Cost-effectiveness of vaccination with a quadrivalent HPV vaccine in Germany using a dynamic transmission model

Health resource allocation in Western China from 2014 to 2018

BACKGROUND

Health equity has persistently been a global concern. How to fairly and appropriately allocate health resources is a research hotspot. While Western China is relatively backward economically and presents difficulties for the allocation of health resources, little attention has been given to the equity of resource allocation there. This study analysed the equity of allocation of beds, physicians and nurses in Western China from 2014-2018 to provide targeted guidance for improving the equity of health resource allocation.

METHODS

Data for 2014-2018 obtained from the Statistical Yearbook (2015-2019) of provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) were used to analyse health resource allocation in terms of beds, physicians and nurses in Western China. The Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient were calculated to evaluate equity in the population dimension and geographic dimension. The Theil index was used to measure the inequity of the three indicators between minority and nonminority areas.

RESULTS

The number of beds, physicians and nurses in Western China showed an increasing trend from 2014-2018. The Lorenz curve had a smaller curvature in the population dimension than in the geographic dimension. The Gini coefficients for health resources in the population dimension ranged from 0.044 to 0.079, and in the geographic dimension, the Gini coefficients ranged between 0.614 and 0.647. The above results showed that the equity of health resource allocation was better in the population dimension than in the geographic dimension. The Theil index ranged from 0.000 to 0.004 in the population dimension and from 0.095 to 0.326 in the geographic dimension, indicating that the inequity in health resource allocation was higher in the geographic dimension. The intergroup contribution ratios of the Theil index in both the population and geographic dimensions were greater than 60%, indicating that the inequity in resource allocation was mainly caused by intergroup differences, namely, the allocation of health resources within the province. Among them, the inequity of physicians and nurses allocation was the most obvious.

CONCLUSIONS

From 2014 to 2018, the total amount of health resources have improved in Western China. However, health resource allocation in Western China was still inequitable in the population and geographic dimensions, and the inequity of health resource allocation in the geographic dimension showed a tendency to worsen. Meanwhile, although the inequity of human recourse allocation was alleviated in 2018 compare with 2014, the inequity of human resource distribution within provinces was still obvious. The government can increase the number of health resources and improve the accessibility of health resources by increasing financial investment, strengthening humanistic care for health workers, and establishing internet hospitals.

Cost-Effectiveness and Cost-Benefit of Cervical Cancer Screening with Liquid Based Cytology Compared with Conventional Cytology in Germany

Objective

To assess the health economic impact of cervical screening with liquid based cytology (LBC) compared with conventional cytology (CC) in Germany.

Methods

An economic model was constructed depicting the management of a hypothetical cohort of women aged ≥20 years who undergo cervical screening in Germany. The model estimated the cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit of LBC compared with CC at 2017/18 prices over a time-horizon of 70 years.

Results

Performing cervical screens with LBC instead of CC is expected to increase the probability of detecting a true positive over a subject's lifetime by 73% (0.038 versus 0.022) and of diagnosing a subject with stage 3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN3) (0.019 versus 0.011). Women screened with LBC instead of CC are expected to have a 57% reduction in the probability of having undetected CIN3 (0.006 versus 0.014) and to experience a 44% reduction in the probability of transitioning into disease progression (from 0.018 to 0.010). The mean discounted lifetime cost of healthcare resource use associated with performing cervical screens with LBC and CC was estimated at €4852 and €7523 per subject respectively. For every Euro invested in cervical screening with LBC instead of CC, the German healthcare system could potentially save ~€170 over a subject's lifetime.

Conclusion

Within the study's limitations, the analysis showed that LBC affords a cost-effective cervical screening test compared with CC in Germany, since it improves detection rates and has the potential to lead to a reduction in disease progression for less cost.

[The health economics of cancer screening in Germany: Which population-based interventions are cost-effective?]

