American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system does not accurately predict survival in patients receiving multimodality therapy for esophageal adenocarcinoma

Tenascin-C as a potential biomarker and therapeutic target for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

To establish a prognostic model of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients based on tenascin-C (TNC) expression level and clinicopathological characteristics, and to explore the therapeutic potential of TNC inhibition.

METHODS

The expression of TNC was detected using immunohistochemistry (IHC) in 326 ESCC specimens and 50 normal esophageal tissues. Prognostic factors were determined by Cox regression analyses and were incorporated to establish the nomogram. The effects of TNC knockdown on ESCC cells were assessed in vitro and in vivo. Transcriptome sequencing (RNA-seq) and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were performed to reveal signaling pathways regulated by TNC knockdown. The therapeutic significance of TNC knockdown combined with small-molecule inhibitors on cell proliferation was examined.

RESULTS

TNC protein was highly expressed in 48.77 % of ESCC tissues compared to only 2 % in normal esophageal epithelia (p < 0.001). The established nomogram model, based on TNC expression, pT stage, and lymph node metastasis, showed good performance on prognosis evaluation. More importantly, the reduction of TNC expression inhibited tumor cell proliferation and xenograft growth, and mainly down-regulated signaling pathways involved in tumor growth, hypoxia signaling transduction, metabolism, infection, etc. Knockdown of TNC enhanced the inhibitory effect of inhibitors targeting ErbB, PI3K-Akt, Ras and MAPK signaling pathways.

CONCLUSION

The established nomogram may be a promising model for survival prediction in ESCC. Reducing TNC expression enhanced the sensitivity of ESCC cells to inhibitors of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) and downstream signaling pathways, providing a novel combination therapy strategy.

Prognostic role of pathologic status other than complete response after neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This retrospective study was performed to investigate the survival differences according to the pathologic status after neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and to investigate whether current AJCC 8th ypStage can predict survival accurately.

METHODS

Data of 563 patients who received neoadjuvant therapy and esophagectomy for ESCC between 1994 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

The mean age was 62.00 ± 8.01 years, of which 524 (93.1%) were males. The median follow-up period was 29.12 months. A total of 153 (27.1%) patients showed pathologic complete response (pCR) and 92 (16.3%) patients showed pCR of the primary lesion with residual metastatic lymph nodes (ypT0N +). A total of 196 (35%) and 122 (21.6%) patients showed ypT + N + and ypT + N, respectively. The 5-year overall survival (OS) of each group was 75.1% (CR), 42.4% (ypT + N0), 54.9% (ypT0N +), and 26.1% (ypT + N +); CR patients showed better survival than the other groups, and no survival differences were found in the 5-year OS between ypT + N0 and ypT0N + patients (p = 0.811). In ypStage I, there were survival differences between ypT0N0 and ypTis-2N0 patients, and ypT1N0 (ypStage I) and ypT0N1 (ypStageIIIA) showed similar OS (5-year OS in 49.3% vs. 67.1%, p = 0.623).

CONCLUSIONS

pCR offers long-term survival in patients; however, survival significantly declines with the presence of residual primary lesion and nodal metastases.

A Prospective Clinical Trial to Evaluate Mesothelin as a Biomarker for the Clinical Management of Patients With Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the utility of serum soluble mesothelin-related peptide (SMRP) and tumor mesothelin expression in the management of esophageal adenocarcinoma (ADC).

BACKGROUND

Clinical management of esophageal ADC is limited by a lack of accurate evaluation of tumor burden, treatment response, and disease recurrence. Our retrospective data showed that tumor mesothelin and its serum correlate, SMRP, are overexpressed and associated with poor outcomes in patients with esophageal ADC.

METHODS

Serum SMRP and tumoral mesothelin expression from 101 patients with locally advanced esophageal ADC were analyzed before induction chemoradiation (pretreatment) and at the time of resection (posttreatment), as a biomarker for treatment response, disease recurrence, and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Pre and posttreatment serum SMRP was ≥1 nM in 49% and 53%, and pre and post-treatment tumor mesothelin expression was >25% in 35% and 46% of patients, respectively. Pretreatment serum SMRP was not significantly associated with tumor stage ( P = 0.9), treatment response (radiologic response, P = 0.4; pathologic response, P = 0.7), or recurrence ( P =0.229). Pretreatment tumor mesothelin expression was associated with OS (hazard ratio: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.14-3.79; P = 0.017) but had no statistically significant association with recurrence ( P = 0.9). Three-year OS of patients with pretreatment tumor mesothelin expression of ≤25% was 78% (95% CI: 68%-89%), compared with 49% (95% CI: 35%-70%) among those with >25%.

CONCLUSIONS

Pretreatment tumor mesothelin expression is prognostic of OS for patients with locally advanced esophageal ADC, whereas serum SMRP is not a reliable biomarker for monitoring treatment response or recurrence.

Induction FOLFOX and PET-Directed Chemoradiation for Locally Advanced Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To compare the efficacy and safety of induction FOLFOX followed by PET-directed nCRT, induction CP followed by PET-directed nCRT, and nCRT with CP alone in patients with EAC.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

nCRT with CP is a standard treatment for locally advanced EAC. The results of cancer and leukemia group B 80803 support the use of induction chemotherapy followed by PET-directed chemo-radiation therapy.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified all patients with EAC who underwent the treatments above followed by esophagectomy. We assessed incidences of pathologic complete response (pCR), near-pCR (ypN0 with ≥90% response), and surgical complications between treatment groups using Fisher exact test and logistic regression; disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and evaluated using the log-rank test and extended Cox regression.

RESULTS

In total, 451 patients were included: 309 (69%) received induction chemotherapy before nCRT (FOLFOX, n = 70; CP, n = 239); 142 (31%) received nCRT with CP. Rates of pCR (33% vs. 16%, P = 0.004), near-pCR (57% vs. 33%, P < 0.001), and 2-year DFS (68% vs. 50%, P = 0.01) were higher in the induction FOLFOX group than in the induction CP group. Similarly, the rate of near-pCR (57% vs. 42%, P = 0.04) and 2-year DFS (68% vs. 44%, P < 0.001) were significantly higher in the FOLFOX group than in the no-induction group.

CONCLUSIONS

Induction FOLFOX followed by PET-directed nCRT may result in better histopathologic response rates and DFS than either induction CP plus PET-directed nCRT or nCRT with CP alone.

The application of radiomics in esophageal cancer: Predicting the response after neoadjuvant therapy

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the fatal malignant neoplasms worldwide. Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) combined with surgery has become the standard treatment for locally advanced EC. However, the treatment efficacy for patients with EC who received NAT varies from patient to patient. Currently, the evaluation of efficacy after NAT for EC lacks accurate and uniform criteria. Radiomics is a multi-parameter quantitative approach for developing medical imaging in the era of precision medicine and has provided a novel view of medical images. As a non-invasive image analysis method, radiomics is an inevitable trend in NAT efficacy prediction and prognosis classification of EC by analyzing the high-throughput imaging features of lesions extracted from medical images. In this literature review, we discuss the definition and workflow of radiomics, the advances in efficacy prediction after NAT, and the current application of radiomics for predicting efficacy after NAT.

Association between microsatellite instability and tumor response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

Purpose

The relationship between microsatellite instability (MSI) and tumor response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in rectal cancer remains unclear. The present study aimed to evaluate the association between MSI and tumor response to nCRT in rectal cancer treatment.

