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Evaluation of the Completeness and Timeliness of the Infant Pertussis Surveillance System in the Czech Republic in 2015, 2017 and 2019. Zdr Varst 2023. [DOI: 10.2478/sjph-2023-0010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/17/2023] Open
Abstract
ABSTRACT
Introduction
The completeness and timeliness of the pertussis questionnaire-based enhanced surveillance system (ESS) among infants and reported pertussis data within the electronic nationwide notification system (NNS) in the years 2015, 2017 and 2019 were evaluated in a pilot study.
Methods
The completeness of the variables for demographic characteristics, date of symptom onset, hospitalisation and vaccination status were assessed in both systems. Timeliness of reporting in the NNS was analysed as the interval between symptom onset and a) the date of first specimen collection (diagnostic delay), and b) the date of the Regional Public Health Authority receiving notification (notification delay).
Results
A total of 121 confirmed pertussis cases were reported to the NNS in the study years, while in the ESS a total of 104 confirmed cases were reported in infants. In both systems most cases were in the age group of one completed month of life (20% versus 23%) and males (55% versus 55%). The majority of cases were hospitalised (81% versus 85%) and unvaccinated (77% versus 78%). Within the NNS, the first dose of vaccine was reported in 13 cases, the second dose in 11, and third dose in three cases. Within the NNS, 100% completeness of following variables was found: symptom onset, week and region of reporting, age, gender and place of isolation. Median diagnostic delay was nine days. Median notification delay was 18 days.
Conclusions
Data completeness was high in the NNS, except for lack of vaccination data in those eligible by age. Efforts to improve the completeness of laboratory-related variables and timeliness are essential. Based on the study results, the project of improving the ESS for infants will continue with regular evaluation.
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Branda F, Mahal A, Maruotti A, Pierini M, Mazzoli S. The challenges of open data for future epidemic preparedness: The experience of the 2022 Ebolavirus outbreak in Uganda. Front Pharmacol 2023; 14:1101894. [PMID: 36843943 PMCID: PMC9950500 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2023.1101894] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2022] [Accepted: 01/24/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2023] Open
Abstract
On 20 September 2022, the Ministry of Health in Uganda, together with the World Health Organization-Regional Office for Africa (WHO AFRO) confirmed an outbreak of EVD due to Sudan ebolavirus in Mubende District, after one fatal case was confirmed. Real-time information are needed to provide crucial information to understand transmissibility, risk of geographical spread, routes of transmission, risk factors of infection, and provide the basis for epidemiological modelling that can inform response and containment planning to reduce the burden of disease. We made an effort to build a centralized repository of the Ebola virus cases from verified sources, providing information on dates of symptom onset, locations (aggregated to the district level), and when available, the gender and status of hospitals, reporting bed capacity and isolation unit occupancy rate according to the severity status of the patient. The proposed data repository provides researchers and policymakers timely, complete, and easy-accessible data to monitor the most recent trends of the Ebola outbreak in Ugandan districts with informative graphical outputs. This favors a rapid global response to the disease, enabling governments to prioritize and adjust their decisions quickly and effectively in response to the rapidly evolving emergency, with a solid data basis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesco Branda
- Department of Computer Science, Modeling, Electronics and Systems Engineering (DIMES), University of Calabria, Rende, Italy,*Correspondence: Francesco Branda,
| | - Ahmed Mahal
- Department of Medical Biochemical Analysis, College of Health Technology, Cihan University—Erbil, Erbil, Kurdistan, Iraq
| | | | - Massimo Pierini
- EpiData.it, Bergamo, Italy,Statistics and Big Data, Universitas Mercatorum, Rome, Italy
| | - Sandra Mazzoli
- EpiData.it, Bergamo, Italy,STDs Centre, Santa Maria Annunziata Hospital, Florence, Italy
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Dos S Ribeiro C, van Roode M, Farag E, Nour M, Moustafa A, Ahmed M, Haringhuizen G, Koopmans M, van de Burgwal L. A framework for measuring timeliness in the outbreak response path: lessons learned from the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) epidemic, September 2012 to January 2019. Euro Surveill 2022; 27:2101064. [PMID: 36695460 PMCID: PMC9716647 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2022.27.48.2101064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2021] [Accepted: 09/21/2022] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
BackgroundEpidemics are a constant threat in the 21st century, particularly disease outbreaks following spillover of an animal virus to humans. Timeliness, a key metric in epidemic response, can be examined to identify critical steps and delays in public health action.AimTo examine timeliness, we analysed the response to the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) epidemic, with a focus on the international and One Health response efforts.MethodsWe performed a historical review of the MERS epidemic between September 2012 and January 2019 in three steps: (i) the construction of a timeline identifying critical events in the global response, (ii) the performance of a critical path analysis to define outbreak milestones and (iii) a time gap analysis to measure timeliness in the execution of these milestones.ResultsWe proposed 14 MERS-specific milestones at different phases of the epidemic, assessing timeliness of the public health response as well as at the animal-human interface, where we identified the most significant delays.ConclusionsWhen comparing timeliness across three coronavirus epidemics, i.e. MERS (2012), SARS (2002) and COVID-19 (2019), we identified clear improvements over time for certain milestones including laboratory confirmation and diagnostics development, while this was not as apparent for others, as the identification of zoonotic hosts. To more efficiently respond to emerging threats, the global health community should widely assess and tackle specific delays in implementing response interventions by addressing challenges in the sharing of information, data and resources, as well as efficiency, quality, transparency and reliability of reporting events.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carolina Dos S Ribeiro
- Vrije Universiteit (VU) Amsterdam, Faculty of Science, Athena Institute for Research on Innovation and Communication in Health and Life Sciences, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
- The Netherlands National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Center for Infectious Disease Control, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Martine van Roode
- Erasmus Medical Center (EMC), Viroscience Department, Pandemic and Disaster Preparedness Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - Mohamed Nour
- Ministry of Public Health, Department of Public health, Doha, Qatar
| | - Aya Moustafa
- Ministry of Public Health, Department of Public health, Doha, Qatar
| | - Minahil Ahmed
- Ministry of Public Health, Department of Public health, Doha, Qatar
| | - George Haringhuizen
- The Netherlands National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Center for Infectious Disease Control, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Marion Koopmans
