Age-dependent changes of gender disparities in nasopharyngeal carcinoma survival

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma from 1990 to 2021

BACKGROUND

This study analyzes nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) from 1990 to 2021 across 204 countries, focusing on prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). It examines gender disparities, regional variations, age dynamics, and temporal trends to provide insights for health policy and resource allocation.

METHODS

We used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) approach to assess NPC's health burden, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs. Trends from 1990 to 2021 were illustrated using estimated annual percent change (EAPC). Subgroup analysis revealed variations by gender, age, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), GBD classification, and country. Age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models predicted future trends.

RESULTS

In 2021, there were 118,878 new NPC cases globally (1.38 per 100,000), with a prevalence of 525,219 cases (6.14 per 100,000), 75,359 deaths (0.87 per 100,000), and 249,019 DALYs (28.91 per 100,000). Males had higher rates across all metrics. Incidence peaked at ages 50-54, mortality at 70-74, and DALYs at 50-54. High SDI regions, especially East and Southeast Asia, showed higher burdens. Despite decreasing age-standardized incidence rates, absolute cases are rising, necessitating improved prevention and treatment strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

NPC prevalence has increased due to better diagnosis and aging populations, despite decreasing age-adjusted incidence rates. Lower mortality rates indicate improved treatment. Males, especially in East and Southeast Asia, bear a higher NPC burden. These findings highlight the need for targeted interventions and tailored public health policies in high-risk regions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III Laryngoscope, 2024.

Global, regional, and national epidemiology of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in middle-aged and elderly patients from 1990 to 2021

BACKGROUND

In recent years, changes in the incidence and mortality rates of nasopharyngeal carcinoma have occurred globally, across various regions, and among different countries. As a high incidence group, it is necessary to study the prevalence trend of middle-aged and elderly people.

METHODS

Detailed information on NPC in middle-aged and elderly patients from 1990 to 2021 was collected from the Global Burden of Disease Database 2021 (GBD2021). Adopted incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), sociodemographic index (SDI) and corresponding Estimated Annual Percentage Changes (EAPCs) to assess the burden of NPC in middle-aged and elderly patients. Additionally, a global risk attribution analysis was conducted, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was applied to project the global burden of NPC in middle-aged and elderly patients from 2021 to 2035.

FINDINGS

Globally, the incidence cases of NPC in middle-aged and elderly people increased by 58.2 %, the numbers of death increased by 33.8 %, and the DALY increased by 42.1 %. However, the EAPCs values and upper limits in incidence, mortality and DALY rates were all less than 0, indicating a decreasing trend of incidence, mortality and disease burden. Both incidence and mortality rates were decreasing in high-incidence territories. Most regions were negatively correlated with the sociodemographic index. Males had obviously higher incidence and mortality of NPC in middle-aged and elderly patients than females. The highest incidences of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in middle-aged and elderly males were in the 65-69 age group, and the incidences in females did not change much among different age groups. We found that Alcohol use, Occupational risk and Tobacco were the major risk factors for NPC-related mortality in middle-aged and elderly patients.

CONCLUSION

Controllable etiology should be effectively controlled in the future.

DATA AVAILABILITY

The data sets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are available in the GBD repository (https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/). Data will be made available on request.

Nasopharynx Cancer in the United States: Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Stage at Presentation

INTRODUCTION

Although nasopharynx cancer (NPC) is rare in the United States, global epidemiology varies greatly. Therefore, understanding NPC disparities in the diverse US setting is critical.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Data from the National Cancer Database (NCDB, 2004-2021) identified patients with NPC; NCDB allows disaggregation by Asian American (AA) subgroups. Multivariable ordinal logistic regression adjusting for demographic and socioeconomic factors defined adjusted odds ratios (aORs).