Methods

Patients with rectal cancer from 2 tertiary hospitals who underwent nCRT, followed by radical surgery, were included. The microsatellite status was determined using a PCR-based Bethesda panel. Tumors with a Dworak’s tumor regression grade of 3 or 4 were considered to have a good response. Predictive factors for a good response to nCRT were analyzed.

Results

Of the 1,401 patients included, 910 (65.0%) had MSI results and 1.5% (14 of 910) showed MSI-H. Among all the patients, 519 (37.0%) showed a good response to nCRT. A univariate analysis showed that MSI-H tended to be negatively associated with a good response to nCRT, but no statistical significance was observed (7.1% vs. 24.1%, P = 0.208). Multivariate analysis showed that well-differentiated tumors were the only predictive factor for good response to nCRT (odds ratio [OR], 2.241; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.492–3.364; P < 0.001). MSI status tended to be associated with the response to nCRT (OR, 0.215; 95% CI, 0.027–1.681; P = 0.143).

Conclusion

MSI-H was not associated with response to nCRT in patients with rectal cancer.

Development and validation of a deep learning model to predict survival of patients with esophageal cancer

Objective

To compare the performance of a deep learning survival network with the tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM) staging system in survival prediction and test the reliability of individual treatment recommendations provided by the network.

Methods

In this population-based cohort study, we developed and validated a deep learning survival model using consecutive cases of newly diagnosed stage I to IV esophageal cancer between January 2004 and December 2015 in a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The model was externally validated in an independent cohort from Fujian Provincial Hospital. The C statistic was used to compare the performance of the deep learning survival model and TNM staging system. Two other deep learning risk prediction models were trained for treatment recommendations. A Kaplan–Meier survival curve was used to compare survival between the population that followed the recommended therapy and those who did not.

Results

A total of 9069 patients were included in this study. The deep learning network showed more promising results in predicting esophageal cancer-specific survival than the TNM stage in the internal test dataset (C-index=0.753 vs. 0.638) and external validation dataset (C-index=0.687 vs. 0.643). The population who received the recommended treatments had superior survival compared to those who did not, based on the internal test dataset (hazard ratio, 0.753; 95% CI, 0.556-0.987; P=0.042) and the external validation dataset (hazard ratio, 0.633; 95% CI, 0.459-0.834; P=0.0003).

Conclusion

Deep learning neural networks have potential advantages over traditional linear models in prognostic assessment and treatment recommendations. This novel analytical approach may provide reliable information on individual survival and treatment recommendations for patients with esophageal cancer.

Tumor regression grade combined with lymph node status in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Introduction

We aimed to elucidate the prognostic value of tumor regression grade (TRG) combined with lymph node status compared with the 8th edition of the ypTNM staging system in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

Methods

We enrolled 325 patients with ESCC who underwent nCRT followed by complete resection. We adopted the modified Schneider TRG system, with high (ypT0N0), mid (ypT0N+ or ypT + N0), and low (ypT + N+). After developing a multivariable Cox model, the discrimination ability of the ypStage and TRG systems was evaluated using the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and R² measure.

Results

The mean duration of follow‐up was 56.7 ± 43.3 months. The survival curves between the adjacent groups of TRG were significantly different for both overall survival (OS) and recurrence‐free survival (RFS). However, there were no significant differences between ypStages II and III for OS (p = 0.683) or RFS (p = 0.760). The TRG system also had a discrimination ability in patients with ypStage I (p < 0.001 for both OS and RFS) and ypStage III (p = 0.045 for OS and 0.042 for RFS). Compared with the ypTNM staging system, the modified TRG had a lower AIC value (1835.99 vs. 1852.02) and a higher R² (0.256 vs. 0.177), indicating better discrimination ability and prediction accuracy.

Conclusions

For patients with ESCC who underwent esophagectomy following nCRT, the modified Schneider TRG system may complement the ypStage and help clinicians select the most appropriate postoperative treatment and surveillance.

Can Gastric Cancer Patients with High Mandard Score Benefit from Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy?

A high Mandard score may indicate the tumor is insensitive to chemotherapy. We analyzed tumor regression and lymph node response under different Mandard scores to assess the impact of Mandard score on prognosis. Methods. Mandard scores and ypN stage of postoperative pathological reports were recorded. The results were reviewed by a professional pathologist. The radiologist compared the tumor regression before and after chemotherapy by computed tomography (CT). The survival of all patients was obtained by telephone follow-up. Multivariate Cox regression was used to assess the relationship between overall risk of death and Mandard score, imaging evaluation, and ypN stage. Results. In the Mandard score (4-5) group, the median survival time for PR and ypN0 patients was 68.5 and 76.7 months. While in the Mandard score (1-2) group, the median survival time for PD and ypN3a patients was 15.6 and 14.5 months. Imaging evaluation of tumor regression (PR 68.5 months, SD 27.8 months, and PD 10.2 months) and lymph node remission (ypN0 76.7 months, ypN1 61.6 months, ypN2 18.0 months, ypN3a 18.7 months, and ypN3b 18.3 months) showed improved survival. Mandard score, imaging evaluation, and ypN stage are important prognostic factors affecting prognosis. Conclusion. A high Mandard score does not mean neoadjuvant chemotherapy is ineffective in gastric cancer. Patients with imaging evaluation of tumor regression and ypN stage reduction may benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Grading der Tumorregression gastrointestinaler Karzinome nach neoadjuvanter Therapie

Prä- oder perioperative Chemo- oder Radiochemotherapie und anschließende Resektion ist die Standardtherapie von lokal fortgeschrittenem Ösophagus‑, Magen- und Rektumkarzinom. Eine Tumorregressionsgraduierung (TRG, auch Tumorregressionsgrad) kategorisiert das Ausmaß der regressiven Veränderungen nach neoadjuvanter Behandlung. Für gastrointestinale Karzinome existieren mehrere TRG-Systeme, die sich entweder auf das Ausmaß der therapieinduzierten Fibrose im Verhältnis zum Resttumor oder den geschätzten Anteil des Resttumors im Bereich des ehemaligen Tumorareals beziehen. Ein ideales TRG-System zeigt eine signifikante Interobserverübereinstimmung und bietet relevante prognostische Informationen – in den meisten Fällen ist eine vollständige oder nahezu vollständige Regression nach neoadjuvanter Therapie mit verbesserter Prognose verbunden. In diesem Review werden die am häufigsten verwendeten TRG-Systeme für gastrointestinale Karzinome vorgestellt und diskutiert. Zudem werden aktuelle Punkte wie die Standardisierung der Angabe von TRGs und die Thematik der Regression bei Lymphknotenmetastasen im Kontext eines TRG-Systems behandelt.

Prognostic models for stage I-III esophageal cancer: a comparison between existing calculators

Background

Determining the best approach for esophageal cancer and predicting accurate prognosis are critical. Multiple studies evaluated characteristics associated with overall survival, and several prediction models have been developed. This study aimed to evaluate existing models and perform external validation of selected models.

Methods

A retrospective investigation of a multi-site institutional enterprise for patients with a diagnosis of esophageal cancer between 2013-2014 was performed. Selected survival prediction models included the Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center (RPCCC) calculator, Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU) calculator, and two nomograms published by Shapiro et al. and Sun et al. One-year overall survival, level of agreement, and performance for each model were evaluated.

Results

A total of 104 patients were included and used to assess the prediction models. One-year overall survival was 0.76. Different calculators tended to rank patients similarly; however, they did not agree on predicted overall survival. The least disparity in correlation was observed between OHSU and Shapiro calculators. Shapiro's model achieved the highest performance [area under the curve (AUC) =0.63].

