Maternal mortality in Spain and its association with country of origin: cross-sectional study during the period 1999-2015

Examining expert views on maternal mortality in Turkey: A qualitative study

BACKGROUND

Maternal mortality ratio is one of the significant indicators of a country's healthcare quality and development. In recent years, Türkiye has made significant advancements in maternal and child health services. However, it has been discussed that stagnation has been observed in recent years, and the migration from Syria and the COVID-19 pandemic have significantly overshadowed this success. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the current situation of the maternal mortality level in the country based on the experiences and views of experts working in this area.

METHODS

Key informant interviews were conducted with a purposive sample of academics, representatives of public institutions, and NGOs to understand the mechanisms of success in maternal mortality in the 1990s. Thematic analysis was used to understand the reasons for the stagnation of the decline in maternal mortality and to develop recommendations for reducing maternal mortality.

RESULTS

Twenty-five key informant interviews were conducted. Positive developments contributing to the success of maternal mortality, problems and obstacles hindering further progress and suggestions/recommendations are the themes of this research. The key informants highlighted the health transformation policies, the lack of data on the impact of COVID-19, recent migration on maternal mortality, inadequate education and training on sexual and reproductive health (SRH), the absence of rights-based policies, and gender equality as critical issues in current policies.

CONCLUSION

The outcomes of this study underline the importance of the availability, accessibility, and quality of SRH services and empowering women, girls, families, and communities to eliminate preventable maternal mortality levels.

Acceptance of the Advocacy Core Group approach in promoting integrated social and behaviour change for MNCH+N in Nigeria: a qualitative study

OBJECTIVE

This paper examines the acceptance of the Advocacy Core Group (ACG) programme, a social and behaviour change intervention addressing maternal, newborn, child health and nutrition (MNCH+N) in Bauchi and Sokoto states, with an additional focus on the perceived endorsement of health behaviours by social networks as a potential factor influencing acceptance.

DESIGN

This study used the qualitative social network analysis approach and used in-depth interviews to collect data from 36 participants across Bauchi and Sokoto states.

SETTING

This study was conducted in selected communities across Bauchi and Sokoto states.

PARTICIPANTS

A purposive sample of 36 participants comprised of men and women aged 15-49 years who have been exposed to the ACG programme.

RESULTS

Programme beneficiaries actively engaged in various ACG-related activities, including health messaging delivered through religious houses, social gatherings, home visits, community meetings and the media. As a result, they reported a perceived change in behaviour regarding exclusive breast feeding, antenatal care visits, family planning and malaria prevention. Our findings indicated consistent discussions on health behaviours between programme beneficiaries and their network partners (NPs), with a perceived endorsement of these behaviours by the NPs. However, a potential negative factor emerged, whereby NPs exhibited perceived disapproval of key behaviours, which poses a threat to behaviour adoption and, consequently, the success of the ACG model.

CONCLUSIONS

While findings suggest the successful implementation and acceptance of the model, it is important to address possible barriers and to further explore the socially determined acceptance of MNCH+N behaviours by NPs. Interventions such as the ACG model should mobilise the networks of programme participants, particularly those with decision-making power, to improve the uptake of health behaviours.

Mortality of Bolivian immigrants in São Paulo, Brazil: analysis of avoidable causes

Abstract The objective was to analyze the mortality of Bolivian immigrants compared to the Brazilian population, living in the city of São Paulo, with an emphasis on the analysis of avoidable deaths. Descriptive study of deaths in the city of São Paulo, between 2007 and 2018, registered in the Mortality Information System. Deaths of people aged 5 to 74 years were analyzed, according to “Brazilian List of Causes of Preventable Deaths”, according to groups and sex; Pearson’s chi-square test was used to compare nationalities. The temporal trend of avoidable deaths was evaluated by Prais-Winsten regression. There were 1.123 Bolivians deaths and 883.116 among Brazilians, with a predominance of male deaths and the Bolivians died on average 13.6 years younger. The proportion of deaths from preventable causes was similar between Bolivians (71.0%) and Brazilians (72.8%) and the trend did not show significant proportional annual variation for both nationalities. There is a higher frequency, among Bolivians, of external causes (27.6%) and of causes reducible by actions to health promotion, prevention, control, and care for infectious diseases (20.8%) than to Brazilians. Conclusion: Bolivians died younger and showed no reduction in the proportion of potentially avoidable causes, which may indicate unequal access to health services.