RESULTS

Of 15,862 patients, 11,173 (70.4%) were male (median age 59). Commonest groups included 10,034 (63.3%) White, 2,272 (14.3%) Black, 1,103 (7.0%) Chinese, 442 (2.8%) Filipino, and 338 (2.1%) Vietnamese patients. Prior to disaggregation, the proportion of stage IV disease at presentation was 43.2% among White (ref), 50.0% among Black (aOR 1.12, p = 0.012), 52.0% among Native American (aOR 1.18, p > 0.05), 41.9% among AA (aOR 0.97, p > 0.05), and 55.1% among Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander patients (aOR 1.47, p = 0.021). Upon disaggregation, the proportion of stage IV disease was the greatest (>50%) among Black (50.0%, aOR 1.12, p = 0.012), Laotian (61.5%, aOR 2.21, p = 0.001), Hmong (73.2%, aOR 2.92, p < 0.001), and Other Pacific Islander patients (60.9%, aOR 1.83, p = 0.004); 44.2% of Filipino patients also presented with stage IV disease (aOR 1.21, p = 0.033). Odds of presenting with advanced stage disease were lower among Chinese patients (35.7% stage IV, aOR 0.72, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Although most NPC patients were Chinese, White, or Black, stage IV disease at presentation was most common among Hmong, Laotian, non-Hawaiian Pacific Islander, and Black patients. Efforts are needed to improve awareness of NPC among less canonically affected groups.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 4 Laryngoscope, 2024.

Gender-Specific Survival of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in Endemic and Non-Endemic Areas Based on the US SEER Database and a Chinese Single-Institutional Registry

Purpose

To investigate the prognostic implications of gender in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) utilizing data from two independent cohorts: the Xiamen (XM)-NPC cohort (an endemic area in China) and the United States Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-NPC cohort (a non-endemic area).

Methods

We included patients diagnosed with NPC from both the XM-NPC and SEER-NPC cohorts. Statistical analysis involved the chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

Results

The study identified 728 patients in the XM-NPC cohort and 2237 in the SEER cohort. In the XM-NPC cohort, 515 (70.7%) were male and 213 (29.3%) were female. In the SEER-NPC cohort, 1597 (71.4%) were male and 640 (28.6%) were female. The male-to-female ratio peaked at ≤25 years (2.33) and 46-55 years (2.79) in the XM-NPC cohort, and at ≤25 years (2.07) and 56-65 years (3.24) in the SEER-NPC cohort. The lowest ratios were observed among patients aged 26-35 years in both cohorts (XM-NPC: 1.64; SEER-NPC:1.38). In the XM-NPC cohort, females had significantly better overall survival (P=0.022) and distant metastasis-free survival (P=0.038) compared to males. Similarly, in the SEER-NPC cohort, gender was found to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival, with females showing better outcomes (P=0.038). Consistent trends were observed in patients aged >45 years in both cohorts, while survival outcomes were comparable between genders in patients aged ≤45 years.

Conclusion

Gender independently influences survival outcomes of NPC in both endemic and non-endemic areas.

Carcinogenic formaldehyde in U.S. residential buildings: Mass inventories, human health impacts, and associated healthcare costs

Formaldehyde, a human carcinogen, is formulated into building materials in the U.S. and worldwide. We used literature information and mass balances to obtain order-of-magnitude estimates of formaldehyde inventories in U.S. residential buildings as well as associated exposures, excess morbidity, and healthcare costs along with other economic ramifications. Use of formaldehyde in building materials dates to the 1940s and continues today unabated, despite its international classification in 2004 as a human carcinogen. Global production of formaldehyde was about 32 million metric tons (MMT) in 2006. In the U.S., 5.7 ± 0.05 to 7.4 ± 0.125 MMT of formaldehyde were produced annually from 2006 to 2022, with 65 ± 5 % of this mass (3.7 ± 0.03 to 4.8 ± 0.08 MMT) entering building materials. For a typical U.S. residential building constructed in 2022, we determined an average total mass of formaldehyde containing chemicals of 48.2 ± 10.1 kg, equivalent to 207 ± 40 g of neat formaldehyde per housing unit. When extrapolated to the entire U.S. housing stock, this equates to 29,800 ± 5760 metric tons of neat formaldehyde. If the health threshold in indoor air of 0.1 mg/m3 is never surpassed in a residential building, safe venting of embedded formaldehyde would take years. Using reported indoor air exceedances, up to 645 ± 33 excess cancer cases may occur U.S. nationwide annually generating up to US$65 M in cancer treatment costs alone, not counting ~16,000 ± 1000 disability adjusted life-years. Other documents showed health effects of formaldehyde exist, but could not be quantified reliably, including sick building syndrome outcomes such as headache, asthma, and various respiratory illnesses. Opportunities to improve indoor air exposure assessments are discussed with special emphasis on monitoring of building wastewater. Safer alternatives to formaldehyde in building products exist and are recommended for future use.

