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Thompson KM, Kalkowska DA, Kidd SE, Burns CC, Badizadegan K. Trade-offs of different poliovirus vaccine options for outbreak response in the United States and other countries that only use inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) in routine immunization. Vaccine 2024; 42:819-827. [PMID: 38218668 PMCID: PMC10947589 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.12.081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2023] [Revised: 12/23/2023] [Accepted: 12/29/2023] [Indexed: 01/15/2024]
Abstract
Delays in achieving polio eradication have led to ongoing risks of poliovirus importations that may cause outbreaks in polio-free countries. Because of the low, but non-zero risk of paralysis with oral poliovirus vaccines (OPVs), countries that achieve and maintain high national routine immunization coverage have increasingly shifted to exclusive use of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) for all preventive immunizations. However, immunization coverage within countries varies, with under-vaccinated subpopulations potentially able to sustain transmission of imported polioviruses and experience local outbreaks. Due to its cost, ease-of-use, and ability to induce mucosal immunity, using OPV as an outbreak control measure offers a more cost-effective option in countries in which OPV remains in use. However, recent polio outbreaks in IPV-only countries raise questions about whether and when IPV use for outbreak response may fail to stop poliovirus transmission and what consequences may follow from using OPV for outbreak response in these countries. We systematically reviewed the literature to identify modeling studies that explored the use of IPV for outbreak response in IPV-only countries. In addition, applying a model of the 2022 type 2 poliovirus outbreak in New York, we characterized the implications of using different OPV formulations for outbreak response instead of IPV. We also explored the hypothetical scenario of the same outbreak except for type 1 poliovirus instead of type 2. We find that using IPV for outbreak response will likely only stop outbreaks for polioviruses of relatively low transmission potential in countries with very high overall immunization coverage, seasonal transmission dynamics, and only if IPV immunization interventions reach some unvaccinated individuals. Using OPV for outbreak response in IPV-only countries poses substantial risks and challenges that require careful consideration, but may represent an option to consider for some outbreaks in some populations depending on the properties of the available vaccines and coverage attainable.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Sarah E Kidd
- Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Cara C Burns
- Division of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
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2
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Polio and Its Epidemiology. Infect Dis (Lond) 2023. [DOI: 10.1007/978-1-0716-2463-0_839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/10/2023] Open
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3
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Hatami B, Abdi S, Pourhoseingholi MA, Eghlimi H, Rabbani AH, Masoumi M, Hajimohammadebrahim-Ketabforoush M. The effects of N-acetylcysteine on hepatic, hematologic, and renal parameters in cirrhotic patients: a randomized controlled trial. GASTROENTEROLOGY AND HEPATOLOGY FROM BED TO BENCH 2023; 16:432-440. [PMID: 38313355 PMCID: PMC10835090 DOI: 10.22037/ghfbb.v16i4.2443] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Accepted: 06/13/2023] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
Aim To evaluate the effects of N-acetylcysteine (NAC) supplementation in cirrhotic patients. Background Chronic hepatic inflammation leads to fibrosis and cirrhosis through various mechanisms such as oxidative stress. NAC is one of the intracellular precursors of glutathione that can degrade most reactive oxygen species. Recently, the beneficial effects of NAC in animal and human studies on preventing liver injury progression and improving liver function have been examined. However, more studies on human subjects are still required. Methods Well-known cirrhotic patients with a specific etiology and aged 18 to 70 years who referred to the gastrointestinal clinic of Ayatollah Taleghani Hospital from December 2018 to December 2019 were enrolled in the present randomized double-blind controlled trial. Patients in the intervention group received NAC tablets at a dose of 600 mg daily, and the control group received a placebo. Demographic data, medical characteristics, and Child-Pugh and MELD scores evaluated at baseline and after 6 months. Results Totally, 60 patients completed the present study (30 patients in the intervention group, and 30 patients in the control group). Hematological and biochemical parameters were normal in both groups with no significant differences at baseline and 6 months after intervention values. Moreover, the renal function indicators including serum creatinine (Cr) and urea (BUN) decreased significantly after intervention. Hepatic parameters also decreased significantly 6 months after intervention. Decreases in the renal and hepatic parameters 6 months after baseline in the control group were not statistically significant. Conclusion The results of this study showed that NAC improved hepatic and renal function by decreasing serum urea and creatinine levels but had no significant effect on hematological and biochemical parameters. Furthermore, NAC significantly improved hepatic profiles by decreasing ALT, AST, and ALP in the liver enzymes between the intervention and control groups. Moreover, NAC caused a significant decrease in Child-Pugh and MELD scores.
