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Porter TR, Finn TP, Silumbe K, Chalwe V, Hamainza B, Kooma E, Moonga H, Bennett A, Yukich JO, Steketee RW, Keating J, Miller JM, Eisele TP. Recent Travel History and Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Infection in a Region of Heterogenous Transmission in Southern Province, Zambia. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2020; 103:74-81. [PMID: 32618250 PMCID: PMC7416974 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.19-0660] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
As Zambia continues to reduce its malaria incidence and target elimination in Southern Province, there is a need to identify factors that can reintroduce parasites and sustain malaria transmission. To examine the relative contributions of types of human mobility on malaria prevalence, this analysis quantifies the proportion of the population having recently traveled during both peak and nonpeak transmission seasons over the course of 2 years and assesses the relationship between short-term travel and malaria infection status. Among all residents targeted by mass drug administration in the Lake Kariba region of Southern Province, 602,620 rapid diagnostic tests and recent travel histories were collected during four campaign rounds occurring between December 2014 and February 2016. Rates of short-term travel in the previous 2 weeks fluctuated seasonally from 0.3% to 1.2%. Travel was significantly associated with prevalent malaria infection both seasonally and overall (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 2.55; 95% CI: 2.28-2.85). The strength of association between travel and malaria infection varied by travelers' origin and destination, with those recently traveling to high-prevalence areas from low-prevalence areas experiencing the highest odds of malaria infection (AOR: 7.38). Long-lasting insecticidal net usage while traveling was associated with a relative reduction in infections (AOR: 0.74) compared with travelers not using a net. Although travel was directly associated with only a small fraction of infections, importation of malaria via human movement may play an increasingly important role in this elimination setting as transmission rates continue to decline.
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Affiliation(s)
- Travis R Porter
- Department of Tropical Medicine, Center for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
| | - Timothy P Finn
- Department of Tropical Medicine, Center for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
| | - Kafula Silumbe
- PATH Malaria Control and Elimination Partnership in Africa (MACEPA), Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Victor Chalwe
- National Malaria Elimination Centre, Zambia Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Busiku Hamainza
- National Malaria Elimination Centre, Zambia Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Emmanuel Kooma
- National Malaria Elimination Centre, Zambia Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Hawela Moonga
- National Malaria Elimination Centre, Zambia Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Adam Bennett
- Malaria Elimination Initiative, Global Health Group, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - Joshua O Yukich
- Department of Tropical Medicine, Center for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
| | | | - Joseph Keating
- Department of Tropical Medicine, Center for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
| | - John M Miller
- PATH Malaria Control and Elimination Partnership in Africa (MACEPA), Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Thomas P Eisele
- Department of Tropical Medicine, Center for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
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Bridges DJ, Chishimba S, Mwenda M, Winters AM, Slawsky E, Mambwe B, Mulube C, Searle KM, Hakalima A, Mwenechanya R, Larsen DA. The use of spatial and genetic tools to assess Plasmodium falciparum transmission in Lusaka, Zambia between 2011 and 2015. Malar J 2020; 19:20. [PMID: 31941493 PMCID: PMC6964105 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-020-3101-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2019] [Accepted: 01/07/2020] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Zambia has set itself the ambitious target of eliminating malaria by 2021. To continue tracking transmission to zero, new interventions, tools and approaches are required. METHODS Urban reactive case detection (RCD) was performed in Lusaka city from 2011 to 2015 to better understand the location and drivers of malaria transmission. Briefly, index cases were followed to their home and all consenting individuals living in the index house and nine proximal houses were tested with a malaria rapid diagnostic test and treated if positive. A brief survey was performed and for certain responses, a dried blood spot sample collected for genetic analysis. Aggregate health facility data, individual RCD response data and genetic results were analysed spatially and against environmental correlates. RESULTS Total number of malaria cases remained relatively constant, while the average age of incident cases and the proportion of incident cases reporting recent travel both increased. The estimated R0 in Lusaka was < 1 throughout the study period. RCD responses performed within 250 m of uninhabited/vacant land were associated with a higher probability of identifying additional infections. CONCLUSIONS Evidence suggests that the majority of malaria infections are imported from outside Lusaka. However there remains some level of local transmission occurring on the periphery of urban settlements, namely in the wet season. Unfortunately, due to the higher-than-expected complexity of infections and the small number of samples tested, genetic analysis was unable to identify any meaningful trends in the data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel J Bridges
- PATH MACEPA, National Malaria Elimination Centre, Gt East Rd, Lusaka, Zambia. .,Akros, 45A Roan Road, Lusaka, Zambia.