Conclusions

Selected models showed fair results in estimating individual overall survival, although none achieved a high performance. While these tools may support the decision-making process for esophageal cancer patients, their implementation in clinical practice requires improved refinement to optimize their clinical utility.

Role of surgery following neoadjuvant chemoradiation in patients with lymph node positive locally advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma: a national cancer database analysis

Background

Concurrent chemoradiation (CRT) followed by surgery is a standard of care for locally advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma. It remains unclear if surgery following CRT offers any meaningful survival benefit compared to CRT alone in patients with clinical N3 disease who are at the highest risk of developing distant disease relapse.

Methods

We conducted analysis of the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to compare overall survival (OS) of patients with locally advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma (cTanyN1-3M0 based on AJCC 7th staging system) who underwent CRT with or without surgery and analyzed outcomes based on the cN stage.

Results

7,520 patients were included in the analysis-74.7% had cN1 disease, 21.1% had cN2 disease, and 4.3% had cN3 disease. The median OS advantage offered by CRT followed by surgery was 22, 15.8, and 9.6 months compared to CRT alone in cN1, cN2, and cN3 patients, respectively. The 5-year OS estimates in the surgical group were 36.9%, 31.6% and 15.9% in cN1, cN2 and cN3 groups, respectively.

Conclusions

Surgery following CRT in patients with locally advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma leads to improvement in OS, with the largest benefit noted in patients with cN1 and cN2 disease. Surgery following CRT also confers meaningful long-term survival advantage for a subset of cN3 patients.

The Prognostic Impact of Histology in Esophageal and Esophago-Gastric Junction Adenocarcinoma

Stage significantly affects survival of esophageal and esophago-gastric junction adenocarcinomas (EA/EGJAs), however, limited evidence for the prognostic role of histologic subtypes is available. The aim of the study was to describe a morphologic approach to EA/EGJAs and assess its discriminating prognostic power. Histologic slides from 299 neoadjuvant treatment-naïve EA/EGJAs, resected in five European Centers, were retrospectively reviewed. Morphologic features were re-assessed and correlated with survival. In glandular adenocarcinomas (240/299 cases-80%), WHO grade and tumors with a poorly differentiated component ≥6% were the most discriminant factors for survival (both p < 0.0001), distinguishing glandular well-differentiated from poorly differentiated adenocarcinomas. Two prognostically different histologic groups were identified: the lower risk group, comprising glandular well-differentiated (34.4%) and rare variants, such as mucinous muconodular carcinoma (2.7%) and diffuse desmoplastic carcinoma (1.7%), versus the higher risk group, comprising the glandular poorly differentiated subtype (45.8%), including invasive mucinous carcinoma (5.7%), diffuse anaplastic carcinoma (3%), mixed carcinoma (6.7%) (CSS p < 0.0001, DFS p = 0.001). Stage (p < 0.0001), histologic groups (p = 0.001), age >72 years (p = 0.008), and vascular invasion (p = 0.015) were prognostically significant in the multivariate analysis. The combined evaluation of stage/histologic group identified 5-year cancer-specific survival ranging from 87.6% (stage II, lower risk) to 14% (stage IVA, higher risk). Detailed characterization of histologic subtypes contributes to EA/EGJA prognostic prediction.

Pathological complete response after neoadjuvant treatment determines survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients (NEOCRTEC5010)

BACKGROUND

Few studies have exclusively investigated the value of pathological complete response (pCR), in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients, although it is a clinically significant parameter to evaluate the impact of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) on treatment outcome after surgery. The aim of our study was to explore the relationship between pCR after nCRT and survival among patients with local ESCC.

METHODS

All patients receiving nCRT followed by surgery in NEOCRTEC5010-trial (NCT01216527) were included. Non-pCR patients were classified into three subgroups: ypTanyN0M0, ypT0NanyM0 and ypTanyNanyM0. The Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was employed to evaluate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Multivariate regression analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model to identify clinicopathological parameters associated with pCR.

RESULTS

Among the 185 patients included, 80 (43.2%) achieved pCR after nCRT. The mean survival time of the pCR group was significantly longer than that of the non-pCR group (92.6 vs. 69.2 months; HR, 2.70; 95% CI: 1.48-4.92; P=0.001). The 5-year OS and DFS of the pCR group were 79.3% and 77% respectively, compared to 54.8% and 51.2%, respectively, in the non-pCR group. The results showed that the OS and DFS of the ypTanyN0M0 group were better than those of the ypT0NanyM0 group and the ypTanyNanyM0 group. We also found that the number of dissected lymph nodes and pCR were independent risk factors for DFS and OS rates.

CONCLUSIONS

pCR after nCRT is an important prognostic indicator of OS and DFS in patients with ESCC. In addition, lymph-node status could represent an important parameter in the prognostic evaluation of esophageal cancer patients.

Prognostic significance of viable tumor size measurement in hepatocellular carcinomas after preoperative locoregional treatment

Background

Preoperative locoregional treatment (LRT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often induces intratumoral necrosis without affecting the overall tumor size, and residual viable tumor size (VTS) on imaging is an important clinical parameter for assessing post-treatment response. However, for surgical specimens, it is unclear whether the VTS would be more relevant to prognosis compared to total tumor size (TTS).

Methods

A total of 142 surgically resected solitary HCC cases were retrospectively reviewed. The TTS and VTS were assessed by applying the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors method to the resected specimens, and correlated with the clinicopathological features and survival.

Results

As applying VTS, 13/142 cases (9.2%) were down-staged to ypT1a. Although the survival analysis results for overall survival according to TTS or VTS were similar, VTS was superior to predict disease-free survival (DFS; p = .023) compared to TTS (p = .08). In addition, multivariate analysis demonstrated VTS > 2 cm to be an independent predictive factor for decreased DFS (p = .001). In the subpopulation of patients with LRT (n = 54), DFS in HCCs with TTS or VTS > 2 cm were significantly shorter than those with TTS or VTS ≤ 2 cm (p = .047 and p = .001, respectively). Interestingly, HCCs with TTS > 2 cm but down-staged to VTS ≤ 2 cm after preoperative LRT had similar survival to those with TTS ≤ 2 cm.

Conclusions

Although the prognostic impact of tumor size was similar regardless of whether TTS or VTS was applied, reporting VTS may help to increase the number of candidates for surgery in HCC patients with preoperative LRT.

Combining gene expression signature with clinical features for survival stratification of gastric cancer

The AJCC staging system is considered as the golden standard in clinical practice. However, it remains some pitfalls in assessing the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) patients with similar clinicopathological characteristics. We aim to develop a new clinic and genetic risk score (CGRS) to improve the prognosis prediction of GC patients. We established genetic risk score (GRS) based on nine-gene signature including APOD, CCDC92, CYS1, GSDME, ST8SIA5, STARD3NL, TIMEM245, TSPYL5, and VAT1 based on the gene expression profiles of the training set from the Asian Cancer Research Group (ACRG) cohort by LASSO-Cox regression algorithms. CGRS was established by integrating GRS with clinical risk score (CRS) derived from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. GRS and CGRS dichotomized GC patients into high and low risk groups with significantly different prognosis in four independent cohorts with different data types, such as microarray, RNA sequencing and qRT-PCR (all HR > 1, all P < 0.001). Both GRS and CGRS were prognostic signatures independent of the AJCC staging system. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that area under ROC curve of CGRS was larger than that of the AJCC staging system in most cohorts we studied. Nomogram and web tool (http://39.100.117.92/CGRS/) based on CGRS were developed for clinicians to conveniently assess GC prognosis in clinical practice. CGRS integrating genetic signature with clinical features shows strong robustness in predicting GC prognosis, and can be easily applied in clinical practice through the web application.

