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Xiong Y, Hu X, Cao J, Shang L, Niu B. A predictive model for stunting among children under the age of three. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1441714. [PMID: 39290596 PMCID: PMC11405321 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1441714] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2024] [Accepted: 08/16/2024] [Indexed: 09/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Background In light of the global effort to eradicate stunting in childhood, the objective of this research endeavor was to assess the prevalence of stunting and associated factors, simultaneously construct and validate a risk prediction model for stunting among children under the age of three in Shenzhen, China. Methods Using the stratified random sampling method, we selected 9,581 children under the age of three for research and analysis. The dataset underwent a random allocation into training and validation sets, adhering to a 8:2 split ratio. Within the training set, a combined approach of LASSO regression analysis and binary logistic regression analysis was implemented to identify and select the predictive variables for the model. Subsequently, model construction was conducted in the training set, encompassing model evaluation, visualization, and internal validation procedures. Finally, to assess the model's generalizability, external validation was performed using the validation set. Results A total of 684 (7.14%) had phenotypes of stunt. Utilizing a combined approach of LASSO regression and logistic regression, key predictors of stunting among children under three years of age were identified, including sex, age in months, mother's education, father's age, birth order, feeding patterns, delivery mode, average daily parent-child reading time, average time spent in child-parent interactions, and average daily outdoor time. These variables were subsequently employed to develop a comprehensive prediction model for childhood stunting. A nomogram model was constructed based on these factors, demonstrating excellent consistency and accuracy. Calibration curves validated the agreement between the nomogram predictions and actual observations. Furthermore, ROC and DCA analyses indicated the strong predictive performance of the nomograms. Conclusions The developed model for forecasting stunt risk, which integrates a spectrum of variables. This analytical framework presents actionable intelligence to medical professionals, laying down a foundational framework and a pivot for the conception and execution of preemptive strategies and therapeutic interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuxiang Xiong
- Department of Medical Information, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Jilin, China
| | - Xuhuai Hu
- Research Development, Shenzhen Health Development Research and Data Management Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Jindan Cao
- Department of Medical Information, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Jilin, China
| | - Li Shang
- Research Development, Shenzhen Health Development Research and Data Management Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Ben Niu
- Department of Software Technology, School of Software Engineering, Shenzhen Institute of Information Technology, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Management Science, College of Management, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
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Getu BD, Azanaw KA, Zimamu LY, Adal GM, Tibebu NS, Emiru TD, Atalell KA. Wasting and its associated factors among children aged from 6 to 59 months in Debre Tabor town, Amhara region of Ethiopia, 2019: a multicentre community-based cross-sectional study. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e071679. [PMID: 37407062 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-071679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/07/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Wasting is acute malnutrition that has harmful short-term consequences for children and is determined by an inadequate diet. This study aimed to assess the prevalence and associated factors of wasting among children aged 6-59 months in Debre Tabor town, Ethiopia. DESIGN This study was a community-based cross-sectional. SETTING The study was conducted at Debre Tabor town, Ethiopia. PARTICIPANTS A total of 436 children aged 6-59 months participants were enrolled. OUTCOME MEASURES A weight-for-height z-score, which is below -2 SD of the WHO median standard curve, was used to measure wasting. Logistic regression analyses were done to see which independent variables have an association with the dependent variable and a p value of <0.05 was considered significant at the 95% CI. RESULTS The result revealed that wasting in children aged 6-59 months was 6.2%. Children in the age group of 6-11 months were 4.3 times more likely to have wasted than those in the age group of 24-59 months (adjusted OR (AOR): 4.3; 95% CI: 1.5 to 12.5). Similarly, parents who have poor wealth status in their family are 3.1 times more likely to have wasted children than those who have rich wealth status in their family (AOR: 3.1 (1.01 to 9.35)). Moreover, mothers who gave birth at the age group of 20-25 years were 4.3 times more likely to have wasted children than those who gave birth at an age group of greater than 30 years (AOR: 4.3 (4.3 (1.56 to 12.5)). CONCLUSION Wasting is still an important public health problem for children in the age group of 6-59 months. The age of the child, the wealth status of the family, and giving birth before 20 years of age were significantly associated with wasting. Therefore, the government of Ethiopia should pay further attention to the wealth status of the family; create awareness among the mothers regarding childhood undernutrition care, and design further nutritional intervention programmes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bisrat Dessie Getu
