Factors predicting cardiovascular events in chronic kidney disease patients. Role of subclinical atheromatosis extent assessed by vascular ultrasound

Gender-specific risk factors and outcomes of hyperkalemia in CKD patients: smoking as a driver of hyperkalemia in men

Background

Hyperkalemia is common among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) but there is scarce information on differential risk factors and outcomes for men and women. For instance, smoking has been suggested to be a risk factor for hyperkalemia, but specific analysis of the sex-specific impact of smoking on hyperkalemia in CKD is lacking.

Methods

We studied serum potassium levels in 2891 participants from the NEFRONA cohort: 483 controls (47% women) and 2408 CKD patients (38% women) without prior cardiovascular disease (CVD), assessing whether smoking is a risk factor for hyperkalemia, and if hyperkalemia is associated with outcomes separately for men and women.

Results

Median potassium levels and prevalence of hypo and hyperkalemia were higher in CKD participants than in controls. Serum potassium levels were higher and hyperkalemia and severe hyperkalemia more prevalent in men than in women with non-dialysis CKD (G3-G5). The highest prevalence of hyperkalemia for each gender was found in CKD G4-G5 and hemodialysis patients for men (46%) and in hemodialysis (54%) for women. Gender-specific etiological multivariate analysis identified current smoking as a risk factor for hyperkalemia only in men. Hyperkalemia was independently associated with stopping RAASi, an outcome which was more common in women. Hyperkalemia was also associated to higher risk of cardiovascular events within 4 years in men. In conclusion, hyperkalemia is common among men and women with CKD, but the prevalence, risk factors and outcomes may differ by gender. Specifically, current smoking is a driver of hyperkalemia in men.

Long-term safety and decrease of pill burden by tenapanor therapy: a phase 3 open-label study in hemodialysis patients with hyperphosphatemia

Phosphate binders (PBs) generally have a high pill burden. Tenapanor selectively inhibits sodium/hydrogen exchanger isoform 3, reducing intestinal phosphate absorption. Tenapanor is a novel drug administered as a small tablet, twice daily. This multicenter, open-label, single-arm, phase 3 study aimed to evaluate the long-term safety of tenapanor and its efficacy in decreasing PB pill burden. Tenapanor 5 mg twice daily was administered to hemodialysis patients with serum phosphorus level 3.5-7.0 mg/dl at baseline; the dose could be increased up to 30 mg twice daily. Patients could also switch from PBs. The primary endpoint was safety during 52-week administration. The key secondary endpoint was a ≥ 30% reduction in the total pill number of daily PBs and tenapanor from baseline. Of 212 patients starting treatment, 154 completed the study. Diarrhea was the most frequent adverse event, occurring in 135 patients (63.7%); most events were classified as mild (74.8%). No clinically significant changes occurred other than serum phosphorus level. At Week 52/discontinuation, 158/204 patients (77.5%) achieved the key secondary endpoint. Complete switching from PBs to tenapanor was achieved in 50-76 patients (26.7%-41.5%), and 80 patients (51.9%) at Week 8-12 and Week 50, respectively. Serum phosphorus remained generally stable within the target range (3.5-6.0 mg/dl). These findings suggest the long-term safety and tolerability of tenapanor. Tenapanor could reduce or eliminate PB pill burden while controlling serum phosphorus levels.Trial registration: NCT04771780.

B- and T-lymphocyte attenuator could be a new player in accelerated atherosclerosis associated with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

In chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular morbi-mortality is higher than in general population. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is accelerated in CKD, but specific CKD-related risk factors for atherosclerosis are unknown.

METHODS

CKD patients from the NEFRONA study were used. We performed mRNA array from blood of patients free from atheroma plaque at baseline, with (n=10) and without (n=10) de novo atherosclerotic plaque development 2 years later. Selected mRNA candidates were validated in a bigger sample (n=148). Validated candidates were investigated in vivo in an experimental model of CKD-accelerated atherosclerosis, and in vitro in murine macrophages.