Mortality of Bolivian immigrants in São Paulo, Brazil: analysis of avoidable causes

The objective was to analyze the mortality of Bolivian immigrants compared to the Brazilian population, living in the city of São Paulo, with an emphasis on the analysis of avoidable deaths. Descriptive study of deaths in the city of São Paulo, between 2007 and 2018, registered in the Mortality Information System. Deaths of people aged 5 to 74 years were analyzed, according to "Brazilian List of Causes of Preventable Deaths", according to groups and sex; Pearson's chi-square test was used to compare nationalities. The temporal trend of avoidable deaths was evaluated by Prais-Winsten regression. There were 1.123 Bolivians deaths and 883.116 among Brazilians, with a predominance of male deaths and the Bolivians died on average 13.6 years younger. The proportion of deaths from preventable causes was similar between Bolivians (71.0%) and Brazilians (72.8%) and the trend did not show significant proportional annual variation for both nationalities. There is a higher frequency, among Bolivians, of external causes (27.6%) and of causes reducible by actions to health promotion, prevention, control, and care for infectious diseases (20.8%) than to Brazilians. Conclusion: Bolivians died younger and showed no reduction in the proportion of potentially avoidable causes, which may indicate unequal access to health services.

Trend and causes of maternal death, stillbirth and neonatal death over seven decades in Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

Reducing maternal and perinatal mortality is a global objective. Hong Kong is a city with low maternal and perinatal mortality but little is known about the trend and causes of these deaths in this high-income city. We analyzed the maternal death, stillbirth and neonatal death since 1946 in Hong Kong.

METHODS

Data were extracted from vital statistics, based on the number of registered deaths and births, provided by the Department of Health, the Government of the HKSAR. The annual change rate of mortality was evaluated by regression analysis. Contextual factors were collected to assess the association with mortality.

FINDINGS

Between 1946 and 2017, the stillbirth rate (per 1,000 total births) reduced from 21·5 to 2·4; early and late neonatal deaths (per 1,000 live births) reduced from 14·1 and 18·1 to 0·7 and 0·4 in 2017, respectively. The maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births) declined from 125 to 1·8.The causes of maternal and perinatal deaths were available since 1981 and 1980 respectively. The leading causes of death were thromboembolism (37·0%) and obstetric haemorrhage (30·4%) for maternal death; congenital problem (30·1%) and prematurity (29·0%) for neonatal death. No data on causes of stillbirth were available. No specific shift of pattern was observed in the causes of maternal and neonatal death with time. There were no cases of maternal death due to sepsis and only 2 cases (2·2%) of maternal deaths due to indirect cause.

INTERPRETATION

The maternal and perinatal death have reduced significantly in Hong Kong and maintained at the lowest level globally. Indirect maternal death and sepsis were unusual causes of maternal deaths. Use of ICD-PM stillbirth classification, setting up a maternal death confidential enquiry and adding pregnancy checkbox could be the next step to identify and categorize hidden burden.

FUNDING

Nil.

Nationwide confidential enquiries into maternal deaths because of obstetric hemorrhage in the Netherlands between 2006 and 2019

INTRODUCTION

Obstetric hemorrhage-related deaths are rare in high income countries. Yet, with increasing incidences of obstetric hemorrhage in these countries, it is of utmost importance to learn lessons from each obstetric hemorrhage-related death to improve maternity care. Our objective was to calculate the obstetric hemorrhage-related maternal mortality ratio (MMR), assess causes of obstetric hemorrhage-related deaths, and identify lessons learned.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Nationwide mixed-methods prospective case-series with confidential enquiries into maternal deaths due to obstetric hemorrhage in the Netherlands from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2019.