Advancing precise diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma through endoscopy-based radiomics analysis

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has high metastatic potential and is hard to detect early. This study aims to develop a deep learning model for NPC diagnosis using optical imagery. From April 2008 to May 2021, we analyzed 12,087 nasopharyngeal endoscopic images and 309 videos from 1,108 patients. The pretrained model was fine-tuned with stochastic gradient descent on the final layers. Data augmentation was applied during training. Videos were converted to images for malignancy scoring. Performance metrics like AUC, accuracy, and sensitivity were calculated based on the malignancy score. The deep learning model demonstrated high performance in identifying NPC, with AUC values of 0.981 (95% confidence of interval [CI] 0.965-0.996) for the Fujian Cancer Hospital dataset and 0.937 (0.905-0.970) for the Jiangxi Cancer Hospital dataset. The proposed model effectively diagnoses NPC with high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity across multiple datasets. It shows promise for early NPC detection, especially in identifying latent lesions.

Circulating mRNA Expression of VEGF, PTEN, and SOCS1 as Potential Prognostic Predictor for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Progression

BACKGROUND

The molecular mechanisms underlying nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) progression remain poorly understood. In particular, the roles of circulating mRNAs encoding key regulatory proteins have yet to be explored. This study aimed to identify NPC-associated expression signatures of circulating VEGF, PTEN, and SOCS1 mRNAs and their potential as biomarkers.

METHODS

A case-control study was conducted comprising 160 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients and 80 controls, from whom peripheral blood samples. Total RNA was extracted and the levels of VEGF, PTEN, and SOCS1 mRNAs were quantified using reverse transcription quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR). Relative expression was calculated using the 2-ΔΔCt method. Bioinformatic analyses, including GeneMANIA, Gene Ontology (GO), and KEGG pathway analysis, were performed to predict the functional roles and interactions of these mRNAs.

RESULTS

We identified significantly increased circulating VEGF mRNA in lymph node metastases (1.66-fold, p<0.05) and elevated SOCS1 mRNA in late-stage NPC (20-fold, p<0.05). PTEN mRNA was reduced 4.26-fold in NPC patients. These data suggest that circulating VEGF, PTEN, and SOCS1 mRNAs represent signatures of NPC progression and can potentially be biomarkers. Network analyses implicate these mRNAs in mechanisms enabling NPC pathogenesis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study reveals NPC-associated expression changes of circulating VEGF, PTEN, and SOCS1 mRNAs. These molecular signatures may serve as biomarkers during NPC progression and provide insights into underlying mechanisms. Further validation of their utility as prognostic indicators of NPC is warranted.

Nomogram model of survival prediction for nasopharyngeal carcinoma with lung metastasis: developed from the SEER database and validated externally

Objective

Distant metastasis occurs in some patients at the first diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), the prognosis is poor, and there are significant individual differences. This study established a nomogram model of lung metastasis of NPC as a supplement to TNM staging.

Methods

The training cohort is used to build the nomogram model, and the validation cohort is used to evaluate the model. The training cohort of 177 patients is from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Factors affecting overall survival (OS) in patients with lung metastasis of NPC analysis by Cox regression analysis and then a nomogram were established. 122 patients from the Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Guangxi Medical University were selected as the external validation cohort. The concordance index (C-index), the area under the curve (AUC), and the calibration curve were used to assess the accuracy of the nomogram and used the decision curve analysis (DCA) curve to measure the clinical benefit capacity of the model. The patients were separated into two groups with different risks, and the "Kaplan-Meier (KM)" survival analysis was used to evaluate the differentiation ability of the model.