- Erasmus Medical Center (EMC), Viroscience Department, Pandemic and Disaster Preparedness Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Linda van de Burgwal
- Vrije Universiteit (VU) Amsterdam, Faculty of Science, Athena Institute for Research on Innovation and Communication in Health and Life Sciences, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
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Ibrahim LM, Okudo I, Stephen M, Ogundiran O, Pantuvo JS, Oyaole DR, Tegegne SG, Khalid A, Ilori E, Ojo O, Ihekweazu C, Baraka F, Mulombo WK, Lasuba CLP, Nsubuga P, Alemu W. Electronic reporting of integrated disease surveillance and response: lessons learned from northeast, Nigeria, 2019. BMC Public Health 2021; 21:916. [PMID: 33985451 PMCID: PMC8117577 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-10957-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2020] [Accepted: 05/04/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Electronic reporting of integrated disease surveillance and response (eIDSR) was implemented in Adamawa and Yobe states, Northeastern Nigeria, as an innovative strategy to improve disease reporting. Its objectives were to improve the timeliness and completeness of IDSR reporting by health facilities, prompt identification of public health events, timely information sharing, and public health action. We evaluated the project to determine whether it met its set objectives. METHOD We conducted a cross-sectional study to assess and document the lessons learned from the project. We reviewed the performance of the local government areas (LGAs) on timeliness and completeness of reporting, rumors identification, and reporting on the eIDSR and the traditional paper-based system using a checklist. Respondents were interviewed online on the relevance, efficiency, sustainability, project progress and effectiveness, the effectiveness of management, and potential impact and scalability of the strategy using structured questionnaires. Data were cleaned, analyzed, and presented as proportions using an MS Excel spreadsheet. Responses were also presented as direct quotes. RESULTS The number of health facilities reporting IDSR increased from 103 to 228 (117%) before and after implementation of the eIDSR respectively. The timeliness of reporting was 43% in the LGA compared to 73% in health facilities implementing eIDSR. The completeness of IDSR reports in the last 6 months before the evaluation was ≥85%. Of the 201 rumors identified and verified, 161 (80%) were from the eIDSR pilot sites. The majority of the stakeholders interviewed believed that eIDSR met its predetermined objectives for public health surveillance. The benefits of eIDSR included timely reporting and response to alerts and disease outbreaks, improved timeliness, and completeness of reporting, and supportive supervision to the operational levels. The strategy helped stakeholders to appreciate their roles in public health surveillance. CONCLUSION The eIDSR has increased the number of health facilities reporting IDSR, enabled early identification, reporting, and verification of alerts, improved timeliness and completeness of reports, and supportive supervision of staff at the operational levels. It was well accepted by the stakeholder as a system that made reporting easy with the potential to improve the public health surveillance system in Nigeria.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luka Mangveep Ibrahim
- World Health Organization, Rivers House, #83 Ralph Shodeinde Street, Abuja, Nigeria.
| | - Ifeanyi Okudo
- World Health Organization, Rivers House, #83 Ralph Shodeinde Street, Abuja, Nigeria
| | | | | | - Jerry Shitta Pantuvo
- World Health Organization, Rivers House, #83 Ralph Shodeinde Street, Abuja, Nigeria
| | | | - Sisay Gashu Tegegne
- World Health Organization, Rivers House, #83 Ralph Shodeinde Street, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Abdelrahim Khalid
- World Health Organization, Rivers House, #83 Ralph Shodeinde Street, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Elsie Ilori
- Nigerian Center for Disease Control, Jabi, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Olubunmi Ojo
- Nigerian Center for Disease Control, Jabi, Abuja, Nigeria
| | | | - Fiona Baraka
- World Health Organization, Rivers House, #83 Ralph Shodeinde Street, Abuja, Nigeria
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Quality and Utility of Information Captured by Surveillance Systems Relevant to Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR): A Systematic Review. Antibiotics (Basel) 2021; 10:antibiotics10040431. [PMID: 33924412 PMCID: PMC8069834 DOI: 10.3390/antibiotics10040431] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2021] [Revised: 04/09/2021] [Accepted: 04/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Health surveillance systems are considered vital for combatting antimicrobial resistance (AMR); however, the evidence-base on the effectiveness of these systems in providing information that can be used by healthcare professionals, or the acceptability of these systems by users, has not been reviewed. A systematic review was conducted of a number of databases to synthesise the evidence. The review identified 43 studies that met the inclusion criteria, conducted in 18 countries and used 11 attributes in their assessment of surveillance systems. The majority of systems evaluated were for monitoring the incidence of tuberculosis. The studies found that most surveillance systems were underperforming in key attributes that relate to both effectiveness and acceptability. We identified that two features of systems (ease of use and users' awareness of systems) were associated with greater acceptability and completeness of systems. We recommend prioritising these for the improvement of existing systems, as well as ensuring consistency in the definition of attributes studied, to allow a more consistent approach in evaluations of surveillance systems, and to facilitate the identification of the attributes that have the greatest impact on the utility of data produced.
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High Probability of Long Diagnostic Delay in Coronavirus Disease 2019 Cases with Unknown Transmission Route in Japan. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2020; 17:ijerph17228655. [PMID: 33233409 PMCID: PMC7700688 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17228655] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2020] [Revised: 11/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/19/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Long diagnostic delays (LDDs) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) might decrease the effectiveness of patient isolation in reducing subsequent transmission. We assumed that direction of government considerably increased probability of LDD among COVID-19 cases with unknown exposure in Japan. This study aimed to investigate association of route of case detection and proportion of LDD of COVID-19 in Japan. We included confirmed COVID-19 patients with symptom onset between the ninth and eleventh week in 2020, in 6 prefectures of Japan. LDD was defined as the duration between COVID-19 symptom onset and confirmation ≥6 days. We used multivariable logistic regression analyses to elucidate factors associated with LDD. The mean diagnostic delay for 364 cases was 6.3 days. Proportion of LDD was 38% for cases with known exposure, and 65% for cases with unknown exposure. The probability of LDD in cases with unknown exposure was significantly higher than that for known exposure cases (adjusted odds ratio: 2.38, 95% confidence interval: 1.354–4.21). Early PCR test after symptom onset, strengthening of PCR test capacity, and investigations to study impact of high proportion of LDD in cases without known exposure might be necessary.
