Modelling estimates of the burden of Respiratory Syncytial virus infection in adults and the elderly in the United Kingdom

Estimated Incidence of Hospitalizations Attributable to RSV Infection Among Adults in Ontario, Canada, Between 2013 and 2019

INTRODUCTION

Adult respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden is underestimated due to non-specific symptoms, limited standard-of-care and delayed testing, reduced diagnostic test sensitivity-particularly when using single diagnostic specimen-when compared to children, and variable test sensitivity based on the upper airway specimen source. We estimated RSV-attributable hospitalization incidence among adults aged ≥ 18 years in Ontario, Canada, using a retrospective time-series model-based approach.

METHODS

The Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences data repository provided weekly numbers of hospitalizations (from 2013 to 2019) for respiratory, cardiovascular, and cardiorespiratory disorders. The number of hospitalizations attributable to RSV was estimated using a quasi-Poisson regression model that considered probable overdispersion and was based on periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity. As proxies for viral activity, weekly counts of RSV and influenza hospitalizations in children under 2 years and adults aged 60 years and over, respectively, were employed. Models were stratified by age and risk group.

RESULTS

In patients ≥ 60 years, RSV-attributable incidence rates were high for cardiorespiratory hospitalizations (range [mean] in 2013-2019: 186-246 [215] per 100,000 person-years, 3‒4% of all cardiorespiratory hospitalizations), and subgroups including respiratory hospitalizations (144-192 [167] per 100,000 person-years, 5‒7% of all respiratory hospitalizations) and cardiovascular hospitalizations (95-126 [110] per 100,000 person-years, 2‒3% of all cardiovascular hospitalizations). RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization incidence increased with age, from 14-18 [17] hospitalizations per 100,000 person-years (18-49 years) to 317-411 [362] per 100,000 person-years (≥ 75 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Estimated RSV-attributable respiratory hospitalization incidence among people ≥ 60 years in Ontario, Canada, is comparable to other incidence estimates from high-income countries, including model-based and pooled prospective estimates. Recently introduced RSV vaccines could have a substantial public health impact.

Risk of unintended consequences from lower antibiotic prescribing for respiratory tract infections in primary care

OBJECTIVES

About 60% of antibiotic prescribing in primary care is for respiratory tract infections (RTIs), some of which is likely unnecessary. There is limited evidence on the association between reduced antibiotic prescribing and adverse events. We aimed to identify associations between practice-level prescribing rates for RTIs in general practice, and patient-level adverse outcomes.

METHODS

We included 1471 English General Practitioner (GP) practices, linked to hospital admissions in England, from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink for 2005 to 2019. Outcomes were hospitalisations, RTI-related re-consultations and additional antibiotic prescriptions, adjusted for practice level case-mix prescribing.

RESULTS

Prescribing rates for practices falling within the lowest and highest prescribing quintiles were 52 and 139 prescriptions per 1000 RTI-related consultations. Patients from practices in the lowest prescribing quintile did not have significantly higher risk of hospitalisation, adjusted odds ratio 0·99 (95% CI 0·96 to 1·02). Re-consultations within 30 days were significantly higher for the lowest prescribing practices, adjusted odds ratio 1·209 (1·206 to 1·212). Additional antibiotic prescriptions and subsequent prescriptions upon re-consultation were significantly lower for the lowest prescribing practices, adjusted odds ratio 0·317 (0·314 to 0·321) and 0·706 (0·699 to 0·712), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results contribute to evidence on the safety of reduced antibiotic prescribing for RTIs in primary care. Results suggest that for the majority of practices, further reductions in RTI-related antibiotic prescribing should be possible without an increase in hospitalisation for pneumonia.

Burden of Disease Due to Respiratory Syncytial Virus in Adults in Five Middle-Income Countries

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of severe respiratory disease in older adults. Understanding the disease burden is crucial for guiding vaccination policy and raising disease awareness. We estimated the burden of RSV hospitalizations and deaths in adults in five middle-income countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Malaysia. Hospital discharge and death statistics due to any respiratory disease (ICD-10 codes: J00-99) from 2010 to 2022 were obtained. The RSV attributable burden on hospitalizations and deaths by age group was determined for 2019 using previously published estimates. Latin American countries showed distinct annual peaks in respiratory-related hospitalizations and deaths during winter months that were absent in Malaysia. Among ≥20-year-olds in 2019, there were 14,604 RSV-attributable hospitalizations nationally in Argentina, 44,323 in Brazil, 4529 in Chile, 7416 in Malaysia, and 8651 in Mexico, and 60-74% in ≥65-year-olds. There were also 3518 RSV-attributable deaths in Argentina, 9115 in Brazil, 801 in Chile, 704 in Malaysia, and 3806 in Mexico 79-88% in ≥65-year-olds. Incidences of RSV-attributable hospitalizations in ≥75-year-olds ranged between 256.3 and 294.3 per 100,000 population, and deaths between 33.6 and 112.9 per 100,000 population. RSV is associated with a substantial disease burden beyond pediatric age groups, and preventive vaccines could have a major impact on this burden, especially in older adults.

Altered epidemiological patterns of Respiratory Syncytial Virus and influenza detections in a tropical Australian setting 2020 to 2023

BACKGROUND

We describe the recent temporal patterns of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza virus detections in the Northern Territory (NT) of Australia, between 2020 and 2023.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis of patients presenting with respiratory diseases utilised a multiplex viral nucleic acid detection assay for RSV, influenza and SARS Cov2 (COVID-19) to determine the relative frequency of non-COVID-19 respiratory viral detections by age and month during the study period.

RESULTS

During this period of the NT COVID-19 epidemic, disruption of the usual annual wet season RSV outbreak patterns occurred, and the yearly influenza peak was absent for two annual cycles. Our data also reveals that 25% of RSV infections were occurring in patients greater than 40 years of age, compared to 32% of influenza infections presenting in the same period, documenting a greater burden of adult disease than previously documented in the NT.

CONCLUSIONS

Loss of non-COVID-19 viral seasonality and a substantial unrecognised RSV adult burden were noted. We will continue to monitor seasonality, and the RSV burden and this will help to target the populations benefiting from recently released RSV vaccine.

Model correction of diagnostic coding-based RSV incidence for children 0-4 years in the US

BACKGROUND

Although administrative claims data have a high degree of completeness, not all medically attended Respiratory Syncytial Virus-associated lower respiratory tract infections (RSV-LRTIs) are tested or coded for their causative agent. We sought to determine the attribution of RSV to LRTI in claims data via modeling of temporal changes in LRTI rates against surveillance data.

METHODS

We estimated the weekly incidence of LRTI (inpatient, outpatient, and total) for children 0-4 years using 2011-2019 commercial insurance claims, stratified by HHS region, matched to the corresponding weekly NREVSS RSV and influenza positivity data for each region, and modelled against RSV, influenza positivity rates, and harmonic functions of time assuming negative binomial distribution. LRTI events attributable to RSV were estimated as predicted events from the full model minus predicted events with RSV positivity rate set to 0.

RESULTS

Approximately 42% of predicted RSV cases were coded in claims data. Across all regions, the percentage of LRTI attributable to RSV were 15-43%, 10-31%, and 10-31% of inpatient, outpatient, and combined settings, respectively. However, when compared to coded inpatient RSV-LRTI, 9 of 10 regions had improbable corrected inpatient LRTI estimates (predicted RSV/coded RSV ratio < 1). Sensitivity analysis based on separate models for PCR and antigen-based positivity showed similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Underestimation based on coding in claims data may be addressed by NREVSS-based adjustment of claims-based RSV incidence. However, where setting-specific positivity rates is unavailable, we recommend modeling across settings to mirror NREVSS's positivity rates which are similarly aggregated, to avoid inaccurate adjustments.

How Does the Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Compare to Influenza in Spanish Adults?

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza infections cause significant annual morbidity and mortality worldwide in at-risk populations. This study is aimed at assessing hospital burden and healthcare resource utilization (HRU) of RSV and influenza in adults in Spain.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Projected Hospitalisation Database of inpatient episodes (ages: younger adults 18-50 and 51-64 years; older adults 65-74, 75-84, and ≥ 85 years) during 2015, 2017, and 2018 in Spanish public hospitals. Incidence, mean hospitalization, and HRU assessments, including length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) usage, and age-standardized mortality rates, were collected and stratified by age group, with analyses focusing on the adult population (≥ 18 years old).