RESULTS

mRNA array analysis showed 92 up-regulated and 67 down-regulated mRNAs in samples from CKD patients with de novo plaque development. The functional analysis pointed to a paramount role of the immune response. The validation in a bigger sample confirmed that B- and T-lymphocyte co-inhibitory molecule (BTLA) down-regulation was associated with de novo plaque presence after 2 years. However, BTLA down-regulation was not found to be associated with atherosclerotic progression in patients with plaque already present at baseline. In a model of CKD-accelerated atherosclerosis, mRNA and protein expression levels of BTLA were significantly decreased in blood samples and atheroma plaques. Plaques from animals with CKD were bigger, had more infiltration of inflammatory cells, higher expression of IL6 and IL17 and less presence of collagen than plaques from control animals. Incubation of macrophages with rat uremic serum decreased BTLA expression.

CONCLUSIONS

BTLA could be a potential biomarker or therapeutic target for atherosclerosis incidence in CKD patients.

Hyperkalemia in chronic kidney disease: a focus on potassium lowering pharmacotherapy

INTRODUCTION

Hyperkalemia is one of the most common electrolyte disorders in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with serious adverse outcomes. Hyperkalemia risk is even greater when CKD patients also have additional predisposing conditions such as diabetes or heart failure. Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone-system blockers are first-line treatments for cardio- and nephroprotection, but their use is often limited due to K+ elevation, resulting in high rates of discontinuation.

AREAS COVERED

This article provides an overview of factors interfering with K+ homeostasis and discusses recent data on newer therapeutic agents used for the treatment of hyperkalemia. A detailed literature search was performed in two major databases (PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus) up to April 2023.

EXPERT OPINION

Major clinical trials have tested new and promising kidney protective therapies such as sodium/glucose-cotransporter-2 inhibitors and mineralocorticoid-receptor-antagonists, with promising results. Until recently, the only treatment option for hyperkalemia was the cation-exchanging resin sodium-polystyrene-sulfonate. However, despite its common use, the efficacy and safety data of this drug in the long-term management of hyperkalemia are scarce. During the last decade, two novel orally administered K+-exchanging compounds (patiromer and sodium-zirconium-cyclosilicate) have been approved for the treatment of adults with hyperkalemia, as they both effectively reduce elevated serum K+ and maintain chronically K+ balance within the normal range with an excellent tolerability and no serious adverse events.

Low adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with increased prevalence and number of atherosclerotic plaques in the ILERVAS cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current research on the association between dietary patterns and subclinical atherosclerotic disease (SAD) is still limited, and published results are inconsistent and often consist of small population sizes. We aimed to evaluate the association between the Mediterranean diet (MDiet) and SAD in a large cohort of Mediterranean individuals.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study that included 8116 subjects from the ILERVAS cohort. The presence of atherosclerotic plaques (AP) was assessed by ultrasound examination. Adherence to the MDiet was assessed using the 14-item Mediterranean Diet Adherence Score (MEDAS). Inclusion criteria were subjects with at least one cardiovascular risk factor. Exclusion criteria were a clinical history of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, or a prior cardiovascular event. Bivariable and multivariable models were performed.

RESULTS

Compared with subjects without SAD, participants with SAD were older and had a higher frequency of smoking habit, hypertension, dyslipidemia, HbA1c and waist circumference. The adjusted multivariable analysis showed that a higher MEDAS was associated with a lower risk of AP (incidence rate ratios [IRR] 0.97, 95% CI [0.96-0.98]; p<0.001). Furthermore, moderate or high adherence to the MDiet was associated with a lower number of AP compared with a low MDiet adherence (IRR 0.90, 95% CI [0.87-0.94]; p<0.001). In both models, female sex was associated with a lower risk of AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings point to a potentially protective role of MDiet for SAD in a Mediterranean population with low-to-moderate cardiovascular risk. Further research is needed to establish a causal relationship between both variables.

Cumulative tobacco consumption has a dose-dependent effect on atheromatosis burden and improves severe atheromatosis prediction in asymptomatic middle-aged individuals: The ILERVAS study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sex-specific impact of cumulative tobacco consumption (CTC) on atheromatosis extension and total plaque area remains unknown. We aimed to determine the impact of CTC in atheromatosis localization and burden.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional analysis in 8330 asymptomatic middle-aged individuals. 12-territory vascular ultrasounds in carotid and femoral arteries were performed to detect atheromatous plaque presence and to measure total plaque area. Adjusted regressions and conditional predictions by smoking habit or CTC (stratified in terciles as low (≤13.53), medium (13.54-29.3), and high (>29.3 packs-year)) were calculated. Severe atheromatosis (SA, ≥3 territories with atheroma plaque) was predicted with the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) model. The improvement of SA prediction after adding CTC was evaluated.

