Modelling Japanese encephalitis virus transmission dynamics and human exposure in a Cambodian rural multi-host system

Revisiting the risk of introduction of Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) into the United States - An updated semi-quantitative risk assessment

Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is associated with encephalitis in humans and reproductive and neurological illness in pigs. JEV has expanded beyond its native distribution in southeast Asia, with identifications in Europe (2010) and Africa (2016), and most recently, its spread into mainland Australia (2021-2022). The introduction of JEV into the United States (US) is a public health risk, and could also impact animal health and the food supply. To efficiently and cost-effectively manage risk, a better understanding of how and where diseases will be introduced, transmitted, and spread is required. To achieve this objective, we updated our group's previous qualitative risk assessment using an established semi-quantitative risk assessment tool (MINTRISK) to compare the overall rate of introduction and risk, including impacts, of JEV in seven US regions. The rate of introduction from the current region of distribution was considered negligible for the Northeast, Midwest, Rocky Mountain, West, Alaska, and Hawaii regions. The South region was the only region with a pathway that had a non-negligible rate of introduction; infected mosquito eggs and larvae introduced via imported used tires (very low; 95% uncertainty interval (UI) = negligible to high). The overall risk estimate for the South was very high (95% UI = very low to very high). Based on this risk assessment, the South region should be prioritized for surveillance activities to ensure the early detection of JEV. The assumptions used in this risk assessment, due to the lack of information about the global movement of mosquitoes, number of feral pigs in the US, the role of non-ardeid wild birds in transmission, and the magnitude of the basic reproduction ratio of JEV in a novel region, need to be fully considered as these impact the estimated probability of establishment.

Seroconversion, genotyping, and potential mosquito vector identification of Japanese encephalitis virus in pig sentinel settings in Bali, Indonesia

Background and Aims

Despite the endemicity of Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) in humans and animals in the Province of Bali, Indonesia, there is little data on whether seroconversion to the virus occurs in pigs, JEV genotypes circulating, and it's potential mosquito vectors in the area. The aims of this study were to (i) Determine whether JEV infection in Balinese pigs occurs before reaching their sexual maturity, (ii) identify the genotypes of circulating JEV, and (iii) identify potential JEV mosquito vectors at the study sites in urban and peri-urban areas of Bali.

Materials and Methods

Sixteen 1-week-old Landrace piglets from two different sows were housed in Denpasar. Similarly, 18 one-week-old mixed-breed piglets of two different sows were housed in Badung Regency. The piglets were bled every 1 to 4 weeks for up to 24 weeks. Serum samples from the 11 piglets were tested for antibodies against JEV, and seroconversion-suspected sera were titrated using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Blood of seroconverted sera from pigs were tested using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) to detect the genetic sequence of JEV. The mosquitoes in the sentinels were trapped throughout the study period to identify the potential mosquito vectors of JEV.

Results

Antibodies were detected in most of the selected piglets' sera from weeks 1 to 24 of their age. However, sera of pig B9 collected from the sentinel setting in Badung Regency showed a four-fold increase in antibody titer from week 4 to week 8, indicating seroconversion. PCR testing of blood from B9 (pooled blood sample collected from week 5 to week 8) identified JEV nucleic acids, which were phylogenetically classified as belonging to the JEV genotype III. Meanwhile, 1271 of two genera of mosquitoes, Anopheles spp. and Culex spp. were trapped in the pig sentinels.

Conclusion

JEV seroconversion likely occurs before the pig reaches sexual maturity in Badung Regency. Sequence data indicate that JEV genotype III is circulating in the pig sentinel setting in the regency; however, circulating genotypes need to be clarified through increased surveillance. Meanwhile, Culex spp. and most likely Culex quinquefasciatus and Anopheles spp. were the dominant mosquitoes present in the study sites set in the urban area of Denpasar and peri-urban areas of Badung, Bali, indicating that these are likely vectors in spread of JEV in the region.

Estimating the Distribution of Japanese Encephalitis Vectors in Australia Using Ecological Niche Modelling

Recent Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) outbreaks in southeastern Australia have sparked interest into epidemiological factors surrounding the virus' novel emergence in this region. Here, the geographic distribution of mosquito species known to be competent JEV vectors in the country was estimated by combining known mosquito occurrences and ecological drivers of distribution to reveal insights into communities at highest risk of infectious disease transmission. Species distribution models predicted that Culex annulirostris and Culex sitiens presence was mostly likely along Australia's eastern and northern coastline, while Culex quinquefasciatus presence was estimated to be most likely near inland regions of southern Australia as well as coastal regions of Western Australia. While Culex annulirostris is considered the dominant JEV vector in Australia, our ecological niche models emphasise the need for further entomological surveillance and JEV research within Australia.