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7
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Boes L, Houareau C, Altmann D, An der Heiden M, Bremer V, Diercke M, Dudareva S, Neumeyer-Gromen A, Zimmermann R. Evaluation of the German surveillance system for hepatitis B regarding timeliness, data quality, and simplicity, from 2005 to 2014. Public Health 2020; 180:141-148. [PMID: 31918048 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2019.11.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2019] [Revised: 10/04/2019] [Accepted: 11/12/2019] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Germany has a mandatory surveillance system for acute hepatitis B (AHB) with the Protection against Infection Act as the legal basis in place since 2001. An amendment was introduced in 2013. We aimed at evaluating the surveillance systems' performance regarding timeliness, data quality, and simplicity from 2005 to 2014 and at assessing the effect of the amendment on timeliness of AHB surveillance. STUDY DESIGN This study is a trend analysis of surveillance data. METHODS Aspects of simplicity versus complexity of the surveillance system were assessed by describing data flow, levels of reporting, and data management procedures. Data quality, in terms of data completeness, was evaluated by quantitative indicators, and timeliness was measured in days between different levels of the surveillance system, notification delay, and reporting delay. Trends over time in data quality were analyzed by logistic regression, while negative binomial regression was used to test for trend over time regarding mean notification and reporting delay. RESULTS Between January 2005 and December 2014, a total of 22,549 AHB infections were reported at the national level. The data flow of the German AHB surveillance system showed structural characteristics of a complex system. Over the 10-year period, completeness of reporting sex, age, probable route of transmission, and hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination were 99%, 100%, 25%, and 73%, respectively. However, data quality decreased over the evaluation period. Although notification delay improved over time (incident rate ratio [IRR] = 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.95-0.96; P < 0.05), reporting delay improved only since the amendment (IRR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.70-0.82; P < 0.05). In total, mean notification and reporting delay were 3.0 days and 14.3 days, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The German AHB surveillance system is operating in a timely manner. Although timeliness improved over the evaluation period and the amendment to the Protection against Infection Act succeeded in reducing reporting time, data quality in terms of completeness of information decreased considerably. As improved data completeness is required to adequately design prevention activities, reasons for this decrease should further be explored.
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Affiliation(s)
- L Boes
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - C Houareau
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany; Charité University Medicine, Berlin, Germany
| | - D Altmann
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - M An der Heiden
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - V Bremer
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - M Diercke
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Surveillance Unit, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - S Dudareva
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - A Neumeyer-Gromen
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
| | - R Zimmermann
- Robert Koch Institute, Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Unit for HIV/AIDS, STI and Blood-borne Infections, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.
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Ahmad S, Ali N, Kausar M, Misbah H, Wahid A. Road toward rapid-molecular point of care test to detect novel SARS-coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19): Review from updated literature. Allergol Immunopathol (Madr) 2020; 48:518-520. [PMID: 32636083 PMCID: PMC7328543 DOI: 10.1016/j.aller.2020.06.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2020] [Accepted: 06/20/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) named by the WHO as a result of the global public health emergency. COVID-19 is caused by a new coronavirus named as novel coronavirus (2019-nCOV). From the first case reported in December 2019 it is now a pandemic situation and a major public health emergency. The COVID-19 transmission rate is very high, infecting two to three persons on average with contact to an already infected person. There is a need for the health system, specially in developing countries such as in Pakistan, to combat such a novel disease by rapid, accurate, and high quality diagnostic testing in order to screen suspected cases and also surveillance of the disease. A rapid, accurate and low-cost diagnostic point-of-care device is needed for timely diagnosis of COVID-19 and is essential to combat such outbreaks for compelling preventive measures against the disease spread. This review is to highlight the importance of point-of-care diagnostics device for robust and accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 in physician offices and other urgent healthcare-type settings and encourage academics and stake holders towards advancement in order to control outbreaks and develop the public health surveillance system.