RESULTS

CTC was associated with an increased risk of atheromatosis, stronger in femoral than in carotid artery, but similar in both sexes. A dose-dependent effect of CTC on the number of territories with atheroma plaque and total plaque area was observed. Addition of CTC to the SCORE2 showed a higher sensitivity, accuracy, and negative predictive value in males, and a higher specificity and positive predictive value in females. In both sexes, the new SCORE2-CTC model showed a significant increase in AUC (males: 0.033, females: 0.038), and in the integrated discrimination index (males: 0.072; females: 0.058, p < 0.001). Age and CTC were the most important clinical predictors of SA in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

CTC shows a dose-dependent association with atheromatosis burden, impacts more strongly in femoral arteries, and improves SA prediction.

Development and Validation of a Personalized, Sex-Specific Prediction Algorithm of Severe Atheromatosis in Middle-Aged Asymptomatic Individuals: The ILERVAS Study

Background

Although European guidelines recommend vascular ultrasound for the assessment of cardiovascular risk in low-to-moderate risk individuals, no algorithm properly identifies patients who could benefit from it. The aim of this study is to develop a sex-specific algorithm to identify those patients, especially women who are usually underdiagnosed.

Methods

Clinical, anthropometrical, and biochemical data were combined with a 12-territory vascular ultrasound to predict severe atheromatosis (SA: ≥ 3 territories with plaque). A Personalized Algorithm for Severe Atheromatosis Prediction (PASAP-ILERVAS) was obtained by machine learning. Models were trained in the ILERVAS cohort (n = 8,330; 51% women) and validated in the control subpopulation of the NEFRONA cohort (n = 559; 47% women). Performance was compared to the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model.

Results

The PASAP-ILERVAS is a sex-specific, easy-to-interpret predictive model that stratifies individuals according to their risk of SA in low, intermediate, or high risk. New clinical predictors beyond traditional factors were uncovered. In low- and high-risk (L&amp;H-risk) men, the net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.044 (95% CI: 0.020–0.068), and the integrated discrimination index (IDI) was 0.038 (95% CI: 0.029–0.048) compared to the SCORE. In L&amp;H-risk women, PASAP-ILERVAS showed a significant increase in the area under the curve (AUC, 0.074 (95% CI: 0.062–0.087), p-value: &lt; 0.001), an NRI of 0.193 (95% CI: 0.162–0.224), and an IDI of 0.119 (95% CI: 0.109–0.129).

Conclusion

The PASAP-ILERVAS improves SA prediction, especially in women. Thus, it could reduce the number of unnecessary complementary explorations selecting patients for a further imaging study within the intermediate risk group, increasing cost-effectiveness and optimizing health resources.

Clinical Trial Registration

[www.ClinicalTrials.gov], identifier [NCT03228459].

Variety of Cardiac Events in Hospitalized Chronic Kidney Disease Patients

Objective This study assessed the variety and frequency of various cardiovascular events in different stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients who were hospitalized due to different causes. Methods This prospective cross-sectional observational analysis was conducted at the Department of Nephrology in The Kidney Centre Post Graduate Training Institute Karachi on all adult CKD (of all stages with or without dialysis) patients, who developed cardiovascular events during their hospital admission either in ward or ICU due to any cause between August 2020 and February 2021. Total of 765 patients got admitted in the given time period and among them, 290 patients developed various cardiovascular events. Baseline data, co-morbidities, clinical features, drug history and management were determined. Results There were a total of 290 patients in our study in which 154 (53.1%) were male and 136(46.9%) were female. Mean age was 57 ± 15.5. Our majority of patients were end-stage renal disease and on maintenance hemodialysis (n=119, 41%) while the most prevalent co-morbid condition was hypertension (n=227, 78.3%) followed by diabetes mellitus (n=204, 70.4%). The most frequent cardiovascular events in CKD patients was the atrial fibrillation 101(34.8%) while 37(12.8%) patients suffered ST-elevation myocardial infarction and supraventricular tachycardia. Patients who had high potassium levels (>5.2) most frequently suffered from atrial fibrillation (n=16, 28.1%) as compared to other cardiovascular events. Conclusion Patients with CKD are at increased risk of having several cardiovascular events. Numerous risk factors involved in the pathogenesis. Among the diverse causes, fluctuations in serum levels of various electrolytes are important causes as certain electrolytes disbalance can trigger various life-threatening cardiac arrhythmias.

