Population-based study of home-time by stroke type and correlation with modified Rankin score

Home Time Among Older Adults With Acute Myeloid Leukemia Following Chemotherapy

Importance

Patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) recognize days spent at home (home time) vs in a hospital or nursing facility as an important factor in treatment decision making. No study has adequately described home time among older adults with AML.

Objective

To describe home time among older adults with AML (aged ≥66 years) and compare home time between 2 common treatments: anthracycline-based chemotherapy and hypomethylating agents (HMAs).

Design, Setting, and Participants

A cohort of adults aged 66 years or older with a new diagnosis of AML from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare linked database in 2004 to 2016 was identified. Individuals were stratified into anthracycline-based therapy, HMAs, or chemotherapy, not otherwise specified (NOS) using claims.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was home time, quantified by subtracting the total number of person-days spent in hospitals and nursing facilities from the number of person-days survived and dividing by total person-days. A weighted multinomial regression model with stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting to estimate adjusted home time was used.

Results

The cohort included 7946 patients with AML: 2824 (35.5%) received anthracyclines, 2542 (32.0%) HMAs, and 2580 (32.5%) were classified as chemotherapy, NOS. Median (IQR) survival was 11.0 (5.0-27.0) months for those receiving anthracyclines and 8.0 (3.0-17.0) months for those receiving HMAs. Adjusted home time for all patients in the first year was 52.4%. Home time was highest among patients receiving HMAs (60.8%) followed by those receiving anthracyclines (51.9%). Despite having a shorter median survival, patients receiving HMAs had more total days at home and 33 more days at home in the first year on average than patients receiving anthracyclines (222 vs 189).

Conclusions and Relevance

This retrospective study of older adults with AML using SEER-Medicare data and propensity score weighting suggests that the additional survival afforded by receiving anthracycline-based therapy was entirely offset by admission to the hospital or to nursing facilities.

Days Alive and Out of Hospital as an Outcome Measure in Patients Receiving Hyperacute Stroke Intervention

BACKGROUND

Patient outcome after stroke is frequently assessed with clinical scales such as the modified Rankin Scale score (mRS). Days alive and out of hospital at 90 days (DAOH-90), which measures survival, time spent in hospital or rehabilitation settings, readmission and institutionalization, is an objective outcome measure that can be obtained from large administrative data sets without the need for patient contact. We aimed to assess the comparability of DAOH with mRS and its relationship with other prognostic variables after acute stroke reperfusion therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutive patients with ischemic stroke treated with intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy were analyzed. DAOH-90 was calculated from a national minimum data set, a mandatory nationwide administrative database. mRS score at day 90 (mRS-90) was assessed with in-person or telephone interviews. The study included 1278 patients with ischemic stroke (714 male, median age 70 [59-79], median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score 14 [9-20]). Median DAOH-90 was 71 [29-84] and median mRS-90 score was 3 [2-5]. DAOH-90 was correlated with admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (Spearman rho -0.44, P<0.001) and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT [Computed Tomography] Score (Spearman rho 0.24, P<0.001). There was a strong association between mRS-90 and DAOH-90 (Spearman rho correlation -0.79, P<0.001). Area under receiver operating curve for predicting mRS score >0 was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.84-0.88), mRS score >1 was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.86-0.90) and mRS score >2 was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with stroke treated with reperfusion therapies, DAOH-90 shows reasonable comparability to the more established outcome measure of mRS-90. DAOH-90 can be readily obtained from administrative databases and therefore has the potential to be used in large-scale clinical trials and comparative effectiveness studies.

Association Between Time to Treatment With Endovascular Thrombectomy and Home-Time After Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Home-time is a patient-prioritized stroke outcome that can be derived from administrative data linkages. The effect of faster time-to-treatment with endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) on home-time after acute stroke is unknown.

METHODS

We used the Quality Improvement and Clinical Research registry to identify a cohort of patients who received EVT for acute ischemic stroke between 2015 and 2022 in Alberta, Canada. We calculated days at home in the first 90 days after stroke. We used ordinal regression across 6 ordered categories of home-time to evaluate the association between onset-to-arterial puncture and higher home-time, adjusting for age, sex, rural residence, NIH Stroke Scale, comorbidities, intravenous thrombolysis, and year of treatment. We used restricted cubic splines to assess the nonlinear relationship between continuous variation in time metrics and higher home-time, and also reported the adjusted odds ratios within time categories. We additionally evaluated door-to-puncture and reperfusion times. Finally, we analyzed home-time with zero-inflated models to determine the minutes of earlier treatment required to gain 1 day of home-time.

RESULTS

We had 1,885 individuals in our final analytic sample. There was a nonlinear increase in home-time with faster treatment when EVT was within 4 hours of stroke onset or 2 hours of hospital arrival. There was a higher odds of achieving more days at home when onset-to-puncture time was <2 hours (adjusted odds ratio 2.36, 95% CI 1.77-3.16) and 2 to <4 hours (1.37, 95% CI 1.11-1.71) compared with ≥6 hours, and when door-to-puncture time was <1 hour (aOR 2.25, 95% CI 1.74-2.90), 1 to <1.5 hours (aOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.47-2.41), and 1.5 to <2 hours (1.35, 95% CI 1.04-1.76) compared with ≥2 hours. Results were consistent for reperfusion times. For every hour of faster treatment within 6 hours of stroke onset, there was an estimated increase in home-time of 4.7 days, meaning that approximately 1 day of home-time was gained for each 12.8 minutes of faster treatment.

DISCUSSION

Faster time-to-treatment with EVT for acute stroke was associated with greater home-time, particularly within 4 hours of onset-to-puncture and 2 hours of door-to-puncture time. Within 6 hours of stroke onset, each 13 minutes of faster treatment is associated with a gain of 1 day of home-time.

Healthy Days at Home Among Older Medicare Beneficiaries With Traumatic Brain Injury Requiring Inpatient Rehabilitation

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this study were to characterize and identify correlates of healthy days at home (HDaH) before and after TBI requiring inpatient rehabilitation. Setting: Inpatient hospital, nursing home, and home health services.

PARTICIPANTS

Average of n= 631 community-dwelling fee-for-service age 66+ Medicare beneficiaries across 30 replicate samples who were hospitalized for traumatic brain injury (TBI) between 2012 and 2014 and admitted to an inpatient rehabilitation facility (IRF) within 72 hours of hospital discharge.

DESIGN

Retrospective study using data from Medicare claims supplemented with data from the National Trauma Databank.

MAIN MEASURES

The primary outcome, HDaH, was calculated as time alive not using inpatient hospital, nursing home, and home health services in the year before TBI hospitalization and after IRF discharge.

RESULTS

We found HDaH declined from 93.2% in the year before TBI hospitalization to 65.3% in the year after IRF discharge (73.6% among survivors only). Most variability in HDaH was: (1) in the first 3 months after discharge and (2) by discharge disposition, with persons discharged from IRF to another acute hospital having the worst prognosis for utilization and death. In negative binomial regression models, the strongest predictors of HDaH in the year after discharge were rehabilitation Functional Independence Measure mobility score (β = 0.03; 95% CI, 0.002-0.06) and inpatient Charlson Comorbidity Index score (β = - 0.06; 95% CI, -0.13 to 0.001). Dual Medicaid eligible was associated with less HDaH among survivors (β = - 0.37; 95% CI, -0.66 to -0.07).

CONCLUSION

In this study, among community-dwelling older adults with TBI, we found a notable decrease in the proportion of time spent alive at home without higher-level care after IRF discharge compared to before TBI. The finding that physical disability and comorbidities were the biggest drivers of healthy days alive in this population suggests that a chronic disease management model is required for older adults with TBI to manage their complex health care needs.

Age-Specific Association of Co-Morbidity With Home-Time After Acute Stroke

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of co-morbidity with home-time after acute stroke and whether the association is influenced by age.

METHODS

We conducted a province-wide study using linked administrative databases to identify all admissions for first acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage between 2007 and 2018 in Alberta, Canada. We used ischemic stroke-weighted Charlson Co-morbidity Index of 3 or more to identify those with severe co-morbidity. We used zero-inflated negative binomial models to determine the association of severe co-morbidity with 90-day and 1-year home-time, and logistic models for achieving ≥ 80 out of 90 days of home-time, assessing for effect modification by age and adjusting for sex, stroke type, comprehensive stroke center care, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, year of study, and separately adjusting for estimated stroke severity. We also evaluated individual co-morbidities.

