Prediction of risk factors of bronchial mucus plugs in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia

[Risk factors for plastic bronchitis in children with macrolide-unresponsive Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia and establishment of a nomogram model]

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the risk factors for plastic bronchitis (PB) in children with macrolide-unresponsive Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MUMPP) and to establish a nomogram prediction model.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 178 children with MUMPP who underwent bronchoscopy from January to December 2023. According to the presence or absence of PB, the children were divided into a PB group (49 children) and a non-PB group (129 children). The predictive factors for the development of PB in children with MUMPP were analyzed, and a nomogram prediction model was established. The model was assessed in terms of discriminatory ability, accuracy, and clinical effectiveness.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that older age and higher levels of lactate dehydrogenase and fibrinogen were closely associated with the development of PB in children with MUMPP (P<0.05). A nomogram model established based on these factors had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.733 (95%CI: 0.651-0.816, P<0.001) and showed a good discriminatory ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated that the predictive model had a good degree of fit (P>0.05), and the decision curve analysis showed that the model had a good clinical application value.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk nomogram model established based on age and lactate dehydrogenase and fibrinogen levels has good discriminatory ability, accuracy, and predictive efficacy for predicting the development of PB in children with MUMPP.

Enhanced insights into the neutrophil-driven immune mechanisms during Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection

Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) infections represent a significant component of community-acquired pneumonia, especially in children, invoking a complex neutrophil-mediated immune response, crucial for host defense. This review consolidates current knowledge on the role of neutrophils in MP infection, focusing on their recruitment, migration and activation, as well as the molecular mechanisms underpinning these processes. Significant findings indicate that specific bacterial components, notably CARDS toxin and lipoproteins, intensify neutrophil recruitment via signaling pathways, including the IL-23/IL-17 axis and G-CSF. Furthermore, neutrophils engage in a series of responses, including phagocytosis, degranulation and NETosis, to combat infection effectively. However, dysregulated neutrophil activity can lead to exacerbated lung injury, highlighting the delicate balance required in neutrophil responses. Age and immunodeficiency also emerge as critical factors influencing the severity of MP infections. This review emphasizes the dual role of neutrophils in both defending against and exacerbating MP infections, suggesting that targeted therapeutic strategies could mitigate the adverse effects while enhancing beneficial neutrophil functions.

Comparative observation between Roxithromycin and Azithromycin sequential therapy in the treatment of Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia in Children

Objective

To investigate the clinical efficacy of roxithromycin combined with azithromycin sequential therapy in the treatment of mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 100 patients with mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia admitted to The First Affiliated Hospital of Yangtze University from January 2020 to December 2022. All patients were divided into the observation group (roxithromycin combined with azithromycin sequential therapy) and the control group (azithromycin sequential therapy), with 50 cases in each group. The clinical efficacy, improvement time of clinical symptoms/signs, inflammation indexes, oxidative stress indexes and immune function levels of the two groups were compared. Moreover, the improvement of lung function indexes and the adverse reactions were observed.

Results

The overall response rate of the observation group was 96.00%, which was higher than the control group (84.00%) (p<0.05). The time of clinical symptoms/signs in the observation group were significantly lower than those in the control group(p<0.05). After treatment, significant improvements were seen in the levels of CRP, TNF-ɑ, IL-6, GSH-Px, SOD, MDA, CD3+, CD4+, CD4+/CD8+, IgM, IgG , IgA, FEV1, FEV1%, FVC and FEV1/FVC of the two groups compared with those before treatment (p<0.05), and the improvement in the observation group was more obvious than that in the control group(p<0.05). The overall incidence of adverse reactions in the observation group was 6.00%, which was slightly lower than that in the control group (8.00%) (c²=0.154, P=0.695).

Conclusion

Roxithromycin combined with azithromycin sequential therapy is a safe regimen for the treatment of mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children.

Construction of a predictive model of respiratory endoscopic intervention in children with lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection

Background

This study aimed to analyze the clinical features of children with lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) infection, to explore the independent risk factors for bronchoscopic intervention in children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection. There is a lack of objective assessment tools to guide the use of bronchoscopy in clinical practice. For children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection, whether line shall be actively bronchoscope intervention therapy remains to be further defined. We also aimed to construct an early warning model of bronchoscopic intervention to provide an objective evaluation tool for clinicians.