Carotid plaque thickness is increased in chronic kidney disease and associated with carotid and coronary calcification

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease accelerates both atherosclerosis and arterial calcification. The aim of the present study was to explore whether maximal carotid plaque thickness (cPTmax) was increased in patients with chronic kidney disease compared to controls and associated with cardiovascular disease and severity of calcification in the carotid and coronary arteries.

METHODS

The study group consisted of 200 patients with chronic kidney disease stage 3 from the Copenhagen Chronic Kidney Disease Cohort and 121 age- and sex-matched controls. cPTmax was assessed by ultrasound and arterial calcification by computed tomography scanning.

RESULTS

Carotid plaques were present in 58% of patients (n = 115) compared with 40% of controls (n = 48), p = 0.002. Among participants with plaques, cPTmax (median, interquartile range) was significantly higher in patients compared with controls (1.9 (1.4-2.3) versus 1.5 (1.2-1.8) mm), p = 0.001. Cardiovascular disease was present in 9% of patients without plaques (n = 85), 23% of patients with cPTmax 1.0-1.9 mm (n = 69) and 35% of patients with cPTmax >1.9 mm (n = 46), p = 0.001. Carotid and coronary calcium scores >400 were present in 0% and 4%, respectively, of patients with no carotid plaques, in 19% and 24% of patients with cPTmax 1.0-1.9 mm, and in 48% and 53% of patients with cPTmax >1.9 mm, p<0.001.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study showing that cPTmax is increased in patients with chronic kidney disease stage 3 compared to controls and closely associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease and severity of calcification in both the carotid and coronary arteries.

Dose-Response of Tenapanor in Patients With Hyperphosphatemia Undergoing Hemodialysis in Japan—a Phase 2 Randomized Trial

Introduction

Simplified, but effective, hyperphosphatemia treatments with novel mechanisms of action, tolerable safety profiles, and low pill burden are needed for patients undergoing hemodialysis. Tenapanor is a calcium (Ca)-free, nonmetal, nonpolymeric drug that reduces phosphate absorption by selectively inhibiting intestinal sodium-hydrogen exchanger 3. As the serum phosphorus (P) level-lowering effect of tenapanor has not been evaluated in Japanese patients with hyperphosphatemia undergoing hemodialysis, we evaluated its efficacy and safety in this population.

Methods

This was a multicenter, phase 2, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, dose-finding study. Change in serum P level from baseline at week 6 was the primary end point.

Results

Overall, 207 patients were randomized to 5 groups (placebo [n = 41] and tenapanor 5-mg taken twice daily [BID] [n = 42], 10-mg BID [n = 41], 30-mg BID [n = 42], and 30-mg BID dose-titration [n = 41]) and treated for 6 weeks. Mean changes from baseline at week 6 in serum P level were 0.64, −0.93, −1.36, −1.92, and −1.99 mg/dl in the placebo and tenapanor groups, respectively. Serum P level was significantly decreased from baseline in all tenapanor groups compared with placebo (P < 0.001, for each dose). Diarrhea was the most frequent drug-related adverse event (AE) with an incidence of 9.8%, 50.0%, 65.9%, 76.2%, and 65.9% in the respective placebo and tenapanor groups.

Conclusion

In Japanese patients undergoing hemodialysis, tenapanor was found to have a dose-responsive, serum P level-lowering effect. Diarrhea was the most frequent drug-related AE; most cases were mild and generally tolerable. Tenapanor may become a first-in-class therapeutic agent for patients with hyperphosphatemia.

Circulating CD5L is associated with cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in individuals with chronic kidney disease

This study assessed the association of CD5L and soluble CD36 (sCD36) with the risk of a cardiovascular event (CVE), including CV death and all-cause mortality in CKD. We evaluated the association of CD5L and sCD36 with a predefined composite CV endpoint (unstable angina, myocardial infarction, transient ischemic attack, cerebrovascular accident, congestive heart failure, arrhythmia, peripheral arterial disease [PAD] or amputation by PAD, aortic aneurysm, or death from CV causes) and all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for CV risk factors. The analysis included 1,516 participants free from pre-existing CV disease followed up for 4 years. The median age was 62 years, 38.8% were female, and 26.8% had diabetes. There were 98 (6.5%) CVEs and 72 (4.8%) deaths, of which 26 (36.1%) were of CV origin. Higher baseline CD5L concentration was associated with increased risk of CVE (HR, 95% CI, 1.17, 1.0–1.36), and all-cause mortality (1.22, 1.01–1.48) after adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, dyslipidemia, waist circumference, smoking, and CKD stage. sCD36 showed no association with adverse CV outcomes or mortality. Our study showed for the first time that higher concentrations of CD5L are associated with future CVE and all-cause mortality in individuals with CKD.