Outcomes and Prognostic Factors of Salvage Radiation for Postoperative Lymph Node Recurrence of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Purpose: Recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in regional lymph nodes (LNs) after surgical section can be treated with salvage resection, radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiotherapy (CRT). RT or CRT is more widely used in clinic. This paper investigates the effects, toxicities and prognostic risk factors of salvage RT or CRT on patients with LN recurrence.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical outcomes of 103 patients receiving salvage RT or CRT for LN recurrence after ESCC resection. In total, 39 patients received RT alone and 64 received concurrent CRT. All the patients received intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), administered with a median dose of 62 Gy (range, 50–70 Gy).

Results: The median follow-up time was 44.5 months, and median survival was 22.5 months (5.5–99.5 months). One-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) were 80.6, 37.0, and 25.8%, respectively. One- and 2-year progression free survival (PFS) were 57.3 and 34.0%, respectively. Grade 3 or above toxicity was low (16.5%) and no treatment-related deaths occurred. In univariate analysis of OS, pN0 (p = 0.039), smaller LN volume (≤25 cm³, p = 0.019), combined chemotherapy (p = 0.041) and single LN recurrence (p = 0.001) were associated with prolonged OS. And pT1-2 (p = 0.044), pN0 (p = 0.042), irradiation dose (>60 Gy, p = 0.044), combined chemotherapy (p = 0.019) and single LN recurrence (p = 0.002) were associated with prolonged PFS. In multivariate analysis, the patients with only one recurrent node had a significant better OS (HR = 0.556, 95% CI 0.324–0.956, p = 0.034) and PFS (HR = 0.528, 95% CI 0.339–0.847, p = 0.008).

Conclusions: Salvage RT or CRT for regional LN recurrence is effective and acceptable. Fewer recurrent nodes may indicate a better long-term survival.

Interobserver Variability in Assessing Pathologic Response to Preoperative Treatment in Rectal Cancer: Standardization of an Evaluation Method and Comparisons Between Published Scales

BACKGROUND

Evaluating tumor response of rectal cancer to preoperative chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) has a prognostic value on overall survival; however, grading tumor response is a controversial issue due to lack of reproducibility and the lack of information about the standardization of the evaluation.

METHODS

We performed this study to examine the variability between observers' assessment of the pathological responses to NCRT using a systematic quantitative grading system based on a percentage of tumor response against the proportion of residual tumor burden. As a secondary aim, we classified the tumor response according to six published systems to determine the correlation between the observers into each grading system.

RESULTS

From 70 cases, the mean age was 60.6 ± 11.78 years, 36 (51.47%) patients were female, the pathological T stage was pT3 in 48.6% of cases, pT2 in 32.9%, pT1 in 11.4% and 7.1% in pT4, whereas 40% had lymph node metastasis. The median lymph node count was ten lymph nodes (range 6-43). Our method of tumor regression evaluation has a good intraclass correlation (ICC) value. From the scales compared regarding interobserver agreement, the Ryan's and Royal College of Pathologists showed fair agreement (but good ICC); the scales from Dworak, Becker, and Rizk showed substantial agreement (and good to excellent ICC values); and the scale from Rödel showed almost-perfect agreement.

RESULTS

All the evaluated systems showed good interobserver agreement, but the best interobserver agreement was reached with the Rödel's scale.

Validation of the post-neoadjuvant staging system of the American joint committee on cancer, 8th edition, in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by curative esophagectomy for localized esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition staging system presents separate classifications for pTNM and post-neoadjuvant ypTNM (ypTNM-8th) to enhance prognostic prediction after neoadjuvant therapy and surgery. We aimed to validate the ypTNM-8th staging system and to compare the prognostication performance of ypTNM-8th with that of pTNM-7th and pTNM-8th in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

METHODS

We reviewed 207 ESCC patients treated with nCRT between January 2007 and December 2014 and compared the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's C-index to determine the prognostic performance of each TNM system.

RESULTS

Survival curve analysis of pTNM-7th and -8th showed a stepwise drop in survival from ypT0N0 to advanced stages, whereas the survival outcome of ypStage III showed a better prognosis than that of ypStage II according to ypTNM-8th. Lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and tumor regression grade were significantly associated with overall survival on univariate analysis. Each TNM system showed significant p-values for trend (p < 0.0001 each), but after adjusting for prognostic factors, ypTNM-8th did not significantly predict survival (p = 0.15), whereas pTNM-7th remained significant (p < 0.001). pTNM-7th incorporating ypT0N0M0 and ypT0 (is)N + M0 as separate groups was superior in prognostication as its AIC was smaller and its C-index was higher than those of pTNM-8th and ypTNM-8th, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Because ypTNM-8th did not provide sufficient prognostication for patients with ESCC treated with nCRT followed by esophagectomy, more sophisticated prognostic classification should be developed for the ypTNM staging system in these patients.

The prognostic significance of the treatment response of regional lymph nodes and the refinement of the current TNM staging system in locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

The current TNM staging system uses the same category definitions for both rectal cancer patients with and without neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). However, ypTNM stage, especially ypN stage does not predict patient survival after NCRT well. Whether tumor regression in lymph nodes (LRG) may improve the prediction has not been well studied. In total, 358 patients with rectal cancer who received NCRT followed by radical resection were recruited from 2004 to 2015, and the median follow‐up time was 57.5 months. The main outcome measure was disease‐free survival (DFS). In univariate analysis, factors associated with DFS were ypT stage, ypN stage, number of negative lymph nodes (NLN), lymph node ratio (LNR), tumor regression grade (TRG), M‐TTRG (modified ypT stage by combining ypT stage and TRG), maximum LRG (LRGmax), sum score of LRG (LRGsum), LRG ratio (average value of LRGsum), and M‐NLRG (modified ypN stage by combining LRGmax and LNR). In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, M‐TTRG and M‐NLRG (p < 0.001 and p = 0.030, respectively) were significantly associated with DFS. The estimated 5‐year DFS rates were 86.6%, 60.3%, and 36.4% for patients with M‐NLRG‐0, M‐NLRG‐1, and M‐NLRG‐2, respectively (p < 0.001). A significant difference in survival was observed among patients with NCRT after incorporating TRG and LRG simultaneously into the current ypTNM staging system (p < 0.001). LRG was an important prognostic factor in rectal cancer patients treated with NCRT and could refine the ypTNM staging system. The modified ypTNM staging system in combination with LRGmax, LNR, and TRG could improve the DFS prediction in each subset of patients.

Pretreatment Primary Tumor Stage is a Risk Factor for Recurrence in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Who Achieve Pathological Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Background

Although pathological complete response (pCR) after multimodal treatment for esophageal cancer is associated to the best prognosis, recurrence may occur in 20–40% of cases. The present study investigated the recurrence pattern and predictive factors of recurrence after pCR in patients with esophageal cancer.

Methods

In this study, 427 patients received preoperative treatment for either esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) or adenocarcinoma at Verona University Hospital between 2000 and 2018. Of these, 145 patients (34%) achieved a pCR. Long-term prognosis, recurrence pattern, and risk factors for relapse in pCR patients were analysed.