Methods

We collected the clinical data of 533 children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection. The patients were divided into three groups according to the interventional indications for bronchoscopy and whether they were treated with bronchoscopic intervention, and the clinical features and prognosis of the three groups were compared. A binary logistic regression analysis was performed on the indicators with a significance value of P<0.05, which we retrieved from the comparative analysis between the first two groups to uncover the independent risk factors and regression equations concerning bronchoscopic intervention. The regression coefficient (β) of our regression model was then used to score related values in the model to construct a predictive scoring model of bronchoscopic intervention for the treatment of children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection.

Results

Children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection who demonstrated absolute indications for bronchoscopy exhibited more severe clinical manifestations, and children without absolute indications for bronchoscopy had a better prognosis even without bronchoscopic intervention. To establish our early warning model of bronchoscopic intervention for children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection, we used the following indices: C-reactive protein ≥20.94 mg/L (β1=2.253) received 3 points, while a fever duration before bronchoscopy ≥6.5 d (β2=1.424), lactate dehydrogenase ≥461.5 U/L (β3=1.246), or fever (β4=1.223) each received 2 points, and the complication of pleural effusion (β5=0.841) received 1 point, for a total possible score of 10 points.

Conclusions

When the score for the children with lobar pneumonia caused by MP infection was ≥6, the possibility of bronchoscopic intervention for treatment was >80%. The higher the score, the greater the possibility of bronchoscopic intervention.

Construction of a nomogram for early diagnosis of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children

Background

Refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) has a serious, rapid progression that can easily cause a variety of extra-pulmonary complications. Therefore, the early identification of RMPP is crucial. This study aimed to construct and validate a risk prediction model based on clinical manifestations, laboratory blood indicators, and radiological findings to help clinicians identify patients who are at high risk of RMPP.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 369 children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) admitted to Xi'an Children's Hospital, China. The demographics, clinical features, laboratory data, and radiological findings between the RMPP group and the general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group were compared and subjected to univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

Results

The fever peak and duration of the children in the RMPP group (n=86) were higher and longer compared with those in the GMPP group (n=283) (P<0.05). There was a significant difference in the incidence of lobar pneumonia and pleural effusion in pulmonary imaging between the two groups (P<0.05). Laboratory tests showed that the children with RMPP had lower serum uric acid (SUA) and albumin (ALB) as compared with the GMPP group (P<0.05). White blood cells (WBCs), neutrophil count (NEP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were higher in the RMPP group (P<0.05). Binary logistic regression analysis showed that the fever duration, pleural effusion, WBC, NEP, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), CRP, NLR, and SUA levels were independent predictors of RMPP (P<0.05). The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve results showed fever duration, WBC, NEP, CRP, LDH, SUA, and NLR had good predictive value. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.861, 0.730, 0.758, 0.837, 0.868, 0.744, and 0.713 and the best cutoff values were 10.50, 10.13, 6.43, 29.45, 370.50, 170.50, and 3.47, respectively. Finally, fever duration of more than 10.5 days, pleural effusion, WBC >10.13×109/L, NEP >6.43×109/L, CRP >29.45 mg/L, LDH >370.50 U/L, NLR >3.47, and SUA <170.5 µmol/mL constructed a prediction model of RMPP. According to internal validation, the mean AUC of the nomogram based on the development dataset was 0.956 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.937-0.974] with good discrimination ability for predicting RMPP patients. The calibration plot and Hosmer-Lemeshow test (P=0.70) of the prediction model showed good consistency between the predicted probability and actual probability. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram is clinically useful.

Conclusions

The simple and easy-to-use nomogram can help clinicians, especially primary doctors, to make early diagnoses of RMPP.

