The effect of changes to GOLD severity stage on long term morbidity and mortality in COPD

A Pilot Study on Proteomic Predictors of Mortality in Stable COPD

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of global mortality. Despite clinical predictors (age, severity, comorbidities, etc.) being established, proteomics offers comprehensive biological profiling to obtain deeper insights into COPD pathophysiology and survival prognoses. This pilot study aimed to identify proteomic footprints that could be potentially useful in predicting mortality in stable COPD patients. Plasma samples from 40 patients were subjected to both blind (liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry) and hypothesis-driven (multiplex immunoassays) proteomic analyses supported by artificial intelligence (AI) before a 4-year clinical follow-up. Among the 34 patients whose survival status was confirmed (mean age 69 ± 9 years, 29.5% women, FEV1 42 ± 15.3% ref.), 32% were dead in the fourth year. The analysis identified 363 proteins/peptides, with 31 showing significant differences between the survivors and non-survivors. These proteins predominantly belonged to different aspects of the immune response (12 proteins), hemostasis (9), and proinflammatory cytokines (5). The predictive modeling achieved excellent accuracy for mortality (90%) but a weaker performance for days of survival (Q2 0.18), improving mildly with AI-mediated blind selection of proteins (accuracy of 95%, Q2 of 0.52). Further stratification by protein groups highlighted the predictive value for mortality of either hemostasis or pro-inflammatory markers alone (accuracies of 95 and 89%, respectively). Therefore, stable COPD patients' proteomic footprints can effectively forecast 4-year mortality, emphasizing the role of inflammatory, immune, and cardiovascular events. Future applications may enhance the prognostic precision and guide preventive interventions.

All-cause and cause-specific mortality by spirometric pattern and sex - a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Chronic airway obstruction (CAO) and restrictive spirometry pattern (RSP) are associated with mortality, but sex-specific patterns of all-cause and specific causes of death have hardly been evaluated.

OBJECTIVES

To study the possible sex-dependent differences of all-cause mortality and patterns of cause-specific mortality among men and women with CAO and RSP, respectively, to that of normal lung function (NLF).

DESIGN

Population-based prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Individuals with CAO [FEV1/vital capacity (VC) < 0.70], RSP [FEV1/VC ⩾ 0.70 and forced vital capacity (FVC) < 80% predicted] and NLF (FEV1/VC ⩾ 0.70 and FVC ⩾ 80% predicted) were identified within the Obstructive Lung Disease in Northern Sweden (OLIN) studies in 2002-2004. Mortality data were collected through April 2016, totally covering 19,000 patient-years. Cox regression and Fine-Gray regression accounting for competing risks were utilized to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for age, body mass index, sex, smoking habits and pack-years.

RESULTS

The adjusted hazard for all-cause mortality was higher in CAO and RSP than in NLF (HR, 95% CI; 1.69, 1.31-2.02 and 1.24, 1.06-1.71), and the higher hazards were driven by males. CAO had a higher hazard of respiratory and cardiovascular death than NLF (2.68, 1.05-6.82 and 1.40, 1.04-1.90). The hazard of respiratory death was significant in women (3.41, 1.05-11.07) while the hazard of cardiovascular death was significant in men (1.49, 1.01-2.22). In RSP, the higher hazard for respiratory death remained after adjustment (2.68, 1.05-6.82) but not for cardiovascular death (1.11, 0.74-1.66), with a similar pattern in both sexes.

CONCLUSION

The higher hazard for all-cause mortality in CAO and RSP than in NLF was male driven. CAO was associated with respiratory death in women and cardiovascular death in men, while RSP is associated with respiratory death, similarly in both sexes.

Predictors of Length of Stay, Mortality and Rehospitalization in COPD Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a highly prevalent chronic lung disease that has a significant impact on individuals and healthcare systems worldwide. This study aimed to identify factors that predict the length of a hospital stay (LOHS), one-year mortality, and rehospitalization within 6 months in patients admitted for acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from 170 patients admitted to a district general hospital in Switzerland between January 2019 and February 2020. Sociodemographic and health-related variables measured at admission were analyzed as potential predictors. Multivariable zero-truncated negative binomial and logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the risk factors for LOHS (primary endpoint), mortality, and rehospitalization. The results show that an indication for oxygen supplementation was the only significant predictor of LOHS. In the logistic regression analysis, older age, COPD severity stages GOLD III and IV, active cancer and arrhythmias were associated with higher mortality, whereas rehabilitation after discharge was associated with lower mortality. There were no significant associations regarding rehospitalization. This study identified routinely available predictors for LOHS and mortality, which may further advance our understanding of AECOPD and thereby improve patient management, discharge planning, and hospital costs. The protective effect of rehabilitation after hospitalization regarding lower mortality warrants further confirmation and may improve the comprehensive management of patients with AECOPD.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of surgical lung volume reduction compared with endobronchial valve treatment in patients with severe emphysema