Only a small proportion of German health expenditure is spent on prevention and early detection (screening). The rationale for screening is to identify persons with disease precursors or at the early stage of diseases when they are still asymptomatic, in order to decrease disease-specific morbidity and mortality. In Germany, the economic evidence is one of the evaluation criteria for screening measures, which, among other things, takes into account the additional cost per additional case detected or per case-related event avoided, as well as a cost-benefit balance.For this purpose, cost-effectiveness analyses, which report marginal or incremental cost effectiveness ratios, comparing a measure with its appropriate alternatives, may be a useful tool. Their application requires a defensible benchmark (threshold) for cost effectiveness and a supplementary analysis of the necessary infrastructure and the budgetary impact associated with program implementation. Also (albeit not only) because of the usually long time required to observe the clinical outcomes of a screening measure, the economic evaluation of such programs regularly involves the application of decision analytic simulation models. With regard to cancer screening programs, the available models indicate an excellent cost-benefit ratio for the fecal occult blood test and colonoscopy for colorectal cancer screening and, similarly, for the use of mammography for breast cancer screening. On the other hand, the economic evidence in favor of low-dose computed tomography for lung cancer screening does not yet appear sufficiently strong, and the currently available health economic evidence does not support the use of PSA testing for prostate screening.

Vaccination against HPV virus: a systematic review of economic evaluation studies for developed countries

INTRODUCTION

During the last years, a significant number economic evaluations of HPV vaccination has been published. Given that cost-effectiveness constitutes an essential part of decision-making with regards to the reimbursement of a health technology, the purpose of this study is to provide a supportive tool to decision-makers regarding the economic efficiency of the introduction of HPV vaccination to national immunization programs.

AREAS COVERED

The PubMed database was searched in order to identify cost-effectiveness studies for HPV vaccination. A total of 42 articles were finally retrieved. All retrieved cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were converted in the same currency unit (I$) and then inflated to the same year (2015) in order to facilitate cross-country comparisons.

RESULTS

Overall, vaccination against HPV 6,11,16,18 types appears to have a ICER with mean value of I$25132/QALY, whereas the mean ICER of vaccination against oncogenic HPV 16,18 types is estimated at I$38,253/QALY.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

HPV vaccination would be a cost-effective intervention in the setting of high-income countries and could reduce the incidence of HPV-related diseases.

Dynamic transmission model of routine mumps vaccination in Japan

The mumps vaccine is not included in the national immunisation programme (NIP) of approximately 80 countries including Japan. To investigate the vaccine's cost-effectiveness, we developed a dynamic transmission model for routine one- and two-dose mumps vaccination programs in Japan. We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio compared with a current programme over a projected 50-year period. We created a Japanese population model and performed dynamic simulation to estimate the number of patients enrolled in the current programme, the routine one-dose programme, and the routine two-dose programme over the next 50 years using the Berkeley Madonna program. We estimated the medical and social costs of natural mumps infections and vaccinations to analyse cost-effectiveness. Finally, we performed a sensitivity analysis with parameters including vaccine cost, vaccine efficacy, medical costs per case, social costs per case, incidence of adverse events and discount rate. Base case analysis showed that both the one-dose and two-dose programmes predominated and that quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were saved, compared with the current programme. The medical costs, total cost and QALYs saved during the study period in the two-dose programme compared with the current programme were 217 billion JPY, 860 billion JPY and 184 779, respectively. The two-dose programme surpassed the one-dose programme throughout the study period. In all the scenarios of the sensitivity analysis, two-dose vaccination was better than the one-dose programme. This simulation confirmed that the routine two-dose vaccination programme was more cost-effective and QALY-saving than either the one-dose programme or the current programme. Because of the variability of the results between the various models, further simulations with different models should be conducted.

Inclusion of the value of herd immunity in economic evaluations of vaccines. A systematic review of methods used

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this review were to identify vaccine economic evaluations that include herd immunity and describe the methodological approaches used.

METHODS

We used Kim and Goldie's search strategy from a systematic review (1976-2007) of modelling approaches used in vaccine economic evaluations and additionally searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase for 2007-2015. Studies were classified according to modelling approach used. Methods for estimating herd immunity effects were described, in particular for the static models.

RESULTS

We identified 625 economic evaluations of vaccines against human-transmissible diseases from 1976 to 2015. Of these, 172 (28%) included herd immunity. While 4% of studies included herd immunity in 2001, 53% of those published in 2015 did this. Pneumococcal, human papilloma and rotavirus vaccines represented the majority of studies (63%) considering herd immunity. Ninety-five of the 172 studies utilised a static model, 59 applied a dynamic model, eight a hybrid model and ten did not clearly state which method was used. Relatively crude methods and assumptions were used in the majority of the static model studies.

