1.5 mm, p< 0.01). ROC analysis revealed that an ostial PV diameter cutoff of 12.5 mm was strong evidence for distinguishing ACPE from CAP with an area under the ROC curve of 0.99 and LR+ 36.0. In conclusion, as ACPE and CAP have similar symptoms and laboratory findings, dilated ostial PVs were useful in characterizing CT images to distinguish ACPE from CAP.

Acute Heart Failure: Diagnostic-Therapeutic Pathways and Preventive Strategies-A Real-World Clinician's Guide

Acute heart failure (AHF) is the most frequent cause of unplanned hospital admission in patients of >65 years of age and it is associated with significantly increased morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. Different AHF classification criteria have been proposed, mainly reflecting the clinical heterogeneity of the syndrome. Regardless of the underlying mechanism, peripheral and/or pulmonary congestion is present in the vast majority of cases. Furthermore, a marked reduction in cardiac output with peripheral hypoperfusion may occur in most severe cases. Diagnosis is made on the basis of signs and symptoms, laboratory, and non-invasive tests. After exclusion of reversible causes, AHF therapeutic interventions mainly consist of intravenous (IV) diuretics and/or vasodilators, tailored according to the initial hemodynamic status with the addition of inotropes/vasopressors and mechanical circulatory support if needed. The aim of this review is to discuss current concepts on the diagnosis and management of AHF in order to guide daily clinical practice and to underline the unmet needs. Preventive strategies are also discussed.

Biosensors for the Rapid Detection of Cardiovascular Biomarkers of Vital Interest: Needs, Analysis and Perspectives

We have previously surveyed a panel of 508 physicians from around the world about which biomarkers would be relevant if obtained in a very short time frame, corresponding to emergency situations (life-threatening or not). The biomarkers that emerged from this study were markers of cardiovascular disease: troponin, D-dimers, and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP). Cardiovascular disease is a group of disorders affecting the heart and blood vessels. At the intersection of medicine, basic research and engineering, biosensors that address the need for rapid biological analysis could find a place of choice in the hospital or primary care ecosystem. Rapid, reliable, and inexpensive analysis with a multi-marker approach, including machine learning analysis for patient risk analysis, could meet the demand of medical teams. The objective of this opinion review, proposed by a multidisciplinary team of experts (physicians, biologists, market access experts, and engineers), is to present cases where a rapid biological response is indeed valuable, to provide a short overview of current biosensor technologies for cardiac biomarkers designed for a short result time, and to discuss existing market access issues.

A Novel Index in the Prediction of Pneumonia Following Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

The aim of our study was to search for predictive factors and to develop a model (index) for the risk of pneumonia following acute ischemic stroke.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This study is an analysis of prospectively collected data from the neurology department of a district general hospital in Poland, comprising 1001 patients suffering from an acute ischemic stroke. Based on the medical data, the formula for the prediction of pneumonia was calculated.

RESULTS

Multivariate assessment for pneumonia occurrence was performed using the new PNEUMOINDEX. The study showed a significant increase in pneumonia risk with an increasing PNEUMOINDEX (OR non-adjusted = 2.738, p < 0.001). After accounting for age and comorbidities as confounders, the effect of the Index on pneumonia changed marginally (OR = 2.636, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents factors that show a significant association with the occurrence of pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke. The calculated PNEUMOINDEX consists of data obtained at admission, namely NYHA III and IV heart failure, COPD, generalized atherosclerosis, NIHHS score on admission, and CRP/Hgb ratio, and shows high prediction accuracy in predicting hospital-acquired pneumonia in ischemic stroke patients.

Time to Death and Its Determinant Factors Among Patients With Chronic Heart Failure in Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Study at Selected Referral Hospitals

Background

Heart failure (HF) is a major health problem that affects patients and healthcare systems worldwide. It is the leading cause of morbidity and death and negatively impacts the quality of life, healthcare costs, and longevity. However, the causes of death were not well defined. This study aimed to identify the determinants of death among patients with HF in the Amhara Region, Northwest Ethiopia.

