Contribution of information about acute and geriatric characteristics to decisions about life-sustaining treatment for old patients in intensive care

Big data analytics and machine learning in hematology: Transformative insights, applications and challenges

The integration of big data analytics and machine learning (ML) into hematology has ushered in a new era of precision medicine, offering transformative insights into disease management. By leveraging vast and diverse datasets, including genomic profiles, clinical laboratory results, and imaging data, these technologies enhance diagnostic accuracy, enable robust prognostic modeling, and support personalized therapeutic interventions. Advanced ML algorithms, such as neural networks and ensemble learning, facilitate the discovery of novel biomarkers and refine risk stratification for hematological disorders, including leukemias, lymphomas, and coagulopathies. Despite these advancements, significant challenges persist, particularly in the realms of data integration, algorithm validation, and ethical concerns. The heterogeneity of hematological datasets and the lack of standardized frameworks complicate their application, while the "black-box" nature of ML models raises issues of reliability and clinical trust. Moreover, safeguarding patient privacy in an era of data-driven medicine remains paramount, necessitating the development of secure and ethical analytical practices. Addressing these challenges is critical to ensuring equitable and effective implementation of these technologies. Collaborative efforts between hematologists, data scientists, and bioinformaticians are pivotal in translating these innovations into real-world clinical practice. Emphasis on developing explainable artificial intelligence models, integrating real-time analytics, and adopting federated learning approaches will further enhance the utility and adoption of these technologies. As big data analytics and ML continue to evolve, their potential to revolutionize hematology and improve patient outcomes remains immense.

Predictive modeling of methadone poisoning outcomes in children ≤ 5 years: utilizing machine learning and the National Poison Data System for improved clinical decision-making

The escalating therapeutic use of methadone has coincided with an increase in accidental ingestions, particularly among children ≤ 5 years. This study utilized machine learning (ML) methodologies on data from the National Poison Data System (NPDS) to predict pediatric methadone poisoning outcomes to enhance clinical decision-making. We analyzed 140 medical parameters from pediatric patient records. Pre-processing steps, including synthetic oversampling, addressed the imbalanced distribution of the outcome variable. We evaluated various ML models in multiclass classification tasks. Random forest showed versatility with an accuracy of 0.96 and a strong receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC AUC) (0.98). Meanwhile, the support vector machine (SVM) had the highest negative predictive value (NPV) (0.64). Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) analysis identified key predictors such as coma, cyanosis, respiratory arrest, and respiratory depression for predicting serious outcomes.

CONCLUSION

This research emphasizes the utility of ML in clinical settings for early detection and intervention in methadone poisoning events in children, highlighting the synergy between data science and clinical expertise.

WHAT IS KNOWN

• The increased use of methadone for treatment has been associated with a rise in accidental ingestions, particularly in children under five years old. • Methadone poisoning in young children can lead to severe outcomes, including respiratory depression and coma, requiring urgent medical intervention.

WHAT IS NEW

• Machine learning models, particularly Random Forest and Bagging, outperform traditional methods in predicting methadone poisoning outcomes in children. • SHAP analysis provides novel insights into key predictors of severe outcomes, enabling improved clinical decision-making and risk stratification.

Developing clinical prognostic models to predict graft survival after renal transplantation: comparison of statistical and machine learning models

INTRODUCTION

Renal transplantation is a critical treatment for end-stage renal disease, but graft failure remains a significant concern. Accurate prediction of graft survival is crucial to identify high-risk patients. This study aimed to develop prognostic models for predicting renal graft survival and compare the performance of statistical and machine learning models.

METHODOLOGY

The study utilized data from 278 renal transplant recipients at the Ethiopian National Kidney Transplantation Center between September 2015 and February 2022. To address the class imbalance of the data, SMOTE resampling was applied. Various models were evaluated, including Standard and penalized Cox models, Random Survival Forest, and Stochastic Gradient Boosting. Prognostic predictors were selected based on statistical significance and variable importance.

RESULTS

The median graft survival time was 33 months, and the mean hazard of graft failure was 0.0755. The 3-month, 1-year, and 3-year graft survival rates were found to be 0.979, 0.953, and 0.911, respectively. The Stochastic Gradient Boosting (SGB) model demonstrated the best discrimination and calibration performance, with a C-index of 0.943 and a Brier score of 0.000351. The Ridge-based Cox model closely followed the SGB model's prediction performance with better interpretability. The key prognostic predictors of graft survival included an episode of acute and chronic rejections, post-transplant urological complications, post-transplant nonadherence, blood urea nitrogen level, post-transplant regular exercise, and marital status.