CONCLUSION

The proportion of economic evaluations using a dynamic model has increased in recent years. However, 55% of the included studies used a static model for estimating herd immunity. Values from a static model can only be considered reliable if high quality surveillance data are incorporated into the analysis. Without this, the results are questionable and they should only be included in sensitivity analysis.

Multimodal Counseling Interventions: Effect on Human Papilloma Virus Vaccination Acceptance

Human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccine was developed to reduce HPV-attributable cancers, external genital warts (EGW), and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis. Adolescent HPV vaccination series completion rates are less than 40% in the United States of America, but up to 80% in Australia and the United Kingdom. Population-based herd immunity requires 80% or greater vaccination series completion rates. Pro-vaccination counseling facilitates increased vaccination rates. Multimodal counseling interventions may increase HPV vaccination series non-completers’ HPV-attributable disease knowledge and HPV-attributable disease prophylaxis (vaccination) acceptance over a brief 14-sentence counseling intervention. An online, 4-group, randomized controlled trial, with 260 or more participants per group, found that parents were more likely to accept HPV vaccination offers for their children than were childless young adults for themselves (68.2% and 52.9%). A combined audiovisual and patient health education handout (PHEH) intervention raised knowledge of HPV vaccination purpose, p = 0.02, and HPV vaccination acceptance for seven items, p < 0.001 to p = 0.023. The audiovisual intervention increased HPV vaccination acceptance for five items, p < 0.001 to p = 0.006. That HPV causes EGW, and that HPV vaccination prevents HPV-attributable diseases were better conveyed by the combined audiovisual and PHEH than the control 14-sentence counseling intervention alone.

Cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus vaccination in Germany

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in addition to the current cervical cancer screening programme in Germany using a dynamic transmission model.

METHODS

Based on a mathematical model simulating the transmission dynamics and the natural history of HPV infection and associated diseases (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, cervical cancer, and genital warts), we estimated the epidemiological and economic consequences of HPV vaccination with both the quadrivalent and bivalent vaccines. In our base case analysis, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of vaccinating 12-year-old girls with a 3-dose schedule. In sensitivity analysis, we also evaluated the use of a 2-dose schedule and assessed the impact of vaccinating boys.

RESULTS

From a health care payer perspective, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of a 3-dose schedule were €34,249 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for the bivalent and €14,711 per QALY for the quadrivalent vaccine. Inclusion of indirect costs decreased ICERs by up to 40%. When adopting a health care payer perspective, ICERs of a 2-dose approach decreased to €19,450 per QALY for the bivalent and to €3645 per QALY for the quadrivalent vaccine. From a societal perspective, a 2-dose approach using the quadrivalent vaccine was a cost-saving strategy while using the bivalent vaccine resulted in an ICER of €13,248 per QALY. Irrespective of the perspective adopted, additional vaccination of boys resulted in ICERs exceeding €50,000 per QALY, except for scenarios with low coverage (20%) in girls.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model results suggest that routine HPV vaccination of 12-year-old girls with three doses is likely to be cost-effective in Germany. Due to the additional impact on genital warts, the quadrivalent vaccine appeared to be more cost-effective than the bivalent vaccine. A 2-dose schedule of the quadrivalent vaccine might even lead to cost savings when adopting a societal perspective. The cost-effectiveness of additional vaccination of boys was highly dependent on the coverage in girls.

Loss of chance associated with sub-optimal HPV vaccination coverage rate in France

INTRODUCTION

Since 2007, HPV vaccination programs have been implemented in Europe. Significant real-life impact has already been reported in countries where the programs have been successfully implemented. In France, HPV vaccination coverage rate (VCR) is currently one of the lowest in Europe. This represents a missed opportunity for individuals who will not be protected. The study aimed to estimate the consequences of the sub-optimal VCR.

METHODS

A dynamic transmission model was calibrated to the French setting. Outcomes resulting from the vaccination of girls with quadrivalent HPV vaccine according to two theoretical VCR: 17% and 70%, reflecting the range of VCRs in Western Europe, were evaluated.

RESULTS

Over 100 years, with the current low VCR, an additional 85,000 cancers, 28,000 deaths and more than 5 million avertable disease events overall would occur compared with a 70% VCR. At steady state, the 17% VCR was estimated to be associated with an additional 1700 cancers, 600 deaths and 66,000 avertable disease events each year, compared with a 'standard' EU VCR.