Results

Age, T-stage, radiation, chemotherapy, and brain metastases can affect the OS in NPC with lung metastasis. A nomogram was developed according to the above five factors. The C-index of the training cohort and the validation cohort were 0.726 (95% CI: 0.692-0.760) and 0.762 (95% CI: 0.733-0.791). The AUC of the nomogram was better than that of the TNM staging. In the training cohort, the nomogram predicted OS AUC values of 0.767, 0.746, and 0.750 at 1, 2, and 3 years, TNM stage of 0.574, 0.596, and 0.640. In the validation cohort, nomogram predictions of OS AUC values of 0.817, 0.857, and 0.791 for 1, 2, and 3 years, TNM stage of 0.575, 0.612, and 0.663. DCA curves suggest that nomogram have better clinical net benefits than TNM staging. The KM survival analysis shows that the nomogram has a reasonable risk stratification ability.

Conclusion

This study successfully established a nomogram model of NPC lung metastasis, which can be used as a supplement to TNM staging and provide reference for clinicians.

Impact of adaptive radiotherapy on survival in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

To investigate the clinical significance of adaptive radiotherapy (ART) in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Eligible patients were treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy using IMRT. Planning computed tomography in ART was performed during radiotherapy, and replanning was performed. Since ART was started in May 2011 (ART group), patients who were treated without ART up to April 2011 (non-ART group) were used as the historical control. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate overall survival (OS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS). LRFS for the primary tumor (LRFS_P) and regional lymph node (LRFS_LN) were also studied for more detailed analysis. Statistical significance was evaluated using the log-rank test for survival.

RESULTS

The ART group tended to have higher radiation doses. The median follow-up period was 127 months (range, 10 to 211 months) in the non-ART group and 61.5 months (range, 5 to 129 months) in the ART group. Compared to the non-ART group, the ART group showed significantly higher 5-year PFS (53.8% vs. 81.3%, p = 0.015) and LRFS (61.2% vs. 85.3%, p = 0.024), but not OS (80.7% vs. 80.8%, p = 0.941) and DMFS (84.6% vs. 92.7%, p = 0.255). Five-year LRFS_P was higher in the ART group (61.3% vs. 90.6%, p = 0.005), but LRFS_LN did not show a significant difference (91.9% vs. 96.2%, p = 0.541).

CONCLUSION

Although there were differences in the patient backgrounds between the two groups, this study suggests the potential effectiveness of ART in improving locoregional control, especially in the primary tumor.

Targeting the crosstalk of epigenetic modifications and immune evasion in nasopharyngeal cancer

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a distinct type of head and neck cancer that is highly associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. EBV acts as an epigenetic driver in NPC tumorigenesis, reprogramming the viral and host epigenomes to regulate viral latent gene expression, and creating an environment conducive to the malignant transformation of nasopharyngeal epithelial cells. Targeting epigenetic mechanisms in pre-clinical studies has been shown promise in eradicating tumours and overcoming immune resistance in some solid tumours. However, its efficacy in NPC remains inclusive due to the complex nature of this cancer. In this review, we provide an updated understanding of the roles of epigenetic factors in regulating EBV latent gene expression and promoting NPC progression. We also explore the crosstalk between epigenetic mechanisms and immune evasion in NPC. Particularly, we discuss the potential roles of DNA methyltransferase (DNMT) and histone deacetylase (HDAC) inhibitors in reversing immune suppression and augmenting antitumour immunity. Furthermore, we highlight the advantages of combining epigenetic therapy and immune checkpoint inhibitor to reverse immune resistance and improve clinical outcomes. Epigenetic drugs have the potential to modulate both epigenetic mediators and immune factors involved in NPC. However, further research is needed to fully comprehend the diverse range of epigenetic modifications in NPC. A deeper understanding of the crosstalk between epigenetic mechanisms and immune evasion during NPC progression is crucial for the development of more effective treatments for this challenging disease.