RESULTS

Mean hospitalization rate in the population across all years was lower in individuals with RSV versus influenza (7.2/100,000 vs. 49.7/100,000 individuals). ICU admissions and median LOS were similar by age group for both viruses. Age-standardized mortality was 6.3/100,000 individuals and 6.1/100,000 individuals in patients with RSV and influenza, respectively, and mortality rates were similar in older adults (≥ 65 years) for both viruses.

CONCLUSIONS

RSV and influenza infection were associated with considerable HRU. There is a substantial disease burden for RSV infection in older adults ≥ 65 years. While RSV hospitalization rates in adults reported here appeared lower than influenza, RSV is still underdiagnosed in the hospital setting and its incidence might be similar to, or higher than, influenza.

Respiratory viral infections before the COVID-19 in Portugal: A single center study

Objectives

We aimed to describe the respiratory viruses (RV) found in respiratory samples from patients admitted to Hospital de São Bernardo, Setúbal, Portugal, between October 2019 and March 2020, and to correlate these with clinical features.

Design

This retrospective study explored 948 fresh frozen naso/oropharyngeal swabs, tested by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction.

Results

Rhinovirus/enterovirus, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus (hRSV) were the most prevalent RV. Half of the patients fulfilled the acute respiratory infection (ARI) and/or influenza-like illness (ILI) criteria, with increasing age significantly reducing the risk of ARI and/or ILI. Hospital admission was more frequently observed in symptomatic patients, but the length of stay and mortality were significantly lower. Most (96.5 %) patients had a main respiratory diagnosis. In adults, the most prevalent was pneumonia, which particularly affected older patients, while in children, the most common was bronchiolitis. The number of hospital admissions was high. Sudden onset, shortness of breath, older age, and hRSV detection significantly increased the risk of hospital admission overall. In bronchiolitis, female gender significantly increased the risk of hospital admission, while older age significantly reduced this risk. Twenty patients died within the first month of sampling, and all were older adults. Older age and male gender significantly increased the risk of death.

Conclusions

Respiratory viral infections can have a significant clinical impact, particularly in young infants with bronchiolitis and older adults with pneumonia. This study provides the first snapshot of the respiratory viral infections just before the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in Portugal, providing relevant clinical insights.

Association of respiratory infections and the impact of vaccinations on cardiovascular diseases

Influenza, pneumococcal, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, and respiratory syncytial virus infections are important causes of high morbidity and mortality in the elderly. Beyond the burden of infectious diseases, they are also associated with several non-infectious complications like cardiovascular events. A growing body of evidence in prospective studies and meta-analyses has shown the impact of influenza and pneumococcal vaccines on types of cardiovascular outcomes in the general population. Influenza vaccination showed a potential benefit for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular diseases across all ages. A reduced risk of cardiovascular events for individuals aged 65 years and older was associated with pneumococcal vaccination. Despite scientific evidence on the effectiveness, safety, and benefits of the vaccines and recommendations to vaccinate elderly patients and those with risk factors, vaccination rates remain sub-optimal in this population. Doubts about vaccine necessity or efficacy and concerns about possible adverse events in patients and physicians refer to delayed acceptance. Vaccination campaigns targeting increasing professional recommendations and public perceptions should be implemented in the coming years. The aim of this review paper is to summarize the effect of vaccination in the field of cardiovascular disease to achieve a higher vaccination rate in this patient population.

The disease burden of respiratory syncytial virus in older adults

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To highlight the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease burden and the current developments and challenges in RSV prevention for older adults ≥60 years through analysis of RSV epidemiology and the effectiveness of emerging vaccines.

RECENT FINDINGS

In industrialized countries, RSV incidence rates and hospitalization rates among older adults are estimated to be 600.7 cases per 100 000 person-years and 157 hospitalizations per 100 000 person-years, respectively. Yet, accurately determining RSV morbidity and mortality in older adults is challenging, thus resulting in substantially under-estimating the disease burden. The in-hospital fatality rates vary substantially with age and geographies, and can be as high as 9.1% in developing countries. Two promising RSV vaccines for the elderly have been approved, demonstrating efficacies of up to 94.1%, signifying considerable advancement in RSV prevention. However, concerns over potential side effects remain.

SUMMARY

RSV is associated with a significant burden in older adults. While the landscape of RSV prevention in older adults is promising with the licensure of vaccines from two companies, current trial data underscore the need for additional studies. Addressing the real-world effectiveness of these vaccines, understanding potential rare side effects, and ensuring broad inclusivity in future trials are crucial steps to maximize their potential benefits.

Estimation of Symptomatic Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection Incidence in Adults in Multiple Countries: A Time-Series Model-Based Analysis Protocol

INTRODUCTION

Estimating respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden in adults is challenging because of non-specific symptoms, infrequent standard-of-care testing, resolution of viral shedding before seeking medical care, test positivity that varies by specimen site in the upper airway and lower diagnostic test sensitivity compared to children. Conducting prospective observational studies to assess RSV burden in adults is time- and resource-intensive. Thus, model-based approaches can be applied using existing data to obtain more accurate estimates of RSV burden. This protocol establishes essential elements for estimating RSV incidence rate in adults using a time series model-based approach. It can be tailored to specific databases and applied globally across countries, enabling estimation of local RSV disease burden to inform public health decision-making, including immunization policy.

METHODS

Data are analysed using a quasi-Poisson regression model, considering the effect of baseline trends and pathogen co-circulation, stratified by age and risk status. Pathogen co-circulation is represented by viral proxies defined based on ICD code groupings indicating RSV and influenza-specific hospitalizations, lagged 0 up to 4 weeks based on the model selection. A final model is constructed in two steps: optimization of the time trend (using p-values) and selection of the viral proxy lag time (using test statistics, to prioritize the most biologically plausible option). The yearly incidence rate and percentage of events attributable to RSV are estimated from the final model. Confidence intervals are calculated using residual bootstrapping.

PLANNED OUTCOMES

Outcomes to be modelled are based on administrative ICD code groupings and include the number of cardiorespiratory, respiratory and cardiovascular events in a specific care setting (e.g., general practitioner visit, emergency department visit, hospitalization and death). Cardiovascular events are limited to those for which existing evidence suggests an association with RSV infection. Additional secondary outcomes are constructed as a subset of the primary outcomes based on specific ICD code groups.

Estimated Incidence of Hospitalizations and Deaths Attributable to Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections Among Adults in Germany Between 2015 and 2019

INTRODUCTION

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) burden in adults is underestimated mainly due to unspecific symptoms and limited standard-of-care testing. We estimated the population-based incidence of hospitalization and mortality attributable to RSV among adults with and without risk factors in Germany.

METHODS

Weekly counts of hospitalizations and deaths for respiratory, cardiovascular, and cardiorespiratory diseases were obtained (Statutory Health Insurance database, 2015-2019). A quasi-Poisson regression model was fitted to estimate the number of hospitalizations and deaths attributable to RSV as a function of periodic and aperiodic time trends, and viral activity while allowing for potential overdispersion. Weekly counts of RSV and influenza hospitalizations in children < 2 years and adults ≥ 60 years, respectively, were used as viral activity indicators. Models were stratified by age group and risk status (defined as presence of selected comorbidities).

RESULTS

Population-based RSV-attributable hospitalization incidence rates were high among adults ≥ 60 years: respiratory hospitalizations (236-363 per 100,000 person-years) and cardiorespiratory hospitalizations (584-912 per 100,000 person-years). RSV accounted for 2-3% of all cardiorespiratory hospitalizations in this age group. The increase in cardiorespiratory hospitalization risk associated with underlying risk factors was greater in 18-44 year old persons (five to sixfold higher) than in ≥ 75 year old persons (two to threefold higher).

CONCLUSIONS

This is a first model-based study to comprehensively assess adult RSV burden in Germany. Estimated cardiorespiratory RSV hospitalization rates increased with age and were substantially higher in people with risk factors compared to those without risk factors. Our study indicates that RSV, like other respiratory viruses, contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular hospitalizations. Effective prevention strategies are needed, especially among older adults ≥ 60 years and among adults with underlying risk factors.

From Forgotten Pathogen to Target for New Vaccines: What Clinicians Need to Know about Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Older Adults

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is increasingly recognized as being implicated in acute illness in older adults, with a significant weight in hospitalizations for respiratory illness and death. By means of a best-evidence review, this paper aims to investigate whether RSV can be considered a forgotten pathogen in older patients, looking at trends in the literature volume and exploring possible epidemiological and clinical features underlying the focus given to it. We then present an assessment of its disease burden and present and future strategies for its reduction, particularly in light of the recent availability of new vaccines.