Results

During a median follow-up of 52 months, 37 relapses (25.5%) occurred, mostly at distant level (n = 28). Nearly all locoregional relapses (8/9) were detected in SCC cases. The 5-year overall survival and cancer-related survival were 71.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 62.6–78.9%) and 77.5% (95% CI 68.5–84.2%) respectively. Male sex, higher body mass index, and cT4 were significant risk factors for recurrence at univariate analysis. The multivariate analysis confirmed the role of cT4 as predictor of recurrence only in SCCs.

Conclusions

Esophageal cancer recurs in about one-fourth of pCR cases. A fair number of local recurrences occurs in SCCs, but the main problem is the systemic disease control. According to our analysis, SCCs patients with cT4 stage have an increased risk to recur, so they should be managed differently by a personalized approach in terms of adjuvant treatment and follow-up.

Long-term outcomes of clinical and pathological-staged T3 N3 esophageal cancer

Locally advanced esophageal cancer is associated with poor long-term survival. Pre- and post-treatment stages may differ because of neoadjuvant therapy and inaccuracies in staging. The aim of this study was to determine the outcomes of patients staged with clinical T3 N3 and pathological T3 N3 carcinoma of the esophagus and determine differences between the groups. Consecutive patients from a single unit between 2010 and 2018 were included with either clinical (cT3 N3) or pathological (pT3 N3) esophageal cancer. Outcomes were compared between patients that underwent esophagectomy with or without neoadjuvant treatment and those patients staged cT3 N3 treated non-surgically (NSR). Patients were staged using the TNM 8. This study included 156 patients, 63 patients were staged cT3 N3 initially and had NSR treatment, only three of these had radical treatment. Of the remaining 93 patients who underwent esophagectomy, 34 were initially staged as cT3 N3, 54 were found to be pT3 N3 having been staged earlier initially, and five were unchanged before and after treatment. Median overall survival (OS) for surgical cT3 N3 patients was significantly longer than pT3 N3 and NSR (median: NR vs 19 vs 8 months, P < 0.001). Twenty-seven patients with cT3 N3 had lower staging following treatment, while three had a higher stage. T3 N3 disease carries a poor prognosis. Within this cohort, cT3 N3 disease treated surgically has a high 5-year OS suggesting possible over-staging and stage migration due to neoadjuvant therapy. Those not having surgery, have a dismal prognosis. The impact of neoadjuvant treatment cannot be predicted and, current staging modalities may be inaccurate. Clinical stage should be used with caution when counseling patients regarding management and prognosis.

Evaluating the eighth edition TNM staging system for esophageal cancer among patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy: A SEER study

BACKGROUND

The evaluation of the eighth edition of ypTNM staging system for patients with esophageal cancer was limited in the setting of neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

A total of 2324 patients with esophageal cancer receiving radio(chemo)therapy prior to surgery from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2013 were eligible for the analysis. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate overall survivals.

RESULTS

Among patients with preoperative therapy, both the seventh edition TNM grouping and the eighth edition ypTNM grouping could significantly stratify the overall survival (both log-rank P < .001). There was not significant difference in the C-index of the seventh edition TNM grouping (0.575; 95%CI, 0.558-0.593) and the eighth edition ypTNM grouping (0.569; 95%CI, 0.551-0.587) (P = .098). In multivariable Cox analysis, ypN category was the strongest predictor of overall survival (P < .001), followed by tumor grade (HR, 1.33; 95%CI, 1.12-1.56; P = .001). The combination of ypT, ypN, and ypG categories yielded significantly higher C-index (0.591; 95%CI, 0.573-0.609) than that of the seventh edition TNM staging (P = .024).

CONCLUSION

Tumor grade remained an independent predictor of overall survival in the setting of neoadjuvant therapy, and could improve the performance of ypTNM staging system.

Preoperative leukocytosis is associated with increased tumor-infiltrating neutrophil extracellular traps and worse outcomes in esophageal cancer

Background

We evaluated the correlation between preoperative white blood cell (WBC) count and the prognosis in esophageal cancer (EC) patients who underwent esophagectomy, and explored the potential link between preoperative WBC count and tumor-infiltrating neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) in EC.

Methods

From January 2013 to December 2017, 3,096 patients at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) undergoing esophagectomy for EC were enrolled in this retrospective cohort. The prognostic value of preoperative WBC count together with tumor-infiltrating NETs was investigated.

Results

Leukocytosis (≥10,000/µL) was significantly associated with decreased overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) (P<0.05). Further, moderate leukocytosis (≥7,000/µL) were also identified as an independent prognostic factor for survival. Additionally, moderate leukocytosis was correlated with male sex (P=0.006), advanced T stage (P<0.001), TNM stage (P<0.001) and ineffective postoperative chemotherapy (P<0.001), and moderate leukocytosis even predicted increased relapse postoperatively (P<0.001). Importantly, patients with moderate leukocytosis had a significantly higher level of intra-tumoral NETs infiltration (P<0.001), and the higher level of NETs infiltration were associated with worse OS and DFS (P<0.001).

Conclusions

Our data indicated that preoperative moderate leukocytosis is associated with increased tumor-infiltrating NETs and is an independent prognostic factor for survival in EC after surgery.

Varying practices in tumor regression grading of gastrointestinal carcinomas after neoadjuvant therapy: results of an international survey

Tumor regression grading is routinely performed on neoadjuvantly treated gastrointestinal cancer resections. Challenges in tumor regression grading include grossing standards, multiple grading systems, and difficulty interpreting therapy-induced changes. We surveyed gastrointestinal pathologists around the world for their practices in handling neoadjuvantly treated gastrointestinal cancer specimens and reporting tumor regression using a 23-question online survey. Topics addressed grossing, histologic work-up, tumor regression grading systems, and degree of difficulty identifying and estimating residual cancer within treatment effect. Two-hundred three responses were received, including 173 participants who completed the entire questionnaire. Fifty percent of the participants were from Europe, 29% from North America, 10% from Australia, and 11% from other continents. Ninety-five percent routinely report a tumor regression grade and 92% have standardized grossing and histologic work-up: 27% always completely embed the entire tumor bed, 54% embed the complete tumor site if not a grossly apparent, large mass. Fifty-nine percent use hematoxylin & eosin alone for assessment; the remaining use additional stains. In North America and Australia, the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/College of American Pathologists (CAP)/Ryan system is routinely used for gastroesophageal (71%) and rectal carcinomas (77%). In Europe, the Mandard system is common (36%) for gastroesophageal tumors, followed by AJCC/CAP/Ryan (22%), and Becker (10%); for rectal CA, the Dworak system (30%) is followed by AJCC/CAP/Ryan (24%) and Mandard (14%). This regional differences were significant (p < 0.001 each). Fifty-one percent prefer a four-tiered system. Sixty-six percent think that regressive changes in lymph nodes should be part of a regression grade. Sixty-nine percent consider identifying residual tumor straight-forward, but estimating therapy-induced fibrosis difficult (57%). Free comments raised issues of costs for work-up and clinical relevance. In conclusion, this multinational survey provides a comprehensive overview of grossing and histologic work-up with regards to tumor regression grading in gastrointestinal cancers with partly significant regional differences particularly between North America and Europe.

Comparison of the prognostic difference between ypTNM and equivalent pTNM stages in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma based on the 8th edition of AJCC classification

Objective: With the separate ypTNM stage groupings established in the 8th edition of AJCC staging system for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC), we aimed to evaluate the prognostic difference between ypTNM stage and equivalent pTNM stage.