CONCLUSIONS

The Stochastic Gradient Boosting model demonstrated the highest predictive performance, while the Ridge-Cox model offered better interpretability with a comparable performance. Clinicians should consider the trade-off between prediction accuracy and interpretability when selecting a model. Incorporating these findings into the clinical practice can improve risk stratification and personalized management strategies for kidney transplant recipients.

Prediction of naloxone dose in opioids toxicity based on machine learning techniques (artificial intelligence)

BACKGROUND

Treatment management for opioid poisoning is critical and, at the same time, requires specialized knowledge and skills. This study was designed to develop and evaluate machine learning algorithms for predicting the maintenance dose and duration of hospital stay in opioid poisoning, in order to facilitate appropriate clinical decision-making.

METHOD AND RESULTS

This study used artificial intelligence technology to predict the maintenance dose and duration of administration by selecting clinical and paraclinical features that were selected by Pearson correlation (filter method) (Stage 1) and then the (wrapper method) Recursive Feature Elimination Cross-Validated (RFECV) (Stage2). The duration of administration was divided into two categories: A (which includes a duration of less than or equal to 24 h of infusion) and B (more than 24 h of naloxone infusion). XGBoost algorithm model with an accuracy rate of 91.04%, a prediction rate of 91.34%, and a sensitivity rate of 91.04% and area under the Curve (AUC) 0.97 was best model for classification patients. Also, the best maintenance dose of naloxone was obtained with XGBoost algorithm with R2 = 0.678. Based on the selected algorithm, the most important features for classifying patients for the duration of treatment were bicarbonate, respiration rate, physical sign, The partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PCO2), diastolic blood pressure, pulse rate, naloxone bolus dose, Blood Creatinine(Cr), Body temperature (T). The most important characteristics for determining the maintenance dose of naloxone were physical signs, bolus dose of 4.5 mg/kg, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Creatine Phosphokinase (CPK) and intensive care unit (ICU) add.

CONCLUSION

A predictive model can significantly enhance the decision-making and clinical care provided by emergency physicians in hospitals and medical settings. XGBoost was found to be the superior model.

Automatic kidney stone identification: an adaptive feature-weighted LSTM model based on urine and blood routine analysis

Kidney stones are the most common urinary system diseases, and early identification is of great significance. The purpose of this study was to use routine urine and blood detection indices to build a deep learning (DL) model to identify the presence of kidney stones in the early stage. A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with kidney stones who were treated at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2020 to June 2023. A total of 1130 individuals presenting with kidney stones and 1230 healthy subjects were enrolled. The first blood and urine laboratory data of participants at our hospital were collected, and the data were divided into a training dataset (80%) and a verification dataset (20%). Additionally, a long short-term memory (LSTM)-based adaptive feature weighting model was trained for the early identification of kidney stones, and the results were compared with those of other models. The performance of the model was evaluated by the area under the subject working characteristic curve (AUC). The important predictive factors are determined by ranking the characteristic importance of the predictive factors. A total of 17 variables were screened; among the top 4 characteristics according to the weight coefficient in this model, urine WBC, urine occult blood, qualitative urinary protein, and microcyte percentage had high predictive value for kidney stones in patients. The accuracy of the kidney stone (KS-LSTM) learning model was 89.5%, and the AUC was 0.95. Compared with other models, it has better performance. The results show that the KS-LSTM model based on routine urine and blood tests can accurately identify the presence of kidney stones. And provide valuable assistance for clinicians to identify kidney stones in the early stage.

Employing machine learning techniques for prediction of micronutrient supplementation status during pregnancy in East African Countries

Micronutrient deficiencies, known as "hidden hunger" or "hidden malnutrition," pose a significant health risk to pregnant women, particularly in low-income countries like the East Africa region. This study employed eight advanced machine learning algorithms to predict the status of micronutrient supplementation among pregnant women in 12 East African countries, using recent demographic health survey (DHS) data. The analysis involved 138,426 study samples, and algorithm performance was evaluated using accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), specificity, precision, recall, and F1-score. Among the algorithms tested, the random forest classifier emerged as the top performer in predicting micronutrient supplementation status, exhibiting excellent evaluation scores (AUC = 0.892 and accuracy = 94.0%). By analyzing mean SHAP values and performing association rule mining, we gained valuable insights into the importance of different variables and their combined impact, revealing hidden patterns within the data. Key predictors of micronutrient supplementation were the mother's education level, employment status, number of antenatal care (ANC) visits, access to media, number of children, and religion. By harnessing the power of machine learning algorithms, policymakers and healthcare providers can develop targeted strategies to improve the uptake of micronutrient supplementation. Key intervention components involve enhancing education, strengthening ANC services, and implementing comprehensive media campaigns that emphasize the importance of micronutrient supplementation. It is also crucial to consider cultural and religious sensitivities when designing interventions to ensure their effectiveness and acceptance within the specific population. Furthermore, researchers are encouraged to explore and experiment with various techniques to optimize algorithm performance, leading to the identification of the most effective predictors and enhanced accuracy in predicting micronutrient supplementation status.