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Affiliation(s)
- S. Ahmad
- College of Medical technology MTI- BKMC Mardan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan,Corresponding author
| | - N. Ali
- College of Medical technology MTI- BKMC Mardan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
| | - M. Kausar
- Rehman College of Allied Health Sciences, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
| | - H. Misbah
- North West General Hospital and Research Center, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
| | - A. Wahid
- Rehman College of Allied Health Sciences, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
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Swaan CM, Wong A, Bonačić Marinović A, Kretzschmar ME, van Steenbergen JE. Timeliness of infectious disease reporting, the Netherlands, 2003 to 2017: law change reduced reporting delay, disease identification delay is next. Euro Surveill 2019; 24:1900237. [PMID: 31822327 PMCID: PMC6905299 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2019.24.49.1900237] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2019] [Accepted: 08/02/2019] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BackgroundTimely notification of infectious diseases is essential for effective disease control and needs regular evaluation.AimOur objective was to evaluate the effects that statutory adjustments in the Netherlands in 2008 and raising awareness during outbreaks had on notification timeliness.MethodsIn a retrospective analyses of routine surveillance data obtained between July 2003 and November 2017, delays between disease onset and laboratory confirmation (disease identification delay), between laboratory confirmation and notification to Municipal Health Services (notification delay) and between notification and reporting to the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (reporting delay) were analysed for 28 notifiable diseases. Delays before (period 1) and after the law change (periods 2 and 3) were compared with legal timeframes. We studied the effect of outbreak awareness in 10 outbreaks and the effect of specific guidance messages on disease identification delay for two diseases.ResultsWe included 144,066 notifications. Average notification delay decreased from 1.4 to 0.4 days across the three periods (six diseases; p < 0.05), reporting delay decreased mainly in period 2 (from 0.5 to 0.1 days, six diseases; p < 0.05). In 2016-2017, legal timeframes were met overall. Awareness resulted in decreased disease identification delay for three diseases: measles and rubella (outbreaks) and psittacosis (specific guidance messages).ConclusionsLegal adjustments decreased notification and reporting delays, increased awareness reduced identification delays. As disease identification delay dominates the notification chain, insight in patient, doctor and laboratory delay is necessary to further improve timeliness and monitor the impact of control measures during outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Corien M Swaan
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Albert Wong
- Department of Statistics, Mathematical Modelling and Data Logistics, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Axel Bonačić Marinović
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Mirjam Ee Kretzschmar
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Jim E van Steenbergen
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
- Centre for Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, the Netherlands
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Akhmetzhanov AR, Lee H, Jung SM, Kayano T, Yuan B, Nishiura H. Analyzing and forecasting the Ebola incidence in North Kivu, the Democratic Republic of the Congo from 2018-19 in real time. Epidemics 2019; 27:123-131. [PMID: 31080016 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.05.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2019] [Revised: 04/24/2019] [Accepted: 05/02/2019] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
During an Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak, the analysis and forecasting of the incidence in real time is challenged by reporting of cases, especially the reporting delay. It should be remembered that the latest count of cases is likely underestimated in real time, and moreover, the effective reproduction number, i.e. the average number of secondary cases generated by a single primary case at a given point in time, is also underestimated without proper adjustment. The present study aimed to adjust the reporting delay to appropriately estimate the latest incidence and obtain short-term forecasts from weekly reporting data of EVD in North Kivu, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). A semi-structured modeling approach was taken, accounting for reporting delay which can depend on time. The mean reporting delay was estimated at 11.6 days (95% CI: 11.3, 11.9) and the standard deviation was estimated to have changed from 26 November 2019 from 8.5-6.0 days. Nowcasting was successfully implemented by account for the time-dependent reporting delay: it mostly contained future observed values within the 95% confidence intervals, but there were failures when the reported incidence abruptly changed over time. Forecasting was also exercised in a similar manner to the nowcasting, while we imposed an extrapolation approach to the effective reproduction number for two future weeks. Moving average of the reproduction numbers for a few weeks prior the latest time of observation outperformed other extrapolations. The information that we can gain from real time (i.e. sequential) update of "situation report" can be considerably improved by integrating the proposed nowcasting and forecasting to the surveillance system.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Hyojung Lee
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Sung-Mok Jung
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Taishi Kayano
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Baoyin Yuan
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Hiroshi Nishiura
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan; CREST, JapanScience and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan.
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Mohamed AA, Chehab MA, Al-Dahshan A, Al-Romaihi HE, Farag EA. An Evaluation of the National Brucellosis Surveillance System in Qatar, 2018. Cureus 2019; 11:e4169. [PMID: 31086754 PMCID: PMC6497511 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.4169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Brucellosis is one of the most prevalent bacterial zoonoses and is considered an economically important infection that affects humans and livestock. The infection is usually transmitted to humans through direct contact with infected materials, such as the afterbirth, or indirectly through the ingestion of animal products. In addition, the consumption of raw milk represents a major source of the infection. In the Eastern Mediterranean region, the incidence of brucellosis ranges from one per 100,000 to 20 per 100,000; however, the actual figure is estimated at 20 to 25 times greater owing to the poor surveillance systems among countries in the region. For such reasons, this study is conducted to comprehensively evaluate the brucellosis surveillance system in Qatar, to identify potential strengths and limitations and, hence, inform decision-makers about future mitigation strategies. Methods A retrospective record review was conducted at the surveillance unit in the Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) to analyze all Brucella notification forms from January to November 2018 for the completeness of notification and timeliness of reporting. The principal investigators conducted data abstraction and analysis in November 2018. Results A total of 125 notification forms were analyzed. It was revealed that the internal completeness varied across the different data elements of the notification forms from 39% up to 100%. Also, the timeliness of the reporting ranged from one day for the T3 time point up to 16 days for the T1 time point. Conclusion Ultimately, the strengthening of the national Brucellosis surveillance system in Qatar demands the implementation of several strategies, including the establishment of veterinary surveillance, enforcement of livestock importation protocols, as well as routine compulsory vaccinations, devising a clear and sensitive case definition of the disease, and public education especially among high-risk groups (shepherds, slaughterhouse workers, and laboratory workers). In addition, continuous education of healthcare workers on the proper reporting of the disease and the electronization of the notification process are important steps to improve the surveillance system in the country.
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Assessing reporting delays and the effective reproduction number: The Ebola epidemic in DRC, May 2018-January 2019. Epidemics 2019; 26:128-133. [PMID: 30880169 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.01.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2018] [Revised: 01/25/2019] [Accepted: 01/29/2019] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
On August 1, 2018, the Democratic Republic of Congo declared its 10th and largest outbreak of Ebola inflicting North Khivu and Ituri provinces. The spread of Ebola to Congolese urban centers along with deliberate attacks on the health care workers has hindered epidemiological surveillance activities, leading to substantial reporting delays. Reporting delays distort the epidemic incidence pattern misrepresenting estimates of epidemic potential and the outbreak trajectory. To assess the impact of reporting delays, we conducted a real-time analysis of the dynamics of the ongoing Ebola outbreak in the DRC using epidemiological data retrieved from the World Health Organization Situation Reports and Disease Outbreak News. We analyzed temporal trends in reporting delays, epidemic curves of crude and reporting-delay adjusted incidences and changes in the effective reproduction number, Rt. As of January 15, 2019, 663 Ebola cases have been reported in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The average reporting delay exhibited 81.1% decline from a mean of 17.4 weeks (95% CI 13-24.1) in May, 2018 to 3.3 weeks (95% CI 2.7-4.2) in September, 2018 (F-test statistic = 44.9, p = 0.0067). The Ebola epidemic has shown a two-wave pattern with the first surge in cases occurring between July 30 and August 13, 2018 and the second on September 24, 2018. During the last 4 generation intervals, the trend in the mean Rt has exhibited a slight decline (rho = -0.37, p < 0.001), fluctuating around 0.9 (range: 0-1.8). Our most recent estimate of R is at 0.9 (95% CI: 0.4, 1.1) during the last generation interval. Our most recent analysis of the Ebola outbreak in DRC indicates that the Ebola virus still active although transmission is characterized by a low fluctuating reproduction number. Yet, this pattern does not imply that the epidemic can be easily controlled particularly in the context of unstable epidemiological surveillance efforts hindered by unpredictable local violence.