Methods

A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted on 285 patients in the age group 15 years or older under follow-up from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019. Descriptive analyses were summarized using the Kaplan–Meier survival curve and the log-rank test. Then, the Cox-proportional hazard regression model was employed to estimate the hazard of death up to 5 years after they were admitted to the HF department to follow up on their treatment.

Results

Out of 285 patients with HF, 93(32.6%) of the respondents were dying within 5 years of follow-up. Anemia was the common comorbid disease (30.5%), and valvular heart disease was the most common etiology (33.7%) of chronic heart failure in this study. This study showed a significant mortality difference between hospitals. HF patients with hypertension [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 3.5076, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.43, 8.60], anemia (AHR: 2.85, 95% 1.61, 5.03), pneumonia (AHR: 2.02, 95% 1.20, 3.39), chronic kidney disease (2.23, CI: 1.31, 3.77), and diabetes mellitus (AHR: 2.42, 95% CI: 1.43, 4.09) were at a higher risk of death. Moreover, patients with symptoms listed in the New York Heart Association Class (III and IV), Ischemic Heart Disease and unknown etiologies, men (AHR: 2.76, 95%:1.59, 4.78), and those with a high pulse rate (AHR: 1.02, 95%:1.00, 1.04) were at a higher risk of death.

Conclusion

There was a mortality difference between hospitals. This study has revealed that HF patients with anemia, diabetes mellitus, pneumonia, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, HF etiologies, severe New York Heart Association Class (III and IV), men, and high pulse rate were the main factors associated with death. Health professionals could give more attention to patients whose pulse rate is high, men, and a patient who had comorbidities in the ward.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Lung Ultrasound B-Lines in Acute Heart Failure With Concomitant Pneumonia

Purpose: To evaluate the potential confounding effect of concomitant pneumonia (PNM) on lung ultrasound (LUS) B-lines in acute heart failure (AHF).

Methods: We enrolled 86 AHF patients with (31 pts, AHF/PNM) and without (55 pts, AHF) concomitant PNM. LUS B-lines were evaluated using a combined antero-lateral (AL) and posterior (POST) approach at admission (T0), after 24 h from T0 (T1), after 48 h from T0 (T2) and before discharge (T3). B-lines score was calculated at each time point on AL and POST chest, dividing the number of B-lines by the number of explorable scanning sites. The decongestion rate (DR) was calculated as the difference between the absolute B-lines number at discharge and admission, divided by the number of days of hospitalization. Patients were followed-up and hospital readmission for AHF was considered as adverse outcome.

Results: At admission, AHF/PNM patients showed no difference in AL B-lines score compared with AHF patients [AHF/PNM: 2.00 (IQR: 1.44–2.94) vs. AHF: 1.65 (IQR: 0.50–2.66), p = 0.072], whereas POST B-lines score was higher [AHF/PNM: 3.76 (IQR: 2.70–4.77) vs. AHF = 2.44 (IQR: 1.20–3.60), p < 0.0001]. At discharge, AL B-lines score [HR: 1.907 (1.097–3.313), p = 0.022] and not POST B-lines score was found to predict adverse events (AHF rehospitalization) after a median follow-up of 96 days (IQR: 30–265) in the overall population.

Conclusions: Assessing AL B-lines alone is adequate for diagnosis, pulmonary congestion (PC) monitoring and prognostic stratification in AHF patients, despite concomitant PNM.

Study of correlation between 2D echocardiographic assessment of right ventricle and outcome of acute heart failure patients

Background

Hospital length of stay (LOS) is a key determinant of heart failure hospitalization costs and performance of medical care quality. Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction predicted poor outcome in patients with acute heart failure (AHF).

Aim

To study the effect of right ventricular function on length of hospital stay as a predictor in patients with acute heart failure.

Methods

A prospective cohort study was conducted in Cardiology Care Units (CCUs) in Zagazig University Hospital and Shark El Madina Hospital from September 2019 to February 2020, we included in this study 99 patients admitted with AHF. Clinical data and baseline RV function assessed by tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and S' velocity were collected. Clinical comorbidities including worsening renal function (WRF) were monitored during hospitalization. The primary outcome was hospital LOS.