Prediction of childbearing tendency in women on the verge of marriage using machine learning techniques

The declining fertility rate and increasing marriage age among girls pose challenges for policymakers, leading to issues such as population decline, higher social and economic costs, and reduced labor productivity. Using machine learning (ML) techniques to predict the desire to have children can offer a promising solution to address these challenges. Therefore, this study aimed to predict the childbearing tendency in women on the verge of marriage using ML techniques. Data from 252 participants (203 expressing a "desire to have children" and 49 indicating "reluctance to have children") in Abadan, and Khorramshahr cities (Khuzestan Province, Iran) was analyzed. Seven ML algorithms, including multilayer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), J48 decision tree, Naive Bayes (NB), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN), were employed. The performance of these algorithms was assessed using metrics derived from the confusion matrix. The RF algorithm showed superior performance, with the highest sensitivity (99.5%), specificity (95.6%), and receiver operating characteristic curve (90.1%) values. Meanwhile, MLP emerged as the top-performing algorithm, showcasing the best overall performance in accuracy (77.75%) and precision (81.8%) compared to other algorithms. Factors such as age of marriage, place of residence, and strength of the family center with the birth of a child were the most effective predictors of a woman's desire to have children. Conversely, the number of daughters, the wife's ethnicity, and the spouse's ownership of assets such as cars and houses were among the least important factors in predicting this desire. ML algorithms exhibit excellent predictive capabilities for childbearing tendencies in women on the verge of marriage, highlighting their remarkable effectiveness. This capacity to offer accurate prognoses holds significant promise for advancing research in this field.

Simple Method to Assess Foam Structure and Stability using Hydrophobin and BSA as Model Systems

The properties and arrangement of surface-active molecules at air-water interfaces influence foam stability and bubble shape. Such multiscale-relationships necessitate a well-conducted analysis of mesoscopic foam properties. We introduce a novel automated and precise method to characterize bubble growth, size distribution and shape based on image analysis and using the machine learning algorithm Cellpose. Studying the temporal evolution of bubble size and shape facilitates conclusions on foam stability. The addition of two sets of masks, for tiny bubbles and large bubbles, provides for a high precision of analysis. A python script for analysis of the evolution of bubble diameter, circularity and dispersity is provided in the Supporting Information. Using foams stabilized by bovine serum albumin (BSA), hydrophobin (HP), and blends thereof, we show how this technique can be used to precisely characterize foam structures. Foams stabilized by HP show a significantly increased foam stability and rounder bubble shape than BSA-stabilized foams. These differences are induced by the different molecular structure of the two proteins. Our study shows that the proposed method provides an efficient way to analyze relevant foam properties in detail and at low cost, with higher precision than conventional methods of image analysis.

Prognosticating the outcome of intensive care in older patients-a narrative review

Prognosis determines major decisions regarding treatment for critically ill patients. Statistical models have been developed to predict the probability of survival and other outcomes of intensive care. Although they were trained on the characteristics of large patient cohorts, they often do not represent very old patients (age ≥ 80 years) appropriately. Moreover, the heterogeneity within this particular group impairs the utility of statistical predictions for informing decision-making in very old individuals. In addition to these methodological problems, the diversity of cultural attitudes, available resources as well as variations of legal and professional norms limit the generalisability of prediction models, especially in patients with complex multi-morbidity and pre-existing functional impairments. Thus, current approaches to prognosticating outcomes in very old patients are imperfect and can generate substantial uncertainty about optimal trajectories of critical care in the individual. This article presents the state of the art and new approaches to predicting outcomes of intensive care for these patients. Special emphasis has been given to the integration of predictions into the decision-making for individual patients. This requires quantification of prognostic uncertainty and a careful alignment of decisions with the preferences of patients, who might prioritise functional outcomes over survival. Since the performance of outcome predictions for the individual patient may improve over time, time-limited trials in intensive care may be an appropriate way to increase the confidence in decisions about life-sustaining treatment.