RESULTS

Among 28,672 patients in our final cohort, severe co-morbidity was present in 27.7% and was associated with lower home-time, with a greater number of days lost at younger age (-13 days at age < 60 compared to -7 days at age 80+ years for 90-day home-time; -69 days at age < 60 compared to -51 days at age 80+ years for 1-year home-time). The reduction in probability of achieving ≥ 80 days of home-time was also greater at younger age (-22.7% at age < 60 years compared to -9.0% at age 80+ years). Results were attenuated but remained significant after adjusting for estimated stroke severity and excluding those who died. Myocardial infarction, diabetes, and cancer/metastases had a greater association with lower home-time at younger age, and those with dementia had the greatest reduction in home time.

CONCLUSION

Severe co-morbidity in acute stroke is associated with lower home-time, more strongly at younger age.

Thrombolysis in Stroke Mimics: Comprehensive Stroke Centers vs Telestroke Sites

BACKGROUND

Hyperacute treatment of acute stroke may lead to thrombolysis in stroke mimics (SM). Our aim was to determine the frequency of thrombolysis in SM in primary stroke centers (PSC) dependent on telestroke versus comprehensive stroke centers (CSC).

METHOD

Retrospective review of prospectively collected data from the Quality improvement and Clinical Research (QuICR) registry, the Discharge Abstract Database (DAD), and The National Ambulatory Care Reporting System (NACRS) of consecutive patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke in Alberta (Canada) from April 2016 to March 2021.

RESULT

A total of 2471 patients who received thrombolysis were included. Linking the QuICR registry to DAD 169 (6.83%) patients were identified as SM; however, on our review of the records, only 112 (4.53%) were actual SM. SMs were younger with a mean age of 61.66 (±16.15) vs 71.08 (±14.55) in stroke. National Institute of Health Stroke Scale was higher in stroke with a median (IQR) of 10 (5-17) vs 7 (5-10) in SM. Only one patient (0.89 %) in SM groups had a small parenchymal hemorrhage versus 155 (6.57%) stroke patients had a parenchymal hemorrhage. There was no death among patients of thrombolysed SM during hospitalization versus 276 (11.69%) in stroke. There was no significant difference in the rate of SM among thrombolysed patients between PSC 27 (5.36%) versus CSC 85 (4.3%) (P = 0.312). The most responsible diagnosis of SM was migraine/migraine equivalent, functional disorder, seizure, and delirium.

CONCLUSION

The diagnosis of SM may not always be correct when the information is extracted from databases. The rate of thrombolysis in SM via telestroke is similar to treatment in person at CSC.

Using days alive and out of hospital to measure surgical outcomes in New Zealand: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

To measure differences at various deciles in days alive and out of hospital to 90 days (DAOH₉₀) and explore its utility for identifying outliers of performance among district health boards (DHBs).

METHODS

Days in hospital and mortality within 90 days of surgery were extracted by linking data from the New Zealand National Minimum Data Set and the births and deaths registry between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2021 for all adults in New Zealand undergoing acute laparotomy (AL-a relatively high-risk group), elective total hip replacement (THR-a medium risk group) or lower segment caesarean section (LSCS-a low-risk group). DAOH₉₀ was calculated without censoring to zero in cases of mortality. For each DHB, direct risk standardisation was used to adjust for potential confounders and presented in deciles according to baseline patient risk. The Mann-Whitney U test assessed overall DAOH₉₀ differences between DHBs, and comparisons are presented between selected deciles of DAOH₉₀ for each operation.

RESULTS

We obtained national data for 35 175, 52 032 and 117 695 patients undergoing AL, THR and LSCS procedures, respectively. We have demonstrated that calculating DAOH without censoring zero allows for differences between procedures and DHBs to be identified. Risk-adjusted national mean DAOH₉₀ Scores were 64.0 days, 79.0 days and 82.0 days at the 0.1 decile and 75.0 days, 82.0 days and 84.0 days at the 0.2 decile for AL, THR and LSCS, respectively, matching to their expected risk profiles. Differences between procedures and DHBs were most marked at lower deciles of the DAOH₉₀ distribution, and outlier DHBs were detectable. Corresponding 90-day mortality rates were 5.45%, 0.78% and 0.01%.

CONCLUSION

In New Zealand after direct risk adjustment, differences in DAOH₉₀ between three types of surgical procedure reflected their respective risk levels and associated mortality rates. Outlier DHBs were identified for each procedure. Thus, our approach to analysing DAOH₉₀ appears to have considerable face validity and potential utility for contributing to the measurement of perioperative outcomes in an audit or quality improvement setting.

Institution-free days after critical illness: A multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Patient-centered outcomes beyond mortality such as institution-free days (IFD) are becoming increasingly relevant in critical care trials.

METHODS

We calculated IFD using three definitions which differed in the way death and censoring of after-hospital deaths were handled analysing data from adult patient databases admitted to four ICUs of North Brisbane, Australia. Differences in distribution of IFD using different definitions were explored with descriptive statistics and histograms. Six pre-specified variables (age, illness severity, comorbidities index, elective status, surgical/medical admission and treatment limitations) were assessed and reported as determinants of IFDs for the proposed definitions.

RESULTS

Data from 25,371 ICU admissions was analysed. The density distribution of IFD was bimodal with a peak at 0 days and a variable right-sided peak depending on the definition used. The mean IFD varied from 253 (standard deviation(SD) 151.3) to 295 (SD 116.2) depending on definition used. Multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial regression modelling showed that the six pre-specified variables had significant associations with IFD and their magnitude of effect varied with the definition used.

CONCLUSIONS

IFD is a simple, easily measurable patient-centered outcome that varies depending on the definition used. Patient input should be sought to define the optimum definition and clinical use of IFD.

Association of Days Alive and at Home at Day 90 After Intensive Care Unit Admission With Long-term Survival and Functional Status Among Mechanically Ventilated Patients

IMPORTANCE

Many conventional end points in randomized clinical trials of interventions for critically ill patients do not account for patient-centered concerns such as time at home, physical function, and quality of life after critical illness.

OBJECTIVE

To establish whether days alive and at home at day 90 (DAAH90) is associated with long-term survival and functional outcomes in mechanically ventilated patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The RECOVER prospective cohort study was conducted from February 2007 to March 2014, using data from 10 intensive care units (ICUs) in Canada. Patients were included in the baseline cohort if they were aged 16 years or older and underwent invasive mechanical ventilation for 7 or more days. The follow-up cohort analyzed here comprised RECOVER patients who were alive and had functional outcomes ascertained at 3, 6, and 12 months. Secondary data analysis occurred from July 2021 to August 2022.

EXPOSURES

Composite of survival and days alive and at home at day 90 after ICU admission (DAAH90).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Functional outcomes at 3, 6, and 12 months were evaluated with the Functional Independence Measure (FIM), the 6-Minute Walk Test (6MWT), the Medical Research Council (MRC) Scale for Muscle Strength, and the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey physical component summary (SF-36 PCS). Mortality was evaluated at 1 year from ICU admission. Ordinal logistic regression was used to describe the association between DAAH90 tertiles and outcomes. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the independent association of DAAH90 tertiles with mortality.

RESULTS

The baseline cohort comprised 463 patients. Their median age was 58 years (IQR, 47-68 years), and 278 patients (60.0%) were men. In these patients, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, ICU intervention (eg, kidney replacement therapy or tracheostomy), and ICU length of stay were independently associated with lower DAAH90. The follow-up cohort comprised 292 patients. Their median age was 57 years (IQR, 46-65 years), and 169 patients (57.9%) were men. Among patients who survived to day 90, lower DAAH90 was associated with higher mortality at 1 year after ICU admission (tertile 1 vs tertile 3: adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.18 [95% CI, 0.07-0.43]; P < .001). At 3 months of follow-up, lower DAAH90 was independently associated with lower median scores on the FIM (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 76 [IQR, 46.2-101] vs 121 [IQR, 112-124.2]; P = .04), 6MWT (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 98 [IQR, 0-239] vs 402 [IQR, 300-494]; P < .001), MRC (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 48 [IQR, 32-54] vs 58 [IQR, 51-60]; P < .001), and SF-36 PCS (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 30 [IQR, 22-38] vs 37 [IQR, 31-47]; P = .001) measures. Among patients who survived to 12 months, being in tertile 3 vs tertile 1 for DAAH90 was associated with higher FIM score at 12 months (estimate, 22.4 [95% CI, 14.8-30.0]; P < .001), but this association was not present for ventilator-free days (estimate, 6.0 [95% CI, -2.2 to 14.1]; P = .15) or ICU-free days (estimate, 5.9 [95% CI, -2.1 to 13.8]; P = .15) at day 28.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, lower DAAH90 was associated with greater long-term mortality risk and worse functional outcomes among patients who survived to day 90. These findings suggest that the DAAH90 end point reflects long-term functional status better than standard clinical end points in ICU studies and may serve as a patient-centered end point in future clinical trials.