Narrative Review of Carotid disease and the kidney

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have an increased cardiovascular (CV) risk that is only in part explained by established risk factors. Carotid arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis are increased in CKD, play a role in the causation of CV disease in these patients and can affect the progression of renal disease. The arterial stiffening process is evident even in CKD patients with a very mild reduction of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) whereas arterial thickening is evident in more advanced stages. Possible mechanisms include functional and structural alterations of the arterial wall. Arterial stiffness can mediate the effect of CKD on target organs (i.e., brain, kidney and heart). In this review we discuss the arterial phenotype of patients with CKD. This is characterized by increased common carotid artery stiffness and outward remodeling (enlargement and thickening of the arterial wall) and a normal/reduced stiffness paired with an inward remodeling (narrowing of the arterial wall) of muscular arteries. We also discuss the consequences of carotid dysfunction, including the involvement of large elastic arteries stiffness on ventricular-vascular coupling, the mechanisms linking carotid stiffening and increased cardio- and cerebrovascular risk in CKD patients, and the therapeutic options to improve carotid function.

Hyperkalemia in Chronic Kidney Disease in the New Era of Kidney Protection Therapies

Despite recent therapeutic advances, chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one of the fastest growing global causes of death. This illustrates limitations of current therapeutic approaches and, potentially, unidentified knowledge gaps. For decades, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) blockers have been the mainstay of therapy for CKD. However, they favor the development of hyperkalemia, which is already common in CKD patients due to the CKD-associated decrease in urinary potassium (K⁺) excretion and metabolic acidosis. Hyperkalemia may itself be life-threatening as it may trigger potentially lethal arrhythmia, and additionally may limit the prescription of RAAS blockers and lead to low-K⁺ diets associated to low dietary fiber intake. Indeed, hyperkalemia is associated with adverse kidney, cardiovascular, and survival outcomes. Recently, novel kidney protective therapies, ranging from sodium/glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors to new mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists have shown efficacy in clinical trials. Herein, we review K⁺ pathophysiology and the clinical impact and management of hyperkalemia considering these developments and the availability of the novel K⁺ binders patiromer and sodium zirconium cyclosilicate, recent results from clinical trials targeting metabolic acidosis (sodium bicarbonate, veverimer), and an increasing understanding of the role of the gut microbiota in health and disease.

Independent effects of secondary hyperparathyroidism and hyperphosphatemia on chronic kidney disease progression and cardiovascular events: an analysis from the NEFRONA cohort

BACKGROUND

Secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) is a complication of chronic kidney disease (CKD), and it is associated with changes in calcium and phosphate. These related changes have been associated with increased cardiovascular mortality and CKD progression. It is not clear whether negative outcomes linked to SHPT are confounded by such factors. The present study was designed to assess the possible independent effects of SHPT (defined as patients with excessive PTH levels or on treatment with PTH reducing agents) on the risk of CKD progression and CVE incidence in CKD patients, as well as whether hypercalcemia and/or hyperphosphatemia act as effect modifiers.

METHODS

The study enrolled 2445 CKD patients without previous CVE from the NEFRONA cohort (950 stage 3, 612 stage 4, 195 stage 5 and 688 on Dialysis). Multivariate logistic and Fine and Gray regression analysis were used to determine the risk of patients of suffering CKD progression or a CVE.

RESULTS

Prevalence of SHPT in the whole cohort was 65.6% (CKD 3 54.7%; CKD 4 74.7%; CKD 5 71.4%; Dialysis 68.6%). After 2-years, 301 patients presented CKD progression. During 4-years follow-up, 203 CVE were registered. Patients with SHPT showed a higher adjusted risk for CKD progression and CVE. Furthermore, hyperphosphatemia was shown to be an independent risk factor in both outcomes and did not modify SHPT effect. No significant interactions were detected between the presence of SHPT and hypercalcemia or hyperphosphatemia.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that SHPT and hyperphosphatemia are independently associated with CKD progression and the incidence of CVE in CKD patients.