Methods: ESCC patients with surgery alone (cohort 1) and patients with neoadjuvant therapy plus surgery (cohort 2) were enrolled in the study.

Results: In p0, pIb, pIIa, pIIb, pIIIa, pIIIb and pIVa stages of cohort 1, the 5-year DFS and OS rates were 100/100%, 80.5/86.2%, 58.9/57.8%, 51.1/52.7%, 36.3/35.8%, 21.5/22.6% and 11.9/18.0%. In ypI, ypII, ypIII and ypIVa stages of cohort 2, the 5-year DFS and OS rates were 60.9/67.0%, 44.3/52.1%, 48.4/43.2% and 0. Patients in ypI stage had a tendency of poorer survival compared with those in pI stage (P=0.024 for DFS, P=0.067 for OS). There was no significant difference in terms of DFS (P=0.335) or OS (P=0.903) between ypII and pII. Patients in ypIII stage had a tendency of better survival compared with those in pIII stage (P=0.015 for DFS, P=0.059 for OS). Patients in ypIVa stage exhibited a significantly poorer OS compared with those in pIVa stage (P=0.038).

Conclusions: With down-staged tumor after neoadjuvant therapy, survival of ypI was closed but not reached to the prognosis of equivalent pI, prognosis of ypII was similar to equivalent pII, and survival of ypIII tended to be better compared with equivalent pIII. However, without down-staged ypIVa tumor, the prognosis was worse compared with equivalent pIVa, indicating those patients were primary resistant to prescribed neoadjuvant therapy.

Outcomes of Right Thoracoscopic Esophagectomy Combined with Laparotomy: a Preliminary Vietnamese Study

Background:

Esophageal cancer is the fourth-most-common cancerous disease of the gastrointestinal tract, with increasing incidence rates.

Aim:

The present study aimed to assess the outcomes of right thoracoscopic esophagectomy combined with laparotomy for esophageal cancer treatment in Vietnamese patients.

Methods:

A cross-sectional study of 71 patients was conducted at 108 Military Central Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam, from January 2010 to December 2017.

Results:

Right thoracoscopic esophagectomy combined with laparotomy was performed in 71 patients with esophageal cancer. The mean patient age was 55.8 years, and 100% were male. Patients were diagnosed with the following cancer stages: Stage 0: 4.2%; Stage I: 14.1%; Stage II: 59.2%; and Stage III: 22.5%. The lymph node metastasis rate was 33.8%. The overall complication rate was 42.3%, which included a pneumonia rate of 12.3%, a respiratory failure rate of 7.0%, an anastomotic leak rate of 11.3%, and a chylothorax rate of 4.2%. The mean postoperative time was 16.4 days. The mean follow-up time was 21.7 months. The median overall survival was 45.7 months. The 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 4-year survival rates were 79.7%, 62.3%, 52.3%, and 43.6%, respectively.

Conclusions:

Thoracoscopic esophagectomy combined with laparotomy for esophageal cancer was a safe, effective, and minimally invasive procedure that should play a continued role in cancer treatment.

Pathological Tumor Regression Grade Classifications in Gastrointestinal Cancers: Role on Patients' Prognosis

Preoperative chemotherapy or combined radiotherapy and chemotherapy (CRT), followed by surgery, represents the standard approach for locally advanced esophageal, gastric, and rectal carcinomas. To adequately evaluate the effects of neoadjuvant CRT in the resection specimens, several histopathologic tumor regression grade (TRG) scoring systems have been introduced into clinical practice. The primary goal of these TRG systems relies on a correct prognostic stratification of patients in the attempt to help clinical decision-making and influence surgical strategies, postoperative adjuvant therapies, and surveillance intensity. However, most TRG systems suffer from poor reproducibility and low interobserver concordance rates. Many efforts have been made in the identification of alternative, robust, simple, and universally accepted TRG scoring systems, which would help in the comparison of different treatment strategies and in the standardization of multimodal therapies. The aim of this review is to analyze the most commonly used TRG systems in gastrointestinal cancers highlighting their pitfalls and usefulness, depending on the tumor type.

Recurrence Risk Stratification After Preoperative Chemoradiation of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To discern recurrence risk stratification and investigate its influence on postoperative surveillance in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

BACKGROUND

Reports documenting recurrence risk stratification in EAC after neoadjuvant CRT are scarce.

METHODS

Between 1998 and 2014, 601 patients with EAC who underwent neoadjuvant CRT followed by esophagectomy were included for analysis. The pattern, site, timing, and frequency of the first recurrence and potential prognostic factors for developing recurrences were analyzed. This cohort was used as the training set to propose a recurrence risk stratification system, and the stratification was further validated in another cohort of 172 patients.

RESULTS

A total of 150 patients (25.0%) achieved pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant CRT and the rest were defined as the non-pCR group (n = 451) in the training cohort. After a median follow-up of 63.6 months, the pCR group demonstrated a significantly lower locoregional (4.7% vs 19.1%) and distant recurrence rate (22.0% vs.44.6%) than the non-pCR group (P < 0.001). Based on independent prognostic factors, patients were stratified into 4 recurrence risk categories: pCR with clinical stage I/II, pCR with clinical stage III, non-pCR with pN0, and non-pCR with pN+, with corresponding 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of 88.7%, 65.8%, 55.3%, and 33.0%, respectively (P < 0.001). The risk stratification was reproducible in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

We proposed a recurrence risk stratification system for EAC patients based on pathologic response and pretreatment clinical stage. Risk-based postoperative surveillance strategies could be developed for different risk categories.

Tumor Compactness based on CT to predict prognosis after multimodal treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

We aimed to establish a risk model using computed tomography-based compactness to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) after multimodal treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We extracted pre-treatment computed tomography-based tumor data (volume, surface area, and compactness) for 512 cases of ESCC that were treated at 3 centers. A risk model based on compactness was trained using Cox regression analyses of data from 83 cases, and then the model was validated using two independent cohorts (98 patients and 283 patients). The largest cohort (283 patients) was then evaluated using the risk model to predict response to radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy. In the three datasets, the pre-treatment compactness risk model provided good accuracy for predicting OS (P = 0.012, P = 0.022, and P = 0.003) and PFS (P < 0.001, P = 0.003, and P = 0.005). Patients in the low-risk group did not experience a significant OS benefit from concurrent chemoradiotherapy (P = 0.099). Furthermore, after preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy, the OS outcomes were similar among patients in the low-risk group who did and did not achieve a pathological complete response (P = 0.127). Tumor compactness was correlated with clinical T stage but was more accurate for predicting prognosis after treatment for ESCC, based on higher C-index values in all three datasets. The compactness-based risk model was effective for predicting OS and PFS after multimodal treatment for ESCC. Therefore, it may be useful for guiding personalized treatment.