- Department of Nursing, Debre Tabor Health Sciences College, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia
| | | | | | - Gashaw Mekete Adal
- Department of Nursing, Debre Tabor Health Sciences College, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia
| | - Nigusie Selomon Tibebu
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia
| | - Tigabu Desie Emiru
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia
| | - Kendalem Asmare Atalell
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, School of Nursing, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia
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Ahmed M, Zepre K, Lentero K, Gebremariam T, Jemal Z, Wondimu A, Bedewi J, Melis T, Gebremeskel A. The relationship between maternal employment and stunting among 6-59 months old children in Gurage Zone Southern Nation Nationality People's region, Ethiopia: A comparative cross-sectional study. Front Nutr 2022; 9:964124. [PMID: 36276826 PMCID: PMC9582235 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2022.964124] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2022] [Accepted: 08/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Motivating proper nutrition during childhood is the basis for optimal health, learning, productivity, and social wellbeing throughout life. Stunting is among the major public health problems. According to the Ethiopian mini demographic and health survey, the prevalence of stunting among under five children was 37%. In addition, stunting has a trans-generational effect on a mother’s nutritional status. However, evidence on the causal contribution of maternal employment to stunting among under five children is not well understood in Ethiopia. This study aimed to compare the stunting status and associated factors among under five children of employed and unemployed mothers in the Gurage Zone, Southern Ethiopia, in 2021. A community-based comparative cross-sectional study was conducted among 671 (330 employed and 341 unemployed) randomly selected mother–child pairs in the Gurage Zone, Southern Ethiopia. A pretested semi-structured tool and validated anthropometric measurements were used to collect the data. The data were entered into Epi Data version 3.1 and exported to Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 23.0 for analysis. Frequency, percent, mean, median, and SD were computed and presented by using tables and figures. A bivariable and multivariable binary logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the association between factors and outcome variables. Results In this study, a total of 671 mother–child pairs (330 (94.60%) employed and 341 (97.70%) unemployed) participated, with a total response rate of 96%. Among the total participants, about 70 (21.2%) [95% CI: (17.0, 25.5)] and 98 (28.8%) [95% CI: (23.0, 33.4)] of children of employed and unemployed mothers, respectively, were stunted. Mothers’ level of education, primary and secondary [AOR = 1.79, 95% CI: (0.8, 3.7), age between 25 and 29 years [AOR = 0.08, 95% CI: (0.006, 0.904)], monthly family income > 5,000 birr [AOR = 0.42, 95% CI: (0.00, 0.64)], and children aged between 6 and 23 months [AOR = 2.9; 95% CI: (1.48, 5.80)] were predictors of stunting among the children of employed mothers. Compared to the mothers who did not receive nutritional education [AOR = 2.5; 95% CI: (1.10, 5.60)], monthly family income of 2,000 ETB [AOR = 2.64; 95% CI: (1.34, 5.19)], sex of child (girl) [AOR = 2.3; 95% CI: (1.30, 3.80), and mothers educational status of read-and-write only [AOR = 2.9, 95% CI: (1.40, 5.80)] were predictors of stunting among the children of unemployed mothers. The nutrition intervention should focus on encouraging women’s education as it increases the probability of being employed, improving the income of families by using different income-generating strategies, and strengthening the existing essential nutrition counseling strategy. Likewise, further research work on the difference between employed and unemployed mothers on stunting status is also recommended to researchers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mekiya Ahmed
- Maternal, Neonatal and Child Health and Nutrition Core Process, Gurage Zone Health Department, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Kebebush Zepre
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia,*Correspondence: Kebebush Zepre, ;
| | - Kifle Lentero
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Tigist Gebremariam
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Zeyneba Jemal
- Maternal, Neonatal and Child Health and Nutrition Core Process, Gurage Zone Health Department, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Asegedech Wondimu
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Jemal Bedewi
