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Marlow R, Roderick M, Oliver J, Jordan Z, Amirthalingam G, Lopez-Bernal J, Finn A, Rodrigues F. Epidemiology of hospitalisations due to chickenpox and quality of life lost in community and hospital settings: protocol for a prospective cohort study across two countries. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e068611. [PMID: 36990479 PMCID: PMC10069595 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-068611] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/31/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION While still a ubiquitous disease of childhood, chickenpox has been effectively controlled in many countries through the use of vaccination. Previous health economic assessment of the use of these vaccines in the UK were based on limited quality of life data and only routinely collected epidemiological outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS This two armed study will carry prospective surveillance of hospital admissions and recruit from community settings to measure the acute quality of life loss caused by paediatric chickenpox both in the UK and in Portugal. The quality of life effects on children and their primary and secondary caregivers will be assessed using the EuroQol EQ-5D with the Child Health Utility instrument (CHU-9) in addition for children. Results will be used to derive quality-adjusted life year loss estimates for cases of simple varicella and the secondary complications. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION We have received National Health Service ethical approval (REC ref: 18/ES/0040) for the inpatient arm, university ethical approval (University of Bristol ref: 60721) for the community arm and 10 sites currently are recruiting in the UK and 14 in Portugal. Informed consent is obtained from the parent(s). Results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed publications. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN15017985.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robin Marlow
- Bristol Royal Hospital for Children, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
- Bristol Vaccine Centre, Schools of Population Health Sciences and of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Marion Roderick
- Bristol Royal Hospital for Children, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Jennifer Oliver
- Bristol Vaccine Centre, Schools of Population Health Sciences and of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Zoe Jordan
- Bristol Royal Hospital for Children, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Gayatri Amirthalingam
- Immunisation and Vaccine Preventable Diseases Division, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
| | - Jamie Lopez-Bernal
- Immunisation and Vaccine Preventable Diseases Division, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK
| | - Adam Finn
- Bristol Royal Hospital for Children, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
- Bristol Vaccine Centre, Schools of Population Health Sciences and of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Fernanda Rodrigues
- Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal
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Rodrigues F, Marlow R, Gouveia C, Correia P, Brett A, Silva C, Gameiro I, Rua I, Dias J, Martins M, Diogo R, Lopes T, Hipólito E, Moreira D, Costa Alves M, Prata F, Labrusco M, Gomes S, Fernandes A, Andrade A, Granjo Morais C, João Virtuoso M, Manuel Zarcos M, Teresa Raposo A, Boon A, Finn A. Prospective study of loss of health-related quality adjusted life years in children and their families due to uncomplicated and hospitalised varicella. Vaccine 2023; 41:1182-1189. [PMID: 36522267 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.12.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/16/2022] [Revised: 11/06/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION AND AIMS Although usually benign, varicella can lead to serious complications and sometimes long-term sequelae. Vaccines are safe and effective but not yet included in immunisation programmes in many countries. We aimed to quantify the impact on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALY) in children with varicella and their families, key to assessing cost-utility in countries with low mortality due to this infection. METHODS Children with varicella in the community and admitted to hospitals in Portugal were included over 18 months from January 2019. Children's and carers' HRQoL losses were assessed prospectively using standard multi-attribute utility instruments for measuring HRQoL (EQ-5D and CHU9D), from presentation to recovery, allowing the calculation of QALYs. RESULTS Among 109 families with children with varicella recruited from attendees at a pediatric emergency service (community arm), the mean HRQoL loss/child was 2.0 days (95 % CI 1.9-2.2, n = 101) (mean 5.4 QALYs/1000 children (95 % CI 5.3-6.1) and 1.3 days/primary carer (95 % CI 1.2-1.6, n = 103) (mean 3.6 QALYs /1000 carers (95 % CI 3.4-4.4). Among 114 families with children admitted to hospital because of severe varicella or a complication (hospital arm), the mean HRQoL loss/child was 9.8 days (95 % CI 9.4-10.6, n = 114) (mean 26.8 QALYs /1000 children (95 % CI 25.8-29.0) and 8.5 days/primary carer (95 % CI 7.4-9.6, n = 114) (mean 23.4 QALYs/1000 carers (95 % CI 20.3-26.2). Mean QALY losses/1000 patients were particularly high for bone and joint infections [67.5 (95 % CI 43.9-97.6)]. Estimates for children's QALYs lost using the CHU9D tool were well correlated with those obtained using EQ-5D, but substantially lower. CONCLUSIONS The impact of varicella on HRQoL is substantial. We report the first measurements of QALYs lost in hospitalised children and in the families of children both in the community and admitted to hospital, providing important information to guide vaccination policy recommendations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fernanda Rodrigues
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal; Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Coimbra, Azinhaga de Santa Comba, 3000-548 Coimbra, Portugal.