Understanding the Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in Older Adults in Latin America: An Expert Perspective on Knowledge Gaps

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a significant global health concern and major cause of hospitalization, particularly among infants and older adults. The clinical impact of RSV is well characterized in infants; however, in many countries, the burden and risk of RSV in older populations are overlooked. In Latin America, there are limited data on RSV epidemiology and disease management in older adults. Therefore, the impact of RSV in this region needs to be addressed. Here, current insights on RSV infections in older populations in Latin America, including those with underlying health conditions, are discussed. We also outline the key challenges limiting our understanding of the burden of RSV in Latin America in a worldwide context and propose an expert consensus to improve our understanding of the burden of RSV in the region. By so doing, we aim to ultimately improve disease management and outcomes of those at risk and to alleviate the impact on healthcare systems.A graphical plain language summary is available with this article.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalization in Adults With Comorbidities in 2 European Countries: A Modeling Study

BACKGROUND

Individuals with comorbidities are at increased risk of severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection. We estimated RSV-associated respiratory hospitalization among adults aged ≥45 years with comorbidities in Denmark and Scotland.

METHODS

By analyzing national hospital and virologic data, we estimated annual RSV-associated hospitalizations by 7 selected comorbidities and ages between 2010 and 2018. We estimated rate ratios of RSV-associated hospitalization for adults with comorbidity than the overall population.

RESULTS

In Denmark, annual RSV-associated hospitalization rates per 1000 adults ranged from 3.1 for asthma to 19.4 for chronic kidney disease (CKD). In Scotland, rates ranged from 2.4 for chronic liver disease to 9.0 for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In both countries, we found a 2- to 4-fold increased risk of RSV hospitalization for adults with COPD, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and diabetes; a 1.5- to 3-fold increased risk for asthma; and a 3- to 7-fold increased risk for CKD. RSV hospitalization rates among adults aged 45 to 64 years with COPD, asthma, ischemic heart disease, or CKD were higher than the overall population.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides important evidence for identifying risk groups and assisting health authorities in RSV vaccination policy making.

Estimated Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Related Hospitalizations and Deaths Among Children and Adults in Spain, 2016-2019

INTRODUCTION

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial disease burden among infants. In older children and adults, incidence is underestimated due to nonspecific symptoms and limited standard-of-care testing. We aimed to estimate RSV-attributable hospitalizations and deaths in Spain during 2016-2019.

METHODS

Nationally representative hospitalization and mortality databases were obtained from the Ministry of Health and the National Statistical Office. A quasi-Poisson regression model was fitted to estimate the number of hospitalizations and deaths attributable to RSV as a function of periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity, while allowing for potential overdispersion.

RESULTS

In children, the RSV-attributable respiratory hospitalization incidence was highest among infants aged 0-5 months (3998-5453 cases/100,000 person-years, representing 72% of all respiratory hospitalizations) and decreased with age. In 2019, estimated rates in children 0-5, 6-11, 12-23 months and 6-17 years were approximately 1.3, 1.4, 1.5, and 6.5 times higher than those based on standard-of-care RSV-specific codes. In adults, the RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization rate increased with age and was highest among persons ≥ 80 years (1325-1506 cases/100,000, 6.5% of all cardiorespiratory hospitalizations). In 2019, for persons aged 18-49, 50-59, 60-79, and ≥ 80 years, estimated rates were approximately 8, 6, 8, and 16 times higher than those based on standard-of-care RSV-specific codes. The RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory mortality rate was highest among ≥ 80 age group (126-150 deaths/100,000, 3.5-4.1% of all cardiorespiratory deaths), when reported mortality rate ranged between 0 and 0.5/100,000.

CONCLUSIONS

When accounting for under-ascertainment, estimated RSV-attributable hospitalizations were higher than those reported based on standard-of-care RSV-specific codes in all age groups but particularly among older children and older adults. Like other respiratory viruses, RSV contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular complications. Efficacious RSV vaccines could have a high public health impact in these age and risk groups.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospital Admissions by Deprivation Levels Among Children and Adults in Scotland

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic deprivation may predispose individuals to respiratory tract infections. We estimated RSV-associated hospitalizations by socioeconomic deprivation in Scotland.

METHODS

Using national routine health care records and virological surveillance from 2010 to 2016, we used a time-series linear regression model and a direct measurement based on ICD-10 coded diagnoses to estimate RSV-associated hospitalizations by Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) quintile and age in comparison to influenza-associated hospitalizations.

RESULTS

We estimated an annual average rate per 1000 people of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.43-0.90) in the least deprived group to 1.51 (1.03-1.79) for the most deprived group using model-based approach. The rate ratio (RR) was 1.96 (1.23-3.25), 1.60 (1.0-2.66), 1.35 (0.85-2.25), and 1.12 (0.7-1.85) in the 1st to 4th quintile versus the least deprived group. The pattern of RSV-associated hospitalization rates variation with SIMD was most pronounced in children 0-2y. The ICD-10 approach provided much lower rates than the model-based approach but yielded similar RR estimates between SIMD. Influenza-associated hospitalization rate generally increased with higher deprivation levels among individuals 1y+.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher RSV and influenza hospitalization rates are related to higher deprivation levels. Differences between deprivation levels are most pronounced in infants and young children for RSV, and are more apparent among individuals 1y+ for influenza.

Hypoxia inducible factors inhibit respiratory syncytial virus infection by modulation of nucleolin expression

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a global healthcare problem, causing respiratory illness in young children and elderly individuals. Our knowledge of the host pathways that define susceptibility to infection and disease severity are limited. Hypoxia inducible factors (HIFs) define metabolic responses to low oxygen and regulate inflammatory responses in the lower respiratory tract. We demonstrate a role for HIFs to suppress RSV entry and RNA replication. We show that hypoxia and HIF prolyl-hydroxylase inhibitors reduce the expression of the RSV entry receptor nucleolin and inhibit viral cell-cell fusion. We identify a HIF regulated microRNA, miR-494, that regulates nucleolin expression. In RSV-infected mice, treatment with the clinically approved HIF prolyl-hydroxylase inhibitor, Daprodustat, reduced the level of infectious virus and infiltrating monocytes and neutrophils in the lung. This study highlights a role for HIF-signalling to limit multiple aspects of RSV infection and associated inflammation and informs future therapeutic approaches for this respiratory pathogen.

Epidemiological trends of respiratory tract pathogens detected via mPCR in Australian adult patients before COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Respiratory tract infections (RTIs) are a major global health burden due to their high morbidity and mortality. This retrospective study described the epidemiology of respiratory pathogens in adults over a 5-year period at an Australian tertiary healthcare network.

METHODS

All multiplex reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction respiratory samples taken between the 1st of November 2014 and the 31st of October 2019 were included in this study. Overall prevalence and variations according to seasons, age groups and sex were analysed, as well as factors associated with prolonged hospital and intensive care length of stay.

RESULTS

There were 12,453 pathogens detected amongst the 12,185 positive samples, with coinfection rates of 3.7%. Picornavirus (Rhinovirus), Influenza A and respiratory syncytial virus were the most commonly detected pathogens. Mycoplasma pneumoniae was the most commonly detected atypical bacteria. Significant differences in the prevalence of Chlamydia pneumoniae and Human metapneumovirus infections were found between sexes. Longest median length of intensive care and hospital stay was for Legionella species. Seasonal variations were evident for certain pathogens.

CONCLUSIONS

The high rates of pathogen detection and hospitalisation in this real-world study highlights the significant burden of RTIs, and the urgent need for an improved understanding of the pathogenicity as well as preventative and treatment options of RTIs.

Burden of respiratory syncytial virus disease across the lifespan in Australia and New Zealand: a scoping review

OBJECTIVES

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of acute lower respiratory tract infection in young children worldwide. RSV is increasingly associated with severe respiratory disease in people aged >65 years. The heterogeneous landscape of RSV in Australia and New Zealand makes generalisation of results from global studies to local contexts difficult. Given the changing landscape of RSV, we aimed to examine the existing literature on the burden of RSV disease and identify evidence gaps in Australia and New Zealand.

STUDY DESIGN

Scoping review.

METHODS

We designed a scoping review protocol and searched the Web of Science and Scopus databases for eligible peer-reviewed publications. Data from eligible studies were charted and summarised in tabular and narrative form.