Patterns and risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery

OBJECTIVES

A pathologic complete response in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer after chemoradiotherapy and surgery is associated with improved overall and disease-free survival. Nevertheless, approximately one third of patients with a pathologic complete response still have a recurrence. The aim of this study was to evaluate risk factors and patterns of recurrence in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer who achieved a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy and surgery.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of a single-institution database of 233 patients with stage II and III esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy and surgery between 1997 and 2017. A multivariable competing risk-regression model was used to identify predictors of recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 61 patients exhibited recurrence in this cohort, 43 with adenocarcinoma and 18 with squamous cell carcinoma. Five-year cumulative incidence of recurrence did not vary by histology. Univariable analysis revealed that poor tumor differentiation (hazard ratio, 2.28; P = .022) and advanced clinical stage (hazard ratio, 1.89; P = .042) are predictors of recurrence in the esophageal adenocarcinoma subgroup, whereas poor tumor differentiation remained the only independent predictor on multivariable analysis in the entire cohort (hazard ratio, 2.28; P = .009). Patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma had a higher incidence of distant recurrences, and patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma demonstrated a higher incidence of loco-regional recurrence (P = .039).

CONCLUSIONS

Poor tumor differentiation is an independent risk factor for recurrence in patients with esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response. Although there is no difference in the cumulative incidence of recurrence between esophageal adenocarcinoma and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, patterns of recurrence appear to differ. Thus, treatment and surveillance strategies may be tailored appropriately.

ypTNM staging after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the Chinese gastric cancer population: an evaluation on the prognostic value of the AJCC eighth edition cancer staging system

BACKGROUND

This study aims to evaluate the new ypTNM staging system in Chinese gastric cancer patients.

METHODS

We conducted retrospective survival and regression analyses using a database of gastric cancer patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy at the Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute from January 2007 to January 2015.

RESULTS

A total of 473 patients were included in the study with 28 pathological complete response (pCR) cases, 3 ypT0N1 cases, 65 stage I cases, 126 stage II cases, and 251 stage III cases. The pCR cases had similar survival to stage I patients (p > 0.05). The 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of stage I, II and III patients were significantly different (3-year DFS: 89.0, 75.5, and 39.6%, p < 0.001; 5-year OS: 89.6, 65.5, and 36.5%, p = 0.001). Both ypT and ypN are independent predictors of patient survival, while further log-rank tests showed that the ypN stage is of better prognostic value than ypT. Subgrouping analysis revealed that stage III patients of ypT4b and ypN3 had worse survival compared to the rest of stage III cases (p < 0.001). The c-index values of the ypTNM stage and modified ypTNM stage (stage III divided into IIIa and IIIb) were 0.657 and 0.708, respectively (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data showed significant differences in survival among gastric cancer patients at different ypTNM stages, indicating its prognostic value in the Chinese population. Further detailed analyses may facilitate the subgrouping of each stage to allow for a more accurate evaluation of disease prognosis in gastric cancer patients.

Nomogram predicts survival benefit for non- metastatic esophageal cancer patients who underwent preoperative radiotherapy

Background

A prognostic model to predict the individual disease-specific survival (DSS) rates of non-metastatic esophageal cancer (nMEC) patients after preoperative radiotherapy (pRT) has not been established. In the current study, we aimed to establish a survival nomogram for nMEC patients after pRT.

Methods

We identified 2,424 nMEC patients who underwent pRT from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Approximately, 80% (n=1,948) of the included patients were randomly selected and designated as training data set, and the remaining patients (n=476) were defined as external validation set. Nomogram was established by the training set and validated by the validation set.

Results

According to the results of the multivariate analysis, a nomogram combined with age at diagnosis, sex, tumor location, yp-T stage, yp metastatic lymph node ratio stage (yp-mLNRS), and grade was developed. The C-index of the model was significantly higher than that of yp-TNM staging system (0.62, 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.66 vs 0.55, 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.60; p<0.001). Calibration plots of the nomogram showed that the probability of DSS rates optimally corresponded to the survival rates were observed.

Conclusion

The proposed nomogram resulted in more reliable DSS prediction for nMEC patients in general population, regardless of the patient’s histological type. Upon validation, it will aid in individualized survival prediction and prove useful in clinical decision making in nMECs after pRT.

Prognostic differences in 8th edition TNM staging of esophagogastric adenocarcinoma after neoadjuvant treatment

BACKGROUND

Prognostic differences between pTN- and ypTN-categories and the prognostic accuracy of the 8th edition UICC-pTNM- and AJCC-ypTNM-staging-system for esophageal and gastric adenocarcinoma are unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of 740 patients with esophagogastric adenocarcinoma, who underwent curative surgery (344 after neoadjuvant treatment [NT]) at our institution. Survival analyses were performed according to Kaplan-Meier (log-rank test). Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Low ypT-categories did not discriminate overall survival (ypT0: reference; ypT1: HR1.0/p = 0.909; ypT2: HR0.9/p = 0.845; ypT3: HR1.5/p = 0.184; ypT4: HR2.8/p = 0.004) and no difference was found between ypN1- and ypN2-disease (ypN0: HR0.4/p < 0.001; ypN1: reference; ypN2: HR1.1/p = 0.653; ypN3: HR1.7/p = 0.014). In esophageal adenocarcinoma the UICC-TNM- and AJCC-ypTNM-staging-system was able to predict survival for patients after NT, while in gastric cancer it failed to provide sufficient prognostic information. A simplified staging system provided better stratification after NT and was an independent prognosticator for both esophageal and gastric adenocarcinoma (stage I: reference; stage II: HR2.2/p = 0.005; stage III: HR4.1/p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Prognostic value of ypTN-categories seems limited. After NT the current UICC/AJCC-staging-system is able to predict survival in esophageal adenocarcinoma, but needs to be reevaluated in gastric cancer patients and modified if needed. A novel simplified staging system might be more practicable for patients after NT.

The combination of early treatment response and ypT stage is a novel metric to stage rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Rectal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) are currently classified using the same Tumor-Node-Metastasis staging system as those patients without NCRT. We determined whether the combination of tumor treatment response (TRG) and ypT stage more accurately assesses primary tumors in rectal cancer after NCRT. We analyzed data from 329 rectal cancer patients treated with NCRT followed by radical resection. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the effects of different staging parameters on disease-free survival (DFS). ypN stage and TRG were independently associated with 3-year DFS, but ypT stage was not. We developed a new modified T stage classification metric (M-TTRG) that categorized patients into 5 subgroups based on ypT stage and TRG, with weighting by β-coefficients from multivariate analyses. The incidence of patients developing local or distant recurrence increased with increasing M-TTRG level. All five M-TTRG classes correlated with 3-year DFS. Improvement was seen in the model with M-TTRG classification compared with ypT stage, based on area under the curve after computing receiver operating characteristic curves. Our modified ypTNM staging system significantly improved prediction of 3-year DFS. This suggests TRG could complement ypT stage, and we propose the new M-TTRG metric could be used to better classify NCRT-treated patients, thereby improving treatment and assessing prognosis. The M-TTRG metric might be applicable to other types of cancer.

A prognostic nomogram for overall survival after neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy in thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Currently, the AJCC staging system or pathological complete response (pCR) are considered not sufficiently accurate to evaluate the survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. This study aimed to establish a nomogram and a recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) model to estimate prognosis and to provide advice for subsequent treatments.

METHODS

We analyzed retrospectively 407 patients that were diagnosed with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) and received neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of categorical clinicopathological characteristics with overall survival (OS) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazard model. The nomogram and RPA model were then established and total scores according to each variable were calculated and stratified to predict OS.

RESULTS

Patients were followed-up over a median 49.9 months. AJCC did not perform well in distinguishing OS among each stage except for IIB and IIIA. Patients were divided into 4 groups according to the total scores based on nomogram (low risk: ≤180; intermediate risk: 180-270; high risk: 270-340; very high risk: >340). The 5-year OS was 57.3%, 40.7%, 18.3%, 6.1% respectively (p<0.05). RPA model also divide the patients into 4 groups, though group2 and group3 were not statistically significant (p=0.574).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram is a good evaluation model for estimating the prognosis of patients with TESCC after neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy compared with the AJCC and RPA. The results of this study also suggested that the high-risk subgroups need further treatments.