Study on the Correlation Between the Expression of NF-Ƙb in the Alveolar Lavage Fluid of Children with Severe Mycoplasma Pneumoniae Pneumonia, Its Clinical Characteristics, and Cellular Immunity

Objective

This study explored the level of nuclear factor-ƙB (NF-ƙB) in the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) of children with severe Mycoplasma Pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP) and the correlation between NF-ƙB, cellular immunity, and clinical characteristics.

Methods

A total of 41 hospitalized children diagnosed with SMPP were selected and included in the SMPP group, and 13 bronchial foreign bodies (FB) without infection during the same period were included in the FB group. The NF-ƙB in the BALF of participants was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The correlation between NF-ƙB and laboratory findings, cellular immunity, and the clinical features in children with SMPP was analyzed. The differences in chest imaging and bronchoscopy in children with SMPP were observed.

Results

The levels of NF-ƙB were significantly increased in the SMPP group compared with the FB group (P < 0.001). There were correlations between different NF-ƙB pairs in the SMPP group (P < 0.01). Nuclear factor-ƙB (NF-ƙB) correlated with IL-6, the mycoplasma load in BALF, fever peak, length of hospital stay, and sputum suppository (P < 0.05). The higher the intracellular NF-ƙB level in BALF, the lower the CD3+ CD4+ value in peripheral blood (P < 0.05). Intracellular NF-ƙB and total NF-ƙB correlated with pleural effusion, pericardial effusion, and extrapulmonary complications (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

NF-ƙB is involved in airway inflammation changes in children with SMPP. The higher the level of NF-ƙB in the airway, the more severe the clinical manifestations, and the longer the length of hospital stay is likely to be.

Childhood Mycoplasma pneumoniae: epidemiology and manifestation in Northeast and Inner Mongolia, China

Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) is commonly detected in children. However, the epidemiological trends of MP in Northeast (NE) China are unclear. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the prevalence of MP infections in this understudied region. The clinical manifestations and bronchoscopic findings observed in hospitalized patients with severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP) were collected from comprehensive data obtained from six tertiary hospitals in NE and Inner Mongolian (IM) China, from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2023. A total of 5,593,530 children who visited the outpatient and emergency departments, and 412,480 inpatient hospitalized children were included in the study. The positivity rate of MP immunoglobulin M (IgM) in the children who visited the outpatient and emergency departments varied from 7.80% to 10.12%, whereas that of MP infection in hospitalized children ranged from 27.18% to 30.10%. Children hospitalized for MP infection were mainly concentrated in the 1- to 4-year (41.39%) and 4- to 7-year (24.25%) age groups. Before 2020, the season with the highest incidence of MP was winter. After the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), the MP epidemic season changed, and the number of children with MP infections decreased; however, the proportion of MP infections in hospitalized children did not change significantly. Starting from August 2023, the MP infection rate in outpatient, emergency, and hospitalized children increased sharply, with SMPP and its complications (e.g., plastic bronchitis and pleural effusion) increasing significantly. MP is prevalent in NE and IM, China. When the NPIs ended, MP infection showed a delayed outbreak trend, and the number of children with severe infection increased significantly.

IMPORTANCE

In Northeastern (NE) and Inner Mongolia (IM), the incidence of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) infections, including severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP), is high, posing health risks and imposing substantial economic burdens on the local population. Therefore, it is imperative to prioritize the study of MP prevalence and address the research gaps in MP epidemiology in these areas of China. We obtained a comprehensive collection of pediatric outpatient, emergency, and inpatient data from six public Grade III hospitals. We believe that our study makes a significant contribution to the literature because understanding regional variations in MP infections can help healthcare professionals tailor prevention and treatment strategies, and studying bronchoscopic manifestations can provide insights into the impact of the disease on the respiratory system, potentially leading to a more effective clinical management.

Early predictors of delayed radiographic resolution of lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae in children: a retrospective study in China

BACKGROUND

Lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae is a relatively difficult-to-treat pneumonia in children. The time of radiographic resolution after treatment is variable, a long recovery time can result in several negative effects, and it has attracted our attention. Therefore, exploring factors associated with delayed radiographic resolution will help to identify these children at an early stage and prepare for early intervention.