CONCLUSION

The loss of chance associated with sub-optimal VCR is substantial for the French population and could amount to the occurrence of hundreds of avoidable deaths and thousands of disease events annually.

A model to evaluate the costs and clinical effectiveness of human papilloma virus screening compared with annual papanicolaou cytology in Germany

OBJECTIVES

We modelled human papilloma virus (HPV) primary screening scenarios compared with Pap cytology to evaluate clinical effectiveness and projected annual costs in Germany.

STUDY DESIGN

A Markov cohort model was built to compare the budget impact of annual Pap cytology with different 5-yearly HPV screening scenarios: (1) a positive HPV test followed by Pap cytology; (2) a positive HPV test followed by p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology; (3) a positive HPV test followed by colposcopy if HPV-16/18-positive or p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology if positive for other subtypes; (4) co-testing with HPV and Pap. Screening scenarios were based on a 10-year horizon.

RESULTS

All HPV screening scenarios in the model were associated with fewer deaths from missed diagnosis of cervical cancer compared with Pap screening; 10-year totals n=172-344 (1.5-3 per 100,000) versus n=477 (4.1 per 100,000), respectively. Total annual costs were lower with HPV screening than Pap cytology. The projected average annual cost for HPV screening ranged from €117 million to €136 million compared with €177 million for Pap screening, representing annual savings of €41-60 million. The greatest clinical impact was achieved with primary HPV screening (with genotyping) followed by colposcopy for HPV 16/18-positive women or p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology for women positive for other HPV subtypes.

CONCLUSION

Screening strategies including primary HPV testing for high-risk subtypes (HPV-16/18) in conjunction with p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology can improve the detection of cervical cancer at a lower total annual cost than conventional Pap cytology screening.

Reimbursed Costs of Management of Uterine Cervical Lesions in Poland--a Descriptive Analysis of Data from the National Health Fund and the Ministry of Health

BACKGROUND

Despite implementation of organised screening programme in 2006/2007, cervical cancer (CC) incidence and mortality in Poland are still higher than the average in the European Union. CC and preceding cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) caused by human papillomaviruses (HPVs) can be prevented by vaccines which are reimbursed in around 20 European countries but not in Poland. CC and CIN can be also detected with the use of HPV tests which are not included in the Polish screening programme. Reimbursement for HPV vaccines and HPV testing requires cost-effectiveness analyses which include country-specific data on the burden and costs of management of cervical neoplasia. Therefore, we investigated the burden of cervical neoplasia and direct costs associated with its detection and management in Poland in 2012 reimbursed by the National Health Fund (NHF) - the only public healthcare insurance institution. We also report administrative costs of the organised screening programme covered by the Ministry of Health.

METHODS

Data on the burden and reimbursed costs of organised and opportunistic screening as well as management of cervical neoplasia were drawn from the NHF databases. Numbers of women reported with CIN and CC were ascertained.

RESULTS

In 2012, there were 765,266 and 1,288,358 reimbursed Pap smears collected within and outside the organised screening programme, respectively. Expenditures on medical and administrative procedures in organised screening reached PLN (Polish Zloty) 41,470,664 and 12,150,398 respectively. The number of women with particular diagnosis and reimbursement for the management of these lesions were as follows: glandular ectropion 208,033 and PLN 37,349,515; CIN1 10,521 and PLN 6,616,375; CIN2 5,812 and PLN 5,071,155; CIN3 6,487 and PLN 7,611,062; unspecified grade CIN 36,575 and PLN 12,352,034; and CC 33,482 and PLN 52,377,006, respectively. In women with ectropion and CIN the total number of local excision/ablative therapeutic procedures on the cervix reached 47,658 and the total number of hysterectomies was 1,321.

CONCLUSION

In 2012, management of approximately 93 thousand women with HPV-related cervical lesions reimbursed in Poland amounted to PLN 84,027,632 which makes it a considerable public health problem. The number of women managed for glandular ectropion is considerable and related costs are high. Total reimbursement for detection, treatment and follow-up of all cervical lesions reaches at least PLN 137 million annually.