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Debnath F, Ponnaiah M. Improved timeliness for reporting of acute diarrhoeal disease under surveillance overtime: Evaluation of integrated disease surveillance programme in North 24 Parganas, West Bengal, India, 2015. CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GLOBAL HEALTH 2018. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2017.10.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
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Swaan C, van den Broek A, Kretzschmar M, Richardus JH. Timeliness of notification systems for infectious diseases: A systematic literature review. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0198845. [PMID: 29902216 PMCID: PMC6002046 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0198845] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2017] [Accepted: 05/25/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Timely notification of infectious diseases is crucial for prompt response by public health services. Adequate notification systems facilitate timely notification. A systematic literature review was performed to assess outcomes of studies on notification timeliness and to determine which aspects of notification systems are associated with timely notification. Methodology Articles reviewing timeliness of notifications published between 2000 and 2017 were searched in Pubmed and Scopus. Using a standardized notification chain, timeliness of reporting system for each article was defined as either sufficient (≥ 80% notifications in time), partly sufficient (≥ 50–80%), or insufficient (< 50%) according to the article’s predefined timeframe, a standardized timeframe for all articles, and a disease specific timeframe. Electronic notification systems were compared with conventional methods (postal mail, fax, telephone, email) and mobile phone reporting. Results 48 articles were identified. In almost one third of the studies with a predefined timeframe (39), timeliness of notification systems was either sufficient or insufficient (11/39, 28% and 12/39, 31% resp.). Applying the standardized timeframe (45 studies) revealed similar outcomes (13/45, 29%, sufficient notification timeframe, vs 15/45, 33%, insufficient). The disease specific timeframe was not met by any study. Systems involving reporting by laboratories most often complied sufficiently with predefined or standardized timeframes. Outcomes were not related to electronic, conventional notification systems or mobile phone reporting. Electronic systems were faster in comparative studies (10/13); this hardly resulted in sufficient timeliness, neither according to predefined nor to standardized timeframes. Conclusion A minority of notification systems meets either predefined, standardized or disease specific timeframes. Systems including laboratory reporting are associated with timely notification. Electronic systems reduce reporting delay, but implementation needs considerable effort to comply with notification timeframes. During outbreak threats, patient, doctors and laboratory testing delays need to be reduced to achieve timely detection and notification. Public health authorities should incorporate procedures for this in their preparedness plans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Corien Swaan
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
- * E-mail:
| | - Anouk van den Broek
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Mirjam Kretzschmar
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands
- University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Jan Hendrik Richardus
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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Gopalakrishna-Remani V, Brown JR, Shanker M, Hu M. An information supply chain system view for managing rare infectious diseases: The need to improve timeliness. INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT 2018. [DOI: 10.1016/j.im.2017.05.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
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16
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He H, Yan R, Fan C, Jing F, Ding Y. Timeliness of Measles Laboratory Reporting and Factors Associated with Delays, Zhejiang Province, China, 2009-2015. Health Secur 2017; 15:494-499. [PMID: 28937792 DOI: 10.1089/hs.2016.0087] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
In 2006, China targeted measles for elimination by 2012, but the goal was not achieved. In line with this goal, the timeliness of measles laboratory reporting should be evaluated to improve efficiency in implementing control measures. Laboratory-confirmed suspected measles cases reported to the measles surveillance system in Zhejiang Province, China, from 2009 to 2015 were collected. Three reporting periods were defined: transport duration (period from serum collected to serum received in lab), analysis duration (period from serum received to the result being reported), and total reporting duration. The median was calculated for each period. Associations between total reporting delay and other factors were accessed using logistic regression model. A total of 18,518 laboratory-confirmed suspected measles cases were collected. For transport duration, the median was within 1 day, and no variation was observed among different years. For analysis duration, the median decreased from 3 days in 2009 to 1 day in 2015. For total reporting duration, the median decreased from 5 days in 2009 to 2 days in 2015. The median of total delay was 13 days during the 7 years. The proportion of cases notified within the time limit was found to increase, indicating a tendency toward more efficient laboratory reporting. Moreover, timeliness was influenced by various external factors: reporting from CDC, reporting from counties with higher economic status, and reporting in spring were the variables associated with shorter delays. Timeliness of measles laboratory reporting has increased annually in China. Health administration departments need to pay more attention to measles laboratory surveillance in counties with lower economic status.
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Abstract
Rapid detection, reporting, and response to an infectious disease outbreak are critical to prevent localized health events from emerging as pandemic threats. Metrics to evaluate the timeliness of these critical activities, however, are lacking. Easily understood and comparable measures for tracking progress and encouraging investment in rapid detection, reporting, and response are sorely needed. We propose that the timeliness of outbreak detection, reporting, laboratory confirmation, response, and public communication should be considered as measures for improving global health security at the national level, allowing countries to track progress over time and inform investments in disease surveillance.