RESULTS

Of the 153 eligible publications identified, 123 investigated RSV disease in a hospital setting and six in primary care. Only six studies reported the economic burden of disease, all of which estimated direct healthcare costs associated with treatment and/or hospitalisation; no studies quantified the indirect costs or costs to families.

CONCLUSIONS

In this scoping review, we describe the effect of RSV disease in several high-risk populations, including children and adults. An improved understanding of the RSV burden of disease, both in primary care settings and economically, within the local context will assist with the implementation of preventative strategies, including vaccination programmes. Future studies to determine the true burden of RSV-associated morbidity, mortality and economic burden across the entire patient journey and among different healthcare settings will help prioritise emerging RSV therapeutics.

Respiratory syncytial virus in adults with comorbidities: an update on epidemiology, vaccines, and treatments

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is widely known as a frequent cause of respiratory distress among adults, particularly in older people. Recent years have witnessed several improvements in respiratory virus detection, leading to more questions about therapeutic management strategies.

OBJECTIVES

This narrative review focuses on the RSV burden in older people and adults with risk factors and provides an update on the main recent developments regarding managing this infection.

SOURCES

A comprehensive PubMed search was conducted till August 2023 to identify studies on RSV among the adult population. We included observational studies, RCTs on vaccines, and different therapies.

CONTENT

This review should give clinicians an overview of RSV epidemiology and burden among older people and adults with pre-existing risk factors, the most recent randomized clinical trials on RSV vaccines, and the existing data on the different therapeutics existing and under development.

IMPLICATIONS

There is a growing body of evidence on RSV burden in adults. The landscape of preventive and curative treatments is quickly evolving.

Estimation of the Number of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalizations in Adults in the European Union

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of lower respiratory tract infections in adults that can result in hospitalizations. Estimating RSV-associated hospitalization is critical for planning RSV-related healthcare across Europe.

METHODS

We gathered RSV-associated hospitalization estimates from the RSV Consortium in Europe (RESCEU) for adults in Denmark, England, Finland, Norway, Netherlands, and Scotland from 2006 to 2017. We extrapolated these estimates to 28 European Union (EU) countries using nearest-neighbor matching, multiple imputations, and 2 sets of 10 indicators.

RESULTS

On average, 158 229 (95% confidence interval [CI], 140 865-175 592) RSV-associated hospitalizations occur annually among adults in the EU (≥18 years); 92% of these hospitalizations occur in adults ≥65 years. Among 75-84 years, the annual average is estimated at 74 519 (95% CI, 69 923-79 115) at a rate of 2.24 (95% CI, 2.10-2.38) per 1000. Among ≥85 years, the annual average is estimated at 37 904 (95% CI, 32 444-43 363) at a rate of 2.99 (95% CI, 2.56-3.42).

CONCLUSIONS

Our estimates of RSV-associated hospitalizations in adults are the first analysis integrating available data to provide the disease burden across the EU. Importantly, for a condition considered in the past to be primarily a disease of young children, the average annual hospitalization estimate in adults was lower but of a similar magnitude to the estimate in young children (0-4 years): 158 229 (95% CI, 140 865-175 592) versus 245 244 (95% CI, 224 688-265 799).

Comparative Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccines for Older Adults in Hong Kong

Two respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines (AREXVY® and ABRYSVO®) were recently approved for older adults in the US. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of AREXVY® and ABRYSVO® from the Hong Kong public healthcare provider's perspective. A two-year decision-analytical model was developed to examine the outcomes of a single RSV vaccination (AREXVY® or ABRYSVO®) compared to no vaccination. Primary outcomes included RSV-related health outcomes, direct medical costs, quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) loss, and incremental cost per QALY (ICER). RSV vaccines are not yet marketed in Hong Kong, base-case analysis, therefore, benchmarked US RSV vaccine prices at 4 levels (25%, 50%, 75%, 100%). AREXVY® and ABRYSVO® (versus no vaccination) gained 0.000568 QALY and 0.000647 QALY, respectively. ICERs of ABRYSVO® (26,209 USD/QALY) and AREXVY® (47,485 USD/QALY) were lower than the willingness-to-pay threshold (49,594 USD/QALY) at 25% US vaccine price. The RSV attack rate was a common influential factor at all vaccine price levels. The probabilities of AREXVY® and ABRYSVO® to be most cost-effective were 0.10% and 97.68%, respectively, at 25% US vaccine price. Single vaccination of ABRYSVO® or AREXVY® for older adults appears to gain QALYs over 2 years in Hong Kong. The cost-effectiveness of AREXVY® and ABRYSVO® is subject to vaccine price and RSV attack rate.

Immunogenicity of an AS01-adjuvanted respiratory syncytial virus prefusion F (RSVPreF3) vaccine in animal models

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a high disease burden in older adults. An effective vaccine for this RSV-primed population may need to boost/elicit robust RSV-neutralizing antibody responses and recall/induce RSV-specific T cell responses. To inform the selection of the vaccine formulation for older adults, RSVPreF3 (RSV fusion glycoprotein engineered to maintain the prefusion conformation) with/without AS01 adjuvant was evaluated in mice and bovine RSV infection-primed cattle. In mice, RSVPreF3/AS01 elicited robust RSV-A/B-specific neutralization titers and RSV F-specific polyfunctional CD4+ T cell responses exceeding those induced by non-adjuvanted RSVPreF3. In primed bovines, RSVPreF3/AS01 tended to induce higher pre-/post-vaccination fold-increases in RSV-A/B-specific neutralization titers relative to non-adjuvanted and Alum-adjuvanted RSVPreF3 formulations, and elicited higher RSV F-specific CD4+ T cell frequencies relative to the non-adjuvanted vaccine. Though AS01 adjuvanticity varied by animal species and priming status, RSVPreF3/AS01 elicited/boosted RSV-A/B-specific neutralization titers and RSV F-specific CD4+ T cell responses in both animal models, which supported its further clinical evaluation as prophylactic candidate vaccine for older adults.

Understanding the age spectrum of respiratory syncytial virus associated hospitalisation and mortality burden based on statistical modelling methods: a systematic analysis

BACKGROUND

Statistical modelling studies based on excess morbidity and mortality are important for understanding RSV disease burden for age groups that are less frequently tested for RSV. We aimed to understand the full age spectrum of RSV morbidity and mortality burden based on statistical modelling studies, as well as the value of modelling studies in RSV disease burden estimation.

METHODS

The databases Medline, Embase and Global Health were searched to identify studies published between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 2021, reporting RSV-associated excess hospitalisation or mortality rates of any case definitions using a modelling approach. All reported rates were summarised using median, IQR (Interquartile range) and range by age group, outcome and country income group; where applicable, a random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to combine the reported rates. We further estimated the proportion of RSV hospitalisations that could be captured in clinical databases.

RESULTS

A total of 32 studies were included, with 26 studies from high-income countries. RSV-associated hospitalisation and mortality rates both showed a U-shape age pattern. Lowest and highest RSV acute respiratory infection (ARI) hospitalisation rates were found in 5-17 years (median: 1.6/100,000 population, IQR: 1.3-18.5) and < 1 year (2235.7/100,000 population, 1779.1-3552.5), respectively. Lowest and highest RSV mortality rates were found in 18-49 years (0.1/100,000 population, 0.06-0.2) and ≥ 75 years (80.0/100,000 population, 70.0-90.0) for high-income countries, respectively, and in 18-49 years (0.3/100,000 population, 0.1-2.4) and < 1 year (143.4/100,000 population, 143.4-143.4) for upper-middle income countries. More than 70% of RSV hospitalisations in children < 5 years could be captured in clinical databases whereas less than 10% of RSV hospitalisations could be captured in adults, especially for adults ≥ 50 years. Using pneumonia and influenza (P&I) mortality could potentially capture half of all RSV mortality in older adults but only 10-30% of RSV mortality in children.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides insights into the age spectrum of RSV hospitalisation and mortality. RSV disease burden using laboratory records alone could be substantially severely underreported for age groups ≥ 5 years. Our findings confirm infants and older adults should be prioritised for RSV immunisation programmes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42020173430.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus in Veneto Region: Analysis of Hospital Discharge Records from 2007 to 2021

Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is a known cause of acute lower respiratory infections in infants and young children. The present study aims to analyze the temporal trends and characteristics of hospitalization related to RSV in the Veneto region (Italy) in the period between 2007 and 2021. The analysis is performed on all the hospital discharge records (HDRs) of public and accredited private hospitals corresponding to hospitalizations occurring in the Veneto region (Italy). HDRs are considered if they included at least one of the following ICD9-CM codes: 079.6-Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV); 466.11-acute bronchiolitis due to RSV; and 480.1-pneumonia due to RSV. Total annual cases, sex, and age-specific rates and trends are evaluated. Overall, an increasing trend in the number of hospitalizations due to RSV was observed between 2007 and 2019, with a slight drop in RSV seasons 2013-2014 and 2014-2015. From March 2020 to September 2021, almost no hospitalization was registered, but in the last quarter of 2021, the number of hospitalizations reached its highest value in the series. Our data confirm the preponderance of RSV hospitalizations in infants and young children, the seasonality of RSV hospitalizations, and acute bronchiolitis as the most frequent diagnosis. Interestingly, the data also show the existence of a significant burden of disease and a non-negligible number of deaths also in older adults. The present study confirms RSV is associated with high rates of hospitalization in infants and sheds light on the burden in the 70+ age group in which a considerable number of deaths was observed, as well as the parallelism with other countries, which is consistent with a wide underdiagnoses issue.