| | - Sandra Chishimba
- PATH MACEPA, National Malaria Elimination Centre, Gt East Rd, Lusaka, Zambia.,Akros, 45A Roan Road, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Mulenga Mwenda
- PATH MACEPA, National Malaria Elimination Centre, Gt East Rd, Lusaka, Zambia.,Akros, 45A Roan Road, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Anna M Winters
- Akros, 45A Roan Road, Lusaka, Zambia.,School of Public and Community Health Sciences, University of Montana, Missoula, MT, USA
| | - Erik Slawsky
- Department of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, USA
| | - Brenda Mambwe
- PATH MACEPA, National Malaria Elimination Centre, Gt East Rd, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Conceptor Mulube
- PATH MACEPA, National Malaria Elimination Centre, Gt East Rd, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Kelly M Searle
- School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
| | - Aves Hakalima
- Lusaka District Health Management Team, Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Roy Mwenechanya
- Akros, 45A Roan Road, Lusaka, Zambia.,Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - David A Larsen
- Akros, 45A Roan Road, Lusaka, Zambia.,Department of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, USA
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Risk Factors for Infectious Diseases in Urban Environments of Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal of Evidence. Trop Med Infect Dis 2019; 4:tropicalmed4040123. [PMID: 31569517 PMCID: PMC6958454 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed4040123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2019] [Revised: 09/04/2019] [Accepted: 09/20/2019] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Our world is rapidly urbanizing. According to the United Nations, between 1990 and 2015, the percent of the world’s population living in urban areas grew from 43% to 54%. Estimates suggest that this trend will continue and that over 68% of the world’s population will call cities home by 2050, with the majority of urbanization occurring in African countries. This urbanization is already having a profound effect on global health and could significantly impact the epidemiology of infectious diseases. A better understanding of infectious disease risk factors specific to urban settings is needed to plan for and mitigate against future urban outbreaks. We conducted a systematic literature review of the Web of Science and PubMed databases to assess the risk factors for infectious diseases in the urban environments of sub-Saharan Africa. A search combining keywords associated with cities, migration, African countries, infectious disease, and risk were used to identify relevant studies. Original research and meta-analyses published between 2004 and 2019 investigating geographical and behavioral risk factors, changing disease distributions, or control programs were included in the study. The search yielded 3610 papers, and 106 met the criteria for inclusion in the analysis. Papers were categorized according to risk factors, geographic area, and study type. The papers covered 31 countries in sub-Saharan Africa with East Africa being the most represented sub-region. Malaria and HIV were the most frequent disease focuses of the studies. The results of this work can inform public health policy as it relates to capacity building and health systems strengthening in rapidly urbanizing areas, as well as highlight knowledge gaps that warrant additional research.
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Models for the effects of host movement in vector-borne disease systems. Math Biosci 2015; 270:192-7. [PMID: 26160031 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2015.06.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2015] [Revised: 06/26/2015] [Accepted: 06/29/2015] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Host and/or vector movement patterns have been shown to have significant effects in both empirical studies and mathematical models of vector-borne diseases. The processes of economic development and globalization seem likely to make host movement even more important in the future. This article is a brief survey of some of the approaches that have been used to study the effects of host movement in analytic mathematical models for vector-borne diseases. It describes the formulation and interpretation of various types of spatial models and describes a few of the conclusions that can be drawn from them. It is not intended to be comprehensive but rather to provide sufficient background material and references to the literature to serve as an entry point into this area of research for interested readers.