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Steele L, Orefuwa E, Dickmann P. Drivers of earlier infectious disease outbreak detection: a systematic literature review. Int J Infect Dis 2016; 53:15-20. [PMID: 27777092 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2016.10.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2016] [Revised: 08/09/2016] [Accepted: 10/06/2016] [Indexed: 10/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The early detection of infectious disease outbreaks can reduce the ultimate size of the outbreak, with lower overall morbidity and mortality due to the disease. Numerous approaches to the earlier detection of outbreaks exist, and methods have been developed to measure progress on timeliness. Understanding why these surveillance approaches work and do not work will elucidate key drivers of early detection, and could guide interventions to achieve earlier detection. Without clarity about the conditions necessary for earlier detection and the factors influencing these, attempts to improve surveillance will be ad hoc and unsystematic. METHODS A systematic review was conducted using the PRISMA framework (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses) to identify research published between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 2015 in the English language. The MEDLINE (PubMed) database was searched. Influencing factors were organized according to a generic five-step infectious disease detection model. RESULTS Five studies were identified and included in the review. These studies evaluated the effect of electronic-based reporting on detection timeliness, impact of laboratory agreements on timeliness, and barriers to notification by general practitioners. Findings were categorized as conditions necessary for earlier detection and factors that influence whether or not these conditions can be in place, and were organized according to the detection model. There is some evidence on reporting, no evidence on assessment, and speculation about local level recognition. CONCLUSION Despite significant investment in early outbreak detection, there is very little evidence with respect to factors that influence earlier detection. More research is needed to guide intervention planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lindsay Steele
- MScPH student, McGill University, Montreal, Canada; MScPH student intern, Connecting Organizations for Regional Disease Surveillance (CORDS), Lyon, France
| | - Emma Orefuwa
- Programme manager Strategy & Operations (Consultant), Connecting Organizations for Regional Disease Surveillance (CORDS), Lyon, France
| | - Petra Dickmann
- Director Strategy & Operations (Consultant), Connecting Organizations for Regional Disease Surveillance (CORDS), Lyon, France; Managing Director, Dickmann Risk Communication DRC, London, UK.
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Kilgore PE, Salim AM, Zervos MJ, Schmitt HJ. Pertussis: Microbiology, Disease, Treatment, and Prevention. Clin Microbiol Rev 2016; 29:449-86. [PMID: 27029594 PMCID: PMC4861987 DOI: 10.1128/cmr.00083-15] [Citation(s) in RCA: 226] [Impact Index Per Article: 28.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Pertussis is a severe respiratory infection caused by Bordetella pertussis, and in 2008, pertussis was associated with an estimated 16 million cases and 195,000 deaths globally. Sizeable outbreaks of pertussis have been reported over the past 5 years, and disease reemergence has been the focus of international attention to develop a deeper understanding of pathogen virulence and genetic evolution of B. pertussis strains. During the past 20 years, the scientific community has recognized pertussis among adults as well as infants and children. Increased recognition that older children and adolescents are at risk for disease and may transmit B. pertussis to younger siblings has underscored the need to better understand the role of innate, humoral, and cell-mediated immunity, including the role of waning immunity. Although recognition of adult pertussis has increased in tandem with a better understanding of B. pertussis pathogenesis, pertussis in neonates and adults can manifest with atypical clinical presentations. Such disease patterns make pertussis recognition difficult and lead to delays in treatment. Ongoing research using newer tools for molecular analysis holds promise for improved understanding of pertussis epidemiology, bacterial pathogenesis, bioinformatics, and immunology. Together, these advances provide a foundation for the development of new-generation diagnostics, therapeutics, and vaccines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paul E Kilgore
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, Eugene Applebaum Collage of Pharmacy and Health Sciences, Wayne State University, Detroit, Michigan, USA Department of Family Medicine and Public Health Sciences, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, Michigan, USA
| | - Abdulbaset M Salim
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, Eugene Applebaum Collage of Pharmacy and Health Sciences, Wayne State University, Detroit, Michigan, USA
| | - Marcus J Zervos
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Henry Ford Health System and Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, Michigan, USA
| | - Heinz-Josef Schmitt
- Medical and Scientific Affairs, Pfizer Vaccines, Paris, France Department of Pediatrics, Johannes Gutenberg-University, Mainz, Germany
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Bonačić Marinović A, Swaan C, van Steenbergen J, Kretzschmar M. Quantifying reporting timeliness to improve outbreak control. Emerg Infect Dis 2015; 21:209-16. [PMID: 25625374 PMCID: PMC4313625 DOI: 10.3201/eid2102.130504] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
The extent to which reporting delays should be reduced to gain substantial improvement in outbreak control is unclear. We developed a model to quantitatively assess reporting timeliness. Using reporting speed data for 6 infectious diseases in the notification system in the Netherlands, we calculated the proportion of infections produced by index and secondary cases until the index case is reported. We assumed interventions that immediately stop transmission. Reporting delays render useful only those interventions that stop transmission from index and secondary cases. We found that current reporting delays are adequate for hepatitis A and B control. However, reporting delays should be reduced by a few days to improve measles and mumps control, by at least 10 days to improve shigellosis control, and by at least 5 weeks to substantially improve pertussis control. Our method provides quantitative insight into the required reporting delay reductions needed to achieve outbreak control and other transmission prevention goals.