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Affiliation(s)
- Behzad Hatami
- Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Teheran, Iran
| | - Saeed Abdi
- Department of Adult Gastroenterology and Hepatology, School of Medicine, Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Ayatollah Taleghani Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohamad Amin Pourhoseingholi
- Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Teheran, Iran
| | - Hesameddin Eghlimi
- Liver Transplantation Department of General Surgery, School of Medicine, Ayatollah Taleghani Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences
| | - Amir Hassan Rabbani
- Department of Surgery, Taleghani Hospital, Department of Transplant & Hepatobiliary Surgery, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Maryam Masoumi
- Department of Internal Medicine, Ayatollah Taleghani Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Melika Hajimohammadebrahim-Ketabforoush
- Department of Clinical Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Nutrition Sciences and Food Technology, National Nutrition and Food Technology Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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4
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Brouwer AF, Eisenberg MC, Shulman LM, Famulare M, Koopman JS, Kroiss SJ, Hindiyeh M, Manor Y, Grotto I, Eisenberg JNS. The role of time-varying viral shedding in modelling environmental surveillance for public health: revisiting the 2013 poliovirus outbreak in Israel. J R Soc Interface 2022; 19:20220006. [PMID: 35582812 PMCID: PMC9114981 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2022] [Accepted: 04/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Environmental pathogen surveillance is a sensitive tool that can detect early-stage outbreaks, and it is being used to track poliovirus and other pathogens. However, interpretation of longitudinal environmental surveillance signals is difficult because the relationship between infection incidence and viral load in wastewater depends on time-varying shedding intensity. We developed a mathematical model of time-varying poliovirus shedding intensity consistent with expert opinion across a range of immunization states. Incorporating this shedding model into an infectious disease transmission model, we analysed quantitative, polymerase chain reaction data from seven sites during the 2013 Israeli poliovirus outbreak. Compared to a constant shedding model, our time-varying shedding model estimated a slower peak (four weeks later), with more of the population reached by a vaccination campaign before infection and a lower cumulative incidence. We also estimated the population shed virus for an average of 29 days (95% CI 28-31), longer than expert opinion had suggested for a population that was purported to have received three or more inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) doses. One explanation is that IPV may not substantially affect shedding duration. Using realistic models of time-varying shedding coupled with longitudinal environmental surveillance may improve our understanding of outbreak dynamics of poliovirus, SARS-CoV-2, or other pathogens.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew F. Brouwer
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | | | - Lester M. Shulman
- Central Virology Laboratory, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Israel
- School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | | | - James S. Koopman
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | | | - Musa Hindiyeh
- Central Virology Laboratory, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Israel
| | - Yossi Manor
- Central Virology Laboratory, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Israel
| | - Itamar Grotto
- Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel
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5
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Famulare M, Wong W, Haque R, Platts-Mills JA, Saha P, Aziz AB, Ahmed T, Islam MO, Uddin MJ, Bandyopadhyay AS, Yunus M, Zaman K, Taniuchi M. Multiscale model for forecasting Sabin 2 vaccine virus household and community transmission. PLoS Comput Biol 2021; 17:e1009690. [PMID: 34932560 PMCID: PMC8726461 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009690] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2020] [Revised: 01/04/2022] [Accepted: 11/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Since the global withdrawal of Sabin 2 oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) from routine immunization, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) has reported multiple circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) outbreaks. Here, we generated an agent-based, mechanistic model designed to assess OPV-related vaccine virus transmission risk in populations with heterogeneous immunity, demography, and social mixing patterns. To showcase the utility of our model, we present a simulation of mOPV2-related Sabin 2 transmission in rural Matlab, Bangladesh based on stool samples collected from infants and their household contacts during an mOPV2 clinical trial. Sabin 2 transmission following the mOPV2 clinical trial was replicated by specifying multiple, heterogeneous contact rates based on household and community membership. Once calibrated, the model generated Matlab-specific insights regarding poliovirus transmission following an accidental point importation or mass vaccination event. We also show that assuming homogeneous contact rates (mass action), as is common of poliovirus forecast models, does not accurately represent the clinical trial and risks overestimating forecasted poliovirus outbreak probability. Our study identifies household and community structure as an important source of transmission heterogeneity when assessing OPV-related transmission risk and provides a calibratable framework for expanding these analyses to other populations. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov This trial is registered with clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02477046.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Famulare
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Good, Intellectual Ventures, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America
| | - Wesley Wong
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Global Good, Intellectual Ventures, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America
| | - Rashidul Haque
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - James A. Platts-Mills
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America
| | - Parimalendu Saha
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Asma B. Aziz
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Tahmina Ahmed
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Md Ohedul Islam
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Md Jashim Uddin
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America
| | | | - Mohammed Yunus
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Khalequ Zaman
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mami Taniuchi
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America
- Department of Engineering Systems and Environment, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America
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6
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He W, Baysal C, Lobato Gómez M, Huang X, Alvarez D, Zhu C, Armario‐Najera V, Blanco Perera A, Cerda Bennaser P, Saba‐Mayoral A, Sobrino‐Mengual G, Vargheese A, Abranches R, Alexandra Abreu I, Balamurugan S, Bock R, Buyel JF, da Cunha NB, Daniell H, Faller R, Folgado A, Gowtham I, Häkkinen ST, Kumar S, Sathish Kumar R, Lacorte C, Lomonossoff GP, Luís IM, K.‐C. Ma J, McDonald KA, Murad A, Nandi S, O’Keef B, Parthiban S, Paul MJ, Ponndorf D, Rech E, Rodrigues JC, Ruf S, Schillberg S, Schwestka J, Shah PS, Singh R, Stoger E, Twyman RM, Varghese IP, Vianna GR, Webster G, Wilbers RHP, Christou P, Oksman‐Caldentey K, Capell T. Contributions of the international plant science community to the fight against infectious diseases in humans-part 2: Affordable drugs in edible plants for endemic and re-emerging diseases. PLANT BIOTECHNOLOGY JOURNAL 2021; 19:1921-1936. [PMID: 34181810 PMCID: PMC8486237 DOI: 10.1111/pbi.13658] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2021] [Revised: 06/10/2021] [Accepted: 06/22/2021] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
The fight against infectious diseases often focuses on epidemics and pandemics, which demand urgent resources and command attention from the health authorities and media. However, the vast majority of deaths caused by infectious diseases occur in endemic zones, particularly in developing countries, placing a disproportionate burden on underfunded health systems and often requiring international interventions. The provision of vaccines and other biologics is hampered not only by the high cost and limited scalability of traditional manufacturing platforms based on microbial and animal cells, but also by challenges caused by distribution and storage, particularly in regions without a complete cold chain. In this review article, we consider the potential of molecular farming to address the challenges of endemic and re-emerging diseases, focusing on edible plants for the development of oral drugs. Key recent developments in this field include successful clinical trials based on orally delivered dried leaves of Artemisia annua against malarial parasite strains resistant to artemisinin combination therapy, the ability to produce clinical-grade protein drugs in leaves to treat infectious diseases and the long-term storage of protein drugs in dried leaves at ambient temperatures. Recent FDA approval of the first orally delivered protein drug encapsulated in plant cells to treat peanut allergy has opened the door for the development of affordable oral drugs that can be manufactured and distributed in remote areas without cold storage infrastructure and that eliminate the need for expensive purification steps and sterile delivery by injection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenshu He
