Development and validation of an online dynamic nomogram system for pulmonary consolidation in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

The occurrence of pulmonary consolidation in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) can lead to exacerbation of the disease. Therefore, early identification of children with MPP in combination with pulmonary consolidation is critical. The purpose of this study was to develop a straightforward, easy-to-use online dynamic nomogram for the identification of children with MPP who are at high risk of developing pulmonary consolidation.

METHODS

491 MPP patients were chosen and divided randomly into a training cohort and an internal validation cohort at a 4:1 ratio. Multi-factor logistic regression was used to identify the risk variables for mixed pulmonary consolidation in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP). The selected variables were utilized to build the nomograms and validated using the C-index, decision curve analysis, calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

Seven variables were included in the Nomogram model: age, fever duration, lymphocyte count, C-reactive protein (CRP), ferritin, T8 lymphocyte percentage, and T4 lymphocyte percentage. We created a dynamic nomogram that is accessible online ( https://ertong.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/ ). The C-index was 0.90. The nomogram calibration curves in the training and validation cohorts were highly comparable to the standard curves. The area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction model was, respectively, 0.902 and 0.883 in the training cohort and validation cohort. The decision curve analysis (DCA) curve shows that the model has a significant clinical benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a dynamic online nomogram for predicting combined pulmonary consolidation in children with MP based on 7 variables for the first time. The predictive value and clinical benefit of the nomogram model were acceptable.

[Construction of a predictive model for performing bronchoalveolar lavage in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia and pulmonary consolidation]

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the risk factors for performing bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) and pulmonary consolidation, and to construct a predictive model for performing BAL in these children.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 202 children with MPP who were hospitalized in the Department of Pediatrics, Changzhou No. 2 People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, from August 2019 to September 2022. According to whether BAL was performed, they were divided into BAL group with 100 children and non-BAL group with 102 children. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for performing BAL in MPP children with pulmonary consolidation. Rstudio software (R4.2.3) was used to establish a predictive model for performing BAL, and the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index, and calibration curve were used to assess the predictive performance of the model.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the fever duration, C-reactive protein levels, D-dimer levels, and presence of pleural effusion were risk factors for performing BAL in MPP children with pulmonary consolidation (P<0.05). A nomogram predictive model was established based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis. In the training set, this model had an area under the ROC curve of 0.915 (95%CI: 0.827-0.938), with a sensitivity of 0.826 and a specificity of 0.875, while in the validation set, it had an area under the ROC curve of 0.983 (95%CI: 0.912-0.996), with a sensitivity of 0.879 and a specificity of 1.000. The Bootstrap-corrected C-index was 0.952 (95%CI: 0.901-0.986), and the calibration curve demonstrated good consistency between the predicted probability of the model and the actual probability of occurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive model established in this study can be used to assess the likelihood of performing BAL in MPP children with pulmonary consolidation, based on factors such as fever duration, C-reactive protein levels, D-dimer levels, and the presence of pleural effusion. Additionally, the model demonstrates good predictive performance.

Comparison between percutaneous transthoracic co-axial needle CT-guided biopsy and transbronchial lung biopsy for the diagnosis of persistent pulmonary consolidation

BACKGROUND

Diagnosing persistent pulmonary consolidation still faces challenges. The purpose of this study is to compare the diagnostic yield and the complication rate between percutaneous transthoracic CT-guided coaxial needle biopsy (PTCNB) and transbronchial lung biopsy (TBLB) of persistent pulmonary consolidation.

MATERIALS

From January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2020, we have retrospectively enrolled a total of 155 consecutive patients (95 males, 60 females) with persistent pulmonary consolidation who underwent both TBLB and PTCNB. According to the standard reference, the diagnostic yield, accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of PTCNB and TBLB were assessed and compared.

RESULTS

According to the standard reference, the final biopsy diagnoses of 11 cases were confirmed true malignant based on the surgical resections, the remaining were confirmed by clinical and imaging follow-up for at least 12 months. The overall diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of PTCNB for malignant diagnosis were 91.61%, 72.34% and 100%, whereas of TBLB were 87.74%, 59.57% and 100%. The diagnostic yield of PTCNB and TBLB were 50.32% and 25.16%, respectively. For the TBLB-based negative cases, PTCNB provided a definite diagnostic yield of 37.93%. There were 45 (29.03%), 22 (14.19%) and 13 (8.39%) patients who experienced pneumothorax, intrapulmonary hemorrhage and hemoptysis, respectively, in PTCNB, while there were only 5 (3.22%) cases of mild intraprocedural bleeding occurring in TBLB.