RESULTS

The obstetric hemorrhage-related MMR in the Netherlands in 2006-2019 was 0.7 per 100 000 livebirths and was not statistically significantly different compared with the previous MMR of 1.0 per 100 000 livebirths in 1993-2005 (odds ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.38-1.30). Leading underlying cause of hemorrhage was retained placenta. Early recognition of persistent bleeding, prompt involvement of a senior clinician and timely management tailored to the cause of hemorrhage with attention to coagulopathy were prominent lessons learned. Also, timely recourse to surgical interventions, including hysterectomy, in case other management options fail to stop bleeding came up as an important lesson in several obstetric hemorrhage-related deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

The obstetric hemorrhage-related MMR in the Netherlands in 2006-2019 has not substantially changed compared to the MMR of the previous enquiry in 1993-2005. Although obstetric hemorrhage is commonly encountered by maternity care professionals, it is important to remain vigilant for possible adverse maternal outcomes and act upon an ongoing bleeding following birth in a more timely and adequate manner. Our confidential enquiries still led to important lessons learned with clinical advice to professionals as how to improve maternity care and avoid maternal deaths. Drawing lessons from maternal deaths should remain a qualitative and moral imperative.

Maternal mortality trends in Spain during the 2000-2018 period: the role of maternal origin

Background

The available literature indicates that there are significant differences in maternal mortality according to maternal origin in high income countries. The aim of this study was to examine the trend in the maternal mortality rate and its most common causes in Spain in recent years and to analyse its relationship with maternal origin.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional study of all live births as well as those resulting in maternal death in Spain during the period between 2000 and 2018. A descriptive analysis of the maternal mortality rate by cause, region of birth, maternal age, marital status, human development index and continent of maternal origin was performed. The risk of maternal death was calculated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, with adjustment for certain variables included in the descriptive analysis.

Results

There was a total of 293 maternal deaths and 8,439,324 live births during the study period. The most common cause of maternal death was hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. The average maternal death rate was 3.47 per 100,000 live births. The risk of suffering from this complication was higher for immigrant women from less developed countries. The adjusted effect of maternal HDI score over maternal mortality was OR = 0.976; 95% CI 0.95 – 0.99; p = 0.048; therefore, a decrease of 0.01 in the maternal human development index score significantly increased the risk of this complication by 2.4%.

Conclusions

The results of this study indicate that there are inequalities in maternal mortality according to maternal origin in Spain. The human development index of the country of maternal origin could be a useful tool when estimating the risk of this complication, taking into account the origin of the pregnant woman.

A Retrospective Study of the Proportion of Women at High and Low Risk of Intrauterine Infection Meeting Sepsis Criteria

The Surviving Sepsis Campaign recently recommended that qSOFA not be used as a single parameter for identification of sepsis. Thus, we evaluated the efficacy of SIRS and qSOFA scores in identifying intrauterine infection. This case–control study evaluates SIRS and qSOFA criteria fulfillment in preterm premature rupture of membranes (n = 453)—at high infection risk—versus elective cesarean—at low infection risk (n = 2004); secondary outcomes included intrauterine infection and positive culture rates. At admission, 14.8% of the study group and 4.6% of control met SIRS criteria (p = 0.001), as did 12.5% and 5.5% on post-operation day (POD) 1 (p = 0.001), with no significant differences on POD 0 or 2. Medical records did not suffice for qSOFA calculation. In the study group, more cultures (29.8% versus 1.9%—cervix; 27.4% versus 1.1%—placenta; 7.5% versus 1.7%—blood; p = 0.001—all differences) and positive cultures (5.5% versus 3.0%—urine—p = 0.008; 4.2% versus 0.2%—cervix—p = 0.001; 7.3% versus 0.0%—placenta—p = 0.001; 0.9% versus 0.1%—blood—p = 0.008) were obtained. Overall, 10.6% of the study group and 0.4% of control met the intrauterine infection criteria (p = 0.001). Though a significant difference was noted in SIRS criteria fulfillment in the study group versus control, there was considerable between-group overlap, questioning the utility of SIRS in intrauterine infection diagnosis. Furthermore, the qSOFA scores could not be assessed.