METHODS

The data of 339 children with lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae were collected from the Department of Pediatrics of Fu Yang People's Hospital, China from January 2021 to June 2022. After discharge, the children were regularly followed up in the outpatient department and on the WeChat platform for > 8 weeks. According to whether pulmonary imaging (chest radiography or plain chest computed tomography) returned to normal within 8 weeks, the children were divided into the delayed recovery group (DRG) (n = 69) and the normal recovery group (NRG) (n = 270). The children's general information, laboratory examination findings, bronchoscopy results, and imaging findings were retrospectively analyzed. Single-factor analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for delayed radiographic resolution of lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae, and the factors with statistically significant differences underwent multiple-factor logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was then performed to calculate the cutoff value of early predictive indicators of delayed radiographic resolution.

RESULTS

Single-factor analysis showed that the following were significantly greater in the DRG than NRG: total fever duration, the hospitalization time, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, D-dimer level, pulmonary lesions involving two or more lobes, a large amount of pleural effusion, the time to interventional bronchoscopy, and mucus plugs formation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the hospitalization time, CRP level, LDH level, pulmonary lesions involving two or more lobes, and a large amount of pleural effusion were independent risk factors for delayed radiographic resolution of lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae. The cutoff values on the receiver operating characteristic curve were a hospitalization time of ≥ 10.5 days, CRP level of ≥ 25.92 mg/L, and LDH level of ≥ 378 U/L.

CONCLUSION

If patients with lobar pneumonia caused by Mycoplasma pneumoniae have a hospitalization time of ≥ 10.5 days, CRP level of ≥ 25.92 mg/L, and LDH level ≥ 378 U/L, the time of radiographic resolution is highly likely to exceed 8 weeks. Pediatricians must maintain a high level of vigilance for these factors, control the infection as early as possible, strengthen airway management, and follow up closely to avoid complications and sequelae of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia.

[Construction of a predictive model for performing bronchoalveolar lavage in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia and pulmonary consolidation]

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the risk factors for performing bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) and pulmonary consolidation, and to construct a predictive model for performing BAL in these children.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 202 children with MPP who were hospitalized in the Department of Pediatrics, Changzhou No. 2 People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, from August 2019 to September 2022. According to whether BAL was performed, they were divided into BAL group with 100 children and non-BAL group with 102 children. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for performing BAL in MPP children with pulmonary consolidation. Rstudio software (R4.2.3) was used to establish a predictive model for performing BAL, and the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index, and calibration curve were used to assess the predictive performance of the model.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the fever duration, C-reactive protein levels, D-dimer levels, and presence of pleural effusion were risk factors for performing BAL in MPP children with pulmonary consolidation (P<0.05). A nomogram predictive model was established based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis. In the training set, this model had an area under the ROC curve of 0.915 (95%CI: 0.827-0.938), with a sensitivity of 0.826 and a specificity of 0.875, while in the validation set, it had an area under the ROC curve of 0.983 (95%CI: 0.912-0.996), with a sensitivity of 0.879 and a specificity of 1.000. The Bootstrap-corrected C-index was 0.952 (95%CI: 0.901-0.986), and the calibration curve demonstrated good consistency between the predicted probability of the model and the actual probability of occurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive model established in this study can be used to assess the likelihood of performing BAL in MPP children with pulmonary consolidation, based on factors such as fever duration, C-reactive protein levels, D-dimer levels, and the presence of pleural effusion. Additionally, the model demonstrates good predictive performance.

Risk prediction model for long-term atelectasis in children with pneumonia

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop a risk prediction model for long-term atelectasis in children with pneumonia.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 532 children with atelectasis was performed at the Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from February 2017 to March 2020. The predictive variables were screened by LASSO regression analysis and the nomogram was drawn by R software. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration chart and decision curve were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy and clinical utility. 1000 Bootstrap resampling was used for internal verification.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that clinical course before bronchoscopy, length of stay, bronchial mucus plug formation, age were independent risk factors for long-term atelectasis in children. The area under the ROC curve of nomogram was 0.857(95% CI = 0.8136 ~ 0.9006) in training set and 0.849(95% CI = 0.7848-0.9132) in the testing set. The calibration curve demonstrated that the nomogram was well-fitted, and decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram had good clinical utility.