| | - Robin Marlow
- Bristol Vaccine Centre, Schools of Population Health Sciences and of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of Bristol, BS2 8AE, UK
| | - Catarina Gouveia
- Hospital D. Estefânia, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Central, Rua Jacinta Marto, 1150-191 Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Paula Correia
- Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, IC 19, 2720-276 Amadora, Portugal
| | - Ana Brett
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal; Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Coimbra, Azinhaga de Santa Comba, 3000-548 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Catarina Silva
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Inês Gameiro
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Inês Rua
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - João Dias
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Marta Martins
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Rui Diogo
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Teresa Lopes
- Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Av. Afonso Romão, 3000-602 Coimbra, Portugal
| | - Elsa Hipólito
- Hospital Infante D. Pedro, Av. Dr. Artur Ravara, 3810-164 Aveiro, Portugal
| | - Diana Moreira
- Centro Hospitalar de Vila Nova de Gaia/Espinho (Unidade 2), Rua Dr. Francisco Sá Carneiro, 4400-129 Vila Nova de Gaia, Portugal
| | - Manuela Costa Alves
- Hospital de Braga, Rua das Comunidades Lusíadas 133, 4710-243 Braga, Portugal
| | - Filipa Prata
- Hospital Santa Maria, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Norte, Av. Prof. Egas Moniz, 1649-028 Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Miguel Labrusco
- Hospital Beatriz Ângelo, Av. Carlos Teixeira, 2674-514 Loures, Portugal
| | - Susana Gomes
- Hospital do Espírito Santo, Largo Senhor da Pobreza, 7000-811 Évora, Portugal
| | - Alexandre Fernandes
- Centro Materno Infantil do Norte, Largo da Maternidade de Júlio Dinis, 4050-651 Porto, Portugal
| | - Alexandra Andrade
- Hospital Nélio Mendonça, Av. Luís de Camões 6180, 9000-177 Funchal, Portugal
| | - Catarina Granjo Morais
- Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de S. João, Alameda Prof. Hernâni Monteiro, 4200-319 Porto, Portugal
| | - Maria João Virtuoso
- Hospital de Faro, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário do Algarve, Rua Leão Penedo, 8000-386 Faro, Portugal
| | - Maria Manuel Zarcos
- Hospital de Santo André, Centro Hospitalar Leiria Pombal, Rua de Santo André, 2410-197 Leiria, Portugal
| | - Ana Teresa Raposo
- Hospital do Divino Espírito Santo, Av. D. Manuel I, 9500-370 Ponta Delgada, Portugal
| | - Adam Boon
- Bristol Vaccine Centre, Schools of Population Health Sciences and of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of Bristol, BS2 8AE, UK
| | - Adam Finn
- Bristol Vaccine Centre, Schools of Population Health Sciences and of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of Bristol, BS2 8AE, UK
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Bangs AC, Gastañaduy P, Neilan AM, Fiebelkorn AP, Walker AT, Rao SR, Ryan ET, LaRocque RC, Walensky RP, Hyle EP. The Clinical and Economic Impact of Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccinations to Prevent Measles Importations From US Pediatric Travelers Returning From Abroad. J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc 2022; 11:257-266. [PMID: 35333347 PMCID: PMC9214784 DOI: 10.1093/jpids/piac011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2021] [Accepted: 02/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pediatric international travelers account for nearly half of measles importations in the United States. Over one third of pediatric international travelers depart the United States without the recommended measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccinations: 2 doses for travelers ≥12 months and 1 dose for travelers 6 to <12 months. METHODS We developed a model to compare 2 strategies among a simulated cohort of international travelers (6 months to <6 years): (1) No pretravel health encounter (PHE): travelers depart with baseline MMR vaccination status; (2) PHE: MMR-eligible travelers are offered vaccination. All pediatric travelers experience a destination-specific risk of measles exposure (mean, 30 exposures/million travelers). If exposed to measles, travelers' age and MMR vaccination status determine the risk of infection (range, 3%-90%). We included costs of medical care, contact tracing, and lost wages from the societal perspective. We varied inputs in sensitivity analyses. Model outcomes included projected measles cases, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ($/quality-adjusted life year [QALY], cost-effectiveness threshold ≤$100 000/QALY). RESULTS Compared with no PHE, PHE would avert 57 measles cases at $9.2 million/QALY among infant travelers and 7 measles cases at $15.0 million/QALY among preschool-aged travelers. Clinical benefits of PHE would be greatest for infants but cost-effective only for travelers to destinations with higher risk for measles exposure (ie, ≥160 exposures/million travelers) or if more US-acquired cases resulted from an infected traveler, such as in communities with limited MMR coverage. CONCLUSIONS Pretravel MMR vaccination provides the greatest clinical benefit for infant travelers and can be cost-effective before travel to destinations with high risk for measles exposure or from communities with low MMR vaccination coverage.