Health insurance fraud detection based on multi-channel heterogeneous graph structure learning

Health insurance fraud is becoming more common and impacting the fairness and sustainability of the health insurance system. Traditional health insurance fraud detection primarily relies on recognizing established data patterns. However, with the ever-expanding and complex nature of health insurance data, it is difficult for these traditional methods to effectively capture evolving fraudulent activity and tactics and keep pace with the constant improvements and innovations of fraudsters. As a result, there is an urgent need for more accurate and flexible analytics to detect potential fraud. To address this, the Multi-channel Heterogeneous Graph Structured Learning-based health insurance fraud detection method (MHGSL) was proposed. MHGSL constructs a graph of health insurance data from various entities, such as patients, departments, and medicines, and employs graph structure learning to extract topological structure, features, and semantic information to construct multiple graphs that reflect the diversity and complexity of the data. We utilize deep learning methods such as heterogeneous graph neural networks and graph convolutional neural networks to combine multi-channel information transfer and feature fusion to detect anomalies in health insurance data. The results of extensive experiments on real health insurance data demonstrate that MHGSL achieves a high level of accuracy in detecting potential fraud, which is better than existing methods, and is able to quickly and accurately identify patients with fraudulent behaviors to avoid loss of health insurance funds. Experiments have shown that multi-channel heterogeneous graph structure learning in MHGSL can be very helpful for health insurance fraud detection. It provides a promising solution for detecting health insurance fraud and improving the fairness and sustainability of the health insurance system. Subsequent research on fraud detection methods can consider semantic information between patients and different types of entities.

Critical care beyond organ support: the importance of geriatric rehabilitation

Very old critically ill patients pose a growing challenge for intensive care. Critical illness and the burden of treatment in the intensive care unit (ICU) can lead to a long-lasting decline of functional and cognitive abilities, especially in very old patients. Multi-complexity and increased vulnerability to stress in these patients may lead to new and worsening disabilities, requiring careful assessment, prevention and rehabilitation. The potential for rehabilitation, which is crucial for optimal functional outcomes, requires a systematic, multi-disciplinary approach and careful long-term planning during and following ICU care. We describe this process and provide recommendations and checklists for comprehensive and timely assessments in the context of transitioning patients from ICU to post-ICU and acute hospital care, and review the barriers to the provision of good functional outcomes.

Employing supervised machine learning algorithms for classification and prediction of anemia among youth girls in Ethiopia

In developing countries, one-quarter of young women have suffered from anemia. However, the available studies in Ethiopia have been usually used the traditional stastical methods. Therefore, this study aimed to employ multiple machine learning algorithms to identify the most effective model for the prediction of anemia among youth girls in Ethiopia. A total of 5642 weighted samples of young girls from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey dataset were utilized. The data underwent preprocessing, with 80% of the observations used for training the model and 20% for testing. Eight machine learning algorithms were employed to build and compare models. The model performance was assessed using evaluation metrics in Python software. Various data balancing techniques were applied, and the Boruta algorithm was used to select the most relevant features. Besides, association rule mining was conducted using the Apriori algorithm in R software. The random forest classifier with an AUC value of 82% outperformed in predicting anemia among all the tested classifiers. Region, poor wealth index, no formal education, unimproved toilet facility, rural residence, not used contraceptive method, religion, age, no media exposure, occupation, and having more than 5 family size were the top attributes to predict anemia. Association rule mining was identified the top seven best rules that most frequently associated with anemia. The random forest classifier is the best for predicting anemia. Therefore, making it potentially valuable as decision-support tools for the relevant stakeholders and giving emphasis for the identified predictors could be an important intervention to halt anemia among youth girls.

Artificial intelligence in respiratory care: Current scenario and future perspective

BACKGROUND

This narrative review aims to explore the current state and future perspective of artificial intelligence (AI) in respiratory care. The objective is to provide insights into the potential impact of AI in this field.

METHODS

A comprehensive analysis of relevant literature and research studies was conducted to examine the applications of AI in respiratory care and identify areas of advancement. The analysis included studies on remote monitoring, early detection, smart ventilation systems, and collaborative decision-making.