CONCLUSIONS

The model based on the risk factors of long-term atelectasis in children with pneumonia has good predictive accuracy and consistency, which can provide a certain reference value for clinical prevention and treatment of long-term atelectasis in children.

Reduced serum 25(OH)D is closely related to bronchial mucus plug formation in children with mycoplasma pneumonia: A prospective cohort study

Background

The relationship between vitamin D nutritional status and the formation of bronchial mucus plugs (BMPs) is unclear. The aims of the current study were to investigate associations between serum 25(OH)D levels, serum inflammatory factors, and clinical characteristics in children with mycoplasma pneumonia (MPP), and to summarize the risk factors for BMPs in children with MPP.

Methods

Clinical data from 175 children with MPP were collected and analyzed, the children were divided into a BMP group and a non-BMP group. Serum 25(OH)D levels, IL-8, and various inflammatory factors were compared in the two groups. Associations between 25(OH)D levels and IL-8, various inflammatory factors, and clinical characteristics were analyzed, and the diagnostic value of serum 25(OH)D levels was assessed.

Results

Serum 25(OH)D level was significantly lower in the BMP group (p < 0.05). Serum IL-8 level, percentages of neutrophils, and some inflammatory factors were significantly higher in the BMP group (p < 0.05). Serum 25(OH)D level was negatively correlated with IL-8, neutrophil percentage, various inflammatory factors (all p < 0.05). It was also associated with lobular infection, pleural effusion, mechanical ventilation, and mycoplasma 2,063/2,064 mutation (all p < 0.05). In multivariate regression analysis 25(OH)D [odds ratio (OR) 0.98, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.97-0.99, p = 0.003], IL-8 (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, p = 0.002), polylobular infection (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.17-2.64, p = 0.007), and MP DNA copies (OR 0.98, 95% CI 1.04-1.01, p = 0.022) were independent risk factors for BMPs, and the area under the curve value was 0.915 (95% CI 0.895-0.935). If the serum 25(OH)D level was <50 nmol/L, the respective percentages for sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 97, 81, 78.9, and 97.6%.

Conclusions

Vitamin D deficiency is common in children with MPP, and 25(OH)D levels are closely associated with inflammatory factors and disease severity in children. The serum 25 (OH) D level of MPP children with BMPs was lower than that of children without BMPs. Serum 25(OH)D can be used as a marker for the diagnosis of MPP in children with BMPs.

Asthma with recurrent middle lobe syndrome in children: Clinical features and lung function patterns

BACKGROUND

Middle lobe syndrome (MLS) is a complication of childhood asthma. This study aimed to compare the clinical features and lung function between asthmatic children with recurrent MLS and transient right middle lobe (RML) and/or lingula atelectasis.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed asthmatic children with RML and/or lingula atelectasis between 2010 and 2020 using data from the pediatric pulmonary department. According to the episodes of atelectasis, children were divided into recurrent (≥2 episodes) and non-recurrent (only 1 episode) MLS groups, to compare clinical features and lung function. Spirometry during acute asthma exacerbation and stable stages were recorded, and variations were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 35 children with asthma and RML and/or lingula atelectasis were included, 15 of whom had recurrent MLS. The recurrent MLS group had a higher proportion of girls, infections, family allergy history, severe asthma, severe exacerbation, and higher levels of total IgE than the non-recurrent MLS group (P < 0.05). The recurrent MLS group had a significantly higher % predicted and z-scores for forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) and forced vital capacity (FVC), a greater proportion of high FEV₁ and higher variations in FEV₁ and FVC than that in the non-recurrent group (P < 0.05). After excluding children with mild to moderate asthma in the recurrent MLS group, the differences in clinical features disappeared, but the results regarding lung function remained similar, when compared to severe asthma patients without RML and/or lingula atelectasis.

CONCLUSIONS

Childhood asthma with recurrent MLS has more frequent severe asthma and exacerbation but high lung function and variations.