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Can Baysal
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Maria Lobato Gómez
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Xin Huang
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Derry Alvarez
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Changfu Zhu
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Victoria Armario‐Najera
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Aamaya Blanco Perera
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Pedro Cerda Bennaser
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Andrea Saba‐Mayoral
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | | | - Ashwin Vargheese
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
| | - Rita Abranches
- Instituto de Tecnologia Química e Biológica António XavierUniversidade Nova de LisboaOeirasPortugal
| | - Isabel Alexandra Abreu
- Instituto de Tecnologia Química e Biológica António XavierUniversidade Nova de LisboaOeirasPortugal
| | - Shanmugaraj Balamurugan
- Plant Genetic Engineering LaboratoryDepartment of BiotechnologyBharathiar UniversityTamil NaduIndia
| | - Ralph Bock
- Max Planck Institute of Molecular Plant PhysiologyPotsdam‐GolmGermany
| | - Johannes F. Buyel
- Fraunhofer Institute for Molecular Biology and Applied Ecology IMEAachenGermany
- Institute for Molecular BiotechnologyRWTH Aachen UniversityAachenGermany
| | - Nicolau B. da Cunha
- Centro de Análise Proteômicas e Bioquímicas de BrasíliaUniversidade Católica de BrasíliaBrasíliaBrazil
| | - Henry Daniell
- School of Dental MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Roland Faller
- Department of Chemical EngineeringUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
| | - André Folgado
- Instituto de Tecnologia Química e Biológica António XavierUniversidade Nova de LisboaOeirasPortugal
| | - Iyappan Gowtham
- Plant Genetic Engineering LaboratoryDepartment of BiotechnologyBharathiar UniversityTamil NaduIndia
| | - Suvi T. Häkkinen
- Industrial Biotechnology and Food SolutionsVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland LtdEspooFinland
| | - Shashi Kumar
- International Centre for Genetic Engineering and BiotechnologyNew DelhiIndia
| | - Ramalingam Sathish Kumar
- Plant Genetic Engineering LaboratoryDepartment of BiotechnologyBharathiar UniversityTamil NaduIndia
| | - Cristiano Lacorte
- Brazilian Agriculture Research CorporationEmbrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology and National Institute of Science and Technology Synthetic in Biology, Parque Estação BiológicaBrasiliaBrazil
| | | | - Ines M. Luís
- Instituto de Tecnologia Química e Biológica António XavierUniversidade Nova de LisboaOeirasPortugal
| | - Julian K.‐C. Ma
- Institute for Infection and ImmunitySt. George’s University of LondonLondonUK
| | - Karen A. McDonald
- Department of Chemical EngineeringUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
- Global HealthShare InitiativeUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
| | - Andre Murad
- Brazilian Agriculture Research CorporationEmbrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology and National Institute of Science and Technology Synthetic in Biology, Parque Estação BiológicaBrasiliaBrazil
| | - Somen Nandi
- Department of Chemical EngineeringUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
- Global HealthShare InitiativeUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
| | - Barry O’Keef
- Division of Cancer Treatment and DiagnosisMolecular Targets ProgramCenter for Cancer ResearchNational Cancer Institute, and Natural Products Branch, Developmental Therapeutics ProgramNational Cancer Institute, NIHFrederickMDUSA
| | - Subramanian Parthiban
- Plant Genetic Engineering LaboratoryDepartment of BiotechnologyBharathiar UniversityTamil NaduIndia
| | - Mathew J. Paul
- Institute for Infection and ImmunitySt. George’s University of LondonLondonUK
| | - Daniel Ponndorf
- Department of Biological ChemistryJohn Innes CentreNorwich Research Park, NorwichUK
| | - Elibio Rech
- Brazilian Agriculture Research CorporationEmbrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology and National Institute of Science and Technology Synthetic in Biology, Parque Estação BiológicaBrasiliaBrazil
| | - Julio C.M. Rodrigues
- Brazilian Agriculture Research CorporationEmbrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology and National Institute of Science and Technology Synthetic in Biology, Parque Estação BiológicaBrasiliaBrazil
| | - Stephanie Ruf
- Max Planck Institute of Molecular Plant PhysiologyPotsdam‐GolmGermany
| | - Stefan Schillberg
- Fraunhofer Institute for Molecular Biology and Applied Ecology IMEAachenGermany
- Institute for PhytopathologyJustus‐Liebig‐University GiessenGiessenGermany
| | - Jennifer Schwestka
- Institute of Plant Biotechnology and Cell BiologyUniversity of Natural Resources and Life SciencesViennaAustria
| | - Priya S. Shah
- Department of Chemical EngineeringUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
- Department of Microbiology and Molecular GeneticsUniversity of California, DavisDavisCAUSA
| | - Rahul Singh
- School of Dental MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Eva Stoger
- Institute of Plant Biotechnology and Cell BiologyUniversity of Natural Resources and Life SciencesViennaAustria
| | | | - Inchakalody P. Varghese
- Plant Genetic Engineering LaboratoryDepartment of BiotechnologyBharathiar UniversityTamil NaduIndia
| | - Giovanni R. Vianna
- Brazilian Agriculture Research CorporationEmbrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology and National Institute of Science and Technology Synthetic in Biology, Parque Estação BiológicaBrasiliaBrazil
| | - Gina Webster
- Institute for Infection and ImmunitySt. George’s University of LondonLondonUK
| | - Ruud H. P. Wilbers
- Laboratory of NematologyPlant Sciences GroupWageningen University and ResearchWageningenThe Netherlands
| | - Paul Christou
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
- ICREACatalan Institute for Research and Advanced StudiesBarcelonaSpain
| | | | - Teresa Capell
- Department of Crop and Forest SciencesUniversity of Lleida‐Agrotecnio CERCA CenterLleidaSpain
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7
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Perepliotchikov Y, Ziv-Baran T, Hindiyeh M, Manor Y, Sofer D, Moran-Gilad J, Stephens L, Mendelson E, Weil M, Bassal R, Anis E, Singer SR, Kaliner E, Cooper G, Majumdar M, Markovich M, Ram D, Grotto I, Gamzu R, Martin J, Shulman LM. Inferring Numbers of Wild Poliovirus Excretors Using Quantitative Environmental Surveillance. Vaccines (Basel) 2021; 9:870. [PMID: 34451995 PMCID: PMC8402366 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines9080870] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2021] [Revised: 07/22/2021] [Accepted: 07/29/2021] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Response to and monitoring of viral outbreaks can be efficiently focused when rapid, quantitative, kinetic information provides the location and the number of infected individuals. Environmental surveillance traditionally provides information on location of populations with contagious, infected individuals since infectious poliovirus is excreted whether infections are asymptomatic or symptomatic. Here, we describe development of rapid (1 week turnaround time, TAT), quantitative RT-PCR of poliovirus RNA extracted directly from concentrated environmental surveillance samples to infer the number of infected individuals excreting poliovirus. The quantitation method was validated using data from vaccination with bivalent oral polio vaccine (bOPV). The method was then applied to infer the weekly number of excreters in a large, sustained, asymptomatic outbreak of wild type 1 poliovirus in Israel (2013) in a population where >90% of the individuals received three doses of inactivated polio vaccine (IPV). Evidence-based intervention strategies were based on the short TAT for direct quantitative detection. Furthermore, a TAT shorter than the duration of poliovirus excretion allowed resampling of infected individuals. Finally, the method documented absence of infections after successful intervention of the asymptomatic outbreak. The methodologies described here can be applied to outbreaks of other excreted viruses such as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), where there are (1) significant numbers of asymptomatic infections; (2) long incubation times during which infectious virus is excreted; and (3) limited resources, facilities, and manpower that restrict the number of individuals who can be tested and re-tested.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuri Perepliotchikov
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
| | - Tomer Ziv-Baran
- School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 6997801, Israel; (T.Z.-B.); (R.G.)