Pathologic assessment of gastrointestinal tract and pancreatic carcinoma after neoadjuvant therapy

Neoadjuvant therapy is increasingly used to treat patients with a wide variety of malignancies. Histologic evaluation of treated specimens provides important prognostic information and may guide subsequent chemotherapy. Neoadjuvant therapy is commonly employed in the treatment of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma, hepatic colorectal metastases, esophageal/esophagogastric junction carcinoma, and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Numerous tumor regression schemes have been used in these tumors and standardized approaches to evaluate these specimens are needed. In this review, the various tumor regression scoring systems that have been used in these organs are described and their associations with clinical outcomes are discussed. Recommendations regarding how to handle and report the histologic findings in these resections specimens are provided.

Tumor regression grading of gastrointestinal cancers after neoadjuvant therapy

Neoadjuvant therapy has been successfully introduced in the treatment of locally advanced gastrointestinal malignancies, particularly esophageal, gastric, and rectal cancers. The effects of preoperative chemo- or radiochemotherapy can be determined by histopathological investigation of the resection specimen following this treatment. Frequent histological findings after neoadjuvant therapy include various amounts of residual tumor, inflammation, resorptive changes with infiltrates of foamy histiocytes, foreign body reactions, and scarry fibrosis. Several tumor regression grading (TRG) systems, which aim to categorize the amount of regressive changes after cytotoxic treatment in primary tumor sites, have been proposed for gastroesophageal and rectal carcinomas. These systems primarily refer to the amount of therapy-induced fibrosis in relation to the residual tumor (e.g., the Mandard, Dworak, or AJCC systems) or the estimated percentage of residual tumor in relation to the previous tumor site (e.g., the Becker, Rödel, or Rectal Cancer Regression Grading systems). TRGs provide valuable prognostic information, as in most cases, complete or subtotal tumor regression after neoadjuvant treatment is associated with better patient outcomes. This review describes the typical histopathological findings after neoadjuvant treatment, discusses the most commonly used TRG systems for gastroesophageal and rectal carcinomas, addresses the limitations and critical issues of tumor regression grading in these tumors, and describes the clinical impact of TRG.

Nuclear expression of Gli-1 is predictive of pathologic complete response to chemoradiation in trimodality treated oesophageal cancer patients

Background:

Predictive biomarkers or signature(s) for oesophageal cancer (OC) patients undergoing preoperative therapy could help administration of effective therapy, avoidance of ineffective ones, and establishment new strategies. Since the hedgehog pathway is often upregulated in OC, we examined its transcriptional factor, Gli-1, which confers therapy resistance, we wanted to assess Gli-1 as a predictive biomarker for chemoradiation response and validate it.

Methods:

Untreated OC tissues from patients who underwent chemoradiation and surgery were assessed for nuclear Gli-1 by immunohistochemistry and labelling indices (LIs) were correlated with pathologic complete response (pathCR) or <pathCR (resistance) and validated in a unique cohort.

Results:

Initial 60 patients formed the discovery set (TDS) and then unique 167 patients formed the validation set (TVS). 16 (27%) patients in TDS and 40 (24%) patients in TVS achieved a pathCR. Nuclear Gli-1 LIs were highly associated with pathCR based on the fitted logistic regression models (P<0.0001) in TDS and TVS. The areas under the curve (AUCs) for receiver-operating characteristics (ROCs) based on a fitted model were 0.813 (fivefold cross validation (0.813) and bootstrap resampling (0.816) for TDS and 0.902 (fivefold cross validation (0.901) and bootstrap resampling (0.902)) for TVS. Our preclinical (including genetic knockdown) studies with FU or radiation resistant cell lines demonstrated that Gli-1 indeed mediates therapy resistance in OC.

Conclusions:

Our validated data in OC show that nuclear Gli-1 LIs are predictive of pathCR after chemoradiation with desirable sensitivity and specificity.

Non responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiation for esophageal cancer: why better prediction is necessary

BACKGROUND

Patients with pathologic limited or no response (pNR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) are subjected to curative intended esophagectomy with subsequent perioperative morbidity and mortality, but potentially only harm from nCRT. The primary aim of this study was to compare the overall survival (OS) of patients with pNR and patients who underwent primary esophagectomy to evaluate potentially benefits of nCRT in these patients. The secondary aim was to identify predictive clinicopathologic factors for pNR and pathologic complete response (pCR) to nCRT with the goal to preselect these patients before the start of treatment.

METHODS

From the period 2005 to 2016, 206 esophageal cancer (EC) patients treated with Carboplatin/Paclitaxel and radiotherapy with complementary esophagectomy were included in this cohort. OS of patients with pNR was compared with a historical cohort of primary surgically treated patients (n=218) after a propensity score matching resulting in a group of 68 patients with pNR after nCRT versus a group of 68 primary esophagectomy patients.

RESULTS

The OS in the pNR group and the primary esophagectomy group was comparable (P=0.986). No predictive factors were found in this cohort for pNR. Female gender (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.2-5.3) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) (OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.3-5.3) were identified as independent predictive factors for pCR.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a pNR do not benefit from nCRT followed by resection. These patients had a similar OS as those who had a primary esophagectomy alone. Although this indicates that nCRT does not negatively impact the OS of patients with pNR, patients still have an increased morbidity because of nCRT. Hence, it is important to identify factors that predict pNR. The ability to predict pNR (and pCR) will enable tailored and personalized care preventing unnecessary nCRT with increased morbidity.

Prognostic Value of Pretreatment Pathological Tumor Extent in Patients Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Plus Surgery for Esophageal or Junctional Cancer

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine pretreatment pathological tumor extent in the resection specimen after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and to assess its prognostic value in patients with esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Patients with esophageal cancer, treated with nCRT plus surgery were included (2003-2011). Pretreatment pathological T-stage (prepT-stage) and N-stage (prepN-stage) were estimated based on the extent of regressional changes and residual tumor cells in the resection specimen. Interobserver agreement was determined between 3 pathologists. The prognostic performance of prepT-stage and prepN-stage was scored using the difference in Akaike information criterion (ΔAIC). PrepN-stage and posttreatment pathological N-stage (ypN-stage) were combined to determine the effect of nodal sterilization on prognosis.

RESULTS

Overall concordance for prepT-stage and prepN-stage was 0.69 and 0.84, respectively. Prognostic strength of prepT-stage was similar to clinical T-stage and worse compared with ypT-stage (ΔAIC 1.3 versus 2.0 and 8.9, respectively). In contrast, prognostic strength of prepN-stage was better than cN-stage and similar to ypN-stage (ΔAIC 17.9 versus 6.2 and 17.2, respectively). PrepN+ patients who become ypN0 after nCRT have a worse survival compared with prepN0 patients, with a five year overall survival of 51% versus 68%, P = 0.019, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PrepT-stage and prepN-stage can be estimated reproducibly. Prognostic strength of prepT-stage is comparable with clinical T-stage, whereas prepN-stage is better than cN-stage. PrepN+ patients who become ypN0 after nCRT have a worse survival compared with prepN0 patients. Pretreatment pathological staging should be considered useful as a new staging parameter for esophageal cancer and could also be of interest for other tumor types.