Results

There was statistically significant correlation between WRF, right ventricular systolic dysfunction identified by TAPSE<16 mm and S' <9.5 cm/s and poor outcome in patients with acute heart failure including prolonged LOS.

Conclusion

Right ventricular (RV) systolic dysfunction as assessed by TAPSE and S' velocity and diastolic dysfunction were independent predictors of longer LOS in AHF patients. WRF had high prevalence among patients with AHF and associated with poor outcome in AHF patients and prolonged LOS.

Incidence and Outcomes of Pneumonia in Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

The incidence of pneumonia and subsequent outcomes has not been compared in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to examine the rate and impact of pneumonia in the PARADIGM-HF (Prospective Comparison of Angiotensin Receptor-Neprilysin Inhibitor With Angiotensin Converting Enzyme Inhibitor to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure) and PARAGON-HF (Prospective Comparison of ARNI with ARB Global Outcomes in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction) trials.

METHODS

The authors analyzed the incidence of investigator-reported pneumonia and the rates of HF hospitalization, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death before and after the occurrence of pneumonia, and estimated risk after the first occurrence of pneumonia in unadjusted and adjusted analyses (the latter including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide).

RESULTS

In PARADIGM-HF, 528 patients (6.3%) developed pneumonia after randomization, giving an incidence rate of 29 (95% CI: 27 to 32) per 1,000 patient-years. In PARAGON-HF, 510 patients (10.6%) developed pneumonia, giving an incidence rate of 39 (95% CI: 36 to 42) per 1,000 patient-years. The subsequent risk of all trial outcomes was elevated after the occurrence of pneumonia. In PARADIGM-HF, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for the risk of death from any cause was 4.34 (95% CI: 3.73 to 5.05). The corresponding adjusted HR in PARAGON-HF was 3.76 (95% CI: 3.09 to 4.58).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of pneumonia was high in patients with HF, especially HFpEF, at around 3 times the expected rate. A first episode of pneumonia was associated with 4-fold higher mortality. (Prospective Comparison of Angiotensin Receptor-Neprilysin Inhibitor With Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure [PARADIGM-HF], NCT01035255; Prospective Comparison of ARNI [Angiotensin Receptor-Neprilysin Inhibitor] With ARB [Angiotensin Receptor Blocker] Global Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction [PARAGON-HF], NCT01920711).

Worsening of heart failure by coronavirus disease 2019 is associated with high mortality

AIMS

Patients with advanced heart failure (HF) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFrEF) and concurrent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) might have a higher risk of severe events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively studied 16 patients with advanced HFrEF who developed COVID-19 between 1 March and 29 May 2020. Follow-up lasted until 30 September. Ten patients previously hospitalized with decompensated HFrEF were infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during hospitalization. Six patients undergoing ambulatory care at initiation of COVID-19 symptoms were hospitalized because of advanced HFrEF. All patients who experienced worsening of HFrEF due to COVID-19 required higher doses or introduction of additional inotropic drugs or intra-aortic balloon pump in the intensive care unit. The mean intravenous dobutamine dose before SARS-CoV-2 infection in previously hospitalized patients (n = 10) and the median (inter-quartile range) peak intravenous dobutamine dose during SARS-CoV-2 infection in all patients (n = 16) were 2 (0-7) μg/kg/min and 20 (14-20) (P < 0.001), respectively. During follow-up, 56% underwent heart transplantation (n = 2) or died (n = 7). Four patients died during hospitalization from mixed shock consequent to severe acute respiratory syndrome with inflammatory storm syndrome associated with septic and cardiogenic shock during COVID-19. After COVID-19 recovery, two patients died from mixed septic and cardiogenic shock and one from sustained ventricular tachycardia and cardiogenic shock. Five patients were discharged from hospital to ambulatory care. Four were awaiting heart transplantation.

CONCLUSION

Worsening of advanced HF by COVID-19 is associated with high mortality. This report highlights the importance of preventing COVID-19 in patients with advanced HF.