| | - Musa Hindiyeh
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
- School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 6997801, Israel; (T.Z.-B.); (R.G.)
| | - Yossi Manor
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
| | - Danit Sofer
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
| | - Jacob Moran-Gilad
- Public Health Services, MOH, Jerusalem 9101002, Israel; (J.M.-G.); (E.A.); (S.R.S.); (E.K.); (I.G.)
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva 8410501, Israel
| | - Laura Stephens
- National Institute for Biological Standards and Controls, Blanche Lane, South Mimms, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire EN6 3QG, UK; (L.S.); (G.C.); (M.M.); (J.M.)
| | - Ella Mendelson
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
- School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 6997801, Israel; (T.Z.-B.); (R.G.)
| | - Merav Weil
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
| | - Ravit Bassal
- Israel Center for Disease Control, Ministry of Health, Gertner Building, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (R.B.); (M.M.)
| | - Emilia Anis
- Public Health Services, MOH, Jerusalem 9101002, Israel; (J.M.-G.); (E.A.); (S.R.S.); (E.K.); (I.G.)
- Braun School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Hebrew University Hadassah Faculty of Medicine, Ein Kerem. P.O. Box 12271, Jerusalem 9112102, Israel
| | - Shepherd Roee Singer
- Public Health Services, MOH, Jerusalem 9101002, Israel; (J.M.-G.); (E.A.); (S.R.S.); (E.K.); (I.G.)
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva 8410501, Israel
| | - Ehud Kaliner
- Public Health Services, MOH, Jerusalem 9101002, Israel; (J.M.-G.); (E.A.); (S.R.S.); (E.K.); (I.G.)
| | - Gillian Cooper
- National Institute for Biological Standards and Controls, Blanche Lane, South Mimms, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire EN6 3QG, UK; (L.S.); (G.C.); (M.M.); (J.M.)
| | - Manasi Majumdar
- National Institute for Biological Standards and Controls, Blanche Lane, South Mimms, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire EN6 3QG, UK; (L.S.); (G.C.); (M.M.); (J.M.)
| | - Michal Markovich
- Israel Center for Disease Control, Ministry of Health, Gertner Building, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (R.B.); (M.M.)
| | - Daniela Ram
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
| | - Itamar Grotto
- Public Health Services, MOH, Jerusalem 9101002, Israel; (J.M.-G.); (E.A.); (S.R.S.); (E.K.); (I.G.)
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva 8410501, Israel
| | - Ronni Gamzu
- School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 6997801, Israel; (T.Z.-B.); (R.G.)
- Public Health Services, MOH, Jerusalem 9101002, Israel; (J.M.-G.); (E.A.); (S.R.S.); (E.K.); (I.G.)
| | - Javier Martin
- National Institute for Biological Standards and Controls, Blanche Lane, South Mimms, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire EN6 3QG, UK; (L.S.); (G.C.); (M.M.); (J.M.)
| | - Lester M. Shulman
- Central Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat Gan 52621, Israel; (Y.P.); (M.H.); (Y.M.); (D.S.); (E.M.); (M.W.); (D.R.)
- School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 6997801, Israel; (T.Z.-B.); (R.G.)
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8
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Ejtehadi F, Pashaei MR, Shamsaeefar A, Motazedian N, Sivandzadeh GR, Niknam R, Malekhosseini SA, B Lankarni K. Tenofovir in the treatment of hepatitis B virus infection after liver transplantation, a single center large population study. GASTROENTEROLOGY AND HEPATOLOGY FROM BED TO BENCH 2021; 14:154-159. [PMID: 33968342 PMCID: PMC8101521] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
AIM This study investigated the safety and efficacy of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) compared with lamivudine (LAM) in the prevention of recurrent HBV infection after liver transplantation (LT). BACKGROUND Although the recurrence of hepatitis B virus after liver transplantation (LT) is now very uncommon with both nucleoside and nucleotide analogs represented with lamivudine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, respectively, few studies have compared the two classes. METHODS A total of 302 HBV-related post-transplant patients who received liver transplants from deceased donors were enrolled in this retrospective study from 2011 to 2015 in the Shiraz Organ Transplant Center, Iran. The demographic data, kidney function, recurrence, resistance rate, and acute rejections at 1-, 6-, and 12-month intervals and after 12 months were compared on TDF (n=209) and lamivudine (n=93) groups. RESULTS During a median follow-up period of 42.9 months, mean creatinine level was not significantly different between the two groups. Hepatitis B virus recurrence rate as well as acute graft rejection episode had no statistical difference in either group over the study period. CONCLUSION Kidney function, creatinine level, disease recurrence, and acute graft rejection were comparable between tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and lamivudine in patients who received follow-up periods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fardad Ejtehadi
- Gastroenterohepatology Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | | | - Alireza Shamsaeefar
- Shiraz Organ Transplant Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Nasrin Motazedian
- Shiraz Transplant Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran,Reprint or Correspondence: Nasrin Motazedian, MD. Shiraz Transplant Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran. E-mail: , ORCID ID: 0000-0001-9534-4014
| | | | - Ramin Niknam
- Gastroenterohepatology Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | | | - Kamran B Lankarni
- Health Policy Research Center, Institute of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
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9
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Thompson KM, Kalkowska DA. Review of poliovirus modeling performed from 2000 to 2019 to support global polio eradication. Expert Rev Vaccines 2020; 19:661-686. [PMID: 32741232 PMCID: PMC7497282 DOI: 10.1080/14760584.2020.1791093] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2020] [Accepted: 06/22/2020] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Over the last 20 years (2000-2019) the partners of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) invested in the development and application of mathematical models of poliovirus transmission as well as economics, policy, and risk analyses of polio endgame risk management options, including policies related to poliovirus vaccine use during the polio endgame. AREAS COVERED This review provides a historical record of the polio studies published by the three modeling groups that primarily performed the bulk of this work. This review also systematically evaluates the polio transmission and health economic modeling papers published in English in peer-reviewed journals from 2000 to 2019, highlights differences in approaches and methods, shows the geographic coverage of the transmission modeling performed, identified common themes, and discusses instances of similar or conflicting insights or recommendations. EXPERT OPINION Polio modeling performed during the last 20 years substantially impacted polio vaccine choices, immunization policies, and the polio eradication pathway. As the polio endgame continues, national preferences for polio vaccine formulations and immunization strategies will likely continue to change. Future modeling will likely provide important insights about their cost-effectiveness and their relative benefits with respect to controlling polio and potentially achieving and maintaining eradication.