BACKGROUND

Lung volume reduction, either by surgery or bronchoscopically by endobronchial valve treatment have been shown to be a cost-effective alternative compared with conservative therapy. However, there is no comparative analysis of lung volume reduction by surgery and bronchoscopic lung volume reduction using endobronchial valves.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this retrospective study was to provide a cost-effectiveness analysis of lung volume reduction by surgery compared with bronchoscopic lung volume reduction using endobronchial valves.

METHODS

The effectiveness of lung volume reduction was assessed using forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1), residual volume (RV) and 6-minute walking distance (6MWD), measured at baseline and at 4 to 12 weeks. Cost unit accounting derived from SwissDRG was used as a surrogate of the costs from the payer's perspective.

RESULTS

In total, 67 patients (37 men and 30 women) with a mean age of 68.3 ± 7.4 years were included. Both clinical effectiveness and costs were comparable between surgical and bronchoscopic lung reduction. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for bronchoscopic compared with lung volume reduction by surgery for FEV1, RV and 6MWD were -101, 4 and 58, respectively. For RV and 6MWD, it could be shown that endobronchial valve treatment is justified as a probably cost-effective alternative to lung volume reduction by surgery. Endobronchial valve treatment resulted in an improvement of 0.25 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and an ICER of € 7657 per QALY gained.

CONCLUSION

A robust statement on the superiority of one of the two procedures in terms of cost-effectiveness cannot be made from the present study. Therefore, the study is not suitable for resource allocation. Two upcoming trials comparing lung volume reduction surgery and endobronchial valve treatment may be able to answer this question.

What Are the Most Effective Factors in Determining Future Exacerbations, Morbidity Weight, and Mortality in Patients with COPD Attack?

Background and Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the important factors that affect COPD prognosis. Materials and Methods: We included 160 hospitalized patients with COPD exacerbation in the study. The hemoglobin (HB), hematocrit (HCT), leukocytes, red cell distribution width (RDW), mean platelet volume, platelet distribution width, plateletcrits, platelets, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, eosinophils, uric acid, albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin, arterial blood gases (PO2 and PCO2), pulmonary function test (FEV1 and FVC), echocardiography (ejection fraction-EF), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage, Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) and Borg scales, Charlson comorbidity index, body mass index (BMI), and the length of hospital stay were examined on the first day of hospitalization. Admission to the hospital with a new attack, hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU), and mortality during the six months after discharge were evaluated. Results: High CRP and procalcitonin levels were observed in the group with a long hospital stay. In the mortality group, the HB, HCT, BMI, and PO2 values were significantly lower than in the group without mortality, while the age and GOLD stage were higher. The age, Borg and mMRC scores, number of exacerbations experienced in the previous year, RDW, eosinophil count, and PCO2 were significantly higher in the ICU group than that without an ICU stay. The HCT and EF values were lower in the ICU group than that without an ICU stay. The FEV1 and FVC values were significantly lower in the follow-up attack group than those without a follow-up attack. The duration of COPD and the number of attacks that were experienced in the previous year were high. Conclusion: Scoring combining selected biomarkers and other factors is a strong determinant of the prognosis.

Mortality prediction in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease comparing the GOLD 2015 and GOLD 2019 staging: a pooled analysis of individual patient data

In 2019, The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) modified the grading system for patients with COPD, creating 16 subgroups (1A–4D). As part of the COPD Cohorts Collaborative International Assessment (3CIA) initiative, we aim to compare the mortality prediction of the 2015 and 2019 COPD GOLD staging systems.

We studied 17 139 COPD patients from the 3CIA study, selecting those with complete data. Patients were classified by the 2015 and 2019 GOLD ABCD systems, and we compared the predictive ability for 5-year mortality of both classifications.