Obstetric medicine care in South Europe

Obstetric medicine is an emerging area of interest within Internal Medicine in Europe. Despite that, "OM" is still an unpopular concept and an unrecognised subspecialty in South Europe. A considerable number of internists and medical specialists deal with maternal medical problems in association with obstetricians and other specialists on a daily basis. Due to their interest and mostly part-time dedication to maternal care, a growing mass of physicians are getting specific training in the field either locally or, less frequently, abroad, and are also building specific clinics, inpatient care services and other new bonds with obstetricians in numerous tertiary care centres. In this article, we aim to describe the state of the growing field of obstetric medicine in Portugal, Italy, France and Spain, the particular clinical, educational and academic efforts and steps that have recently been developed by internists in each country, as well as planned initiatives for the future.

Influence of the Human Development Index on the Maternal-Perinatal Morbidity and Mortality of Pregnant Women with SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Importance for Personalized Medical Care

Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) is perhaps the most worrisome pandemic in the 21st century, having entailed devastating consequences for the whole society during the last year. Different studies have displayed an existing association between pregnancy and COVID-19 severity due to the various physiological changes that occur during gestation. Recent data identified maternal country of origin as an important determinant of COVID-19 presentation in pregnant women. However, the explanation of this fact remains to be fully elucidated. Therefore, the purpose of this work is to analyze the possible relationship between Human Development Index (HDI) of maternal country of origin with the morbimortality of pregnant women and their newborns. Here, we conducted a multicentric, ambispective, observational case-control study (1:1 ratio) and compare with the HDI of each country (group 1-very high HDI, group 2-high HDI, group 3-medium HDI, and group 4-low HDI). In total, 1347 pregnant women with confirmed SARV-CoV-2 infection (cases) were enrolled, and each was paired with one control to give a total number of 2694 participants from 81 tertiary care centers. Among the women with SARS-CoV-2 infection, more cases were produced of perinatal mortality, overall maternal morbidity, COVID-19 maternal morbidity, C-sections, hypertensive maternal morbidity, and perinatal morbidity. Our results described an inverse association between HDI and maternofetal morbidity and mortality. Moreover, the countries with an HDI lower than 1 showed higher rates of patients with maternal COVID-19-related morbidity (6.0% vs. 2.4%, p < 0.001), a need for oxygen therapy (4.7% vs. 1.8%, p < 0.001), and maternal ICU admission (2.6% vs. 1.0%, p = 0.007). Compared to other risk factors such as overweight, obesity, preexisting and obstetric comorbidities, HDI emerged as an independent risk factor explaining much of the increased maternal-perinatal morbidity and mortality detected in our group of cases. Further research is needed to establish to confirm the real impact of this factor and its components on pregnancy outcomes.

The influence of social and cultural practices on maternal mortality: a qualitative study from South Punjab, Pakistan

Background

A disproportionately high rate of maternal deaths is reported in developing and underdeveloped regions of the world. Much of this is associated with social and cultural factors, which form barriers to women utilizing appropriate maternal healthcare. A huge body of research is available on maternal mortality in developing countries. Nevertheless, there is a lack of literature on the socio-cultural factors leading to maternal mortality within the context of the Three Delays Model. The current study aims to explore socio-cultural factors leading to a delay in seeking care in maternal healthcare in South Punjab, Pakistan.

Methods

We used a qualitative method and performed three types of data collection with different target groups: (1) 60 key informant interviews with gynaecologists, (2) four focus group discussions with Lady Health Workers (LHWs), and (3) ten case studies among family members of deceased mothers. The study was conducted in Dera Ghazi Khan, situated in South Punjab, Pakistan. The data was analysed with the help of thematic analysis.

Results

The study identified that delay in seeking care—and the potentially resulting maternal mortality—is more likely to occur in Pakistan due to certain social and cultural factors. Poor socioeconomic status, limited knowledge about maternal care, and financial constraints among rural people were the main barriers to seeking care. The low status of women and male domination keeps women less empowered. The preference for traditional birth attendants results in maternal deaths. In addition, early marriages and lack of family planning, which are deeply entrenched in cultural values, religion and traditions—e.g., the influence of traditional or spiritual healers—prevented young girls from obtaining maternal healthcare.