Estimating the contribution of respiratory pathogens to acute exacerbations of COPD using routine data

OBJECTIVES

To characterise microbiology testing and results associated with emergency admissions for acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD), and determine the accuracy of ICD-10 codes in retrospectively identifying laboratory-confirmed respiratory pathogens in this setting.

METHODS

Using person-level data from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales, we extracted emergency admissions for COPD from 1/12/2016 to 30/11/2018 and undertook linkage of admissions data to microbiology data to identify laboratory-confirmed infection. We further used these data to assess the accuracy of pathogen-specific ICD-10 codes.

RESULTS

We analysed data from 15,950 people who had 25,715 emergency admissions for COPD over the two-year period. 99.5% of admissions could be linked to a laboratory test within 7 days of admission date. Sputum was collected in 5,013 (19.5%) of admissions, and respiratory virus testing in 1,219 (4.7%). Where respiratory virus testing was undertaken, 46.7% returned any positive result. Influenza was the virus most frequently detected, in 21.5% of admissions where testing was conducted. ICD-10 codes exhibited low sensitivity in detecting laboratory-confirmed respiratory pathogens.

CONCLUSIONS

In people admitted to hospital with AECOPD, increased testing for respiratory viruses could enable more effective antibiotic stewardship and isolation of cases. Linkage with microbiology data achieves more accurate and reliable case definitions.

Assessing the patient experience of respiratory syncytial virus infection: development of a patient-reported outcome measure

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes significant morbidity and mortality in older adults. Despite a number of RSV vaccine candidates in clinical trials, there are no existing disease-specific, self-reported measures that assess the symptoms and severity of RSV infection from the perspective of adult patients with acute RSV. The objective of this study was to describe the initial conceptualization and development of the RSV Infection, Intensity and Impact Questionnaire (RSV-iiiQ), a new patient-reported outcome measure.

METHODS

A targeted review of the literature identified relevant existing measures, symptoms, and impacts of RSV. A draft version of the RSV-iiiQ was developed based on the Influenza Intensity and Impact Questionnaire (Flu-iiQ) with expert input. Qualitative interviews (N = 20) were conducted with participants to optimize the RSV-iiiQ conceptual model and confirm the content validity of the RSV-iiiQ. Interviews included concept elicitation and a cognitive debriefing assessment. A draft conceptual framework was developed, and the electronic clinical outcome assessment was piloted. All steps of instrument development followed Food and Drug Administration guidance for patient-reported outcomes.

RESULTS

In-depth concept elicitation interviews followed by cognitive debriefings demonstrated that the content of the items was comprehensive, covered the breadth of RSV symptoms and impacts, and was relevant to the experiences of individuals with RSV. Both the paper and electronic versions of the RSV-iiiQ were easily completed. Minor refinements were made to some items based on participant feedback, and the draft conceptual framework was refined.

CONCLUSIONS

The RSV-iiiQ was developed for use in clinical trials to measure the symptom intensity and impact of acute RSV infection from the perspective of adult patients. The tool was developed in accordance with current regulatory guidance and is useful to support patient-focused drug development.

The Quest for a Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccine for Older Adults: Thinking beyond the F Protein

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common cause of paediatric respiratory tract infection and causes a significant health burden in older adults. Natural immunity to RSV is incomplete, permitting recurrent symptomatic infection over an individual's lifespan. When combined with immunosenescence, this increases older adults' susceptibility to more severe disease symptoms. As RSV prophylaxis is currently limited to infants, older adults represent an important target population for RSV vaccine development. The relationship between RSV and our immune systems is complex, and these interactions require deeper understanding to tailor an effective vaccine candidate towards older adults. To date, vaccine candidates targeting RSV antigens, including pre-F, F, G (A), G (B), M2-1, and N, have shown efficacy against RSV infection in older adults in clinical trial settings. Although vaccine candidates have demonstrated robust neutralising IgG and cellular responses, it is important that research continues to investigate the RSV immune response in order to further understand how the choice of antigenic target site may impact vaccine effectiveness. In this article, we discuss the Phase 3 vaccine candidates being tested in older adults and review the hurdles that must be overcome to achieve effective protection against RSV.

Vaccination against Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Spanish Adults: Practical Recommendations by the NeumoExperts Prevention Group

In the adult population, community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a serious disease that is responsible for high morbidity and mortality rates, being frequently associated with multidrug resistant pathogens. The aim of this review is to update a practical immunization prevention guideline for CAP in Spain caused by prevalent respiratory pathogens, based on the available scientific evidence through extensive bibliographic review and expert opinion. The emergence of COVID-19 as an additional etiological cause of CAP, together with the rapid changes in the availability of vaccines and recommendations against SARS-CoV-2, justifies the need for an update. In addition, new conjugate vaccines of broader spectrum against pneumococcus, existing vaccines targeting influenza and pertussis or upcoming vaccines against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) will be very useful prophylactic tools to diminish the burden of CAP and all of its derived complications. In this manuscript, we provide practical recommendations for adult vaccination against the pathogens mentioned above, including their contribution against antibiotic resistance. This guide is intended for the individual perspective of protection and not for vaccination policies, as we do not pretend to interfere with the official recommendations of any country. The use of vaccines is a realistic approach to fight these infections and ameliorate the impact of antimicrobial resistance. All of the recently available scientific evidence included in this review gives support to the indications established in this practical guide to reinforce the dissemination and implementation of these recommendations in routine clinical practice.

Low circulation of respiratory syncytial and influenza viruses during autumn-winter 2021 in the industrial workplace and long-term healthcare facilities in Athens, Greece

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 has pinpointed the importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which have been traditionally used for the prevention of the spread of respiratory viruses among individuals. The aim of our study was to capture the level of circulation of respiratory syncytial and influenza viruses during a period of medium severity NPIs due to SARS-CoV-2 pandemics in Greece. A total of 2,225 nasopharyngeal samples were received during the year 2021 as a part of the routine diagnostic service and were divided into two study groups: (a) January to September 2021 and (b) October to the end of December 2021. The latter is the time of the year when there is a peak of infections from most respiratory viruses, and thus, most of the samples were tested in that period. The samples were taken from three different sites, i.e., (a) industrial workers in a factory, (b) elderly homecare facilities, and c) people who actively asked to be tested for SARS-CoV-2. All the samples were tested simultaneously for SARS-CoV2, RSV, and influenza virus. A total of 2,110 samples were negative for either of the three viruses, 106 were SARS-CoV-2-positive, and 9 were RSV-positive from which 7 were found in the workers' group. None of the samples was found to be positive for the influenza virus, and no sample had co-infection. Our study shows the low-level circulation of RSV and influenza viruses during autumn-winter 2021 and will provide a reference for future studies of RSV and influenza in Greece.