In total, 17 139 patients with COPD were enrolled in 22 cohorts from 11 countries between 2003 and 2017; 8823 of them had complete data and were analysed. Mean±sd age was 63.9±9.8 years and 62.9% were male. GOLD 2019 classified the patients in milder degrees of COPD. For both classifications, group D had higher mortality. 5-year mortality did not differ between groups B and C in GOLD 2015; in GOLD 2019, mortality was greater for group B than C. Patients classified as group A and B had better sensitivity and positive predictive value with the GOLD 2019 classification than GOLD 2015. GOLD 2015 had better sensitivity for group C and D than GOLD 2019. The area under the curve values for 5-year mortality were only 0.67 (95% CI 0.66–0.68) for GOLD 2015 and 0.65 (95% CI 0.63–0.66) for GOLD 2019.

The new GOLD 2019 classification does not predict mortality better than the previous GOLD 2015 system.

GOLD 2019 staging system created 16 subgroups. GOLD 2015 and GOLD 2019 are not strong predictors of mortality, and do not have sufficient discriminatory power to be used as a tool for risk classification of mortality in patients with COPD.https://bit.ly/3idBuaN

A systematic review and meta-analysis of Liuzijue in stable patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

To investigate the effectiveness of Liuzijue exercise on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the stable phase.

METHODS

We searched six electronic bibliographic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, and Wan Fang Data) from inception to August 2018. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were included if they evaluated the effect of Liuzijue exercise on stable COPD. Cochrane Collaboration risk-of-bias tool (Cochrane Handbook 5.1.0) was used to assess the risk of bias of included RCTs. Meta-analysis was performed using the Review Manager software (RevMan V.5.3.5) provided by the Cochrane Collaboration. Outcomes assessed included dyspnea, exercise capacity, lung function, and quality of life.

RESULTS

Fourteen RCTs involving 920 stable COPD patients were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. The control groups received usual care. The average number of training sessions per participant was 9.3 per week, and the average length of these training sessions was 31.6 min per week. Training duration varied from 3 to 12 months. Meta-analysis results showed that Liuzijue exercise can effectively improve patients' Modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale scores (MD = - 0.73, 95% CI: - 1.13 to - 0.33, P < 0.05), 6MWD (MD = 17.78, 95% CI: 7.97 to 27.58, P < 0.05), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) (MD = 0.23, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.38, P < 0.05), the percentage of predicted values of FEV1 (FEV1%pred) (MD = 7.59, 95% CI: 2.92 to 12.26, P < 0.05), FEV1/FVC (Forced vital capacity) ratio (MD = 6.81, 95% CI: 3.22 to 10.40, P < 0.05), Quality of life: St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire total score (MD = - 9.85, 95%CI: - 13.13 to - 6.56, P < 0.05), and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Assessment Test score (MD = - 2.29, 95%CI: - 3.27, - 1.30, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Evidence from meta-analysis suggested that Liuzijue exercise could improve dyspnea, exercise endurance, lung function, and quality of life for stable COPD patients. However, owing to the methodological bias and the placebo effect of Liuzijue exercise, there is a need for further research to confirm these findings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (ID: CRD42019130973 ).

The sputum microbiome, airway inflammation, and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

The sputum microbiome has a potential role in disease phenotyping and risk stratification in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but few large longitudinal cohort studies exist.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to investigate the COPD sputum microbiome and its association with inflammatory phenotypes and mortality.

METHODS

16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing was performed on sputum from 253 clinically stable COPD patients (4-year median follow-up). Samples were classified as Proteobacteria or Firmicutes (phylum level) and Haemophilus or Streptococcus (genus level) dominant. Alpha diversity was measured by using Shannon-Wiener diversity and Berger-Parker dominance indices. Survival was modeled by using Cox proportional hazards regression. A subset of 78 patients had label-free liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry performed, with partial least square discriminant analysis integrating clinical, microbiome, and proteomics data.

RESULTS

Proteobacteria dominance and lower diversity was associated with more severe COPD according to the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease classification system (P = .0015), more frequent exacerbations (P = .0042), blood eosinophil level less than or equal to 100 cells/μL (P < .0001), and lower FEV₁ (P = .026). Blood eosinophil counts showed a positive relationship with percent of Firmicutes and Streptococcus and a negative association with percent Proteobacteria and Haemophilus. Proteobacteria dominance was associated with increased mortality compared with Firmicutes-dominated or balanced microbiome profiles (hazard ratio = 2.58; 95% CI = 1.43-4.66; P = .0017 and hazard ratio = 7.47; 95% CI = 1.02-54.86; P = .048, respectively). Integrated omics analysis showed significant associations between Proteobacteria dominance and the neutrophil activation pathway in sputum.