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10
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Wells CR, Huppert A, Fitzpatrick MC, Pandey A, Velan B, Singer BH, Bauch CT, Galvani AP. Prosocial polio vaccination in Israel. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2020; 117:13138-13144. [PMID: 32457142 PMCID: PMC7293608 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1922746117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Regions with insufficient vaccination have hindered worldwide poliomyelitis eradication, as they are vulnerable to sporadic outbreaks through reintroduction of the disease. Despite Israel's having been declared polio-free in 1988, a routine sewage surveillance program detected polio in 2013. To curtail transmission, the Israel Ministry of Health launched a vaccine campaign to vaccinate children-who had only received the inactivated polio vaccine-with the oral polio vaccine (OPV). Determining the degree of prosocial motivation in vaccination behavior is challenging because vaccination typically provides direct benefits to the individual as well as indirect benefits to the community by curtailing transmission. However, the Israel OPV campaign provides a unique and excellent opportunity to quantify and model prosocial vaccination as its primary objective was to avert transmission. Using primary survey data and a game-theoretical model, we examine and quantify prosocial behavior during the OPV campaign. We found that the observed vaccination behavior in the Israeli OPV campaign is attributable to prosocial behavior and heterogeneous perceived risk of paralysis based on the individual's comprehension of the prosocial nature of the campaign. We also found that the benefit of increasing comprehension of the prosocial nature of the campaign would be limited if even 24% of the population acts primarily from self-interest, as greater vaccination coverage provides no personal utility to them. Our results suggest that to improve coverage, communication efforts should also focus on alleviating perceived fears surrounding the vaccine.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chad R Wells
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520
| | - Amit Huppert
- The Biostatistics & Biomathematics Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, 52621 Ramat Gan, Israel
- School of Public Health, The Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, 69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Meagan C Fitzpatrick
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21201
| | - Abhishek Pandey
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520
| | - Baruch Velan
- The Biostatistics & Biomathematics Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, 52621 Ramat Gan, Israel
| | - Burton H Singer
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610;
| | - Chris T Bauch
- Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
| | - Alison P Galvani
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520
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11
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Daniell H, Rai V, Xiao Y. Cold chain and virus-free oral polio booster vaccine made in lettuce chloroplasts confers protection against all three poliovirus serotypes. PLANT BIOTECHNOLOGY JOURNAL 2019; 17:1357-1368. [PMID: 30575284 PMCID: PMC6576100 DOI: 10.1111/pbi.13060] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2018] [Revised: 12/10/2018] [Accepted: 12/17/2018] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
To prevent vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis, WHO recommended withdrawal of Oral Polio Vaccine (Serotype-2) and a single dose of Inactivated Poliovirus Vaccine (IPV). IPV however is expensive, requires cold chain, injections and offers limited intestinal mucosal immunity, essential to prevent polio reinfection in countries with open sewer system. To date, there is no virus-free and cold chain-free polio vaccine capable of inducing robust mucosal immunity. We report here a novel low-cost, cold chain/poliovirus-free, booster vaccine using poliovirus capsid protein (VP1, conserved in all serotypes) fused with cholera non-toxic B subunit (CTB) expressed in lettuce chloroplasts. PCR using unique primer sets confirmed site-specific integration of CTB-VP1 transgene cassettes. Absence of the native chloroplast genome in Southern blots confirmed homoplasmy. Codon optimization of the VP1 coding sequence enhanced its expression 9-15-fold in chloroplasts. GM1-ganglioside receptor-binding ELISA confirmed pentamer assembly of CTB-VP1 fusion protein, fulfilling a key requirement for oral antigen delivery through gut epithelium. Transmission Electron Microscope images and hydrodynamic radius analysis confirmed VP1-VLPs of 22.3 nm size. Mice primed with IPV and boosted three times with lyophilized plant cells expressing CTB-VP1co, formulated with plant-derived oral adjuvants, enhanced VP1-specific IgG1, VP1-IgA titres and neutralization (80%-100% seropositivity of Sabin-1, 2, 3). In contrast, IPV single dose resulted in <50% VP1-IgG1 and negligible VP1-IgA titres, poor neutralization and seropositivity (<20%, <40% Sabin 1,2). Mice orally boosted with CTB-VP1co, without IPV priming, failed to produce any protective neutralizing antibody. Because global population is receiving IPV single dose, booster vaccine free of poliovirus or cold chain offers a timely low-cost solution to eradicate polio.