Impact of sex on treatment-related adverse effects and prognosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC), women have a lower incidence and mortality rate than men. Whether sex influences the prognosis of NPC patients remains debatable. We retrospectively examined the influence of sex on treatment-related side effects and prognosis in NPC.

METHODS

Clinical data of 1,462 patients with NPC treated at the Southern Hospital of Southern Medical University from January 2004 to December 2015 were retrospectively examined. Statistical analysis was performed to assess differences in overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), local recurrence-free survival(LRFS), and progression-free survival(PFS), as well as treatment-related adverse effects, including myelosuppression, gastrointestinal responses, and radiation pharyngitis and dermatitis, between men and women.

RESULTS

Women had better 5-year OS (81.5% vs. 87.1%, P = 0.032) and DMFS (76.2% vs. 83.9%, P = 0.004) than men. Analysis by age showed that the prognoses of premenopausal and menopausal women were better than those of men, whereas prognoses of postmenopausal women and men were not significantly different. Additionally, women had a better prognosis when stratified by treatment regimen. Furthermore, chemotherapy-related adverse effects were more severe in women than in men; however, the incidences of radiation laryngitis and dermatitis were not significantly different between the sexes. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the female sex was an independent risk factor for severe myelosuppression and gastrointestinal reactions.

CONCLUSIONS

Chemotherapy-related side effects are more severe but the overall prognosis is better in women with NPC than in men with NPC. Patients may benefit from a personalized treatment approach for NPC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Nanfang Hospital of the Southern Medical University (NFEC-201,710-K3).

Nutritional status and its correlation to prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in different ages in China: a multicenter cohort study

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients usually presented malnutrition under chemoradiotherapy (CRT)/radiotherapy (RT). Few studies stratified by age to investigate the association of nutritional status with overall survival (OS) in NPC patients. This study aimed to explore the nutritional parameters related prognosis of NPC patients in different age. The total 1365 NPC patients were classified into young (18~45), middle-aged (46~60), and old groups (> 60). PG-SGA scores, NRS-2002 scores, Karnofsky performance status scores, anthropometric, and blood indicators (albumin, prealbumin, transferrin, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, and total lymphocyte) were assessed. Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between risk factors of nutritional status and the overall survival in different age group of NPC patients. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis was used to estimate the effect of nutritional indexes on prognosis. The abnormal rate of albumin, prealbumin, hemoglobin, hand grip strength, and calf circumference increased with age. The malnutrition occurred in all age group and low calf circumference (HR, 4.427, 1.167-16.791) was an independent death risk in young adults. Distant metastasis (HR, 4.754, 2.737-8.260), low albumin (HR, 3.530, 1.708-7.296), hand grip strength (HR, 1.901, 1.160-3.115), and the nutritional intervention requirement (NRS-2002 ≥ 3) (HR, 2.802, 1.211-6.483) was significantly correlated with poor OS in NPC patients with middled age adults. Distant metastasis (HR, 2.546, 1.497-4.330), low albumin (HR, 1.824, 0.949-3.507), low hemoglobin (HR, 1.757, 1.015-3.044), low hand grip strength (HR, 1.771, 1.112-2.818), and low calf circumference (HR, 1.951, 1.074-3.545) were associated with increased risk of death in the elderly. KM analysis indicated that over 60 years, distant metastasis, low albumin, low hand grip strength, low calf circumference, and malnutritional risk (NRS-2002 ≥ 3) were correlated to prognosis of NPC patients. Low calf circumference could be a prognosis not only in elderly but also in young adults of NPC patients, whereas low albumin and distant metastasis were the prognostic factors in middle-aged and elderly patients. Patients aged over 60 years exhibited poorer OS compared with young and middle-aged adults.