CONCLUSION

The sputum microbiome is associated with clinical and inflammatory phenotypes in COPD. Reduced microbiome diversity, associated with Proteobacteria (predominantly Haemophilus) dominance, is associated with neutrophil-associated protein profiles and an increased risk of mortality.

Impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and dyspnoea on clinical outcomes in ticagrelor treated patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention in the randomized GLOBAL LEADERS trial

Aims

To evaluate long-term safety and efficacy of ticagrelor monotherapy in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) in relation to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) at baseline and the occurrence of dyspnoea reported as adverse event (AE) that may lead to treatment non-adherence.

Methods and results

This is a non-prespecified, post hoc analysis of the randomized GLOBAL LEADERS trial (n = 15 991), comparing the experimental strategy of 23-month ticagrelor monotherapy following 1-month dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after PCI with the reference strategy of 12-month DAPT followed by 12-month aspirin monotherapy. Impact of COPD and dyspnoea AE (as a time-dependent covariate) on clinical outcomes was evaluated up to 2 years. The primary endpoint was a 2-year all-cause mortality or non-fatal, centrally adjudicated, new Q-wave myocardial infarction. The presence of COPD (n = 832) was the strongest clinical predictor of 2-year all-cause mortality after PCI [hazard ratio (HR) 2.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.21–3.66; P adjusted = 0.001] in this cohort (n = 15 991). No differential treatment effects on 2-year clinical outcomes were found in patients with and without COPD (primary endpoint: HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.58–1.35; P = 0.562; P int = 0.952). Overall, at 2 years dyspnoea was reported as an AE in 2101 patients, more frequently among COPD patients, irrespective of treatment allocation (27.2% in experimental arm vs. 14.5% in reference arm, P = 0.001). Its occurrence was not associated with a higher rate of the primary endpoint (P adjusted = 0.640) in the experimental vs. the reference arm.

Conclusion

In this exploratory analysis, COPD negatively impacted long-term prognosis after PCI. Despite higher incidence of dyspnoea in the experimental arm, in particular among COPD patients, the safety of the experimental treatment strategy appeared not to be affected.

Clinical trial registration unique identifier

NCT01813435.

Prevalence and prognostic ability of the GOLD 2017 classification compared to the GOLD 2011 classification in a Norwegian COPD cohort

Rationale

The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2017 is based on an ABCD assessment tool of symptoms and exacerbation history and grade 1–4 of airflow limitation severity, facilitating classification either into 4 groups (ABCD) or 16 groups (1A-4D). We aimed to compare the GOLD 2011, GOLD 2017 ABCD, and GOLD 2017 1A-4D classifications in terms of their distribution and prediction of mortality and hospitalizations.

Methods

In the GenKOLS study, 912 COPD patients with FEV1 less than 80% of the predicted answered questionnaires and performed lung function testing in 2003–2005. The patients were recruited from a hospital patient registry (n=662) and from the general population (n=250), followed up until 2011 with respect to all-cause and respiratory mortality, and all-cause and respiratory hospitalizations. We performed logistic regression and receiver operating curve (ROC) analyses for the different classifications with estimations of area under the curve (AUC) for comparisons.

Results

Mean age at baseline was 60 years (SD 11), 55% were male. Mean duration of follow-up was 91 months. By GOLD 2011, 21% were classified as group A, 29% group B, 6% group C, and 43% as group D, corresponding percentages for GOLD 2017 were: 25%, 52%, 3%, and 20%. The GOLD 2011 classification had higher AUC values than the GOLD 2017 group ABCD classification for respiratory mortality and hospitalization, but after inclusion of airflow limitation severity in GOLD 2017 groups 2A–4D, AUC values were significantly higher with GOLD 2017.

Conclusion

In a clinically relevant sample of COPD patients, the GOLD 2017 classification doubles the prevalence of group B and halves the prevalence of groups C and D as compared to the GOLD 2011 classification. The prediction of respiratory mortality and respiratory hospitalization was better for GOLD 2017 2A–4D taking airflow limitation severity into account, as compared to GOLD 2017 ABCD and GOLD 2011.