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Affiliation(s)
- Audrey C Bangs
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Paul Gastañaduy
- Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Anne M Neilan
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Division of General Academic Pediatrics, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Amy Parker Fiebelkorn
- Immunization Services Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Allison Taylor Walker
- Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Sowmya R Rao
- MGH Biostatistics Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Edward T Ryan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Travelers' Advice and Immunization Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Regina C LaRocque
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Travelers' Advice and Immunization Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Rochelle P Walensky
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA,Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Emily P Hyle
- Corresponding Author: Emily P. Hyle, MD, MSc, Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, 100 Cambridge Street, 16th Floor, Boston, MA 02114, USA. E-mail:
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Stars I, Smane L, Pucuka Z, Roge I, Pavare J. Impact of Pediatric COVID-19 on Family Health-Related Quality of Life: A Qualitative Study from Latvia. Glob Pediatr Health 2021; 8:2333794X211012394. [PMID: 33997124 PMCID: PMC8072840 DOI: 10.1177/2333794x211012394] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2021] [Revised: 04/15/2021] [Accepted: 03/31/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Information on family health-related quality of life (FHRQoL) among families of children with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is limited. This qualitative study explores the impact of pediatric COVID-19 on FHRQoL from the parents' perspective. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with parents (n = 20) whose children had tested positive for the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Inductive thematic analysis revealed the following 10 themes that represented parents' perception of FHRQoL while taking care of a child with COVID-19: pediatric COVID-19 as a disease with many unknowns; emotional saturation; internal family relationships in the context of "a new experience"; routine household activities and daily regimen while family is in lockdown; plenty of free time; a wide social support network; social stigma associated with COVID-19; different options for work; savings and debts; challenges with family housing and transport availability. Our results show that parents experience multiple effects of pediatric COVID-19 with regard to FHRQoL.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Liene Smane
- Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia.,Children's Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Zanda Pucuka
- Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia.,Children's Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Ieva Roge
- Children's Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
| | - Jana Pavare
- Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia.,Children's Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
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Pike J, Melnick A, Gastañaduy PA, Kay M, Harbison J, Leidner AJ, Rice S, Asato K, Schwartz L, DeBolt C. Societal Costs of a Measles Outbreak. Pediatrics 2021; 147:peds.2020-027037. [PMID: 33712549 PMCID: PMC9004490 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2020-027037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Between December 31, 2018, and April 26, 2019, 72 confirmed cases of measles were identified in Clark County. Our objective was to estimate the economic burden of the measles outbreak from a societal perspective, including public health response costs as well as direct medical costs and productivity losses of affected individuals. METHODS To estimate costs related to this outbreak from the societal perspective, 3 types of costs were collected or estimated: public health response (labor, material, and contractor costs used to contain the outbreak), direct medical (third party or patient out-of-pocket treatment costs of infected individuals), and productivity losses (costs of lost productivity due to illness, home isolation, quarantine, or informal caregiving). RESULTS The overall societal cost of the 2019 Clark County measles outbreak was ∼$3.4 million ($47 479 per case or $814 per contact). The majority of the costs (∼$2.3 million) were incurred by the public health response to the outbreak, followed by productivity losses (∼$1.0 million) and direct medical costs (∼$76 000). CONCLUSIONS Recent increases in incident measles cases in the United States and across the globe underscore the need to more fully understand the societal cost of measles cases and outbreaks and economic consequences of undervaccination. Our estimates can provide valuable inputs for policy makers and public health stakeholders as they consider budget determinations and the substantial value associated with increasing vaccine coverage and outbreak preparedness as well as the protection of society against vaccine-preventable diseases, such as measles, which are readily preventable with high vaccination coverage.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jamison Pike
- Immunization Services Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia;
| | | | - Paul A. Gastañaduy
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Disease, Immunization Services Division, Atlanta, GA
| | - Meagan Kay
- Public Health Seattle King County, Seattle, WA
| | | | - Andrew J. Leidner
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Disease, Immunization Services Division, Atlanta, GA
| | | | | | | | - Chas DeBolt
- Washington Department of Health, Olympia, WA
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Ramsay LC, Crowcroft NS, Thomas S, Aruffo E, Teslya A, Heffernan JM, Gournis E, Hiebert J, Jaeger V, Jiaravuthisan M, Sharron J, Severini A, Deeks SL, Gubbay J, Mazzulli T, Sander B. Cost-effectiveness of measles control during elimination in Ontario, Canada, 2015. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2020; 24. [PMID: 30892178 PMCID: PMC6425553 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2019.24.11.1800370] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