Predictive Value of Adenoviral Load for Bronchial Mucus Plugs Formation in Children with Adenovirus Pneumonia

Background. The study aimed to explore risk factors for bronchial mucus plugs (BMP) formation in children with adenovirus (AdV) pneumonia. Methods. A retrospective study was conducted on children with AdV pneumonia who underwent bronchoscopy from January 2019 to December 2019. Children were divided into the BMP group and the control group, depending on whether BMP was formed or not. The clinical information and treatment proposals of the two groups of children were counted and analyzed via multiple logistic regression analysis, ROC curve analysis, and correlation analysis. Results. Among 453 patients with AdV pneumonia, 185 (40.84%) were in the BMP group. Among all the cases, there were 188 patients with a single AdV infection, including 64 (34.04%) in the BMP group and 124 (65.96%) in the control group. The incidence of dyspnea, poor spirits, mixed infections, and other symptoms in the BMP group was higher than in the control group. Children in the BMP group had a longer heat range. C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), D-dimer (DD), and AdV load levels were higher in the MBP group. AdV load, Mycoplasma coinfection, DD, heat range, and LDH were independent risk factors for BMP, among which AdV load was the most significant (AUC = 0.819). AdV load was positively correlated with other risk factors, respectively. AdV load and heat range were independent risk factors for BMP patients with a single AdV infection. Conclusion. AdV load might have important clinical value in predicting BMP development in AdV pneumonia.

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict plastic bronchitis in children with refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia

Background

Early identification of plastic bronchitis (PB) is of great importance and may aid in delivering appropriate treatment. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting PB in patients with refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP).

Methods

A total of 547 consecutive children with RMPP who underwent fiberoptic bronchoscopy (FOB) intervention from January 2016 to June 2021 were enrolled in this study. Subsequently, 374 RMPP children (PB: 137, without PB: 237) from January 2016 to December 2019 were assigned to the development dataset to construct the nomogram to predict PB and 173 RMPP children from January 2020 to June 2021 were assigned to the validation dataset. The clinical, laboratory and radiological findings were screened using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and logistic regression was applied to construct a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by discrimination, calibration and clinical utility. Comparsion of ROC analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) between nomogram and other models was performed to evaluate the discrimination ability and clinical utility.

Results

The development dataset included 374 patients with a mean age of 6.6 years and 185(49.5%) were men. The validation dataset included 173 patients and the mean age of the dataset was 6.7 years and 86 (49.7%) were men. From 26 potential predictors, LASSO regression identified 6 variables as significant predictive factors to construct the nomogram for predicting PB, including peak body temperature, neutrophil ratio (N%), platelet counts (PLT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), actic dehydrogenase (LDH) and pulmonary atelectasis. The nomogram showed good discrimination, calibration and clinical value. The mean AUC of the nomogram was 0.813 (95% CI 0.769–0.856) in the development dataset and 0.895 (95% CI 0.847–0.943) in the validation dataset. Through calibration plot and Hosmer–Lemeshow test, the predicted probability had a good consistency with actual probability both in the development dataset (P = 0.217) and validation dataset (P = 0.183), and DCA showed good clinical utility. ROC analysis indicated that the nomogram showed better discrimination ability compared with model of peak body temperature + pulmonary atelactsis and another model of N% + PLT + IL-6 + LDH, both in development dataset (AUC 0.813 vs 0.757 vs 0.754) and validation dataset (AUC 0.895 vs 0.789 vs 0.842).

Conclusions

In this study, a nomogram for predicting PB among RMPP patients was developed and validated. It performs well on discrimination ability, calibration ability and clinical value and may have the potential for the early identification of PB that will help physicians take timely intervention and appropriate management.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-022-02047-2.