Cardiovascular risk factors and the impact on prognosis in patients with chronic kidney disease secondary to autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most frequent hereditary renal disease. There is an increased rate of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in ADPKD. In this study, we evaluate the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, the achievement rates for treatment goals and cardiovascular events (CVE) in ADPKD and their relations with asymptomatic CVD in CKD from other etiologies (CKDoe) and controls.

METHODS

We evaluated 2445 CKD patients (2010-2012). The information collected was: clinical, anthropometric and analytical parameters, treatments and CVD evaluation (intima-media thickness (IMT), atheromatous plaque presence and ankle-brachial index (ABI)). Laboratory, vital status, CVE and hospitalizations were collected for 4 years.

RESULTS

ADPKD patients had a worse renal function and worst achievement of blood pressure, higher parathormone levels but lower proteinuria compared to CKDoe. ADPKD patients presented lower IMT values than other groups, however, an intermediate rate of pathologic ABI and atheromatous plaque was present. More than half of the patients received statins, achieving LDL-c levels < 100 only in 50 and 39.8% of them (ADPKD and CKDoe respectively). The number of CVE during the follow-up period was low. In adjusted Cox regression model, ADPDK had the lowest occurrence of CVE of all three groups (HR:0.422, 95%CI 0.221-0.808, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

ADPKD patients show intermediate control rates of CVD. A better control of CVD risk seems to be related with a lower load of CVD compared to other groups, which may lead in the long term to a better prognosis. Further investigation is necessary to determine cardiovascular prognosis in ADPKD.

Atherosclerosis in Chronic Kidney Disease: More, Less, or Just Different?

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at an increased risk of premature mortality, mainly from cardiovascular causes. The association between CKD on hemodialysis and accelerated atherosclerosis was described >40 years ago. However, more recently, it has been suggested that the increase in atherosclerosis risk is actually observed in early CKD stages, remaining stable thereafter. In this regard, interventions targeting the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis, such as statins, successful in the general population, have failed to benefit patients with very advanced CKD. This raises the issue of the relative contribution of atherosclerosis versus other forms of cardiovascular injury such as arteriosclerosis or myocardial injury to the increased cardiovascular risk in CKD. In this review, the pathophysiogical contributors to atherosclerosis in CKD that are shared with the general population, or specific to CKD, are discussed. The NEFRONA study (Observatorio Nacional de Atherosclerosis en NEFrologia) prospectively assessed the prevalence and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis (plaque in vascular ultrasound), confirming an increased prevalence of atherosclerosis in patients with moderate CKD. However, the adjusted odds ratio for subclinical atherosclerosis increased with CKD stage, suggesting a contribution of CKD itself to subclinical atherosclerosis. Progression of atherosclerosis was closely related to CKD progression as well as to the baseline presence of atheroma plaque, and to higher phosphate, uric acid, and ferritin and lower 25(OH) vitamin D levels. These insights may help design future clinical trials of stratified personalized medicine targeting atherosclerosis in patients with CKD. Future primary prevention trials should enroll patients with evidence of subclinical atherosclerosis and should provide a comprehensive control of all known risk factors in addition to testing any additional intervention or placebo.

Machine learning analysis of serum biomarkers for cardiovascular risk assessment in chronic kidney disease

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients show an increased burden of atherosclerosis and high risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs). There are several biomarkers described as being associated with CVEs, but their combined effectiveness in cardiovascular risk stratification in CKD has not been tested. The objective of this work is to analyse the combined ability of 19 biomarkers associated with atheromatous disease in predicting CVEs after 4 years of follow-up in a subcohort of the NEFRONA study in individuals with different stages of CKD without previous CVEs.

Methods

Nineteen putative biomarkers were quantified in 1366 patients (73 CVEs) and their ability to predict CVEs was ranked by random survival forest (RSF) analysis. The factors associated with CVEs were tested in Fine and Gray (FG) regression models, with non-cardiovascular death and kidney transplant as competing events.