BackgroundGiven that measles is eliminated in Canada and measles immunisation coverage in Ontario is high, it has been questioned whether Ontario's measles outbreak response is worthwhile.AimOur objective was to determine cost-effectiveness of measles containment protocols in Ontario from the healthcare payer perspective.MethodsWe developed a decision-analysis model comparing Ontario's measles containment strategy (based on actual 2015 outbreak data) with a hypothetical 'modified response'. The modified scenario assumed 10% response costs with reduced case and contact tracing and no outbreak-associated vaccinations; it was based on local and provincial administrative and laboratory data and parameters from peer-reviewed literature. Short- and long-term health outcomes, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs discounted at 1.5%, were estimated. We conducted one- and two-way sensitivity analyses.ResultsThe 2015 outbreak in Ontario comprised 16 measles cases and an estimated 3,369 contacts. Predictive modelling suggested that the outbreak response prevented 16 outbreak-associated cases at a cost of CAD 1,213,491 (EUR 861,579). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was CAD 739,063 (EUR 524,735) per QALY gained for the outbreak response vs modified response. To meet the commonly accepted cost-effectiveness threshold of CAD 50,000 (EUR 35,500) per QALY gained, the outbreak response would have to prevent 94 measles cases. In sensitivity analyses, the findings were robust.ConclusionsOntario's measles outbreak response exceeds generally accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds and may not be the most efficient use of public health resources from a healthcare payer perspective. These findings should be balanced against benefits of increased vaccine coverage and maintaining elimination status.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauren C Ramsay
- University Health Network, Eaton Building, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Natasha S Crowcroft
- University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | | | | | | | - Effie Gournis
- Toronto Public Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Joanne Hiebert
- Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Alberto Severini
- University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.,Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
| | - Shelley L Deeks
- University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Tony Mazzulli
- University Health Network, Eaton Building, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Beate Sander
- Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,University Health Network, Eaton Building, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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Liu MX, Zhang RP, Xie BL. The impact of behavioral change on the epidemic under the benefit comparison. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2020; 17:3412-3425. [PMID: 32987536 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2020193] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Human behavior has a major impact on the spread of the disease during an epidemic. At the same time, the spread of disease has an impact on human behavior. In this paper, we propose a coupled model of human behavior and disease transmission, take into account both individual-based risk assessment and neighbor-based replicator dynamics. The transmission threshold of epidemic disease and the stability of disease-free equilibrium point are analyzed. Some numerical simulations are carried out for the system. Three kinds of return matrices are considered and analyzed one by one. The simulation results show that the change of human behavior can effectively inhibit the spread of the disease, individual-based risk assessments had a stronger effect on disease suppression, but also more hitchhikers. This work contributes to the study of the relationship between human behavior and disease epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mao Xing Liu
- School of Science, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China
| | - Rong Ping Zhang
- School of Science, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China
| | - Bo Li Xie
- School of Science, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China
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8
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Flaig J, Houy N, Michel P. Cost effectiveness and policy announcement: The case of measles mandatory vaccination. J Theor Biol 2020; 485:110028. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.110028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2019] [Revised: 06/12/2019] [Accepted: 09/26/2019] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
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9
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Optimization of frequency and targeting of measles supplemental immunization activities in Nigeria: A cost-effectiveness analysis. Vaccine 2019; 37:6039-6047. [PMID: 31471147 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.08.050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2019] [Revised: 08/19/2019] [Accepted: 08/20/2019] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Measles causes significant childhood morbidity in Nigeria. Routine immunization (RI) coverage is around 40% country-wide, with very high levels of spatial heterogeneity (3-86%), with supplemental immunization activities (SIAs) at 2-year or 3-year intervals. We investigated cost savings and burden reduction that could be achieved by adjusting the inter-campaign interval by region. METHODS We modeled 81 scenarios; permuting SIA calendars of every one, two, or three years in each of four regions of Nigeria (North-west, North-central, North-east, and South). We used an agent-based disease transmission model to estimate the number of measles cases and ingredients-based cost models to estimate RI and SIA costs for each scenario over a 10 year period. RESULTS Decreasing SIAs to every three years in the North-central and South (regions of above national-average RI coverage) while increasing to every year in either the North-east or North-west (regions of below national-average RI coverage) would avert measles cases (0.4 or 1.4 million, respectively), and save vaccination costs (save $19.4 or $5.4 million, respectively), compared to a base-case of national SIAs every two years. Decreasing SIA frequency to every three years in the South while increasing to every year in the just the North-west, or in all Northern regions would prevent more cases (2.1 or 5.0 million, respectively), but would increase vaccination costs (add $3.5 million or $34.6 million, respectively), for $1.65 or $6.99 per case averted, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Our modeling shows how increasing SIA frequency in Northern regions, where RI is low and birth rates are high, while decreasing frequency in the South of Nigeria would reduce the number of measles cases with relatively little or no increase in vaccination costs. A national vaccination strategy that incorporates regional SIA targeting in contexts with a high level of sub-national variation would lead to improved health outcomes and/or lower costs.