High Expression of MUC5AC, MUC5B, and Layilin Plays an Essential Role in Prediction in the Development of Plastic Bronchitis Caused by MPP

Plastic bronchitis (PB) is a rare respiratory condition which can result in severe respiratory complications such as respiratory failure and death. Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection is a main etiology cause of plastic bronchitis. However, the pathogenesis of plastic bronchitis complicated by Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) has not yet been fully elucidated. Our article aims to explore biomarkers for early prediction of MPP cases complicated with plastic bronchitis. We utilized a protein chip to screen for significantly different proteins among the groups of healthy, general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) and refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) patients, where layilin exhibited a potent change across biology information technology. Next, we demonstrated the high expression of MUC5AC, MUC5B, and layilin in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) of MPP cases complicated with plastic bronchitis. Further study suggested that the level of layilin had a positive correlation with both MUC5AC and MUC5B. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic values of MUC5AC, MUC5B, and layilin in MPP cases with PB. Data show that the three indicators have similar diagnostic ability for MPP children with plastic bronchitis. Then, we used different concentrations of community-acquired respiratory distress syndrome (CARDS) toxin or lipid-associated membrane proteins (LAMPs) to simulate an in vitro experiment. The in vitro assay revealed that CARDS toxin or LAMPs induced A549 cells to secrete MUC5AC, MUC5B, layilin, and proinflammatory factors. These findings suggest that MUC5AC, MUC5B, and layilin are correlated with MPP. The high expression of MUC5AC, MUC5B, and layilin play an essential role in prediction in the development of plastic bronchitis caused by MPP. The high expression of MUC5AC, MUC5B, and layilin may be relevant to the severity of illness.

Prediction Model for Severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia in Pediatric Patients by Admission Laboratory Indicators

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to develop a model for predicting severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP) in pediatric patients with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) on admission by laboratory indicators.

METHODS

Pediatric patients with MPP from January 2019 to December 2020 in our hospital were enrolled in this study. SMPP was diagnosed according to guideline for diagnosis and treatment of community-acquired pneumonia in children (2019 version). Prediction model was developed according to the admission laboratory indicators. Receiver operating characteristic curve and Goodness-of-fit test were analyzed for the predictive value.

RESULTS

A total of 233 MPP patients were included in the study, with 121 males and 112 females, aged 4.541 (1-14) years. Among them, 84 (36.1%, 95% CI 29.9-42.6%) pediatric patients were diagnosed as SMPP. Some admission laboratory indicators (immunoglobulins M (IgM), eosinophil proportion, eosinophil count, hemoglobin, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), total protein, albumin and prealbumin) were found statistically different (p < 0.05) between non-SMPP group and SMPP group. Logistic regress analysis showed IgM, eosinophil proportion, eosinophil count, ESR and prealbumin were independent risk factors for SMPP. According to these five admission laboratory indicators, the prediction model for SMPP in pediatric patients was developed. The area under curve of the prediction model was 0.777, and the goodness-of-fit test showed that the predicted SMPP incidence by the model was consistent with the actual incidence (χ2 = 244.51, p = 0.203).

CONCLUSION

We developed a model for predicting SMPP in pediatric patients by admission laboratory indicators. This model has good discrimination and calibration, which provides a basis for the early identification SMPP on admission. However, this model should be validated by multicenter studies with large sample.

Clinical features and risk factors analysis of bronchitis obliterans due to refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children: a nomogram prediction model

Background

Early prediction of bronchitis obliterans (BO) is of great significance to the improvement of the long-term prognosis of children caused by refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP). This study aimed to establish a nomogram model to predict the risk of BO in children due to RMPP.

Methods

A retrospective observation was conducted to study the clinical data of children with RMPP (1–14 years old) during acute infection. According to whether there is BO observed in the bronchoscope, children were divided into BO and the non-BO groups. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to construct the nomogram model.

Results

One hundred and forty-one children with RMPP were finally included, of which 65 (46.0%) children with RMPP were complicated by BO. According to the multivariate logistic regression analysis, WBC count, ALB level, consolidation range exceeding 2/3 of lung lobes, timing of macrolides, glucocorticoids or fiber bronchoscopy and plastic bronchitis were independent influencing factors for the occurrence of BO and were incorporated into the nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) value of nomogram was 0.899 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.848–0.950). The Hosmer–Lemeshow test showed good calibration of the nomogram (p = 0.692).

Conclusion

A nomogram model found by seven risk factor was successfully constructed and can use to early prediction of children with BO due to RMPP.