Estimating the cost-effectiveness profile of a universal vaccination programme with a nine-valent HPV vaccine in Austria

BACKGROUND

HPV is a major cancer-causing factor in both sexes in the cervix, vulva, vagina, anus, penis, oropharynx as well as the causal factor in other diseases such as genital warts and recurrent respiratory papillomatis. In the context of the arrival of a nonavalent HPV vaccine (6/11/16/18/31/33/45/52/58), this analysis aims to estimate the public health impact and the incremental cost-effectiveness of a universal (girls and boys) vaccination program with a nonavalent HPV vaccine as compared to the current universal vaccination program with a quadrivalent HPV vaccine (6/11/16/18), in Austria.

METHOD

A dynamic transmission model including a wide range of health and cost outcomes related to cervical, anal, vulvar, vaginal diseases and genital warts was calibrated to Austrian epidemiological data. The clinical impact due to the 5 new types was included for cervical and anal diseases outcomes only. In the base case, a two-dose schedule, lifelong vaccine type-specific protection and a vaccination coverage rate of 60% and 40% for girls and boys respectively for the 9-year old cohorts were assumed. A cost-effectiveness threshold of €30,000/QALY-gained was considered.

RESULTS

Universal vaccination with the nonavalent vaccine was shown to reduce the incidence of HPV16/18/31/33/45/52/58 -related cervical cancer by 92%, the related CIN2/3 cases by 96% and anal cancer by 83% and 76% respectively in females and males after 100 years, relative to 75%, 76%, 80% and 74% with the quadrivalent vaccine, respectively. Furthermore, the nonavalent vaccine was projected to prevent an additional 14,893 cases of CIN2/3 and 2544 cases of cervical cancer, over 100 years. Depending on the vaccine price, the strategy was shown to be from cost-saving to cost-effective.

CONCLUSION

The present evaluation showed that vaccinating 60% of girls and 40% of boys aged 9 in Austria with a 9-valent vaccine will substantially reduce the incidence of cervical cancer, CIN and anal cancer compared to the existing strategy. The vaccination strategies performed with the 9-valent vaccine in the current study were all found to be cost-effective compared to the current quadrivalent vaccination strategy by considering a cost-effectiveness threshold of 30,000€/QALY gained.

Quantifying the broader economic consequences of quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in Germany applying a government perspective framework

HPV infections can cause substantial burden in females and males as it is associated with several genital cancers, in addition to genital warts. Traditional economic evaluations often focus on quantifying cost-effectiveness, however, it is increasingly recognized that vaccinations may generate broader benefits not captured in cost-effectiveness analysis. Τhe aim of this study was to evaluate the broader economic consequences associated with HPV vaccination in males and females and to conduct a lifetime cost-benefit analysis of investing in universal vaccination in Germany from the perspective of government. Methodologies from generational accounting, human capital and health economics were combined to estimate the broader economic consequences of HPV vaccination including the fiscal impact for the government. A cohort model was developed simulating the medical costs and average lifetime fiscal transfers between the government and 12-year-old immunized and non-immunized males and females. To estimate tax revenue attributed to vaccination-related changes in morbidity and mortality, direct and indirect tax rates were linked to differences in age- and gender-specific earnings. Based on HPV vaccination costs, the base case cost-benefit analysis demonstrated that investing <euro>1 in universal HPV vaccination could yield <euro>1.7 in gross tax revenue over the lifetime of the cohorts. After taking into consideration the governmental transfers, universal HPV vaccination in Germany could result in incremental positive net discounted taxes (i.e. tax revenue-transfers) from <euro>62 million for the German government. The vaccination of males and females with the quadrivalent HPV vaccine is likely to have positive effects on public finances.

A practical model for economic evaluation of tissue-engineered therapies

Tissue-engineered therapies are being developed across virtually all fields of medicine. Some of these therapies are already in clinical use, while others are still in clinical trials or the experimental phase. Most initial studies in the evaluation of new therapies focus on demonstration of clinical efficacy. However, cost considerations or economic viability are just as important. Many tissue-engineered therapies have failed to be impactful because of shortcomings in economic competitiveness, rather than clinical efficacy. Furthermore, such economic viability studies should be performed early in the process of development, before significant investment has been made. Cost-minimization analysis combined with sensitivity analysis is a useful model for the economic evaluation of new tissue-engineered therapies. The analysis can be performed early in the development process, and can provide valuable information to guide further investment and research. The utility of the model is illustrated with the practical real-world example of tissue-engineered constructs for corneal endothelial transplantation.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

The authors have declared no conflicts of interest for this article.