RESULTS

The obtained results highlight the transformative potential of AI in respiratory care. AI algorithms have shown promising capabilities in enabling tailored treatment plans based on patient-specific data. Remote monitoring using AI-powered devices allows for real-time feedback to health-care providers, enhancing patient care. AI algorithms have also demonstrated the ability to detect respiratory conditions at an early stage, leading to timely interventions and improved outcomes. Moreover, AI can optimize mechanical ventilation through continuous monitoring, enhancing patient comfort and reducing complications. Collaborative AI systems have the potential to augment the expertise of health-care professionals, leading to more accurate diagnoses and effective treatment strategies.

CONCLUSION

By improving diagnosis, AI has the potential to revolutionize respiratory care, treatment planning, and patient monitoring. While challenges and ethical considerations remain, the transformative impact of AI in this domain cannot be overstated. By leveraging the advancements and insights from this narrative review, health-care professionals and researchers can continue to harness the power of AI to improve patient outcomes and enhance respiratory care practices.

IMPROVEMENTS

Based on the findings, future research should focus on refining AI algorithms to enhance their accuracy, reliability, and interpretability. In addition, attention should be given to addressing ethical considerations, ensuring data privacy, and establishing regulatory frameworks to govern the responsible implementation of AI in respiratory care.

Long-stay ICU patients with frailty: mortality and recovery outcomes at 6 months

BACKGROUND

Prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay is associated with physical, cognitive, and psychological disabilities. The impact of baseline frailty on long-stay ICU patients remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate how baseline frailty influences mortality and post-ICU disability 6 months after critical illness in long-stay ICU patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed patients hospitalized for ≥ 7 days in the ICU between May 2018 and May 2021, following them for up to 6 months or until death. Based on the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) at ICU admissions, patients were categorized as frail (CFS ≥ 5), pre-frail (CFS 3-4) and non-frail (CFS 1-2). Kaplan-Meier curves and a multivariate Cox model were used to examine the association between frailty and mortality. At the 6 month follow-up, we assessed psychological, physical, cognitive outcomes, and health-related quality of life (QoL) using descriptive statistics and linear regressions.

RESULTS

We enrolled 531 patients, of which 178 (33.6%) were frail, 200 (37.6%) pre-frail and 153 (28.8%) non-frail. Frail patients were older, had more comorbidities, and greater disease severity at ICU admission. At 6 months, frail patients presented higher mortality rates than pre-frail and non-frail patients (34.3% (61/178) vs. 21% (42/200) vs. 13.1% (20/153) respectively, p < 0.01). The rate of withdrawing or withholding of care did not differ significantly between the groups. Compared with CFS 1-2, the adjusted hazard ratios of death at 6 months were 1.7 (95% CI 0.9-2.9) for CFS 3-4 and 2.9 (95% CI 1.7-4.9) for CFS ≥ 5. At 6 months, 192 patients were seen at a follow-up consultation. In multivariate linear regressions, CFS ≥ 5 was associated with poorer physical health-related QoL, but not with poorer mental health-related QoL, compared with CFS 1-2.

CONCLUSION

Frailty is associated with increased mortality and poorer physical health-related QoL in long-stay ICU patients at 6 months. The admission CFS can help inform patients and families about the complexities of survivorship during a prolonged ICU stay.

The trajectory of very old critically ill patients

The demographic shift, together with financial constraint, justify a re-evaluation of the trajectory of care of very old critically ill patients (VIP), defined as older than 80 years. We must avoid over- as well as under-utilisation of critical care interventions in this patient group and ensure the inclusion of health care professionals, the patient and their caregivers in the decision process. This new integrative approach mobilises expertise at each step of the process beginning prior to intensive care unit (ICU) admission and extending to long-term follow-up. In this review, several international experts have contributed to provide recommendations that can be universally applied. Our aim is to define a minimum core dataset of information to be shared and discussed prior to ICU admission and to facilitate the shared-decision-making process with the patient and their caregivers, throughout the patient journey. Documentation of uncertainty may contribute to a tailored level of care and ultimately to discussions around possible limitations of life sustaining treatments. The goal of ICU care is not only to avoid death, but more importantly to maintain an acceptable quality of life and functional autonomy after hospital discharge. Societal consideration is important to highlight, together with alternatives to ICU admission. We discuss challenges for the future and potential areas of research. In summary, this review provides a state-of-the-art current overview and aims to outline future directions to address the challenges in the treatment of VIP.