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Affiliation(s)
- Henry Daniell
- Department of BiochemistrySchool of Dental MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Vineeta Rai
- Department of BiochemistrySchool of Dental MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Yuhong Xiao
- Department of BiochemistrySchool of Dental MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
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12
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Brouwer AF, Masters NB, Eisenberg JNS. Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment and Infectious Disease Transmission Modeling of Waterborne Enteric Pathogens. Curr Environ Health Rep 2019; 5:293-304. [PMID: 29679300 DOI: 10.1007/s40572-018-0196-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Waterborne enteric pathogens remain a global health threat. Increasingly, quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) and infectious disease transmission modeling (IDTM) are used to assess waterborne pathogen risks and evaluate mitigation. These modeling efforts, however, have largely been conducted independently for different purposes and in different settings. In this review, we examine the settings where each modeling strategy is employed. RECENT FINDINGS QMRA research has focused on food contamination and recreational water in high-income countries (HICs) and drinking water and wastewater in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). IDTM research has focused on large outbreaks (predominately LMICs) and vaccine-preventable diseases (LMICs and HICs). Human ecology determines the niches that pathogens exploit, leading researchers to focus on different risk assessment research strategies in different settings. To enhance risk modeling, QMRA and IDTM approaches should be integrated to include dynamics of pathogens in the environment and pathogen transmission through populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew F Brouwer
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA
| | - Nina B Masters
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA
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13
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Epidemiology of the silent polio outbreak in Rahat, Israel, based on modeling of environmental surveillance data. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2018; 115:E10625-E10633. [PMID: 30337479 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1808798115] [Citation(s) in RCA: 103] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Israel experienced an outbreak of wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) in 2013-2014, detected through environmental surveillance of the sewage system. No cases of acute flaccid paralysis were reported, and the epidemic subsided after a bivalent oral polio vaccination (bOPV) campaign. As we approach global eradication, polio will increasingly be detected only through environmental surveillance. We developed a framework to convert quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) cycle threshold data into scaled WPV1 and OPV1 concentrations for inference within a deterministic, compartmental infectious disease transmission model. We used this approach to estimate the epidemic curve and transmission dynamics, as well as assess alternate vaccination scenarios. Our analysis estimates the outbreak peaked in late June, much earlier than previous estimates derived from analysis of stool samples, although the exact epidemic trajectory remains uncertain. We estimate the basic reproduction number was 1.62 (95% CI 1.04-2.02). Model estimates indicate that 59% (95% CI 9-77%) of susceptible individuals (primarily children under 10 years old) were infected with WPV1 over a little more than six months, mostly before the vaccination campaign onset, and that the vaccination campaign averted 10% (95% CI 1-24%) of WPV1 infections. As we approach global polio eradication, environmental monitoring with qPCR can be used as a highly sensitive method to enhance disease surveillance. Our analytic approach brings public health relevance to environmental data that, if systematically collected, can guide eradication efforts.
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14
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Giammanco GM, Bechini A, Urone N, Bonura F, Li Muli S, De Grazia S, Bellini I, Tiscione E, Boccalini S, Nastasi A. Is Italian population protected from Poliovirus? Results of a seroprevalence survey in Florence, Italy. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2018; 14:2248-2253. [PMID: 29771600 PMCID: PMC6183204 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2018.1475812] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives: Periodical assessments of population susceptibility to polioviruses (PV) is essential for evaluating population protection and planning appropriate vaccination strategies. The aim of the current work was to assess serological protective titers against all three polioviruses in the general population of Florence. Methods: A convenience sample of 328 sera, collected in 2009 in Florence (Central Italy) was analyzed. Samples were considered protective if neutralizing antibodies were detected at dilutions ≥1:8, according to the WHO protocols. Results: The immune coverage was 75.3%, 69.2% and 46% for PV1, PV2 and PV3, respectively. The protective titers of neutralizing antibodies were generally higher in children up to 14 years of age, with 74.4% (PV1), 75.6% (PV2) and 56.7% (PV3) of seroprevalence. From the age of 11 years, most of the study subjects were seronegative for PV3. Conclusions: In a polio-free country with strong migration pressures, such as Italy, our results bring clear support to the recent recommendation of Italian health authorities to introduce a fifth dose of IPV vaccine in adolescence all over the country.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giovanni M Giammanco
- a Department of Health Promotion Sciences and Mother and Child Care "Giuseppe D'Alessandro" , University of Palermo , Palermo , Italy
| | - Angela Bechini
- b Department of Health Sciences , University of Florence , Florence , Italy
| | - Noemi Urone
- a Department of Health Promotion Sciences and Mother and Child Care "Giuseppe D'Alessandro" , University of Palermo , Palermo , Italy
| | - Floriana Bonura
- a Department of Health Promotion Sciences and Mother and Child Care "Giuseppe D'Alessandro" , University of Palermo , Palermo , Italy
| | - Sara Li Muli
- a Department of Health Promotion Sciences and Mother and Child Care "Giuseppe D'Alessandro" , University of Palermo , Palermo , Italy
| | - Simona De Grazia
- a Department of Health Promotion Sciences and Mother and Child Care "Giuseppe D'Alessandro" , University of Palermo , Palermo , Italy
| | - Irene Bellini
- b Department of Health Sciences , University of Florence , Florence , Italy
| | - Emilia Tiscione
- b Department of Health Sciences , University of Florence , Florence , Italy
| | - Sara Boccalini
- b Department of Health Sciences , University of Florence , Florence , Italy
| | - Antonino Nastasi
- b Department of Health Sciences , University of Florence , Florence , Italy
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15
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Famulare M, Selinger C, McCarthy KA, Eckhoff PA, Chabot-Couture G. Assessing the stability of polio eradication after the withdrawal of oral polio vaccine. PLoS Biol 2018; 16:e2002468. [PMID: 29702638 PMCID: PMC5942853 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2002468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2017] [Revised: 05/09/2018] [Accepted: 03/28/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The oral polio vaccine (OPV) contains live-attenuated polioviruses that induce immunity by causing low virulence infections in vaccine recipients and their close contacts. Widespread immunization with OPV has reduced the annual global burden of paralytic poliomyelitis by a factor of 10,000 or more and has driven wild poliovirus (WPV) to the brink of eradication. However, in instances that have so far been rare, OPV can paralyze vaccine recipients and generate vaccine-derived polio outbreaks. To complete polio eradication, OPV use should eventually cease, but doing so will leave a growing population fully susceptible to infection. If poliovirus is reintroduced after OPV cessation, under what conditions will OPV vaccination be required to interrupt transmission? Can conditions exist in which OPV and WPV reintroduction present similar risks of transmission? To answer these questions, we built a multi-scale mathematical model of infection and transmission calibrated to data from clinical trials and field epidemiology studies. At the within-host level, the model describes the effects of vaccination and waning immunity on shedding and oral susceptibility to infection. At the between-host