Estimating the burden of adult hospitalized RSV infection using local and state data - methodology

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is becoming increasingly recognized as a serious threat to vulnerable population subgroups. This study describes the statistical analysis plan for a retrospective cohort study of adults hospitalized for acute respiratory infection (ARI) to estimate the population burden of RSV especially for groups such as the elderly, pregnant women and solid organ transplant patients. Disease burden estimates are essential for setting vaccine policy, e.g., should RSV vaccine become available, burden estimates may inform recommendations to prioritize certain high-risk groups. The study population is residents of Allegheny County, Pennsylvania ≥18 years of age who were hospitalized in Pennsylvania during the period September 1, 2015–August 31, 2018. Data sources will include U.S. Census, Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) and the electronic medical record for the health system to which the hospitals belong. The algorithm involves: 1) ARI-associated hospitalizations in PHC4 data; 2) adjustment for ARI hospitalizations among county residents but admitted to hospitals outside the county; and 3) RSV detections from respiratory viral panels. Key sensitivity analyses will adjust for undertesting for viruses in the fall and spring quarters. The results will be population-based estimates, stratified by age and risk groups. Adjusting hospitalization data using a multiplier method is a simple means to estimate the impact of RSV in a given area. This algorithm can be applied to other health systems and localities to estimate RSV and other respiratory pathogen burden in adults, to estimate burden following introduction of RSV vaccine and to make cost-effectiveness estimates.

Estimated incidence of respiratory hospitalizations attributable to RSV infections across age and socioeconomic groups

BACKGROUND

Surveillance for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) likely captures just a fraction of the burden of disease. Understanding the burden of hospitalizations and disparities between populations can help to inform upcoming RSV vaccine programs and to improve surveillance.

METHODS

We obtained monthly age-, ZIP code- and cause-specific hospitalizations in New York, New Jersey, and Washington from the US State Inpatient Databases (2005-2014). We estimated the incidence of respiratory hospitalizations attributable to RSV by age and by socioeconomic status using regression models. We compared the estimated incidence and the recorded incidence (based on ICD9-CM) of RSV hospitalizations to estimate the under-recorded ratio in different subpopulations.

RESULTS

The estimated annual incidence of respiratory hospitalizations due to RSV was highest among infants < 1 year of age with low socioeconomic status (2800, 95% CrI [2600, 2900] per 100,000 person-years). We also estimated a considerable incidence in older adults (≥ 65 years of age), ranging from 130 to 960 per 100,000 person-years across different socioeconomic strata. The incidence of hospitalization recorded as being due to RSV represented a significant undercount, particularly in adults. Less than 5% of the estimated RSV hospitalizations were captured for those ≥ 65 years of age.

CONCLUSIONS

RSV causes a considerable burden of hospitalization in young children and in older adults in the US, with variation by socioeconomic group. Recorded diagnoses substantially underestimate the incidence of hospitalization due to RSV in older adults.

Codon-optimization of the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) G protein expressed in a vesicular stomatitis virus (VSV) vector improves immune responses in a cotton rat model

Respiratory syncytial virus is an important cause of pneumonia in children, the elderly, and immunocompromised individuals. The attachment (G) protein of RSV generates neutralizing antibodies in natural RSV infection which correlate with protection against disease. The immune response to RSV is typically short-lived, which may be related to the heavy glycosylation of RSV-G. In order to improve its immunogenicity, we expressed G protein mutants in a vesicular stomatitis virus (VSV) vector system and tested their ability to protect cotton rats from RSV challenge. We found that the most protective construct was codon-optimized RSV-G, followed by wild-type G and membrane-bound G. Constructs which expressed the G protein with reduced glycosylation or the secreted G protein provided either partial or no protection. Our results demonstrate that modifications to the G protein are not advantageous in a VSV vector system, and that an intact, codon-optimized G is a superior vaccine candidate.

Mapping the risk of infections in patients with multiple sclerosis: A multi-database study in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD and Aurum

BACKGROUND

People with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) have an increased risk of infections; risk factors include underlying disease, physical impairment and use of some disease-modifying treatments.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify changes in population-level infection rates among pwMS and compare these to the general population and people with rheumatoid arthritis (pwRA), and identify patient characteristics predictive of infections after MS diagnosis.

METHODS

We conducted a multi-database study using data on 23,226 people with MS diagnosis from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum and GOLD (January 2000-December 2020). PwMS were matched to MS-free controls and pwRA. We calculated infection rates, and estimated incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of predictors for infections ⩽ 5 years after MS diagnosis using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

Among pwMS, overall infection rates remained stable - 1.51-fold (1.49-1.52) that in MS-free controls and 0.87-fold (0.86-0.88) that in pwRA - although urinary tract infection rate per 1000 person-years increased from 98.7 (96.1-101) (2000-2010) to 136 (134-138) (2011-2020). Recent infection before MS diagnosis was most predictive of infections (1 infection: IRR 1.92 (1.86-1.97); ⩾2 infections: IRR 3.00 (2.89-3.10)).

CONCLUSION

The population-level elevated risk of infection among pwMS has remained stable despite the introduction of disease-modifying treatments.

Determinants of RSV epidemiology following suppression through pandemic contact restrictions

INTRODUCTION

COVID-19 related non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) led to a suppression of RSV circulation in winter 2020/21 in the UK and an off-season resurgence in Summer 2021. We explore how the parameters of RSV epidemiology shape the size and dynamics of post-suppression resurgence and what we can learn about them from the resurgence patterns observed so far.

METHODS

We developed an age-structured dynamic transmission model of RSV and sampled the parameters governing RSV seasonality, infection susceptibility and post-infection immunity, retaining simulations fitting the UK's pre-pandemic epidemiology by a set of global criteria consistent with likelihood calculations. From Spring 2020 to Summer 2021 we assumed a reduced contact frequency, returning to pre-pandemic levels from Spring 2021. We simulated transmission forwards until 2023 and evaluated the impact of the sampled parameters on the projected trajectories of RSV hospitalisations and compared these to the observed resurgence.

RESULTS

Simulations replicated an out-of-season resurgence of RSV in 2021. If unmitigated, paediatric RSV hospitalisation incidence in the 2021/22 season was projected to increase by 30-60% compared to pre-pandemic levels. The increase was larger if infection risk was primarily determined by immunity acquired from previous exposure rather than age-dependent factors, exceeding 90 % and 130 % in 1-2 and 2-5 year old children, respectively. Analysing the simulations replicating the observed early outbreak in 2021 in addition to pre-pandemic RSV data, we found they were characterised by weaker seasonal forcing, stronger age-dependence of infection susceptibility and higher baseline transmissibility.

CONCLUSION

COVID-19 mitigation measures in the UK stopped RSV circulation in the 2020/21 season and generated immunity debt leading to an early off-season RSV epidemic in 2021. A stronger dependence of infection susceptibility on immunity from previous exposure increases the size of the resurgent season. The early onset of the RSV resurgence in 2021, its marginally increased size relative to previous seasons and its decline by January 2022 suggest a stronger dependence of infection susceptibility on age-related factors, as well as a weaker effect of seasonality and a higher baseline transmissibility. The pattern of resurgence has been complicated by contact levels still not back to pre-pandemic levels. Further fitting of RSV resurgence in multiple countries incorporating data on contact patterns will be needed to further narrow down these parameters and to better predict the pathogen's future trajectory, planning for a potential expansion of new immunisation products against RSV in the coming years.

Exploratory Analysis of the Economically Justifiable Price of a Hypothetical RSV Vaccine for Older Adults in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

In older adults, the burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) resembles that of influenza and may even be considered worse due to the lack of preventive interventions. This study was performed to identify the available literature on RSV infection in older adults, and to provide updated exploratory results of the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical RSV vaccine in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom.

METHODS

A literature search was performed in Medline and EMBASE on 11 November 2019, which served as input for a static decision-tree model that was used to estimate the EJP, for an RSV vaccine applying different willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds. WTP thresholds applied were €20 000 and €50 000 per quality-adjusted life-year for the Netherlands, and £20 000 and £30 000 per quality-adjusted life-year for the United Kingdom. Analyses were-in line with country-specific guidelines-conducted from a societal perspective for the Netherlands and a third-party payer perspective for the United Kingdom. The robustness of the cost-effectiveness results was tested in sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

After screening the literature, 3 studies for the Netherlands and 6 for the United Kingdom remained to populate the country-specific models. In the base case analysis for the Netherlands (mean RSV incidence, 3.32%), justifiable vaccine prices of €16.38 and €50.03 were found, based on applying the lower and higher WTP thresholds, respectively. Similarly, for the United Kingdom (mean incidence, 7.13%), vaccine prices of £72.29 and £109.74 were found, respectively.

CONCLUSION

RSV vaccination may well be cost-effective in both the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, depending on the exact RSV incidence, vaccine effectiveness and price. However, sensitivity analysis showed that the results were robust based on varying the different parameter estimates and assumptions. With RSV vaccines reaching the final stages of development, a strong need exists for cost-effectiveness studies to understand economically justifiable pricing of the vaccine.