Machine learning explainability in nasopharyngeal cancer survival using LIME and SHAP

Nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) has a unique histopathology compared with other head and neck cancers. Individual NPC patients may attain different outcomes. This study aims to build a prognostic system by combining a highly accurate machine learning model (ML) model with explainable artificial intelligence to stratify NPC patients into low and high chance of survival groups. Explainability is provided using Local Interpretable Model Agnostic Explanations (LIME) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) techniques. A total of 1094 NPC patients were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for model training and internal validation. We combined five different ML algorithms to form a uniquely stacked algorithm. The predictive performance of the stacked algorithm was compared with a state-of-the-art algorithm-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to stratify the NPC patients into chance of survival groups. We validated our model with temporal validation (n = 547) and geographic external validation (Helsinki University Hospital NPC cohort, n = 60). The developed stacked predictive ML model showed an accuracy of 85.9% while the XGBoost had 84.5% after the training and testing phases. This demonstrated that both XGBoost and the stacked model showed comparable performance. External geographic validation of XGBoost model showed a c-index of 0.74, accuracy of 76.7%, and area under curve of 0.76. The SHAP technique revealed that age of the patient at diagnosis, T-stage, ethnicity, M-stage, marital status, and grade were among the prominent input variables in decreasing order of significance for the overall survival of NPC patients. LIME showed the degree of reliability of the prediction made by the model. In addition, both techniques showed how each feature contributed to the prediction made by the model. LIME and SHAP techniques provided personalized protective and risk factors for each NPC patient and unraveled some novel non-linear relationships between input features and survival chance. The examined ML approach showed the ability to predict the chance of overall survival of NPC patients. This is important for effective treatment planning care and informed clinical decisions. To enhance outcome results, including survival in NPC, ML may aid in planning individualized therapy for this patient population.

An Individualized Prognostic Model in Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serum Metabolomic Profiling

PURPOSE

This study aims to evaluate the value of a serum metabolomics-based metabolic signature for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) patients, thereby assisting clinical decisions.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, a total of 320 LA-NPC patients were randomly divided into a training set (ca. 70%; n = 224) and a validation set (ca. 30%; n = 96). Serum samples were analyzed using widely targeted metabolomics. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify candidate metabolites related to progression-free survival (PFS). Patients were categorized into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the median metabolic risk score (Met score), and the PFS difference between the two groups was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves. The predictive performance of the metabolic signature was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index) and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and a comprehensive nomogram was constructed using the Met score and other clinical factors.

RESULTS

Nine metabolites were screened to build the metabolic signature and generate the Met score, which effectively separated patients into low- and high-risk groups. The C-index in the training and validation sets was 0.71 and 0.73, respectively. The 5-year PFS was 53.7% (95% CI, 45.12-63.86) in the high-risk group and 83.0% (95%CI, 76.31-90.26) in the low-risk group. During the construction of the nomogram, Met score, clinical stage, pre-treatment EBV DNA level, and gender were identified as independent prognostic factors for PFS. The predictive performance of the comprehensive model was better than that of the traditional model.

CONCLUSION

The metabolic signature developed through serum metabolomics is a reliable prognostic indicator of PFS in LA-NPC patients and has important clinical significance.

Age-Related Sex Disparities in Esophageal Cancer Survival: A Population-Based Study in the United States

Background

The association between sex and the survival of patients with esophageal cancer (EC) remains controversial. We sought to systematically investigate sex-based disparities in EC survival using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry data from the United States.

Methods

Patients with EC diagnosed from 2004 to 2015 registered in the SEER database were selected. The association between sex and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was evaluated using survival analysis. The Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) approach was applied to reduce the observed bias between males and females. Subgroup analyses were used to investigate the robustness of the sex-based disparity and to explore potential interaction effects with other variables.

Results

Overall, 29,312 eligible EC patients were analyzed, of whom 5,781 were females, and 23,531 were males. Females had higher crude CSS compared to males (10-year CSS: 24.5 vs. 21.3%; P < 0.001). Similar results were obtained after adjusting for selection bias using the IPW approach and multivariate regression. Subgroup analyses confirmed the relative robustness of sex as a prognostic factor. However, significant interactions were observed between sex and other variables, such as age, race, tumor grade, histology, and treatment modality. In particular, there was no survival advantage for premenopausal females compared to their male counterparts, but the association between sex and EC survival was prominent in 46-55-year-old patients.