Conclusion

The prevalence of high maternal mortality is deeply alarming in Pakistan. The uphill struggle to reduce deaths among pregnant women is firmly rooted in addressing certain socio-cultural practices, which create constraints for women seeking maternal care. The focus on poverty reduction and enhancing decision-making power is essential for supporting women’s right to medical care.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12978-021-01151-6.

Round the world, many women are dying because of complications during pregnancy or in childbirth. These deaths are more frequent in developing and underdeveloped countries. Some reasons for this are related to social and cultural factors, which form barriers to women using appropriate maternal healthcare. Therefore, this study aims to explore socio-cultural factors leading to a delay in seeking maternal healthcare in South Punjab, Pakistan.

We interviewed a variety of people to get an overview of this topic: (1) 60 interviews were conducted with gynaecologists, (2) we performed four focus group discussions with eight to ten Lady Health Workers providing maternal healthcare, and (3) we talked with family members of mothers who had died.

The study shows that delays in seeking care are related to poor socioeconomic status, limited knowledge about maternal care, and low incomes of rural people. The low status of women and male domination keeps women less empowered. In addition, early marriages and lack of family planning due to cultural values, religion and traditions stopped young girls from getting maternal healthcare.

The number of new mothers who die is very worrying in Pakistan. One of the important tasks for reducing deaths among pregnant women is to address certain socio-cultural practices. It is very important to reduce poverty and improve decision-making power to make sure women can use their right to medical care.

The Profile of the Obstetric Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection According to Country of Origin of the Publication: A Systematic Review of the Literature

SARS-CoV-2 is the novel member of coronavirus responsible for the worldwide pandemic COVID-19, affecting all types of people. In this context, established research identified pregnant women as a susceptible group of SARS-CoV-2 infection, although there is still limited data regarding the real impact of COVID-19 in this group. With that purpose, we conducted a systematic review describing the maternal-fetal results of pregnant women infected by SARS-CoV-2, in aim to analyze the profile of the obstetric patients according to the country of origin of the publication. A total of 38 articles were included in this systematic review with 2670 patients from 7 countries, with 20 works published from China (52.6%). We reported significative differences according to the median maternal age, with Spain as the country with the highest age (34.6 years); The percentage of tabaquism; proportion of symptomatic patients in the triage; type of radiological exam (China and France conduct CT scans on all their patients in comparison to the use of chest X-Ray in the rest of the countries studied); percentages of C-sections (83.9% in China; 35.9% Spain, p < 0.001); maternal mortality rate, proportion of patients who need treatments, the use of antivirals, antibiotics, and anticoagulants as well as measurements of the newborns. Perinatal results are favorable in the majority of countries, with very low rates of vertical transmission in the majority of works. The studies collected in this review showed moderate to high index of quality. The different works describe the affectation during the first wave of the pandemic, where the pregnant woman with SARS-CoV-2 infection is generally symptomatic during the third trimester of gestation along with other factors associated with worse prognosis of the disease, such as higher age, body mass index, and further comorbidities developed during pregnancy. In the obstetric patient, proportion of C-sections are elevated together with prematurity, increasing maternal perinatal morbimortality. Differences found between countries could be based on the proper profile of the patient in each region, the period of the pandemic directly affecting how it was managed, and the variations regarding in situ medical attention.

Maternal and Perinatal Outcomes in Patients with Suspected COVID-19 and Their Relationship with a Negative RT-PCR Result