RSV testing practice and positivity by patient demographics in the United States: integrated analyses of MarketScan and NREVSS databases

Background

RSV-incidence estimates obtained from routinely-collected healthcare data (e.g., MarketScan) are commonly adjusted for under-reporting using test positivity reported in national Surveillance Systems (NREVSS). However, NREVSS lacks detail on patient-level characteristics and the validity of applying a single positivity estimate across diverse patient groups is uncertain. We aimed to describe testing practices and test positivity across subgroups of private health insurance enrollees in the US and illustrate the possible magnitude of misclassification when using NREVSS to correct for RSV under ascertainment.

Methods

Using billing records, we determined distributions of RSV-test claims and test positivity among a national sample of private insurance enrollees. Tests were considered positive if they coincided with an RSV-diagnosis. We illustrated the influence of positivity variation across sub-populations when accounting for untested acute respiratory infections.

Results

Most tests were for children (age 0–4: 65.8%) and outpatient encounters (78.3%). Test positivity varied across age (0–4: 19.8%, 5–17: 1.8%, adults: 0.7%), regions (7.6–16.1%), settings (inpatient 4.7%, outpatient 14.2%), and test indication (5.0–35.9%). When compared to age, setting or indication-specific positivity, bias due to using NREVSS positivity to correct for untested ARIs ranged from − 76% to 3556%.

Conclusions

RSV-test positivity depends on the characteristics of patients for whom those tests were ordered. NREVSS-based correction for RSV-under-ascertainment underestimates the true incidence among children and overestimate rates among adults. Demographic-specific detail on testing practice and positivity can improve the accuracy of RSV-incidence estimates.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07659-x.

Estimating the burden of adult hospitalized RSV infection including special populations

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies in the U.S. have made estimates of the RSV burden among adults that vary widely due to differences in methodology, reliance on influenza surveillance, which does not adequately capture all RSV clinical symptoms, and lack of diagnostic methods to identify RSV when viral loads are low. Nevertheless, accurate burden estimates can inform healthcare planning, resource allocation and potentially, RSV vaccine policy.

METHODS

A simple method combined with statewide and local hospitalization, medical record and U.S. Census data were used to estimate population-based RSV hospitalization burden among adults ages 18-64 years, ≥65 years, and including immunocompetent, immunocompromised and pregnant individuals during 2015-2018 for Allegheny County, Pennsylvania. Economic burden of hospitalization was estimated using state-provided average hospitalization charges for comparisons across patient groups.

RESULTS

The largest burden was borne by adults ≥ 65 years of age whose rates per 100,000 population of that age group (939/100,000) were 7.0-9.0 times those of adults 18-64 years of age (118/100,000). Immunosuppressed patients bore the greatest relative burden of RSV hospitalizations (1,288-1,562/100,000 immunosuppressed individuals). RSV burden ranged from 0 to 808/100,000 pregnant women. Average total charges for RSV hospitalization in Allegheny County across all adults increased from $39 million in 2015-2016 to $57 million in 2016-2017 to $89 million in 2017-2018, due to both increased average charges for an acute respiratory hospitalization and increased numbers of RSV cases.

CONCLUSIONS

These RSV burden estimates add to the body of knowledge to guide public health policy makers and offer a method for simply and easily producing population-based burden estimates.

Comparison of the efficacy and safety of different immunization routes induced by human respiratory syncytial virus F protein with CpG adjuvant in mice

Human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) is a leading cause worldwide of severe respiratory illness in infants and the elderly. The ideal HRSV vaccine should induce a systemic immune response, especially mucosal immunity. In this study, mice were immunized twice with F protein combined with CpG adjuvant to compare the safety and efficacy of 4 immunization routes, including intranasal primed/intramuscular boosted immunization (CpG + F/in+im), intramuscular primed/intranasal boosted immunization (CpG + F/im+in), intramuscular primed/intramuscular boosted immunization (CpG + F/im + im) and intranasal primed/intranasal boosted immunization (CpG + F/in+in). Compared with the control group (CpG/in+im, CpG/im+in, CpG/im + im and CpG/in+in), all 4 immunization routes induced a high titer of neutralizing antibodies and a strong cellular immune response. Mice in the CpG + F/in+in group induced the highest antibody neutralization titer, and IgA antibody in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) was the highest. The copy of HRSVs in the lung decreased by approximately 3 log10. As seen from the IgG1/IgG2a and IFN-γ/IL-4-secreting lymphocyte ratios, compared with the mice in the CpG + F/im + im group, mice in the CpG + F/in+in group induced Th1-baised humoral and cellular immune responses and significantly reduced lung pathological injury. In conclusion, among the 4 immunization routes, the safety and efficacy induced by the mice in the CpG + F/in+in group were the best. We can conclude that intranasal immunization is superior to intramuscular immunization using F protein with CpG adjuvant as vaccine candidates.

Off-season RSV epidemics in Australia after easing of COVID-19 restrictions

Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of acute respiratory infection with the most severe disease in the young and elderly. Non-pharmaceutical interventions and travel restrictions for controlling COVID-19 have impacted the circulation of most respiratory viruses including RSV globally, particularly in Australia, where during 2020 the normal winter epidemics were notably absent. However, in late 2020, unprecedented widespread RSV outbreaks occurred, beginning in spring, and extending into summer across two widely separated regions of the Australian continent, New South Wales (NSW) and Australian Capital Territory (ACT) in the east, and Western Australia. Through genomic sequencing we reveal a major reduction in RSV genetic diversity following COVID-19 emergence with two genetically distinct RSV-A clades circulating cryptically, likely localised for several months prior to an epidemic surge in cases upon relaxation of COVID-19 control measures. The NSW/ACT clade subsequently spread to the neighbouring state of Victoria and to cause extensive outbreaks and hospitalisations in early 2021. These findings highlight the need for continued surveillance and sequencing of RSV and other respiratory viruses during and after the COVID-19 pandemic, as mitigation measures may disrupt seasonal patterns, causing larger or more severe outbreaks.

Non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 also reduced incidence of respiratory pathogens such as respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Here, the authors report the resurgence of RSV in Australia following lifting of some of the restrictions and describe reduction in genetic diversity in circulating clades.

RSV-associated hospitalization in adults in the USA: A retrospective chart review investigating burden, management strategies, and outcomes

Background and Aims

The burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in adults is of growing concern. This study was designed to quantify disease burden, treatment approaches, and outcomes associated with RSV infections in adult subpopulations, from prehospitalization to hospital discharge.

Methods

A retrospective chart analysis was conducted to collect patient-case data from hospitalized US adults (aged >18 years) with RSV infection during two RSV seasons. Patients were categorized into risk groups: comorbid lung disease, immunocompromised, older adults (aged ≥65 years), and other adults (aged <65 years). Physicians reported diagnosis, treatment choices including respiratory supportive therapy (oxygen and fluid supplementation), and outcome variables using a standardized online case form.

Results

The majority (277/379; 73%) of patients presented to the emergency room, with a mean age of 60 years. Once hospitalized, the median length of stay was 6.0 days (3.0-9.0), with disease severity having the greatest impact on duration of stay. No significant between-group differences in rates of patients requiring management in intensive care units were found (comorbid lung disease, 28%; immunocompromised, 36%; older adults, 26%; and other adults, 23%). Overall, respiratory supportive therapy was the most commonly used form of treatment. Antibiotics were administered in over half of all risk groups (comorbid lung disease, 61%; immunocompromised, 59%; older adults, 59%; and other adults, 51%). Patients usually required follow-up visits following discharge, with 10%-16% requiring skilled nursing care and approximately 25% requiring assistance from a social worker.

Conclusion

RSV in adult subpopulations, irrespective of age, is a significant burden to healthcare systems.

Mucosal Immune Responses to Respiratory Syncytial Virus

Despite over half a century of research, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-induced bronchiolitis remains a major cause of hospitalisation in infancy, while vaccines and specific therapies still await development. Our understanding of mucosal immune responses to RSV continues to evolve, but recent studies again highlight the role of Type-2 immune responses in RSV disease and hint at the possibility that it dampens Type-1 antiviral immunity. Other immunoregulatory pathways implicated in RSV disease highlight the importance of focussing on localised mucosal responses in the respiratory mucosa, as befits a virus that is essentially confined to the ciliated respiratory epithelium. In this review, we discuss studies of mucosal immune cell infiltration and production of inflammatory mediators in RSV bronchiolitis and relate these studies to observations from peripheral blood. We also discuss the advantages and limitations of studying the nasal mucosa in a disease that is most severe in the lower airway. A fresh focus on studies of RSV pathogenesis in the airway mucosa is set to revolutionise our understanding of this common and important infection.