level, the model emulates the interaction of shedding and oral susceptibility with sanitation and person-to-person contact patterns to determine the transmission rate in communities. Our results show that inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) is sufficient to prevent outbreaks in low transmission rate settings and that OPV can be reintroduced and withdrawn as needed in moderate transmission rate settings. However, in high transmission rate settings, the conditions that support vaccine-derived outbreaks have only been rare because population immunity has been high. Absent population immunity, the Sabin strains from OPV will be nearly as capable of causing outbreaks as WPV. If post-cessation outbreak responses are followed by new vaccine-derived outbreaks, strategies to restore population immunity will be required to ensure the stability of polio eradication. Oral polio vaccine (OPV) has played an essential role in the elimination of wild poliovirus (WPV). OPV contains attenuated (weakened) yet transmissible viruses that can spread from person to person. In its attenuated form, this spread is beneficial as it generates population immunity. However, the attenuation of OPV is unstable and it can, in rare instances, revert to a virulent form and cause vaccine-derived outbreaks of paralytic poliomyelitis. Thus, OPV is both a vaccine and a source of poliovirus, and for complete eradication, its use in vaccination must be ended. After OPV is no longer used in routine immunization, as with the cessation of type 2 OPV in 2016, population immunity to polioviruses will decline. A key question is how this loss of population immunity will affect the potential of OPV viruses to spread within and across communities. To address this, we examined the roles of immunity, sanitation, and social contact in limiting OPV transmission. Our results derive from an extensive review and synthesis of vaccine trial data and community epidemiological studies. Shedding, oral susceptibility to infection, and transmission data are analyzed to systematically explain and model observations of WPV and OPV circulation. We show that in high transmission rate settings, falling population immunity after OPV cessation will lead to conditions in which OPV and WPV are similarly capable of causing outbreaks, and that this conclusion is compatible with the known safety of OPV prior to global cessation. Novel strategies will be required to ensure the stability of polio eradication for all time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Famulare
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Christian Selinger
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America
| | - Kevin A. McCarthy
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America
| | - Philip A. Eckhoff
- Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America
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16
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Yaari R, Dattner I, Huppert A. A two-stage approach for estimating the parameters of an age-group epidemic model from incidence data. Stat Methods Med Res 2017; 27:1999-2014. [PMID: 29260611 DOI: 10.1177/0962280217746443] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
Age-dependent dynamics is an important characteristic of many infectious diseases. Age-group epidemic models describe the infection dynamics in different age-groups by allowing to set distinct parameter values for each. However, such models are highly nonlinear and may have a large number of unknown parameters. Thus, parameter estimation of age-group models, while becoming a fundamental issue for both the scientific study and policy making in infectious diseases, is not a trivial task in practice. In this paper, we examine the estimation of the so-called next-generation matrix using incidence data of a single entire outbreak, and extend the approach to deal with recurring outbreaks. Unlike previous studies, we do not assume any constraints regarding the structure of the matrix. A novel two-stage approach is developed, which allows for efficient parameter estimation from both statistical and computational perspectives. Simulation studies corroborate the ability to estimate accurately the parameters of the model for several realistic scenarios. The model and estimation method are applied to real data of influenza-like-illness in Israel. The parameter estimates of the key relevant epidemiological parameters and the recovered structure of the estimated next-generation matrix are in line with results obtained in previous studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rami Yaari
- 1 Department of Statistics, University of Haifa, Israel.,2 The Biostatistics & BIomathematics Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Israel
| | - Itai Dattner
- 1 Department of Statistics, University of Haifa, Israel
| | - Amit Huppert
- 2 The Biostatistics & BIomathematics Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Israel.,3 School of Public Health, the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Israel
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17
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Korotkova E, Laassri M, Zagorodnyaya T, Petrovskaya S, Rodionova E, Cherkasova E, Gmyl A, Ivanova OE, Eremeeva TP, Lipskaya GY, Agol VI, Chumakov K. Pressure for Pattern-Specific Intertypic Recombination between Sabin Polioviruses: Evolutionary Implications. Viruses 2017; 9:v9110353. [PMID: 29165333 PMCID: PMC5707560 DOI: 10.3390/v9110353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2017] [Revised: 11/15/2017] [Accepted: 11/20/2017] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Complete genomic sequences of a non-redundant set of 70 recombinants between three serotypes of attenuated Sabin polioviruses as well as location (based on partial sequencing) of crossover sites of 28 additional recombinants were determined and compared with the previously published data. It is demonstrated that the genomes of Sabin viruses contain distinct strain-specific segments that are eliminated by recombination. The presumed low fitness of these segments could be linked to mutations acquired upon derivation of the vaccine strains and/or may have been present in wild-type parents of Sabin viruses. These “weak” segments contribute to the propensity of these viruses to recombine with each other and with other enteroviruses as well as determine the choice of crossover sites. The knowledge of location of such segments opens additional possibilities for the design of more genetically stable and/or more attenuated variants, i.e., candidates for new oral polio vaccines. The results also suggest that the genome of wild polioviruses, and, by generalization, of other RNA viruses, may harbor hidden low-fitness segments that can be readily eliminated only by recombination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ekaterina Korotkova
- AN Belozersky Institute of Physical-Chemical Biology, MV Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow 119899, Russia.
- Institute of Poliomyelitis and Viral Encephalitides of MP Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Research and Development of Immune-and-Biological Products of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 108819, Russia.
| | - Majid Laassri
- US Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA.
| | | | | | | | - Elena Cherkasova
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20895, USA.
| | - Anatoly Gmyl
- Institute of Poliomyelitis and Viral Encephalitides of MP Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Research and Development of Immune-and-Biological Products of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 108819, Russia.
- IM Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Moscow 119991, Russia.
| | - Olga E Ivanova
- Institute of Poliomyelitis and Viral Encephalitides of MP Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Research and Development of Immune-and-Biological Products of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 108819, Russia.
- IM Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Moscow 119991, Russia.
| | - Tatyana P Eremeeva
- Institute of Poliomyelitis and Viral Encephalitides of MP Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Research and Development of Immune-and-Biological Products of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 108819, Russia.
| | - Galina Y Lipskaya
- AN Belozersky Institute of Physical-Chemical Biology, MV Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow 119899, Russia.
| | - Vadim I Agol
- AN Belozersky Institute of Physical-Chemical Biology, MV Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow 119899, Russia.
- Institute of Poliomyelitis and Viral Encephalitides of MP Chumakov Federal Scientific Center for Research and Development of Immune-and-Biological Products of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 108819, Russia.