Evaluation of stroke pre-hospital management in Lebanon from symptoms onset to hospital arrival and impact on patients' status at discharge: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Hospital arrival time after acute ischemic stroke onset is the major factor limiting the eligibility of patients to receive intravenous thrombolysis. Shortening the prehospital delay is crucial to reducing morbidity and mortality for stroke patients. The study was conducted to investigate the factors that influence hospital arrival time after acute stroke onset in the Lebanese population and to assess the effect of the prehospital phase on patients' prognosis at discharge.

METHOD

A prospective cross-sectional study was performed in eleven hospitals from April to July 2021 including 100 patients having stroke symptoms or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Two questionnaires were used to collect data addressing patient management in the pre-hospital phase and the in-hospital phase. Descriptive and bivariate analyses were done to evaluate the potential associations between prognosis, pre-hospital characteristics, and other factors.

RESULTS

The patients' mean age was 70.36 ± 12.25 years, 43 (53.8%) of them were females, and 79 (85%) arrived within 3 hours after symptoms onset. Diabetic patients had a significant delay in hospital arrival compared with non-diabetics (27.0%vs.7.1%, p-value = 0.009). Moreover, 37 (75.5%) of school-level education patients arrived early at the hospital compared to 7 (100%) of university-level education (p-value = 0.009). The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at discharge in patients with hemorrhagic stroke (10 (90%)) was worse than that in patients with ischemic stroke (38 (80%)) or TIA (3 (15%)) (p-value< 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The study findings make it imperative to raise awareness about stroke symptoms among the Lebanese population. Emergency Medical Services should be utilized appropriately in the transportation of stroke patients to achieve optimal patient outcomes.

Days alive and out of hospital following primary surgery for oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Days Alive and Out of Hospital (DAOH) is a recently introduced, readily obtainable postoperative outcome measure method that expresses procedure and disease-associated morbidity and mortality. In this study, we evaluated DAOH with 30- and 365-days follow-up periods after primary surgery (DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅, respectively) for patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). The aim of this study is to identify patient-, procedure- and disease-associated risk factors for patients treated with primary surgery for primary OSCC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study from a prospective collected database represents patients from Eastern Denmark surgically treated for primary OSCC in the period 2000-2014. DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅ were calculated and associations with patient characteristics including comorbidity, tumor characteristics, clinical outcomes such as length of stay, readmission, and mortality were evaluated. Tests for difference and significance between groups were assessed with Mann-Whitney U test and quantile linear regression.

RESULTS

We included 867 patients (63% males, median age: 63 years (IQR 56-70 years)). Median DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅ after OSCC surgery were 25 days (IQR 21-27 days) and 356 days (IQR 336-360 days), respectively. Alcohol consumption had a significant association with a lower DAOH₃₆₅, p < 0.01, but not with DAOH₃₀. Advanced T-stage, adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) and increased Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score was significantly associated with a lower DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅.

CONCLUSION

In this population-based study in OSCC patients treated with primary surgery, we found that DAOH after 30 days was 25 days (83%), while DAOH after 365 days was 356 days (98%). Advanced T-stage acts as a predictor for significant DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅ reduction while excessive alcohol consumption predicts a significant DAOH₃₆₅ reduction. Readmission within 30 days following surgery was associated with further readmission within one year.

Prediction of 90 day home time among patients with low baseline ASPECTS undergoing endovascular thrombectomy: results from Alberta's Provincial Stroke Registry (QuICR)

BACKGROUND

The benefit of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in stroke patients with a low baseline Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS, ≤5) is uncertain. We aim to use random forest regression modeling to predict 90 day home time in patients with low ASPECTS.

METHODS

We used the Quality Improvement and Clinical Research (QuICR) provincial stroke registry and administrative data from southern Alberta to identify patients who underwent EVT in our center from July 2015 to November 2020. Baseline ASPECTS on non-contrast CT and CT angiography data were scored by a two physician consensus. The primary outcome was the predicted 90 day home time (the number of nights a patient is back at their premorbid living situation without an increase in level of care within 90 days of the stroke) using random forests regression. Estimates were generated using 200 bootstrapped datasets. Covariate contribution to home time was determined using partial dependence plots.

RESULTS

Of 657 EVT patients, 85 (12.9%) had baseline ASPECTS ≤5 (mean age 70.9 years, 44.7% women, 93.9% good-moderate collaterals, 60% M1-middle cerebral artery occlusion). Using partial dependence estimates, mean predicted home times were similar in the low ASPECTS (44.3 days) versus higher ASPECTS (43.1) groups. Factors predicting lower 90 day home time in this population were diabetes mellitus (-8.8 days), hypertension (-5.7 days), and atrial fibrillation (-3.6 days). There was no meaningful difference in predicted 90 day home time by sex, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Severity Scale score, occlusion site, tandem lesion, collateral grade or thrombolysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with low ASPECTS who are selected for EVT using demographic and clinical profiles similar to higher ASPECTS patients achieved comparable outcomes.

External validation of the Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity Indicator

BACKGROUND

The Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity (PaSSV) Indicator was derived to estimate stroke severity from variables in administrative datasets but has not been externally validated.

METHODS

We used linked administrative datasets to identify patients with first hospitalization for acute stroke between 2007-2018 in Alberta, Canada. We used the PaSSV indicator to estimate stroke severity. We used Cox proportional hazard models and evaluated the change in hazard ratios and model discrimination for 30-day and 1-year case fatality with and without PaSSV. Similar comparisons were made for 90-day home time thresholds using logistic regression. We also linked with a clinical registry to obtain National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and compared estimates from models without stroke severity, with PaSSV, and with NIHSS.

RESULTS

There were 28,672 patients with acute stroke in the full sample. In comparison to no stroke severity, addition of PaSSV to the 30-day case fatality models resulted in improvement in model discrimination (C-statistic 0.72 [95%CI 0.71-0.73] to 0.80 [0.79-0.80]). After adjustment for PaSSV, admission to a comprehensive stroke center was associated with lower 30-day case fatality (adjusted hazard ratio changed from 1.03 [0.96-1.10] to 0.72 [0.67-0.77]). In the registry sample (N = 1328), model discrimination for 30-day case fatality improved with the inclusion of stroke severity. Results were similar for 1-year case fatality and home time outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Addition of PaSSV improved model discrimination for case fatality and home time outcomes. The validity of PASSV in two Canadian provinces suggests that it is a useful tool for baseline risk adjustment in acute stroke.

Increasing home-time after a first diagnosis of heart failure in Sweden, 20 years trends

AIMS

This study was performed to compare trends in home-time for patients with heart failure (HF) between those of working age and those of retirement age in Sweden from 1992 to 2012.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The National Inpatient Register (IPR) was used to identify all patients aged 18 to 84 years with a first hospitalization for HF in Sweden from 1992 to 2012. Information on date of death, comorbidities, and sociodemographic factors were collected from the Swedish National Register on Cause of Death, the IPR, and the longitudinal integration database for health insurance and labour market studies, respectively. The patients were divided into two groups according to their age: working age (<65 years) and retirement age (≥65 years). Follow-up was 4 years. In total, following exclusions, 388 775 patients aged 18 to 84 years who were alive 1 day after discharge from a first hospitalization for HF were included in the study. The working age group comprised 62 428 (16%) patients with a median age of 58 (interquartile range, 53-62) years and 31.2% women, and the retirement age group comprised 326 347 (84%) patients with a median age of 77 (interquartile range, 73-81) years and 47.4% women. Patients of working age had more home-time than patients of retirement age (83.8% vs. 68.2%, respectively), mainly because of their lower 4 year mortality rate (14.2% vs. 29.7%, respectively). Home-time increased over the study period for both age groups, but the increase levelled off for older women after 2007, most likely because of less reduction in mortality in older women than in the other groups.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide study showed increasing home-time over the study period except for women of retirement age and older for whom the increase stalled after 2007, mainly because of a lower mortality reduction in this group. Efforts to improve patient-related outcome measures specifically targeted to this group may be warranted.

Major epidemiological features of first-ever ischemic stroke in Tuzla Canton, Bosnia and Herzegovina

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Opacity of data on stroke for Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H) is mainly due to the lack of a unified national stroke registry. This article aims to present updated epidemiological data on the etiology and risk factors for first-ever ischemic stroke in Tuzla Canton, B&H.

METHODS

This retrospective hospital-based study included all first-ever ischemic stroke patients admitted between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2018 at the Neurology Department, University Clinical Center Tuzla.