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Maïga-Ascofaré O, Rakotozandrindrainy R, Girmann M, Hahn A, Randriamampionona N, Poppert S, May J, Schwarz NG. Molecular epidemiology and seroprevalence in asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections of Malagasy pregnant women in the highlands. Malar J 2015; 14:188. [PMID: 25935753 PMCID: PMC4432997 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-015-0704-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2014] [Accepted: 04/22/2015] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Malaria epidemiology in Madagascar is classified into four different areas, ranging from unstable seasonal transmission in the highlands to hyperendemic perennial transmission areas in the costal level. Most malaria studies in Madagascar are focused on symptomatic children. However, because of the low transmission in some areas with correspondingly low level of semi-immunity, adults are also at risk, in particular pregnant women. The objective of this study was to gain information on the genetic epidemiology of malarial infections in pregnant women in order to provide information for malaria control and elimination programmes in Madagascar. Methods Between May and August 2010, we carried out cross-sectional surveys targeting healthy pregnant women in six locations, three in the coastal area and three in the highlands at 850–1300 m. 1244 blood samples were screened for anti-Plasmodium falciparum antibodies by immunofluorescence test and for malarial infection by realtime-PCR. The prevalence of chloroquine and sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance markers was also determined in all Plasmodium falciparum samples by PCR-RFLP as well as the multiplicity of infection through genotyping six neutral microsatellites. Results In the highlands, 67.4% of the women presented antibodies against Plasmodium falciparum and 9.2% were carrying parasites, at the coast 95.6% and 14.8%, respectively. In the mean, 1.2 clones were detected in infected pregnant woman in the highlands and 1.5 at the coast. A higher level of monoclonal infections was found in the highlands (85.4%) compared to the coast (61.8%). Resistance markers for sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine were present only in two sites. Conclusion Immunity is triggered in Malagasy highland populations when they are infected with malaria parasites, but these populations could also serve as a reservoir for epidemics. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12936-015-0704-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Mirko Girmann
- Bernhard-Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.
| | - Andreas Hahn
- Bernhard-Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.
| | | | | | - Jürgen May
- Bernhard-Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.
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Masquelier B, Waltisperger D, Ralijaona O, Pison G, Ravélo A. The epidemiological transition in Antananarivo, Madagascar: an assessment based on death registers (1900-2012). Glob Health Action 2014; 7:23237. [PMID: 24848650 PMCID: PMC4028933 DOI: 10.3402/gha.v7.23237] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2013] [Revised: 01/11/2014] [Accepted: 02/02/2014] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Madagascar today has one of the highest life expectancies in sub-Saharan Africa, despite being among the poorest countries in the continent. There are relatively few detailed accounts of the epidemiological transition in this country due to the lack of a comprehensive death registration system at the national level. However, in Madagascar’s capital city, death registration was established around the start of the 20th century and is now considered virtually complete. Objective We provide an overview of trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Antananarivo to document the timing and pace of the mortality decline and the changes in the cause-of-death structure. Design Death registers covering the period 1976–2012 were digitized and the population at risk of dying was estimated from available censuses and surveys. Trends for the period 1900–1976 were partly reconstructed from published sources. Results The crude death rate stagnated around 30‰ until the 1940s in Antananarivo. Mortality declined rapidly after the World War II and then resurged again in the 1980s as a result of the re-emergence of malaria and the collapse of Madagascar’s economy. Over the past 30 years, impressive gains in life expectancy have been registered thanks to the unabated decline in child mortality, despite political instability, a lasting economic crisis and the persistence of high rates of chronic malnutrition. Progress in adult survival has been more modest because reductions in infectious diseases and diseases of the respiratory system have been partly offset by increases in cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, and other diseases, particularly at age 50 years and over. Conclusions The transition in Antananarivo has been protracted and largely dependent on anti-microbial and anti-parasitic medicine. The capital city now faces a double burden of communicable and non-communicable diseases. The ongoing registration of deaths in the capital generates a unique database to evaluate the performance of the health system and measure intervention impacts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bruno Masquelier
- Centre de recherches en démographie et sociétés, Université catholique de Louvain (UCL), Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;
| | | | - Osée Ralijaona
- Health Statistics Division, Ministry of Health, Antananarivo, Madagascar
| | - Gilles Pison
- Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques (INED), Paris, France
| | - Arsène Ravélo
