Intensification with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor, insulin, or thiazolidinediones and risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular diseases, and severe hypoglycemia in patients on metformin-sulfonylurea dual therapy: A retrospective cohort study

Development and validation of a prediction model for self-reported hypoglycemia risk in patients with type 2 diabetes: A longitudinal cohort study

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To develop and validate a simple prediction model for hypoglycemia risk in patients with type 2 diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We prospectively analyzed the data of 1,303 subjects in a third-class hospital in Tianjin and followed up their hypoglycemia events at 3 and 6 months. The hypoglycemia risk prediction models for 3 and 6 months were developed and the model performance was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 340 (28.4%) patients experienced hypoglycemia within 3 months and 462 (37.2%) within 6 months during the follow-up period. Age, central obesity, intensive insulin therapy, frequency of hypoglycemia in the past year, and hypoglycemia prevention education entered both model3month and model6month. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of model3month and model6month were 0.711 and 0.723, respectively. The Youden index was 0.315 and 0.361, while the sensitivities were 0.615 and 0.714, and the specificities were 0.717 and 0.631. The calibration curves showed that the models were similar to reality. The decision curves implied that the clinical net benefit of the model was clear.

CONCLUSIONS

The study developed 3 and 6 month hypoglycemia risk prediction models for patients with type 2 diabetes. The discrimination and calibration of the two prediction models were good, and might help to improve clinical decision-making and guide patients to more reasonable self-care and hypoglycemia prevention at home.

Kidney outcomes associated with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors versus glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists: A real-world population-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Kidney benefits have been demonstrated for both sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1RA) compared with placebo in patients with type 2 diabetes. This study aimed to compare the impacts of SGLT2i and GLP1RA on the trend of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and other kidney outcomes.

METHODS

Using a real-world population-based database, the Hong Kong Hospital Authority (HA) database, of patients with type 2 diabetes between January 2008 and December 2020, patients started on SGLT2i were compared with those started on GLP1RA, with one-to-one propensity-score matching. Primary outcome was a composite of sustained ≥50% eGFR decline, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), incident macroalbuminuria and kidney-related mortality. Secondary outcome was the rate of eGFR decline.

FINDINGS

A total of 2551 SGLT2i and 2551 GLP1RA new users were analyzed. At baseline, mean age was 56·2 years, with mean eGFR 78·0 mL/min/1·73m² and 11·9% having macroalbuminuria. Upon median follow-up of 13 months (IQR: 5-27), SGLT2i users had a lower risk of composite kidney outcomes (HR=0·77, 95%CI 0·62-0·96, p = 0·02), mainly driven by a reduction in ESKD (HR=0·53, p = 0·01). SGLT2i users also tended to have a lower risk of incident macroalbuminuria (HR=0·74, p = 0·05). Subgroup analyses of the benefits of SGLT2i use on composite kidney outcomes did not reveal interaction by age, sex, baseline eGFR/albuminuria status, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and renin-angiotensin-system inhibitor use. Furthermore, SGLT2i users had a slower eGFR decline than GLP1RA users (SGLT2i: -1·19 mL/min/1·73m²/year, GLP1RA: -1·95 mL/min/1·73m²/year, p < 0·01).

INTERPRETATION

Our results suggest that SGLT2i might be superior to GLP1RA in reducing kidney outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes. Future trials are needed to corroborate our findings.

FUNDING

None.

Cardio-renal outcomes and the direct medical cost of type 2 diabetes patients treated with sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: A population-based cohort study

AIMS

To compare cardio-renal outcomes and incurred direct medical costs of patients initiating sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA).

METHODS

A population-based cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes was identified from Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Patients who were free from cardiovascular and end-stage renal diseases at baseline, and newly treated with SGLT2i (n = 2,541) or GLP-1RA (n = 303), were included. Risks of developing cardio-renal complications, incurred direct medical costs, and changes in clinical parameters were assessed between groups.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 12.5 months in SGLT2i group and 25.5 months in GLP-1RA group, SGLT2i users were associated with significantly lower risk of heart failure compared with those on GLP-1RA [hazard ratio = 0.183, 95 %CI = (0.045, 0.745)]. 1-year change in clinical parameters also favored use of SGLT2i over GLP-1RA, where the former was associated with a larger reduction in fasting glucose level [difference-in-difference = -0.87 mmol/L, 95 %CI = (-1.42, -0.33), p = 0.002]. The two groups had comparable direct medical costs after 1-year of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Patients initiating SGLT2i experienced a significantly lower risk of heart failure than those on GLP-1RA, alongside better glycemic control through a larger reduction in fasting glucose level over one-year follow-up, while direct medical cost incurred was comparable to that of GLP-1RA.

Effects of bariatric surgery on kidney diseases, cardiovascular diseases, mortality and severe hypoglycaemia among patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Bariatric surgery has been widely indicated for the management of obesity and related comorbidities. However, there are uncertainties pertaining to the risks of post-bariatric severe hypoglycaemia (SH), cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), end-stage kidney diseases (ESKDs) and all-cause mortality in obese patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), especially among Asian populations.