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10
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Detection of modified measles and super-spreader using a real-time reverse transcription PCR in the largest measles outbreak, Yamagata, Japan, 2017 in its elimination era. Epidemiol Infect 2018; 146:1707-1713. [PMID: 30081972 DOI: 10.1017/s095026881800211x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
We aimed to verify the effectiveness of real-time reverse transcription (rRT) polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for detecting cases of modified measles (M-Me) and for predicting super-spreader candidates through the experience of a measles outbreak dominated by M-Me in Yamagata, Japan, during March-April 2017. We applied rRT-PCR to specimens from 35 cases of M-Me, nine cases of typical measles (T-Me) and nine cases of prodromal stage of T-Me (P-Me). From rRT-PCR among the M-Me cases, peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) showed the highest positive rate (80.0%), followed by throat swab (48.6%), urine (33.3%) and serum (3.1%). The negative result of PBMC in M-Me cases was recovered by the result of a throat swab. In specimens of PBMC, throat swab and urine, M-Me group showed the significantly higher cycle of threshold (i.e., lower viral load) in the rRT-PCR than T-Me and P-Me groups, respectively. Furthermore, three super-spreaders in T-Me or P-Me showed an extremely low cycle of threshold in their throat swab specimens. rRT-PCR using PBMC and throat swab might be helpful for clinical management and measles control by certain detection of M-Me cases and by predicting super-spreading events resulting from measles cases with the high viral load.
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11
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The impact of influenza on the health related quality of life in China: an EQ-5D survey. BMC Infect Dis 2017; 17:686. [PMID: 29037172 PMCID: PMC5644056 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2801-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2017] [Accepted: 10/04/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza causes considerable morbidity and mortality in China, but its impact on the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) has not been previously measured. METHODS We conducted a retrospective telephone survey to assess the impact of influenza on the HRQoL among outpatients and inpatients using the EuroQoL EQ-5D-3 L instrument. Participants were individuals with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection registered by the National Influenza-like-illness Surveillance Network in 2013. RESULTS We interviewed 839 of 11,098 eligible influenza patients. After excluding those who were unable to complete the HRQoL for the registered influenza episode, 778 patients were included in the analysis. Both outpatients (n = 529) and inpatients (n = 249) most commonly reported problems with pain/discomfort (71.8% of outpatients and 71.9% of inpatients) and anxiety/depression (62.0% of outpatients and 75.1% of inpatients). For individual influenza outpatients, the mean health utility was 0.6142 (SD 0.2006), and the average quality adjusted life days (QALD) loss was 1.62 (SD 1.84) days. The HRQoL of influenza inpatients was worse (mean health utility 0.5851, SD 0.2197; mean QALD loss 3.51 days, SD 4.25) than that of outpatients (p < 0.05). The presence of underlying medical conditions lowered the HRQoL for both outpatients and inpatients (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Influenza illness had a substantial impact on HRQoL. QALD loss due to an acute influenza episode in younger children was comparable to that due to enterovirus A71-associated hand, foot and mouth disease. Our findings are key inputs into disease burden estimates and cost-effectiveness evaluations of influenza-related interventions in China.