RESULTS

First-ever ischemic stroke was diagnosed in 739 patients. Leading risk factors were hypertension (94%), diabetes mellitus (40.7%), and dyslipidemia (38.8%). The most common stroke subtypes were atherothrombotic (36.8%), cardioembolic (21.9%), and stroke of undetermined etiologies (19.2%). Mean NIHSS score at discharge was 13 (IQR 2-16), and favorable patient outcome (mRs ≤2) was recorded in 26.4% patients. Men (aOR 0.39; 95% CI 0.24-0.64) and younger patients (aOR 0.96; 95% CI 0.93-0.98) had significantly higher probability of having a favorable outcome at discharge. Dyslipidemia could be considered as a predictive factor for patient outcome (aOR 0.66; 95% CI 0.43-1.00).

CONCLUSIONS

More than 92% of our patients had at least one modifiable risk factor, with hypertension and diabetes being at the forefront. One out of four patients had become functionally independent at discharge, while hospital mortality was lower than in other Eastern European countries. The overarching goal should be steered toward the development of a national stroke registry, which should be used as a reference for all further stroke management activities.

Risk-Standardized Home Time as a Novel Hospital Performance Metric for Pneumonia Hospitalization Among Medicare Beneficiaries: a Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) use hospital readmissions as a performance metric to incentivize hospital care for acute conditions including pneumonia. However, there are limitations to using readmission alone as a hospital performance metric.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize 30-day risk-standardized home time (RSHT), a novel patient-centered post-discharge performance metric for acute pneumonia hospitalizations in Medicare patients, and compare hospital rankings based on this metric with mortality and readmissions.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective, cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

A cohort of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries admitted between January 01, 2015 and November 30, 2017.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN MEASURES

Risk-standardized hospital-level home time within 30 days of discharge was evaluated as a novel performance metric. Multilevel regression models were used to calculate hospital-level estimates and rank hospitals based on RSHT, readmission rate (RSRR), and mortality rate (RSMR).

KEY RESULTS

A total of 1.7 million pneumonia admissions admitted to one of the 3116 hospitals were eligible for inclusion. The median 30-day RSHT was 20.5 days (interquartile range: 18.9-21.9 days; range: 5-29 days). Hospital-level characteristics such as case volume, bed size, for-profit ownership, rural location of the hospital, teaching status, and participation in the bundled payment program were significantly associated with home time. We found a modest, inverse correlation of RSHT with RSRR (rho: -0.233, p< 0.0001) and RSMR (rho: -0.223, p< 0.0001) for pneumonia. About 1/3rd of hospitals were reclassified as high performers based on their RSHT metric compared with the rank on their RSRR and RSMR metrics.

CONCLUSION

Home time is a novel, patient-centered, hospital-level metric that can be easily calculated using claims data and accounts for mortality, readmission to an acute care facility, and admission to a skilled nursing facility or long-term care facility after discharge. Utilization of this patient-centered metric could have policy implications in assessing hospital performance on delivery of healthcare to pneumonia patients.

Short- and Long-term Health Care Resource Utilization and Costs Following Intracerebral Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

We sought to evaluate the short- and long-term resource use and costs associated with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) taken from an entire population. We in addition sought to evaluate the association of oral anticoagulation (OAC) and health care costs.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) with ICH in the entire population of Ontario, Canada (2009-2017). We captured outcomes through linkage to health administrative databases. We used generalized linear models to identify factors associated with total cost. Analysis of OAC use was limited to patients ≥66 years of age. The primary outcome was total 1-year direct health care costs in 2020 US dollars.

RESULTS

Among 16,248 individuals with ICH (mean age 71.2 years, male 52.3%), 1-year mortality was 46.0%, and 24.2% required mechanical ventilation. The median total 1-year cost was $26,886 (interquartile range [IQR] $9,641-$62,907) with costs for those who died in hospital of $7,268 (IQR $4,031-$14,966) vs $44,969 (IQR $20,264-$82,414, p < 0.001) for survivors to discharge. OAC use (analysis limited to individuals ≥66 years old) was associated with higher total 1-year costs (cost ratio 1.06 [95% confidence interval 1.01-1.11]). Total 1-year costs for the entire cohort exceeded $120 million per year over the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

ICH is associated with significant health care costs, and the median cost of a patient with ICH is roughly 10 times the median inpatient cost in Ontario. Costs were higher among survivors than deceased patients. OAC use is independently associated with increased costs. To maximize cost-effectiveness, future therapies for ICH must aim to reduce disability, not only improve mortality.

Using random forests to model 90-day hometime in people with stroke

Background

Ninety-day hometime, the number of days a patient is living in the community in the first 90 after stroke, exhibits a non-normal bucket-shaped distribution, with lower and upper constraints making its analysis difficult. In this proof-of-concept study we evaluated the performance of random forests regression in the analysis of hometime.

Methods

Using administrative data we identified stroke hospitalizations between 2010 and 2017 in Ontario, Canada. We used random forests regression to predict 90-day hometime using 15 covariates. Model accuracy was determined using the r-squared statistic. Variable importance in prediction and the marginal effects of each covariate were explored.

Results

We identified 75,745 eligible patients. Median 90-day hometime was 59 days (Q1: 2, Q3: 83). Random forests predicted hometime with reasonable accuracy (adjusted r-squared 0.3462); no implausible values were predicted but extreme values were predicted with low accuracy. Frailty, stroke severity, and age exhibited inverse non-linear relationships with hometime and patients arriving by ambulance had less hometime than those who did not.

Conclusions

Random forests may be a useful method for analyzing 90-day hometime and capturing the complex non-linear relationships which exist between predictors and hometime. Future work should compare random forests to other models and focus on improving the accuracy of predictions of extreme values of hometime.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12874-021-01289-8.

Intracerebral Hemorrhage Incidence, Mortality, and Association With Oral Anticoagulation Use: A Population Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a devastating form of stroke associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Recent epidemiological data on incidence, mortality, and association with oral anticoagulation are needed.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) with ICH in the entire population of Ontario, Canada (April 1, 2009-March 30, 2019). We captured outcome data using linked health administrative databases. The primary outcome was mortality during hospitalization, as well as at 1 year following ICH.

RESULTS

We included 20 738 patients with ICH. Mean (SD) age was 71.3 (15.1) years, and 52.6% of patients were male. Overall incidence of ICH throughout the study period was 19.1/100 000 person-years and did not markedly change over the study period. In-hospital and 1-year mortality were high (32.4% and 45.4%, respectively). Mortality at 2 years was 49.5%. Only 14.5% of patients were discharged home independently. Over the study period, both in-hospital and 1-year mortality reduced by 10.4% (37.5% to 27.1%, P<0.001) and 7.6% (50.0% to 42.4%, P<0.001), respectively. Use of oral anticoagulation was associated with both in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 1.37 [95% CI, 1.26-1.49]) and 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.25]) following ICH.

CONCLUSIONS

Both short- and long-term mortality have decreased in the past decade. Most survivors from ICH are likely to be discharged to long-term care. Oral anticoagulation is associated with both short- and long-term mortality following ICH. These findings highlight the devastating nature of ICH, but also identify significant improvement in outcomes over time.

Alive and at home: Five-year outcomes in older adults following emergency general surgery

BACKGROUND

While the short-term risks of emergency general surgery (EGS) admission among older adults have been studied, little is known about long-term functional outcomes in this population. Our objective was to evaluate the relationship between EGS admission and the probability of an older adult being alive and residing in their own home 5 years later. We also examined the extent to which specific EGS diagnoses, need for surgery, and frailty modified this relationship.

METHODS

We performed a population-based, retrospective cohort study of community-dwelling older adults (age, ≥65 years) admitted to hospital for one of eight EGS diagnoses (appendicitis, cholecystitis, diverticulitis, strangulated hernia, bowel obstruction, peptic ulcer disease, intestinal ischemia, or perforated viscus) between 2006 and 2018 in Ontario, Canada. Cases were matched to controls from the general population. Time spent alive and at home (measured as time to nursing home admission or death) was compared between cases and controls using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox models.

RESULTS

A total of 90,245 older adults admitted with an EGS diagnosis were matched with controls. In the 5 years following an EGS admission, cases experienced significantly fewer months alive and at home compared with controls (mean time, 43 vs. 50 months; p < 0.001). Except for patients operated on for appendicitis and cholecystitis, all remaining patient subgroups experienced reduced time alive and at home compared with controls (p < 0.001). Cases remained at elevated risk of nursing home admission or death compared with controls for the entirety of the 5-year follow-up (hazard ratio, 1.17-5.11).