Conclusions

Female EC patients had better long-term survival than males. The association between sex and EC survival vary according to age, race, tumor grade, histology, and treatment modality. Sex-based disparity in EC-specific survival was age-related in the United States population.

Platelet to Lymphocytes Ratio to Predict Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Progressivity

BACKGROUND: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a head and neck cancer that arises from the nasopharyngeal epithelium. It is one of the most common malignancies in Southeast Asia. In 2020, there were 133,354 new cases of NPC worldwide, with 113,659 occurring on the Asian continent (85.2%). In Indonesia, the prevalence of NPC is 6.2/100,000 people, with 13,000 new cases each year. NPC was the most frequent head and neck cancer in the Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery Department Dr. Hasan Sadikin Hospital Bandung from 2013 to 2018, with 921 (35.20%) new cases. AIM: Platelet-to-lymphocyte-ratio (PLR) testing has the potential to be employed as a prognostic marker in the evaluation of NPC. The purpose of this study is to investigate the link between PLR and the clinical stage of NPC. METHODS: Between 2016 and 2020, a cross-sectional study was conducted on NPC patients at Hasan Sadikin Hospital in Bandung. Patient information was gathered from the registry of the Oncology Head and Neck Surgery Study Group. Three hundred and eighty-three people met the requirements for inclusion. RESULTS: Lymph node metastases (p = 0.001), distant metastases (p = 0.001), and clinical stage (p < 0.001) are all classified differently by PLR. The platelet to lymphocytes ratio was linked to lymph node metastasis, distant metastases, and clinical stage in a statistically significant (p < 0.05). Patients with a PLR >287 have a 3.69 times chance of developing distant metastases, while those with a PLR >160 have a 1.38 times chance of progressing to the advanced stage. CONCLUSION: PLR is linked to the nasopharyngeal cancer clinical stage. Furthermore, in NPC patients, PLR can predict advanced stage and distant metastases.

Sex Differences in the Prevalence of Head and Neck Cancers: A 10-Year Follow-Up Study of 10 Million Healthy People

Background: Descriptive epidemiologists have repeatedly reported that males are more susceptible to head and neck cancers. However, most published data are those of cross-sectional studies, and no population-based cohort study has yet been published. The aim of this study was to compare the prevalence of head and neck cancers in healthy males with females. Methods: A retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database on 9,598,085 individuals who underwent regular health checkups from 1 January to 31 December 2009. We sought head and neck cancers developed during the 10-year follow-up. Results: A total of 10,732 (incidence rate (IR) per 1000 person-years 0.25) individuals were newly diagnosed with head and neck cancer among the 9,598,085 individuals during the 10-year follow-up. The IR was 0.19 in males (8500 affected) and 0.06 in females (2232 affected). Notably, the male−female ratio increased with age below 70 years but decreased thereafter. The male−female difference was most apparent for laryngeal cancer; the male IR was 11-fold higher in the 40 s and 20-fold higher in the 60 s, followed by hypopharyngeal cancer (6.8- and 24.2-fold). Males smoked more and drank more alcohol than females (p < 0.0001 *, p < 0.0001 *). When never-smokers/-drinkers (only) were compared, males remained at a 2.9-fold higher risk of head and neck cancer than females. The hazard ratios for head and neck cancers in males tended to increase in the lower part of the upper aerodigestive tract: larynx (13.9) > hypopharynx (10.9) > oropharynx (4.4) > nasopharynx (2.9) > sinonasal region (1.8) > oral (1.6). Only the salivary gland cancer incidence did not differ between the sexes; the gland is not in the upper aerodigestive tract. Conclusion: Males are much more susceptible to head and neck cancers than females regardless of whether they drink alcohol or smoke tobacco. Sex differences in the incidence of head and neck cancer are most evident in the 60 s in the lower part of the upper aerodigestive tract, such as the larynx and hypopharynx.