CONCLUSIONS

CT-guided co-axial needle biopsy is an effective and safe modality, associated with higher diagnostic yield and better diagnostic accuracy compared to transbronchial lung biopsy for malignancy presenting as persistent consolidation, especially as the complementary method for TBLB-based negative lung lesions.

KEY POINTS

Both PTCNB and TBLB showed high diagnostic accuracy for malignancy. PTCNB had a higher diagnostic yield than TBLB for persistent pulmonary consolidation. PTCNB could provide a complementary diagnosis for TBLB-based negative lung consolidation.

Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae in free-living wild boars in Paraná, Brazil

This is the first study conducted in Paraná, Brazil, to investigate Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae (Mhyo) infection in free-living wild boars. Eighty-eight wild boars were managed by authorized controllers between 2017 and 2019 in the state of Paraná in southern Brazil. Management georeferencing, sex, and weight were recorded for each animal. The presence of Mhyo antibodies in wild boar serum samples was evaluated using a commercial indirect ELISA kit. The presence of enzootic pneumonia-like gross lesions was evaluated, and the observed macroscopic lesions were subjected to immunohistochemistry (IHC). The Chi-square test and the intensity of the association with the odds ratio and 95% confidence interval were used to evaluate the differences in the qualitative variables between groups (sex and municipality). Juvenile wild boars exhibited a higher seroprevalence than older ones (p = 0.005). The Teixeira Soares municipality differed in Mhyo seroprevalence in comparison with Castro (p < 0.001), Ponta Grossa (p = 0.004), and Carambeí (p < 0.001). Females were 6.79 times more likely to present consolidation lesions than males (p = 0.004). Among the evaluated lung samples with injuries, 57.1% (8/14) and 53.8% (7/13) were Mhyo positive by IHC in Castro and Ponta Grossa, respectively, confirming that the identified macroscopic lesions were caused by Mhyo. This study demonstrates the circulation of Mhyo in free-living wild boars, which raises concerns regarding the epidemiological role of this animal species for the spread of the pathogen.

[Lung ultrasound in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection]

After taking a patient's history and physical examination, lung ultrasound can immediately reveal numerous causes and complications in patients suffering from respiratory tract infection and/or dyspnea. It can thus facilitate decisions on further diagnostic and first therapeutic procedures, even in patients with a SARS-CoV‑2 infection who present to the emergency room. This review article highlights the typical findings of lung ultrasound in patients with COVID-19 and discusses its value compared to other imaging methods.

Safety maximization of percutaneous transthoracic needle biopsy with ultrasound guide in subpleural lesions in the evaluation of pulmonary consolidation

The study by Kiranantawat et al. "Clinical role, safety and diagnostic accuracy of percutaneous transthoracic needle biopsy in the evaluation of pulmonary consolidation" highlights how "pulmonary consolidation can be safely evaluated with CT-guided percutaneous needle biopsy". Even if we agree about the role of CT guidance, we would like to point out how Thoracic Ultrasound could be better than CT for biopsy of subpleural lesions that could easily be detected and reached with this "real-time" and quicker technique.

[Community-acquired pneumonia]

CLINICAL ISSUE

The diagnosis of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is often not possible based only on the clinical symptoms and biochemical parameters.

STANDARD RADIOLOGICAL METHODS

For every patient with the suspicion of CAP, a chest radiograph in two planes should be carried out. Additionally, a risk stratification for the decision between outpatient therapy or hospitalization is recommended.

METHODICAL INNOVATIONS

Based on the evaluation of the different radiological patterns as well as their extent and distribution, a rough allocation to so-called pathogen groups as well as a differentiation between viral and bacterial infections are possible; however, because different pathogens cause different patterns an accurate correlation is not feasible by relying purely on imaging.

ACHIEVEMENTS/PRACTICAL RECOMMENDATIONS

The radiological findings serve as proof or exclusion of pneumonia and can also be used to evaluate the extent of the disease (e.g. monolobular, multilobular, unilateral or bilateral). In cases of prolonged disease, suspicion of complications (e.g. pleural effusion or empyema, necrotizing pneumonia or abscess) or comorbid conditions (e.g. underlying pulmonary or mediastinal diseases) computed tomography is an important diagnostic tool in addition to chest radiography. Ultrasound is often used to diagnose pleural processes (e.g. parapneumonic effusion or pleural empyema).