CONCLUSION

Older adults who required hospitalization for an EGS diagnosis were at higher risk for death or admission to a nursing home for at least 5 years following admission compared with controls. However, most patients (57%) remained alive and living in their own home at the end of this 5-year period.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Epidemiological, level III.

Time spent outside of the hospital, CKD progression, and mortality: a prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Home time-being out of any healthcare facility-has been proposed as a patient-centered outcome. This novel measure has not been investigated in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The aim of this study is to determine whether there was an association between home time and occurrence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or all-cause mortality during 1 year of follow-up.

METHODS

We assembled a prospective cohort of patients with CKD not requiring dialysis at the Nephrology Center of First Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University between May 2014 and April 2017 and followed up for 1 year. Home time was calculated as the number of days spent out of a hospital, rehabilitation facility, or skilled nursing facility. Outcomes included progression to ESRD and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Among 943 patients, 882 (93.5%) had complete follow-up through 1 year. Mean home time was 246.9 ± 126.7 days. In regression analysis, several patient characteristics were associated with significantly reduced home time, including diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease, and albuminuria. Home time was strongly correlated with time-to-event endpoints of ESRD (τ=0.324) and all-cause mortality (τ=0.785).

CONCLUSIONS

Home time is significantly reduced for patients with CKD not requiring dialysis and is highly correlated with traditional time-to-event endpoints. Home time serves as a novel, easily calculated, patient-centered outcome that may reflect effect of interventions on future CKD research.

Minocycline and Magnesium As Neuroprotective Agents for Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review

Stroke is a leading cause of death, disability, and dementia worldwide. Strokes can be divided into ischemic strokes and hemorrhagic strokes. At the moment, tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) is the only FDA-approved drug for ischemic stroke. Minocycline (MC) and Magnesium (Mg) are promising therapies for ischemic stroke, especially in the pre-hospital setting. These drugs are readily available, inexpensive, and generally safe. We decided to investigate these drugs' neuroprotective effects in treating ischemic stroke in the acute and chronic setting. We conducted a systematic review of the published literature on MC and Mg's functional outcome in ischemic stroke. This paper's methodology included only clinical trials published in the last 15 years, using PubMed as a database. The systematic review demonstrated that MC infusion in the pre-hospital and hospital setting improved functional outcomes and disability scores. Furthermore, MC also decreased matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP-9) levels. MC might have a more significant effect on men than women because different molecular pathways of cerebral ischemia seem to be involved between both genders. The systematic review showed that patients with ischemic stroke did not benefit from magnesium sulfate infusion in the pre-hospital and hospital setting. Nevertheless, patients with lacunar strokes and patients who supplemented their meals with potassium-magnesium salt in the diet had better functional outcomes. Future studies would need a more significant sample of participants and a better selection to increase the study's power and avoid selection bias, respectively. Further publications could benefit from subcategorizing strokes and investigating the gender role in stroke treatment. These directives could give a more robust conclusion regarding the neuroprotective effects of these drugs.

Long-term mortality and costs following use of Impella® for mechanical circulatory support: a population-based cohort study

PURPOSE

The Impella® device is a form of mechanical circulatory support (MCS) used in critically ill adults with cardiogenic shock. We sought to evaluate short- and long-term outcomes following the use of Impella, including mortality, healthcare utilization, and costs.

METHODS

Population-based, retrospective cohort study of adult patients (≥ 16 yr) receiving Impella in Ontario, Canada (1 April 2012-31March 2019). We captured outcomes through linkage to health administrative databases. The primary outcome was mortality during hospitalization. Secondary outcomes included mortality at 30 days, 90 days, and one year following Impella insertion. We analyzed health system costs in Canadian dollars in the year following the date of the index admission, including the costs of inpatient admission.

RESULTS

We included 162 patients. Mean (standard deviation) age was 59.2 (14.5) yr, and 73.5% of patients were male. Median [interquartile range (IQR)] time to Impella insertion from date of hospital admission was 2 [1-9] days. In-hospital mortality was 56.8%, and a significant proportion of patients were bridged to a ventricular assist device (67.9%). Mortality at one year was 61.7%. Among hospital survivors, only 38.6% were discharged home independently. Median [IQR] total cost in the year following admission among all patients was $88,397 [32,718-225,628], of which $66,529 [22,789-183,165] was attributed to inpatient care.

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital mortality among patients with cardiogenic shock receiving Impella is high, but with minimal increase at one year. While Impella patients accrued substantial costs, these largely reflected inpatient costs, and not costs incurred following hospital discharge.

Sex Differences in Endovascular Treatment for Stroke: A Population-based Analysis

BACKGROUND

Acute ischemic stroke may affect women and men differently. We aimed to evaluate sex differences in outcomes of endovascular treatment (EVT) for ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion in a population-based study in Alberta, Canada.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Over a 3-year period (April 2015-March 2018), 576 patients fit the inclusion criteria of our study and constituted the EVT group of our analysis. The medical treatment group of the ESCAPE trial had 150 patients. Thus, our total sample size was 726. We captured outcomes in clinical routine using administrative data and a linked database methodology. The primary outcome of our study was home-time. Home-time refers to the number of days that the patient was back at their premorbid living situation without an increase in the level of care within 90 days of the index stroke event. In adjusted analysis, EVT was associated with an increase of 90-day home-time by an average of 6.08 (95% CI -2.74-14.89, p-value 0.177) days in women compared to an average of 11.20 (95% CI 1.94-20.46, p-value 0.018) days in men. Further analysis revealed that the association between EVT and 90-day home-time in women was confounded by age and onset-to-treatment time.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a nonsignificant nominal reduction of 90-day home-time gain for women compared to men in this province-wide population-based study of EVT for large vessel occlusion, which was only partially explained by confounding.

Provincial Door-to-Needle Improvement Initiative Results in Improved Patient Outcomes Across an Entire Population

Background and Purpose:

Improving door-to-needle times (DNTs) for thrombolysis of acute ischemic stroke patients improves outcomes, but participation in DNT improvement initiatives has been mostly limited to larger, academic medical centers with an existing interest in stroke quality improvement. It is not known whether quality improvement initiatives can improve DNT at a population level, including smaller community hospitals. This study aims to determine the effect of a provincial improvement collaborative intervention on improvement of DNT and patient outcomes.

Methods:

A pre post cohort study was conducted over 10 years in the Canadian province of Alberta with 17 designated stroke centers. All ischemic stroke patients who received thrombolysis in the Canadian province of Alberta were included in the study. The quality improvement intervention was an improvement collaborative that involved creation of interdisciplinary teams from each stroke center, participation in 3 workshops and closing celebration, site visits, webinars, and data audit and feedback.

Results:

Two thousand four hundred eighty-eight ischemic stroke patients received thrombolysis in the pre- and postintervention periods (630 in the post period). The mean age was 71 years (SD, 14.6 years), and 46% were women. DNTs were reduced from a median of 70.0 minutes (interquartile range, 51–93) to 39.0 minutes (interquartile range, 27–58) for patients treated per guideline ( P <0.0001). The percentage of patients discharged home from acute care increased from 45.6% to 59.5% ( P <0.0001); the median 90-day home time increased from 43.3 days (interquartile range, 27.3–55.8) to 53.6 days (interquartile range, 36.8–64.6) ( P =0.0015); and the in-hospital mortality decreased from 14.5% to 10.5% ( P =0.0990).

Conclusions:

The improvement collaborative was likely the key contributing factor in reducing DNTs and improving outcomes for ischemic stroke patients across Alberta.

Home-Time as a Surrogate Measure for Functional Outcome After Stroke: A Validation Study

Purpose

Home-time has been found to correlate well with modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores in patients with stroke. This study aimed to determine its correlations in patients with different types of stroke at various time points after stroke in a non-Western population.

Methods

This study used linked data from multi-center stroke registry databases and a nationwide claims database of health insurance. Functional outcomes as measured with the modified Rankin Scale were obtained from the registry databases and home-time was derived from the claims database. Spearman correlation coefficients were used to assess the correlation between home-time and mRS scores. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance of home-time in predicting good functional outcome.

Results

This study included 7959 patients hospitalized for stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), for whom mRS scores were available in 6809, 6694, and 4330 patients at 90, 180, and 365 days, respectively. Home-time was highly correlated with mRS scores at the three time-points in patients with ischemic (Spearman's rho -0.69 to -0.83) or hemorrhagic (Spearman's rho -0.86 to -0.88) stroke, but the correlation was only weak to moderate in those with TIA (Spearman's rho -0.32 to -0.58). Home-time predicted good functional outcome with excellent discrimination in patients with ischemic (AUCs >0.8) or hemorrhagic (AUCs >0.9) stroke but less so in those with TIA (AUCs >0.7).