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Tamirat Melis
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia
| | - Alazar Gebremeskel
- College of Medicine and Health Science, Hawassa University, Hawassa, Ethiopia
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Chekol YT, Arefaynie M, Kassa AA, Alene TD, Ngusie HS. Determinants of wasting among children aged 6-59 months in North-East Ethiopia: a community-based case-control study. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e057887. [PMID: 35918114 PMCID: PMC9351319 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057887] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Childhood acute malnutrition, in the form of wasting defined by Weight-for-Height Z-Scores, is a major public health concern. It is one of the main reasons for the death of children in developing countries like Ethiopia. Accordingly, this study aimed to assess determinants of wasting among children aged 6-59 months in Meket district, North Wollo zone, North-East Ethiopia. SETTING The study was conducted among communities in Meket district, North Wollo zone, North-East Ethiopia. PARTICIPANTS A total of 327 (109 cases and 218 controls) children aged 6-59 months participated in the study. Children from 6 months to 59 months of age who match the definition of case/wasted/ and control/not wasted were eligible for the study. However, children who had physical deformities which make anthropometric measurements inconvenient were excluded from the study. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES The main outcome measure was wasting. RESULT The mean ages of the cases and controls were 21.77±11.41 months and 20.13±11.39 months, respectively. Factors that were significantly associated with wasting were: maternal decision making on the use of household money (adjusted odd ratio (AOR)=3.04, 95% CI 1.08 to 7.83), complementary feeding started in a month (AOR=3.02, 95% CI 1.097 to 6.97), food diversity score (AOR=2.64, 95% CI 1.64 to 5.23), frequency of complementary feeding (AOR=6.68, 95% CI 3.6 to 11.25) and history of acute respiratory infections (ARIs) 2 weeks preceding the survey (AOR=3.21, 95% CI 1.07 to 7.86). CONCLUSION Our result implies that the right time to introduce complementary foods, the frequency of feeding and also the amount of food consumed were some of the crucial factors that needed to be changed in child nutrition to reduce wasting. Furthermore, within the framework of our study, the empowerment of women in the decision-making process and the prevention of ARI should be seen as a necessary benchmark for acute malnutrition.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Mastewal Arefaynie
- Department of Reproductive and Family Health, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Assefa Andargie Kassa
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Tilahun Dessie Alene
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, School of Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Habtamu Setegn Ngusie
- Department of Health Informatics, College of Health Sciences, Mettu University, Mettu, Ethiopia
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Molani Gol R, Kheirouri S, Alizadeh M. Association of Dietary Diversity With Growth Outcomes in Infants and Children Aged Under 5 Years: A Systematic Review. JOURNAL OF NUTRITION EDUCATION AND BEHAVIOR 2022; 54:65-83. [PMID: 35000681 DOI: 10.1016/j.jneb.2021.08.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2020] [Revised: 08/26/2021] [Accepted: 08/29/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to present an overview of the association between dietary diversity (DDiv) and growth outcomes (stunting, wasting, and underweight) in children aged < 5 years. DESIGN This systematic review was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane library, and Google Scholar databases were searched up to February, 2021, using relevant keywords as follows: "Dietary diversity or diet diversity or food diversity or diet variety or dietary variety or food variety," "under-nutrition or stunting or wasting or underweight or nutritional status," and "children or infants." Original articles published in English were eligible for this review. Newcastle-Ottawa scales and the Cochrane Collaboration's tool were used to assess the quality and risk of bias of the articles. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES, ANALYSIS, AND RESULTS Totally, 81 articles (70 cross-sectional, 4 longitudinal cohort, 5 case-control, and 2 randomized controlled trials) were included in this review. Of the studies, 45 focused on infants and 36 on children aged < 5 years. The reviewed articles had good quality and low risk of bias (scores > 6). In infants, low DDiv was associated with stunting, wasting, and being underweight (79%, 57%, and 68% of the studies, respectively). Among children aged < 5 years, the association was observed in 75%, 56%, and 57% of the studies, respectively, for stunting, wasting, and underweight. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS The findings indicate a possible association between low DDiv of infants and children aged < 5 years with stunting. However, this association remained uncertain with wasting and being underweight.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roghayeh Molani Gol
- Student Research Committee, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran; Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Sorayya Kheirouri
- Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
| | - Mohammad Alizadeh
- Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
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Spatial Variations and Determinants of Acute Malnutrition Among Under-Five Children in Ethiopia: Evidence from 2019 Ethiopian Demographic Health Survey. Ann Glob Health 2021; 87:114. [PMID: 34900614 PMCID: PMC8622002 DOI: 10.5334/aogh.3500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and aims: Childhood acute malnutrition, in the form of wasting defined by a severe weight loss as a result of acute food shortage and/or illness. It is a critical public health problem that needs urgent attention in developing countries, like Ethiopia. Despite its variation between localities, the risk factors and its geospatial variation were not addressed enough across the various corner of the country. Therefore, the current study was undertaken to assess spatial variation and factors associated with acute malnutrition among under-five children in Ethiopia. Methods: A total weighted sample of 4 955 under-five children were included from the 2019 Demographic and Health Survey. Getis-Ord spatial statistical tool used to identify the hot and cold spot areas of severe and acute malnutrition. A multilevel multivariable logistic regression model using was used to examine predictors of acute malnutrition. In the multivariable multilevel analysis, Adjusted Odds Ratio with 95% CI was used to declare significant determinants of acute malnutrition among children. Result: Among 4 955 under-five children, 7% of them were wasted and 1% of them were severely wasted in Ethiopia during the 2019 national demographic survey. The distribution was followed some spatial geo-locations where most parts of Somali were severely affected (RR = 1.46, P37 value <0.001), and the distribution affected few areas of Afar, Gambella, and Benishangul Gumz regions. Factors that significantly associated with childhood wasting were: gender(male)1.9 (1.3–2.7), age (above 36 months) 0.5 (0.2–0.9), wealth index(richest) 0.5 (0.2–0.8), and water source (unimproved source) 1.5 (1.0–2.3). Conclusions: Our finding implies, the distribution of childhood wasting was not random. Regions like Afar, Somali, and pocket areas in Gambella and SNNP should be considered as priority areas nutritional interventions for reducing acute malnutrition. The established socio-demographic and economic characteristics can be also used to develop strategies.
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Orsango AZ, Loha E, Lindtjørn B, Engebretsen IMS. Co-morbid anaemia and stunting among children 2-5 years old in southern Ethiopia: a community-based cross-sectional study. BMJ Paediatr Open 2021; 5:e001039. [PMID: 34222679 PMCID: PMC8215259 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2021-001039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2021] [Accepted: 05/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In Ethiopia, 38% of children less than 5 years of age are stunted and 57% are anaemic. Both have a negative impact later in life on physical growth and cognitive development and often coexist. There are few studies in Ethiopia that assessed co-morbid anaemia and stunting (CAS) and context-specific factors associated with it. OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to assess the prevalence of CAS, and factors associated with CAS among children aged 2 to 5 years, in southern Ethiopia. METHODS A community-based cross-sectional survey was conducted among 331 randomly selected children in 2017. Mothers were interviewed using a structured questionnaire to obtain child and household information. Anthropometric measurements and blood samples for haemoglobin were collected. Stunting was defined as height-for-age Z-scores (HAZ) less than -2 SDs and anaemia was defined as altitude-adjusted haemoglobin levels less than 11.0 g/dL. CAS was defined when a child was both stunted and anaemic. Crude and adjusted multinomial logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with CAS. RESULTS Out of 331 children studied, 17.8% (95% CI 13.87% to 22.4%) had CAS. Factors found significantly linked with higher odds of CAS were increased child age (adjusted OR (AOR) 1.0 (1.0 to 1.1)) and no iron supplementation during the last pregnancy (AOR (95% CI) 2.9 (1.3 to 6.2)). One factor found significantly linked to lower odds of CAS was food secured households (AOR (95% CI) 0.3 (0.1 to 0.9)). CONCLUSIONS Co-morbid anaemia and stunting among children in the study area is of concern; it is associated with household food security, iron supplementation during pregnancy and child age. Therefore, comprehensive interventions focusing on improving household food security and promoting iron supplementation for pregnant women are suggested.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Eskindir Loha
- School of Public Health, Hawassa University College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Hawassa, Ethiopia.,Centre for International Health, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
| | - Bernt Lindtjørn
- School of Public Health, Hawassa University College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Hawassa, Ethiopia.,Centre for International Health, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
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