Results

RSF analysis detected several biomarkers as relevant for predicting CVEs. Inclusion of those biomarkers in an FG model showed that high levels of osteopontin, osteoprotegerin, matrix metalloproteinase-9 and vascular endothelial growth factor increased the risk for CVEs, but only marginally improved the discrimination obtained with classical clinical parameters: concordance index 0.744 (95% confidence interval 0.609–0.878) versus 0.723 (0.592–0.854), respectively. However, in individuals with diabetes treated with antihypertensives and lipid-lowering drugs, the determination of these biomarkers could help to improve cardiovascular risk estimates.

Conclusions

We conclude that the determination of four biomarkers in the serum of CKD patients could improve cardiovascular risk prediction in high-risk individuals.

Subclinical atherosclerosis burden predicts cardiovascular events in individuals with diabetes and chronic kidney disease

Background

Individuals with diabetes have remarkably high rates of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, the incremental cardiovascular risk in diabetes is heterogeneous and has often been related to renal involvement. The purpose of this study was to analyse the prognostic value of subclinical atherosclerosis in determining the incidence of first cardiovascular events (CVEs) in individuals with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared to CKD individuals without diabetes.

Methods

We included data from individuals with CKD with and without diabetes, free from pre-existing cardiovascular disease, from the NEFRONA cohort. Participants underwent baseline carotid and femoral ultrasound and were followed up for 4 years. All CVEs during follow-up were registered. Bivariate analysis and Fine–Gray competing risk models were used to perform the statistical analysis.

Results

During the mean follow-up time of 48 months, a total of 203 CVE was registered. 107 CVE occurred among participants without diabetes (19.58 per 1000 person-years) and 96 CVE occurred among participants with diabetes (44.44 per 1000 person-years). Following the competing risk analysis, the variables predicting CVEs in CKD individuals without diabetes were the number of territories with plaque at baseline (HR 1.862, 95% CI [1.432;2.240]), age (HR 1.026, 95% CI [1.003;1.049]) and serum concentrations of 25-OH vitamin D (HR 0.963, 95% CI [0.933;0.094]). The only variable predicting CVEs among CKD participants with diabetes was the number of territories with plaque at baseline (HR 1.782, 95% CI [1.393, 2.278]). For both models, concordance (C) index yielded was over 0.7.

Conclusions

The burden of subclinical atherosclerosis is the strongest predictor of future CVEs in diabetic individuals with CKD. Early detection of subclinical atherosclerotic burden by multiterritorial vascular ultrasound could improve CVE prediction in this population.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12933-019-0897-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

An in-depth analysis shows a hidden atherogenic lipoprotein profile in non-diabetic chronic kidney disease patients

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for atherosclerotic disease. We hypothesized that CKD promotes a proatherogenic lipid profile modifying lipoprotein composition and particle number. Methods: Cross-sectional study in 395 non-diabetic individuals (209 CKD patients and 186 controls) without statin therapy. Conventional lipid determinations were combined with advanced lipoprotein profiling by nuclear magnetic resonance, and their discrimination ability was assessed by machine learning. Results: CKD patients showed an increase of very-low-density (VLDL) particles and a reduction of LDL particle size. Cholesterol and triglyceride content of VLDLs and intermediate-density (IDL) particles increased. However, low-density (LDL) and high-density (HDL) lipoproteins gained triglycerides and lost cholesterol. Total-Cholesterol, HDL-Cholesterol, LDL-Cholesterol, non-HDL-Cholesterol and Proprotein convertase subtilisin-kexin type (PCSK9) were negatively associated with CKD stages, whereas triglycerides, lipoprotein(a), remnant cholesterol, and the PCSK9/LDL-Cholesterol ratio were positively associated. PCSK9 was positively associated with total-Cholesterol, LDL-Cholesterol, LDL-triglycerides, LDL particle number, IDL-Cholesterol, and remnant cholesterol. Machine learning analysis by random forest revealed that new parameters have a higher discrimination ability to classify patients into the CKD group, compared to traditional parameters alone: area under the ROC curve (95% CI), .789 (.711, .853) vs .687 (.611, .755). Conclusions: non-diabetic CKD patients have a hidden proatherogenic lipoprotein profile.