Conclusion

Home-time was highly correlated with mRS scores and showed excellent discrimination in predicting good functional outcome in patients with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. Home-time could serve as a valid surrogate measure for functional outcome after stroke.

Weights for ordinal analyses of the modified Rankin Scale in stroke trials: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Ordinal/shift analyses of ordered measures like the modified Rankin Scale(mRS) are underused as primary trial outcomes for neurological disorders - despite statistical advantages - potentially hindered by poor clinical interpretability versus dichotomies, and by valuing state-transitions equally (linear scale). Weighted ordinal analyses incorporating step-changes at key transitions might have greater statistical validity and clinical applicability.

METHODS

In a prospective population-based cohort of ischaemic stroke (Oxford Vascular Study, recruited 2002-2014), we stratified 5-year outcomes of death, dementia, and/or institutionalization, health/social-care costs, and EuroQol-derived quality-adjusted life-expectancy(QALE) by 3-month mRS. We compared root-mean-square errors(RMSEs) from linear regressions for these outcomes with the mRS coded as a linear scale versus incorporating a spline at transitions 1-2, 2-3, or 3-4. We derived 3-month mRS weights for probability of 5-year death/dementia/institutionalization using age/sex-adjusted logistic regressions, and cost and QALE weights from 1000-bootstraps. We applied these weights to analyse recent trials of thrombectomy for acute ischaemic stroke.

FINDINGS

Among 1,607 patients, a non-linear (S-shaped) relationship was observed between 3-month mRS and each 5-year outcome, with RMSEs 18-73% lower using a spline at mRS 2-3 versus a linear representation. Age/sex-adjusted probability weights for 5-year death/dementia/institutionalization were: mRS 0=0.19; 1=0.27; 2=0.41; 3=0.73; 4=0.77; 5=0.94 (mRS 6=1 by definition). Similar trends were seen with costs; estimated 5-year QALEs were: mRS 0=3.88; 1=3.49; 2=3.01; 3=1.87; 4=1.30; 5=0.06; 6=0. Results were similar stratifying by age/sex, and excluding pre-morbidly disabled patients. Using a weighted ordinal approach, estimates of thrombectomy impact were more favourable than estimates with dichotomous approaches, 5-year cost reductions being 29% higher than with 0-2/3-6, and over three-fold higher than with 0-1/2-6 dichotomy.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings favour weighting the mRS in ordinal analyses for stroke and other neurological disorders, as state-transitions differ in clinical prognosis, quality-of-life, and costs. These weights could also be used for prognostication and cost-effectiveness analyses.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, Wolfson Foundation, NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Rhodes Trust.

Measuring stroke outcomes for 74 501 patients using linked administrative data: System-wide estimates and validation of 'home-time' as a surrogate measure of functional status

AIMS

Administrative data offer cost-effective, whole-of-population stroke surveillance yet the lack of validated measures of functional status is a shortcoming. The number of days spent living at home after stroke ('home-time') is a patient-centred outcome that can be objectively ascertained from administrative data. Population-based validation against both severity and outcome measures and for all subtypes is lacking. We aimed to report representative 'home-time' estimates and validate 'home-time' as a surrogate measure of functional status after stroke.

METHODS

Stroke hospitalisations from a state-wide census in New South Wales, Australia, from January 1, 2005 to March 31, 2014 were linked to prehospital data, poststroke admissions and deaths. We correlated 90-day 'home-time' with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores, measured upon a patient's initial contact with paramedics and Functional Independence Measure (FIM) scores, measured upon entry to rehabilitation after the acute hospital stroke admission. Negative binomial regressions identified predictors of 'home-time'.

RESULTS

Patients with stroke (N = 74 501) spent a median of 53 days living at home 90 days after the event. Median 'home-time' was 60 days after ischaemic stroke, 49 days after subarachnoid haemorrhage and 0 days after intracerebral haemorrhage. GCS and FIM scores significantly correlated with 'home-time' (P < .001). Women spent significantly less time at home compared with men after stroke, although being married increased 'home-time' after ischaemic stroke and subarachnoid haemorrhage.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings underscore the immediate and adverse impact of stroke. 'Home-time' measured using administrative data is a robust, replicable and valid patient-centred outcome enabling inexpensive population-based surveillance and system-wide quality assessment.

Comparative Effectiveness of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Population-Based Analysis

Background A heterogeneous patient population receives endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke caused by proximal large-vessel occlusion every day. We aimed to conduct a population-based study of EVT in the province of Alberta, Canada, to understand the effectiveness in a complete population and how the magnitude of effect differs from the artificial world of clinical trials. Methods and Results Within a 3-year period (April 2015 to March 2018), 576 patients fit the inclusion criteria of our study and constituted the EVT group of our analysis. The medical treatment group of the ESCAPE (Endovascular Treatment for Small Core and Anterior Circulation Proximal Occlusion With Emphasis on Minimizing CT [Computed Tomography] to Recanalization Times) trial had 150 patients. Thus, our total sample size was 726. We captured outcomes in clinical routine using administrative data and a linked database method. Primary outcome of our study was home-time. Home-time refers to the number of days that the patient was back at premorbid living situation without increase in level of care within 90 days of index stroke event. Median age of patients was 70 years (interquartile range, 59-81 years), and 47.8% were women. Median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was 17 (interquartile range, 13-20). EVT was associated with an increased 90-day home-time by an average of 8.5 days compared with medical treatment alone using Cragg hurdle regression (P=0.009). Age and higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score were associated with decreased 90-day home-time (both P<0.001). Multivariable logistic regression showed no association between EVT and mortality at 90 days (odds ratio, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.47-1.24). Conclusions EVT for acute ischemic stroke caused by proximal large-vessel occlusion was effective in our province-wide population-based study and results in an increase of 90-day home-time by ~8.5 days.

[Analysis of comorbidities in hospitalized patients for ischemic stroke and their effects on lethality]

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study consists of analyzing the comorbidities of acute ischemic stroke and those influencing its hospital lethality.

METHODS

We considered patients from Wallonia aged 25 years or more and admitted to a Belgian hospital for an acute ischemic stroke in 2013 and 2014. The analyzed medico-administrative data are taken from the Minimum Hospital Summary. A factorial correspondence analysis (FCA) was used to demonstrate the comorbidities profiles. A logistic regression was used to analyse the comorbidities influencing hospital lethality by ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

The stroke risk factors vary according to the age. Cardiac problems are more common in older people aged 85 years or more. High blood pressure, hypercholesterolemia and diabetes are more present between 65- and 84-year-olds. Overweight is more present between 55 and 74-year-olds. People who are addicted to alcohol or tobacco are often 65 years or younger. The logistic regression showed that age and heart problems are the risk factors that increase lethality. However there is a lethality diminution in the presence of high blood pressure, hypercholesterolemia, overweight and addiction to alcohol or tobacco.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that medico-administrative databases and factorial statistical methods are perfectly adapted to confirm the ischemic stroke risk factors. This type of study will allow to target with more precision the secondary and tertiary prevention actions of stroke.

Development and validation of a prediction model for home discharge in patients with moderate stroke: The Korean stroke cohort for functioning and rehabilitation study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have investigated the predictors for home discharge without considering stroke severity.

OBJECTIVES

To develop a practical assessment tool that predicts home discharge for moderate stroke patients after subacute rehabilitation therapy in the tertiary hospitals.

METHODS

Stroke patients with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores of 6 to 13 were included in this prospective cohort study. Various demographic, clinical, and functional factors were analyzed as potential predictive factors. A weighted scoring model was developed through the following three-step process: 1) selection of the factors by logistic regression analyses, 2) development of a weighted scoring model, and 3) validation of the generalizability of the model.

RESULTS

The home discharge rate was 51% (n = 372), and the overall mean length of stay of hospitalization was 32.5 days. 1) The Cognitive Functional Independence Measure, 2) the Functional Ambulation Categories, 3) the modified Charlson Comorbidity Index, and 4) marital status were independent predictors of home discharge. The coefficient value for marital status was adjusted to 1 in the scoring system, and the values of the other parameters were proportionally converted to the nearest integer. Possible total scores ranged from 0 to 13 in the model, with a higher score indicating a higher probability of home discharge. With a cutoff point of 7, this model showed 87.0% sensitivity and 86.2% specificity (area under the curve = 0.90).

CONCLUSIONS

This novel assessment tool can be useful in predicting home discharge after subacute rehabilitation of moderate stroke patients.