METHODS

A retrospective population-based cohort of 1702 obese T2DM patients who were free of CVD and ESKD were assembled based on the 2006-17 Hospital Authority database. One-to-five propensity-score matching was used to balance baseline covariates between patients in bariatric surgery and control groups. Incidence rates (IRs) of SH, CVD, Stage 4/5 chronic kidney diseases (CKD), ESKD and all-cause mortality events for two groups were calculated. Hazard ratios (HR) for SH, CVD and Stage 4/5 CKD events were assessed using Cox-proportional hazard models. Changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) were measured up to 60 months.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up period of 32 months with 5725 person-years, cumulative incidences of mortality, CVD, Stage 4/5 CKD, ESKD and SH were 0, 0.036, 0.050, 0.017 and 0.020, respectively. The surgery group had a significant reduction in risk of CVD events (HR = 0.464, P = 0.015) and no occurrence of mortality events. However, there were no significant differences in risks of SH [HR = 0.469, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.204-1.081], Stage 4/5 CKD (HR =0.896, 95% CI: 0.519-1.545) and ESKD (HR = 0.666, 95% CI: 0.264-1.683) between two groups, although IRs were lower in the surgery group. Surgical patients had significantly higher eGFR within 12 months and had significantly lower UACR until 48 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Among obese T2DM patients, bariatric surgery lowered the risk of CVD and mortality, and was beneficial towards the kidney outcomes.

SGLT2i as fourth-line therapy and risk of mortality, end-stage renal diseases and cardiovascular diseases in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

AIM

Current guideline recommends insulin as fourth-line glucose-lowering medications. However, treatment effects of sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on the risk of complications are uncertain. This study examines risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and end-stage renal diseases (ESRD) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients on triple oral glucose-lowering medications initiating SGLT2i, insulin or other oral medications.

METHODS

A population-based retrospective cohort of patients with T2DM between 2006-2017 was extracted from Hong Kong Hospital Authority database. Patients who were initiated a fourth-line therapy with SGLT2i, insulin or other oral medications were included. Hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality, CVD and ESRD were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 18.5 months with 63,122 person-years, SGLT2i and insulin group had the lowest and highest incidence rate of all-cause mortality, CVD and ESRD (1.06, 0.65 and 0.61 vs 4.25, 5.58 and 4.39/100 person-years), respectively. Initiating SGLT2i as fourth-line medication had more benefits on CVD, in particular coronary heart disease and stroke. Insulin users had higher risks of CVD (HR=8.04, 95%CI=3.06-21.12) than SGLT2i users. SGLT2i was associated with insignificant reduction in ESRD (HR=4.62, 95%CI=0.73-29.09) and all-cause mortality (HR=3.06, 95%CI=0.75-12.45), and HF (HR=2.99, 95%CI=0.37-24.42) among patients without established HF.

CONCLUSION

Among T2DM patients initiating fourth-line therapy, SGLT2i users had significant benefits in lowering risk of CVD, and potential benefits in lowering risks of ESRD and all-cause mortality. SGLT2i was the preferred fourth-line glucose-lowering medication least likely to be associated with complication risks.

Functional loss of pancreatic islets in type 2 diabetes: How can we halt it?

The loss of beta-cell functional mass is a necessary and early condition in the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D). In T2D patients, beta-cell function is already reduced by about 50% at diagnosis and further declines thereafter. Beta-cell mass is also reduced in subjects with T2D, and islets from diabetic donors are smaller compared to non-diabetic donors. Thus, beta-cell regeneration and/or preservation of the functional islet integrity should be highly considered for T2D treatment and possibly cure. To date, the available anti-diabetes drugs have been developed as "symptomatic" medications since they act to primarily reduce elevated blood glucose levels. However, a truly efficient anti-diabetes medication, capable to prevent the onset and progression of T2D, should stop beta-cell loss and/or promote the restoration of fully functional beta-cell mass, independently of reducing hyperglycemia and ameliorating glucotoxicity on the pancreatic islets. This review provides a view of the experimental and clinical evidence on the ability of available anti-diabetes drugs to exert protective effects on beta-cells, with a specific focus on human pancreatic islets and clinical trials. Potential explanations for the lack of concordance between evidence of beta-cell protection in vitro and of persistent amelioration of beta-cell function in vivo are also discussed.

DPP4i, thiazolidinediones, or insulin and risks of cancer in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus on metformin-sulfonylurea dual therapy with inadequate control

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to compare the risks of cancer among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on metformin-sulfonylurea dual therapy intensified with dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP4i), thiazolidinediones, or insulin.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We assembled a retrospective cohort data of 20 577 patients who were free of cancer and on metformin-sulfonylurea dual therapy, and whose drug treatments were intensified with DPP4i (n=9957), insulin (n=7760), or thiazolidinediones (n=2860) from January 2006 to December 2017. Propensity-score weighting was used to balance out baseline covariates across the three groups. HRs for any types of cancer, cancer mortality, and all-cause mortality were assessed using Cox proportional-hazards models.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up period of 34 months with 58 539 person-years, cumulative incidences of cancer, cancer mortality, and all-cause mortality were 0.028, 0.009, and 0.072, respectively. Patients intensified with insulin had the highest incidence of all-cause mortality (incidence rate=3.22/100 person-years) and the insulin itself posed the greatest risk (HR 2.46, 95% CI 2.25 to 2.70, p<0.001; 2.44, 95% CI 2.23 to 2.67) compared with thiazolidinediones and DPP4i, respectively. Comparing between thiazolidinediones and DPP4i, thiazolidinediones was associated with higher risk of cancer (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.63) but not cancer mortality (HR 1.21, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.58) and all-cause mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.11). Insulin was associated with the greatest risk of cancer mortality (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.71; 1.65, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.07) compared with thiazolidinediones and DPP4i, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with T2DM on metformin-sulfonylurea dual therapy, the addition of DPP4i was the third-line medication least likely to be associated with cancer mortality and cancer effect among three options, and posed no increased risk for all-cause mortality when compared with thiazolidinediones.