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Zheng Y, Jit M, Wu JT, Yang J, Leung K, Liao Q, Yu H. Economic costs and health-related quality of life for hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) patients in China. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0184266. [PMID: 28934232 PMCID: PMC5608208 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0184266] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2016] [Accepted: 08/21/2017] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common illness in China that mainly affects infants and children. The objective of this study is to assess the economic cost and health-related quality of life associated with HFMD in China. METHOD A telephone survey of caregivers were conducted in 31 provinces across China. Caregivers of laboratory-confirmed HFMD patients who were registered in the national HFMD enhanced surveillance database during 2012-2013 were invited to participate in the survey. Total costs included direct medical costs (outpatient care, inpatient care and self-medication), direct non-medical costs (transportation, nutrition, accommodation and nursery), and indirect costs for lost income associated with caregiving. Health utility weights elicited using EuroQol EQ-5D-3L and EQ-Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) were used to calculate associated loss in quality adjusted life years (QALYs). RESULTS The subjects comprised 1136 mild outpatients, 1124 mild inpatients, 1170 severe cases and 61 fatal cases. The mean total costs for mild outpatients, mild inpatients, severe cases and fatal cases were $201 (95%CI $187, $215), $1072 (95%CI $999, $1144), $3051 (95%CI $2905, $3197) and $2819 (95%CI $2068, $3571) respectively. The mean QALY losses per HFMD episode for mild outpatients, mild inpatients and severe cases were 3.6 (95%CI 3.4, 3,9), 6.9 (95%CI 6.4, 7.4) and 13.7 (95%CI 12.9, 14.5) per 1000 persons. Cases who were diagnosed with EV-A71 infection and had longer duration of illness were associated with higher total cost and QALY loss. CONCLUSION HFMD poses a high economic and health burden in China. Our results provide economic and health utility data for cost-effectiveness analysis for HFMD vaccination in China.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaming Zheng
- Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Division of Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Mark Jit
- Modelling and Economics Unit, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Joseph T. Wu
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, the University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Juan Yang
- Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Division of Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Kathy Leung
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, the University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Qiaohong Liao
- Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Division of Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Hongjie Yu
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
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Ciofi Degli Atti M, Filia A, Bella A, Sisto A, Barbieri MA, Reale A, Raponi M. Measles Cases in Children Requiring Hospital Access in an Academic Pediatric Hospital in Italy, 2008-2013. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2017; 36:844-848. [PMID: 28426447 DOI: 10.1097/inf.0000000000001609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Lazio region is one of the Italian regions where sustained measles transmission continues to occur. We investigated measles cases reported by the emergency department (ED) of the largest pediatric hospital in Italy, located in Lazio. METHODS We reviewed clinical records of all measles cases from 0 to 18 years of age evaluated in the ED in 2008-2013. We compared demographic and clinical characteristics of patients admitted to the inpatient setting with those of patients discharged home to assess possible determinants of hospital admission. RESULTS Of 248 patients with measles evaluated in the ED, 113 (45.6%) were admitted as inpatients. The number of measles cases peaked in 2011 (N = 122; 49.2%), when epidemics were reported in Lazio. Median age was 2.7 years (range: 21 days to 17.9 years), and 31 patients (13%) had an underlying chronic illness. The strongest independent predictor of hospitalization was having an underlying chronic illness [adjusted odd ratio (OR): 9.87; 95% confidence interval: 3.13-31.13]. Other factors independently and significantly associated with higher risk of hospitalization were taking medications at the time of ED visit, being younger than 1 year of age and having altered liver enzyme values. Eighty-five percent of children >15 months of age who were hospitalized were not vaccinated. One hundred six hospitalized children (94%) had at least 1 measles complication; 1 child required intensive care for respiratory insufficiency. CONCLUSIONS Hospitalizations of children with measles continue to occur in European areas where elimination has not been achieved. Children with chronic diseases represent a vulnerable population that is at higher risk of hospitalization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marta Ciofi Degli Atti
- From the *Unit of Clinical Epidemiology, Medical Direction, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, †Infectious Diseases Epidemiology Unit, National Health Institute, ‡Unit of Microbiology, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, §Department of Emergency, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, and ¶Medical Direction, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, Rome, Italy