Perception about telemedicine services among parents of children with neurodevelopmental disorders in a specialised tertiary centre in Oman

ABSTRACTWhile telemedicine has shown promise for diagnosis and treatment, its integration into specialised clinics and mainstream healthcare is slow. A study at Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Oman, investigated parental perceptions of virtual clinics and telemedicine experiences among parents of children with neurodevelopmental disorders (NDD) conducted from January 2021 to January 2022; the cross-sectional study involved 130 participants. The study revealed that 70% of participants were male, and the mean age of the children was 6.1 ± 0.26 years. Regarding telemedicine awareness, 53% of respondents were informed, yet encountered obstacles such as poor internet service and lack of awareness. Despite challenges, 46% of respondents viewed telemedicine positively. Parents showed significant differences in their perception of virtual interviews based on interview purpose (P = 0.034), clinic type (P < 0.001), internet service quality (P = 0.029), timing conflicts (P = 0.001), lack of technology experience (P = 0.041), and awareness gaps (P = 0.012). Our study identified challenges for parents of children with NDD in utilising telehealth, primarily stemming from limited awareness and internet connectivity issues. To enhance telemedicine quality, we suggest improving internet infrastructure and promoting telemedicine awareness. Further research is needed to optimise telemedicine implementation for both diagnosis and intervention in children with NDD.

Frailty's influence on 30-day mortality in old critically ill ICU patients: a bayesian analysis evaluating the clinical frailty scale

INTRODUCTION

Frailty is widely acknowledged as influencing health outcomes among critically ill old patients. Yet, the traditional understanding of its impact has predominantly been through frequentist statistics. We endeavored to explore this association using Bayesian statistics aiming to provide a more nuanced understanding of this multifaceted relationship.

METHODS

Our analysis incorporated a cohort of 10,363 older (median age 82 years) patients from three international prospective studies, with 30-day all-cause mortality as the primary outcome. We defined frailty as Clinical Frailty Scale ≥ 5. A hierarchical Bayesian logistic regression model was employed, adjusting for covariables, using a range of priors. An international steering committee of registry members reached a consensus on a minimal clinically important difference (MCID).

RESULTS

In our study, the 30-day mortality was 43%, with rates of 38% in non-frail and 51% in frail groups. Post-adjustment, the median odds ratio (OR) for frailty was 1.60 (95% CI 1.45-1.76). Frailty was invariably linked to adverse outcomes (OR > 1) with 100% probability and had a 90% chance of exceeding the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) (OR > 1.5). For the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) as a continuous variable, the median OR was 1.19 (1.16-1.22), with over 99% probability of the effect being more significant than 1.5 times the MCID. Frailty remained outside the region of practical equivalence (ROPE) in all analyses, underscoring its clinical importance regardless of how it is measured.

CONCLUSIONS

This research demonstrates the significant impact of frailty on short-term mortality in critically ill elderly patients, particularly when the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) is used as a continuous measure. This approach, which views frailty as a spectrum, enables more effective, personalized care for this vulnerable group. Significantly, frailty was consistently outside the region of practical equivalence (ROPE) in our analysis, highlighting its clinical importance.

The role of clinical phenotypes in decisions to limit life-sustaining treatment for very old patients in the ICU

BACKGROUND

Limiting life-sustaining treatment (LST) in the intensive care unit (ICU) by withholding or withdrawing interventional therapies is considered appropriate if there is no expectation of beneficial outcome. Prognostication for very old patients is challenging due to the substantial biological and functional heterogeneity in that group. We have previously identified seven phenotypes in that cohort with distinct patterns of acute and geriatric characteristics. This study investigates the relationship between these phenotypes and decisions to limit LST in the ICU.

METHODS

This study is a post hoc analysis of the prospective observational VIP2 study in patients aged 80 years or older admitted to ICUs in 22 countries. The VIP2 study documented demographic, acute and geriatric characteristics as well as organ support and decisions to limit LST in the ICU. Phenotypes were identified by clustering analysis of admission characteristics. Patients who were assigned to one of seven phenotypes (n = 1268) were analysed with regard to limitations of LST.

RESULTS

The incidence of decisions to withhold or withdraw LST was 26.5% and 8.1%, respectively. The two phenotypes describing patients with prominent geriatric features and a phenotype representing the oldest old patients with low severity of the critical condition had the largest odds for withholding decisions. The discriminatory performance of logistic regression models in predicting limitations of LST after admission to the ICU was the best after combining phenotype, ventilatory support and country as independent variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical phenotypes on ICU admission predict limitations of LST in the context of cultural norms (country). These findings can guide further research into biases and preferences involved in the decision-making about LST. Trial registration Clinical Trials NCT03370692 registered on 12 December 2017.