Diagnostic performance of congestion score index evaluated from chest radiography for acute heart failure in the emergency department: A retrospective analysis from the PARADISE cohort

BACKGROUND

Congestion score index (CSI), a semiquantitative evaluation of congestion on chest radiography (CXR), is associated with outcome in patients with heart failure (HF). However, its diagnostic value in patients admitted for acute dyspnea has yet to be evaluated.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

The diagnostic value of CSI for acute HF (AHF; adjudicated from patients' discharge files) was studied in the Pathway of dyspneic patients in Emergency (PARADISE) cohort, including patients aged 18 years or older admitted for acute dyspnea in the emergency department (ED) of the Nancy University Hospital (France) between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2015. CSI (ranging from 0 to 3) was evaluated using a semiquantitative method on CXR in consecutive patients admitted for acute dyspnea in the ED. Results were validated in independent cohorts (N = 224). Of 1,333 patients, mean (standard deviation [SD]) age was 72.0 (18.5) years, 686 (51.5%) were men, and mean (SD) CSI was 1.42 (0.79). Patients with higher CSI had more cardiovascular comorbidities, more severe congestion, higher b-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), poorer renal function, and more respiratory acidosis. AHF was diagnosed in 289 (21.7%) patients. CSI was significantly associated with AHF diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio [OR] for 0.1 unit CSI increase 1.19, 95% CI 1.16-1.22, p < 0.001) after adjustment for clinical-based diagnostic score including age, comorbidity burden, dyspnea, and clinical congestion. The diagnostic accuracy of CSI for AHF was >0.80, whether alone (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] 0.84, 95% CI 0.82-0.86) or in addition to the clinical model (AUROC 0.87, 95% CI 0.85-0.90). CSI improved diagnostic accuracy on top of clinical variables (net reclassification improvement [NRI] = 94.9%) and clinical variables plus BNP (NRI = 55.0%). Similar diagnostic accuracy was observed in the validation cohorts (AUROC 0.75, 95% CI 0.68-0.82). The key limitation of our derivation cohort was its single-center and retrospective nature, which was counterbalanced by the validation in the independent cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we observed that a systematic semiquantified assessment of radiographic pulmonary congestion showed high diagnostic value for AHF in dyspneic patients. Better use of CXR may provide an inexpensive, widely, and readily available method for AHF triage in the ED.

Therapeutic target and molecular mechanism of vitamin C-treated pneumonia: a systematic study of network pharmacology

Vitamin C (VC), a well-reported antioxidant, is found with beneficial actions of preventing and treating pneumonia.

Relationship between pneumonia and cardiovascular diseases: A retrospective cohort study of the general population

AIMS

To evaluate the relationship between cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and pneumonia in the general population.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included two cohorts, namely CVD (n = 28,363) and non-CVD (n = 28,363) cohorts, which were matched by propensity score and examined for cases of pneumonia. Data were obtained from 2000 to 2011. In both cohorts, pneumonia risk was measured using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

With the non-CVD cohort as reference, the corresponding adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) [95% confidence intervals (CIs)] of pneumonia were 2.03 [1.77-2.31] for coronary artery disease, 4.11 [3.15-5.36] for heart failure, 3.21 [2.70-3.81] for cerebrovascular disease, 1.46 [1.07-1.98] for peripheral vascular disease, and 2.27 [2.01-2.56] for the CVD cohort. The cohort with comorbidities had a higher risk (all p < .05) of pneumonia compared with that without comorbidities, except for patients with the comorbidities of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and liver disease. The aHR (95% CI) of pneumonia for antibiotic use was 1.26 (1.09-1.47). The aHRs of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) were 3.25 (95% CI = 1.04-10.1) and 2.95 (95% CI = 2.25-3.88), respectively. The aHRs (95% CI) were 1.78 (1.05-3.03) for intensive care unit (ICU) risk and 0.98 (0.96-0.99) for length of admission.

CONCLUSION

Pneumonia risk was associated with CVDs, especially heart failure, regardless of age, gender, comorbidities, and antibiotic use, particularly in elderly male patients. In addition, Patients with CVDs had a higher risk of CAP and HAP. The CVD cohort had a higher frequency of ICU admissions, but shorter admission lengths.