This study was designed to examine maternal-perinatal outcomes in pregnant women with suspected coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) according to the result of a real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test and to investigate possible variables that could be useful for predicting a negative RT-PCR result. Participants of this retrospective cohort study were obstetrics patients with suspected COVID-19 who underwent an RT-PCR test in a tertiary hospital in Madrid, Spain. Maternal-perinatal features were analysed according to the results of this test. Clinical, radiological and analytical characteristics that could be associated with a negative result were also explored. In a final subgroup analysis, patients were included if they had pneumonia and a negative test result for the virus. Out of the 111 obstetric patients with suspected COVID-19 that were enrolled, 38.7% returned a negative result. In this RT-PCR-negative group, we recorded lower rates of pneumonia (21.4% vs. 45.6%, p = 0.009), severe or critical clinical features (4.7% vs. 11.8% and 0.0% vs. 5.9%, p = 0.02, respectively), lower lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels (168 UI/L vs. 224.5 UI/L, p = 0.003), a greater need for maternal treatment (60.3% vs 24.4%, p < 0.001), a reduced need for oxygen therapy (2.4% vs 28.8%, p < 0.001) and a lower rate of intensive care unit admission (0.0% vs. 3.7%, p = 0.046) than the RT-PCR-positive group. While no differences were found in other variables, the monocyte count was higher (946.2/μL vs. 518.8/μL, p = 0.022) in this group. The predictive model for a negative test result included the monocyte count, LDH level and no need for oxygen therapy. This model was able to identify 73.5% of patients with a negative RT-PCR result. Only 11% of the patients with pneumonia testing negative for the virus had IgG antibodies against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The proportion of pregnant women with suspected COVID-19 and a negative RT-PCR result was nearly 39%. In these patients, the symptoms were mild and the systemic severity of the disease was lower. The monocyte count, LDH level and no need for oxygen therapy were the factors that were more related to a negative test result in this group. These variables could be used to guide the management of patients with suspected COVID-19, mainly while waiting for RT-PCR results or in settings where this test is not available.

ABO O gene frequency increase in the US might be causing increased maternal mortality

Maternal mortality rate has increased in the United States over the past 30 years from 16 deaths per 100,000 births to 28 deaths per 100,000 births while the rest of the world is experiencing declining rates. Increasing obesity and c-section rates in the US have been cited as contributing factors needing remediation, and because of the two to three fold difference in maternal mortality rates in non-Hispanic black women compared to white women, inequality and implicit racial bias has been targeted as well for remediation. Using an epidemiologic approach, a hypothesis here brought to bear is that US immigration policy changes over the past 50 years have brought changes in the gene pool that have caused increasing obstetric hemorrhage and other causes of maternal death. ABO gene frequencies have changed in the US during this time such that ABO O, a gene associated with hemorrhage and mortality in pregnancy, has increased in frequency in the US thus increasing population maternal mortality rate. Using mendelian randomization logic, noting the increase in ABO O gene in the US population over the past 30 years and the association of ABO O gene with both hemorrhage and lower longevity, the increase in frequency of the ABO O gene in the past 30 years in the US population might be causative of an increase in maternal mortality rate. Consequences of this hypothesis would include recognition of the role of ABO gene and thus ABO blood group in prediction of risk of obstetric hemorrhage. Thus those at risk on this basis would be under high surveillance and would have medications and treatment strategies readily available. While research on ABO gene and pregnancy has been done, much of the research is being done in countries other than the US, and given the increasing mortality in the US as well as the role that ABO gene may have in that, further research needs to be done in US populations to quantify risk for all adverse events in pregnancy related to ABO blood type including hemorrhage as well as inter-related causes including pre-eclampsia, cardiovascular disease, thromboembolic disease and infection.

Outcome of methotrexate treatment for ectopic pregnancies among obese women

OBJECTIVE

Single dose administration of methotrexate (MTX) is considered the first line of treatment in selected patients with an ectopic pregnancy (EP). However, data regarding MTX efficacy among obese patients is limited. We sought to investigate the efficacy of MTX single dose regimen among obese patients MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study conducted at a gynecology department in a tertiary teaching hospital, between January 2010 and December 2018, including women diagnosed with an EP and treated by a single-dose regimen of MTX. We compared success rate and gestation characteristics between obese and non-obese women.