The rs1126616 Single Nucleotide Polymorphism of the Osteopontin Gene Is Independently Associated with Cardiovascular Events in a Chronic Kidney Disease Cohort

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events (CVE), partly due to the higher burden of atherosclerosis. Circulating Osteopontin (OPN) levels have been also shown to have a potential role in the development of atherosclerosis. Indeed, CKD patients show an increase in circulating OPN levels, but their effect of CKD-related atherosclerosis is not clear. Polymorphisms in the OPN gene (SPP1) have been studied in atheromatous disease, but reported results show conflictive findings. Thus, the main aim of the present study is to analyze the influence of SPP1 polymorphisms in CVE in CKD patients, taking into account circulating OPN levels. We followed 559 healthy controls and 2445 CKD patients without previous CVE from the National Observatory of Atherosclerosis in Nephrology study (NEFRONA study). After 48 months of follow-up 206 CVE were recorded. Genotyping for rs9138, rs1126616, rs1126772, rs11730582 and rs28357094 polymorphisms of the SPP1 gene was performed along with the measurements of plasma OPN levels. The group of patients with CVE showed higher incidence of atherosclerotic plaque (90.3% vs 64.5%; p < 0.001) and higher OPN levels (p < 0.001) at baseline. Patients with the heterozygous genotype of the rs1126616 polymorphism showed a higher hazard ratio of having a CVE, even after adjustment for multiple potential confounders. After adjustment, OPN levels were no longer associated with the incidence of CVE. We found that the rs1126616 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) of the SPP1 gene is independently associated with a higher incidence of CVE in a cohort of CKD patients and that it could be used to predict CVE risk.

Association of Candidate Gene Polymorphisms With Chronic Kidney Disease: Results of a Case-Control Analysis in the Nefrona Cohort

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major risk factor for end-stage renal disease, cardiovascular disease and premature death. Despite classical clinical risk factors for CKD and some genetic risk factors have been identified, the residual risk observed in prediction models is still high. Therefore, new risk factors need to be identified in order to better predict the risk of CKD in the population. Here, we analyzed the genetic association of 79 SNPs of proteins associated with mineral metabolism disturbances with CKD in a cohort that includes 2,445 CKD cases and 559 controls. Genotyping was performed with matrix assisted laser desorption ionization–time of flight mass spectrometry. We used logistic regression models considering different genetic inheritance models to assess the association of the SNPs with the prevalence of CKD, adjusting for known risk factors. Eight SNPs (rs1126616, rs35068180, rs2238135, rs1800247, rs385564, rs4236, rs2248359, and rs1564858) were associated with CKD even after adjusting by sex, age and race. A model containing five of these SNPs (rs1126616, rs35068180, rs1800247, rs4236, and rs2248359), diabetes and hypertension showed better performance than models considering only clinical risk factors, significantly increasing the area under the curve of the model without polymorphisms. Furthermore, one of the SNPs (the rs2248359) showed an interaction with hypertension, being the risk genotype affecting only hypertensive patients. We conclude that 5 SNPs related to proteins implicated in mineral metabolism disturbances (Osteopontin, osteocalcin, matrix gla protein, matrix metalloprotease 3 and 24 hydroxylase) are associated to an increased risk of suffering CKD.

Peritoneal Dialysis Is an Independent Factor Associated to Lower Intima Media Thickness in Dialysis Patients Free From Previous Cardiovascular Disease

Carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) displays prognostic value as a marker of cardiovascular risk in dialysis patients. However, few data are available regarding the impact of dialysis modality on cIMT. The aim of this study is to determine whether the modality of dialysis influences cIMT values. We compared 237 peritoneal dialysis (PD) and 451 hemodialysis (HD) patients without previous cardiovascular disease included in NEFRONA, a prospective, observational and multicenter study. This cross sectional study included the determination of cIMT in 6 carotid territories by arterial ultrasound. cIMT was determined in territories without atheroma plaque and averaged. A second analysis was performed using all territories, giving a truncated cIMT value of 1,5 mm to territories presenting with atheroma plaque. Age and plaque presence at baseline were the clinical variables more closely associated to cIMT in dialysis patients. The evaluation of the impact of the modality of dialysis on cIMT showed that PD patients had lower cIMT than HD patients, both in territories with no plaques and when using truncated cIMT values. No differences were found between right and left sides, neither in cIMT or truncated cIMT values. Lineal multivariate analysis adjusted by several clinical variables showed a statistically significant association of PD with a lower cIMT (slope -0.036; SD 0.010). These results were also confirmed when truncated cIMT values were used. We conclude that the modality of dialysis has an impact on cITM. HD patients have greater global cIMT than PD patients, and PD is and independent factor associated with a lower cIMT.