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da-Costa Vroom FB, Aryeetey R, Boateng R, Anto F, Aikins M, Gyapong M, Gyapong J. Data reporting constraints for the lymphatic filariasis mass drug administration activities in two districts in Ghana: A qualitative study. SAGE Open Med 2015; 3:2050312115594083. [PMID: 26770791 PMCID: PMC4679323 DOI: 10.1177/2050312115594083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2015] [Accepted: 06/04/2015] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Timely and accurate health data are important for objective decision making and policy formulation. However, little evidence exists to explain why poor quality routine health data persist. This study examined the constraints to data reporting for the lymphatic filariasis mass drug administration programme in two districts in Ghana. This qualitative study focused on timeliness and accuracy of mass drug administration reports submitted by community health volunteers. METHODS The study is nested within a larger study focusing on the feasibility of mobile phone technology for the lymphatic filariasis programme. Using an exploratory study design, data were obtained through in-depth interviews (n = 7) with programme supervisors and focus group discussions (n = 4) with community health volunteers. Results were analysed using thematic content analysis. RESULTS Reasons for delays in reporting were attributed to poor numeracy skills among community health volunteers, difficult physical access to communities, high supervisor workload, poor adherence reporting deadlines, difficulty in reaching communities within allocated time and untimely release of programme funds. Poor accuracy of data was mainly attributed to inadequate motivation for community health volunteers and difficulty calculating summaries. CONCLUSION This study has shown that there are relevant issues that need to be addressed in order to improve the quality of lymphatic filariasis treatment coverage reports. Some of the factors identified are problems within the health system; others are specific to the community health volunteers and the lymphatic filariasis programme. Steps such as training on data reporting should be intensified for community health volunteers, allowances for community health volunteers should be re-evaluated and other non-monetary incentives should be provided for community health volunteers.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Francis Anto
- School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana
| | - Moses Aikins
- School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana
| | - Margaret Gyapong
- Dodowa Health Research Centre, Ghana Health Service, Dangme West District, Ghana
| | - John Gyapong
- School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana
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Assessment of timeliness, representativeness and quality of data reported to Italy's national integrated surveillance system for acute viral hepatitis (SEIEVA). Public Health 2015; 129:561-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2015.02.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2014] [Revised: 01/30/2015] [Accepted: 02/06/2015] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
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Investigation of travel-related cases in a multinational outbreak: example of the Shiga-toxin producing E. coli outbreak in Germany, May-June 2011. Epidemiol Infect 2015; 143:3468-74. [PMID: 25906969 DOI: 10.1017/s0950268814003823] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Early investigation of travel-related cases in an outbreak of an emerging infectious disease can provide useful information to epidemiologists to characterize the exposure, while they may differ in demographic profiles from cases reported in the country where the outbreak has occurred. During the spring 2011 E. coli outbreak in Germany, we proposed a methodological approach to collect a minimal set of demographic and clinical data that are relatively easy to obtain and available at an early stage of an outbreak investigation. Ninety-eight STEC O104 travel-related cases were reported in a survey by seven EU countries, Switzerland, Canada and the USA. We found a mean incubation period (n = 50) of 8·5 days, which confirmed previous estimations communicated by the Robert Koch Institute. No significant association was found between the duration of the incubation period and possible demographic and clinical factors, although the older the age, the shorter the incubation period that was observed. Such approach and observations are informative for further investigations of outbreaks of enterohaemorrhagic E. coli or other emerging infectious diseases.
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Liang S, Yang C, Zhong B, Guo J, Li H, Carlton EJ, Freeman MC, Remais JV. Surveillance systems for neglected tropical diseases: global lessons from China's evolving schistosomiasis reporting systems, 1949-2014. Emerg Themes Epidemiol 2014; 11:19. [PMID: 26265928 PMCID: PMC4531518 DOI: 10.1186/1742-7622-11-19] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2014] [Accepted: 11/07/2014] [Indexed: 01/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Though it has been a focus of the country’s public health surveillance systems since the 1950s, schistosomiasis represents an ongoing public health challenge in China. Parallel, schistosomiasis-specific surveillance systems have been essential to China’s decades-long campaign to reduce the prevalence of the disease, and have contributed to the successful elimination in five of China’s twelve historically endemic provinces, and to the achievement of morbidity and transmission control in the other seven. More recently, an ambitious goal of achieving nation-wide transmission interruption by 2020 has been proposed. This paper details how schistosomiasis surveillance systems have been structured and restructured within China’s evolving public health system, and how parallel surveillance activities have provided an information system that has been integral to the characterization of, response to, and control of the disease. With the ongoing threat of re-emergence of schistosomiasis in areas previously considered to have achieved transmission control, a critical examination of China’s current surveillance capabilities is needed to direct future investments in health information systems and to enable improved coordination between systems in support of ongoing control. Lessons drawn from China’s experience are applied to the current global movement to reduce the burden of helminthiases, where surveillance capacity based on improved diagnostics is urgently needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Song Liang
- Department of Environmental and Global Health, College of Public Health and Health Professions, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, 1225 Center Drive, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
| | - Changhong Yang
- Sichuan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Institute of Public Health Information, 6 Middle School Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041 China
| | - Bo Zhong
- Sichuan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Institute of Parasitic Diseases, 6 Middle School Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041 China
| | - Jiagang Guo
- Department of Schistosomiasis, Institute of Parasitic Diseases. Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China ; Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Huazhong Li
- Department of Emergence Response, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Elizabeth J Carlton
- Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO USA
| | - Matthew C Freeman
- Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, 1518 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Justin V Remais
- Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, 1518 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
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Garcell HG, Hernandez TMF, Abdo EAB, Arias AV. Evaluation of the timeliness and completeness of communicable disease reporting: Surveillance in The Cuban Hospital, Qatar. Qatar Med J 2014; 2014:50-6. [PMID: 25320693 PMCID: PMC4197374 DOI: 10.5339/qmj.2014.9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2014] [Accepted: 06/30/2014] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Public health surveillance systems should be evaluated periodically, and should involve an assessment of system attributes. Objective: Evaluate hospital-based surveillance of communicable diseases using the elements of timeliness and data quality. Method: Descriptive study was conducted of communicable diseases reported at The Cuban Hospital, Qatar during January 2012 to December 2013. The completeness of notifications were assessed for contact number, address, place of work, and date of symptom onset. Time between the symptoms onset and physician notification, time between physician and Supreme Council of Health notification and time between physician notification and lab confirmation were calculated for each case. Analysis: Percentage of cases with documented essential information and 95% confidence interval (CI) were determined. Mean and standard deviation (SD) of time were calculated. Results: 1065 patients were reported, 75% were male, 80% non-qataries and 91.5% were group 1 (high priority) diseases. Symptom onset date was documented in 91.5% (95% CI, 89.8; 93.2) of cases; contact number in 84.7% (82.5;86.8), with lower frequencies for address (68.1%, 65.3;70.9) and place of work (60.5%, 57.5;63.4). Diagnostic time for tuberculosis was 61.7 days (SD 93.0), acute hepatitis 18.5 days (SD 17.6), typhoid fever 17.0 days (SD 11.6 days), other diseases of sexual transmission 300.2 days, chronic hepatitis 165 days and AIDS 154.5 days. The time of notification to the Supreme Council of Health for group 1 diseases was 1.2 days (SD 1.4). Conclusion: Our results show that the quality of essential data and timeliness is not sufficient to meet the needs of the health system. Additional studies should focus on the evaluation of time delay for diagnosis of high priority diseases.