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Kennedy ITR, van Hoek AJ, Ribeiro S, Christensen H, Edmunds WJ, Ramsay ME, Ladhani SN. Short-term changes in the health state of children with group B meningococcal disease: A prospective, national cohort study. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0177082. [PMID: 28545152 PMCID: PMC5436659 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2016] [Accepted: 04/21/2017] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives The short-term impact of childhood invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) on quality-of-life (QoL) remains largely unquantified. This study aimed to quantify QoL loss at the point when illness was at its worst, and assess health state recovery in the months following illness. Methods Parents of children aged <16 years with laboratory-confirmed meningococcal group B (MenB) disease in England, with onset dates from November 2012 to May 2013 were asked to complete a short questionnaire, which included EQ-5DY, a version of EQ-5D for 8–15 year-olds. The parents, or child if able, were asked to complete the questionnaires while considering the child’s health on the worst day of illness and on the date the questionnaires were completed. Results The overall response rate was 43% (109/254 children), with no significant differences between respondents and non-respondents. The median time from disease onset to questionnaire completion was 134 days (interquartile range (IQR), 92 to 156 days). After imputation, the median health index was -0.056 (IQR, -0.073 to 0.102) on the worst day of illness, and 1 (IQR 0.866 to 1.000) on the date of questionnaire completion. The respective Visual Analogue Scores (VAS) were 6.5/100.0 (IQR, 0.0 to 20.0) and 95.0/100.0 (IQR, 90.0 to 100.0). The health state of cases with long-term sequelae (n = 41) was significantly worse at follow-up than those who recovered uneventfully (n = 64; 90.0 vs. 98.0; p<0.001), although there was no significant difference on the worst day of illness (5.0 vs. 10.0; p = 0.671). Conclusions This work has provided, for the first time, a quantitative estimate of QoL loss at the peak of illness and in the months after MenB disease in children. The magnitude of QoL loss is staggering, with the reported health state being at, or close to, the worst possible outcome imaginable. This study highlights the difficulties in measuring the impact of illness in young children, who often have the highest burden of potentially preventable infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iain T. R. Kennedy
- Immunisation Department, Public Health England, London, England, United Kingdom
| | - Albert J. van Hoek
- Immunisation Department, Public Health England, London, England, United Kingdom
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, England, United Kingdom
| | - Sonia Ribeiro
- Immunisation Department, Public Health England, London, England, United Kingdom
| | - Hannah Christensen
- School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, England, United Kingdom
| | - W. John Edmunds
- Faculty of Epidemiology & Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, England, United Kingdom
| | - Mary E. Ramsay
- Immunisation Department, Public Health England, London, England, United Kingdom
| | - Shamez N. Ladhani
- Immunisation Department, Public Health England, London, England, United Kingdom
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases Research Group, St Georges University of London, London, England, United Kingdom
- * E-mail:
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Thorrington D, Balasegaram S, Cleary P, Hay C, Eames K. Social and Economic Impacts of School Influenza Outbreaks in England: Survey of Caregivers. THE JOURNAL OF SCHOOL HEALTH 2017; 87:209-216. [PMID: 28147460 DOI: 10.1111/josh.12484] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2015] [Revised: 05/13/2016] [Accepted: 05/22/2016] [Indexed: 05/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza is a cause of considerable morbidity in England, particularly among children. A total of 39% of all influenza-attributable general practitioner consultations and 37% of all influenza-attributable hospital admissions occur in those aged under 15 years. Few studies have quantified the impact of influenza outbreaks on families. We assessed this impact during 2 influenza seasons. METHODS We used questionnaires to obtain data in primary schools that reported an outbreak of an influenza-like-illness (ILI). We sought data on the loss of productivity, costs borne by families and loss in health-related quality of life (HRQoL). ILIs were identified using the symptoms criteria from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control and the UK Flusurvey. RESULTS For each child reporting ILI, mean school absence was 3.8 days (95% confidence interval [CI]): 3.0-4.8) with mean work absence for caregivers reported as 3.7 days (95% CI: 2.7-4.8). The mean loss in HRQoL was 2.1 quality-adjusted life days (95% CI: 1.5-2.7). The estimated total pediatric burden of disease for reported school-based outbreaks during the 2 influenza seasons was 105.3 QALYs (95% CI: 77.7-139.0). CONCLUSIONS This study shows the potential social and economic benefit of vaccination of children during mild influenza seasons.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dominic Thorrington
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Sooria Balasegaram
- Public Health England, Field Epidemiology Services London, 151 Buckingham Palace Road, London SW1W 9SZ, UK
| | - Paul Cleary
- Public Health England, Field Epidemiology Service Liverpool, 5th Floor, Rail House, Lord Nelson Street, Liverpool L1 1JF, UK
| | - Catherine Hay
- Public Health England, NHS England Lancashire & Greater Manchester, 4th Floor, 3 Piccadilly Place, Manchester M1 3BN, UK
| | - Ken Eames
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK
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Suijkerbuijk AWM, Woudenberg T, Hahné SJM, Nic Lochlainn L, de Melker HE, Ruijs WLM, Lugnér AK. Economic Costs of Measles Outbreak in the Netherlands, 2013-2014. Emerg Infect Dis 2016; 21:2067-9. [PMID: 26488199 PMCID: PMC4622243 DOI: 10.3201/eid2111.150410] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
In 2013 and 2014, the Netherlands experienced a measles outbreak in orthodox Protestant communities with low measles–mumps–rubella vaccination coverage. Assessing total outbreak costs is needed for public health outbreak preparedness and control. Total costs of this outbreak were an estimated $4.7 million.