RESULTS

Overall, 195 women were treated with single-dose intramuscular MTX for EP during the study period. Of those, 31 women (15.9%) were obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) and the rest 164 (84.1%) were of normal body weight. Median MTX dosage for the obese group was 95 milligrams (IQR 91-104) vs. 83 milligrams (IQR 78-87) for the non-obese group. Treatment success rate of the overall cohort was 66.6% (130/195) and treatment success rate of single-dose MTX was comparable between the obese and non-obese groups (64.5% vs. 67.0%, p = 0.78). Obese patients were older as compared to non-obese (median age 33 vs. 29, p = 0.03). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, percentage hCG change from day 1 to day 4 was the only factor associated with treatment success (aOR 1.02; 95%CI 1.01, 1.04, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Single-dose MTX treatment among obese patients diagnosed with ectopic pregnancy led to similar success rates as compared to non-obese patients.

Human Development Index of the maternal country of origin and its relationship with maternal near miss: A systematic review of the literature

Background

The reduction in maternal mortality worldwide has increased the interest in studying more frequent severe events such as maternal near miss. The Human Development Index is a sociodemographic country-specific variable that includes key human development indicators such as living a long and healthy life, acquiring knowledge, and enjoying a decent standard of living, allowing differentiation between countries. In a globalised environment, it is necessary to study whether the Human Development Index of each patient's country of origin can be associated with the maternal near-miss rate and thus classify the risk of maternal morbidity and mortality.

Methods

A systematic review of the literature published between 2008 and 2019 was conducted, including all articles that reported data about maternal near miss in their sample of pregnant women, in addition to describing the study countries of their sample population. The Human Development Index of the study country, the maternal near-miss rate, the maternal mortality rate, and other maternal-perinatal variables related to morbidity and mortality were used.

Results

After the systematic review, eighty two articles from over thirty countries were included, for a total of 3,699,697 live births, 37,191 near miss cases, and 4029 mortality cases. A statistically significant (p <0.05) inversely proportional relationship was observed between the Human Development Index of the study country and the maternal near-miss and mortality rates. The most common cause of maternal near miss was haemorrhage, with an overall rate of 38.5%, followed by hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (34.2%), sepsis (7.5%), and other undefined causes (20.9%).

Conclusions

The Human Development Index of the maternal country of origin is a sociodemographic variable allowing differentiation and classification of the risk of maternal mortality and near miss in pregnant women. The most common cause of maternal near miss published in the literature was haemorrhage.

Trial registration

PROSPERO ID: CRD 42019133464

Analyzing maternal mortality rate in rural China by Grey-Markov model

Maternal mortality rate (MMR) in China has reduced during a decade but still higher than many countries around the world. Rural China is the key region which affects over all maternal death. This study aims to develop a suitable model in forecasting rural MMR and offer some suggestions for rural MMR intervention. Data in this study were collected through the Health Statistical Yearbook (2017) which included the overall MMR in China and urban and rural mortality rate. A basic grey model (GM(1,1)), 3 metabolic grey models (MGM), and a hybrid GM(1,1)-Markov model were presented to estimate rural MMR tendency. Average relative error (ARE), the post-test ratio (C), and small error probability (P) were adopted to evaluate models' fitting performance while forecasting effectiveness was compared by relative error.The MMR in rural China reduced obviously from 63.0 per 100,000 live births in 2005 to 21.1 per 100,000 live births in 2017. One basic GM(1,1) model was built to fit the rural MMR and the expression was X^((1)) (k + 1) = 553.80e^0.0947k - 550.00 (C = 0.0456, P > .99). Three MGM models expressions were X^((1)) (k + 1)  = 548.67e^0.0923k - 503.17 (C = 0.0540, P > .99), X^((1)) (k + 1) = 449.39e^0.0887k - 408.09 (C = 0.0560, P > .99), X^((1)) (k + 1) = 461.33e^0.0893k - 425.23(C = 0.0660, P > .99). Hybrid GM(1,1)-Markov model showed the best fitting performance (C = 0.0804, P > .99). The relative errors of basic GM(1,1) model and hybrid model in fitting part were 2.42% and 2.03%, respectively, while 5.35% and 2.08%, respectively, in forecasting part. The average relative errors of MGM were 2.07% in fitting part and 17.37% in forecasting part.Data update was crucial in maintain model's effectiveness. The hybrid GM(1,1)-Markov model was better than basic GM(1,1) model in rural MMR prediction. It could be considered as a decision-making tool in rural MMR intervention.