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Jones G, Le Hello S, Jourdan-da Silva N, Vaillant V, de Valk H, Weill F, Le Strat Y. The French human Salmonella surveillance system: evaluation of timeliness of laboratory reporting and factors associated with delays, 2007 to 2011. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2014; 19. [PMID: 24434174 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es2014.19.1.20664] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Given the regular occurrence of salmonellosis outbreaks in France, evaluating the timeliness of laboratory reporting is critical for maintaining an effective surveillance system. Laboratory-confirmed human cases of Salmonella infection from whom strains were isolated from 2007 to 2011 in France (n=38,413) were extracted from the surveillance database. Three delay intervals were defined: transport delay (strain isolation, transport from primary laboratory to national reference laboratory), analysis delay (serotyping, reporting) and total reporting delay. We calculated the median delay in days and generated the cumulative delay distribution for each interval. Variables were tested for an association with reporting delay using a multivariable generalised linear model. The median transport and analysis delays were 7 and 6 days respectively (interquartile range (IQR: 6-10 and 4-9 respectively), with a median total reporting delay of 14 days (IQR: 11-19). Timeliness was influenced by various external factors: decreasing serotype frequency, geographical zone of primary laboratory and strain isolation on Sundays were the variables most strongly associated with increased length of delay. The effect of season and day of the week of isolation was highly variable over the study period. Several areas for interventions to shorten delays are identified and discussed for both transport and analysis delays.
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Affiliation(s)
- G Jones
- French Institute for Public Health Surveillance (Institut de Veille Sanitaire, InVS), Saint-Maurice, France
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Severi E, Dabrera G, Boxall N, Harvey-Vince L, Booth L, Balasegaram S. Timeliness of electronic reporting and acceptability of public health follow-up of routine nonparatyphoidal and nontyphoidal Salmonella infections, London and South East England, 2010 to 2011. J Food Prot 2014; 77:94-9. [PMID: 24406004 DOI: 10.4315/0362-028x.jfp-13-056] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
Nonparatyphoidal and nontyphoidal Salmonella (NTS) infections are major causes of food poisoning in England. Diagnostic laboratories and clinicians have a statutory responsibility to report NTS infection cases to the Health Protection Agency via various means, with electronic reporting encouraged as the universal method. The Health Protection Agency (Public Health England since 1 April 2013) refers cases to environmental health departments for follow-up. Timeliness of reporting and adequacy of NTS infection case follow-up are key factors in the implementation of public health actions. Laboratories, health protection units, and environmental health departments in London and South East (SE) regions of England completed three surveys between December 2010 and April 2011, collecting data about the NTS infection case reporting methods and the time elapsed between symptom onset and public health actions. The median period between symptom onset and public health investigation was 25 days in London and 23 days in SE when electronic reporting was used and 12 days in London and 11 days in SE when other means of reporting were used. The most common follow-up method was a telephone questionnaire in London (53%) and a postal questionnaire in SE (52%). The telephone questionnaire had the highest response rate (98% in London; 96% in SE). Timeliness and efficiency of electronic NTS infection case reports can be improved by decreasing the electronic laboratory report period and using telephone-administered questionnaires to maximize the public health benefit when following up single cases of NTS infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Severi
- Health Protection Agency, South East Regional Epidemiology Unit, London SW1W 9SZ, UK; European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm SE-17183, Sweden; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Tomtebodavagen 11a, Stockholm 171 65, Sweden
| | - G Dabrera
- Health Protection Agency, South East Regional Epidemiology Unit, London SW1W 9SZ, UK
| | - N Boxall
- Health Protection Agency, South East Regional Epidemiology Unit, London SW1W 9SZ, UK
| | - L Harvey-Vince
- Health Protection Agency, Surrey and Sussex Health Protection Unit, Horsham RH12 1XA, UK
| | - L Booth
- Health Protection Agency, Hampshire and Isle of Wight Health Protection Unit, Whiteley PO15 7FN, UK
| | - S Balasegaram
- Health Protection Agency, South East Regional Epidemiology Unit, London SW1W 9SZ, UK
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Choe YJ, Eom HS, Bae GR, Cho SI. Timely measles surveillance in the Republic of Korea, 2002-2009: impact of sentinel laboratory surveillance. J Med Virol 2013; 86:322-8. [PMID: 24027198 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.23710] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/19/2013] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
In order to sustain the elimination of measles, timely reporting is important. The surveillance data in Korea from 2002-2009 was analyzed to determine the effect of sentinel laboratory surveillance, which was introduced in 2006, on the timeliness of measles reporting. The data were stratified by two surveillance periods, (A) before and (B) after 2006, and by cases confirmed clinically and cases confirmed by laboratory measures. During Period A, 113 suspected cases were reported, and 241 during Period B. There was no difference in the proportion of timely reporting among cases confirmed clinically between the two periods, whereas the proportion of cases confirmed by laboratory measures has increased. The mean notification interval in cases confirmed by laboratory measures was shortened from 39 to 16 days. In Korea, sentinel laboratory surveillance has enhanced earlier detection of suspected cases that had not been reported, improving the timeliness of measles surveillance. Adopting this new method may improve the timely collection of cases in other countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Young June Choe
- Division of Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Control and National Immunization Program, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Osong, Republic of Korea; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
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