Impact of postoperative intensive care unit utilization on postoperative outcomes in adults undergoing major elective noncardiac surgery

OBJECTIVE

There is a wide variation between hospitals with respect to rates of use of postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) after major noncardiac surgery. Whether ICU care improves patient-centered outcomes remains unknown. Days alive and out of hospital (DAH) is a novel patient-centered outcome that has been validated for surgical patients. We conducted a population-based cohort study to evaluate the association of hospital-level postoperative ICU use with DAH after select major elective noncardiac surgery.

DESIGN

Historical cohort study.

SETTING

Acute hospitals in Ontario, Canada.

PATIENTS

Adults aged ≥40 years who underwent lower gastrointestinal, peripheral arterial disease and nephrectomy surgery between 2006 and 2016.

INTERVENTION

The main exposure was admission to ICU within 24 h after surgery.

MEASUREMENT

The primary outcome was DAH at 30 days (DAH₃₀) and secondary outcomes were DAH at 90 and 180 days (DAH₉₀ and DAH₁₈₀). Hospitals were ranked into quartiles based on the hospital-specific proportion of patients admitted to ICU within 24 h post-surgery. Descriptive statistics and hierarchical multivariable quantile regression modeling were used to assess the unadjusted and adjusted association of hospital-level ICU use with the primary and secondary outcomes for each surgical procedure.

MAIN RESULTS

The cohort included 91,950 patients. Median DAH₃₀ was 23 days for lower gastrointestinal resection, 24 days for peripheral arterial disease and 26 days for nephrectomy. Higher hospital-specific use of ICU use after surgery was not associated with improved DAH₃₀, DAH₉₀ or DAH₁₈₀ for any surgical group.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospital-specific ICU admission practice showed no association with the patient-centered outcome of DAH in select elective major noncardiac surgical procedures.

Hospital-based cohort study to determine the association between home-time and disability after stroke by age, sex, stroke type and study year in Canada

OBJECTIVE

Home-time is an emerging patient-centred stroke outcome metric, but it is not well described in the population. We aimed to determine the association between 90-day home-time and global disability after stroke. We hypothesised that longer home-time would be associated with less disability.

DESIGN

Hospital-based cohort study of patients with ischaemic stroke or intracerebral haemorrhage admitted to an acute care hospital between 1 April 2002 and 31 March 2013.

SETTING

All regional stroke centres and a simple random sample of patients from all other hospitals across the province of Ontario, Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

We included 39 417 adult patients (84% ischaemic, 16% haemorrhage), 53% male, with a median age of 74 years. We excluded non-residents of Ontario, patients without a valid health insurance number, patients discharged against medical advice or those who failed to return from a pass, patients living in a long-term care centre at baseline and stroke events occurring in-hospital.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Association between 90-day home-time, defined as the number of days spent at home in the first 90 days after stroke, obtained using linked administrative data and modified Rankin Scale score at discharge.

RESULTS

Compared with people with no disability, those with minimal disability had less home-time (adjusted rate ratio (aRR) 0.96, 95% CI 0.93 to 0.98) and those with the most severe disability had the least home-time (aRR 0.05, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.05). We found no clinically relevant modification by stroke type, sex or study year. However, for a given level of disability, older patients experienced less home-time compared with younger patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results provide content validity for home-time to be used to monitor stroke outcomes in large populations or to study temporal trends. Older patients experience less home-time for a given level of disability, suggesting the need for stratification by age.

One-Year Home-Time and Mortality After Thrombolysis Compared With Nontreated Patients in a Propensity-Matched Analysis

Background and Purpose- Intravenous thrombolysis with r-tPA (recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator) is associated with improved early functional outcome after stroke, but its long-term effects are less understood. We aimed to determine the association between r-tPA and 1-year outcomes after stroke. Methods- We used the Ontario Stroke Registry to identify patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke between 2002 and 2013 in Ontario, Canada, their baseline characteristics, and whether they received r-tPA. We used propensity score methods to match patients treated with r-tPA to nontreated patients. The primary outcome was 1-year home-time, defined as the number of days spent outside of any healthcare institutions in the first 365 days after the index date of admission. Secondary outcomes were admission to a nursing home and all-cause mortality in the first year. Outcomes were determined using linked administrative data. We used paired t tests to compare mean home-time days and Cox proportional hazards models for mortality and nursing home admission to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CI. Results- All 4449 patients treated with r-tPA in the registry were matched to nontreated patients. Compared with nontreated patients, those treated with r-tPA experienced more time at home in the first year (mean±SD was 248.9 days±137.2 treated versus 239.4 days±139.0 nontreated, P=0.005) and were less likely to be admitted to nursing homes (9.4% treated versus 12.2% nontreated; hazard ratio, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.78-0.91). One-year all-cause mortality was similar between the 2 groups (13.2% treated versus 12.4% nontreated; hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.96-1.20). Conclusions- Despite similar mortality, patients who received r-tPA spent more time at home and were less likely to require nursing home admission in the first year after stroke compared with nontreated patients, suggesting long-term benefits and safety of this treatment.

Days Alive and Out of Hospital

Editor’s Perspective

What We Already Know about This Topic

What This Article Tells Us That Is New

Background

Days alive and out of hospital is a potentially useful patient-centered quality measure for perioperative care in adult surgical patients. However, there has been very limited prior validation of this endpoint with respect to its ability to capture differences in patient-level risk factor profiles and longer-term postoperative outcomes. The main objective of this study was assessment of the feasibility and validity of days alive and out of hospital as a patient-centered outcome for perioperative medicine.

Methods

The authors evaluated 540,072 adults undergoing 1 of 12 major elective noncardiac surgical procedures between 2006 to 2014. Primary outcome was days alive and out of hospital at 30 days, secondary outcomes were days alive and out of hospital at 90 days and 180 days. Unadjusted and risk-adjusted adjusted analyses were used to determine the association of days alive and out of hospital with patient-, surgery-, and hospital-level characteristics. Patients with days alive and out of hospital at 30 days values less than the tenth percentile were also classified as having poor days alive and out of hospital at 30 days. The authors then determined the association of poor days alive and out of hospital at 30 days with in-hospital complications, poor days alive and out of hospital at 90 days (less than the tenth percentile), and poor days alive and out of hospital at 180 days (less than the tenth percentile).

Results

Overall median (interquartile range) days alive and out of hospital at 30, 90, and 180 days were 26 (24 to 27), 86 (84 to 87), and 176 (173 to 177) days, respectively. Median days alive and out of hospital at 30 days was highest for hysterectomy and endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (27 days) and lowest for upper gastrointestinal surgery (22 days). Days alive and out of hospital at 30 days was associated with clinically sensible patient-level factors (comorbidities, advanced age, postoperative complications), but not measured hospital-level factors (academic status, bed size). Of patients with good days alive and out of hospital at 30 days, 477,163 of 486,087 (98%) and 470,093 of 486,087 (97%) remained within this group (greater than the tenth percentile) at days alive and out of hospital at 90 and 180 days.

Conclusions

Days alive and out of hospital is a feasibly measured patient-centered outcome that is associated with clinically sensible patient characteristics, surgical complexity, in-hospital complications, and longer-term outcomes. Days alive and out of hospital forms a novel patient-centered outcome for future clinical trials and observational studies for adult surgical patients.

Expanding Eligibility in Stroke Prevention Trials to Patients with Early Disability

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Early disability after stroke is common, though many patients improve. Stroke secondary prevention trials often prohibit the recruitment of nonambulatory patients, limiting their access to potential treatment options and impeding trial enrollment. We aimed to determine outcomes after early dependence around the time of transition from acute care to recovery.

METHODS

Data were obtained from a composite of patients enrolled in acute stroke clinical trials within the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive (VISTA-Acute). Early disability was defined by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 4 or 5 between days 3-10 after onset, representing the time of discharge or transition to a rehabilitation-focused care setting. We developed multivariable models to identify factors associated with recovery to independent ambulatory function and recurrent stroke during the 90 days after stroke.

RESULTS

4965 patients were included, with 2905 (59%) having early disability. Patients with early dependence were older, more likely to be women, had higher baseline NIHSS scores, and had more atrial fibrillation and diabetes mellitus, compared with those who were initially ambulatory. Recovery to ambulatory function occurred in 58% with early mRS = 4, compared to only 16% with early mRS = 5. Of those with early mRS = 4, return to independent ambulatory status by 90 days was associated in multivariable analysis with age, diabetes, prior stroke, NIH motor and gaze subscores, and thrombolysis. Recurrent ischemic stroke through day 90 was reported in 126 of 2905 (4.3%) subjects with early dependence compared to 63 of 2060 (3.1%), which was not different after adjustment for age, sex, and risk factors (odds ratio 1.27; 95% confidence interval 0.92-1.73).