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Ghebrehewet S, Thorrington D, Farmer S, Kearney J, Blissett D, McLeod H, Keenan A. The economic cost of measles: Healthcare, public health and societal costs of the 2012-13 outbreak in Merseyside, UK. Vaccine 2016; 34:1823-31. [PMID: 26944712 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.02.029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2015] [Revised: 01/14/2016] [Accepted: 02/09/2016] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Measles is a highly contagious vaccine-preventable infection that caused large outbreaks in England in 2012 and 2013 in areas which failed to achieve herd protection levels (95%) consistently. We sought to quantify the economic costs associated with the 2012-13 Merseyside measles outbreak, relative to the cost of extending preventative vaccination to secure herd protection. METHODS A costing model based on a critical literature review was developed. A workshop and interviews were held with key stakeholders in the Merseyside outbreak to understand the pathway of a measles case and then quantify healthcare activity and costs for the main NHS providers and public health team incurred during the initial four month period to May 2012. These data were used to model the total costs of the full outbreak to August 2013, comprising those to healthcare providers for patient treatment, public health and societal productivity losses. The modelled total cost of the full outbreak was compared to the cost of extending the preventative vaccination programme to achieve herd protection. FINDINGS The Merseyside outbreak included 2458 reported cases. The estimated cost of the outbreak was £ 4.4m (sensitivity analysis £ 3.9 m to £ 5.2m) comprising 15% (£ 0.7 m) NHS patient treatment costs, 40% (£ 1.8m) public health costs and 44% (£ 2.0m) for societal productivity losses. In comparison, over the previous five years in Cheshire and Merseyside a further 11,793 MMR vaccinations would have been needed to achieve herd protection at an estimated cost of £ 182,909 (4% of the total cost of the measles outbreak). INTERPRETATION Failure to consistently reach MMR uptake levels of 95% across all localities and sectors (achieve herd protection) risks comparatively higher economic costs associated with the containment (including healthcare costs) and implementation of effective public health management of outbreaks. FUNDING Commissioned by the Cheshire and Merseyside Public Health England Centre.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sam Ghebrehewet
- Health Protection Team, Cheshire and Merseyside Public Health England Centre, Public Health England, L1 1JF Liverpool, UK.
| | - Dominic Thorrington
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Siobhan Farmer
- Public Health, Salford City Council, Unity House Civic Centre, Chorley Road, Swinton M27 5AW, UK
| | - James Kearney
- ICF, Watling House, 33 Cannon Street, London EC4M 5SB, UK
| | | | - Hugh McLeod
- Health Economics Unit, School of Health and Population Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
| | - Alex Keenan
- Health Protection Team, Cheshire and Merseyside Public Health England Centre, Public Health England, L1 1JF Liverpool, UK
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Marlow R, Finn A, Trotter C. Quality of life impacts from rotavirus gastroenteritis on children and their families in the UK. Vaccine 2015; 33:5212-6. [DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.07.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2015] [Revised: 07/07/2015] [Accepted: 07/07/2015] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
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Thorrington D, Eames K. Measuring Health Utilities in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review of the Literature. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0135672. [PMID: 26275302 PMCID: PMC4537138 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0135672] [Citation(s) in RCA: 68] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2014] [Accepted: 07/24/2015] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The objective of this review was to evaluate the use of all direct and indirect methods used to estimate health utilities in both children and adolescents. Utilities measured pre- and post-intervention are combined with the time over which health states are experienced to calculate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost-utility analyses (CUAs) estimate the cost-effectiveness of health technologies based on their costs and benefits using QALYs as a measure of benefit. The accurate measurement of QALYs is dependent on using appropriate methods to elicit health utilities. Objective We sought studies that measured health utilities directly from patients or their proxies. We did not exclude those studies that also included adults in the analysis, but excluded those studies focused only on adults. Methods and Findings We evaluated 90 studies from a total of 1,780 selected from the databases. 47 (52%) studies were CUAs incorporated into randomised clinical trials; 23 (26%) were health-state utility assessments; 8 (9%) validated methods and 12 (13%) compared existing or new methods. 22 unique direct or indirect calculation methods were used a total of 137 times. Direct calculation through standard gamble, time trade-off and visual analogue scale was used 32 times. The EuroQol EQ-5D was the most frequently-used single method, selected for 41 studies. 15 of the methods used were generic methods and the remaining 7 were disease-specific. 48 of the 90 studies (53%) used some form of proxy, with 26 (29%) using proxies exclusively to estimate health utilities. Conclusions Several child- and adolescent-specific methods are still being developed and validated, leaving many studies using methods that have not been designed or validated for use in children or adolescents. Several studies failed to justify using proxy respondents rather than administering the methods directly to the patients. Only two studies examined missing responses to the methods administered with respect to the patients’ ages.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dominic Thorrington
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- * E-mail:
| | - Ken Eames
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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