Evaluating the Increased Burden of Cardiorespiratory Illness Visits to Adult Emergency Departments During Flu and Bronchiolitis Outbreaks in the Pediatric Population: Retrospective Multicentric Time Series Analysis

BACKGROUND

Cardiorespiratory decompensation (CRD) visits have a profound effect on adult emergency departments (EDs). Respiratory pathogens like respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza virus are common reasons for increased activity in pediatric EDs and are associated with CRD in the adult population. Given the seasonal aspects of such challenging pathology, it would be advantageous to predict their variations.

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to evaluate the increased burden of CRD in adult EDs during flu and bronchiolitis outbreaks in the pediatric population.

METHODS

An ecological study was conducted, based on admissions to the adult ED of the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire (CHU) of Grenoble and Saint Etienne from June 29, 2015 to March 22, 2020. The outbreak periods for bronchiolitis and flu in the pediatric population were defined with a decision-making support tool, PREDAFLU, used in the pediatric ED. A Kruskal-Wallis variance analysis and a Spearman monotone dependency were performed in order to study the relationship between the number of adult ED admissions for the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes related to cardiorespiratory diagnoses and the presence of an epidemic outbreak as defined with PREDAFLU.

RESULTS

The increase in visits to the adult ED for CRD and the bronchiolitis and flu outbreaks had a similar distribution pattern (CHU Saint Etienne: χ²₃=102.7, P<.001; CHU Grenoble: χ²₃=126.67, P<.001) and were quite dependent in both hospital settings (CHU Saint Etienne: Spearman ρ=0.64; CHU Grenoble: Spearman ρ=0.71). The increase in ED occupancy for these pathologies was also significantly related to the pediatric respiratory infection outbreaks. These 2 criteria gave an idea of the increased workload in the ED due to CRD during the bronchiolitis and flu outbreaks in the pediatric population.

CONCLUSIONS

This study established that CRD visits and bed occupancy for adult EDs were significantly increased during bronchiolitis and pediatric influenza outbreaks. Therefore, a prediction tool for these outbreaks such as PREDAFLU can be used to provide early warnings of increased activity in adult EDs for CRD visits.

Clinical characteristics and population-based attack rates of respiratory syncytial virus versus influenza hospitalizations among adults-An observational study

BACKGROUND

The clinical significance of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) among adults remains underinvestigated. We compared the characteristics and population-based attack rates of RSV and influenza hospitalizations.

METHODS

During 2018-2020, we recruited hospitalized adults with respiratory infection to our prospective substudy at a tertiary care hospital in Finland and compared the characteristics of RSV and influenza patients. In our retrospective substudy, we calculated the attack rates of all RSV and influenza hospitalizations among adults in the same geographic area during 2016-2020.

RESULTS

Of the 537 prospective substudy patients, 31 (6%) had RSV, and 106 (20%) had influenza. Duration of hospitalization, need for intensive care or outcome did not differ significantly between RSV and influenza patients. RSV was more often missed or its diagnosis omitted from medical record (13% vs 1% p = 0.016 and 48% vs 15%, p > 0.001). In the retrospective substudy, the mean attack rates of RSV, influenza A, and influenza B hospitalizations rose with age from 4.1 (range by season 1.9-5.9), 15.4 (12.3-23.3), and 4.7 (0.5-16.2) per 100,000 persons among 18- to 64-year-olds to 58.3 (19.3-117.6), 204.1 (31.0-345.0), and 60.4 (0.0-231.0) per 100,000 persons among 65+-year-olds and varied considerably between seasons.

DISCUSSION

While the attack rates of influenza hospitalizations were higher compared with RSV, RSV and influenza hospitalizations were similar in severity. Missing or underreporting of RSV infections may lead to underestimating its disease burden. Both RSV and influenza caused a substantial amount of hospitalizations among the elderly, stressing the need for more effective interventions.

OUP accepted manuscript

Background

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial burden in older adults. Viral load in RSV-infected adults is generally lower compared to young children, which could result in suboptimal sensitivity of RSV diagnostics. Although the Xpert® Xpress Flu/RSV assay has been used in routine clinical care, its sensitivity to diagnose RSV infection in older adults is largely unknown. We aimed to compare the performance of the Xpert® Xpress Flu/RSV assay with real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in home-dwelling older adults (≥60 years of age).

Methods

Nasopharyngeal swabs were tested with Xpert® Xpress Flu/RSV and compared to RSV RT-PCR in older adults with acute respiratory tract infections with different levels of disease severity.

Results

We studied 758 respiratory samples from 561 older adults from 2 consecutive RSV seasons. Thirty-five (4.6%) samples tested positive for RSV by at least 1 of the assays, of which 2 samples were negative by Xpert® Xpress Flu/RSV and 3 samples by real-time RT-PCR. The positive percentage agreement (PPA) was 90.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 76.4%–96.8%) and negative percentage agreement was 99.7% (95% CI, 99.0%–99.9%). Viral loads were low (≤103 copies/mL or cycle threshold value ≥34) in all cases with discordant results for the 2 assays.

Conclusions

The PPA of Xpert® Xpress Flu/RSV compared to routine RT-PCR is high for RSV detection in home-dwelling older adults. The assay is fast and easy to use at the point of care.

Clinical Trials Registration

NCT03621930.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus: New Challenges for Molecular Epidemiology Surveillance and Vaccination Strategy in Patients with ILI/SARI

Several respiratory pathogens are responsible for influenza-like illness (ILI) and severe respiratory infections (SARI), among which human respiratory syncytial virus (hRSV) represents one of the most common aetiologies. We analysed the hRSV prevalence among subjects with ILI or SARI during the five influenza seasons before the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Sicily (Italy). Respiratory specimens from ILI outpatients and SARI inpatients were collected in the framework of the Italian Network for the Influenza Surveillance and molecularly tested for hRSV-A and hRSV-B. Overall, 8.1% of patients resulted positive for hRSV. Prevalence peaked in the age-groups <5 years old (range: 17.6–19.1%) and ≥50 years old (range: 4.8–5.1%). While the two subgroups co-circulated throughout the study period, hRSV-B was slightly predominant over hRSV-A, except for the season 2019–2020 when hRSV-A strongly prevailed (82.9%). In the community setting, the distribution of hRSV subgroups was balanced (47.8% vs. 49.7% for hRSV-A and hRSV-B, respectively), while most infections identified in the hospital setting were caused by hRSV-B (69.5%); also, this latter one was more represented among hRSV cases with underlying diseases, as well as among those who developed a respiratory complication. The molecular surveillance of hRSV infections may provide a valuable insight into the epidemiological features of ILI/SARI. Our findings add new evidence to the existing knowledge on viral aetiology of ILI and SARI in support of public health strategies and may help to define high-risk categories that could benefit from currently available and future vaccines.

Occurrence and disease burden of respiratory syncytial virus and other respiratory pathogens in adults aged ≥65 years in community: A prospective cohort study in Japan

Background

The frequency and clinical profile of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)–acute respiratory disease (ARD) in older adults in Japan has not been well‐characterized.

Methods

This was a multicenter prospective observational cohort study to evaluate the occurrence rate of ARD in 1000 older adult participants (≥65 years) for 52 weeks during the 2019 to 2020 season. A multiplex polymerase chain reaction panel was used for pathogen detection in nasopharyngeal swab from participants diagnosed with ARD. Symptoms and impact of ARD was assessed using the Respiratory Infection Intensity and Impact Questionnaire (RiiQ™). The study was registered at UMIN (https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/): UMIN000037891.

Results

RSV–ARD was detected in 24/1000 (2.4%) participants and RSV‐lower respiratory tract disease in 8/1000 (0.8%) participants. The median duration of RSV–ARD was 18 days. All 24 participants had utilized the medical services of outpatient visits and only 1 (4.2%) participant was hospitalized for RSV–ARD. The most common viruses other than RSV that caused ARD (detected in >10 participants) were human rhinovirus/enterovirus, parainfluenza 3, coronavirus OC43, human metapneumovirus, and influenza A/H1. The most frequent symptoms of RSV–ARD were cough, sore throat, nasal congestion, and expectoration.

Conclusions

RSV was reported as a major pathogen for respiratory infections in older adults in Japan.