- Office of demography and social statistics, Institut National de la Statistique de Madagascar (INSTAT), Antananarivo, Madagascar
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Immunological consequences of antihelminthic treatment in preschool children exposed to urogenital schistosome infection. J Trop Med 2013; 2013:283619. [PMID: 23840222 PMCID: PMC3687481 DOI: 10.1155/2013/283619] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2012] [Revised: 05/15/2013] [Accepted: 05/18/2013] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Urogenital schistosomiasis, due to Schistosoma haematobium, is endemic in sub-Saharan Africa. Control is by targeted treatment with praziquantel but preschool age children are excluded from control programs. Immunological studies on the effect of treatment at this young age are scarce. In light of studies in older individuals showing that praziquantel alters antischistosome immune responses and responses to bystander antigens, this study aims to investigate how these responses would be affected by treatment at this young age. Antibody responses directed against schistosome antigens, Plasmodium falciparum crude and recombinant antigens, and the allergen house dust mite were measured in children aged 3 to 5 years before and 6 weeks after treatment. The change in serological recognition of schistosome proteins was also investigated. Treatment augmented antischistosome IgM and IgE responses. The increase in IgE responses directed against adult worm antigens was accompanied by enhanced antigen recognition by sera from the children. Antibody responses directed against Plasmodium antigens were not significantly affected by praziquantel treatment nor were levels of allergen specific responses. Overall, praziquantel treatment enhanced, quantitatively and qualitatively, the antiworm responses associated with protective immunity but did not alter Plasmodium-specific responses or allergen-specific responses which mediate pathology in allergic disease.
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Drakeley C, Cook J. Chapter 5. Potential contribution of sero-epidemiological analysis for monitoring malaria control and elimination: historical and current perspectives. ADVANCES IN PARASITOLOGY 2009; 69:299-352. [PMID: 19622411 DOI: 10.1016/s0065-308x(09)69005-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 62] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
Anti-malarial antibody responses represent an individual's history of exposure to the disease and, as age sero-conversion rates, reflect cumulative malaria exposure in a population. As such these antibody responses are an alternate measure of malaria transmission intensity and have potential in evaluating changes in exposure. This approach was used in the 1970s to evaluate malaria control and eradication attempts in a variety of different ecological settings. These historical studies provided a wealth of information on how serological data might be used to interpret control measures. However they were limited by a lack of standardized antigens and reproducible high-throughput assays. Current techniques using recombinant antigens with a range of immunogenicities, high-throughput enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA) and statistical analysis allow a more robust examination of how serological parameters can be used to evaluate factors affecting malaria transmission. Here we present a review of the historical data and use it to assess the serological contribution to monitoring malaria elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chris Drakeley
- Department of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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The effects of human movement on the persistence of vector-borne diseases. J Theor Biol 2009; 258:550-60. [PMID: 19265711 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.02.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 121] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2008] [Revised: 02/04/2009] [Accepted: 02/17/2009] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
With the recent resurgence of vector-borne diseases due to urbanization and development there is an urgent need to understand the dynamics of vector-borne diseases in rapidly changing urban environments. For example, many empirical studies have produced the disturbing finding that diseases continue to persist in modern city centers with zero or low rates of transmission. We develop spatial models of vector-borne disease dynamics on a network of patches to examine how the movement of humans in heterogeneous environments affects transmission. We show that the movement of humans between patches is sufficient to maintain disease persistence in patches with zero transmission. We construct two classes of models using different approaches: (i) Lagrangian models that mimic human commuting behavior and (ii) Eulerian models that mimic human migration. We determine the basic reproduction number R(0) for both modeling approaches. We show that for both approaches that if the disease-free equilibrium is stable (R(0)<1) then it is globally stable and if the disease-free equilibrium is unstable (R(0)>1) then there exists a unique positive (endemic) equilibrium that is globally stable among positive solutions. Finally, we prove in general that Lagrangian and Eulerian modeling approaches are not equivalent. The modeling approaches presented provide a framework to explore spatial vector-borne disease dynamics and control in heterogeneous environments. As an example, we consider two patches in which the disease dies out in both patches when there is no movement between them. Numerical simulations demonstrate that the disease becomes endemic in both patches when humans move between the two patches.
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