CONCLUSIONS

Favorable outcomes are common among ischemic stroke patients previously enrolled in acute clinical trials despite early dependence (mRS = 4) after initial acute hospital care. Further, their risk of recurrent stroke is high in the short term. These patients likely benefit from aggressive poststroke care and should be actively recruited into secondary prevention trials.

The impact of disease severity adjustment on hospital standardised mortality ratios: Results from a service-wide analysis of ischaemic stroke admissions using linked pre-hospital, admissions and mortality data

Background

Administrative data are used to examine variation in thirty-day mortality across health services in several jurisdictions. Hospital performance measurement may be error-prone as information about disease severity is not typically available in routinely collected data to incorporate into case-mix adjusted analyses. Using ischaemic stroke as a case study, we tested the extent to which accounting for disease severity impacts on hospital performance assessment.

Methods

We linked all recorded ischaemic stroke admissions between July, 2011 and June, 2014 to death registrations and a measure of stroke severity obtained at first point of patient contact with health services, across New South Wales, Australia’s largest health service jurisdiction. Thirty-day hospital standardised mortality ratios were adjusted for either comorbidities, as is typically done, or for both comorbidities and stroke severity. The impact of stroke severity adjustment on mortality ratios was determined using 95% and 99% control limits applied to funnel plots and by calculating the change in rank order of hospital risk adjusted mortality rates.

Results

The performance of the stroke severity adjusted model was superior to incorporating comorbidity burden alone (c-statistic = 0.82 versus 0.75; N = 17,700 patients, 176 hospitals). Concordance in outlier classification was 89% and 97% when applying 95% or 99% control limits to funnel plots, respectively. The sensitivity rates of outlier detection using comorbidity adjustment compared with gold-standard severity and comorbidity adjustment was 74% and 83% with 95% and 99% control limits, respectively. Corresponding positive predictive values were 74% and 91%. Hospital rank order of risk adjusted mortality rates shifted between 0 to 22 places with severity adjustment (Median = 4.0, Inter-quartile Range = 2–7).

Conclusions

Rankings of mortality rates varied widely depending on whether stroke severity was taken into account. Funnel plots yielded largely concordant results irrespective of severity adjustment and may be sufficiently accurate as a screening tool for assessing hospital performance.

Home Time as a Patient-Centered Outcome in Administrative Claims Data

BACKGROUND

Home time, the number of days alive and spent out of hospital and skilled nursing facility, has been proposed as a patient-centered outcome that can be readily calculated in administrative claims data.

OBJECTIVES

To compare home time against existing patient-centered outcome measures.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Community.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 4594 Medicare beneficiaries 65 years or older with complete survey and claims data in the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey 2010 to 2011.

MEASUREMENTS

Home time was calculated from the 2011 claims data (range, 0-365 days). The 1-year incidence of patient-centered outcomes (poor self-rated health, mobility impairment, depression, limited social activity, and difficulty in self-care) was measured. The minimum clinically important difference (MCID) was derived by contrasting the mean home time between those who experienced functional decline or death and those who did not.

RESULTS

The mean home time was 355.8 days (SD, 42.1 days); 84.1% had a home time of 365 days, and 5.7% had a home time of 336 days or fewer. The incidence of poor self-rated health ranged from 2% (home time, 365 days) to 21% (home time, less than 337 days). Similarly, the corresponding incidence risks were 11% to 59% for mobility impairment, 5% to 19% for depression, 17% to 67% for limited social activity, and 13% to 68% for difficulty in self-care. The risk of mobility impairment, depression, and difficulty in self-care increased steeply after home time loss of 15 days or greater. The MCID of home time was 18.6 days.

CONCLUSION

A loss in home time is associated with decline in several patient-centered outcome measures in community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries. These results provide empirical evidence to promote adoption of home time and its clinical interpretation for database studies of medical interventions. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:347-351, 2019.

Ordinal vs dichotomous analyses of modified Rankin Scale, 5-year outcome, and cost of stroke

Objective

To compare how 3 common representations (ordinal vs dichotomized as 0–1/2–6 or 0–2/3–6) of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS)—a commonly used trial outcome measure—relate to long-term outcomes, and quantify trial ineligibility rates based on premorbid mRS.

Methods

In consecutive patients with ischemic stroke in a population-based, prospective, cohort study (Oxford Vascular Study; 2002–2014), we related 3-month mRS to 1-year and 5-year disability and death (logistic regressions), and health/social care costs (generalized linear model), adjusted for age/sex, and compared goodness-of-fit values (C statistic, mean absolute error). We also calculated the proportion of patients in whom premorbid mRS score >1 or >2 would result in exclusion from trials using dichotomous analysis.

Results

Among 1,607 patients, the ordinal mRS was more strongly related to 5-year mortality than both the 0–1/2–6 and 0–2/3–6 dichotomies (all p < 0.0001). Results were similar for 5-year disability, and 5-year care costs were also best captured by the ordinal model (change in mean absolute error vs age/sex: −$3,059 for ordinal, −$2,805 for 0–2/3–6, −$1,647 for 0–1/2–6). Two hundred forty-four (17.1%) 3-month survivors had premorbid mRS score >2 and 434 (30.5%) had mRS score >1; both proportions increased with female sex, socioeconomic deprivation, and age (all p < 0.0001).

Conclusion

The ordinal form of the 3-month mRS relates better to long-term outcomes and costs in survivors of ischemic stroke than either dichotomy. This finding favors using ordinal approaches in trials analyzing the mRS. Exclusion of patients with higher premorbid disability by use of dichotomous primary outcomes will also result in unrepresentative samples.

Canadian Stroke Best Practice Recommendations for Acute Stroke Management: Prehospital, Emergency Department, and Acute Inpatient Stroke Care, 6th Edition, Update 2018

The 2018 update of the Canadian Stroke Best Practice Recommendations for Acute Stroke Management, 6th edition, is a comprehensive summary of current evidence-based recommendations, appropriate for use by healthcare providers and system planners caring for persons with very recent symptoms of acute stroke or transient ischemic attack. The recommendations are intended for use by a interdisciplinary team of clinicians across a wide range of settings and highlight key elements involved in prehospital and Emergency Department care, acute treatments for ischemic stroke, and acute inpatient care. The most notable changes included in this 6th edition are the renaming of the module and its integration of the formerly separate modules on prehospital and emergency care and acute inpatient stroke care. The new module, Acute Stroke Management: Prehospital, Emergency Department, and Acute Inpatient Stroke Care is now a single, comprehensive module addressing the most important aspects of acute stroke care delivery. Other notable changes include the removal of two sections related to the emergency management of intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage. These topics are covered in a new, dedicated module, to be released later this year. The most significant recommendation updates are for neuroimaging; the extension of the time window for endovascular thrombectomy treatment out to 24 h; considerations for treating a highly selected group of people with stroke of unknown time of onset; and recommendations for dual antiplatelet therapy for a limited duration after acute minor ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack. This module also emphasizes the need for increased public and healthcare provider’s recognition of the signs of stroke and immediate actions to take; the important expanding role of paramedics and all emergency medical services personnel; arriving at a stroke-enabled Emergency Department without delay; and launching local healthcare institution code stroke protocols. Revisions have also been made to the recommendations for the triage and assessment of risk of recurrent stroke after transient ischemic attack/minor stroke and suggested urgency levels for investigations and initiation of management strategies. The goal of this updated guideline is to optimize stroke care across Canada, by reducing practice variations and reducing the gap between current knowledge and clinical practice.

Role of PARK7 and NDKA in stroke management: a review of PARK7 and NDKA as stroke biomarkers

AIM

Biomarkers are molecules measured in plasma, serum or other body fluids to characterize a disease. PARK7 and NDKA roles in the management of stroke are still on study. Therefore, their potentials need to be developed in totality. The aim of this review is to demonstrate that PARK7 and NDKA could present more clinical important information as biomarkers for management of stroke disease. Main contents: Four main aspects of PARK7 and NDKA are exploited in this review. First, their diagnostic value is discussed in order to demonstrate their possible role as stroke diagnosis markers. Second, this article will exploit the correlation of both markers with time, by showing their dynamic changes in serum and plasma. Third, it describes the observed relationship of their levels with NIH Stroke Scale. The last aspect visits the possibility of their implementation in stroke therapy.

CONCLUSION

This article explores recent findings and proposes the potential roles that PARK7 and NDKA play in the management of acute stroke disease.