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18
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Weil M, Shulman LM, Heiman S, Stauber T, Alfandari J, Weiss L, Silberstein I, Indenbaum V, Mendelson E, Sofer D. Prolonged excretion of type-2 poliovirus from a primary immune deficient patient during the transition to a type-2 poliovirus-free world, Israel, 2016. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2017; 21:30408. [PMID: 27918258 PMCID: PMC5291147 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2016.21.47.30408] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2016] [Accepted: 11/24/2016] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
Wild poliovirus type-2 has been eradicated, use of live type-2 vaccine has been terminated globally, and all type-2 polioviruses are under strict laboratory containment protocols. Re-emergence may arise from prolonged asymptomatic excretion of poliovirus by hospitalised primary immune deficient (PID) patients, as described here, through repeated exposure of close contacts to high titres of infected material. At this transition time, PID patients should be screened and hospital containment protocols updated in parallel with laboratory containment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Merav Weil
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel.,These authors contributed equally to this work
| | - Lester M Shulman
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel.,These authors contributed equally to this work.,Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Sophia Heiman
- Pediatric Department A and Immunology Service, Jeffrey Modell Foundation Center, Edmond and Lily Safra Children's Hospital, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Tali Stauber
- Pediatric Department A and Immunology Service, Jeffrey Modell Foundation Center, Edmond and Lily Safra Children's Hospital, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Jacqueline Alfandari
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Leah Weiss
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Ilana Silberstein
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Viki Indenbaum
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Ella Mendelson
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel.,Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Danit Sofer
- Central Virology Laboratory, Public Health Services, Israel Ministry of Heath, at Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
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Berchenko Y, Manor Y, Freedman LS, Kaliner E, Grotto I, Mendelson E, Huppert A. Estimation of polio infection prevalence from environmental surveillance data. Sci Transl Med 2017; 9:9/383/eaaf6786. [DOI: 10.1126/scitranslmed.aaf6786] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2016] [Revised: 03/17/2016] [Accepted: 12/30/2016] [Indexed: 11/02/2022]
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Xiao Y, Daniell H. Long-term evaluation of mucosal and systemic immunity and protection conferred by different polio booster vaccines. Vaccine 2017; 35:5418-5425. [PMID: 28111147 PMCID: PMC5517362 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.061] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2016] [Revised: 11/18/2016] [Accepted: 12/08/2016] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
Oral polio vaccine (OPV) and Inactivated Polio Vaccine (IPV) have distinct advantages and limitations. IPV does not provide mucosal immunity and introduction of IPV to mitigate consequences of circulating vaccine-derived polio virus from OPV has very limited effect on transmission and OPV campaigns are essential for interrupting wild polio virus transmission, even in developed countries with a high coverage of IPV and protected sewer systems. The problem is magnified in many countries with limited resources. Requirement of refrigeration for storage and transportation for both IPV and OPV is also a major challenge in developing countries. Therefore, we present here long-term studies on comparison of a plant-based booster vaccine, which is free of virus and cold chain with IPV boosters and provide data on mucosal and systemic immunity and protection conferred by neutralizing antibodies. Mice were primed subcutaneously with IPV and boosted orally with lyophilized plant cells containing 1 μg or 25 μg polio viral protein 1 (VP1), once a month for three months or a single booster one year after the first prime. Our results show that VP1-IgG1 titers in single or double dose IPV dropped to background levels after one year of immunization. This decrease correlated with >50% reduction in seropositivity in double dose and <10% seropositivity in single dose IPV against serotype 1. Single dose IPV offered no or minimal protection against serotype 1 and 2 but conferred protection against serotype 3. VP1-IgA titers were negligible in IPV single or double dose vaccinated mice. VP1 antigen with two plant-derived adjuvants induced significantly high level and long lasting VP1-IgG1, IgA and neutralizing antibody titers (average 4.3–6.8 log2 titers). Plant boosters with VP1 and plant derived adjuvants maintained the same level titers from 29 to 400 days and conferred the same level of protection against all three serotypes throughout the duration of this study. Even during period, when no plant booster was given (∼260 days), VP1-IgG1 titers were maintained at high levels. Lyophilized plant cells expressing VP1 can be stored without losing efficacy, eliminating cold chain. Virus-free, cold-chain free vaccine is ready for further clinical development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuhong Xiao
- Department of Biochemistry, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
| | - Henry Daniell
- Department of Biochemistry, School of Dental Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
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Abstract
Since the beginning of Global Polio Eradication Initiative in 1988, poliomyelitis cases caused by wild poliovirus (PV) have been drastically reduced, with only 74 cases reported in 2 endemic countries in 2015. The current limited PV transmission suggests that we are in the endgame of the polio eradication program. However, specific challenges have emerged in the endgame, including tight budget, switching of the vaccines, and changes in biorisk management of PV. To overcome these challenges, several PV studies have been implemented in the eradication program. Some of the responses to the emerging challenges in the polio endgame might be valuable in other infectious diseases eradication programs. Here, I will review challenges that confront the polio eradication program and current research to address these challenges.
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Affiliation(s)
- Minetaro Arita
- Department of Virology II, National Institute of Infectious Diseases
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22
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Yaari R, Kaliner E, Grotto I, Katriel G, Moran-Gilad J, Sofer D, Mendelson E, Miller E, Huppert A. Erratum to: Modeling the spread of polio in an IPV-vaccinated population: lessons learned from the 2013 silent outbreak in southern Israel. BMC Med 2016; 14:120. [PMID: 27538466 PMCID: PMC4991098 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-016-0666-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Rami Yaari
- Bio-statistical Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, 52621, Israel. .,Biomathematics Unit, Department of Zoology, Faculty of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University, 69978, Tel Aviv, Israel.
| | - Ehud Kaliner
- Public Health Services, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Itamar Grotto
- Public Health Services, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel.,Faculty for Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel
| | - Guy Katriel
- Department of Mathematics, ORT Braude College, Karmiel, Israel
| | - Jacob Moran-Gilad
- Public Health Services, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel.,Faculty for Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel
| | - Danit Sofer
- Central Virology Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
| | - Ella Mendelson
- Central Virology Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel.,School of Public Health, the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Elizabeth Miller
- School of Public Health, the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.,Public Health England Immunisation, Hepatitis and Blood Safety Department, 61, Colindale Avenue, London, UK
| | - Amit Huppert
- Bio-statistical Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, 52621, Israel.,School of Public Health, the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
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